WEBVTT - 7. Where the Mind Starts to Melt

0:00:04.760 --> 0:00:06.800
<v Speaker 1>Okay, stop me if you've heard this one. What do

0:00:06.840 --> 0:00:09.000
<v Speaker 1>you get when the former head of the KGB and

0:00:09.039 --> 0:00:12.480
<v Speaker 1>the former head of the CIA walk into a funeral.

0:00:12.920 --> 0:00:15.560
<v Speaker 2>Hi atop the Kremlin to night a Soviet flag at

0:00:15.600 --> 0:00:19.439
<v Speaker 2>half staff, a symbol of mourning for Leonide ilitch Reshnev.

0:00:19.880 --> 0:00:22.759
<v Speaker 2>Reshnev will be laid to rest in Red Square beside

0:00:22.800 --> 0:00:23.639
<v Speaker 2>the Kremlin wall.

0:00:24.600 --> 0:00:27.280
<v Speaker 3>They came to Red Square today to bete Reshnev, and

0:00:27.360 --> 0:00:32.040
<v Speaker 3>not particularly to praise him. So it is when dictators die.

0:00:32.360 --> 0:00:36.760
<v Speaker 1>Okay, so it's not actually a joke. It's nineteen eighty two, Moscow,

0:00:37.000 --> 0:00:41.040
<v Speaker 1>almost two years before able archer, former Soviet leader and

0:00:41.159 --> 0:00:44.720
<v Speaker 1>now dead corpse leon At Brezhnev is being carried in

0:00:44.760 --> 0:00:48.720
<v Speaker 1>an open coffin procession through Red Square and.

0:00:48.760 --> 0:00:52.640
<v Speaker 3>His companions and friends and rivals watched their last glimpse.

0:00:52.360 --> 0:00:55.600
<v Speaker 1>Software Heads of state from across the world flocked to

0:00:55.680 --> 0:00:58.440
<v Speaker 1>Moscow to attend the funeral. It was the ultimate Cold

0:00:58.440 --> 0:01:01.680
<v Speaker 1>War invitation. I mean, who's who of who might press

0:01:01.680 --> 0:01:04.720
<v Speaker 1>the button? Western leaders are there to pay their respects

0:01:04.760 --> 0:01:08.320
<v Speaker 1>to their longtime adversary leon At Brezhnev, but also there

0:01:08.480 --> 0:01:13.440
<v Speaker 1>to meet their new one, Yuri and drop off CenTra,

0:01:15.360 --> 0:01:19.399
<v Speaker 1>and drop Off delivers Brezhnev's eulogy, which is really more

0:01:19.400 --> 0:01:26.119
<v Speaker 1>of an unofficial inaugural address. And afterward and drop Off,

0:01:26.200 --> 0:01:28.720
<v Speaker 1>the former head of the KGB, takes a private meeting

0:01:28.800 --> 0:01:31.560
<v Speaker 1>with the former head of the CIA and now US

0:01:31.680 --> 0:01:34.480
<v Speaker 1>Vice President George Bush Senior.

0:01:36.440 --> 0:01:39.080
<v Speaker 4>And Andropov says some pretty extraordinary things.

0:01:39.520 --> 0:01:41.840
<v Speaker 1>This is Simon Miles, cold War historian.

0:01:42.440 --> 0:01:45.680
<v Speaker 4>He says to Bush, look, you and I both know

0:01:46.360 --> 0:01:51.760
<v Speaker 4>that we need to say things for public consumption in

0:01:51.800 --> 0:01:59.080
<v Speaker 4>our countries that we don't necessarily meet, primarily mean things

0:01:59.120 --> 0:01:59.919
<v Speaker 4>about one another.

0:02:00.920 --> 0:02:02.400
<v Speaker 1>Is this en coded language?

0:02:03.080 --> 0:02:05.880
<v Speaker 4>Says this explicitly, and then he goes on to say,

0:02:06.320 --> 0:02:10.040
<v Speaker 4>you know, we have the responsibility as leaders of the

0:02:10.080 --> 0:02:15.560
<v Speaker 4>two nuclear armed superpowers to understand the difference between when

0:02:15.600 --> 0:02:18.240
<v Speaker 4>I'm just saying nasty things about you because I've got

0:02:18.240 --> 0:02:22.640
<v Speaker 4>to because that's what you do it parades, and when

0:02:23.720 --> 0:02:26.680
<v Speaker 4>you are actually threatening me.

0:02:27.840 --> 0:02:30.600
<v Speaker 1>And drop Off is essentially saying, I know that Reagan

0:02:30.639 --> 0:02:32.560
<v Speaker 1>will talk shit about me, and you know that I

0:02:32.600 --> 0:02:35.480
<v Speaker 1>will talk shit about him, but we both need to

0:02:35.600 --> 0:02:38.720
<v Speaker 1>know that sometimes it's just for show.

0:02:42.040 --> 0:02:46.120
<v Speaker 4>Two leaders reminding one another about the nature of the

0:02:46.160 --> 0:02:49.000
<v Speaker 4>Cold War, that it is this kind of two level

0:02:49.080 --> 0:02:52.040
<v Speaker 4>game where you have your public consumption and then you

0:02:52.120 --> 0:02:53.080
<v Speaker 4>have your policy.

0:02:54.800 --> 0:02:57.519
<v Speaker 1>Does this mean that and drop Off knew the entire

0:02:57.600 --> 0:03:01.840
<v Speaker 1>time that Reagan's speeches were only speeches es Does it

0:03:01.919 --> 0:03:09.320
<v Speaker 1>mean the reaction to Able Archer was just theater. So

0:03:09.440 --> 0:03:12.200
<v Speaker 1>far this season, we've talked about how Reagan's tough guy

0:03:12.280 --> 0:03:15.480
<v Speaker 1>rhetoric pushed the Soviets to the brink, and the aggressive

0:03:15.520 --> 0:03:19.000
<v Speaker 1>impulses of an evil empire. How the Soviets became blinded

0:03:19.040 --> 0:03:21.800
<v Speaker 1>by their own paranoia and sent their spies looking for

0:03:21.919 --> 0:03:23.760
<v Speaker 1>signs of an impending attack.

0:03:23.720 --> 0:03:26.480
<v Speaker 5>And count the number of lights on in the Pentagon

0:03:26.480 --> 0:03:26.919
<v Speaker 5>at night.

0:03:27.160 --> 0:03:30.600
<v Speaker 1>How the US sent spyplanes to poke the Soviet bear.

0:03:30.680 --> 0:03:34.160
<v Speaker 4>Putting the fear of God like literally into the Soviets.

0:03:34.200 --> 0:03:37.400
<v Speaker 1>How the Soviets were so jumpy they shot down a

0:03:37.440 --> 0:03:38.480
<v Speaker 1>commercial plane.

0:03:39.000 --> 0:03:42.520
<v Speaker 2>I bought a Korean jumber jip that drifted into Soviet territory.

0:03:42.840 --> 0:03:46.440
<v Speaker 1>How the Soviets deployed a faulty missile detection system that

0:03:46.600 --> 0:03:48.440
<v Speaker 1>tested one man's resolve.

0:03:48.800 --> 0:03:51.240
<v Speaker 5>He said it was like sitting in a frying pan.

0:03:51.640 --> 0:03:55.040
<v Speaker 1>How the Soviets believed that an attack was actually happening

0:03:55.120 --> 0:03:58.560
<v Speaker 1>during Able Archer and so they put their nuclear arsenal

0:03:58.640 --> 0:03:59.720
<v Speaker 1>on a hair trigger.

0:04:00.160 --> 0:04:01.800
<v Speaker 5>US wasn't too much moment.

0:04:02.160 --> 0:04:05.680
<v Speaker 1>And after all that, how the CIA was convinced that

0:04:05.760 --> 0:04:10.920
<v Speaker 1>the whole snaffoo was really no big deal. It's just propaganda,

0:04:11.080 --> 0:04:15.280
<v Speaker 1>until one man, Lieutenant General Leonard Breudes, begged the intelligence

0:04:15.320 --> 0:04:19.000
<v Speaker 1>community to take Able Archer seriously. You might want to

0:04:19.040 --> 0:04:21.520
<v Speaker 1>look into this because it's too important not to. And

0:04:21.680 --> 0:04:24.920
<v Speaker 1>how finally, after decades of denial, the intelligence community had

0:04:24.960 --> 0:04:28.800
<v Speaker 1>come to believe that they had made grave errors and

0:04:28.800 --> 0:04:32.279
<v Speaker 1>that Able Archer truly was a nuclear near miss.

0:04:32.600 --> 0:04:35.240
<v Speaker 5>I think it was a serious matter. It deserves more

0:04:35.279 --> 0:04:36.640
<v Speaker 5>attention than it's received.

0:04:38.000 --> 0:04:41.760
<v Speaker 1>But what if that version of the story is all wrong?

0:04:42.480 --> 0:04:45.400
<v Speaker 1>What if the Able Archer war scare really was just

0:04:45.440 --> 0:04:50.040
<v Speaker 1>an act inside an act Rapp did an even bigger

0:04:50.080 --> 0:04:53.719
<v Speaker 1>act man if only Russia had some sort of nesting

0:04:53.880 --> 0:04:56.800
<v Speaker 1>folkloric toy that we could use as a metaphor here.

0:04:57.120 --> 0:05:00.920
<v Speaker 1>Oh well, so, once again, what do you get when

0:05:00.960 --> 0:05:02.880
<v Speaker 1>the former head of the KGB and the former head

0:05:02.880 --> 0:05:06.920
<v Speaker 1>of the CIA walk into a funeral? You get mine

0:05:07.080 --> 0:05:09.560
<v Speaker 1>games of a nuclear proportion?

0:05:11.520 --> 0:05:12.320
<v Speaker 4>Or do you.

0:05:15.279 --> 0:05:18.640
<v Speaker 1>I'm ed Helms and this is Snafu? A podcast about

0:05:18.640 --> 0:05:21.800
<v Speaker 1>history's greatest screw ups. On season one, we're telling you

0:05:21.880 --> 0:05:27.040
<v Speaker 1>the story of a snafu that is gigantic, absurd, and terrifying.

0:05:27.680 --> 0:05:30.840
<v Speaker 1>Able Archer eighty three, the nineteen eighty three NATO military

0:05:30.839 --> 0:05:35.880
<v Speaker 1>exercise that almost led to a real nuclear war? Or

0:05:36.600 --> 0:05:42.159
<v Speaker 1>did it? This episode, we're pulling apart the fabric of

0:05:42.160 --> 0:05:45.760
<v Speaker 1>the able Archer story and asking the question, what if

0:05:45.800 --> 0:05:47.920
<v Speaker 1>we've got this story all wrong.

0:05:52.320 --> 0:05:56.200
<v Speaker 4>I went looking for these documents not with a mind

0:05:56.360 --> 0:06:00.120
<v Speaker 4>to disproving the able Archer thesis, but rather just to

0:06:00.160 --> 0:06:03.080
<v Speaker 4>get even more insight on this amazing Cold War story.

0:06:03.400 --> 0:06:07.080
<v Speaker 1>It was twenty fourteen. Historian Simon Miles, a young researcher

0:06:07.120 --> 0:06:10.039
<v Speaker 1>with a nose for Cold War mysteries, caught a severe

0:06:10.120 --> 0:06:12.120
<v Speaker 1>case of the able Archer bug.

0:06:12.600 --> 0:06:16.280
<v Speaker 4>I was excited to try to find even more of

0:06:16.560 --> 0:06:20.320
<v Speaker 4>the picture on how we all almost perished.

0:06:20.839 --> 0:06:23.120
<v Speaker 1>His plan was to hit the archives in order to

0:06:23.160 --> 0:06:26.599
<v Speaker 1>figure out what the Soviets were actually thinking during Able

0:06:26.720 --> 0:06:31.440
<v Speaker 1>Archer KGB archives in Moscow were still locked down, but

0:06:31.560 --> 0:06:35.000
<v Speaker 1>Simon could look in the archives of former Soviet allies

0:06:35.160 --> 0:06:38.360
<v Speaker 1>where they had helped the Soviets with Operation Ryan. That

0:06:38.480 --> 0:06:41.560
<v Speaker 1>proverbial tic tac toe Board of Death used to gauge

0:06:41.560 --> 0:06:44.359
<v Speaker 1>whether the US was preparing for a nuclear attack.

0:06:45.160 --> 0:06:50.000
<v Speaker 4>In the archives of some of those former Allied states

0:06:50.600 --> 0:06:54.520
<v Speaker 4>who were participants in Project Rion, who were feeding information

0:06:54.600 --> 0:06:58.800
<v Speaker 4>into this thing, we actually have amazing insight into what's

0:06:58.839 --> 0:06:59.240
<v Speaker 4>going on.

0:07:00.120 --> 0:07:01.919
<v Speaker 1>The first leg of his journey takes him to the

0:07:01.960 --> 0:07:06.480
<v Speaker 1>Czech Republic, former Soviet state, czech Isslovakia, where he starts

0:07:06.480 --> 0:07:10.160
<v Speaker 1>to dig into the files of the STB, the Czechoslovakian

0:07:10.280 --> 0:07:11.600
<v Speaker 1>secret police.

0:07:11.400 --> 0:07:14.679
<v Speaker 4>In Prague, right by the river, in this pretty sort

0:07:14.680 --> 0:07:19.520
<v Speaker 4>of staid reading room. It's very sort of communist chic

0:07:19.920 --> 0:07:23.320
<v Speaker 4>because it was, you know, an official STV facility, so

0:07:23.400 --> 0:07:26.640
<v Speaker 4>it's a very sort of atmospheric place to work.

0:07:27.040 --> 0:07:31.840
<v Speaker 1>So Simon walks into the communist chic archive. Imagine his excitement, right,

0:07:32.040 --> 0:07:34.040
<v Speaker 1>He's going to pull back the iron curtain and find

0:07:34.080 --> 0:07:37.280
<v Speaker 1>all the frantic messages the Soviets were sending back and forth,

0:07:37.720 --> 0:07:39.840
<v Speaker 1>the flash telegrams and panicked alerts.

0:07:40.280 --> 0:07:43.320
<v Speaker 4>I remember it pretty well actually, because the archive staff,

0:07:43.400 --> 0:07:46.320
<v Speaker 4>who were all very very young, we're having a party,

0:07:46.360 --> 0:07:48.600
<v Speaker 4>and then kind of behind these doors you can hear

0:07:48.720 --> 0:07:50.560
<v Speaker 4>laughing and classes clinking.

0:07:51.760 --> 0:07:55.360
<v Speaker 1>Hey, archivists like to party too, right and check archivists.

0:07:55.360 --> 0:08:03.240
<v Speaker 1>Oh my god, don't get me started anyway, somehow, ignoring

0:08:03.280 --> 0:08:05.239
<v Speaker 1>the chance to attend the greatest party of his life,

0:08:05.480 --> 0:08:08.520
<v Speaker 1>Simon takes a seat at a big table and begins

0:08:08.560 --> 0:08:09.240
<v Speaker 1>to dig in.

0:08:11.600 --> 0:08:16.440
<v Speaker 4>And so I got my hands on a exercise report

0:08:17.040 --> 0:08:21.320
<v Speaker 4>on the entire Autumn Forge series of exercises. And you know,

0:08:21.360 --> 0:08:23.160
<v Speaker 4>when they give that to you, you think, oh, wow,

0:08:23.200 --> 0:08:26.640
<v Speaker 4>I mean, this is it. This is the document. Let's

0:08:26.640 --> 0:08:29.040
<v Speaker 4>see how close we all got to blowing ourselves up.

0:08:29.520 --> 0:08:31.880
<v Speaker 1>Simon opens the folder and begins scanning.

0:08:32.440 --> 0:08:36.280
<v Speaker 4>I am reading through this Booklet you know, it's got

0:08:36.320 --> 0:08:40.360
<v Speaker 4>these green kind of card paper covers, and you know,

0:08:40.400 --> 0:08:44.600
<v Speaker 4>things are tracking with what I knew about what had happened,

0:08:44.600 --> 0:08:47.000
<v Speaker 4>and in real granular detail, I should say.

0:08:47.280 --> 0:08:50.080
<v Speaker 1>It has the full accounting of Autumn Forge eighty three,

0:08:50.280 --> 0:08:53.600
<v Speaker 1>the nineteen thousand troops flying into West Germany under complete

0:08:53.679 --> 0:08:58.439
<v Speaker 1>radio silence, the massive rehearsal for war, all leading up

0:08:58.480 --> 0:08:59.480
<v Speaker 1>to the final act.

0:09:00.120 --> 0:09:03.120
<v Speaker 4>And then I get to the able Archer piece. And

0:09:03.200 --> 0:09:05.040
<v Speaker 4>the first thing that strikes me is how short it is.

0:09:08.679 --> 0:09:13.880
<v Speaker 4>So the conversation about able Archer is barely a page long.

0:09:14.400 --> 0:09:18.200
<v Speaker 4>When I'm thinking to myself, wow, this is really really weird.

0:09:18.720 --> 0:09:19.640
<v Speaker 5>Well, if this is.

0:09:19.600 --> 0:09:23.480
<v Speaker 4>A big deal, yeah, this should be we should have

0:09:23.520 --> 0:09:27.600
<v Speaker 4>a lot of the play by play here. Did these

0:09:27.600 --> 0:09:28.839
<v Speaker 4>guys miss it?

0:09:29.000 --> 0:09:31.439
<v Speaker 1>Spoiler alert? They did not miss it.

0:09:32.040 --> 0:09:35.439
<v Speaker 4>What it does not talk about is any sense that

0:09:35.480 --> 0:09:38.559
<v Speaker 4>there was heightened danger, that there was sort of something

0:09:39.000 --> 0:09:42.479
<v Speaker 4>more pernicious afoot behind what the NATO and the Americans

0:09:42.480 --> 0:09:47.800
<v Speaker 4>were doing. Rather, it traces, with a striking degree of accuracy,

0:09:48.040 --> 0:09:51.800
<v Speaker 4>exactly what was happening and why it was being done.

0:09:52.800 --> 0:09:58.040
<v Speaker 1>And that's it. That's it. No panic that Able Archer

0:09:58.120 --> 0:10:01.680
<v Speaker 1>was an insidious cover for a re nuclear attack, just

0:10:01.720 --> 0:10:05.120
<v Speaker 1>an accurate account of a routine NATO nuclear exercise, with

0:10:05.320 --> 0:10:08.800
<v Speaker 1>an apparent recognition that it was all simply an enormously

0:10:08.880 --> 0:10:14.920
<v Speaker 1>violent game of let's pretend. So what Simon discovered in

0:10:14.920 --> 0:10:18.280
<v Speaker 1>that archive wild Czech historians were next door sipping champagne

0:10:18.280 --> 0:10:22.280
<v Speaker 1>and making flirty remarks about Franz Kafka, was that, according

0:10:22.320 --> 0:10:25.920
<v Speaker 1>to the East, there was nothing unusual about Able Archer

0:10:25.960 --> 0:10:27.080
<v Speaker 1>eighty three at all.

0:10:32.360 --> 0:10:36.800
<v Speaker 4>And so that didn't sort of change my mind, but

0:10:36.920 --> 0:10:39.240
<v Speaker 4>it made me start asking some really hard questions.

0:10:39.720 --> 0:10:42.680
<v Speaker 1>It wasn't what Simon was expecting, but maybe the Czechs

0:10:42.720 --> 0:10:45.840
<v Speaker 1>were just out of the loop. Maybe the Russians were like, nah,

0:10:45.920 --> 0:10:48.000
<v Speaker 1>why bother filling them in? They never invite us to

0:10:48.040 --> 0:10:51.640
<v Speaker 1>their cool archive parties. But the East Germans, on the

0:10:51.679 --> 0:10:54.600
<v Speaker 1>other hand, they went together like Sonny and Cher, chocolate

0:10:54.679 --> 0:10:56.599
<v Speaker 1>and peanut butter. If the Soviets were scared of a

0:10:56.640 --> 0:11:00.200
<v Speaker 1>nuclear attack during Able Archer, the East Germans would know, Oh,

0:11:01.240 --> 0:11:04.520
<v Speaker 1>so Simon headed to Germany.

0:11:04.640 --> 0:11:07.760
<v Speaker 4>The East German military records are all in a beautiful

0:11:07.840 --> 0:11:11.400
<v Speaker 4>town in Baden Wurtenberg called Freiberg and Breisgau. They're in

0:11:11.440 --> 0:11:14.240
<v Speaker 4>a suburban area next to a kind of the German

0:11:14.240 --> 0:11:16.560
<v Speaker 4>equivalent of home depot, across the street from a brothel.

0:11:17.160 --> 0:11:21.680
<v Speaker 4>But it's a phenomenal place to work, naturally, And I

0:11:22.120 --> 0:11:25.640
<v Speaker 4>start looking through all of these materials, and here again

0:11:25.920 --> 0:11:30.320
<v Speaker 4>we have access to briefings and intelligence reports on what

0:11:30.480 --> 0:11:34.040
<v Speaker 4>is happening. And the most important one I think comes

0:11:34.160 --> 0:11:37.440
<v Speaker 4>to the desk of the East German Defense Minister, and

0:11:37.520 --> 0:11:41.080
<v Speaker 4>it is a report on the impending Able Archer exercise.

0:11:41.640 --> 0:11:44.920
<v Speaker 4>It also talks with pretty impressive accuracy about what is

0:11:44.960 --> 0:11:46.040
<v Speaker 4>going to happen.

0:11:46.360 --> 0:11:49.720
<v Speaker 1>And it actually says explicitly.

0:11:49.360 --> 0:11:54.079
<v Speaker 4>That none of this means that the West sort of

0:11:54.200 --> 0:11:58.280
<v Speaker 4>anticipates a heightened threat of war or anything like that.

0:11:58.760 --> 0:12:03.079
<v Speaker 4>The big messages able archer another phase of Autumn forge.

0:12:03.960 --> 0:12:06.280
<v Speaker 4>Really basically there's nothing to see here.

0:12:09.000 --> 0:12:13.319
<v Speaker 1>Simon begins to pour over transcripts of interviews with Soviet officials.

0:12:13.960 --> 0:12:17.880
<v Speaker 4>And what I'm reading from these people who would be

0:12:18.000 --> 0:12:21.160
<v Speaker 4>in the know by virtue of their positions, they're saying

0:12:21.160 --> 0:12:22.920
<v Speaker 4>that we're not at the brink from apocalypse.

0:12:23.679 --> 0:12:25.640
<v Speaker 1>So on the one hand, we have Leonard Brud's account

0:12:25.679 --> 0:12:29.000
<v Speaker 1>of the Soviet Air Force loading nuclear weapons onto planes

0:12:29.240 --> 0:12:33.120
<v Speaker 1>and standing by on high alert, and on the other hand,

0:12:33.559 --> 0:12:36.400
<v Speaker 1>the Soviet records show nothing.

0:12:37.120 --> 0:12:41.600
<v Speaker 4>It's very possible that US intelligence saw those signs. It's

0:12:41.720 --> 0:12:44.760
<v Speaker 4>very possible that leaders in the US intelligence community, the

0:12:44.840 --> 0:12:48.839
<v Speaker 4>US military, maybe even in the US political system drew

0:12:48.920 --> 0:12:50.040
<v Speaker 4>those conclusions.

0:12:50.679 --> 0:12:51.880
<v Speaker 1>But it's still.

0:12:51.640 --> 0:12:54.480
<v Speaker 4>Possible that they were all entirely wrong.

0:12:55.320 --> 0:13:00.280
<v Speaker 1>What so, no misinterpreted NATO messages, no nuclear near miss.

0:13:00.520 --> 0:13:05.000
<v Speaker 4>I think in order to make those claims, we really

0:13:05.040 --> 0:13:08.559
<v Speaker 4>need a strong piece of evidence from the Eastern Block,

0:13:08.600 --> 0:13:10.920
<v Speaker 4>from the other side of the Iron Curtain, and that

0:13:10.960 --> 0:13:15.560
<v Speaker 4>doesn't exist. So now I've kind of got a problem

0:13:15.559 --> 0:13:19.760
<v Speaker 4>on my hands. If you will, because we have this

0:13:20.280 --> 0:13:25.480
<v Speaker 4>universally almost accepted story about a near miss with nuclear war,

0:13:25.880 --> 0:13:29.079
<v Speaker 4>and I've got this body of evidence that's saying the opposite.

0:13:31.800 --> 0:13:34.280
<v Speaker 1>What the hell happened here? If the Soviets were as

0:13:34.360 --> 0:13:37.000
<v Speaker 1>terrified as we thought, with the nukes on planes and

0:13:37.000 --> 0:13:40.319
<v Speaker 1>the tic TAC toe board and the readiness to end

0:13:40.360 --> 0:13:43.120
<v Speaker 1>life on Earth, why was there no record of it

0:13:43.120 --> 0:13:46.240
<v Speaker 1>in Eastern documents? Simon decided to look at all the

0:13:46.280 --> 0:13:48.880
<v Speaker 1>evidence side by side and try to figure out where

0:13:48.920 --> 0:13:51.600
<v Speaker 1>this story, what he came to believe was a myth,

0:13:52.160 --> 0:13:53.040
<v Speaker 1>came from.

0:13:54.200 --> 0:13:58.120
<v Speaker 4>I was funneling down from what's commonly presented as sort

0:13:58.160 --> 0:14:02.000
<v Speaker 4>of this overwhelming body of evidence. Dozens and dozens and

0:14:02.080 --> 0:14:06.199
<v Speaker 4>dozens of sources are saying this, well, really, dozens and

0:14:06.240 --> 0:14:10.559
<v Speaker 4>dozens and dozens of sources are repeating this one pretty

0:14:10.640 --> 0:14:14.040
<v Speaker 4>sketchy claim by a Soviet double agent.

0:14:14.559 --> 0:14:17.520
<v Speaker 1>The double agent with the sketchy claim, you already know

0:14:17.600 --> 0:14:20.040
<v Speaker 1>him well, Oleg Gordievsky.

0:14:20.520 --> 0:14:23.880
<v Speaker 5>The Americans exercise may be preparation to a sudden new

0:14:23.920 --> 0:14:25.920
<v Speaker 5>play attack, But what.

0:14:25.840 --> 0:14:30.600
<v Speaker 1>Reason would Gordievsky have to lie about able archer. I'm

0:14:30.720 --> 0:14:38.000
<v Speaker 1>so glad you asked. It's nineteen eighty five. The world

0:14:38.080 --> 0:14:41.280
<v Speaker 1>is in slack jawed wonder at Sylvester Stallone's pex in

0:14:41.320 --> 0:14:44.960
<v Speaker 1>both Rocky four and Rambo two. And it's been a

0:14:45.040 --> 0:14:48.000
<v Speaker 1>year and a half since Oleg Gordievski met with his

0:14:48.080 --> 0:14:51.080
<v Speaker 1>MI six handler warning that the United States and the

0:14:51.080 --> 0:14:55.760
<v Speaker 1>Soviet Union were on the precipice of nuclear war. Since

0:14:55.840 --> 0:14:58.960
<v Speaker 1>Able Archer eighty three, Oleg has further risen in the

0:14:59.040 --> 0:15:02.880
<v Speaker 1>KGB ranks. He has just been appointed the Chief Resident

0:15:02.960 --> 0:15:05.920
<v Speaker 1>in London, with even greater access to the inner workings

0:15:05.960 --> 0:15:11.720
<v Speaker 1>of the KGB. He's six's prized source their biggest Cold

0:15:11.720 --> 0:15:16.960
<v Speaker 1>War accomplishment. And then one day Gordievski gets a telegram

0:15:17.000 --> 0:15:21.720
<v Speaker 1>from the Kremlin. It says, dearest Comrade Gordievski, please return

0:15:21.760 --> 0:15:28.360
<v Speaker 1>to Moscow immediately. Gordievsky and his six handlers knew that

0:15:28.480 --> 0:15:32.160
<v Speaker 1>returning home to Moscow was risky, but to defy the

0:15:32.280 --> 0:15:36.320
<v Speaker 1>order meant ending his KGB career just when it was

0:15:36.360 --> 0:15:42.240
<v Speaker 1>getting good, He decided to go. Gordievski reviewed his escape

0:15:42.280 --> 0:15:45.920
<v Speaker 1>plan with his six handlers. He would be extracted if

0:15:45.960 --> 0:15:51.640
<v Speaker 1>things went south. He kissed his wife and two daughters goodbye,

0:15:51.680 --> 0:15:54.640
<v Speaker 1>and boarded a plane for the Soviet Union. When he

0:15:54.720 --> 0:15:58.440
<v Speaker 1>arrived at his apartment in Moscow, the dead bolt was locked.

0:15:59.400 --> 0:16:01.480
<v Speaker 1>He never locked to the dead bolt, didn't even have

0:16:01.520 --> 0:16:04.680
<v Speaker 1>a key for it. At that moment, all that Gordievsky

0:16:04.760 --> 0:16:08.480
<v Speaker 1>knew he had been found out because, as it turns out,

0:16:08.640 --> 0:16:12.440
<v Speaker 1>there was a mole in the CIA. The CIA knew

0:16:12.480 --> 0:16:13.280
<v Speaker 1>it had a trader.

0:16:13.480 --> 0:16:16.560
<v Speaker 2>Asked why he did what he did, Aims said money

0:16:16.960 --> 0:16:18.000
<v Speaker 2>was his main motivation.

0:16:19.960 --> 0:16:22.320
<v Speaker 5>That's the case you bill runs as it was abregistration,

0:16:23.520 --> 0:16:27.080
<v Speaker 5>and yes, they decided to play contain mouse game with me.

0:16:28.200 --> 0:16:31.000
<v Speaker 1>The KGB knew they were compromised by a double agent,

0:16:31.080 --> 0:16:34.760
<v Speaker 1>and they suspected it was Gordievski, but they didn't know

0:16:34.840 --> 0:16:39.280
<v Speaker 1>it was him for sure, not yet. One day, they

0:16:39.320 --> 0:16:41.600
<v Speaker 1>scooped him up and drove him to a bungalow. They

0:16:41.640 --> 0:16:46.000
<v Speaker 1>spiked his drink and interrogated him for hours. Gordievski was

0:16:46.000 --> 0:16:50.400
<v Speaker 1>in a daze, hallucinating. He tried to tell himself to deny, deny, deny,

0:16:51.000 --> 0:16:53.320
<v Speaker 1>but he wasn't really aware of what he was saying.

0:16:54.560 --> 0:16:59.880
<v Speaker 1>After five hours, he blacked out. To this day, he

0:17:00.160 --> 0:17:03.440
<v Speaker 1>still doesn't remember what happened in that room. Meanwhile, the

0:17:03.520 --> 0:17:06.959
<v Speaker 1>KGB had retrieved Gordievsky's wife and two daughters from London,

0:17:07.160 --> 0:17:09.440
<v Speaker 1>and they were now on their way back to Moscow.

0:17:10.160 --> 0:17:13.560
<v Speaker 1>Grdioevsky was released and placed under twenty four hour surveillance.

0:17:14.160 --> 0:17:17.560
<v Speaker 5>I started to look on tho there was behind me.

0:17:18.480 --> 0:17:23.200
<v Speaker 5>It was very intimidating. During the Cold War, everybody who

0:17:23.320 --> 0:17:25.879
<v Speaker 5>was in touch was the foot of the Intelligence Service,

0:17:26.440 --> 0:17:30.679
<v Speaker 5>the service Union, each officer, all the court, and all

0:17:30.760 --> 0:17:32.680
<v Speaker 5>were shot all.

0:17:35.040 --> 0:17:37.880
<v Speaker 1>Gordievski would later describe this moment in his life as

0:17:38.040 --> 0:17:42.720
<v Speaker 1>utterly hopeless. He was thinking, instead of even trying to escape,

0:17:42.960 --> 0:17:45.560
<v Speaker 1>he might as well just give up, wait for the

0:17:45.560 --> 0:17:48.639
<v Speaker 1>bullet in the back of his neck. But his days

0:17:48.680 --> 0:17:54.919
<v Speaker 1>passed constantly looking over his shoulder. Gordievski somehow found his resolve.

0:17:56.000 --> 0:17:59.959
<v Speaker 5>And then they started to preparation to the game.

0:18:02.160 --> 0:18:05.080
<v Speaker 1>But if he had any chance of survival, he'd need

0:18:05.080 --> 0:18:09.959
<v Speaker 1>to leave alone, leave his family behind. There was no

0:18:10.040 --> 0:18:12.840
<v Speaker 1>time to second guess his decision. Gordievski was in a

0:18:12.920 --> 0:18:15.680
<v Speaker 1>race against the clock. Each day he failed to get

0:18:15.680 --> 0:18:17.800
<v Speaker 1>out of the Soviet Union was another day for the

0:18:17.880 --> 0:18:21.919
<v Speaker 1>KGB to confirm his identity as their traitorous double agent.

0:18:23.359 --> 0:18:27.440
<v Speaker 1>Gordievsky activated his escape plan on a Tuesday, at seven

0:18:27.560 --> 0:18:30.760
<v Speaker 1>thirty pm, Gordievski stood under a lamppost outside a bread

0:18:30.760 --> 0:18:34.880
<v Speaker 1>shop near Kievsky metro station. He carried a plastic Safeway

0:18:34.920 --> 0:18:38.240
<v Speaker 1>bag with a giant red s. He wore a peaked

0:18:38.400 --> 0:18:41.880
<v Speaker 1>cap a military hat. It was a signal to six

0:18:41.920 --> 0:18:45.560
<v Speaker 1>that he needed to be extracted. Get me the fuck

0:18:45.640 --> 0:18:49.600
<v Speaker 1>out of here. A few minutes later, Gordievsky watched a

0:18:49.640 --> 0:18:52.720
<v Speaker 1>man in gray trousers remove a green bag from his pocket,

0:18:53.119 --> 0:18:57.600
<v Speaker 1>remove a chocolate Mars bar, and begin eating it. This

0:18:57.800 --> 0:19:02.159
<v Speaker 1>seemingly unassuming gray trousered candy barmunching dude was an MI

0:19:02.400 --> 0:19:07.119
<v Speaker 1>sixter agent, signaling to Gordievski that his request had been recognized.

0:19:08.520 --> 0:19:11.520
<v Speaker 5>This was a scheme. It meant I would be picked

0:19:11.560 --> 0:19:15.960
<v Speaker 5>up on Saturday the same week at two.

0:19:15.880 --> 0:19:22.880
<v Speaker 1>O'clock, which meant by Saturday at two pm. Gordievsky had

0:19:22.880 --> 0:19:25.800
<v Speaker 1>to get himself to the pickup point, a boulder by

0:19:25.840 --> 0:19:28.080
<v Speaker 1>the side of the road in the countryside near the

0:19:28.080 --> 0:19:31.440
<v Speaker 1>Finish border, and he had to do it without being

0:19:31.480 --> 0:19:38.040
<v Speaker 1>detected by the KGB. On Friday, July nineteenth, Gordievsky did

0:19:38.080 --> 0:19:41.159
<v Speaker 1>the hardest thing he'd ever have to do. He packed

0:19:41.160 --> 0:19:43.720
<v Speaker 1>his bags and said goodbye to his family.

0:19:44.560 --> 0:19:49.640
<v Speaker 5>I shook up the Currells Court trained to Lenongrad.

0:19:50.600 --> 0:19:54.040
<v Speaker 1>Gordioevsky had shaken the kgbtail for now, but they could

0:19:54.080 --> 0:19:57.200
<v Speaker 1>catch up at any moment. On the overnight train to Leningrad,

0:19:57.240 --> 0:20:01.320
<v Speaker 1>Gordioewski settled into his top bunk and took to sedatives

0:20:01.640 --> 0:20:07.040
<v Speaker 1>because you know, he was feeling a little anxious. Apparently,

0:20:07.040 --> 0:20:10.080
<v Speaker 1>the sedatives knocked him out so hard that when the

0:20:10.080 --> 0:20:12.960
<v Speaker 1>train abruptly stopped, he rolled right off the top bunk

0:20:13.000 --> 0:20:16.399
<v Speaker 1>and bashed his head. Now blood was dripping down his face,

0:20:16.600 --> 0:20:20.879
<v Speaker 1>which makes it that much harder to blend in. From

0:20:21.000 --> 0:20:24.119
<v Speaker 1>Lennon station, Gordievsky hopped on a different train than a bus.

0:20:24.640 --> 0:20:28.400
<v Speaker 1>The bus approached the rendezvous point, the bus stopped, Gordievsky

0:20:28.480 --> 0:20:31.360
<v Speaker 1>got off. He looked at his watch and was ten

0:20:31.440 --> 0:20:34.880
<v Speaker 1>thirty four hours before six was supposed to pick him up.

0:20:35.600 --> 0:20:38.520
<v Speaker 1>What do you do? Dive into the shadows and wait right,

0:20:38.720 --> 0:20:42.119
<v Speaker 1>Just sit tight. The cavalry is almost there. All you

0:20:42.119 --> 0:20:46.240
<v Speaker 1>gotta do is just keep your head down. But that's

0:20:46.560 --> 0:20:50.320
<v Speaker 1>not our boyo Leg. Instead of hiding in the underbrush

0:20:50.320 --> 0:20:53.920
<v Speaker 1>and patiently waiting for six to arrive, as he certainly

0:20:54.000 --> 0:20:58.399
<v Speaker 1>should have done. Gordievsky made the truly insane decision to

0:20:58.680 --> 0:21:02.959
<v Speaker 1>hitchhike to the town of which is sixteen miles away,

0:21:03.320 --> 0:21:06.040
<v Speaker 1>so that he could have a drink at the local bar.

0:21:07.320 --> 0:21:10.680
<v Speaker 1>After downing a beer manned a chicken leg, he started

0:21:10.760 --> 0:21:15.680
<v Speaker 1>running the sixteen miles back to the rendezvous point in Corduroys.

0:21:16.359 --> 0:21:18.600
<v Speaker 1>Even if I wanted to, I could not make this

0:21:18.680 --> 0:21:22.640
<v Speaker 1>shit up. Evidently, he got tired of running before completing

0:21:22.640 --> 0:21:25.399
<v Speaker 1>his half marathon in Corduroys and decided to hitchhike the

0:21:25.440 --> 0:21:28.440
<v Speaker 1>rest of the way. Kordiewski stuck his thumb out the

0:21:28.560 --> 0:21:31.840
<v Speaker 1>car pulled over. Luckily it was not a KGB officer,

0:21:32.200 --> 0:21:34.880
<v Speaker 1>and Gordievski enjoyed the ride back to the rendezvous point.

0:21:35.600 --> 0:21:37.880
<v Speaker 1>As they approached the boulder by the side of the road,

0:21:37.960 --> 0:21:41.639
<v Speaker 1>literally in the middle of nowhere, Gordiewski asked the driver

0:21:41.680 --> 0:21:45.040
<v Speaker 1>to let him out here please and thank you, ostensibly

0:21:45.480 --> 0:21:49.920
<v Speaker 1>for a booty call, which sounds bonkers, but apparently the

0:21:50.040 --> 0:21:53.359
<v Speaker 1>driver was just like, oh yeah, classic countryside boulder hide

0:21:53.359 --> 0:21:57.240
<v Speaker 1>and hanky panky, go for it, buddy. Kordiewski climbed into

0:21:57.240 --> 0:22:00.439
<v Speaker 1>the underbrush, pulled out a bottle of beer, from his

0:22:00.520 --> 0:22:03.560
<v Speaker 1>pocket that he had somehow carried with him during his run,

0:22:04.359 --> 0:22:07.000
<v Speaker 1>and enjoyed it while he waited for him. I six

0:22:07.040 --> 0:22:11.160
<v Speaker 1>to retrieve him. And here's the best part. He got

0:22:11.200 --> 0:22:11.840
<v Speaker 1>away with it.

0:22:18.160 --> 0:22:22.159
<v Speaker 5>About thirty miles before the border. I was hiding in

0:22:22.240 --> 0:22:25.920
<v Speaker 5>the woods at an appointed time, which was two o'clock

0:22:26.800 --> 0:22:31.280
<v Speaker 5>to British cars stopped just exactly where I was lying.

0:22:32.200 --> 0:22:34.720
<v Speaker 1>You can still hear the wonder in his voice. This

0:22:34.840 --> 0:22:37.080
<v Speaker 1>one in a million miracle had happened.

0:22:38.240 --> 0:22:41.080
<v Speaker 5>I jumped into the boots of the car and they

0:22:41.160 --> 0:22:42.639
<v Speaker 5>went to the border.

0:22:46.160 --> 0:22:49.800
<v Speaker 1>Gordioevsky's brush with death was even closer than he knew.

0:22:50.520 --> 0:22:53.760
<v Speaker 1>He would later learn the KGB had confirmed his identity

0:22:53.760 --> 0:22:57.399
<v Speaker 1>as the double agent the week before he escaped. To

0:22:57.440 --> 0:23:00.000
<v Speaker 1>this day, we still don't know why they waited to pound,

0:23:00.920 --> 0:23:05.919
<v Speaker 1>but they did, and after a miraculous and somewhat claustrophobic escape,

0:23:06.040 --> 0:23:08.919
<v Speaker 1>he was now on his way to building a new life.

0:23:09.560 --> 0:23:19.520
<v Speaker 1>A former KGB spy defected to England. Except it wasn't

0:23:19.520 --> 0:23:22.879
<v Speaker 1>over for Gordievski. Sure he was free, he escaped the

0:23:22.920 --> 0:23:27.119
<v Speaker 1>Soviet Union, but he was alone. His wife and his

0:23:27.240 --> 0:23:30.719
<v Speaker 1>children were still trapped back in Moscow and he needed

0:23:30.720 --> 0:23:40.840
<v Speaker 1>to get them out commence Phase two Operation Reagan. After

0:23:40.880 --> 0:23:44.879
<v Speaker 1>his escape, Gordievsky's identity was officially revealed. He was safe

0:23:44.880 --> 0:23:47.240
<v Speaker 1>in the UK. There was no reason to hide. He

0:23:47.280 --> 0:23:49.600
<v Speaker 1>wrote books about his spying and what did he say?

0:23:50.040 --> 0:23:52.480
<v Speaker 1>Oh yeah, back in nineteen eighty three, the world almost

0:23:52.560 --> 0:23:55.639
<v Speaker 1>blew up. Not trying to brag, but kind of helped

0:23:55.640 --> 0:23:57.920
<v Speaker 1>cool things down a little, No, biggie, just what any

0:23:57.960 --> 0:24:01.080
<v Speaker 1>super cool double agent, super spy would have done. That's

0:24:01.119 --> 0:24:05.040
<v Speaker 1>when Reagan finally learned who his valuable British source was.

0:24:06.400 --> 0:24:09.400
<v Speaker 5>I'm afraiden and I met George Bush.

0:24:09.720 --> 0:24:12.960
<v Speaker 1>On July twenty first, nineteen eighty seven. Oleg Gordievsky was

0:24:13.000 --> 0:24:15.840
<v Speaker 1>invited for a meeting with Ronald Reagan and then Vice

0:24:15.920 --> 0:24:19.359
<v Speaker 1>President George H. W. Bush at the White House. I

0:24:19.359 --> 0:24:22.840
<v Speaker 1>guess Nancy's astrologer said, Olegg was chill. Yeah, no, I'm

0:24:22.840 --> 0:24:25.920
<v Speaker 1>not letting that go. Reagan's diary that day talked about

0:24:25.960 --> 0:24:29.280
<v Speaker 1>attending an event with Clint Eastwood and getting his contact

0:24:29.359 --> 0:24:34.520
<v Speaker 1>lenses cleaned. Then he writes, forgot this morning had a

0:24:34.560 --> 0:24:39.320
<v Speaker 1>meeting with Colonel Oleg Gordievski, the Soviet KGB officer who

0:24:39.359 --> 0:24:40.520
<v Speaker 1>defected to England.

0:24:41.200 --> 0:24:45.800
<v Speaker 5>Did Reagan ever talk to you about your reports? No,

0:24:46.000 --> 0:24:50.199
<v Speaker 5>the Reagan didn't talk to me about my reports, but

0:24:50.400 --> 0:24:59.560
<v Speaker 5>he short good knowledge how me and my significance. But

0:24:59.680 --> 0:25:01.680
<v Speaker 5>he was not such a brainy man.

0:25:02.200 --> 0:25:04.119
<v Speaker 1>Okay, don't know why you had to throw that burn

0:25:04.160 --> 0:25:08.159
<v Speaker 1>in there, as Gordievsky remembers that their conversation was a

0:25:08.160 --> 0:25:11.560
<v Speaker 1>sober one because Gordioevsky had a favor to ask. He

0:25:11.600 --> 0:25:15.040
<v Speaker 1>wanted to get his family out of Russia. Not actually

0:25:15.080 --> 0:25:17.159
<v Speaker 1>a lot to ask when your calling card is the

0:25:17.280 --> 0:25:21.719
<v Speaker 1>guy who saved the world from nuclear annihilation, and Reagan

0:25:21.760 --> 0:25:22.720
<v Speaker 1>decided to help him.

0:25:23.040 --> 0:25:26.280
<v Speaker 5>He said an important thing, I will give the instruction

0:25:26.520 --> 0:25:29.680
<v Speaker 5>to all the bodies to fight for your family. That

0:25:29.960 --> 0:25:36.400
<v Speaker 5>was enough because immediately the National Security Council, the States Department,

0:25:36.560 --> 0:25:39.399
<v Speaker 5>and the CIA started to also for the family.

0:25:40.080 --> 0:25:43.840
<v Speaker 1>Reagan later wrote in his diary Margaret Thatcher is working

0:25:43.840 --> 0:25:46.720
<v Speaker 1>on the Soviet says we are. We're going to hold

0:25:46.760 --> 0:25:48.639
<v Speaker 1>back and see if she can get his wife and

0:25:48.680 --> 0:25:52.520
<v Speaker 1>two children out of Russia. Continuing on, he wrote, I

0:25:52.720 --> 0:25:55.600
<v Speaker 1>just hope Oleg appreciates this enough that he never makes

0:25:55.600 --> 0:25:58.360
<v Speaker 1>a snide comment about the size of my brain. All Right,

0:25:58.480 --> 0:26:03.040
<v Speaker 1>I made that up. It took four years for them

0:26:03.040 --> 0:26:05.679
<v Speaker 1>to succeed. In the end, it all came down to

0:26:05.680 --> 0:26:08.000
<v Speaker 1>a show of good faith by a new Russian leader

0:26:08.080 --> 0:26:10.600
<v Speaker 1>trying to rebuild Russia's standing with the West. After the

0:26:10.600 --> 0:26:14.760
<v Speaker 1>collapse of the Soviet Union, the press covered the Gordievski

0:26:14.800 --> 0:26:18.600
<v Speaker 1>family reunion. He and his wife were like giggling school children,

0:26:19.160 --> 0:26:22.760
<v Speaker 1>thrilled to be back together at last. It's a beautiful moment.

0:26:23.000 --> 0:26:25.879
<v Speaker 1>I mean, the guy had escaped the Eastern Bloc and

0:26:26.000 --> 0:26:29.600
<v Speaker 1>was separated from his family for six years. This was

0:26:29.640 --> 0:26:35.360
<v Speaker 1>the moment that Gordievski had been dreaming about. Maybe it's

0:26:35.400 --> 0:26:39.240
<v Speaker 1>the kind of moment you do almost anything for, like

0:26:40.200 --> 0:26:44.160
<v Speaker 1>maybe even make up a story about saving the world

0:26:44.240 --> 0:26:45.400
<v Speaker 1>from nuclear destruction.

0:26:48.640 --> 0:26:54.960
<v Speaker 4>Gordievski is, in many ways the er source for the

0:26:55.040 --> 0:26:56.640
<v Speaker 4>Able Archer story.

0:26:57.200 --> 0:26:59.800
<v Speaker 1>Here's Simon Miles again. He says that even though the

0:27:00.200 --> 0:27:02.959
<v Speaker 1>Archer story became larger than life in the West, it

0:27:03.000 --> 0:27:06.480
<v Speaker 1>all goes back to one single source. It was all

0:27:06.600 --> 0:27:10.359
<v Speaker 1>from Oleg Gordievsky. He was the one who told six

0:27:10.400 --> 0:27:13.800
<v Speaker 1>that Soviets were afraid of nuclear war. It was Gordievsky's

0:27:13.800 --> 0:27:16.680
<v Speaker 1>account that prompted the CIA to look into Able Archer.

0:27:17.200 --> 0:27:20.199
<v Speaker 1>And it was Gordievsky's story that spurred Leonard Perutz to

0:27:20.240 --> 0:27:23.840
<v Speaker 1>write his dramatic retirement letter which led to the PIVAB.

0:27:24.480 --> 0:27:28.000
<v Speaker 1>And it was Gordievsky's terrifying tale that influenced the CIA

0:27:28.160 --> 0:27:32.320
<v Speaker 1>history in Ben Fischer's work, which totally shifted the Able

0:27:32.440 --> 0:27:37.200
<v Speaker 1>Archer consensus within the intelligence community. It all goes back

0:27:37.240 --> 0:27:42.199
<v Speaker 1>to Gordievsky. Is it possible, is it even conceivable that

0:27:42.280 --> 0:27:46.800
<v Speaker 1>he's lying? Is it possible that he exaggerated the story

0:27:47.359 --> 0:27:49.960
<v Speaker 1>after his defection to save his family.

0:27:53.359 --> 0:27:56.639
<v Speaker 4>And so you could imagine a situation in which a

0:27:56.720 --> 0:27:59.400
<v Speaker 4>spy is saying, hey, look at what I did.

0:27:59.440 --> 0:28:01.800
<v Speaker 1>I saved you from nuclear war.

0:28:01.800 --> 0:28:04.119
<v Speaker 4>And you won't get my wife and children, whom I

0:28:04.200 --> 0:28:07.119
<v Speaker 4>left behind out of the Soviet Union for me.

0:28:12.680 --> 0:28:16.359
<v Speaker 1>But hold on a second. There's proof, right, definitive proof.

0:28:16.800 --> 0:28:20.280
<v Speaker 1>That flash telegram that Gordievsky says he received on November

0:28:20.320 --> 0:28:23.639
<v Speaker 1>eighth or November ninth, he didn't remember, which, you know,

0:28:23.760 --> 0:28:26.080
<v Speaker 1>the one that said the kg BE believed that the

0:28:26.080 --> 0:28:29.720
<v Speaker 1>countdown to nuclear war had begun under cover of Able Archer.

0:28:31.160 --> 0:28:34.640
<v Speaker 1>Now all at Gordievsky and his handlers kept meticulous records.

0:28:35.280 --> 0:28:37.760
<v Speaker 1>He would go on to publish two books that included

0:28:37.880 --> 0:28:41.040
<v Speaker 1>hundreds of actual cables he received from Moscow during his

0:28:41.120 --> 0:28:44.400
<v Speaker 1>tenure as a spy in London. But the one telegram

0:28:44.640 --> 0:28:49.920
<v Speaker 1>we've never seen a copy of is this one interesting

0:28:50.720 --> 0:28:54.240
<v Speaker 1>and convenient. It's also worth pointing out that in the

0:28:54.320 --> 0:28:57.200
<v Speaker 1>years since Gordievski was reunited with his wife and kids,

0:28:57.560 --> 0:29:01.160
<v Speaker 1>his recollection of events got a little less. I Saved

0:29:01.200 --> 0:29:04.240
<v Speaker 1>the World back in the mid eighties. He was adamant

0:29:04.240 --> 0:29:07.000
<v Speaker 1>that Abel Archer was the peak of Soviet paranoia, that

0:29:07.040 --> 0:29:10.800
<v Speaker 1>the Soviets were convinced Reagan wanted to obliterate them, and further,

0:29:10.920 --> 0:29:13.800
<v Speaker 1>he said it was reasonable to assume his contribution had

0:29:13.800 --> 0:29:16.560
<v Speaker 1>pulled us back from the edge of annihilation. You know

0:29:16.640 --> 0:29:19.400
<v Speaker 1>that version. That's what you've been listening to this whole

0:29:19.440 --> 0:29:22.600
<v Speaker 1>time while doing the dishes, or driving to Milwaukee, or

0:29:22.600 --> 0:29:24.760
<v Speaker 1>whatever it does you do while listening to this podcast.

0:29:25.760 --> 0:29:28.400
<v Speaker 1>Years later, though, when he was asked about it all

0:29:28.440 --> 0:29:31.959
<v Speaker 1>again in two thousand and eight, he doesn't seem quite

0:29:32.040 --> 0:29:35.800
<v Speaker 1>so sure. He contradicts himself. He hedges a.

0:29:35.800 --> 0:29:43.480
<v Speaker 5>Little they're afraid, really, they'll think, because it's regularly as capable.

0:29:44.560 --> 0:29:46.760
<v Speaker 5>But it does mean that, says they will bring it

0:29:46.800 --> 0:29:51.360
<v Speaker 5>to the NUCLEU. That's why it was. I was never

0:29:51.400 --> 0:29:55.440
<v Speaker 5>in panic and didn't drunk to the officers as it

0:29:55.440 --> 0:30:00.560
<v Speaker 5>reports about Abel Archer, because I felt this was not

0:30:01.120 --> 0:30:06.760
<v Speaker 5>hundred percent serious? Is missing sense? It will never come,

0:30:06.920 --> 0:30:08.040
<v Speaker 5>will come to freition.

0:30:11.880 --> 0:30:17.400
<v Speaker 4>Here Gordievski is actually contradicting the Able Archer story and

0:30:17.520 --> 0:30:19.920
<v Speaker 4>saying that really it wasn't a moment of acute danger.

0:30:20.880 --> 0:30:24.120
<v Speaker 4>There wasn't really a sense that this was preparation for

0:30:24.160 --> 0:30:26.040
<v Speaker 4>a surprise attack, and so on and so forth.

0:30:27.560 --> 0:30:30.480
<v Speaker 1>So what does all this mean for the Able Archer story?

0:30:30.600 --> 0:30:33.400
<v Speaker 1>If the Soviet documents don't make Able Archer sound all

0:30:33.440 --> 0:30:38.320
<v Speaker 1>that serious, and Gordievsky may actually be, you know, exaggerating

0:30:38.360 --> 0:30:42.720
<v Speaker 1>a little, Is this whole story just a bunch of bullshit?

0:30:43.560 --> 0:30:47.040
<v Speaker 1>Can we ever know the truth about Able Archer? Well,

0:30:47.080 --> 0:30:50.040
<v Speaker 1>don't forget there was another man on the inside, that

0:30:50.200 --> 0:30:53.080
<v Speaker 1>other spy, the one in NATO, who said that during

0:30:53.080 --> 0:30:55.640
<v Speaker 1>Able Archer, the Russians panicked and he sent a message

0:30:55.640 --> 0:31:00.560
<v Speaker 1>that snipped the nuclear fuse with his spy Calculatoriner Rup

0:31:01.000 --> 0:31:05.479
<v Speaker 1>or as you may remember him, agent Topaz. So if

0:31:05.520 --> 0:31:07.840
<v Speaker 1>the Able larger story is a bunch of nonsense. Does

0:31:07.880 --> 0:31:11.960
<v Speaker 1>that mean that Rhiner Rupp is lying too? Oh no,

0:31:12.440 --> 0:31:21.000
<v Speaker 1>say it isn't so life had been pretty good for

0:31:21.080 --> 0:31:24.280
<v Speaker 1>Stazi secret agent Rhiner Reup. He was twelve years into

0:31:24.280 --> 0:31:27.400
<v Speaker 1>an undercover stint at NATO HQ. He was good at

0:31:27.440 --> 0:31:30.520
<v Speaker 1>his job, his NATO job where he kept getting promoted,

0:31:31.000 --> 0:31:34.280
<v Speaker 1>and also his Stazi job where he kept stealing NATO

0:31:34.320 --> 0:31:37.520
<v Speaker 1>files to destroy NATO. So I guess he wasn't all

0:31:37.520 --> 0:31:40.320
<v Speaker 1>that good at his NATO job after all. But then

0:31:40.360 --> 0:31:43.480
<v Speaker 1>as nineteen eighty nine came to a close, the ground

0:31:43.600 --> 0:31:49.520
<v Speaker 1>began to shake underneath his comfortable secret agent life. November ninth,

0:31:49.840 --> 0:31:53.720
<v Speaker 1>the Berlin Wall comes down, a massive global event. It

0:31:53.840 --> 0:31:57.440
<v Speaker 1>signaled the beginning of the end for communism. And then

0:31:57.760 --> 0:31:58.880
<v Speaker 1>as Christmas.

0:31:58.480 --> 0:32:03.680
<v Speaker 6>Rolled around, got a message of a top level spy

0:32:04.240 --> 0:32:05.360
<v Speaker 6>in the organization.

0:32:06.200 --> 0:32:09.920
<v Speaker 1>Eh boy, NATO knew there was a mole, some guy

0:32:09.960 --> 0:32:14.240
<v Speaker 1>who went by the code name Topaz. The intel suggested

0:32:14.280 --> 0:32:18.480
<v Speaker 1>that this Topaz was a senior NATO official, not some

0:32:18.640 --> 0:32:23.520
<v Speaker 1>paper pusher. Allowing a Communist spy into the innermost circle

0:32:24.040 --> 0:32:28.000
<v Speaker 1>was beyond humiliating. The discovery was catastrophic.

0:32:28.720 --> 0:32:33.320
<v Speaker 6>As a result, they started to search for this Toolpus.

0:32:33.640 --> 0:32:36.520
<v Speaker 1>So while everyone else in Brussels was roasting chestnuts on

0:32:36.560 --> 0:32:39.680
<v Speaker 1>an open fire and getting busy under the missiletoe like

0:32:39.720 --> 0:32:44.320
<v Speaker 1>they were Czech archivists, Rupp was hurrying to cover his tracks.

0:32:45.320 --> 0:32:48.840
<v Speaker 1>And then shortly after the fall of the Berlin Wall,

0:32:49.080 --> 0:32:53.000
<v Speaker 1>the people raided the stazi's headquarters in Berlin. What they

0:32:53.040 --> 0:33:00.320
<v Speaker 1>found shocked the world. Mountains of files. Somewhere married in

0:33:00.320 --> 0:33:04.720
<v Speaker 1>those Stazi files was the truth about agent Topaz's identity

0:33:05.960 --> 0:33:11.080
<v Speaker 1>repro but it wouldn't be easy to find. Papers had

0:33:11.120 --> 0:33:14.720
<v Speaker 1>been shredded into a gajillion pieces. STAZI digital records were

0:33:14.840 --> 0:33:18.240
<v Speaker 1>encrypted up the wazoo. It would take the West years

0:33:18.280 --> 0:33:22.520
<v Speaker 1>to piece the STAZI records together. And Topaz himself was

0:33:22.680 --> 0:33:24.600
<v Speaker 1>trying to derail the hunt.

0:33:24.920 --> 0:33:27.440
<v Speaker 6>And for reasons I don't want to go into, I

0:33:27.520 --> 0:33:29.440
<v Speaker 6>could follow all their work.

0:33:30.120 --> 0:33:33.880
<v Speaker 1>Remember, Rupp was still on the inside. He was even

0:33:33.920 --> 0:33:38.120
<v Speaker 1>participating in meetings about the Topaz hunt. Hey guys, got

0:33:38.120 --> 0:33:40.800
<v Speaker 1>a hot lead on this Topaz guy. Pretty sure he's

0:33:40.800 --> 0:33:45.120
<v Speaker 1>either in Buenos Aires or Singapore. Anyway. For a while,

0:33:45.160 --> 0:33:48.200
<v Speaker 1>he was able to remain just barely one step ahead.

0:33:49.080 --> 0:33:50.720
<v Speaker 1>NATO began to get desperate.

0:33:51.760 --> 0:33:56.440
<v Speaker 6>They've been big cash rewards offered to my former case officer.

0:33:57.080 --> 0:34:02.560
<v Speaker 6>I mean like in this that spy films, a case

0:34:03.440 --> 0:34:06.000
<v Speaker 6>of cash put on the table.

0:34:06.960 --> 0:34:14.279
<v Speaker 1>Honestly, despite the danger, NATO just couldn't seem to make progress,

0:34:14.680 --> 0:34:17.360
<v Speaker 1>and rhiner Up began to believe maybe he'd make it

0:34:17.400 --> 0:34:18.799
<v Speaker 1>out of this thing unscathed.

0:34:19.600 --> 0:34:23.360
<v Speaker 6>They got closed, but they never got close enough. Eventually

0:34:23.600 --> 0:34:26.680
<v Speaker 6>thought I was basically safe, and I was already looking

0:34:26.800 --> 0:34:29.799
<v Speaker 6>for a new job, because quite clearly I didn't want

0:34:29.840 --> 0:34:30.640
<v Speaker 6>to stay at NATO.

0:34:32.120 --> 0:34:36.080
<v Speaker 1>But piece by piece, those shredded documents were coming together,

0:34:36.680 --> 0:34:40.239
<v Speaker 1>the codes were getting cracked, and NATO was closing in.

0:34:41.120 --> 0:34:45.040
<v Speaker 6>And so they waited until I came back to Germany

0:34:45.239 --> 0:34:49.920
<v Speaker 6>for the anniversary of my mother.

0:34:50.520 --> 0:34:53.440
<v Speaker 1>He means his mom's birthday. It was July thirty first,

0:34:53.600 --> 0:34:57.920
<v Speaker 1>nineteen ninety three. Seventy German agents hid around Rupp's parents'

0:34:57.920 --> 0:35:02.000
<v Speaker 1>house as Rup and his wife and Christine arrived to celebrate.

0:35:02.600 --> 0:35:04.120
<v Speaker 1>They were both arrested.

0:35:04.520 --> 0:35:08.000
<v Speaker 5>What happened to you once you were caught, Well, i'ment

0:35:08.080 --> 0:35:08.680
<v Speaker 5>to prison.

0:35:10.000 --> 0:35:14.480
<v Speaker 1>Happy birthday, mom, I'm going to prison. Ryaner And and

0:35:14.640 --> 0:35:18.400
<v Speaker 1>Christine Rupp were charged for their crimes, and they each

0:35:18.440 --> 0:35:20.160
<v Speaker 1>faced life in prison.

0:35:21.200 --> 0:35:24.279
<v Speaker 5>It was not easy.

0:35:26.239 --> 0:35:28.440
<v Speaker 1>And Christine was allowed to be home with the Rupp's

0:35:28.480 --> 0:35:31.279
<v Speaker 1>children as she awaited trial, but he would await his

0:35:31.360 --> 0:35:34.399
<v Speaker 1>fate in a prison cell. Rhyiner Rupp would later say

0:35:34.440 --> 0:35:36.560
<v Speaker 1>that in a way he was glad the jig was up.

0:35:37.480 --> 0:35:39.840
<v Speaker 1>He didn't want his kids somehow caught up in his

0:35:39.960 --> 0:35:43.440
<v Speaker 1>double life. Eventually, and Christine Rupp was found guilty of

0:35:43.440 --> 0:35:46.320
<v Speaker 1>a betting treason, but when the judge considered her sentence,

0:35:46.360 --> 0:35:49.040
<v Speaker 1>he noted that she was caring for her children and

0:35:49.080 --> 0:35:51.520
<v Speaker 1>that the damage she did to the West was ultimately

0:35:51.880 --> 0:35:55.000
<v Speaker 1>not that severe. She was given a twenty two month

0:35:55.040 --> 0:35:58.880
<v Speaker 1>suspended sentence. The judge would not be so lenient with

0:35:59.040 --> 0:35:59.720
<v Speaker 1>Rhiner Rupp.

0:36:00.480 --> 0:36:01.440
<v Speaker 6>I was sentenced to.

0:36:03.520 --> 0:36:04.200
<v Speaker 5>Twelve years.

0:36:04.239 --> 0:36:09.719
<v Speaker 1>Eventually twelve years. The judge said that Reiner rupps espionage

0:36:09.760 --> 0:36:14.280
<v Speaker 1>created a danger of particularly grave disadvantage for Western Germany.

0:36:14.719 --> 0:36:17.080
<v Speaker 1>He said, if the Cold War hadn't ended, he would

0:36:17.120 --> 0:36:22.560
<v Speaker 1>have sentenced him to life. So Briner Rupp began his

0:36:22.680 --> 0:36:26.160
<v Speaker 1>twelve year prison sentence, and it's then that he and

0:36:26.200 --> 0:36:29.400
<v Speaker 1>his handlers immediately got to work on a pr campaign,

0:36:30.320 --> 0:36:34.040
<v Speaker 1>a campaign designed to enlist public support in getting RUP's

0:36:34.040 --> 0:36:38.759
<v Speaker 1>sentence reduced. Among other things, they told the story of

0:36:38.800 --> 0:36:42.960
<v Speaker 1>Reiner Rupp's involvement with Able Archer eighty three, a little

0:36:43.000 --> 0:36:52.040
<v Speaker 1>known nuclear near miss. One of his principal advocates was

0:36:52.080 --> 0:36:55.520
<v Speaker 1>a guy named Werner Grossman, the former deputy head of

0:36:55.560 --> 0:37:00.160
<v Speaker 1>the STAZI aka Rupp's boss. He said that back in

0:37:00.280 --> 0:37:01.360
<v Speaker 1>nineteen eighty three.

0:37:01.520 --> 0:37:05.960
<v Speaker 7>He said the KJB was convinced that there's gonna be

0:37:06.239 --> 0:37:06.840
<v Speaker 7>an attack.

0:37:07.200 --> 0:37:12.440
<v Speaker 1>That's the German Spy Museum's Florian Schimakowski. Grossman's account was credible.

0:37:12.719 --> 0:37:15.000
<v Speaker 1>He was, after all, a big dog in the STAZI,

0:37:15.080 --> 0:37:19.040
<v Speaker 1>the KGB's most trusted intelligence ally, and he was trying

0:37:19.040 --> 0:37:23.040
<v Speaker 1>to use RUP's insider NATO intelligence to diffuse all the tension.

0:37:23.880 --> 0:37:27.440
<v Speaker 1>But he said the KGB was so paranoid he couldn't

0:37:27.480 --> 0:37:28.760
<v Speaker 1>get them to see reason.

0:37:29.880 --> 0:37:32.799
<v Speaker 7>When I'm telling a fisherman that there are no fish

0:37:32.840 --> 0:37:35.560
<v Speaker 7>in the pond and they should actually stop fishing, but

0:37:35.719 --> 0:37:39.280
<v Speaker 7>the KJB didn't do it. They just were very, very nervous.

0:37:39.640 --> 0:37:43.319
<v Speaker 7>So they actually, from from their point of view, it

0:37:43.520 --> 0:37:45.200
<v Speaker 7>was very dangerous.

0:37:45.239 --> 0:37:49.040
<v Speaker 1>So dangerous that during NATO's annual Able Archer exercise, the

0:37:49.120 --> 0:37:52.400
<v Speaker 1>Soviets were utterly convinced that the time for a nuclear

0:37:52.400 --> 0:37:54.760
<v Speaker 1>attack had finally arrived.

0:37:55.040 --> 0:37:59.799
<v Speaker 7>And he said that the Russens were actually responding to

0:37:59.880 --> 0:38:03.080
<v Speaker 7>the whole situation at that time in an active way

0:38:03.200 --> 0:38:06.000
<v Speaker 7>and not in a reactive way. So he said, from

0:38:06.080 --> 0:38:10.160
<v Speaker 7>what they know, the Soviet Union was preparing to strike.

0:38:11.800 --> 0:38:14.320
<v Speaker 1>Grossman backed up the story that at the precise moment

0:38:14.360 --> 0:38:17.719
<v Speaker 1>the Soviets were convinced and attack was imminent, rain Or

0:38:17.800 --> 0:38:21.240
<v Speaker 1>Rupp sent a coded message from a calculator, a message

0:38:21.280 --> 0:38:23.480
<v Speaker 1>that may have saved the world.

0:38:24.000 --> 0:38:27.120
<v Speaker 7>Grossmann is convinced that Rubb played the whole part, a

0:38:27.360 --> 0:38:31.160
<v Speaker 7>huge part in that in calming the KJB down.

0:38:32.239 --> 0:38:35.480
<v Speaker 1>Grossman's claim was this, Yeah, Rupp was technically a trader

0:38:35.520 --> 0:38:39.440
<v Speaker 1>to West Germany, but his espionage actually wound up saving

0:38:39.520 --> 0:38:42.480
<v Speaker 1>West Germany, along with the rest of the world, from

0:38:42.480 --> 0:38:44.360
<v Speaker 1>the catastrophe of nuclear war.

0:38:45.320 --> 0:38:48.000
<v Speaker 7>He was not spying to harm anybody, buddy, and he

0:38:48.160 --> 0:38:53.360
<v Speaker 7>was never spying actually to prepare a Soviet attack. And

0:38:53.400 --> 0:38:57.000
<v Speaker 7>that's quite without a doubt. He was always spying to

0:38:57.040 --> 0:38:58.440
<v Speaker 7>prevent war from happening.

0:38:59.600 --> 0:39:03.520
<v Speaker 1>It was a sexy story and a very convenient one.

0:39:04.719 --> 0:39:08.640
<v Speaker 1>Maybe it could get Rupp's sentence reduced. Petitions began to

0:39:08.680 --> 0:39:12.200
<v Speaker 1>circulate advocating for Rhiner RUP's release. Even the winner of

0:39:12.239 --> 0:39:16.160
<v Speaker 1>the German Peace Prize appealed on RUP's behalf and eventually

0:39:16.600 --> 0:39:17.480
<v Speaker 1>it worked.

0:39:18.120 --> 0:39:23.239
<v Speaker 6>So in the end, the political situation kind of I think,

0:39:23.360 --> 0:39:28.719
<v Speaker 6>softened up so that I was released after seven years

0:39:28.320 --> 0:39:29.920
<v Speaker 6>in jail.

0:39:31.719 --> 0:39:34.120
<v Speaker 1>In July of two thousand, Rhiner Up was released from

0:39:34.160 --> 0:39:38.839
<v Speaker 1>prison five years early. He reunited with his wife. They're

0:39:38.880 --> 0:39:41.359
<v Speaker 1>still together to this day, living a long and by

0:39:41.400 --> 0:39:43.480
<v Speaker 1>all accounts, happy life in Germany.

0:39:44.200 --> 0:39:46.759
<v Speaker 7>But of course you have to keep in mind it's

0:39:46.800 --> 0:39:51.239
<v Speaker 7>hard to actually figure out if everything is one hundred percent.

0:39:51.160 --> 0:39:54.520
<v Speaker 1>Two thanks to them.

0:39:54.640 --> 0:39:57.719
<v Speaker 8>For example, Rhiner Rupp can say, well, look, we help

0:39:57.760 --> 0:40:00.920
<v Speaker 8>preserve the peace. Actually you should thank because we helped

0:40:00.920 --> 0:40:02.279
<v Speaker 8>you stop a nuclear war.

0:40:03.040 --> 0:40:06.040
<v Speaker 1>This is Douglas Salvage, an historian and probably the world's

0:40:06.040 --> 0:40:09.520
<v Speaker 1>foremost expert on the Stazi. Douglas is one of many

0:40:09.640 --> 0:40:13.440
<v Speaker 1>historians who aren't really buying what the Stazi are selling.

0:40:13.480 --> 0:40:16.760
<v Speaker 1>If you catch my meaning, I'm saying he thinks it's bullshit.

0:40:18.320 --> 0:40:21.000
<v Speaker 8>Now, there are a couple of problems with this. First

0:40:21.040 --> 0:40:25.880
<v Speaker 8>of all, there's a database of basically incoming intelligence reports,

0:40:25.920 --> 0:40:29.600
<v Speaker 8>including black writer. Rupp is sending, we can use this

0:40:29.760 --> 0:40:32.040
<v Speaker 8>and for the year that we're talking about nineteen eighty three.

0:40:32.120 --> 0:40:35.720
<v Speaker 8>It's a very good database of incoming information for Eastrum

0:40:35.719 --> 0:40:39.439
<v Speaker 8>and foreign intelligence. I checked and there's like no new

0:40:40.080 --> 0:40:46.239
<v Speaker 8>incoming intelligence regarding nuclear weapons from Rupp before November of

0:40:46.360 --> 0:40:47.360
<v Speaker 8>nineteen eighty three.

0:40:47.960 --> 0:40:50.880
<v Speaker 1>Not only that, there was no record in the archive

0:40:51.000 --> 0:40:55.400
<v Speaker 1>of Rupp's emergency calculator message during Able Archer. All we

0:40:55.520 --> 0:40:58.520
<v Speaker 1>have is the word of Rupp and the Stazi.

0:41:01.280 --> 0:41:04.279
<v Speaker 8>I suppose it's possibly gave a film called of role

0:41:04.400 --> 0:41:06.600
<v Speaker 8>for Maybe there's something they forgot to record. I don't

0:41:06.600 --> 0:41:10.520
<v Speaker 8>think that's the case. I won't say he's intentionally aligned.

0:41:10.640 --> 0:41:12.600
<v Speaker 8>He might just be mistaken, or he might remember it

0:41:12.640 --> 0:41:13.320
<v Speaker 8>a certain way.

0:41:13.760 --> 0:41:16.480
<v Speaker 1>I don't know, Doug, he seems pretty sure.

0:41:16.800 --> 0:41:21.799
<v Speaker 6>Do you remember sending a message I remember sending.

0:41:23.000 --> 0:41:24.879
<v Speaker 5>At the time of Abe Lacha. Yeah.

0:41:27.960 --> 0:41:30.480
<v Speaker 1>By the time ryaner Rupp began telling his story, Oleg

0:41:30.480 --> 0:41:33.799
<v Speaker 1>Gordievski had already published a couple of books where he

0:41:33.880 --> 0:41:38.480
<v Speaker 1>told his able larger story. It all begs the question

0:41:39.200 --> 0:41:42.520
<v Speaker 1>did Rhiner Rupp hear about Olegg's account and see an

0:41:42.560 --> 0:41:47.400
<v Speaker 1>opportunity to rehabilitate his own image by manufacturing a corroboration.

0:41:51.280 --> 0:41:54.880
<v Speaker 8>I am a firm believer, and the idea that you

0:41:54.920 --> 0:41:58.200
<v Speaker 8>can't say just because you haven't found the evidence or

0:41:58.239 --> 0:42:01.719
<v Speaker 8>the evidence doesn't exist, that it disproves something. So I'm

0:42:01.719 --> 0:42:04.080
<v Speaker 8>not going to say that it disproves that there was

0:42:04.120 --> 0:42:07.040
<v Speaker 8>this heightened sense of thread, or the absence of evidence

0:42:07.239 --> 0:42:13.120
<v Speaker 8>disproves that you Rubb played this important role. Maybe it's

0:42:13.160 --> 0:42:17.040
<v Speaker 8>even true, but there's no other supporting evidence that I've

0:42:17.080 --> 0:42:22.399
<v Speaker 8>found nothing. Now, if it turns out someday, if I'm

0:42:22.400 --> 0:42:25.799
<v Speaker 8>going to through the Stasi files or some book where

0:42:25.800 --> 0:42:28.440
<v Speaker 8>they're talking about the messages they sent to Moscow and

0:42:28.520 --> 0:42:31.000
<v Speaker 8>I find something different than I've change my opinion. But

0:42:31.320 --> 0:42:33.800
<v Speaker 8>I think this has all been overplayed.

0:42:36.200 --> 0:42:39.640
<v Speaker 1>Rubb had a motive. He wanted to shorten his prison sentence,

0:42:40.040 --> 0:42:42.920
<v Speaker 1>and he had the opportunity because he could basically just

0:42:43.000 --> 0:42:47.600
<v Speaker 1>piggyback on the story Gordievsky was already telling. Gordievsky also

0:42:47.760 --> 0:42:50.160
<v Speaker 1>had a motive. He needed to get his family out

0:42:50.200 --> 0:42:54.279
<v Speaker 1>of the Soviet Union, and coincidentally, neither of them have

0:42:54.400 --> 0:42:57.920
<v Speaker 1>been able to produce the key evidence supporting their able

0:42:58.040 --> 0:43:01.360
<v Speaker 1>Archer heroics. Gordievski he was never able to produce a

0:43:01.360 --> 0:43:04.239
<v Speaker 1>copy of the flash telegram. He says he received from

0:43:04.239 --> 0:43:07.719
<v Speaker 1>the KGB on November eighth or ninth, the one that

0:43:07.800 --> 0:43:10.200
<v Speaker 1>said the countdown to a nuclear strike had begun under

0:43:10.200 --> 0:43:13.279
<v Speaker 1>cover of Able Archer. And there is no record of

0:43:13.360 --> 0:43:18.440
<v Speaker 1>Rupp's emergency message either, which means we've found ourselves in

0:43:18.560 --> 0:43:23.799
<v Speaker 1>quite the pickle. Here's a quick recap this Able Archer

0:43:23.840 --> 0:43:27.560
<v Speaker 1>war scare story that the West has finally accepted. There's

0:43:27.600 --> 0:43:31.360
<v Speaker 1>no record of it in Eastern Bloc archives, and the

0:43:31.440 --> 0:43:34.760
<v Speaker 1>two main sources of the story, well, they have pretty

0:43:34.800 --> 0:43:39.080
<v Speaker 1>strong motives to lie and they have no proof. Plus,

0:43:39.239 --> 0:43:42.799
<v Speaker 1>Soviet leaders were pretty into Cold War performance, so maybe

0:43:43.000 --> 0:43:49.040
<v Speaker 1>the propaganda theory was right all along. But Nate Jones

0:43:49.120 --> 0:43:52.240
<v Speaker 1>is still working to prove the opposite. And there's still

0:43:52.239 --> 0:43:56.399
<v Speaker 1>a key document that hasn't been declassified, one that might

0:43:56.600 --> 0:44:04.320
<v Speaker 1>prove Able Archer was a big deal. Next time on Snaffoo.

0:44:04.000 --> 0:44:06.640
<v Speaker 8>It went through the mail slit, so there's kind of

0:44:06.880 --> 0:44:10.520
<v Speaker 8>a thud onto the floor that was about one hundred

0:44:10.560 --> 0:44:13.640
<v Speaker 8>pages thick with government and dress government stamps.

0:44:14.040 --> 0:44:16.320
<v Speaker 1>So I knew it might be good. My heart started

0:44:16.320 --> 0:44:22.399
<v Speaker 1>beating a little bit. Snaffoo is a production of iHeartRadio, Film,

0:44:22.440 --> 0:44:26.120
<v Speaker 1>Nation Entertainment, and Pacific Electric Picture Company in association with

0:44:26.200 --> 0:44:30.920
<v Speaker 1>Gilded Audio. It's executive produced by me Ed Helms, Golan Papelka,

0:44:31.160 --> 0:44:35.400
<v Speaker 1>Mike Falbo, Andy Chubb, and Whitney Donaldson. Our lead producers

0:44:35.400 --> 0:44:39.240
<v Speaker 1>are Sarah Joyner and Alyssa Martino. Our producer is Carl Nellis,

0:44:39.280 --> 0:44:43.160
<v Speaker 1>Associate producer Torry Smith. Our senior editor is Jeffrey Lewis,

0:44:43.239 --> 0:44:45.839
<v Speaker 1>and so I can say any damn thing I want.

0:44:46.040 --> 0:44:48.720
<v Speaker 1>This episode was written by Carl Nellis and Sarah Joyner,

0:44:48.760 --> 0:44:51.960
<v Speaker 1>with additional writing from me Elliott Kalin and Whitney Donaldson.

0:44:52.200 --> 0:44:55.520
<v Speaker 1>Olivia Kenny is our production assistant. Our creative executive is

0:44:55.560 --> 0:44:58.520
<v Speaker 1>Brett Harris. Additional research and fact checking by Charles Richter,

0:44:59.000 --> 0:45:02.279
<v Speaker 1>Engineering and technical direction by Nick Dooley. Original music and

0:45:02.320 --> 0:45:06.320
<v Speaker 1>sound design by Dan Rosatto. Additional editing from Ben Chug.

0:45:06.840 --> 0:45:09.960
<v Speaker 1>Some archival audio in this episode originally appeared in Taylor

0:45:10.000 --> 0:45:14.200
<v Speaker 1>Downing's fantastic film nineteen eighty three, The Brink of Apocalypse.

0:45:14.680 --> 0:45:18.000
<v Speaker 1>Thank you, mister Downing for permission to use it. Special

0:45:18.000 --> 0:45:20.239
<v Speaker 1>thanks to Alison Cohen and Matt Aisenstadt.