WEBVTT - Timeless Wisdom: A Mailbag Episode

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News.

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<v Speaker 2>Should we talk about the fact that we're recording a mail.

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<v Speaker 1>Bag, recording a mail bag?

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<v Speaker 2>Mail bag not too tired to sing?

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, we're going to release this sometimes Ny eight. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it's the end of April now, but it's going to

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<v Speaker 1>be it's gonna be all timeless wisdom from the Money

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<v Speaker 1>Stuff Podcast today, so we can release it at anytime.

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<v Speaker 2>That's true. On May eighth, I'll have just gotten back

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<v Speaker 2>from the Milkan Conference in Los Angeles, So if.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to this, Katy has returned from Milkin. But yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>hasn't had time to podcast this week, So we're diving

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<v Speaker 1>into the wall for some timeless wisdom.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, we've got some good ones lined up.

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<v Speaker 1>Should we do the thing where I say hello and

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<v Speaker 1>welcome to the Money Stuff Podcast.

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<v Speaker 2>I love doing that, So, yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>Hello and welcome to the Money Stuff Podcast. I'm Matt

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<v Speaker 1>Levin and I heard the Money Stuff Calm Opinion.

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<v Speaker 2>And I'm Katie Greifeld, a reporter for Bloomberg News and

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<v Speaker 2>an anchor for Bloomberg Television.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, let's get into the mail bag.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, mail bag mailbag.

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<v Speaker 2>Pierre started us off strong. You've put this disclosure in

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<v Speaker 2>newsletters before or specifically one your disclosure read through a

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<v Speaker 2>financial advisor. I have a small amount of money in

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<v Speaker 2>a blue alphund though I am not sure which one.

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<v Speaker 2>Pierre wants to know why does Matt have a financial

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<v Speaker 2>advisor and does he read money stuff?

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<v Speaker 1>So first of all, I want to address the fact

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<v Speaker 1>that I do own a little bit of bluel credit

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<v Speaker 1>Incomcorp is private BDC that once not yet tender before,

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<v Speaker 1>but he said today he's thinking about tendering for it.

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<v Speaker 2>Are you panicking, No, I'm not panicking.

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<v Speaker 1>So when I started this financial advisor, he's I got

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<v Speaker 1>this great thing for you called b read the Blacks

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<v Speaker 1>on real estate like non treated to real estate Investment trust.

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<v Speaker 1>And I was like, no, I don't think I can

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<v Speaker 1>do that because I've written about them like four times

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<v Speaker 1>and I don't want to own something I write about.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that's fair.

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<v Speaker 1>And he was like, okay, what about the Star War one?

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<v Speaker 1>I was like no, no, no, still counts. And then

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<v Speaker 1>he's like, what about just like a little little scooch

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<v Speaker 1>of private credit. I was like a little scooch of

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<v Speaker 1>private credits.

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<v Speaker 2>I'll never write about that.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know what. I don't know what I was thinking,

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<v Speaker 1>but obviously now I own a little bit of this

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<v Speaker 1>private credit fund, and I don't want to own it.

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<v Speaker 1>Not because I'm panicking about software companies or whatever. It's

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<v Speaker 1>really like a tiny portion of my net worth. But

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<v Speaker 1>I don't want to own it up because I'm panicking

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<v Speaker 1>about liquidity or software companies or whatever, but because I

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<v Speaker 1>don't want to have to say every time I write

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<v Speaker 1>about it, I own a little bit of this one.

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<v Speaker 1>So I'd love to be out of it. But unfortunately

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<v Speaker 1>getting out of it is like the thing that is

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<v Speaker 1>the news story. So if I were tendering, then I

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<v Speaker 1>would be a good more of the story. So I

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<v Speaker 1>just have to hold it and or it. So I'm not. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>he didn't bid for that one, but he's going to.

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<v Speaker 1>If he bids for that one, I might have to

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<v Speaker 1>sell to him so that he can come back on

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<v Speaker 1>the podcast. How are you enjoying my shows?

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<v Speaker 2>And it would be a very fun science experience. I

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<v Speaker 2>wouldn't though I'd enjoy it.

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<v Speaker 1>I would enjoy it. Yeah, I would get sixty five

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<v Speaker 1>cents on the dollar it's worth anyway. I have no

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<v Speaker 1>investment advice. I have no opinions on the Blue Prior

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<v Speaker 1>Credit Fund. I have no complaints about their management of

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<v Speaker 1>the fund, but I also wish I had known it

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<v Speaker 1>for purely journalistic re since way about my financial advisor

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<v Speaker 1>that does.

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<v Speaker 2>He read money stuff? Does he listen to this podcast?

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<v Speaker 2>So see a man.

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<v Speaker 1>Most of most importantly, I hope he does not listen

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<v Speaker 1>to this podcast. I feel bad talking about him. He

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<v Speaker 1>definitely did not know who I was when I sort

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<v Speaker 1>of came in the door. Yeah, this is like a

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<v Speaker 1>few years ago. I was like talking to a fancy

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<v Speaker 1>friend of ours in the newsroom and she was like

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<v Speaker 1>talking about her financial advisor giving her like tax advice.

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<v Speaker 1>And I was like, I've always been like a bang guy.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't want a financial advisor to tell me what

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<v Speaker 1>stocks to buy, yeah, what credit funds to buy, But

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<v Speaker 1>you know, I want like some professional to hold my

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<v Speaker 1>hand a little bit on like how much should I

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<v Speaker 1>be putting in college funds? How much should I be

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<v Speaker 1>like what's my target number for retirement? What tax stuff

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<v Speaker 1>should I do to make my taxes lower? All the

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<v Speaker 1>sort of not investing advice stuff that financial advisors do.

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<v Speaker 1>And our fancy newsroom friend was talking up the benefit

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<v Speaker 1>so I came in the door and had a moment

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<v Speaker 1>of like nervousness but also arrogance that like that like

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<v Speaker 1>this guy like ooh, the money stuff guy. But in

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<v Speaker 1>fact he was like okay, whatever. We really did not

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<v Speaker 1>know who I was. But now I believe he is

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<v Speaker 1>at least aware of the newsletter because when I moved

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<v Speaker 1>talked to him most recently, he was like, yeah, I

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<v Speaker 1>sometimes skim him the newsletter and you probably don't want

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<v Speaker 1>to be in this blue al fund anymore. Like yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>but you know what can you do? So yeah, I

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<v Speaker 1>have a financial advisor for like tax and other advising stuff.

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<v Speaker 2>That's what you're supposed to do.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah. I feel conflicted about it because I'm definitely like

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<v Speaker 1>I am sophisticated enough that I probably could just use

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<v Speaker 1>index funds and like figure stuff out on my own.

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<v Speaker 1>But like it's nice to like talk to a professional

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<v Speaker 1>and be like this is how much I was thinking

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<v Speaker 1>of saving for college and and being like, yeah, that

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<v Speaker 1>sounds good, right, It's just like confirmatory. Yeah, eventually I

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<v Speaker 1>just do that with like chat JPT. It's true, but no,

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's helpful to have someone whose job it is

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<v Speaker 1>to do this, even though my job is not unrelated

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<v Speaker 1>to this.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean I feel like that's the pitch of

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<v Speaker 2>financial advisors.

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<v Speaker 1>Right, It's not really like we will buy this stocks

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<v Speaker 1>that will go up, right. Yeah, that's not the pitch

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<v Speaker 1>to me. Although if I had like bit at b Read,

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<v Speaker 1>he might have had like a lot more spicy stuff

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<v Speaker 1>to put into my portfolio. Like there's a certain amount

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<v Speaker 1>of him being like what about this, and maybe like,

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<v Speaker 1>nah's index one? Yeah, what about you?

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<v Speaker 2>I have a financial advisor.

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<v Speaker 1>For the comment.

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<v Speaker 2>No, I'm in all index funds and it's just you

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<v Speaker 2>know the other stuff. Yeah, I'm also I mean, we're journalists.

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<v Speaker 2>We're not supposed to like do too much.

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<v Speaker 1>No one private credit fund.

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<v Speaker 2>Justin has a question. Justin says, I just recently finished

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<v Speaker 2>reading and loved When Genius Failed, along with the Jamie

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<v Speaker 2>Diamond biography. Last man standing, what are some of your

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<v Speaker 2>favorite books about finance? That's fun. I don't have any

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<v Speaker 2>favorite fund.

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<v Speaker 1>Any favorite finance books, I don't think so.

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<v Speaker 2>I like fiction. I feel like we've talked about it

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<v Speaker 2>a bit on this podcast. I like sci fi and fantasy,

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<v Speaker 2>and I really.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, I'm going to send you some.

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<v Speaker 2>They have to be really good finance sci fi books

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<v Speaker 2>that would be great.

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<v Speaker 1>A genre that is not high on my list, but

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<v Speaker 1>a genre that I read because sometimes people will be like, Hi,

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<v Speaker 1>I work in finance and read it wrote a finance

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<v Speaker 1>sci fi book.

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<v Speaker 2>And I'll be like, well, that would be absolutely I

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<v Speaker 2>have like four of those. Yeah. I feel bad saying

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<v Speaker 2>that because I actually really love finance and markets and

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<v Speaker 2>like the world that I exist in in a professional capacity.

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<v Speaker 2>But when I get out of this building, I like

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<v Speaker 2>to read fiction. But you definitely have a library.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I have some of that. Like I definitely try

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<v Speaker 1>not to spend all of my time reading business books,

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<v Speaker 1>but no, I do have a long list of fair

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<v Speaker 1>finance books. Yeah, and I'm going to go to town on that. Now.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, you can name five?

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<v Speaker 1>Really five?

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<v Speaker 2>Well, how many do you have?

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<v Speaker 1>Seven? Like Pinnacle is Liar's Poker and by Brands at

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<v Speaker 1>the Gate, everyone knows that it's boring.

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<v Speaker 2>I can talk about I have started Liar's Poker.

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<v Speaker 1>I do enjoy like the whole language of wallstre continues

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<v Speaker 1>to be derived from jokes on that book. But so

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<v Speaker 1>I want to talk about a few others that I

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<v Speaker 1>love and just tell an anecdote from each one. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I get prepared unusually. So one that I recommend all

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<v Speaker 1>the time is a book called Diary of a Very

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<v Speaker 1>Bad Year, which is from N plus one, the literary magazine.

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<v Speaker 1>It's like Keith Kessen is an N plus one editor

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<v Speaker 1>interviewing an anonymous hedgehund manager. It's like a PM at

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<v Speaker 1>a multispreat firm, and it's like he sort of like

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<v Speaker 1>does periodic interviews throughout like the two thousand and eight

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<v Speaker 1>financial crisis, and this guy gives a window into how

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<v Speaker 1>he's thinking about the financial crisis and how he's trading markets,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's really good.

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<v Speaker 2>That's awesome.

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<v Speaker 1>One thing that I love. He's like a credit he's

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<v Speaker 1>like an emerging markets manager, and he says, every time

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<v Speaker 1>you do a private investment, you're writing a call option

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<v Speaker 1>on your own time. In a sense, you're writing more

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<v Speaker 1>call options against your time than you have time, on

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<v Speaker 1>the assumption that the correlation is not one hundred percent,

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<v Speaker 1>And in a crisis, correlations go to one hundred percent,

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<v Speaker 1>and so you just run out of time because you're

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<v Speaker 1>dealing with all of these like fires on all all

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<v Speaker 1>of your investments, and you sort of figured these investments

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<v Speaker 1>won't all catch fire at once, but they do, and

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<v Speaker 1>so you have no time and so it's not just

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<v Speaker 1>like about your portfolio, it's about your time management. Another

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<v Speaker 1>favorite book is in a different vein. Auntie Ilmanon of

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<v Speaker 1>a AQR wrote a book called Expected Returns, which I

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<v Speaker 1>think is the best book about investing. When people ask me, like,

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<v Speaker 1>actually think about investing, I'm like, the question is like,

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<v Speaker 1>why are you getting paid? Why should you expect to

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<v Speaker 1>get money for this investment? Yeah, And this book is

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<v Speaker 1>like an attempt to sort of answer that question comprehensively

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<v Speaker 1>about all sorts of investments, and it has all these

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<v Speaker 1>like little stylized facts that I love. One that I

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<v Speaker 1>think about sometimes is that carry basically works if you

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<v Speaker 1>have two investments and one pays ten percent a year

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<v Speaker 1>and the other pays like eight percent a year. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>Like financial theory would say that the one that pays

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<v Speaker 1>ten percent a year has like a higher expected loss.

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<v Speaker 1>And so really like they're like risk of tusted returns

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<v Speaker 1>are the same. But in fact, like over time, things

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<v Speaker 1>that pay more tend to pay more than things that

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<v Speaker 1>pay less. So it's like the very intuitive, like simple

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<v Speaker 1>thing that you just sort of eyeball turns out to

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<v Speaker 1>work a lot of the time. This is famous in

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<v Speaker 1>foreign exchange, where economic theory says that currency is that

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<v Speaker 1>pay higher interest rates you're expected to depreciate, but like

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<v Speaker 1>that never works at all, and it's like always the

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<v Speaker 1>case that you can like make money in the character

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<v Speaker 1>and not not investing in this. Okay, our friend Mary

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<v Speaker 1>Childs wrote a book.

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<v Speaker 2>Called The Bottom King that I did read.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, Okay, there's one favorite finance book.

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<v Speaker 2>I had to read it.

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<v Speaker 1>Are you saying it's not your favorite?

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, I guess it has to be the one finance.

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<v Speaker 1>Book you've ever read. I love The Bond King. One

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<v Speaker 1>thing I love is I read all the time everything

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<v Speaker 1>is seating charts, and in The Bond King, like you know,

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<v Speaker 1>it's like sort of the story of how Bill Gross

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<v Speaker 1>pilt pimcos and investing firm and then got defenestrated from PIMCO,

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<v Speaker 1>And like why did he get kicked out? I like

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<v Speaker 1>to say that he got kicked at because like he

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<v Speaker 1>was like having tension with like the other senior managers

0:10:56.480 --> 0:10:59.160
<v Speaker 1>at PIMCO, and he called a meeting and in the meeting,

0:10:59.400 --> 0:11:01.920
<v Speaker 1>he didn't put his enemies at the front table. He

0:11:01.960 --> 0:11:04.199
<v Speaker 1>put them in the audience facing the front table instead

0:11:04.200 --> 0:11:06.080
<v Speaker 1>of at the front table where the big people sat.

0:11:06.320 --> 0:11:07.960
<v Speaker 1>And so they got so mad that they went back

0:11:07.960 --> 0:11:10.240
<v Speaker 1>to their offices afterwards, like he has to go and

0:11:10.280 --> 0:11:12.720
<v Speaker 1>they fired him. That's not quite true. That's like a

0:11:12.760 --> 0:11:16.400
<v Speaker 1>little true. Yeah, And you know sheple making millions and

0:11:16.400 --> 0:11:18.719
<v Speaker 1>millions of dollars a year. All they care about is

0:11:18.720 --> 0:11:19.480
<v Speaker 1>where they sit.

0:11:19.320 --> 0:11:20.960
<v Speaker 2>At the big Mom, We're all a human at the

0:11:21.000 --> 0:11:21.600
<v Speaker 2>end of the day.

0:11:21.920 --> 0:11:23.400
<v Speaker 1>One I could go on for I have like.

0:11:23.760 --> 0:11:26.800
<v Speaker 2>I can tell Yeah, I'm looking at a long list,

0:11:26.920 --> 0:11:28.800
<v Speaker 2>strapping in here for a long time.

0:11:28.960 --> 0:11:32.920
<v Speaker 1>Katie is literally falling asleep. Okay. Donald McKenzie, he was

0:11:32.920 --> 0:11:36.240
<v Speaker 1>on oddlines recently. He's like a Scottish sociologist. He wrote

0:11:36.240 --> 0:11:37.880
<v Speaker 1>a book called Trading at the Speed of Light, which

0:11:37.920 --> 0:11:42.319
<v Speaker 1>is about like how high frequency trading rooms live their

0:11:42.360 --> 0:11:44.520
<v Speaker 1>lives and think about things. And it has so many

0:11:44.520 --> 0:11:48.680
<v Speaker 1>great antingtudes, including that when the CME, the Chicago Meercandolics

0:11:48.760 --> 0:11:52.640
<v Speaker 1>Change moved its technology from writing trade tickets in pencil

0:11:52.720 --> 0:11:55.280
<v Speaker 1>to writing them in pen it took eight months of

0:11:55.280 --> 0:11:57.920
<v Speaker 1>fighting to change from pencil to pen It's like a

0:11:57.960 --> 0:12:01.800
<v Speaker 1>great story of technological progress. On the seventy eighties. But

0:12:01.920 --> 0:12:05.280
<v Speaker 1>also it's a lot about like microwave links from Chicago

0:12:05.320 --> 0:12:08.120
<v Speaker 1>to New York. And apparently in the twenty tens of

0:12:08.200 --> 0:12:11.880
<v Speaker 1>rain created liquidity because when it rained, the microwave link

0:12:11.960 --> 0:12:14.080
<v Speaker 1>went down and it was like slower to get information

0:12:14.160 --> 0:12:17.199
<v Speaker 1>from Chicago to New York. And so what that meant

0:12:17.280 --> 0:12:21.200
<v Speaker 1>was that basically like predatory high fergency traders were slowed

0:12:21.240 --> 0:12:24.160
<v Speaker 1>down enough that market makers could quote tighter spreads because

0:12:24.160 --> 0:12:27.560
<v Speaker 1>they weren't getting picked off by predatory market by predatory HFTs.

0:12:27.840 --> 0:12:30.000
<v Speaker 1>And then like later in the decade, that factory reversed

0:12:30.040 --> 0:12:33.280
<v Speaker 1>because I guess the market makers couldn't get the information

0:12:33.360 --> 0:12:35.600
<v Speaker 1>past enough. But anyway, so rain created liquidity.

0:12:35.679 --> 0:12:40.000
<v Speaker 2>That's amazing. Justin, that was the most fun that matters.

0:12:40.440 --> 0:12:43.040
<v Speaker 1>Justin, will have a beer at Morgan's. I'll give you

0:12:43.080 --> 0:12:44.040
<v Speaker 1>some of my other voices.

0:12:45.080 --> 0:12:49.240
<v Speaker 2>Great question, Justin. Okay, Chris has a question. Though Chris

0:12:49.360 --> 0:12:51.960
<v Speaker 2>works at a private equity firm. Like many firms, we

0:12:52.000 --> 0:12:56.600
<v Speaker 2>advertise our ESG credentials to our institutional LPs parentheses. I

0:12:56.600 --> 0:12:58.400
<v Speaker 2>mean less so now than two years ago. But you

0:12:58.440 --> 0:12:59.080
<v Speaker 2>get the idea.

0:12:59.480 --> 0:13:01.480
<v Speaker 1>Among the we get this question a while, like a

0:13:01.520 --> 0:13:03.840
<v Speaker 1>few weeks ago, and it's probably like they've really scrubbed

0:13:03.840 --> 0:13:05.120
<v Speaker 1>it entirely from the web pitch.

0:13:05.160 --> 0:13:08.599
<v Speaker 2>But yeah, Anyway, among the ESG initiatives we tout is

0:13:08.640 --> 0:13:11.280
<v Speaker 2>how well we treat our employees, things like health and

0:13:11.320 --> 0:13:15.160
<v Speaker 2>wellness initiatives, but also nice corporate retreats does sound nice.

0:13:15.320 --> 0:13:18.880
<v Speaker 2>My question is this our employee benefits for private equity employees,

0:13:18.920 --> 0:13:21.200
<v Speaker 2>good ESG or bad ESG.

0:13:22.960 --> 0:13:26.280
<v Speaker 1>Someone once told me that ESG is really E and

0:13:26.480 --> 0:13:28.680
<v Speaker 1>S and then G is just there to make the

0:13:28.760 --> 0:13:32.640
<v Speaker 1>numbers work. So one pitch for ESG environmental, social and

0:13:32.679 --> 0:13:37.319
<v Speaker 1>governments investing is that it's good for returns, Like if

0:13:37.360 --> 0:13:39.640
<v Speaker 1>you buy things with good if you buy companies with

0:13:39.679 --> 0:13:43.400
<v Speaker 1>good ESG scores, you'll get a higher return. And the

0:13:43.400 --> 0:13:46.600
<v Speaker 1>theory that I've heard is that the G is there

0:13:47.000 --> 0:13:49.280
<v Speaker 1>because that's what gives you the higher returns. And like

0:13:49.320 --> 0:13:52.079
<v Speaker 1>that theory is very simple, which is that G governance

0:13:52.360 --> 0:13:56.920
<v Speaker 1>basically means doing shareholder friendly stuff basically means like supervising

0:13:57.000 --> 0:14:00.079
<v Speaker 1>management and trying to get good returns for shareholders and

0:14:00.120 --> 0:14:02.760
<v Speaker 1>being aligned with shareholders rather than doing whatever management wants.

0:14:03.120 --> 0:14:08.760
<v Speaker 1>E and S. Environmental and social stuff are about other stakeholders.

0:14:09.600 --> 0:14:11.520
<v Speaker 1>Environmental is about like doing good stuff for the environment

0:14:11.600 --> 0:14:14.360
<v Speaker 1>even have cost shareholders. Social is about doing good stuff

0:14:14.400 --> 0:14:17.520
<v Speaker 1>for employees or communities, even if it costs shaholders money.

0:14:17.760 --> 0:14:19.960
<v Speaker 1>But G is about doing stuff for shareholders even who

0:14:19.960 --> 0:14:23.320
<v Speaker 1>it costs the CEO money, And so G doesn't really

0:14:23.320 --> 0:14:25.440
<v Speaker 1>fit with with like ESG like the other things are

0:14:25.440 --> 0:14:27.960
<v Speaker 1>about like having a broader set of stakeholders, and G

0:14:28.160 --> 0:14:30.560
<v Speaker 1>is just about trying to MAXI my Chareolter returns in

0:14:30.600 --> 0:14:34.080
<v Speaker 1>that vein. Being nice to your employees is good social,

0:14:34.920 --> 0:14:39.080
<v Speaker 1>and if they're very senior management employees, then it's kind

0:14:39.080 --> 0:14:41.320
<v Speaker 1>of bad governance, right. It's like if you give the

0:14:41.360 --> 0:14:44.160
<v Speaker 1>CEO one hundred million dollars at the expensive shaholders, that's like, yeah,

0:14:44.480 --> 0:14:49.200
<v Speaker 1>not ideal governance. Right. So I think that there's no

0:14:49.280 --> 0:14:51.400
<v Speaker 1>like real answer to this question. But I think there's

0:14:51.440 --> 0:14:54.760
<v Speaker 1>some like seniority dividing line where like giving your CEO

0:14:54.960 --> 0:15:00.960
<v Speaker 1>nice perks is bad governance and giving your cashiers is

0:15:01.320 --> 0:15:05.920
<v Speaker 1>good social. I think that like, probably the employees of

0:15:06.160 --> 0:15:10.600
<v Speaker 1>portfolio companies are good social, and probably the like actual

0:15:10.640 --> 0:15:14.520
<v Speaker 1>employees of the private equity funder a little more don't

0:15:14.560 --> 0:15:16.960
<v Speaker 1>advertise the parks that give them that's fine.

0:15:17.120 --> 0:15:19.520
<v Speaker 2>Cool. Well, thanks for the question, Chris, I hope things

0:15:19.520 --> 0:15:40.119
<v Speaker 2>are going yeah, okay. This comes from Ron asking about IPOs.

0:15:40.240 --> 0:15:43.400
<v Speaker 2>Ron asks, after a company has gone public and has

0:15:43.480 --> 0:15:46.840
<v Speaker 2>received the infusion of cash from the IPO, what role

0:15:46.920 --> 0:15:49.200
<v Speaker 2>does the share price actually play in the operation of

0:15:49.240 --> 0:15:52.480
<v Speaker 2>the company. Do most companies continue to hold a percentage

0:15:52.480 --> 0:15:55.360
<v Speaker 2>of shares that they buy slash sell to generate cash

0:15:55.400 --> 0:15:58.200
<v Speaker 2>at later dates or is this mainly for employee stock

0:15:58.280 --> 0:15:59.720
<v Speaker 2>compensation slash options.

0:16:00.120 --> 0:16:02.080
<v Speaker 1>You know, I used to be a capital markets banker,

0:16:02.200 --> 0:16:04.680
<v Speaker 1>and it is always straighting to me how much people

0:16:04.680 --> 0:16:07.200
<v Speaker 1>believe in like the concept of treasury stock. Like people

0:16:07.240 --> 0:16:10.240
<v Speaker 1>believe that companies have stock and there's a pot and

0:16:10.280 --> 0:16:12.040
<v Speaker 1>they can sell that stock, and then they run out.

0:16:12.040 --> 0:16:13.800
<v Speaker 1>They run out, And that's not how it works in

0:16:13.800 --> 0:16:15.360
<v Speaker 1>the US. It is how it works in some of

0:16:15.400 --> 0:16:17.400
<v Speaker 1>the places. But in the US there's no such thing

0:16:17.440 --> 0:16:21.640
<v Speaker 1>as like you can pretty much always print new stock

0:16:21.680 --> 0:16:23.720
<v Speaker 1>whenever you want, so it's not like they're holding stock

0:16:23.800 --> 0:16:28.360
<v Speaker 1>to sell. And most companies don't sell stock after they

0:16:28.360 --> 0:16:31.720
<v Speaker 1>go public. Maybe that's not true and exaggeration, but like classically,

0:16:31.960 --> 0:16:34.080
<v Speaker 1>the big successful companies tend not to sell a lot

0:16:34.120 --> 0:16:37.600
<v Speaker 1>of stock. I have written that at this point the

0:16:37.600 --> 0:16:40.480
<v Speaker 1>public stock market is for returning capital to shareholders rather

0:16:40.520 --> 0:16:42.840
<v Speaker 1>than raising capital from shareholders. And even a lot of

0:16:42.880 --> 0:16:45.840
<v Speaker 1>IPOs companies don't need the money. They're just going public

0:16:45.880 --> 0:16:48.200
<v Speaker 1>so they can so their early investors can cash up,

0:16:48.720 --> 0:16:51.440
<v Speaker 1>although that is very much changing with the big AI

0:16:51.680 --> 0:16:53.720
<v Speaker 1>IPOs where people need all the money they can raise.

0:16:54.520 --> 0:16:56.400
<v Speaker 1>But so why does the stock price matter? I mean

0:16:57.960 --> 0:17:02.440
<v Speaker 1>A big part of the answer is executive and employee pay. Right,

0:17:02.440 --> 0:17:05.040
<v Speaker 1>If you're paying people in stock, you're motivating them with

0:17:05.040 --> 0:17:06.800
<v Speaker 1>the stock, and if the stock goes up, then they're

0:17:06.800 --> 0:17:09.200
<v Speaker 1>more motivated, and so it is good for the stock

0:17:09.240 --> 0:17:13.760
<v Speaker 1>to go up for compensation reasons. There's also like M

0:17:13.760 --> 0:17:16.600
<v Speaker 1>and A, if your stock is valuable, you can buy

0:17:16.640 --> 0:17:20.240
<v Speaker 1>companies with your stock. Yes, big successful public companies don't

0:17:20.280 --> 0:17:22.399
<v Speaker 1>like to sell stock, but they do like to sell debt,

0:17:22.480 --> 0:17:25.000
<v Speaker 1>and the more the stock is worth, like all things

0:17:25.000 --> 0:17:29.119
<v Speaker 1>being equal, it's easier to raise debt financing. Probably the

0:17:29.160 --> 0:17:34.520
<v Speaker 1>stock price is a market signal about whether your company

0:17:34.640 --> 0:17:38.160
<v Speaker 1>is creating value, about whether you're like a good thing

0:17:38.200 --> 0:17:42.040
<v Speaker 1>to allocate capital to. And so a lot of CEOs

0:17:42.080 --> 0:17:44.399
<v Speaker 1>like are sort of raised in like the church of

0:17:44.640 --> 0:17:47.840
<v Speaker 1>capital allocation discipline, and if their stock is going up,

0:17:48.200 --> 0:17:51.359
<v Speaker 1>then they think we are doing good stuff. We should

0:17:51.359 --> 0:17:55.919
<v Speaker 1>do more projects and build more factories and launch new

0:17:56.000 --> 0:18:00.000
<v Speaker 1>products and generally invest more in this company that has succeeded.

0:18:00.520 --> 0:18:02.159
<v Speaker 1>And if their stock is going down, they're like, we

0:18:02.200 --> 0:18:05.080
<v Speaker 1>should do stock buybacks, right, which essentially means the stuff

0:18:05.119 --> 0:18:07.000
<v Speaker 1>we're doing isn't working, so we should just give money

0:18:07.000 --> 0:18:08.560
<v Speaker 1>back to shaholders and they can find something else to

0:18:08.600 --> 0:18:10.560
<v Speaker 1>do with it, which is kind of the signals by

0:18:10.600 --> 0:18:12.920
<v Speaker 1>a stock bybick. Yeah, well, kind of the signal that

0:18:13.080 --> 0:18:14.760
<v Speaker 1>the stock prize going down sends you and then you

0:18:14.760 --> 0:18:18.640
<v Speaker 1>do the stock bibike. So I think that like it's

0:18:18.720 --> 0:18:22.320
<v Speaker 1>just the stock price is a signal of like where

0:18:22.320 --> 0:18:24.480
<v Speaker 1>to allocate capital, both to like the market and to

0:18:24.600 --> 0:18:26.320
<v Speaker 1>the to the executives.

0:18:26.400 --> 0:18:29.120
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and it's like a real time report.

0:18:29.000 --> 0:18:32.080
<v Speaker 1>And then people believe in that. Executives are motivated by that.

0:18:32.760 --> 0:18:36.040
<v Speaker 1>Executives try to allocate capital to things that are good.

0:18:36.080 --> 0:18:38.399
<v Speaker 1>The stock price sends them a signal. There's also like

0:18:38.560 --> 0:18:41.680
<v Speaker 1>the market for corporate control, which is a fancy way

0:18:41.720 --> 0:18:43.720
<v Speaker 1>of saying, if your stock price gets too low, then

0:18:43.800 --> 0:18:46.040
<v Speaker 1>like Carli Kin, is going to try to buy the

0:18:46.040 --> 0:18:48.040
<v Speaker 1>company or something. You know, you try to keep the

0:18:48.040 --> 0:18:51.000
<v Speaker 1>stock price high to fend off activists and hostile takeovers

0:18:51.000 --> 0:18:54.280
<v Speaker 1>and whatnot. So yeah, I think that's the answer. I've

0:18:54.359 --> 0:18:57.400
<v Speaker 1>enjoyed writing about memestacks over the last three years. Memestacks

0:18:57.440 --> 0:18:59.879
<v Speaker 1>like break a lot of this, right, Like you're not

0:19:00.080 --> 0:19:03.160
<v Speaker 1>getting the right capital allocation signals when you're stuck goes

0:19:03.200 --> 0:19:04.560
<v Speaker 1>up a thousand percent for no reason.

0:19:04.840 --> 0:19:07.639
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, you're getting other signals more.

0:19:07.640 --> 0:19:09.600
<v Speaker 1>But more about you know, right, and you're sometimes like

0:19:10.200 --> 0:19:12.119
<v Speaker 1>allocating more capital to your company, right, I mean, like

0:19:12.160 --> 0:19:14.760
<v Speaker 1>we I wrote about like when Gameslop was like way up,

0:19:14.840 --> 0:19:17.119
<v Speaker 1>they were like hiring executives from Amazon and you know,

0:19:17.200 --> 0:19:19.119
<v Speaker 1>launching all these new projects. It's the same, you know,

0:19:19.240 --> 0:19:21.560
<v Speaker 1>it's the if your sty price is up, that means

0:19:21.600 --> 0:19:24.960
<v Speaker 1>you're a good allocator of capital. And so you start

0:19:25.000 --> 0:19:27.240
<v Speaker 1>like doing new stuff and hiring new executives and making

0:19:27.320 --> 0:19:30.280
<v Speaker 1>acquisitions and doing all the stuff that a big growing

0:19:30.320 --> 0:19:32.320
<v Speaker 1>company does because the market is telling you you're a

0:19:32.320 --> 0:19:36.680
<v Speaker 1>big growing company that like has you know, high returns

0:19:36.680 --> 0:19:38.800
<v Speaker 1>on your projects. And if you don't in fact have

0:19:38.880 --> 0:19:41.040
<v Speaker 1>high returns on your projects, then like that signal gets

0:19:41.040 --> 0:19:41.480
<v Speaker 1>messed up.

0:19:41.560 --> 0:19:44.000
<v Speaker 2>I talk to a lot of CEOs on on the television,

0:19:44.280 --> 0:19:47.680
<v Speaker 2>and about half of them, maybe more than that, will

0:19:47.680 --> 0:19:50.439
<v Speaker 2>tell you that they don't pay attention to cotor. But

0:19:50.640 --> 0:19:54.399
<v Speaker 2>that's so crazy. You know that they're lying. If I

0:19:54.480 --> 0:19:58.320
<v Speaker 2>had a real time report card of how my company

0:19:58.400 --> 0:20:05.720
<v Speaker 2>and my job performance was being viewed, I'm not like that. No,

0:20:06.600 --> 0:20:09.320
<v Speaker 2>I can't watch it move in real time. Yeah, right,

0:20:09.760 --> 0:20:11.800
<v Speaker 2>Like I'd be glued to the screen.

0:20:12.040 --> 0:20:14.280
<v Speaker 1>It's not just like people's opinions about you, it's also

0:20:14.359 --> 0:20:16.840
<v Speaker 1>like your bank account. People like a lot of their

0:20:16.840 --> 0:20:19.680
<v Speaker 1>networks and their company's stock, right absolutely. If I had

0:20:20.520 --> 0:20:22.960
<v Speaker 1>all of my networth in one company of stock, I

0:20:23.000 --> 0:20:24.160
<v Speaker 1>would pay a lot of attention to.

0:20:24.119 --> 0:20:27.959
<v Speaker 2>That for sure. Nice question, Ron, Paul has a question.

0:20:28.440 --> 0:20:31.720
<v Speaker 2>Paul was saying that he was reading your segment about

0:20:31.760 --> 0:20:35.920
<v Speaker 2>the whole business securitization and how business loans get paid off.

0:20:36.280 --> 0:20:38.359
<v Speaker 2>It was interesting to Paul that the normal way that

0:20:38.400 --> 0:20:41.600
<v Speaker 2>they get paid off is in interest only payments followed

0:20:41.640 --> 0:20:43.880
<v Speaker 2>by a balloon payment at the end of the term.

0:20:44.520 --> 0:20:49.200
<v Speaker 2>The only high dollar amount loan most people are familiar

0:20:49.440 --> 0:20:52.320
<v Speaker 2>with from personal experience as a mortgage where you pay

0:20:52.359 --> 0:20:55.000
<v Speaker 2>down the principle along the way, and usually the final

0:20:55.040 --> 0:20:57.680
<v Speaker 2>payment is the same size as all the others. Why

0:20:57.680 --> 0:21:00.520
<v Speaker 2>are these two so different to busines? This is just

0:21:00.640 --> 0:21:03.880
<v Speaker 2>need slash warrant more flexibility. Why don't they pay down

0:21:03.920 --> 0:21:06.120
<v Speaker 2>some principle early to reduce interest costs?

0:21:06.400 --> 0:21:09.680
<v Speaker 1>Okay, okay, Actually there's like several kinds of answers here.

0:21:09.920 --> 0:21:13.360
<v Speaker 1>One is that companies and humans have different life cycles.

0:21:14.359 --> 0:21:17.639
<v Speaker 1>Like a human is born and make no money, and

0:21:17.680 --> 0:21:20.119
<v Speaker 1>then as a career where they start out making a

0:21:20.160 --> 0:21:21.600
<v Speaker 1>little bit of money and then they make more and

0:21:21.640 --> 0:21:24.399
<v Speaker 1>more money, and then towards the end of the career

0:21:24.560 --> 0:21:28.040
<v Speaker 1>they stop making money, right, And so you have financial

0:21:28.040 --> 0:21:30.560
<v Speaker 1>products to sort of smooth that out. And so if

0:21:30.640 --> 0:21:34.400
<v Speaker 1>you take out a mortgage, it's like typically you take

0:21:34.400 --> 0:21:35.960
<v Speaker 1>out a mortgage and you don't have very much money,

0:21:36.000 --> 0:21:37.639
<v Speaker 1>but you have a lot of earning power, and you

0:21:37.680 --> 0:21:40.520
<v Speaker 1>pay down the mortgage during your earnings here your earning years,

0:21:41.000 --> 0:21:43.320
<v Speaker 1>and then when you stop having earning power, you stop

0:21:43.359 --> 0:21:46.200
<v Speaker 1>having a mortgage. It's pretty convenient. It's not perfect, but

0:21:46.359 --> 0:21:51.680
<v Speaker 1>like that kind of works out that way. Companies ideally grow,

0:21:52.520 --> 0:21:56.360
<v Speaker 1>they're earning power every year. Ideally a right countries too,

0:21:56.840 --> 0:22:00.720
<v Speaker 1>So like corporate and sovereign borrowers have more and more

0:22:00.720 --> 0:22:03.879
<v Speaker 1>earnings power every year, and so ideally and so they

0:22:03.960 --> 0:22:06.640
<v Speaker 1>have more and more ability to pay down debt every year.

0:22:07.080 --> 0:22:10.719
<v Speaker 1>And so if you take out a corporate loan, it's like,

0:22:10.960 --> 0:22:13.680
<v Speaker 1>you need the money now, but in ten years you'll

0:22:13.680 --> 0:22:15.439
<v Speaker 1>easily be able to pay back the money because you

0:22:15.520 --> 0:22:19.560
<v Speaker 1>keep growing your earnings. But also, mortgage is amortized. Because

0:22:19.880 --> 0:22:22.679
<v Speaker 1>if you're a person and you like go around for

0:22:22.720 --> 0:22:24.919
<v Speaker 1>thirty years making the interest payment on your mortgage, and

0:22:24.920 --> 0:22:26.199
<v Speaker 1>then at the end of the term, it's like, we

0:22:26.200 --> 0:22:27.840
<v Speaker 1>need a million dollars, please, you might not have the

0:22:27.880 --> 0:22:32.040
<v Speaker 1>million dollars lying around like a company. One they might right,

0:22:32.080 --> 0:22:35.240
<v Speaker 1>their earnings power might keep crying. Two they can refinance

0:22:35.280 --> 0:22:38.439
<v Speaker 1>the debt. And in fact, companies do not generally borrow

0:22:38.520 --> 0:22:41.119
<v Speaker 1>money and then pay it back and then say, whoow,

0:22:41.560 --> 0:22:44.879
<v Speaker 1>we've cleared that debt. Companies like target a certain amount

0:22:44.920 --> 0:22:47.240
<v Speaker 1>of a capital structure with a certain amount of debt

0:22:47.520 --> 0:22:51.159
<v Speaker 1>because to a company, interest expense is cheaper than equity,

0:22:51.240 --> 0:22:54.800
<v Speaker 1>right Like, if they have debt, then that increases their

0:22:54.800 --> 0:22:56.640
<v Speaker 1>return on equity, and they think of their equity as

0:22:56.640 --> 0:22:59.080
<v Speaker 1>being more expensive than debt. They think we need to

0:22:59.119 --> 0:23:01.719
<v Speaker 1>earn a twenty percent return for shareolders, whereas we can

0:23:01.760 --> 0:23:04.360
<v Speaker 1>pay our creditors, you know, six percent or whatever. So

0:23:05.000 --> 0:23:08.960
<v Speaker 1>companies typically like to have debt, and as they grow,

0:23:09.000 --> 0:23:12.200
<v Speaker 1>they tend to borrow more money, and so they don't

0:23:12.280 --> 0:23:14.560
<v Speaker 1>need to amortize their debt. They want to keep a

0:23:14.560 --> 0:23:17.000
<v Speaker 1>certain amount of debt outstanding, and advertising would make that

0:23:17.040 --> 0:23:20.040
<v Speaker 1>more complicated because they'd have to like incur more debt

0:23:20.359 --> 0:23:23.000
<v Speaker 1>as they paid down their earlier debt. Also, like from

0:23:23.000 --> 0:23:27.359
<v Speaker 1>a market perspective, like the non advertizing bond or bullet

0:23:27.400 --> 0:23:30.879
<v Speaker 1>loan is a better product for an investor because if

0:23:30.920 --> 0:23:32.400
<v Speaker 1>you're an investor, you have a fund and you want

0:23:32.400 --> 0:23:34.240
<v Speaker 1>to invest it, and then you get some of the

0:23:34.240 --> 0:23:36.320
<v Speaker 1>money back every year, like I have to go invest

0:23:36.359 --> 0:23:38.760
<v Speaker 1>this again. So having a non adverortizing product is better

0:23:38.800 --> 0:23:39.800
<v Speaker 1>for a lot of investors.

0:23:40.240 --> 0:23:41.840
<v Speaker 2>Those are all the questions.

0:23:41.960 --> 0:23:46.359
<v Speaker 1>I think we didn't have any any real questions for you.

0:23:46.400 --> 0:23:48.719
<v Speaker 2>Should I ask you a question?

0:23:50.640 --> 0:23:53.040
<v Speaker 1>I try to you to talk about your financial advisor

0:23:53.160 --> 0:23:55.040
<v Speaker 1>or your favorite finance books, but you did not take

0:23:55.040 --> 0:23:57.639
<v Speaker 1>the what's your favorite science fiction book?

0:23:58.960 --> 0:24:03.400
<v Speaker 2>I have recency buys here, which is just probably okay,

0:24:03.400 --> 0:24:04.720
<v Speaker 2>interesting I read that.

0:24:04.800 --> 0:24:05.320
<v Speaker 1>I ever read this.

0:24:06.320 --> 0:24:06.879
<v Speaker 2>It was fun.

0:24:07.359 --> 0:24:12.240
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, but did you learn anything about I just say

0:24:12.280 --> 0:24:14.440
<v Speaker 1>the sunders in the space. I don't know what it's about.

0:24:15.320 --> 0:24:16.480
<v Speaker 2>Did you not see the movie?

0:24:17.359 --> 0:24:18.200
<v Speaker 1>I don't see movies.

0:24:18.840 --> 0:24:22.040
<v Speaker 2>Oh, I went with my parents. So nice, something you

0:24:22.280 --> 0:24:25.120
<v Speaker 2>have to look forward to and a few decades.

0:24:25.359 --> 0:24:27.760
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, yeah, I've gone to the movies with my children.

0:24:27.800 --> 0:24:30.360
<v Speaker 2>But I have to imagine that's still chore. It's not like.

0:24:30.480 --> 0:24:34.520
<v Speaker 1>I've gone to Frozen too. Okay, just sure.

0:24:34.800 --> 0:24:37.680
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, projects you'll marry might be a little intense for them.

0:24:37.680 --> 0:24:48.840
<v Speaker 1>So for gotten there, Gotten there. And that was The

0:24:48.880 --> 0:24:49.960
<v Speaker 1>Money Stuff Podcast.

0:24:50.240 --> 0:24:52.320
<v Speaker 2>I'm Matt Levine and I'm Katie Greifeld.

0:24:52.480 --> 0:24:54.640
<v Speaker 1>You can find my work why subscribing to The Money

0:24:54.640 --> 0:24:56.640
<v Speaker 1>Stuff New Letter on Bloomberg dot.

0:24:56.440 --> 0:24:59.160
<v Speaker 2>Com, and you can find me on Bloomberg TV every

0:24:59.240 --> 0:25:02.400
<v Speaker 2>day on the Cloe between three and five pm Eastern.

0:25:03.160 --> 0:25:05.119
<v Speaker 1>We'd love to hear from you. You can send an

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0:25:08.560 --> 0:25:10.400
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0:25:10.760 --> 0:25:13.359
<v Speaker 2>You can also subscribe to our show wherever you're listening

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<v Speaker 2>right now and leave us a review. It helps more

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0:25:17.040 --> 0:25:21.360
<v Speaker 1>The Money Stuff podcast is produced by Anamasarakis, Moses Onam

0:25:21.800 --> 0:25:23.560
<v Speaker 1>and Alexis HoTT Our.

0:25:23.640 --> 0:25:25.680
<v Speaker 2>Theme music was composed by Blake Maples.

0:25:26.400 --> 0:25:29.840
<v Speaker 1>Amy Keen is our executive producer. Thanks for listening to

0:25:29.880 --> 0:25:32.320
<v Speaker 1>The Money Stuff Podcast. We'll be back next week with

0:25:32.480 --> 0:25:33.240
<v Speaker 1>more stuff