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Speaker 1: This is the Action Network podcast.

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Speaker 2: Better than Most, Better than Most, Better than Most.

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Speaker 3: Welcome into the Action Network podcast. Your host today, Brendan Glasheen,

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Speaker 3: looking forward to the.

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Speaker 1: Eighty sixth edition of the Masters Tournament.

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Speaker 3: Once again, the best golfers in the world are gathering

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Speaker 3: at Augusta National Golf Club for the most prestigious golf major.

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Speaker 3: Today joining me, Nick Bretwish and Spener Agyar. Spencer he's

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Speaker 3: the reigning twenty twenty two Fantasy Sports Writer Association Golf

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Speaker 3: Writer of the Year. So they are both contributors to

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Speaker 3: our Action Network podcast Links and Locks. They are also

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Speaker 3: primarily at Better Golf. We'll hear more about that as

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Speaker 3: the show rolls on. So great having both of you

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Speaker 3: join us on the Action Network podcast.

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Speaker 1: It's a big one.

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Speaker 3: So we roll out the carpet and get you both

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Speaker 3: involved for what's going to be an exciting weekend. The

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Speaker 3: Master is always a great time of year on the

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Speaker 3: sports calendar, So we'll start like this. We're going to

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Speaker 3: go through some best bets. The guys are going to

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Speaker 3: give us some matchup bets, their favorite matchup bets, placement bets,

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Speaker 3: some random props. We'll spend a moment on Tiger Woods.

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Speaker 3: Don't you worry. We'll get to Tiger and we'll also

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Speaker 3: get some outright picks and find out what we can

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Speaker 3: do and tune into on better golf. So Spencer, we'll

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Speaker 3: start with these are How about a favorite matchup bet

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Speaker 3: to get us started ahead of the Masters.

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Speaker 2: Well, first of all, Brendan, thank you for having us on.

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Speaker 2: We appreciate the time to be able to do this segment.

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Speaker 2: But I like Tommy Fleetwood minus one ten over Bubba

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Speaker 2: Watson on DraftKings. That price is nearly forty points less

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Speaker 2: than the rest of the market. My model believe Watson

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Speaker 2: is the most mispriced player on the board, and I

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Speaker 2: think a lot of the intrigue around him is stemming

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Speaker 2: from his past success at Augusta. And to be fair,

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Speaker 2: the Masters does have the best predictability when it comes

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Speaker 2: to rollover success of any vents on tour, but it's

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Speaker 2: hard to find much to be encouraged about with Watson

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Speaker 2: when we remove the most colored glasses of the past.

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Speaker 2: Watson has average negative three point four shots with his

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Speaker 2: irons over his past three starts, and I think Fleetwood's

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Speaker 2: overall steady nature should play nicely at a track where

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Speaker 2: he has made four straight cuts and he enters the

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Speaker 2: week having gained five point five strokes t Degreen over

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Speaker 2: his last two outings.

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Speaker 3: How about you, Nick so Fleetwood's the pick for spencer?

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Speaker 3: How about yourself and you look at a match up,

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Speaker 3: A favorite match.

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Speaker 4: Up that I think my favorite one despite laying so

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Speaker 4: much juice, which usually I do not like to do,

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Speaker 4: is Xander Schaffley minus one twenty six over will Zella

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Speaker 4: Taurus on fan duel. Xander Schofley is one of the

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Speaker 4: top five players in my model this week, someone that

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Speaker 4: always stands out for me at Augusta should have won

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Speaker 4: last year if he asked me and then had that

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Speaker 4: blow up on I Believe seventeen and the par three.

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Speaker 4: But yeah, I'm going with Xander over will Zelatorus. I

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Speaker 4: think Xel Torus will be someone that I pick on

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Speaker 4: often on the DFS and betting market this week. But yep,

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Speaker 4: Xander it is.

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Speaker 1: How about a top placement bet spencer that you're high

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Speaker 1: on for the Masters.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, you're going to hear a lot of Rory McElroy

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Speaker 2: for me this week. I like Rory to come top

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Speaker 2: twenty at minus one twenty five on DraftKings. I will

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Speaker 2: try to spread the love around to each section and

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Speaker 2: not clump everything into one portion, so I have nothing

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Speaker 2: left to discuss every time I get to McElroy this week.

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Speaker 2: But I think there is an overall disinterest going on

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Speaker 2: throughout the space where most betters or DFS players are

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Speaker 2: looking overlooking his chances because we have gone through the

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Speaker 2: song and dance of him trying to capture the career

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Speaker 2: Grand Slam countless times before. Might seem discouraging too many

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Speaker 2: after his miscut at the Valero, but he's been dominant

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Speaker 2: te de Green over his past five starts, averaging four

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Speaker 2: point eighty six strokes during that time frame. As I

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Speaker 2: always recommend, shop around for the best price you can find,

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Speaker 2: but I think Rory's an interesting target across the board

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Speaker 2: this week.

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Speaker 1: Rory's twenty to one to win the Masters, and I

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Speaker 1: think Spencer correct me if I'm wrong.

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Speaker 3: Rory tends to be better he's in spots where there's

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Speaker 3: less pressure, right like he might be being a little

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Speaker 3: overlook twich might be right in his wheelhouse.

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Speaker 2: I have one hundred percent agree with that. You know

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Speaker 2: this is a topic that always lays him down when

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Speaker 2: he enters the Master that he's trying to capture the

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Speaker 2: career Grand Slam. He missed the cut, the Valero, all

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Speaker 2: the hoop loss surrounding Tiger that I'm sure we'll get

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Speaker 2: to in a second. But Rory has the skill set

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Speaker 2: to find success here, and I do think that this

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Speaker 2: is the perfect venue and maybe the perfect time in

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Speaker 2: his career where he can finally get across the finish line.

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Speaker 1: Agreed.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and you're talking the cutting miss to Valero his

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Speaker 3: first miscut since last July. I believe the Scottish odn

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Speaker 3: so it had been a while, but we'll see Rory

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Speaker 3: a little momentum at least playing last week. Not all

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Speaker 3: golfers can say that heading into the Masters, the eighty

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Speaker 3: six Masters Tournament, how about you, Nick, how about your

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Speaker 3: top placement bets or bets if you have multiple?

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Speaker 4: The favorite one for me is going to be Sun

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Speaker 4: Jay in top twenty. It seems like no one in

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Speaker 4: the public is talking about this guy. I know the

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Speaker 4: iron play is not where it once was, but he

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Speaker 4: is one of the best putters on ben grass. He

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Speaker 4: is a native of Georgia. He is a monster around

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Speaker 4: the green, which is something My model value is a

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Speaker 4: ton this week. He's also an excellent scrambler. That price

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Speaker 4: is the best in the market. I believe on DraftKings

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Speaker 4: at plus two ten sun Jam.

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Speaker 3: Okay, So I want to before we move on, we

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Speaker 3: have random prop bets coming your way, which is always

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Speaker 3: a fun way to get involved with the masters. We'll

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Speaker 3: also get outright picks from Spencer and Nick. I want

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Speaker 3: to remind you all as well if we do have

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Speaker 3: UBC two seventy three coming on Friday, that's just a

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Speaker 3: reminder that we do have more coming here on the

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Speaker 3: Action Podcast. So let's get to Tiger Woods.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 3: So Tiger has an unreal crowd show up at his

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Speaker 3: practice round. He confirms dialed in, looks right into the

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Speaker 3: camera and says, yeah, I think good. I'll be ready

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Speaker 3: to go. So Tiger's gonna give this thing a god,

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Speaker 3: He's going to give it go. He's gonna give it

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Speaker 3: a go. So I'm looking at Draft Kings right now,

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Speaker 3: and you can both tell me, hey, you're doing it wrong.

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Speaker 1: You're looking at this wrong.

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Speaker 3: But as a casual golf observer, better is the best

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Speaker 3: play on Tiger Woods to look at whether or not

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Speaker 3: he makes or misses the cut. I don't know if

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Speaker 3: you like him outright, how do you play if at

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Speaker 3: all Spencer Tiger Woods, how do you approach it?

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Speaker 2: My model has Tiger Woods fifty first. Overall, the top

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Speaker 2: fifty players in ties will make the cut. I think

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Speaker 2: that that's a very fair price tag on the surface,

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Speaker 2: when we're looking at this, The one thing I will

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Speaker 2: say is I believe Tiger is going to be competitive

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Speaker 2: in this tournament, at least on day one. Tiger is

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Speaker 2: not mincing his words when he says he thinks he

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Speaker 2: has a chance. That's a true statement for him. I

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Speaker 2: don't think he would put his legacy, his career, everything

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Speaker 2: that he's done in Jeopardy to come out and just

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Speaker 2: try to compete. I think in his mind he truly

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Speaker 2: believes he has a chance this weekend. My concerns come

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Speaker 2: what happens on Friday, if he makes the cut, what

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Speaker 2: happens on Saturday, What happens on Sunday. I think eventually

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Speaker 2: this is a very undulated course. It's a difficult course

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Speaker 2: to walk. I think his body's going to fall apart

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Speaker 2: on him a little bit. I hope I'm wrong on

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Speaker 2: that assessment there. I think he will make the cut.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if we're going to get a top

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Speaker 2: thirty finish from him, but somewhere between thirtieth then whatever

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Speaker 2: the bottom of the board is of players that make

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Speaker 2: the cut would be my assessment of where I think

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Speaker 2: he's gonna finish.

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Speaker 3: How about you, Dick, what do you think about Tiger Woods?

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Speaker 3: Is there a way to play Tiger Woods? Is it

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Speaker 3: a wait and see or do you do you have

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Speaker 3: interest in the make or miss the cut?

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Speaker 4: I personally don't think I could bet either side of that.

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Speaker 4: I mean, I think the only time he's missed a

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Speaker 4: cousin when he was an amateur. And I never want

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Speaker 4: to doubt Tiger Woods. The guys always seems to, you know,

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Speaker 4: to blow our minds every time we want to doubt him.

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Speaker 4: But for me, I think as a as a fanboy,

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Speaker 4: I'm gonna take the eighty to one one points bet

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Speaker 4: and probably light my money on fire. I think that's

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Speaker 4: okay for me. But I don't know if you have

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Speaker 4: a lot, if you're a listener here and you have

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Speaker 4: a lot of confidence in Tiger Woods, I think the

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Speaker 4: best number may be taken taking him as a top

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Speaker 4: former winner. I believe ten to one on DraftKings is

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Speaker 4: the best price in the market right now. Really the

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Speaker 4: only competition there that I see is Dustin Johnson and

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Speaker 4: maybe Adam Scott. I'm not really worried about Hideki. I

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Speaker 4: know he's been injured, just pulled out of the Valera

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Speaker 4: last week. Jordan Speed did have a really good round

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Speaker 4: on Sunday, but I don't know. His game just doesn't

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Speaker 4: seem to be right. So it's kind of to me

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Speaker 4: like you're getting at ten to one price tag heads

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Speaker 4: up against Dustin Johnson and maybe a little bit at

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Speaker 4: Adam Scott because like Spencer said about Bubba Watson early,

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Speaker 4: I'm a complete fait on him as well.

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Speaker 3: So I think we just found out that a couple

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Speaker 3: minutes we've spent on tiger Woods, there's a, you know,

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Speaker 3: a smart way to go about it, and then as

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Speaker 3: Nick lay out, there's a fun way to go about it.

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Speaker 3: But yes, we do caution, take your own risk because

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Speaker 3: he can certainly prove it. If there's anyone that can

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Speaker 3: do it, it's him. Just to share, folks, tiger Woods.

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Speaker 3: He's off at ten thirty four am earn on Thursday.

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Speaker 3: Let's move to random props.

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Speaker 1: This should be, this should be fun. I'm looking forward

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Speaker 1: to this.

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Speaker 3: This is a fun way to maybe get someone who's

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Speaker 3: not as familiar with betting on golf, but maybe a

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Speaker 3: way to stay involved without actually getting in on an

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Speaker 3: outright winner. Spencer, how about a random prop for us

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Speaker 3: or some props that you're exploring.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I will give you one, and that would be

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Speaker 2: Camera and Young to be the top debut tant at

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Speaker 2: eight to one on bet MGM. I want golfers that

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Speaker 2: can hit the ball long in the softer conditions and

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Speaker 2: it might help some of his around the greenwoes that

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Speaker 2: the facility doesn't have as much fire as some might

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Speaker 2: be expecting. Young is the second player in my model

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Speaker 2: this week in driving distance, and he also creates an

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Speaker 2: impressive ninth and par five birdier better percentage.

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Speaker 3: You brought up a good point. We have to monitor

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Speaker 3: wins this weekend Augusta. Like that's going to be a factor, right,

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Speaker 3: and some of these par fives too, Like guys who

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Speaker 3: can strike the balls, that's going to be a focus,

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Speaker 3: I would think, right, Spencer.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, par five scoring.

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Speaker 2: Is always really prevalent for players that find success here.

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Speaker 2: We see it every single year when Dustin won. I

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Speaker 2: mean he led the field in par five scoring. It's

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Speaker 2: just a stat that's very important in distance. These fairways

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Speaker 2: are more wide open than an average tour stop. They're

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Speaker 2: eleven yards wider on average, so you are able to

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Speaker 2: bum and gouge a little bit without much. I don't

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Speaker 2: want to say that there's not trouble to be found.

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Speaker 2: You can go way too far lef to right on

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Speaker 2: these shots, but you are able to carry the ball further.

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Speaker 2: And I think that players that have distance will have

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Speaker 2: an advantage, especially with the rain that's been in the

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Speaker 2: forecast and that's been in augusta over these last couple

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Speaker 2: of days. If that softens up the course, you don't

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Speaker 2: get as much rollout on these drives, and I think

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Speaker 2: a player like Cameron Young might be able to use

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Speaker 2: his distance to an advantage.

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Speaker 1: Nick caw about a random prop for us that yawn

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Speaker 1: for the weekend, so.

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Speaker 4: The same market. Sorry to go against Spencer a little

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Speaker 4: bit here, but top debutante, I'm going with Sam Burns,

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Speaker 4: a guy that has two top ten finishes and three

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Speaker 4: top thirty finishes and his past three events all with

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Speaker 4: loaded fields. He blows up everything about my model par

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Speaker 4: five scoring. Scrambling around the green. Obviously, we know how

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Speaker 4: good of a player Sam Burns is and the reason

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Speaker 4: I like him the most going his first time out

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Speaker 4: is his caddie, Travis Perkins. He has been very solid

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Speaker 4: at august I believe he was with Billy Horschel and

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Speaker 4: before that's Scott Piercy. So he knows his way around Augusta, Georgia,

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Speaker 4: and that's something that I value a lot. That is

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Speaker 4: plus four hundred on bet MGM.

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Speaker 3: Familiarity with the course, Snowdell and Spencer. One of you

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Speaker 3: mentioned this something about, you know, just how Tiger walking around.

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Speaker 3: I think Spencer said this just the fatigue of the

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Speaker 3: course and making your way around Augusta. That is certainly

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Speaker 3: something that has to be considered when you weigh your choices.

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Speaker 1: All right, so let's get to the let's get to

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Speaker 1: the good stuff.

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Speaker 3: Some outright winners or your favorite outright winner, Spencer.

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Speaker 1: Or you know, if you've got a handful place given

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Speaker 1: to him.

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Speaker 2: I kind of already alluded to this that this is

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Speaker 2: Rory McElroy week for me, So Rory McElroy twenty to one.

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Speaker 2: I wasn't planning to do this when the week started,

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Speaker 2: but something changed for me on Sunday when I made

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Speaker 2: a few minor alterations to my model. As I said,

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Speaker 2: I think these conditions will be softer because of the rain.

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Speaker 2: Rory's biggest issue is when scores don't creep into double digits.

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Speaker 2: He's never won a title at less than twelve under par.

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Speaker 2: He's a high ball flight hitter who should excel at

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Speaker 2: the track, and we see that data come into play

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Speaker 2: with him ranking third in this field for way to

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Speaker 2: Tee de Green and first in a course specific breakdown

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Speaker 2: of my model. Just to give one other play, another

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Speaker 2: way that you can play Rory if you're trying to

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Speaker 2: maybe not bet him to win the tournament, but you

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Speaker 2: still want to take him. There is a group matchup

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Speaker 2: against Victor Hovelin, Brooks Koepka, Colin Morikawa, and Jordan Speith.

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Speaker 2: Rory is plus three point thirty on DraftKings there to

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Speaker 2: win that group. I think he should have been the favorite,

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Speaker 2: which ended up belonging to Hovlin at plus two seventy five.

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Speaker 2: But I like that he's matched against four players where

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Speaker 2: he is minus one thirty or better at pretty much

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Speaker 2: any offshore book that you can find.

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Speaker 3: Rory McElroy quoted saying, I could have won the Masters

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Speaker 3: with twelve under par in twenty fifteen, but Jordan Speed

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Speaker 3: played much better than everyone else won by a few

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Speaker 3: I always seem to play well when people give me

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Speaker 3: a chance. Lower expectations are a good thing. And not

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Speaker 3: to mention, three of the last six PGA Tour wins

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Speaker 3: come after a missed cut, as we discussed earlier in

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Speaker 3: the show, Nick, your favorite outright pick for the Masters.

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Speaker 4: Like Spencer, I am on Rory, but two other tickets

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Speaker 4: that are like a lot right now is Victor Hoblin

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Speaker 4: twenty two to one on points bet, and then I

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Speaker 4: I am gonna go back to Sam Burns. I know

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Speaker 4: we've never seen a first time start get the victory here,

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Speaker 4: at least in I believe fifty years. But Sam Burns

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Speaker 4: is fifty to one on DraftKings.

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Speaker 3: Excellent.

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Speaker 4: The reason I'm taking him outright is just the putter.

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Speaker 4: I think this is a putter's course as well, and

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Speaker 4: he's one of the best putters on tour. And then

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Speaker 4: to get a little longer will be JM seventy five

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Speaker 4: to one on DraftKings. That's probably as long as I'm

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Speaker 4: going in the outright market this week.

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Speaker 1: So before we learn more about better golf. How about

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Speaker 1: your your.

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Speaker 3: Absolute best bet, so it doesn't have to necessarily be

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Speaker 3: an outright but your your best bet of anything we've

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Speaker 3: discussed or one you haven't mentioned yet.

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Speaker 1: Best bet for the Masters, Spencer.

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Speaker 2: I'm a head to head person. Everything that I do,

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Speaker 2: I try to find advantages in those markets. So it

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Speaker 2: would be Tommy Fleetwood over Bubba Watson at minus one

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Speaker 2: ten on DraftKings.

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Speaker 4: Okay, how about you, Nick, I'm going with sun Drop

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Speaker 4: twenty plus two ten.

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Speaker 1: Sounds good by the way for folks tuning in.

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Speaker 3: Nick and Spencer contribute to who Are Links and Locks

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Speaker 3: podcast at the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: They are joining us here on the Action Network podcast.

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Speaker 3: But Nick tell us more about better golf and what

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Speaker 3: folks can find out and learn from.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 4: Find on Twitter at b tt R Golf Pod. It's

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Speaker 4: a weekly podcast. We post the show every Tuesday night. Basically,

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Speaker 4: I found Spencer. I guess I bought Spencer stock at

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Speaker 4: the perfect time last year before he won the DFS Award.

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Speaker 4: But it's a very enhanced breakdown and more of a

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Speaker 4: teaching type of podcast for how to bet golf and

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Speaker 4: how to you know, actually sustain a bank roll? It's

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Speaker 4: something that really wasn't in the market when we started

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Speaker 4: doing the show. But for the most part, like when

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Speaker 4: I was listening to golf betting podcasts, it's all the

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Speaker 4: sexy stuff, right the outrights, the matchups. But what I

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Speaker 4: think we do best is teach people, you know, different

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Speaker 4: markets to attack less volatile markets like the top forty,

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Speaker 4: the top thirty, the top twenty and things of that nature.

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Speaker 4: But yeah, I'll let Spencer elaborate a little more.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, the thing that initially drew me to golf with

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Speaker 2: that the board could be getting such a unique perspective

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Speaker 2: golf tournament. It provides you a complete encapsulation of everything

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Speaker 2: you love about betting. You get futures, matchups, placement bets,

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Speaker 2: essentially the entire array of wagers in one weekend. And

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Speaker 2: when Nick and I started Better Golf a year ago

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Speaker 2: at Win Daily Sports, Nick has a model. I have

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Speaker 2: a model with the database of information that I go

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Speaker 2: through weekly and I will say, if you follow me

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Speaker 2: on Twitter at tfsports, I release that sheet for free

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Speaker 2: every week. I'm really proud of that tool because it

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Speaker 2: provides everyone in ability to have a model of their

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Speaker 2: own when they make a copy and while everyone gambles

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Speaker 2: for a different reason. The end goal is to try

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Speaker 2: and do it in a profitable way if you can.

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Speaker 2: Nick and I are very passionate about teaching our listeners

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Speaker 2: how to strategically mold together a betting card. It's taken

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Speaker 2: us all the way on the guest spot that we

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Speaker 2: do with Jason Sober and Ben Everel on Action Network

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Speaker 2: on their Links and Locks podcast that you guys mentioned,

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Speaker 2: love it and.

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Speaker 3: Again you can find Better Golf at Better Golf Pod

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Speaker 3: on Twitter, So that's's going to do it for us.

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Speaker 1: Guys. Thank you so much for taking the time.

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Speaker 3: Enjoy the eighty sixth Masters Tournament for enter agyar the

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Speaker 3: Rating twenty twenty two Fantasy Sports Writer Association Golf Writer

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Speaker 3: of the Year and Nick Brentwish, Brendan Glasshjeen.

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Speaker 1: Thanks for tuning in to our.

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Speaker 3: Master's betting preview on the Action Network podcast. Want to

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Speaker 3: remind you all once again we are back on Friday

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Speaker 3: for our UFC two seventy three betting preview, Billy Ward

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Speaker 3: and Shanzillo joining me. Looking forward to that. Until then,

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Speaker 3: enjoy the Masters. Everybody starts up Thursday.

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Speaker 1: Get those bets in best of Block and we'll see

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Speaker 1: you next time.