Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. A single best idea,
Speaker 1: and it's a special edition, a single best idea. There's
Speaker 1: no other way to put it. When Ed Heyman walks
Speaker 1: in the door for a generous half hour conversation, he
Speaker 1: touches upon a lot of points. I want to explain
Speaker 1: the why here. Part of so much of what we
Speaker 1: do at Bloomberg Surveillance and before that at Bloomberg on
Speaker 1: the economy is actually trying to understand who is this guy.
Speaker 1: It's like Butch Cassidy, who is this guy? Who is
Speaker 1: this woman? And the guests are different. Ed Heiman was
Speaker 1: at CJ. Lawrence before Ed Yard Danny, both of them
Speaker 1: world class economists, and ed Heiman codified what I call
Speaker 1: chart paragraph, chart paragraph, chart paragraph. There's a chart and
Speaker 1: then a quick paragraph and then another chart. That's the
Speaker 1: entire report. There's not a lot of discussion going on here.
Speaker 1: It's a lot of pictures that tell a story. And
Speaker 1: all of that came out of the technical work of
Speaker 1: one Alan Greenspan years ago. We just look at the
Speaker 1: data and it's not a small idea that the leading
Speaker 1: chart in Ed's latest note was a Trucker's survey falling
Speaker 1: off a cliff is too negative, but it's diminished, it's
Speaker 1: slowing down, and of course that folds into what the
Speaker 1: FED will do and Hymen on a FED.
Speaker 2: I think the FED has been doing a pretty good job,
Speaker 2: and I'm generally critical of the Fed. Okay, but either
Speaker 2: my luck or my skill, they have the path set
Speaker 2: now for cutting rates and we got claimed this morning solo.
Speaker 2: It makes me have a headache. And so they're you know,
Speaker 2: they got different mandate, So I don't necessarily think they
Speaker 2: should have will know better to answer to that question.
Speaker 2: I do think that they were way off on raising rates.
Speaker 1: Edheimen there and Jerom Powell and what the Federal do
Speaker 1: for it clearly indicated he needs to see data to
Speaker 1: get to fifty basis point cut. That's out there. Anna
Speaker 1: Wong Bloomberg Economics said the difficulties in the labor economy
Speaker 1: shown yesterday in the data doesn't tilt to fifty basis points,
Speaker 1: but she says it's part of the discussion to say
Speaker 1: the least ed Hymen for years. This is way before
Speaker 1: Evercore took out Isi at Hymen's ISI, he's really stayed
Speaker 1: away from the politics of the moment, he doesn't put
Speaker 1: on an obligatory political discussion at the end. It's a
Speaker 1: very rare thing here he is ed Heyman on an
Speaker 1: election in November.
Speaker 2: It's a dance. And Everquore has its roots in the
Speaker 2: very democratic group of people as founders Roger Roger Altman
Speaker 2: and Ralph Slashdain and they're terrific, and so I have
Speaker 2: to be a little careful he as a Republican, you're not.
Speaker 2: It's their firm and I don't want to get in
Speaker 2: the way. But as we all know, it's fifty to
Speaker 2: fifty and so it's too early to try and figure
Speaker 2: out the economic implications.
Speaker 1: Not too early to listen to the debate. We'll do
Speaker 1: that across Bloomberg. The ABC debate in Philadelphia, and we're
Speaker 1: thrilled that David Girl will lead our coverage for the
Speaker 1: debate on September tenth. Thank you. What day is that?
Speaker 1: Is it? Tuesday? Tuesday, September tenth. Yeah, it's spending this
Speaker 1: time of year, you know, you need how much for
Speaker 1: school supplies? Like that's the major question going on right now. Finally,
Speaker 1: with that, Heimen, I asked them a delicate question, and
Speaker 1: that is the debate on unrealized gains. Let me explain
Speaker 1: this quickly. You buy Apple and it goes up, and
Speaker 1: you owned it for five years, six years, eight years, whatever,
Speaker 1: and you have a huge profit and you don't want
Speaker 1: to sell. You just carry the gain forward until you
Speaker 1: sell or death or whatever. Some out there want to
Speaker 1: tax the gain along the way, even if you don't
Speaker 1: sell the apple shares. This is new Edhimen.
Speaker 2: I think it harms everybody. Why because it hurts the
Speaker 2: whole capitalistic system, and so I mean that's one of
Speaker 2: the things that I would find the most discouraging. It
Speaker 2: also is impossible to administer, so I don't think that's
Speaker 2: going to make it, but it definitely is low on life.
Speaker 2: So broadly, listening.
Speaker 1: At Heimen there on this idea of taxing gains that
Speaker 1: have not been taken, the only thing I'll editorialize there
Speaker 1: is I just sort of gut feeling, and you know,
Speaker 1: I don't want to get into the politics of it.
Speaker 1: But if they do text unrealized capital gains, I think
Speaker 1: you could rename the document the Accountant Employment Act of
Speaker 1: two thousand whatever. That's sort of where I would go
Speaker 1: on that Jobs Day tomorrow will go beneath the headline
Speaker 1: day to day thirty. Let me go through our distribution.
Speaker 1: We are thunderstruck by the August numbers. Granted we had
Speaker 1: a small affair early in the month of the stock
Speaker 1: market which helped out. But thank you, thank you so
Speaker 1: much for your support. Across Android Auto, Apple car play
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