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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that Action Boss. All right, here we go.

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Speaker 2: We're growing out, Joe. I'm sitting up to cash stop.

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Speaker 2: We'll see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 2: go to win. That's incredible. Big bank, small banks. I

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Speaker 2: like to make money. All right, this is the ultimate

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Speaker 2: kaba you want to pull.

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Speaker 3: And we are come away.

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Speaker 2: What's up everybody? Welcome to the Action Network Podcast. I'm

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Speaker 2: your host, Chris Raybond, and this is your NFL Week

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Speaker 2: number seven betting preview. Today will build our Sunday six

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Speaker 2: pack up against the spread bets with the help of

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Speaker 2: my co host, the Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation, Stucky stuck.

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Speaker 2: Rough week for the pod last week for both of us.

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Speaker 2: What's going on? Man?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? Another rough week for Man. I went six pack

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Speaker 3: sides three and nine over the past month, probably my

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Speaker 3: worst month ever had in the NFL. The podcast was

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Speaker 3: the first ever time we went win less six years.

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Speaker 3: Probably not a coincidence that Road Favorites went nine to

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Speaker 3: zer against the spread, the best week ever since the merger,

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Speaker 3: culmination of some bad reads like I really shouldn't have

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Speaker 3: played Dallas uh and just taking the price. It was

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Speaker 3: such a good spot for Detroit, and I didn't have

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Speaker 3: any way to know of any way the Dallas gonna

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Speaker 3: stop them. And Detroit wonted that game. After last year,

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Speaker 3: Ben Johnson was in his bag. I mean, yeah, they gave.

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Speaker 2: Up ten points. They gave up They gave up like

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Speaker 2: eight points just fucking around, rowing passest to line.

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Speaker 3: They wanted to get an alignment a touchdown so bad.

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Speaker 3: That was a bad read. I was dead wrong on

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Speaker 3: the Jags. I mean, I've getting great numbers still, which

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Speaker 3: will which will pay off in the long run. Like

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Speaker 3: I said, the I don't think the jack should be underdogs.

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Speaker 3: They closed a favorite. The Titans, I say should be favorite.

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Speaker 3: They closed a field goal favorite. The frustrating thing about

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Speaker 3: that game, I don't even know why they closed a

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Speaker 3: field goal favorite because my entire analysis was based off

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Speaker 3: any Richardson starting and Pittman missing. Not only does Tennessee

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Speaker 3: blow a fourth quarter lead, they have a million defensive penalties.

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Speaker 3: I think that Indianapolis had six first downs on defensive penalties.

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Speaker 3: Flaco throws a jump ball to Pittman. I thought it

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Speaker 3: was gonna be Richardson and no Pittman. I didn't think

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Speaker 3: downs was gonna play. Some of their defenders who I

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Speaker 3: didn't think we're gonna play, ended up playing. So I

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Speaker 3: don't know why that closed the Tennessee minus three because

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Speaker 3: the Colts are better with Flacco. But the cherry on

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Speaker 3: top was I had the Green Bay Arizona over forty

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Speaker 3: seven and a half.

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Speaker 2: Will that is the cherry. Jay Benson, the rookie running back. Right,

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Speaker 2: they missed analyst snap, a.

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Speaker 3: Missed thirty five yard field goal. It was thirty four

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Speaker 3: to thirteen to need one more point in the fourth quarter, fumbles,

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Speaker 3: the winds started picking up. It was like twenty five

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Speaker 3: hours minutes. It started pouring rain. Once it got to

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Speaker 3: forty seven points and no one scored again.

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Speaker 2: I had the Jets on Monday night and I'm like,

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Speaker 2: all right, we weather this first half storm, plank two

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Speaker 2: field goal off the uprights? Why open for a touchdown

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Speaker 2: Mike Williams and he loses the game for the Jets.

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Speaker 2: The second street week like it, it was.

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Speaker 3: Just one of those weeks you you get an excuse

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Speaker 3: because you've been sweeping every week. I don't because I've

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Speaker 3: not been so I need to be better. But we'll

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Speaker 3: be fine. It's time to get rolling especially me. So

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Speaker 3: let's uh, let's get on the week seven, baby.

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Speaker 2: All right, Let's start with Thursday night.

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Speaker 1: It's not the best game, but it's the only game tonight.

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Speaker 1: Let's bet Thursday night football.

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Speaker 2: Denver at New Orleans practice squad, the Saints for two

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Speaker 2: and a half point underdogs at home. The total thirty seven.

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Speaker 2: Let me just set this up with the injuries. Chris

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Speaker 2: Olave concussion, looks like he's gonna miss, Derek Carr still out,

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Speaker 2: looks like Ratler's getting another start. Taysom Hill did practice

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Speaker 2: on a limited basis, could be back. Rashid Shaheed though

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Speaker 2: knee issue, probably misses. And then for Denver Patrick certain

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Speaker 2: the star cornerback, uh is not practicing. Looks like he's

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Speaker 2: gonna miss. So a lot of injuries on both sides.

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Speaker 2: And then you got Sean Payton coming back to New Orleans.

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Speaker 2: It's really tough to get a read on this game

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Speaker 2: for me, not not to mention the injuries, but it's

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Speaker 2: like Bo Nicks. He just has these stretches of just

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Speaker 2: completely horrible football where he's the worst quarterback in football,

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Speaker 2: and then you know, is it prevent defense? I don't

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Speaker 2: know what it is. He has stretches where he looks

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Speaker 2: completely fine. So this is a tough one for me.

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Speaker 2: I mean New Orleans at home second week in a row,

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Speaker 2: but the just the decimated by injuries. But then Denver's

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Speaker 2: missing a really key piece, uh and is on the

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Speaker 2: road without that you know, home home field, which they've

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Speaker 2: which I think you know they, I mean they they

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Speaker 2: actually have won some ro games. I shouldn't say that

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Speaker 2: I want it, but I mean the certain is still

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Speaker 2: a big, big piece out. So how do you how

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Speaker 2: do you look at this one?

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Speaker 3: I'm just happy this game is on Thursday night. I

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Speaker 3: hate Thursday night football. I want no parts. I mean,

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Speaker 3: if I guess if it gets to a flat three, yeah,

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Speaker 3: I'd have to consider New Orleans just on on principle,

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Speaker 3: like you're asking bow Knicks to win by margin by

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Speaker 3: more than a Fueld goal on the road. I mean,

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Speaker 3: Rattler he had some, he flashed some, and you know

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Speaker 3: he can move around a bit, and the de Broncos

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Speaker 3: defense just isn't the same. That's certain like we saw

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Speaker 3: that last week. I mean, I know Justin Herbert is

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Speaker 3: in a completely different stratify than Rattler, but that you

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Speaker 3: could see the fall off on the Broncos defense, I mean,

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Speaker 3: who was Herbert throwing do like Joko.

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Speaker 2: With m apparently their number two receiver now.

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Speaker 3: So he was everything starts as certain on that defense,

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Speaker 3: and you know they play aggressive coverage on the outside

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Speaker 3: and he can just take away one receiver, But can

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Speaker 3: do you trust Rattler to take advance? Who's he thrown

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Speaker 3: to like Bob Means? Is that like the the Keith

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Speaker 3: target here?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, you're lousing the ability to shadow Bob Means.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, I the Saints have all kinds of just

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Speaker 3: the defense has been disappointing too. They're dealing, they're they're

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Speaker 3: kind of just banged up across the board. But the

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Speaker 3: defense is not lived up to the expectations that I

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Speaker 3: had for them. So yeah, this game is very, very

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Speaker 3: difficult to handicap. Like I I'm not laying points on

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Speaker 3: the road with bow knicks in this offense. I'm not

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Speaker 3: in a rush to bet Spencer Rattler and an undermanned offense.

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Speaker 3: They still have offensive line injuries without their receivers. So yeah,

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Speaker 3: this is really tough. But just on price and principle alone,

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Speaker 3: a flat three, I'd probably have to put a small

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Speaker 3: bet on New Orleans. But I mean, there's not here

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Speaker 3: to talk about. This is an awful game made for

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Speaker 3: Thursday night.

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Speaker 2: Like sometimes like those home these home dogs, I think

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Speaker 2: they'll come a little too alluring, like it's still still

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Speaker 2: early in the season. I mean, I don't know, if

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Speaker 2: you know the two and a half to three, I mean,

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Speaker 2: Denver should win this game, I don't. I don't know

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Speaker 2: how much, by how much? But yeah, I don't want to.

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Speaker 2: I don't want to bet on this game. This is

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Speaker 2: not This is not a game. I mean, maybe you

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Speaker 2: look at the under, but it's indoors and you do

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Speaker 2: have some turnover risk, at least with Rattler. I mean,

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Speaker 2: Bonis has been fairly decent with the negative plays of late,

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Speaker 2: but then he's had just these horrible efficiency stretches. So

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Speaker 2: I guess, if anything, I'd look toward the under, but

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Speaker 2: it don't feel great about it.

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Speaker 3: If you want action on this game, you know, a

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Speaker 3: two and a half. If you want to tease the

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Speaker 3: Saints with a teaser a you know, a plus EV

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Speaker 3: teaser piece that you like on Sunday, that's that's not

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Speaker 3: a bad route to go because you're you're going through

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Speaker 3: three and seven and the total is what thirty seven

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Speaker 3: and a half in this game. So if you're looking

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Speaker 3: for action on this game, that I think is a

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Speaker 3: viable route.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's go into our Week seven Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 1: Thursday for action. Let's crack open the Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 2: Of course, the oh to six Week six. So the

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Speaker 2: score remains twenty six to nine, two points for our

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Speaker 2: first to a point for the third point for the total,

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Speaker 2: which we'll give out in our next section, and a

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Speaker 2: point bonus if you sweep stuck. You are up first

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Speaker 2: week number seven, where you're going.

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Speaker 3: All right, it's time to get hot, or you know,

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Speaker 3: maybe I'm just a fade now in the NFL and

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Speaker 3: that provides a value too, But I think it's uh,

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Speaker 3: it's time we get rolling here. So for my first

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Speaker 3: pick of the Week seven Sunday six pack, I'm going

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Speaker 3: with the Seattle Seahawks plus three at the Atlanta Falcons

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Speaker 3: number one. I just can't get to this number number two,

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Speaker 3: like I have these teams power rated. Basically, even on

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Speaker 3: a neutral field, Atlanta not one of the best home

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Speaker 3: field advantages in the NFL, and NFL home field advantage

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Speaker 3: is not worth three points anywhere in today's dan age.

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Speaker 3: From a spot perspective, Seattle's lost three in a row.

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Speaker 3: You look at road dogs three straight losses about sixty

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Speaker 3: percent against the spread. Road dogs with extra time to

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Speaker 3: prepare against teams on normal rest about sixty percent against

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Speaker 3: the spread. Historically, I think this is a great opportunity

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Speaker 3: to buy low on the Seahawks. You have to remember,

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Speaker 3: so they start off three to zero at a very

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Speaker 3: easy schedule, so you knew that they weren't as good

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Speaker 3: as their record indicated. But then their next three games

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Speaker 3: were as brutal of a stretch as you'll find this

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Speaker 3: season in the NFL. They had three games in eleven days,

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Speaker 3: and they were dealing with major injuries across their defense,

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Speaker 3: and that's problematic when you're going up against especially the

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Speaker 3: Lions and the forty nine ers, two of the best

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Speaker 3: offenses in the NFL. Well, they should so the rest,

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Speaker 3: just the extra rest should serve them well. They should

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Speaker 3: be healthier here, especially along the defensive line. They also

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Speaker 3: added Roy Robertson Harris from Jacksonville. I think Byron Murphy's

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Speaker 3: going to come back. They got a bunch a couple

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Speaker 3: of guys back last week, so they should be healthier

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Speaker 3: up front where they just were completely decimated. Secondary is

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Speaker 3: still a concern. It's Wednesdays, we don't know. I'm hoping

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Speaker 3: that Riek Woolan is back. I mean he's playing at

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Speaker 3: all pro level.

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Speaker 2: And Drake London is playing at an all pro level too. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: that's really what makes it even more important.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, if this is two and a half, i'd wait

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Speaker 3: on Woolen status, but at three, I'm okay with his

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Speaker 3: status in doubt because i mean, Woolan this year lowest

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Speaker 3: completion percentage allowed among all qualified cornerbacks, second lowest yards

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Speaker 3: per target, and the lowest passer rating allowed I think

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Speaker 3: under three. So he's been dominant. He's big, so we'll

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Speaker 3: see if he can go. But regardless if he can't

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Speaker 3: in Atlanta, and look Atlanta, all LANDA does is play

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Speaker 3: close games. And you could argue they could be what

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Speaker 3: six and zero, zero and six, but they should have

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Speaker 3: been Carolina. But even that was kind of close in

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Speaker 3: the fourth until that Dalton pick. But they could be

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Speaker 3: five and one, they could be one in five. So

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Speaker 3: this is still just, you know, a middle of the

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Speaker 3: road team in the NFL, maybe slightly above average from

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Speaker 3: a power business. That's where I have Seattle at and

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Speaker 3: I think that even if Woolend's out, I do expect

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Speaker 3: the Seattle defense to be better because they're healthier upfront.

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Speaker 3: Give McDonald extra time to repair for this offense. But

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Speaker 3: even if Atlanta has success on offense, I think Seattle

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Speaker 3: can keep up what is plague Seattle this year. It's

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Speaker 3: really been their offensive line, which had questions coming into

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Speaker 3: the area injury of right tackle. Well, now they're going

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Speaker 3: up against a defensive line that is incapable of generating pressure.

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Speaker 3: The Panthers are in a different stratosphere, but Falcons are

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Speaker 3: second worst so thirty first and pressure rate, so they

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Speaker 3: can't get any pressure. Gino should be able to operate

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Speaker 3: in a clean pocket. He has plenty of weapons to

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Speaker 3: attack this Falcon secondary. So I like the Bilo spot

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Speaker 3: on Seattle here with much needed extra rest, and they

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Speaker 3: should be healthier. Hope for Wooling back. But at a

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Speaker 3: field goal, I have to take Seattle here, So give

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Speaker 3: me the road Hawks.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, be about time. I mean, Seattle is

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Speaker 2: not this bad either, like they're you know they I think,

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Speaker 2: I mean, you know, Smith keeps throwing all these yards

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Speaker 2: and he's got one touchdown pass in every game. I

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Speaker 2: don't even think he has multiple touchdown passes since also

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Speaker 2: no multiple touchdown games.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Seahawks have also been on both sides of the

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Speaker 3: ball from an EPA persoct of one of the unluckiest

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Speaker 3: teams in turnover margin in terms of EPA lost, some

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Speaker 3: potential regression, some better health coming for Seattle. And what

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Speaker 3: does Atlanta do in these games? Like when they win,

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Speaker 3: they like they went on like a coup field goal

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Speaker 3: by one or two. So I think the three is

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Speaker 3: super valuable. Here give me Seattle, all.

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Speaker 2: Right, Yeah, I don't hit it. Got a tough handicap

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Speaker 2: for me with the it's still tough to kind of

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Speaker 2: get a hand around. But I can't be mad at

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Speaker 2: the you know, taking the three, especially on the road

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Speaker 2: with a pretty solid Seattle team for my first pick.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if you're gonna agree with this one,

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Speaker 2: but this should be fun For my first pick of

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Speaker 2: the week seven Sunday six pack the second overall, I'm

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Speaker 2: going with the New York Jets minus one and a

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Speaker 2: half at the Pittsburgh Steelers. And a couple of things

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Speaker 2: stand out to me in this one. Number one Jets.

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Speaker 2: Say what you want about the coaching staff, Woody Johnson, whatever,

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Speaker 2: get a more for team here, and you can you

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Speaker 2: know that because the Steelers, I mean, they're coming off

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Speaker 2: a win and they're talking about benching their their quarter

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Speaker 2: their quarterback who happens to be the better quarterback in

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Speaker 2: my opinion in justin fields. But this Jet team's played

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Speaker 2: the fifth hardest schedule by DVOA Pittsburgh the tenth easiest,

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Speaker 2: uh Davante Adams huge get I think for the Jets

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Speaker 2: because they say wins and losses on a quarterback stat

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Speaker 2: But the last two weeks you could argue that the Jets'

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Speaker 2: losses have been on Mike Williams, and Mike Williams on himself.

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Speaker 2: I mean, he ends the game with just a bad,

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Speaker 2: bad route in the Minnesota game at Weed, so Rodgers

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Speaker 2: picked game over wide open for what should have been

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Speaker 2: a touchdown. In the Bills game runs a bad route

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Speaker 2: and then compounds it by falling down or try to

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Speaker 2: adjust to the ball pick game over essentially, So the

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Speaker 2: fact that they're getting Devonte Adams means you have Adams,

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Speaker 2: Wilson and Wizard Rodgers who's playing a lot better this

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Speaker 2: year as your top three. Pittsburgh gets big against Pittsburgh

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Speaker 2: because you're number three in DVOA against number one wide outs,

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Speaker 2: but nineteenth against number two, is twenty eighth against number

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Speaker 2: threes and thirtieth against running backs. So that kind of

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Speaker 2: plays into the strength of the Jets and Rogers. He's frail.

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Speaker 2: I know he's forty. He's on the other side of forty.

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Speaker 2: If he gets knocked out, you get Tyrod Taylor throwing

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Speaker 2: to an all star caster receivers, the guy who doesn't

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Speaker 2: turn the ball over, and a guy who's mobile. So

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Speaker 2: I'm not as worried about Rogers getting knocked out in

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Speaker 2: this game as I would be some starting quarterbacks against Pittsburgh.

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Speaker 2: And then you go to the other side, Jets number

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Speaker 2: six and pressure rate on defense. But what's really going

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Speaker 2: on with Pittsburgh and why I think that I want

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Speaker 2: to fade him right now, is because James Daniels, their

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Speaker 2: guard on IR with an achilles injury. He had a

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Speaker 2: ninety two point nine PFF grade best guard in football,

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Speaker 2: Zach Frasier against the Raiders, their center Gat gets hurt

294
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Speaker 2: eighty two point two PFF grade, the fourth best center

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Speaker 2: in football. Yeah, so you lose two. You lose the

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Speaker 2: best guard in football and the fourth best center in

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Speaker 2: football to your interior line just in time to go

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Speaker 2: up against Quinn Williams, a Jets defense that is getting pressure.

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Speaker 2: And the whole thing about bench In Fields has been well,

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Speaker 2: he's missing open receivers, as in, he's not throwing the

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Speaker 2: ball to them, he is, he's holding the ball. Well,

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Speaker 2: you're going up against the Jets down Sauce Gardner, DJ Reed,

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Speaker 2: who's number two in coverage. Uh, and and even Oliver's

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Speaker 2: playing well in the slot. You're not gonna have open

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Speaker 2: receivers like that in this game anyway. So I consider

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Speaker 2: any any snaps that Justin Fields does not take under

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Speaker 2: center in his game a gift, uh from Mike Tomlin

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Speaker 2: to the New York Jets. But Sean and I hit

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Speaker 2: on this seat. There might be something to this. Mike

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Speaker 2: Tomlin might be playing four D chest. You put Russell

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Speaker 2: Wilson out there to get Robert against this Jet team,

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Speaker 2: you fall back to five hundred, and then you have

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Speaker 2: an excuse to play Fields for the rest of the year,

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Speaker 2: and you can't say, well you didn't.

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Speaker 3: Four to three.

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Speaker 2: Sorry, sorry, but you know you fall closer to five hundred.

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Speaker 2: You fall back into that the heat of that division race.

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Speaker 2: And but you have an excuse now because they had

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Speaker 2: to have promised Wilson something. I don't know why we

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Speaker 2: keep getting this like, oh, we got to start Wilson.

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Speaker 2: But at the same time, the Steeler offense. Yeah, they

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Speaker 2: put thirty two on the board against Vegas. They had

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Speaker 2: they had two very short touchdown drive short field touchdown drives.

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Speaker 2: You know, this was just not a good offensive performance

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Speaker 2: for the Steelers and they lose. They lose their center

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Speaker 2: after losing their guard, you know, in week four. So

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Speaker 2: I think this is a Jet spot to get right.

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Speaker 2: I think they're a more desperate team. I don't see

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Speaker 2: them falling this deep in a hole and Rogers off

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Speaker 2: the loss when he's favored by six points or last

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Speaker 2: or dog twenty nine and sixteen sixty four percent against

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Speaker 2: the spread. So give me the Jets on the road.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I like this. I want Wilson to start. I mean,

334
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Speaker 3: look speaking, but so I need confirmation there then I'll

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Speaker 3: definitely play. That's why I played Jets money line.

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Speaker 2: I played money line. Yeah, for what it's worth, I

337
00:18:13,040 --> 00:18:16,320
Speaker 2: did play money line. Like, I just prefer that with

338
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Speaker 2: you know when I can get a short money line.

339
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Speaker 2: But I still like this inside of field though, but sorry,

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Speaker 2: go ahead.

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Speaker 3: Yeah I mean that to pile onto my week from hell.

342
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Speaker 3: Last week I lost a teaser with the Raiders in

343
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Speaker 3: a game where both teams to basically have the same

344
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Speaker 3: amount of yards just average the same yards per play

345
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Speaker 3: because there was a block punt fields through a pick

346
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Speaker 3: and got a awful roughing the passer call fields on

347
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Speaker 3: a third and eighteen almost there's another pick incomplete, another

348
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Speaker 3: roughing the passer call. Those three plays at the twenty

349
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Speaker 3: one points for the Steelers, so just insane. But so yeah,

350
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Speaker 3: it wasn't a great offensive performance, but I don't think

351
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Speaker 3: Russ is going to give them much and you just

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Speaker 3: remove fields as like.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that's in this matchup with the lot, with the

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Speaker 2: line and the state it's in.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I agree. So I really love this. If

356
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Speaker 3: Russ starts and what is your what is what were

357
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Speaker 3: the percentage chances you give the Ross starts.

358
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Speaker 2: Right now, I would say it's like sixty forty because

359
00:19:16,240 --> 00:19:18,879
Speaker 2: they're given him first team reps. And again, I just

360
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Speaker 2: think there was something in the preseason the minute they

361
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Speaker 2: said Russ's our unquestioned started and manyte he signed and

362
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Speaker 2: they weren't paying him no money. You ain't know to

363
00:19:26,960 --> 00:19:29,440
Speaker 2: us no more now, you know what I mean? There

364
00:19:29,520 --> 00:19:31,840
Speaker 2: must have been some assurances given to his agent, and

365
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Speaker 2: you know, Tomlin is a guy. You know, you could

366
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Speaker 2: see they respect veterans in Pittsburgh, they do things the

367
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Speaker 2: right way. I could see him giving him some type

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Speaker 2: of assurances. And then I think this injury was blown

369
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Speaker 2: out of proportion. Like I don't think Russ Wilson was

370
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Speaker 2: nearly as heard as he said he was, But I

371
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Speaker 2: think his camp had no incentive to downplay it because

372
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Speaker 2: it would just make him look worse, like, oh, he

373
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Speaker 2: can't beat out justin you know, justin fields. So I

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Speaker 2: feel like no one wanted to say that he wasn't

375
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Speaker 2: really that hurt, just like Devontae Adams is magically healthy

376
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Speaker 2: now and he's gonna way. You know. It's like, I

377
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Speaker 2: just don't buy it. And I think that Mike Tomlins saying,

378
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Speaker 2: all right, you know what, if we're gonna give Russ

379
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Speaker 2: a chance, let's give him a chance against the toughest

380
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Speaker 2: defense we're re faced. And that way, if he if

381
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Speaker 2: he shits to bed, I can go back to fields

382
00:20:15,560 --> 00:20:17,439
Speaker 2: and no one's on my on my tailor butt, So

383
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Speaker 2: uh yeah, I think there's a lot of things kind

384
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Speaker 2: of working in the Jets's favorite beyond the Seeds in

385
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Speaker 2: this one.

386
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Speaker 3: Yeah, Devota Adams, he already has rapport with Rogers offense

387
00:20:26,960 --> 00:20:29,320
Speaker 3: with uh terminology you'll be familiar with.

388
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Speaker 2: He's not Mike Williams.

389
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Speaker 3: That's the Mike Williams. That's what's gonna say. Mike Williams

390
00:20:33,200 --> 00:20:37,000
Speaker 3: is washed. So like just oh my god, is massive.

391
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Speaker 3: All right. So for my second pick on the third

392
00:20:39,840 --> 00:20:43,639
Speaker 3: overall the week seven Sunday six pack, I'm going with

393
00:20:43,680 --> 00:20:45,919
Speaker 3: the Cleveland Browns plus six and a half at home

394
00:20:45,960 --> 00:20:48,520
Speaker 3: against Cincinnati Bengals. I bet too good of a team

395
00:20:48,640 --> 00:20:51,160
Speaker 3: with Seattle, gotta go back to an ugly dog here

396
00:20:51,600 --> 00:20:57,800
Speaker 3: with Cleveland. Back to my comfort zone. And fortunately it's

397
00:20:57,800 --> 00:21:06,719
Speaker 3: not Tennessee. So this league, this line is way too high,

398
00:21:07,240 --> 00:21:10,440
Speaker 3: Like it jumped two points when Amari Cooper the news

399
00:21:10,440 --> 00:21:13,080
Speaker 3: of a Mariy Cooper broke. Amari Cooper's were too. He's

400
00:21:13,080 --> 00:21:14,880
Speaker 3: been one of the worst receivers the NFL this year,

401
00:21:14,880 --> 00:21:17,840
Speaker 3: like on a non existent passing offense, Like how much

402
00:21:17,920 --> 00:21:20,119
Speaker 3: is a receiver in the Browns. How much could they

403
00:21:20,160 --> 00:21:23,199
Speaker 3: be worth even if Cooper was, you know, playing to

404
00:21:23,320 --> 00:21:27,160
Speaker 3: his peak all year. So yeah, for first of all,

405
00:21:27,480 --> 00:21:28,880
Speaker 3: I like this under I think it's gonna be super

406
00:21:28,880 --> 00:21:31,600
Speaker 3: low scoring game. Here's the Browns path. And by the way,

407
00:21:31,600 --> 00:21:33,679
Speaker 3: the Browns are getting healthier elsewhere. Their defense looks like

408
00:21:33,680 --> 00:21:34,879
Speaker 3: it's going to be as healthy as it's been in

409
00:21:34,880 --> 00:21:37,840
Speaker 3: a while. Yeah, you're gonna get shoved back ten to

410
00:21:37,880 --> 00:21:42,400
Speaker 3: fifteen carries. I'd expect there, and you have your tackles

411
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Speaker 3: are back.

412
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Speaker 2: Nu conquent is just like the Jones, like like everyone's

413
00:21:51,800 --> 00:21:55,720
Speaker 2: disson Watson and for good reason, but like that dude

414
00:21:55,800 --> 00:21:59,320
Speaker 2: Jones could not block a like a fly. So yeah,

415
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Speaker 2: I conkling back is massive. Yeah.

416
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Speaker 3: And the one I do worry about the center position

417
00:22:05,320 --> 00:22:09,359
Speaker 3: Bach it's an embrace today. Backup is hurt, although it

418
00:22:09,400 --> 00:22:10,960
Speaker 3: doesn't really matter. I mean, what's the drop was You

419
00:22:11,000 --> 00:22:13,399
Speaker 3: might have like a backup guard in at center. That

420
00:22:13,440 --> 00:22:15,159
Speaker 3: does concern. But the offensive mine is as healthy as

421
00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:17,240
Speaker 3: it's been. And what the Browns have started to, what

422
00:22:17,280 --> 00:22:21,000
Speaker 3: they started to do last week against Philadelphia is they

423
00:22:21,040 --> 00:22:24,400
Speaker 3: went back more to the Stefanski offense. Right, we talked

424
00:22:24,440 --> 00:22:26,800
Speaker 3: about this I don't think the Watson can run. They're

425
00:22:26,800 --> 00:22:30,000
Speaker 3: trying to have him run this non Stefanski offense. It's

426
00:22:30,040 --> 00:22:32,840
Speaker 3: like spread attack, and he's just not good enough to

427
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Speaker 3: do that. So without Cooper, I think they leaned into

428
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Speaker 3: that even more, which I think can work against Cincinnati.

429
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Speaker 3: So more runs, just more throws, the tight ends, more

430
00:22:44,600 --> 00:22:49,639
Speaker 3: heavy sets. Those are things that you can do against Cincinnati.

431
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Speaker 3: And by the way, the Bengals, all they do is

432
00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:52,800
Speaker 3: play close games all year. I know they covered last week,

433
00:22:52,800 --> 00:22:56,520
Speaker 3: but they broke a run to cover in New York

434
00:22:56,560 --> 00:22:59,280
Speaker 3: and they were what laying four there now in the

435
00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:03,479
Speaker 3: divisional game in Cleveland, Secretary Roagam, you're lying six and

436
00:23:03,480 --> 00:23:06,359
Speaker 3: a half. I can't get to this number. Burrow has

437
00:23:06,359 --> 00:23:10,040
Speaker 3: also struggled historically against this Cleveland defense. He's one in

438
00:23:10,160 --> 00:23:12,600
Speaker 3: five in his career, one in three over the past

439
00:23:13,000 --> 00:23:16,760
Speaker 3: three seasons with four excuse me with yeah, one in

440
00:23:16,840 --> 00:23:20,359
Speaker 3: three with four touchdowns and four interceptions. That's it. Miles

441
00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:23,000
Speaker 3: Garrett has just owned this seam. And look, you could

442
00:23:23,000 --> 00:23:25,080
Speaker 3: say the Browns are gonna quit, but I don't think

443
00:23:25,080 --> 00:23:27,280
Speaker 3: they're on quick watch. They showed up last week in Philly,

444
00:23:28,000 --> 00:23:30,560
Speaker 3: and these teams hate each other like it is a

445
00:23:30,600 --> 00:23:33,200
Speaker 3: divisional game there. They're not gonna quit. They're gonna show

446
00:23:33,240 --> 00:23:35,560
Speaker 3: up here. Maybe they lose this game and they trade

447
00:23:35,560 --> 00:23:38,640
Speaker 3: more players, but I think this is a good spot

448
00:23:39,160 --> 00:23:43,000
Speaker 3: to buy the Browns. There's some matchup advantages here. The

449
00:23:43,040 --> 00:23:46,000
Speaker 3: script from you Gotta Skip Stefanski usually has a good script.

450
00:23:46,840 --> 00:23:50,639
Speaker 3: Get steal a score early on your script with you

451
00:23:50,640 --> 00:23:55,520
Speaker 3: know your more heavy personnel sets and and then I

452
00:23:55,560 --> 00:23:58,760
Speaker 3: think that this defense can battle with Cincinnati in which

453
00:23:58,760 --> 00:24:02,159
Speaker 3: should be a lower scoring game. We'll talk about that

454
00:24:02,240 --> 00:24:04,840
Speaker 3: later as a little teaser, but which gives which I

455
00:24:04,880 --> 00:24:07,960
Speaker 3: think makes the home underdog in the divisional game even

456
00:24:08,040 --> 00:24:11,760
Speaker 3: more valuable. I like the Browns here that catching six

457
00:24:11,760 --> 00:24:12,160
Speaker 3: and a half.

458
00:24:13,040 --> 00:24:16,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm considering this. It's always I mean, I have

459
00:24:16,359 --> 00:24:18,080
Speaker 2: a different play on this game, so I think I'm

460
00:24:18,080 --> 00:24:22,000
Speaker 2: gonna find a different way to invest. Being a Giants

461
00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:25,240
Speaker 2: fan and kind of knowing this team, I actually feel

462
00:24:25,240 --> 00:24:27,640
Speaker 2: good about this pick more than my third. So I'm

463
00:24:27,640 --> 00:24:29,000
Speaker 2: gonna go with this one. For my second and the

464
00:24:29,040 --> 00:24:31,520
Speaker 2: fourth overall of the week seven Sunday six pack, I'm

465
00:24:31,520 --> 00:24:34,679
Speaker 2: going with the Philadelphia Eagles minus three at the New

466
00:24:34,760 --> 00:24:37,840
Speaker 2: York Giants. There's injuries on both Sides's let's be clear,

467
00:24:38,280 --> 00:24:42,359
Speaker 2: Philadelphia big loss. Jordan Mylatta their their tackle. He's huge

468
00:24:43,000 --> 00:24:45,760
Speaker 2: and Goddard is I think he left after a few plays.

469
00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:49,199
Speaker 2: He's not looking good either. On the Giant side, I

470
00:24:49,240 --> 00:24:51,960
Speaker 2: think the injuries are bigger. You could get Neighbors back,

471
00:24:51,960 --> 00:24:56,120
Speaker 2: that's fine, but you lost Andrew Thomas. And Andrew Thomas

472
00:24:56,200 --> 00:25:00,000
Speaker 2: is just so essential to this offense functioning. Daniel Jones

473
00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:04,679
Speaker 2: owns under pressure terrible. But more than that, just the

474
00:25:04,720 --> 00:25:07,520
Speaker 2: way you have to kind of baby sit the play

475
00:25:07,560 --> 00:25:10,879
Speaker 2: calls when you know Andrew Thomas is out of the lineup,

476
00:25:11,119 --> 00:25:14,480
Speaker 2: I think hampers this offense even when you have a

477
00:25:14,520 --> 00:25:17,000
Speaker 2: guy like Neighbors, because you know it's Remember you had

478
00:25:17,040 --> 00:25:19,560
Speaker 2: neighbors against the Cowboys and once you do kick five

479
00:25:19,600 --> 00:25:22,920
Speaker 2: field goals. You had neighbors against Wahford too, where'd you get? Well,

480
00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:25,639
Speaker 2: you know, three scores he scored yet three scoring drives.

481
00:25:25,880 --> 00:25:29,560
Speaker 2: You know he's not superman. He's gonna make a difference here.

482
00:25:29,800 --> 00:25:33,480
Speaker 2: But I think this Philly team is still underrated in

483
00:25:33,560 --> 00:25:37,600
Speaker 2: the market because, first of all, yes, my Ltta is

484
00:25:37,640 --> 00:25:40,679
Speaker 2: big loss, but Jalen Hurts this year is fourth in

485
00:25:40,720 --> 00:25:44,520
Speaker 2: the league in completion rate over expectation, fourth in the league.

486
00:25:44,680 --> 00:25:47,520
Speaker 2: AJ Brown missed three games, Devonte Smith missed a game

487
00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:50,200
Speaker 2: in a quarter. Goddard essentially missed the whole game last week.

488
00:25:51,000 --> 00:25:54,840
Speaker 2: H So I think Jalen Hurts is going to slowly

489
00:25:55,160 --> 00:25:58,600
Speaker 2: kind of make strides. I think everyone's given Philadelphia just

490
00:25:58,600 --> 00:26:01,680
Speaker 2: too much crap for barely beating the Browns last week.

491
00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:04,320
Speaker 2: They got a block field goal that the Browns returned

492
00:26:04,320 --> 00:26:06,800
Speaker 2: for a touchdown. That's a ten point swing. You put

493
00:26:06,800 --> 00:26:09,200
Speaker 2: those scores up the other way, it very well ends,

494
00:26:09,200 --> 00:26:11,480
Speaker 2: you know, twenty three to nine or something like that.

495
00:26:11,720 --> 00:26:15,600
Speaker 2: So I'm not knocking the Philadelphia Eagles that much for

496
00:26:15,680 --> 00:26:19,080
Speaker 2: their performance last week. Out of the by and you

497
00:26:19,119 --> 00:26:21,720
Speaker 2: look at what they did against the Cleveland team with

498
00:26:21,760 --> 00:26:24,120
Speaker 2: no o line. They didn't give up an offensive touchdown.

499
00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:26,000
Speaker 2: They give up two hundred and forty four total yards

500
00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:28,919
Speaker 2: four point six yards of play. Against New Orleans with

501
00:26:29,000 --> 00:26:32,400
Speaker 2: no offensive line, Philly gave up twelve points, two hundred

502
00:26:32,440 --> 00:26:35,240
Speaker 2: twelve total yards four yards of play. So I think

503
00:26:35,440 --> 00:26:39,840
Speaker 2: the Philadelphia defense shows up. And by the way, the

504
00:26:39,880 --> 00:26:46,359
Speaker 2: Giants their defense Thibodeaux, Thibodeau, excuse me is on ir

505
00:26:46,680 --> 00:26:49,720
Speaker 2: Brian Burns miss practice Wednesday and Dexter Lawrence miss practice.

506
00:26:49,800 --> 00:26:51,840
Speaker 2: Now I expect those guys to play, but they did

507
00:26:51,840 --> 00:26:54,399
Speaker 2: play in a Sunday night, so you never know this

508
00:26:54,480 --> 00:26:57,600
Speaker 2: injury with these injury situations, so definitely something to monitor

509
00:26:57,960 --> 00:27:00,000
Speaker 2: there because I think that would make it even more

510
00:27:00,119 --> 00:27:02,239
Speaker 2: or dire for the Giants, who, by the way, are

511
00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:05,040
Speaker 2: giving up their bottom three in rushing yards allowed to

512
00:27:05,200 --> 00:27:07,840
Speaker 2: quarterbacks this year. So I don't think this is a

513
00:27:07,840 --> 00:27:10,720
Speaker 2: good matchup at all for the Giants. I think Philadelphia,

514
00:27:10,800 --> 00:27:12,359
Speaker 2: you know, I don't think they've won by more than

515
00:27:12,359 --> 00:27:15,680
Speaker 2: a possession in over a year or something. I think

516
00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:19,359
Speaker 2: this might be the game they get, right, And Daniel

517
00:27:19,400 --> 00:27:22,439
Speaker 2: Jones always a fade at home fourteen and nineteen against

518
00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:24,840
Speaker 2: the spread at home, failing to cover by three point

519
00:27:24,880 --> 00:27:27,600
Speaker 2: eight points a game in his career forty two against

520
00:27:27,600 --> 00:27:31,600
Speaker 2: the spread. In a second straight home game, Daniel Jones

521
00:27:31,880 --> 00:27:34,840
Speaker 2: is one in four against the spread failing to cover

522
00:27:34,880 --> 00:27:38,040
Speaker 2: by six point two points a game. I'll take the Eagles.

523
00:27:40,359 --> 00:27:44,720
Speaker 2: I disagree. I figured that I won three and a half.

524
00:27:44,520 --> 00:27:47,760
Speaker 3: And I want to see these defensive injuries, but look,

525
00:27:47,800 --> 00:27:50,120
Speaker 3: both teams are gonna be missing or left tackle that's

526
00:27:50,119 --> 00:27:53,600
Speaker 3: going to lead to pressure. I think on both ends,

527
00:27:53,960 --> 00:27:56,240
Speaker 3: neither quarterback has been good under press. Jalen Hurts has

528
00:27:56,240 --> 00:27:58,359
Speaker 3: been a disaster under pressure this year, I mean a

529
00:27:58,400 --> 00:28:00,000
Speaker 3: disaster worst quarterback in the league.

530
00:28:00,119 --> 00:28:02,240
Speaker 2: But he hasn't had his guys.

531
00:28:02,119 --> 00:28:05,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, but I still two I mean two

532
00:28:05,160 --> 00:28:07,679
Speaker 3: big time throws in a press, fifty percent of his passes,

533
00:28:07,800 --> 00:28:12,000
Speaker 3: eight turnover worthy plays. It's been bad, and it's been

534
00:28:12,000 --> 00:28:14,240
Speaker 3: bad for a while now. And this Philly team we're

535
00:28:14,280 --> 00:28:17,600
Speaker 3: over like what we're close to a full season of

536
00:28:17,960 --> 00:28:22,320
Speaker 3: very underwhelming results. I think Nick Sirianni is a clown

537
00:28:22,440 --> 00:28:25,440
Speaker 3: and he will probably make some bad decisions in this game.

538
00:28:25,680 --> 00:28:30,440
Speaker 3: So I trust the Giants' staff more. And this defense

539
00:28:30,480 --> 00:28:32,000
Speaker 3: is a little underrated because I mean, if they have their

540
00:28:32,000 --> 00:28:33,639
Speaker 3: pieces up front and no Tibeta won't be there, but

541
00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:38,600
Speaker 3: they can get pressure. And without Goddard, without Nyata, no on.

542
00:28:38,600 --> 00:28:40,160
Speaker 3: On the other side of the all, this Eagles defense

543
00:28:40,200 --> 00:28:43,440
Speaker 3: has been extremely underwhelming. I think the Giants, with their

544
00:28:43,520 --> 00:28:48,520
Speaker 3: short passing attack with you know, their just just enough

545
00:28:48,800 --> 00:28:52,520
Speaker 3: in the ground game, can have success. And it's Philly

546
00:28:52,560 --> 00:28:57,320
Speaker 3: doesn't have the same type of pass disruptors and have

547
00:28:57,600 --> 00:29:03,400
Speaker 3: creators as the Giants doultimately might be the difference I feel.

548
00:29:03,320 --> 00:29:05,880
Speaker 2: Against teams with with with bad old lines, like the

549
00:29:05,960 --> 00:29:08,800
Speaker 2: Warrimans was coming up to forty Burgers. Their offensive line

550
00:29:08,840 --> 00:29:12,160
Speaker 2: is decimated and Philly gives up nothing to them. Cleveland

551
00:29:12,400 --> 00:29:16,240
Speaker 2: another team, decimated old line, Philly gives up nothing to them.

552
00:29:16,280 --> 00:29:18,560
Speaker 2: Like It's I feel like Fangio could handle these kind

553
00:29:18,600 --> 00:29:21,040
Speaker 2: of teams. Like I'm not saying, go out there and

554
00:29:21,080 --> 00:29:23,840
Speaker 2: weigh points in Philly and against like a solid team

555
00:29:23,880 --> 00:29:27,040
Speaker 2: with this Giant team at home with with with no

556
00:29:27,280 --> 00:29:29,280
Speaker 2: left tackle. I mean they went too and four against

557
00:29:29,320 --> 00:29:33,160
Speaker 2: the spread without Andrew Thomas last year. I just think

558
00:29:33,240 --> 00:29:35,800
Speaker 2: this is the kind of matchup that Philly dominates in.

559
00:29:36,280 --> 00:29:36,560
Speaker 2: I need.

560
00:29:37,560 --> 00:29:40,040
Speaker 3: That's why I will say that. But I lean the

561
00:29:40,040 --> 00:29:45,400
Speaker 3: other way, all right. For my third pick and the

562
00:29:45,520 --> 00:29:49,280
Speaker 3: fifth overall of the Sunday six pack, I'm looking for

563
00:29:49,320 --> 00:29:51,000
Speaker 3: my my clown mask.

564
00:29:51,640 --> 00:29:53,480
Speaker 2: I'm going the Panthers are the Titans?

565
00:29:53,680 --> 00:29:57,680
Speaker 3: Last kidding, I'm going with the San Francisco forty nine

566
00:29:57,760 --> 00:29:59,960
Speaker 3: ers minus one and home against Kansasy Chiefs. Yeah something

567
00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:03,800
Speaker 3: aid Patrick Mahomes as an underdog. What is he twelve

568
00:30:03,800 --> 00:30:06,760
Speaker 3: and three against the spread as a dog in his career.

569
00:30:07,440 --> 00:30:09,720
Speaker 3: First of all, I have San Frian power is number

570
00:30:09,760 --> 00:30:13,840
Speaker 3: one team in the NFL, and this is a spread

571
00:30:13,880 --> 00:30:17,640
Speaker 3: that's below where it was in the Super Bowl, and

572
00:30:17,680 --> 00:30:21,320
Speaker 3: it's in San Francisco, and I think Kansas City is

573
00:30:22,640 --> 00:30:24,760
Speaker 3: much worse. I mean, I shouldn't say much worse, but

574
00:30:25,160 --> 00:30:28,400
Speaker 3: they have many more deficiencies than that team we saw

575
00:30:28,400 --> 00:30:31,000
Speaker 3: win the Super Bowl. Number one. I mean, Travis Kelsey's

576
00:30:31,040 --> 00:30:32,800
Speaker 3: not the same player was. He could probably get there

577
00:30:32,840 --> 00:30:34,800
Speaker 3: by the end of the season and flip his switch,

578
00:30:34,840 --> 00:30:38,080
Speaker 3: but he's he's just traveling around the world with Taylor Swift.

579
00:30:38,120 --> 00:30:41,200
Speaker 3: He's not in game shape. He does no burst. You

580
00:30:41,320 --> 00:30:43,320
Speaker 3: don't have her she Rice, you don't have a checko.

581
00:30:43,880 --> 00:30:47,120
Speaker 3: The defense, I think is more vulnerable in the back

582
00:30:47,200 --> 00:30:52,360
Speaker 3: end without sneed. So this team is I think, much

583
00:30:52,400 --> 00:30:55,960
Speaker 3: worse than San fran Is compared to the rosters that

584
00:30:56,040 --> 00:30:57,760
Speaker 3: we saw. And you're getting a better price, and you're

585
00:30:57,760 --> 00:31:00,400
Speaker 3: getting San Francisco at home as the more desk team

586
00:31:00,560 --> 00:31:03,520
Speaker 3: with Super Bowl revenge in the game they lost in overtime.

587
00:31:04,240 --> 00:31:06,560
Speaker 3: And you look at these you could say, are the

588
00:31:06,600 --> 00:31:10,200
Speaker 3: Chiefs are five to zero? They could easily you changed

589
00:31:10,520 --> 00:31:14,600
Speaker 3: three plays. They're two and three a toe. It wasn't

590
00:31:14,640 --> 00:31:16,480
Speaker 3: guaranteed that the Ravens win that game, but a tow

591
00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:19,800
Speaker 3: the pass interference.

592
00:31:19,400 --> 00:31:21,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, ands on the Bengals.

593
00:31:21,360 --> 00:31:23,320
Speaker 3: Game on a fourth and long. There was also a

594
00:31:23,360 --> 00:31:26,160
Speaker 3: defensive score that they got late in that game and

595
00:31:28,160 --> 00:31:32,080
Speaker 3: pick multiple fourth downs or the bogus non called pass

596
00:31:32,120 --> 00:31:35,080
Speaker 3: interference in the end zone against Atlanta. They lose that game,

597
00:31:35,400 --> 00:31:38,520
Speaker 3: and the team's sitting at two and three in San Francisco.

598
00:31:38,560 --> 00:31:41,880
Speaker 3: On the other hand, they're three and three. They have

599
00:31:41,920 --> 00:31:44,040
Speaker 3: three double digit wins, and the Chiefs four of their

600
00:31:44,040 --> 00:31:47,680
Speaker 3: five wins have come by one possession. They're one win

601
00:31:47,720 --> 00:31:49,800
Speaker 3: against New Orleans. I was like, on their offense looked

602
00:31:49,800 --> 00:31:52,760
Speaker 3: a little better. Well look what happened last week to

603
00:31:52,800 --> 00:31:55,280
Speaker 3: that New Orleans day they gave a fifty plus to

604
00:31:55,320 --> 00:31:58,720
Speaker 3: Baker Mayfield. Doesn't look as good. And it wasn't like

605
00:31:58,720 --> 00:32:00,640
Speaker 3: the Chiefs were lighting the world on five in that game.

606
00:32:01,840 --> 00:32:04,600
Speaker 3: And if San Francisco has three double digit wins, and

607
00:32:05,120 --> 00:32:06,920
Speaker 3: you know they lost to the undefeated Vikings and two

608
00:32:07,000 --> 00:32:11,080
Speaker 3: games that were just improbable losses up double digits late

609
00:32:11,120 --> 00:32:13,800
Speaker 3: against the Rams, throw't have a kicker. See you blow

610
00:32:13,800 --> 00:32:17,160
Speaker 3: a double digit le late to the Cardinals. So uh,

611
00:32:17,240 --> 00:32:20,200
Speaker 3: they easily or should be in my opinion, they should

612
00:32:20,200 --> 00:32:22,920
Speaker 3: be five and one. I think the Chiefs like the

613
00:32:23,040 --> 00:32:25,320
Speaker 3: play out their schedule. They're probably four and two, like

614
00:32:25,320 --> 00:32:29,000
Speaker 3: they're gonna win more one possession games than not. So yeah,

615
00:32:29,000 --> 00:32:32,840
Speaker 3: I just I trust the San Francisco passing attack more.

616
00:32:33,240 --> 00:32:35,640
Speaker 3: They have running back injuries, I don't really think it.

617
00:32:36,400 --> 00:32:38,560
Speaker 3: We've seen it doesn't really matter who's in there running back.

618
00:32:38,560 --> 00:32:41,840
Speaker 3: I'm not sure if Mason's gonna play. But uh, the

619
00:32:42,000 --> 00:32:46,800
Speaker 3: Chiefs pass defense I think has not yet been full.

620
00:32:46,840 --> 00:32:49,720
Speaker 3: We saw Barrow carved them up all day and you

621
00:32:49,760 --> 00:32:53,200
Speaker 3: know Lamar had success. And since then, if you look,

622
00:32:53,240 --> 00:32:55,080
Speaker 3: I mean even Kirk Cousins need to moving the ball

623
00:32:55,440 --> 00:32:59,719
Speaker 3: with no with he lost two of his starting offensive

624
00:32:59,720 --> 00:33:02,520
Speaker 3: linemen mid game. How many times we saw them play

625
00:33:02,560 --> 00:33:07,480
Speaker 3: the Chargers without their offensive lineman and then who else

626
00:33:07,640 --> 00:33:11,360
Speaker 3: the Saints without some of their offensive linemen. So their

627
00:33:11,400 --> 00:33:13,640
Speaker 3: defensive metrics I think are a bit inflated, especially against

628
00:33:13,640 --> 00:33:16,480
Speaker 3: the run, because they keep playing teams that are missing

629
00:33:16,880 --> 00:33:19,600
Speaker 3: offensive linemen, which won't be the case here. So I

630
00:33:19,600 --> 00:33:21,960
Speaker 3: still think that they're much more vulnerable against the run

631
00:33:21,960 --> 00:33:26,280
Speaker 3: than their metrics may indicate. But more importantly, Rock Purdy,

632
00:33:26,280 --> 00:33:31,440
Speaker 3: who's playing at an extremely high level right now, has

633
00:33:31,480 --> 00:33:33,680
Speaker 3: all his weapons on the outside healthy, I think he

634
00:33:33,760 --> 00:33:37,800
Speaker 3: can attack this chief secondary, which is a much more

635
00:33:37,800 --> 00:33:41,080
Speaker 3: attackable unit than we saw in the Super Bowl last year.

636
00:33:41,520 --> 00:33:44,080
Speaker 3: I know Andy Reid's coming off of a bye San

637
00:33:44,080 --> 00:33:47,040
Speaker 3: Francisco also coming off of the mini by here, I

638
00:33:47,040 --> 00:33:50,280
Speaker 3: think San Francisco gets their revenge at home. As the

639
00:33:50,320 --> 00:33:54,720
Speaker 3: more desperate team. Sitting at three and three, this Chiefs

640
00:33:54,720 --> 00:33:58,120
Speaker 3: offense has been getting away with it so far. I

641
00:33:58,160 --> 00:34:01,760
Speaker 3: don't think the defense can fully keep San Francisco in check.

642
00:34:02,560 --> 00:34:06,120
Speaker 3: And I don't think that this current version, when you

643
00:34:06,320 --> 00:34:09,840
Speaker 3: account for all the injuries, still issues at the tackle positions,

644
00:34:10,239 --> 00:34:15,280
Speaker 3: I don't think that they're you know's just no explosiveness

645
00:34:15,280 --> 00:34:18,120
Speaker 3: at all. I don't think that they can keep up

646
00:34:18,560 --> 00:34:21,239
Speaker 3: with San Francisco. Here. You have a home, I mean,

647
00:34:21,239 --> 00:34:23,200
Speaker 3: the spreads one. You're gonna have it. You're gonna have

648
00:34:23,280 --> 00:34:24,960
Speaker 3: a chance to win this game, and maybe the special

649
00:34:25,000 --> 00:34:28,319
Speaker 3: teams go awry. Chiefs have an advantage there, but I'm

650
00:34:28,320 --> 00:34:30,560
Speaker 3: gonna I have this spot circle for San Francisco. The

651
00:34:30,600 --> 00:34:34,000
Speaker 3: way that these teams have started has made it even

652
00:34:34,520 --> 00:34:36,719
Speaker 3: juice here for me, So I like the forty nine

653
00:34:36,760 --> 00:34:38,320
Speaker 3: ers at home. Curiously of your thoughts.

654
00:34:38,040 --> 00:34:41,080
Speaker 2: Here, the niners of a right sign. This kind of

655
00:34:41,080 --> 00:34:44,040
Speaker 2: falls into the same category as what we talked about

656
00:34:44,080 --> 00:34:47,160
Speaker 2: with Dallas and Detroit last week. It's like I thought

657
00:34:47,200 --> 00:34:51,120
Speaker 2: the power power rating wise, projection wise, like it it

658
00:34:51,160 --> 00:34:54,400
Speaker 2: was Dallas, I think it's San Francisco here. I just

659
00:34:54,440 --> 00:34:57,279
Speaker 2: don't bet against Mahone is a dog off principle. Uh,

660
00:34:57,600 --> 00:35:00,359
Speaker 2: you know you have the cajonas. I applaud you for that.

661
00:35:00,480 --> 00:35:04,959
Speaker 2: I think I think that, like you really just hope

662
00:35:05,000 --> 00:35:06,879
Speaker 2: the referees don't get in the way in this one too,

663
00:35:06,920 --> 00:35:09,040
Speaker 2: because San Francisco is the better team. I mean, San

664
00:35:09,040 --> 00:35:14,120
Speaker 2: Francisco is their offense is healthier team, right yeah, And

665
00:35:14,520 --> 00:35:17,120
Speaker 2: I mean just look at their pass offense party second

666
00:35:17,120 --> 00:35:18,759
Speaker 2: in the league and yards an attempt at eight point

667
00:35:18,840 --> 00:35:22,239
Speaker 2: eight Mahomes he's throwing underneath and short. I mean they

668
00:35:22,280 --> 00:35:25,240
Speaker 2: got one hundred and thirty yards from Juju last game.

669
00:35:25,320 --> 00:35:27,759
Speaker 2: Like that's not gonna repeat ye averages one point six

670
00:35:27,880 --> 00:35:31,080
Speaker 2: yards are route. He had twenty nine routes in that game.

671
00:35:31,360 --> 00:35:34,360
Speaker 2: One point six yards are rout His expectation is forty

672
00:35:34,360 --> 00:35:36,560
Speaker 2: seven yards. You got a Buck thirty like that's you

673
00:35:36,600 --> 00:35:38,479
Speaker 2: know that that should have probably told us more about

674
00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:40,920
Speaker 2: the Saints defense, and they're like they were on the

675
00:35:41,000 --> 00:35:43,840
Speaker 2: verge of unraveling against the Bucks than anything.

676
00:35:43,920 --> 00:35:48,640
Speaker 3: So yeah, last year in the playoffs, like he's no burst,

677
00:35:48,800 --> 00:35:53,240
Speaker 3: no separation. We'll get his catches, but he's not playoff

678
00:35:53,280 --> 00:35:57,040
Speaker 3: Kelsey right now, Yeah, I think San Feran is clearly

679
00:35:57,040 --> 00:36:01,280
Speaker 3: the better team right now, and they're at home. If

680
00:36:01,320 --> 00:36:02,839
Speaker 3: I was setting this mark, I mean after the whole

681
00:36:02,840 --> 00:36:05,240
Speaker 3: world would bet the Chiefs, but I would. I would.

682
00:36:05,440 --> 00:36:08,359
Speaker 2: That's the tough. Yeah, it's it's it's more. It's a three,

683
00:36:08,400 --> 00:36:10,800
Speaker 2: it's a two and a half three. It's definitely the

684
00:36:11,080 --> 00:36:12,480
Speaker 2: chief There's no way you could say the Chiefs are

685
00:36:12,480 --> 00:36:15,399
Speaker 2: better than they were in the Super Bowl, especially without rasheet. Right,

686
00:36:15,480 --> 00:36:17,200
Speaker 2: I don't care how many yards did you put up.

687
00:36:17,440 --> 00:36:20,719
Speaker 2: The run defense is number two. That doesn't, like you said,

688
00:36:20,760 --> 00:36:23,320
Speaker 2: that doesn't seem like accurate, Like that doesn't seem like

689
00:36:23,360 --> 00:36:26,200
Speaker 2: something that's gonna hold up long term. The past defense

690
00:36:26,239 --> 00:36:28,239
Speaker 2: isn't as good as though neither a Sneed, so maybe

691
00:36:28,280 --> 00:36:30,480
Speaker 2: they dodged a bullet there. The Sneed has I think

692
00:36:30,560 --> 00:36:33,399
Speaker 2: been graating out as the worst corner in football. Uh so,

693
00:36:34,040 --> 00:36:36,560
Speaker 2: but yeah, I the Niners are the better.

694
00:36:38,600 --> 00:36:40,520
Speaker 3: Because of the offensive line injuries that they.

695
00:36:40,440 --> 00:36:42,560
Speaker 2: Fig Now you do have, you do have the Chiefs

696
00:36:42,560 --> 00:36:45,400
Speaker 2: off of Buye and that helps and whatnot. And you

697
00:36:45,480 --> 00:36:48,000
Speaker 2: probably have the Rests on the chief side which helps.

698
00:36:48,080 --> 00:36:50,759
Speaker 2: But uh yeah, I just I just don't. I'm just

699
00:36:50,760 --> 00:36:52,440
Speaker 2: not doing it. I think Mahomes is won in eight

700
00:36:52,440 --> 00:36:54,759
Speaker 2: eleven and one regular season against the spread as a dog.

701
00:36:54,960 --> 00:36:58,000
Speaker 2: It's just not a bet I want to make. But uh,

702
00:36:58,200 --> 00:36:59,880
Speaker 2: the Niners are the right side, like the Niners.

703
00:37:00,600 --> 00:37:03,200
Speaker 3: I mean it is one. I mean, so like if

704
00:37:04,000 --> 00:37:05,759
Speaker 3: maybe I'll have a better chance by finally get I

705
00:37:05,880 --> 00:37:07,520
Speaker 3: I get a bad number for once and this flip,

706
00:37:07,560 --> 00:37:09,879
Speaker 3: if it flips the Chiefs finus one, Yeah, then.

707
00:37:09,760 --> 00:37:10,319
Speaker 2: I'm gonna win.

708
00:37:10,560 --> 00:37:17,200
Speaker 3: Yeah so maybe yeah, yeah, I mean eventually, the Chiefs

709
00:37:17,200 --> 00:37:18,200
Speaker 3: aren't going to get every call.

710
00:37:20,040 --> 00:37:22,400
Speaker 2: For my third and final pick and the sixth overall

711
00:37:22,440 --> 00:37:24,719
Speaker 2: of the Week seven six pack, the Detroit Lions plus

712
00:37:24,800 --> 00:37:28,320
Speaker 2: two and a half against the Minnesota Vikings. The undefeated

713
00:37:28,360 --> 00:37:30,400
Speaker 2: Minnesota Vikings. I don't think we'll get a three. I

714
00:37:30,400 --> 00:37:32,960
Speaker 2: haven't bet it yet, but I don't think we'll get

715
00:37:32,960 --> 00:37:42,440
Speaker 2: a three. Hello Detroit. You one, it doesn't make me

716
00:37:42,480 --> 00:37:44,760
Speaker 2: feel good because the public is on the Lions side.

717
00:37:44,840 --> 00:37:47,200
Speaker 2: But at the same time, this team is just a

718
00:37:47,239 --> 00:37:51,320
Speaker 2: cover machine. They are thirty nine and seventeen under Dan Campbell,

719
00:37:51,360 --> 00:37:55,480
Speaker 2: seventy percent against the spread, twenty two sixty as an underdog,

720
00:37:55,640 --> 00:38:01,080
Speaker 2: eight and one last nine as an underdog, and the

721
00:38:01,160 --> 00:38:05,320
Speaker 2: Vikids are five and zero against the spread. Those teams

722
00:38:05,320 --> 00:38:08,680
Speaker 2: at home are forty and fifty two forty four percent

723
00:38:08,960 --> 00:38:12,120
Speaker 2: over the last two decades. But really the tough thing

724
00:38:12,160 --> 00:38:16,120
Speaker 2: for Detroit is Aiden Hutchinson. That that's key. But you

725
00:38:16,120 --> 00:38:20,280
Speaker 2: look at these two teams. Detroit is fourth in offensive DVOA,

726
00:38:20,520 --> 00:38:25,440
Speaker 2: fourth in defense, eighth on special teams, Minnesota eighteenth on offense,

727
00:38:25,880 --> 00:38:28,880
Speaker 2: first on defense, ninth on special team. So the weakest

728
00:38:29,000 --> 00:38:32,280
Speaker 2: union in this game is still the Minnesota offense. Detroit

729
00:38:32,360 --> 00:38:35,480
Speaker 2: playing better than expected defensively, you know that they'll probably

730
00:38:35,480 --> 00:38:37,360
Speaker 2: come back down to earth a little bit without Hutchinson.

731
00:38:37,440 --> 00:38:44,120
Speaker 2: But I still trust golf indoors more than I trust Darnold,

732
00:38:44,520 --> 00:38:47,080
Speaker 2: even against this Brian Flora's defense, because the one thing

733
00:38:47,080 --> 00:38:50,200
Speaker 2: about this Brian Flora's defense is all year long, they've

734
00:38:50,200 --> 00:38:52,680
Speaker 2: been able to get pressured going up against this Lion

735
00:38:52,840 --> 00:38:55,839
Speaker 2: offensive line, which is arguably the best in football. That's

736
00:38:55,840 --> 00:38:58,200
Speaker 2: not gonna happen at nearly the same rate Minnesota's defense

737
00:38:58,280 --> 00:39:02,560
Speaker 2: when getting pressure absurd three point zero yards in attempt

738
00:39:03,200 --> 00:39:06,799
Speaker 2: minus point seventy to nine epa per dropback. That's just absurd.

739
00:39:07,000 --> 00:39:09,720
Speaker 2: Every time a team drops back when Minnesota gets pressure,

740
00:39:09,800 --> 00:39:11,920
Speaker 2: they're nearly they're giving up an eighth of a point. Like,

741
00:39:12,040 --> 00:39:13,520
Speaker 2: just do the math of that. If you get a

742
00:39:13,520 --> 00:39:17,240
Speaker 2: few pressures in the game. Well, when Minnesota doesn't get pressure,

743
00:39:17,400 --> 00:39:20,920
Speaker 2: seven point four yards in attempt and offenses are gaining

744
00:39:21,440 --> 00:39:25,879
Speaker 2: point oh nine epa per dropback, So completely different unit.

745
00:39:26,000 --> 00:39:28,879
Speaker 2: If if GoF isn't under pressure, I think Detroit will

746
00:39:28,920 --> 00:39:32,480
Speaker 2: be able to protect well enough here and Detroit still

747
00:39:32,560 --> 00:39:35,120
Speaker 2: leads the league in offensive early down success rate. It's

748
00:39:35,120 --> 00:39:38,080
Speaker 2: really unfortunate what happened to Aden Hutchinson. Uh So this

749
00:39:38,160 --> 00:39:40,960
Speaker 2: makes Detroit have to win in a shootout. But I

750
00:39:41,000 --> 00:39:44,920
Speaker 2: still trust Detroit and the shootout indoors over Sam Donald,

751
00:39:44,880 --> 00:39:48,440
Speaker 2: A K. Sam Bradford. So give me the Lions. And

752
00:39:48,880 --> 00:39:51,360
Speaker 2: everyone wants to talk about the script, you know, like

753
00:39:52,120 --> 00:39:55,400
Speaker 2: the NFL's fixed. Well, if the NFL is fixed, Detroit's

754
00:39:55,400 --> 00:39:58,160
Speaker 2: winning this game. I already mentioned that teams that are

755
00:39:58,160 --> 00:40:02,040
Speaker 2: five to zero against the spread cover at a marble rate. Also,

756
00:40:02,400 --> 00:40:06,879
Speaker 2: d NFL assigned Klay Martin Clay Martin to this game.

757
00:40:08,800 --> 00:40:14,360
Speaker 2: Underdogs in Clay Martin refereed games are sixty one percent

758
00:40:15,160 --> 00:40:19,239
Speaker 2: against the spread, fifty seven and thirty seven. Road underdogs

759
00:40:20,280 --> 00:40:26,160
Speaker 2: in Clay Martin refereed games are forty and seventeen. Road

760
00:40:26,280 --> 00:40:28,799
Speaker 2: underdogs are as good as the Detroit Lions have been

761
00:40:28,840 --> 00:40:33,400
Speaker 2: under Dan Campbell under Klay Martin. So, like the script says,

762
00:40:33,400 --> 00:40:36,560
Speaker 2: Detroit wins here and Minnesota is not undefeated when this

763
00:40:36,640 --> 00:40:39,480
Speaker 2: is all steaded, dad, So it's gonna be a shootout,

764
00:40:39,560 --> 00:40:43,120
Speaker 2: is gonna be a sweat hearing the Lions.

765
00:40:43,560 --> 00:40:50,000
Speaker 3: I I can't get there at three. I see, I

766
00:40:50,000 --> 00:40:53,560
Speaker 3: can see it. By the way he's mentioned refs O

767
00:40:54,320 --> 00:40:57,919
Speaker 3: that Bill's Jets game one of the worst officiating games

768
00:40:57,920 --> 00:40:58,399
Speaker 3: I've ever watched.

769
00:40:58,600 --> 00:41:00,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, don't don't even do you want.

770
00:41:00,520 --> 00:41:06,560
Speaker 3: To something like these procedural penalties. They you got some

771
00:41:06,600 --> 00:41:09,240
Speaker 3: of these roughing the passer calls. We gotta have a solution.

772
00:41:09,320 --> 00:41:14,560
Speaker 3: But anyway, the yeah, I mean, look, the Hutchinson lost

773
00:41:14,640 --> 00:41:17,400
Speaker 3: is major. He was such a critical part of everything

774
00:41:17,400 --> 00:41:19,440
Speaker 3: that they wanted to do because they want to play coverage,

775
00:41:19,600 --> 00:41:20,759
Speaker 3: you know, they want to play a lot of man

776
00:41:20,800 --> 00:41:23,360
Speaker 3: on the back end. They're relying on him getting pressure.

777
00:41:24,640 --> 00:41:28,120
Speaker 3: I mean, who's who's getting pressure off of them? Because

778
00:41:28,120 --> 00:41:32,440
Speaker 3: they already lost Davenport. It's a position that they didn't

779
00:41:32,480 --> 00:41:35,600
Speaker 3: have great depth at. So I mean that's why you

780
00:41:35,640 --> 00:41:37,400
Speaker 3: hear rumblings of like who are they going to go

781
00:41:37,440 --> 00:41:40,680
Speaker 3: out and get, you know, because you're down to to

782
00:41:40,719 --> 00:41:42,560
Speaker 3: who because you've have other injuries there. I mean, but

783
00:41:43,160 --> 00:41:45,440
Speaker 3: James Houston and Josh Pascal, No.

784
00:41:45,480 --> 00:41:47,160
Speaker 2: It's going to be a shootout. They're not getting they're

785
00:41:47,160 --> 00:41:49,680
Speaker 2: not getting pressure. But Donald's from a Queen pocket is

786
00:41:49,719 --> 00:41:52,560
Speaker 2: still no guarantee. Like that's that's kind of the issue

787
00:41:52,719 --> 00:41:54,680
Speaker 2: with him, and that's why we Minnesota is sitting here

788
00:41:54,719 --> 00:41:57,759
Speaker 2: eighteenth in offensive d v o A. You know, Donald's

789
00:41:57,800 --> 00:42:00,520
Speaker 2: just not a guarantee, even versus Queen Pocket. I'm just

790
00:42:00,520 --> 00:42:02,360
Speaker 2: betting on Detroit's offense indoors.

791
00:42:02,719 --> 00:42:06,440
Speaker 3: The Detroit offense is humming right now, but they played

792
00:42:07,400 --> 00:42:11,920
Speaker 3: a Seattle team without a number of starters, a decimated

793
00:42:12,000 --> 00:42:17,439
Speaker 3: Dallas defense, So is their offense somewhere in between there,

794
00:42:17,880 --> 00:42:21,040
Speaker 3: and this Minnesota defense has been historically good so far.

795
00:42:21,600 --> 00:42:24,719
Speaker 3: Flora's extra time to repair, and he turned golf into

796
00:42:24,719 --> 00:42:27,719
Speaker 3: a pumpkin. That would concern me the end. This is

797
00:42:27,840 --> 00:42:33,000
Speaker 3: purely on vibes. The Vikings just strike me as a

798
00:42:33,040 --> 00:42:35,480
Speaker 3: team that's gonna start like ten and zero and then

799
00:42:36,040 --> 00:42:40,160
Speaker 3: lose in the first round of the playoffs. Doesn't go

800
00:42:40,160 --> 00:42:41,879
Speaker 3: into any of my hand again. But if they win

801
00:42:41,960 --> 00:42:44,439
Speaker 3: this game, and their favor to do so, they've got

802
00:42:44,440 --> 00:42:49,040
Speaker 3: the Rams next, the Colts at home, the Jags, who

803
00:42:49,080 --> 00:42:51,400
Speaker 3: could be just in the tank by then, the Titans.

804
00:42:51,800 --> 00:42:53,800
Speaker 2: They might go undefeated if they win this game.

805
00:42:54,200 --> 00:42:57,160
Speaker 3: So they have the vibes. Maybe they're both, We're both right.

806
00:42:57,160 --> 00:42:59,200
Speaker 3: They win by one, all.

807
00:42:59,160 --> 00:43:01,800
Speaker 2: Right, that is gonna do it for this week seven

808
00:43:02,080 --> 00:43:06,520
Speaker 2: Sunday six pack, Stut, you have the Seahawks plus three,

809
00:43:06,560 --> 00:43:10,160
Speaker 2: Brown six and a half, Niners minus a point. I

810
00:43:10,200 --> 00:43:13,640
Speaker 2: have the Jets minus a point and a half, Eagles

811
00:43:13,719 --> 00:43:16,080
Speaker 2: minus three, and the Lions plus two and a half.

812
00:43:16,120 --> 00:43:20,960
Speaker 2: So let's see, that's Gino, Deshaun and Purdy Roers and

813
00:43:21,320 --> 00:43:24,080
Speaker 2: in goth Yeah, oh yeah, we got some quarterback this week.

814
00:43:24,200 --> 00:43:27,920
Speaker 2: That means we're going on six again. Ah yeah, alright,

815
00:43:28,239 --> 00:43:30,719
Speaker 2: that's our weak seven Sunday six pack. Now it's time

816
00:43:30,760 --> 00:43:33,080
Speaker 2: for the coaches pep talk. Every time we get ready

817
00:43:33,120 --> 00:43:34,520
Speaker 2: to play, I just want to throw up.

818
00:43:34,800 --> 00:43:35,200
Speaker 3: I'm sick.

819
00:43:35,239 --> 00:43:38,279
Speaker 2: I want you you guys play Just how bad can

820
00:43:38,320 --> 00:43:41,120
Speaker 2: it get? All right, it's time for the Week seven

821
00:43:41,200 --> 00:43:43,959
Speaker 2: coaches pep Talk. For this week's pep talk, we're gonna

822
00:43:43,960 --> 00:43:46,960
Speaker 2: go to Matt Damon in the nineteen ninety seven film

823
00:43:47,080 --> 00:43:50,400
Speaker 2: Goodwill Hunting, great film, and we're gonna dedicate this to

824
00:43:51,239 --> 00:43:56,239
Speaker 2: Mike Tomlin because if he gives us Russell Wilson, I mean,

825
00:43:57,040 --> 00:44:00,440
Speaker 2: thank you very much, sir, so give us some Russell Wilson, please,

826
00:44:00,520 --> 00:44:02,560
Speaker 2: Mike Tomwin, this is for you.

827
00:44:04,000 --> 00:44:07,120
Speaker 3: I dedicated dedicate the coaches pop talk this week to me,

828
00:44:07,360 --> 00:44:07,680
Speaker 3: so I need.

829
00:44:09,080 --> 00:44:11,440
Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, you know you dedicated to you, Stucky

830
00:44:11,520 --> 00:44:14,920
Speaker 2: because you didn't pick the Panthers, who are plus getting

831
00:44:14,920 --> 00:44:16,759
Speaker 2: eight eight and a half by the way, so I

832
00:44:16,800 --> 00:44:18,640
Speaker 2: know that was tough to lay off. And you didn't

833
00:44:18,640 --> 00:44:21,520
Speaker 2: pick the Titans are getting nine, which I know is

834
00:44:21,560 --> 00:44:23,480
Speaker 2: also tough to it. I think those are two biggest

835
00:44:23,520 --> 00:44:24,440
Speaker 2: hunderdogs the week.

836
00:44:24,280 --> 00:44:26,520
Speaker 3: So guaranteed they're both guaranteed to cover.

837
00:44:26,600 --> 00:44:30,920
Speaker 4: Now, most people never get to see how brilliant they

838
00:44:30,960 --> 00:44:34,680
Speaker 4: can be. They get convinced they're stupid. I hope you

839
00:44:34,719 --> 00:44:37,840
Speaker 4: appreciate what he's doing, because I've seen how much he

840
00:44:37,920 --> 00:44:40,640
Speaker 4: enjoys working with you, not against you.

841
00:44:41,680 --> 00:44:44,520
Speaker 3: A little appreciation. Look, maybe I don't want to spend

842
00:44:44,520 --> 00:44:46,840
Speaker 3: the rest of my fucking life sitting around explaining.

843
00:44:46,440 --> 00:44:46,880
Speaker 4: Shit to me.

844
00:44:47,480 --> 00:44:49,080
Speaker 3: Do you know how easy this is for me? Do

845
00:44:49,160 --> 00:44:50,920
Speaker 3: you have any fucking idea how easy this? This is

846
00:44:50,920 --> 00:44:53,880
Speaker 3: a fucking joke. And I'm sorry you can't do this.

847
00:44:53,920 --> 00:44:55,680
Speaker 3: I really am, because I wouldn't have to fucking sit

848
00:44:55,800 --> 00:44:57,920
Speaker 3: here and watch you fumble around and fuck it up.

849
00:44:59,239 --> 00:45:02,440
Speaker 3: You're right, this is probably a total waste.

850
00:45:02,239 --> 00:45:06,640
Speaker 2: Of my time. Best of what he stuck? All right?

851
00:45:06,760 --> 00:45:11,359
Speaker 2: Favorite total of zee? Who am I going with?

852
00:45:11,480 --> 00:45:11,600
Speaker 4: Oh?

853
00:45:11,719 --> 00:45:14,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is yeah? This is the Browns Bengals under

854
00:45:14,640 --> 00:45:16,879
Speaker 2: forty two For me? Uh, Cleveland's he had to score

855
00:45:16,920 --> 00:45:18,799
Speaker 2: twenty in a game. Cleveland's he had to gain three

856
00:45:18,840 --> 00:45:22,200
Speaker 2: hundred yards on offense in a game. Cleveland just traded

857
00:45:22,200 --> 00:45:25,000
Speaker 2: his number one receiver, So that's not gonna help. If

858
00:45:25,000 --> 00:45:28,080
Speaker 2: Cleveland does have success on offense, probably gonna come on

859
00:45:28,120 --> 00:45:30,960
Speaker 2: the ground. Via Nick Chubb here's not one hundred percent,

860
00:45:31,160 --> 00:45:33,080
Speaker 2: but to go. He's probably gonna come back, but he's

861
00:45:33,080 --> 00:45:36,000
Speaker 2: not one hundred percent. Uh, And that's gonna run clock.

862
00:45:36,719 --> 00:45:39,480
Speaker 2: And then on the other side of the ball, you

863
00:45:39,560 --> 00:45:41,880
Speaker 2: already talked about his stug. Joe Burrow tends to struggle

864
00:45:41,880 --> 00:45:46,040
Speaker 2: against this Cleveland defense. It just still good. And look

865
00:45:46,040 --> 00:45:48,760
Speaker 2: at the last two games in particular against this Cleveland defense.

866
00:45:48,840 --> 00:45:51,480
Speaker 2: Joe Burrow Week A twenty twenty two six point six

867
00:45:51,600 --> 00:45:55,279
Speaker 2: yards in attempt, five sacks taken, thirteen point scored for

868
00:45:55,320 --> 00:45:57,719
Speaker 2: the Bengal offense. Uh. And then Week one of twenty

869
00:45:57,719 --> 00:46:00,600
Speaker 2: twenty three, which got it. Take with a grain of

870
00:46:00,640 --> 00:46:03,640
Speaker 2: salt because Bengals seem to always stink in the first

871
00:46:03,719 --> 00:46:06,840
Speaker 2: couple weeks of the season. But nevertheless, we go on

872
00:46:06,880 --> 00:46:11,480
Speaker 2: to twenty twenty three against Cleveland in Cleveland, Burrow fourteen

873
00:46:11,480 --> 00:46:16,480
Speaker 2: of thirty one for eighty two yards three points. So

874
00:46:16,640 --> 00:46:19,360
Speaker 2: Cleveland can't get to twenty. Burrow had a crack thirteen

875
00:46:19,400 --> 00:46:24,560
Speaker 2: in Cleveland in three years under forty two. That's I'll

876
00:46:24,600 --> 00:46:25,640
Speaker 2: keep it short. Where are you going?

877
00:46:26,280 --> 00:46:29,279
Speaker 3: Yeah, it should be a slow paced game two, and

878
00:46:30,160 --> 00:46:32,840
Speaker 3: you know Cleveland wants to go to this more heavy

879
00:46:33,600 --> 00:46:37,319
Speaker 3: run offense and the Sincy defense is healthier now. And

880
00:46:37,360 --> 00:46:39,640
Speaker 3: you saw them respond they had like they got called out.

881
00:46:39,680 --> 00:46:41,239
Speaker 3: They got help through long the defensive line, so they'll

882
00:46:41,239 --> 00:46:47,719
Speaker 3: provide more resistance. I think the brown ceiling seventeen points,

883
00:46:48,560 --> 00:46:52,200
Speaker 3: so I liked them. The cover so more realistic, is

884
00:46:52,200 --> 00:46:57,400
Speaker 3: probably like thirteen to fourteen. So yeah, I think that

885
00:46:57,920 --> 00:47:00,840
Speaker 3: they can hold this. Since you offense and check, this

886
00:47:00,880 --> 00:47:04,160
Speaker 3: would have been mine too. You went first in the total.

887
00:47:04,400 --> 00:47:06,080
Speaker 3: I'm going to go to another division under. I'm gonna

888
00:47:06,080 --> 00:47:13,720
Speaker 3: go Giants Eagles under forty three and a half. I

889
00:47:13,719 --> 00:47:16,839
Speaker 3: I'll just talk about both both left tackles are out, yep,

890
00:47:18,120 --> 00:47:20,920
Speaker 3: what's that going to lead to pressure? Both quarterbacks struggle

891
00:47:21,040 --> 00:47:27,080
Speaker 3: with pressure. Giants very slow, methodical team. Eagles do want

892
00:47:27,120 --> 00:47:29,719
Speaker 3: to play with a bit more pace. But I think

893
00:47:29,719 --> 00:47:34,160
Speaker 3: that this Giants defensive line can keep Hurts and this

894
00:47:34,320 --> 00:47:40,840
Speaker 3: Eagles offense in check. So give me the Giants Eagles

895
00:47:41,080 --> 00:47:47,399
Speaker 3: outdoor divisional game under kind of on brand for us here. Yeah,

896
00:47:47,680 --> 00:47:48,680
Speaker 3: to go two of them.

897
00:47:48,960 --> 00:47:51,759
Speaker 2: This would have been mine if if you hadn't like no, no,

898
00:47:52,239 --> 00:47:53,960
Speaker 2: I was. The Bengals were my first chocks, But this

899
00:47:53,960 --> 00:47:55,759
Speaker 2: would have been mine if you took if I was

900
00:47:55,800 --> 00:47:58,880
Speaker 2: second and you had taken that Bengals first. Because I

901
00:47:58,920 --> 00:48:01,720
Speaker 2: always talk about this, this Giant offense and Daniel Jones

902
00:48:01,840 --> 00:48:04,080
Speaker 2: just at home. I don't know if it's just they

903
00:48:04,080 --> 00:48:05,839
Speaker 2: play a lot more outdoor games at home or what.

904
00:48:05,880 --> 00:48:08,880
Speaker 2: But uh I mentioned he struggled against the spread at

905
00:48:08,880 --> 00:48:12,400
Speaker 2: home well to the under twenty three and nine seventy

906
00:48:12,400 --> 00:48:16,040
Speaker 2: two with one push career three and zero this season.

907
00:48:16,200 --> 00:48:19,640
Speaker 2: So Giant unders and faye Daniel Jones at home, it's

908
00:48:19,719 --> 00:48:22,960
Speaker 2: kind of how it goes, all right. Uh So that's Giants,

909
00:48:23,000 --> 00:48:27,919
Speaker 2: Eagles under forty three, Bengals, Browns under forty two. Those

910
00:48:27,920 --> 00:48:31,359
Speaker 2: are our totals. Down's time for our favorite teas of

911
00:48:31,400 --> 00:48:31,800
Speaker 2: the week.

912
00:48:33,320 --> 00:48:36,920
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, six point teasers.

913
00:48:37,960 --> 00:48:49,040
Speaker 2: Don't don't tease, don't tease me to please? All right, Well,

914
00:48:49,160 --> 00:48:50,839
Speaker 2: I finally got a tease on the board. It only

915
00:48:50,840 --> 00:48:54,600
Speaker 2: took six weeks last week, I think, so now it's

916
00:48:54,600 --> 00:48:58,640
Speaker 2: one to one. We even struggled long. Teases have not

917
00:48:58,680 --> 00:49:03,640
Speaker 2: been hitting this year. It's been crazy weird first six weeks. Yeah.

918
00:49:04,120 --> 00:49:06,560
Speaker 2: So yeah, then of course those are when you tease

919
00:49:06,880 --> 00:49:09,520
Speaker 2: through the three and the seven. That being said, where

920
00:49:09,520 --> 00:49:10,600
Speaker 2: you going for week seven?

921
00:49:12,920 --> 00:49:15,439
Speaker 3: For my t I'm gonna go with the Rams, tease

922
00:49:15,520 --> 00:49:18,840
Speaker 3: them down off a by at home against this garbage

923
00:49:18,880 --> 00:49:24,400
Speaker 3: Raiders team has injuries and just isn't very good. And

924
00:49:25,360 --> 00:49:31,160
Speaker 3: the Texans, I'll tease them up through seven through three

925
00:49:31,200 --> 00:49:34,600
Speaker 3: and seven at Kareem Bay somewhere.

926
00:49:34,600 --> 00:49:36,920
Speaker 2: There are threes at some spots, but yeah, yeah, two

927
00:49:36,960 --> 00:49:37,520
Speaker 2: and a half.

928
00:49:38,120 --> 00:49:43,480
Speaker 3: Should be competitive game here. Lots of explosive plays I think,

929
00:49:43,520 --> 00:49:47,719
Speaker 3: on both sides of the ball, and should be really

930
00:49:47,800 --> 00:49:50,400
Speaker 3: entertaining if needed, Like the back door would be wide

931
00:49:50,400 --> 00:49:53,799
Speaker 3: open here for Stroud to get. Kareem Bay tends to

932
00:49:53,800 --> 00:49:56,040
Speaker 3: get conservative with bigger leads, but I don't think they're

933
00:49:56,040 --> 00:49:57,279
Speaker 3: gonna be bigger leader. I think this is a back

934
00:49:57,320 --> 00:50:00,400
Speaker 3: and forth type of game, so it can be Houston

935
00:50:01,440 --> 00:50:03,799
Speaker 3: and l A.

936
00:50:04,560 --> 00:50:07,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll take Houston as well. You know, talk about Stroud,

937
00:50:07,160 --> 00:50:11,920
Speaker 2: he's five and two, is a dog below five hundred,

938
00:50:11,920 --> 00:50:15,839
Speaker 2: is a favorite against the spread. Uh yeah, I don't

939
00:50:15,840 --> 00:50:18,400
Speaker 2: see Greenway pulling away here. Jayden Reive is on the

940
00:50:18,400 --> 00:50:21,200
Speaker 2: injury report, as was Wis. Wis did practice as well,

941
00:50:21,360 --> 00:50:24,200
Speaker 2: so maybe he's gonna be back sooner than than thought.

942
00:50:24,320 --> 00:50:26,719
Speaker 2: But Houston still number two one in defense and dv

943
00:50:26,800 --> 00:50:29,799
Speaker 2: O a they haven't played well, they're often quite right.

944
00:50:29,960 --> 00:50:35,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, the injuries, Houston's defense reward, Yeah, it didn't matter

945
00:50:36,040 --> 00:50:38,839
Speaker 3: last week, linebacker linebacker two this week.

946
00:50:38,960 --> 00:50:41,399
Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, yeah, so it couldn't it couldn't get ugly.

947
00:50:41,440 --> 00:50:44,640
Speaker 2: But like I said, even without an Eco, uh, Tank

948
00:50:44,719 --> 00:50:47,160
Speaker 2: Dell did come alive. And that run that that offense

949
00:50:47,239 --> 00:50:51,000
Speaker 2: just looks a lot better with Yeah, yeah, that that

950
00:50:51,200 --> 00:50:53,160
Speaker 2: just adds an element. So I don't think you Ston

951
00:50:53,200 --> 00:50:55,319
Speaker 2: gets completely blown out here. I mean, they're a lot dog.

952
00:50:55,320 --> 00:50:56,960
Speaker 2: They could they could win this game. Love has been

953
00:50:57,040 --> 00:50:59,840
Speaker 2: little up and down this year, and I'll go Seattle,

954
00:51:00,400 --> 00:51:03,120
Speaker 2: so tease both of them up to uh, we'll call

955
00:51:03,160 --> 00:51:06,759
Speaker 2: it plus nine since there are threes available in the

956
00:51:06,800 --> 00:51:09,240
Speaker 2: market on both of those squads. But yeah, I agree.

957
00:51:09,280 --> 00:51:11,120
Speaker 2: I don't think Atlanta's as seen and it's gonna blow

958
00:51:11,440 --> 00:51:14,480
Speaker 2: blow the doors off any like non Carolina type of

959
00:51:14,640 --> 00:51:19,640
Speaker 2: outfit here, So Seattle extra time to prepare. They they're

960
00:51:19,680 --> 00:51:21,400
Speaker 2: a live dog, and I don't see the moves and

961
00:51:21,440 --> 00:51:23,960
Speaker 2: buy buy more than a possession if they do go

962
00:51:24,040 --> 00:51:26,840
Speaker 2: down to Atlanta. So I'll go with Houston and Seattle.

963
00:51:27,040 --> 00:51:32,600
Speaker 2: You got Houston and the Rams down to one, down

964
00:51:32,600 --> 00:51:34,160
Speaker 2: to a half. I think they're six and a half

965
00:51:34,200 --> 00:51:37,799
Speaker 2: in a couple of spots. Yep. All right, let's go

966
00:51:37,960 --> 00:51:41,920
Speaker 2: to our underdog money line parway.

967
00:51:43,000 --> 00:51:47,920
Speaker 1: Turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for the

968
00:51:48,080 --> 00:51:49,960
Speaker 1: money line parlay.

969
00:51:50,560 --> 00:51:53,239
Speaker 2: Two and four for each of us this year on

970
00:51:53,360 --> 00:51:55,480
Speaker 2: the dogs themselves. That we did hit a big one.

971
00:51:55,800 --> 00:51:58,239
Speaker 2: I think like a ten to one a couple weeks ago,

972
00:51:58,239 --> 00:52:00,799
Speaker 2: a few weeks ago. Where you going for Week seven?

973
00:52:01,520 --> 00:52:03,920
Speaker 3: I'm going with a I'm talking with this, already talked

974
00:52:03,920 --> 00:52:08,200
Speaker 3: about it earlier. I think they win this game. It's good, spot, healthier, rested.

975
00:52:09,400 --> 00:52:13,320
Speaker 2: I'll go with the Miami Dolphins off of bye, and

976
00:52:13,520 --> 00:52:15,719
Speaker 2: it looks like we're getting Anthony Richardson. That's really the

977
00:52:16,200 --> 00:52:19,680
Speaker 2: handicap here. I'm not expecting much from Miami.

978
00:52:19,760 --> 00:52:22,359
Speaker 3: They sure I would bet that. I would have bet that.

979
00:52:22,400 --> 00:52:26,520
Speaker 3: I bet the Dolphins. Still, it's Anthony Richardson last week.

980
00:52:26,520 --> 00:52:27,080
Speaker 3: I'm believing that.

981
00:52:27,239 --> 00:52:29,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, yeah, I mean, hey, don't get better now,

982
00:52:29,680 --> 00:52:33,360
Speaker 2: that's kidding up. I mean he practiced in full this weekue,

983
00:52:33,440 --> 00:52:34,720
Speaker 2: so I don't think he did.

984
00:52:34,600 --> 00:52:35,440
Speaker 3: On the last Friday.

985
00:52:35,480 --> 00:52:38,719
Speaker 2: Too true, But I mean it's Wednesday's practicing, so I

986
00:52:38,719 --> 00:52:41,839
Speaker 2: don't think they're going to do that to the media. Yeah,

987
00:52:41,960 --> 00:52:43,399
Speaker 2: Like I don't think they're gonna do that to him,

988
00:52:43,520 --> 00:52:47,520
Speaker 2: just media eas They should, they should, they should, they should, absolutely,

989
00:52:47,600 --> 00:52:50,040
Speaker 2: but they're they're they're probably not so even if I

990
00:52:50,080 --> 00:52:51,879
Speaker 2: because you know, he might might go out the game

991
00:52:51,920 --> 00:52:54,279
Speaker 2: early anyway, so I might still not get a full

992
00:52:54,360 --> 00:52:58,239
Speaker 2: four of Anthony. But Anthony Richardson going against Huntley is

993
00:52:58,320 --> 00:53:00,359
Speaker 2: a little bit of an equalize the here, especially since

994
00:53:00,400 --> 00:53:02,759
Speaker 2: this coach defense is not great and now you're gonna

995
00:53:02,760 --> 00:53:04,960
Speaker 2: get all this Miami speed on the indoor track. I

996
00:53:04,960 --> 00:53:07,879
Speaker 2: don't hate this matchup for Miami, and they're they're over

997
00:53:07,920 --> 00:53:09,839
Speaker 2: a field goal in the market and they're catching plus

998
00:53:09,880 --> 00:53:13,000
Speaker 2: one forty two on the money line. So don't really

999
00:53:13,000 --> 00:53:16,000
Speaker 2: feel confident betting Miami anymore because he just I mean,

1000
00:53:16,000 --> 00:53:18,920
Speaker 2: it's been it's been terrible. But this is absolutely a

1001
00:53:18,920 --> 00:53:21,359
Speaker 2: game with the variants and the Anthony Richardson that they could,

1002
00:53:21,760 --> 00:53:24,759
Speaker 2: it's a winnable game for Miami. So plus one forty

1003
00:53:24,760 --> 00:53:27,000
Speaker 2: two for them, plus one thirty for the Seahawks parlaym

1004
00:53:27,080 --> 00:53:31,560
Speaker 2: together plus four fifty seven. Now it's time for best

1005
00:53:31,560 --> 00:53:33,200
Speaker 2: of the rest, which are the games we did not

1006
00:53:33,239 --> 00:53:36,440
Speaker 2: discuss in any other segment that's gonna be a touchdown.

1007
00:53:36,480 --> 00:53:38,120
Speaker 2: But that made me meaningful to some of.

1008
00:53:38,080 --> 00:53:40,359
Speaker 3: You, So you know what I mean.

1009
00:53:41,280 --> 00:53:44,920
Speaker 2: Start off with the London spot Jag second straight in London,

1010
00:53:45,000 --> 00:53:47,840
Speaker 2: minus five and a half against the Patriots. The total

1011
00:53:48,400 --> 00:53:51,120
Speaker 2: forty two and a half. I feel like if we

1012
00:53:51,200 --> 00:53:55,200
Speaker 2: got a six, I'd want the Patriots here. I mean,

1013
00:53:55,239 --> 00:53:57,600
Speaker 2: this Drags team is not good, but they did they

1014
00:53:57,600 --> 00:53:59,359
Speaker 2: did read some points on the field last week. I'll

1015
00:53:59,360 --> 00:54:02,800
Speaker 2: say that I think Brian Thomas Junior dropped the dropped

1016
00:54:02,800 --> 00:54:05,880
Speaker 2: the touchdown and they didn't score on that. On that possession.

1017
00:54:05,880 --> 00:54:07,759
Speaker 2: I think gave Date no, yeah, gave Davis dropped one

1018
00:54:07,760 --> 00:54:09,680
Speaker 2: and Thomas dropped two. But I think they scored on

1019
00:54:09,680 --> 00:54:12,040
Speaker 2: one of the ones Thomas dropped later on in the possession.

1020
00:54:12,040 --> 00:54:14,200
Speaker 2: But they did leave some points. But I mean, what's new?

1021
00:54:14,360 --> 00:54:16,799
Speaker 2: What's new for the Jaguars? They you know, this has

1022
00:54:16,840 --> 00:54:20,040
Speaker 2: been a constant theme. Uh, the Patriots are not good.

1023
00:54:20,520 --> 00:54:22,440
Speaker 2: Drake May does give them a little bit of upside.

1024
00:54:22,440 --> 00:54:25,080
Speaker 2: We saw that the passing offense at least able to

1025
00:54:25,120 --> 00:54:29,719
Speaker 2: produce some yards. But uh, probably stay away from me

1026
00:54:29,880 --> 00:54:31,960
Speaker 2: just because now you got the Jags. You know, second

1027
00:54:31,960 --> 00:54:35,640
Speaker 2: week in their little home and the Patriots so bad

1028
00:54:36,120 --> 00:54:38,600
Speaker 2: still yeah, and then the Patriots still still just bad.

1029
00:54:39,239 --> 00:54:40,560
Speaker 2: But yeah, what do you think of this one?

1030
00:54:41,320 --> 00:54:42,959
Speaker 3: Yeah? I do think it's a big advantage with the Jags.

1031
00:54:43,040 --> 00:54:46,600
Speaker 3: Number one, they already have a ton of familiarity playing overseas.

1032
00:54:46,719 --> 00:54:47,920
Speaker 3: Obviously that didn't.

1033
00:54:47,920 --> 00:54:51,160
Speaker 2: Work out for them last week looked like Luckman last week.

1034
00:54:54,000 --> 00:54:56,960
Speaker 3: And but now they get to you know, they're they're

1035
00:54:56,960 --> 00:54:59,760
Speaker 3: already adjusted over there, just like last year in this spot.

1036
00:55:00,120 --> 00:55:01,719
Speaker 3: Last year, I mean they were five and night point dogs.

1037
00:55:01,719 --> 00:55:05,920
Speaker 3: They the last of the Bills. Yeah, so I think

1038
00:55:05,960 --> 00:55:08,560
Speaker 3: it's a big situation launch, But does Jacksonville quit? Like,

1039
00:55:08,840 --> 00:55:10,640
Speaker 3: I don't know where they're at mentally.

1040
00:55:11,360 --> 00:55:14,400
Speaker 2: No fire star, they have no like Trevor Lawrence. I

1041
00:55:14,480 --> 00:55:16,200
Speaker 2: keep trying to figure out, like, what is it about

1042
00:55:16,239 --> 00:55:18,440
Speaker 2: Trevor Lawrence, because like, we know he has talent, right,

1043
00:55:18,480 --> 00:55:20,640
Speaker 2: and we know he's not even awful, like even when

1044
00:55:20,640 --> 00:55:23,440
Speaker 2: he's like quote unquote bad, he's more like mediocre. But

1045
00:55:23,520 --> 00:55:25,839
Speaker 2: it's like I feel like I never see him yell,

1046
00:55:26,000 --> 00:55:28,680
Speaker 2: I never really, he's just no fire. He doesn't ever

1047
00:55:28,719 --> 00:55:30,800
Speaker 2: seem like he's got control of the line of scrimmage.

1048
00:55:30,840 --> 00:55:33,400
Speaker 2: I I think that's what it is. Maybe it's just

1049
00:55:33,440 --> 00:55:36,680
Speaker 2: no fire for this team. No fire I have.

1050
00:55:37,440 --> 00:55:38,840
Speaker 3: I'm right, I'm close to market.

1051
00:55:39,000 --> 00:55:40,080
Speaker 2: Yea nothing.

1052
00:55:40,160 --> 00:55:42,360
Speaker 3: I have no interest in this game. Sleep in people

1053
00:55:43,000 --> 00:55:46,960
Speaker 3: don't watch the mess Carolina.

1054
00:55:47,080 --> 00:55:54,799
Speaker 2: Speaking of messes, at Washington, the Commanders a favored by eight,

1055
00:55:55,040 --> 00:55:57,799
Speaker 2: the total fifty one and a half. Carolina is still

1056
00:55:57,840 --> 00:56:00,239
Speaker 2: just dealing with way too many injuries. I mean, at

1057
00:56:00,239 --> 00:56:03,200
Speaker 2: some point taking to cover another spread, you would think,

1058
00:56:03,560 --> 00:56:06,799
Speaker 2: but I got it. You know, Moton is he gonna

1059
00:56:06,800 --> 00:56:09,960
Speaker 2: get be back? I don't know. That's that's that's big. Uh.

1060
00:56:10,000 --> 00:56:13,000
Speaker 2: And you know Shaq Thompson's on. I are now that

1061
00:56:13,040 --> 00:56:16,600
Speaker 2: the receivers are healthy at least, so that's that's that's

1062
00:56:16,640 --> 00:56:18,439
Speaker 2: a good sign. But and you can't take a version

1063
00:56:18,520 --> 00:56:21,440
Speaker 2: of Washington the defense which did lose Jonathan Allen. It's

1064
00:56:21,440 --> 00:56:25,040
Speaker 2: a pretty significant piece up front. Carolina can run the football.

1065
00:56:25,800 --> 00:56:28,960
Speaker 2: But really have to see the final injury report for

1066
00:56:29,000 --> 00:56:32,040
Speaker 2: Carolina because when it's when it's bare, they it's they

1067
00:56:32,080 --> 00:56:33,480
Speaker 2: just don't have a chance. And I decide the ball.

1068
00:56:33,520 --> 00:56:35,680
Speaker 2: And this Washington team, I mean, they hang in there.

1069
00:56:35,800 --> 00:56:37,640
Speaker 2: I hung in there against the Ravens. It wasn't a

1070
00:56:37,880 --> 00:56:40,040
Speaker 2: it wasn't a beatdown the way the Ravens have handled

1071
00:56:40,040 --> 00:56:43,799
Speaker 2: some of those like hype teams. So uh, yeah, I don't.

1072
00:56:43,880 --> 00:56:45,880
Speaker 2: I don't. I'm not laying the points of Washington, but

1073
00:56:46,440 --> 00:56:48,520
Speaker 2: I don't feel good about Carolina until I see a

1074
00:56:48,560 --> 00:56:50,839
Speaker 2: final injury report, and even then might be a stay away.

1075
00:56:50,880 --> 00:56:53,960
Speaker 3: What about you, Yeah, Jordan's Armstrong might not go to

1076
00:56:55,160 --> 00:56:59,360
Speaker 3: uh and Jean Baptista is already on. I are so

1077
00:56:59,440 --> 00:57:03,839
Speaker 3: like their defense of line has really taken some hits,

1078
00:57:03,840 --> 00:57:06,160
Speaker 3: and that was the strength of their defense. But you're

1079
00:57:06,239 --> 00:57:08,719
Speaker 3: right the Panthers. Like, the one thing I did right

1080
00:57:08,840 --> 00:57:11,960
Speaker 3: last week was I didn't bet the Panthers even though

1081
00:57:12,000 --> 00:57:16,160
Speaker 3: I showed value them just because of the injuries. I'd

1082
00:57:16,160 --> 00:57:18,800
Speaker 3: show value them here. I mean, I'm at like six seven,

1083
00:57:19,120 --> 00:57:21,240
Speaker 3: so like I'm under a touchdown, I'm supposed to play them,

1084
00:57:21,280 --> 00:57:23,600
Speaker 3: but I got to see especially, I mean their defense

1085
00:57:23,680 --> 00:57:24,920
Speaker 3: is who do they have?

1086
00:57:25,600 --> 00:57:25,760
Speaker 4: Uh?

1087
00:57:26,880 --> 00:57:30,120
Speaker 3: Nine ten guys on ir the down half their starters. Yeah,

1088
00:57:32,400 --> 00:57:35,360
Speaker 3: Josie Jeweles questionable, Clowny's questionable.

1089
00:57:35,760 --> 00:57:39,560
Speaker 2: No pressure, no pressure, one guy that can cover, one

1090
00:57:39,600 --> 00:57:40,840
Speaker 2: guy that can cover, no.

1091
00:57:40,920 --> 00:57:43,320
Speaker 3: Yes, you, and they can't stop the run. It's one

1092
00:57:43,320 --> 00:57:44,880
Speaker 3: of the worst run defenses and you take a pressure.

1093
00:57:44,920 --> 00:57:46,440
Speaker 3: So how are you stopping this Washington offense?

1094
00:57:47,280 --> 00:57:47,840
Speaker 2: I don't know.

1095
00:57:48,320 --> 00:57:52,120
Speaker 3: Now can Carolina keep up and score? You could easily

1096
00:57:52,120 --> 00:57:55,240
Speaker 3: get in a back door here, Yes, I don't. It's

1097
00:57:55,280 --> 00:57:58,040
Speaker 3: super high. I actually don't hate the over here, like

1098
00:57:58,080 --> 00:58:00,400
Speaker 3: I just don't. How was how was Carolina holding Washington?

1099
00:58:00,520 --> 00:58:03,479
Speaker 3: The only way is, like Washington is fourth down regression coming,

1100
00:58:03,560 --> 00:58:06,480
Speaker 3: Like they're like ten or eleven for eleven, so they

1101
00:58:06,480 --> 00:58:09,840
Speaker 3: could just have a couple of drives stalled because of

1102
00:58:09,880 --> 00:58:12,520
Speaker 3: fourth down misses and then it's really tough to get

1103
00:58:12,560 --> 00:58:16,320
Speaker 3: over this number. That's what gives me pause here. But

1104
00:58:16,800 --> 00:58:19,760
Speaker 3: it's hard not to see Washington getting into the thirties,

1105
00:58:20,560 --> 00:58:25,120
Speaker 3: and it's hard not to see Carolina getting into the twenties.

1106
00:58:26,800 --> 00:58:28,960
Speaker 3: The only thing would give me pause is just fourth

1107
00:58:28,960 --> 00:58:31,000
Speaker 3: down regression for Washington, which is coming. They're gonna have

1108
00:58:31,000 --> 00:58:32,080
Speaker 3: a game where they go, oh for three and four

1109
00:58:32,120 --> 00:58:35,160
Speaker 3: towns and you just have three three drives kill. But

1110
00:58:35,240 --> 00:58:37,600
Speaker 3: is it the Panthers defense it's gonna make them not

1111
00:58:37,680 --> 00:58:38,440
Speaker 3: get fourth downs?

1112
00:58:38,600 --> 00:58:41,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly, it's it's it's one of those things where

1113
00:58:41,640 --> 00:58:45,360
Speaker 2: it's it's it's like the there's just a wide there's

1114
00:58:45,360 --> 00:58:47,240
Speaker 2: a lot of variance to the number. Like even though

1115
00:58:47,240 --> 00:58:50,439
Speaker 2: you projected like seven, it's like that's seven easily turned

1116
00:58:50,440 --> 00:58:54,160
Speaker 2: into a fourteen to play this Panther defense is played

1117
00:58:54,160 --> 00:58:58,080
Speaker 2: and they still don't have linebackers J C. Horn. I

1118
00:58:58,080 --> 00:59:00,320
Speaker 2: mean it's like it's not like they're just playing man

1119
00:59:00,360 --> 00:59:03,040
Speaker 2: coverage and where he's gonna shadow McLaurin. Like they have

1120
00:59:03,120 --> 00:59:04,600
Speaker 2: to play zough and they have no choice at times,

1121
00:59:04,640 --> 00:59:07,320
Speaker 2: and they're getting zero pressure against the quarterback who can

1122
00:59:07,680 --> 00:59:09,640
Speaker 2: run around. I mean, it's it's it's gonna be those

1123
00:59:09,680 --> 00:59:12,880
Speaker 2: situations like, oh it started starting seven, Oh, this looks

1124
00:59:12,920 --> 00:59:16,320
Speaker 2: promising and a first down scramble. Yeah, yeah, I have

1125
00:59:16,360 --> 00:59:16,720
Speaker 2: no know.

1126
00:59:17,000 --> 00:59:19,600
Speaker 3: You know, the regression comes the fourth time. Regression comes

1127
00:59:19,600 --> 00:59:24,320
Speaker 3: next week at Denver. Yeah, assuming certain is back in

1128
00:59:24,400 --> 00:59:30,080
Speaker 3: shadow McLaurin. If Denver's defense is healthy, they could give

1129
00:59:30,360 --> 00:59:32,600
Speaker 3: daniels problem. But I will say I was impressed with

1130
00:59:32,680 --> 00:59:36,680
Speaker 3: daniels in in the loss at Baltimore the zone the

1131
00:59:36,720 --> 00:59:38,520
Speaker 3: zone because I told you they were going to run

1132
00:59:38,560 --> 00:59:41,040
Speaker 3: the ball, yeah, and they weren't, and they weren't able

1133
00:59:41,080 --> 00:59:42,880
Speaker 3: to run the ball. So I wanted to see how

1134
00:59:42,960 --> 00:59:48,160
Speaker 3: he would fare when he's forced to have to make

1135
00:59:48,200 --> 00:59:52,800
Speaker 3: throws with his arm, and uh I was impressed, so

1136
00:59:52,800 --> 00:59:56,840
Speaker 3: I upgraded even though they didn't cover, I upgraded the

1137
00:59:56,920 --> 00:59:59,160
Speaker 3: Commanders from that game, he went twenty four to thirty five,

1138
00:59:59,400 --> 01:00:02,160
Speaker 3: seventy tw sounds, no interceptions, made some really good throws,

1139
01:00:02,520 --> 01:00:05,520
Speaker 3: and they only ran eighteen times for fifty yards. It's

1140
01:00:05,600 --> 01:00:08,880
Speaker 3: under three yards per carry, so they had no complimentary

1141
01:00:08,920 --> 01:00:12,120
Speaker 3: run game. He will have that here for sure.

1142
01:00:12,440 --> 01:00:15,240
Speaker 2: He's poised and he's accurate, and he can scramble when

1143
01:00:15,320 --> 01:00:17,800
Speaker 2: there's pressure like that is not much more you can

1144
01:00:17,880 --> 01:00:20,560
Speaker 2: really ask for. I mean, you know, he's he's shaped

1145
01:00:20,640 --> 01:00:22,400
Speaker 2: up to be a he's shaped up to be like

1146
01:00:22,440 --> 01:00:24,600
Speaker 2: another Lamar. At this state. I know it's early, but

1147
01:00:25,000 --> 01:00:28,400
Speaker 2: he's on that trajectory where you know it's like Lamar.

1148
01:00:28,640 --> 01:00:32,120
Speaker 2: Accurate guy, doesn't turn the ball over, you know, steps

1149
01:00:32,160 --> 01:00:35,280
Speaker 2: up when there's in the question when there's pressure. I mean, maybe,

1150
01:00:35,520 --> 01:00:38,439
Speaker 2: like Washington, that game of Denver is gonna be that.

1151
01:00:38,440 --> 01:00:39,880
Speaker 2: That could be a little bit of a trappy game

1152
01:00:39,920 --> 01:00:41,919
Speaker 2: for it. I could see them blowing that because they're

1153
01:00:41,920 --> 01:00:43,880
Speaker 2: not gonna go. They're not gonna they're gonna lose some

1154
01:00:43,880 --> 01:00:45,960
Speaker 2: more games. They're not gonna go like four, fifteen and

1155
01:00:46,040 --> 01:00:47,200
Speaker 2: two or whatever it is.

1156
01:00:48,040 --> 01:00:51,360
Speaker 3: I could yeah if they win, especially they cover this week,

1157
01:00:52,720 --> 01:00:56,600
Speaker 3: I could see myself on Denver, which makes me Denver

1158
01:00:57,080 --> 01:01:02,000
Speaker 3: extra time to prepare to. Maybe that's why my that

1159
01:01:02,120 --> 01:01:03,880
Speaker 3: that will be my rooting interest. By the way, Aaron

1160
01:01:03,920 --> 01:01:08,720
Speaker 3: Jones not a practice today. Maybe that'll be my rooting interest.

1161
01:01:09,640 --> 01:01:14,400
Speaker 3: And uh, he'll give me a reason to root boxstars

1162
01:01:14,440 --> 01:01:18,720
Speaker 3: in night football. Root for the Saints to maybe get

1163
01:01:18,720 --> 01:01:22,680
Speaker 3: some more value in a better spot for Denver against Washington.

1164
01:01:23,760 --> 01:01:25,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm still rooting for the Broncos. I have their

1165
01:01:25,440 --> 01:01:27,640
Speaker 2: over four and a half win total. If they get

1166
01:01:27,680 --> 01:01:34,600
Speaker 2: this game, they're at four, so but yeah either way, Yeah,

1167
01:01:34,960 --> 01:01:37,480
Speaker 2: Daniels looks great, and you know it's one of these

1168
01:01:37,480 --> 01:01:39,760
Speaker 2: it's one of these big dogs that usually we're on

1169
01:01:39,760 --> 01:01:41,600
Speaker 2: on this podcast. But yeah, just not enough there with

1170
01:01:41,640 --> 01:01:42,439
Speaker 2: Carolina yet.

1171
01:01:42,840 --> 01:01:46,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, numbers, my head says over.

1172
01:01:46,720 --> 01:01:49,440
Speaker 2: Okay, well what did you say for the Titans? Plus

1173
01:01:49,600 --> 01:01:54,360
Speaker 2: nine at Buffalo? New number one receiver for them, Marii Cooper.

1174
01:01:54,400 --> 01:01:58,400
Speaker 2: But will Levis? Is it going to be Levis? I

1175
01:01:58,720 --> 01:02:01,360
Speaker 2: like Tennessee if it's root all. I mean, I actually

1176
01:02:01,400 --> 01:02:05,720
Speaker 2: projected around eight, but Tennessee Titans heads coach defends quarterback

1177
01:02:05,720 --> 01:02:07,680
Speaker 2: Will Weathers so not great.

1178
01:02:07,560 --> 01:02:09,360
Speaker 3: If he has some rough first drive, is it at

1179
01:02:09,360 --> 01:02:11,720
Speaker 3: the point where you just have to pull them? I

1180
01:02:11,720 --> 01:02:14,480
Speaker 3: will bet Tennessee live they're down and then Rudolph comes in.

1181
01:02:14,760 --> 01:02:16,480
Speaker 3: I just can't bet on. Will loves her. Their defense

1182
01:02:16,560 --> 01:02:18,000
Speaker 3: is good enough, their defense.

1183
01:02:17,720 --> 01:02:19,840
Speaker 2: Is how many ways does Tennessee have to have?

1184
01:02:20,360 --> 01:02:25,960
Speaker 3: Willis probably undefeated? Undefeated, They're the ones.

1185
01:02:25,920 --> 01:02:28,560
Speaker 2: Gotta hurt to be a Titans fan right now, because.

1186
01:02:29,520 --> 01:02:31,320
Speaker 3: I'm hurting just as much. I bet them every week.

1187
01:02:31,480 --> 01:02:32,480
Speaker 2: One week I didn't bet them.

1188
01:02:32,520 --> 01:02:35,280
Speaker 3: They covered. I thought we had it last week.

1189
01:02:35,320 --> 01:02:37,280
Speaker 2: Can we get an investigation, by the way, into that,

1190
01:02:37,320 --> 01:02:39,480
Speaker 2: Like did they just use Adam Schefter as a mouthpiece

1191
01:02:39,520 --> 01:02:42,439
Speaker 2: to throw off all the information was wrong?

1192
01:02:43,160 --> 01:02:47,240
Speaker 3: But full starter expected to start? Uh, Pitman's gonna go on?

1193
01:02:47,320 --> 01:02:50,880
Speaker 3: I r yeah, start catching the game winning the game

1194
01:02:50,920 --> 01:02:54,439
Speaker 3: winning touched on the game clinching pass downs, not gonna

1195
01:02:54,480 --> 01:02:58,560
Speaker 3: play downs. Is out there. Pittman's out there. Pay more

1196
01:02:58,600 --> 01:03:00,560
Speaker 3: good to go on? Believable.

1197
01:03:00,880 --> 01:03:02,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, that was a little odd.

1198
01:03:02,400 --> 01:03:05,120
Speaker 3: That was like college shenanigans. I haven't seen that. And

1199
01:03:05,200 --> 01:03:08,240
Speaker 3: then the line still went out to Tennessee minus three.

1200
01:03:08,680 --> 01:03:11,920
Speaker 2: But you talk about Vibes at a Amy Adams Strunk

1201
01:03:11,960 --> 01:03:15,280
Speaker 2: firing Rabel with Rabel and molikle willis they probably, like

1202
01:03:15,280 --> 01:03:17,720
Speaker 2: you said, they're probably like four to one. All right,

1203
01:03:17,880 --> 01:03:18,400
Speaker 2: that is.

1204
01:03:18,720 --> 01:03:20,280
Speaker 3: A lot better if comes in.

1205
01:03:20,520 --> 01:03:22,200
Speaker 2: This is one of those games where it's like the

1206
01:03:23,160 --> 01:03:26,840
Speaker 2: values on Tennessee, but the totals forty one, and it's

1207
01:03:26,880 --> 01:03:30,840
Speaker 2: like Buffalo wins forty nothing that kind of gime. It's

1208
01:03:30,880 --> 01:03:33,600
Speaker 2: that kind of game. I'm just saying, like, if Buffalo

1209
01:03:33,600 --> 01:03:35,600
Speaker 2: hasn't vowed anyone out in a while, I'm just saying,

1210
01:03:36,160 --> 01:03:39,280
Speaker 2: taff it's gonna come. It's coming. Uh yeah, that's gonna happen.

1211
01:03:39,280 --> 01:03:43,760
Speaker 2: About the ten, Oh you know, the market's gonna give

1212
01:03:43,760 --> 01:03:46,160
Speaker 2: you ten right before kickoff on some like oh James

1213
01:03:46,200 --> 01:03:50,160
Speaker 2: click is out but he's in or something ridiculous. But uh,

1214
01:03:50,200 --> 01:03:53,360
Speaker 2: all right, that's her app Thanks for listening. Uh. You

1215
01:03:53,360 --> 01:03:55,320
Speaker 2: can hear more of me every week with my Guy

1216
01:03:55,360 --> 01:03:58,200
Speaker 2: Turner talk and Fantasy DFS player projections props, all that

1217
01:03:58,200 --> 01:04:01,480
Speaker 2: good stuff, all the fantasy flexpots and Stuck is on

1218
01:04:01,840 --> 01:04:05,560
Speaker 2: the Big Bets on Campus podcast Talking College Football. Stuck

1219
01:04:05,640 --> 01:04:07,760
Speaker 2: is on X at Stuckey two A Matt Chris Raybond

1220
01:04:07,800 --> 01:04:09,800
Speaker 2: and we are at those same handles on the free,

1221
01:04:09,880 --> 01:04:14,280
Speaker 2: award winning Action Network app. Until next time, let's get

1222
01:04:14,360 --> 01:04:17,120
Speaker 2: this money, let go get hot.

1223
01:04:26,760 --> 01:04:31,280
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1224
01:04:31,320 --> 01:04:34,080
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1225
01:04:34,120 --> 01:04:37,240
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