1 00:00:02,400 --> 00:00:06,800 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:07,000 --> 00:00:09,400 Speaker 2: And now we are joined by Galaxy Digital founder and 3 00:00:09,480 --> 00:00:13,080 Speaker 2: CEO Mike Novogratz, and let's just start with the simple things. 4 00:00:13,119 --> 00:00:15,720 Speaker 2: Let's start with bitcoin in the crypto world, because we're 5 00:00:15,760 --> 00:00:19,239 Speaker 2: flirting with that seventy thousand dollars level and you sit here, 6 00:00:19,280 --> 00:00:22,000 Speaker 2: we have been around this space for a while. Now, 7 00:00:22,320 --> 00:00:24,680 Speaker 2: is there more upside risk or downside risk as you 8 00:00:24,720 --> 00:00:25,680 Speaker 2: see it now in the crypto world? 9 00:00:25,840 --> 00:00:27,880 Speaker 3: Listen, I think we're getting skewed to the upside. I 10 00:00:27,880 --> 00:00:30,400 Speaker 3: mean just the fact that we're here at a crypto 11 00:00:30,560 --> 00:00:37,200 Speaker 3: show and Bloomberg shows how long we've come since twenty fifteen, 12 00:00:37,280 --> 00:00:38,360 Speaker 3: sixteen seventeen. 13 00:00:38,720 --> 00:00:40,440 Speaker 1: But we kind of got to the finish line. 14 00:00:40,479 --> 00:00:44,239 Speaker 3: And when I say that DC has finally agreed in 15 00:00:44,400 --> 00:00:49,400 Speaker 3: principle that crypto legislation has to happen, that it should 16 00:00:49,440 --> 00:00:53,000 Speaker 3: be bipartisan, we still have a couple holdouts, but it's 17 00:00:53,240 --> 00:00:56,680 Speaker 3: the last few weeks have been unbelievably positive in pushing 18 00:00:56,680 --> 00:00:59,120 Speaker 3: the Democrats forward. Seeing this, they don't want it to 19 00:00:59,160 --> 00:01:02,560 Speaker 3: be a political issue, and so that which was a 20 00:01:02,560 --> 00:01:04,959 Speaker 3: headwind is becoming a tailwind. It's not a full tail 21 00:01:04,959 --> 00:01:09,840 Speaker 3: win yet, we have governments that can't stop spending money, 22 00:01:09,840 --> 00:01:12,680 Speaker 3: and so that just is so powerful for the bitcoin narrative. 23 00:01:13,160 --> 00:01:15,240 Speaker 3: And then all of a sudden, you hear, wait a minute, 24 00:01:15,280 --> 00:01:16,640 Speaker 3: the state of was constant's pension. 25 00:01:16,400 --> 00:01:18,320 Speaker 1: Fun about one hundred and forty million dollars a bitcoin. 26 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:22,320 Speaker 3: And so as we get more pension funds in more institutions, 27 00:01:22,400 --> 00:01:24,640 Speaker 3: and you know, there's not a lot of sellers. 28 00:01:25,200 --> 00:01:26,959 Speaker 2: So the question we know you hate, then where do 29 00:01:26,959 --> 00:01:27,560 Speaker 2: we end the year. 30 00:01:28,319 --> 00:01:30,480 Speaker 3: Listen, if we take out the seventy three thousand in 31 00:01:30,560 --> 00:01:32,040 Speaker 3: the next week or so, we're going to end the 32 00:01:32,120 --> 00:01:34,000 Speaker 3: year on one hundred thousand somewhere around there. 33 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:34,920 Speaker 1: We're even hire. 34 00:01:35,520 --> 00:01:38,920 Speaker 3: Markets work, they create ranges, and when the ranges, the 35 00:01:38,959 --> 00:01:40,960 Speaker 3: top of the range breaks, you know you have a 36 00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:43,959 Speaker 3: nice extension. And so you know at the bottom of 37 00:01:43,959 --> 00:01:46,880 Speaker 3: that range was started around forty, so forty to seventy. 38 00:01:46,920 --> 00:01:49,160 Speaker 3: This seventy goes to one hundred, and so that's a 39 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:50,000 Speaker 3: good enough target. 40 00:01:50,240 --> 00:01:52,720 Speaker 4: Okay, we saw a spot bitcoin etf sorry to get 41 00:01:52,720 --> 00:01:54,400 Speaker 4: approved this year, and we've seen a lot. 42 00:01:54,360 --> 00:01:55,320 Speaker 1: Of inflows there. 43 00:01:55,640 --> 00:01:57,760 Speaker 4: So it makes me wonder what the next catalyst is 44 00:01:57,760 --> 00:02:00,280 Speaker 4: for bitcoin to actually break seventy three and get to 45 00:02:00,320 --> 00:02:01,840 Speaker 4: hear your in target of one hundred thousand. 46 00:02:01,960 --> 00:02:02,160 Speaker 1: Yeah. 47 00:02:02,200 --> 00:02:05,640 Speaker 3: So I had had the same question, asked me, I 48 00:02:05,680 --> 00:02:07,640 Speaker 3: don't know five weeks ago, and I said, I don't 49 00:02:07,640 --> 00:02:09,640 Speaker 3: think it will unless we get one of two things happen. 50 00:02:09,919 --> 00:02:13,560 Speaker 3: More regulatory clarity, which I thought was a low probability 51 00:02:13,560 --> 00:02:15,960 Speaker 3: at that point, and or the FED starting to move. 52 00:02:16,720 --> 00:02:19,960 Speaker 3: We're getting the regulatory clarity, and even though it's not perfect, 53 00:02:20,440 --> 00:02:21,399 Speaker 3: we got enough. 54 00:02:21,240 --> 00:02:24,120 Speaker 1: That people now realize this is coming. And why is 55 00:02:24,160 --> 00:02:25,200 Speaker 1: that important? What does it mean? 56 00:02:25,480 --> 00:02:31,040 Speaker 3: So if SABE one, this arcade accounting bill and in 57 00:02:31,120 --> 00:02:36,160 Speaker 3: time gets overturned, it allows Bank of New York and 58 00:02:36,240 --> 00:02:37,040 Speaker 3: State Street and. 59 00:02:37,000 --> 00:02:38,360 Speaker 1: Others to get into custody. 60 00:02:38,680 --> 00:02:41,800 Speaker 3: If the infrastructure build, If the FIT twenty one bill 61 00:02:41,800 --> 00:02:44,920 Speaker 3: gets approved, it allows Goldman Sachs and City Bank and 62 00:02:44,960 --> 00:02:47,080 Speaker 3: all these other people to start doing sales and trading. 63 00:02:47,440 --> 00:02:50,600 Speaker 3: And so as you bring those institutions in, huge money follows. 64 00:02:50,919 --> 00:02:54,480 Speaker 4: The Biden White House said it would veto that overturning. 65 00:02:54,639 --> 00:02:58,800 Speaker 3: The Biden White House vetoed the ZAB twenty one, and 66 00:02:58,840 --> 00:03:03,760 Speaker 3: then they said they they wouldn't veto, and so they 67 00:03:03,760 --> 00:03:07,280 Speaker 3: were talking. This is really sad what happened. Because Donald 68 00:03:07,360 --> 00:03:10,320 Speaker 3: Trump stole the show. He basically came out and said, 69 00:03:10,720 --> 00:03:13,720 Speaker 3: I'm your crypto president. The same day Biden had said 70 00:03:13,720 --> 00:03:15,639 Speaker 3: he was going to veto this thing. Why would a 71 00:03:15,680 --> 00:03:20,320 Speaker 3: president sitting president talk about vetoing a arcane accounting rule? 72 00:03:20,840 --> 00:03:23,920 Speaker 3: And so that turned the whole crypto community into Trump's 73 00:03:23,960 --> 00:03:27,480 Speaker 3: corner and almost was like a purity test. People said, 74 00:03:27,680 --> 00:03:29,919 Speaker 3: if you don't vote for Trump, you're not a crypto person. 75 00:03:30,680 --> 00:03:37,080 Speaker 3: And finally the Democrats heard and so real quickly, nine 76 00:03:37,240 --> 00:03:44,000 Speaker 3: Democratic senators voted not to support that accounting rule, against 77 00:03:44,120 --> 00:03:47,200 Speaker 3: Elizabeth Warren's wishes, against the SEC's. 78 00:03:47,480 --> 00:03:49,920 Speaker 2: I'm going to steal Tim's question here, he asked all 79 00:03:49,960 --> 00:03:51,400 Speaker 2: our guests, is I'm going to ask you at the 80 00:03:51,440 --> 00:03:53,520 Speaker 2: end of the day, who would be better for bitcoin? 81 00:03:53,560 --> 00:03:55,760 Speaker 2: Who would be better for crypto? Trump or Biden. 82 00:03:56,680 --> 00:04:00,600 Speaker 3: What is so clear to me is it's the wrong question. 83 00:04:01,200 --> 00:04:04,120 Speaker 3: What is good for our industry is a bipartisan support 84 00:04:04,200 --> 00:04:06,360 Speaker 3: of bills. Otherwise you're going to be student Buney left, 85 00:04:06,400 --> 00:04:08,880 Speaker 3: student Boddy right. Listen, these elections are going to swing 86 00:04:08,960 --> 00:04:12,280 Speaker 3: back and forth for a while, and so crypto shouldn't 87 00:04:12,320 --> 00:04:13,000 Speaker 3: be partisan. 88 00:04:13,840 --> 00:04:15,400 Speaker 1: The short answer is, right now, Trump. 89 00:04:15,200 --> 00:04:17,160 Speaker 3: Would because he says I'm crypto president, I'm going to 90 00:04:17,200 --> 00:04:19,960 Speaker 3: do all this stuff. But really that's a short it's 91 00:04:19,960 --> 00:04:22,320 Speaker 3: a short term way of looking at things. What we've 92 00:04:22,320 --> 00:04:24,280 Speaker 3: done a really great job of and shout out to 93 00:04:24,320 --> 00:04:26,440 Speaker 3: Brian Armstrong and lots of people in. 94 00:04:26,400 --> 00:04:28,880 Speaker 1: The industry of our own time. You know, we've got 95 00:04:28,920 --> 00:04:29,440 Speaker 1: our own. 96 00:04:29,360 --> 00:04:32,960 Speaker 3: Lobbyist in DC is educating people on both sides. And 97 00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:37,000 Speaker 3: there are tons of Democrats that are for good crypto legislation. 98 00:04:37,120 --> 00:04:40,960 Speaker 2: Now, so many people who are pouring money into elections 99 00:04:41,040 --> 00:04:43,080 Speaker 2: right now and into lobbying from the crypto community. 100 00:04:43,160 --> 00:04:45,880 Speaker 1: What's this scale? How much influence do they really have? 101 00:04:46,080 --> 00:04:49,640 Speaker 2: As someone frankly Mike was a traditional way donor as 102 00:04:49,640 --> 00:04:51,720 Speaker 2: well as a crypto donor, the. 103 00:04:51,720 --> 00:04:55,360 Speaker 3: Scale has gotten big. That's why the Democrats woke up. 104 00:04:56,920 --> 00:04:58,760 Speaker 3: There's been about one hundred and fifty million on it's 105 00:04:58,760 --> 00:05:01,040 Speaker 3: way to two hundred and fifty million dollars in these 106 00:05:01,080 --> 00:05:02,160 Speaker 3: crypto superpacks. 107 00:05:02,680 --> 00:05:03,960 Speaker 1: That's not all crypto money. 108 00:05:04,200 --> 00:05:07,560 Speaker 3: What happened was when the Democrats kept saying we don't 109 00:05:07,640 --> 00:05:09,800 Speaker 3: like crypto, and again it was a very small group. 110 00:05:09,839 --> 00:05:11,360 Speaker 3: It was Elizabeth Ward who said, I want to have 111 00:05:11,360 --> 00:05:14,360 Speaker 3: an anti crypto army. The way politics work in DC 112 00:05:14,560 --> 00:05:17,080 Speaker 3: is every Senator doesn't know every issue, they look to 113 00:05:17,120 --> 00:05:20,440 Speaker 3: the leader of that committee. So Elizabeth really was running 114 00:05:20,480 --> 00:05:26,159 Speaker 3: crypto for the Democrats, and she hates crypto. So all 115 00:05:26,240 --> 00:05:28,560 Speaker 3: that money started to look like Republican money, even though 116 00:05:28,600 --> 00:05:32,120 Speaker 3: it was supposed to be bipartisan and focused on really 117 00:05:32,200 --> 00:05:32,760 Speaker 3: key races. 118 00:05:32,800 --> 00:05:34,920 Speaker 1: Shared Brown's race, John Tester's race. 119 00:05:35,640 --> 00:05:37,599 Speaker 4: What would you say to someone watching right now who 120 00:05:37,680 --> 00:05:40,560 Speaker 4: might say, you know what, the SEC and lawmakers it's 121 00:05:40,839 --> 00:05:44,240 Speaker 4: their job to protect people from getting involved in things 122 00:05:44,240 --> 00:05:47,200 Speaker 4: that could hurt them. And there are some people out 123 00:05:47,240 --> 00:05:48,520 Speaker 4: there who say, well, there are a lot of people 124 00:05:48,520 --> 00:05:50,440 Speaker 4: out there who say, I don't want touch crypto because 125 00:05:50,440 --> 00:05:52,240 Speaker 4: I've seen how of all little it can be, and 126 00:05:52,279 --> 00:05:54,240 Speaker 4: I don't think it's something that, you know, mom and 127 00:05:54,279 --> 00:05:56,480 Speaker 4: pop folks should have in their portfolios. 128 00:05:56,640 --> 00:05:57,680 Speaker 1: I see you laughing, Mike. 129 00:05:57,760 --> 00:06:00,719 Speaker 3: Well, because Kai, frankly, anyone who bought big with the 130 00:06:00,720 --> 00:06:02,440 Speaker 3: exception of one or two people that bought it over 131 00:06:02,480 --> 00:06:05,600 Speaker 3: seventy thousand has made money. You know, Like, if you 132 00:06:05,680 --> 00:06:08,640 Speaker 3: bought that codin held it like most bigcoiners do, you're 133 00:06:08,680 --> 00:06:11,760 Speaker 3: in the money. So they're protecting them against making money. 134 00:06:11,839 --> 00:06:14,960 Speaker 3: That makes no sense. Listen, there have been frauds. There 135 00:06:15,000 --> 00:06:18,200 Speaker 3: have been lots of you know, shenanigans in this crypto space, 136 00:06:18,520 --> 00:06:19,760 Speaker 3: and those need to be prosecuted. 137 00:06:19,760 --> 00:06:20,159 Speaker 1: And they were. 138 00:06:20,760 --> 00:06:22,839 Speaker 3: They were prosecuted, they were pushed out of the system. 139 00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:25,599 Speaker 3: Sam Bankman's freeze in jail. Other people will go to jail. 140 00:06:26,080 --> 00:06:28,080 Speaker 3: And so I'm not saying this was a lilly white 141 00:06:28,120 --> 00:06:31,599 Speaker 3: industry any in any space, but this idea that we've 142 00:06:31,600 --> 00:06:36,640 Speaker 3: got to protect somebody from this new technology that cuts 143 00:06:36,680 --> 00:06:41,800 Speaker 3: out the middleman, that allows people to transact directly instead 144 00:06:41,800 --> 00:06:45,960 Speaker 3: of paying a fee, is just wrong thought of Okay, we. 145 00:06:45,880 --> 00:06:47,040 Speaker 4: Don't have a ton of time, but I do want 146 00:06:47,040 --> 00:06:49,120 Speaker 4: to get to one question on ethereum before we take 147 00:06:49,279 --> 00:06:53,000 Speaker 4: a little break. If we do see ETF for theoreum 148 00:06:53,080 --> 00:06:56,359 Speaker 4: approved in the coming months, which many people think we 149 00:06:56,400 --> 00:06:59,240 Speaker 4: will see, what will what are your thoughts on sort 150 00:06:59,279 --> 00:07:01,800 Speaker 4: of excitement and terms of inflows given that you can 151 00:07:01,839 --> 00:07:06,039 Speaker 4: already get exposure to crypto through ETFs and spot bitcoin ETFs, 152 00:07:06,160 --> 00:07:07,839 Speaker 4: Well we see the same type of enthusiasm. 153 00:07:07,960 --> 00:07:10,080 Speaker 3: Well, listen, we're going to see enthusiasm. What was so 154 00:07:10,240 --> 00:07:13,880 Speaker 3: unique about the Bitcoin ETF. It was the first time, 155 00:07:13,920 --> 00:07:17,040 Speaker 3: in lots of ways that the US federal government said 156 00:07:17,400 --> 00:07:21,240 Speaker 3: crypto's okay, you're okay to do crypto. Even though Gary 157 00:07:21,240 --> 00:07:23,840 Speaker 3: Gamzer didn't want to say it, he said it, and 158 00:07:23,880 --> 00:07:24,840 Speaker 3: the government said it. 159 00:07:25,440 --> 00:07:26,320 Speaker 1: Larry Fink said it. 160 00:07:26,360 --> 00:07:28,600 Speaker 3: Larry Think is the largest asset manager and the runs 161 00:07:28,600 --> 00:07:30,960 Speaker 3: the largest ass management company in the world. And so 162 00:07:31,200 --> 00:07:35,720 Speaker 3: the credentialization of bitcoining crypto that was kind of limit up. 163 00:07:36,160 --> 00:07:38,360 Speaker 3: This is a second step towards that. So it's great 164 00:07:38,360 --> 00:07:42,560 Speaker 3: for the ethereum community. It won't have the exact same impact, 165 00:07:42,560 --> 00:07:43,600 Speaker 3: but it'll have a big impact. 166 00:07:44,080 --> 00:07:44,280 Speaker 1: Right. 167 00:07:44,480 --> 00:07:47,600 Speaker 3: All of these ecosystems are about bringing new people into 168 00:07:47,640 --> 00:07:51,440 Speaker 3: the ecosystem, into the circus tent, right, and so this 169 00:07:51,600 --> 00:07:54,480 Speaker 3: is a new and easier way for lots of people 170 00:07:54,800 --> 00:07:56,600 Speaker 3: to participate in the ethereum community. 171 00:07:56,640 --> 00:07:58,520 Speaker 1: And so it's nothing but a that positive