1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,600 Speaker 1: This is taking Stock. I'm pim Fox. My co host 2 00:00:02,720 --> 00:00:06,200 Speaker 1: Kathleen Hayes joining us now in the studio. Steve Matthews, 3 00:00:06,200 --> 00:00:09,879 Speaker 1: Bloomberg US economy reporter, will be speaking with him having 4 00:00:09,920 --> 00:00:13,200 Speaker 1: to do with Janet Yellen's testimony before Congress, and also 5 00:00:13,320 --> 00:00:15,920 Speaker 1: Dave Wilson, Bloomberg Stocks commis. Dave, I want to begin 6 00:00:16,000 --> 00:00:18,079 Speaker 1: with you and just give us an update on where 7 00:00:18,079 --> 00:00:22,079 Speaker 1: stocks are trading and the gains that seemed to be 8 00:00:22,320 --> 00:00:24,400 Speaker 1: at least holding on for the moment. But we're right 9 00:00:24,440 --> 00:00:29,440 Speaker 1: around that exactly. I mean, we've kind of settled in. 10 00:00:29,560 --> 00:00:32,959 Speaker 1: It's almost like people kind of waiting. You know, we're 11 00:00:32,960 --> 00:00:35,440 Speaker 1: a couple of days away from that vote on whether 12 00:00:35,479 --> 00:00:38,480 Speaker 1: the UK stays in the European Union or not, so 13 00:00:38,840 --> 00:00:41,600 Speaker 1: that gives people a reason to kind of step back. 14 00:00:42,240 --> 00:00:44,720 Speaker 1: And it's not like when you go through the main 15 00:00:44,840 --> 00:00:47,640 Speaker 1: industry groups in the SMP five hundred, you really see 16 00:00:48,040 --> 00:00:50,800 Speaker 1: sort of any kind of overall tone to what's going on. 17 00:00:51,080 --> 00:00:53,599 Speaker 1: Though I will point out phone companies and utilities are 18 00:00:53,600 --> 00:00:56,480 Speaker 1: doing relatively well, and those are the more interest rate 19 00:00:56,560 --> 00:00:59,680 Speaker 1: sensitive areas of the market. Uh, you look what's down 20 00:00:59,680 --> 00:01:02,320 Speaker 1: and it's sort of a grab bag healthcare. Uh, you 21 00:01:02,360 --> 00:01:06,000 Speaker 1: know the consumer discretionary category, which is media companies, retailers 22 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:09,400 Speaker 1: and you name it, and raw material producers. So you know, 23 00:01:09,440 --> 00:01:11,320 Speaker 1: it's not like you're really getting a whole lot of 24 00:01:11,319 --> 00:01:14,640 Speaker 1: a message out of today's strating, except people kind of 25 00:01:14,680 --> 00:01:18,080 Speaker 1: hanging on and waiting for things to unfold as the 26 00:01:18,080 --> 00:01:23,520 Speaker 1: week progresses. Well. Uh, the bond cket actually halting its 27 00:01:23,680 --> 00:01:27,640 Speaker 1: recent sell off. It's pretty flat now taking some solace, 28 00:01:27,720 --> 00:01:31,720 Speaker 1: it seems. From Janet Yellin's testimony to the Senate Banking 29 00:01:31,800 --> 00:01:35,759 Speaker 1: Committee today it's a two day testimony. Today, she seemed 30 00:01:35,800 --> 00:01:39,720 Speaker 1: to indicate that maybe beneficials are even a little more 31 00:01:39,800 --> 00:01:43,400 Speaker 1: cautious about going to the next interest rate hike. Let's 32 00:01:43,400 --> 00:01:45,720 Speaker 1: go to Steve Matthews. Now he joins us from our 33 00:01:45,760 --> 00:01:49,160 Speaker 1: Atlanta Bloomberg News bureau where he is one of our 34 00:01:49,600 --> 00:01:54,360 Speaker 1: top Federal Reserve reporters. So Steve, our colleague Chris Condon, 35 00:01:54,840 --> 00:01:59,040 Speaker 1: who wrote the story on Janney Allen's testimony, emphasized that 36 00:01:59,160 --> 00:02:03,480 Speaker 1: Janet used the word weather a conditional word, not saying 37 00:02:03,520 --> 00:02:06,480 Speaker 1: when the Fed would raise rates, but saying it depends 38 00:02:06,520 --> 00:02:09,600 Speaker 1: on whether the economy improves or not. You know, Kathleen 39 00:02:09,639 --> 00:02:15,280 Speaker 1: I totally agree with your analysis. Uh. The Yelling's testimony 40 00:02:15,360 --> 00:02:21,240 Speaker 1: today was was definitely on the dovish side. A couple 41 00:02:21,280 --> 00:02:24,360 Speaker 1: of years ago when when she was being considered for 42 00:02:24,440 --> 00:02:28,240 Speaker 1: the FED chairmanship, there was also taught that Larry Summers, 43 00:02:29,000 --> 00:02:32,760 Speaker 1: the former Treasury Secretary, could be considered as FED chair 44 00:02:33,480 --> 00:02:37,839 Speaker 1: And it turns out we we we we don't have Summers, 45 00:02:37,880 --> 00:02:41,280 Speaker 1: but Yelling has adopted some of what Summers is saying 46 00:02:41,320 --> 00:02:45,400 Speaker 1: about secular stagnation. She believes the economy is stuck in 47 00:02:45,480 --> 00:02:48,960 Speaker 1: a low growth rut and that we could be in 48 00:02:49,040 --> 00:02:55,880 Speaker 1: a low growth, low product productivity regime for some period 49 00:02:55,880 --> 00:02:59,679 Speaker 1: of time, and in that those conditions you're going to 50 00:02:59,760 --> 00:03:02,720 Speaker 1: have of, you know, very low interest rates for a 51 00:03:02,760 --> 00:03:05,440 Speaker 1: long period of time. And you know, that was kind 52 00:03:05,440 --> 00:03:09,880 Speaker 1: of the takeaway she talked about in her prepared testimony. 53 00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:13,399 Speaker 1: She can't kind of gave a nod out to prominent 54 00:03:13,440 --> 00:03:18,320 Speaker 1: economists that she didn't mention believing that the growth outlook 55 00:03:18,560 --> 00:03:22,760 Speaker 1: is really dim. But that was an evident UH mentioned 56 00:03:23,400 --> 00:03:28,120 Speaker 1: evidently referring to Larry Summers or to Robert Gordon, the 57 00:03:28,360 --> 00:03:33,000 Speaker 1: Northwestern professor who has been a proponent of that same view. 58 00:03:33,120 --> 00:03:38,160 Speaker 1: So it was very interesting, Kathleen. She also spoke specifically 59 00:03:38,200 --> 00:03:42,600 Speaker 1: about the income of the meeting income of African American households, 60 00:03:42,640 --> 00:03:44,720 Speaker 1: saying that that is still well below the median income 61 00:03:44,720 --> 00:03:50,200 Speaker 1: of other US households. Is that also aimed at a 62 00:03:50,240 --> 00:03:55,680 Speaker 1: specific audience, that Congressional Budget Office maybe having a role there. Well, actually, 63 00:03:55,680 --> 00:03:57,200 Speaker 1: that's a good point of the PM, that the FED 64 00:03:57,280 --> 00:04:02,160 Speaker 1: isn't responsible but for the these income disparities, but certainly 65 00:04:02,240 --> 00:04:04,920 Speaker 1: keeping the economy going and jobs growing is And she 66 00:04:05,040 --> 00:04:09,400 Speaker 1: answered that, Steve, didn't she in answer to a question. Course, 67 00:04:09,400 --> 00:04:12,000 Speaker 1: she's a labor market economist. She's very sympathetic to these things, 68 00:04:12,080 --> 00:04:14,720 Speaker 1: maybe even more than some other FED chairs. What what's 69 00:04:14,720 --> 00:04:17,480 Speaker 1: the significance of that to you? Not there's a question, 70 00:04:17,520 --> 00:04:19,480 Speaker 1: but how she answered it. Do we get any light 71 00:04:19,560 --> 00:04:22,680 Speaker 1: UNFED policy. I'm not sure it means a lot for 72 00:04:22,839 --> 00:04:25,800 Speaker 1: FED policy other than the fact that she is very 73 00:04:25,839 --> 00:04:30,039 Speaker 1: worried about various groups. And she specifically said she was 74 00:04:30,080 --> 00:04:35,160 Speaker 1: worried about unemployment among African Americans, for example. And to 75 00:04:35,240 --> 00:04:38,440 Speaker 1: the extent that you're worried about individual groups, I think 76 00:04:38,480 --> 00:04:40,640 Speaker 1: that would say that you would err on the side 77 00:04:40,720 --> 00:04:44,479 Speaker 1: of being easy as opposed to aggressive in terms of 78 00:04:44,560 --> 00:04:50,000 Speaker 1: raising interest rates, but she made the larger point that uh, 79 00:04:50,080 --> 00:04:53,000 Speaker 1: and she didn't quite put it this way, but she 80 00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:55,960 Speaker 1: could have turned to the Congress and say, why are 81 00:04:55,960 --> 00:05:00,000 Speaker 1: you looking at me? It's not my issue, it's your issue, um, 82 00:05:00,120 --> 00:05:04,279 Speaker 1: because it's really fiscal policy that deals with UH, job 83 00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:07,920 Speaker 1: training and in the ability of people to get jobs. 84 00:05:07,960 --> 00:05:11,560 Speaker 1: And she made the point that what's happening is you 85 00:05:11,600 --> 00:05:15,680 Speaker 1: have more technology which is requiring more skills in the workforce, 86 00:05:16,000 --> 00:05:20,200 Speaker 1: and globalization, and those are trends that Congress needs to address, 87 00:05:20,240 --> 00:05:23,599 Speaker 1: not the Fed. Okay. Dave Wilson for The Stock Market, 88 00:05:23,640 --> 00:05:27,280 Speaker 1: did Janet Yellen answer their question today? Well, you look 89 00:05:27,360 --> 00:05:29,840 Speaker 1: at the way that the trading is gone, and it's 90 00:05:29,880 --> 00:05:32,400 Speaker 1: not like you can really take away sort of an 91 00:05:32,400 --> 00:05:35,280 Speaker 1: overall direction based on what she had to say. I mean, 92 00:05:35,720 --> 00:05:40,560 Speaker 1: SMP five basically fluctuated within an eight point range while 93 00:05:40,680 --> 00:05:44,480 Speaker 1: she was speaking and answering questions. Went from the low 94 00:05:44,520 --> 00:05:46,240 Speaker 1: of the day to the high of the day. It's 95 00:05:46,320 --> 00:05:48,760 Speaker 1: just trying to keep creep back towards the high at 96 00:05:48,760 --> 00:05:52,640 Speaker 1: this point, but nothing really conclusive. I mean, there's plenty 97 00:05:52,680 --> 00:05:55,200 Speaker 1: coming down the line. It's going to get investors attention, 98 00:05:55,800 --> 00:05:57,880 Speaker 1: and that's why I've got you, Dave Wilson. Our stocks 99 00:05:57,880 --> 00:05:59,640 Speaker 1: there to keep us on top of all of that, 100 00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:02,839 Speaker 1: and our Steve Matthews, a regular on taking stock on 101 00:06:02,880 --> 00:06:06,320 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio, but a reserve correspondent joining us from our 102 00:06:06,360 --> 00:06:10,600 Speaker 1: Atlanta bureau today, I'm Kathleen Hayes. Along with Pim Fox, 103 00:06:10,640 --> 00:06:12,400 Speaker 1: We're taking stock on Bloomberg Radio.