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Speaker 1: All right, here we go. We're just gonna chow under

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Speaker 1: the basket.

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Speaker 2: Under the basket, it's not a seven second it's the

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Speaker 2: truth for the.

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Speaker 3: Wind God.

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Speaker 1: A miracle.

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Speaker 4: I just water that one from the parking lot. What's

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Speaker 4: up the gener nation. Welcome to the Big Bets on

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Speaker 4: Campus podcast presented by Bett and GM. This is the

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Speaker 4: early week college basketball betting preview. I'm Stucky in joining

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Speaker 4: me today, Greig Wadell as usual on Mondays, and Mike

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Speaker 4: Randall filling in for Mike Calvaries, who's a little under

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Speaker 4: the weather. Appreciate you joining Randal with a lot to

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Speaker 4: get to today, we will talk the weekend that was.

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Speaker 4: Can you takeaways rants anything anywhere you want to go?

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Speaker 4: I sell this week not a conference but bubble teams.

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Speaker 4: You can go anywhere in the country of teams that

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Speaker 4: are fighting for their tournament lies. And then of course

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Speaker 4: we'll go quickly around the horn style and give out

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Speaker 4: a few spots that we're looking at for tonight's late

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Speaker 4: Monday and Tuesday. So before we get started, Greg, I

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Speaker 4: was the I was the super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: It was great, it was thrilling.

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Speaker 3: It was also like infuriating to watch these teams punt

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Speaker 3: the ball and attempt a bunch of field goals. Knowing

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Speaker 3: that mad maniac Dan Campbell would have made this incredibly more.

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Speaker 1: Fun to watch.

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Speaker 3: So look, I thought it was like at both teams

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Speaker 3: c game in the first half, it ended fun.

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Speaker 1: I'm no football analyst. The Super Bowl's fun.

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Speaker 3: I'm ready to turn the page to college basketball, and

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Speaker 3: I'm honestly ready to give people a primer of what

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Speaker 3: to expect, because that's what I learned this weekend stuck.

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Speaker 3: I don't know that anybody's good in college basketball.

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Speaker 1: I think we got Purdue. I think we got u Con.

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Speaker 4: I think that's it.

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Speaker 3: I think if you watched college bad basketball last season

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Speaker 3: and you tuned in after the Super Bowl, you probably

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Speaker 3: noticed a very similar situation where everybody told us Purdue

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Speaker 3: was great, everybody told us Alabama was great, and then

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Speaker 3: we got to.

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Speaker 1: March and it's the Sweet sixteen and both have been bounced.

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Speaker 3: So I don't know what to expect. I think there's

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Speaker 3: gonna be chaos. I think a lot of teams people

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Speaker 3: think are really good. Kentucky not good at this point.

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Speaker 3: Kansas survived without Kevin mccullor. That's another one. Shout out

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Speaker 3: to Randall, who is going to make a Johnny Furfey

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Speaker 3: like performance after we called him off the bench tonight.

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Speaker 1: He's no Nick Timberlake.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, my takeaways, I don't think anybody's good in

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Speaker 3: college basketball outside of Purdue in Yukon, and I don't

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Speaker 3: even know that I trust those teams in.

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Speaker 4: March, nobody's good. Love it. I agree. I think it's

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Speaker 4: got another chaotok March. It's the way we like it, Randall.

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Speaker 4: I was speaking of the Super Bowl I with Dan Campbell. Yeah,

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Speaker 4: Dan Campbell would have went I didn't read all of

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Speaker 4: Shanahan's comments and didn't watch this press yet, but four

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Speaker 4: to four the nine in overtime playing Mahomes, I would

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Speaker 4: have I would love to know how much he considered

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Speaker 4: going for it there, because you don't get it. The

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Speaker 4: Chiefs aren't. They don't have four downs right there until

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Speaker 4: they get to maybe the forty, like you can still

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Speaker 4: get a stop there. And but yeah, Campbell definitely would

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Speaker 4: have had a couple more. He's only the opposite end

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Speaker 4: of the spectrum as far as aggressiveness compared to those

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Speaker 4: two coaches. Randall, how was the Super Bowl for you?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? It was fun. I had family over got most

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Speaker 2: of the bets right. That Kelsey under slipped out of

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Speaker 2: my hands at the very last second. But hayuk Patrick,

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Speaker 2: Mahomes running, death taxes and Mahomes running. This year, guys

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Speaker 2: set a record with rushing attempts in rushing yardage because

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Speaker 2: the receivers can't get open. The only thing I thought

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Speaker 2: would have been funny stuck is my overall investment in

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Speaker 2: best ball in sky Moore. I was positive that sky

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Speaker 2: Moore was going to find the end zone at some point.

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Speaker 2: Just a cup full circle. But great wood for the Chiefs,

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Speaker 2: you got to put a nail in them. And it's

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Speaker 2: amazing how many people came out to a Niners did

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Speaker 2: not know the rule in overtime right. They thought the

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Speaker 2: score a touchdown in the game. So that's a big

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Speaker 2: bumble by the NFL.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it was fun su browl luck. Unfortunately I faded Mahomes.

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Speaker 4: I can say I faced successfully faded Mahomes in a

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Speaker 4: Super Bowl as an underdog. I just bet the Niners

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Speaker 4: first half. I was too afraid to go against them

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Speaker 4: for the full game. But by the way, I'm traveling

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Speaker 4: down in Aruba. So if my sound is just a

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Speaker 4: little off. That's why I apologize, But I was one

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Speaker 4: second away from hitting double overtime, one hundred to one.

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Speaker 4: I collapsed to the ground when so Kelsey got tackled

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Speaker 4: and I'm staring at the game clock and it was

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Speaker 4: one second behind the play clocks. I knew they had

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Speaker 4: a snap and if it was one second the other

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Speaker 4: way that She's one hundred percent would have run it

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Speaker 4: down and then you know, think about the next play go.

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Speaker 4: I was one second away from one hundred to one

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Speaker 4: double overtime. So yeah, that was painful, but a fun sweat.

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Speaker 4: I can't complain too much because I'd Purty under twelve

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Speaker 4: and a half rushing yards and he was at thirteen

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Speaker 4: and then neil to good overtime and ended twelve. So

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Speaker 4: it's always a give and take. But let's full turn

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Speaker 4: to college basketball now from here on out, and before

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Speaker 4: we know it, marsh will be here. I mean just

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Speaker 4: like almost two weeks, just a little over two weeks,

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Speaker 4: which is pretty crazy. Cannot wait Conference Certamon, the weekend,

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Speaker 4: and the NCAA tournament. So let's talk about the weekend

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Speaker 4: that was key takeaways rants anywhere where you want to

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Speaker 4: go with it, Greg, I'll start with you.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's basically what I alluded to, but I'll drill

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Speaker 3: into some specific teams that I'm frustrated with right now.

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Speaker 3: I truly not a bit do not believe there's many

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Speaker 3: good teams in the country this season, and I think

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Speaker 3: there's a broader conversation to have at some point, maybe

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Speaker 3: a year or two down the line, of like what's

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Speaker 3: going on with this dip in overall performance across the sport.

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Speaker 3: For me, I think it probably has something to do

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Speaker 3: with all these teams playing twenty three year olds that

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Speaker 3: get an extra year due to the COVID year, and

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Speaker 3: it's the way it's become an open market and we're

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Speaker 3: just leasing guys for six months.

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 3: This sport is in a very strange space right now,

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Speaker 3: and specifically in my territory in the Big Ten. I've

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Speaker 3: been told there's two teams that are quote unquote contenders.

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Speaker 3: As little as a week ago, people were trying to

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Speaker 3: get me to consider Wisconsin as a.

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Speaker 1: Two seed in the NCAA tournament. They look horrible.

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Speaker 3: They look horrible right now, they've lost four straight games.

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Speaker 3: This is the same team, mind you, there was an

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Speaker 3: NIT team last season returned everybody added aj Store, But

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Speaker 3: aj Store just took Connor a Siegen's place. And yes,

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Speaker 3: he's better than a Siegon, Don't get me wrong. There's

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Speaker 3: no question he's more athletic, he's quicker. But when you

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Speaker 3: replace your most potent offensive weapon on the perimeter with

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Speaker 3: a different potent offensive weapon and nothing else changes, your

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Speaker 3: team build didn't really change much. And I think we're

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Speaker 3: seeing that right now now as they lose at Michigan

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Speaker 3: and at Rutgers blown out at the rack by a

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Speaker 3: Rutgers team that is not going to make the NCAA tournament.

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Speaker 3: I'm really unimpressed with them. And then Illinois, the other

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Speaker 3: one of the Big ten boys. You can't blame them

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Speaker 3: too much for going on the route and losing to

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Speaker 3: Michigan State, but I can blame them for how they

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Speaker 3: lost to Michigan State. I mean, an eight point lead

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Speaker 3: with five minutes left in that game and the ball

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Speaker 3: just stops.

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Speaker 4: I mean end game scenarios. It gets ugly at times.

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Speaker 3: It's it's gross, and I'm trying to diagnose it. I

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Speaker 3: think it's largely because they don't have a true point

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Speaker 3: guard one. They put Ty Rodgers on the bench. He's

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Speaker 3: the pseudo point guard for this team, but Arren Shannon Junior.

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Speaker 3: The special things about Tarren Shannon are, Wow, just get

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Speaker 3: him the ball and transition and watch them go coast

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Speaker 3: to coast when they're trying to kill clock, when they're

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Speaker 3: trying to hold the lead.

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Speaker 1: You don't use those talents at all.

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Speaker 3: It turns into some ball stopping guys just standing and watching.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, and my Frost taking.

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Speaker 4: Bad shots like just hoisting.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, it's gross.

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Speaker 3: So I look, this is why I'm resentful this morning.

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Speaker 3: I think it's my team's doing this to me. But

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Speaker 3: I'm just selling a lot of the country right now

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Speaker 3: outside of Purdue in Yukon, and as a fan of

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Speaker 3: the sport, it kind of scares me.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, Greg, the Lions fan. Two weeks of non lines coverage,

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Speaker 4: non lines, and Super Bowl comes out salty on this

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Speaker 4: Monday morning, has expected Randa, what do you got from

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Speaker 4: the weekend?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, besides the obvious with Kentucky and look, I know

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Speaker 2: that there's some buyout or there's something where Cali Powry

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Speaker 2: can transition into the athletic director position, but guys, he

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Speaker 2: is a let's go guy. He has never been a tactician,

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Speaker 2: and that's been exposed three straight losses at home. He

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Speaker 2: usually banked on accumulating talent. The running joke I had

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Speaker 2: years ago is he had thirty six stars worth of recruits.

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Speaker 2: That's five five stars and two four stars, whatever the

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Speaker 2: combination was, and in the end they just cannot now

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Speaker 2: stop anyone and it's a huge, huge problem. The other

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Speaker 2: issue is what he's even more damning His team's just

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Speaker 2: and not win on the road. Now in college basketball

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Speaker 2: late in the year, teams are jocking for position, trying

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Speaker 2: to get into March Madas. It is impossible to win

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Speaker 2: on the road, which is what makes gonzagis win even

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Speaker 2: more damning at Kentucky. You so, Auburn get to go

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Speaker 2: to Florida get absolutely destroyed, Arizona, who we all thought

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Speaker 2: was gonna suffer against Colorado somehow fights and gets the win.

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Speaker 2: And Washington State even wins on the road at Oregon.

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Speaker 2: So what I'm noticing is if you're able to get

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Speaker 2: a road win in conference, even Houston, who wonted Cincinnati

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Speaker 2: but did not cover five and a half, that is

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Speaker 2: really impressive. So you have to start with the fact

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Speaker 2: of can this team possibly win on the road, and

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Speaker 2: the thing we have to remember when you get to

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Speaker 2: March medis those are neutral sites. So you're gonna look

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Speaker 2: at a lot of these losses, like greag brought up Wisconsin,

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Speaker 2: a lot of them at Nebraska, at Rutgers. They can

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Speaker 2: possibly get it going again because now we're going to

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Speaker 2: neutral sites. But winning on the road is impossible, which

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Speaker 2: is why when it happens, it's really eye opening. Terrible

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Speaker 2: weekend for Kentucky.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, speaking of Kentucky, it's you know, like if Save

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Speaker 4: Patino was there, By the way, my rant is Saint

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Speaker 4: John's not covering. I have eight and a half missed

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Speaker 4: their last seven layups, and Tyler Kolloch just put's a

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Speaker 4: dagger in my eye with a step back thirty foot

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Speaker 4: when Saint John's just had conceded the game to win

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Speaker 4: by eleven and Saint couldn't make a layup to save

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Speaker 4: their life. It was just a slow, cruel death from

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Speaker 4: up fifteen. But instead I had Patino like, Okay, you

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Speaker 4: know that your team can't defend and it's multiple, it's

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Speaker 4: off the ball, it's you know, in pick and rolls

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Speaker 4: at the rim. Okay, well let's try. Let's let's maybe

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Speaker 4: try zone. Let's play a matchup, so let's press use

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Speaker 4: our athletes, like, let's let's try something else before March

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Speaker 4: comes around. And there they just continue to get roasted

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Speaker 4: across the board defensively. But my yeah, so bad weekend,

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Speaker 4: another bad result for Kentucky. My my key takeaways are one,

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Speaker 4: I tweeted this out as a joke, but Texas A

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Speaker 4: and M is the best team in the country when

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Speaker 4: they make threes, but which is not true. But when

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Speaker 4: they do make threes, as you saw against Tennessee, that

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Speaker 4: team is super dangerous. They're gonna be like an eight

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Speaker 4: or nine. Now, the problem is they still like they

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Speaker 4: still can't defend elite, elite bigs. There will be a

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Speaker 4: problem if you like, if they got Purdue or Yukon,

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Speaker 4: But who's the one that has to play Texas A

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Speaker 4: and M. And if Radford and Taylor are making threes,

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Speaker 4: they are just a pest and they're gonna get Anderson

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Speaker 4: Garcia is going to get a million offensive rebounds. But

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Speaker 4: when they're actually making threes, that team is super dangerous.

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Speaker 4: And on the other end, it's really disappointed in Colorado.

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Speaker 4: I mean, one of the best spots of the college

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Speaker 4: basketball season, you get Arizona and altitude, it's already a

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Speaker 4: tough one of the hardest trips going from Utah. Get

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Speaker 4: them off triple overtime and they look they were out worked,

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Speaker 4: out hustled. So I was super descent. That was a

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Speaker 4: huge opportunity of Colorado, which I think at the season

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Speaker 4: end of the day, they're probably an outside looking in.

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Speaker 4: That team is way too much talent in that spot

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Speaker 4: to come up that empty against Arizona. But credit to

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Speaker 4: the Wildcats for that win. But let's speaking of the Bubble.

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Speaker 4: Let's talk about some buy and sell four teams on

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Speaker 4: the Bubble. I'm like, you usually don't do this episode

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Speaker 4: with us, but Greg tends to buy teams high. He

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Speaker 4: does it the opposite and sell low. So it was

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Speaker 4: my favorite part of the week to see who Greg

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Speaker 4: is buying. I'm expecting him. Well, it's tough with the

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Speaker 4: bubble team, so maybe I'll say, I'll try to guess

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Speaker 4: Greg is buying Florida Florida after they demolised Auburn. But Greg,

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Speaker 4: I'll start with you who you buying?

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Speaker 3: So Florida was the first team written down When I

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Speaker 3: was researching this over the weekend, I did. I did

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Speaker 3: erase them stuck because I gotta keep you guessing. And

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Speaker 3: for the record, I did it right for the first

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Speaker 3: time last week, the all season first time I bought low,

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Speaker 3: I sold high. I sold Dayton, they lose, I bought

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Speaker 3: uh well, I guess Loyola Chicago was winning. I didn't

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Speaker 3: buy low, but they keep winning. So I was two

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Speaker 3: for two last week. As far as I'm concerned, Yeah, yeah, somehow,

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Speaker 3: some way. It's never pretty, but it's working. For Drew Valentine,

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna buy Seaton Hall, which I think officially qualifies

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Speaker 3: as buying extremely low after they just got destroyed by Villanova.

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Speaker 3: The whole thing with Seaton Hall to me is is

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Speaker 3: Kadari Richmond healthy or not? To me, clearly not healthy

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Speaker 3: right now. If he doesn't get healthy, they're cooked. I'm

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Speaker 3: going to assume that he gets healthy. By the end

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Speaker 3: of this season. He was stellar, looking like a lock

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Speaker 3: first team All Big East guy. He missed the two

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Speaker 3: games that they lost to Providence and Marquette he's returned.

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Speaker 3: Since he's returned, he hasn't played thirty minutes in a

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Speaker 3: basketball game. He was basically never coming off the floor

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Speaker 3: before this. Every single game was like thirty six minutes.

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Speaker 3: To me, that's the obvious outlier here. He's got a

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Speaker 3: month to get right. The thing is they're going to

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Speaker 3: need some of these games, so he doesn't have two

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Speaker 3: weeks to sort of work his way back slowly. But

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Speaker 3: I like the way their schedule opens up. Four of

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Speaker 3: their last seven are at home. The three that are

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Speaker 3: not at home are all markey win opportunities on the road,

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Speaker 3: which if you are a bubble team sometimes that's actually

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Speaker 3: what you want. It's counterintuitive to what fans sometimes think.

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Speaker 3: It's like you just want an easy schedule. No, you

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Speaker 3: want opportunities to boost your resume so that you can

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Speaker 3: jump over other teams that aren't picking up quad one

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Speaker 3: wins this late in the season. They go at Saint John's,

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Speaker 3: at Creighton, and at Yukon. Outside of the four they

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Speaker 3: should win at home against none of the top Big

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Speaker 3: East teams. If they can take care of business at home,

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Speaker 3: steal one of those three on the road, go five

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Speaker 3: and two to end the regular season. I think they're

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Speaker 3: in the tournament for sure right now. They're on the

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Speaker 3: twelve line according to bracket Matrix. But I still believe

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Speaker 3: in this team. They're toughest nails. They defend their butts off,

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Speaker 3: even though metrics don't say they're a great defense, Like,

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Speaker 3: they really can make things tough with all those guards,

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Speaker 3: the speed and athleticism they have on the perimeter. They

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Speaker 3: just need Kadari Richmond healthy. And I really really trust

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Speaker 3: this team.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, Seton Hall next has Xavier at home on Wednesday,

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Speaker 4: and Xavier is actually one of the teams I'm selling,

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Speaker 4: so that matches up as a potential good spot for

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Speaker 4: seat Hall. Games should be around a pick, I mean

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Speaker 4: with so, I'll just touch on Xavier. I'll mention another

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Speaker 4: sell later. But I think that you know, I got

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Speaker 4: to give Sean Miller a ton of credit for what

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Speaker 4: he's done with this team, but I feel like they've

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Speaker 4: just hit their peak and they can't really do much.

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Speaker 4: No Fremantle, no Hunter. I mean, they were expected to

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Speaker 4: have both of them this year as potential all Big

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Speaker 4: East players and they're out for the season. They just

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Speaker 4: rely on such tough shots. And you know, if you

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Speaker 4: look at their wins their last three wins home against Villanova,

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Speaker 4: home against Saint John's at DePaul before then home against Georgetown,

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Speaker 4: home against Butler. Yeah, so I mean, I'm not really

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Speaker 4: impressed with their wins. I think there's going to be

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Speaker 4: some opportunities to fade them, starting with Wednesday against Seton Hall.

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Speaker 4: So I'm on board with you there. But let me

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Speaker 4: throw it to Mike Bredall. Who are you looking to

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Speaker 4: buy from the bubble?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know if this is really a bubble

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Speaker 2: team because of the win against North Carolina. But guys,

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Speaker 2: I've been very cool on Clemson for most of the year,

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Speaker 2: and I'm starting to come around. Fourteen seasons at Clemson

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Speaker 2: for Brad Brommel, only three trips to the NCAA Tournament,

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Speaker 2: last one was in twenty twenty one and they lost

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Speaker 2: in the first round. But I've watched this team now.

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Speaker 2: They're very impressive. So I'm buying them as a team

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Speaker 2: that can make the second weekend. Even though right now

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Speaker 2: they're projected around a seven to eight seed, they are

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Speaker 2: very dangerous in that eight to nine matchup rest of

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Speaker 2: the season Miami, NC State, Georgia Tech, Florida State, Pittsburgh,

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame, Syracuse, all of which they're projected to win,

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Speaker 2: and then Wake Forest Away Battle at the end. Right now,

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Speaker 2: they are sixteen and six, just six and six in

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Speaker 2: the ACC. So yes, they beat North carol they beat

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Speaker 2: Syracuse Sincaurtay, no one noticed and no one cared. But

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Speaker 2: this team has a fantastic big and PJ Hall. They

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Speaker 2: make their free throws, they're great on the offensive boards.

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Speaker 2: Schifflin is one of the most underrated players in the country.

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Speaker 2: Just does everything that's winning plays. Joe Girard can make

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Speaker 2: big threes and he did so against North Carolina. So

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Speaker 2: as much as Brad Brommel is not sexy, and no

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Speaker 2: one thinks that Clemson is a team that can make

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Speaker 2: a run, they have some really impressive matchups and look

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Speaker 2: at their metrics here. They are twenty ninth in the NET.

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Speaker 2: They have eighteenth overall and strength to schedule, and they

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Speaker 2: got four Quad one wins. Now, the loss that's brutal

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Speaker 2: is the Quad three loss where they lost at home

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Speaker 2: to Georgia Tech. So that's going to keep people off

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Speaker 2: their sinse. So not buying them stuck out against the

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Speaker 2: rules to get in the NCAA tournament, but buying them

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Speaker 2: as a team that can make a substantial run here.

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Speaker 2: And no one really thinks anything about Clemson because they

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Speaker 2: have no history in the NCAA tournament recently under Brommel.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, as of right now, Clemson is as a sixth seed,

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Speaker 4: but so I don't know what we'll count. I mean,

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Speaker 4: what are we going to do. We can't scrap this

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Speaker 4: from the audio, but I think it's a good team

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Speaker 4: to bring up. You know, their last three losses Georgia Tech.

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Speaker 4: You mentioned double overtime, Duke by one foul with one

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Speaker 4: second left, and then Virginia by one. Uh. The only

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Speaker 4: I worry a little bit of just about their their

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Speaker 4: guards defensively and staying in front of other like elite

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Speaker 4: guards is a bit problematic for me. But yeah, when PJ.

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Speaker 4: Hall is on and and think about it. In league play,

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Speaker 4: they're thirteenth and three point percentage and three point percentage against,

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Speaker 4: so they have some potential looming and regression shooting regression

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Speaker 4: on both ends as well. Let's I guess I'll throw

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Speaker 4: up my bye I'm potentially buying?

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Speaker 1: Is this?

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Speaker 4: Is this the low point of Miami. I know they

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Speaker 4: have issues on defense. It haven't been healthy all year.

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Speaker 4: They need George back. He didn't play on Saturday against

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Speaker 4: you and see where they covered. But I mentioned Miami

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Speaker 4: just because you know, when They're a team that made

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Speaker 4: or run last year in the tournament when they're fully

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Speaker 4: healthy and they're the other on the outside looking into

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Speaker 4: the bubble. But when they're fully health healthy, I think

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Speaker 4: they're dangerous and they're gonna be worth a look in

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Speaker 4: the ACC. I think as a flyer to win the

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Speaker 4: ACC because it's duke you NC, but you know then

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Speaker 4: it's it's just a double mess. Depending on what the

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Speaker 4: draw looks like, Miami could be an intriguing option to

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Speaker 4: play themselves in. I'm going to take a page out

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Speaker 4: of Greg's book and also buy high on a team

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Speaker 4: that want just beat back to back ranked opponents for

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Speaker 4: the first time in program history. But I'm buying Nevada.

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Speaker 4: I their defense is trending up if you look at

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Speaker 4: all the events. Matters kind of bottomed out in that

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Speaker 4: New Mexico game where I think they gave up eighty seven,

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Speaker 4: but with black Sheer and Lucas who are tough shot makers,

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Speaker 4: and then you have such versus to their I think

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Speaker 4: Alfred has really gotten the handle of Pali wants to

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Speaker 4: use his lineup because there's such versatility. If you use

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Speaker 4: kJ Hines, who will find a way to foul out,

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Speaker 4: but give you twenty minutes of really good defense on

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Speaker 4: the interior and you got a really stout defensive unit

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Speaker 4: with him in there. Or you can can go with Davidson.

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Speaker 4: And Davidson is playing so well of late, I think

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Speaker 4: he's raised the ceiling of this team. But you can

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Speaker 4: go you know, when Jims in fautroport where you sit him,

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Speaker 4: you go with Davidson at the five, and then you have,

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Speaker 4: you know, a much more versatile and explosive offensive team.

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Speaker 4: So I think as of bright Net, I think Nevada

406
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Speaker 4: they're right on the border. They're like the definition of

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Speaker 4: a bubble team. But I think if they get in

408
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Speaker 4: they're a team just because of their guard play that

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Speaker 4: can cause some teams some trouble. Let's go to the

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Speaker 4: other side and talk about teams. Bubble teams are looking

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Speaker 4: to sell Greg I'll throw it to you.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm gonna do it right. Oh go ahead, okay, gun.

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Speaker 1: So I'm gonna do this right, calling it what it is.

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Speaker 1: I'm selling high.

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Speaker 3: I don't think you can get higher than Gonzaga after

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Speaker 3: winning a Reparena.

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Speaker 1: I do not believe in this team.

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Speaker 3: This win was impressive in result, it was impressive in

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Speaker 3: the eye test first half, they were great. They scored

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Speaker 3: I believe every possession in the final twelve and a

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Speaker 3: half minutes except for four. Gonzaga scored the basketball in

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Speaker 3: this game, and they still almost lost Like that. That's

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Speaker 3: a Kentucky game.

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Speaker 1: Through and through.

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Speaker 3: Kentucky has the ball with a chance to tire win

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Speaker 3: with twenty seconds left.

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Speaker 1: We all saw what happened.

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Speaker 3: We know Cal's history with as Randall correctly alluded to,

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Speaker 3: He's not a tactician, he's.

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Speaker 1: A raw ra guy.

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Speaker 3: I still don't believe this Gonzaga team is anything special.

432
00:21:30,200 --> 00:21:33,359
Speaker 3: I was almost more frustrated with the fact that they

433
00:21:33,359 --> 00:21:35,399
Speaker 3: were letting Kentucky hang around. I mean, they have the

434
00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:37,960
Speaker 3: double digit lead at halftime, and before you can even

435
00:21:38,000 --> 00:21:39,960
Speaker 3: snap your fingers, Kentucky's.

436
00:21:39,520 --> 00:21:41,280
Speaker 1: Up six in the second half.

437
00:21:41,960 --> 00:21:44,960
Speaker 3: The Zags still are one in five against top sixty

438
00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:45,880
Speaker 3: opponents this year.

439
00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:46,920
Speaker 1: That's not changing.

440
00:21:47,320 --> 00:21:49,000
Speaker 3: And at the end of the season they go at

441
00:21:49,119 --> 00:21:51,640
Speaker 3: San Francisco and at Saint Mary's. I think a lot

442
00:21:51,720 --> 00:21:55,960
Speaker 3: of people are incorrectly assuming that Gonzaga is safely in

443
00:21:56,080 --> 00:21:56,760
Speaker 3: the field now.

444
00:21:56,840 --> 00:22:00,879
Speaker 1: They are still outside of the bubble to bracket matrix.

445
00:22:00,920 --> 00:22:03,600
Speaker 3: We'll see what all the updates look like this week,

446
00:22:03,680 --> 00:22:05,760
Speaker 3: but if they lose one of those two to end

447
00:22:05,800 --> 00:22:07,960
Speaker 3: the season, they're not going to be in the field

448
00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:10,800
Speaker 3: coming into the West Coast Conference Tournament. And if they

449
00:22:10,840 --> 00:22:13,640
Speaker 3: go head to head against Saint Mary's for a conference

450
00:22:13,680 --> 00:22:18,080
Speaker 3: tournament championship, I strongly believe Saint Mary's is the better team,

451
00:22:18,480 --> 00:22:20,359
Speaker 3: and not just because of the result the.

452
00:22:20,240 --> 00:22:21,240
Speaker 1: First game at the Kennel.

453
00:22:21,800 --> 00:22:25,280
Speaker 3: Saint Mary's is just playing significantly better, more consistent. You

454
00:22:25,320 --> 00:22:27,800
Speaker 3: know you can trust that defense night in and night out,

455
00:22:27,840 --> 00:22:29,760
Speaker 3: right now? You know you can trust Aiden Mahaney on

456
00:22:29,800 --> 00:22:33,000
Speaker 3: the offensive end. I don't trust a thing about Gonzaga

457
00:22:33,040 --> 00:22:35,280
Speaker 3: other than that they have enough firepower to blow out

458
00:22:35,280 --> 00:22:37,359
Speaker 3: the worst teams on their schedule and give them credit

459
00:22:37,359 --> 00:22:40,679
Speaker 3: for the desperation spot at Kentucky. To me, once again, boys,

460
00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:44,240
Speaker 3: it was more about who Kentucky is than anything impressive

461
00:22:44,280 --> 00:22:45,520
Speaker 3: that Gonzaga did in that win.

462
00:22:47,240 --> 00:22:51,520
Speaker 4: Yeah, I agree with you. I'm I'm that win did

463
00:22:51,560 --> 00:22:54,760
Speaker 4: nothing to I kind of just made question Kentucky more.

464
00:22:55,240 --> 00:22:58,639
Speaker 4: Maybe Kentuck will Kentucky takes a coup more losses. You

465
00:22:58,720 --> 00:23:00,359
Speaker 4: might be talking about them on the bubble for what

466
00:23:00,400 --> 00:23:04,199
Speaker 4: it's worth, But I agree with you not a fan

467
00:23:04,240 --> 00:23:08,040
Speaker 4: of this Kenzaga team even though they're they're they're improving

468
00:23:08,080 --> 00:23:11,199
Speaker 4: a bit, but I still don't think that they're a

469
00:23:11,240 --> 00:23:13,840
Speaker 4: threat to do any damage if they even get in.

470
00:23:14,920 --> 00:23:17,280
Speaker 4: And by the way, I mentioned Xavier before this is

471
00:23:17,320 --> 00:23:19,320
Speaker 4: I don't have anything really bad to say about this team.

472
00:23:19,320 --> 00:23:21,280
Speaker 4: But Washington State, who I think would be in the

473
00:23:21,280 --> 00:23:25,080
Speaker 4: field as of right now, just from a pure market perspective,

474
00:23:25,200 --> 00:23:27,399
Speaker 4: I think that they're probably at the peak of their value.

475
00:23:27,440 --> 00:23:30,119
Speaker 4: I mean, they've won what seven of eight, They have

476
00:23:30,119 --> 00:23:32,359
Speaker 4: a couple of games that they're going to be seen.

477
00:23:32,440 --> 00:23:34,639
Speaker 4: It's not great from the line, which could matters. Bigger

478
00:23:34,640 --> 00:23:37,399
Speaker 4: favorites coming up before they play Arizona and if they

479
00:23:37,400 --> 00:23:39,919
Speaker 4: take care of business, that game could be for the

480
00:23:39,960 --> 00:23:42,959
Speaker 4: PAC twelve regular season title. So it might be there

481
00:23:43,040 --> 00:23:44,920
Speaker 4: might be, you know, in the next couple of games,

482
00:23:45,359 --> 00:23:49,240
Speaker 4: might get a little bit of inflated numbers. With Washington State,

483
00:23:49,680 --> 00:23:53,280
Speaker 4: who I mean you talk about who they were supposed

484
00:23:53,280 --> 00:23:54,919
Speaker 4: to have and who they ended up having. Kyle Smith

485
00:23:55,480 --> 00:23:57,960
Speaker 4: potential coach of the year in my eyes, But Randall,

486
00:23:57,960 --> 00:23:59,880
Speaker 4: where you're going for a potential sell of.

487
00:23:59,840 --> 00:24:03,399
Speaker 2: A yeah in the Mountain West, guys, I think that

488
00:24:03,480 --> 00:24:06,640
Speaker 2: New Mexico is still very overvalued. If you look at

489
00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:08,840
Speaker 2: this team, New Mexico, they are number twenty two in

490
00:24:08,880 --> 00:24:11,560
Speaker 2: the NET, but their strength of schedule is one sixteen

491
00:24:11,680 --> 00:24:15,320
Speaker 2: and a gaudy two sixty six non conference strength of schedule.

492
00:24:15,560 --> 00:24:17,760
Speaker 2: So as much as we talked about the Guards weren't

493
00:24:17,760 --> 00:24:20,600
Speaker 2: healthy and they had some big wins at home, I

494
00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:22,959
Speaker 2: still don't know if they're one of the top teams

495
00:24:22,960 --> 00:24:24,280
Speaker 2: in the Mountain West. So I don't know how many

496
00:24:24,359 --> 00:24:26,479
Speaker 2: mount West is getting in, but I think New Mexico

497
00:24:26,520 --> 00:24:28,280
Speaker 2: would be on the other side here they've lost two

498
00:24:28,320 --> 00:24:30,440
Speaker 2: of their last three, but now they go away to

499
00:24:30,520 --> 00:24:33,959
Speaker 2: Nevada tomorrow, then away to San Diego State, so they

500
00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:36,399
Speaker 2: could very quickly just be seven and six in the

501
00:24:36,440 --> 00:24:38,920
Speaker 2: Mountain West. So enough of this six bits from the

502
00:24:38,960 --> 00:24:41,080
Speaker 2: Mountain West. I think I think you're looking at New

503
00:24:41,080 --> 00:24:44,280
Speaker 2: Mexico being in some serious trouble. And of course they

504
00:24:44,320 --> 00:24:47,240
Speaker 2: had the catastrophic loss at home to UNLV that is

505
00:24:47,240 --> 00:24:50,160
Speaker 2: a Quad three loss. So this team, if you look

506
00:24:50,160 --> 00:24:52,480
Speaker 2: at their metrics here in New Mexico two and two

507
00:24:52,480 --> 00:24:55,760
Speaker 2: against Quad one, two and two against Quad two, six

508
00:24:55,800 --> 00:24:59,800
Speaker 2: and one against Quad three. Their non conference really wasn't impressive.

509
00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:02,159
Speaker 2: Right now, I believe Stuck, you could correct me. New

510
00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:05,480
Speaker 2: Mexico is looking at like a ten seed something like that.

511
00:25:05,760 --> 00:25:08,240
Speaker 2: My prediction now is they do not make the NCAA

512
00:25:08,320 --> 00:25:12,080
Speaker 2: Tournament because I think teams like Utah State, Nevada, San

513
00:25:12,160 --> 00:25:14,520
Speaker 2: Diego State are all better than them and are going

514
00:25:14,560 --> 00:25:16,240
Speaker 2: to beat them. They're going to need a big run

515
00:25:16,520 --> 00:25:19,119
Speaker 2: in the Mountain West Tournament to even talk about making

516
00:25:19,240 --> 00:25:21,760
Speaker 2: the NCAA tournament because they don't have the resume. As

517
00:25:21,840 --> 00:25:24,160
Speaker 2: much as we love Patino, and they've had some gaudy wins,

518
00:25:24,160 --> 00:25:26,760
Speaker 2: scoring ninety nine points and home against Utah State, I

519
00:25:26,760 --> 00:25:29,080
Speaker 2: think they're a little overvalued. I'm going to sell them.

520
00:25:29,680 --> 00:25:31,520
Speaker 4: Yeah. New Mexicano I think is safely in as of

521
00:25:31,600 --> 00:25:33,600
Speaker 4: right now. I think they're probably like a seven or eight,

522
00:25:34,080 --> 00:25:37,239
Speaker 4: but they could play themselves out and you could get

523
00:25:37,280 --> 00:25:40,680
Speaker 4: some cannibalization. I still question that. I have questions about

524
00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:43,440
Speaker 4: their defense, that they're not turning teams over, and that's

525
00:25:43,440 --> 00:25:47,040
Speaker 4: why I'm looking to buy Nevada again. At home, Nevada

526
00:25:47,080 --> 00:25:50,200
Speaker 4: doesn't turn the ball over, and then they'll be able

527
00:25:50,240 --> 00:25:53,520
Speaker 4: to score on this Mexica team that just that you know,

528
00:25:53,760 --> 00:25:56,080
Speaker 4: swept by UNL of eight, which could end up costing

529
00:25:56,119 --> 00:25:59,720
Speaker 4: them if they suffer a few more losses here down

530
00:25:59,760 --> 00:26:00,440
Speaker 4: the show stretch.

531
00:26:00,600 --> 00:26:03,439
Speaker 2: Yeah, and stuck there. Their road wins this year away

532
00:26:03,480 --> 00:26:06,840
Speaker 2: from home road wins, true road wins, New Mexico State,

533
00:26:07,280 --> 00:26:10,760
Speaker 2: Air Force, San Jose State, and Wyoming. Those are the

534
00:26:10,760 --> 00:26:13,639
Speaker 2: only substantial losses they had away from home besides Neutral

535
00:26:13,680 --> 00:26:16,720
Speaker 2: of course, which Toledo Rice pepperdine, it is what it.

536
00:26:16,640 --> 00:26:20,880
Speaker 4: Is yep, And yeah, I think that if Nevada win

537
00:26:21,080 --> 00:26:25,800
Speaker 4: beats New Mexico then as if the season ended, then

538
00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:29,560
Speaker 4: Nevada beats to Mexico tomorrow and the season ended Wednesday,

539
00:26:29,720 --> 00:26:33,320
Speaker 4: I think the Mountain West would have six teams in,

540
00:26:33,720 --> 00:26:36,720
Speaker 4: but there's a couple that could certainly play their way out.

541
00:26:36,840 --> 00:26:41,440
Speaker 4: Nevada is trending up, but they that lost to Wyoming

542
00:26:41,640 --> 00:26:44,280
Speaker 4: could end up hurting them in the end. But they're

543
00:26:44,320 --> 00:26:48,120
Speaker 4: definitely trending up in New Mexico. Yeah, there's just defensive

544
00:26:48,119 --> 00:26:50,400
Speaker 4: issues if they don't turn other teams over.

545
00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:54,560
Speaker 5: This podcast is probably desented by BETMGM the's bonus code

546
00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:56,879
Speaker 5: action when signing up to get up to one hundred

547
00:26:56,880 --> 00:26:58,680
Speaker 5: and fifty eight dollars and bonus bets when you bet

548
00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:02,959
Speaker 5: five dollars users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, I will Kentucky,

549
00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:06,800
Speaker 5: the Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Jersey, while Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia,

550
00:27:06,840 --> 00:27:09,440
Speaker 5: West Virginia, and Wyoming. Terms guesses supply must be twenty

551
00:27:09,480 --> 00:27:12,400
Speaker 5: one or older. Gambling problem call one eight hundred gambler.

552
00:27:13,080 --> 00:27:16,280
Speaker 4: Let's talk about why most of you are listening, and

553
00:27:16,280 --> 00:27:21,520
Speaker 4: that's some early week looks. You go Monday Tuesday. If

554
00:27:21,560 --> 00:27:24,400
Speaker 4: you want to even mention something on Wednesday, feel free

555
00:27:24,440 --> 00:27:26,760
Speaker 4: to do so. But Greg, what are you looking at

556
00:27:27,000 --> 00:27:28,200
Speaker 4: for the early week?

557
00:27:29,119 --> 00:27:32,000
Speaker 3: I'm going to go to a play tonight, and there's

558
00:27:32,080 --> 00:27:36,920
Speaker 3: some questions with this one, but I feel confident enough

559
00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:40,160
Speaker 3: to make a guess at what to suspect. I'm going

560
00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:42,080
Speaker 3: to Texas Tech minus two and a half at home

561
00:27:42,080 --> 00:27:45,360
Speaker 3: against Kansas tax twelve and one at home. The questions

562
00:27:45,400 --> 00:27:50,200
Speaker 3: I'm referring to are Kansas's injury situation. Dwan Harris suffered

563
00:27:50,200 --> 00:27:53,200
Speaker 3: an injury against Baylor. It didn't look great. Bill self

564
00:27:53,320 --> 00:27:56,560
Speaker 3: with some very ominous quotes after the game, both about

565
00:27:56,600 --> 00:27:59,800
Speaker 3: Harris and Kevin mccullor, who was scratched an hour before

566
00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:03,320
Speaker 3: Baylor game over the weekend. About Kevin mccullor, he said,

567
00:28:03,359 --> 00:28:05,639
Speaker 3: I can't imagine he'll be much better Monday if he

568
00:28:05,640 --> 00:28:09,000
Speaker 3: could barely move today. Self also alluded to the fact

569
00:28:09,040 --> 00:28:13,280
Speaker 3: that the game plan against Baylor was to play extremely slow.

570
00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:16,560
Speaker 3: That's not normal for Kansas when they are at full strength.

571
00:28:16,600 --> 00:28:18,160
Speaker 3: They like to get up and run their one hundred

572
00:28:18,160 --> 00:28:20,920
Speaker 3: and sixth in tempo over the course of the season

573
00:28:21,200 --> 00:28:22,920
Speaker 3: against Baylor, I mean that was a sixty four to

574
00:28:22,960 --> 00:28:25,760
Speaker 3: sixty one ballgame. They wanted to limit possessions because they

575
00:28:25,760 --> 00:28:29,359
Speaker 3: had to play Nick Timberlake thirty one minutes boys Nick Timberlake,

576
00:28:29,400 --> 00:28:32,399
Speaker 3: who oh, by the way, gave up two wide open

577
00:28:32,600 --> 00:28:34,800
Speaker 3: threes and missed a front end in the final minute

578
00:28:34,800 --> 00:28:36,040
Speaker 3: to try to give this game away.

579
00:28:36,840 --> 00:28:39,080
Speaker 1: I think Kansas is legitimately banged up.

580
00:28:39,120 --> 00:28:41,840
Speaker 3: I would guess Harris tries to play through whatever his

581
00:28:41,920 --> 00:28:44,320
Speaker 3: stuff is, and mccullor I would be surprised if he

582
00:28:44,360 --> 00:28:47,000
Speaker 3: goes tonight regardless. I don't think we're going to see

583
00:28:47,000 --> 00:28:49,400
Speaker 3: thirty five minutes from either of those guys on the

584
00:28:49,480 --> 00:28:52,480
Speaker 3: road against a Tech team that really needs a marquee

585
00:28:52,520 --> 00:28:55,160
Speaker 3: win to boost their seed. Situation right now, and they

586
00:28:55,200 --> 00:28:57,320
Speaker 3: love playing slow. If Bill Salth's going to slow it

587
00:28:57,360 --> 00:29:00,160
Speaker 3: down again, that plays right into the way Texas tech play.

588
00:29:00,400 --> 00:29:02,360
Speaker 3: I'll take minus two and a half. And I think

589
00:29:02,400 --> 00:29:05,640
Speaker 3: that line, honestly, for it being there to me, tells

590
00:29:05,640 --> 00:29:08,720
Speaker 3: me these are true game time decisions. If one of

591
00:29:08,760 --> 00:29:10,400
Speaker 3: them are out, I think there's a lot of value

592
00:29:10,400 --> 00:29:11,480
Speaker 3: on the Red Raiders.

593
00:29:12,320 --> 00:29:14,560
Speaker 4: Yeah, I agree, I played this as well. I think

594
00:29:14,600 --> 00:29:17,360
Speaker 4: that there's a chance both of them are out quick turnaround.

595
00:29:17,360 --> 00:29:19,600
Speaker 4: You know Kansas safely in the tournament. It's like do

596
00:29:19,600 --> 00:29:23,360
Speaker 4: you want to risk further injury? It's like get these

597
00:29:23,360 --> 00:29:26,360
Speaker 4: guys healthy on a quick turnaround. And this isn't This

598
00:29:26,480 --> 00:29:29,719
Speaker 4: Kansas team doesn't have great depth as it is. You

599
00:29:29,760 --> 00:29:33,120
Speaker 4: take mccollor out there, who's great on defense, gives you shooting,

600
00:29:33,560 --> 00:29:37,000
Speaker 4: can create, and then until you take Harris out, then

601
00:29:37,360 --> 00:29:42,040
Speaker 4: you're getting Timberlake and then Almarco Jackson's got to play

602
00:29:42,040 --> 00:29:45,959
Speaker 4: point right, he's been. He's got like a twenty eight

603
00:29:45,960 --> 00:29:48,560
Speaker 4: to thirty percent turnover rate. I mean, Dwan Harris does

604
00:29:48,600 --> 00:29:50,800
Speaker 4: so much for that team. So if him and mccullor

605
00:29:50,800 --> 00:29:53,600
Speaker 4: are out, Yeah, this line's way too short. Randall, what

606
00:29:53,640 --> 00:29:54,720
Speaker 4: are you looking at for early week?

607
00:29:55,320 --> 00:29:56,960
Speaker 2: I give josh I Lit a lot of credit. He

608
00:29:57,000 --> 00:29:59,880
Speaker 2: came into an impossible situation at West Virginia with Bob

609
00:30:00,360 --> 00:30:03,360
Speaker 2: and this team competed early. But folks, if you look

610
00:30:03,400 --> 00:30:05,760
Speaker 2: at their schedule, find me the win they had away

611
00:30:05,800 --> 00:30:08,760
Speaker 2: from home. Oh, you cannot. They are eight and fifteen.

612
00:30:08,800 --> 00:30:11,120
Speaker 2: They are three and seven in the Big Twelve. Now

613
00:30:11,160 --> 00:30:13,640
Speaker 2: they're going to TCU, who needs this game in the

614
00:30:13,680 --> 00:30:16,680
Speaker 2: worst way. The lines around twelve, I do not care.

615
00:30:16,840 --> 00:30:19,680
Speaker 2: West Virginia plays at a very fast pace. They don't

616
00:30:19,720 --> 00:30:23,000
Speaker 2: rebound the ball, they can't score, they can't make free throws,

617
00:30:23,160 --> 00:30:25,520
Speaker 2: and they've been struggling on the road. TCU, coming off

618
00:30:25,520 --> 00:30:28,400
Speaker 2: of two losses, needs this game. Sixteen and seven, five

619
00:30:28,440 --> 00:30:30,720
Speaker 2: and five. I think they get the win. I'm not

620
00:30:30,760 --> 00:30:33,120
Speaker 2: worried about a backdoor cover here. I think TCU wins

621
00:30:33,160 --> 00:30:35,520
Speaker 2: soundly with their pace, gets up and down the floor,

622
00:30:35,560 --> 00:30:38,040
Speaker 2: scores and hits some threes, which they've been able to do,

623
00:30:38,160 --> 00:30:41,280
Speaker 2: shooting thirty nine point six percent in Big twelve play.

624
00:30:41,320 --> 00:30:44,800
Speaker 2: So I'll take TCU here big over West Virginia tonight.

625
00:30:45,880 --> 00:30:50,200
Speaker 4: Yeah. West Virginia person entergy twelve percentile in transition defense

626
00:30:51,040 --> 00:30:55,400
Speaker 4: efficiency that's bad against TCU, very very bad. Who wants

627
00:30:55,440 --> 00:31:00,560
Speaker 4: to get out and run as much as humanly possible.

628
00:31:01,720 --> 00:31:03,800
Speaker 4: I agree with Greg for Monday night. I agreed with

629
00:31:03,840 --> 00:31:09,479
Speaker 4: you tonight on Texas Tech. I'll also throw out well,

630
00:31:09,640 --> 00:31:12,520
Speaker 4: and I also mentioned Nevada tomorrow night. They don't turn

631
00:31:12,560 --> 00:31:14,840
Speaker 4: the ball over, and I think at home, where they've

632
00:31:14,880 --> 00:31:18,040
Speaker 4: been so good against New Mexico, they're going to be

633
00:31:18,080 --> 00:31:21,280
Speaker 4: able to score, and I think they match up pretty

634
00:31:21,280 --> 00:31:23,160
Speaker 4: well with the Lobos. I'll be looking to buy them

635
00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:30,600
Speaker 4: at a game, hopefully around a pick and let's I'm

636
00:31:30,600 --> 00:31:33,840
Speaker 4: actually buying Florida as a threat in the tournament, but

637
00:31:34,240 --> 00:31:36,920
Speaker 4: they might be a little bit too overvalued after their

638
00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:41,440
Speaker 4: huge win over Auburn. Against LSU, LSU can turn Florida

639
00:31:41,480 --> 00:31:43,719
Speaker 4: over Florida. That's not looking to shoot a ton of threes,

640
00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:46,240
Speaker 4: which is really how you beat ls u's aggressive defense,

641
00:31:46,800 --> 00:31:49,640
Speaker 4: and LSU can compete on the glass here depend near

642
00:31:49,680 --> 00:31:52,040
Speaker 4: the rim, So I think we might get a bit

643
00:31:52,080 --> 00:31:55,200
Speaker 4: of a deflated number and a pretty bad spot for Florida.

644
00:31:55,280 --> 00:31:58,120
Speaker 4: But I do like where Todd Golden has his team going,

645
00:31:58,720 --> 00:32:01,560
Speaker 4: and they they do have a ton of potential to

646
00:32:01,600 --> 00:32:04,960
Speaker 4: be they keep improving. They could be scary and make

647
00:32:05,000 --> 00:32:09,520
Speaker 4: at least just a second weekend in March. Greg, what

648
00:32:09,560 --> 00:32:10,560
Speaker 4: else you got for early week?

649
00:32:11,400 --> 00:32:13,640
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go back to my Big Ten territory one

650
00:32:13,680 --> 00:32:16,360
Speaker 3: of the teams I alluded to being frustrated with this morning.

651
00:32:16,360 --> 00:32:20,000
Speaker 3: I'm going with Illinois minus whatever the number is against

652
00:32:20,040 --> 00:32:23,520
Speaker 3: Michigan on Tuesday. I like an alternate line. I like

653
00:32:23,560 --> 00:32:26,840
Speaker 3: whatever you need. This Michigan team is absolutely dead. Boys

654
00:32:26,920 --> 00:32:31,280
Speaker 3: without Doug McDaniel on the road that strange academic suspension,

655
00:32:31,560 --> 00:32:33,880
Speaker 3: they simply have no answers. They went on the road

656
00:32:33,920 --> 00:32:37,160
Speaker 3: to Nebraska, a Nebraska team, who mind you, was coming

657
00:32:37,200 --> 00:32:42,280
Speaker 3: off of some emotional losses to Illinois and Northwestern last week,

658
00:32:42,760 --> 00:32:45,720
Speaker 3: and Nebraska steamrolled them. I mean it was twenty five

659
00:32:45,760 --> 00:32:48,080
Speaker 3: to nine ten minutes into this game. They had a

660
00:32:48,120 --> 00:32:52,240
Speaker 3: thirty point lead in the first half. While Jalen Llewellyn,

661
00:32:52,320 --> 00:32:54,920
Speaker 3: the twenty four year old who plays in a bionic

662
00:32:55,280 --> 00:32:58,520
Speaker 3: leg brace, it just has no answers. I feel bad

663
00:32:58,600 --> 00:33:00,600
Speaker 3: for the players on Michigan at this point that they're

664
00:33:00,600 --> 00:33:03,840
Speaker 3: put in this situation, but they're not playing for anything.

665
00:33:03,880 --> 00:33:06,240
Speaker 3: They know the season's over half. These guys were leased

666
00:33:06,240 --> 00:33:10,280
Speaker 3: for six months. Illinois still is very much playing for seeding,

667
00:33:10,360 --> 00:33:13,719
Speaker 3: playing for serious things. They believe in their minds they

668
00:33:13,760 --> 00:33:15,920
Speaker 3: can still work their way into that final game of

669
00:33:15,960 --> 00:33:19,200
Speaker 3: the season at home against Purdue and have that means something.

670
00:33:19,240 --> 00:33:21,280
Speaker 3: There are a couple games back in the lost column,

671
00:33:21,360 --> 00:33:23,920
Speaker 3: but Illinois is undefeated off of the loss this year.

672
00:33:23,960 --> 00:33:27,640
Speaker 3: They've always bounced back with good performances. Brad Underwood owns

673
00:33:27,720 --> 00:33:30,840
Speaker 3: Juwan Howard. I believe he's won eight straight in the series,

674
00:33:31,160 --> 00:33:34,360
Speaker 3: many of them ugly. Whenever they've had the clear better team,

675
00:33:34,680 --> 00:33:38,320
Speaker 3: it's gotten gross. I think Illinois wins this game in

676
00:33:38,360 --> 00:33:42,320
Speaker 3: a let off some frustrations type performance. By twenty plus,

677
00:33:42,400 --> 00:33:44,880
Speaker 3: I'd be shocked. Ken Pom has the number at fourteen.

678
00:33:44,920 --> 00:33:47,040
Speaker 3: For what it's worth, I would guess honestly it opens

679
00:33:47,080 --> 00:33:49,719
Speaker 3: at like fifteen or sixteen, which is gonna seem huge.

680
00:33:49,720 --> 00:33:53,160
Speaker 3: But much like the perdue Indiana game, when a team's overmatched,

681
00:33:53,320 --> 00:33:56,240
Speaker 3: don't sweat it. Illinois will be way too much for Michigan.

682
00:33:57,840 --> 00:34:01,240
Speaker 4: You've had a good pulse on this Michigan team, especially

683
00:34:01,200 --> 00:34:04,600
Speaker 4: away from home. And if Michigan somehow's up at the half,

684
00:34:05,080 --> 00:34:08,440
Speaker 4: because there like sometimes this incredible first half team and

685
00:34:08,480 --> 00:34:12,279
Speaker 4: then they just completely melt in the second I think

686
00:34:12,280 --> 00:34:14,320
Speaker 4: you had Michigan State against them, right, and the Michigan

687
00:34:14,320 --> 00:34:17,600
Speaker 4: State was down at the half, and then just obliterated

688
00:34:17,640 --> 00:34:20,360
Speaker 4: them in the second half. Brandy got anything else for

689
00:34:20,400 --> 00:34:20,919
Speaker 4: their early week.

690
00:34:21,200 --> 00:34:23,880
Speaker 2: Shout out to Trading Places, the movie from the eighties

691
00:34:23,920 --> 00:34:27,839
Speaker 2: with danak Royd and Eddie Murphy. I am buying Wisconsin

692
00:34:27,920 --> 00:34:31,000
Speaker 2: here having lost four games in a row, now returning

693
00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:33,879
Speaker 2: home against Ohio State, now is the time to get

694
00:34:33,880 --> 00:34:36,279
Speaker 2: on the train. You have an Ohio State team that

695
00:34:36,360 --> 00:34:38,480
Speaker 2: is eight fifteen to one against the spread. They are

696
00:34:38,600 --> 00:34:41,400
Speaker 2: one in five on the road. Remember as much as

697
00:34:41,440 --> 00:34:44,800
Speaker 2: Wisconsin has struggled this year, look at their home battles.

698
00:34:44,840 --> 00:34:48,200
Speaker 2: It was Purdue at home. No shame there. Beat Michigan

699
00:34:48,200 --> 00:34:52,080
Speaker 2: State by fifteen, beat Indiana hung ninety one, beat Northwestern

700
00:34:52,120 --> 00:34:55,480
Speaker 2: by eight, beat Nebraska by sixteen, beat Iowa by eleven.

701
00:34:55,640 --> 00:34:58,680
Speaker 2: They're very good at home. This is a desperation stot spot.

702
00:34:58,760 --> 00:35:01,200
Speaker 2: Chris Holtman has struggled. He's had the nice win in

703
00:35:01,239 --> 00:35:04,799
Speaker 2: double overtime. That's fantastic. I think Wisconsin bounces back here.

704
00:35:05,080 --> 00:35:07,120
Speaker 2: Love them on the first half line. Whatever it is,

705
00:35:07,280 --> 00:35:09,880
Speaker 2: Ken Pom has it around nine. I think Ohios I

706
00:35:09,920 --> 00:35:13,240
Speaker 2: think Wisconsin beats Ohio State by double digits on Tuesday,

707
00:35:13,480 --> 00:35:15,000
Speaker 2: bounces back and gets right here.

708
00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:17,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, pretty good spot. And if you had Maryland by

709
00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:22,440
Speaker 4: the way against Ohio State on Saturday, I mean, I

710
00:35:22,440 --> 00:35:24,160
Speaker 4: don't know how many free throws they missed to put

711
00:35:24,400 --> 00:35:27,200
Speaker 4: to seal that game. And then it goes to double overtime.

712
00:35:27,480 --> 00:35:28,959
Speaker 4: They had a couple of shots to win the game,

713
00:35:29,360 --> 00:35:32,359
Speaker 4: it goes double overtime and there's a dunk and they

714
00:35:32,400 --> 00:35:36,080
Speaker 4: lose by four overtime. Losses in college basketball can be

715
00:35:36,120 --> 00:35:40,799
Speaker 4: so brutal. I'll mention one for tomorrow. Curious, Gregious, get

716
00:35:40,800 --> 00:35:44,759
Speaker 4: your thoughts on this. Cincinnati at home, this win. I

717
00:35:44,800 --> 00:35:47,160
Speaker 4: think they win this game. They'd be in the tournament

718
00:35:47,200 --> 00:35:49,600
Speaker 4: at the season ending today. Just a massive game for them.

719
00:35:49,880 --> 00:35:53,839
Speaker 4: Their losses lately lost by Ford, Oklahoma, five at Kansas,

720
00:35:54,200 --> 00:35:57,560
Speaker 4: they lost by four at West Virginia, five at home

721
00:35:57,719 --> 00:36:00,960
Speaker 4: to Houston, they lost by three at al Are one

722
00:36:01,800 --> 00:36:04,160
Speaker 4: to Texas. They've been so close in a number of

723
00:36:04,160 --> 00:36:07,200
Speaker 4: these games. They do a lot of the you know,

724
00:36:07,200 --> 00:36:10,200
Speaker 4: they do all of the peripheral things well. They can rebound,

725
00:36:10,560 --> 00:36:12,680
Speaker 4: they take care of the ball, they play, they play

726
00:36:12,840 --> 00:36:15,719
Speaker 4: really hard. They just got C. J. Frederick back. Well,

727
00:36:15,960 --> 00:36:18,319
Speaker 4: they could use his shooting. You know, he wasn't really

728
00:36:18,360 --> 00:36:19,759
Speaker 4: ready to go. I think he only played like two

729
00:36:19,880 --> 00:36:23,640
Speaker 4: or three minutes against Houston, but I'm expecting his usage

730
00:36:23,760 --> 00:36:27,759
Speaker 4: to ramp up a little bit more. And they've been

731
00:36:27,920 --> 00:36:29,720
Speaker 4: They're not a great shooting team, but they've been running

732
00:36:30,120 --> 00:36:32,120
Speaker 4: a little bad in conference place, so you could see

733
00:36:32,120 --> 00:36:35,239
Speaker 4: some positive regression there. But Iowa State here going to Cincinnati,

734
00:36:35,320 --> 00:36:38,040
Speaker 4: not an easy place to play. They just beat Texas

735
00:36:38,080 --> 00:36:40,560
Speaker 4: and TCU. They have Texas Tech and Houston coming up,

736
00:36:40,800 --> 00:36:42,960
Speaker 4: which could decide to go a long way and deciding

737
00:36:43,640 --> 00:36:47,319
Speaker 4: the Big twelve race. So potential little sleepy spot for

738
00:36:47,360 --> 00:36:50,520
Speaker 4: Iowa State. Cincinnati wants to run a lot, and you

739
00:36:50,560 --> 00:36:52,439
Speaker 4: have to get out and transition against the Siowa State

740
00:36:52,480 --> 00:36:54,880
Speaker 4: team when you can, so they can rebound, get out

741
00:36:54,920 --> 00:36:57,360
Speaker 4: and run because the Iowa State half court defense is

742
00:36:57,400 --> 00:37:00,759
Speaker 4: a menace and this this Iowa State offense, particularly the road. Still,

743
00:37:00,760 --> 00:37:04,120
Speaker 4: we'll go through long droughts, so I think this is

744
00:37:04,160 --> 00:37:06,719
Speaker 4: a good spot to back the Bearcats. Even you feel there, Greg.

745
00:37:07,239 --> 00:37:10,200
Speaker 1: So it's probably a stay away for me. I agree

746
00:37:10,200 --> 00:37:11,160
Speaker 1: with you on the spot.

747
00:37:11,440 --> 00:37:14,920
Speaker 3: It all signs point to Cincinnati right desperate team at

748
00:37:14,920 --> 00:37:16,759
Speaker 3: this point of the season for a resume win is

749
00:37:16,800 --> 00:37:20,480
Speaker 3: always something to look for. That said, I think Iowa

750
00:37:20,520 --> 00:37:24,480
Speaker 3: State is very legitimate on a national level, like this

751
00:37:24,680 --> 00:37:27,839
Speaker 3: is an elite defense with an elite point guard. They've

752
00:37:27,880 --> 00:37:29,719
Speaker 3: got one of the best freshmen in the country, and

753
00:37:29,800 --> 00:37:33,200
Speaker 3: I'm Chilovich like it's kind of all coming together for

754
00:37:33,320 --> 00:37:37,360
Speaker 3: ots here and you go through, Like the way to

755
00:37:37,400 --> 00:37:39,719
Speaker 3: summarize this broadly for both teams to me is like

756
00:37:40,160 --> 00:37:44,320
Speaker 3: Cincinnati just hasn't gotten over the hump against the cutoff

757
00:37:44,360 --> 00:37:45,799
Speaker 3: line in the Big Twelve. If you draw a line

758
00:37:45,800 --> 00:37:48,720
Speaker 3: halfway through the conference of the upper echelon of talented

759
00:37:48,719 --> 00:37:51,920
Speaker 3: teams and then the lower echelon, like their wins are UCF,

760
00:37:52,239 --> 00:37:56,280
Speaker 3: Texas Tech, and TCU. TCU is probably right around the cutoff.

761
00:37:56,280 --> 00:37:59,520
Speaker 3: Anytime they've played a Kansas A Houston and Oklahoma a Baylor,

762
00:37:59,680 --> 00:38:02,640
Speaker 3: they've lost those games BYU is the one that bucks

763
00:38:02,680 --> 00:38:05,400
Speaker 3: that trend for Cincinnati on the season. Iowa State's been

764
00:38:05,400 --> 00:38:07,120
Speaker 3: the flip side of that, and they have some great

765
00:38:07,120 --> 00:38:09,280
Speaker 3: wins as well. Don't get me wrong, but anytime Iowa

766
00:38:09,360 --> 00:38:12,360
Speaker 3: State has played a lower tier team in the Big twelve.

767
00:38:12,640 --> 00:38:14,960
Speaker 3: They've taken care of business, even if it hasn't been pretty.

768
00:38:15,200 --> 00:38:19,239
Speaker 3: So Spot says Cincinnati, Rain kind of says Iowa State

769
00:38:19,280 --> 00:38:20,799
Speaker 3: from me here, depending on what the number is.

770
00:38:20,840 --> 00:38:21,799
Speaker 1: Probably a stay away.

771
00:38:23,040 --> 00:38:25,240
Speaker 4: By the way, I love watching Gigsel James for Cincinnati.

772
00:38:25,239 --> 00:38:28,480
Speaker 4: He's gonna be a player. He's electric to watch. All right,

773
00:38:28,520 --> 00:38:32,040
Speaker 4: good stuff, gentlemen, thanks for joining me. Thanks to our

774
00:38:32,080 --> 00:38:35,360
Speaker 4: producer and I Mitchell on the back end. Other producer,

775
00:38:35,400 --> 00:38:37,600
Speaker 4: David is on vacation. Hope you enjoy your vacation. David

776
00:38:38,200 --> 00:38:39,960
Speaker 4: most mortally, thanks to all of you for tuning in

777
00:38:40,400 --> 00:38:43,480
Speaker 4: watching YouTube. Make sure you hit that like subscribe button.

778
00:38:44,360 --> 00:38:48,520
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779
00:38:48,560 --> 00:38:51,200
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780
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781
00:38:53,520 --> 00:38:57,200
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Speaker 4: does really help us out. So a friend selling, but

783
00:39:01,200 --> 00:39:02,880
Speaker 4: thanks for tuning in. Good luck on all of your

784
00:39:02,880 --> 00:39:04,680
Speaker 4: wages this week. Guys from three Man, we will be

785
00:39:04,719 --> 00:39:07,040
Speaker 4: back on Wednesday as always, and then we'll be back

786
00:39:07,640 --> 00:39:11,480
Speaker 4: later in the week for the weekend college basketball betting

787
00:39:11,520 --> 00:39:15,440
Speaker 4: preview and then ten thirty am Eastern every Saturday. I

788
00:39:15,440 --> 00:39:17,799
Speaker 4: think that's on Campus Live. Make sure you check us

789
00:39:17,840 --> 00:39:19,879
Speaker 4: up there on X but thanks for tuning in, Good

790
00:39:19,920 --> 00:39:22,359
Speaker 4: luck with all your wagers, and we'll see you later

791
00:39:22,400 --> 00:39:34,520
Speaker 4: in the week. Cheers. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

792
00:39:34,920 --> 00:39:37,760
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