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Speaker 1: Happy Tuesday, guys, what's up? Welcome into another episode of

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Speaker 1: the Diligence Podcast with me Matt Perrault at Sports Talk Matt,

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Speaker 1: that handle all my socials. We are officially on a heater,

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Speaker 1: boys and girls. College basketball has now gone up to

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Speaker 1: forty five and thirty, a three to zero sweep of

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Speaker 1: the board yesterday. Well look, it's good that we're doing

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Speaker 1: that because NBA basketball couldn't be worse. We're down ten

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Speaker 1: units in the NBA, but we are now way up

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Speaker 1: in college basketball to make up for it. We've crossed.

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Speaker 1: We're now up over ten units for really thirteen units,

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Speaker 1: now over thirteen units up for the year so far.

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Speaker 1: In twenty twenty four, it went back with three bets

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Speaker 1: in college basketball. We got to keep writing it. This

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Speaker 1: is a very difficult college basketball slate. So if we

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Speaker 1: knock down we go three and oh tonight. Uh yeah,

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Speaker 1: an O and three is coming. Okay, We're gonna go

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Speaker 1: oh and three at some point this week, I guarantee it.

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Speaker 1: But maybe it's tonight. I don't know. But we're off

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Speaker 1: to a very good start, and really not off to

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Speaker 1: a start. We're having a very good year in college basketball.

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Speaker 1: You know, whenever you're over sixty percent in any sport betting,

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Speaker 1: it's a good thing. So not gonna argue. The Duke

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Speaker 1: cover was incredibly fortuitous. Kid missed the free throw on

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Speaker 1: a one in one, Duke gets the rebound, they dribble

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Speaker 1: out the clock. They win by eight. We covered. The

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Speaker 1: other two were easy walk in the parks. Texas Tech

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Speaker 1: killed Kansas and TCU annihilated West Virginia. So three favorites,

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Speaker 1: all at home, all covered. I'm gonna go back with favorites.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna lay a couple of big numbers. I will

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Speaker 1: see if it's really, you know, a dog day after

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Speaker 1: favorites doing well, dogs make come back and bark. We'll see.

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Speaker 1: dot com slash Daily Juice. All right, let's start talking

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Speaker 1: about North Carolina. I will be on Sports Grid later tonight.

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Speaker 1: I'm doing Late Night. I'm doing both The Bostonian versus

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Speaker 1: the book during the day and then late night I'll

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Speaker 1: be on ten o'clock Eastern time on sports Grid. I

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Speaker 1: don't know if I'm aware the blue jacket. If you don't,

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Speaker 1: I'm talking talking about. I have a beautiful North Carolina

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Speaker 1: blue jacket that I've been wearing. I wore it on

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Speaker 1: Sports grad and on BVB on the week of the

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl and North Carolina lost. They did not cover.

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Speaker 1: They lost at home by Clinton to Clemson by nine.

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Speaker 1: I am oh, sorry, I'm sorry they lost at home.

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Speaker 1: Sorry they yeah, they lost home to Clemson. No, that

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Speaker 1: was the Miami game. They lost by one, by three.

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Speaker 1: They didn't cover. They won, but they didn't cover. That's

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Speaker 1: what it was. So now I'm gonna pull it back out.

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Speaker 1: Carolina has lost two of the last four games outright,

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Speaker 1: covered once in their last four games. This is a

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Speaker 1: big test for Carolina. They probably will not cover this number. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Syracuse is at home, the numbers eight. It's a home

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Speaker 1: dog in Syracuse. They're five and eight at home. However,

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Speaker 1: they're four and nine in the ACC. When Carolina was

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Speaker 1: at home against Syracuse, they won the game by thirty

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Speaker 1: six points. They covered by twenty four, they were laying twelve.

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Speaker 1: They won by thirty six. Now, like any college basketball team,

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Speaker 1: they're a much different team at home, right, much better.

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Speaker 1: But Syracuse has covered two times since the thirteenth of

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Speaker 1: January when they played North Carolina. They covered against pitt

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Speaker 1: on the road they won by eleven. They covered at

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Speaker 1: home against Boston College, winning by ten, laying four. They

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Speaker 1: didn't cover against North Carolina, Miami, Florida State. Well, I

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Speaker 1: guess three times. Sorry, they've covered three No, no, no, sorry,

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Speaker 1: not the BC game. That was before the North Collaga game.

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Speaker 1: They covered against NCY State, they covered NC State, they

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Speaker 1: covered Pittsburgh. Since the thirteenth of January. They did not

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Speaker 1: cover against Miami, did not cover against Florida State, did

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Speaker 1: not cover against Boston College, did not cover against Wake Forest,

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Speaker 1: did not cover against Louisville, did not cover against Clemson.

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Speaker 1: Four and nine ets so far in the ACC Carolina

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Speaker 1: eight and five, eight and five on the road away

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Speaker 1: from home, but six and four over the last ten,

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Speaker 1: and two and three over the last five, and the

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Speaker 1: last two and three of the last four they have

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Speaker 1: not covered. So the books have a number on them.

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Speaker 1: They're starting to jack up the price you know they win.

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Speaker 1: They're laying four on the road against Miami they won

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Speaker 1: by three, and they were laying six and a half

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Speaker 1: at home against Clemson, lost by four. They're laying eight

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Speaker 1: and a half on the road to Georgia Tech lost

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Speaker 1: by one. They're oh and two on their last two

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Speaker 1: games in the ACC, one in one straight up, oh

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Speaker 1: and two ats. Syracuse has not played great at Sorry

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Speaker 1: North Cota has not played great at Syracuse. Last two

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Speaker 1: times It's been shorter numbers though, But that was two

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Speaker 1: thousand and one in twenty and twenty three. Here we

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Speaker 1: are in twenty twenty four. Oh into ats Syracuse or

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Speaker 1: sorry North Carolina at Syracuse. But I'm gonna ride Carolina.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna lay the eight. It's an eight point win.

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Speaker 1: According to Kempom see Carolina go on the road. It's

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Speaker 1: gonna come down to one or two possessions. Okay, this

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Speaker 1: is gonna be just like the dude game, free throw

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Speaker 1: one or two possessions. I'm making a pretty good case

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Speaker 1: for taking Syracuse. I'm serious, Okay, making a pretiod case.

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Speaker 1: But I'm gonna bet North Carolina here laying the eight

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Speaker 1: simply because how much better Carolina is than Syracuse in

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Speaker 1: what Carolina did to Syracuse in the first matchup, and

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Speaker 1: the fact that Syracuse has not covers covered two times

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Speaker 1: since that game against North Carolina back in the middle

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Speaker 1: of January. It's not been pretty one time covering in

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Speaker 1: the last seven games. I'll lay the eight North Carolina

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Speaker 1: minus eight for one point one units bet number two.

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Speaker 1: Let's go to Pittsburgh at Virginia. This number is six

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Speaker 1: low scoring game one twenty two and a half. Uva

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Speaker 1: is nine to three and one eight as at home

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Speaker 1: this year, but pitt is six two and one on

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Speaker 1: the road. Pitt is a road warrior team. They're better

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Speaker 1: at home on the road than they are at home.

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Speaker 1: They're six two and one ats on the road. They're

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Speaker 1: seven six and one seven six and one at home,

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Speaker 1: but they're six five and one in the ACC. They

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Speaker 1: have covered their last three games, six three and one

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Speaker 1: over the last ten, four toh one over their last five.

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Speaker 1: That's a pretty good mark. Four oh and one for

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Speaker 1: pitt NC State three point dogs on the road. One

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Speaker 1: outright by three Notre Dame laying nine. They won by

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Speaker 1: ten against wake Forest, laying two and a half. They

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Speaker 1: won by five against Miami. They pushed four point Dogs

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Speaker 1: lost by four against Georgia Tech won by eight, and

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Speaker 1: they won at Duke as twelve and a half point Dogs.

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Speaker 1: They won outright by four. That was like the wow moment.

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Speaker 1: The difference is Virginia is scorching hot. Virginia hasn't lost

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Speaker 1: since the thirteenth of January. They beat Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech,

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Speaker 1: NC State, Louisville, Notre Dame, Clemson, Miami in Florida State.

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Speaker 1: Only two times during this run have they failed to cover,

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Speaker 1: and it wasn't bad. They pushed against NC State and

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Speaker 1: then one by twelve against Notre Dame. Every other game

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Speaker 1: they have covered at home Tony Bennett in Virginia eight

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Speaker 1: four and one in the acc ats. They're just unbelievable.

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Speaker 1: I mean, they're really, really a tough team to face.

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Speaker 1: Kempom has this as a five point win, sixty three

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Speaker 1: to fifty eight, and the adage kind of goes, hey,

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Speaker 1: when you have a team that loves to play defense,

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Speaker 1: take the points because it's going to be a low

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Speaker 1: scoring game. But the problem I've got with that is

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Speaker 1: if you look at the way that you know, look

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Speaker 1: at the scores, the teams have gone and tried to

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Speaker 1: beat Virginia in Charlottesville. It's ridiculous. Miami scored thirty eight points.

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Speaker 1: Miami scored thirty eight points. Notre Dame scored fifty three points.

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Speaker 1: NC State scored fifty three points. VA Tech scored fifty

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Speaker 1: seven points. Like, if we get sixty five points, we

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Speaker 1: get sixty five points out of Virginia. They're winning and covering,

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Speaker 1: like there's no way the Pittsburgh scoring sixty tonight, Like

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Speaker 1: I just I don't see it happening. That's why I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna lay the six points. Virginia minus six or thirteen

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Speaker 1: and oh straight up at home this year eight and

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Speaker 1: two over their last ten, they've won eight straight basketball games.

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Speaker 1: They're ten and three in the ACC. Straight up, they're

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Speaker 1: gonna win the game. And I think they had darn

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Speaker 1: good shot at covering the six. Virginia minus six for

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Speaker 1: one point one units. And just like last night, three favorites. Okay,

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Speaker 1: that was one road favorite in the ACC. I got

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Speaker 1: one home favorite in the ACC, and we're gonna end

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Speaker 1: it with Saint John's at Providence. Providence is laying one.

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Speaker 1: This is going to be an unbelievable basketball game, you guys,

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Speaker 1: know how I feel about Kim English and Providence. Okay,

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Speaker 1: at home, Providence is a really hard place to play,

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Speaker 1: but they're seven to six and one ats nine and

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Speaker 1: four in the Big East. However, at home against the

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Speaker 1: Creighton Blue Jays, they were two point dogs. They won

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Speaker 1: the game by four. At home against against Georgetown, they're

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Speaker 1: laying eleven. They know they won by eight, but they

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Speaker 1: did win. Xavier was the one kind of anomaly there

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Speaker 1: where they were laying two. They lost by twenty beat

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Speaker 1: seton Hall. I think Saint John's this is the return

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Speaker 1: of Rick Bettino to Providence. I mean, this is going

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Speaker 1: to be an electric atmosphere and I can't wait to

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Speaker 1: see they might be doing something for him. It wouldn't

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Speaker 1: shock me if there's some type of I don't know, tribute, ceremony, something,

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Speaker 1: But this is going to be an electric atmosphere for

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Speaker 1: Rick Patino to come back. A guy who coached at

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Speaker 1: Providence from nineteen eighty five to nineteen eighty seven, and

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Speaker 1: I mean they were awful, took them to the Final

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Speaker 1: Four in two years, immediate turnaround. A lot of old

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Speaker 1: timers remember Rick Batino in what he did in the eighties,

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Speaker 1: which kind of kickstarted his career. I'm taking Providence. This

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Speaker 1: building's going to be on fire. Saint John's is five

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Speaker 1: to seven on the year. It's a one point win

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Speaker 1: for Providence according to Kenpom. And we're looking at this

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Speaker 1: offense for Saint John's, which is really good. But the

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Speaker 1: Providence defense has been tremendous this year. If you look

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Speaker 1: at three point percentage for Saint John's, they're two hundredth

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Speaker 1: in college basketball, one hundred and nineteenth. Defensively for Providence,

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Speaker 1: two point percentage is two hundred and third for Saint John's,

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Speaker 1: Providence eight eighth. I think they win the game on

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Speaker 1: their defense. Their offense is gonna be good enough, but

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Speaker 1: I like the defense. Devin Carter has been tremendous for Providence.

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Speaker 1: He's just been Adoro, has been really tough. Jenkins is great.

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Speaker 1: I love Jenkins for Saint John's and Soriano maybe the

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Speaker 1: best big in college basketball or sorry, in the Big

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Speaker 1: East outside of Ryan Cockbrunner. But I like Providence to

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Speaker 1: win the game. I think Providence uses that home crowd

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Speaker 1: when it's late in the year and there's this much intensity,

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Speaker 1: and you got a team in Providence that's covered three

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Speaker 1: of their last four games, and they've lost, you know,

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Speaker 1: three in the last four, but they've covered three in

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Speaker 1: the last four. They lose on the road against Butler.

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Speaker 1: This fits right back into my lose on the road

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Speaker 1: come back home situation. They're not dogs, but they're laying one.

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Speaker 1: It's a short number. Just get the money line win.

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Speaker 1: I'm taking Providence at home against Saint John's. I can't

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Speaker 1: wait to see this atmosphere. This is the game of

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Speaker 1: the night for me. I'm so psyched to watch Saint

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Speaker 1: John's at Providence. Awesome game college basketball. All right, three

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Speaker 1: bets for us as we try to continue with this

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Speaker 1: crazy heater. I know laying points in college basketball isn't

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Speaker 1: always the most intelligent thing, but we did it last night,

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Speaker 1: went three to Oho. Let's see what happens here as

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Speaker 1: we go again. Uva minus six, North Carolina minus eight

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Speaker 1: in Providence minus one, all for one point one units.

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Speaker 1: Mine's Matt Paroltz following me across all socials at Sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt each and every morning the Dilijuice Podcast I

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