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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: Pot all right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Fifteen Conny twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five

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Speaker 3: fifty and the.

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Speaker 4: Kick as Block Look College Football World, Stundus good bye,

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Speaker 4: Oh my goodness, he stumbled the football, the lateral turn,

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Speaker 4: the counter on the inside.

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Speaker 1: Don't you the lad.

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Speaker 5: Table off the field tonight.

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Speaker 4: It's not the sage on the dog in the fighting,

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Speaker 4: it's the sage.

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Speaker 6: Of the fight in the.

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Speaker 4: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast. This is

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Speaker 4: our aa C conference preview. We're working away through all

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Speaker 4: ten of the FBS conferences. We're gonna ends with the

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Speaker 4: SEC breaking into the SEC East and West. That'll be

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Speaker 4: a super preview with Stuck and Colin Wilson. Speaking of Stucky,

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Speaker 4: he's joining us here for the American preview as well

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Speaker 4: as Mike Ianello. And we're gonna get into really a

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Speaker 4: totally revamped, reworked conference. There's new faces, there's new schools,

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Speaker 4: a lot of Conference USA teams fill in some empty spots. Well,

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Speaker 4: let's start with you, Stuck, what are your thoughts on

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Speaker 4: this conference? That, honestly, I mean they tried the moniker.

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Speaker 4: They were going for power six. They got CENCI to

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Speaker 4: the College foot Bol Playoff, so many teams to a

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Speaker 4: New York New Year's six Bowl Game. What are your

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Speaker 4: thoughts on the revamped AAC coming into twenty twenty three.

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Speaker 2: We're doing the AAC, Right is the AAC today? Like

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Speaker 2: I cause, I'm like, all right, we're gott to talk

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Speaker 2: about Charlotte, but it's the AAC. Like, I'm i gonna

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Speaker 2: get confused. I'm like, wait, so Charlotte's in the AAC.

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Speaker 2: It's a fun It's it's gonna be a fun conference

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Speaker 2: this year. I'm glad that the top two will meet

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Speaker 2: in the title and they're not doing like divisions or

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Speaker 2: anything like that as far as determining who gets to

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Speaker 2: the title. But yeah, it's a fun mix of teams

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Speaker 2: from Tulane all the way down the shot. There's a

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Speaker 2: lot of your your your dregs of the world. But

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Speaker 2: this is what we love in college football and it

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Speaker 2: could present a lot of betting guy both preseason and

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Speaker 2: enduring the season. So I'm excited to get into it.

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Speaker 4: Speaking of the dregs, il, do you have love for

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Speaker 4: some of these teams at the bottom, because you really

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Speaker 4: got to hold your nose doing the work for a

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Speaker 4: preview with some of these teams. We'll get to Charlotte

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Speaker 4: in just a minute.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, not at the bottom. I think this is a

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Speaker 5: conference that's very half and half. My issue when I'm

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Speaker 5: scited to dig in with you guys, is I love

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Speaker 5: all the teams at the top half like a lot,

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Speaker 5: and I was having trouble figuring out which one I

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Speaker 5: like the most. So that's why I'm kind of hoping

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Speaker 5: you guys will help me break some ties of you know,

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Speaker 5: I can't just bet the over on every single team

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Speaker 5: in the top half, so hopefully you guys will help

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Speaker 5: me lean one way or the other because I like

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Speaker 5: a lot of the top half and I don't like

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Speaker 5: most of the bottom half.

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Speaker 4: Or listeners just tuning in to the American we mentioned

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Speaker 4: the musical, all these new programs coming in with the

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Speaker 4: Big twelve ratings some of their best programs. So let

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Speaker 4: me give you the rundown to win the conference here

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Speaker 4: and you'll get a feel for all of these teams.

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Speaker 4: Tulane two to one. They are the defending chance. They

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Speaker 4: went to Cotton Bowl upset USC and just an absolute

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Speaker 4: classic against the Heisman Trophy winner SMU plus three seventy

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Speaker 4: UTSA the conference to USA champion. Now in the AAC

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Speaker 4: a little bit north of four to one, Memphis six

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Speaker 4: to one, FAU eight to one, Tom Herman coming back

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Speaker 4: to the G five level, North Texas twenty four to one,

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Speaker 4: ECU twenty eight to one. Then it starts to get

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Speaker 4: really up there. Navy thirty five to one, Temple thirty eight,

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Speaker 4: UAB forty three to one, USF fifty to one, Tulsa

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Speaker 4: fifty five to one, Rice sixty four to one. And

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Speaker 4: then Club Litt has been burned to the grounds. There's

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Speaker 4: caution tape all around. At one hundred and forty to

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Speaker 4: one to win this conference, let's start there, because why not.

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Speaker 4: We got one of the best coaching hires in terms

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Speaker 4: of a personality upgrade. Biff Pogy is a and if

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Speaker 4: anyone was going to resurrect Club lit, it is this guy.

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Speaker 4: Matt Mitchell's gonna hit us with some of the best

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Speaker 4: offseason sound drops from this absolute walking SoundBite.

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Speaker 6: My name's Biff Pogie. I expect those to be a

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Speaker 6: national power.

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Speaker 4: Charlotte three and nine on the season last year, two

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Speaker 4: and six in conference. Their win total set of three

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Speaker 4: and a half, less than fifty percent of their offensive

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Speaker 4: line starts return negative twelve in the net tarp. That's

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Speaker 4: the work that Colin Wilson does for us to be

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Speaker 4: able to put into perspective that transfer is coming and going,

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Speaker 4: as well as the returning production that's absolutely dead last

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Speaker 4: and FBS that's dead last in terms of offensive tarp

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Speaker 4: negative seven. Only ten returning starters in total. Both specialist

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Speaker 4: Shadwick Byrd they do everything all purpose. Guy he's back,

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Speaker 4: He's gonna have to do it all quite literally. And

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Speaker 4: their defense was god awful, but they returned five starters.

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Speaker 4: Did I miss anything? Stuck on our beloved forty.

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Speaker 2: Nine ers glub lit baby Yeah. Biff Pogey's a character

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Speaker 2: that we'll tack other coaches like app States coach on Twitter,

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Speaker 2: not afraid to hold back. This is the guy who

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Speaker 2: made some serious money in the hedge fund world, resurrected

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Speaker 2: a high school in inner City Baltimore was an assistant

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Speaker 2: at Michigan the past couple years. This team's going to

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Speaker 2: look completely different club. Let it's a completely new club.

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Speaker 2: They shut it down, renovated it, brought in some new investors,

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Speaker 2: and we're going to see what the new club looks

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Speaker 2: like I will be looking to back them at times

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Speaker 2: during the year. It'll be a wild ride, just like

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Speaker 2: it was last year.

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Speaker 6: I think you'll like this definition of the word coach

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Speaker 6: comes from the eleven hundreds, and it was a cat

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Speaker 6: what we would consider a carriage now called a coach,

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Speaker 6: and the carriage would take person from where they were

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Speaker 6: in their lives now to where they wanted to go,

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Speaker 6: not where the carriage wanted to go.

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Speaker 2: They on paper they have more talent than they did

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Speaker 2: because of the transfers, but who knows how it's all

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Speaker 2: going to fit together. I mean, you look at this team,

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Speaker 2: but they brought in eight offensive line transfers. I think

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Speaker 2: four will start. Ten defensive transfers. You get three new coordinators,

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Speaker 2: obviously a new head coach, but you lose Chris Reynolds,

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Speaker 2: who is so important a quarterback. You're every receiver possible,

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Speaker 2: I think, like a running back who was not even

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Speaker 2: gonna start as leading returning receiver. You gotta just hope

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Speaker 2: all these transfers hit. Their d was so bad last year,

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Speaker 2: I mean they only had seventeen sacks. But you got

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Speaker 2: some like talented transfers. Clowney from old miss Oki from Michigan.

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Speaker 2: And if you look at like the talent level of

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Speaker 2: the transfers that they brought in, like the offensive line

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Speaker 2: of the second's gonna be bigger. They should be bigger

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Speaker 2: and more talented on the defensive front as well. The

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Speaker 2: d can't get any worse. It looks they're gonna use

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Speaker 2: I would assume the Bethune Cookman quarterback Jones, the transfer

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Speaker 2: is gonna be their starter, but Biff And said they're

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Speaker 2: gonna use maybe four quarterbacks in the game, depending on

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Speaker 2: the drive, and who knows. It's gonna be fun to

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Speaker 2: watch at the freshman running back Robinson, very high recruit,

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Speaker 2: I think the highest in school history. So we'll see

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Speaker 2: what he can do.

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Speaker 6: And our job is I told the players yesterday my job,

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Speaker 6: my number one job is to them.

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Speaker 2: But it's a brand new team. I mean they do

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Speaker 2: avoid two lane and utsa they have. I would argue

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Speaker 2: five winnable games. The win totals over three and a

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Speaker 2: half plus one twenty five. Like yes, South Carolina stayed

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Speaker 2: at home, Georgia State at home, Navy at home, Rice

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Speaker 2: at home at USF is it in the finale. Unfortunately,

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Speaker 2: that's not great because we'll talk about them, but they're

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Speaker 2: going through a complete overhaul, new offensive system, so you

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Speaker 2: probably don't want to get them in the last game

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Speaker 2: on the road. I'm not betting their win total huge.

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Speaker 2: This team's very hard to price as far as like

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Speaker 2: you know, we know they're gonna be bad, but how bad.

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Speaker 2: It's a complete rebuild, philosophy, cultural change, just lots of freshmen,

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Speaker 2: lots of transfers. It's gonna be fun to watch. Who

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Speaker 2: knows what to expect. I know who's gonna be a

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Speaker 2: quarterback down to down basis. So I'm close to their

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Speaker 2: win total. They're one hundred and fifty to one at

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Speaker 2: some places to win the conference. Obviously not betting that,

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Speaker 2: but I'll be looking to bet them. Find our weeks

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Speaker 2: to visit the club.

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Speaker 6: There's two types of football, and there's only two. Transformational

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Speaker 6: coach as a coach that helps young people reach the

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Speaker 6: station in their life they want to reach and gets

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Speaker 6: them on a trajectory to do that. A transactional coach

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Speaker 6: takes that person where the coach wants them to go,

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Speaker 6: the next contract, the next job. We're not doing that here.

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Speaker 4: I mean move over, Biff from back to the future

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Speaker 4: there's a new most famous Biff in America. What are

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Speaker 4: your thoughts here? Ianello on a program that is starting fresh,

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Speaker 4: Like I said, club that was condemned, but they're going

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Speaker 4: to go for a rebrand. Try to turn this restaurant around.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, Matt Mitchell talk. You know, he used to always

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Speaker 5: play the club lit sound. I think we need to

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Speaker 5: find a new one. Maybe some emo music or some

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Speaker 5: you know, hello darkness, mild friend, because this might be tough.

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Speaker 6: I'm just Poji and I'm a forty nine er.

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Speaker 5: I'm with you, stuck. I think Jalen Jones will be

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Speaker 5: KIV one. He actually played for Pogey in high school,

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Speaker 5: so he does kind of know the offense. Yeah, they're

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Speaker 5: moving from like a totally pass first offense to like

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Speaker 5: a power running game. Who knows how that works. The

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Speaker 5: one thing I will say I like about Pogee and

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Speaker 5: it kind of gives them a little bit of upside

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Speaker 5: going forward potentially, is because he made so much in

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Speaker 5: the you know, finance industry. He returned half his salary.

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Speaker 5: He's only making like five hundred grand. He returned half

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Speaker 5: his salary to go to improve his assistance pool. You

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Speaker 5: have to wonder in an nil games, he caught a

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Speaker 5: check out of his pocket. At any point they brought

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Speaker 5: in like forty transfers, which is bananas.

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Speaker 6: I tell people that I'm coming to Charlotte. I bet

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Speaker 6: ninety percent of the guys in football land to say

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Speaker 6: that is a gold mine.

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Speaker 5: I was looking at the Action Network power ratings and

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Speaker 5: outside of South Carolina state, our Action Network power ratings

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Speaker 5: have them as an underdog of at least eleven points

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Speaker 5: in every single game. How are they winning any games?

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Speaker 5: It's just a I was listening for the sound bites.

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Speaker 6: Our goal is very simple. Win the AAC. It repeatedly

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Speaker 6: get to the college football playoff. And That's what I'm

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Speaker 6: expecting to do here. And my timetable is now.

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Speaker 4: Yeah. I'm not gonna start this AAC preview with an

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Speaker 4: under It's just a pass for me. I want to

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Speaker 4: be entertained. And if media days are any indication I

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Speaker 4: am entertained by, we will be back in.

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Speaker 6: That's it. Three questions. Maybe that's because you have us

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Speaker 6: ranked last, that's all what you think about. We get

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Speaker 6: that message, Thank.

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Speaker 4: You, we will be back in them.

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Speaker 2: There might be a decent under team and big underdog.

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Speaker 2: Maybe maybe at Maryland Week two. Yeah, I had a

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Speaker 2: bet it. I would bet under if I had no

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Speaker 2: care for the club. But there's not enough value for

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Speaker 2: my numbers. Also, it's gonna be another fun year in

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Speaker 2: the club.

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Speaker 3: All right.

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Speaker 4: Let's take a look at the defending AAC champs. That's

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Speaker 4: Tulane went twelve and two last year, seven to one

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Speaker 4: in conference. There win till set nine minus one twenty

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Speaker 4: five if you want to go with the over seventy

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Speaker 4: percent of the line starts return plus two in the

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Speaker 4: net tarp, so plus one on both sides the ball

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Speaker 4: and nine returning starters in total. Both specialist the headline here.

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Speaker 4: Michael Pratt is back, but he has a new OC

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Speaker 4: who hasn't been an offensive coordinator since twenty ten and

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Speaker 4: when he did it at the FCS level. That's Slade Nagle.

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Speaker 4: And if you think you know what Slade Nagel looks like,

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Speaker 4: go ahead and google. He's not what you're gonna expect.

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Speaker 4: No more Tai J. Spears, But there's lots like in

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Speaker 4: Clayton Johnson, a New Orleans kid who did pop in

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Speaker 4: reserve work last year. He could be interesting there offensively.

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Speaker 4: Then we go ahead and hit up the receiving Corps.

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Speaker 4: It's strong. They also added Jule Keith Brown from Texas

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Speaker 4: A and M to help out the reigning Action Network

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Speaker 4: Gambling Heisman winner Michael Pratt. So hopefully the offense keeps

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Speaker 4: cooking there down in New Orleans. The defense, though, this

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Speaker 4: is the issue. This is I mean, you don't have

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Speaker 4: to be poking holes in their resume to see this.

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Speaker 4: Their defense returns just three starters. They were able to

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Speaker 4: hire Troy's shield Wood, who, in my opinion, was one

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Speaker 4: of the best defensive coordinators in all of college football.

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Speaker 4: He's a phenomenal coach and he's got to work out

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Speaker 4: some new pieces because they lose these two stalwarts ed

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Speaker 4: linebacker Dorian Williams and Nick Anderson. They depart they had

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Speaker 4: combined five hundred and eighty one career tackles fifty four

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Speaker 4: TFLs between the two of them in their career, and

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Speaker 4: the secondary may even be a bigger question mark. Here's

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Speaker 4: the thing, though, when I look at them and I

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Speaker 4: start to, you know, question losing ty j Spears everything

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Speaker 4: on defense, then I'm questioning who are they facing? Who

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Speaker 4: are the quarterbacks? I'm afraid of. Yes, in the finale,

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Speaker 4: they get Frank Harris against UCSA. They're at home in

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Speaker 4: that game, but the second best quarterback on the schedule

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Speaker 4: is Seth Hannigan. Like whoever fau lands On potentially could

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Speaker 4: be the next quarterback in line there. I'm just not

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Speaker 4: scared off, so I'm leaning the over here. They're not

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Speaker 4: my pick to win the conference just because of their price,

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Speaker 4: but the Green Wave, you know, there's really reason for

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Speaker 4: optimism that they can at least hit eight to nine

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Speaker 4: wins again, keep the positive momentum going and really building

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Speaker 4: something special by G five standards. Stuck, I'll turn to you,

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Speaker 4: Willie Fritz. Do you think think it's a nice encore

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Speaker 4: for him here in twenty twenty three.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm looking. I don't know if I'll bet the under,

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Speaker 2: but I'm looking to bet the end of these are

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Speaker 2: my boys. Last year. Shout out to colleague, longtime colleague,

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Speaker 2: Michael Leeboff. He texted me before the season, give me

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Speaker 2: a long shot future. I said, Tulane fifty to one.

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Speaker 2: He bet it.

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Speaker 4: I did not.

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Speaker 2: I didn't end up betting it. That was my one

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Speaker 2: long shot recommendation. Still regretting that one, but they won

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Speaker 2: me a ton of money during the year. They had

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Speaker 2: the biggest one season improvement win total in NCAA history.

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Speaker 2: I believe they went from tow and ten to twelve

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Speaker 2: and two. Writing was on the wall. They were really

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Speaker 2: unlucky a couple of years ago. Just everything was in

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Speaker 2: place to have a big year. But I think that

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Speaker 2: they're a little overvalue now. The coordinator turnover is big.

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Speaker 2: Some of the losses on defense are huge, even at

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Speaker 2: wide receiver, but specifically on the defense in the back end,

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Speaker 2: at linebacker and in the secondary. And I think they

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Speaker 2: were going to really miss their defensive coordinator, who I

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Speaker 2: just absolutely loved. Offense coordinator maybe not as big a loss.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I think Nagle was the play caller last year,

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Speaker 2: but I think the d will take a major step back.

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Speaker 2: Spears is just He's was invaluable last year. They were

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Speaker 2: just absolutely feed him. And you know, I know they

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Speaker 2: get the kid from Liberty, but their running back room

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Speaker 2: is going to be worse off those five of their

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Speaker 2: top seven pass catchers. They didn't dominate against the spread

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Speaker 2: at home. Since Fritz has taken over, they're the number

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Speaker 2: one against the spread team at home over that span,

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Speaker 2: and they do host UTSA, which could be big for

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Speaker 2: the division, but they don't get any of the four

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Speaker 2: projected worst teams in the division. And I mean, look,

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Speaker 2: here's the potential losses at Southern Mess, I mean even

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Speaker 2: South Alabama in the opener, but at home. But they

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Speaker 2: get at Southern Mess, at Memphis, at FAU, you know,

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Speaker 2: at Rice, at ECU. There's some tough games, and UTSA

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Speaker 2: is at home in the finale. So I actually show

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Speaker 2: some value on the under, and I think that there

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Speaker 2: could be some regression going the other way. I think

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Speaker 2: they've kind of reached their peak and then went beyond

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Speaker 2: as far as diyes concerned. So I'm actually looking to

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Speaker 2: sell tou Lane might be win total under, might be

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Speaker 2: win total under and a future on another team. I

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Speaker 2: haven't locked in anything on this conference yet, Curiously, your

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Speaker 2: guys thoughts before I do that, but I'm looking to

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Speaker 2: sell to Lane in some fashion.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, So as you'll hear as we go through these

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Speaker 5: the rest of these teams, I'm kind of indirectly selling

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Speaker 5: to Lane as well. Not I'm not betting their under,

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Speaker 5: but just kind of playing other teams to kind of

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Speaker 5: win the conference, is how I'm doing it. Yeah, I

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Speaker 5: think the defense is going to take a massive step back.

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Speaker 5: You mentioned Williams Anderson. You know, the secondary loses Making Clark,

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Speaker 5: Jayden Kennedy, Larry Brooks. So I have a ton of

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Speaker 5: questions about this defense. They lose two defensive coordinators because

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Speaker 5: not only do they lose Chris Hampton Oregon, they hired

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Speaker 5: Lance Guidry and then he leaves for Miami, so they've

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Speaker 5: had to replace two defensive coordinators this offseason. And the

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Speaker 5: reason I'm not betting their under is I think their

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Speaker 5: offensive line is stacked, and I think Pratt is good enough,

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Speaker 5: but he provides them with such a safe floor that

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Speaker 5: you can kind of pencil in eight wins just because

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Speaker 5: of Pratt. Granted, yes to say healthy, but I think

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Speaker 5: Taj Spears was their ceiling because you looked when you

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Speaker 5: look down to the games that they needed to win

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Speaker 5: to win the conference down the stretch, Cincinnati beating Cincinnati

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Speaker 5: to get into the conference title game, against UCF in

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Speaker 5: the championship game, and then against USC in the bowl game.

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Speaker 5: Spears dominated those games. And they don't win those games

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Speaker 5: without Spears. They you know, he was more important than

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Speaker 5: Pratt in those games. So I think when it comes

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Speaker 5: down to those you know, I don't think they beat

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Speaker 5: UTSA without Spears, but I think they could, you know,

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Speaker 5: That's what I'm saying.

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Speaker 4: I think Pratt gives.

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Speaker 5: Them enough floor they'll beat the teams they should, but

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Speaker 5: I think when it comes down to the you know,

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Speaker 5: the bigger games, they're not gonna be able to replace Spears.

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Speaker 5: He was their ceiling. So I'm staying away from them

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Speaker 5: to like him, I'll I bet them here and there,

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Speaker 5: but I'm fading them indirectly with some of the other

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Speaker 5: teams I'm looking to attack.

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Speaker 4: Let's turn to some teams to have a little bit

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Speaker 4: more value. As I mentioned, two lane two to one

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Speaker 4: to win the conference. Then you get into this like

351
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Speaker 4: close to four to one range with SMU and UTSA.

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Speaker 4: We'll start with SMU seven and six last year, five

353
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Speaker 4: and three in conference or win total set eight and

354
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Speaker 4: a half, a ton of experience in the offensive line,

355
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Speaker 4: coming back north to eighty three percent negative five point

356
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Speaker 4: five and then net Tart most of it on offense,

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Speaker 4: which some of it I think is a bit overrated.

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Speaker 4: Twelve stars returning both specialist Preston Stone finally getting the

359
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Speaker 4: reins here four star kid, the Stone Age. The Stone

360
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Speaker 4: Age has begun and Rhet Lashley has been effusive about

361
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Speaker 4: the kid from day one. I think he did everything

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Speaker 4: he could to make sure they didn't leave with Tanner

363
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Speaker 4: Mordecai getting one more season ahead of them. But Mordecai

364
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Speaker 4: now off to Wisconsin. It's Stone's time. Rice has gone

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Speaker 4: on the perimeter, and clearly he was a phenomenal player

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Speaker 4: a second round NFL draft pick. But I still like

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Speaker 4: this receiving corps. I mean, it's headlined by Jordan Curly

368
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Speaker 4: r j Maryland at tight end, plus they add Jalen

369
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Speaker 4: Knight and at running back. This offense, in my opinion,

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Speaker 4: could be just as good or better even without even

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Speaker 4: with the loss of Mordecai and Rice. The defense, however,

372
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Speaker 4: I have some questions. They couldn't stop the run last year.

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Speaker 4: They have more to replace on that side of the ball.

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Speaker 4: The schedule is interesting because really there's only one for

375
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Speaker 4: sure loss, which is their trip to Norman, Oklahoma. They

376
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Speaker 4: go to TCU, you know, in a super short road trip,

377
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Speaker 4: they're at Memphis. Those are their toughest games, no two lane,

378
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Speaker 4: no UTSA. So I think there's a lot of value

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Speaker 4: for them to get to the AAC title game, and

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Speaker 4: it plus three seventy five plus three eighty. Make sure

381
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Speaker 4: you shop around for the best number there. If you're

382
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Speaker 4: a believer like I am, in Preston Stone, maybe worth

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Speaker 4: a shot here. I'll turn to you first. I know,

384
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Speaker 4: I know you had difficulty kind of parsing at the

385
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Speaker 4: top of this conference. Is SMU a team that you're playing?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, there they are. I might end up with two

387
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Speaker 5: conference title features, just hope they face each other. But

388
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Speaker 5: SEM is going to be one of them. You know

389
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Speaker 5: you mentioned Preston stuff. First of all, is there a

390
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Speaker 5: Preston Stone is the perfect name for a quarterback playing

391
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Speaker 5: in Dallas, Texas. I mean, he was born for this job.

392
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Speaker 5: He's mentioned that for star Ward Crew, had offers from

393
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Speaker 5: BAM with Georgia LSU, Ohio State, Penn Say everywhere. So

394
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Speaker 5: I think he's gonna be a stud I agree there.

395
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Speaker 5: I don't think they're gonna drop off much. Also, I

396
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Speaker 5: think what SMB is doing is really cool. You know,

397
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Speaker 5: obviously they've been doing nil since before it was cool

398
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Speaker 5: or legal, but now they're really using it to their advantage.

399
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Speaker 5: Their collective is paying thirty eight thousand dollars per year

400
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Speaker 5: to their entire team, so they're basically paying their players,

401
00:19:34,359 --> 00:19:36,960
Speaker 5: which is awesome. I think it will I think it'll

402
00:19:37,000 --> 00:19:38,879
Speaker 5: give them depth. You know, thirty eight grand is not

403
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Speaker 5: going to entice high end quarterback, but I think that's

404
00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:43,760
Speaker 5: going to help give them a lot of depth across

405
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Speaker 5: the board. They had a ton of transfers come in

406
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Speaker 5: from Miami, Kalen knighton at running back. You know, you

407
00:19:51,440 --> 00:19:55,080
Speaker 5: mentioned the defense was atrocious, but I like how they

408
00:19:55,280 --> 00:19:57,520
Speaker 5: only have four returning starters because a lot of their

409
00:19:57,880 --> 00:19:59,280
Speaker 5: returning they have. I think they are two or three

410
00:19:59,320 --> 00:20:02,879
Speaker 5: guys who are back but lost their job, which I

411
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Speaker 5: love because that means they brought in better guys. They

412
00:20:06,880 --> 00:20:09,680
Speaker 5: brought in Elijah Roberts and Jordan Miller up front from

413
00:20:09,720 --> 00:20:12,120
Speaker 5: Miami to help kind of shore up that defensive line.

414
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Speaker 5: We'll see how that works. You literally, their schedule from

415
00:20:14,920 --> 00:20:17,920
Speaker 5: last year too, Like they should have beaten Maryland. That

416
00:20:18,040 --> 00:20:20,040
Speaker 5: game was brutal to watch down the stretch. I had

417
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Speaker 5: SMU in that game. They should have been in Cincinnati,

418
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Speaker 5: So you know, this could have been a nine win team.

419
00:20:26,960 --> 00:20:30,119
Speaker 5: And I think just all the transfers to commitment from

420
00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:31,720
Speaker 5: the school, I think it puts them in a great

421
00:20:31,760 --> 00:20:35,800
Speaker 5: position where I think they know this conference is theirs

422
00:20:35,880 --> 00:20:37,840
Speaker 5: for the taking, and I kind of like that that

423
00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:40,240
Speaker 5: they know that and that gives them that motivation of

424
00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:42,159
Speaker 5: like we're the ones that are going to step up

425
00:20:42,520 --> 00:20:44,200
Speaker 5: be the big dogs. You mentioned it. They don't play

426
00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:46,040
Speaker 5: too lane, they don't play a DSA, they don't play FAU.

427
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Speaker 5: I think this game is a cakewalk. I think they're

428
00:20:48,320 --> 00:20:52,119
Speaker 5: gonna be favored in every conference game they play. So

429
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Speaker 5: this is my pick to win the conference, and mostly

430
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Speaker 5: because I think they have the best chance to get

431
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Speaker 5: to the game. And then I'll that plus three eighty

432
00:21:01,119 --> 00:21:03,560
Speaker 5: or whatever it is in my pocket come early December.

433
00:21:04,240 --> 00:21:06,960
Speaker 4: All Right, Sherwood Blunt here is all over the Pony Express.

434
00:21:07,200 --> 00:21:09,800
Speaker 4: Do you agree? Are you this bullish on the best

435
00:21:09,880 --> 00:21:13,879
Speaker 4: team in the Dallas Fort West Fort Worth metro or

436
00:21:13,920 --> 00:21:16,879
Speaker 4: do you think that SMU still have someone improve on defense?

437
00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:20,280
Speaker 2: Stuck? Yeah, I mean I agree, it's it's stone Age.

438
00:21:20,320 --> 00:21:22,639
Speaker 2: If you listen to our podcast last year. I've always

439
00:21:22,640 --> 00:21:26,760
Speaker 2: been a huge Presidenstone fan. I love him. I don't

440
00:21:26,800 --> 00:21:28,960
Speaker 2: think it's going to be a drop off at quarterback. Yeah,

441
00:21:28,960 --> 00:21:31,640
Speaker 2: they'll miss Rice, but the skill positions are still solid.

442
00:21:31,680 --> 00:21:34,879
Speaker 2: I love the offensive line, and like you said, I

443
00:21:34,960 --> 00:21:38,480
Speaker 2: know that the depth and the size is significantly better,

444
00:21:38,960 --> 00:21:41,600
Speaker 2: especially on defense. And that's what this is all about.

445
00:21:41,720 --> 00:21:44,880
Speaker 2: It's can the defense improve? And I think it can.

446
00:21:45,560 --> 00:21:49,280
Speaker 2: They're just much bigger and stronger up front. Year two

447
00:21:49,880 --> 00:21:53,000
Speaker 2: of this staff and they should go six and oh.

448
00:21:53,040 --> 00:21:55,040
Speaker 2: At home, we talked about who had the Joe homes

449
00:21:55,080 --> 00:21:58,840
Speaker 2: schedule in or mac absolute clown, who had the Clown

450
00:21:58,920 --> 00:22:02,879
Speaker 2: home schedule. Eastern Michigan's home schedule is a joke. SMU's

451
00:22:02,920 --> 00:22:09,240
Speaker 2: home schedule is a circus. They get La Tech, Prairie View, Charlotte, Tulsa,

452
00:22:10,160 --> 00:22:14,159
Speaker 2: North Texas, and Navy like come on, so yeah, and

453
00:22:14,359 --> 00:22:16,800
Speaker 2: you said it. They avoid Tulane, they avoid Utsa, and

454
00:22:16,800 --> 00:22:20,280
Speaker 2: they avoid FAU. That's massive, and you're at Rice at

455
00:22:20,440 --> 00:22:24,560
Speaker 2: Temple at ECUs Down just might come down to that

456
00:22:24,840 --> 00:22:27,119
Speaker 2: that game at Memphis, but they might be able to

457
00:22:27,160 --> 00:22:28,960
Speaker 2: afford to lose that game and still get to the title.

458
00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:33,000
Speaker 2: I trust in Stone and the defensive improvement. I will

459
00:22:33,080 --> 00:22:38,920
Speaker 2: also have a future. Don't love the win total. I

460
00:22:39,000 --> 00:22:40,960
Speaker 2: mean at Oh, you might. I might play them, bet

461
00:22:41,000 --> 00:22:43,760
Speaker 2: them at TCU, but if they lose, lose those two

462
00:22:43,840 --> 00:22:46,600
Speaker 2: games and then you know, say you lose at Memphis.

463
00:22:47,520 --> 00:22:50,280
Speaker 2: If you lose another game, you're not hitting that win

464
00:22:50,359 --> 00:22:55,800
Speaker 2: total and you're probably not getting, you know, to the

465
00:22:56,000 --> 00:23:00,880
Speaker 2: conference title. You still might be able to, but I'd

466
00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:03,919
Speaker 2: rather have the plus three eighty. And with two conference losses,

467
00:23:04,600 --> 00:23:06,840
Speaker 2: there's still a chance you could. I think there's at

468
00:23:06,880 --> 00:23:09,520
Speaker 2: the top these teams could countibalize themselves and you have

469
00:23:09,640 --> 00:23:13,720
Speaker 2: that upside. So nothing on the win total. Stone Age

470
00:23:14,000 --> 00:23:14,679
Speaker 2: give me the future.

471
00:23:16,480 --> 00:23:19,359
Speaker 4: We turned to really an interesting development here. We have

472
00:23:19,520 --> 00:23:22,520
Speaker 4: not won but two defending conference champions in the AAC.

473
00:23:23,040 --> 00:23:26,520
Speaker 4: That of course is UTSA. They won Conference USA last year,

474
00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:29,960
Speaker 4: went perfect A zero and conference play eleven and three. Overall,

475
00:23:30,000 --> 00:23:32,159
Speaker 4: their win total sitting at eight, which I think is

476
00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:34,200
Speaker 4: a little bit low. They're just about fifty percent of

477
00:23:34,200 --> 00:23:37,080
Speaker 4: their offensive line starts return but four of those players

478
00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:40,199
Speaker 4: have starting experience negative six point five in the net

479
00:23:40,240 --> 00:23:43,639
Speaker 4: tarp most of those losses on offense. Fifteen returning starters

480
00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:47,919
Speaker 4: in total, though, plus their punter. And here's here's the headline.

481
00:23:47,960 --> 00:23:50,560
Speaker 4: Frank Harris, we'll call him doctor Frank Harris. He's back

482
00:23:50,600 --> 00:23:52,600
Speaker 4: for his seventh year of college. He has ninety eight

483
00:23:52,680 --> 00:23:55,480
Speaker 4: career touchdowns, seventy four through the air, twenty four on

484
00:23:55,560 --> 00:23:58,080
Speaker 4: the ground. He took the leap up to superstardom last

485
00:23:58,200 --> 00:24:01,040
Speaker 4: year forty one total scores over one thousand yards, passing

486
00:24:01,560 --> 00:24:05,320
Speaker 4: nil money rolling in San Antonio, keeping him there for

487
00:24:05,440 --> 00:24:08,480
Speaker 4: one more season. They do lose Zakari Franklin to the Portal.

488
00:24:08,520 --> 00:24:10,639
Speaker 4: He losen to Ole Miss another key loss here, they

489
00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:13,800
Speaker 4: lose Willie Stein. They're oc to Oregon. Justin Burke fillin

490
00:24:13,880 --> 00:24:16,560
Speaker 4: in there, but the receiving Cory is still quite healthy

491
00:24:16,640 --> 00:24:19,040
Speaker 4: Toacory and Clark is on track to return from an

492
00:24:19,040 --> 00:24:22,280
Speaker 4: ACL injury. Joshua Sifa sat at the bowl game with

493
00:24:22,359 --> 00:24:25,480
Speaker 4: a DWI, but he's back. Apparently he's been cleared fully

494
00:24:25,600 --> 00:24:29,200
Speaker 4: since January. Willie McCoy, they go in the JUCO ranks

495
00:24:29,240 --> 00:24:30,800
Speaker 4: to get him. This guy could really pop as a

496
00:24:30,880 --> 00:24:33,800
Speaker 4: transfer and All American kick returner at the JUCO level,

497
00:24:34,080 --> 00:24:35,720
Speaker 4: and add in Barnes at running back. I think this

498
00:24:35,800 --> 00:24:37,600
Speaker 4: offense is going to keep on clicking. I don't care

499
00:24:37,640 --> 00:24:40,840
Speaker 4: about the step up in competition because, honestly, the step

500
00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:42,760
Speaker 4: up I'm going to throw it in air quotes because

501
00:24:42,800 --> 00:24:45,159
Speaker 4: the bottom three or four teams in this conference are

502
00:24:45,280 --> 00:24:48,399
Speaker 4: just you know, Conference USA retreads. So I'm not scared

503
00:24:48,440 --> 00:24:50,399
Speaker 4: of the AAC. This is in the same AAC with

504
00:24:50,440 --> 00:24:54,000
Speaker 4: Houston and uc F and Cincy. Defensively, they could be

505
00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:57,000
Speaker 4: special in the in the secondary. We know Rashad Wisdom

506
00:24:57,080 --> 00:25:01,000
Speaker 4: coming back at safety. He's their quarterback. You way back there.

507
00:25:01,160 --> 00:25:03,960
Speaker 4: Making sure to keep everything in front of them defensively,

508
00:25:04,400 --> 00:25:06,639
Speaker 4: limit the big plays that they're giving up. They were

509
00:25:06,720 --> 00:25:09,119
Speaker 4: middle of the pack in FBS scoring defense and rushing

510
00:25:09,200 --> 00:25:11,760
Speaker 4: d I think their past defense gets a little bit better.

511
00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:14,399
Speaker 4: They could have a top three or four defense in

512
00:25:14,520 --> 00:25:18,239
Speaker 4: the AAC. And their schedules is tough at the top end.

513
00:25:18,320 --> 00:25:21,440
Speaker 4: You know at Houston, that's a tough opener, particularly if

514
00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:23,920
Speaker 4: you know Decring Clark coming back from his ACL is

515
00:25:23,960 --> 00:25:27,840
Speaker 4: one hundred percent. He said he's hoping to play. Certainly,

516
00:25:27,880 --> 00:25:29,480
Speaker 4: if he plays the way he did before he got hurt,

517
00:25:29,520 --> 00:25:32,119
Speaker 4: that's a huge plus. They're at Tennessee in September, at

518
00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:36,040
Speaker 4: FAU and at Twulane. That's why this win total is

519
00:25:36,080 --> 00:25:38,520
Speaker 4: set at eight. I still like over This is still

520
00:25:38,600 --> 00:25:41,879
Speaker 4: my pick to win the AAC at plus four twenty,

521
00:25:42,040 --> 00:25:44,480
Speaker 4: let's call it. Make sure to shop around there. I

522
00:25:44,560 --> 00:25:46,480
Speaker 4: think they have the best quarterback here. I love the

523
00:25:46,560 --> 00:25:49,119
Speaker 4: coaching staff. I understand that they lose will Stein, but

524
00:25:49,720 --> 00:25:52,000
Speaker 4: Trailer is somebody who I believe and it's the reason

525
00:25:52,040 --> 00:25:54,400
Speaker 4: why he got the huge extension and he stayed committed.

526
00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:57,000
Speaker 4: And I think an underrated home field advantage San Antonio

527
00:25:57,080 --> 00:26:00,280
Speaker 4: really shows out for them in the Alamodome. So had

528
00:26:00,359 --> 00:26:03,280
Speaker 4: meat meat road Runners gonna line this up to win

529
00:26:03,320 --> 00:26:06,560
Speaker 4: their third straight conference championship, two in a row at

530
00:26:06,880 --> 00:26:09,560
Speaker 4: conference to USA and out here in the American And

531
00:26:10,040 --> 00:26:12,360
Speaker 4: do I have you know, think of the colors here,

532
00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:15,560
Speaker 4: the blue and orange tinted glasses stuck or do you

533
00:26:15,640 --> 00:26:17,760
Speaker 4: think all this optimism is justified.

534
00:26:19,080 --> 00:26:21,520
Speaker 2: I think they're priced about right. I do have some

535
00:26:21,680 --> 00:26:25,360
Speaker 2: questions about some of the offensive line. I'm gonna see

536
00:26:25,359 --> 00:26:28,120
Speaker 2: how that comes together. And then in the secondary for sure,

537
00:26:28,760 --> 00:26:32,320
Speaker 2: which might hold them back. They the other floor is

538
00:26:32,520 --> 00:26:35,080
Speaker 2: very high here. If you look at their schedule, like

539
00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:39,119
Speaker 2: they should win seven to eight games, they're over eight

540
00:26:39,240 --> 00:26:44,600
Speaker 2: is juiced like closer to you know, eight and a half,

541
00:26:45,560 --> 00:26:47,879
Speaker 2: they're non and and then ten of their twelve opponents

542
00:26:47,920 --> 00:26:50,320
Speaker 2: have new quarterbacks, which could work in their favor having

543
00:26:50,359 --> 00:26:53,000
Speaker 2: a really experienced quarterback back for seventh year in Harris,

544
00:26:53,640 --> 00:26:55,919
Speaker 2: But they have tough tough non conference road games at

545
00:26:55,960 --> 00:26:58,119
Speaker 2: Houston and at Tennessee, and then they're at FAU and

546
00:26:58,200 --> 00:27:02,159
Speaker 2: at Tulane in the finale. So I really think that

547
00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:05,119
Speaker 2: if you like so their price directly to me, they

548
00:27:05,200 --> 00:27:07,480
Speaker 2: were unlucky with injuries last year, and they brought in

549
00:27:07,560 --> 00:27:10,760
Speaker 2: the best group of five recruiting class. Definitely a program

550
00:27:10,880 --> 00:27:15,520
Speaker 2: on the rise. They're gonna lose a Tennessee. I think

551
00:27:15,520 --> 00:27:20,359
Speaker 2: that they lose at FAU and A two lane. So

552
00:27:20,600 --> 00:27:23,280
Speaker 2: basically like, if you like this team and I think

553
00:27:23,280 --> 00:27:25,720
Speaker 2: they're like thro, my numbers their price pretty close. I

554
00:27:25,760 --> 00:27:27,119
Speaker 2: think I think their win total comes down to the

555
00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:30,159
Speaker 2: first game at Houston. They went so that games want

556
00:27:30,200 --> 00:27:32,560
Speaker 2: to pick close to a pick. Some are coin flip,

557
00:27:33,000 --> 00:27:35,480
Speaker 2: so if you really like them, that in the first

558
00:27:35,520 --> 00:27:37,160
Speaker 2: week won't tie your money for three months. I really

559
00:27:37,200 --> 00:27:39,720
Speaker 2: think that's what's going to decide their win total. So

560
00:27:39,920 --> 00:27:43,560
Speaker 2: pass for me. But I'm fading the two conference winners

561
00:27:43,600 --> 00:27:49,040
Speaker 2: in UTSA and TWU lane, not directly, but indirectly, like

562
00:27:49,119 --> 00:27:53,560
Speaker 2: I know with other overs and futures, So pass for me.

563
00:27:53,640 --> 00:27:54,679
Speaker 2: On the road runners meet me.

564
00:27:57,080 --> 00:27:59,879
Speaker 4: Hajing, Doctor Harris, do you agree with stuck or with.

565
00:28:01,200 --> 00:28:01,639
Speaker 6: I'm with you?

566
00:28:01,920 --> 00:28:04,119
Speaker 5: When I go down and do all my my previews

567
00:28:04,200 --> 00:28:06,480
Speaker 5: and research and everything, I go in outphbittic floriter. So

568
00:28:06,520 --> 00:28:08,800
Speaker 5: I got the SNU. It was like, love them back,

569
00:28:08,880 --> 00:28:10,680
Speaker 5: and I'm doing the conference. This is my squad. And

570
00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:13,400
Speaker 5: then I got to UTSA and I was like, I'm

571
00:28:13,440 --> 00:28:15,960
Speaker 5: I have to take them too, because I just I

572
00:28:16,080 --> 00:28:20,040
Speaker 5: can't find a reason not to play them. You know,

573
00:28:20,119 --> 00:28:21,879
Speaker 5: you can point to Tulane and say their defense and

574
00:28:21,920 --> 00:28:25,200
Speaker 5: they lose spears and with them, it's like their only

575
00:28:25,320 --> 00:28:28,080
Speaker 5: real concern is you know, they lose Corey Mayfield and

576
00:28:28,119 --> 00:28:31,520
Speaker 5: Clifford Chapman in the secondary. But you mentioned it, getting

577
00:28:31,560 --> 00:28:34,040
Speaker 5: rishat Wisdom back is he is the heart instul of

578
00:28:34,080 --> 00:28:36,679
Speaker 5: that defense. He was their best player in twenty twenty one.

579
00:28:37,359 --> 00:28:39,720
Speaker 5: So I think getting him back almost offsets to two

580
00:28:39,760 --> 00:28:41,840
Speaker 5: of them just because of how good he is in

581
00:28:42,000 --> 00:28:45,000
Speaker 5: like he's the heartbeat of that team, their offense. You

582
00:28:45,080 --> 00:28:47,800
Speaker 5: mentioned it, Yeah, they lose the Cary Franklin, but everyone

583
00:28:47,840 --> 00:28:51,200
Speaker 5: else is back. Frank Harris is so good and he's

584
00:28:51,280 --> 00:28:55,080
Speaker 5: gotten better all fifteen years he's been at UTSA, so like,

585
00:28:55,200 --> 00:28:57,160
Speaker 5: I don't even know that he's reached his ceiling yet.

586
00:28:57,680 --> 00:29:00,520
Speaker 5: So their offense I think is gonna be just an

587
00:29:00,520 --> 00:29:04,800
Speaker 5: absolute weapon. Again. My only question is, does does Jeff

588
00:29:04,880 --> 00:29:08,720
Speaker 5: Trailer win a Conference USA title, then win an American

589
00:29:08,760 --> 00:29:11,520
Speaker 5: Conference title, and then leave for a Power five job?

590
00:29:12,080 --> 00:29:13,880
Speaker 5: You know, maybe he gets the Texas A and m

591
00:29:14,000 --> 00:29:16,720
Speaker 5: job goes to the SEC for the three peat, three

592
00:29:16,880 --> 00:29:21,400
Speaker 5: different conference titles in a row. That'd be pretty impressive. Yeah,

593
00:29:21,400 --> 00:29:23,200
Speaker 5: I just you know, they don't have as many free

594
00:29:23,240 --> 00:29:27,440
Speaker 5: wins as they did in conference essay. You know, they

595
00:29:27,480 --> 00:29:29,680
Speaker 5: don't get Charlotte, they don't get Tulsa, which sucks. And

596
00:29:30,520 --> 00:29:32,560
Speaker 5: I think that that last game of the year, I

597
00:29:33,280 --> 00:29:37,480
Speaker 5: actually kind of stucky where I'm taking them. I'm playing

598
00:29:37,520 --> 00:29:39,880
Speaker 5: them against Houston in that game for sure, which is

599
00:29:40,000 --> 00:29:43,840
Speaker 5: kind of why I'm not playing their win total. I'm

600
00:29:43,880 --> 00:29:46,400
Speaker 5: just gonna play them against Houston. I think I'm gonna

601
00:29:46,400 --> 00:29:48,800
Speaker 5: take them to win the conference as well. And I

602
00:29:48,880 --> 00:29:51,280
Speaker 5: think that game it comes down to that at two

603
00:29:51,320 --> 00:29:54,440
Speaker 5: lane game at the end. I think that's kind of

604
00:29:54,480 --> 00:29:56,120
Speaker 5: my way to Faye tu lane. I guess is play

605
00:29:56,160 --> 00:29:59,320
Speaker 5: you say to win the conference, and ideally it's you

606
00:29:59,600 --> 00:30:03,200
Speaker 5: just say versus ASMU and the conference title and I

607
00:30:03,280 --> 00:30:05,040
Speaker 5: got a plus you know, three eighty and a plus

608
00:30:05,120 --> 00:30:07,480
Speaker 5: four fifty tickets in my pocket would be that would

609
00:30:07,480 --> 00:30:09,320
Speaker 5: be a nice, nice early December.

610
00:30:11,600 --> 00:30:19,200
Speaker 4: MM it is, we'll get into Memphis. Now. It's a

611
00:30:19,240 --> 00:30:21,640
Speaker 4: little confusing to me their win total as high as

612
00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:23,240
Speaker 4: it is, but then when I look at their schedule,

613
00:30:23,320 --> 00:30:24,920
Speaker 4: I can kind of see it. They're seven and six

614
00:30:24,960 --> 00:30:28,600
Speaker 4: straight up last year overall, three and five in conference play.

615
00:30:28,680 --> 00:30:31,080
Speaker 4: Sixty one percent of their offensive line starts to return

616
00:30:31,640 --> 00:30:34,600
Speaker 4: negative one point five in the net tar ten returning starters,

617
00:30:34,680 --> 00:30:35,760
Speaker 4: both specialists are going.

618
00:30:35,680 --> 00:30:36,040
Speaker 5: To be new.

619
00:30:36,520 --> 00:30:38,680
Speaker 4: They lost three games last year by three points are less,

620
00:30:38,720 --> 00:30:42,360
Speaker 4: including a four overtime game against East Carolina stupid NC

621
00:30:42,480 --> 00:30:46,480
Speaker 4: double a two point conversion rules seth had again third

622
00:30:46,600 --> 00:30:49,040
Speaker 4: year as a starter. Had nice season last year, sixty

623
00:30:49,080 --> 00:30:52,400
Speaker 4: four percent completions, twenty six total tds, only eight picks.

624
00:30:52,680 --> 00:30:54,840
Speaker 4: He cooked Utah State in the bowl game. So in

625
00:30:54,960 --> 00:30:56,920
Speaker 4: terms of recency bias, the last look we got out

626
00:30:56,920 --> 00:30:59,720
Speaker 4: of tires, they look strong. Some low key big wins

627
00:30:59,760 --> 00:31:02,120
Speaker 4: in the They get Blake Watson from Old Dominion, they

628
00:31:02,160 --> 00:31:06,280
Speaker 4: get to Mere Blank Comsee from Toledo at receiver A

629
00:31:06,400 --> 00:31:09,400
Speaker 4: and m and Ou transfers on the D line. To me, though,

630
00:31:09,480 --> 00:31:11,960
Speaker 4: it's like this schedule, Like, on one hand I break

631
00:31:12,000 --> 00:31:14,080
Speaker 4: it down, I'm like, there's a handful of gimmes. They

632
00:31:14,120 --> 00:31:17,680
Speaker 4: got Petune, Cookman, Arkansas State, UAB, which I'll talk about soon,

633
00:31:17,880 --> 00:31:20,880
Speaker 4: USF with a new staff, Charlotte. But then they have

634
00:31:20,960 --> 00:31:23,920
Speaker 4: this like weird four game stretch that starts, I want

635
00:31:23,960 --> 00:31:26,200
Speaker 4: to say near the end of September. They got home

636
00:31:26,240 --> 00:31:29,080
Speaker 4: against Navy, then they got Miszoo and Saint Louis, home

637
00:31:29,120 --> 00:31:32,240
Speaker 4: against Boise State, and then home against Tulane. I could

638
00:31:32,240 --> 00:31:34,200
Speaker 4: see just about anything happening in that window. I could

639
00:31:34,240 --> 00:31:36,080
Speaker 4: see three and one or one in three, and I

640
00:31:36,120 --> 00:31:38,360
Speaker 4: think it's gonna have a huge impact on their momentum

641
00:31:38,400 --> 00:31:40,600
Speaker 4: for the entire season. So this is a team that

642
00:31:40,720 --> 00:31:42,600
Speaker 4: I just I haven't figured out. So I'm gonna leave

643
00:31:42,600 --> 00:31:44,680
Speaker 4: them on the sideline. You could make a strong argument

644
00:31:44,760 --> 00:31:47,920
Speaker 4: for them to come, you know, from the outside of

645
00:31:48,000 --> 00:31:50,240
Speaker 4: the leader pack at six or seven to one to

646
00:31:50,320 --> 00:31:52,440
Speaker 4: win this thing. You can make an argument for over

647
00:31:52,640 --> 00:31:54,800
Speaker 4: eight on their win total, but I'm gonna start with

648
00:31:54,880 --> 00:31:56,920
Speaker 4: Ilo on this one. The Tigers were just a team

649
00:31:57,000 --> 00:31:59,960
Speaker 4: that I was scratching my head trying to just visual

650
00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:02,200
Speaker 4: the narrative of how the season plays out.

651
00:32:03,200 --> 00:32:04,880
Speaker 5: They talked about being a weird spot where I'm like

652
00:32:05,000 --> 00:32:07,400
Speaker 5: condplaying the over on like all these top team games.

653
00:32:07,480 --> 00:32:10,680
Speaker 5: But I like Memphis and I think Seth Hennigan is

654
00:32:10,840 --> 00:32:13,800
Speaker 5: criminally underrated. You know, back to back seasons with over

655
00:32:14,040 --> 00:32:17,760
Speaker 5: you know, three thousand yards twenty five and eight twenty one,

656
00:32:17,880 --> 00:32:20,640
Speaker 5: twenty two and eight twenty twenty two, so it protects

657
00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:23,000
Speaker 5: the ball. I think he's only getting better. They need

658
00:32:23,040 --> 00:32:24,600
Speaker 5: to get a little bit better in the deep game,

659
00:32:24,760 --> 00:32:27,160
Speaker 5: which you mentioned the Toledo transfer. Apparently he is like

660
00:32:27,400 --> 00:32:29,880
Speaker 5: absolutely turning heads in the spring, and the coaching staff

661
00:32:29,920 --> 00:32:32,400
Speaker 5: thinks he's going to totally up that deep passing game,

662
00:32:32,400 --> 00:32:34,720
Speaker 5: which is kind of their weakness. You mentioned the depth

663
00:32:34,760 --> 00:32:37,400
Speaker 5: at running back. They're loaded at running back, and so

664
00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:42,160
Speaker 5: I really like that there three linked receivers are gone.

665
00:32:42,200 --> 00:32:43,800
Speaker 5: But like I said, I think if the Toto transfer

666
00:32:43,880 --> 00:32:47,360
Speaker 5: comes in and can help them, that'll help the defense

667
00:32:47,440 --> 00:32:50,840
Speaker 5: lose its top two tacklers, but everyone else is kind

668
00:32:50,880 --> 00:32:54,320
Speaker 5: of back. It should do a better job of getting

669
00:32:54,320 --> 00:32:56,440
Speaker 5: after quarterback. That was kind of an issue last year,

670
00:32:56,480 --> 00:32:58,120
Speaker 5: but their d N should do a better job with that.

671
00:32:59,200 --> 00:33:01,360
Speaker 5: The only thing that's scared with Memphis is there a

672
00:33:01,400 --> 00:33:07,400
Speaker 5: weird team where they've lost eight of their last ten

673
00:33:07,600 --> 00:33:10,880
Speaker 5: one score games over the last couple of years. So

674
00:33:11,000 --> 00:33:14,560
Speaker 5: does that become coaching that's that thousand ask My question

675
00:33:14,760 --> 00:33:17,000
Speaker 5: is does that mean they're due for regression or does

676
00:33:17,080 --> 00:33:20,080
Speaker 5: that mean they just can't win close games? And that's

677
00:33:20,160 --> 00:33:22,320
Speaker 5: going to just continue to be an issue. You know,

678
00:33:22,680 --> 00:33:26,040
Speaker 5: Memphis was such a dominant program under Novel and stuff,

679
00:33:26,080 --> 00:33:29,600
Speaker 5: and then you know, Silverfield kind of hasn't kept them

680
00:33:29,640 --> 00:33:32,640
Speaker 5: or elevated them to that place. Looking at you know

681
00:33:32,800 --> 00:33:35,480
Speaker 5: how our action our power ratings have them favored in

682
00:33:35,600 --> 00:33:38,360
Speaker 5: ten games. You know, they avoid UTSA, they get too

683
00:33:38,400 --> 00:33:41,440
Speaker 5: Lane in SMU, but they're both at home. The only

684
00:33:41,600 --> 00:33:45,320
Speaker 5: games that are action our power ratings have them underdogs

685
00:33:45,400 --> 00:33:50,640
Speaker 5: in is Missouri and Tulane, which are honestly both winnable games.

686
00:33:50,800 --> 00:33:53,000
Speaker 5: You know, this team beat Mississippi State two years ago.

687
00:33:53,760 --> 00:33:56,320
Speaker 5: I'm not saying they're going to beat Missouri, but they

688
00:33:56,360 --> 00:33:59,920
Speaker 5: get Missouri in Saint Louis. It's not a road, true

689
00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:02,200
Speaker 5: road game. They could win that game.

690
00:34:02,440 --> 00:34:04,560
Speaker 2: So I like over eight.

691
00:34:04,720 --> 00:34:07,000
Speaker 5: I like that push because I think eight is kind

692
00:34:07,000 --> 00:34:11,000
Speaker 5: of their four, if that makes sense. So I picked

693
00:34:11,040 --> 00:34:13,200
Speaker 5: on them being you know, eight nine win. You know,

694
00:34:13,560 --> 00:34:15,920
Speaker 5: ten win teams, So I'm not going to buy them

695
00:34:15,960 --> 00:34:18,120
Speaker 5: from a conference perspective. If I like the other teams,

696
00:34:18,280 --> 00:34:20,640
Speaker 5: but I liked I liked the over on Memphis, I'm

697
00:34:20,640 --> 00:34:21,080
Speaker 5: gonna take it.

698
00:34:22,360 --> 00:34:25,080
Speaker 2: What do you think you're Yeah, I'll echo all the

699
00:34:25,200 --> 00:34:27,040
Speaker 2: sentiments and say I think they are due for some

700
00:34:27,080 --> 00:34:29,399
Speaker 2: regressive mean last year they at gained all but one

701
00:34:30,400 --> 00:34:33,319
Speaker 2: AC opponent. They were all in four and one prosession games,

702
00:34:33,360 --> 00:34:35,799
Speaker 2: and if you look at them, they lost. They lost

703
00:34:35,800 --> 00:34:38,120
Speaker 2: four by one possession, three by six combined points. All

704
00:34:38,160 --> 00:34:40,319
Speaker 2: five of their AC losses were by ten points or less.

705
00:34:40,600 --> 00:34:42,920
Speaker 2: They lost that absurd game to Houston. I had Houston

706
00:34:42,960 --> 00:34:45,560
Speaker 2: the luckiest whinever, like all these fourth down conversions late

707
00:34:46,160 --> 00:34:49,719
Speaker 2: on side kick four overtimes DCU. They also had the

708
00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:53,120
Speaker 2: ball inside the ten to win against SMU, like they

709
00:34:53,160 --> 00:34:55,880
Speaker 2: were just fluky. So yeah, I like this team. I

710
00:34:56,000 --> 00:34:59,319
Speaker 2: like Henigan. I like the schedule. They're also the only

711
00:34:59,400 --> 00:35:01,719
Speaker 2: team in illegal fourteen that returns the same head coach,

712
00:35:01,800 --> 00:35:05,400
Speaker 2: offensive coordner, defensive coordinator, and quarterback second year of both schemes.

713
00:35:05,960 --> 00:35:10,040
Speaker 2: Very manageable road schedule. Also, if they beat SMU at home,

714
00:35:10,480 --> 00:35:12,560
Speaker 2: maybe that gets them over and then knocks SMU out.

715
00:35:12,600 --> 00:35:14,680
Speaker 2: It's kind of the semi hedged SMU as well, the

716
00:35:14,840 --> 00:35:17,359
Speaker 2: SMU future, but I like the over eight as well.

717
00:35:18,160 --> 00:35:20,719
Speaker 4: All right, let's turn now to an FAU team that

718
00:35:20,800 --> 00:35:22,800
Speaker 4: went five and seven last year. They faded down the

719
00:35:22,840 --> 00:35:25,440
Speaker 4: stretch four and foreign conference. Their win to set at

720
00:35:25,440 --> 00:35:27,759
Speaker 4: seven and a half, sixty percent of their line starts

721
00:35:27,840 --> 00:35:30,400
Speaker 4: return plus seven in the net tart, plus five on

722
00:35:30,480 --> 00:35:33,960
Speaker 4: defense alone, sixteen returning starters and their kicker. And the

723
00:35:34,000 --> 00:35:36,279
Speaker 4: big headline here is the return of Tom Herman to

724
00:35:36,400 --> 00:35:40,000
Speaker 4: the G five ranks. Here just a quick spiel on

725
00:35:40,719 --> 00:35:44,440
Speaker 4: the national narrative, which I think is interesting. Generally, people

726
00:35:44,600 --> 00:35:48,520
Speaker 4: judge coaches at their highest level wherever they elevate to,

727
00:35:48,680 --> 00:35:51,000
Speaker 4: whether it's you know, an elite Power five job or

728
00:35:51,040 --> 00:35:53,359
Speaker 4: they go to the NFL, and they view that as

729
00:35:53,520 --> 00:35:56,080
Speaker 4: the true nature of their coaching. And I think Tom

730
00:35:56,120 --> 00:35:58,839
Speaker 4: Herman is this weird situation where people are like, see,

731
00:35:58,880 --> 00:36:00,840
Speaker 4: you got fired at Texas. He was kind of a fraud.

732
00:36:01,520 --> 00:36:04,280
Speaker 4: Just real quick. He went thirty two and eighteen at Texas.

733
00:36:04,320 --> 00:36:06,520
Speaker 4: He went four to ohero in bowl games, including a

734
00:36:06,600 --> 00:36:08,320
Speaker 4: Sugar Bowl win over Georgia.

735
00:36:08,719 --> 00:36:11,040
Speaker 3: We are not in a point in our program where

736
00:36:11,120 --> 00:36:14,600
Speaker 3: we can not play our best and expect to win,

737
00:36:15,239 --> 00:36:16,319
Speaker 3: it's not going to happen.

738
00:36:16,800 --> 00:36:20,799
Speaker 4: Whereas Sarkisian has as much rope as he wants here,

739
00:36:20,840 --> 00:36:23,399
Speaker 4: everyone's just given him a bunch of latitude and he'll

740
00:36:23,400 --> 00:36:25,160
Speaker 4: get it figured out. Where Tom Herman, it was like

741
00:36:25,400 --> 00:36:27,279
Speaker 4: he was coaching for his life. It seemed like the

742
00:36:27,360 --> 00:36:29,279
Speaker 4: last two years. And then when I look at his

743
00:36:29,360 --> 00:36:32,080
Speaker 4: overall resume, he was a star as an offensive coordinator

744
00:36:32,080 --> 00:36:34,239
Speaker 4: of Texas State when they're in the FCS. Then he

745
00:36:34,360 --> 00:36:36,399
Speaker 4: was a star as an oc at rice. He turned

746
00:36:36,440 --> 00:36:39,560
Speaker 4: them into a crazy dynamic offense with Chase Clement and

747
00:36:39,920 --> 00:36:42,800
Speaker 4: James Casey and Dillard and all those guys. Then he

748
00:36:42,920 --> 00:36:45,920
Speaker 4: transforms the offense at Iowa State, an offense that historically

749
00:36:46,160 --> 00:36:48,520
Speaker 4: has never been all that potent, orchestrates one of the

750
00:36:48,520 --> 00:36:50,560
Speaker 4: greatest upsets in the history of college football when they

751
00:36:50,640 --> 00:36:53,360
Speaker 4: knock off Oklahoma State when they were two in the BCS,

752
00:36:53,760 --> 00:36:57,240
Speaker 4: ruined their national title chances, goes to Ohio State, overcomes

753
00:36:57,280 --> 00:37:00,319
Speaker 4: all the quarterback injuries, wins them a national title, hills

754
00:37:00,320 --> 00:37:03,040
Speaker 4: it at Houston and G five Ranks leads them with

755
00:37:03,640 --> 00:37:06,160
Speaker 4: a wide receiver turned quarterback All the way to a

756
00:37:06,200 --> 00:37:08,600
Speaker 4: New Year's Six Bowl and they just whip Florida State.

757
00:37:08,920 --> 00:37:10,719
Speaker 4: And then, like as mentioned, you know he did well

758
00:37:10,760 --> 00:37:13,399
Speaker 4: at Texas, he just didn't break through and lead them

759
00:37:13,560 --> 00:37:15,960
Speaker 4: to a college football playoff bid or you know, a

760
00:37:16,040 --> 00:37:18,319
Speaker 4: national title or anything like that. I think this guy's

761
00:37:18,360 --> 00:37:20,120
Speaker 4: a great coach. And then I look at what he

762
00:37:20,200 --> 00:37:23,120
Speaker 4: has offensively to work with here, whether it's Casey Thompson

763
00:37:23,200 --> 00:37:26,759
Speaker 4: or Daniel Richardson at quarterback. The weapons are all there

764
00:37:27,200 --> 00:37:30,480
Speaker 4: for this to work because Larry mccannon the third is

765
00:37:30,560 --> 00:37:32,520
Speaker 4: one of the best running backs in this conference. Kobe

766
00:37:32,640 --> 00:37:35,520
Speaker 4: Lewis aka low Key Lewis coming in from Central Michigan.

767
00:37:35,600 --> 00:37:37,200
Speaker 4: I think he went for a thousand yards a couple

768
00:37:37,200 --> 00:37:40,040
Speaker 4: of years ago for the Chips, Legonte Wester out on

769
00:37:40,120 --> 00:37:42,480
Speaker 4: the perimeter. I love what they have on offense. I

770
00:37:42,520 --> 00:37:45,440
Speaker 4: think this could be the surprise offense of the AAC.

771
00:37:46,000 --> 00:37:48,719
Speaker 4: The defense has nearly the entire back seven back seven

772
00:37:48,760 --> 00:37:52,399
Speaker 4: of their top eight tacklers. Tough opening month in terms

773
00:37:52,440 --> 00:37:54,200
Speaker 4: of who they draw Ohio, one of the best G

774
00:37:54,400 --> 00:37:57,640
Speaker 4: five teams at Clemson at Illinois, but I'm bullish on

775
00:37:57,719 --> 00:37:59,600
Speaker 4: this team. I'm going over on their win total as

776
00:37:59,640 --> 00:38:02,280
Speaker 4: my face for play on a win total in this conference,

777
00:38:02,480 --> 00:38:04,359
Speaker 4: and I think there's plenty of value on them at

778
00:38:04,400 --> 00:38:06,000
Speaker 4: eight to one, I'd love to get just a little

779
00:38:06,040 --> 00:38:08,319
Speaker 4: bit better plus a fifty nine to one. I'm going

780
00:38:08,360 --> 00:38:10,719
Speaker 4: to shop around. I'll start with you, Stuck. Do you

781
00:38:10,800 --> 00:38:13,040
Speaker 4: agree with my assessment at Herman that for some reason

782
00:38:13,320 --> 00:38:15,560
Speaker 4: he has all this negativity around him and that he

783
00:38:15,680 --> 00:38:18,240
Speaker 4: had to settle for a job at FAU when honestly

784
00:38:18,320 --> 00:38:20,640
Speaker 4: he's been really a great coach for about twenty years.

785
00:38:21,480 --> 00:38:23,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, her want me a bunch of money. I'm a

786
00:38:23,120 --> 00:38:27,320
Speaker 2: Herman guy, and I will be betting an FAU future.

787
00:38:27,400 --> 00:38:30,320
Speaker 2: Here shopro out for best number. My hope is FAU

788
00:38:30,480 --> 00:38:36,880
Speaker 2: versus SMU in the conference championship game. FAU avoids SMU,

789
00:38:36,960 --> 00:38:39,600
Speaker 2: for what it's worth. They also avoid Memphis, and they

790
00:38:39,680 --> 00:38:43,080
Speaker 2: host UTSA and Tulane. Those are the top four projected teams.

791
00:38:43,880 --> 00:38:48,359
Speaker 2: Very manageable road conference schedule at USF at Charlotte, at

792
00:38:48,520 --> 00:38:52,520
Speaker 2: UAB at Rice. I mean, come on, just to schedule alone,

793
00:38:52,880 --> 00:38:55,480
Speaker 2: Casey Thompson, I actually love the offensive line. I love

794
00:38:55,480 --> 00:38:57,319
Speaker 2: the offensive line Coach tire Thin. The offensive line could

795
00:38:57,320 --> 00:38:58,640
Speaker 2: be really good. You mentioned they have one of the

796
00:38:58,719 --> 00:39:01,880
Speaker 2: best backs in the conference. Thompson now playing at this level,

797
00:39:02,480 --> 00:39:05,280
Speaker 2: I think can actually exceed what Perry did. And Perry

798
00:39:05,360 --> 00:39:07,920
Speaker 2: was actually much more efficient than I thought he was

799
00:39:07,960 --> 00:39:13,760
Speaker 2: going to be. So yeah, I think that this experienced

800
00:39:13,800 --> 00:39:16,640
Speaker 2: defensive line can take a jump as well. They've returned

801
00:39:16,680 --> 00:39:18,759
Speaker 2: five starters and seconded like, there's a lot to like

802
00:39:18,800 --> 00:39:20,880
Speaker 2: about this team. Some of the chancewers they bought in

803
00:39:21,920 --> 00:39:24,880
Speaker 2: at in the schedule. I think that's a big coaching

804
00:39:24,960 --> 00:39:27,960
Speaker 2: upgrade across the board. I'm buying FAU. Give me an

805
00:39:28,080 --> 00:39:32,120
Speaker 2: FAU future to go along with my Stone age future.

806
00:39:33,160 --> 00:39:35,520
Speaker 2: I don't know if they named Thompson the starter already.

807
00:39:35,520 --> 00:39:37,359
Speaker 2: Obviously Daniel Richardson in the mix.

808
00:39:38,000 --> 00:39:40,440
Speaker 4: Remind me, Ianello, did you call him the Raymond Feldon

809
00:39:40,480 --> 00:39:42,640
Speaker 4: of college football back in the day he saw it off.

810
00:39:42,719 --> 00:39:44,920
Speaker 4: He's like five to nine, two hundred and thirty pounds,

811
00:39:45,000 --> 00:39:46,960
Speaker 4: but he was a playmaker for the Chips, like I

812
00:39:47,000 --> 00:39:48,520
Speaker 4: wouldn't hate if he was the starter either.

813
00:39:49,320 --> 00:39:52,360
Speaker 5: Yeah, He's like a fire hydrum with legs. It's funny

814
00:39:52,400 --> 00:39:54,840
Speaker 5: I wrote down basically the same exact thing as you is.

815
00:39:55,040 --> 00:39:57,080
Speaker 5: You know, it's easy to remember Texas Tom Herman, but

816
00:39:57,600 --> 00:40:00,560
Speaker 5: he went twenty two and four at then when he

817
00:40:00,680 --> 00:40:03,480
Speaker 5: was the coach there. Eat Hey, Willie Fritz is the

818
00:40:03,520 --> 00:40:05,960
Speaker 5: only other coach with an AAC title in this conference

819
00:40:06,040 --> 00:40:08,279
Speaker 5: other than Tom Herman, So you know, he kind of

820
00:40:08,320 --> 00:40:10,720
Speaker 5: gives me the I'm kind of having the Clay Hellton

821
00:40:10,800 --> 00:40:12,440
Speaker 5: Georgia Southern vibe. There was the same thing with that.

822
00:40:12,560 --> 00:40:14,760
Speaker 5: Clay Hellen comes in and takes to a bowl, revamps

823
00:40:14,800 --> 00:40:17,359
Speaker 5: the offense. Like Tom Herman is a very good coach.

824
00:40:17,560 --> 00:40:20,360
Speaker 5: And I think I mentioned it on the MAC podcast.

825
00:40:20,400 --> 00:40:21,840
Speaker 5: I don't know what order these are coming out, but

826
00:40:21,920 --> 00:40:23,480
Speaker 5: if I'm saying this for the second or first time,

827
00:40:24,040 --> 00:40:26,399
Speaker 5: I have a very tiny brain and I see something

828
00:40:26,480 --> 00:40:29,319
Speaker 5: and I remember it. And Casey Thompson in that Bowl

829
00:40:29,400 --> 00:40:33,400
Speaker 5: game against Colorado looked like the best quarterback on the planet.

830
00:40:33,680 --> 00:40:35,759
Speaker 5: I guess whose coach was in that game. It was

831
00:40:35,800 --> 00:40:38,480
Speaker 5: Tom Herman. And then sure he went to Nebraska and struggled,

832
00:40:38,520 --> 00:40:40,960
Speaker 5: but he had a muppet as his coach. So I

833
00:40:41,040 --> 00:40:43,440
Speaker 5: think Casey Thompson is this court is their quarterback. I'm

834
00:40:43,480 --> 00:40:46,760
Speaker 5: hoping he is. But I do also like Daniel Richardson

835
00:40:46,760 --> 00:40:48,320
Speaker 5: as well. He really tailed off last year, but he

836
00:40:48,400 --> 00:40:50,200
Speaker 5: was great in twenty twenty one, a guy we loved.

837
00:40:50,840 --> 00:40:53,480
Speaker 5: They have so many weapons on both sides. You know,

838
00:40:53,760 --> 00:40:56,920
Speaker 5: top seven, top eight tacklers. You mentioned thet SAT and

839
00:40:56,960 --> 00:40:59,240
Speaker 5: Tulane at home, and again you look at their schedule,

840
00:40:59,320 --> 00:41:02,000
Speaker 5: you know their road conference games or South Florida, Charlotte,

841
00:41:02,040 --> 00:41:04,520
Speaker 5: UA b Rice. That should be four wins. You beat Ohio,

842
00:41:04,640 --> 00:41:09,760
Speaker 5: that's five. You know you need two wins against Tulsa, Utsa,

843
00:41:10,040 --> 00:41:11,759
Speaker 5: E c U and Tulane and all of them are

844
00:41:11,800 --> 00:41:14,520
Speaker 5: at home. So I love the hire of Herman. I

845
00:41:14,640 --> 00:41:17,120
Speaker 5: promise my AAC love fest stops here because there's only

846
00:41:17,160 --> 00:41:19,200
Speaker 5: so many teams I can invest in. But I do

847
00:41:19,360 --> 00:41:21,960
Speaker 5: like over seven and a half. Okay cool, hook them

848
00:41:22,360 --> 00:41:25,080
Speaker 5: or or is it okay cool? Whom is that? Whom?

849
00:41:25,160 --> 00:41:25,920
Speaker 5: Is that what they're going to say?

850
00:41:25,920 --> 00:41:26,000
Speaker 4: Now?

851
00:41:26,040 --> 00:41:27,960
Speaker 5: For the Elves, I'm all in on this team too.

852
00:41:28,800 --> 00:41:30,600
Speaker 2: Yeah. I think it'll be Thompson to get the job because,

853
00:41:30,880 --> 00:41:33,560
Speaker 2: like you said, he has it's tough. You know, new

854
00:41:33,600 --> 00:41:36,439
Speaker 2: head coach, off its quad and a quarterback in year one.

855
00:41:37,040 --> 00:41:41,000
Speaker 2: But you know Thompson played Verman, knows the system and

856
00:41:41,560 --> 00:41:43,960
Speaker 2: slinging in that game. Yeah, so I think that that

857
00:41:44,920 --> 00:41:47,399
Speaker 2: that gives him the leg up. But it doesn't hurt

858
00:41:48,040 --> 00:41:52,680
Speaker 2: to have It doesn't hurt to have a quarterback depth,

859
00:41:52,760 --> 00:41:55,959
Speaker 2: which they certainly do if there's an injury or someone

860
00:41:56,080 --> 00:41:59,840
Speaker 2: is ineffective. And uh yeah, hashtag winning in Paradise is

861
00:42:00,520 --> 00:42:03,480
Speaker 2: what they say for Fau down there and BOOKA. We're

862
00:42:03,520 --> 00:42:05,240
Speaker 2: going on, all right, we'll.

863
00:42:05,080 --> 00:42:07,640
Speaker 4: Pick up some steam here for the middle class citizens

864
00:42:07,719 --> 00:42:10,279
Speaker 4: of the AAC. We'll start with North Texas seven and

865
00:42:10,400 --> 00:42:12,800
Speaker 4: seven last year six and two in conference or wintill

866
00:42:12,880 --> 00:42:15,040
Speaker 4: was set at six. Eighty percent of their O line

867
00:42:15,080 --> 00:42:16,960
Speaker 4: starts return and that's important because they have a new

868
00:42:17,000 --> 00:42:19,600
Speaker 4: offensive system. They're plus four point five and then that

869
00:42:19,760 --> 00:42:23,200
Speaker 4: TARP thirteen returning starters. I think this is an alarm

870
00:42:23,320 --> 00:42:26,120
Speaker 4: bell over team because when you look at what they

871
00:42:26,200 --> 00:42:29,359
Speaker 4: have in Eric Morris's pass happy system. Chandler Rogers comes

872
00:42:29,360 --> 00:42:31,719
Speaker 4: in from Ulm, one of the more underrated G five

873
00:42:31,800 --> 00:42:35,240
Speaker 4: quarterbacks in my opinion, experience a receiver in Roderick Burns

874
00:42:35,400 --> 00:42:37,839
Speaker 4: Ragsdale at running back. As I mentioned, the talented line,

875
00:42:38,080 --> 00:42:40,399
Speaker 4: but on defense, they're switching over to a three three five,

876
00:42:40,840 --> 00:42:42,520
Speaker 4: not a whole lot of experience. It's going to take

877
00:42:42,560 --> 00:42:44,279
Speaker 4: time to gel. I think there's going to be a

878
00:42:44,360 --> 00:42:46,719
Speaker 4: lot of very high scoring games involving the Mean Green.

879
00:42:47,040 --> 00:42:49,880
Speaker 4: Tough schedule at two lane, Memphis at home, UTSA at

880
00:42:49,880 --> 00:42:52,960
Speaker 4: home at SMU. So I think this number is just

881
00:42:53,000 --> 00:42:55,520
Speaker 4: about right and maybe lean to the under. But with

882
00:42:55,640 --> 00:42:59,040
Speaker 4: this offensive system, if it pops and Rogers is the

883
00:42:59,080 --> 00:43:01,319
Speaker 4: guy to run it, they could really surprise. But I'm

884
00:43:01,360 --> 00:43:03,520
Speaker 4: just gonna look to play them in a lot of overs,

885
00:43:03,560 --> 00:43:05,840
Speaker 4: particularly in the front half of the season. Stock What

886
00:43:05,920 --> 00:43:08,040
Speaker 4: are your thoughts on the Mean Green and Eric Morris

887
00:43:08,120 --> 00:43:11,640
Speaker 4: coming in, You know, a bally Hood coach at the

888
00:43:11,760 --> 00:43:14,279
Speaker 4: FCS level. What he did incarnate word. It didn't quite

889
00:43:14,320 --> 00:43:17,279
Speaker 4: pop last year as the OC at Wazoo, but maybe

890
00:43:17,320 --> 00:43:19,080
Speaker 4: it does now he's back in the state of Texas.

891
00:43:19,640 --> 00:43:21,840
Speaker 2: The air raid usually the first year you're going to struggle,

892
00:43:22,560 --> 00:43:24,480
Speaker 2: and you can look at like leeches first year, as

893
00:43:24,520 --> 00:43:27,480
Speaker 2: they're usually a struggle. He's been rip to the goat

894
00:43:27,680 --> 00:43:30,400
Speaker 2: Mike Leach and Morris as a Leech disciple. But he's

895
00:43:30,800 --> 00:43:32,359
Speaker 2: gonna there's a lot of change here and you got

896
00:43:32,400 --> 00:43:36,000
Speaker 2: a first time, first time rolls for your coordinators and

897
00:43:36,040 --> 00:43:39,359
Speaker 2: head coach. So he wants to bring the air raid

898
00:43:39,400 --> 00:43:42,239
Speaker 2: in a wide open passing attack. But the strength of

899
00:43:42,280 --> 00:43:44,760
Speaker 2: the team is their running back room and they're rushing

900
00:43:44,800 --> 00:43:47,160
Speaker 2: prow So, like I've read a couple of articles down

901
00:43:47,239 --> 00:43:51,200
Speaker 2: there and I forget whatever the Denton paper is something,

902
00:43:51,480 --> 00:43:54,719
Speaker 2: Denton Gazette, whatever the fuck it is, talking about how

903
00:43:54,760 --> 00:43:58,080
Speaker 2: like Morris wants to blend. They're going to try to

904
00:43:58,120 --> 00:44:00,560
Speaker 2: blend the air raid with this strength of the team,

905
00:44:00,560 --> 00:44:02,800
Speaker 2: which they're running backs, like might use two running backs

906
00:44:02,880 --> 00:44:05,360
Speaker 2: and so and then you got all this experience the

907
00:44:05,360 --> 00:44:07,000
Speaker 2: offense line but usually has to struggle in the first

908
00:44:07,040 --> 00:44:09,960
Speaker 2: year of changing splits and new scheme. You're changing the

909
00:44:09,960 --> 00:44:13,560
Speaker 2: scheme on defense to them word about their linebackers, and

910
00:44:13,640 --> 00:44:16,440
Speaker 2: they just struggled across the board last year. It's a

911
00:44:16,520 --> 00:44:20,000
Speaker 2: lot of change here. So it's a team I'm just

912
00:44:20,040 --> 00:44:21,879
Speaker 2: going to be looking to buying a week to week

913
00:44:21,960 --> 00:44:25,320
Speaker 2: basis over six minus one fifteen with all the change

914
00:44:25,320 --> 00:44:28,480
Speaker 2: I would lean under. I might actually look to bet

915
00:44:28,520 --> 00:44:32,480
Speaker 2: them week one. But against Cal as a home dog,

916
00:44:33,480 --> 00:44:36,399
Speaker 2: a little element of surprise there. The schedule's tough though

917
00:44:36,440 --> 00:44:39,839
Speaker 2: they don't get Charlotte or USF. They go to two

918
00:44:39,920 --> 00:44:42,840
Speaker 2: Blane and SMU. They host you a Butsam Memphis. I

919
00:44:42,880 --> 00:44:44,680
Speaker 2: means I get five of the top six teams in

920
00:44:44,760 --> 00:44:47,440
Speaker 2: the league and only three at the seven worst of

921
00:44:47,600 --> 00:44:51,760
Speaker 2: my projected standings, So like, where are your your gimme wins?

922
00:44:51,920 --> 00:44:56,840
Speaker 2: It's like Temple at home, Abilene at home at FIU,

923
00:44:57,960 --> 00:44:59,480
Speaker 2: and then like a lot of your tough games are

924
00:44:59,520 --> 00:45:02,520
Speaker 2: on the road. They played that they didn't they lost

925
00:45:02,560 --> 00:45:06,120
Speaker 2: the schedule ot or a year. But it's a wait

926
00:45:06,200 --> 00:45:08,320
Speaker 2: and see for me. I'm curious to see how this

927
00:45:08,480 --> 00:45:10,359
Speaker 2: transition happens. If I had a bet, it'll go under.

928
00:45:10,440 --> 00:45:12,759
Speaker 2: Just all the change and usually their raid trying to

929
00:45:12,800 --> 00:45:14,480
Speaker 2: blend it with this rushing offense too. It's going to

930
00:45:14,520 --> 00:45:16,520
Speaker 2: be some struggles, but passed for me on North Texas.

931
00:45:17,000 --> 00:45:19,160
Speaker 4: Do you agree, Ianello, it looks like we're going under.

932
00:45:19,560 --> 00:45:21,920
Speaker 5: Yeah. I hate I hate everything this team did. I

933
00:45:22,080 --> 00:45:24,359
Speaker 5: hate this higher you know, well, first of all, let's

934
00:45:24,400 --> 00:45:27,440
Speaker 5: pour one out for the fact that austin Ani decided

935
00:45:27,880 --> 00:45:30,919
Speaker 5: not to come back for his age thirty season, which

936
00:45:30,960 --> 00:45:33,600
Speaker 5: he did somehow have eligibility left. He could have came

937
00:45:33,640 --> 00:45:35,200
Speaker 5: back if we wanted to, we would have a three

938
00:45:35,239 --> 00:45:39,040
Speaker 5: year old playing quarterback. Rip to austin one. I hate

939
00:45:39,080 --> 00:45:41,000
Speaker 5: what this team is doing. Suck. You mentioned that they

940
00:45:41,120 --> 00:45:43,000
Speaker 5: you know, first of all, firing staff, the trail out

941
00:45:43,000 --> 00:45:45,439
Speaker 5: three reaches the conference title game and reached the Bowl

942
00:45:45,520 --> 00:45:50,719
Speaker 5: in six of his seventh No sense. And then they

943
00:45:50,800 --> 00:45:55,440
Speaker 5: have three stud running backs had away a die in Ragsdale.

944
00:45:55,600 --> 00:45:57,359
Speaker 5: I don't know how they kept all of them there.

945
00:45:57,520 --> 00:45:59,279
Speaker 5: I don't know why the hell all three of them

946
00:45:59,360 --> 00:46:02,160
Speaker 5: came back. They all averaged fifty eight yards per game

947
00:46:02,239 --> 00:46:05,880
Speaker 5: last year and over the last two years. When they

948
00:46:06,000 --> 00:46:08,640
Speaker 5: ran the ball, they were great. And they bring in

949
00:46:08,680 --> 00:46:11,200
Speaker 5: Chandler Rogers, who, by the way, is a better runner

950
00:46:11,200 --> 00:46:13,280
Speaker 5: than he as a passer. To begin with, they should

951
00:46:13,360 --> 00:46:15,240
Speaker 5: never throw the ball, so for them to be running

952
00:46:15,239 --> 00:46:18,399
Speaker 5: an air raid is so stupid. It makes no sense.

953
00:46:18,520 --> 00:46:20,560
Speaker 5: I hate it. Their whole defense is switching up to

954
00:46:20,719 --> 00:46:23,000
Speaker 5: to a three three five, which isn't going to work

955
00:46:23,000 --> 00:46:25,680
Speaker 5: because they're super small up front. They lose Katie Davis,

956
00:46:25,719 --> 00:46:29,200
Speaker 5: their star linebacker. And you mentioned the schedule. It's kind

957
00:46:29,200 --> 00:46:31,920
Speaker 5: of funny because they basically have about as easy as

958
00:46:31,960 --> 00:46:34,359
Speaker 5: a non con as you can get in the G five,

959
00:46:34,800 --> 00:46:36,600
Speaker 5: but then their conference schedule just screws them and they

960
00:46:36,600 --> 00:46:38,680
Speaker 5: don't get any of the easy teams in the Atlantic

961
00:46:38,880 --> 00:46:41,920
Speaker 5: or the American So I hate what they're doing. I

962
00:46:42,000 --> 00:46:43,919
Speaker 5: think I'm gonna stay away. I might end up playing

963
00:46:43,960 --> 00:46:46,279
Speaker 5: it under just out of anger. But yeah, I don't

964
00:46:46,320 --> 00:46:47,000
Speaker 5: like this team at all.

965
00:46:48,040 --> 00:46:51,040
Speaker 4: So you mentioned Austin Ony, We talked about, you know,

966
00:46:52,239 --> 00:46:54,840
Speaker 4: Utsa and their seventh year wonder quarterback. It's just not

967
00:46:55,040 --> 00:46:57,719
Speaker 4: fair that ECU couldn't bring hold Nailers back for.

968
00:46:57,760 --> 00:46:58,239
Speaker 6: One more year.

969
00:46:58,320 --> 00:47:00,480
Speaker 4: I feel like everyone was just getting a set year.

970
00:47:00,560 --> 00:47:03,520
Speaker 4: So por one out for Ailers. ECU eight and five

971
00:47:03,640 --> 00:47:05,720
Speaker 4: last year, four and four in conference, their win total

972
00:47:05,920 --> 00:47:07,520
Speaker 4: all the way down to five and a half. Only

973
00:47:07,640 --> 00:47:10,680
Speaker 4: forty one percent of their line starts return negative ten

974
00:47:10,800 --> 00:47:13,719
Speaker 4: point five in the net tarp woof negative seven on

975
00:47:13,760 --> 00:47:15,800
Speaker 4: an offense alone. That's tied for the worst in FBS,

976
00:47:16,239 --> 00:47:19,440
Speaker 4: only ten returning starters in total. Both specialists new faces

977
00:47:19,480 --> 00:47:23,480
Speaker 4: everywhere at Michigan versus Marshall at app State, SMU at

978
00:47:23,600 --> 00:47:29,120
Speaker 4: UTSA to Lane at home. I mean, I've historically always

979
00:47:29,239 --> 00:47:31,359
Speaker 4: really liked ECU. I think they have a great home

980
00:47:31,400 --> 00:47:33,640
Speaker 4: field advantage. They have one of the best sports bars

981
00:47:33,640 --> 00:47:38,239
Speaker 4: in America. Subdogs. Their run defense is gonna be pretty good.

982
00:47:38,400 --> 00:47:41,120
Speaker 4: You know, they're strong against the run. Last year they

983
00:47:41,200 --> 00:47:44,480
Speaker 4: returned their entire d line, but huge concern in the secondary.

984
00:47:44,680 --> 00:47:47,120
Speaker 4: I think they're gonna get shredded through the air. This

985
00:47:47,320 --> 00:47:49,040
Speaker 4: is the year I think they finally have to take

986
00:47:49,040 --> 00:47:51,680
Speaker 4: a step back. Mike Houston has to have a rebuilding year. Stuck.

987
00:47:51,719 --> 00:47:53,920
Speaker 4: Do you agree a team that's kind of been banging

988
00:47:54,000 --> 00:47:56,640
Speaker 4: up against like maybe getting to the nine to ten

989
00:47:56,760 --> 00:47:59,600
Speaker 4: win window. If they were able to upset a team

990
00:47:59,680 --> 00:48:02,400
Speaker 4: like C State. They couldn't quite pull it off. They

991
00:48:02,440 --> 00:48:03,880
Speaker 4: seem to be so close, but I think this is

992
00:48:03,880 --> 00:48:05,600
Speaker 4: the year they take a few steps back. Do you agree?

993
00:48:06,200 --> 00:48:09,080
Speaker 2: Yeah? Under nothing with ECU r at p l Ors.

994
00:48:09,120 --> 00:48:11,280
Speaker 2: I mean, this kid Mason See is a big armless

995
00:48:11,320 --> 00:48:14,200
Speaker 2: some potential, but big losses at receiver with Johnson Winstad,

996
00:48:14,200 --> 00:48:17,000
Speaker 2: also Jones or tight end who I love in you know,

997
00:48:17,080 --> 00:48:21,000
Speaker 2: inexperienced offensive line defense too, big losses on the back end.

998
00:48:21,040 --> 00:48:22,360
Speaker 2: The D line will still be good and we'll be

999
00:48:22,680 --> 00:48:25,359
Speaker 2: decent against the run, but big losses on the back end.

1000
00:48:25,360 --> 00:48:28,319
Speaker 2: It will need some SCS transfers to step up. Schedule wise,

1001
00:48:28,320 --> 00:48:30,080
Speaker 2: they also play five to the top six and only

1002
00:48:30,120 --> 00:48:33,239
Speaker 2: three of the bottom seven. You got some wins that

1003
00:48:33,280 --> 00:48:35,600
Speaker 2: you think you'll have there. Gardner Webinhomes Charlotte at Home

1004
00:48:35,920 --> 00:48:39,399
Speaker 2: Tulse at home. You know they match up well with Navy.

1005
00:48:39,440 --> 00:48:42,719
Speaker 2: They're at Navy. Yeah, can they steal one or two? Sure?

1006
00:48:42,760 --> 00:48:46,279
Speaker 2: I think they're priced close to I show a little

1007
00:48:46,320 --> 00:48:48,879
Speaker 2: that in the under not wildly, it's under nothing.

1008
00:48:48,920 --> 00:48:49,360
Speaker 4: With ECU.

1009
00:48:49,480 --> 00:48:51,000
Speaker 2: I do think they take a step back. Lots of

1010
00:48:51,080 --> 00:48:55,080
Speaker 2: losses everywhere. Well, they do have coaching continuity at least,

1011
00:48:55,160 --> 00:48:59,279
Speaker 2: but yeah, major losses across the board for ECU under

1012
00:48:59,360 --> 00:48:59,680
Speaker 2: or nothing.

1013
00:49:00,440 --> 00:49:02,600
Speaker 4: Any quick thoughts here, I know, I.

1014
00:49:02,680 --> 00:49:06,400
Speaker 5: Just think it sucks because last year's team would have

1015
00:49:06,440 --> 00:49:09,399
Speaker 5: been so much fun in this New American because last

1016
00:49:09,480 --> 00:49:11,040
Speaker 5: year's team is right up there with st and U

1017
00:49:11,120 --> 00:49:13,840
Speaker 5: Memphis challenging for the top spot. So it just sucks

1018
00:49:13,880 --> 00:49:16,080
Speaker 5: that the timing wise were dot this way. But yeah,

1019
00:49:16,120 --> 00:49:18,800
Speaker 5: I'm with you, stuck under or nothing. I think you know,

1020
00:49:18,880 --> 00:49:20,920
Speaker 5: if you the winsol is five and a half and

1021
00:49:21,000 --> 00:49:22,759
Speaker 5: you look at the schedule in this team, to me,

1022
00:49:23,000 --> 00:49:26,920
Speaker 5: six is there absolute ceiling. So I'm not gonna want

1023
00:49:26,920 --> 00:49:28,239
Speaker 5: to play over five and a half on a team

1024
00:49:28,239 --> 00:49:30,520
Speaker 5: where I don't think there's a chance of getting seven wins.

1025
00:49:30,560 --> 00:49:32,279
Speaker 5: So yeah, I lean under as well.

1026
00:49:33,080 --> 00:49:35,560
Speaker 4: If it was a crime that whole Nayler's didn't get

1027
00:49:35,600 --> 00:49:38,480
Speaker 4: a seventh year eligibility. Talk about a major crime in

1028
00:49:38,680 --> 00:49:42,399
Speaker 4: ken Neamtzo Lolo getting fired at his locker. Oh, I'm sorry,

1029
00:49:42,480 --> 00:49:45,440
Speaker 4: I'm just the greatest coach in the last sixty years

1030
00:49:45,480 --> 00:49:48,719
Speaker 4: at Navy. But go ahead and unceremoniously can meet in

1031
00:49:48,840 --> 00:49:51,239
Speaker 4: the locker room. Just absolutely ridiculous. Need to get that

1032
00:49:51,360 --> 00:49:52,359
Speaker 4: off my chest right away.

1033
00:49:56,320 --> 00:50:00,640
Speaker 2: Sales Es wins.

1034
00:50:03,719 --> 00:50:11,040
Speaker 4: Down maybe four and a last year four and four

1035
00:50:11,080 --> 00:50:12,960
Speaker 4: in conference. Their winter will say at six and a half,

1036
00:50:13,000 --> 00:50:15,040
Speaker 4: you actually get plus money plus one twenty five on

1037
00:50:15,120 --> 00:50:17,240
Speaker 4: the over close to eighty percent of their line starts

1038
00:50:17,320 --> 00:50:19,880
Speaker 4: return plus six and the net tarp, which is unheard

1039
00:50:19,920 --> 00:50:23,400
Speaker 4: of in the transfer portal era for a service Academy

1040
00:50:23,480 --> 00:50:25,919
Speaker 4: team to have so much coming back plus three point

1041
00:50:26,000 --> 00:50:30,040
Speaker 4: five on D sixteen returning starters plus their punter Brian

1042
00:50:30,120 --> 00:50:34,919
Speaker 4: Newberry in for Niamatalolo. The Kansas State offense has taken

1043
00:50:34,960 --> 00:50:38,360
Speaker 4: over more RPOs, more short passing, but still the triple.

1044
00:50:38,560 --> 00:50:40,800
Speaker 4: Just to keep this in mind for our audience, Fabian

1045
00:50:40,920 --> 00:50:43,200
Speaker 4: France is a big name to watch. He converted from

1046
00:50:43,239 --> 00:50:46,200
Speaker 4: corner to starting slot back. They said he's hidden home

1047
00:50:46,280 --> 00:50:49,080
Speaker 4: runs left and right in the run game. The oc

1048
00:50:49,239 --> 00:50:51,560
Speaker 4: that they bring in Kansas State tenth and rushing last

1049
00:50:51,640 --> 00:50:53,400
Speaker 4: year at the FCS level. They're going to be an

1050
00:50:53,520 --> 00:50:56,960
Speaker 4: FBS edition next year in Conference USA. So go Owl's

1051
00:50:57,520 --> 00:51:00,280
Speaker 4: great run defense from Navy last year. Second Now, Ashley,

1052
00:51:00,320 --> 00:51:02,400
Speaker 4: I understand has a lot to do with pace, but

1053
00:51:02,520 --> 00:51:05,080
Speaker 4: guess what. The clock is not stopping on those timeouts

1054
00:51:05,400 --> 00:51:08,040
Speaker 4: in college football starting next year. So I think shortening

1055
00:51:08,080 --> 00:51:10,799
Speaker 4: the game, shrinking things down, fewer possessions, it's only going

1056
00:51:10,880 --> 00:51:13,320
Speaker 4: to get better for Navy. And they returned six players

1057
00:51:13,360 --> 00:51:16,319
Speaker 4: in their front seven. I love the schedule, no two lane,

1058
00:51:16,640 --> 00:51:19,440
Speaker 4: no UTSA. They're at Memphis and they're at SMU. I'm

1059
00:51:19,440 --> 00:51:21,839
Speaker 4: trucking those up as losses, but I'm going over here.

1060
00:51:22,239 --> 00:51:24,000
Speaker 4: I think this is a bounce back year for Navy.

1061
00:51:24,080 --> 00:51:26,000
Speaker 4: It's been a couple of years in the wilderness for them.

1062
00:51:26,280 --> 00:51:29,600
Speaker 4: I think this change, but not a wholesale change on offense,

1063
00:51:29,880 --> 00:51:31,440
Speaker 4: is the right way to go about things. I like

1064
00:51:31,520 --> 00:51:34,040
Speaker 4: Brian Newberry. I think he's a great defensive minds and

1065
00:51:34,280 --> 00:51:35,840
Speaker 4: I think Navy you'll continue to play well on that

1066
00:51:35,920 --> 00:51:37,320
Speaker 4: side of the ball. So I'm going to go with

1067
00:51:37,400 --> 00:51:39,600
Speaker 4: the Mids over six and a half. I m L O.

1068
00:51:39,960 --> 00:51:41,960
Speaker 4: You're wincing a little bit, so let me know how

1069
00:51:42,000 --> 00:51:43,359
Speaker 4: do you feel about this, FIRS.

1070
00:51:43,520 --> 00:51:46,879
Speaker 5: I do agree firing Kenny Matalolo in the locker room

1071
00:51:47,000 --> 00:51:48,200
Speaker 5: is basically a war crime.

1072
00:51:48,840 --> 00:51:50,040
Speaker 2: Yes, thank you very much what.

1073
00:51:50,120 --> 00:51:53,840
Speaker 5: Happened to honor in our military. But I do like

1074
00:51:53,920 --> 00:51:55,239
Speaker 5: Newberry as a higher I think it was a great

1075
00:51:55,280 --> 00:51:57,600
Speaker 5: hire because you mentioned that the defense in this, you know,

1076
00:51:57,719 --> 00:52:00,480
Speaker 5: not that it's hard to transfer out of Navy, and

1077
00:52:00,560 --> 00:52:03,600
Speaker 5: the total era, you know, hiring your defensive coordina on

1078
00:52:03,640 --> 00:52:05,879
Speaker 5: your defense was nasty. They kept basically their in higher

1079
00:52:05,920 --> 00:52:07,960
Speaker 5: defense together. They would turn almost all their starters, so

1080
00:52:07,960 --> 00:52:10,200
Speaker 5: I think that really helped. I have a lot of

1081
00:52:10,239 --> 00:52:13,439
Speaker 5: concerns with Baby. In fact, I lean under, I don't

1082
00:52:13,440 --> 00:52:14,719
Speaker 5: know that I can take it, just because it's kind

1083
00:52:14,719 --> 00:52:18,319
Speaker 5: of like an American. But you know, they lose all

1084
00:52:18,320 --> 00:52:21,800
Speaker 5: their they lose both their outside linebackers. Who's their quarterback?

1085
00:52:21,960 --> 00:52:25,040
Speaker 5: You know, Lavatai missed the spring because he hasn't he

1086
00:52:25,040 --> 00:52:28,319
Speaker 5: had knee surgery. Xavier car Line missed the spring because

1087
00:52:28,320 --> 00:52:30,960
Speaker 5: he had like a lacrosse which so it's like you're

1088
00:52:31,040 --> 00:52:33,040
Speaker 5: running a new kind of new offense. You know, the

1089
00:52:33,120 --> 00:52:35,160
Speaker 5: options all about rhythm and reps and they didn't have

1090
00:52:35,160 --> 00:52:38,880
Speaker 5: their two quarterbacks, so you know, maybe Teddy Glease Gleaton's

1091
00:52:38,880 --> 00:52:40,800
Speaker 5: basically says the starter kind of just added default.

1092
00:52:40,920 --> 00:52:44,000
Speaker 2: He's the only one there pass or too. I think true.

1093
00:52:44,560 --> 00:52:48,840
Speaker 5: Navy's the perfect example of why success rate is so important,

1094
00:52:48,880 --> 00:52:50,880
Speaker 5: because when you look at two hundred and forty one

1095
00:52:50,920 --> 00:52:53,719
Speaker 5: rushing yards per game, fourth most in the country, you

1096
00:52:53,880 --> 00:52:56,600
Speaker 5: think dominant rushing attack, and they're great at it. No,

1097
00:52:56,680 --> 00:52:59,040
Speaker 5: they just run the ball every play, so they rack

1098
00:52:59,160 --> 00:53:02,320
Speaker 5: up yards. They ranked one hundred and tenth in the

1099
00:53:02,400 --> 00:53:04,600
Speaker 5: country in rushing success on offense and they've been in

1100
00:53:04,680 --> 00:53:07,919
Speaker 5: the one hundreds the last like three years. They don't

1101
00:53:08,000 --> 00:53:09,719
Speaker 5: run the ball well, they just do it every play,

1102
00:53:09,840 --> 00:53:12,319
Speaker 5: but they're not good at it. They get a yard

1103
00:53:12,320 --> 00:53:15,560
Speaker 5: and a half of play. So yes, the military, you know,

1104
00:53:15,680 --> 00:53:18,880
Speaker 5: throwing the ball with these military academies might help by

1105
00:53:18,960 --> 00:53:21,080
Speaker 5: lean under six and a half. I probably won't play it.

1106
00:53:21,200 --> 00:53:23,960
Speaker 5: I did play them against Notre Dame in that first game,

1107
00:53:24,640 --> 00:53:26,440
Speaker 5: but I just I never I don't think Navies a

1108
00:53:26,520 --> 00:53:27,920
Speaker 5: very good They just they can't run the ball well,

1109
00:53:27,960 --> 00:53:29,279
Speaker 5: that's all they do, and they don't do it well.

1110
00:53:29,480 --> 00:53:31,440
Speaker 5: So I'm off this team, all right.

1111
00:53:31,400 --> 00:53:34,799
Speaker 4: Do you think the Knisaw offense is enough to jump

1112
00:53:34,960 --> 00:53:37,799
Speaker 4: start this Navy offense, which clearly it needed to change.

1113
00:53:37,800 --> 00:53:39,520
Speaker 4: Whether they're going to fire their head coach or move

1114
00:53:39,640 --> 00:53:41,480
Speaker 4: in a different direction with their OC. Something had to

1115
00:53:41,600 --> 00:53:45,000
Speaker 4: change and it has. Has that moved you to potentially

1116
00:53:45,080 --> 00:53:46,320
Speaker 4: view them differently stuck.

1117
00:53:47,719 --> 00:53:49,359
Speaker 2: That's wait and say, we're going to see how much

1118
00:53:49,760 --> 00:53:51,600
Speaker 2: more are p and how much more passing they do.

1119
00:53:52,239 --> 00:53:55,359
Speaker 2: I almost never bet Service Academy totals preseason. I mean

1120
00:53:55,360 --> 00:53:57,640
Speaker 2: because they play each other and those games are always

1121
00:53:57,640 --> 00:53:59,440
Speaker 2: going to be so close, they know each other so well,

1122
00:54:00,040 --> 00:54:02,520
Speaker 2: and that's two games on your schedule. I mean, I

1123
00:54:02,560 --> 00:54:04,719
Speaker 2: think they're absolute ceiling. If they win all against they

1124
00:54:04,719 --> 00:54:08,200
Speaker 2: should as nine. You know another floor you have, it's

1125
00:54:08,280 --> 00:54:11,280
Speaker 2: probably four or five. So I think if they're priced

1126
00:54:11,280 --> 00:54:13,000
Speaker 2: about right, and it's just going to come down to

1127
00:54:13,040 --> 00:54:15,000
Speaker 2: these Service Academy games. They got a really easy a

1128
00:54:15,160 --> 00:54:18,279
Speaker 2: ski schedule that they avoid utsa two lane fau. But

1129
00:54:18,440 --> 00:54:21,080
Speaker 2: they're a big dog. Still worth betting week one, yes,

1130
00:54:21,680 --> 00:54:23,520
Speaker 2: but uh yeah, nothing on the wind total.

1131
00:54:24,600 --> 00:54:26,759
Speaker 7: Then, before we go any further, as a reminder, Big

1132
00:54:26,840 --> 00:54:30,480
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Speaker 7: code action. Is it betmgm dot com For terms and conditions.

1138
00:54:49,960 --> 00:54:54,279
Speaker 8: Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Hiowa, Kansas, Louiana, Mischianssissippi, Nevada, New Jersey,

1139
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Speaker 8: New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Puerto Rico, Tennessee, Virginia, Washington, DC,

1140
00:54:57,840 --> 00:55:00,600
Speaker 8: West Virginia, Wyoming, or Ontario. Only US be twenty one

1141
00:55:00,680 --> 00:55:02,839
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1142
00:55:02,880 --> 00:55:06,040
Speaker 8: customer Offer. All promotions are subject atqualfcation inteligibility requirements. Rewards

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00:55:08,520 --> 00:55:11,680
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1145
00:55:11,800 --> 00:55:14,600
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1146
00:55:14,640 --> 00:55:17,000
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1147
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1148
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1150
00:55:25,640 --> 00:55:28,600
Speaker 8: hundred gambler in Indiana, Maryland, New Jersey, or West Virginia

1151
00:55:28,760 --> 00:55:31,799
Speaker 8: one eight hundred bets off in Iowa one hundred ninet

1152
00:55:31,800 --> 00:55:33,640
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1153
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Speaker 8: eight seven seven eight hope and why, or text hope

1154
00:55:37,000 --> 00:55:39,520
Speaker 8: and why. In New York call texts of tennessee redline

1155
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Speaker 8: at twenty one hundred eight eight nine nine seven eight

1156
00:55:41,760 --> 00:55:43,759
Speaker 8: nine or call one eight eight eight seven seven seven

1157
00:55:43,880 --> 00:55:46,120
Speaker 8: nine six nine six in Mississippi. In Ontario, if you

1158
00:55:46,160 --> 00:55:48,319
Speaker 8: have questions or concerns about your gambling or someone close

1159
00:55:48,360 --> 00:55:50,680
Speaker 8: to you, please contact Connects Ontario at one eight sixty

1160
00:55:50,680 --> 00:55:52,560
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1161
00:55:52,560 --> 00:55:55,280
Speaker 8: to an advisor, free charge. Sports betting is void in Georgia, Hawaii,

1162
00:55:55,400 --> 00:55:57,960
Speaker 8: and Utah, and other states were prohibited. Promotional offers not

1163
00:55:58,040 --> 00:55:59,440
Speaker 8: available in Nevada and New York.

1164
00:56:00,320 --> 00:56:02,759
Speaker 4: Let's look quick quickly. Here at Temple, a team that

1165
00:56:02,800 --> 00:56:04,680
Speaker 4: went three to nine last year, one in seven in

1166
00:56:04,760 --> 00:56:07,520
Speaker 4: conference play. Their win total set at a surprising five

1167
00:56:07,600 --> 00:56:09,239
Speaker 4: and a half sixty three percent of their own line

1168
00:56:09,239 --> 00:56:11,399
Speaker 4: starts return plus two point five, and then that tarp

1169
00:56:11,480 --> 00:56:14,560
Speaker 4: thirteen returning starters. It's EJ. Warner time. I mean, the

1170
00:56:14,640 --> 00:56:17,080
Speaker 4: kid got thrown into the fire last year, but his

1171
00:56:17,200 --> 00:56:19,319
Speaker 4: final four games he averaged three hundred and eighty one

1172
00:56:19,400 --> 00:56:22,640
Speaker 4: passing yards, ten tds to three picks. The line should

1173
00:56:22,680 --> 00:56:25,240
Speaker 4: be better with more experience and a new left tackle

1174
00:56:25,280 --> 00:56:27,279
Speaker 4: from the portal, so they should be able to run

1175
00:56:27,280 --> 00:56:29,320
Speaker 4: a little bit more, at least in theory. The defense

1176
00:56:29,440 --> 00:56:31,600
Speaker 4: was pret darn good against the pass last year, and

1177
00:56:31,640 --> 00:56:33,880
Speaker 4: they have experience in that secondary. And the schedule is

1178
00:56:33,960 --> 00:56:35,040
Speaker 4: key the reason it's five.

1179
00:56:34,920 --> 00:56:35,279
Speaker 2: And a half.

1180
00:56:35,760 --> 00:56:39,120
Speaker 4: They got winnables against Akron, Norfolk State at Tulsa. That

1181
00:56:39,200 --> 00:56:42,080
Speaker 4: one's at so that's all tricky Rutgers. You could throw

1182
00:56:42,120 --> 00:56:46,640
Speaker 4: in there, at North Texas, at USF at UAB. It's

1183
00:56:46,680 --> 00:56:48,680
Speaker 4: a pass for me. I think they're going to be

1184
00:56:48,719 --> 00:56:51,960
Speaker 4: more competitive. I think maybe the win total by the

1185
00:56:52,040 --> 00:56:54,759
Speaker 4: end of the year won't totally reflect that. I see

1186
00:56:54,760 --> 00:56:57,000
Speaker 4: them getting to four or five wins, So it's kind

1187
00:56:57,000 --> 00:56:58,680
Speaker 4: of a pass for me. But I do like what

1188
00:56:58,760 --> 00:57:01,560
Speaker 4: they did where they're like, listen, it's a transition year.

1189
00:57:01,600 --> 00:57:03,279
Speaker 4: We got to see what we have in Warner. They

1190
00:57:03,440 --> 00:57:05,840
Speaker 4: certainly got some good returns by the end of the season,

1191
00:57:06,320 --> 00:57:08,360
Speaker 4: just some some quick thoughts on the owls, the owls

1192
00:57:08,440 --> 00:57:10,600
Speaker 4: number two here in the AAC. What do you think

1193
00:57:10,600 --> 00:57:11,120
Speaker 4: about Temple?

1194
00:57:11,200 --> 00:57:13,399
Speaker 5: I know, yeah, I love EJ.

1195
00:57:13,520 --> 00:57:13,759
Speaker 4: Warner.

1196
00:57:13,800 --> 00:57:16,280
Speaker 5: I think he was awesome. You mentioned it, Torch South Florida,

1197
00:57:16,440 --> 00:57:20,760
Speaker 5: Torch Houston, torchc Down November. Another thing that's notable is

1198
00:57:21,080 --> 00:57:24,600
Speaker 5: their former quarterback, former Georgia quarterback Dwan Mathis is transferring

1199
00:57:25,000 --> 00:57:27,880
Speaker 5: converting to wide receiver. Apparently it looked really good. I

1200
00:57:28,000 --> 00:57:29,360
Speaker 5: was reading a lot of things that he was like

1201
00:57:29,400 --> 00:57:31,280
Speaker 5: turning heads in the spring. He's super fast. That kind

1202
00:57:31,280 --> 00:57:35,080
Speaker 5: of makes sense. Yeah, I think they took a big

1203
00:57:35,160 --> 00:57:36,960
Speaker 5: jump on defense. I think they'll be good again. You

1204
00:57:37,080 --> 00:57:39,360
Speaker 5: mentioned the schedules doable. You know, they could start two

1205
00:57:39,360 --> 00:57:41,880
Speaker 5: and one and they're I mean they could be Rutgers.

1206
00:57:42,120 --> 00:57:44,680
Speaker 5: They'll have the best quarterback on the field against Rutgers.

1207
00:57:46,200 --> 00:57:49,080
Speaker 5: You know, the toughest conference games Rutgers, they'll be.

1208
00:57:49,080 --> 00:57:49,840
Speaker 2: They could start three A.

1209
00:57:49,960 --> 00:57:54,080
Speaker 5: H Yeah, UKSA, SMU, Memphis, hard games, but they're all

1210
00:57:54,120 --> 00:57:56,640
Speaker 5: at home. I still think they win them. What sucks

1211
00:57:56,640 --> 00:57:59,080
Speaker 5: as they got screwed because their most winnable conference game

1212
00:57:59,200 --> 00:58:02,360
Speaker 5: is probably against Tulsa and it's on a Thursday night,

1213
00:58:02,600 --> 00:58:06,040
Speaker 5: five week after hosting Miami five days after playing Miami,

1214
00:58:06,200 --> 00:58:09,680
Speaker 5: which sucks. I think five and a half. I'm high

1215
00:58:09,720 --> 00:58:11,240
Speaker 5: in this team. I'll bet them a lot. I'll bet

1216
00:58:11,320 --> 00:58:13,920
Speaker 5: them against Rutgers. Five and a half's a little high.

1217
00:58:14,200 --> 00:58:16,200
Speaker 5: I saw like Colin Wilson took over four and a

1218
00:58:16,240 --> 00:58:19,280
Speaker 5: half the initial opener. I would have taken that. I

1219
00:58:19,320 --> 00:58:21,880
Speaker 5: think five and a half's a tad high. But I

1220
00:58:22,040 --> 00:58:24,240
Speaker 5: do like this team on a week to week basis.

1221
00:58:25,280 --> 00:58:28,040
Speaker 2: What do you think? So I would agree with all that.

1222
00:58:28,320 --> 00:58:30,880
Speaker 2: I wanted to bet them, and they were owing four

1223
00:58:30,920 --> 00:58:33,800
Speaker 2: and one percent games last year, bottom ten and turnover margin.

1224
00:58:34,200 --> 00:58:37,560
Speaker 2: Do ye remember they were really unlucky overall in Drayton's

1225
00:58:37,560 --> 00:58:40,600
Speaker 2: first year and then even before the start of the

1226
00:58:40,680 --> 00:58:42,640
Speaker 2: year they got crushed by transfers and it was just

1227
00:58:42,720 --> 00:58:45,880
Speaker 2: a mess. And I'm a big fan of Warner, so

1228
00:58:46,720 --> 00:58:49,240
Speaker 2: I was looking to back this team, but I just

1229
00:58:49,360 --> 00:58:52,240
Speaker 2: can't at this number with this schedule. You mentioned that

1230
00:58:52,280 --> 00:58:56,360
Speaker 2: that Tulsa spot is brutal. You know, we even said

1231
00:58:56,360 --> 00:58:59,720
Speaker 2: Akord is going to be feisty in the opener. They

1232
00:58:59,800 --> 00:59:02,480
Speaker 2: ca Yeah, Utsa, Memphis and SMU are three other four

1233
00:59:02,560 --> 00:59:05,840
Speaker 2: home league games. That's brutal and the conference I mentioned

1234
00:59:05,840 --> 00:59:08,200
Speaker 2: conference opener Tulsa on a short week is at their

1235
00:59:08,200 --> 00:59:11,680
Speaker 2: hosting Miamis is brutal. And then like your your easiest

1236
00:59:11,680 --> 00:59:14,120
Speaker 2: games are all on the road at North Texas at

1237
00:59:14,240 --> 00:59:17,560
Speaker 2: USF and at UAB at USF, and that UAB rebuilds

1238
00:59:18,080 --> 00:59:19,640
Speaker 2: and then you have to play them later in the year,

1239
00:59:20,160 --> 00:59:24,000
Speaker 2: which isn't great either. So I hate the schedule across

1240
00:59:24,160 --> 00:59:27,520
Speaker 2: the board. So it's a team I wanted to buy,

1241
00:59:27,600 --> 00:59:29,400
Speaker 2: but I just can't, so it's a pass. But like

1242
00:59:29,520 --> 00:59:32,120
Speaker 2: I know, I'll be looking to bet them and tweet

1243
00:59:32,120 --> 00:59:34,920
Speaker 2: out some AL gifts for sure. The AL gifts are

1244
00:59:34,960 --> 00:59:38,960
Speaker 2: back this year. Who who were you fucking owl?

1245
00:59:39,760 --> 00:59:43,720
Speaker 4: Here's an underteam UAB seven and six last year four

1246
00:59:43,800 --> 00:59:45,280
Speaker 4: and four. Their win toll is set at four and

1247
00:59:45,320 --> 00:59:47,240
Speaker 4: a half. You can actually get plus money plus one

1248
00:59:47,320 --> 00:59:50,000
Speaker 4: twenty five on the under. One of the reasons fourteen

1249
00:59:50,040 --> 00:59:52,200
Speaker 4: point three percent of their line starts return that's the

1250
00:59:52,280 --> 00:59:56,320
Speaker 4: worst in the FBS. NETTARP negative twelve, that's the worst

1251
00:59:56,440 --> 00:59:59,560
Speaker 4: overall in the nation. Offensively negative seven worst in the

1252
00:59:59,640 --> 01:00:02,720
Speaker 4: nation as well, six returning starters in total, plus the

1253
01:00:02,840 --> 01:00:05,760
Speaker 4: kicker Dwayne McBride is gone. I have no idea how

1254
01:00:05,800 --> 01:00:07,680
Speaker 4: he slid to the seventh round of the NFL draft,

1255
01:00:07,760 --> 01:00:09,800
Speaker 4: But that was a mistake because the guy is a monster.

1256
01:00:10,240 --> 01:00:12,760
Speaker 4: Jermaine Brown Junior. I really like him. He's a good back,

1257
01:00:13,120 --> 01:00:15,000
Speaker 4: but he subbed two hundred pounds at five to eight.

1258
01:00:15,280 --> 01:00:17,560
Speaker 4: He's not going to be able to run as often

1259
01:00:17,640 --> 01:00:20,439
Speaker 4: as McBride did. And I'm out on the Jacob Zino

1260
01:00:20,600 --> 01:00:22,840
Speaker 4: experience because of Trent Dilfer.

1261
01:00:23,600 --> 01:00:25,840
Speaker 3: We can't forget the football. If you want to be

1262
01:00:25,920 --> 01:00:27,960
Speaker 3: a fire breather, make sure you sign up today.

1263
01:00:28,520 --> 01:00:30,640
Speaker 4: So let's get into Trentilfer here. Let me, let me

1264
01:00:31,000 --> 01:00:32,440
Speaker 4: stretch a little bit, cook him.

1265
01:00:32,840 --> 01:00:33,160
Speaker 2: Here we go.

1266
01:00:33,360 --> 01:00:36,440
Speaker 4: Let's see little trivia. How many seasons of his fourteen

1267
01:00:36,520 --> 01:00:38,640
Speaker 4: did he complete more than sixty percent of his passes

1268
01:00:38,680 --> 01:00:42,600
Speaker 4: in the NFL? What do you think? I Knowello one zero?

1269
01:00:42,920 --> 01:00:45,800
Speaker 4: He went to zero in fourteen NFL seasons. He threw

1270
01:00:45,960 --> 01:00:49,680
Speaker 4: more picks than touchdowns in his career. He actually only

1271
01:00:49,720 --> 01:00:52,000
Speaker 4: had three seasons where he threw more tds than picks.

1272
01:00:52,240 --> 01:00:54,520
Speaker 4: He had a five hundred record in the NFL. But

1273
01:00:54,640 --> 01:00:57,200
Speaker 4: apparently he's just a samant. He's just one of the

1274
01:00:57,240 --> 01:00:59,560
Speaker 4: smartest guys who ever wrote Oh Elite eleven. You know

1275
01:00:59,600 --> 01:01:02,800
Speaker 4: who could possibly coach up five stars from across the country. Oh,

1276
01:01:02,920 --> 01:01:04,880
Speaker 4: but you know he won those you know, state titles

1277
01:01:04,880 --> 01:01:07,920
Speaker 4: at Lipscombe Academy in double A football of Tennessee. I'll

1278
01:01:07,960 --> 01:01:11,320
Speaker 4: go full big Earn McCracken on that. Ooh, I'm so

1279
01:01:11,600 --> 01:01:13,800
Speaker 4: excited by your experience there.

1280
01:01:13,920 --> 01:01:18,680
Speaker 3: Trent within learning comes, reflecting, pouring knowledge and wisdom into

1281
01:01:18,720 --> 01:01:19,800
Speaker 3: the cups of our leaders.

1282
01:01:20,240 --> 01:01:23,800
Speaker 4: So he gets the job right after beating up Bo Dawson,

1283
01:01:24,080 --> 01:01:27,000
Speaker 4: one of his tight ends, knocking him down the sideline

1284
01:01:27,000 --> 01:01:29,520
Speaker 4: of high school football, screaming at him during a game.

1285
01:01:29,760 --> 01:01:32,400
Speaker 4: The guy is a total headcase. So I thought to myself,

1286
01:01:32,760 --> 01:01:35,560
Speaker 4: you hired him in the same vein of like hiring

1287
01:01:35,640 --> 01:01:38,120
Speaker 4: some of these big name coaches that don't have a

1288
01:01:38,160 --> 01:01:40,959
Speaker 4: ton of experience. He'll surround himself with a coaching staff

1289
01:01:41,000 --> 01:01:43,560
Speaker 4: that has tons of experience. Now, not Trent Silfer. He's

1290
01:01:43,600 --> 01:01:45,680
Speaker 4: the smartest guy in the room. He's got ten full

1291
01:01:45,720 --> 01:01:49,360
Speaker 4: time assistants coaching positions. Seven of them have never done

1292
01:01:49,400 --> 01:01:49,920
Speaker 4: that before.

1293
01:01:50,680 --> 01:01:51,720
Speaker 6: I want this job.

1294
01:01:51,880 --> 01:01:54,040
Speaker 1: I want the city at Birmingham say no, that's our city,

1295
01:01:54,160 --> 01:01:54,960
Speaker 1: that's our coach.

1296
01:01:55,440 --> 01:01:58,560
Speaker 4: So here we go. One last thing on Trent Silford

1297
01:01:58,560 --> 01:02:01,320
Speaker 4: before I get myself all worked up into lather. I

1298
01:02:01,480 --> 01:02:03,880
Speaker 4: think he's gonna lose this locker room really quickly. You

1299
01:02:03,960 --> 01:02:06,640
Speaker 4: saw a lot of people transfer out. You saw him

1300
01:02:07,080 --> 01:02:08,520
Speaker 4: make a lot of waves and say a lot of

1301
01:02:08,600 --> 01:02:09,960
Speaker 4: dumb crap in the off season.

1302
01:02:10,800 --> 01:02:13,480
Speaker 1: This promise I will make. I'll make very few promises,

1303
01:02:13,640 --> 01:02:16,880
Speaker 1: but this promise I will make, you will get the

1304
01:02:17,080 --> 01:02:17,960
Speaker 1: best of me.

1305
01:02:18,720 --> 01:02:21,800
Speaker 4: Speaking of crap, one of the punishments that he has

1306
01:02:21,880 --> 01:02:24,120
Speaker 4: for his players is they have to clean up his

1307
01:02:24,280 --> 01:02:28,000
Speaker 4: dog's poop from outside of the facility. His Rhodesian ridgeback

1308
01:02:28,120 --> 01:02:30,960
Speaker 4: that he named Nala. Why did he name Himnala? Well,

1309
01:02:31,080 --> 01:02:34,000
Speaker 4: Rhodesian ridgebacks, for those not in the dog world, they

1310
01:02:34,120 --> 01:02:38,000
Speaker 4: help hunt lions. It's kind of like naming a labrador duck.

1311
01:02:38,560 --> 01:02:42,680
Speaker 4: This guy is just an absolute shmuck. I can't wait

1312
01:02:42,760 --> 01:02:46,160
Speaker 4: to see him just absolutely flame out, and I hope

1313
01:02:46,200 --> 01:02:48,600
Speaker 4: he does it so quickly that he doesn't ruin a

1314
01:02:48,640 --> 01:02:51,520
Speaker 4: program that Bill Clark builds. Because I actually love the Blazers.

1315
01:02:51,760 --> 01:02:54,840
Speaker 4: I love their story there, you know, Phoenix rising from

1316
01:02:54,840 --> 01:02:57,640
Speaker 4: the Ashes story and staying at the FBS level. But

1317
01:02:57,720 --> 01:03:00,000
Speaker 4: Trent Dilvert is not the guy, and he's not gonna

1318
01:03:00,080 --> 01:03:02,760
Speaker 4: turn around this team. I'm hammering under. And when you

1319
01:03:02,840 --> 01:03:05,120
Speaker 4: look at the schedule, there's only two gimmes the whole

1320
01:03:05,120 --> 01:03:07,960
Speaker 4: way North Carolina A and C and home against USF.

1321
01:03:08,320 --> 01:03:11,000
Speaker 4: That is it. He is gonna get outclass and out

1322
01:03:11,040 --> 01:03:14,800
Speaker 4: coached against Georgia Tulane UTSA all on the road. This

1323
01:03:15,000 --> 01:03:17,280
Speaker 4: is the sky is following season for the Blazers. I'm

1324
01:03:17,320 --> 01:03:19,480
Speaker 4: going under. This is one of my top unders in

1325
01:03:19,600 --> 01:03:22,520
Speaker 4: all of G five lands. Love fading trentil for I

1326
01:03:22,760 --> 01:03:25,400
Speaker 4: l please jump in on this funeral, throw some dirt

1327
01:03:25,440 --> 01:03:25,919
Speaker 4: on this grave.

1328
01:03:26,240 --> 01:03:29,400
Speaker 3: The Blazers had the team We're fired up to continue.

1329
01:03:29,840 --> 01:03:32,560
Speaker 5: That's trentol for being like all these Power five coaches

1330
01:03:32,640 --> 01:03:37,240
Speaker 5: sliding into my players dms. Buddy, nobody's sliding into Jacobsino's DMS.

1331
01:03:37,880 --> 01:03:39,600
Speaker 1: By the way, come try to get my guys.

1332
01:03:40,000 --> 01:03:42,120
Speaker 6: I dare you Power fives?

1333
01:03:42,680 --> 01:03:44,840
Speaker 1: I got a pretty big platform that I can step on,

1334
01:03:45,000 --> 01:03:46,960
Speaker 1: ye And if I find you in my kids DMS,

1335
01:03:47,480 --> 01:03:49,880
Speaker 1: I'm gonna call your out and it's gonna make game

1336
01:03:50,000 --> 01:03:52,080
Speaker 1: Day and it's gonna make Sports Center because, by the way,

1337
01:03:52,120 --> 01:03:54,240
Speaker 1: those guys running Sports Center still my friends.

1338
01:03:54,480 --> 01:03:57,960
Speaker 5: Like their roster is bad. He's all like everyone's poaching

1339
01:03:58,000 --> 01:04:01,280
Speaker 5: my No one's poaching your players, Trent, your players are

1340
01:04:01,400 --> 01:04:01,960
Speaker 5: not very good.

1341
01:04:02,400 --> 01:04:02,760
Speaker 6: I'm with you.

1342
01:04:03,040 --> 01:04:07,360
Speaker 5: The higher OC and DC are bananas. He's an assistant

1343
01:04:07,600 --> 01:04:10,840
Speaker 5: or an analyst, and then as a high school DC. Yeah,

1344
01:04:10,920 --> 01:04:12,120
Speaker 5: I think this is gonna be bad. I'm with you.

1345
01:04:12,320 --> 01:04:14,920
Speaker 5: I think he loses his Deck's gonna get real old,

1346
01:04:14,960 --> 01:04:15,360
Speaker 5: real quick.

1347
01:04:15,440 --> 01:04:17,560
Speaker 4: Yeah, I can't wait for his Like Tony Robbins fake

1348
01:04:17,600 --> 01:04:20,680
Speaker 4: inspirational bullshit speeches on the sideline at halftime when he's

1349
01:04:20,720 --> 01:04:23,120
Speaker 4: getting crushed by fifty five points at Georgia. You know,

1350
01:04:23,200 --> 01:04:25,560
Speaker 4: it's all about adverse adversity. It's gonna be a lot

1351
01:04:25,600 --> 01:04:28,480
Speaker 4: of adversity there. Trent, pass around, So good luck in

1352
01:04:28,600 --> 01:04:29,120
Speaker 4: year one.

1353
01:04:29,600 --> 01:04:32,320
Speaker 3: Well plays, our nation may really clear. There's no reason

1354
01:04:32,360 --> 01:04:32,840
Speaker 3: to trust me.

1355
01:04:33,120 --> 01:04:33,360
Speaker 2: Stuck.

1356
01:04:33,440 --> 01:04:33,840
Speaker 4: What do you think?

1357
01:04:34,280 --> 01:04:37,960
Speaker 2: Yeah? Under under under cell cell cell awful hires. It's

1358
01:04:37,960 --> 01:04:41,200
Speaker 2: like a high school staff going up in class conference

1359
01:04:41,280 --> 01:04:44,360
Speaker 2: wise with eleven starts back on the offensive line, you

1360
01:04:44,480 --> 01:04:47,000
Speaker 2: lose your good quarterback. You're running back to the NFL,

1361
01:04:47,320 --> 01:04:50,600
Speaker 2: your top receiver. I'm not a Zeno guy. You do

1362
01:04:50,760 --> 01:04:52,200
Speaker 2: have a good running back, but now you want to

1363
01:04:52,200 --> 01:04:54,040
Speaker 2: be a pass first offense and a scheme that is

1364
01:04:54,520 --> 01:04:58,120
Speaker 2: a team that's excelled running the ball. Yeah, bottom five experience,

1365
01:04:58,720 --> 01:05:02,680
Speaker 2: overall big losses, linebacker, secondary, Yeah, Fish McWilliams to his

1366
01:05:02,760 --> 01:05:06,080
Speaker 2: Omar Good on the defensive line. That's about it. This

1367
01:05:06,360 --> 01:05:10,880
Speaker 2: is all sell, all sell, all the time. UAB under

1368
01:05:11,080 --> 01:05:14,080
Speaker 2: favorite under and I think the only under I have

1369
01:05:15,920 --> 01:05:19,400
Speaker 2: penciled in to Beth coming into this podcast. So yeah,

1370
01:05:19,400 --> 01:05:22,000
Speaker 2: we're selling dol for even though won a Super Bowl

1371
01:05:22,000 --> 01:05:23,360
Speaker 2: in Baltimore under you Ada.

1372
01:05:23,680 --> 01:05:24,960
Speaker 3: Somen't care if you black ball me.

1373
01:05:25,280 --> 01:05:27,240
Speaker 4: All right, I'll talk about two teams with their win

1374
01:05:27,320 --> 01:05:29,240
Speaker 4: total set at four and a half to kind of

1375
01:05:29,280 --> 01:05:33,320
Speaker 4: combo this up. I'm surprised they're both you know, graded

1376
01:05:33,360 --> 01:05:35,520
Speaker 4: out at four and a half and that's USF they

1377
01:05:35,600 --> 01:05:38,120
Speaker 4: won just one game, they went winless in conference last year,

1378
01:05:38,160 --> 01:05:40,400
Speaker 4: and Tulsa that won five games. So we'll start with

1379
01:05:40,480 --> 01:05:43,240
Speaker 4: the Bulls twenty percent returning O line starts, that's tied

1380
01:05:43,280 --> 01:05:45,600
Speaker 4: for second worse in the FBS, but they're plus two

1381
01:05:45,640 --> 01:05:48,560
Speaker 4: point five and TARP twelve starters. New coach and Alex Goulish,

1382
01:05:48,840 --> 01:05:53,240
Speaker 4: who built a dynamic passing attack at Tennessee. I get that. Unfortunately,

1383
01:05:53,520 --> 01:05:56,000
Speaker 4: Jerry Bohannon is their quarterback, So I'm not sure year

1384
01:05:56,120 --> 01:05:58,520
Speaker 4: one is going to work out. They can't pass block,

1385
01:05:58,960 --> 01:06:01,560
Speaker 4: they have no game breaker that are established at this point.

1386
01:06:02,000 --> 01:06:04,120
Speaker 4: The defense returns a ton, but they were buried in

1387
01:06:04,200 --> 01:06:07,920
Speaker 4: the deep one twenties in almost every metric. This is

1388
01:06:08,000 --> 01:06:10,520
Speaker 4: essentially an auto win for anyone that we're going through

1389
01:06:10,600 --> 01:06:12,800
Speaker 4: in the AAC schedule. And then when you look at

1390
01:06:12,840 --> 01:06:15,080
Speaker 4: their wins, they'll beat the Rattlers of Florida and m

1391
01:06:15,080 --> 01:06:17,760
Speaker 4: they'll beat Charlotte both at home. That's it. They got

1392
01:06:17,840 --> 01:06:20,240
Speaker 4: to play at Western Kentucky in Alabama early. They're gonna

1393
01:06:20,240 --> 01:06:22,480
Speaker 4: get lit up like a Christmas tree. And now let

1394
01:06:22,520 --> 01:06:24,280
Speaker 4: me turn to Tulsa and then i'll package it, you know,

1395
01:06:24,400 --> 01:06:27,240
Speaker 4: back to you guys. Tulsa returns eighty percent of their

1396
01:06:27,280 --> 01:06:30,560
Speaker 4: offensive line in terms of overall starts. Conversely, you know,

1397
01:06:30,680 --> 01:06:32,960
Speaker 4: up against the Bulls, but they're negative twelve in the

1398
01:06:33,040 --> 01:06:35,960
Speaker 4: net tarp, negative seven on offense, nine or turning starters.

1399
01:06:36,320 --> 01:06:40,360
Speaker 4: They lose Davis Brynn to Georgia Southern. Maybe a reclamation project,

1400
01:06:40,480 --> 01:06:43,640
Speaker 4: you know, part two for you know the Eagles down

1401
01:06:43,680 --> 01:06:46,760
Speaker 4: there after reworking their offense last year and having that

1402
01:06:46,880 --> 01:06:51,080
Speaker 4: breakout passing attack Braylan Braxton got a lot of experience

1403
01:06:51,200 --> 01:06:52,840
Speaker 4: last year, so you can say that in a positive

1404
01:06:52,840 --> 01:06:55,840
Speaker 4: for the Golden Hurricane and Ken Wilson's back to the

1405
01:06:56,160 --> 01:06:58,520
Speaker 4: head coach ranks after leading Ohio State for their OC

1406
01:06:58,920 --> 01:07:00,840
Speaker 4: for years. I think you kind of got a bad

1407
01:07:00,920 --> 01:07:03,240
Speaker 4: rap in Indiana, to be honest, Like, he finished with

1408
01:07:03,360 --> 01:07:06,200
Speaker 4: back to back six win teams, took two straight Hoosiers

1409
01:07:06,240 --> 01:07:08,520
Speaker 4: teams to Bowl games, Like, I don't know exactly what

1410
01:07:08,600 --> 01:07:12,800
Speaker 4: they expect. He walked into an absolute rebuild there, so

1411
01:07:13,080 --> 01:07:14,520
Speaker 4: he could be the coach to get this going. I'm

1412
01:07:14,520 --> 01:07:15,760
Speaker 4: not sure he's going to do it in year one.

1413
01:07:16,200 --> 01:07:19,080
Speaker 4: The defense could be really really bad this year, but

1414
01:07:19,320 --> 01:07:22,280
Speaker 4: they have four Power five transfers coming in in their

1415
01:07:22,280 --> 01:07:25,520
Speaker 4: back seven, so the talent maybe could be there. And

1416
01:07:25,600 --> 01:07:27,680
Speaker 4: then the Winnables. I think this is what's interesting. This

1417
01:07:27,720 --> 01:07:29,920
Speaker 4: is why I'm confused that Tulsa and South Florida have

1418
01:07:30,000 --> 01:07:34,040
Speaker 4: the same win total. The Golden Hurricanes. Winnables's Arkansas Pine Bluff,

1419
01:07:34,120 --> 01:07:37,480
Speaker 4: at NIU, home against Temple, home against Rice, home against Charlotte,

1420
01:07:37,680 --> 01:07:41,040
Speaker 4: home against North Texas and at ECU. So that's what

1421
01:07:41,240 --> 01:07:44,320
Speaker 4: that's seven games there? Could they go five and two potentially,

1422
01:07:44,680 --> 01:07:47,480
Speaker 4: so they have sparklantersts far more than the bulls. How

1423
01:07:47,520 --> 01:07:49,160
Speaker 4: do you think about these two teams? You put them

1424
01:07:49,200 --> 01:07:51,400
Speaker 4: in the exact same tier, stuck or are you playing

1425
01:07:51,440 --> 01:07:51,960
Speaker 4: them differently?

1426
01:07:52,840 --> 01:07:54,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I think you're a little based there

1427
01:07:54,360 --> 01:07:57,720
Speaker 2: in the description of their schedules, Like, so I'm not

1428
01:07:57,840 --> 01:08:02,000
Speaker 2: playing either, I could. I think they're both priced about right.

1429
01:08:02,640 --> 01:08:04,880
Speaker 2: Look USF one and thirty three to last thirty four

1430
01:08:04,880 --> 01:08:07,160
Speaker 2: against FPS teams, it's gonna be a brand new offense.

1431
01:08:07,160 --> 01:08:09,280
Speaker 2: I think it was a good hire. They don't have

1432
01:08:09,400 --> 01:08:12,760
Speaker 2: the horses this year, but you know, if you look

1433
01:08:12,800 --> 01:08:15,000
Speaker 2: at their schedule, they I think that you could argue

1434
01:08:15,000 --> 01:08:17,880
Speaker 2: they have five winnable home games Florida A and m Rice,

1435
01:08:18,640 --> 01:08:21,360
Speaker 2: Florida Atlantic. We'll throw that. I will say four Temple

1436
01:08:21,439 --> 01:08:23,439
Speaker 2: and Charlotte. But we just talked about how down we

1437
01:08:23,520 --> 01:08:26,599
Speaker 2: are on UAB. That they go to UAB and then

1438
01:08:26,600 --> 01:08:29,760
Speaker 2: they go to Navy, Like maybe what does Navy do?

1439
01:08:29,880 --> 01:08:32,080
Speaker 2: Like they're gonna play bad teams close, They're gonna like

1440
01:08:32,760 --> 01:08:35,479
Speaker 2: maybe's gonna upset someone and then lose to someone they shouldn't,

1441
01:08:37,120 --> 01:08:40,200
Speaker 2: you know, So I think for if I had to

1442
01:08:40,280 --> 01:08:43,920
Speaker 2: bet it, I'd probably fade all the change. But with

1443
01:08:44,040 --> 01:08:47,320
Speaker 2: the schedule and with my numbers, I get to just

1444
01:08:48,160 --> 01:08:50,479
Speaker 2: I think I'm a yeah, four point one, So I

1445
01:08:50,520 --> 01:08:52,960
Speaker 2: actually got to four point one, and then part of

1446
01:08:53,000 --> 01:08:55,599
Speaker 2: that is being so low on UAB and and then

1447
01:08:55,680 --> 01:09:02,840
Speaker 2: with Tulsa, I'm at four point three to five. So

1448
01:09:03,600 --> 01:09:05,200
Speaker 2: this is a this is a rebuild. I mean, look,

1449
01:09:05,240 --> 01:09:10,160
Speaker 2: they're they're bottom fifteen in experience, brutal non conference after

1450
01:09:10,240 --> 01:09:14,320
Speaker 2: the opener, and you do get Charlotte, Rice, Temple and

1451
01:09:14,360 --> 01:09:16,240
Speaker 2: North Texas at home in league play. So yeah, I

1452
01:09:16,280 --> 01:09:22,360
Speaker 2: guess that their floor maybe is a little higher. But

1453
01:09:23,800 --> 01:09:28,759
Speaker 2: I'm uh, I'm passing on both. No interest in both teams.

1454
01:09:29,400 --> 01:09:33,599
Speaker 2: Rebuilding year for both could be interesting. Not this season,

1455
01:09:33,680 --> 01:09:34,160
Speaker 2: but next.

1456
01:09:35,240 --> 01:09:37,640
Speaker 4: I agree with that assessment. I know you can in

1457
01:09:37,760 --> 01:09:38,080
Speaker 4: your money.

1458
01:09:38,400 --> 01:09:40,800
Speaker 5: Maybe you guys, maybe I'm looking at it wrong, but

1459
01:09:41,200 --> 01:09:43,320
Speaker 5: I'm a pass on South Florida. I agree with you, guys.

1460
01:09:43,360 --> 01:09:45,400
Speaker 5: Where I like the moves they may, I like what

1461
01:09:45,479 --> 01:09:48,439
Speaker 5: they're doing. One hundred and thirtieth in total defense last year.

1462
01:09:48,520 --> 01:09:50,360
Speaker 5: I find it hard to believe they're you know, they've

1463
01:09:50,400 --> 01:09:52,360
Speaker 5: only won four games in the last three years. Now

1464
01:09:52,400 --> 01:09:54,560
Speaker 5: they're supposed to win five. I don't think he's that

1465
01:09:54,720 --> 01:09:57,680
Speaker 5: good of a coach, so their stay away from me.

1466
01:09:58,920 --> 01:10:01,200
Speaker 5: But I have written down Tulsa under it, and maybe

1467
01:10:01,280 --> 01:10:04,200
Speaker 5: I'm too low on them, but it's like, you know,

1468
01:10:04,240 --> 01:10:07,040
Speaker 5: they lost their quarterback, top two running backs, top two receivers,

1469
01:10:07,120 --> 01:10:11,519
Speaker 5: top two defenders. You know, the defense wasn't terrible against

1470
01:10:11,520 --> 01:10:14,639
Speaker 5: the pass, but they lose Justin Wright and Anthony Goodlow

1471
01:10:14,760 --> 01:10:17,400
Speaker 5: at linebacker, who I think we're both very good. So

1472
01:10:17,479 --> 01:10:18,920
Speaker 5: now I think the run defense is going to be

1473
01:10:19,000 --> 01:10:22,679
Speaker 5: pretty sketchy. They didn't even hire a defensive coordinator until

1474
01:10:22,760 --> 01:10:25,880
Speaker 5: spring ended, so they have not had their DC go

1475
01:10:25,960 --> 01:10:28,120
Speaker 5: through spring practice, which I think is a massive concern.

1476
01:10:29,040 --> 01:10:33,400
Speaker 5: They have very little depth across the board. So you know,

1477
01:10:33,439 --> 01:10:35,800
Speaker 5: they won five games last year. I think they take

1478
01:10:35,800 --> 01:10:39,439
Speaker 5: a step back. Our power ratings only have them favored

1479
01:10:39,479 --> 01:10:43,840
Speaker 5: in two games and they're only an underdog of a

1480
01:10:43,960 --> 01:10:47,720
Speaker 5: touchdown or less in one game. So based on our

1481
01:10:47,760 --> 01:10:50,400
Speaker 5: power ratings, we expect them to get blown out in

1482
01:10:50,760 --> 01:10:54,840
Speaker 5: you know, nine games. So you know, we talked about

1483
01:10:55,120 --> 01:10:57,200
Speaker 5: I'm high on Temple. We'll talk about Rice, but I

1484
01:10:57,240 --> 01:10:59,639
Speaker 5: think Rice is probably better than Tulsa, to be honest

1485
01:10:59,680 --> 01:11:03,400
Speaker 5: with you, And so I don't know I'm kind of

1486
01:11:03,439 --> 01:11:05,800
Speaker 5: down on Tulsa, so I liked their under four and

1487
01:11:05,840 --> 01:11:06,120
Speaker 5: a half.

1488
01:11:07,439 --> 01:11:09,000
Speaker 2: I will say I think that the new staff's going

1489
01:11:09,080 --> 01:11:12,479
Speaker 2: to fix like Tulsa is having, like culture, discipline, penalty issues.

1490
01:11:13,120 --> 01:11:14,960
Speaker 2: I think that the new staff could fix a lot

1491
01:11:15,000 --> 01:11:17,439
Speaker 2: of that low hanging fruit. I don't hate the undercall,

1492
01:11:17,560 --> 01:11:19,360
Speaker 2: but no play for me on either team.

1493
01:11:19,800 --> 01:11:21,560
Speaker 4: I actually left out one more team at four and

1494
01:11:21,560 --> 01:11:24,720
Speaker 4: a half. Let's wrap this up here with Rice. They

1495
01:11:24,800 --> 01:11:27,000
Speaker 4: went five and eight last year, three and five in conference.

1496
01:11:27,080 --> 01:11:29,439
Speaker 4: But what's interesting to me for a team like Rice,

1497
01:11:29,880 --> 01:11:33,200
Speaker 4: they get gifted a bowl game, which meant those extra practices.

1498
01:11:33,640 --> 01:11:35,960
Speaker 4: They have eighty percent of their returning O line starts.

1499
01:11:36,000 --> 01:11:37,880
Speaker 4: They're plus seven which was tied for the best in

1500
01:11:37,920 --> 01:11:40,000
Speaker 4: the AAC in the net tart plus four point five

1501
01:11:40,040 --> 01:11:43,200
Speaker 4: on offense alone, twelve returning starters. In the punter, they

1502
01:11:43,280 --> 01:11:46,160
Speaker 4: get JT. Daniels in a quarterback who's you know, mystery box.

1503
01:11:46,760 --> 01:11:49,439
Speaker 4: But what's interesting to me right off the bat is like,

1504
01:11:49,560 --> 01:11:52,400
Speaker 4: are they a positive regression candidate? On turnovers? They turned

1505
01:11:52,439 --> 01:11:55,320
Speaker 4: over thirty two times last year. That was absolute worst

1506
01:11:55,360 --> 01:11:58,680
Speaker 4: in the FBS. So if you're making some arguments for

1507
01:11:58,760 --> 01:12:01,200
Speaker 4: these teams, where it's like when something was so extreme

1508
01:12:01,280 --> 01:12:03,280
Speaker 4: last year, I can't get any worse. I agree, like

1509
01:12:03,439 --> 01:12:05,680
Speaker 4: if you turned over twenty four times, it would be

1510
01:12:05,680 --> 01:12:08,519
Speaker 4: a significant improvement and you'd still be a turnover happy squad.

1511
01:12:09,040 --> 01:12:12,400
Speaker 4: I love their receiving corps with Rosner and McCaffrey, lots

1512
01:12:12,439 --> 01:12:15,080
Speaker 4: of experience on the line. Defense could work their way

1513
01:12:15,120 --> 01:12:17,439
Speaker 4: into like the nineties in scoring defense. I'm not going

1514
01:12:17,520 --> 01:12:19,280
Speaker 4: to say that they're going to be lights out by

1515
01:12:19,320 --> 01:12:21,640
Speaker 4: any stretch, but I don't think in a conference that

1516
01:12:21,720 --> 01:12:23,960
Speaker 4: could see a lot of really bad defenses that they'll

1517
01:12:23,960 --> 01:12:27,160
Speaker 4: be mentioned in the same breath. And then starting September sixteenth,

1518
01:12:27,200 --> 01:12:30,639
Speaker 4: they're home against Texas Southern at South Florida home against

1519
01:12:30,720 --> 01:12:33,920
Speaker 4: ECU VERSUS Yukon difficult game in that stretch, but then

1520
01:12:33,960 --> 01:12:36,920
Speaker 4: at Tulsa. So I like that, But then I look

1521
01:12:36,960 --> 01:12:39,639
Speaker 4: at the last five games home against Tulane, home against

1522
01:12:39,760 --> 01:12:44,640
Speaker 4: SNU at Utsa, at Charlotte, home against FAU. So if

1523
01:12:44,680 --> 01:12:46,880
Speaker 4: I'm going over on the wins, I'm gonna know by

1524
01:12:46,960 --> 01:12:49,640
Speaker 4: mid October because they're not squeezing out more than one

1525
01:12:49,720 --> 01:12:51,679
Speaker 4: win down the stretch, and that'll be at Charlotte.

1526
01:12:52,760 --> 01:12:53,000
Speaker 2: JT.

1527
01:12:53,160 --> 01:12:56,880
Speaker 4: Daniels I just wonder from a psychological perspective, where he's at,

1528
01:12:57,000 --> 01:12:59,080
Speaker 4: Like he's got good weapons and he has support here,

1529
01:12:59,160 --> 01:13:01,680
Speaker 4: but like, does the kid even want to still be

1530
01:13:02,080 --> 01:13:05,000
Speaker 4: a started quarterback at this point? Like he's bounced around

1531
01:13:05,120 --> 01:13:07,400
Speaker 4: so much, USC to Georgia to West Virginia, Like it

1532
01:13:07,479 --> 01:13:11,760
Speaker 4: hasn't worked. So the question is can he get some positivity,

1533
01:13:11,840 --> 01:13:14,960
Speaker 4: some success early and then buy in Because I think

1534
01:13:15,000 --> 01:13:17,200
Speaker 4: this Rice team has it to go back to a

1535
01:13:17,240 --> 01:13:18,920
Speaker 4: bowl game and win six games. So I'm gonna go

1536
01:13:18,960 --> 01:13:21,360
Speaker 4: over on the win total. What do you think stuck

1537
01:13:21,360 --> 01:13:23,560
Speaker 4: about a team that shot itself in the foot so

1538
01:13:23,760 --> 01:13:26,439
Speaker 4: much last year just by luck of the draw and

1539
01:13:26,520 --> 01:13:28,840
Speaker 4: you know, probability to get a little luckier this time.

1540
01:13:30,000 --> 01:13:33,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like this Price team. If you want to

1541
01:13:33,360 --> 01:13:35,600
Speaker 2: get crazy and take a long shot, this would be it.

1542
01:13:35,760 --> 01:13:38,240
Speaker 2: But don't I don't think they have the horses. But

1543
01:13:38,280 --> 01:13:40,160
Speaker 2: I think Daniels, I think he wants to play, Like

1544
01:13:40,200 --> 01:13:42,759
Speaker 2: why would he else? Would he go to Rice and plow?

1545
01:13:43,760 --> 01:13:45,680
Speaker 4: It's a really good degree. I mean it's probably the

1546
01:13:45,720 --> 01:13:48,120
Speaker 4: best school in the AAC. So maybe maybe he just

1547
01:13:48,160 --> 01:13:50,320
Speaker 4: wants a nice, you know, graduate degree.

1548
01:13:51,640 --> 01:13:55,360
Speaker 2: He yeah, I mean he was recruited by blonger ten

1549
01:13:55,439 --> 01:13:57,120
Speaker 2: years ago when he was a freshman in high school.

1550
01:13:57,760 --> 01:14:00,880
Speaker 2: And I think he'll have a really good hasn't had

1551
01:14:00,960 --> 01:14:03,400
Speaker 2: a quarterback play, and they run like a complex pro

1552
01:14:03,560 --> 01:14:06,840
Speaker 2: style offense, apparently gonna use more tempo this year. I

1553
01:14:06,920 --> 01:14:09,120
Speaker 2: think he's a really good fit, especially with that wide

1554
01:14:09,160 --> 01:14:13,600
Speaker 2: receiver room. And they're tight end Bradleys who I really like. So,

1555
01:14:14,040 --> 01:14:15,760
Speaker 2: I mean, you could argue they have nine winnable games,

1556
01:14:15,840 --> 01:14:19,040
Speaker 2: right like at Texas, will say Houston's a loss, but

1557
01:14:19,160 --> 01:14:22,320
Speaker 2: I mean it's Houston's at home. It's they're both in

1558
01:14:22,600 --> 01:14:24,599
Speaker 2: the city of Houston. I mean, I guess they could

1559
01:14:24,600 --> 01:14:26,439
Speaker 2: pull an up set there. At Utsa will stay as

1560
01:14:26,439 --> 01:14:28,960
Speaker 2: a loss, but the rest, I mean, I just couldn't

1561
01:14:29,000 --> 01:14:32,280
Speaker 2: quite get there. Considering that they faced five to the

1562
01:14:32,320 --> 01:14:34,320
Speaker 2: top six in the conference, four of them are at home,

1563
01:14:34,680 --> 01:14:38,479
Speaker 2: so like, yeah, they faced the bottom three, but they're

1564
01:14:39,120 --> 01:14:41,799
Speaker 2: you know, on the road, like at Tulsa, at Charlotte

1565
01:14:42,080 --> 01:14:45,080
Speaker 2: at USF. Do we trust this Rice team to win

1566
01:14:45,160 --> 01:14:47,400
Speaker 2: on the road yet, I don't know. I'll be looking

1567
01:14:47,439 --> 01:14:49,240
Speaker 2: to play them in the game. The game basis lean

1568
01:14:49,360 --> 01:14:51,000
Speaker 2: over didn't quite get there.

1569
01:14:51,400 --> 01:14:55,439
Speaker 5: But I like the Daniels, get yeah, Zach Saimustucky. I

1570
01:14:55,560 --> 01:14:57,400
Speaker 5: like Daniels, but he's kind of a question mark. Do

1571
01:14:57,439 --> 01:14:59,479
Speaker 5: we get a five star? Do we get the quarterback

1572
01:14:59,560 --> 01:15:02,200
Speaker 5: we've seen? I like what Broom Bloom Gridd has been doing.

1573
01:15:02,400 --> 01:15:05,200
Speaker 5: They've had four the last five recruiting classes and program

1574
01:15:05,360 --> 01:15:07,920
Speaker 5: history over his tenure, and to be honest, if you

1575
01:15:08,000 --> 01:15:10,320
Speaker 5: look at what they've done since he took over, two wins,

1576
01:15:10,520 --> 01:15:13,479
Speaker 5: three wins, four wins, five wins, so six wins this year.

1577
01:15:13,479 --> 01:15:16,280
Speaker 5: You can go ahead and book that. But seriously, when

1578
01:15:16,320 --> 01:15:17,880
Speaker 5: I look at the schedule, I think, you know, the

1579
01:15:17,960 --> 01:15:21,599
Speaker 5: way I broke it down was Texas Tulane Smuts losses,

1580
01:15:21,840 --> 01:15:24,000
Speaker 5: two wins. You give them Texas Southern and Charlotte. That

1581
01:15:24,120 --> 01:15:27,120
Speaker 5: means they need to go three and three against Houston,

1582
01:15:27,240 --> 01:15:31,320
Speaker 5: South Florida e CU, yukon Tulsa FAU. So I'll probably

1583
01:15:31,400 --> 01:15:33,400
Speaker 5: just pick three or four of those games to bet

1584
01:15:33,520 --> 01:15:35,639
Speaker 5: them in instead of playing their total. But I would

1585
01:15:35,720 --> 01:15:37,880
Speaker 5: lean over, but I'll probably just bet them against you know,

1586
01:15:38,120 --> 01:15:41,200
Speaker 5: South Florida, ECU and Tulsa and just call it today.

1587
01:15:41,680 --> 01:15:44,320
Speaker 2: Yeah. So if you're following along just to quickly recap,

1588
01:15:44,680 --> 01:15:50,840
Speaker 2: I know likes all fourteen overs, ub I don't like

1589
01:15:50,960 --> 01:15:55,519
Speaker 2: UAB well thirteen overs in UAV under, so hopefully we

1590
01:15:55,640 --> 01:15:59,040
Speaker 2: can go eight and six on those. But in all seriousness,

1591
01:15:59,160 --> 01:16:02,040
Speaker 2: I like my two teachers are SMU it's the stone

1592
01:16:02,080 --> 01:16:07,760
Speaker 2: Age and Fau. We're back in Herman and presumably the

1593
01:16:07,960 --> 01:16:11,800
Speaker 2: Casey Thompson upside and most importantly both of those schedules.

1594
01:16:11,960 --> 01:16:15,400
Speaker 2: And then I'm semi fading Tulane and UTSA, I think

1595
01:16:15,439 --> 01:16:19,760
Speaker 2: are a tad overvalued win totals UAB under all the

1596
01:16:19,840 --> 01:16:23,200
Speaker 2: way we're fading Dilfer and this disaster waiting to happen,

1597
01:16:23,400 --> 01:16:26,559
Speaker 2: and I'm actually gonna go Memphis over he and theory

1598
01:16:26,640 --> 01:16:29,360
Speaker 2: half my over should hit yes in theory.

1599
01:16:29,840 --> 01:16:30,519
Speaker 5: All right, here we go.

1600
01:16:30,760 --> 01:16:33,400
Speaker 4: I'm gonna go quickly UTSA plus four to ten. I'm

1601
01:16:33,400 --> 01:16:35,439
Speaker 4: also going to play FAU as well. I'm a believer

1602
01:16:35,479 --> 01:16:37,120
Speaker 4: in something Herman, you know, eight to one to win

1603
01:16:37,200 --> 01:16:40,759
Speaker 4: the conference, hammer in the under on UAB. Just remember,

1604
01:16:41,000 --> 01:16:44,280
Speaker 4: Trent Dilfer had a dilferd Dimes segment on ESPN where

1605
01:16:44,280 --> 01:16:46,040
Speaker 4: he talked about accuracy and as I pointed out, he

1606
01:16:46,080 --> 01:16:48,960
Speaker 4: didn't complete sixty percent of his passes one goddamn season

1607
01:16:49,000 --> 01:16:50,800
Speaker 4: in the NFL, So the guy's a joke. He's a

1608
01:16:50,880 --> 01:16:53,439
Speaker 4: clown show and he's going to ruin this program, and

1609
01:16:53,600 --> 01:16:55,439
Speaker 4: I hope they go one and eleven and fire him

1610
01:16:55,479 --> 01:16:59,280
Speaker 4: in November. You cannot lose games and still win.

1611
01:17:00,280 --> 01:17:03,479
Speaker 5: What are your favorite playce you and to win the conference?

1612
01:17:03,520 --> 01:17:05,639
Speaker 5: Hope they play each other. I like the fau over

1613
01:17:05,760 --> 01:17:07,760
Speaker 5: probably the most, and I'm with you on the uav

1614
01:17:07,960 --> 01:17:08,559
Speaker 5: under as well.

1615
01:17:08,960 --> 01:17:11,600
Speaker 4: For the Big Bets on Campus podcast, I'm Mike Calabres

1616
01:17:11,840 --> 01:17:14,320
Speaker 4: joined by Mike Iinello and Stuck. If you liked our

1617
01:17:14,400 --> 01:17:17,880
Speaker 4: work here, please listen in on all of our conference previews.

1618
01:17:17,920 --> 01:17:20,639
Speaker 4: As I mentioned, the FBS is blanketed by the Action Network.

1619
01:17:20,640 --> 01:17:23,200
Speaker 4: We're covering every single conference as well as the SEC

1620
01:17:23,600 --> 01:17:25,720
Speaker 4: Mega preview with Colin and Stucky. The East in the

1621
01:17:25,760 --> 01:17:29,000
Speaker 4: West divisions discussed at length. We also have a Heisman

1622
01:17:29,200 --> 01:17:31,439
Speaker 4: preview episode coming up, and then before you know it,

1623
01:17:31,479 --> 01:17:33,719
Speaker 4: we're into week zero. So thanks so much for listening,

1624
01:17:33,800 --> 01:17:38,120
Speaker 4: and please as a reminder, subscribe, comment, share with the friends, share.

1625
01:17:37,960 --> 01:17:38,519
Speaker 6: With an enemy.

1626
01:17:38,720 --> 01:17:40,760
Speaker 4: You know how we do here at BBOC. Thanks again

1627
01:17:40,800 --> 01:17:41,240
Speaker 4: for listening.

1628
01:17:53,280 --> 01:17:56,680
Speaker 5: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1629
01:17:57,120 --> 01:17:59,880
Speaker 4: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1630
01:18:00,240 --> 01:18:03,200
Speaker 4: help is available twenty four seven at one eight hundred

1631
01:18:03,280 --> 01:18:03,679
Speaker 4: gambler