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Speaker 1: It's the most wonderful time.

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Speaker 2: What's off the generation? Welcome to the Big Bets on

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Speaker 2: Campus podcast. This is the College Football Bowl Betting Preview,

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Speaker 2: Part four. I'm stuck in joining me as always my

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Speaker 2: VOC fellow co host Colin Wilson. If you hate bowl games,

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Speaker 2: go listen to NPR today. We will cover eleven bowls

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Speaker 2: in total Saturday through the first two on Tuesday. Won't

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Speaker 2: go too much in depth on the first two on Tuesday,

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Speaker 2: that's Alabama, Michigan, Washington, Louisville might be some more opt outs.

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Speaker 2: We will touch on what we like there and we'll

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Speaker 2: circle back on both of those games on Monday's episode

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Speaker 2: in part five. So we'll go nine games in depth,

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Speaker 2: mainly focusing on Saturday, which is one of the craziest

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Speaker 2: bowl slates I've ever seen in my life. Has there

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Speaker 2: ever been eight bowl games in a day?

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Speaker 1: It's like a regular Saturday, right, I mean, it's the

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Speaker 1: work felt like a regular Saturday in October.

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Speaker 2: It's insane. I do have to mention the highs and

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Speaker 2: lows a bowl season, and anyone out there that tells

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Speaker 2: you number one that these bowl games are meaningless is wrong.

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Speaker 2: Look at these kids crying on the field. Number two,

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Speaker 2: anyone who says these games are terrible, we need to

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Speaker 2: let them go is wrong again, because look at the

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Speaker 2: last two nights, the Hawaii Bowl the Potato Bowl. I

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Speaker 2: think our producer, I mean, I don't even know if

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Speaker 2: he has a family left, might be homeless by now.

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Speaker 1: Do you think it would kill you to say good

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Speaker 1: job man.

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Speaker 2: Over Christmas watching those two games. Christmas Eve was made

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Speaker 2: by the Hawaii Bowl, the highs and lows Colin from

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Speaker 2: the under that we loved in the Potato Bowl, which

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Speaker 2: is one of the worst beats. I think I had betting.

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Speaker 2: I was sitting there saying, we just need to dodge twenty.

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Speaker 2: We need to dodge overtime at twenty to twenty. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: I did not think thirteen to thirteen overtime we'd get there.

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Speaker 2: And since when are we playing for double overtime, three overtime,

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Speaker 2: four overtime, five overtimes in bowl games?

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Speaker 1: Right? Just go for two immediately. You got to go

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Speaker 1: for two anyway in the second overtime. It's a bowl game.

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Speaker 1: You were playing for fries. No, we're playing for the

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Speaker 1: best dump of our life. Listen, I'm gonna be on it.

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Speaker 1: Just could be completely honest.

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Speaker 2: You know that was the best dump of my career.

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Speaker 1: That Potato Bowl. Whether you had thirty nine, thirty eight

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Speaker 1: and a half, whether you had forty, or if you

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Speaker 1: bought a half point like mine, I waited, I got

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Speaker 1: forty one. Yeah, forty one, right. I did not think

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Speaker 1: college football at that level from boise and freezing temps

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Speaker 1: with a MAC team. I just didn't think that I

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Speaker 1: could get the emotions anymore, the ones that I used

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Speaker 1: to get when I was new to betting, the ones

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Speaker 1: that would tilt me so bad I had to take

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Speaker 1: walks or I considered smoking. And the Potato Bowl did

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Speaker 1: that like the low of that stuck didn't think emotionally

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Speaker 1: I could get touched that way again, and the Potato

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Speaker 1: Bowl destroyed me. The next night holding a South Florida ticket,

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Speaker 1: large South Florida ticket, and then alive. Over went once

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Speaker 1: the San Jose State offense figured out who they were

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Speaker 1: without Nick Nash was glorious. I'm telling you, there are

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Speaker 1: peaks and valleys, and it all happened within a twenty

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Speaker 1: eight hour span. Full game fever. Catch it all, right,

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Speaker 1: let's get into these balls.

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Speaker 2: We gotta go through a bunch all right, let's start

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Speaker 2: eleven am Eastern on Saturday. The Fenway Bowl, the Fenway

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Speaker 2: bul Yukon versus North Carolina. This is the the kind

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Speaker 2: of misconception ball I call it because everyone thinks the

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Speaker 2: was Sabi the well.

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Speaker 1: The logo looks like, yeah, the logo.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, is sponsoring this bowl. But it's a I don't know,

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Speaker 2: it's a tech brand or something. I will say sandwich places.

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Speaker 3: We sure have a lot of sandwiches, sandwiches, sandwiches, sandwiches.

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Speaker 2: Monica's if you're on the north side. Apparently really good

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Speaker 2: sandwich is Charlie Sandwich Shop on the South Side. And

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Speaker 2: then I messaged I don't know how reliable he is,

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Speaker 2: but I messaged one of our degenerate editors, PJ Walsho,

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Speaker 2: I love. He says most of his dies in Boston

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Speaker 2: went under during the pandemic. But the greatest bar, which

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Speaker 2: I've actually been to once. The greatest bar is near

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Speaker 2: TV Garden. He said that was his favorite spot if

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Speaker 2: you were going to go somewhere before games in Boston.

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Speaker 2: I am petrified to give suggestions on like the big

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Speaker 2: cities because I know I'm gonna be wrong and everyone's

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Speaker 2: going to say no, don't go here, so that don't

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Speaker 2: come at me. But Fenway Bowl, Yukon Verse, North Carolina.

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Speaker 2: Big news here. UNC fired head coach Mac Brown will

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Speaker 2: not be with the team. It's Freddy Kitchens. You might

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Speaker 2: murder him from his Brown's days. He'll service the interim

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Speaker 2: head coach Bill Belichick is bringing him back. Offensive coordinator

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Speaker 2: Chip Lindsay also left for the Michigan job. Wide receiver

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Speaker 2: coach Lonnie Gallaway. I believe he's gonna be calling plays,

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Speaker 2: did so in the Holiday Bowl two years ago. It's

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Speaker 2: not confirmed yet. There are some impactful opt outs for UNC.

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Speaker 2: Marion Hampton, who doesn't get talked about enough because of

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Speaker 2: Ashton Genty, because of Camascatavum, because UNC wasn't great this year,

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Speaker 2: he was as good as any back in the country. Rutger,

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Speaker 2: their defensive end. He declared for the NFL Draft as well.

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Speaker 2: Their defense took a major uptick once he came back

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Speaker 2: from injury. He is a menace off of the edge.

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Speaker 2: And then their starting defensive tackle also declared for the

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Speaker 2: NFL Draft. In the portal, one of their starting linebackers,

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Speaker 2: their starting left tackle will be out. A couple guys

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Speaker 2: went into the portal and Withdrew Yukon, they have a

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Speaker 2: couple guys in the portal, including their starting cornerback, their

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Speaker 2: starting wide receiver. Both of those guys are important, but

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Speaker 2: it appears they're going to play. Jim Morris said, most

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Speaker 2: of the guys in the portal are gonna play. It's

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Speaker 2: a tough game. You're definitely this is UNC This is

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Speaker 2: the coachless spot and the coach less spot where there's

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Speaker 2: people that opted out that are key players. Right, you

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Speaker 2: go back over the past two years, team's not a coach.

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Speaker 2: I think are now two and ten straight up, three

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Speaker 2: and nine against the spread. We bet Sam Houston. Sam

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Speaker 2: Houston was a case where a coach left, but everyone's

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Speaker 2: still cared. Right. You saw that with James Madison last year.

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Speaker 2: I'm not sure you and c really cares here. So

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Speaker 2: this just could be a complete no show. And then

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Speaker 2: without Hampton he makes their offense. Without Rucker, he makes

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Speaker 2: their defense. I kind of lean Yukon even though there's

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Speaker 2: I don't see any value the number. What do you

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Speaker 2: see here?

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Speaker 1: I've already bet you Yukon plus three. I mean, let's

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Speaker 1: just go high level, real quick. Belichick has been given

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Speaker 1: forty million. That's twice of what we estimate the price

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Speaker 1: at Ohio State bought their team at this year. Billichick's

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Speaker 1: been given forty million to work this roster. Do you

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Speaker 1: think any of these players on here really feel like

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Speaker 1: they're auditioning for their job? Probably not. And the strength

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Speaker 1: of this offense was a marine Hampton left tackle Harold Samson,

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Speaker 1: He's going to Texas Tech. That's a huge problem because

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Speaker 1: he had eight hundred and twenty two snaps at left

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Speaker 1: tackle and only forty one of them went to Jekaiah

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Speaker 1: Leftwitch through the whole season, so they have a big

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Speaker 1: hole blindside tackle. By the way, Yeah, oh, Jacolby Criswell,

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Speaker 1: you're gonna see fifteen touchdowns of six interceptions. He's not good.

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Speaker 1: Eight big time throws, thirteen turnover worthy plays outside the

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Speaker 1: top one hundred and passing success rate. And the Yukon

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Speaker 1: d is really good at swatting flies twenty first and

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Speaker 1: creating contested catches. I think I've bet Yukon plus three.

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Speaker 1: It's coming down. I believe this will be picked. But

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Speaker 1: there are two names that everybody needs to pay attention.

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Speaker 1: They are in your opt out piece that everybody has

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Speaker 1: to have up and refreshed, and that is the left

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Speaker 1: and right tackles. The bookend tackles are the offensive line

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Speaker 1: for Yukon and Chase Lunt and Valentine sen I have

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Speaker 1: found no news and both of them have tweeted off

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Speaker 1: their personal accounts that they're excited for this Bowl that

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Speaker 1: I think.

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Speaker 2: They're both going to play. If those are the those

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Speaker 2: are who I'm watching too.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and I think, well, Darrell Robinson's not there, but

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Speaker 1: there's another running back that is more than four yards

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Speaker 1: after first contact, and that's Cameron Edwards and he really

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Speaker 1: turned up at the end of the season at least

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Speaker 1: eighty rushing yards in the final four games. He doesn't

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Speaker 1: create a lot of mistackles, but he won't need to

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Speaker 1: if he has his bookend tackle. So keep your eyes

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Speaker 1: on the tackle situation for Yukon fire. If they haven't

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Speaker 1: opted out, if they're warming up, whatever. But I expect

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Speaker 1: this thing to keep going down.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I just I think it's a spot play and

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Speaker 2: just who UNC has out And the noise, right, we

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Speaker 2: saw that with Ohio Jacksonville State, two teams without a coach.

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Speaker 2: All the noise said Ohio really cares Jacksonville State doesn't,

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Speaker 2: and that's how it played out in the field. I

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Speaker 2: think this is a case where Yukon really cares and

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Speaker 2: I'm not sure UNC really shows up. So I don't

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Speaker 2: like numbers wise. Obviously, if this was minus three on

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Speaker 2: a neutral field and both teams are at full strength,

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Speaker 2: un C would be a hammer. But UNC's not, and

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Speaker 2: I'm not sure or they're gonna be fully prepared. I'm

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Speaker 2: not sure they actually spent a lot of this time prepping.

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Speaker 2: I think you uncs the side. Don't take less than

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Speaker 2: three if you're gonna bet it, and it is just

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Speaker 2: just take the money on at that point. But I

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Speaker 2: do think you uncs the side. Let's be on to

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Speaker 2: the next game. Let's go to the Pinstripe Bowl. BC

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Speaker 2: versus Nebraska.

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Speaker 3: The Pinstripe Bowl today, I consider myself luckies on the face.

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Speaker 2: Of the experience. Nebraska a three and a half point

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Speaker 2: favorite here. I had a lot of news again in

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Speaker 2: this game. It's going to be a theme throughout. We

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Speaker 2: have some of these Power Conference teams that are gonna

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Speaker 2: be talking about which have some pro prospects who may

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Speaker 2: or may not decide to opt out. Dana Holgerson is

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Speaker 2: the new Nebraska OC took over late in the year.

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Speaker 2: Tony White, their defensive coordinator, left for the same job

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Speaker 2: at FSU. John Butler will coach the defense in the bowl.

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Speaker 2: That is important. Why is that important? Because Bill O'Brien

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Speaker 2: knows him very very well. I think it's a big downgrade.

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Speaker 2: I think Tony White is a very underrated defensive coordinator.

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Speaker 2: Butler used to work for O'Brien at multiple stops, and

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Speaker 2: O'Brien knows him very well. Has a month to prepare

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Speaker 2: for this game. There are some opt outs on the

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Speaker 2: Nebraska side defensively. You're starting linebacker, defensive end, a couple

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Speaker 2: of depth pieces. They're starting wide receiverse a and there

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Speaker 2: will opt out. Not sure A key name to watch

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Speaker 2: for pc as a Uku, who was maybe one of

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Speaker 2: the most underrated defensive ends in college football this year.

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Speaker 2: Should I think be a first round draft pick. He

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Speaker 2: is on the bold depth chart. But if I had

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Speaker 2: to guess, he would sit. But we'll say I think

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Speaker 2: BC can hang here. I don't. I think this game

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Speaker 2: basically is a coin flip. Love the O'Brien rap bangle

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Speaker 2: against Butler. Here that offense really started to find itself.

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Speaker 2: Found the running back rotation late in the season. I

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Speaker 2: don't think there was really a drop off from Costiano's

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Speaker 2: I actually think that Brayson James is a better fit

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Speaker 2: for this offense. I like BC line's back up to

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Speaker 2: three and a half, thank you very much.

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Speaker 1: Maybe I should refresh my screens. We're going to four

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Speaker 1: and a half. So four and a half. Yeah, we're

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Speaker 1: going to four and a half. So Nebraska's gonna start

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Speaker 1: taking money here, And there's fours across the board painted.

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Speaker 2: Well, maybe Azaruko is confirmed out or someone knows.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think we're gonna keep going. A couple things

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Speaker 1: to mention around what you said. Matt Ruhle, by the way,

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Speaker 1: not good in bowls. Maybe it doesn't care one and

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Speaker 1: three against the spread in his history in bowl games.

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Speaker 1: Bill O'Brien and say, well, it's his first time to

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Speaker 1: head coach a ball game. But he was an OC

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Speaker 1: Atbama Duke and Georgia Tech. He's been around the block

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Speaker 1: weather big time, forty four degrees sixty chance of preset.

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Speaker 1: But there's no wind, so ball protection is going to

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Speaker 1: be king here. Gonna be a slippery ball going on.

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Speaker 1: You know, there's a heavy rush attack coming from Boston College,

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Speaker 1: there's probably gonna be a lot of two tight sets

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Speaker 1: with running back ky Robashaw. Only fifteen miss tackles at

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Speaker 1: one hundred and sixty four rushing attempts this year below

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Speaker 1: three yards after first contact. That's not great numbers. You're

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Speaker 1: not going to get explosives out of Boston College. One

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Speaker 1: hundred and eighteenth in EPA. BC runs a pretty even split,

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Speaker 1: a counter, power, inside and corn. You know, their defense

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Speaker 1: has been very mid FBS success rate against all of

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Speaker 1: those concepts. To me, it's a rock fight on that

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Speaker 1: side of the ball. On the other side of the ball,

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Speaker 1: it's an even distribution of rush and pass attempts for

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Speaker 1: For Nebraska lead running back Dame Doubtell coming your way

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Speaker 1: head into Kentucky, I believe Nebraska is getting running back

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Speaker 1: from Kentucky. There's a trade in the portal. Emma Johnson, though,

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Speaker 1: has better numbers for Nebraska rushing offense, not really in touchdowns,

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Speaker 1: but he's three point three yards after first contact, twenty

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Speaker 1: seven missed tackles, forced corn runs, a lot of inside

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Speaker 1: zone man blocking, and BC's just been horrific against offensive

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Speaker 1: lines that use man run concepts thirty eight percent success rate,

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Speaker 1: So there is an advantage there, and I would say, yeah,

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Speaker 1: Korn's going to be Nebraska's going to have scoring opportunities.

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Speaker 1: But here's a problem. One hundred and thirteenth in offensive

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Speaker 1: finishing drives, eighty sixth in offensive momentum killer and one

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Speaker 1: hundred and thirty third and passing EPA. Nebraska's going to

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Speaker 1: get down the field Dylan Royola, but he's sixty seventh

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Speaker 1: in on target rate. I expect that out of a

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Speaker 1: kid his age. It's going to get better next year.

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Speaker 1: But it's under nothing for me. Stuck because Nebraska's gonna

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Speaker 1: be able to get some drives into scoring, but they're

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Speaker 1: one of the bottom twenty teams in finishing drives. Boston College,

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Speaker 1: I don't see. I see zero explosives and I see

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Speaker 1: maybe one methodical drive on the day. To me, it's

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Speaker 1: under nothing, and we got sixty percent presep here under nothing.

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Speaker 2: You can't run on bcbc's run defense has been extremely

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Speaker 2: underrated all season, and I just don't trust Nebraska to

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Speaker 2: consistently throw the ball on VC. Their weaknesses their secondary.

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Speaker 2: They've had some injuries back there. They've allied on a

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Speaker 2: lot of youth. I think their defense will hold up.

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Speaker 2: I just trust O'Brien to scheme up some stuff here.

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Speaker 2: I think, motivation wise, maybe slight edge to BC, but

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Speaker 2: I'm not really incorporating that. I'm taking the points. Therefore,

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Speaker 2: everyone's gonna get a better number than me. If you're

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Speaker 2: listening to this, I have three and a half liked

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Speaker 2: anything over a field goal. Colin you like to under

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Speaker 2: which I don't disagree with you.

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Speaker 1: Do you think Bill O'Brien's because you know Belichick's going

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Speaker 1: to be there, and you think he's ready to put

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Speaker 1: one down here on BC and kind of give his

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Speaker 1: old buddy. I don't think.

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Speaker 2: Belichicks can be involved in the in the prep.

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Speaker 1: You know, but he'll be in the press. He's got

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Speaker 1: he'll be there.

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Speaker 2: I think it might I might motivate O'Brien.

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Speaker 1: A little bit exactly.

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Speaker 2: But there's a lot of turnover on this UNC team.

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Speaker 2: And again the noise Hampton Rutger them opting out just

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Speaker 2: tells me that let me, look, look, we're gonna talk

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Speaker 2: about Alabama Michigan. Some of the Alabama's best players are

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Speaker 2: playing in a meaningless bowl against Michigan. Again, that's noise

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Speaker 2: that they care. I'm not sure you UNC really cares

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Speaker 2: about this game and their coach. Listen, it's Freddy Kitchens.

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Speaker 2: Give me Bill O'Brien in the points.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, wait to get Boston call.

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Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, get a better number me. All I want

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Speaker 2: is ever a field goal. I'm gonna be anytime I

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Speaker 2: get a good number, I lose anyway, So you get

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Speaker 2: a bad number, it's better. All right, Let's move on

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Speaker 2: to the New Mexico.

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Speaker 1: Bowl, the New Mexico Bowl today.

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Speaker 3: I'll live which man Son tomorrow morning. Look with me

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Speaker 3: a bump. It doesn't matter which direction though. I know

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Speaker 3: a woman in New Mexico.

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Speaker 2: Louisiana verse TCU TCU eleven and a half twelve point

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Speaker 2: favorite against Louisiana two fifteen Eastern Saturday, ESPN in Albuquerque.

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Speaker 2: You're gonna go to Albuquerque. New Mexican food is so underrated.

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Speaker 2: It's not tex mex It's New Mexican food. Get the

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Speaker 2: get it Christmas right. They're gonna smother your stuff and

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Speaker 2: either red chilies or green chilies. Get Christmas. Get both.

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Speaker 2: Bike in cafe, really cool Albuquerque eating experience. Go there

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Speaker 2: for brunch, lunch, breakfast. It's really cool. Colin.

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Speaker 1: You have a yeah, shout out to my son. He

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Speaker 1: got an autographed script of season three finale, episode thirteen

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Speaker 1: of Breaking Bad Full Measures, signed by Bob Odenkirk himself. Well,

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Speaker 1: this whole thing is a travesty and a sham and

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Speaker 1: a mockery.

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Speaker 2: It's a Travis sham mockery.

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Speaker 1: With a little cameo spot for my son. And we

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Speaker 1: have eaten at the doghouse where Jesse Pinkman does all

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Speaker 1: of his drug deals on the show. The hot dogs

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Speaker 1: are really freaking good. And what you see in the

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Speaker 1: show with the kind of people that are there, the

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Speaker 1: bikers and all that that's there too, it is a

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Speaker 1: fantastic place to go and have a hot dog and

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Speaker 1: just kind of relive some Breaking Bad stuff if you

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Speaker 1: happened to be in the ABQ. So I love that

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Speaker 1: place when I go there.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's get to this game. I tend to

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Speaker 2: think this line's a bit too high. If Wooldridge, if

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Speaker 2: Wolward's plays, and it looks like he will, but you

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Speaker 2: never know. I thought Hosting is going to play, but

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Speaker 2: picking is going to start in the nowurs Hosting's out obviously.

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Speaker 1: Probable on Christmas Eve, Bullbridge, which is it was odd

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Speaker 1: to me unbelievable upgrade to probable.

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Speaker 2: I was told by someone very close to the Bowl

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Speaker 2: game not gonna reveal who it is that he's playing,

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Speaker 2: and then ten minutes ago he's out. So you never

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Speaker 2: really know in these bull games. You never know, never

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Speaker 2: assume that you know until you actually see the person

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Speaker 2: on the field. So that with Bien Brown, seeing that

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Speaker 2: with Holstein here, or.

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Speaker 1: If you're Doug you could even do warm ups and

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Speaker 1: not even play.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, it's unbelievable. I think Wards is gonna play again.

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Speaker 2: It's the same thing with Holstein though, because if he doesn't,

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Speaker 2: your backups in the case of Louisiana, their backup is hurt.

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Speaker 2: In the case of Pitt, their backups in the portal.

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Speaker 2: So now you're down to a third string freshman who

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Speaker 2: you don't want to bet on, but you can't. TCU

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Speaker 2: doesn't really run the ball well. Their offense is all

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Speaker 2: it's just, hey, we're gonna drop back and throw them.

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Speaker 2: We're pretty good out of it because have two really good

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Speaker 2: receivers you might play in the NFL, but both of

348
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Speaker 2: them are out, and Louisiana's strength is their secondary I

349
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Speaker 2: think this is a bit too many points. I like, Louisiana.

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Speaker 2: What do you think.

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Speaker 1: I don't think it's enough points for the total which

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Speaker 1: I'm staring at right now, fifty eight and a half.

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Speaker 1: One of the Sharper books just moved to fifty nine,

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Speaker 1: which is extremely key if you can get over fifty nine.

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Speaker 1: That is the way that I went and got it

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Speaker 1: in the app before Christmas. Listen, Kendall Briles. The TCU

357
00:18:27,880 --> 00:18:30,639
Speaker 1: offense fifty six percent of the rush. But that's the

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Speaker 1: advantages here may come down to the passing game of

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Speaker 1: Josh Hoover because the TCU rush is just not the

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Speaker 1: strength of this team, especially from an offensive line that's

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Speaker 1: going to be this in James Brockermeyer, their center. That

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Speaker 1: is a pretty big loss on that offensive line, and

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Speaker 1: I expect that to really affect the way that they

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Speaker 1: run the ball.

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Speaker 2: Now, Jack, but Jack back in save on oms, you

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Speaker 2: cannot under us, you can't overstate the impact of their loss.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and Josh Hoover had a much better year than

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Speaker 1: I predicted this past summer. You know, the passing offense

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Speaker 1: is twelve and success right there's sixteenth in early lead

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Speaker 1: down success rate They like to throw at Kendlebrows is

371
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Speaker 1: always like to throw at early. He'd do that with

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Speaker 1: Kaj Jefferson and drive me crazy. Hoover's numbers twenty three

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Speaker 1: to ten TD to I and T big time throw

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Speaker 1: to turner worthy play ten to nineteen, pretty even distribution

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Speaker 1: throughout the year of him averaging about two mistakes per game.

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Speaker 1: It's not like he It's not like quinn Ewers against

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Speaker 1: Georgia where he had all his turner worthy plays against

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Speaker 1: one team. It is a pretty even distribution that Hoover's

379
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Speaker 1: gonna make two mistakes. The problem is ULL's defense is

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Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty fifth and creating a contested catch.

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Speaker 1: Safety Tyree Skipper, who got called out by Timothy Shamaley

382
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Speaker 1: Chalamey on college game day, doesn't look like he's gonna play.

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Speaker 1: And that's really bad because I I have.

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Speaker 2: A bone to pick up. Tim Timothy s.

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Speaker 1: All right, you know we'll do it after this because

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Speaker 1: I already bet goddamn Oscar it was so good last

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Speaker 1: night that Bob Dylan movie. All right, listen. ULL is

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Speaker 1: really bad in early down success rate. TCU is extremely

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Speaker 1: good in early down success rate. That's what you need

390
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Speaker 1: to know about those offenses. And there are it stucks right,

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Speaker 1: this Louisiana defense on on especially on the ground, one

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Speaker 1: hundred and thirty third defensive rushing success Right, TCU should

393
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Speaker 1: be in standard downs all day. I would expect fifty

394
00:20:07,920 --> 00:20:10,359
Speaker 1: plays in standard downs and about twenty and passing downs

395
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Speaker 1: for TCU. I expect to score every trip. Offensive finishing

396
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Speaker 1: drives for TCU twenty third Louisiana one hundred and twenty.

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Speaker 1: First you go to the other side of the ball stuck.

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Speaker 1: I'm not going to get into Woolbridge if he plays

399
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Speaker 1: or not. But if he does, Louisiana is twenty eighth

400
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Speaker 1: and finishing drives offensively and TCU's eighty seventh, and not

401
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Speaker 1: to mention ULL under Woolbridge has been top three all

402
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Speaker 1: season in quality drives. ULL is going to be able

403
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Speaker 1: to move the ball here the side. I think it's

404
00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:39,920
Speaker 1: a tug of war eleven to thirteen. I think you're right.

405
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Speaker 1: I think at thirteen you're looking at ULL. The totals

406
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Speaker 1: where I'm going here fifty nine or nothing, whatever. I

407
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Speaker 1: would get into it and not wait till kick. Even

408
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Speaker 1: if Woolridge doesn't play, TCUN is going to be in

409
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Speaker 1: standard downs and in scoring position all day.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, if Wards doesn't play, then I still lean would

411
00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:02,480
Speaker 2: like your bad a little better. I would still lean Louisiana.

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Speaker 2: I just don't know what we're gonna get. I think

413
00:21:03,840 --> 00:21:06,240
Speaker 2: it's a pretty big drop off from Wards to the

414
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Speaker 2: third string. I think he's gonna play, but again, I

415
00:21:08,640 --> 00:21:12,040
Speaker 2: don't know. That's Bowl season. You never really know. I

416
00:21:12,040 --> 00:21:16,640
Speaker 2: think the loss of TCU's wide receivers is massive. They're

417
00:21:16,640 --> 00:21:21,439
Speaker 2: both hurt opting out. So I think louisianamal Carrier. I

418
00:21:21,440 --> 00:21:23,800
Speaker 2: think T's gonna care. But it's not like Sunny Dykes

419
00:21:23,840 --> 00:21:27,479
Speaker 2: has been great in Bowl games. I like Louisiana. By

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Speaker 2: the way, my bone to pick with Timothy the Shallo

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Speaker 2: may is. Look, he was great on the show. I

422
00:21:31,640 --> 00:21:33,440
Speaker 2: know people are that are like hating on him or

423
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Speaker 2: reading a script. Who cares.

424
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Speaker 1: But he was talking about Skipper and Skipper was out.

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Speaker 2: He was out, and everyone's like, oh, you knew who

426
00:21:40,480 --> 00:21:42,200
Speaker 2: this is? And I said, no, you don't know. You're

427
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Speaker 2: showing you don't know ball. You're saying that Chalomey knows ball.

428
00:21:44,600 --> 00:21:46,359
Speaker 2: Skipper has been out the last three games. He's not

429
00:21:46,400 --> 00:21:49,239
Speaker 2: playing today. No one cares. You just mentioned the name

430
00:21:49,359 --> 00:21:51,880
Speaker 2: Skipper on Louisiana Safety. Then you're just everyone's like, oh

431
00:21:51,880 --> 00:21:54,760
Speaker 2: he knows Baul. I'm like, he's out, he's not playing anyway.

432
00:21:54,920 --> 00:21:57,080
Speaker 1: A birdie got into my ear and told me that

433
00:21:57,240 --> 00:22:00,400
Speaker 1: his Interstellar co star Matthew McConaughey put all the notes

434
00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:01,120
Speaker 1: together for him.

435
00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:05,200
Speaker 2: So really, if someone once told me time there's a

436
00:22:05,200 --> 00:22:09,000
Speaker 2: flat circle, that's amazing. I think you did a good job.

437
00:22:09,040 --> 00:22:12,040
Speaker 2: Conna Hey, you gotta go one level deeper. He's been hurt.

438
00:22:12,359 --> 00:22:15,320
Speaker 1: Everybody, go get Timothy Shalome. Up to minus two hundred.

439
00:22:15,320 --> 00:22:17,000
Speaker 1: It was plus one forty when I hit it last night.

440
00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:21,040
Speaker 1: When you look at actors who play musicians who and

441
00:22:21,080 --> 00:22:24,320
Speaker 1: they actually play the actual music, it's an Academy Award

442
00:22:24,320 --> 00:22:26,240
Speaker 1: every time. Take it up to minus two hundred.

443
00:22:26,800 --> 00:22:31,119
Speaker 2: All right, let's go to Camping World Stadium for the

444
00:22:31,160 --> 00:22:35,119
Speaker 2: Pop Tart pop Tarts Bowl between Iowa State and Miami.

445
00:22:35,520 --> 00:22:36,920
Speaker 3: The Pop Tarts Bowl.

446
00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:39,000
Speaker 1: That's good, that's a good thing.

447
00:22:39,400 --> 00:22:42,640
Speaker 2: Miami is three and a half point favorite. Here in Orlando,

448
00:22:43,119 --> 00:22:45,040
Speaker 2: I think weread We already talk about Bowler. You got

449
00:22:45,119 --> 00:22:47,600
Speaker 2: to get a stagger in Sister Bar in Orlando, and

450
00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:51,040
Speaker 2: then there's actually a decent If you haven't gone to Epcot,

451
00:22:51,240 --> 00:22:52,960
Speaker 2: drank around the world. Make sure you do that. There's

452
00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:57,199
Speaker 2: a decent Vietnamese group of restaurants in Orlando, but go

453
00:22:57,200 --> 00:23:02,440
Speaker 2: to Kaya Kaya Filipino Restaurant. It's amazing. That's where you

454
00:23:02,480 --> 00:23:03,640
Speaker 2: need to eat if you go to Orlando.

455
00:23:04,240 --> 00:23:07,560
Speaker 1: Hey, this is producer Matt. If you're in Orlando, just

456
00:23:07,680 --> 00:23:11,160
Speaker 1: go and eat every meal at the wah Wah by

457
00:23:11,160 --> 00:23:14,640
Speaker 1: the airport. Underrated wah Wah in Orlando.

458
00:23:15,560 --> 00:23:18,600
Speaker 2: Miami three and a half point favorite. Here, it looks

459
00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:23,119
Speaker 2: like this is a bowl where they both care. Right,

460
00:23:23,200 --> 00:23:26,919
Speaker 2: this is I said, this is the Disappointment Bowl. Iowa

461
00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:29,600
Speaker 2: State was on the doorstep of the College Ball playoff,

462
00:23:29,760 --> 00:23:33,320
Speaker 2: Miami was on the doorstep. Lost at Syracuse, didn't get

463
00:23:33,320 --> 00:23:35,119
Speaker 2: to go to the AC championship game, got left out

464
00:23:35,160 --> 00:23:37,440
Speaker 2: of the College BABLL playoff. But it appears that they care.

465
00:23:37,480 --> 00:23:41,879
Speaker 2: I mean, I was listening to Iowa State players coaches

466
00:23:42,160 --> 00:23:44,600
Speaker 2: like they're seniors. After that game, there seems like they're

467
00:23:44,600 --> 00:23:47,240
Speaker 2: all in here. And then cam Ward seems like he's

468
00:23:47,280 --> 00:23:47,800
Speaker 2: gonna play.

469
00:23:48,080 --> 00:23:50,960
Speaker 1: On December eleventh on ESPN said I'm playing in the Bowl.

470
00:23:51,840 --> 00:23:55,080
Speaker 2: Surprising to me. You could be top five pick, but

471
00:23:55,080 --> 00:23:56,800
Speaker 2: that seems to be a theme here. I'm not sure

472
00:23:56,800 --> 00:23:58,800
Speaker 2: if his money is tied, you know, he might have

473
00:23:58,800 --> 00:24:02,840
Speaker 2: some incentives and contractually obligated to play. I'm not sure.

474
00:24:02,880 --> 00:24:05,640
Speaker 2: I don't know what. I don't think I necessarily would

475
00:24:05,640 --> 00:24:08,520
Speaker 2: wouldn't blame if he does sit out. Where'strepo, who I

476
00:24:08,600 --> 00:24:12,120
Speaker 2: think is very important. I think he might sit out,

477
00:24:12,480 --> 00:24:16,120
Speaker 2: but not sure. He says he's still deciding generally speaking,

478
00:24:17,000 --> 00:24:21,119
Speaker 2: and again, you never know in bulls, never assume that

479
00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:25,920
Speaker 2: you know where. Streppo said, I still have to think

480
00:24:25,960 --> 00:24:30,120
Speaker 2: about it. There's discussions ongoing. That usually means they're gonna

481
00:24:30,119 --> 00:24:32,239
Speaker 2: sit out, right, Like if they're gonna play, they come

482
00:24:32,280 --> 00:24:34,960
Speaker 2: out and say wait. There's also a risk that cam

483
00:24:35,000 --> 00:24:37,960
Speaker 2: Ward maybe doesn't run as much, maybe he doesn't play

484
00:24:38,000 --> 00:24:42,160
Speaker 2: the entire game. Not sure, but I've listened. As I mentioned,

485
00:24:42,200 --> 00:24:43,800
Speaker 2: I've listened to everything. I would state, says, I think

486
00:24:43,840 --> 00:24:46,960
Speaker 2: they really care. You got you do not know me,

487
00:24:47,040 --> 00:24:49,200
Speaker 2: and you have not been listening to this podcast long enough.

488
00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:51,159
Speaker 2: If you think I'm not fading Miami here, if you

489
00:24:51,200 --> 00:24:56,240
Speaker 2: think I'm not fading Mario, who has been horrendous in bowls,

490
00:24:56,640 --> 00:24:59,600
Speaker 2: and do you know why it makes sense? What is

491
00:24:59,600 --> 00:25:03,159
Speaker 2: he doing right now, Rostering, do you think he's preparing

492
00:25:03,200 --> 00:25:08,680
Speaker 2: for Iowa State? Absolutely not Matt Campbell. That team they're

493
00:25:08,720 --> 00:25:12,919
Speaker 2: actually preparing for this game. Those seniors care Miami, whose

494
00:25:13,040 --> 00:25:16,520
Speaker 2: defense is horrendous. They'll have no plan coming into this game.

495
00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:19,200
Speaker 2: It's Mario, you think I'm not taking three and a

496
00:25:19,200 --> 00:25:21,800
Speaker 2: half in this game? You are crazy giving the Cyclones.

497
00:25:21,800 --> 00:25:22,439
Speaker 2: What do you see?

498
00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:25,160
Speaker 1: I see the over here. I'm surprised by the number

499
00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:27,800
Speaker 1: of players that are playing in this game, Damien Martinez

500
00:25:27,840 --> 00:25:30,359
Speaker 1: and cam Ward. There are two big pieces on the

501
00:25:30,400 --> 00:25:32,440
Speaker 1: board for Miami here, and you know what, I don't

502
00:25:32,520 --> 00:25:34,280
Speaker 1: like either of these coaches. Three and seven against the

503
00:25:34,280 --> 00:25:36,760
Speaker 1: spread for Matt Campbell and Bowls Mario Christbaul two five

504
00:25:36,800 --> 00:25:39,040
Speaker 1: and one against the spread per our Action Labs tool.

505
00:25:39,720 --> 00:25:42,880
Speaker 1: Shout out PJ again, listen, Iowa State's d is losing

506
00:25:42,880 --> 00:25:44,959
Speaker 1: a number of starter and depth pieces at the defensive

507
00:25:45,000 --> 00:25:47,000
Speaker 1: end of that three to three to five stack. They

508
00:25:47,040 --> 00:25:49,080
Speaker 1: were one hundred and twentyeth in pass rush. What's the

509
00:25:49,119 --> 00:25:52,199
Speaker 1: key to beating cam Ward? Right, get him crowded and

510
00:25:52,240 --> 00:25:54,720
Speaker 1: that's just not going to happen here. Iowa States seventy

511
00:25:54,720 --> 00:25:58,639
Speaker 1: second in havoc. Iowa State's build built to defend the pass,

512
00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:03,480
Speaker 1: really built to hold cam Ward in the pocket, and

513
00:26:03,520 --> 00:26:05,200
Speaker 1: they're gonna be able to because they got their top

514
00:26:05,280 --> 00:26:07,600
Speaker 1: players are not gonna be there at the defensive end position.

515
00:26:07,960 --> 00:26:11,000
Speaker 1: Damian Martinez four yards after first contact, thirty four miss

516
00:26:11,080 --> 00:26:13,919
Speaker 1: tackles forced. Do we just not see Arizona State average

517
00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:17,280
Speaker 1: eight yards per play against this Iowa State defense? So

518
00:26:17,520 --> 00:26:23,480
Speaker 1: I expect continuity with Damian Martinez and cam Ward Iowa State.

519
00:26:23,560 --> 00:26:26,080
Speaker 1: On the other side, there's advantage of rocklebecked. He just

520
00:26:26,200 --> 00:26:27,120
Speaker 1: he's not at the same Miami.

521
00:26:27,119 --> 00:26:29,920
Speaker 2: You don't say there's advantages. It's Miami's it is.

522
00:26:30,480 --> 00:26:33,600
Speaker 1: I mean, it's Higgins, it's Noel. Benjamin Brahmers somehow didn't

523
00:26:33,600 --> 00:26:35,440
Speaker 1: get a target in the Big twelve championship game. I

524
00:26:35,480 --> 00:26:37,919
Speaker 1: don't know understand why. You're six foot seven tight end,

525
00:26:37,960 --> 00:26:39,920
Speaker 1: may not be fully healthy yet, but this was supposed

526
00:26:39,960 --> 00:26:42,680
Speaker 1: to be a freight train for Iowa State. Miami's defense

527
00:26:42,720 --> 00:26:45,440
Speaker 1: twenty second line yards with similar strength to schedules Iowa State.

528
00:26:45,560 --> 00:26:48,879
Speaker 1: So I don't know if Carson Hanson and Abu Sama

529
00:26:48,960 --> 00:26:50,680
Speaker 1: mean anything here, but I do think Higgins and Noel

530
00:26:50,720 --> 00:26:53,399
Speaker 1: are big for rockle Beck. I took the over I

531
00:26:53,480 --> 00:26:56,240
Speaker 1: projected at sixty four. I think it's got room to run.

532
00:26:58,160 --> 00:27:00,720
Speaker 2: Starting safety for i State is now will not be

533
00:27:00,920 --> 00:27:04,800
Speaker 2: back for Zina should be so. And then you mentioned

534
00:27:04,840 --> 00:27:08,720
Speaker 2: some of the portal guys for Iowa State the defensive end,

535
00:27:09,080 --> 00:27:11,399
Speaker 2: so I always his defense won't be at full strength.

536
00:27:11,680 --> 00:27:13,679
Speaker 1: I don't see any resistance. Do you see resistance here?

537
00:27:13,760 --> 00:27:17,920
Speaker 1: You see any defensive resistance on either side? I don't, no,

538
00:27:18,280 --> 00:27:20,880
Speaker 1: But you're gonna fry three pop tarts after this shit.

539
00:27:20,920 --> 00:27:22,040
Speaker 1: This is gonna be the greatest bawl ever.

540
00:27:22,240 --> 00:27:24,359
Speaker 2: I see a careless Miami team turning the ball over

541
00:27:24,400 --> 00:27:26,840
Speaker 2: a couple times, and that's the difference. I think I

542
00:27:26,840 --> 00:27:30,440
Speaker 2: Alowa State. It's bullprep. Mario is not preparing for this game,

543
00:27:31,119 --> 00:27:35,600
Speaker 2: like we heard Kansas State's coach come out and say

544
00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:40,159
Speaker 2: he's seventy percent of his time spent between the end

545
00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:42,520
Speaker 2: of the season and the bowl game is on building

546
00:27:42,520 --> 00:27:44,879
Speaker 2: the roster next year, thirty percent on preparing for Rutgers.

547
00:27:45,280 --> 00:27:47,840
Speaker 2: What do you think it's Miami, it's ninety nine point

548
00:27:49,320 --> 00:27:53,280
Speaker 2: nine percent on building the roster. And maybe we'll throw

549
00:27:53,359 --> 00:27:56,200
Speaker 2: on an Iowa State play on YouTube and show it

550
00:27:56,280 --> 00:27:58,399
Speaker 2: to the team that's it, all right, Let's move on

551
00:27:58,480 --> 00:28:00,240
Speaker 2: to the Arizona.

552
00:27:59,800 --> 00:28:03,920
Speaker 1: Ball The Snoop Dog Arizona Bowl presented by Gin and

553
00:28:04,040 --> 00:28:14,680
Speaker 1: Juice by Dre and Snoop Laid Back with My Money.

554
00:28:16,240 --> 00:28:22,400
Speaker 2: Miami Ohio and Colorado State four thirty eastern. Get ready, everybody,

555
00:28:22,640 --> 00:28:27,040
Speaker 2: we got a bowl game on the CW, not Colin Wilson,

556
00:28:28,320 --> 00:28:31,159
Speaker 2: the CW, which I'm excited about. This game should have

557
00:28:31,200 --> 00:28:35,640
Speaker 2: been on I think maybe Christmas Day or Christmas Eve.

558
00:28:36,200 --> 00:28:40,760
Speaker 2: Put another bowl game on Tucson Arizona. If you're gonna

559
00:28:40,800 --> 00:28:46,120
Speaker 2: go to Tucson Suarrow corners. If you're my brain wants

560
00:28:46,160 --> 00:28:50,160
Speaker 2: to pronounce it Saguaro, but Touorrow Corners, cool View, good food.

561
00:28:50,320 --> 00:28:55,480
Speaker 2: Make sure you check that place out. Minam Ohio sitting

562
00:28:55,520 --> 00:29:00,160
Speaker 2: at a two and a half point favorite here key

563
00:29:00,240 --> 00:29:03,120
Speaker 2: opted at total forty and a half, super low for

564
00:29:03,240 --> 00:29:05,560
Speaker 2: a bowl game. Usually hate going unders hated, even more

565
00:29:05,600 --> 00:29:08,520
Speaker 2: after we lost one that went over in double overtime,

566
00:29:08,760 --> 00:29:12,520
Speaker 2: Mia Ohio. They're starting left tackle out, starting wide, both

567
00:29:12,600 --> 00:29:16,800
Speaker 2: starting wide receivers, their top corner who's important? Are all out?

568
00:29:17,440 --> 00:29:19,920
Speaker 2: A couple guys on Colorado's state and the portal not

569
00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:23,720
Speaker 2: sure if they're gonna play two starting defensive ends, their

570
00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:27,720
Speaker 2: starting linebacker, and one starting wide receiver. I tend to

571
00:29:27,840 --> 00:29:29,760
Speaker 2: think these there's a lot of key guys out for

572
00:29:29,840 --> 00:29:33,880
Speaker 2: Miamoa Ohio teams in the MAC. The depth just isn't there.

573
00:29:34,080 --> 00:29:37,440
Speaker 2: I think the impact of those losses might be a

574
00:29:37,560 --> 00:29:40,880
Speaker 2: bit more significant than the market is assuming. I think

575
00:29:40,920 --> 00:29:44,640
Speaker 2: Colorida State, which is knocking out their DC, Jane Novello

576
00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:46,240
Speaker 2: and the DC were not getting along. They fire their

577
00:29:46,280 --> 00:29:50,240
Speaker 2: DC linebacker. Coach is gonna call plays here. I think

578
00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:54,520
Speaker 2: they've Norvelle has credit to him. Tory Horton is out

579
00:29:54,560 --> 00:29:57,880
Speaker 2: for the other star receiver. He transformed this offense. This

580
00:29:57,960 --> 00:30:00,680
Speaker 2: is an air raid guy and they're basically really a

581
00:30:00,800 --> 00:30:03,680
Speaker 2: service academy. And how much they run the ball, I

582
00:30:03,720 --> 00:30:05,840
Speaker 2: think they'll be able to run it here on Miami Ohio.

583
00:30:06,480 --> 00:30:08,880
Speaker 2: You have to throw in Colorado State. Can Miami do

584
00:30:08,960 --> 00:30:12,200
Speaker 2: that with some of their losses at wide receiver? Not

585
00:30:12,360 --> 00:30:15,320
Speaker 2: really sure? This looks like a coin flip to me.

586
00:30:15,400 --> 00:30:16,960
Speaker 2: I kind of like the rams at the points. What

587
00:30:17,000 --> 00:30:17,400
Speaker 2: do you say?

588
00:30:17,520 --> 00:30:21,280
Speaker 1: I've been waiting to converse with you on this before firing,

589
00:30:21,360 --> 00:30:25,280
Speaker 1: because I don't know why Miami Ohio is favored here,

590
00:30:25,440 --> 00:30:27,000
Speaker 1: I think it should be a pick Carl Stible care.

591
00:30:27,040 --> 00:30:28,480
Speaker 2: They haven't been to what those are time there in

592
00:30:28,480 --> 00:30:30,200
Speaker 2: a ball well twenty seventeen eighteen.

593
00:30:30,880 --> 00:30:33,520
Speaker 1: They're just running the ball like crazy. Zone rate not

594
00:30:33,560 --> 00:30:35,720
Speaker 1: a lot of EPA, A little bit of success rate

595
00:30:37,160 --> 00:30:40,000
Speaker 1: Miam Ohio is success rate against outside zone pretty middle

596
00:30:40,120 --> 00:30:44,160
Speaker 1: ish forty nine percent. They lost their two corners. There's

597
00:30:44,320 --> 00:30:47,000
Speaker 1: just not a lot here that tells me. First off,

598
00:30:47,000 --> 00:30:48,360
Speaker 1: I think points are going to be a struggle. I

599
00:30:48,400 --> 00:30:50,320
Speaker 1: took the first half under and the reason is because

600
00:30:50,360 --> 00:30:53,200
Speaker 1: Colorado State is very slow and methodical. They may snap

601
00:30:53,280 --> 00:30:55,080
Speaker 1: the ball fast, but they are running the ball and

602
00:30:55,160 --> 00:30:57,760
Speaker 1: it's three yards on a cloud of dust. But that

603
00:30:57,920 --> 00:31:01,800
Speaker 1: is their offense. Colorado State's rushing ten since Tory Horton

604
00:31:01,920 --> 00:31:05,240
Speaker 1: twenty nine seconds per play as not a Jan Norvel offense,

605
00:31:05,320 --> 00:31:07,600
Speaker 1: He's had to change things on the fly. So I

606
00:31:07,680 --> 00:31:09,000
Speaker 1: took a first money twenty.

607
00:31:09,200 --> 00:31:10,680
Speaker 2: This offense did a one yeah.

608
00:31:11,000 --> 00:31:14,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, And I don't know how Miami Ohio, Like, can

609
00:31:14,040 --> 00:31:16,800
Speaker 1: you consider the pieces that are gone Virgil and Tracy

610
00:31:16,880 --> 00:31:19,600
Speaker 1: to Texas Tech in Minnesota, Like, that's a chunk of

611
00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:21,400
Speaker 1: the offense. It's one hundred and sixty eight targets and

612
00:31:21,680 --> 00:31:24,200
Speaker 1: what sixteen tds. So to me it was the first

613
00:31:24,240 --> 00:31:26,120
Speaker 1: half under I don't think my house should be I

614
00:31:26,160 --> 00:31:27,920
Speaker 1: don't think anybody should be favored. I'll probably get it

615
00:31:27,960 --> 00:31:29,680
Speaker 1: on the board. Yeah, let's put it on the board.

616
00:31:29,880 --> 00:31:32,560
Speaker 1: Three there. Yeah, there's threes everywhere. There's one of the

617
00:31:32,600 --> 00:31:34,080
Speaker 1: sharpest book out there is a two and a half.

618
00:31:34,200 --> 00:31:36,400
Speaker 1: So we'll put threes out there for everybody. And you

619
00:31:36,440 --> 00:31:38,680
Speaker 1: know what, I will wait, I will wait. You want

620
00:31:38,720 --> 00:31:39,880
Speaker 1: to put it in now on the app.

621
00:31:40,120 --> 00:31:42,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna put it in available, put it with you.

622
00:31:42,200 --> 00:31:43,520
Speaker 2: It'll I got a bet it first.

623
00:31:43,600 --> 00:31:45,480
Speaker 1: I got to bet it. Yeah, this is what we do.

624
00:31:45,960 --> 00:31:47,640
Speaker 1: Gotta bet it. Then we put in the app.

625
00:31:47,880 --> 00:31:50,520
Speaker 2: Hopefully these dogs start barking. Yeah, all right, we're in

626
00:31:50,920 --> 00:32:06,040
Speaker 2: Jane norvel Man. It's been a bole season dominated by favorites,

627
00:32:06,040 --> 00:32:09,400
Speaker 2: which is very the only team so far that has

628
00:32:10,000 --> 00:32:13,880
Speaker 2: won outright. You usually see a bunch of outright winters underdogs.

629
00:32:14,040 --> 00:32:16,760
Speaker 2: That closes an underdog Sam Houston State. Through fourteen bowls,

630
00:32:16,840 --> 00:32:20,080
Speaker 2: one dog has won. Thig Us the promised and we're

631
00:32:20,120 --> 00:32:22,480
Speaker 2: on the board. By the way, if you haven't been

632
00:32:23,000 --> 00:32:27,280
Speaker 2: keeping up with the board, are agrees through Bowl season

633
00:32:27,320 --> 00:32:29,160
Speaker 2: so far, we both had Memphis, which is a winner.

634
00:32:29,600 --> 00:32:33,040
Speaker 2: We have Texas Tech pending USC.

635
00:32:33,440 --> 00:32:34,240
Speaker 1: By the way, I.

636
00:32:34,280 --> 00:32:36,240
Speaker 2: Bet USC last night we got the four. We were

637
00:32:36,280 --> 00:32:38,480
Speaker 2: expecting it might even get better. But I went in

638
00:32:38,560 --> 00:32:43,000
Speaker 2: on a four. And now Colorado State head to head

639
00:32:43,600 --> 00:32:47,080
Speaker 2: the only one pending GT versus Vandy. Can't wait for

640
00:32:47,160 --> 00:32:47,840
Speaker 2: that one. It's gonna be.

641
00:32:48,160 --> 00:32:51,040
Speaker 1: I got I got Notre Dame, you got Clemson, and

642
00:32:51,640 --> 00:32:53,360
Speaker 1: I should have got into that bad number on Clemson.

643
00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:55,840
Speaker 1: I knew it won fourteen, and then you got you

644
00:32:55,920 --> 00:32:58,719
Speaker 1: got Ohio State. Right, it was that our playoff ones too.

645
00:32:59,240 --> 00:32:59,920
Speaker 1: Did we do noted?

646
00:33:00,520 --> 00:33:02,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, we didn't do Notre Dame. It was just Texas

647
00:33:02,120 --> 00:33:03,720
Speaker 2: and hot A State. I'm up nine to seven you need.

648
00:33:03,920 --> 00:33:05,520
Speaker 1: I think we just both agreed on what side of

649
00:33:05,560 --> 00:33:08,360
Speaker 1: seven you should be on. Yes, that's what we did.

650
00:33:08,480 --> 00:33:11,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, now you were right on that one. Oh you

651
00:33:11,680 --> 00:33:15,360
Speaker 2: know what, I'll get it to nine eight we have.

652
00:33:16,280 --> 00:33:18,360
Speaker 1: I can't believe you're going into Verse, Dandy. How are

653
00:33:18,400 --> 00:33:19,440
Speaker 1: you going against Georgia Tech?

654
00:33:20,040 --> 00:33:22,040
Speaker 2: How are you going against Diego? Diego is a dog

655
00:33:22,280 --> 00:33:24,400
Speaker 2: in a bowl. Georgia Tech some more key opt outs.

656
00:33:24,800 --> 00:33:27,520
Speaker 1: These guys playing each other. Why can't they play Miami

657
00:33:27,600 --> 00:33:28,400
Speaker 1: and Iowa State.

658
00:33:28,720 --> 00:33:32,920
Speaker 2: Hit Toledo should be split up to play Georgia Tech

659
00:33:33,040 --> 00:33:34,320
Speaker 2: Vandy and we'd have two bets.

660
00:33:34,840 --> 00:33:36,800
Speaker 1: Why don't you and I just be the goddamn commissioners

661
00:33:36,840 --> 00:33:39,040
Speaker 1: of NCA Football and just get this out.

662
00:33:39,120 --> 00:33:41,920
Speaker 2: The balls will be so corrupt, all right, let's agree

663
00:33:41,960 --> 00:33:43,520
Speaker 2: on Kyle to State. Let's go on to the Military

664
00:33:43,560 --> 00:33:45,720
Speaker 2: Ball between East Carolina and NC State.

665
00:33:46,160 --> 00:33:47,640
Speaker 1: The Military Ball.

666
00:33:48,160 --> 00:33:53,240
Speaker 2: Saturday, December twenty eighth, five forty five Eastern on ESPN.

667
00:33:53,640 --> 00:33:55,800
Speaker 1: Can I ask you something before you get in? What

668
00:33:55,960 --> 00:33:57,640
Speaker 1: do you know about Greenville, North Carolina?

669
00:33:57,960 --> 00:33:58,800
Speaker 2: What's the bar called?

670
00:33:58,880 --> 00:34:00,840
Speaker 1: I'll let you think about that and I'll let you

671
00:34:01,000 --> 00:34:02,400
Speaker 1: look it up if you want. But let me say

672
00:34:02,440 --> 00:34:05,040
Speaker 1: this to everybody as we get into this East Carolina.

673
00:34:05,120 --> 00:34:07,160
Speaker 1: When you take the State Highway out of the Triangle

674
00:34:07,280 --> 00:34:10,759
Speaker 1: and you head out towards Greenville, there are billboards, there

675
00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:13,360
Speaker 1: are signs, and once you get to Greenville.

676
00:34:13,280 --> 00:34:14,200
Speaker 2: Sep dogs by the way.

677
00:34:14,600 --> 00:34:20,520
Speaker 1: Yes, East Carolina cares so much about owning the Carolinas.

678
00:34:21,000 --> 00:34:22,560
Speaker 1: And as you get into this, I just I want

679
00:34:22,600 --> 00:34:25,120
Speaker 1: everybody to know they have a chip on their shoulder

680
00:34:25,200 --> 00:34:28,840
Speaker 1: and it goes through every sport college baseball, college football,

681
00:34:29,600 --> 00:34:31,840
Speaker 1: and just a little history here. They lost twenty one

682
00:34:31,880 --> 00:34:34,000
Speaker 1: twenty to nca State in the twenty twenty two season,

683
00:34:34,320 --> 00:34:36,239
Speaker 1: it was a big deal. They smashed Coastal in the

684
00:34:36,280 --> 00:34:38,960
Speaker 1: bowl later that year. They lost to South Carolina buy

685
00:34:38,960 --> 00:34:41,319
Speaker 1: a field goal in twenty twenty one. They beat North

686
00:34:41,360 --> 00:34:44,240
Speaker 1: Carolina in twenty nineteen, doubled them up forty one to nineteen.

687
00:34:44,640 --> 00:34:47,640
Speaker 1: They bleue Western Carolina out of the water, beat in

688
00:34:47,760 --> 00:34:50,760
Speaker 1: CEA State in twenty sixteen and barely lost to South Carolina.

689
00:34:51,160 --> 00:34:53,160
Speaker 1: If there is Carolina attached to your name and you're

690
00:34:53,160 --> 00:34:57,000
Speaker 1: an opponent, Greenville gets hot and they get pissed, and

691
00:34:57,120 --> 00:34:59,480
Speaker 1: I think they like their new coach. So now let's

692
00:34:59,520 --> 00:34:59,920
Speaker 1: get into this.

693
00:35:00,360 --> 00:35:02,440
Speaker 2: I'm actually excited for this bowl game because of that too.

694
00:35:03,120 --> 00:35:03,640
Speaker 2: You know, a win.

695
00:35:03,840 --> 00:35:06,040
Speaker 1: Wins were just so hard to come by and they're precious.

696
00:35:06,040 --> 00:35:08,000
Speaker 1: But I'm going to tell you something, and you can

697
00:35:08,040 --> 00:35:11,840
Speaker 1: write this down in big bold letters. When you're at

698
00:35:11,840 --> 00:35:16,000
Speaker 1: East Carolina, you go for it every time, or you

699
00:35:16,080 --> 00:35:18,800
Speaker 1: don't coach it East Carolina, you don't come to East Carolina,

700
00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:21,160
Speaker 1: you don't play it East Carolina with a weak heart,

701
00:35:21,800 --> 00:35:22,839
Speaker 1: and you write that down.

702
00:35:23,320 --> 00:35:25,200
Speaker 2: This is like a really good matchup. This is one

703
00:35:25,280 --> 00:35:29,000
Speaker 2: that I think the Bold Powers got right matching these

704
00:35:29,040 --> 00:35:33,080
Speaker 2: two teams up against each other, because yeah, there's real

705
00:35:33,239 --> 00:35:37,440
Speaker 2: hate ECU has like that real hey, little brother, I

706
00:35:37,520 --> 00:35:42,640
Speaker 2: want to beat you syndrome. ECU did respond to their

707
00:35:42,719 --> 00:35:47,279
Speaker 2: new coach, Blake Harrell, and they played much better. They

708
00:35:47,360 --> 00:35:50,440
Speaker 2: did lose the starting wide receiver, starting corner. Their stud

709
00:35:50,560 --> 00:35:53,040
Speaker 2: corner has been out for most of the season, which

710
00:35:54,040 --> 00:35:55,680
Speaker 2: was huge. I mean, he might be a first round

711
00:35:55,719 --> 00:35:58,920
Speaker 2: draft pic not sure with now the injury questions Winston right,

712
00:35:59,200 --> 00:36:01,440
Speaker 2: he declared for the draft. I'm assuming he's out. He

713
00:36:01,520 --> 00:36:05,560
Speaker 2: is important for EU wide receiver, also an All American

714
00:36:05,680 --> 00:36:10,640
Speaker 2: kick returner. N C State, they're starting wide receiver Casey

715
00:36:10,680 --> 00:36:11,200
Speaker 2: concepts you on.

716
00:36:11,280 --> 00:36:14,160
Speaker 1: He's in the portal huge and fielding offers on the

717
00:36:14,239 --> 00:36:16,600
Speaker 1: campuses of Miami, Texas A and m and Tennessee.

718
00:36:17,120 --> 00:36:17,319
Speaker 2: Yeah.

719
00:36:17,360 --> 00:36:18,560
Speaker 1: I thought he was gonna go to Kansas State.

720
00:36:18,600 --> 00:36:20,800
Speaker 2: His little brother signed with Kansas State and he was

721
00:36:20,880 --> 00:36:23,160
Speaker 2: committed to n C State and then Flip tends to

722
00:36:23,360 --> 00:36:23,960
Speaker 2: Kansas State.

723
00:36:24,200 --> 00:36:27,320
Speaker 1: You have his skills and you're gonna go to Kansas State. Yeah, No,

724
00:36:27,440 --> 00:36:28,799
Speaker 1: I just I just saw that his.

725
00:36:28,880 --> 00:36:31,200
Speaker 2: Brother flipped, so I thought maybe he goes a kids state,

726
00:36:31,239 --> 00:36:34,160
Speaker 2: but I assume he might end up Miami. It's insane

727
00:36:34,239 --> 00:36:38,719
Speaker 2: some of the money that Miami is throwing around Zach guys.

728
00:36:39,160 --> 00:36:41,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, Zachary, That's why zachar Ryan Branch is still hanging

729
00:36:41,600 --> 00:36:44,400
Speaker 1: out while Georgia LSU are fighting over millions.

730
00:36:45,120 --> 00:36:47,719
Speaker 2: Yes, it's it's insane. It does look the NC State

731
00:36:47,800 --> 00:36:52,320
Speaker 2: cares about this game, Like I van their defensive end Belton,

732
00:36:52,520 --> 00:36:54,279
Speaker 2: left tackle, McKayla Wright, card these are all the guys

733
00:36:54,280 --> 00:36:56,040
Speaker 2: I was watching potential offts. They're on the depth chart

734
00:36:56,360 --> 00:36:58,160
Speaker 2: Aiden White, he didn't play in the finale. Their starting

735
00:36:58,200 --> 00:37:00,359
Speaker 2: corner is really good. He's on the depth chart. Uh

736
00:37:01,000 --> 00:37:03,040
Speaker 2: one of the other corners left with an injury, so

737
00:37:03,160 --> 00:37:04,880
Speaker 2: you say in the finale, but he's on the depth chart.

738
00:37:04,920 --> 00:37:06,880
Speaker 2: So it looks like they care. I would assume they do,

739
00:37:07,520 --> 00:37:10,920
Speaker 2: but I don't know. I think this is a good

740
00:37:12,160 --> 00:37:15,520
Speaker 2: money line dog spot. Like for ECU, I think they're

741
00:37:15,520 --> 00:37:16,200
Speaker 2: gonna be up for this.

742
00:37:16,360 --> 00:37:16,839
Speaker 1: They care.

743
00:37:17,000 --> 00:37:19,400
Speaker 2: I think there's a lot of variance with ECU, like

744
00:37:19,520 --> 00:37:21,480
Speaker 2: this game could just get wid you if you watch

745
00:37:21,560 --> 00:37:25,800
Speaker 2: CCU games down the stretch, they just get crazy, like

746
00:37:25,880 --> 00:37:29,040
Speaker 2: there's there's gonna They could have seven turnovers, or they

747
00:37:29,120 --> 00:37:31,880
Speaker 2: could win this game by twenty I know they're gonna care.

748
00:37:32,239 --> 00:37:33,720
Speaker 2: I just think this game has a ton of variants.

749
00:37:33,719 --> 00:37:36,239
Speaker 2: So I think it's the line ticked up because there's

750
00:37:36,360 --> 00:37:41,400
Speaker 2: the news hasn't been kind to ECU. But I don't know.

751
00:37:41,440 --> 00:37:42,799
Speaker 2: I kind of think it's a good money line dogs

752
00:37:42,800 --> 00:37:43,799
Speaker 2: spot free. See what do you say?

753
00:37:44,600 --> 00:37:48,160
Speaker 1: It's hilarious, stuck and I don't share notes before podcasts.

754
00:37:48,520 --> 00:37:54,360
Speaker 1: My bullet point says chaotic variants, chaos, chaos, chaos. I

755
00:37:54,640 --> 00:37:57,200
Speaker 1: think one thing with ECU that's hard. And you talked

756
00:37:57,239 --> 00:37:59,560
Speaker 1: about their hot streak at the end. I want to

757
00:37:59,560 --> 00:38:02,000
Speaker 1: get excited about Blake Harrel, but it was Temple Fau,

758
00:38:02,120 --> 00:38:03,880
Speaker 1: Tulsa and U and T that they beat before they

759
00:38:04,000 --> 00:38:07,120
Speaker 1: lost in Navy. You and I were balls of the

760
00:38:07,200 --> 00:38:11,240
Speaker 1: wall on this ECU defensive line, and Navy said, nah trash.

761
00:38:11,520 --> 00:38:13,520
Speaker 1: So that one gave me a little pause. I'm going

762
00:38:13,560 --> 00:38:17,200
Speaker 1: hot on ECU here. I mean, one of the easiest

763
00:38:17,200 --> 00:38:19,959
Speaker 1: strength of schedules in the nation. Kateen Hauser has been around.

764
00:38:20,040 --> 00:38:22,080
Speaker 1: He took over a starter and Week eight against Army

765
00:38:22,160 --> 00:38:24,800
Speaker 1: eighteen and nineteen to iron t ratio, but just a

766
00:38:24,920 --> 00:38:27,800
Speaker 1: major mistake game against Tulsa. If you throw out like

767
00:38:27,960 --> 00:38:29,800
Speaker 1: I think he had what seven turnover worthy plays in

768
00:38:29,840 --> 00:38:31,360
Speaker 1: that game. If you throw that out, he actually finished

769
00:38:31,400 --> 00:38:33,640
Speaker 1: fifteen to nine big time throw turnover worthy play. But

770
00:38:33,680 --> 00:38:34,640
Speaker 1: pressure is a huge issue.

771
00:38:34,680 --> 00:38:37,440
Speaker 2: You're gonna go fast, gonna be there's it's just gonna

772
00:38:37,440 --> 00:38:40,000
Speaker 2: be chaos. It's gonna be like if you bet on

773
00:38:40,080 --> 00:38:42,920
Speaker 2: ec just get ready to expect chaos.

774
00:38:43,080 --> 00:38:45,000
Speaker 1: If you can find a prop on fumbles, I would

775
00:38:45,040 --> 00:38:48,400
Speaker 1: bet it because pressure on on Hauser No big time

776
00:38:48,480 --> 00:38:51,440
Speaker 1: throws seven turnover worthy plays a thirteen point two percent

777
00:38:52,280 --> 00:38:56,120
Speaker 1: mistake rate with pressure in C State though the defense

778
00:38:56,160 --> 00:38:58,719
Speaker 1: you know, twelfth and havoc. But we're missing our guy, right,

779
00:38:58,719 --> 00:39:01,120
Speaker 1: we're missing Tony Gibson. Does that change how we feel

780
00:39:01,160 --> 00:39:04,480
Speaker 1: about the three three five top twenty five tackles for

781
00:39:04,560 --> 00:39:06,680
Speaker 1: loss in PBUs It's just a tough assignment for Howser.

782
00:39:06,760 --> 00:39:08,480
Speaker 1: So I do expect the ball to be on the

783
00:39:08,520 --> 00:39:13,000
Speaker 1: carpet frequently for ECU in C State. I mean you

784
00:39:13,080 --> 00:39:15,800
Speaker 1: and I boy, we were into it about Western Carolina

785
00:39:15,880 --> 00:39:18,760
Speaker 1: Week one and the havoc and the offensive line couldn't

786
00:39:18,800 --> 00:39:22,640
Speaker 1: protect our boy. One hundred and twenty ninth and havocal

787
00:39:22,680 --> 00:39:25,160
Speaker 1: out on offense. They never improved from the opening game.

788
00:39:26,120 --> 00:39:28,520
Speaker 1: Eighteen fumbles on the season, they lost ten of them,

789
00:39:28,760 --> 00:39:32,120
Speaker 1: twelve I in tes they still finished. They finished minus

790
00:39:32,200 --> 00:39:35,320
Speaker 1: four and net turnover margin in C State with eighteen

791
00:39:35,400 --> 00:39:38,840
Speaker 1: goddamn fumbles and twelve interceptions, they finished minus four. So

792
00:39:40,239 --> 00:39:42,560
Speaker 1: I will say NC State runs. I think CJ. Bailey

793
00:39:42,640 --> 00:39:45,360
Speaker 1: is going to be a star next year. I really do.

794
00:39:46,400 --> 00:39:48,600
Speaker 1: NC State runs counter and inside zone more than anything.

795
00:39:49,080 --> 00:39:51,480
Speaker 1: ECU can defend that fifty nine percent success rate. This

796
00:39:51,640 --> 00:39:54,920
Speaker 1: is not the Navy offense. What ECU is built defensively

797
00:39:54,960 --> 00:39:58,960
Speaker 1: to stop that. So with the negative play rates ECU

798
00:39:59,040 --> 00:40:02,560
Speaker 1: turnovers in C State turnovers, I think you're picking a side,

799
00:40:02,680 --> 00:40:04,799
Speaker 1: like you just said, because my plan I've written right

800
00:40:04,840 --> 00:40:07,200
Speaker 1: here chaotic variance means I would take an NC State

801
00:40:07,239 --> 00:40:09,279
Speaker 1: money line into another piece and I would look for

802
00:40:09,360 --> 00:40:12,279
Speaker 1: a live bet on East Carolina. At some point. There

803
00:40:12,360 --> 00:40:14,400
Speaker 1: is so much good live betting game, I think, too

804
00:40:14,640 --> 00:40:16,680
Speaker 1: huge live betting game, and you need to hit it.

805
00:40:17,160 --> 00:40:20,680
Speaker 1: You get two straight scores off turnovers, fire, you get

806
00:40:20,719 --> 00:40:23,000
Speaker 1: two straight scores the other way off turnovers, fire the

807
00:40:23,040 --> 00:40:27,080
Speaker 1: other side, Sit back, enjoy a potato that we cut

808
00:40:27,120 --> 00:40:29,120
Speaker 1: up because we hate the potato bo All.

809
00:40:29,040 --> 00:40:33,880
Speaker 2: Right, Saturday night, seven thirty Eastern on ABC, BYU versus

810
00:40:33,960 --> 00:40:40,520
Speaker 2: Colorado the Alamobile again. This is a rare conference matchup.

811
00:40:40,560 --> 00:40:43,520
Speaker 2: It's only happened one other time over the past forty years.

812
00:40:43,520 --> 00:40:48,759
Speaker 2: I think Nevada Colorado State in twenty seventeen. Very random one.

813
00:40:48,800 --> 00:40:50,680
Speaker 2: They like ran out of teams to fill this bowl

814
00:40:50,680 --> 00:40:53,600
Speaker 2: and they both played each other. But this happened because

815
00:40:53,800 --> 00:40:58,600
Speaker 2: there's old obligations to the old PAC twelve. So you

816
00:40:58,719 --> 00:41:03,600
Speaker 2: get BYU Colorado Colorado four point favorite. Here. It looks

817
00:41:03,800 --> 00:41:05,840
Speaker 2: like everyone's gonna play in this game like this is

818
00:41:06,480 --> 00:41:08,800
Speaker 2: this is an exciting bowl game. Awesome. I mean I

819
00:41:08,880 --> 00:41:11,359
Speaker 2: assume everyone for Colorado would sit out. Credit to Dion.

820
00:41:11,440 --> 00:41:13,800
Speaker 2: It looks like everyone's gonna play. This is in San Antonio.

821
00:41:13,840 --> 00:41:15,279
Speaker 2: By the way, if you go to San Antonio, that's

822
00:41:15,320 --> 00:41:16,359
Speaker 2: where you get your text mex.

823
00:41:17,560 --> 00:41:18,440
Speaker 3: But go to.

824
00:41:18,480 --> 00:41:22,600
Speaker 2: Domingo, get the guac. Let's get on the river walk Domingo.

825
00:41:23,080 --> 00:41:24,840
Speaker 2: The guak there is amazing.

826
00:41:26,200 --> 00:41:28,319
Speaker 1: Don't go outside the riverwalk. Stay in the river walk.

827
00:41:29,040 --> 00:41:33,000
Speaker 1: The rest of San Antota up above is questionable. Hey,

828
00:41:33,120 --> 00:41:36,759
Speaker 1: this is mad again in San Antonio. Just outside the

829
00:41:36,840 --> 00:41:41,480
Speaker 1: river walk. Great die Bar called the Texan two.

830
00:41:42,360 --> 00:41:42,920
Speaker 3: Texan two.

831
00:41:43,080 --> 00:41:47,960
Speaker 2: Great Bar got a Goottle Spurs game, Watchama and then

832
00:41:48,160 --> 00:41:51,560
Speaker 2: get some guakat Mingo. Colorado four point favorite here.

833
00:41:51,719 --> 00:41:52,360
Speaker 1: I took you a you.

834
00:41:53,320 --> 00:41:55,800
Speaker 2: I'm everyone looks like they're gonna play. There is a

835
00:41:55,960 --> 00:42:02,120
Speaker 2: chance that baby shadoor me. Maybe you don't play, yeah, Hunter,

836
00:42:02,280 --> 00:42:06,719
Speaker 2: both sides. Maybe they sit out. At some point they're

837
00:42:06,760 --> 00:42:09,040
Speaker 2: gonna be top five draft picks. I get it. Then

838
00:42:09,160 --> 00:42:10,440
Speaker 2: you care. You don't want to opt out. It looks

839
00:42:10,480 --> 00:42:12,200
Speaker 2: like they're gonna play, but there is that there is

840
00:42:12,280 --> 00:42:15,239
Speaker 2: risk that they don't maybe play the whole game. Hunter

841
00:42:15,320 --> 00:42:18,839
Speaker 2: doesn't play both sides. I know they have insurance. Every

842
00:42:18,880 --> 00:42:21,080
Speaker 2: team does that. Dean does such a good job in

843
00:42:21,120 --> 00:42:24,680
Speaker 2: the PR world. But h there is some downside risk

844
00:42:24,760 --> 00:42:27,719
Speaker 2: with betting Colorado here. But looks like they care. I

845
00:42:27,760 --> 00:42:31,840
Speaker 2: think both teams are gonna care BYU. Looks like the

846
00:42:31,920 --> 00:42:33,920
Speaker 2: color does have a starting linebacker that's in the portal.

847
00:42:34,080 --> 00:42:37,160
Speaker 2: Not sure if Green's gonna play Simon Alabama because there's

848
00:42:37,360 --> 00:42:39,480
Speaker 2: one of their defensive ends who's been hurt. Hayes. He

849
00:42:39,600 --> 00:42:42,320
Speaker 2: says he's gonna play, even though he signed with Texas

850
00:42:42,360 --> 00:42:44,759
Speaker 2: A and M. So it does look like Colorado really

851
00:42:44,840 --> 00:42:48,400
Speaker 2: cares here b YU. They're starting safeties in the portal.

852
00:42:48,920 --> 00:42:53,800
Speaker 2: Other than that, looks like they're fully healthy. It is

853
00:42:53,920 --> 00:42:56,719
Speaker 2: worth mentioning their offensive line. I shouldn't, I should say

854
00:42:56,719 --> 00:42:58,480
Speaker 2: it is not fully healthy. Brady Knin missed the last

855
00:42:58,480 --> 00:43:00,560
Speaker 2: three games. His backup was also hurt, so in the

856
00:43:00,600 --> 00:43:02,879
Speaker 2: finale they move their left guard to right tackle. Looks

857
00:43:02,920 --> 00:43:05,320
Speaker 2: like that'll be the case again this week. So that

858
00:43:05,400 --> 00:43:09,080
Speaker 2: offensive line is worth watching. And Darius Lassiter, their wide receiver,

859
00:43:09,320 --> 00:43:11,640
Speaker 2: is also a really good return man. He's suspended for

860
00:43:11,719 --> 00:43:15,360
Speaker 2: the first half because of an unsportsman like penalty in

861
00:43:15,480 --> 00:43:18,920
Speaker 2: the regular season finale, so that is noteworthy. But what

862
00:43:19,040 --> 00:43:21,560
Speaker 2: this comes down to to me is I think Colorada cares.

863
00:43:21,640 --> 00:43:23,839
Speaker 2: I think BUYU cares like this is like a cool

864
00:43:23,880 --> 00:43:27,800
Speaker 2: conference game in bowl season, But I don't have I

865
00:43:28,440 --> 00:43:30,560
Speaker 2: can't find four points of separation between these teams. I

866
00:43:30,600 --> 00:43:33,319
Speaker 2: have these teams basically equal power rings wise, So give

867
00:43:33,320 --> 00:43:35,920
Speaker 2: me the four and there's I think there's more downside

868
00:43:36,080 --> 00:43:37,920
Speaker 2: risk with Colorado.

869
00:43:38,360 --> 00:43:38,840
Speaker 1: You never know.

870
00:43:39,000 --> 00:43:43,040
Speaker 2: Last second, an agent tells time I think they're gonna play,

871
00:43:43,040 --> 00:43:44,759
Speaker 2: but you just never and again you never know both.

872
00:43:44,880 --> 00:43:46,360
Speaker 2: An agent gets to one hundred and says, what are

873
00:43:46,360 --> 00:43:48,560
Speaker 2: you doing? You're not playing? Don't definitely don't play both

874
00:43:48,600 --> 00:43:50,040
Speaker 2: sides of the ball here in this Bowl game.

875
00:43:50,520 --> 00:43:54,160
Speaker 1: So I think maybe his girlfriend tells him not to play.

876
00:43:54,600 --> 00:43:57,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, give me the points here. What do you say?

877
00:43:58,960 --> 00:44:02,680
Speaker 1: The number is right on the nose, full rosters both sides.

878
00:44:02,680 --> 00:44:04,799
Speaker 1: I'd make this four. The oddsmakers did a really good

879
00:44:04,840 --> 00:44:07,279
Speaker 1: job of setting this number, so I had to do Actually, like,

880
00:44:07,719 --> 00:44:09,239
Speaker 1: this is a heavy podcast with a lot of games,

881
00:44:09,280 --> 00:44:12,320
Speaker 1: but I had to deep dive this one Colorado offense,

882
00:44:12,360 --> 00:44:14,400
Speaker 1: heavy pass with Shador right of the teeth of the

883
00:44:14,440 --> 00:44:16,920
Speaker 1: best part of the BYU defense that that hiring of Hill,

884
00:44:16,960 --> 00:44:20,200
Speaker 1: the defensive coordinator, was a savior for Klonie Sataki's job.

885
00:44:20,680 --> 00:44:23,160
Speaker 1: BYU runs a heavy Cover one Cover three thirty one

886
00:44:23,200 --> 00:44:25,719
Speaker 1: percent of the time they run some man, but Shador

887
00:44:26,320 --> 00:44:29,640
Speaker 1: high epa versus man coverage. He has dominated Cover three

888
00:44:29,760 --> 00:44:32,640
Speaker 1: fifty five percent success rate, a big play rate of

889
00:44:32,719 --> 00:44:34,680
Speaker 1: twenty one percent against Cover three. I didn't think that

890
00:44:34,800 --> 00:44:37,680
Speaker 1: was possible against a Cover three. BYU is second and

891
00:44:37,719 --> 00:44:40,480
Speaker 1: creating contesting catches. So we're really good on good here,

892
00:44:40,760 --> 00:44:43,800
Speaker 1: big time good on good and you look at Shador

893
00:44:43,880 --> 00:44:45,719
Speaker 1: and this is the reason. Like Johnny and I talked

894
00:44:45,760 --> 00:44:48,360
Speaker 1: about this on The Intangibles, my third vote in the

895
00:44:48,400 --> 00:44:51,160
Speaker 1: Heisman was Shador and the reason I did one point

896
00:44:51,239 --> 00:44:54,239
Speaker 1: one percent turnover worthy play rate only six mistakes the

897
00:44:54,480 --> 00:44:59,239
Speaker 1: entire season. I was extremely impressed with Shador's jump in

898
00:44:59,320 --> 00:45:02,839
Speaker 1: his numbers and essentially the pressure still kept coming at him.

899
00:45:03,120 --> 00:45:04,200
Speaker 1: You go to the other side, you and I have

900
00:45:04,239 --> 00:45:06,239
Speaker 1: not like Jake Retzliff all year, seventy seventh and on

901
00:45:06,360 --> 00:45:09,000
Speaker 1: target rate, he is not accurate. And DC Robert Livingston

902
00:45:09,040 --> 00:45:11,640
Speaker 1: the secondary for Colorado. They graded out eleventh per PFF.

903
00:45:12,120 --> 00:45:15,840
Speaker 1: Colorado finished twenty fourth defensivelly and limiting past explosives. But

904
00:45:15,960 --> 00:45:18,080
Speaker 1: Colorado does something that not a lot of defenses do.

905
00:45:18,200 --> 00:45:21,239
Speaker 1: They run fifty percent man coverage and fifty percent cover one.

906
00:45:21,640 --> 00:45:24,719
Speaker 1: And you want to give a quarterback problems, show him

907
00:45:24,719 --> 00:45:26,440
Speaker 1: a single high safety and then switch him up to

908
00:45:26,480 --> 00:45:29,520
Speaker 1: man coverage. I'm not trying I mean there, I'm not

909
00:45:29,560 --> 00:45:31,239
Speaker 1: trying to be x's and o's on this podcast, But

910
00:45:31,320 --> 00:45:34,000
Speaker 1: because the number is so sharp, I was trying to

911
00:45:34,040 --> 00:45:36,680
Speaker 1: find advantage here, and the fact that Colorado does fifty

912
00:45:36,719 --> 00:45:38,319
Speaker 1: percent man and fIF percent cover one and you look

913
00:45:38,320 --> 00:45:41,360
Speaker 1: at retsloth is below forty seven percent success rate against

914
00:45:41,400 --> 00:45:45,799
Speaker 1: those packages and doesn't create explosives. If Colorado is full

915
00:45:45,800 --> 00:45:48,400
Speaker 1: strength and Travis Hunter is playing, and Shaduer is playing,

916
00:45:49,400 --> 00:45:52,040
Speaker 1: Wester is playing, we get those names out there. To me,

917
00:45:52,160 --> 00:45:54,439
Speaker 1: this is a Colorado play on four. I will also

918
00:45:54,560 --> 00:45:56,919
Speaker 1: emphasize I make it for it's not a huge play.

919
00:45:57,880 --> 00:46:01,120
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go ahead and Ann, can we wipe it.

920
00:46:01,120 --> 00:46:03,560
Speaker 1: Off the board if Shador and Travis Hunter are playing, No,

921
00:46:03,719 --> 00:46:05,799
Speaker 1: that's the risk of ball. Hell, you don't.

922
00:46:05,920 --> 00:46:06,520
Speaker 2: You don't want to put it on.

923
00:46:06,600 --> 00:46:09,360
Speaker 1: I mean, listen. I sat here and sang like a

924
00:46:09,440 --> 00:46:11,719
Speaker 1: bird about how I want Clemson plus fourteen, And I

925
00:46:11,840 --> 00:46:14,000
Speaker 1: went ahead and went into thirteen with you just for fun.

926
00:46:14,080 --> 00:46:16,680
Speaker 1: Gambling shit, I'm I do not like losing this board.

927
00:46:16,719 --> 00:46:18,120
Speaker 1: Bet with you. It's worse than money.

928
00:46:18,320 --> 00:46:18,920
Speaker 2: We'll keep it off.

929
00:46:19,080 --> 00:46:19,759
Speaker 1: I will keep it off.

930
00:46:20,360 --> 00:46:24,680
Speaker 2: All right. Let's move on to the final game on Saturday,

931
00:46:24,840 --> 00:46:29,120
Speaker 2: the Independence Bowl between Louisiana Tech and Army. The Independence

932
00:46:29,239 --> 00:46:34,279
Speaker 2: Bowl Saturday, nine to fifteen Eastern on ESPN. If you

933
00:46:34,360 --> 00:46:36,400
Speaker 2: go to the schemes in Streetport, if you go to Streeport,

934
00:46:37,239 --> 00:46:40,520
Speaker 2: you gotta get you gotta obviously find your Cajun food fix.

935
00:46:41,000 --> 00:46:43,200
Speaker 2: Orlando's on the water on the lake. I don't know,

936
00:46:43,719 --> 00:46:47,120
Speaker 2: correct me if I'm wrong there. Luis Army is sixteen

937
00:46:47,120 --> 00:46:48,920
Speaker 2: and a half seventeen point favorite. This is I call

938
00:46:48,960 --> 00:46:51,120
Speaker 2: this the Regret Bowl because I had a I had

939
00:46:51,200 --> 00:46:53,960
Speaker 2: money on Army against Marshall. That line was going to

940
00:46:54,000 --> 00:46:57,520
Speaker 2: close like twenty one and I had under tent and

941
00:46:57,880 --> 00:47:01,800
Speaker 2: Marshall opted out, which means they needed to find a replacement,

942
00:47:01,800 --> 00:47:04,239
Speaker 2: which meant that they needed to find a replacement and hey,

943
00:47:04,480 --> 00:47:06,640
Speaker 2: let's call up l Tech. It wasn't too far away.

944
00:47:07,120 --> 00:47:09,640
Speaker 2: But they won't win a break. The question is who's

945
00:47:09,640 --> 00:47:12,120
Speaker 2: gonna play for LA Tech? Who's actually gonna come back?

946
00:47:12,600 --> 00:47:14,759
Speaker 2: It does look like most of the players care, most

947
00:47:14,760 --> 00:47:17,640
Speaker 2: of the seniors care. Sunny Comby said he expects most

948
00:47:17,680 --> 00:47:20,239
Speaker 2: of his defense to play despite the late notice. A

949
00:47:20,280 --> 00:47:22,799
Speaker 2: lot of the kids came back to practice. However, they're

950
00:47:22,840 --> 00:47:24,439
Speaker 2: not gonna be a full strength on defense. They're starting

951
00:47:24,480 --> 00:47:27,560
Speaker 2: defensive tackle who signed with Miami. This Law Tech defense

952
00:47:27,560 --> 00:47:30,200
Speaker 2: one of the most underrated defenses in the country. They're

953
00:47:30,239 --> 00:47:33,160
Speaker 2: down the stretch. They were amazing, but they're starting defensive tackle.

954
00:47:33,480 --> 00:47:37,080
Speaker 2: David Blay he'll be out. Starting cornerback Cedric Woods, he's

955
00:47:37,160 --> 00:47:40,240
Speaker 2: in the portally. They think he's gonna play. They're starting

956
00:47:40,280 --> 00:47:43,719
Speaker 2: defensive end Burnett, I think he's gonna be out, and

957
00:47:43,760 --> 00:47:46,279
Speaker 2: then they're starting linebacker Colby Fields. He's injured. He will

958
00:47:46,400 --> 00:47:49,200
Speaker 2: be out. Starting left guard Burt Hale will also be

959
00:47:49,280 --> 00:47:52,080
Speaker 2: out with an injury. So not quite at full strength,

960
00:47:52,120 --> 00:47:54,080
Speaker 2: but it looks like the roster is gonna be in

961
00:47:54,239 --> 00:47:56,640
Speaker 2: better shape than I might have assumed for a team

962
00:47:56,680 --> 00:47:59,279
Speaker 2: that gets notified late in the cycle that they're gonna

963
00:47:59,280 --> 00:48:02,719
Speaker 2: be playing in a bowl. Les Tech did hire Tony

964
00:48:02,760 --> 00:48:05,320
Speaker 2: Franklin if it's as its new offensive coordinator, but Comby

965
00:48:05,560 --> 00:48:07,560
Speaker 2: didn't really say if he's going to be involved or

966
00:48:07,560 --> 00:48:10,720
Speaker 2: who's calling plays there. It doesn't click. Their defensive coordinator

967
00:48:10,760 --> 00:48:12,759
Speaker 2: did a really good job this year. Jeremiah Johnson will

968
00:48:12,840 --> 00:48:14,359
Speaker 2: stay with the team through the bowl game.

969
00:48:15,360 --> 00:48:15,600
Speaker 1: Army.

970
00:48:15,680 --> 00:48:18,359
Speaker 2: The news is at which they never have news is Udo,

971
00:48:18,440 --> 00:48:21,120
Speaker 2: their star running back. He signed with Arizona State hit

972
00:48:21,160 --> 00:48:24,520
Speaker 2: the portal. Don't usually see a lot of news with

973
00:48:24,600 --> 00:48:26,320
Speaker 2: service Academy teams stop.

974
00:48:26,280 --> 00:48:28,600
Speaker 1: Calling me, Commy Wilson. Arizona State went and stole the

975
00:48:28,640 --> 00:48:31,360
Speaker 1: best running back off Army squad. They're in the Commies,

976
00:48:31,960 --> 00:48:32,640
Speaker 1: Tommy Devils.

977
00:48:33,800 --> 00:48:38,279
Speaker 2: I this game is tough for me because I don't

978
00:48:38,320 --> 00:48:42,520
Speaker 2: like I'd never fade Service academies. I could make a

979
00:48:42,600 --> 00:48:45,400
Speaker 2: case for every side and total. I never faded Service academies,

980
00:48:45,400 --> 00:48:48,560
Speaker 2: but service cut is usually unreal in bowl games. Louisiana

981
00:48:48,640 --> 00:48:51,040
Speaker 2: Tech's defense has been unbelievable. This is a team I

982
00:48:51,120 --> 00:48:52,560
Speaker 2: wanted to bet in the Bowl. This is a team

983
00:48:52,560 --> 00:48:54,279
Speaker 2: that I wanted to bet the under on in the

984
00:48:54,280 --> 00:48:55,799
Speaker 2: Bowl and they didn't make a bawl. But then here

985
00:48:55,840 --> 00:48:59,160
Speaker 2: they are, but the under is super low. Not sure

986
00:48:59,160 --> 00:49:01,520
Speaker 2: how to quantify some of their defensive losses. Still trying

987
00:49:01,520 --> 00:49:03,560
Speaker 2: to figure that out. Army, I mean this is a

988
00:49:03,760 --> 00:49:07,759
Speaker 2: big number. I still don't have full confidence in who's

989
00:49:07,800 --> 00:49:09,560
Speaker 2: going to be in there for LA Tech. Their offense

990
00:49:09,719 --> 00:49:13,120
Speaker 2: is dreadful. I will say that, so I I don't

991
00:49:13,160 --> 00:49:13,920
Speaker 2: know what do you see here?

992
00:49:14,360 --> 00:49:16,960
Speaker 1: Sure, you hit the nail on the head, but there's

993
00:49:17,040 --> 00:49:22,480
Speaker 1: one thing that needs to be put in bold. The

994
00:49:22,560 --> 00:49:26,160
Speaker 1: Louisiana Tech defense is really good at everything. They're really

995
00:49:26,239 --> 00:49:29,880
Speaker 1: really good against the rush. Lotis rush defense finished sixteenth

996
00:49:29,960 --> 00:49:31,960
Speaker 1: and success rate against the rush thirty third in line

997
00:49:32,000 --> 00:49:35,440
Speaker 1: yards and twenty fourth and stuff rate. They have a

998
00:49:35,520 --> 00:49:39,600
Speaker 1: high success rate against outside zone man run concepts, and

999
00:49:39,719 --> 00:49:42,600
Speaker 1: that is what Army's offense has now become under Bryson

1000
00:49:42,680 --> 00:49:44,480
Speaker 1: Daily and Kanye Udo, who is on his way now.

1001
00:49:44,520 --> 00:49:49,000
Speaker 1: It's No A Shorts, turn No A Short. I'm not

1002
00:49:49,040 --> 00:49:51,880
Speaker 1: sure if we have enough snaps to say that he

1003
00:49:51,960 --> 00:49:55,680
Speaker 1: can be what Udo is, but he hasn't shown to

1004
00:49:55,760 --> 00:50:00,239
Speaker 1: be tepid or vanilla. Army runs outside zone a man

1005
00:50:00,320 --> 00:50:02,239
Speaker 1: by a large margin more than anything, and that is

1006
00:50:02,280 --> 00:50:04,239
Speaker 1: what l Tech defends. So you sit there and stare

1007
00:50:04,280 --> 00:50:08,040
Speaker 1: at that number, as high as it is, and I

1008
00:50:08,160 --> 00:50:10,000
Speaker 1: think I just have this feeling, and I have it

1009
00:50:10,080 --> 00:50:11,960
Speaker 1: highlight in yellow. Here. Am I taking a Law Tech

1010
00:50:12,000 --> 00:50:14,160
Speaker 1: team total under? Or am I taking a full game under?

1011
00:50:14,480 --> 00:50:17,040
Speaker 1: And the problem is that game is gonna turn on

1012
00:50:17,400 --> 00:50:19,920
Speaker 1: and Bryson Daily and Noah Short are gonna tell us

1013
00:50:20,320 --> 00:50:23,560
Speaker 1: in the first drive whether this is gonna be another

1014
00:50:23,600 --> 00:50:27,120
Speaker 1: Houston thing where it's fucking ten possessions and ten touchdowns yep.

1015
00:50:28,120 --> 00:50:30,759
Speaker 1: And we're gonna know off the first possession and by

1016
00:50:30,800 --> 00:50:33,360
Speaker 1: then that live number maybe thirteen and a half, and

1017
00:50:33,440 --> 00:50:36,799
Speaker 1: maybe we just sit on that. But I don't see

1018
00:50:36,840 --> 00:50:40,360
Speaker 1: an Avenue stock for law Tech to score, and I

1019
00:50:40,480 --> 00:50:43,439
Speaker 1: think with what's going on, the army defense is gonna

1020
00:50:43,440 --> 00:50:45,719
Speaker 1: show up, right, So I think the best bet if

1021
00:50:45,880 --> 00:50:47,600
Speaker 1: you have to take a bet to the window right now,

1022
00:50:48,120 --> 00:50:49,960
Speaker 1: you're gonna say law Tech doesn't get their points. And

1023
00:50:50,040 --> 00:50:51,880
Speaker 1: I'm saying that with what this team to I'm not

1024
00:50:51,880 --> 00:50:55,520
Speaker 1: even looking it up thirteen. I mean, I'm just like,

1025
00:50:55,560 --> 00:51:01,799
Speaker 1: what is this? Look, it's got to be so bad.

1026
00:51:02,719 --> 00:51:04,120
Speaker 2: Thirteen and a half in a ball is?

1027
00:51:05,080 --> 00:51:05,759
Speaker 1: What are we doing?

1028
00:51:06,280 --> 00:51:07,120
Speaker 2: It's thirteen and a half.

1029
00:51:07,200 --> 00:51:08,040
Speaker 1: It's thirteen and a half.

1030
00:51:09,640 --> 00:51:12,360
Speaker 2: I can't go under that? Can you do? You have

1031
00:51:12,480 --> 00:51:13,200
Speaker 2: the cohones?

1032
00:51:13,520 --> 00:51:14,799
Speaker 1: All right, let's put it on the board. I want

1033
00:51:14,880 --> 00:51:16,600
Speaker 1: l Tech team total under thirteen and a half if

1034
00:51:16,640 --> 00:51:17,800
Speaker 1: you want to go over what board?

1035
00:51:17,880 --> 00:51:18,759
Speaker 2: I'm not agreeing with this.

1036
00:51:18,960 --> 00:51:21,840
Speaker 1: This is oh shit, you will Okay, all right, I'm going.

1037
00:51:22,120 --> 00:51:24,200
Speaker 2: I agree with it, but not enough to put it

1038
00:51:24,239 --> 00:51:24,640
Speaker 2: on the board.

1039
00:51:24,760 --> 00:51:28,040
Speaker 1: I can't go oh, I think that's the right play.

1040
00:51:28,280 --> 00:51:28,560
Speaker 1: I will.

1041
00:51:28,920 --> 00:51:30,920
Speaker 2: I will bless it from afar, all right.

1042
00:51:30,960 --> 00:51:33,239
Speaker 1: I am not putting it in the app because it's

1043
00:51:33,320 --> 00:51:35,319
Speaker 1: literally a quarter unit bet for me. That's the that's

1044
00:51:35,360 --> 00:51:37,320
Speaker 1: the dollar size I'm putting on this it's not worth me.

1045
00:51:37,480 --> 00:51:39,080
Speaker 1: But I'm going Lateech team total under.

1046
00:51:39,320 --> 00:51:41,239
Speaker 2: I think I'm gonna bet this game live, but I

1047
00:51:41,520 --> 00:51:42,000
Speaker 2: have to dig in.

1048
00:51:42,120 --> 00:51:44,919
Speaker 1: I have to because you'll know, you'll know right away.

1049
00:51:45,360 --> 00:51:47,560
Speaker 2: Yes, And there also could be more guys that I

1050
00:51:47,640 --> 00:51:51,880
Speaker 2: don't know about yet on Lateech that are out. The

1051
00:51:51,960 --> 00:51:54,880
Speaker 2: bigger known commodity here is Army. You know they're going

1052
00:51:54,920 --> 00:51:57,480
Speaker 2: to carry you know they're going to show up. But

1053
00:51:57,640 --> 00:52:00,520
Speaker 2: it does seem I will say from just reading I

1054
00:52:00,760 --> 00:52:02,000
Speaker 2: watched coach interviews.

1055
00:52:02,040 --> 00:52:02,399
Speaker 3: I read.

1056
00:52:03,160 --> 00:52:06,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, every night, I am reading as many things and

1057
00:52:06,719 --> 00:52:09,040
Speaker 2: guys as you can imagine, trying to search for news.

1058
00:52:09,400 --> 00:52:12,560
Speaker 2: It does seem like La Tech cares, which I didn't

1059
00:52:12,600 --> 00:52:16,440
Speaker 2: think would necessarily be the case. But they're playing in

1060
00:52:16,520 --> 00:52:20,160
Speaker 2: their home state. It does seem like the seniors care big.

1061
00:52:20,520 --> 00:52:22,200
Speaker 2: Like Signal here for me is like a guy like

1062
00:52:22,320 --> 00:52:24,920
Speaker 2: Cedric Woods, like that he's deciding to play. Some of

1063
00:52:24,960 --> 00:52:26,880
Speaker 2: their comments like their seniors like they're excited to be

1064
00:52:26,920 --> 00:52:29,759
Speaker 2: in this Bowl game. Yeah, so might be a bit

1065
00:52:29,840 --> 00:52:32,520
Speaker 2: too many points, but also yeah, Army just could end

1066
00:52:32,600 --> 00:52:33,279
Speaker 2: up Bode racing him.

1067
00:52:33,280 --> 00:52:38,360
Speaker 1: So. Also, massive amounts of thunderstorms rolling through Shredport extremely

1068
00:52:38,440 --> 00:52:41,240
Speaker 1: late Friday night Saturday morning, and I keep that forecast

1069
00:52:41,280 --> 00:52:43,279
Speaker 1: I've been watching every day keeps getting pushed off this

1070
00:52:43,400 --> 00:52:45,680
Speaker 1: games at night. Just keep your eyes out for that.

1071
00:52:46,560 --> 00:52:49,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, that actually could help LA Tech because Ltech's offense

1072
00:52:49,040 --> 00:52:52,280
Speaker 2: is gonna do anything regardless their Rundy's good. Army actually

1073
00:52:52,320 --> 00:52:54,080
Speaker 2: hit some explosive plays in the air like Army is

1074
00:52:54,080 --> 00:52:57,719
Speaker 2: probably the more threatening passing offense in this game. Yeah,

1075
00:52:58,120 --> 00:53:00,280
Speaker 2: and does look like LA Tech one of their Sarady

1076
00:53:00,320 --> 00:53:03,840
Speaker 2: receivers hit the portal. Who's important? I got true. I

1077
00:53:03,880 --> 00:53:05,480
Speaker 2: don't know if he's gonna play, but just keep an

1078
00:53:05,520 --> 00:53:07,520
Speaker 2: eye on that. I might bet it live. I'll be

1079
00:53:07,600 --> 00:53:10,560
Speaker 2: digging into more news, but let's move on to Monday

1080
00:53:11,560 --> 00:53:16,400
Speaker 2: the Music City Bowl between Iowa and Missouri. The Music

1081
00:53:16,480 --> 00:53:20,120
Speaker 2: City Bowl Missouri three point favorite. Here two thirty Eastern

1082
00:53:20,680 --> 00:53:24,640
Speaker 2: on ESPN the day before in New Year's Eve, you're

1083
00:53:24,680 --> 00:53:28,440
Speaker 2: gonna go to Nashville's games in Nashville underrated bar Bourbon

1084
00:53:28,520 --> 00:53:31,720
Speaker 2: Street Blues and Boogie Bar and Printer's Alley, underrated restaurant,

1085
00:53:31,960 --> 00:53:34,560
Speaker 2: Jack Brown's Beer and Burger Joint. Shout out to my

1086
00:53:34,640 --> 00:53:35,640
Speaker 2: guy Fleener.

1087
00:53:35,680 --> 00:53:38,919
Speaker 1: My cousin. My cousin runs the JW. Marriott downtown. Stop

1088
00:53:39,000 --> 00:53:39,959
Speaker 1: in and say hi to Mary.

1089
00:53:40,160 --> 00:53:41,360
Speaker 2: She's the best Mary.

1090
00:53:41,880 --> 00:53:43,040
Speaker 1: Mary's my cousin. She runs.

1091
00:53:44,440 --> 00:53:48,560
Speaker 2: We will make sure that you say hi and treat

1092
00:53:48,600 --> 00:53:51,479
Speaker 2: Mary well down in Nashville. Always a fun time.

1093
00:53:52,400 --> 00:53:53,160
Speaker 1: News in this game.

1094
00:53:53,600 --> 00:53:56,480
Speaker 2: The hardest thing for me to crack here because it

1095
00:53:56,640 --> 00:54:00,520
Speaker 2: looks like both teams are gonna care. Luther Burden did out,

1096
00:54:00,840 --> 00:54:04,880
Speaker 2: Missouri's starting right tackle, who's really good opted out. Looks

1097
00:54:04,920 --> 00:54:06,920
Speaker 2: like everyone else is gonna play. Missouri did lose its

1098
00:54:06,920 --> 00:54:09,520
Speaker 2: starting center in week eight. But actually I should say

1099
00:54:09,520 --> 00:54:11,880
Speaker 2: they're a tight end. Brent Brett Northfleet, who is important.

1100
00:54:12,040 --> 00:54:14,839
Speaker 2: He's out, so you're gonna be down Burden Northfleet, your

1101
00:54:14,840 --> 00:54:19,719
Speaker 2: stud right tackle. Iowa their cornerback, Jamario Harris is gonna

1102
00:54:19,719 --> 00:54:21,960
Speaker 2: play in the NFL. He's been out. He's opting out here.

1103
00:54:22,640 --> 00:54:24,879
Speaker 2: And then the big one is Caleb Johnson, their star

1104
00:54:25,000 --> 00:54:27,080
Speaker 2: running back. He was one of the best in the country. Yeah,

1105
00:54:27,239 --> 00:54:30,040
Speaker 2: what is the drop off from Johnson to the backups?

1106
00:54:30,080 --> 00:54:32,160
Speaker 2: Like that's a question that I keep asking myself. It

1107
00:54:32,320 --> 00:54:34,280
Speaker 2: does look like everyone else is gonna play for Iowa.

1108
00:54:34,560 --> 00:54:37,759
Speaker 2: It looks like they're getting healthier. Brendan Sullivan will get

1109
00:54:37,840 --> 00:54:40,080
Speaker 2: the start. There's questions about his health, but it looks

1110
00:54:40,080 --> 00:54:42,280
Speaker 2: like he's healthy enough. Friends confirmed that he will start.

1111
00:54:43,080 --> 00:54:44,959
Speaker 2: So when I look at this game, I so here's

1112
00:54:44,960 --> 00:54:47,319
Speaker 2: how I think about it. I think Caleb Johnson maybe

1113
00:54:47,400 --> 00:54:49,240
Speaker 2: worth two points to the spread.

1114
00:54:49,960 --> 00:54:50,960
Speaker 1: That's it, I don't.

1115
00:54:51,000 --> 00:54:52,040
Speaker 2: I mean, it's a running back.

1116
00:54:52,080 --> 00:54:53,480
Speaker 1: I know, it's a running I know we're supposed to

1117
00:54:53,480 --> 00:54:56,040
Speaker 1: apply old school rules, but this offense maybe more.

1118
00:54:56,719 --> 00:54:59,960
Speaker 2: But here here's the thing. But if I take burden

1119
00:55:00,880 --> 00:55:05,080
Speaker 2: Membo Northfleet, I mean, I could argue that the opt

1120
00:55:05,120 --> 00:55:08,160
Speaker 2: outs are a wash on Iowa and missour I get

1121
00:55:08,239 --> 00:55:10,600
Speaker 2: that there. You could argue that again, I'm struggling with this.

1122
00:55:10,680 --> 00:55:13,680
Speaker 2: You could argue that Johnson is worth more, and then Iowa.

1123
00:55:13,719 --> 00:55:16,120
Speaker 2: I mean I was backups that like the running I

1124
00:55:16,160 --> 00:55:16,839
Speaker 2: love the running back.

1125
00:55:16,880 --> 00:55:17,080
Speaker 1: Coach.

1126
00:55:17,480 --> 00:55:20,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, I took the points. I might be on an

1127
00:55:20,760 --> 00:55:22,840
Speaker 2: island here. I haven't seen anyone else in the world

1128
00:55:23,560 --> 00:55:24,080
Speaker 2: like Iowa.

1129
00:55:24,600 --> 00:55:27,000
Speaker 1: I make this a pick, make it a true pick?

1130
00:55:27,600 --> 00:55:30,200
Speaker 1: By by by? Who is Missouri? What is Missouri done

1131
00:55:30,239 --> 00:55:34,880
Speaker 1: this year? They were According to Drink, they were in

1132
00:55:34,960 --> 00:55:36,120
Speaker 1: the poll running for the playoffs.

1133
00:55:36,239 --> 00:55:39,960
Speaker 2: Missouri is the I'll say I think they're the biggest

1134
00:55:39,960 --> 00:55:42,399
Speaker 2: fraud in the country. I've been low on this team

1135
00:55:42,480 --> 00:55:45,640
Speaker 2: since the start of the season. Tell me their best

1136
00:55:46,200 --> 00:55:50,040
Speaker 2: their best performance this year, that U Mass is that

1137
00:55:50,120 --> 00:55:53,320
Speaker 2: their best performance. Let's let's go through their schedule to

1138
00:55:53,440 --> 00:55:59,840
Speaker 2: beat Mary State. Congrats Eliu, they Eliyahu. They beat Buffalo.

1139
00:56:01,160 --> 00:56:02,319
Speaker 2: They beat BC at.

1140
00:56:02,239 --> 00:56:02,919
Speaker 1: Home by six.

1141
00:56:03,080 --> 00:56:06,160
Speaker 2: They beat Dandy at home in overtime by three. They

1142
00:56:06,280 --> 00:56:09,960
Speaker 2: got absolutely obliterated by A and M, who I think

1143
00:56:10,160 --> 00:56:12,840
Speaker 2: is also kind of a fraud. By the way, I

1144
00:56:12,840 --> 00:56:15,240
Speaker 2: should have mentioned gentries back for USC. That's important other defense.

1145
00:56:15,280 --> 00:56:18,200
Speaker 1: A villain turncoat. That's a villain ww turncoat by you

1146
00:56:18,360 --> 00:56:18,760
Speaker 1: on Texas.

1147
00:56:18,800 --> 00:56:24,040
Speaker 2: A and M. Miszoori they beat you Mass. They beat

1148
00:56:24,080 --> 00:56:25,680
Speaker 2: Auburn in the game they had to come back like

1149
00:56:25,760 --> 00:56:28,480
Speaker 2: they by four. Alburn didn't even make a bowl. They

1150
00:56:28,560 --> 00:56:32,759
Speaker 2: got shut out by Alabama. They beat Oklahoma by seven

1151
00:56:32,880 --> 00:56:33,239
Speaker 2: at home.

1152
00:56:33,520 --> 00:56:36,760
Speaker 1: They didn't. Yeah, they lost at South.

1153
00:56:36,560 --> 00:56:40,759
Speaker 2: Carolina actually was a good effort. They won at Mississippi State,

1154
00:56:40,840 --> 00:56:43,360
Speaker 2: and then they won in the last second against Arkansas.

1155
00:56:43,560 --> 00:56:46,760
Speaker 1: What have they done? There's nothing.

1156
00:56:47,800 --> 00:56:51,480
Speaker 2: Give me three, Give me the eyewa, voodoo magic, give

1157
00:56:51,560 --> 00:56:56,560
Speaker 2: me punts, give me fumbles, give me field goals. Muck

1158
00:56:56,640 --> 00:56:58,320
Speaker 2: it up, Kirk, give me the points.

1159
00:56:58,400 --> 00:57:00,719
Speaker 1: I don't think I've ever seen you like come out

1160
00:57:00,760 --> 00:57:02,640
Speaker 1: of your chair, like when we sat down this summer

1161
00:57:02,640 --> 00:57:05,279
Speaker 1: and I said, Missouri's schedule is so bad they can

1162
00:57:05,320 --> 00:57:09,520
Speaker 1: make the SEC championship. You about Camlin glued. You know

1163
00:57:09,640 --> 00:57:11,920
Speaker 1: I hated this team all year. Well, yeah, of course

1164
00:57:12,200 --> 00:57:14,600
Speaker 1: they were way in over their head against Ohio State

1165
00:57:14,640 --> 00:57:16,640
Speaker 1: in a bowl game last year. Okay, well, Brady Cook's

1166
00:57:16,640 --> 00:57:19,360
Speaker 1: gonna play. Yeah, and you know, drink is just man.

1167
00:57:19,400 --> 00:57:22,280
Speaker 1: I tell you that guy. You know, he's he's got

1168
00:57:22,400 --> 00:57:25,160
Speaker 1: some burner account somewhere and he's trolling people constantly. All

1169
00:57:25,240 --> 00:57:29,200
Speaker 1: that said, Eileen, Missouri, I want Missouri. The problem is,

1170
00:57:29,280 --> 00:57:30,840
Speaker 1: I think I don't think this numbers is gonna stay

1171
00:57:30,840 --> 00:57:32,120
Speaker 1: at three. I think it's gonna come back down to

1172
00:57:32,200 --> 00:57:34,240
Speaker 1: a pick. I'll give a couple of things out because

1173
00:57:34,240 --> 00:57:35,560
Speaker 1: I think there's a prop in here we should be

1174
00:57:35,600 --> 00:57:37,439
Speaker 1: looking at too. I really want to know if Carol

1175
00:57:37,480 --> 00:57:39,480
Speaker 1: and Noel are going to be there, because if this

1176
00:57:39,600 --> 00:57:43,400
Speaker 1: game isn't resting on Brady Cook's arm and it's basically

1177
00:57:43,760 --> 00:57:46,120
Speaker 1: you know, Noel and Carroll running the ball, I think

1178
00:57:46,200 --> 00:57:50,520
Speaker 1: that's a huge advantage for Missouri here. So you look

1179
00:57:50,520 --> 00:57:52,200
Speaker 1: at burden and wize right Luther Burdon is in the

1180
00:57:52,200 --> 00:57:54,800
Speaker 1: slot eighty targets. You look at tight end Bretton or Fleet,

1181
00:57:55,240 --> 00:57:57,360
Speaker 1: he was a third leading player in targets at thirty eight.

1182
00:57:57,440 --> 00:58:00,160
Speaker 1: For Brady Cook, the o wiz on the outside at

1183
00:58:00,200 --> 00:58:03,720
Speaker 1: eighty targets also and when you look at that, Cook's

1184
00:58:03,720 --> 00:58:06,240
Speaker 1: turnover worthy play rate dropped from two point three down

1185
00:58:06,240 --> 00:58:08,880
Speaker 1: to one percent, but his big time throw rate also

1186
00:58:08,920 --> 00:58:12,160
Speaker 1: got cut in half two. It really there's no explanation.

1187
00:58:12,640 --> 00:58:16,360
Speaker 1: Drops from Missouri went from seventeen last year down to eleven.

1188
00:58:16,880 --> 00:58:20,560
Speaker 1: His pressure ratio pressure to sack ratio was steady. Cook

1189
00:58:20,760 --> 00:58:23,000
Speaker 1: just sucked this year one hundred and fourteenth and on

1190
00:58:23,120 --> 00:58:26,160
Speaker 1: target rate. I don't know who that Brady Cook was

1191
00:58:26,280 --> 00:58:28,480
Speaker 1: last year, and maybe it was you know, maybe it

1192
00:58:28,480 --> 00:58:30,000
Speaker 1: was Cody Schrader, maybe it was a running back. I

1193
00:58:30,040 --> 00:58:33,760
Speaker 1: don't know, but Cook was his shell of who he

1194
00:58:33,960 --> 00:58:36,600
Speaker 1: was now. There is a massive drop off at corner

1195
00:58:36,640 --> 00:58:39,880
Speaker 1: without Jamari Harris. Here for Iowa, second highest rated coverage

1196
00:58:39,880 --> 00:58:43,560
Speaker 1: defender on the Hawkeyes, Deshaun Lee, the right cornerback targeted

1197
00:58:43,600 --> 00:58:47,800
Speaker 1: eighty times, twenty nine catches, three PBUs allowed to tds.

1198
00:58:49,200 --> 00:58:51,080
Speaker 1: I think there's an. I think there's an advantage here

1199
00:58:51,120 --> 00:58:54,160
Speaker 1: for the Oise from an explosive play, maybe from a

1200
00:58:54,240 --> 00:58:57,360
Speaker 1: yardage play, maybe from a touchdown play. I think the

1201
00:58:57,520 --> 00:58:59,560
Speaker 1: Oise has a huge advantage here because of the Jamari

1202
00:58:59,640 --> 00:59:01,720
Speaker 1: Harris sit out horse.

1203
00:59:01,960 --> 00:59:03,480
Speaker 2: He didn't even play the last couple of game. He

1204
00:59:03,560 --> 00:59:04,120
Speaker 2: was already out.

1205
00:59:04,960 --> 00:59:10,320
Speaker 1: So okay, But Nate Noel, there's a hole they should roll. Okay,

1206
00:59:10,520 --> 00:59:13,640
Speaker 1: And Missouri's sixteenth and third down conversions, they there's parts

1207
00:59:13,680 --> 00:59:16,800
Speaker 1: of Iowa has that you have to beat the Missouri

1208
00:59:16,840 --> 00:59:18,200
Speaker 1: is not going to beat him in special teams, but

1209
00:59:18,320 --> 00:59:21,320
Speaker 1: in third downs, Missouri's got advantages here. But go look

1210
00:59:21,320 --> 00:59:23,440
Speaker 1: at Caleb Johnson, and I think here's the thing.

1211
00:59:23,560 --> 00:59:24,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's amazing. He's amazing.

1212
00:59:25,120 --> 00:59:27,120
Speaker 1: And I've tried to get into this this year to like,

1213
00:59:27,760 --> 00:59:30,640
Speaker 1: let's logically think about what makes a running back rate.

1214
00:59:31,160 --> 00:59:34,240
Speaker 1: If the success rate of the team is way higher

1215
00:59:34,360 --> 00:59:36,960
Speaker 1: than the lineyards, then the running back is doing all

1216
00:59:37,000 --> 00:59:41,240
Speaker 1: the work. That's it. And so this Iowa team has

1217
00:59:41,320 --> 00:59:43,960
Speaker 1: a has a lineyards rank of eighty third, and they

1218
00:59:44,000 --> 00:59:47,080
Speaker 1: have a success rate rank around seventieth, and then they

1219
00:59:47,120 --> 00:59:50,000
Speaker 1: have an EPA of thirty third on the ground. Caleb

1220
00:59:50,440 --> 00:59:53,600
Speaker 1: Johnson to me, was worth everything to this offense. So

1221
00:59:54,240 --> 00:59:56,760
Speaker 1: to me, the advantage is the rushing attack of Missouri.

1222
00:59:57,400 --> 00:59:59,320
Speaker 1: I think we has a chance to hit a prop.

1223
01:00:00,000 --> 01:00:01,880
Speaker 1: I hate the number. I think it's gonna go down,

1224
01:00:01,880 --> 01:00:03,200
Speaker 1: and I'm gonna wait. I would love to go ahead

1225
01:00:03,200 --> 01:00:05,040
Speaker 1: to head with you. I just like it closer to the.

1226
01:00:05,080 --> 01:00:09,800
Speaker 2: Game, all right, to take all your your stats, your

1227
01:00:09,840 --> 01:00:14,480
Speaker 2: advanced breakdowns and throw them out the window. Muff punts,

1228
01:00:15,440 --> 01:00:18,640
Speaker 2: walk it up. Give me the Hawkeyes. I think this

1229
01:00:18,760 --> 01:00:19,600
Speaker 2: is a coin flip game.

1230
01:00:19,840 --> 01:00:22,920
Speaker 1: You know, drink deserves Drink deserves a good plot cleaning.

1231
01:00:22,960 --> 01:00:24,439
Speaker 1: I think that's what my grandma. I did this turn

1232
01:00:24,480 --> 01:00:26,720
Speaker 1: on you on Missouri. Not that I love Missouri. It's

1233
01:00:26,920 --> 01:00:29,720
Speaker 1: they they drinks despise team.

1234
01:00:29,600 --> 01:00:32,120
Speaker 2: Right in the top twenty, by the way, disgusting.

1235
01:00:32,680 --> 01:00:35,800
Speaker 1: Drink despises Arkansas. It's like a free bet every year. Anyways,

1236
01:00:35,960 --> 01:00:36,520
Speaker 1: I digress.

1237
01:00:37,680 --> 01:00:41,360
Speaker 2: Give me an Iowa. All right, we're gonna cover these

1238
01:00:41,400 --> 01:00:43,560
Speaker 2: games again on Monday. So we'll do this very quickly

1239
01:00:43,640 --> 01:00:46,160
Speaker 2: because there is again these are Power Conference teams that

1240
01:00:46,200 --> 01:00:50,560
Speaker 2: work recording this on Thursday, December twenty sixth with some

1241
01:00:50,720 --> 01:00:53,040
Speaker 2: of these teams that are more high profile with more

1242
01:00:53,480 --> 01:00:55,680
Speaker 2: potential players that could go to the pros. There could

1243
01:00:55,760 --> 01:00:58,840
Speaker 2: be more opt out, So we'll touch on these two

1244
01:00:58,960 --> 01:01:02,160
Speaker 2: games on Tuesday. These are games that start at noon

1245
01:01:02,280 --> 01:01:05,280
Speaker 2: and to Eastern and then on Monday's episode will pick

1246
01:01:05,400 --> 01:01:08,200
Speaker 2: up with everything in depth, starting with South Carolina Illinois

1247
01:01:08,880 --> 01:01:13,320
Speaker 2: on at three o'clock on ABC through the College Wall

1248
01:01:13,360 --> 01:01:18,360
Speaker 2: playoff quarterfinals. That episode will record on Monday, should be

1249
01:01:18,400 --> 01:01:20,720
Speaker 2: out Monday night. But just quick thoughts here at Alabama

1250
01:01:20,800 --> 01:01:25,720
Speaker 2: Michigan the Realiah Quest Bowl, Michigan twelve and a half

1251
01:01:25,800 --> 01:01:28,720
Speaker 2: point underdogs here, this line has been bouncing around because

1252
01:01:28,760 --> 01:01:31,000
Speaker 2: there is a lot of news. It does look like

1253
01:01:31,360 --> 01:01:34,280
Speaker 2: it looks like Alabama cares here. Milroe says he's gonna play.

1254
01:01:35,080 --> 01:01:37,240
Speaker 2: A lot of their other guys who are going to

1255
01:01:37,320 --> 01:01:40,880
Speaker 2: the pros say they're gonna play. They do have injuries, though,

1256
01:01:41,120 --> 01:01:45,120
Speaker 2: so Malachi Moore, all American safety, he's out, he Unsav's

1257
01:01:45,160 --> 01:01:48,280
Speaker 2: out with an injury, lost in their linebackers already out

1258
01:01:48,320 --> 01:01:50,480
Speaker 2: with an injury. But it looks like everyone else is

1259
01:01:50,480 --> 01:01:53,240
Speaker 2: gonna pay. Michigan, on the other hand, they're not gonna

1260
01:01:53,240 --> 01:01:56,240
Speaker 2: be at full strength either. They have a bunch of

1261
01:01:56,320 --> 01:02:01,560
Speaker 2: out doubts. Basically, if you look at who's important on

1262
01:02:01,680 --> 01:02:07,080
Speaker 2: their defensive line. You can assume that they're out. Mason Graham,

1263
01:02:08,160 --> 01:02:12,480
Speaker 2: Josiah Stewart, Will Johnson, who has been out, I think

1264
01:02:12,520 --> 01:02:15,040
Speaker 2: are gonna be out. Kenneth Grant. He hasn't declared yet,

1265
01:02:15,160 --> 01:02:17,120
Speaker 2: so he might be back, but I think that he's

1266
01:02:17,120 --> 01:02:19,120
Speaker 2: gonna be out. It looks like Barham the linebacker is

1267
01:02:19,160 --> 01:02:23,120
Speaker 2: gonna play. Donovan Edwards is out. Colson Lovelin he's opting

1268
01:02:23,160 --> 01:02:26,120
Speaker 2: out there tight end as well. So the Alabama secondary

1269
01:02:26,200 --> 01:02:29,360
Speaker 2: is shaky here because the secondary was already shaky and

1270
01:02:29,440 --> 01:02:33,320
Speaker 2: now your safeties are hurt. Is Michigan gonna take advantage

1271
01:02:33,320 --> 01:02:33,440
Speaker 2: of that?

1272
01:02:34,240 --> 01:02:34,280
Speaker 1: No?

1273
01:02:35,880 --> 01:02:42,800
Speaker 2: I think Alabama destroys Michigan. I don't know, forty to

1274
01:02:42,920 --> 01:02:48,320
Speaker 2: seven type stuff. Du wor by the way, motivation signal Michigan.

1275
01:02:48,520 --> 01:02:49,480
Speaker 1: Michigan won their Super Bowl.

1276
01:02:49,520 --> 01:02:52,800
Speaker 2: Michigan was terrible. By the way, Michigan is bad people,

1277
01:02:52,800 --> 01:02:55,400
Speaker 2: And I'm gonna I tell you this, but Michigan won

1278
01:02:55,440 --> 01:02:58,080
Speaker 2: the Super Bowl out. You know who wants to beat

1279
01:02:58,120 --> 01:03:00,000
Speaker 2: Michigan after last year? Alabama?

1280
01:03:00,400 --> 01:03:02,400
Speaker 1: Kyl also want to speak Michiganta.

1281
01:03:02,080 --> 01:03:06,720
Speaker 2: Last year Kitlin de boor Yeah, So the motivation is there.

1282
01:03:07,440 --> 01:03:10,440
Speaker 1: I think Alabama Carris. How's Michigan scoring?

1283
01:03:10,920 --> 01:03:13,360
Speaker 2: I don't know. I think Milroe, after how they ended

1284
01:03:13,400 --> 01:03:15,880
Speaker 2: the season, will come out here and have a good performance.

1285
01:03:16,520 --> 01:03:20,040
Speaker 2: And Michigan. Michigan's team was that d line. They basically

1286
01:03:20,120 --> 01:03:23,680
Speaker 2: beat Ohio State by themselves. They're gonna be out give

1287
01:03:23,720 --> 01:03:25,040
Speaker 2: me Alabama. Alabama rolls.

1288
01:03:25,440 --> 01:03:28,479
Speaker 1: How much does Jalen Milroe think about that sec Seth

1289
01:03:28,600 --> 01:03:31,440
Speaker 1: McLoughlin's snap that was literally right in front of me

1290
01:03:31,520 --> 01:03:34,600
Speaker 1: at the Rose Bowl went to his ankles and cost

1291
01:03:34,680 --> 01:03:38,840
Speaker 1: Alabama a trip to the National title last year. We're

1292
01:03:38,880 --> 01:03:41,560
Speaker 1: gonna go away in depth on this, so I'll be quick.

1293
01:03:41,680 --> 01:03:43,080
Speaker 1: Jam Miller is gonna play. Oh, by the way, this

1294
01:03:43,200 --> 01:03:46,840
Speaker 1: game screams. January first, twenty twenty, Citrus Bowl. Mac Jones

1295
01:03:46,880 --> 01:03:49,000
Speaker 1: decided to play, Jerry Judy decided to play, and they

1296
01:03:49,120 --> 01:03:53,120
Speaker 1: destroyed Michigan thirty five to sixteen. No One expected Alabama

1297
01:03:53,160 --> 01:03:53,880
Speaker 1: to show up and they did.

1298
01:03:55,040 --> 01:04:00,439
Speaker 2: How when Bryce Young and uh Will Anderson decided to play, Yeah, yeah,

1299
01:04:00,480 --> 01:04:03,240
Speaker 2: I don't know what's I didn't think they were gonna play,

1300
01:04:03,240 --> 01:04:05,360
Speaker 2: and they they played and they rolled. I don't know,

1301
01:04:05,440 --> 01:04:09,520
Speaker 2: Maybe it's a Bama boosters who did Who did Alabama

1302
01:04:09,560 --> 01:04:12,600
Speaker 2: beat that year there it was Kansas State destroy Ye

1303
01:04:12,760 --> 01:04:14,160
Speaker 2: talk about losing that there, But okay, what do you

1304
01:04:14,200 --> 01:04:14,520
Speaker 2: see here?

1305
01:04:15,240 --> 01:04:17,680
Speaker 1: Real quick? Jam Miller says he's staying another season with

1306
01:04:17,760 --> 01:04:21,000
Speaker 1: the Tide, So that heavy inside zone with with Milroe

1307
01:04:21,160 --> 01:04:24,280
Speaker 1: is intact. That's Michigan. It doesn't even matter what the

1308
01:04:24,360 --> 01:04:28,200
Speaker 1: numbers are because Michigan's lost their key components in Mason Graham,

1309
01:04:28,280 --> 01:04:31,800
Speaker 1: Josiah Stewart. Kenneth Grant might not be there, although there's

1310
01:04:31,880 --> 01:04:33,560
Speaker 1: rumors on Twitter. I don't know why I'm on Twitter

1311
01:04:33,600 --> 01:04:37,920
Speaker 1: on Christmas Day looking up Kenneth Grant. Uh see if

1312
01:04:37,960 --> 01:04:40,000
Speaker 1: he's playing or not. But there's rumors that he's staying

1313
01:04:40,080 --> 01:04:42,280
Speaker 1: for next year, so we'll see. But the biggest pieces

1314
01:04:42,280 --> 01:04:43,960
Speaker 1: of Michigan's defensive line isn't gonna be there. In the

1315
01:04:44,000 --> 01:04:47,280
Speaker 1: fact that jam Miller Jayalen Miller might be is really big.

1316
01:04:48,640 --> 01:04:51,960
Speaker 1: I'll save the rest of the details for our next pod.

1317
01:04:52,240 --> 01:04:54,440
Speaker 2: But we might have more insight to on who's playing

1318
01:04:54,480 --> 01:04:55,000
Speaker 2: for sure.

1319
01:04:55,280 --> 01:04:59,960
Speaker 1: If Milroe plays, if John Campbell plays linebacker for for Alabama,

1320
01:05:00,280 --> 01:05:03,680
Speaker 1: if they say they're if corner de Monty Jackson, if

1321
01:05:03,680 --> 01:05:05,960
Speaker 1: they all say they play, they say they're all plan

1322
01:05:06,360 --> 01:05:12,520
Speaker 1: This is a first quarter hammer yeah Alabama script. Yeah,

1323
01:05:12,760 --> 01:05:15,480
Speaker 1: I mean, how big was the bet for Alabama Georgia

1324
01:05:16,600 --> 01:05:19,760
Speaker 1: because one of those as the highest. Yeah, let's put

1325
01:05:19,760 --> 01:05:22,440
Speaker 1: it on the board highest, you know what. I'm just

1326
01:05:22,440 --> 01:05:24,680
Speaker 1: gonna bet it now and then we're gonna have a

1327
01:05:24,720 --> 01:05:27,280
Speaker 1: podcast about it. Which this is why you should listen

1328
01:05:27,280 --> 01:05:29,000
Speaker 1: to everybody. I know this one's a beefy one, but

1329
01:05:29,120 --> 01:05:33,200
Speaker 1: let's let's I'm betting this now hard. Uh So I

1330
01:05:33,280 --> 01:05:34,280
Speaker 1: want Alabama.

1331
01:05:33,920 --> 01:05:35,960
Speaker 2: First quarter just a player for the NFL Draft?

1332
01:05:36,240 --> 01:05:40,680
Speaker 1: Oh are you are you shitting me?

1333
01:05:41,240 --> 01:05:41,280
Speaker 3: No?

1334
01:05:41,640 --> 01:05:42,280
Speaker 2: Not one night.

1335
01:05:42,360 --> 01:05:44,760
Speaker 1: I can anything else happen while you and I are podcasting.

1336
01:05:46,960 --> 01:05:51,000
Speaker 1: So I think Alabama the third highest scoring differential in

1337
01:05:51,040 --> 01:05:55,320
Speaker 1: the first quarter all season. This is truly a Michigan.

1338
01:05:56,040 --> 01:05:59,320
Speaker 1: Why would I give a ship game? So that's the bet.

1339
01:05:59,640 --> 01:06:04,400
Speaker 2: How are they scoring? How are they going to put

1340
01:06:04,440 --> 01:06:06,360
Speaker 2: the ball into the end zone?

1341
01:06:06,920 --> 01:06:08,000
Speaker 1: Ott Ohio State.

1342
01:06:09,320 --> 01:06:13,520
Speaker 2: Lose because the Michigan's d line and don't play on

1343
01:06:13,600 --> 01:06:14,680
Speaker 2: the mission's not gonna have to be line.

1344
01:06:14,760 --> 01:06:16,640
Speaker 1: What numbers you get? I'm looking at Alabama minus two

1345
01:06:16,640 --> 01:06:20,120
Speaker 1: and a half minus one thirty. That's fine, Okay, that's

1346
01:06:20,160 --> 01:06:20,840
Speaker 1: what we're rolling with.

1347
01:06:22,920 --> 01:06:24,560
Speaker 2: I like Michigan I like the album. For the Pool game,

1348
01:06:24,600 --> 01:06:25,800
Speaker 2: we'll touch on it again on Monday, and then the

1349
01:06:25,960 --> 01:06:28,440
Speaker 2: other game we'll just touch on briefly here. This scheme

1350
01:06:28,520 --> 01:06:33,680
Speaker 2: is a mess up. Washington Sun Bowl.

1351
01:06:34,160 --> 01:06:34,919
Speaker 1: The Sun Ball.

1352
01:06:35,640 --> 01:06:37,600
Speaker 2: I got married during the Sun Bowl, I believe. I

1353
01:06:37,680 --> 01:06:39,000
Speaker 2: think that was the Bowl game that was going on.

1354
01:06:39,240 --> 01:06:41,600
Speaker 2: Got married on a whim down in the beach in Naples.

1355
01:06:41,760 --> 01:06:44,040
Speaker 2: We were gonna get married in Vegas. Thank god we didn't.

1356
01:06:44,080 --> 01:06:46,960
Speaker 2: This is twenty nineteen and we were down in Naples.

1357
01:06:47,080 --> 01:06:50,720
Speaker 2: Life was just like, she doesn't like attention, big, big productions,

1358
01:06:51,720 --> 01:06:53,560
Speaker 2: so we knew we weren't going to have a big wedding.

1359
01:06:53,960 --> 01:06:56,400
Speaker 2: We were gonna get married in Vegas in the summer

1360
01:06:56,480 --> 01:07:00,400
Speaker 2: of twenty twenty. Luckily we decided to do this on

1361
01:07:00,480 --> 01:07:02,360
Speaker 2: a wind because the summer of twenty twenty you weren't

1362
01:07:02,360 --> 01:07:05,160
Speaker 2: getting married in Vegas anywhere with the pandemic and everything

1363
01:07:05,240 --> 01:07:08,320
Speaker 2: shut down. It was December thirtieth, and she said, let's

1364
01:07:08,360 --> 01:07:11,960
Speaker 2: just get married tomorrow on the beach. And I'm not

1365
01:07:12,080 --> 01:07:14,520
Speaker 2: one for weddings, and I said, sure, let's do it.

1366
01:07:14,840 --> 01:07:19,240
Speaker 2: We went downtown Naples, got her address. She was searching

1367
01:07:19,280 --> 01:07:22,000
Speaker 2: on the internet for an efficient found one that was

1368
01:07:22,160 --> 01:07:26,640
Speaker 2: still in town said that she'll come to the townhouse

1369
01:07:26,680 --> 01:07:30,840
Speaker 2: on the beach in Naples. Gets there and I'm watching

1370
01:07:31,160 --> 01:07:33,920
Speaker 2: sa Farta State, Arizona State. Arizona State ended up coming back.

1371
01:07:33,920 --> 01:07:35,480
Speaker 2: They said, think they scored ten eleven points in the

1372
01:07:35,520 --> 01:07:36,920
Speaker 2: fourth quarter to win. Like it was an uggly game.

1373
01:07:36,920 --> 01:07:38,320
Speaker 2: I think it was like the final score was like

1374
01:07:38,320 --> 01:07:40,560
Speaker 2: twenty to thirteen. The only other people that were there

1375
01:07:40,600 --> 01:07:42,840
Speaker 2: were my brother in law and his wife. They go

1376
01:07:42,960 --> 01:07:46,480
Speaker 2: down to the beach to get ready, like right by

1377
01:07:46,800 --> 01:07:51,040
Speaker 2: the water. I'm sitting in the house still with the efficient,

1378
01:07:51,400 --> 01:07:54,000
Speaker 2: just chatting away because I'm watching this game and I'm

1379
01:07:54,040 --> 01:07:55,760
Speaker 2: sweating this game. I get a call from my brother

1380
01:07:55,800 --> 01:07:57,560
Speaker 2: and I said, d what are you doing? And I'm like,

1381
01:07:57,600 --> 01:08:00,800
Speaker 2: what do you mean? He's liked, you gotta come. We're waiting.

1382
01:08:01,040 --> 01:08:02,800
Speaker 2: So yeah, I was sweating the sun Bowl while I

1383
01:08:02,800 --> 01:08:06,000
Speaker 2: wassed to getting married, went down there and then ended

1384
01:08:06,080 --> 01:08:07,360
Speaker 2: up losing money on the game.

1385
01:08:07,760 --> 01:08:11,160
Speaker 1: Why shattered my phone right after that rocked it and.

1386
01:08:11,200 --> 01:08:13,200
Speaker 2: I was like, man, is this a bad sign? Buckley?

1387
01:08:13,320 --> 01:08:15,680
Speaker 2: It's all worked out, But sun Bull always have his

1388
01:08:15,800 --> 01:08:20,639
Speaker 2: place in my heart. That Louisville Washington downy Louisville Harrison

1389
01:08:20,680 --> 01:08:23,599
Speaker 2: Bailey's gonna start at quarterback every Bowl game with brom

1390
01:08:23,680 --> 01:08:25,360
Speaker 2: goes over. For what it's worth. I don't know if

1391
01:08:25,400 --> 01:08:27,720
Speaker 2: we can trust that here, but not sure we're gonna

1392
01:08:27,720 --> 01:08:31,240
Speaker 2: go with Harrison Bailey. I don't think he's good. Colin

1393
01:08:31,360 --> 01:08:34,800
Speaker 2: Lacy back on the Bowl depth chart after deciding to

1394
01:08:35,120 --> 01:08:36,960
Speaker 2: opt out of the season to preserve his red shirt,

1395
01:08:37,000 --> 01:08:39,920
Speaker 2: but looks like he's going to play. Tyler Schuck to

1396
01:08:39,960 --> 01:08:41,880
Speaker 2: starting quarterback for the Bill. He's not the only opt out.

1397
01:08:42,040 --> 01:08:45,799
Speaker 2: Both their other starting receivers Brooks, Huggins, Bruce. They're out Gelatti,

1398
01:08:45,840 --> 01:08:50,240
Speaker 2: their defensive end. He's big. He's out. Quincy Riley, who's

1399
01:08:50,280 --> 01:08:53,040
Speaker 2: going to play in the NFL. They're starting quarnerback. He's

1400
01:08:53,120 --> 01:08:58,280
Speaker 2: out Washington. A couple offensive linemen are out, including their

1401
01:08:58,320 --> 01:09:01,040
Speaker 2: left tackle, but it looks like they're original starting left

1402
01:09:01,040 --> 01:09:04,400
Speaker 2: tackle is gonna come back from injury. Maxim McCree, he

1403
01:09:04,400 --> 01:09:07,360
Speaker 2: got hurt during the Iowa game. Steve Belichick the defensive corner.

1404
01:09:07,360 --> 01:09:08,840
Speaker 2: It looks like who's gonna stay with the team through

1405
01:09:08,880 --> 01:09:12,080
Speaker 2: the bowl game. A couple injuries on that side. Jonah Coleman,

1406
01:09:12,200 --> 01:09:17,679
Speaker 2: he is returning. I think this is take the points

1407
01:09:17,800 --> 01:09:18,280
Speaker 2: or nothing, but.

1408
01:09:18,360 --> 01:09:21,720
Speaker 1: I yeah, we we'll talk about this again here in

1409
01:09:21,760 --> 01:09:24,439
Speaker 1: the next podcast. I leen Washington because Desmond, because the

1410
01:09:24,600 --> 01:09:26,920
Speaker 1: rush numbers look so bad for Washington. But you don't

1411
01:09:26,920 --> 01:09:29,280
Speaker 1: realize over the previous three games, Desmond Williams and Jonah

1412
01:09:29,280 --> 01:09:32,400
Speaker 1: Coleman combination are Williams is gonna play?

1413
01:09:32,400 --> 01:09:34,559
Speaker 2: By the way I look over will Rogers, who got

1414
01:09:34,560 --> 01:09:35,360
Speaker 2: bench late in the season.

1415
01:09:35,760 --> 01:09:38,120
Speaker 1: There could be explosives here, but they can at least

1416
01:09:38,160 --> 01:09:40,760
Speaker 1: move the chains. I don't expect Louisville to have any

1417
01:09:40,800 --> 01:09:44,200
Speaker 1: explosives whatsoever. And yeah, Colin Lacy is back thirteen hundred

1418
01:09:44,280 --> 01:09:45,960
Speaker 1: yards at South Alabama with seven t d's and a

1419
01:09:46,080 --> 01:09:48,839
Speaker 1: three point one yards per route run at South Alabama.

1420
01:09:48,960 --> 01:09:51,799
Speaker 1: That is highly explosive, but we have to trust Harrison

1421
01:09:51,800 --> 01:09:54,320
Speaker 1: Bailey to get it to him. I leen with Washington

1422
01:09:54,360 --> 01:09:56,320
Speaker 1: as well. I feel like almost like now that we've

1423
01:09:56,320 --> 01:09:57,960
Speaker 1: mentioned it, we probably would have made a decision. We're

1424
01:09:58,000 --> 01:09:58,880
Speaker 1: gonna hit it right after this.

1425
01:09:59,280 --> 01:10:01,679
Speaker 2: Yeah, if you we find a three out there Washington,

1426
01:10:01,720 --> 01:10:03,479
Speaker 2: we won't put on the board because it's not widely available.

1427
01:10:04,439 --> 01:10:05,960
Speaker 2: We'll talk about that game more on Monday. We'll see

1428
01:10:05,960 --> 01:10:08,400
Speaker 2: who else is out, but that'll do it for us.

1429
01:10:08,439 --> 01:10:10,000
Speaker 2: Do you have anything else to an add No?

1430
01:10:10,240 --> 01:10:12,200
Speaker 1: No, you're right about Brom. I'm I kind of want

1431
01:10:12,240 --> 01:10:15,080
Speaker 1: to be under in that game, so considering Bram's history,

1432
01:10:16,000 --> 01:10:17,200
Speaker 1: I have to hesitate on that one.

1433
01:10:17,320 --> 01:10:19,720
Speaker 2: So by way, that game is in al Paso. Yep,

1434
01:10:20,080 --> 01:10:22,280
Speaker 2: our friend tell me where to go and al Paso

1435
01:10:22,720 --> 01:10:26,320
Speaker 2: ever been call the voicemails, will all the voicemail give

1436
01:10:26,400 --> 01:10:30,400
Speaker 2: us a recommendation for a pizza party. Underrated pizza place, Yes,

1437
01:10:30,880 --> 01:10:34,840
Speaker 2: good call, restaurant bar, underrated place to go in ol Passo.

1438
01:10:35,000 --> 01:10:37,760
Speaker 2: We will go there eventually and we will meet up.

1439
01:10:37,800 --> 01:10:39,320
Speaker 2: I promise, But I don't know where to go. I

1440
01:10:39,320 --> 01:10:41,519
Speaker 2: don't know the places in al Paso. I assume there's

1441
01:10:41,520 --> 01:10:43,840
Speaker 2: probably some good Mexican spots. All right, that'll do it

1442
01:10:43,920 --> 01:10:46,160
Speaker 2: for us. Thanks to Colin for joining me. Thanks to

1443
01:10:46,200 --> 01:10:50,360
Speaker 2: our producer Matt Mitchell, Happy holidays, Happy early New Year,

1444
01:10:50,520 --> 01:10:53,400
Speaker 2: Thanks for listening. As always, make sure you subscribe on subscribe,

1445
01:10:53,400 --> 01:10:56,080
Speaker 2: subscribe to a friend telling enemy quit our YouTube channel poboc.

1446
01:10:56,240 --> 01:10:57,639
Speaker 2: Make sure you hit subscribe there. Even if you don't

1447
01:10:57,720 --> 01:10:59,760
Speaker 2: watch us on YouTube, that does help us out. And

1448
01:11:00,040 --> 01:11:03,360
Speaker 2: joy Bowl season. The joys of Bowl season, The Hawaii

1449
01:11:03,479 --> 01:11:05,960
Speaker 2: Bowl that's what it's all about. Time for us to

1450
01:11:05,960 --> 01:11:08,840
Speaker 2: go find some winners. Break down the college football playoff games,

1451
01:11:09,240 --> 01:11:13,320
Speaker 2: which we will do on the next episode, Part five,

1452
01:11:13,520 --> 01:11:16,280
Speaker 2: which will be out I believe Monday night early Monday night.

1453
01:11:16,240 --> 01:11:18,760
Speaker 1: I'll be live from the festival. Cheez It.

1454
01:11:18,960 --> 01:11:20,600
Speaker 2: We'll touch on these two games we just mentioned the

1455
01:11:20,600 --> 01:11:23,800
Speaker 2: Alabama Michigan Washington Loisile, but.

1456
01:11:24,200 --> 01:11:24,840
Speaker 1: Really in depth.

1457
01:11:24,960 --> 01:11:27,559
Speaker 2: Cheeze it through the college FOTBA playoff quarterfinals. Can't wait.

1458
01:11:27,600 --> 01:11:29,360
Speaker 2: Thanks again for tuning in to catch all air cheers,

1459
01:11:29,479 --> 01:11:29,920
Speaker 2: peace out.

1460
01:11:31,080 --> 01:11:33,760
Speaker 1: It's the most swammerful time.

1461
01:11:34,600 --> 01:11:40,840
Speaker 2: It's the most swammer time all the more swammer time.

1462
01:11:43,320 --> 01:11:54,760
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1463
01:11:55,200 --> 01:11:57,960
Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1464
01:11:58,320 --> 01:12:01,759
Speaker 1: help is available twenty four at one eight hundred Gambler