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Speaker 1: l I n FanDuel Sports Book App. Sign up, Hi, Everybody,

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Speaker 1: It's Crime Cuts. The best of the Colin Coward Podcast.

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Speaker 1: Another great week. Matt Mosley covered the Cowboys for almost

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Speaker 1: twenty years. He blames DAK for the loss at Kansas City.

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Speaker 1: Marcus Thompson he was fantastic updates us on the Warriors resurgence,

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Speaker 1: the future of KD and he's got a fantastic new

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Speaker 1: NBA book out and Chad Milman NFL Week twelve Sharper Square.

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Speaker 1: But first, my top takes of the Week. The Giants

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Speaker 1: have fired Jason Garrett and the Giants have given Freddie

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Speaker 1: Kitchens the job as coordinator for Daniel Jones, and it

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Speaker 1: reminds me of something about the quarterback position. Years ago,

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Speaker 1: I went to a Sun Bowl. I worked for a

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Speaker 1: local affiliate in Portland, Oregon KGW, and I had to

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Speaker 1: cover an Oregon football game. I think they were playing

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Speaker 1: Minnesota Glenn Mason and the Golden Gophers, I believe, And

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Speaker 1: I went down to El Paso, which is on the

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Speaker 1: border next to Warez, and Warez is a pretty hard

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Speaker 1: scrabbled town, a lot of crime and you know, not

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Speaker 1: always the safest place in the world after dark. And

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Speaker 1: so I went to a restaurant one night and Al Paso,

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Speaker 1: it was on the border. And I remember going to

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Speaker 1: this restaurant and somebody who lived there said, I'm going

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Speaker 1: to take you. It's not the best part of town.

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Speaker 1: It's pretty rough, but it's got good food. And I

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Speaker 1: remember going for a drive and it was like an

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Speaker 1: industrial district and then we got to the restaurant and

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Speaker 1: it was it looked like a former tire center. The

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Speaker 1: servers were old. It was a family wasn't the fastest

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Speaker 1: serve us and it kind of smelled, especially in the bathrooms.

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Speaker 1: But I sat down with about four guys and it

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Speaker 1: was the best Mexican meal I'd ever had in my life.

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Speaker 1: I think we stayed there for two hours. And what

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Speaker 1: it made me think is if you get the food right,

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Speaker 1: nothing else matters. In restaurants. You can be a dive bar,

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Speaker 1: you can have dark lighting, slow, not the greatest part

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Speaker 1: of town. If the food's great, you'll go. I have

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Speaker 1: buddies that live in Detroit and Chicago and they go

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Speaker 1: to these dive burger places and they've taken me to them,

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Speaker 1: and you're like, this is it, and they're like, s

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Speaker 1: been here thirty two years? Why? They're like, you'll know

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Speaker 1: after you have dinner. You'll figure out why. It's the

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Speaker 1: same with quarterback. If you get the quarterback right, nothing

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Speaker 1: else matters. If you look in the NFL standings today

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Speaker 1: outside of the NFC South, where Brady is in first place,

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Speaker 1: and there really is no second great quarterback in division,

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Speaker 1: every other division the two best quarterbacks are in first

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Speaker 1: or second place. Josh Allen mac Jones, Ryan Tannehill, Carson Wentz,

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Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, Patrick Mahomes, Jeffin Herbert, go over

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Speaker 1: to the NFC, Dak and Jalen Hurts. Jalen Hurts right

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Speaker 1: now is the second best quarterback in that division. Kyler

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Speaker 1: Murray and Matt Stafford, Aaron Rodgers and Kirk Cousins say

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Speaker 1: what you want. Kirk's the second best quarterback in that division.

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Speaker 1: It doesn't matter. Get the quarterback right, nothing else matters.

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Speaker 1: And the Giants didn't get Daniel Jones right. He reminds

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Speaker 1: me of the quarterback Jake Locker out of Washington. Despite

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Speaker 1: having a quarterback as his head coach, Steve Sarkisian, he

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Speaker 1: couldn't complete fifty five percent of his throws in college.

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Speaker 1: He went eight to Tennessee and I called it. He's

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Speaker 1: a bust. Got to be able to make the throws.

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Speaker 1: Daniel Jones, despite having David Cutcliff a quarterback whisper at Duke,

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Speaker 1: he completed under sixty percent of his throws in a

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Speaker 1: bad conference. You can blame everybody with the Giants, but

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Speaker 1: if Daniel Jones was justin Herbert, everybody, including Jason Garrett,

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Speaker 1: would keep their job. When I watched Kirk Cousins play,

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Speaker 1: I always feel like he's you know, when they talk

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Speaker 1: about like a median home price in a community, that

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Speaker 1: means half the prices of the homes are higher than

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Speaker 1: that and half or lower. I feel like he's the

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Speaker 1: median quarterback in the NFL. If you're not as good

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Speaker 1: as Kirk, you have to draft another quarterback or acquire one.

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Speaker 1: To be a super Bowl team, you have to be

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Speaker 1: better than Kirk Cousins. But he is good enough. And

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Speaker 1: this really symbolizes the Vikings. They're good enough to beat anybody,

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Speaker 1: but not good enough to beat anybody by a large margin.

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Speaker 1: So their margins are so thin. That's why they're in

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Speaker 1: all these close games. And whenever you hear that term

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Speaker 1: the median house price, that's my way of describing Kirk Cousins.

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Speaker 1: I believe half the quarterbacks in the league are worse

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Speaker 1: half or better. Kirk Cousins now is four to three

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Speaker 1: and one against Aaron Rodgers. There's something there. On Minnesota.

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Speaker 1: I think Minnesota is going to make the playoffs. I

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Speaker 1: think they're going to win a playoff game. I think

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Speaker 1: Mike Zimmer's perhaps the most underritted coach in the league.

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Speaker 1: And I feel like the Vikings are the Cults of

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Speaker 1: the NC and I want to go talk about the

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Speaker 1: Colts because they hammered the Buffalo Bills, and I feel

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Speaker 1: the exact same way with the Colts. They can beat

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Speaker 1: virtually anybody in the league, but they're not special enough

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Speaker 1: to go up against the best teams generally and blow

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Speaker 1: them out. Now, Buffalo has no running game, and it worked.

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Speaker 1: But we spent a lot of time talking about the

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Speaker 1: Arizona Cardinals have gone out and after one year of

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Speaker 1: Josh Rosen, they moved off him right and they went

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Speaker 1: and got Kyler Murray and it's been Marty gros Remember

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Speaker 1: how much pushback the Colts got for Carson Wentz. Everybody's

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Speaker 1: hiding now when they went and spent that money on

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Speaker 1: Carson Wentz, the Colts Chris Ballard got dogged by people.

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Speaker 1: Are you all watching Carson Wentz? You take out the

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Speaker 1: two Tennessee games. He has been a pro bowlder. He

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Speaker 1: made a scramble play, he ducked under a Bill's pass

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Speaker 1: rush and ran at twenty five yards first down. They

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Speaker 1: eventually scored. We've got to be fair about this stuff.

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Speaker 1: When teams make big moves and it doesn't work, we

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Speaker 1: want the coach fired and the gm can the Carson

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Speaker 1: Wentz moved for the Colts has been an absolute home

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Speaker 1: run for them. You look at their remaining schedule, you

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Speaker 1: look at how they matched up physically with Buffalo. I

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Speaker 1: said it last week. The Colts and the Vikings to

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Speaker 1: me feel like playoff teams in the AFC and the NFC, respectively.

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Speaker 1: They wouldn't make it today, but they're getting really close.

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Speaker 1: Every profession requires a certain attitude or aptitude to be

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Speaker 1: really successful. For doctors, you can go to Harvard be

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Speaker 1: a brain surgeon, but if your bedside manner is terrible,

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Speaker 1: if you don't emotionally connect with patients in their families,

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Speaker 1: you're going to lose business. Patients are nervous, they want

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Speaker 1: somebody to comfort them, make them feel safe, and they

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Speaker 1: can care of make their families feel safe. That's why

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Speaker 1: for a doctor bedside manner, empathy and patience is incredibly important.

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Speaker 1: The doctors sued are not the worst doctors read freeconomics.

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Speaker 1: It's the doctors with the porous bedside manner. Navy seals.

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Speaker 1: You think it's about bravado encourage, but it's not. They

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Speaker 1: go on dangerous missions with a team of other men.

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Speaker 1: The bottom line is loaners do not work with the seals.

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Speaker 1: You need guys who are on teams in high school

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Speaker 1: or college. Can you trust them? Do they have your back?

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Speaker 1: It's not about Bravado encouraged. That's just an element to it.

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Speaker 1: The number one priority is team players, trustable teammates, and

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Speaker 1: dangerous crises. That's where I think Baker Mayfield fails. Quarterback

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Speaker 1: is very political. You have to be conciliatory. You have

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Speaker 1: to be a lubricator. Jay Cutler had great talent, but

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Speaker 1: he was an agitator. He was a loaner. He didn't

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Speaker 1: make people feel special. He was the opposite of political

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Speaker 1: Jim McMahon Baker Mayfield. That's Baker's issue. Brady's greatest asset.

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Speaker 1: He falls on the sword at a press conference. He

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Speaker 1: makes the young players feel included and the veterans at

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Speaker 1: the end of their career feel important. That's being quarterback.

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Speaker 1: You have to make Antonio Brown feel like he matters

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Speaker 1: because the rest of the league acts like he doesn't.

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Speaker 1: You have to make sure that Mike Evans feels like

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Speaker 1: a number one, but keep Chris Godwin as a number

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Speaker 1: two feeling like he could be a number one. On

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Speaker 1: certain Sundays. You have to elevate the offensive line. You

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Speaker 1: got to keep your tight ends happy. Brady's gift. Ask

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Speaker 1: any twenty year old or twenty one year old who's

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Speaker 1: ever gone to the Patriots. You ever noticed Tom Brady

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Speaker 1: comes up and introduces himself and says, Hi, I'm Tom Brady.

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Speaker 1: Why everybody knows his name? He wants to make the

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Speaker 1: young players feel they're on even footing. It's a team.

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Speaker 1: I'm not above you. Baker's got talent, so did Jim McMahon,

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Speaker 1: Soda Jay Cutler. I don't think Baker has the right

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Speaker 1: personality for the position, and it will ultimately be his undoing.

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Speaker 1: All right. Matt Moseley my Buddy Doomsday Podcast Forever, a

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Speaker 1: long time Cowboy writer for ESPN and now Fox Sports.

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Speaker 1: He watched the Cowboys game in Paris, which is a first.

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Speaker 1: So it sounds remarkably clear because we did a brief

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Speaker 1: test before you came on, Why are you in Paris? Well,

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Speaker 1: we had colin, what are you having tonight? By the way,

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Speaker 1: it looked like a shasta or something? Does it look

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Speaker 1: it was just a club soda, very bloods not as

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Speaker 1: fun as usual. We hit before the pandemic, like right

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Speaker 1: when it was hitting that March, when we were sort

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Speaker 1: of understanding and accepting this was about a year and

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Speaker 1: a half of so ago. We were within days of

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Speaker 1: leaving on this long plan trip with my in laws

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Speaker 1: and my daughter and wife, and this was when it

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Speaker 1: got rescheduled, and I didn't have a lot of say

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Speaker 1: in it. Probably a week in which the Cowboys pay

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Speaker 1: two games, like in five or six days. Not the

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Speaker 1: greatest timing, but Paris is beautiful any time of the year,

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Speaker 1: Colin and a lot of big a lot of NFL

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Speaker 1: fans over here, so it's worked out. It's worked out

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Speaker 1: nicely for me. I've had a lot of help here

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Speaker 1: at the hotel. I mean the shadows of the Eiffel

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Speaker 1: Tower as we speak. And Mow, the night manager, has

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Speaker 1: been just incredible and has helped put me in. He

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Speaker 1: got me on a laptop watching the game, and then

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Speaker 1: at one point I was he actually had me on

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Speaker 1: his phone, but I was able to watch the whole

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Speaker 1: thing and what a what a pitiful performance it was

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Speaker 1: by the Cowboys. Listen, it didn't have Randy Gregory, DeMarcus,

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Speaker 1: Lawrence Amari Cooper, Tyron Smith, Ceedee Lamb got hurt after

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Speaker 1: the first half. You know, I'm not trying to create excuses,

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Speaker 1: but you watched Chris Jones dismantled the offensive line, and

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Speaker 1: I think to myself, well, if the Cowboys have DeMarcus

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Speaker 1: Lawrence and Randy Gregory, Patrick Mahomes who didn't have a

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Speaker 1: great date, he's probably under the same dressed dak Is.

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Speaker 1: To me, the game was Chris Jones wrecked the Cowboys front.

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Speaker 1: That was the name to me. Yeah, he's a monster,

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Speaker 1: and since he's been able to sort of move inside,

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Speaker 1: I thought the interior of the Cowboys offensive line. I mean, Colin,

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Speaker 1: when do you see Zach Martin give up a sack?

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Speaker 1: It happens like maybe once a year. It happened in

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Speaker 1: this game. They he did. He had a great Every

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Speaker 1: few years, one player almost makes a career against the Cowboys. Now,

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Speaker 1: this is a good player. So I don't want to

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Speaker 1: act like this is that his coming out party, but

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Speaker 1: he did. You're right, he took over. But I guess

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Speaker 1: the part I'm not ready to dismiss because of injuries

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Speaker 1: is this quarterback who we've all celebrated and I wrote

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Speaker 1: a whole column on Fox Sports about oh my gosh,

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Speaker 1: what a measuring stick game against the great Mahomes. Mahomes

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Speaker 1: has all the skins on the wall. Mahomes didn't need this.

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Speaker 1: Mahomes has already accomplished pretty much everything, and he's kind

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Speaker 1: of got it rolling again. This was a great opportunity

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Speaker 1: for Dak. And while we can blame some of the

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Speaker 1: issue on the offensive line, he wasn't sharp and he

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Speaker 1: was missing on throws. And even when he hit throws,

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Speaker 1: like Cedric Wilson, would have to go to the ground

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Speaker 1: to make a play down there. And when they got

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Speaker 1: anywhere near the goal line or in the red zone,

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Speaker 1: they couldn't function. So I did I thought, I thought

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Speaker 1: the quarterback played poorly here. Yeah, I mean, Zach's never

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Speaker 1: been an elegant, easy thrower. And when you rush Zach

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Speaker 1: and he doesn't have a Mauri Cooper his best technician,

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Speaker 1: it's pretty obvious he's marginal. It's it's I always said this.

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Speaker 1: There are guys in this league, Derek Carr, Kirk Cousins,

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Speaker 1: Dak when you pressure them, Jared Goff significantly, when you

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Speaker 1: pressure them, they dip far more than Mahomes pressured, or

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Speaker 1: Rogers pressure, or Kyler Murray pressure and you know, I thought,

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Speaker 1: but when Dak can't set his feet, he's just not

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Speaker 1: a beautiful arm talent. Is that fair? I think that

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Speaker 1: I think that is fair. Um. I just love hearing

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Speaker 1: you describe beautiful arm talent. I mean, I'm getting ready

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Speaker 1: to go to Louver tomorrow and it makes me think

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Speaker 1: of that some of the things I'll see. Um, I

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Speaker 1: do think he needs to get set. I think it's

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Speaker 1: unfair probably and not a great comparison for him when

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Speaker 1: we try to go Okay, let's look at him next

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Speaker 1: to Maholmes, because the guy makes a living off those

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Speaker 1: sort of off schedule and off ballance throws. And I

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Speaker 1: think you're right to say that Dak needs to be

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Speaker 1: in a rhythm and have sort of everything under him

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Speaker 1: in his face that as being on the run. He

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Speaker 1: can't make some nice throws. But I think, what's what's

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Speaker 1: weird about Dak and he needs to get to this

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Speaker 1: point he if he's in a poor rhythm, which he

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Speaker 1: was in the first half, you sort of expect he's

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Speaker 1: a good enough player. We think of him maybe as

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Speaker 1: a top five type quarterback that he's gonna at some

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Speaker 1: point get you. He's gonna get going and he really didn't.

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Speaker 1: And late in that game he was still you know,

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Speaker 1: he made a few throws late, but late in that game,

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Speaker 1: I was looking and he had thrown him for like

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Speaker 1: one hundred and thirty six yards. You know that's that's

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Speaker 1: that's like a Jalen Hurts performance. And I know that's

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Speaker 1: unfair because Jalen's actually playing fairly well. But like today,

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Speaker 1: the Eagles won and I noticed Jalen hurt said about

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Speaker 1: one hundred and forty yards. He played fine, but the

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Speaker 1: Eagles won for a lot of different reasons. They ran

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Speaker 1: the ball, the defense, all that kind of thing. Dak

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Speaker 1: needs to be better than that. Okay, he's if we

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Speaker 1: are going to judge him as an elite player. I

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Speaker 1: just don't think he can keep having I mean, this

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Speaker 1: is two of these performances in the past three weeks,

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Speaker 1: So I don't know if we want to blame it

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Speaker 1: on some kind of lingering injury issue. His basses aren't right,

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Speaker 1: I'm not sure. I'm just saying I have a tendency

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Speaker 1: when he plays like this to not immediately go well,

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Speaker 1: he just didn't have a Maori or CD got hurt.

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Speaker 1: I just don't think he was right today, even before

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Speaker 1: to five three four two, Arizona. Marcus Thompson for The Athletic.

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Speaker 1: A Bay Area columnist. He's written the books Golden, The

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Speaker 1: Miraculous Rise of Steph Curry, KD Kevin Duranch, Relentless Pursuit

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Speaker 1: to be the Greatest. His latest book is Dynasties, The

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Speaker 1: Ten Goat Teams that Change the NBA Forever. I haven't

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Speaker 1: read that yet. I'll get to that in a second.

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Speaker 1: We got to start with this. There was a sense,

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Speaker 1: I mean, my sense from outside of the Warriors was okay,

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Speaker 1: Steph is healthy, Clay will come back, Draymond Draymond's getting older,

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Speaker 1: KD is gone, Jordan Pool appears to be interesting, fourth

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Speaker 1: or fifth seed, kind of two young draft picks not

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Speaker 1: ready to play. Wiseman's not available. So I thought, you know,

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Speaker 1: they'll get back into the playoffs. And all of a sudden,

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Speaker 1: you watch about twenty games and you're like, hell, this

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Speaker 1: is the deepest best team in the league. So but

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Speaker 1: I'm an outsider, You're not. Has their success caught you

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Speaker 1: a little off guard? Oh? Hell yeah? I mean I

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Speaker 1: thought I was being randical by predicting a three seed.

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Speaker 1: I like, you watch, you watch it into the top three.

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Speaker 1: But I thought with Clay, right, you at Clay, Wiseman

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Speaker 1: looks better. Man, this team could be scary. They could

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Speaker 1: be a three seed. Otherwise I'm like, Steph, get you,

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Speaker 1: Steph gets you into the mix for four or five. Right,

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Speaker 1: That's what I thought. I'm looking at a team that's

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Speaker 1: not just fifteen to two. They're blowing the doors on

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Speaker 1: teams like it is crazy. It's just not that they're winning,

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Speaker 1: it's how they're doing it. They're winning with defense and rebounding,

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Speaker 1: which is it's nuts. They gave up defensive players. They

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Speaker 1: went got shooting. They added the Eliza and Otto Porter

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Speaker 1: who's like seventy four. It looks like Wilt Chamberlain and

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Speaker 1: moves like him too, But somehow he's rebounded and playing defense.

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Speaker 1: Like I don't understand his team. I've been saying for

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Speaker 1: the longest time, you know, chill college. Everybody's like this

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Speaker 1: feels like twenty fifteen, sixteen, it's seventy three. And now

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Speaker 1: I'm like, yo, relaxed, I was there for that. This

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Speaker 1: is not this. But I'm telling you every game I'm like,

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Speaker 1: hold on, hold on, I'm feeling like the idiot, what

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Speaker 1: Clay will we get? What are you here? And what

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Speaker 1: do you see? Super hungry, Like you know Clay has

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Speaker 1: been he's eager, he's on the sidelines. He looks really good.

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Speaker 1: I think they're at the point now where it's like

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Speaker 1: conditioning and just caution. He hasn't played for two years.

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Speaker 1: Don't know what's gonna happen when he goes full Toronto, right,

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Speaker 1: he could go full Toronto and you know you can

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Speaker 1: have soordness and tightness and swelling. Who knows, but man,

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Speaker 1: when you watch him, he looks pretty good. He'll be

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Speaker 1: able to do this one thing, right, this one thing

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Speaker 1: he'll probably be able to do until he's eighty. He'll

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Speaker 1: be able to stand at the spot behind the three

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Speaker 1: point line and he'll be able to hit that shot, like,

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Speaker 1: no matter what, he will be able to do that.

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Speaker 1: And if they're this good with Namania be Eliza, right,

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Speaker 1: if they're doing this with Gary Payton a second, what

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Speaker 1: do they do when it's Clay? Now, who's gonna hit

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Speaker 1: fifty six percent of those corner threes? So they don't

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Speaker 1: even need that much of them. Kline, that's the crazy part,

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Speaker 1: Like they don't need that much of them, But I

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Speaker 1: think you'll get about an eighty eighty five percent Clay.

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Speaker 1: I want to touch on Kevin Durant so I am

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Speaker 1: not a rear view mirror participant in this. I thought

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Speaker 1: leaving Steph for Kyrie Irving was an egregiously bad decision.

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Speaker 1: I thinks to one right, Well, I think Steph's maybe

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Speaker 1: the greatest super star teammate in the history of team sports.

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Speaker 1: Brady's probably first or second, and Steph selfless team guys,

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Speaker 1: would take pay cuts, give up shots, it's all about winning.

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Speaker 1: And he's also mature, married, charities kids. I mean, Steph's

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Speaker 1: a real adult. Kyrie's a mega talent, but is a

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Speaker 1: different cat. And I mean, now, I really about three

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Speaker 1: weeks ago, maybe it was a month ago, Kevin Durant

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Speaker 1: was asked about Kyrie and he said, I haven't talked

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Speaker 1: to him, And I'm like, oh, bro, not only haven't

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Speaker 1: you talked to him, you admitted it to the press.

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Speaker 1: So that's a message, like you're sending it out there

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Speaker 1: like I'm done with him. I don't you know, Katie,

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Speaker 1: I don't think he retires as a Brooklyn Net. What

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Speaker 1: do you think twelve months to twenty four months, you

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Speaker 1: could think he's gonna sit there in that situation with

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Speaker 1: marginal ownership front office. Where do you think his future lies.

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Speaker 1: I think a lot of that depends on if he

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Speaker 1: can win a championship. I really do that. I was

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Speaker 1: there for that scene when the Warriors are there and

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Speaker 1: in his hometown, their chain MVP for Steph, right, Like,

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Speaker 1: were there the Warriors fans? Oh yeah, Warriors fans literally

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Speaker 1: took over the arena. It was It was one of

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Speaker 1: the wild scenes I've seen in the last five years

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Speaker 1: where Steph touches the ball and the crowd is rising

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Speaker 1: to his feet, like begging him to do something great.

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Speaker 1: It was. It was wild, and it definitely crystallized his choice,

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Speaker 1: not not just necessarily to leave the Warriors, but to

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Speaker 1: choose Brooklyn like a secondary franchise and you know, thinking

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Speaker 1: he could lift it. But I do think if he

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Speaker 1: wins a championship, especially without Kyrie, it kind of submits

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Speaker 1: him as the guy who people said he wasn't and

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Speaker 1: at that point, I think that changes the stakes. Right

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Speaker 1: to me, he's in the situation. He's in an ideal

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Speaker 1: situation for him. He left because he wanted his own thing,

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Speaker 1: and now he's got it and there's no dispute about

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00:23:59,560 --> 00:24:02,359
Speaker 1: who's team it is. So if they win a championship,

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Speaker 1: which we learned last year, he could do like he

398
00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:08,600
Speaker 1: doesn't need much around him. It was like Bruce Brown

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Speaker 1: and Blake Griffin and he almost beat Milwaukee right which

400
00:24:12,800 --> 00:24:15,040
Speaker 1: might have been the championship. But if he could win

401
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Speaker 1: a title, I think it changes everything. I don't know

402
00:24:18,560 --> 00:24:22,639
Speaker 1: if Brooklyn ever becomes this fortress of love, you know,

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Speaker 1: of reverence, you know, because his game deserves it. But

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00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:29,719
Speaker 1: I just don't it's gonna be tough to turn Brooklyn

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Speaker 1: into that, Like in the shadow of the Knicks, and

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Speaker 1: I think I think Kevin Durant deserves that, so does

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Speaker 1: he go looking for it? I think if he gets

408
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Speaker 1: a championship and now he's free, But I don't know

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Speaker 1: if he could leave again without a title. I don't

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Speaker 1: think you would do that. Well. I was talking to

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Speaker 1: somebody about two years ago before he left Golden State,

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Speaker 1: and they said, trust me, Katie's a wanderer. It's just

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Speaker 1: his personality. He's a wanderer. When you look back at

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Speaker 1: the time and you covered him and you were pretty

415
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Speaker 1: spot on with everything, can it be said that you

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Speaker 1: were still a little shocked he left by the end? No,

417
00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:06,320
Speaker 1: but yeah, when you just kind of stepped back and

418
00:25:06,440 --> 00:25:09,040
Speaker 1: be like, wow, you really he really left this Like

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00:25:09,200 --> 00:25:12,320
Speaker 1: that's that's jarring. But by the end it was clear

420
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Speaker 1: like he was gonna go to to everybody who was

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Speaker 1: around here. Everybody knew what was up. You know, the

422
00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:21,960
Speaker 1: team knew what was up. But in hindsight, because of

423
00:25:22,040 --> 00:25:24,720
Speaker 1: who Katie is, because of what he appreciates, what he likes,

424
00:25:25,280 --> 00:25:27,840
Speaker 1: it was jarring. And it made a lot of sense

425
00:25:27,960 --> 00:25:30,280
Speaker 1: though that he went to go play with his friend.

426
00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:32,520
Speaker 1: To me, that always made sense, Like him and Kyrie

427
00:25:32,560 --> 00:25:35,040
Speaker 1: of friends. He went to play with his friend. That

428
00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:37,960
Speaker 1: stuff matters to him, so it is a little interesting

429
00:25:38,000 --> 00:25:41,280
Speaker 1: now to see him playing without his friend. Right, But

430
00:25:41,600 --> 00:25:45,680
Speaker 1: it was no. I think Kevin Durant is constantly in

431
00:25:45,800 --> 00:25:49,040
Speaker 1: search of a challenge, constantly of a challenge, and I

432
00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:51,480
Speaker 1: think it wasn't challenging anymore of the Warrior, So it

433
00:25:51,560 --> 00:25:53,840
Speaker 1: didn't it didn't surprise me that he left in that sense.

434
00:25:57,480 --> 00:25:59,640
Speaker 1: All right. I bring in my buddy, Chad Milman, Chief

435
00:26:00,320 --> 00:26:04,040
Speaker 1: Officer Action Network. I had another winning week. My Blazing

436
00:26:04,119 --> 00:26:06,600
Speaker 1: five went three and two, took a lot of dogs.

437
00:26:07,080 --> 00:26:10,920
Speaker 1: I find myself this week once again enticed by dogs.

438
00:26:11,640 --> 00:26:13,399
Speaker 1: And my theory is it took me about eight to

439
00:26:13,480 --> 00:26:15,520
Speaker 1: nine weeks to figure this out, but I think the

440
00:26:15,640 --> 00:26:18,040
Speaker 1: top and the bottom of the league are small, and

441
00:26:18,200 --> 00:26:20,760
Speaker 1: I think there's about thirteen to fifteen teams that are

442
00:26:20,840 --> 00:26:26,040
Speaker 1: all based on who's healthier can beat each other all year.

443
00:26:26,200 --> 00:26:29,239
Speaker 1: Packers Vikings a great example. I think Green Bay's as

444
00:26:29,240 --> 00:26:31,680
Speaker 1: good as anybody in this league. The Vikings maybe the

445
00:26:31,760 --> 00:26:34,399
Speaker 1: twelfth best team. But you're at home, you're healthier, and

446
00:26:34,560 --> 00:26:36,440
Speaker 1: you can beat them. So let me start with this.

447
00:26:39,359 --> 00:26:41,440
Speaker 1: One of the games I really like this week Rams

448
00:26:41,480 --> 00:26:44,280
Speaker 1: plus one and a half at Green Bay. So, first

449
00:26:44,280 --> 00:26:47,080
Speaker 1: of all, the fact that the Packers were able to

450
00:26:47,160 --> 00:26:50,640
Speaker 1: beat Arizona missing eleven starters and compete with Minnesota when

451
00:26:50,680 --> 00:26:54,680
Speaker 1: they're tight ends out for the year. Aaron Jones is out,

452
00:26:54,720 --> 00:26:57,679
Speaker 1: their number three receiver, their left tackle, they lost their

453
00:26:57,720 --> 00:27:01,639
Speaker 1: center in the offseason, their best corner, best linebacker, and

454
00:27:01,760 --> 00:27:05,160
Speaker 1: now I get Sean McVay, who's never lost leading at half.

455
00:27:05,760 --> 00:27:09,400
Speaker 1: With ten days seven days of extra practice with OBJ,

456
00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:11,639
Speaker 1: I've been told they're going to use a lot of

457
00:27:11,720 --> 00:27:15,199
Speaker 1: stuff beyond eleven personnel. They're going to catch the Packers

458
00:27:15,240 --> 00:27:18,800
Speaker 1: a little off guard. Aaron Rodgers isn't healthy. I like

459
00:27:18,960 --> 00:27:22,200
Speaker 1: the Rams plus one and a half sharper square. The

460
00:27:22,400 --> 00:27:27,200
Speaker 1: Rams were the sharp side because this line opened at

461
00:27:27,359 --> 00:27:31,520
Speaker 1: three and it is moved to Rams minus one, which

462
00:27:31,600 --> 00:27:34,000
Speaker 1: tells you everything you need to know about how this

463
00:27:34,160 --> 00:27:37,440
Speaker 1: game started. The one thing I am thinking about, and

464
00:27:37,520 --> 00:27:39,280
Speaker 1: we've talked about this last week. I remember we talked

465
00:27:39,280 --> 00:27:43,120
Speaker 1: about the syndicate last week. I am wary that there

466
00:27:43,280 --> 00:27:46,600
Speaker 1: is a syndicate out there that is betting down the

467
00:27:46,800 --> 00:27:50,639
Speaker 1: Rams because they do believe that that is where the

468
00:27:50,840 --> 00:27:54,120
Speaker 1: public is ultimately going to want to bet, and they're

469
00:27:54,160 --> 00:27:56,159
Speaker 1: going to want to get a better number on the Packers.

470
00:27:56,480 --> 00:27:59,880
Speaker 1: So I'm a little bit skeptical that the sharp move

471
00:28:00,240 --> 00:28:02,440
Speaker 1: is really a sharp movement in favor of the Rams

472
00:28:02,560 --> 00:28:06,280
Speaker 1: versus just wanting to get the Packers at home closer

473
00:28:06,359 --> 00:28:12,159
Speaker 1: to pick? Who do you like? If it's a closer

474
00:28:12,200 --> 00:28:13,920
Speaker 1: to pick. If it's Packers minus one, then I like

475
00:28:14,000 --> 00:28:20,200
Speaker 1: the Packers all right, fair enough? I like Washington plus

476
00:28:20,320 --> 00:28:26,320
Speaker 1: two at home against Seattle. Sometimes people don't want to

477
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:30,600
Speaker 1: admit things, but they're just true. And Seattle needs to

478
00:28:30,640 --> 00:28:33,520
Speaker 1: be in a rebuild. It's a bad secondary, it's a

479
00:28:33,560 --> 00:28:37,440
Speaker 1: battle line, it's a marginal running back crew. They're not

480
00:28:37,600 --> 00:28:42,200
Speaker 1: dynamic at tight end. Seattle is not good and they're

481
00:28:42,240 --> 00:28:44,480
Speaker 1: the fourth place team in their division for a reason.

482
00:28:44,800 --> 00:28:48,440
Speaker 1: They have an outdated head coach. They've whipped on several

483
00:28:48,520 --> 00:28:51,120
Speaker 1: draft picks. They can't get a first round draft pick right,

484
00:28:51,400 --> 00:28:54,080
Speaker 1: and they gave up too much for Jamal Adams. We

485
00:28:54,200 --> 00:28:57,280
Speaker 1: are viewing Seattle off ten eleven twelve win seasons as

486
00:28:57,280 --> 00:29:00,560
Speaker 1: an elite team. They have to blow this up. They

487
00:29:00,600 --> 00:29:05,200
Speaker 1: should trade Bobby Wagner, maybe move Dwayne Brown. Washington at

488
00:29:05,240 --> 00:29:08,080
Speaker 1: home getting points to me is the sharp side Sharper

489
00:29:08,120 --> 00:29:11,640
Speaker 1: square sharp side one hundred percent. The wise guys are

490
00:29:11,840 --> 00:29:15,000
Speaker 1: absolutely with you. This has been actually a pretty aggressive

491
00:29:15,160 --> 00:29:19,400
Speaker 1: move from the professionals. In the first forty eight hours

492
00:29:19,800 --> 00:29:23,360
Speaker 1: since the line was posted, started at Seattle minus two

493
00:29:23,360 --> 00:29:27,400
Speaker 1: and a half. Now you actually there are some places

494
00:29:27,880 --> 00:29:32,320
Speaker 1: where you can get Seattle plus one. All the money

495
00:29:32,600 --> 00:29:35,440
Speaker 1: has been coming in on the Washington football team, and

496
00:29:35,560 --> 00:29:37,360
Speaker 1: a lot of times you will not see this kind

497
00:29:37,400 --> 00:29:39,320
Speaker 1: of move. You won't see this kind of reaction from

498
00:29:39,320 --> 00:29:42,360
Speaker 1: professional betters in which they are betting a team like

499
00:29:42,440 --> 00:29:45,719
Speaker 1: the Washington football team that had to win as an

500
00:29:45,840 --> 00:29:51,200
Speaker 1: underdog against a team that had just lost in Seattle.

501
00:29:51,280 --> 00:29:54,760
Speaker 1: It's a natural spot to fade the Washington football team.

502
00:29:55,000 --> 00:29:57,040
Speaker 1: Fade what you think is going to be the overreaction,

503
00:29:57,160 --> 00:29:59,800
Speaker 1: But the truth is everything you just said, you're seeing

504
00:29:59,840 --> 00:30:02,280
Speaker 1: a team in Washington that is starting to play better.

505
00:30:02,320 --> 00:30:04,160
Speaker 1: You know, Taylor Heineke, there was a story about a

506
00:30:04,280 --> 00:30:08,920
Speaker 1: month ago where the Washington football team was looking like

507
00:30:09,000 --> 00:30:11,880
Speaker 1: they were struggling, and the coaches and Taylor Heineke sat

508
00:30:11,920 --> 00:30:13,880
Speaker 1: down and they basically said, you're not playing like you

509
00:30:14,360 --> 00:30:17,200
Speaker 1: You're playing too conservative. You're plan like you're trying to

510
00:30:17,280 --> 00:30:20,160
Speaker 1: control a game, your plan, like you're afraid to lose

511
00:30:20,200 --> 00:30:22,080
Speaker 1: a game instead of winning the game. And since then

512
00:30:22,480 --> 00:30:24,640
Speaker 1: he's been much more aggressive. He's been playing more like

513
00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:27,640
Speaker 1: a backyard type of ball player that he is. The

514
00:30:27,720 --> 00:30:30,800
Speaker 1: team has overall been playing better. The defense, the front line,

515
00:30:30,920 --> 00:30:33,200
Speaker 1: even at the front four, even without Chase Young, has

516
00:30:33,240 --> 00:30:37,960
Speaker 1: been playing better. But really this is about Seattle Russ.

517
00:30:38,160 --> 00:30:41,160
Speaker 1: He just doesn't look right. The ball is in as sharp,

518
00:30:41,560 --> 00:30:44,600
Speaker 1: the passes are falling at receiver's feet. This is as

519
00:30:44,680 --> 00:30:46,440
Speaker 1: much about what's happening on the field than it is

520
00:30:46,440 --> 00:30:50,760
Speaker 1: about sort of the numbers the bookmakers are posting. The

521
00:30:50,880 --> 00:30:53,720
Speaker 1: other game I like is Broncos plus one and a

522
00:30:53,800 --> 00:30:58,840
Speaker 1: half at home against the Chargers. So what we're seeing

523
00:30:58,920 --> 00:31:03,000
Speaker 1: with the Chargers over the last two years is a

524
00:31:03,120 --> 00:31:06,280
Speaker 1: quarterback that's Andrew Luck but not as reckless, who is

525
00:31:06,360 --> 00:31:09,880
Speaker 1: overcoming last year a really bad old line and this

526
00:31:10,120 --> 00:31:14,520
Speaker 1: year regrettable special teams and a soft rushing defense. Is

527
00:31:14,600 --> 00:31:18,480
Speaker 1: that we have to be honest about what the Chargers are.

528
00:31:19,520 --> 00:31:22,480
Speaker 1: They're a pretty average team with a rookie coach, with

529
00:31:22,640 --> 00:31:25,960
Speaker 1: a stupendous left tackle and quarterback in some nice weapons,

530
00:31:26,680 --> 00:31:31,520
Speaker 1: but I think Denver's got a better overall roster altitude

531
00:31:31,920 --> 00:31:35,600
Speaker 1: at home getting points. This is the play for me,

532
00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:38,040
Speaker 1: one of my favorite of the week. Sharper Square, I

533
00:31:38,080 --> 00:31:42,120
Speaker 1: like the Broncos. This is how sharp you're getting. This

534
00:31:42,360 --> 00:31:45,920
Speaker 1: is the Wise guys favorite play of the week. To

535
00:31:46,040 --> 00:31:49,040
Speaker 1: the point where Simon Hunter, who's the professional better I

536
00:31:49,120 --> 00:31:52,320
Speaker 1: co host the Favorites with He told me in the

537
00:31:52,400 --> 00:31:55,719
Speaker 1: podcast we recorded today his phone was blown up at

538
00:31:55,720 --> 00:31:58,000
Speaker 1: two o'clock in the morning when lines were first starting

539
00:31:58,040 --> 00:32:02,160
Speaker 1: to come out East time. Are you betting the Broncos

540
00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:03,800
Speaker 1: plus two and a half? Are you betting the Broncos

541
00:32:03,840 --> 00:32:05,720
Speaker 1: plus two and a half? Like he was worried that

542
00:32:05,760 --> 00:32:08,800
Speaker 1: he wasn't going to get there in time. And it's

543
00:32:08,840 --> 00:32:11,240
Speaker 1: not just because you know, the Wise Guys tend to

544
00:32:11,360 --> 00:32:15,080
Speaker 1: like short home dogs in these divisional matchups. It's really

545
00:32:15,160 --> 00:32:17,959
Speaker 1: because they've been doing what you just described as fading

546
00:32:18,000 --> 00:32:21,000
Speaker 1: the Chargers for the past couple of weeks. They realized,

547
00:32:21,080 --> 00:32:23,920
Speaker 1: and we've talked about this, that Ravens game that the

548
00:32:24,040 --> 00:32:27,000
Speaker 1: Chargers had that was a telltale sign, and that was

549
00:32:27,040 --> 00:32:29,560
Speaker 1: a game in which the Wise Guys came in hard

550
00:32:29,840 --> 00:32:31,880
Speaker 1: on the Ravens. And the reason why I go back

551
00:32:32,440 --> 00:32:34,440
Speaker 1: a few weeks for a lot of these games. Whenever

552
00:32:34,520 --> 00:32:37,680
Speaker 1: we talk about these games is because there are pivot

553
00:32:37,760 --> 00:32:41,280
Speaker 1: points in a season where wise guys tend to understand, Okay,

554
00:32:41,680 --> 00:32:43,640
Speaker 1: this is the line of demarcation. This is when we

555
00:32:43,720 --> 00:32:46,600
Speaker 1: truly understand what is true about this team and what

556
00:32:46,760 --> 00:32:49,959
Speaker 1: has been sort of the fad that they've been riding,

557
00:32:50,080 --> 00:32:53,120
Speaker 1: and there's going to be their regression. Going into that game,

558
00:32:53,360 --> 00:32:55,680
Speaker 1: the Chargers were nearly perfect in third and fourth down

559
00:32:55,720 --> 00:32:58,080
Speaker 1: conversions and that's how they were winning those games. That's

560
00:32:58,120 --> 00:33:00,360
Speaker 1: what made Justin Herbert look like a world beater, That's

561
00:33:00,400 --> 00:33:03,280
Speaker 1: what made Brandon Staley look so smart. In that game,

562
00:33:03,680 --> 00:33:05,840
Speaker 1: they crash back down to Earth in the third and

563
00:33:05,920 --> 00:33:09,080
Speaker 1: fourth dout conversions and then nothing has changed since then.

564
00:33:09,120 --> 00:33:12,040
Speaker 1: They're the same team that is struggling in those scenarios

565
00:33:12,160 --> 00:33:15,160
Speaker 1: and the mediocrity of the roster is catching up to them.

566
00:33:15,280 --> 00:33:18,000
Speaker 1: We saw all that happen in their late game collapse

567
00:33:18,120 --> 00:33:19,760
Speaker 1: in that game with the Steelers, which we both had

568
00:33:19,800 --> 00:33:22,920
Speaker 1: the Steelers plut six, but also their weakness plays to

569
00:33:23,000 --> 00:33:24,840
Speaker 1: the strength of the Broncos. You mentioned their roster, their

570
00:33:24,920 --> 00:33:27,880
Speaker 1: Running game two headed monster. In the Running Game it's

571
00:33:27,960 --> 00:33:30,600
Speaker 1: really good. The past three weeks, it's averaged one hundred

572
00:33:30,680 --> 00:33:34,200
Speaker 1: and twenty rushing yards per game. They call a lot

573
00:33:34,240 --> 00:33:37,280
Speaker 1: of play action that doesn't play, that plays well against

574
00:33:37,320 --> 00:33:41,040
Speaker 1: the Chargers secondary, and mostly like Teddy Bridgewater, gets the

575
00:33:41,080 --> 00:33:44,040
Speaker 1: ball out fast, gets it out accurate. The one thing

576
00:33:44,200 --> 00:33:48,200
Speaker 1: the Chargers have a strength is Joey Bosa. That ha's

577
00:33:48,280 --> 00:33:51,000
Speaker 1: mitigated if you've got Teddy Bridgewater, who can get rid

578
00:33:51,040 --> 00:33:59,960
Speaker 1: of the ball so quickly. At The Volume Sports YouTube channel, Twitter, Instagram,

579
00:34:00,000 --> 00:34:25,040
Speaker 1: am rate Review, Subscribe, we'll talk soon. The Volume