WEBVTT - Now There's a Helium Shortage and It Affects More Than Balloons

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News.

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<v Speaker 2>Hello and welcome to another episode of the Odd Lats podcast.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm Joe Wisenthal and.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm Tracy Alloway.

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<v Speaker 2>Tracy, one of the things that have been learning over

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<v Speaker 2>the last few weeks is that a lot more than

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<v Speaker 2>oil comes through No for real, Like you know, some

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<v Speaker 2>onegether's war breaking out in the Middle East. You just

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<v Speaker 2>think about oil, right, and then that's probably actually where

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<v Speaker 2>my mind would typically stop. What's the price of oil?

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<v Speaker 2>And we all are watching the price of oil, but

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<v Speaker 2>there are a lot of other things that are sourced

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<v Speaker 2>from the region that are of critical important I'm not

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<v Speaker 2>joking like I'm just saying.

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<v Speaker 3>Like I'm laughing, because we have one of those things

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<v Speaker 3>floating between us. So, speaking of stuff that comes out

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<v Speaker 3>of the Gulf region, here's one of those things.

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<v Speaker 2>Not listeners can't see it.

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<v Speaker 3>Not the aluminum itself, although probably aluminum also comes out

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<v Speaker 3>of the Gulf, but helium.

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<v Speaker 2>Tracy's holding a helium balloon. She went out and got

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<v Speaker 2>a prop.

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<v Speaker 3>I didn't one of our lovely producers did. I have

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<v Speaker 3>to say, I haven't held a balloon for a long time,

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<v Speaker 3>and it's surprisingly entertaining.

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<v Speaker 2>So okay, while you hold on to it, I'll go

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<v Speaker 2>a little bit further, which is I feel bad for

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<v Speaker 2>the people in helium because my understanding is that the

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<v Speaker 2>helium has some pretty important industrial properties. There's not a

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<v Speaker 2>lot of substitutes for it. But someone says helium, and like, oh,

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<v Speaker 2>the clowns are going to be able to make their

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<v Speaker 2>funny voices, et cetera.

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<v Speaker 3>Any chance we have to actually bring one of the

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<v Speaker 3>commodities that we talk about on the show into the studio,

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<v Speaker 3>I'm gonna seeze. So fear is some helium.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, look, the fact that the balloon is floating is

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<v Speaker 2>an indicator of the fact that it must have some

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<v Speaker 2>interesting properties as an element that perhaps have other applications.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't know. I mean it tells you something about

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<v Speaker 2>it as an elementary.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, it's funny you mentioned that, because initially I was

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<v Speaker 3>gonna take this balloon and you know, do the thing

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<v Speaker 3>breathe than the helium and have the funny voice. Well,

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<v Speaker 3>I thought for an audio medium, maybe it would work.

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<v Speaker 3>But then in the course of researching on helium, I

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<v Speaker 3>read about apparently it comes partially from radioactive decay, and

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<v Speaker 3>so I thought, well, maybe maybe I don't want to

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<v Speaker 3>be breathing in the helium, although I also read that

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<v Speaker 3>it's non toxic, so I don't know. We need to

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<v Speaker 3>talk about what helium actually is. Clearly, that's right.

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<v Speaker 2>And we've been getting requests for a Helium episode ever

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<v Speaker 2>since there was a headline out today Cutter some Helium

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<v Speaker 2>production that is not gonna sit one of those force

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<v Speaker 2>measures or something like that, I don't know whatever or

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<v Speaker 2>something not coming out. Anyway, there's been a lot of

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<v Speaker 2>requests for a Helium episode. We've never done one. Incidentally,

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<v Speaker 2>years ago, I used to lift weights with this guy

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<v Speaker 2>in the East Village who's like sort of an entrepreneur

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<v Speaker 2>and Helium filled with no but he was in Helium

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<v Speaker 2>among all those things. He's one of these guys that

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<v Speaker 2>has his like finger hands and everything, and he also

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<v Speaker 2>had like a Helium venture and he's like, oh, you

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<v Speaker 2>got to talk to my friend one day. You guys

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<v Speaker 2>should do an episode on Helium. And then I got

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<v Speaker 2>connected with our guests who are about to introduce a

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<v Speaker 2>second and I said, hey, do you know this guy

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<v Speaker 2>in the East Village Because okay, maybe like not everyone

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<v Speaker 2>in Canada knows each other, but everyone in the helium industry.

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<v Speaker 2>I must certainly knows each other. He's like, oh, yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>of course I know that guy who used to live

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<v Speaker 2>away to it.

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<v Speaker 3>It does seem to be a small there's a traded industry,

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<v Speaker 3>which is why we're talking about it today, which is.

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<v Speaker 2>Why we're talking about today anyway. What is helium? Why

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<v Speaker 2>is it important? Where do we get it? Why is

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<v Speaker 2>it impaired right now? Many questions that people at answered

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<v Speaker 2>very excited to say. We do have the perfect guest.

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<v Speaker 2>We're going to be speaking with Nick Snyder, founder and

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<v Speaker 2>CEO of North American Helium, which minds and sells helium

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<v Speaker 2>out of Canada. So Nick, thank you so much for

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<v Speaker 2>coming on odd lots.

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<v Speaker 4>Joe Tracy thanks for having me.

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<v Speaker 2>How annoyed argues that like that we brought up balloon,

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<v Speaker 2>they just like, oh, I have the helium company, and

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<v Speaker 2>like everyone, ninety nine percent of the time, people are

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<v Speaker 2>just gonna think that's like the thing for balloons, and

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<v Speaker 2>therefore it can't be that important.

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<v Speaker 4>You know, I've gotten used to it. I've got young

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<v Speaker 4>kids and they had to exercise school asking them what

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<v Speaker 4>their parents did, and they said that I blow up balloons.

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<v Speaker 4>So the teachers definitely think I'm a clown and we

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<v Speaker 4>all get used to it.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, well, why don't we ask in all seriousness what

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<v Speaker 3>are the industrial applications for helium beyond entertaining us in

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<v Speaker 3>balloon form?

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<v Speaker 4>So the biggest demand source, which you've probably seen in

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<v Speaker 4>the news a little bit because of the events in Iran,

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<v Speaker 4>is manufacturing semiconductors, and beyond that, one of the fastest

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<v Speaker 4>growing end uses is for launching rockets for space exploration.

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<v Speaker 4>And then there's a number of pretty durable, long standing

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<v Speaker 4>uses including leak detection for everything from every cell and

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<v Speaker 4>an electric battery to all sorts of complex machinery manufacturing,

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<v Speaker 4>fiber optics, titanium MRIs and NMR for drug discovery. It's

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<v Speaker 4>pretty well used across all of technology, all right.

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<v Speaker 2>So what is it about the element helium that gives

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<v Speaker 2>it these properties such that it is useful? Well, you

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<v Speaker 2>described as a fairly wide range of industrial applications.

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<v Speaker 4>So what makes it so useful is it's got three

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<v Speaker 4>or four things going for it that are completely unique.

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<v Speaker 4>One is that it has the lowest boiling point of

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<v Speaker 4>anything in nature. So liquid helium is about four degrees kelvin.

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<v Speaker 4>I don't have my uh, you know, conversion in front

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<v Speaker 4>of me. I think that's negative two hundred and seventy

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<v Speaker 4>something degrees celsius. So it's the coldest substance on Earth,

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<v Speaker 4>and that's really important for any sort of superconducting magnets

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<v Speaker 4>to the most.

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<v Speaker 2>Google says that's negative four hundred and fifty two degrees fahrenheit.

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<v Speaker 2>So yeah, that's quite cold.

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<v Speaker 4>We're Canadian companyelium.

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<v Speaker 2>Kelvin is our common language. We don't have to fight

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<v Speaker 2>fahrenheit versus celsia's here. We're gonna class pans with kelvin anyway,

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<v Speaker 2>keep going.

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<v Speaker 4>So just the boiling point alone makes it very unique

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<v Speaker 4>and important. So if you want to have something very cold,

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<v Speaker 4>and that's primarily low temperature physics and superconductors, you need

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<v Speaker 4>to use liquid helium for that. But the boiling point

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<v Speaker 4>is also important for launching rockets because if you're launching rockets,

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<v Speaker 4>you can't pump the liquid rocket fuel into the engine

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<v Speaker 4>fast enough because the volume is so large, so you

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<v Speaker 4>need to pressurize those rockets, and that is primarily done

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<v Speaker 4>with helium because it is light weight. But also it's

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<v Speaker 4>the only substance that is non reactive that remains a

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<v Speaker 4>gas at the temperature of liquid oxygen or liquid kerosene.

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<v Speaker 4>So it also, in addition to being a very cold substance,

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<v Speaker 4>is a liquid. It's also it's a great heat transfer medium.

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<v Speaker 4>So if you think about the fiberglass insulation in your

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<v Speaker 4>walls is a good insulator, and the copper pot you

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<v Speaker 4>cook eggs in is a good heat transfer medium. No

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<v Speaker 4>one really thinks about that with gases, but helium is

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<v Speaker 4>very good at transferring heat. So if you were a

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<v Speaker 4>deep sea diver that they breathe the helium oxygen mix

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<v Speaker 4>mixture so that they don't get nitrogen narcosis when they're

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<v Speaker 4>in that high helium atmosphere, they have to heat their

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<v Speaker 4>habitat to about ninety eight degrees or they'll start shivering.

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<v Speaker 4>Because nitrogen is a very good insulator and helium is

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<v Speaker 4>a very good conductor of heat, and that becomes important

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<v Speaker 4>in semiconductor manufacturing because as they're doing the lithography process,

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<v Speaker 4>they need a carrier gas that is a small molecule,

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<v Speaker 4>and helium is the smallest molecule in nature. That's also

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<v Speaker 4>something that can transfer heat away to avoid errors, and

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<v Speaker 4>also is non reactive. So really what makes helium demand

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<v Speaker 4>so durable in some of these applications, is that you're

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<v Speaker 4>using more than one of the unique attributes of the molecule.

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<v Speaker 3>Wait, just to be clear on semiconductor lithography, the actual etching,

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<v Speaker 3>how is the helium used in that process? Is it

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<v Speaker 3>just like in the environment around to keep it cool,

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<v Speaker 3>or like, how is it being deployed.

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<v Speaker 5>So I'm not an expert here, I don't want to

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<v Speaker 5>get out of my depth, but basically, you know, they

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<v Speaker 5>have a light source and a mask and then they

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<v Speaker 5>have to deposit something on there that.

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<v Speaker 4>Is vapor deposition. They need to carry your gas for

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<v Speaker 4>whatever they're depositing on there, and they need that to

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<v Speaker 4>be you know, something with a very high heat transfer

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<v Speaker 4>rate and also a small molecule. They use it in

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<v Speaker 4>a bunch of other parts of the semiconductor process, but

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<v Speaker 4>a lot of them like cooling the backside of the

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<v Speaker 4>wafer you can recycle. It's the lithography process where they're

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<v Speaker 4>essentially polluting the helium with other volatile compounds. That's what's

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<v Speaker 4>causing demand to grow so quickly in semiconductors. And I've

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<v Speaker 4>seen estimates that the new leading edge chips use ten

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<v Speaker 4>times more helium per ship than older technologies, So the

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<v Speaker 4>helium demand from that sector is growing. It roughly double

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<v Speaker 4>the volume of silicon from that sector is growing.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, and I feel very after school special asking this

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<v Speaker 3>next question while next to a balloon. But where does

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<v Speaker 3>helium actually come from?

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<v Speaker 4>Helium is only created on Earth by, as you said,

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<v Speaker 4>radioactive decay of uranium and thorium. Helium itself is not radioactive,

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<v Speaker 4>and divers can breathe it as long as there's oxygen

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<v Speaker 4>in there as well. What's interesting about helium is that,

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<v Speaker 4>unlike any other critical mineral, once you use it, it

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<v Speaker 4>leaves the atmosphere, so you can't go get it out

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<v Speaker 4>of a landfill after the fact. So that means that

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<v Speaker 4>you can only find helium on Earth underground where it's

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<v Speaker 4>been trapped. And the generation time scales are roughly in

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<v Speaker 4>order of magnetudes larger than for oil and gas. So

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<v Speaker 4>an oil and gas deposit might have taken ten million

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<v Speaker 4>years to be created. In helium, you're talking about hundreds

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<v Speaker 4>of millions of years because it's a very slow process.

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<v Speaker 2>So we're going to get to North American helium and

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<v Speaker 2>the deposits that you have access to. But there's helium deposits,

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<v Speaker 2>and then helium also e merges as a byproduct of

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<v Speaker 2>natural gas. So talk to us about how helium comes

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<v Speaker 2>out of the grown Typically, you know, we're talking about

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<v Speaker 2>the Middle East, somewhere Tatar there's a lot of gas

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<v Speaker 2>versus say, where you're mining healing, and then we'll get

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<v Speaker 2>into some of these different processes.

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<v Speaker 4>So that's really primarily a function of exploration. Okay, helium

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<v Speaker 4>is much more rare than natural gas, but most of

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<v Speaker 4>the world's helium supply comes as a byproduct of natural

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<v Speaker 4>gas because there's been a huge amount of exploration drilling

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<v Speaker 4>for natural gas, so that's where they've found it. And

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<v Speaker 4>there's one gigantic field in the US Mid Continent called

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<v Speaker 4>the Hugoton that's been on production for one hundred years.

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<v Speaker 4>That's what we use to originally fill the Federal Helium Reserve.

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<v Speaker 4>The field and cutter which they share with Iran. Although

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<v Speaker 4>Iran is not able to extract helium that has one

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<v Speaker 4>twentieth of one percent helium in it, so it's a

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<v Speaker 4>very very small quantity. But because they're doing so much

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<v Speaker 4>pre treatment, because there's hydrogen sulfide in the gas, and

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<v Speaker 4>because the scale of their LNG facility is so large.

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<v Speaker 4>That's the largest single source of helium in the world.

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<v Speaker 2>This is really helpful because I just sort of, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>when we do these things like where's that fane come from,

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<v Speaker 2>it's like all these byproducts. So I assumed that helium

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<v Speaker 2>was yet just like another byproduct thing that shows up

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<v Speaker 2>anytime you're looking for natural gas. But it sounds like, no,

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<v Speaker 2>the reason it's there is just because there's been a

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<v Speaker 2>lot of exploration in that area and they found helium.

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<v Speaker 2>But that it's not inevitable that anywhere you have natural gas,

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<v Speaker 2>I're going to find helium.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, yea.

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<v Speaker 3>So actually, on that note, so if I go exploring

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<v Speaker 3>for nat gas and I happen to find a helium deposit, like,

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<v Speaker 3>what happens to that helium if I decide that I

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<v Speaker 3>want to monetize it, Like, how do I actually extract

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<v Speaker 3>it out of the ground? How do I store it?

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<v Speaker 3>Do I set up a helium facility right next to

0:11:40.320 --> 0:11:43.320
<v Speaker 3>where the deposit actually is, or do I move it

0:11:43.600 --> 0:11:45.760
<v Speaker 3>somewhere else? What's the next step in the process.

0:11:46.200 --> 0:11:49.800
<v Speaker 4>The way that the gas separation process works is for

0:11:49.880 --> 0:11:53.560
<v Speaker 4>the most part, you're actually separating everything except for the

0:11:53.600 --> 0:11:57.160
<v Speaker 4>helium because helium is a small, non reactive molecule, you

0:11:57.200 --> 0:12:00.280
<v Speaker 4>can't just take that out. So for the most part,

0:12:01.280 --> 0:12:04.360
<v Speaker 4>helium always shows up with nitrogen, so you'd already have

0:12:04.400 --> 0:12:07.480
<v Speaker 4>a high nitrogen content in the gas, and then you're

0:12:07.520 --> 0:12:11.800
<v Speaker 4>going to remove the nitrogen and the methane and be

0:12:11.960 --> 0:12:14.800
<v Speaker 4>left with the helium, which you can then purify. And

0:12:14.840 --> 0:12:16.800
<v Speaker 4>there's really only a couple of fields in the world.

0:12:17.040 --> 0:12:20.120
<v Speaker 4>There's one field in Algeria that's been on production for

0:12:20.160 --> 0:12:23.080
<v Speaker 4>a long time and it's falling off. There's one field

0:12:23.480 --> 0:12:27.680
<v Speaker 4>in Siberia. There's the field in the Middle East, the

0:12:27.720 --> 0:12:29.960
<v Speaker 4>field that's been depleting for a long time in the

0:12:30.080 --> 0:12:33.160
<v Speaker 4>US Mid Continent. But it is really quite rare. And

0:12:33.200 --> 0:12:35.480
<v Speaker 4>if you think about what are the ingredients you need

0:12:35.520 --> 0:12:38.840
<v Speaker 4>for this, you need to have an area with uranium

0:12:38.880 --> 0:12:40.920
<v Speaker 4>and thorium, and we sort of know where that is

0:12:41.000 --> 0:12:43.120
<v Speaker 4>because the US and the Russians during the Cold War

0:12:43.160 --> 0:12:46.319
<v Speaker 4>looked all over the world for uranium. And you need

0:12:46.360 --> 0:12:49.600
<v Speaker 4>to have an area where you've got a sedimentary basin,

0:12:49.640 --> 0:12:53.079
<v Speaker 4>where you're going to have traditional oil reservoir rocks. You're

0:12:53.160 --> 0:12:56.600
<v Speaker 4>sort of looking for a sandstone, and in general, you're

0:12:56.640 --> 0:12:59.520
<v Speaker 4>looking for an area where there aren't any mountains because

0:12:59.640 --> 0:13:02.400
<v Speaker 4>it's a small molecule that wants to escape to the surface.

0:13:02.440 --> 0:13:05.520
<v Speaker 4>So if you are in a tectonic area, that's going

0:13:05.600 --> 0:13:06.840
<v Speaker 4>to be a big problem for you.

0:13:07.040 --> 0:13:11.640
<v Speaker 2>That's interesting. So the existence of mountains implies I hadn't

0:13:11.640 --> 0:13:13.480
<v Speaker 2>thought about that at all. I would say, oh, mountains,

0:13:13.520 --> 0:13:15.960
<v Speaker 2>that's great. Is probably more deeply buried, less place for

0:13:16.000 --> 0:13:19.760
<v Speaker 2>it to escape. But the existence of mountains implies tectonic activity,

0:13:19.800 --> 0:13:22.560
<v Speaker 2>and that's how you get leaked. Super interesting. Do they

0:13:22.559 --> 0:13:24.400
<v Speaker 2>have it in Kazakhson? I know they have a lot

0:13:24.400 --> 0:13:27.760
<v Speaker 2>of uranium. There is there helium in kazakhs On.

0:13:28.160 --> 0:13:30.800
<v Speaker 4>I think there's a little bit of helium content in

0:13:30.880 --> 0:13:34.040
<v Speaker 4>one of the stranded gas fields there. Certainly there's no

0:13:34.120 --> 0:13:38.040
<v Speaker 4>production there, Okay, And again you know the the LNG

0:13:38.280 --> 0:13:42.120
<v Speaker 4>operation and cutter is somewhat unique with a very small

0:13:42.160 --> 0:13:45.760
<v Speaker 4>helium content. If you were to go drill for helium

0:13:45.800 --> 0:13:48.839
<v Speaker 4>in North America and you're not going to have one

0:13:48.840 --> 0:13:52.840
<v Speaker 4>of the world's largest energy complexes there, generally one third

0:13:52.840 --> 0:13:55.760
<v Speaker 4>of one percent is sort of considered an economic cutoff

0:13:56.120 --> 0:13:57.160
<v Speaker 4>for the helium downtown.

0:14:13.440 --> 0:14:16.719
<v Speaker 3>Is it true? We used to have a strategic a

0:14:16.800 --> 0:14:19.000
<v Speaker 3>national helium reserve. I can't believe we don't have a

0:14:19.040 --> 0:14:24.200
<v Speaker 3>strategic pork reserve, but there was a federal helium reserve once.

0:14:24.080 --> 0:14:26.560
<v Speaker 4>Upon a time when our government was very foresighted. We

0:14:26.680 --> 0:14:30.040
<v Speaker 4>did build a helium reserve during the Cold War, which

0:14:30.160 --> 0:14:33.720
<v Speaker 4>was a brilliant idea, both because helium is an important

0:14:33.720 --> 0:14:37.040
<v Speaker 4>thing to have, but also because that gas would have

0:14:37.120 --> 0:14:40.160
<v Speaker 4>been vented otherwise. And you know a good example of

0:14:40.200 --> 0:14:44.200
<v Speaker 4>this is in Algeria, they have one field with helium

0:14:44.200 --> 0:14:47.480
<v Speaker 4>content that mixes in with everything else. If they're making

0:14:47.640 --> 0:14:51.400
<v Speaker 4>LNG from the gas stream in Algeria, then they can

0:14:51.440 --> 0:14:53.880
<v Speaker 4>recover the helium. But if they're putting it into the

0:14:53.920 --> 0:14:57.280
<v Speaker 4>pipeline to Europe, which unfortunately is where the majority of

0:14:57.320 --> 0:14:59.560
<v Speaker 4>it's going right now because gas prices are very high

0:14:59.560 --> 0:15:03.040
<v Speaker 4>in Europe, it can't be recovered. And that helium when

0:15:03.040 --> 0:15:05.440
<v Speaker 4>you turn on your stove is just going to escape

0:15:05.440 --> 0:15:06.320
<v Speaker 4>into the atmosphere.

0:15:06.400 --> 0:15:09.160
<v Speaker 2>Oh that's really interesting. So even if you don't have

0:15:09.200 --> 0:15:11.080
<v Speaker 2>a market or an easy way to sell it at

0:15:11.080 --> 0:15:14.680
<v Speaker 2>the time, what the strategic reserve did was allow us

0:15:14.680 --> 0:15:18.640
<v Speaker 2>to capture something that would have been otherwise lost permanently

0:15:19.160 --> 0:15:20.880
<v Speaker 2>had we not had this thing. So tell us the

0:15:20.920 --> 0:15:24.920
<v Speaker 2>story because I'm evidently we don't have it anymore. What

0:15:25.000 --> 0:15:27.400
<v Speaker 2>was in it? Where was it and where did it go?

0:15:27.440 --> 0:15:28.720
<v Speaker 2>Who do we sell it to? What happened?

0:15:28.760 --> 0:15:33.480
<v Speaker 4>So it was primarily the helium that was the Hugoton field,

0:15:33.480 --> 0:15:37.680
<v Speaker 4>which is this very large field across Texas and Oklahoma

0:15:37.720 --> 0:15:39.000
<v Speaker 4>and parts of Kansas.

0:15:38.760 --> 0:15:40.680
<v Speaker 3>That's close to Amarillo, isn't it.

0:15:40.760 --> 0:15:43.720
<v Speaker 4>So the field is very large. The gas production from that,

0:15:43.840 --> 0:15:49.040
<v Speaker 4>we started recovering helium. We were always the Saudi Arabia

0:15:49.120 --> 0:15:52.000
<v Speaker 4>of helium, if you will. You know. A side note

0:15:52.000 --> 0:15:56.080
<v Speaker 4>there is that the Hinden Bird was designed for helium,

0:15:56.440 --> 0:16:01.000
<v Speaker 4>and the US Senate blocked export of helium for military

0:16:01.040 --> 0:16:03.120
<v Speaker 4>reasons to Germany, and that's why they filled it up

0:16:03.160 --> 0:16:06.640
<v Speaker 4>with hydrogen instead. So this has been going on for

0:16:06.680 --> 0:16:09.080
<v Speaker 4>a while, and we talk about it being a small

0:16:09.160 --> 0:16:12.960
<v Speaker 4>molecule and difficult to trap underground. A good example of

0:16:12.960 --> 0:16:16.320
<v Speaker 4>that is when it was first found in Kansas. Originally,

0:16:16.400 --> 0:16:19.160
<v Speaker 4>helium was discovered by looking at the sun during an

0:16:19.160 --> 0:16:21.840
<v Speaker 4>eclipse and someone was able to see from the spectral

0:16:21.880 --> 0:16:26.040
<v Speaker 4>lines that there's another element out here. And then they

0:16:26.080 --> 0:16:29.120
<v Speaker 4>found an inert gas well in Kansas and they were

0:16:29.200 --> 0:16:35.040
<v Speaker 4>able to distill the helium basically by putting the gas

0:16:35.160 --> 0:16:39.560
<v Speaker 4>through a bunch of really narrow glass tubes, and the

0:16:39.600 --> 0:16:42.320
<v Speaker 4>helium will go through the glass because it's such a

0:16:42.360 --> 0:16:45.080
<v Speaker 4>small molecule and that's how they were able to distill it.

0:16:45.640 --> 0:16:49.520
<v Speaker 4>So anyways, we built the world's only helium reserve during

0:16:49.520 --> 0:16:52.280
<v Speaker 4>the Cold War, and this is something that the science

0:16:52.280 --> 0:16:56.280
<v Speaker 4>community was very excited about because they recognized that this

0:16:56.440 --> 0:16:58.920
<v Speaker 4>is really important for a bunch of science and physics,

0:16:58.960 --> 0:17:03.040
<v Speaker 4>but more importantly, think about the long term. We're living

0:17:03.320 --> 0:17:07.120
<v Speaker 4>in interesting times in many ways, but an interesting time

0:17:07.119 --> 0:17:10.199
<v Speaker 4>if you think very long term in terms of the

0:17:10.320 --> 0:17:14.240
<v Speaker 4>last hundred years have seen drilling for natural gas all

0:17:14.280 --> 0:17:17.760
<v Speaker 4>over the place, and particularly for conventional deposits. It's important

0:17:17.800 --> 0:17:22.040
<v Speaker 4>to understand you can't find helium and economic quantities in

0:17:22.680 --> 0:17:27.159
<v Speaker 4>unconventional resources like shale. So prior to our company, the

0:17:27.280 --> 0:17:31.440
<v Speaker 4>last new discovery of helium that was commercialized in North

0:17:31.440 --> 0:17:34.760
<v Speaker 4>America's fifty years ago, the oil and gas companies aren't

0:17:34.760 --> 0:17:38.920
<v Speaker 4>looking for these conventional fields anymore. But the American Physical

0:17:38.960 --> 0:17:42.080
<v Speaker 4>Society got very upset when we talked about selling off

0:17:42.080 --> 0:17:46.720
<v Speaker 4>the helium reserve, and they said, basically, this is a

0:17:46.800 --> 0:17:49.439
<v Speaker 4>molecule that's only getting more important. We're finding more and

0:17:49.480 --> 0:17:51.640
<v Speaker 4>more uses for it, and if you think about today,

0:17:52.160 --> 0:17:55.560
<v Speaker 4>what are some future uses. They're using this for quantum

0:17:55.560 --> 0:17:58.720
<v Speaker 4>computing to keep things very cold, they're using it for

0:17:58.840 --> 0:18:02.480
<v Speaker 4>nuclear fusion, for the superconducting magnets. They're now using it

0:18:02.720 --> 0:18:05.280
<v Speaker 4>in I think X Energy just filed for an IPO.

0:18:05.440 --> 0:18:08.919
<v Speaker 4>Those are helium cooled fission reactors that they're building SMRs,

0:18:09.440 --> 0:18:13.520
<v Speaker 4>because like if you think about Fukushima, that was a

0:18:13.520 --> 0:18:16.320
<v Speaker 4>water cooled reactor and the water got hot and then

0:18:16.480 --> 0:18:18.880
<v Speaker 4>the water turned into steam and it got so hot

0:18:18.920 --> 0:18:21.560
<v Speaker 4>that the steam separated into hydrogen and oxygen and then

0:18:21.640 --> 0:18:23.960
<v Speaker 4>things blew up. But because helium is such a good

0:18:24.000 --> 0:18:27.160
<v Speaker 4>heat transfer medium, you can use helium as the primary

0:18:27.200 --> 0:18:30.719
<v Speaker 4>loop there in these reactors and it makes it passively safe.

0:18:30.840 --> 0:18:33.919
<v Speaker 4>So the physics community was very up in arms when

0:18:33.920 --> 0:18:36.679
<v Speaker 4>we decided to sell this off because they said, you know,

0:18:36.720 --> 0:18:39.199
<v Speaker 4>what happens fifty years from now when we need this

0:18:39.200 --> 0:18:42.440
<v Speaker 4>for space exploration and quantum computing and everything else, And

0:18:43.000 --> 0:18:46.480
<v Speaker 4>there's no one drilling for conventional gas anymore. So you know,

0:18:46.560 --> 0:18:50.960
<v Speaker 4>that's sort of the issue there, and you know, we

0:18:50.960 --> 0:18:52.720
<v Speaker 4>can get into why we sold it off, it won't

0:18:52.760 --> 0:18:53.960
<v Speaker 4>be a terrible hold on it.

0:18:53.960 --> 0:18:55.919
<v Speaker 2>Where did it go? Because I can't imagine, like, have

0:18:55.960 --> 0:18:58.280
<v Speaker 2>we bought the strategic helium reserve. Let's just go make

0:18:58.280 --> 0:19:00.320
<v Speaker 2>a bunch of balloons, like I assume that didn't happened.

0:19:00.400 --> 0:19:02.240
<v Speaker 2>So who bought it and what did they do with it?

0:19:02.560 --> 0:19:05.400
<v Speaker 4>So we actually stockpiled two things during the Cold War

0:19:05.480 --> 0:19:08.480
<v Speaker 4>helium and ten ten is also used for semiconductors. We

0:19:08.520 --> 0:19:10.840
<v Speaker 4>sold them both off prior to right now when we

0:19:10.880 --> 0:19:13.600
<v Speaker 4>started building semiconductor fabs in the US. So that's sort

0:19:13.600 --> 0:19:18.000
<v Speaker 4>of a not a great choice necessarily with regard to

0:19:18.000 --> 0:19:23.159
<v Speaker 4>the helium reserve. When they originally started, they took the

0:19:23.200 --> 0:19:25.959
<v Speaker 4>helium out of the gas stream, and to your point, Tracy,

0:19:26.840 --> 0:19:30.080
<v Speaker 4>they put it into an old natural gas field in Amarillo.

0:19:30.359 --> 0:19:33.320
<v Speaker 4>So that's why the helium reserve was there, and they

0:19:33.359 --> 0:19:37.960
<v Speaker 4>filled that up. But the government never appropriated funds to

0:19:38.200 --> 0:19:42.440
<v Speaker 4>pay for the helium. So the Bureau of Land Management

0:19:42.480 --> 0:19:46.120
<v Speaker 4>or their predecessor, basically owed the government three hundred million

0:19:46.200 --> 0:19:49.760
<v Speaker 4>dollars for this because no funds were appropriated, and that

0:19:49.800 --> 0:19:52.440
<v Speaker 4>three hundred million dollars was accruing interest to the point

0:19:52.520 --> 0:19:56.680
<v Speaker 4>where I think in nineteen ninety six, Newt Gingrich got

0:19:56.720 --> 0:19:59.160
<v Speaker 4>into power and it was time to start talking about

0:19:59.160 --> 0:20:03.320
<v Speaker 4>privatizing things. And Christopher Cox went to the House floor

0:20:03.359 --> 0:20:05.600
<v Speaker 4>and basically said, you know, do you know the government,

0:20:05.720 --> 0:20:08.680
<v Speaker 4>this dumb government has one point four billion dollars of

0:20:08.720 --> 0:20:13.080
<v Speaker 4>party balloon debt. And a bill was quickly passed and

0:20:13.560 --> 0:20:16.480
<v Speaker 4>you know, signed by Clinton, and we decided to sell

0:20:16.520 --> 0:20:19.080
<v Speaker 4>the whole thing off. The original plan, I believe, was

0:20:19.119 --> 0:20:22.959
<v Speaker 4>to sell it off in equal parts over thirty years

0:20:23.000 --> 0:20:26.280
<v Speaker 4>for exactly one point four billion, with no regard to

0:20:26.320 --> 0:20:28.680
<v Speaker 4>the market, just to pay off the government so called

0:20:28.720 --> 0:20:31.600
<v Speaker 4>party balloon debt. And the physics community was up in

0:20:31.680 --> 0:20:33.840
<v Speaker 4>arms about this. But you know, they don't have that

0:20:33.920 --> 0:20:34.640
<v Speaker 4>many senators.

0:20:36.200 --> 0:20:37.879
<v Speaker 3>That's amazing, and I feel like we could do a

0:20:37.880 --> 0:20:42.600
<v Speaker 3>whole episode just on the helium reserve. But serious question,

0:20:42.680 --> 0:20:45.399
<v Speaker 3>I guess, or maybe a related question, how difficult is

0:20:45.440 --> 0:20:49.440
<v Speaker 3>helium to store? Because we're used to you know, maybe

0:20:49.480 --> 0:20:52.440
<v Speaker 3>you go into the party balloon shop in the Party

0:20:52.480 --> 0:20:57.160
<v Speaker 3>Balloon district of downtown New York and you see canisters

0:20:57.200 --> 0:20:59.359
<v Speaker 3>of helium gas lying there. But on the other hand,

0:20:59.359 --> 0:21:02.920
<v Speaker 3>I imagine you're talking about the world's smallest molecule. As

0:21:02.960 --> 0:21:06.440
<v Speaker 3>you've said, it must escape quite easily.

0:21:07.359 --> 0:21:10.399
<v Speaker 4>So if you decide to get into the party balloon

0:21:10.520 --> 0:21:13.200
<v Speaker 4>business and you're going to take over where Party City

0:21:13.280 --> 0:21:15.920
<v Speaker 4>left off. You know, by the way, the only time

0:21:15.920 --> 0:21:19.040
<v Speaker 4>people usually friends on the street bringing up helium with

0:21:19.080 --> 0:21:21.920
<v Speaker 4>me is every time there's a helium shortage, and we're

0:21:21.960 --> 0:21:24.520
<v Speaker 4>now looking at probably the fifth in the last twenty years,

0:21:25.119 --> 0:21:28.720
<v Speaker 4>party City goes bankrupt. And that's the industry. But if

0:21:28.720 --> 0:21:30.760
<v Speaker 4>you wanted to get into that industry, and you wanted

0:21:30.760 --> 0:21:34.080
<v Speaker 4>to get canisters of helium, and I hope, being an

0:21:34.080 --> 0:21:36.800
<v Speaker 4>honest person, you would get canisters of pure helium, because

0:21:36.840 --> 0:21:39.639
<v Speaker 4>I've heard a lot about people, you know, going fifty

0:21:39.640 --> 0:21:42.120
<v Speaker 4>to fifty in your balloons don't stay in the air

0:21:42.160 --> 0:21:44.640
<v Speaker 4>as long as you remember them when you were a kid. Candle,

0:21:44.760 --> 0:21:48.639
<v Speaker 4>the helium will be leaking around the threads of the

0:21:48.720 --> 0:21:52.720
<v Speaker 4>valve a little bit each day. And the world trade

0:21:52.760 --> 0:21:55.439
<v Speaker 4>of helium is actually done in the form of a

0:21:55.480 --> 0:22:00.280
<v Speaker 4>liquid Where a liquid helium ISO container can be on

0:22:00.320 --> 0:22:04.680
<v Speaker 4>a ship. It can hold roughly five times more than

0:22:04.920 --> 0:22:07.919
<v Speaker 4>a what used to be called a tube trailer of

0:22:08.280 --> 0:22:11.960
<v Speaker 4>you know, sort of a two foot in diameter forty

0:22:12.000 --> 0:22:14.159
<v Speaker 4>foot long tube, and you'll see these on the highway

0:22:14.160 --> 0:22:15.960
<v Speaker 4>where there's about ten of them stacked on the back

0:22:16.000 --> 0:22:19.160
<v Speaker 4>of a tractor trailer. That that's a steel tube trailer. Now,

0:22:19.240 --> 0:22:23.680
<v Speaker 4>because of the hydrogen industry, there is carbon fiber overwrapped

0:22:23.680 --> 0:22:26.000
<v Speaker 4>trailers that can hold about a third as much as

0:22:26.000 --> 0:22:29.840
<v Speaker 4>a liquid helium container, So it changes the transportation differential

0:22:29.880 --> 0:22:32.480
<v Speaker 4>a little bit, and that's what we use. But it

0:22:32.560 --> 0:22:34.320
<v Speaker 4>shipped around the world as a liquid, and as a

0:22:34.320 --> 0:22:38.600
<v Speaker 4>liquid it is perishable, So that's part of the reason

0:22:38.680 --> 0:22:42.920
<v Speaker 4>that whenever you know the sort of timeline here is

0:22:43.320 --> 0:22:46.439
<v Speaker 4>I have nothing interesting to say about geopolitics, but the

0:22:46.520 --> 0:22:50.320
<v Speaker 4>Kataris have said they are going to wait until hostilities

0:22:50.359 --> 0:22:53.639
<v Speaker 4>have ceased and then they will restart LNG production, and

0:22:53.680 --> 0:22:55.919
<v Speaker 4>I read that it'll take three or four weeks or something.

0:22:56.760 --> 0:22:59.080
<v Speaker 4>The helium industry is going to take longer than that

0:22:59.160 --> 0:23:03.160
<v Speaker 4>to recover from them, because there's only about three thousand

0:23:03.240 --> 0:23:06.080
<v Speaker 4>of these liquid helium containers in the world. They're highly

0:23:06.160 --> 0:23:11.240
<v Speaker 4>highly specialized because you're talking about taking a huge amount

0:23:11.560 --> 0:23:14.359
<v Speaker 4>by weight of liquid helium, which is at four degrees

0:23:14.440 --> 0:23:18.480
<v Speaker 4>kelvin and putting it in a container where it's essentially

0:23:18.520 --> 0:23:21.200
<v Speaker 4>a very fancy thermost but this has to be hardy

0:23:21.280 --> 0:23:22.760
<v Speaker 4>enough that you can put it on a truck and

0:23:22.760 --> 0:23:24.960
<v Speaker 4>put it on a ship, but it's warming up the

0:23:25.000 --> 0:23:29.439
<v Speaker 4>whole time. And the very best containers can hold the

0:23:29.480 --> 0:23:32.040
<v Speaker 4>helium for about forty five days before the pressure gets

0:23:32.080 --> 0:23:35.560
<v Speaker 4>too high and they'll essentially vent themselves. So it makes

0:23:35.560 --> 0:23:38.359
<v Speaker 4>it very perishable, and it makes the containers very important.

0:23:38.800 --> 0:23:42.760
<v Speaker 4>Where I would assume that the Katari LNG facilities had

0:23:42.760 --> 0:23:44.840
<v Speaker 4>filled a lot of liquid helium containers that are now

0:23:44.880 --> 0:23:48.560
<v Speaker 4>stuck somewhere, yeah, and those are slowly warming up. And

0:23:48.720 --> 0:23:52.040
<v Speaker 4>on the other hand, to deal with a crisis like this,

0:23:52.160 --> 0:23:54.439
<v Speaker 4>the big industrial gas companies are now going to have

0:23:54.480 --> 0:23:57.160
<v Speaker 4>to scramble to move containers to other sources to try

0:23:57.200 --> 0:23:59.280
<v Speaker 4>and get helium out of storage where they've built some

0:23:59.320 --> 0:24:03.320
<v Speaker 4>private story since the federal reserve is now essentially gone,

0:24:04.000 --> 0:24:06.080
<v Speaker 4>and that's going to cause a lot of problems because

0:24:06.119 --> 0:24:08.160
<v Speaker 4>it's just a very limited supply of these.

0:24:08.440 --> 0:24:10.639
<v Speaker 2>I just want to say, and I really mean this

0:24:10.720 --> 0:24:13.920
<v Speaker 2>with no offense, but anytime that we have a guest

0:24:13.920 --> 0:24:16.360
<v Speaker 2>who sort of is talking a lot about science and technology,

0:24:16.720 --> 0:24:18.520
<v Speaker 2>I do a little bit of live fact checking guy

0:24:18.600 --> 0:24:20.680
<v Speaker 2>like look up all these things, and it's like, Yep,

0:24:20.760 --> 0:24:23.800
<v Speaker 2>we really did have something called the Helium Privatization Act

0:24:24.160 --> 0:24:27.080
<v Speaker 2>in twenty sixteen, just about one point party billion out

0:24:27.280 --> 0:24:30.040
<v Speaker 2>and party balloon debt. It really is perceived to be

0:24:30.080 --> 0:24:33.359
<v Speaker 2>important in quantum computing. It really is perceived to be

0:24:33.640 --> 0:24:37.439
<v Speaker 2>important in small modular reactors. So I just, you know,

0:24:37.520 --> 0:24:40.439
<v Speaker 2>for the listeners out there, because I can't you know,

0:24:40.560 --> 0:24:42.320
<v Speaker 2>I don't know anything about any of this stuff. This

0:24:42.359 --> 0:24:45.520
<v Speaker 2>all seems to check out. Helium seems to be pretty important.

0:24:45.520 --> 0:24:48.000
<v Speaker 2>Now here's something I've learned. I have learned over the years,

0:24:48.560 --> 0:24:51.400
<v Speaker 2>which is that anytime we are talking about niche commodities,

0:24:51.920 --> 0:24:55.719
<v Speaker 2>it's often like harder to find anything resembling spot prices

0:24:55.760 --> 0:24:57.959
<v Speaker 2>at all, including a lot of the rare earths and stuff.

0:24:58.160 --> 0:25:02.600
<v Speaker 2>Sometimes you'll see these tech but they're like ancient or

0:25:02.640 --> 0:25:05.239
<v Speaker 2>not up today or whatever or whatever that maybe there

0:25:05.280 --> 0:25:07.399
<v Speaker 2>was a futures market at one point but it like

0:25:07.480 --> 0:25:11.000
<v Speaker 2>got discontinued in twenty eighteen or something. There's actually literally

0:25:11.000 --> 0:25:15.600
<v Speaker 2>nothing on the terminal about helium pricing. And I tell

0:25:15.680 --> 0:25:19.200
<v Speaker 2>us about why that is and how what is how

0:25:19.280 --> 0:25:22.160
<v Speaker 2>transparent is the helium market and what is the cost

0:25:22.200 --> 0:25:24.280
<v Speaker 2>of a ton of helium or whatever. What is the

0:25:24.280 --> 0:25:27.240
<v Speaker 2>denomination of helium in terms of how much is sold

0:25:27.280 --> 0:25:28.840
<v Speaker 2>in a chunk? Tell us about that market.

0:25:28.960 --> 0:25:30.760
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, so it's a pretty unique market. I mean, there

0:25:30.840 --> 0:25:33.480
<v Speaker 4>used to be more markets like this, but companies like

0:25:33.520 --> 0:25:35.919
<v Speaker 4>Bloomberg and many others, Yeah, help to make things a

0:25:35.920 --> 0:25:40.000
<v Speaker 4>lot more efficient. In general, the price to the end user,

0:25:40.680 --> 0:25:43.840
<v Speaker 4>it's considered to be about a six billion cubic foot

0:25:43.920 --> 0:25:48.160
<v Speaker 4>per year market and worth about six billion dollars a year.

0:25:48.400 --> 0:25:51.480
<v Speaker 4>So that implies about one thousand dollars per MCF to

0:25:51.520 --> 0:25:56.320
<v Speaker 4>the end user. And you know that's mcf is a

0:25:56.400 --> 0:25:59.159
<v Speaker 4>thousand cubic feet. That's the standard denomination that they use

0:25:59.200 --> 0:26:02.360
<v Speaker 4>in natural gas, you know, So that implies that it's

0:26:02.720 --> 0:26:06.120
<v Speaker 4>a dollar for one cubic foot. And since you insisted

0:26:06.160 --> 0:26:09.040
<v Speaker 4>on bringing a helium balloon into the studio, I would

0:26:09.040 --> 0:26:12.360
<v Speaker 4>fact check you and say, what did you pay for that? Oh?

0:26:12.440 --> 0:26:15.879
<v Speaker 2>Well, I actually don't know, but definitely more than a dollar. Yeah,

0:26:15.920 --> 0:26:17.600
<v Speaker 2>and definitely that's not a cubic foot.

0:26:17.640 --> 0:26:19.520
<v Speaker 3>Well, I'm going to ask our producer and then he

0:26:19.560 --> 0:26:21.040
<v Speaker 3>can tell us in a few minutes.

0:26:21.080 --> 0:26:23.560
<v Speaker 2>But keep going while we wait for a response for

0:26:23.600 --> 0:26:26.080
<v Speaker 2>our producer, what do you tell us about the current

0:26:26.160 --> 0:26:29.320
<v Speaker 2>market environment and how twenty twenty six looks for twenty

0:26:29.359 --> 0:26:31.440
<v Speaker 2>twenty five verse twenty sixteen, et cetera.

0:26:31.640 --> 0:26:35.400
<v Speaker 4>So the market had been trending down since the last shortage,

0:26:35.440 --> 0:26:38.320
<v Speaker 4>which ended in around twenty twenty two, when the Russians

0:26:38.320 --> 0:26:40.560
<v Speaker 4>brought production online, and that was a bit of a

0:26:40.600 --> 0:26:44.639
<v Speaker 4>surprise to the industry because a German firm, Lindy, had

0:26:44.680 --> 0:26:49.160
<v Speaker 4>been involved with building the Russian facility. They're a more

0:26:49.240 --> 0:26:53.280
<v Speaker 4>gas project which processes natural gas, liquids and other things

0:26:53.280 --> 0:26:56.000
<v Speaker 4>out of a big gas stream and also recovers the

0:26:56.040 --> 0:27:00.560
<v Speaker 4>helium from their Canda and Kubecta fields. And the general

0:27:00.600 --> 0:27:04.240
<v Speaker 4>consensus because of the Ukraine War is that the Russians

0:27:04.240 --> 0:27:06.600
<v Speaker 4>wouldn't be able to get that plant to run without

0:27:06.640 --> 0:27:09.800
<v Speaker 4>the help of the Germans. And they started up the

0:27:09.800 --> 0:27:13.240
<v Speaker 4>first train and had a very large fire, and they

0:27:13.240 --> 0:27:17.000
<v Speaker 4>started up the second train and had a very large explosion.

0:27:17.160 --> 0:27:19.120
<v Speaker 4>So everyone has sort of written that off. But they

0:27:19.160 --> 0:27:22.960
<v Speaker 4>were able to get that production up and running and

0:27:23.240 --> 0:27:26.639
<v Speaker 4>start bringing it into the market. There are sanctions on

0:27:27.280 --> 0:27:31.520
<v Speaker 4>bringing liquid helium containers to Sanctions might not be the

0:27:31.560 --> 0:27:33.800
<v Speaker 4>right word, but I believe there's a state Department restriction

0:27:33.920 --> 0:27:37.240
<v Speaker 4>on taking liquid helium containers from the US to Russia

0:27:37.400 --> 0:27:39.960
<v Speaker 4>because it's dual use, it could have a military application.

0:27:40.760 --> 0:27:43.600
<v Speaker 4>There's also sanctions on taking Russian helium at all the

0:27:43.680 --> 0:27:46.959
<v Speaker 4>places like Europe. So the Russians went into production and

0:27:47.000 --> 0:27:50.760
<v Speaker 4>basically flooded the Chinese market and it sort of spread

0:27:50.760 --> 0:27:54.600
<v Speaker 4>out from there a little bit. It's somewhat limited the

0:27:54.600 --> 0:27:57.960
<v Speaker 4>impact they were able to have because of the lack

0:27:57.960 --> 0:28:01.120
<v Speaker 4>of liquid helium containers the lack of end markets for them,

0:28:01.160 --> 0:28:03.800
<v Speaker 4>but prices have been trending down. I will say, you know,

0:28:03.880 --> 0:28:05.879
<v Speaker 4>an answer to your question, why isn't it obvious what

0:28:05.960 --> 0:28:09.920
<v Speaker 4>the helium price is. There's a confidentiality clause in every

0:28:09.920 --> 0:28:14.160
<v Speaker 4>helium contract, so we sell on long term contracts, primarily

0:28:14.160 --> 0:28:18.520
<v Speaker 4>to the big industrial gas companies, but those are all confidential,

0:28:18.840 --> 0:28:23.040
<v Speaker 4>and certainly from a commodity trader point of view, having

0:28:23.080 --> 0:28:26.720
<v Speaker 4>an opaque market probably is you know, a pretty good things. Yeah,

0:28:26.720 --> 0:28:29.680
<v Speaker 4>but maybe that originated with the fact that the government

0:28:29.720 --> 0:28:33.280
<v Speaker 4>was selling the helium for exactly one point four billion

0:28:33.359 --> 0:28:35.960
<v Speaker 4>and no one wanted to, you know, have a futures

0:28:36.000 --> 0:28:39.080
<v Speaker 4>market there. But also, as you guys know, you know,

0:28:39.120 --> 0:28:42.760
<v Speaker 4>futures markets sort of need to be deliverable, and there's

0:28:42.840 --> 0:28:46.240
<v Speaker 4>no longer any sort of global hub. You could have. Potentially,

0:28:46.280 --> 0:28:49.280
<v Speaker 4>when the Federal Reserve was a public facility where you

0:28:49.320 --> 0:28:52.000
<v Speaker 4>could inject gas back into it, you could have built

0:28:52.000 --> 0:28:54.120
<v Speaker 4>a futures market around that, but no one did.

0:28:54.800 --> 0:28:58.959
<v Speaker 3>It kind of reminds me of plane delivery contracts, where

0:28:59.280 --> 0:29:01.160
<v Speaker 3>you know, the announcement comes out and it's always at

0:29:01.160 --> 0:29:05.080
<v Speaker 3>a list price. So like an airline buys one hundred

0:29:05.080 --> 0:29:08.360
<v Speaker 3>million dollars worth of Boeing planes, but the contracts are

0:29:08.520 --> 0:29:12.800
<v Speaker 3>so custom and opaque and individualized that like, no one

0:29:13.160 --> 0:29:14.520
<v Speaker 3>really ever knows how.

0:29:14.480 --> 0:29:16.720
<v Speaker 2>Much they serplane. That's super interesting.

0:29:16.880 --> 0:29:19.160
<v Speaker 3>Our producer Dash, by the way, got back to us

0:29:19.160 --> 0:29:22.520
<v Speaker 3>and he says the balloon costs nine dollars, which is

0:29:22.560 --> 0:29:24.560
<v Speaker 3>more than I would have expected. So what do I

0:29:24.600 --> 0:29:45.840
<v Speaker 3>know about balloons? First of all, from your vantage point

0:29:45.880 --> 0:29:50.520
<v Speaker 3>in the market, what supply disruptions are you seeing right now?

0:29:50.560 --> 0:29:53.840
<v Speaker 3>And then secondly, how long does it actually take those

0:29:53.880 --> 0:29:57.080
<v Speaker 3>disruptions to work their way into the market and start

0:29:57.160 --> 0:30:00.000
<v Speaker 3>to hit prices? Given that we just talked about how

0:30:00.120 --> 0:30:02.040
<v Speaker 3>most of the stuff is selling on a very long

0:30:02.160 --> 0:30:03.320
<v Speaker 3>term forward basis.

0:30:03.680 --> 0:30:06.880
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, Well, the second part of your question is particularly germane.

0:30:07.120 --> 0:30:11.560
<v Speaker 4>But you know, the Katari facilities in total, we're producing

0:30:11.760 --> 0:30:16.080
<v Speaker 4>north of thirty percent of world helium supply. And given

0:30:16.080 --> 0:30:18.600
<v Speaker 4>that there's no federal helium reserve anymore, and given that

0:30:18.640 --> 0:30:24.080
<v Speaker 4>this is a perishable commodity essentially because it starts warming

0:30:24.160 --> 0:30:27.600
<v Speaker 4>up once you fill a liquid helium container, that's a

0:30:27.680 --> 0:30:30.680
<v Speaker 4>huge problem. The longer this goes on, it becomes more

0:30:30.720 --> 0:30:33.200
<v Speaker 4>and more of a problem. But to your point on timing,

0:30:33.800 --> 0:30:36.920
<v Speaker 4>there's a leading helium consultant who we've worked with for

0:30:36.960 --> 0:30:39.240
<v Speaker 4>a long time who I think put it very well

0:30:39.280 --> 0:30:42.560
<v Speaker 4>where he described the situation last week as it's like

0:30:42.600 --> 0:30:45.560
<v Speaker 4>a tsunami where the water has already gone out, but

0:30:45.600 --> 0:30:47.480
<v Speaker 4>we're all still on the beach and the wave hasn't

0:30:47.520 --> 0:30:51.280
<v Speaker 4>hit yet, and the last cargoes that left Cutter are

0:30:51.440 --> 0:30:54.960
<v Speaker 4>probably just now getting delivered to customers, so you know,

0:30:55.000 --> 0:30:57.800
<v Speaker 4>the real problems are coming in the next month.

0:30:57.960 --> 0:31:00.400
<v Speaker 2>This is how everyone, by the way, an Energy are

0:31:00.400 --> 0:31:03.080
<v Speaker 2>thinking about this moment right now, because buy and large

0:31:03.640 --> 0:31:06.480
<v Speaker 2>markets are up for oil, gas, et cetera. But maybe

0:31:06.520 --> 0:31:09.880
<v Speaker 2>you know, not hyper catastrophic levels, and everyone's like this

0:31:09.960 --> 0:31:12.600
<v Speaker 2>better open up soon because the water has come out,

0:31:13.120 --> 0:31:15.440
<v Speaker 2>and we're going to have real problems the longer we

0:31:15.600 --> 0:31:19.880
<v Speaker 2>have these disruptions. It's interesting too, like this idea that

0:31:20.360 --> 0:31:22.880
<v Speaker 2>you know, here's something I wondered about, and it again

0:31:22.960 --> 0:31:26.240
<v Speaker 2>relates to the some of the conversations we've had about

0:31:26.280 --> 0:31:29.600
<v Speaker 2>rare earth's in the past. The nominal size of this

0:31:29.720 --> 0:31:33.080
<v Speaker 2>market even right now does not sound very large. A

0:31:33.160 --> 0:31:36.720
<v Speaker 2>six billion dollar global market. This is the same thing

0:31:36.760 --> 0:31:39.480
<v Speaker 2>we talked to Haaveer Blase here at Bloomberg about rare earths.

0:31:39.600 --> 0:31:42.959
<v Speaker 2>The total dollar amounts for this stuff are not that high.

0:31:43.000 --> 0:31:47.840
<v Speaker 2>And it always makes me wonder does that impair exploration

0:31:48.160 --> 0:31:51.880
<v Speaker 2>and production appetites that It's like, look, yeah, we could

0:31:51.920 --> 0:31:54.640
<v Speaker 2>go looking for new fields, we could drill here, et cetera.

0:31:55.000 --> 0:31:57.360
<v Speaker 2>But this just even in the best of times, is

0:31:57.440 --> 0:31:59.360
<v Speaker 2>not going to be a great market. And so we have,

0:31:59.440 --> 0:32:01.240
<v Speaker 2>like other things is on our mind to do. And

0:32:01.280 --> 0:32:05.400
<v Speaker 2>I'm curious, like whether small nominal markets make it harder

0:32:05.440 --> 0:32:06.760
<v Speaker 2>to mobilize capital.

0:32:08.640 --> 0:32:11.080
<v Speaker 4>And you know, I don't know what the price of

0:32:11.200 --> 0:32:14.239
<v Speaker 4>uranium is today, but that's a similar sized market. And

0:32:14.440 --> 0:32:18.280
<v Speaker 4>you know what you see in these industries when prices

0:32:19.120 --> 0:32:21.720
<v Speaker 4>you know, go up or there's a shortage is essentially

0:32:22.520 --> 0:32:27.480
<v Speaker 4>people start doing exploration at the desk where they're saying,

0:32:27.480 --> 0:32:29.640
<v Speaker 4>who almost found this in the past, because it's too

0:32:29.720 --> 0:32:32.160
<v Speaker 4>expensive to go do it from first principles. If you

0:32:32.160 --> 0:32:34.120
<v Speaker 4>think about the size of the oil and gas market,

0:32:34.240 --> 0:32:39.760
<v Speaker 4>it's what hundreds of times larger than helium, So you know,

0:32:39.800 --> 0:32:42.840
<v Speaker 4>the only people who could afford to explore at scale

0:32:43.120 --> 0:32:46.760
<v Speaker 4>in North America where the oil and gas drillers. So

0:32:46.800 --> 0:32:48.800
<v Speaker 4>we've found a niche where we're able to do that

0:32:49.600 --> 0:32:51.800
<v Speaker 4>because it's a lot cheaper than in some other places.

0:32:51.840 --> 0:32:55.520
<v Speaker 4>But that is really what separates us as a company

0:32:55.600 --> 0:32:59.880
<v Speaker 4>in terms of we've been focused on grassroots exploration, saying

0:33:00.000 --> 0:33:03.520
<v Speaker 4>the best stuff hasn't been found yet, and you know

0:33:03.560 --> 0:33:07.840
<v Speaker 4>in those other industries, I think that's a problem going

0:33:07.880 --> 0:33:11.520
<v Speaker 4>forward for a number of critical minerals and niche commodities

0:33:11.560 --> 0:33:14.640
<v Speaker 4>where you can say, well, hypothetically there's rare earths in

0:33:14.640 --> 0:33:17.560
<v Speaker 4>North Carolina, but how much do you want to spend

0:33:17.640 --> 0:33:19.840
<v Speaker 4>looking for them, because it can cost hundreds of millions

0:33:19.840 --> 0:33:21.520
<v Speaker 4>of dollars to go through holes in the ground.

0:33:21.640 --> 0:33:24.400
<v Speaker 3>You know, you said earlier that there had been five

0:33:24.680 --> 0:33:30.240
<v Speaker 3>previous helium shortages. I guess in recent times what happened

0:33:30.280 --> 0:33:33.800
<v Speaker 3>during those Like how much substitution did you see of

0:33:34.320 --> 0:33:37.360
<v Speaker 3>alternative gases? I guess I don't know what those would be,

0:33:37.480 --> 0:33:41.080
<v Speaker 3>ne on maybe, And then how much rerooting did you

0:33:41.200 --> 0:33:44.760
<v Speaker 3>see from like one geographic area to another, Like I

0:33:44.800 --> 0:33:48.560
<v Speaker 3>guess what I'm asking is how flexible is the industry

0:33:48.640 --> 0:33:50.440
<v Speaker 3>that relies on helium?

0:33:50.760 --> 0:33:54.080
<v Speaker 4>So answering that in reverse, you know, the industrial gas

0:33:54.120 --> 0:33:57.680
<v Speaker 4>companies that really distribute the helium and move it around

0:33:57.720 --> 0:34:00.480
<v Speaker 4>the world and break it into smaller quantities to serve

0:34:00.520 --> 0:34:04.400
<v Speaker 4>the end user. They do a phenomenal job with this,

0:34:04.560 --> 0:34:07.520
<v Speaker 4>but it's a very very difficult problem. So when there's

0:34:07.560 --> 0:34:11.200
<v Speaker 4>a shortage, there's absolutely a problem, particularly because of the

0:34:11.239 --> 0:34:14.560
<v Speaker 4>specialized logistics, and there's not you know, a bunch of

0:34:14.640 --> 0:34:18.160
<v Speaker 4>their extra helium containers lying around and things like that.

0:34:18.760 --> 0:34:20.920
<v Speaker 4>In terms of what was your question about the previous

0:34:20.920 --> 0:34:22.279
<v Speaker 4>helium shortages.

0:34:21.920 --> 0:34:25.200
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, basically how much substitution did you see? Like are

0:34:25.200 --> 0:34:28.040
<v Speaker 3>there other gases like neon that you can use instead

0:34:28.080 --> 0:34:31.239
<v Speaker 3>of helium? And that basically just how easy is it

0:34:31.520 --> 0:34:34.920
<v Speaker 3>for people to adapt to an actual helium shortage?

0:34:35.120 --> 0:34:37.840
<v Speaker 4>So the first shortage was in two thousand and seven,

0:34:38.320 --> 0:34:41.640
<v Speaker 4>and back then we had a lot more options in

0:34:41.719 --> 0:34:46.439
<v Speaker 4>terms of in Europe, they've never really had a lot

0:34:46.440 --> 0:34:48.600
<v Speaker 4>of helium the way we have in the US. So

0:34:48.680 --> 0:34:51.239
<v Speaker 4>for that reason, they don't really have party balloons over there,

0:34:51.280 --> 0:34:53.960
<v Speaker 4>which is the most visible thing for the average personet

0:34:54.800 --> 0:34:58.640
<v Speaker 4>But they also have always used a lot more argone

0:34:58.680 --> 0:35:02.320
<v Speaker 4>in welding. Helium is used in inert gas welding because

0:35:02.520 --> 0:35:04.680
<v Speaker 4>it is a dirt, because it has high heat transfer,

0:35:05.200 --> 0:35:08.280
<v Speaker 4>they've always used more urgun. We've always used more helium

0:35:08.280 --> 0:35:10.719
<v Speaker 4>in the US, and there was a lot of substitution

0:35:10.840 --> 0:35:13.600
<v Speaker 4>of saying, okay, we still need helium if you're welding

0:35:13.600 --> 0:35:17.600
<v Speaker 4>stainless steel, titanium aluminum if you're doing thicker welds, but

0:35:18.200 --> 0:35:20.600
<v Speaker 4>in some of the lower spec welding applications we were

0:35:20.640 --> 0:35:24.640
<v Speaker 4>able to substitute argon. And you've also seen recycling where

0:35:25.160 --> 0:35:28.560
<v Speaker 4>you know, if you're doing semiconductor lithography, you can't really

0:35:28.600 --> 0:35:30.880
<v Speaker 4>recycle because you're putting other things in the gas, but

0:35:30.880 --> 0:35:33.839
<v Speaker 4>if you're purely doing it for a cooling loop, you

0:35:33.880 --> 0:35:36.239
<v Speaker 4>can start to recycle. And my understanding is that the

0:35:36.360 --> 0:35:39.840
<v Speaker 4>MRI manufacturer is prior to two thousand and seven, they

0:35:39.920 --> 0:35:43.280
<v Speaker 4>would build an MRI fill it up with liquid helium,

0:35:43.520 --> 0:35:45.680
<v Speaker 4>make sure it works at the factory and then just

0:35:45.880 --> 0:35:48.000
<v Speaker 4>vent it into the atmosphere and shift the unit and

0:35:48.040 --> 0:35:50.839
<v Speaker 4>it would be refilled when it got there. So there's

0:35:50.840 --> 0:35:53.520
<v Speaker 4>certainly been demand destruction from that. The other side of

0:35:53.520 --> 0:35:57.640
<v Speaker 4>that coin is that there's very little opportunity for additional

0:35:57.680 --> 0:36:01.640
<v Speaker 4>recycling or additional substitution at this point. And you know,

0:36:01.680 --> 0:36:05.360
<v Speaker 4>I sort of tell people, if you're still using helium

0:36:05.400 --> 0:36:08.120
<v Speaker 4>after four global shortages, you have to use helium.

0:36:08.280 --> 0:36:10.719
<v Speaker 2>There are ballue There are helium balloons in Europe. In

0:36:10.800 --> 0:36:15.760
<v Speaker 2>fact checked that they do exist. They perhaps I actually

0:36:15.760 --> 0:36:21.000
<v Speaker 2>found a this is a very European. This is the

0:36:21.000 --> 0:36:24.080
<v Speaker 2>most European looking document I've ever seen, which is this

0:36:24.239 --> 0:36:27.760
<v Speaker 2>really serious like think Tank report on the Intentional Release

0:36:28.360 --> 0:36:32.080
<v Speaker 2>of Balloons and Confetti and the Baltic Sea Area Scoping Study,

0:36:32.320 --> 0:36:36.920
<v Speaker 2>a collection of existing information, regulation and best practices published

0:36:36.920 --> 0:36:40.600
<v Speaker 2>by the Baltic Marine Environment Protection Commission, is a fifty

0:36:40.640 --> 0:36:43.640
<v Speaker 2>page paper on the release of balloons. Anyway, sorry, but

0:36:43.840 --> 0:36:46.200
<v Speaker 2>I take your point that for I but I also

0:36:46.239 --> 0:36:48.200
<v Speaker 2>found a Reddit post someone asking where they can get

0:36:48.200 --> 0:36:50.440
<v Speaker 2>helium balloons, So maybe they're not. Maybe they're not.

0:36:51.160 --> 0:36:53.400
<v Speaker 4>If the EU has regulations on it. I'm willing to

0:36:53.440 --> 0:36:55.000
<v Speaker 4>believe they've got it now.

0:36:55.400 --> 0:36:58.680
<v Speaker 2>There's there's something going on there. You know. The thing,

0:36:58.840 --> 0:37:01.960
<v Speaker 2>the big takeaway I have from this conversation, it's just

0:37:02.040 --> 0:37:05.400
<v Speaker 2>going back to thinking about that thirty year release schedule

0:37:05.680 --> 0:37:09.040
<v Speaker 2>from the helium reserve, and especially if you're not doing

0:37:09.120 --> 0:37:12.759
<v Speaker 2>it at something resembling a market price, that must have

0:37:12.840 --> 0:37:16.640
<v Speaker 2>just obliterated any like private sector activity. Because if there's

0:37:16.680 --> 0:37:18.520
<v Speaker 2>going to be this fixed apply coming out too the

0:37:18.560 --> 0:37:21.600
<v Speaker 2>market and it's not even price sensitive in any way,

0:37:22.200 --> 0:37:26.200
<v Speaker 2>why would you ever like build out private production at

0:37:26.200 --> 0:37:26.800
<v Speaker 2>that point.

0:37:26.840 --> 0:37:31.200
<v Speaker 4>One hundred percent? That's been a big issue. And you

0:37:31.239 --> 0:37:33.560
<v Speaker 4>know when I first started looking at this issue in

0:37:33.600 --> 0:37:38.040
<v Speaker 4>twenty eleven, because my dad was involved in trying to

0:37:38.040 --> 0:37:41.440
<v Speaker 4>advocate for fusion fission hybrid reactors and he shared a

0:37:41.480 --> 0:37:44.359
<v Speaker 4>Brookings MIT conference on this and he was very disappointed.

0:37:44.719 --> 0:37:46.560
<v Speaker 4>He said, the smartest guy there told him he was

0:37:46.560 --> 0:37:48.239
<v Speaker 4>wasting his time because we were going to run out

0:37:48.239 --> 0:37:51.399
<v Speaker 4>of helium before they could get the technology working. And

0:37:51.800 --> 0:37:53.560
<v Speaker 4>you know, I fool He called me and I said,

0:37:53.560 --> 0:37:55.640
<v Speaker 4>I thought that was for party balloons down. Cursed to

0:37:55.760 --> 0:37:57.920
<v Speaker 4>be on the other side of that conversation for the

0:37:57.920 --> 0:38:01.080
<v Speaker 4>rest of my life. But the America in physical society

0:38:01.400 --> 0:38:04.680
<v Speaker 4>at the time, you know, put out a statement saying,

0:38:05.640 --> 0:38:07.840
<v Speaker 4>not only should you do not sell this, helium is

0:38:07.880 --> 0:38:10.040
<v Speaker 4>the one thing we should be building a bigger stockpile

0:38:10.120 --> 0:38:13.120
<v Speaker 4>of for the future. And you know, I sort of

0:38:13.320 --> 0:38:17.480
<v Speaker 4>compared the situation to what happened in with uranium in

0:38:17.520 --> 0:38:19.800
<v Speaker 4>the Megatons to megawatts program after the fall of the

0:38:19.880 --> 0:38:23.600
<v Speaker 4>Soviet Union. We took a bunch of their former Soviet

0:38:23.680 --> 0:38:27.080
<v Speaker 4>nuclear weapons, we turned them into power plant fuel just

0:38:27.200 --> 0:38:31.320
<v Speaker 4>because of proliferation reasons, and sold that into the market.

0:38:31.719 --> 0:38:33.719
<v Speaker 4>And similar thing. You know, you dump a bunch of

0:38:33.719 --> 0:38:36.520
<v Speaker 4>supply into the market for a long time and then

0:38:36.719 --> 0:38:39.719
<v Speaker 4>there's no incentive for exploration, and uranium prices went up,

0:38:39.760 --> 0:38:42.920
<v Speaker 4>you know, five hundred percent nearly two thousands. So that's

0:38:42.960 --> 0:38:45.839
<v Speaker 4>certainly been a factor in terms of you know, why

0:38:45.880 --> 0:38:47.600
<v Speaker 4>haven't people been doing this the whole time?

0:38:47.920 --> 0:38:51.040
<v Speaker 3>Well, okay, on that note, you're the founder and CEO

0:38:51.239 --> 0:38:54.040
<v Speaker 3>of North American Helium, and we know that helium prices

0:38:54.080 --> 0:38:56.399
<v Speaker 3>are going up, even though we don't have a very

0:38:56.400 --> 0:39:00.560
<v Speaker 3>good benchmark, but you know, broadly, we know that it's

0:39:00.600 --> 0:39:02.680
<v Speaker 3>going to get more expensive. What do you do with

0:39:02.800 --> 0:39:06.560
<v Speaker 3>that price signal, Do you invest more? Do you expand?

0:39:06.800 --> 0:39:10.920
<v Speaker 3>Given the limitations around you know, exploring for LERG and

0:39:10.960 --> 0:39:12.080
<v Speaker 3>things like that, what do you do.

0:39:12.600 --> 0:39:14.440
<v Speaker 4>We're on the unique end of the spectrum in the

0:39:14.480 --> 0:39:18.640
<v Speaker 4>industry because we're not running a ten billion dollar energy

0:39:18.800 --> 0:39:22.200
<v Speaker 4>project or something like that, because we're producing. We're only

0:39:22.280 --> 0:39:26.000
<v Speaker 4>drilling for helium from non hydrocarbon sources, so we're essentially

0:39:26.040 --> 0:39:30.160
<v Speaker 4>looking for We're drilling into older rocks that pre date

0:39:30.320 --> 0:39:32.799
<v Speaker 4>plant life on Earth, so there's not a lot of

0:39:32.920 --> 0:39:36.320
<v Speaker 4>organic material there. So you're drilling for fields of helium

0:39:36.320 --> 0:39:39.920
<v Speaker 4>and nitrogen and these exist, and you know where we

0:39:39.960 --> 0:39:44.120
<v Speaker 4>are primarily operating in southwest Saskatchewan and Canada. They had

0:39:44.200 --> 0:39:46.960
<v Speaker 4>found a field like this in the nineteen sixties. They

0:39:47.000 --> 0:39:50.760
<v Speaker 4>wrote helium legislation, which made them very unique. But because

0:39:50.760 --> 0:39:53.600
<v Speaker 4>of the combination of the forced sales from the federal

0:39:53.640 --> 0:39:58.000
<v Speaker 4>stockpile keeping helium prices low and nitrogen being worthless because

0:39:58.000 --> 0:40:00.759
<v Speaker 4>it's already eighty percent of the atmosphere, no one ever

0:40:00.800 --> 0:40:05.239
<v Speaker 4>came back and looked at this. But we're certainly, I

0:40:05.239 --> 0:40:08.080
<v Speaker 4>would say, we were already going pretty fast, certainly in

0:40:08.120 --> 0:40:10.759
<v Speaker 4>an environment like this. You know, our mission is to

0:40:10.800 --> 0:40:14.880
<v Speaker 4>support science and industry. So all of a sudden, this

0:40:14.960 --> 0:40:16.719
<v Speaker 4>is a big problem. We're going to do everything we

0:40:16.800 --> 0:40:20.600
<v Speaker 4>can to increase our rate of exploration, bringing new plants

0:40:20.600 --> 0:40:24.200
<v Speaker 4>onto production, and you know, really trying to support some

0:40:24.280 --> 0:40:27.120
<v Speaker 4>of the most vital uses of helium then we've had

0:40:27.680 --> 0:40:29.920
<v Speaker 4>in previous shortages. One of the problems is it's not

0:40:29.960 --> 0:40:32.719
<v Speaker 4>a question of for the end user. It's not a

0:40:32.760 --> 0:40:34.719
<v Speaker 4>question of whether or not you get the helium or not.

0:40:35.320 --> 0:40:38.960
<v Speaker 4>The consequences of not getting helium across the value chain

0:40:39.000 --> 0:40:42.160
<v Speaker 4>are pretty significant. If you're Party City, you go bankrupt.

0:40:42.560 --> 0:40:45.040
<v Speaker 4>If you're a chip manufacturer, you have to shut down

0:40:45.200 --> 0:40:49.359
<v Speaker 4>chip manufacturing, and that's you know, the dollar amount there

0:40:49.520 --> 0:40:55.600
<v Speaker 4>is just tremendous. If you're running MRI or their cousin

0:40:55.760 --> 0:40:58.400
<v Speaker 4>an MR, which is used for drug discovery and things

0:40:58.440 --> 0:41:01.600
<v Speaker 4>like that, if that mag and it heats up, it

0:41:01.640 --> 0:41:05.200
<v Speaker 4>will destroy the magnet, so you're talking about your machine

0:41:05.200 --> 0:41:10.160
<v Speaker 4>getting destroyed, essentially. So we're very focused on supporting those

0:41:10.239 --> 0:41:13.359
<v Speaker 4>vital end uses and if people can't do as much

0:41:13.360 --> 0:41:16.120
<v Speaker 4>welding for a little while, you know, it is what

0:41:16.160 --> 0:41:19.200
<v Speaker 4>it is. But in general, the price is very volatile

0:41:19.239 --> 0:41:22.160
<v Speaker 4>because helium is a very small percentage of the cost

0:41:22.200 --> 0:41:24.160
<v Speaker 4>of goods sold for all of us.

0:41:24.440 --> 0:41:26.520
<v Speaker 3>Sorry, just to press on this point. I'm going to

0:41:26.560 --> 0:41:29.040
<v Speaker 3>assume that you're going to make more money in the

0:41:29.080 --> 0:41:32.920
<v Speaker 3>coming months as a result of helium supply getting squeezed

0:41:32.960 --> 0:41:33.520
<v Speaker 3>in cattarc.

0:41:33.920 --> 0:41:34.480
<v Speaker 2>What are the.

0:41:35.000 --> 0:41:39.360
<v Speaker 3>Major choke points at your company that you would be

0:41:39.440 --> 0:41:42.680
<v Speaker 3>trying to use that money to resolve. Is it actually

0:41:42.680 --> 0:41:46.759
<v Speaker 3>finding new fields or is it investing in more storage capacity,

0:41:47.600 --> 0:41:50.920
<v Speaker 3>transportation investment? Like, what are you going to do with

0:41:50.960 --> 0:41:51.360
<v Speaker 3>the money?

0:41:51.920 --> 0:41:54.440
<v Speaker 4>It's a little bit of all of the above. Our

0:41:54.520 --> 0:41:59.160
<v Speaker 4>focus has always been on the lack of reliability in

0:41:59.160 --> 0:42:01.640
<v Speaker 4>the supply chain, which comes from two things. One is

0:42:01.719 --> 0:42:07.040
<v Speaker 4>the extreme concentration where you've got one Exxon Co two

0:42:07.120 --> 0:42:09.600
<v Speaker 4>project in Wyoming it's a quarter of world supply. You've

0:42:09.640 --> 0:42:12.640
<v Speaker 4>got one LNG facility that's a third of world supply.

0:42:12.760 --> 0:42:16.040
<v Speaker 4>You've now got production in Russia, which has its own issues.

0:42:16.440 --> 0:42:20.000
<v Speaker 4>So the geopolitics and the concentration are a problem. So

0:42:20.040 --> 0:42:23.400
<v Speaker 4>we've been working for the last thirteen years to build

0:42:23.440 --> 0:42:26.800
<v Speaker 4>a new helium hub to create you know, helium supply

0:42:26.880 --> 0:42:32.240
<v Speaker 4>from non hydridcarbon sources in Western Canada, and for that reason,

0:42:32.280 --> 0:42:34.759
<v Speaker 4>we run a bunch of stuff in parallel, so we'll

0:42:34.760 --> 0:42:37.560
<v Speaker 4>be bringing a new facility online that will increase our

0:42:37.560 --> 0:42:41.560
<v Speaker 4>production by forty percent later this year. We're also drilling

0:42:41.800 --> 0:42:45.680
<v Speaker 4>for you know, doing exploration for the next field. We're

0:42:45.719 --> 0:42:51.080
<v Speaker 4>also looking at doing much more grassroots exploration for just

0:42:51.160 --> 0:42:54.640
<v Speaker 4>continuing to understand the area because we have nine million

0:42:54.719 --> 0:42:57.200
<v Speaker 4>acres of long term helium rights, so it takes three

0:42:57.239 --> 0:43:02.279
<v Speaker 4>hours to drive across it. This is We've identified a

0:43:02.440 --> 0:43:05.640
<v Speaker 4>thousand structures from seismic data that we have not drilled yet,

0:43:05.840 --> 0:43:07.440
<v Speaker 4>so it's really all of those things. One of the

0:43:07.440 --> 0:43:10.759
<v Speaker 4>biggest things that we've been looking at is building a

0:43:10.800 --> 0:43:15.080
<v Speaker 4>helium liquifier in Canada because right now we have nine

0:43:15.840 --> 0:43:19.120
<v Speaker 4>facilities that are producing helium and we truck all of

0:43:19.160 --> 0:43:24.120
<v Speaker 4>that in carbon fiber overwrapp tube trailers down to existing

0:43:24.160 --> 0:43:26.680
<v Speaker 4>liquifiers in the US Mid Continent, and there's a lot

0:43:26.719 --> 0:43:29.280
<v Speaker 4>of extra capacity down there because production has been falling

0:43:29.280 --> 0:43:31.680
<v Speaker 4>in the US for the last thirty five years. But

0:43:32.400 --> 0:43:36.000
<v Speaker 4>building a helium liquifire in Canada along the Trans Canada Highway,

0:43:36.040 --> 0:43:39.800
<v Speaker 4>which runs through the middle of our properties, really lowers

0:43:39.800 --> 0:43:42.640
<v Speaker 4>the cost. It also lowers the emissions, which is something

0:43:42.680 --> 0:43:45.080
<v Speaker 4>people cared a lot more about four years ago, but

0:43:45.160 --> 0:43:47.880
<v Speaker 4>we still think is important and opens up this area

0:43:47.920 --> 0:43:51.960
<v Speaker 4>as more of a global hub. And also, if you

0:43:51.960 --> 0:43:56.400
<v Speaker 4>think about the high end customers, they're very concerned with purity.

0:43:56.440 --> 0:43:59.319
<v Speaker 4>The average customer is taking liquid helium at grade P,

0:43:59.480 --> 0:44:01.600
<v Speaker 4>which is sort of the industry standard. You can think

0:44:01.600 --> 0:44:04.640
<v Speaker 4>of it as more or less five nines purity ninety

0:44:04.719 --> 0:44:07.719
<v Speaker 4>nine point nine nine nine percent pure. The leading edge

0:44:07.800 --> 0:44:11.880
<v Speaker 4>chip manufacturers are now looking for six nines purity and

0:44:12.040 --> 0:44:15.640
<v Speaker 4>right now that primarily either comes from Exxon's facility or

0:44:15.680 --> 0:44:18.480
<v Speaker 4>it comes from Cover. So all of a sudden, you've

0:44:18.480 --> 0:44:19.799
<v Speaker 4>got a big issue there. And if you want to

0:44:19.800 --> 0:44:21.759
<v Speaker 4>think about you know, I know, you guys love all

0:44:22.000 --> 0:44:25.040
<v Speaker 4>of the weird logistical stuff. There's only so many liquid

0:44:25.040 --> 0:44:27.719
<v Speaker 4>helium containers in the world. Yeah, and if you want

0:44:27.760 --> 0:44:29.799
<v Speaker 4>six nines purity, you don't ever want to fill that

0:44:29.880 --> 0:44:32.040
<v Speaker 4>with five nines because you might get a molecule of

0:44:32.120 --> 0:44:36.240
<v Speaker 4>hydrogen in there. So those containers are sort of kept separate,

0:44:36.520 --> 0:44:39.200
<v Speaker 4>and the fiber optic manufacturers have their own containers. So

0:44:39.239 --> 0:44:42.080
<v Speaker 4>now you've got an issue where the special containers for

0:44:42.120 --> 0:44:45.160
<v Speaker 4>the semiconductor firms or trapped somewhere they've got to go

0:44:45.280 --> 0:44:47.520
<v Speaker 4>somewhere else. You've got to say, well, we need more

0:44:47.560 --> 0:44:50.200
<v Speaker 4>of this from the Exon facility, and maybe that's going

0:44:50.239 --> 0:44:53.719
<v Speaker 4>to cause a problem somewhere else. But building our own

0:44:53.719 --> 0:44:58.000
<v Speaker 4>liqui fire gives us the opportunity to meet any purity

0:44:58.440 --> 0:45:01.440
<v Speaker 4>and be able to sort of you kind of go

0:45:01.640 --> 0:45:03.319
<v Speaker 4>farm to table with the whole supply chain.

0:45:03.800 --> 0:45:08.520
<v Speaker 2>Fable. Nicholas Snyder, thank you so much for coming on

0:45:08.520 --> 0:45:11.200
<v Speaker 2>Odd Lots. I learned a lot about helium in that conversation.

0:45:11.360 --> 0:45:14.000
<v Speaker 4>That was fantastic, Tracy, Thanks so much your.

0:45:13.760 --> 0:45:28.960
<v Speaker 2>Pleasure, Tracy. I really want to do a live episode

0:45:29.000 --> 0:45:32.520
<v Speaker 2>one day in Saskatchewan with Nicholas and Maraud al Katib,

0:45:32.760 --> 0:45:34.920
<v Speaker 2>the Lentil King of Saskachewan. We got to have the

0:45:34.920 --> 0:45:37.960
<v Speaker 2>helium King of Saskatchewan and the lentil King of Saskatchewan.

0:45:38.080 --> 0:45:39.839
<v Speaker 2>I think that'd be a great live event for us.

0:45:39.960 --> 0:45:43.640
<v Speaker 3>I want to go scout scout the planes for helium.

0:45:43.719 --> 0:45:43.919
<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

0:45:45.400 --> 0:45:47.920
<v Speaker 3>I guess now, that was a fascinating episode. I mean,

0:45:47.920 --> 0:45:51.160
<v Speaker 3>all of these niche commodities are fascinating. I will say

0:45:51.160 --> 0:45:53.960
<v Speaker 3>one thing that keeps getting repeated on all of these shows,

0:45:53.960 --> 0:45:56.120
<v Speaker 3>and you touched on it, already is this idea that

0:45:56.840 --> 0:46:00.640
<v Speaker 3>we haven't actually seen the physical impact just yet, and

0:46:00.680 --> 0:46:04.279
<v Speaker 3>it's coming down the line. And you can imagine there

0:46:04.320 --> 0:46:07.839
<v Speaker 3>are a lot of consumers of specific products out there

0:46:07.880 --> 0:46:11.120
<v Speaker 3>who for now are able to say, you know, we're

0:46:11.120 --> 0:46:14.960
<v Speaker 3>doing all right, but in maybe a month, maybe three months,

0:46:15.000 --> 0:46:17.520
<v Speaker 3>maybe four months, if things keep going as they are,

0:46:17.680 --> 0:46:21.239
<v Speaker 3>and even frankly, if the war were to stop tomorrow,

0:46:21.719 --> 0:46:24.120
<v Speaker 3>you would probably have some sort of impact.

0:46:24.280 --> 0:46:27.760
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, you know what, it reminds me of May twenty

0:46:27.840 --> 0:46:30.279
<v Speaker 2>twenty five. It's like the shortages are coming to the

0:46:30.320 --> 0:46:33.120
<v Speaker 2>shelves because of the tariffs. Yeah, and they didn't and

0:46:33.120 --> 0:46:34.160
<v Speaker 2>that it's like, well, but that.

0:46:34.200 --> 0:46:36.480
<v Speaker 3>Was partially because Trump, Yeah started.

0:46:37.040 --> 0:46:38.920
<v Speaker 2>I know, he did, he did, he did. But I

0:46:38.920 --> 0:46:40.920
<v Speaker 2>do think we're at like this weird moment where it's

0:46:40.960 --> 0:46:43.279
<v Speaker 2>like nothing ever happens, but maybe it will. But yeah,

0:46:43.480 --> 0:46:46.560
<v Speaker 2>but everyone who we talk to in commodities essentially is

0:46:46.600 --> 0:46:49.120
<v Speaker 2>like we're in the phase where the water has come out.

0:46:49.560 --> 0:46:52.320
<v Speaker 2>In the longer it takes for production to restart and

0:46:52.400 --> 0:46:55.279
<v Speaker 2>the straight to reopen, the greater the damage is going

0:46:55.360 --> 0:46:55.520
<v Speaker 2>to be.

0:46:55.680 --> 0:46:55.920
<v Speaker 4>You know what.

0:46:55.920 --> 0:47:00.640
<v Speaker 2>I think it's like really interesting about this conversation particular,

0:47:00.719 --> 0:47:03.600
<v Speaker 2>and they're actually from a sort of economic standpoints, like

0:47:03.760 --> 0:47:06.640
<v Speaker 2>several very interesting threads in there. So first of all,

0:47:06.640 --> 0:47:09.200
<v Speaker 2>there's the part about how like if you're selling helium

0:47:09.239 --> 0:47:11.320
<v Speaker 2>at the same clip every year of a thirty years,

0:47:11.320 --> 0:47:14.120
<v Speaker 2>you destroy any sort of semblance of a market. And yeah,

0:47:14.120 --> 0:47:19.760
<v Speaker 2>for private production, that's interesting. Another interesting thing is that, okay,

0:47:19.800 --> 0:47:22.640
<v Speaker 2>like helium itself is sort of scarce and not all

0:47:22.640 --> 0:47:25.719
<v Speaker 2>over the place. And then the scarcity of the containers

0:47:25.800 --> 0:47:28.560
<v Speaker 2>to uh, he kept coming back to the containers. There

0:47:28.560 --> 0:47:31.000
<v Speaker 2>aren't that many containers in the world because if helium

0:47:31.040 --> 0:47:33.279
<v Speaker 2>can go through glass, that means it's so small and

0:47:33.320 --> 0:47:36.440
<v Speaker 2>not a lot contrapant. Even the containers that exist can

0:47:36.480 --> 0:47:39.280
<v Speaker 2>only hold it for so long. And then the fact

0:47:39.280 --> 0:47:42.480
<v Speaker 2>that the helium that's needed for the most advanced science,

0:47:42.480 --> 0:47:43.879
<v Speaker 2>as you mentioned at the end, they want the six

0:47:44.000 --> 0:47:46.600
<v Speaker 2>nines purity, not the five nines purity, and so they

0:47:46.600 --> 0:47:49.879
<v Speaker 2>have their own separate set of containers that like it's

0:47:49.880 --> 0:47:52.560
<v Speaker 2>almost impossible to imagine like at this point like a

0:47:52.640 --> 0:47:57.040
<v Speaker 2>sort of like truly coordinated like commodity helium just because

0:47:57.480 --> 0:48:00.000
<v Speaker 2>kind of like natural gas, so much of the store

0:48:00.520 --> 0:48:03.000
<v Speaker 2>seems to be in the shipping and holding of it

0:48:03.200 --> 0:48:04.640
<v Speaker 2>rather than the commodity per se.

0:48:04.760 --> 0:48:08.680
<v Speaker 3>No, it strikes me as very similar and like helium

0:48:08.760 --> 0:48:11.279
<v Speaker 3>is even more gnat gas than that gas, right in

0:48:11.280 --> 0:48:14.040
<v Speaker 3>the sense that we don't even have any pricing to

0:48:14.080 --> 0:48:17.000
<v Speaker 3>look basically, which is just shocking to me as someone

0:48:17.040 --> 0:48:19.399
<v Speaker 3>who's been staring at a Bloomberg terminal for many, many years.

0:48:19.440 --> 0:48:21.759
<v Speaker 3>It feels really weird when you can't get a price

0:48:21.800 --> 0:48:22.280
<v Speaker 3>of something.

0:48:22.680 --> 0:48:26.839
<v Speaker 2>So there is so like typically speaking, if you enter

0:48:26.920 --> 0:48:31.200
<v Speaker 2>in any ticker in the terminal, something will come up

0:48:31.880 --> 0:48:35.840
<v Speaker 2>and there is actually a something. There's a helium No,

0:48:35.920 --> 0:48:39.759
<v Speaker 2>there's a helium index, but whatever it was, it was

0:48:39.800 --> 0:48:43.600
<v Speaker 2>put together by the Bureau of Land Management and they

0:48:43.680 --> 0:48:47.200
<v Speaker 2>ended it in twenty eighteen, like they stopped whatever whatever

0:48:47.320 --> 0:48:50.600
<v Speaker 2>this indexes in twenty eighteen. So there is not a

0:48:50.640 --> 0:48:53.640
<v Speaker 2>lot of there's not a lot of data on helium,

0:48:53.880 --> 0:48:55.920
<v Speaker 2>and I've found that to be the case with a

0:48:55.960 --> 0:48:59.560
<v Speaker 2>lot of the nisia. Yeah, discontinued. It's for historical purposes

0:48:59.600 --> 0:49:01.240
<v Speaker 2>only to the dees page.

0:49:01.280 --> 0:49:03.000
<v Speaker 3>Well, the other weird thing about it is it doesn't

0:49:03.000 --> 0:49:05.280
<v Speaker 3>actually look that volatile at all.

0:49:05.680 --> 0:49:07.560
<v Speaker 2>It seems like hi, so I don't even believe that.

0:49:07.560 --> 0:49:11.680
<v Speaker 3>You yeah, exactly, Okay, well, if anyone wants to create

0:49:11.680 --> 0:49:13.799
<v Speaker 3>some sort of pricing index for Helium, let us know.

0:49:13.960 --> 0:49:15.040
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, we'd love to check it out.

0:49:15.080 --> 0:49:15.759
<v Speaker 3>Shall we leave it there?

0:49:15.840 --> 0:49:16.560
<v Speaker 2>Let's leave it there.

0:49:16.680 --> 0:49:18.920
<v Speaker 3>This has been another episode of the Odd Lots podcast.

0:49:19.000 --> 0:49:22.040
<v Speaker 3>I'm Tracy Alloway. You can follow me at Tracy Alloway.

0:49:21.760 --> 0:49:23.640
<v Speaker 2>And I'm Joe wi Isn't all. You could follow me

0:49:23.680 --> 0:49:27.000
<v Speaker 2>at the Stalwart. Follow our producers Carmen Rodriguez at Carmen

0:49:27.120 --> 0:49:30.440
<v Speaker 2>armand Dash'll Bennett at dashbot In, Kale Brooks and Kale Brooks.

0:49:30.680 --> 0:49:33.040
<v Speaker 2>For more Odd Lags content, go to Bloomberg dot com

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0:49:40.520 --> 0:49:41.800
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0:49:41.920 --> 0:49:44.040
<v Speaker 3>And if you enjoy odd Lots, if you like it

0:49:44.239 --> 0:49:47.239
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