1 00:00:08,960 --> 00:00:12,719 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast presented by BED three 2 00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:16,400 Speaker 1: sixty five. We are part of the Volume podcast Network. 3 00:00:16,560 --> 00:00:19,639 Speaker 1: Live from our Tommy John Holmes Studios. I am Chad 4 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:23,240 Speaker 1: Millman of the Action Network. This is our Sunday night episode. 5 00:00:23,400 --> 00:00:26,439 Speaker 1: We will review our favorite five picks that we put 6 00:00:26,520 --> 00:00:31,280 Speaker 1: into the Favorites contest. We will dissect why we left 7 00:00:31,440 --> 00:00:34,600 Speaker 1: some games out. We will preview the early lines we 8 00:00:34,760 --> 00:00:38,440 Speaker 1: already like for week eleven. I'm joined as always buy 9 00:00:38,520 --> 00:00:40,879 Speaker 1: my co host, my companion Mike and padre My BFF 10 00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:43,160 Speaker 1: professional better Simon Hunter. 11 00:00:43,440 --> 00:00:45,920 Speaker 2: L sim in, Hey chat, how are we doing? 12 00:00:46,720 --> 00:00:52,920 Speaker 1: Brother? There were points today where we were likely to 13 00:00:52,960 --> 00:00:55,560 Speaker 1: be four and zero. We were likely to be zero 14 00:00:55,560 --> 00:00:58,200 Speaker 1: to four. We were likely to be two and two 15 00:00:58,720 --> 00:01:01,880 Speaker 1: with the two teams that we lost that we lost with. 16 00:01:01,920 --> 00:01:04,399 Speaker 1: We were likely to be two and two with the 17 00:01:04,400 --> 00:01:07,960 Speaker 1: two teams that we won with. As it stands, we 18 00:01:08,000 --> 00:01:14,000 Speaker 1: are exactly two and two somehow today, Simon, the streak 19 00:01:14,080 --> 00:01:20,399 Speaker 1: of Favorites covering Road Favorites covering has come to an end. 20 00:01:20,440 --> 00:01:23,240 Speaker 1: At least that was true in the early window. Today. Reminder, 21 00:01:23,319 --> 00:01:27,520 Speaker 1: road Favorites were road favorites heading into today's games have 22 00:01:27,600 --> 00:01:30,360 Speaker 1: been sixteen games over five hundred. They were one and 23 00:01:30,480 --> 00:01:34,120 Speaker 1: three in the early window. The Favorites were road favorites. 24 00:01:34,280 --> 00:01:37,039 Speaker 1: The bad news we faded the one team that won, 25 00:01:37,959 --> 00:01:42,080 Speaker 1: and we backed one of the teams that lost. Those 26 00:01:42,080 --> 00:01:44,640 Speaker 1: are our two losses on the day. We'll get to 27 00:01:44,720 --> 00:01:47,480 Speaker 1: all of that. Catch every episode of The Favorites live 28 00:01:47,600 --> 00:01:51,160 Speaker 1: on YouTube. For those enjoying on YouTube, don't forget to 29 00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:53,960 Speaker 1: give us a like and subscribe to the Action Network 30 00:01:54,200 --> 00:01:58,800 Speaker 1: YouTube page. As a reminder, The Favorites podcast is presented 31 00:01:58,840 --> 00:02:00,960 Speaker 1: by Bet three six five and now new Bet three 32 00:02:01,000 --> 00:02:03,480 Speaker 1: sixty five. Customers get one hundred and fifty dollars in 33 00:02:03,560 --> 00:02:06,320 Speaker 1: bonus bets when you bet five dollars sign up using 34 00:02:06,600 --> 00:02:09,920 Speaker 1: promo code Favorites, deposit ten dollars place to bet for 35 00:02:09,960 --> 00:02:12,160 Speaker 1: five dollars to get one hundred and fifty dollars in 36 00:02:12,200 --> 00:02:16,200 Speaker 1: bonus bets. Those bonus bets can be used on spreads, totals, 37 00:02:16,200 --> 00:02:20,400 Speaker 1: player props, futures, and more. Whatever the moment, it's never ordinary. 38 00:02:20,440 --> 00:02:23,080 Speaker 1: At Bet three sixty five. Must be twenty one or 39 00:02:23,160 --> 00:02:28,760 Speaker 1: older and president in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, North Carolina, 40 00:02:28,800 --> 00:02:32,919 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia or eighteen and older in 41 00:02:33,000 --> 00:02:37,280 Speaker 1: Kentucky gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler or one 42 00:02:37,280 --> 00:02:40,520 Speaker 1: eight hundred bets off in Iowa terms, conditioned restrictions apply. 43 00:02:40,680 --> 00:02:44,880 Speaker 1: All right, let's start with the road favorite we faded 44 00:02:45,520 --> 00:02:48,720 Speaker 1: because when we chatted this morning to decide on our 45 00:02:48,800 --> 00:02:52,560 Speaker 1: final picks, this was the one game you were all 46 00:02:52,600 --> 00:02:59,040 Speaker 1: of a sudden having second thoughts about, which completely threw me, 47 00:03:00,000 --> 00:03:04,519 Speaker 1: totally surprised me. I am talking about the Indianapolis Colts 48 00:03:04,560 --> 00:03:08,880 Speaker 1: plus four and a half against the Buffalo Bills. That 49 00:03:09,000 --> 00:03:11,120 Speaker 1: was the one routine that covered in the early window. 50 00:03:12,040 --> 00:03:15,080 Speaker 1: Give me your thoughts and why all of a sudden 51 00:03:15,480 --> 00:03:16,519 Speaker 1: you got antsy. 52 00:03:18,440 --> 00:03:21,320 Speaker 2: Other than Josh Allen Joe Flacco, But it was Josh Allen. 53 00:03:21,400 --> 00:03:22,960 Speaker 2: It was just the Josh Allen part of it where 54 00:03:22,960 --> 00:03:26,000 Speaker 2: I was like, are we overthinking this one here? And 55 00:03:26,000 --> 00:03:26,920 Speaker 2: it clearly we did. 56 00:03:29,200 --> 00:03:33,800 Speaker 1: The Bills make me want something, throw your hands something, 57 00:03:33,919 --> 00:03:35,760 Speaker 1: so throw your hair back. 58 00:03:35,920 --> 00:03:38,960 Speaker 2: Come on now, the Bills. I'm making it happen now. 59 00:03:40,200 --> 00:03:42,120 Speaker 2: The better cub, even though it wasn't a great day 60 00:03:42,160 --> 00:03:45,400 Speaker 2: for him, he was struggling at one point. You know, 61 00:03:45,480 --> 00:03:47,160 Speaker 2: if you took away that pick six. It would have 62 00:03:47,160 --> 00:03:49,320 Speaker 2: been a thirteen ten game, the Colts would have the ball, 63 00:03:49,840 --> 00:03:52,360 Speaker 2: but he did throw that pick six, So seventeen thirteen 64 00:03:52,920 --> 00:03:54,960 Speaker 2: Joe Flacco had to keep it throwing the ball and 65 00:03:55,640 --> 00:03:57,040 Speaker 2: that was not a position we wanted to be and 66 00:03:57,080 --> 00:03:59,200 Speaker 2: we wanted them to run the ball, and instead they 67 00:03:59,200 --> 00:04:00,880 Speaker 2: had to pass the ball because they were They were 68 00:04:00,960 --> 00:04:05,440 Speaker 2: behind basically from the get go, and yeah, jadd chadd, 69 00:04:05,440 --> 00:04:08,200 Speaker 2: it's Appearum, Joe Flack goes turned into a pumpkin since 70 00:04:08,200 --> 00:04:11,600 Speaker 2: he's become the starter. This is the Joe flatkill we 71 00:04:11,640 --> 00:04:14,320 Speaker 2: all knew and love, who had retired. I couldn't get 72 00:04:14,360 --> 00:04:16,160 Speaker 2: a job with any team the NFL and then Cleveland 73 00:04:16,200 --> 00:04:17,480 Speaker 2: game of a job and he's been on a he 74 00:04:17,520 --> 00:04:21,000 Speaker 2: went on a crazy run. He's back to what he 75 00:04:21,120 --> 00:04:25,080 Speaker 2: was before that crazy run. And uh that that's unfortunate 76 00:04:25,560 --> 00:04:28,000 Speaker 2: because it was a good number, and you know at 77 00:04:28,040 --> 00:04:29,880 Speaker 2: four and a half. I liked the spot as well, 78 00:04:30,360 --> 00:04:33,560 Speaker 2: but at the simplest terms, the simplest base of it, 79 00:04:33,560 --> 00:04:37,200 Speaker 2: it was just like, are we overthicking this betting against 80 00:04:37,240 --> 00:04:39,560 Speaker 2: Josh Allen here? And yeah we did. We did that. 81 00:04:39,640 --> 00:04:44,920 Speaker 1: Over Look, to put a finer point on it, I 82 00:04:44,960 --> 00:04:47,520 Speaker 1: have a little bit of a different take on this 83 00:04:47,680 --> 00:04:52,520 Speaker 1: game because it generally went if it was just if 84 00:04:52,520 --> 00:04:56,680 Speaker 1: we're taking out sort of the randomness of turnovers exactly 85 00:04:56,720 --> 00:04:59,400 Speaker 1: as we thought it would go. The Colts dominated on 86 00:04:59,440 --> 00:05:03,320 Speaker 1: the ground. When they weren't turning the ball over, they 87 00:05:03,320 --> 00:05:08,320 Speaker 1: were the not better side, but equal side. In that game. 88 00:05:09,120 --> 00:05:12,680 Speaker 1: There were two drives that mattered. Look Jonathan Taylor, by 89 00:05:12,680 --> 00:05:16,360 Speaker 1: the way average five point four yards per carry, had 90 00:05:16,360 --> 00:05:20,000 Speaker 1: more than one hundred yards. Like this team was grinding it. 91 00:05:20,360 --> 00:05:24,080 Speaker 1: And don't forget Joe Flacco throws the pick six. Then 92 00:05:24,080 --> 00:05:27,960 Speaker 1: they're in the red zone. He throws another interception. After that, 93 00:05:28,440 --> 00:05:31,719 Speaker 1: they were still up thirteen to ten in the first half. 94 00:05:32,320 --> 00:05:35,760 Speaker 1: So to me, this game came down to Josh Allen, 95 00:05:36,240 --> 00:05:38,159 Speaker 1: as you said, and it was in the back of 96 00:05:38,200 --> 00:05:41,479 Speaker 1: my head while I was watching Josh Allen do Josh 97 00:05:41,520 --> 00:05:45,240 Speaker 1: Allen things. Because on the second to last drive of 98 00:05:45,360 --> 00:05:49,000 Speaker 1: the first half, Josh Allen throws a thirty five thirty 99 00:05:49,000 --> 00:05:53,080 Speaker 1: four yard bomb to Dawson Knox and then next play 100 00:05:53,760 --> 00:05:57,200 Speaker 1: runs at thirteen yards for a touchdown. The Colts have 101 00:05:57,279 --> 00:06:00,359 Speaker 1: to punt on the next drive, and here comes Josh Allen. 102 00:06:00,800 --> 00:06:03,720 Speaker 1: It's second and ten from his twenty seven. He's rolling right, 103 00:06:04,200 --> 00:06:09,520 Speaker 1: his heels get clipped twice, keeps his balance before he 104 00:06:09,520 --> 00:06:12,880 Speaker 1: goes out of bounds. Classic Josh Allen, flick Mac Collins 105 00:06:12,960 --> 00:06:15,360 Speaker 1: forty four yards. They get a field goal. All of 106 00:06:15,400 --> 00:06:18,080 Speaker 1: a sudden, they're up twenty to thirteen, and like it's 107 00:06:18,080 --> 00:06:22,560 Speaker 1: still the Colts were in it the whole time. It's 108 00:06:22,600 --> 00:06:28,440 Speaker 1: twenty to thirteen. In the third quarter, they're driving fourth 109 00:06:28,440 --> 00:06:32,000 Speaker 1: in inches. Joe Flacco gets sacked. You're right it was 110 00:06:32,080 --> 00:06:36,000 Speaker 1: Josh Allen. You're right, it was Joe Flacco. But if 111 00:06:36,000 --> 00:06:38,200 Speaker 1: not for Josh Allen or Joe flaccoh we were right there. 112 00:06:40,279 --> 00:06:43,680 Speaker 2: The bills make me a water. You even mentioned he 113 00:06:43,720 --> 00:06:46,919 Speaker 2: got stripsacked too, Flako, like he just three turnovers, he 114 00:06:47,080 --> 00:06:48,880 Speaker 2: just killed us. And we talk all the time, and 115 00:06:48,920 --> 00:06:52,400 Speaker 2: you bet ugly dogs, you cannot lose the turnover battle. 116 00:06:52,920 --> 00:06:54,360 Speaker 2: And not that I knew that we were dead and 117 00:06:54,360 --> 00:06:56,760 Speaker 2: when we threw that pick six, but I knew eventually 118 00:06:56,839 --> 00:06:58,480 Speaker 2: Josh would figure it out. It took him a half, 119 00:06:58,560 --> 00:07:00,560 Speaker 2: Like you said, he was bad to start at the game, 120 00:07:00,600 --> 00:07:03,200 Speaker 2: but once he gets in a groove. I mean, we 121 00:07:03,320 --> 00:07:06,360 Speaker 2: joke all the time. This guy is top three, top 122 00:07:06,440 --> 00:07:09,479 Speaker 2: two talent in the league for a reason. He's incredible, 123 00:07:09,720 --> 00:07:12,440 Speaker 2: and yeah, definitely a bad bet. 124 00:07:13,040 --> 00:07:16,560 Speaker 1: It's it's almost unfair what he can do. So good 125 00:07:16,600 --> 00:07:18,360 Speaker 1: for the Bills, Good for Matt. 126 00:07:18,160 --> 00:07:19,280 Speaker 2: Mitchell, good for you. 127 00:07:19,360 --> 00:07:21,840 Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell really excited for him. 128 00:07:22,280 --> 00:07:24,440 Speaker 2: Dirt wounds before we come on the show, and. 129 00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:26,520 Speaker 1: That was kind of by the way, Matt Mitchell like. 130 00:07:27,240 --> 00:07:28,160 Speaker 2: I'm the producer. 131 00:07:28,480 --> 00:07:31,400 Speaker 1: I don't ever make comments about your picks, but I 132 00:07:31,440 --> 00:07:32,320 Speaker 1: knew that was a bad pick. 133 00:07:32,960 --> 00:07:33,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, Matt. 134 00:07:33,960 --> 00:07:35,960 Speaker 1: Thanks, Matt Mitchell really give us a lot of confidence 135 00:07:35,960 --> 00:07:40,040 Speaker 1: before the show. Let's go all right. So one of 136 00:07:40,080 --> 00:07:42,200 Speaker 1: the road favorites that we were all in on we 137 00:07:42,200 --> 00:07:44,640 Speaker 1: were so excited about. We're like, this is the spot 138 00:07:45,200 --> 00:07:49,520 Speaker 1: San Francisco at Tampa five and a half when it 139 00:07:49,680 --> 00:07:52,960 Speaker 1: opened six and a half in the contest Tampa coming 140 00:07:53,000 --> 00:07:59,280 Speaker 1: off a physical overtime game in Kansas City, traveling back 141 00:07:59,400 --> 00:08:03,840 Speaker 1: San Francis, getting Christian McCaffrey back, and this started out 142 00:08:03,960 --> 00:08:09,480 Speaker 1: so perfectly for us, Simon, we were nailing it. 143 00:08:10,640 --> 00:08:12,360 Speaker 2: I mean, it did it did well. You're talking about 144 00:08:12,440 --> 00:08:16,600 Speaker 2: they're up ten to nothing in ten to three. Yeah, yeah, 145 00:08:16,720 --> 00:08:20,080 Speaker 2: but it's still if it never felt right. But you're 146 00:08:20,200 --> 00:08:21,600 Speaker 2: right at the end of the day. I mean, we're 147 00:08:21,600 --> 00:08:24,720 Speaker 2: gonna we're gonna talk about blaming this kicker. But the 148 00:08:24,800 --> 00:08:27,280 Speaker 2: red zone struggles continued though. That's what it is, just 149 00:08:27,280 --> 00:08:29,840 Speaker 2: bumming me out. It's like they just can't complete these drives. 150 00:08:30,080 --> 00:08:33,319 Speaker 2: They dominated Tampa in every way. I mean Tampa, they 151 00:08:33,480 --> 00:08:35,080 Speaker 2: they're they're so good at making the plays that they 152 00:08:35,120 --> 00:08:38,040 Speaker 2: need to. That's that kind of team they are. If 153 00:08:38,040 --> 00:08:40,480 Speaker 2: you let them hang into this game, they'll steal it 154 00:08:40,520 --> 00:08:41,960 Speaker 2: from you. Mean, they almost deal with the Chiefs the 155 00:08:41,960 --> 00:08:45,120 Speaker 2: week before. It's just they're really great at playing, making 156 00:08:45,160 --> 00:08:47,160 Speaker 2: teams play down to their level and keeping a minute. 157 00:08:47,160 --> 00:08:50,320 Speaker 2: But they also got crazy lucky, and we had the muffkick. 158 00:08:50,679 --> 00:08:54,560 Speaker 2: Like you said, they were dead, and they muffed that punt, and. 159 00:08:56,320 --> 00:09:01,599 Speaker 1: To open the second half, the Bucks were down and 160 00:09:01,760 --> 00:09:03,480 Speaker 1: went three and out to start the second three and 161 00:09:03,559 --> 00:09:06,880 Speaker 1: out and the forty nine ers muffed the punt, and 162 00:09:06,920 --> 00:09:08,960 Speaker 1: then all of a sudden, the Bucks are back in 163 00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:11,360 Speaker 1: the game, and it's like, come. 164 00:09:11,120 --> 00:09:14,080 Speaker 2: On still, though doesn't matter at the end of the day, 165 00:09:14,400 --> 00:09:18,800 Speaker 2: fucking Moody, like this guy misses three kicks and just 166 00:09:18,880 --> 00:09:21,080 Speaker 2: kills us. Like it's just so brutal. When we play 167 00:09:21,120 --> 00:09:25,160 Speaker 2: these numbers, these favorites and these key numbers, and we 168 00:09:25,200 --> 00:09:28,200 Speaker 2: don't get the lucky breaks where it's like, come on, 169 00:09:28,520 --> 00:09:30,800 Speaker 2: like this is the guy's worst career day, and so 170 00:09:30,920 --> 00:09:33,560 Speaker 2: happens a good day, we bet on him. So yeah, 171 00:09:33,600 --> 00:09:35,120 Speaker 2: I was. I was bummed by the end of the day. 172 00:09:35,800 --> 00:09:37,280 Speaker 2: We should have taken the five and a half and 173 00:09:37,280 --> 00:09:38,600 Speaker 2: we didn't get the five and a half. We got 174 00:09:38,600 --> 00:09:40,559 Speaker 2: greedy and thought we were smart in the book and 175 00:09:40,640 --> 00:09:41,760 Speaker 2: took the six and a half. Or at the end 176 00:09:41,800 --> 00:09:43,880 Speaker 2: of the day, the five and a half was probably 177 00:09:43,920 --> 00:09:46,120 Speaker 2: the right number, right, like he makes two of those 178 00:09:46,200 --> 00:09:49,640 Speaker 2: kicks at least they went by six. The five and 179 00:09:49,679 --> 00:09:51,840 Speaker 2: a half was the right number, and we got greedy 180 00:09:51,880 --> 00:09:52,920 Speaker 2: taking that six and a half. 181 00:09:53,200 --> 00:09:55,520 Speaker 1: Well, look, even if if we had taken the five 182 00:09:55,559 --> 00:09:58,920 Speaker 1: and a half, even with all that, don't forget the 183 00:09:58,960 --> 00:10:03,160 Speaker 1: Bucks had a fourth down in their own territory. They 184 00:10:03,240 --> 00:10:09,000 Speaker 1: went for it. Nick Bosa is hanging on Baker Mayfield, 185 00:10:09,320 --> 00:10:12,319 Speaker 1: literally hanging on the guy. It's one of the best 186 00:10:12,320 --> 00:10:14,559 Speaker 1: defensive ends in all of football, one of the best 187 00:10:14,559 --> 00:10:17,880 Speaker 1: defensive players in all of football. Baker Mayfield is such 188 00:10:17,920 --> 00:10:22,440 Speaker 1: a fucking baller. He's stiff arming the dude dragging him 189 00:10:22,559 --> 00:10:26,000 Speaker 1: as he rolls right and he completes a miraculous fourth 190 00:10:26,080 --> 00:10:28,880 Speaker 1: down pass. If he doesn't do that, there was enough 191 00:10:28,920 --> 00:10:33,120 Speaker 1: time that even if the Niners had gained ten yards, 192 00:10:33,600 --> 00:10:35,120 Speaker 1: they were gonna have to kick field goal, like they 193 00:10:35,120 --> 00:10:38,000 Speaker 1: were gonna be conservative. But the Bucks had enough timeouts 194 00:10:38,440 --> 00:10:41,160 Speaker 1: that you and I both had the five and a half. 195 00:10:41,280 --> 00:10:44,000 Speaker 1: I was still like crossing my fingers as Baker is 196 00:10:44,040 --> 00:10:46,400 Speaker 1: about to go down, but before he completes that pass, 197 00:10:46,440 --> 00:10:51,439 Speaker 1: and like that weird slow motion moment where your entire 198 00:10:51,520 --> 00:10:56,040 Speaker 1: bet is in the balance. I was thinking, in all 199 00:10:56,080 --> 00:10:58,040 Speaker 1: those moments, it's like in a movie when everything goes 200 00:10:58,040 --> 00:11:01,680 Speaker 1: slow motion and like flashing. You're like, all right, this 201 00:11:01,760 --> 00:11:04,280 Speaker 1: is gonna be incomplete. This is how much time is left. 202 00:11:04,360 --> 00:11:08,520 Speaker 1: This is like the ten thousand hours of betting. You 203 00:11:08,679 --> 00:11:12,960 Speaker 1: know the situation. And I'm like, okay, we're gonna get 204 00:11:12,960 --> 00:11:14,679 Speaker 1: the ball back, We're gonna have to kick a field goal. 205 00:11:14,720 --> 00:11:17,280 Speaker 1: We'll be up by six. We're gonna lose this contest, 206 00:11:17,280 --> 00:11:18,640 Speaker 1: but at least we'll be in the five and a half. 207 00:11:19,679 --> 00:11:23,600 Speaker 1: Fucking Baker like not only completes that pass, but then 208 00:11:23,640 --> 00:11:27,920 Speaker 1: there's like three straight penalties. The Bucks tie it. I'm like, okay, great, 209 00:11:28,200 --> 00:11:31,000 Speaker 1: forty one seconds left, maybe we can get the six 210 00:11:31,080 --> 00:11:35,640 Speaker 1: in overtime. And then Jake Moody finally does his job, 211 00:11:35,840 --> 00:11:39,840 Speaker 1: like that was excruciating. That was an excruciating beat. 212 00:11:39,920 --> 00:11:43,600 Speaker 2: It is, but like giving more love to Baker. He 213 00:11:43,760 --> 00:11:47,600 Speaker 2: has shown me so much right now these last couple 214 00:11:47,640 --> 00:11:50,400 Speaker 2: of weeks, like to go to toe with the Chiefs 215 00:11:50,440 --> 00:11:52,000 Speaker 2: on the road, then come home like you said on 216 00:11:52,040 --> 00:11:54,199 Speaker 2: short rest, and just keep his team in it where 217 00:11:54,200 --> 00:11:56,880 Speaker 2: he's just dragging these guys across the line finish line. 218 00:11:56,880 --> 00:11:59,880 Speaker 1: It's crazy, like no Godwin, no Evans. 219 00:11:59,640 --> 00:12:02,000 Speaker 2: No, like you should just lay down and die in 220 00:12:02,000 --> 00:12:04,559 Speaker 2: this matchup, and he just didn't go away. And it's 221 00:12:04,880 --> 00:12:08,360 Speaker 2: pretty crazy that. Not that Sam Donald's turned back into 222 00:12:08,360 --> 00:12:10,000 Speaker 2: a pumpkin, but you know what I mean, take away 223 00:12:10,600 --> 00:12:13,840 Speaker 2: Jefferson and his other weapons and see how Sam Donald 224 00:12:13,920 --> 00:12:16,720 Speaker 2: is on the Vikings now and it's just Baker is 225 00:12:16,760 --> 00:12:19,559 Speaker 2: not that. It's pretty crazy like Baker might actually last 226 00:12:19,600 --> 00:12:22,199 Speaker 2: year for the next five to eight years in this league, 227 00:12:22,200 --> 00:12:24,640 Speaker 2: which is just crazy to think where he was at. 228 00:12:24,679 --> 00:12:26,440 Speaker 2: He was on three different teams in a year span, 229 00:12:26,559 --> 00:12:29,200 Speaker 2: and now he's like a legit starter in this league. 230 00:12:29,240 --> 00:12:32,760 Speaker 2: So yeah, brutal loss for Tampa. That's kind of game. 231 00:12:32,800 --> 00:12:35,640 Speaker 2: They steal that one there. They could be easily be 232 00:12:35,679 --> 00:12:38,400 Speaker 2: a seventh seed for the playoffs, and now it feels 233 00:12:38,400 --> 00:12:40,880 Speaker 2: like they're slowly fading away from this playoff race. 234 00:12:41,120 --> 00:12:43,880 Speaker 1: I wonder if there was a poll of quarterbacks who 235 00:12:43,880 --> 00:12:48,120 Speaker 1: were respected by players, like where Baker would land. You know, 236 00:12:48,160 --> 00:12:50,120 Speaker 1: it's going to be Josh Allen and Joe Burrow and 237 00:12:50,120 --> 00:12:55,199 Speaker 1: Patrick you know, and Lamar. But they also got to 238 00:12:55,240 --> 00:12:58,160 Speaker 1: love Baker. I would not be surprised even if he's 239 00:12:58,200 --> 00:13:02,240 Speaker 1: not a top ten quarterback in terms of talent, He's 240 00:13:02,280 --> 00:13:04,640 Speaker 1: a guy that everybody wants to play with. Here's the 241 00:13:04,720 --> 00:13:06,920 Speaker 1: question we have to ask ourselves. You're projecting a little 242 00:13:06,920 --> 00:13:11,760 Speaker 1: bit about Tampa Bay. Now what do we think of 243 00:13:11,760 --> 00:13:14,079 Speaker 1: the Niners at this point? They are not a team 244 00:13:14,160 --> 00:13:18,959 Speaker 1: that can get into any rhythm yet. And was today Okay, 245 00:13:19,000 --> 00:13:22,000 Speaker 1: this is your first game back with McCaffrey, maybe you're 246 00:13:22,040 --> 00:13:26,920 Speaker 1: being a little conservative, Kyle Shanahan said in the halftime interview. 247 00:13:27,440 --> 00:13:30,120 Speaker 1: They're pulling back a little bit on his snaps because 248 00:13:30,160 --> 00:13:32,040 Speaker 1: it was so hot. They didn't want to burn them 249 00:13:32,080 --> 00:13:35,719 Speaker 1: out in that first game. But like, what do we 250 00:13:35,760 --> 00:13:38,800 Speaker 1: think of the Niners right now, they're tough to. 251 00:13:38,760 --> 00:13:39,840 Speaker 2: You even to get a read on, just because the 252 00:13:39,880 --> 00:13:42,160 Speaker 2: red zone struggles, and it's like, yeah, I want to 253 00:13:42,160 --> 00:13:44,440 Speaker 2: fade him as these big favorites, but we know if 254 00:13:44,480 --> 00:13:47,160 Speaker 2: they put together, they can roll teams by twenty one. 255 00:13:47,640 --> 00:13:49,760 Speaker 2: Like that's just the hard thing to say, is what 256 00:13:49,800 --> 00:13:52,120 Speaker 2: are we getting weak to week is? Right now? It 257 00:13:52,200 --> 00:13:54,559 Speaker 2: isn't consistent and trying to figure it out isn't consistent. 258 00:13:54,640 --> 00:13:57,320 Speaker 2: Like one week they're great and dominant like they were 259 00:13:57,360 --> 00:13:59,200 Speaker 2: against that Cowboys team. Right they came on that second 260 00:13:59,240 --> 00:14:02,000 Speaker 2: half when they were down ten to six, score twenty 261 00:14:02,000 --> 00:14:07,240 Speaker 2: one straight right, three drives, three touchdowns and when it's 262 00:14:07,280 --> 00:14:08,839 Speaker 2: when their kick a field goes like this and let 263 00:14:08,840 --> 00:14:11,360 Speaker 2: teams hang in. We've seen this season they've lost a 264 00:14:11,400 --> 00:14:12,960 Speaker 2: lot of those games, like they could have lost today 265 00:14:12,960 --> 00:14:16,240 Speaker 2: if Baker makes that completion. Oh yeah, not going to overtime. 266 00:14:16,320 --> 00:14:19,120 Speaker 2: I mean they probably win this game, as crazy as 267 00:14:19,120 --> 00:14:21,800 Speaker 2: that sounds. So yeah, they're a tough team to get reround. 268 00:14:22,080 --> 00:14:24,360 Speaker 2: We'll talk about their line coming up, but I'm assuming 269 00:14:24,400 --> 00:14:26,160 Speaker 2: they're gonna be a big favorite this upcoming week. 270 00:14:26,400 --> 00:14:31,080 Speaker 1: It is a big, big number against Seattle. Touchdown favorite. 271 00:14:31,120 --> 00:14:33,400 Speaker 1: We're going to get into that one for sure. All right, 272 00:14:33,480 --> 00:14:35,760 Speaker 1: let's talk about a couple of games we won. Like 273 00:14:35,920 --> 00:14:39,040 Speaker 1: when we got to New Yar halftime, I was convinced, 274 00:14:39,040 --> 00:14:42,280 Speaker 1: all right, Pittsburgh's gonna blow this. The Colts are going 275 00:14:42,360 --> 00:14:45,080 Speaker 1: to cover jeesus, the Niners are going to find their way. 276 00:14:45,240 --> 00:14:47,480 Speaker 1: But this game with Pittsburgh kind of in the end 277 00:14:47,680 --> 00:14:50,240 Speaker 1: like ended up exactly the way we thought it would. 278 00:14:50,320 --> 00:14:55,080 Speaker 1: We just had to get there. We survived a failed 279 00:14:55,120 --> 00:14:57,760 Speaker 1: fake punt from the Steelers ten when they were winning. 280 00:14:58,160 --> 00:15:01,440 Speaker 1: We survived a fumble by the Steelers on the on 281 00:15:01,560 --> 00:15:05,120 Speaker 1: the Commander's one yard line when they were about to 282 00:15:05,120 --> 00:15:08,240 Speaker 1: go in for the go ahead score. We survived Jaden 283 00:15:08,360 --> 00:15:13,200 Speaker 1: Daniels multiple times. We were saved. This is why football 284 00:15:13,320 --> 00:15:17,680 Speaker 1: was so great. A Russell Wilson moonball to the newly 285 00:15:17,760 --> 00:15:21,640 Speaker 1: acquired and vilified by Aaron Rodgers. How lucky he got 286 00:15:21,640 --> 00:15:24,920 Speaker 1: out of New York. Mike Williams who made a Willie 287 00:15:24,920 --> 00:15:29,920 Speaker 1: Mays over the shoulder catch for the game winning touchdown. Ah, 288 00:15:30,000 --> 00:15:32,400 Speaker 1: it was chef's kiss. 289 00:15:32,840 --> 00:15:35,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, it was really fun. And you know, of all 290 00:15:35,200 --> 00:15:36,920 Speaker 2: the games you picked this week, this is one that, 291 00:15:37,040 --> 00:15:39,240 Speaker 2: like both of us were a little hesitant about it 292 00:15:39,240 --> 00:15:43,360 Speaker 2: because Jayden Daniels factor, but I never really waivered. I 293 00:15:43,400 --> 00:15:46,080 Speaker 2: loved it. But like you said, we both bet heavy 294 00:15:46,120 --> 00:15:47,880 Speaker 2: on the three. I bet heavy on the three in 295 00:15:47,880 --> 00:15:50,560 Speaker 2: the two and a half, and I think we were 296 00:15:50,600 --> 00:15:52,480 Speaker 2: talking in the morning it already moved a one and 297 00:15:52,520 --> 00:15:55,880 Speaker 2: a half for two, and it's like, should we fade 298 00:15:55,880 --> 00:15:57,680 Speaker 2: this laid steam? I remember, not that you had cold 299 00:15:57,680 --> 00:15:59,360 Speaker 2: feet about, but like you were just a little unsure 300 00:15:59,360 --> 00:15:59,520 Speaker 2: of it. 301 00:15:59,720 --> 00:16:02,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, it was like it just felt like to me, Simon, 302 00:16:02,760 --> 00:16:07,720 Speaker 1: like the raw rass spot that we know we have 303 00:16:07,800 --> 00:16:11,240 Speaker 1: to bet. That feels a little bit cursed going against 304 00:16:11,320 --> 00:16:14,960 Speaker 1: Jade and Daniels because everybody else was betting it too. 305 00:16:15,640 --> 00:16:19,920 Speaker 2: Well, never know, will we You know, I'm a degenerate. 306 00:16:20,400 --> 00:16:22,240 Speaker 2: But it really came down just to the number and 307 00:16:22,240 --> 00:16:24,720 Speaker 2: the two and a half. I mean, once again, the 308 00:16:24,760 --> 00:16:26,160 Speaker 2: two and a half. How important it is. It was 309 00:16:26,200 --> 00:16:27,960 Speaker 2: going to land on it, like if Daniels drove the 310 00:16:27,960 --> 00:16:29,920 Speaker 2: field got that field goal, it lands on two and 311 00:16:29,960 --> 00:16:32,400 Speaker 2: it's like no worries. That's why we always talk about 312 00:16:32,440 --> 00:16:34,160 Speaker 2: how this is the most important number of football. I 313 00:16:34,200 --> 00:16:36,200 Speaker 2: really should try to make some money off this two 314 00:16:36,240 --> 00:16:37,680 Speaker 2: and a half thing. I feel like we're the only 315 00:16:37,680 --> 00:16:39,160 Speaker 2: ones that beat it to death. But it's such a 316 00:16:39,200 --> 00:16:44,000 Speaker 2: key number now in football. And yeah, that's the definition 317 00:16:44,040 --> 00:16:45,960 Speaker 2: of a Tomelin spot. And I'm with you that the 318 00:16:46,640 --> 00:16:48,360 Speaker 2: I never lost faith even when we were down in 319 00:16:48,360 --> 00:16:50,960 Speaker 2: every lot of states. But the fumble at the one, 320 00:16:51,160 --> 00:16:53,040 Speaker 2: and again this is coming off all these miskicks on 321 00:16:53,040 --> 00:16:55,480 Speaker 2: the forty niners. I'm just like, oh my god, oh 322 00:16:55,560 --> 00:16:57,120 Speaker 2: my god, are we really about to be one and 323 00:16:57,200 --> 00:17:00,680 Speaker 2: three where we should be three and one? And luckily, 324 00:17:00,920 --> 00:17:03,360 Speaker 2: like you said, the got the moon ball from Russell 325 00:17:03,400 --> 00:17:07,600 Speaker 2: Wilson and Pittsburgh. I hate that I doubted them. I mean, 326 00:17:07,640 --> 00:17:09,200 Speaker 2: I said it was a small bet to take the 327 00:17:09,240 --> 00:17:13,480 Speaker 2: around here before the season, but Tom got that over 328 00:17:13,520 --> 00:17:15,679 Speaker 2: all those years with no quarterback, and we've seen what 329 00:17:15,720 --> 00:17:17,960 Speaker 2: he can be now with just not even a great quarterback, 330 00:17:18,040 --> 00:17:20,800 Speaker 2: but someone that at least can be consistent back there. 331 00:17:21,200 --> 00:17:24,000 Speaker 2: And yeah, he put his neck off Russell Wilson and 332 00:17:24,000 --> 00:17:26,680 Speaker 2: it's paid off. I mean, they're what seven and two 333 00:17:26,760 --> 00:17:27,640 Speaker 2: outch I have to look at. 334 00:17:27,600 --> 00:17:30,800 Speaker 1: Their record, but they're seven and two sign that's crazy, Like. 335 00:17:30,760 --> 00:17:32,919 Speaker 2: They're one they're a game away now from going over 336 00:17:32,960 --> 00:17:33,679 Speaker 2: their win total. 337 00:17:33,920 --> 00:17:37,080 Speaker 1: They're seven and two and they're three and oh straight 338 00:17:37,160 --> 00:17:41,840 Speaker 1: up against the spread as a dog, and uh, they're 339 00:17:41,880 --> 00:17:45,960 Speaker 1: in first place in their division. Right, Yeah, it's crazy, 340 00:17:46,640 --> 00:17:48,960 Speaker 1: you know, And obviously they've got a huge game coming up. 341 00:17:49,440 --> 00:17:52,280 Speaker 2: Their schedule gets brutal from here on out. I mean, 342 00:17:52,280 --> 00:17:54,679 Speaker 2: that was obviously no easy game either, But it's just 343 00:17:55,359 --> 00:17:57,680 Speaker 2: that was a huge win. Like I said, that's that 344 00:17:57,760 --> 00:18:00,600 Speaker 2: win dictates. If the Commanders win that game, they could 345 00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:03,040 Speaker 2: easily have won the NFC. So they still can. Obviously 346 00:18:03,080 --> 00:18:06,199 Speaker 2: they play the Eagles on Thursday. But Pittsburgh, now, like 347 00:18:06,240 --> 00:18:08,600 Speaker 2: you just said, they're in the driving position of their division. Now, 348 00:18:08,640 --> 00:18:09,640 Speaker 2: that's just a huge win. 349 00:18:10,200 --> 00:18:14,200 Speaker 1: They got Baltimore this week. Obviously they'll be home underdogs 350 00:18:14,280 --> 00:18:16,800 Speaker 1: against the Ravens. We're going to talk about that one too. 351 00:18:18,400 --> 00:18:21,600 Speaker 1: So this the one thing I want to say about 352 00:18:21,640 --> 00:18:25,200 Speaker 1: this is it was a weird game because it felt 353 00:18:25,200 --> 00:18:28,520 Speaker 1: like we were dominating the whole game except for a 354 00:18:28,720 --> 00:18:32,600 Speaker 1: sixteen play ninety one yard drive by Jaden Daniels to 355 00:18:32,760 --> 00:18:35,240 Speaker 1: end the first half and then an opening drive to 356 00:18:35,280 --> 00:18:35,720 Speaker 1: score time. 357 00:18:35,720 --> 00:18:38,360 Speaker 2: I mean that drive, Like, again, we talk all the time, 358 00:18:38,400 --> 00:18:41,359 Speaker 2: he is so good though, Like that drive was not 359 00:18:41,520 --> 00:18:43,679 Speaker 2: vintage Peyton Manny but it felt like that, like this 360 00:18:43,800 --> 00:18:47,080 Speaker 2: kid in a two minute drill, it's something special and 361 00:18:47,119 --> 00:18:49,639 Speaker 2: it's just when you watch, you just know and it's like, 362 00:18:50,240 --> 00:18:52,520 Speaker 2: I know, I hate that he's in my favorite team's division, 363 00:18:52,560 --> 00:18:54,480 Speaker 2: but as something that just loves football, it's like, man, 364 00:18:54,520 --> 00:18:55,960 Speaker 2: I'm going to enjoy this for the next ten to 365 00:18:55,960 --> 00:18:58,720 Speaker 2: fifteen years. Jen Danels is just something special to watch. 366 00:18:58,880 --> 00:19:02,720 Speaker 1: He is a amazing He's just so good. But that 367 00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:07,400 Speaker 1: was a really sweet victory for US. Yay Steelers, Yay 368 00:19:07,480 --> 00:19:11,160 Speaker 1: rah rah. All Right, Atlanta, New Orleans, New Orleans plus 369 00:19:11,200 --> 00:19:16,760 Speaker 1: three and a half, let's give it up for Saints 370 00:19:16,800 --> 00:19:22,199 Speaker 1: interim head coach and special teams coach Darren Rizzy because 371 00:19:22,240 --> 00:19:28,520 Speaker 1: after the game, Darren Rizzy admitted that when he got 372 00:19:28,560 --> 00:19:34,080 Speaker 1: to the stadium, he went to use the crapper in 373 00:19:34,160 --> 00:19:38,280 Speaker 1: the coach's locker room, the head coaches crapper, and he 374 00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:40,960 Speaker 1: stopped it up and the first thing he thought to 375 00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:44,080 Speaker 1: himself was this is going to be a crappy day. 376 00:19:44,760 --> 00:19:49,840 Speaker 1: That's that's what he admitted postgame. And the truth is, 377 00:19:50,440 --> 00:19:52,879 Speaker 1: we love an interim coach with a sense of humor 378 00:19:54,040 --> 00:19:56,600 Speaker 1: who also covers. 379 00:19:56,760 --> 00:19:58,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, and I mean, you just saw it was just 380 00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:02,199 Speaker 2: he I love first time that coaches right because he's 381 00:20:02,240 --> 00:20:05,040 Speaker 2: so emotional in silent every play he's living and dying. 382 00:20:05,040 --> 00:20:07,080 Speaker 2: I mean, every time they missed a kick, he was 383 00:20:07,119 --> 00:20:09,640 Speaker 2: going berserk, which cracked me up. And it's like, man, 384 00:20:09,640 --> 00:20:12,560 Speaker 2: I love there's still guys like this coaching like not 385 00:20:12,640 --> 00:20:15,240 Speaker 2: the boring always kind of pissed off guy and the 386 00:20:15,320 --> 00:20:19,159 Speaker 2: side like literally guy having fun with real emotions. But 387 00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:22,879 Speaker 2: that was a total spot like that same steam is 388 00:20:22,920 --> 00:20:26,160 Speaker 2: so bad. And they were so good in this game 389 00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:29,160 Speaker 2: in so many different ways. Defensively, they stepped up their 390 00:20:29,320 --> 00:20:33,600 Speaker 2: Carr's deep ball was incredible and another play that I 391 00:20:33,680 --> 00:20:36,479 Speaker 2: thought we were dead on was Kamar dropping that easy 392 00:20:36,520 --> 00:20:37,800 Speaker 2: walk in touch under the game. 393 00:20:38,000 --> 00:20:40,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, and so the game just so like context. They 394 00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:43,240 Speaker 1: had a third and one, they complete, they get a 395 00:20:43,240 --> 00:20:47,240 Speaker 1: first down and it's over. Alvin Kamara does not have 396 00:20:47,400 --> 00:20:50,840 Speaker 1: anybody within twenty yards of him, and he and he 397 00:20:51,080 --> 00:20:56,119 Speaker 1: drops the ball, just drops it. I thought, oh fucking a, 398 00:20:57,200 --> 00:21:00,639 Speaker 1: it's gonna end twenty four to twenty, or it's going 399 00:21:00,720 --> 00:21:03,120 Speaker 1: to go to overtime and we're gonna lose twenty six 400 00:21:03,119 --> 00:21:03,879 Speaker 1: to twenty. No. 401 00:21:03,960 --> 00:21:05,879 Speaker 2: I definitely felt the twenty fourth twenty It's like you 402 00:21:06,000 --> 00:21:09,480 Speaker 2: just gave Kirk the exact life he needed. The defense 403 00:21:09,600 --> 00:21:12,040 Speaker 2: is tired, they'll be able to get it here. And 404 00:21:12,320 --> 00:21:14,960 Speaker 2: now the defense really stepped up. I mean, I want 405 00:21:14,960 --> 00:21:17,560 Speaker 2: to give up seventeen points to this high flying Atlanta team. 406 00:21:17,800 --> 00:21:20,840 Speaker 2: And you know, Robinson had an incredible game. I don't 407 00:21:20,840 --> 00:21:23,119 Speaker 2: know if you catched a couple of theseus, but yeah, 408 00:21:23,200 --> 00:21:25,920 Speaker 2: he was sick incredible and like that was the main 409 00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:27,320 Speaker 2: game I had on my main TV. You know, that 410 00:21:27,440 --> 00:21:29,960 Speaker 2: was like my favorite bet today on Yeah, convinced me, 411 00:21:29,960 --> 00:21:32,880 Speaker 2: and it's like, you know, feeling good right there. They 412 00:21:32,880 --> 00:21:35,880 Speaker 2: started out Saints looking great and then they're not doing 413 00:21:35,960 --> 00:21:37,800 Speaker 2: anything in the second half. I think they only scored three 414 00:21:37,800 --> 00:21:39,960 Speaker 2: points in the whole second half and we still held 415 00:21:40,000 --> 00:21:44,879 Speaker 2: on to the cover. So really fun swept bet. We 416 00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:47,360 Speaker 2: might take a week off from Ben the Saints team, you. 417 00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:49,200 Speaker 1: Think, because right now they're going to be three point 418 00:21:49,240 --> 00:21:53,400 Speaker 1: home favorites against the Cleveland Browns. So it might actually 419 00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:55,840 Speaker 1: not be a game we take off in which we 420 00:21:56,040 --> 00:22:00,600 Speaker 1: have to bet the return of Jameis Winston. That's true 421 00:22:00,760 --> 00:22:04,240 Speaker 1: to New Orleans in a revenge game, we're getting shuttled 422 00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:09,720 Speaker 1: out of town. This was a huge luck game, the 423 00:22:09,760 --> 00:22:14,199 Speaker 1: biggest luck game board for the luck rankings, and it 424 00:22:14,320 --> 00:22:21,880 Speaker 1: almost played out exactly like that. The Falcons missed multiple 425 00:22:21,880 --> 00:22:26,320 Speaker 1: field goals. Talk about you know, your fate being on 426 00:22:26,359 --> 00:22:31,240 Speaker 1: the foot of kickers. That included Young Wayku missing the 427 00:22:31,400 --> 00:22:35,240 Speaker 1: game time kick with six point thirty left in the game. 428 00:22:35,600 --> 00:22:37,400 Speaker 1: We got a little bit back because of the Alvin 429 00:22:37,480 --> 00:22:41,600 Speaker 1: Kamara drop, so it was a little bit equal. 430 00:22:42,080 --> 00:22:44,000 Speaker 2: I wouldn't mind him making it though, because I was 431 00:22:44,080 --> 00:22:45,760 Speaker 2: I told you I was worried about that touchdown, So 432 00:22:45,880 --> 00:22:48,080 Speaker 2: him making the field goals have been nice because they 433 00:22:48,080 --> 00:22:50,000 Speaker 2: would have just been up three, and I'm like, okay, 434 00:22:50,640 --> 00:22:52,680 Speaker 2: Like now we have Derek Carr taking those deep shots 435 00:22:52,720 --> 00:22:54,840 Speaker 2: and if he misses, who cares. We still cover our number. 436 00:22:54,880 --> 00:22:57,359 Speaker 2: But yeah, I had a decent amount on their money 437 00:22:57,359 --> 00:22:59,320 Speaker 2: line as well, especially on our money line around Robin, 438 00:22:59,760 --> 00:23:02,600 Speaker 2: and I thought we would get there with the Saints. 439 00:23:02,680 --> 00:23:04,360 Speaker 2: When they put up three in the second half, it's 440 00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:06,200 Speaker 2: like I didn't feel like we deserved it or even 441 00:23:06,280 --> 00:23:08,560 Speaker 2: had the chance to get in there. But once again, 442 00:23:08,600 --> 00:23:11,879 Speaker 2: their defense really stepped up. That Saints team, and we 443 00:23:11,960 --> 00:23:13,720 Speaker 2: talk all the time that's the difference of having a 444 00:23:13,760 --> 00:23:15,520 Speaker 2: coach you like and you want to play hard for. 445 00:23:16,040 --> 00:23:17,840 Speaker 2: And that felt like a game where the team played 446 00:23:17,840 --> 00:23:21,000 Speaker 2: hard for that coach, where you know, there's some other 447 00:23:21,040 --> 00:23:22,280 Speaker 2: games you could talk about if you want, where he 448 00:23:22,359 --> 00:23:24,359 Speaker 2: just felt like guys simply quit on their team and 449 00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:25,000 Speaker 2: their coaches. 450 00:23:25,520 --> 00:23:29,960 Speaker 1: Last stat for you, the Saints averaged ten point seven 451 00:23:30,200 --> 00:23:36,320 Speaker 1: six yards for passing attempt. That's great, that is insane. 452 00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:38,520 Speaker 2: And shoutout we only won one by three. 453 00:23:38,720 --> 00:23:40,399 Speaker 1: Yeah. Shout out to Nick Giffen, by the way, who 454 00:23:40,480 --> 00:23:43,080 Speaker 1: not only had this in luck rankings, also had the 455 00:23:43,080 --> 00:23:46,639 Speaker 1: Cowboys Eagles under in the luck rankings, also had the 456 00:23:46,760 --> 00:23:51,399 Speaker 1: Jaguars vikings in the luck rankings that were under also 457 00:23:51,840 --> 00:23:55,240 Speaker 1: had He talked about this on convinced me this morning. 458 00:23:55,280 --> 00:23:58,840 Speaker 1: If you're not watching, you're missing because he had Derek 459 00:23:58,880 --> 00:24:02,719 Speaker 1: Carr under half an interception in this game and had 460 00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:05,720 Speaker 1: a great breakdown about how the Falcons can't get pressure, 461 00:24:05,840 --> 00:24:09,159 Speaker 1: so when Car isn't pressured, he's less likely than the 462 00:24:09,240 --> 00:24:14,080 Speaker 1: league average to throw an interception. All right, we just 463 00:24:14,119 --> 00:24:17,840 Speaker 1: talked about some teams that really quit, and so that's 464 00:24:17,840 --> 00:24:20,159 Speaker 1: going to be impacting how we think about them going forward. 465 00:24:20,359 --> 00:24:22,560 Speaker 1: We have the Rams minus one and half tomorrow night. 466 00:24:23,040 --> 00:24:26,320 Speaker 1: Thank God. Our last game out was the Jets minus 467 00:24:26,359 --> 00:24:30,880 Speaker 1: two and a half. Do you want to talk about that. 468 00:24:30,800 --> 00:24:34,320 Speaker 2: For a second? Swinging and miss that was a bad one. 469 00:24:34,520 --> 00:24:37,160 Speaker 2: And it's like typical where like you always joke about 470 00:24:37,200 --> 00:24:40,440 Speaker 2: you're getting bullied. But I wish I could have dug 471 00:24:40,520 --> 00:24:42,080 Speaker 2: in my feet on it. But I got where everyone 472 00:24:42,080 --> 00:24:45,119 Speaker 2: was coming from and what their view was, and I 473 00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:47,960 Speaker 2: should have trusted my instincts and thought this line should 474 00:24:47,960 --> 00:24:51,439 Speaker 2: be three. With Arizona, the books had hung a bad line. Instead, 475 00:24:51,440 --> 00:24:53,520 Speaker 2: I went against that thought I had made a bad 476 00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:57,399 Speaker 2: read that the professionals were smart on it, and they weren't. 477 00:24:57,440 --> 00:24:59,920 Speaker 2: That is a team that is simply quit in everywhere. 478 00:25:00,320 --> 00:25:06,959 Speaker 2: And Arizona the Kyler experience. When he's on, he is on. 479 00:25:07,280 --> 00:25:08,560 Speaker 2: Like in that game, I think at one point he 480 00:25:08,600 --> 00:25:10,399 Speaker 2: was twenty for twenty one passing like he. 481 00:25:10,320 --> 00:25:14,200 Speaker 1: Was really locking seventeen straight past as new Arizona Cardinals record. 482 00:25:14,240 --> 00:25:16,120 Speaker 1: He might have completed more, but that's when I saw 483 00:25:16,160 --> 00:25:16,600 Speaker 1: the record. 484 00:25:17,320 --> 00:25:20,520 Speaker 2: No, he was really impressive. And you know we always 485 00:25:20,600 --> 00:25:22,600 Speaker 2: joke like you can tell a lot from the early 486 00:25:22,680 --> 00:25:26,399 Speaker 2: in the game, how two teams are they drove the field, 487 00:25:26,480 --> 00:25:30,000 Speaker 2: got two touchdowns, Jets drive the field, get two field goals, 488 00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:33,320 Speaker 2: and like we always say, it's over from that point forward. 489 00:25:33,359 --> 00:25:35,200 Speaker 2: I think they eventually went up twenty one to six, 490 00:25:35,880 --> 00:25:39,280 Speaker 2: and offensively they could have done whatever they wanted. Arizona, 491 00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:42,280 Speaker 2: they just looked like such a better team Defensively. We 492 00:25:42,400 --> 00:25:44,359 Speaker 2: talked about it like they're a team of no names. 493 00:25:44,400 --> 00:25:48,080 Speaker 2: I mean, they have Buddha Baker obviously, but yeah, Gannons 494 00:25:48,080 --> 00:25:51,760 Speaker 2: really turned that defense around into his identity of they 495 00:25:51,760 --> 00:25:54,600 Speaker 2: give up yards, but they don't surrender those touchdowns, and 496 00:25:54,640 --> 00:25:58,200 Speaker 2: they've kind of had that identity this whole season. So impressive. 497 00:25:58,240 --> 00:26:00,720 Speaker 2: It's what four straight wins for him now the Cardinals 498 00:26:00,760 --> 00:26:03,159 Speaker 2: and Kyler so I keep waiting there for a de 499 00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:05,720 Speaker 2: fall the other way, but it's it's not happening. This 500 00:26:05,760 --> 00:26:08,320 Speaker 2: is a legit team. They deserve to be in the 501 00:26:08,359 --> 00:26:10,400 Speaker 2: winning the NFC West right now. Like they're the best 502 00:26:10,400 --> 00:26:11,800 Speaker 2: team in that division, no doubt. 503 00:26:12,119 --> 00:26:17,080 Speaker 1: Six and four. Two things. One. Anytime you say Buddha Baker, 504 00:26:18,400 --> 00:26:21,080 Speaker 1: he's one of the best defensive players in football, and 505 00:26:21,119 --> 00:26:24,639 Speaker 1: this year he's sort of playing like it. I always 506 00:26:24,640 --> 00:26:26,480 Speaker 1: feel whenever I hear my kid and I whenever we're 507 00:26:26,520 --> 00:26:30,320 Speaker 1: watching these games, we're always like you know so and 508 00:26:30,359 --> 00:26:34,400 Speaker 1: so college, John Simpson College, you know, and we'll mention 509 00:26:34,560 --> 00:26:36,919 Speaker 1: like the most random people to see if we can 510 00:26:36,960 --> 00:26:39,920 Speaker 1: get it right. He said Buddha Baker in my head, 511 00:26:39,960 --> 00:26:42,040 Speaker 1: I'm like Buddha Baker, the way he plays, he should 512 00:26:42,040 --> 00:26:47,000 Speaker 1: have gone to LSU or Alabama. I'll open it up 513 00:26:47,000 --> 00:26:51,200 Speaker 1: to the YouTube chat as well as Evan to see 514 00:26:51,240 --> 00:26:54,359 Speaker 1: if anyone can get the right college for Buddha Baker. 515 00:26:54,760 --> 00:26:58,720 Speaker 1: Speaking of teams, Wow, someone just got it Washington. It's right. 516 00:27:00,440 --> 00:27:06,200 Speaker 1: Speaking of teams that quit, boy Dallas Cowboys, thank god 517 00:27:06,200 --> 00:27:08,280 Speaker 1: we didn't have a conversation about putting them in the contest. 518 00:27:10,600 --> 00:27:11,960 Speaker 2: No, and I won't even tell you. I won't even 519 00:27:11,960 --> 00:27:13,480 Speaker 2: tell the people the other game you were trying to 520 00:27:13,480 --> 00:27:15,400 Speaker 2: get in there because you were losing your goddamn mind. 521 00:27:15,800 --> 00:27:21,360 Speaker 1: No, no, no, Well, you're right. I was tempted by 522 00:27:21,400 --> 00:27:24,879 Speaker 1: the Titans. All week we had avoided the Titans. I 523 00:27:24,960 --> 00:27:27,800 Speaker 1: was tempted by the Titans just because I was going 524 00:27:27,800 --> 00:27:30,399 Speaker 1: to mention it was the one game that Nick Giffin 525 00:27:30,480 --> 00:27:33,960 Speaker 1: and the luck rankings completely whiffed on and all week, 526 00:27:34,119 --> 00:27:37,760 Speaker 1: like he had been hyping it in the slack channel, 527 00:27:37,920 --> 00:27:40,600 Speaker 1: I was saying, this is gross We're not going to 528 00:27:40,680 --> 00:27:43,080 Speaker 1: do it. He talked about her to convince me we 529 00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:47,159 Speaker 1: avoided it. I'm proud of us, so good for that. 530 00:27:47,960 --> 00:27:49,640 Speaker 2: You're like, I know, it's gross, let's just put it in. 531 00:27:50,480 --> 00:27:50,960 Speaker 2: It's gross. 532 00:27:51,359 --> 00:27:55,280 Speaker 1: No, no, no, no, it wasn't. I wasn't that cavalier. It 533 00:27:55,520 --> 00:27:58,720 Speaker 1: were like, if we're going to take one out. You said, 534 00:27:58,720 --> 00:28:00,560 Speaker 1: if we're gonna take one out, you'd rather with the Jets, 535 00:28:00,560 --> 00:28:04,040 Speaker 1: And I said, really, over the types And we ended 536 00:28:04,080 --> 00:28:06,679 Speaker 1: up leaving it as it is with the Rams for 537 00:28:06,760 --> 00:28:09,040 Speaker 1: tomorrow night. The one game that I feel like we 538 00:28:09,119 --> 00:28:13,240 Speaker 1: missed on and we just sort of were cowardly even 539 00:28:13,280 --> 00:28:19,000 Speaker 1: though we handicapped it perfectly, was the Broncos We need. 540 00:28:19,119 --> 00:28:21,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, Yeah, that was really fun. I mean we didn't 541 00:28:21,240 --> 00:28:23,160 Speaker 2: even talk about that. That was by far the most 542 00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:25,680 Speaker 2: insane game of the day. As much as I want 543 00:28:25,680 --> 00:28:27,399 Speaker 2: to take a victory lap on Dallas sucking and the 544 00:28:27,400 --> 00:28:29,520 Speaker 2: Eagles winning, I don't want to punch down right now. 545 00:28:29,880 --> 00:28:33,560 Speaker 2: Our producer Gift knows he doesn't need it. He doesn't care. 546 00:28:33,600 --> 00:28:35,879 Speaker 2: I don't think Cowboys care right now. They're just like, yeah, whatever, 547 00:28:35,920 --> 00:28:40,320 Speaker 2: we'll get a good draft pick. Yeah, Like you know, 548 00:28:40,640 --> 00:28:44,200 Speaker 2: Kansas City Chiefs. We joke all the time they're gonna 549 00:28:44,200 --> 00:28:48,360 Speaker 2: get caught by some team, but they just find a way. 550 00:28:48,600 --> 00:28:51,320 Speaker 2: And what was it did a get was Denver up 551 00:28:51,400 --> 00:28:55,640 Speaker 2: fourteen three at one point? Yeah, okay, there was something 552 00:28:55,720 --> 00:28:56,000 Speaker 2: like that. 553 00:28:56,040 --> 00:28:57,960 Speaker 1: They were up. I can't remember what it was, but 554 00:28:57,960 --> 00:29:01,160 Speaker 1: they were definitely Yeah, it was fourteen to three. 555 00:29:01,160 --> 00:29:03,280 Speaker 2: I think they're beating the crap out of them, and 556 00:29:03,600 --> 00:29:08,080 Speaker 2: somehow Spags makes the adjustments. Bo Knicks, who I think 557 00:29:08,080 --> 00:29:09,920 Speaker 2: he started the game, you know, throwing for one hundred 558 00:29:10,000 --> 00:29:12,560 Speaker 2: ninety two yards to two touchdowns. At that point, they 559 00:29:12,640 --> 00:29:14,480 Speaker 2: figured him out and they shut it down. I don't 560 00:29:14,480 --> 00:29:16,080 Speaker 2: think he scored another point the rest of the game, right, 561 00:29:16,120 --> 00:29:19,600 Speaker 2: They won sixteen fourteen, So they did. Yeah, even on 562 00:29:19,640 --> 00:29:21,880 Speaker 2: their worst day, which was today, like we talked about, 563 00:29:21,960 --> 00:29:25,760 Speaker 2: they came off a short week overtime game. They looked sluggish, 564 00:29:25,800 --> 00:29:30,360 Speaker 2: they looked tired, They did not play well. Still played 565 00:29:30,400 --> 00:29:32,400 Speaker 2: a full game. And that's what's so special about this 566 00:29:32,520 --> 00:29:35,520 Speaker 2: Chiefs team. And you know, with joke all the time 567 00:29:35,600 --> 00:29:38,840 Speaker 2: about that Brady run with that perfect team and the 568 00:29:38,880 --> 00:29:42,920 Speaker 2: pressure you feel that that team was not coming off 569 00:29:42,960 --> 00:29:44,960 Speaker 2: of anything like this is a team coming off two 570 00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:47,960 Speaker 2: Super Bowls, now they're a perfect nine to zero. This 571 00:29:48,080 --> 00:29:51,360 Speaker 2: Kansas City team, it is truly mental how special this 572 00:29:51,440 --> 00:29:53,880 Speaker 2: team is and this everything between the coaching and the 573 00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:57,880 Speaker 2: players everything, I know, we're gonna we're gonna going to 574 00:29:57,960 --> 00:30:00,000 Speaker 2: keep doing what we've been doing. Is we take more. 575 00:30:00,040 --> 00:30:01,680 Speaker 2: Holmes is a short favorite, and we faced him as 576 00:30:01,720 --> 00:30:04,280 Speaker 2: a big dog, and I'm with you, I'm pissed me 577 00:30:04,280 --> 00:30:05,920 Speaker 2: to have it in there because it just it went 578 00:30:06,000 --> 00:30:07,920 Speaker 2: right into what we talked about him. He plays these 579 00:30:08,000 --> 00:30:11,840 Speaker 2: ugly teams close and he beats up on the good teams. 580 00:30:12,040 --> 00:30:15,000 Speaker 2: Like that's the thing about Mahomes, it's it's bizarre. Like 581 00:30:15,040 --> 00:30:17,120 Speaker 2: the forty nine ers, they beat the crap out of them. 582 00:30:17,280 --> 00:30:19,600 Speaker 2: They played really good against the Ravens that game. Today 583 00:30:20,160 --> 00:30:22,600 Speaker 2: they did not play good. It was tough in every way, 584 00:30:22,640 --> 00:30:25,760 Speaker 2: the denvers all over them, and still they found a way. 585 00:30:26,000 --> 00:30:27,840 Speaker 2: And yeah, you can say they got lucky, but that 586 00:30:27,880 --> 00:30:31,240 Speaker 2: was a blocked field goal. That's not luck, that's coaching scheme. 587 00:30:31,760 --> 00:30:33,600 Speaker 2: It's something they saw on tape and they attacked it. 588 00:30:33,680 --> 00:30:37,479 Speaker 2: So yeah, that was That was probably the most fun game. 589 00:30:37,520 --> 00:30:39,200 Speaker 2: That was the game. I definitely I jumped out of 590 00:30:39,200 --> 00:30:40,880 Speaker 2: my scene shot it because I was like Holy shit. 591 00:30:40,960 --> 00:30:42,760 Speaker 2: I can't believe they blocked that because I thought they 592 00:30:42,760 --> 00:30:45,479 Speaker 2: were dead too, just like the announcers. So pretty crazy 593 00:30:45,520 --> 00:30:46,120 Speaker 2: Chiefs fans. 594 00:30:46,840 --> 00:30:49,880 Speaker 1: All right, well, let's use that to transition into the 595 00:30:49,920 --> 00:30:52,240 Speaker 1: week eleven games. Reminder, Simon and I are two and 596 00:30:52,240 --> 00:30:54,440 Speaker 1: two heading into Money Out of Football. We're on the 597 00:30:54,520 --> 00:30:57,160 Speaker 1: Rams at minus one and a half in the contest. 598 00:30:57,320 --> 00:31:00,600 Speaker 1: The numbers moved up obviously tree and by the way, 599 00:31:00,760 --> 00:31:03,960 Speaker 1: that ultimately was the factor. Like we liked the number 600 00:31:03,960 --> 00:31:05,440 Speaker 1: on the Rams at one and a half, it was 601 00:31:05,480 --> 00:31:07,800 Speaker 1: two and a half in the contest this morning, so 602 00:31:07,840 --> 00:31:12,680 Speaker 1: we decided to lock in that closing line value Week eleven. 603 00:31:13,320 --> 00:31:15,160 Speaker 1: I don't even want to say the games I like, 604 00:31:15,360 --> 00:31:17,480 Speaker 1: because the game that I want to talk about is 605 00:31:17,480 --> 00:31:20,760 Speaker 1: the game that you just mentioned, the Chiefs and the 606 00:31:20,800 --> 00:31:25,320 Speaker 1: Buffalo Bills. In Buffalo, the Chiefs are one point favorites. 607 00:31:25,520 --> 00:31:31,960 Speaker 1: Pro Football's two superpowers renew their classic rivalry. Everything says, 608 00:31:32,480 --> 00:31:35,840 Speaker 1: of course, we want to take the Bills. Yet we 609 00:31:35,920 --> 00:31:38,640 Speaker 1: can't because we're going to have to take Patrick Mahomes 610 00:31:38,960 --> 00:31:43,200 Speaker 1: as a one point favorite on a now fifteen game 611 00:31:43,240 --> 00:31:50,280 Speaker 1: winning streak with a score differential in their undefeated season 612 00:31:50,360 --> 00:31:54,080 Speaker 1: so far of fifty six points, which is the lowest 613 00:31:54,760 --> 00:31:59,160 Speaker 1: score differential of any team that has ever started undefeated 614 00:32:00,200 --> 00:32:04,400 Speaker 1: this many games. It's why we bet against the Chiefs 615 00:32:04,400 --> 00:32:06,880 Speaker 1: this past week because they are not blowing teams out. 616 00:32:07,040 --> 00:32:10,720 Speaker 1: But like, what the fuck do we do here? Simon? 617 00:32:12,080 --> 00:32:15,640 Speaker 2: This is easy bet. I am on bet three six ' 618 00:32:15,680 --> 00:32:18,000 Speaker 2: five in New Jersey. The line has flipped to plus 619 00:32:18,040 --> 00:32:21,720 Speaker 2: one and a half on the Chiefs. Hammer that number 620 00:32:21,880 --> 00:32:25,840 Speaker 2: on the Chiefs. We talked about you just you don't think, well, 621 00:32:25,880 --> 00:32:28,240 Speaker 2: Mahomes is the dog. Don't ever think it. You take 622 00:32:28,280 --> 00:32:30,600 Speaker 2: the number. So I could have been talking into this 623 00:32:30,640 --> 00:32:32,520 Speaker 2: that the Bills where the dog. That's where the value 624 00:32:32,520 --> 00:32:34,920 Speaker 2: would have been. The profession has already come in. They've 625 00:32:34,960 --> 00:32:36,800 Speaker 2: already hit this number. It's plus one and a half 626 00:32:36,880 --> 00:32:39,520 Speaker 2: right now for this Chiefs team. Give it to me. 627 00:32:39,720 --> 00:32:42,600 Speaker 2: I mean, if I could put more than a thousand 628 00:32:42,600 --> 00:32:45,040 Speaker 2: bucks on a teaser, this would be a huge teaser 629 00:32:45,040 --> 00:32:46,640 Speaker 2: play for me. It's seven and a half on this 630 00:32:46,760 --> 00:32:49,520 Speaker 2: Chiefs team. But unfortunately that's not gonna be happening for 631 00:32:49,520 --> 00:32:52,560 Speaker 2: the next at least two or three days. So I'll 632 00:32:52,560 --> 00:32:54,320 Speaker 2: grab it early. This Chiefs one and a half, I'll 633 00:32:54,320 --> 00:32:55,880 Speaker 2: grab as much as I can even if this keep 634 00:32:55,960 --> 00:32:57,400 Speaker 2: going up like we've seen it before, right, it was 635 00:32:57,400 --> 00:32:59,320 Speaker 2: like that forty nine er scenario they go to two 636 00:32:59,360 --> 00:33:01,680 Speaker 2: and a half by kick golf. So maybe I'll get 637 00:33:01,680 --> 00:33:04,680 Speaker 2: a little greedy and weight. Maybe this more Bills money 638 00:33:04,720 --> 00:33:08,160 Speaker 2: will come in. But we don't overthink these spots. We 639 00:33:08,280 --> 00:33:10,520 Speaker 2: take mahomes the dog. Even if we lose this game. 640 00:33:10,680 --> 00:33:11,800 Speaker 2: Long term, it's a winner. 641 00:33:13,320 --> 00:33:15,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, I can't argue with it. Even if they were 642 00:33:15,320 --> 00:33:18,880 Speaker 1: at one point favorite, I still probably would have played 643 00:33:19,440 --> 00:33:19,959 Speaker 1: the Chiefs. 644 00:33:20,320 --> 00:33:22,160 Speaker 2: We know this Bills team though. That's another thing else 645 00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:24,920 Speaker 2: pissed off. Today. We talked about you bet the Bills 646 00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:27,400 Speaker 2: against bad teams and nothing to stand out more this year. 647 00:33:27,480 --> 00:33:29,800 Speaker 2: They've just beat up on bad teams this year. But 648 00:33:29,840 --> 00:33:31,920 Speaker 2: we said they struggle against good teams this year and 649 00:33:31,960 --> 00:33:35,800 Speaker 2: they've played good competition. They've struggled against them. So trying 650 00:33:35,800 --> 00:33:37,239 Speaker 2: hard out to ever think this one because I am 651 00:33:37,280 --> 00:33:38,680 Speaker 2: with you, I don't want it right away. I wanted 652 00:33:38,720 --> 00:33:40,360 Speaker 2: to be on the Bills because I thought we're gonna 653 00:33:40,400 --> 00:33:43,840 Speaker 2: get them as a dog. But no, the professionals are 654 00:33:43,880 --> 00:33:46,600 Speaker 2: the public whoever came in early has dictated this happy 655 00:33:46,600 --> 00:33:48,360 Speaker 2: to bet this Chiefs team at plus one and a half. 656 00:33:48,440 --> 00:33:52,120 Speaker 1: Right now, I know the right side is the winning side, 657 00:33:53,360 --> 00:33:57,760 Speaker 1: shout out Scooch. But the Colts were the right side 658 00:33:57,800 --> 00:34:01,360 Speaker 1: in that game. They cover that game if they don't 659 00:34:01,400 --> 00:34:06,800 Speaker 1: have two interceptions, a fumble and all that that ends 660 00:34:06,880 --> 00:34:11,319 Speaker 1: in a sack and by the way, and a touchdown 661 00:34:11,640 --> 00:34:15,680 Speaker 1: to Josh Downs, their best receiver that he drops, that 662 00:34:15,800 --> 00:34:17,480 Speaker 1: is a walk in touchdown. 663 00:34:20,080 --> 00:34:22,799 Speaker 2: I agree with Matt Mitchell who says it's a ludicrous tack. 664 00:34:23,440 --> 00:34:27,840 Speaker 1: What does Matt Mitchell know? We also mentioned the Niners. 665 00:34:28,120 --> 00:34:35,640 Speaker 1: Niners are seven point favorites at home against Seattle. I 666 00:34:35,680 --> 00:34:37,719 Speaker 1: don't know that I've seen enough from the Niners at 667 00:34:37,719 --> 00:34:40,680 Speaker 1: this point to make them a seven point favorite in 668 00:34:40,719 --> 00:34:44,920 Speaker 1: the divisions. The team coming off a bye. 669 00:34:46,200 --> 00:34:50,520 Speaker 2: Crazy. It's crazy because even if they covered today, said 670 00:34:50,560 --> 00:34:52,879 Speaker 2: they did cover, I would make this line like six 671 00:34:52,920 --> 00:34:55,360 Speaker 2: and a half. But they didn't cover it. So it's like, 672 00:34:55,360 --> 00:34:57,080 Speaker 2: how do you not make this line five and a half. 673 00:34:57,160 --> 00:35:00,279 Speaker 2: It's seven? It opens at seven, So I I guess 674 00:35:00,280 --> 00:35:02,080 Speaker 2: I'm a sucker. I'm missing something here. I'll take the 675 00:35:02,120 --> 00:35:04,719 Speaker 2: seven right away. Like you just said, who are this 676 00:35:04,760 --> 00:35:06,440 Speaker 2: forty nine ers team to be getting that seven? I 677 00:35:06,480 --> 00:35:09,920 Speaker 2: know the Seahawks have been bad and everything. We get it, 678 00:35:10,120 --> 00:35:12,000 Speaker 2: But like Chad just said, they're coming off a bye 679 00:35:12,040 --> 00:35:14,799 Speaker 2: in a divisional game. That's a must win for the 680 00:35:14,840 --> 00:35:17,480 Speaker 2: Seahawks team. They are so desperate they know this is 681 00:35:17,480 --> 00:35:21,200 Speaker 2: their season in this game. So, yeah, the seven, this 682 00:35:21,280 --> 00:35:22,880 Speaker 2: has to come down. Is this really gonna go up 683 00:35:22,920 --> 00:35:24,960 Speaker 2: to seven and a half? Is this really gonna keep 684 00:35:25,000 --> 00:35:26,359 Speaker 2: going up? I don't think so. I think it's gonna 685 00:35:26,400 --> 00:35:28,400 Speaker 2: go down by Tuesday. So I'm with you on that one. 686 00:35:28,440 --> 00:35:29,479 Speaker 2: I'll grab the seven. Now. 687 00:35:30,880 --> 00:35:33,880 Speaker 1: The other game that interested me, I know, we just 688 00:35:33,880 --> 00:35:36,600 Speaker 1: talked about it. I don't know how we don't take 689 00:35:36,600 --> 00:35:41,960 Speaker 1: Cleveland plus three against against New Orleans. It's in New Orleans. 690 00:35:42,360 --> 00:35:46,319 Speaker 1: I know it's jamis, but I don't have a fear 691 00:35:46,360 --> 00:35:49,080 Speaker 1: of that one. Like the come down for the Saints, 692 00:35:49,440 --> 00:35:51,680 Speaker 1: it's still the Saints. It's still a team that just 693 00:35:51,760 --> 00:35:55,160 Speaker 1: lost seven in a row. It's a team that had 694 00:35:55,560 --> 00:35:59,799 Speaker 1: the perfect spot and still, by the way, needed a 695 00:35:59,840 --> 00:36:04,960 Speaker 1: lot of luck to win this game. Like that defense 696 00:36:05,080 --> 00:36:08,080 Speaker 1: that the Browns have is the epitome of the defense 697 00:36:08,360 --> 00:36:10,960 Speaker 1: that gives Derek Carr a hard time. If I can 698 00:36:11,040 --> 00:36:15,759 Speaker 1: get the Cleveland Browns as an underdog with one more 699 00:36:15,800 --> 00:36:20,279 Speaker 1: week of Jamis prepping to take over. I'm okay with that. 700 00:36:21,560 --> 00:36:23,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm laughing because that week, I don't know how 701 00:36:23,920 --> 00:36:25,840 Speaker 2: it helps Jamis. Either we're gonna get a good Jamis 702 00:36:25,880 --> 00:36:28,080 Speaker 2: Day or getting a bad Jamis day. Mean you know that. 703 00:36:28,160 --> 00:36:30,560 Speaker 2: Bet No, we'd have no idea what we're gonna get 704 00:36:30,600 --> 00:36:32,560 Speaker 2: out of them. But I agree with you. This is 705 00:36:32,560 --> 00:36:35,080 Speaker 2: more to me just about playing the number. Yeah, I 706 00:36:35,120 --> 00:36:36,839 Speaker 2: don't know if I'm gonna bet this one for real 707 00:36:36,960 --> 00:36:38,759 Speaker 2: this week because there's other games I do like a 708 00:36:38,760 --> 00:36:42,399 Speaker 2: lot more. And again Jamis, I still feel like, I mean, 709 00:36:42,400 --> 00:36:44,239 Speaker 2: you got away when I gets the Ravens and it's 710 00:36:44,280 --> 00:36:46,359 Speaker 2: like I can't get over that. The Kyle Hamilton drop 711 00:36:46,840 --> 00:36:48,560 Speaker 2: just always will pop in my head with him for 712 00:36:48,600 --> 00:36:50,680 Speaker 2: the rest of the year, where it's like that's who 713 00:36:50,719 --> 00:36:52,879 Speaker 2: he is, Like that really is who he is. He's 714 00:36:52,920 --> 00:36:55,279 Speaker 2: gonna throw a bunch of amazing passes and then just 715 00:36:55,320 --> 00:36:59,200 Speaker 2: one absolute meatball right to the defender that either they're 716 00:36:59,200 --> 00:37:01,000 Speaker 2: gonna catch it or thing's going to go right through 717 00:37:01,000 --> 00:37:03,279 Speaker 2: their hands. So yeah, play the number. I'm already seeing 718 00:37:03,360 --> 00:37:05,080 Speaker 2: a couple two and a half's pop up, Chad, So 719 00:37:05,080 --> 00:37:08,080 Speaker 2: you're actually on the smart side round. This number is moving, 720 00:37:08,120 --> 00:37:10,520 Speaker 2: So I would say, if you agree with me and Chad, 721 00:37:10,600 --> 00:37:12,600 Speaker 2: definitely grab the three now because it's going down. 722 00:37:13,480 --> 00:37:15,840 Speaker 1: What do we do with Pittsburgh and Baltimore. Pittsburgh is 723 00:37:15,840 --> 00:37:21,880 Speaker 1: a three point underdog at home. It's the raw ras spot. Yeah, 724 00:37:21,960 --> 00:37:27,879 Speaker 1: Baltimore is streaking right now. It's it feels like we're 725 00:37:27,880 --> 00:37:30,880 Speaker 1: tempting fate. I know, percentage wise, we're supposed to keep 726 00:37:30,920 --> 00:37:33,879 Speaker 1: betting the Steelers, but it does feel like we are 727 00:37:33,960 --> 00:37:37,040 Speaker 1: tempting fate a little bit. And also, here's one thing 728 00:37:37,080 --> 00:37:39,920 Speaker 1: that I think is really important. The Steelers have been 729 00:37:40,000 --> 00:37:43,200 Speaker 1: much better when Alex Highsmith was playing. He went out 730 00:37:43,320 --> 00:37:46,040 Speaker 1: at the end of the Commander's game and was walking 731 00:37:46,080 --> 00:37:51,680 Speaker 1: on one leg off the field the Steelers defensive end. 732 00:37:51,760 --> 00:37:55,040 Speaker 1: So I do think I'm not quite anxious to bet 733 00:37:55,080 --> 00:37:56,920 Speaker 1: it until I know his status. 734 00:37:57,360 --> 00:38:00,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm against total speculation, but he'll look like he 735 00:38:00,440 --> 00:38:02,680 Speaker 2: stepped on Daniel's ankle and rolled his own ankle. 736 00:38:02,960 --> 00:38:04,319 Speaker 1: Yeah, rare. 737 00:38:04,480 --> 00:38:07,799 Speaker 2: That's a quick turnaround. So I'm with you on that. 738 00:38:07,800 --> 00:38:11,600 Speaker 2: That's definitely negative, but it's another game where you can, 739 00:38:11,680 --> 00:38:13,399 Speaker 2: if you want, you can be patient. I'm gonna grab 740 00:38:13,400 --> 00:38:14,960 Speaker 2: the three now, just because in the case of professional 741 00:38:15,000 --> 00:38:17,840 Speaker 2: side's coming on Pittsburgh. But this is gonna be a 742 00:38:17,880 --> 00:38:20,520 Speaker 2: pros rust Jos. I mean this is every year we 743 00:38:20,600 --> 00:38:22,880 Speaker 2: do this. Every year we're in the exact spot me 744 00:38:22,880 --> 00:38:25,040 Speaker 2: and you have bet this number at three, three and 745 00:38:25,080 --> 00:38:27,880 Speaker 2: a half on Mason Rudolph or Kenny Pickett and Pittsburgh 746 00:38:28,120 --> 00:38:30,400 Speaker 2: at home against Lamar and we've covered that number. So 747 00:38:31,280 --> 00:38:33,080 Speaker 2: I know you're I get what you're saying right now, 748 00:38:33,080 --> 00:38:35,319 Speaker 2: but you're gonna come around. This is no doubt this 749 00:38:35,400 --> 00:38:37,200 Speaker 2: is gonna be one of our picks. But it's all 750 00:38:37,239 --> 00:38:38,960 Speaker 2: about the value. If this is two and a half, 751 00:38:39,080 --> 00:38:41,359 Speaker 2: I have no issue now forcing this one in at 752 00:38:41,360 --> 00:38:43,400 Speaker 2: three and a half. It's too tempting to pass on 753 00:38:43,400 --> 00:38:46,960 Speaker 2: that number, especially where we just know this this Ravens team. 754 00:38:47,480 --> 00:38:50,360 Speaker 2: You know what, top two, number one offense in football, 755 00:38:50,920 --> 00:38:55,400 Speaker 2: terrible defense, They're just terrible. Like Chase, I know he's special. 756 00:38:55,880 --> 00:38:58,399 Speaker 2: He looked like he was playing at different speed and 757 00:39:00,080 --> 00:39:01,759 Speaker 2: I know that its youth is the game changer because 758 00:39:01,760 --> 00:39:04,000 Speaker 2: again when the Eagles played against him, Mitchell shut him down. 759 00:39:04,120 --> 00:39:06,480 Speaker 2: Like when you have a young, fast corner. It's different 760 00:39:06,480 --> 00:39:09,600 Speaker 2: with Chase, though he looks so much faster than this 761 00:39:09,719 --> 00:39:12,719 Speaker 2: secondary and now they might be without Kyle Hamilton on 762 00:39:12,760 --> 00:39:15,360 Speaker 2: the Ravens side. How do we not factor that in 763 00:39:15,400 --> 00:39:17,600 Speaker 2: as well? That's an even bigger loss than anything when 764 00:39:17,640 --> 00:39:20,880 Speaker 2: we can add into that, Like, yeah, I'm trying not 765 00:39:20,920 --> 00:39:23,000 Speaker 2: to overthink this one. I think we should take the 766 00:39:23,040 --> 00:39:25,400 Speaker 2: three now because I do see the professional money coming in. 767 00:39:25,440 --> 00:39:28,240 Speaker 2: But people out there that are just one one better, 768 00:39:28,280 --> 00:39:30,920 Speaker 2: they only bet one time a week. You can't be 769 00:39:31,040 --> 00:39:32,480 Speaker 2: patient because I could see this on up the three 770 00:39:32,480 --> 00:39:34,000 Speaker 2: and a half. Because this just feels like such a 771 00:39:34,040 --> 00:39:36,359 Speaker 2: public side of this Ravens team. I mean, we talk 772 00:39:36,400 --> 00:39:39,000 Speaker 2: all the time about that trend Lamar three and under. 773 00:39:39,520 --> 00:39:41,319 Speaker 2: It's usually an auto bet for me and Chad. Just 774 00:39:41,360 --> 00:39:42,279 Speaker 2: in this spot, it's not. 775 00:39:43,400 --> 00:39:45,600 Speaker 1: You were talking about Jamar Chase, by the way, I like, 776 00:39:45,640 --> 00:39:47,719 Speaker 1: for a second, I'm like, Chase, who is he talking? 777 00:39:47,760 --> 00:39:51,400 Speaker 1: And then I remember Chase Chase Chase in the Bengals. 778 00:39:52,640 --> 00:39:55,520 Speaker 1: What other games are you looking at? Uh? 779 00:39:55,920 --> 00:39:58,920 Speaker 2: Just it's just like, Okay, these games pop out. We 780 00:39:59,000 --> 00:40:01,680 Speaker 2: said we thought the that's quit. The Jets right now 781 00:40:01,680 --> 00:40:03,640 Speaker 2: are minus three against the Colts. How do you feel 782 00:40:03,680 --> 00:40:05,480 Speaker 2: like rolling it back with Joe Blackowa. 783 00:40:05,120 --> 00:40:08,240 Speaker 1: I feel fine, it's on my list. I almost felt 784 00:40:08,280 --> 00:40:14,200 Speaker 1: like I was going to be ridiculed, I know, but 785 00:40:14,360 --> 00:40:16,800 Speaker 1: I was kicked off the show if I mentioned taking. 786 00:40:17,280 --> 00:40:19,319 Speaker 2: We're just betting numbers here, so that that's an early 787 00:40:19,360 --> 00:40:23,040 Speaker 2: number I'll grab now, just because that Jets team really 788 00:40:23,040 --> 00:40:24,319 Speaker 2: looked like they quit on me that. 789 00:40:26,200 --> 00:40:28,320 Speaker 1: I was talking to Coward. I was doing his show 790 00:40:29,200 --> 00:40:31,560 Speaker 1: on Thursday, and I told him the wise guys are 791 00:40:31,560 --> 00:40:35,120 Speaker 1: on the Jets and he goes, no, he goes why, 792 00:40:35,160 --> 00:40:36,919 Speaker 1: and I gave him all the reasons. He goes, yeah, 793 00:40:37,200 --> 00:40:40,120 Speaker 1: all those makes sense if they've got a coach who's 794 00:40:40,160 --> 00:40:43,400 Speaker 1: good and a team the police, but they don't. And 795 00:40:43,480 --> 00:40:45,720 Speaker 1: you know what, he was one hundred percent. 796 00:40:46,800 --> 00:40:51,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, well that's great. Okay, just ones that jumped out 797 00:40:51,600 --> 00:40:53,839 Speaker 2: to me. Chargers are minus two and a half at 798 00:40:53,880 --> 00:40:57,840 Speaker 2: home against the Bengals Sunday night. Yep, that's really interesting. 799 00:40:57,920 --> 00:40:59,280 Speaker 2: That number is really interesting. 800 00:40:59,400 --> 00:41:04,759 Speaker 1: I wrote it down own. My first instinct with Cincinnati 801 00:41:04,760 --> 00:41:05,840 Speaker 1: plus two and a half. 802 00:41:06,480 --> 00:41:09,280 Speaker 2: Wow, all right, My first instinct was Charger is because 803 00:41:09,280 --> 00:41:11,840 Speaker 2: it's so the Bengals is so tempting. I thought that 804 00:41:12,080 --> 00:41:13,920 Speaker 2: would be a pick. So that's why I have a 805 00:41:14,000 --> 00:41:15,880 Speaker 2: modeled at So that's again another game where I'm just 806 00:41:15,920 --> 00:41:19,040 Speaker 2: questioning my own model because it's like, maybe I'm giving 807 00:41:19,080 --> 00:41:21,400 Speaker 2: too much respect to this Bengals team because they have 808 00:41:21,480 --> 00:41:24,600 Speaker 2: had some really close losses, but when they play against 809 00:41:24,600 --> 00:41:27,040 Speaker 2: really good teams other than the Ravens, they've kind of 810 00:41:27,040 --> 00:41:30,400 Speaker 2: been rolled, right, like the Eagles absolutely rolled them. So 811 00:41:30,480 --> 00:41:33,359 Speaker 2: that's that to me, is just the number that popped out, 812 00:41:33,440 --> 00:41:35,320 Speaker 2: like is this really good? We're gonna go up to 813 00:41:35,400 --> 00:41:37,920 Speaker 2: three plus three. They're gonna get so much Bengals money 814 00:41:38,000 --> 00:41:41,680 Speaker 2: against this Chargers team. So that's just an interesting number 815 00:41:41,719 --> 00:41:42,320 Speaker 2: that jump. 816 00:41:42,640 --> 00:41:44,320 Speaker 1: I expect T Higgins to be back. 817 00:41:45,040 --> 00:41:47,200 Speaker 2: That's fair if he is back now changing my opinion, 818 00:41:47,320 --> 00:41:48,600 Speaker 2: but if this is two and a half and there's 819 00:41:48,600 --> 00:41:51,880 Speaker 2: no T Higgins, I love this Chargers like they match 820 00:41:51,960 --> 00:41:56,359 Speaker 2: up really well, not only offensively, but defensively I think 821 00:41:56,400 --> 00:41:59,440 Speaker 2: as well, Like they're their front can attack this Bengals front, 822 00:41:59,440 --> 00:42:01,640 Speaker 2: like we know that's the Bengal's weakness. They just can't 823 00:42:01,640 --> 00:42:04,640 Speaker 2: block for him right now. So just an early line 824 00:42:04,680 --> 00:42:05,440 Speaker 2: that jumped out. 825 00:42:05,239 --> 00:42:11,880 Speaker 1: To me orders giving up a craptastic garbage time back 826 00:42:11,960 --> 00:42:17,400 Speaker 1: door overcover to the Tennessee Titans with forty one seconds 827 00:42:17,480 --> 00:42:17,879 Speaker 1: left today. 828 00:42:17,920 --> 00:42:18,800 Speaker 2: That was brutal. 829 00:42:19,200 --> 00:42:24,040 Speaker 1: That was in that moment. My dog started whining because 830 00:42:24,080 --> 00:42:29,920 Speaker 1: she wanted like a little chewy, and I was like, 831 00:42:30,200 --> 00:42:32,880 Speaker 1: I cannot do this with you right now. And my 832 00:42:33,000 --> 00:42:35,040 Speaker 1: son was like, why are you being so mean to her? 833 00:42:35,880 --> 00:42:37,960 Speaker 1: And I didn't want to be like because I just 834 00:42:38,080 --> 00:42:42,200 Speaker 1: lost this fucking total because will Levis did the one 835 00:42:42,239 --> 00:42:45,120 Speaker 1: thing he can't do for fifty nine fucking minutes. Yeah, 836 00:42:45,280 --> 00:42:47,680 Speaker 1: I tried to keep myself together. I just said, she's 837 00:42:47,960 --> 00:42:49,560 Speaker 1: I don't want to hear the whining right now. That's 838 00:42:49,560 --> 00:42:50,360 Speaker 1: all I said. 839 00:42:51,000 --> 00:42:53,799 Speaker 2: Before we go. Just got to get your earlier read 840 00:42:53,840 --> 00:42:55,960 Speaker 2: on it, because I'm betting. I already bet the Packers 841 00:42:56,000 --> 00:42:59,200 Speaker 2: a minus six and a half. What's your view on this? Like, 842 00:42:59,600 --> 00:43:02,640 Speaker 2: isn't that a huge smash back for Green Bay? It 843 00:43:02,680 --> 00:43:05,759 Speaker 2: could not be worse vibes for Chicago it is, and 844 00:43:05,800 --> 00:43:10,759 Speaker 2: now your coming off of bye week, dude, it. 845 00:43:10,719 --> 00:43:17,080 Speaker 1: Is such bad vibes there. The fact the Bears hired 846 00:43:17,640 --> 00:43:22,640 Speaker 1: the offensive coordinator, they hired, they kept the coach. They 847 00:43:22,640 --> 00:43:25,600 Speaker 1: have wasted a year of Caleb Williams. They have possibly 848 00:43:25,640 --> 00:43:29,319 Speaker 1: wasted two years because next year he will have to 849 00:43:29,520 --> 00:43:32,840 Speaker 1: unlearn all the bad habits, rebuild chemistry with a team 850 00:43:33,080 --> 00:43:36,080 Speaker 1: and a receiver corps and DJ Moore specifically, who has 851 00:43:36,239 --> 00:43:39,160 Speaker 1: clearly lost faith in the guy, and he will have 852 00:43:39,280 --> 00:43:41,759 Speaker 1: to not be trigger happy because he is afraid that 853 00:43:41,840 --> 00:43:44,080 Speaker 1: he is going to get his head taken off by 854 00:43:44,080 --> 00:43:46,800 Speaker 1: teams like the New England Patriots, who sacked him nine 855 00:43:47,400 --> 00:43:51,640 Speaker 1: times today. By the way, another excruciating beat, Sean Kerner 856 00:43:51,680 --> 00:43:55,160 Speaker 1: gave out twenty nine and a half pass attempts under 857 00:43:56,000 --> 00:43:58,919 Speaker 1: Caleb got to thirty on the last player of the game. 858 00:43:59,320 --> 00:44:04,680 Speaker 1: So it like this team is terrible. But six and 859 00:44:04,719 --> 00:44:07,360 Speaker 1: a half is a lot of points in the division 860 00:44:08,080 --> 00:44:11,400 Speaker 1: at home. That's my take. So I'm not I'm not ready. 861 00:44:11,680 --> 00:44:13,239 Speaker 2: I'm on the other side. I'm taking Green Bay now 862 00:44:13,280 --> 00:44:14,560 Speaker 2: because I think this is gonna go up. 863 00:44:15,000 --> 00:44:18,959 Speaker 1: Okay, I'm not saying I'm not gonna wanna eventually get there. 864 00:44:19,440 --> 00:44:20,600 Speaker 1: I'm not in the same place. 865 00:44:20,840 --> 00:44:22,000 Speaker 2: Your hesitation, I get it. 866 00:44:22,080 --> 00:44:25,799 Speaker 1: Yeah, not there because Jordan Love hasn't been amazing. He's 867 00:44:25,800 --> 00:44:28,120 Speaker 1: been giving the ball up a lot, he's banged up, 868 00:44:28,200 --> 00:44:30,880 Speaker 1: He's thrown a lot of picks. So there's a lot 869 00:44:30,920 --> 00:44:32,800 Speaker 1: of variants there in a big number in the division. 870 00:44:33,600 --> 00:44:39,240 Speaker 1: All right, exciting exciting stuff as a reminder. 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