1 00:00:12,640 --> 00:00:13,000 Speaker 1: Lots up. 2 00:00:13,000 --> 00:00:15,120 Speaker 2: Guys, how are you welcome into a Tuesday morning edition 3 00:00:15,160 --> 00:00:17,200 Speaker 2: of the Deal Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Parolt. 4 00:00:17,200 --> 00:00:19,160 Speaker 2: You guys follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. 5 00:00:19,280 --> 00:00:21,720 Speaker 2: We are here every morning on Bettingpros dot com wherever 6 00:00:21,760 --> 00:00:24,279 Speaker 2: you get your audio podcasts, and on YouTube for the 7 00:00:24,360 --> 00:00:26,840 Speaker 2: video being brought to you by bet MGM. Every single 8 00:00:26,880 --> 00:00:28,760 Speaker 2: time they offer ten dollars to win one hundred fifty 9 00:00:28,760 --> 00:00:31,600 Speaker 2: bucks any event. Use that Promoco juice one fifty to 10 00:00:31,640 --> 00:00:34,000 Speaker 2: sign up for a new account ten dollars one hundred 11 00:00:34,040 --> 00:00:37,640 Speaker 2: fifty bucks guaranteed at BETMGM or betemgm dot com New 12 00:00:37,760 --> 00:00:41,280 Speaker 2: accounts Juice one fifty. Okay, So we go down on 13 00:00:41,320 --> 00:00:45,080 Speaker 2: the Chiefs one unit, Casey's broken, more on them here 14 00:00:45,120 --> 00:00:49,000 Speaker 2: in a second. We get the Oilers right with the puckline, 15 00:00:49,080 --> 00:00:52,120 Speaker 2: even money on that, and then I doubled down during 16 00:00:52,159 --> 00:00:54,400 Speaker 2: the game, So I saved myself a little bit there 17 00:00:54,520 --> 00:00:57,080 Speaker 2: on my overall loss. Personally, we're in the discord, jan 18 00:00:57,120 --> 00:00:59,800 Speaker 2: I'm talking about third string goaltender and the crack industant 19 00:00:59,800 --> 00:01:02,640 Speaker 2: look good at all. Oilers continued to look very good 20 00:01:02,680 --> 00:01:04,680 Speaker 2: at home. I won a hockey bet. How about that? 21 00:01:05,000 --> 00:01:08,160 Speaker 2: Maybe we just turned the tide for hockey wagering and 22 00:01:08,160 --> 00:01:10,600 Speaker 2: then bummer man. The Wizards lose by seven. Five and 23 00:01:10,640 --> 00:01:12,640 Speaker 2: a half was the number we played plus five and 24 00:01:12,640 --> 00:01:14,720 Speaker 2: a half. They just couldn't get that last couple of 25 00:01:14,760 --> 00:01:16,920 Speaker 2: buckets to go there, to get all the way back. 26 00:01:16,959 --> 00:01:18,840 Speaker 2: We almost snuck in the back door there with a 27 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:22,520 Speaker 2: cover for the NBA. So we don't get that. John 28 00:01:22,560 --> 00:01:24,520 Speaker 2: Collins did not play that prop. Glad that I did 29 00:01:24,520 --> 00:01:26,160 Speaker 2: not play that prop. I don't think he came innywhere 30 00:01:26,200 --> 00:01:27,920 Speaker 2: near hitting his prop last night. That's how I checked. 31 00:01:27,959 --> 00:01:29,920 Speaker 2: It was at eight points, like late in the fourth, 32 00:01:30,000 --> 00:01:33,000 Speaker 2: so I don't think he got there. But so we 33 00:01:33,000 --> 00:01:35,400 Speaker 2: didn't play any props yesterday and then to the Chiefs, 34 00:01:35,440 --> 00:01:37,600 Speaker 2: so thirty one we played over thirty one and a 35 00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:42,160 Speaker 2: half they scored twenty. Case is a bad defense with 36 00:01:42,240 --> 00:01:45,800 Speaker 2: an offense that I'll agree with Tony Dungeye, they look lost. 37 00:01:46,640 --> 00:01:48,040 Speaker 1: I mean they look lost, they really do. 38 00:01:48,360 --> 00:01:51,520 Speaker 2: Mahomes. Look the interceptions. Some of it is bad luck, 39 00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:55,120 Speaker 2: other it's just bad throws. He's throwing in a double coverage, 40 00:01:55,120 --> 00:01:58,800 Speaker 2: he's throwing into you know, into throwing lanes that just 41 00:01:58,840 --> 00:02:02,280 Speaker 2: aren't there. And look, I don't I made this bet 42 00:02:02,280 --> 00:02:04,080 Speaker 2: with somebody in the Discord channel. I don't think the 43 00:02:04,120 --> 00:02:06,400 Speaker 2: Chiefs make the playoffs. I'll tell you that right now here. 44 00:02:06,440 --> 00:02:09,160 Speaker 2: I don't think they make the playoffs. They've got two teams. 45 00:02:09,160 --> 00:02:11,160 Speaker 2: I like the Raiders better than them. I like the 46 00:02:11,280 --> 00:02:13,960 Speaker 2: Chargers better than them. And the Broncos are plucky. You know, 47 00:02:14,080 --> 00:02:15,880 Speaker 2: they can just stick and bite you every now and then. 48 00:02:16,080 --> 00:02:19,400 Speaker 2: I think the AFC is really tough, and I just 49 00:02:19,440 --> 00:02:21,680 Speaker 2: don't like what I'm seeing at all out of the Chiefs, 50 00:02:21,760 --> 00:02:26,320 Speaker 2: their defense, their offense, the books out man. People know 51 00:02:26,360 --> 00:02:28,000 Speaker 2: how to defend them, they know how to stop it. 52 00:02:28,120 --> 00:02:30,200 Speaker 2: And Eric b Enemy has got to figure this out 53 00:02:30,240 --> 00:02:33,799 Speaker 2: quickly because right now this is not a good team. 54 00:02:33,840 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 2: The Giants are a bad football team. And the Giants 55 00:02:37,160 --> 00:02:39,639 Speaker 2: maybe should have won that game, got some bad luck 56 00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:43,040 Speaker 2: with some bad calls and questionable officiating and some things 57 00:02:43,040 --> 00:02:45,440 Speaker 2: that are going to make Giant fans mad. They might 58 00:02:45,520 --> 00:02:48,799 Speaker 2: have they maybe deserve to win that game. So Chiefs 59 00:02:48,800 --> 00:02:52,320 Speaker 2: win it. But oh that didn't look good. Didn't look good. 60 00:02:52,400 --> 00:02:55,880 Speaker 2: So unfortunately for officially, we're down a unit here for 61 00:02:56,000 --> 00:02:57,840 Speaker 2: the day, so not to start on a Monday that 62 00:02:57,840 --> 00:02:58,200 Speaker 2: we want. 63 00:02:58,240 --> 00:02:58,919 Speaker 1: But here we go. 64 00:02:59,000 --> 00:03:01,600 Speaker 2: On to a Monday is daily jar to a Tuesdays 65 00:03:01,639 --> 00:03:02,160 Speaker 2: Daily juice. 66 00:03:02,160 --> 00:03:04,360 Speaker 1: We go every week. So let's kind of pick it 67 00:03:04,360 --> 00:03:05,560 Speaker 1: back up here. Let's get it go in here. 68 00:03:05,600 --> 00:03:10,040 Speaker 2: I've got two mactionin football games to get into, and 69 00:03:10,080 --> 00:03:12,640 Speaker 2: I've got a World Series play. I will have two 70 00:03:12,760 --> 00:03:15,520 Speaker 2: NBA player props going tonight, so we will throw those 71 00:03:15,560 --> 00:03:18,240 Speaker 2: at you guys coming up in the Discord channel, bettingpros 72 00:03:18,240 --> 00:03:20,359 Speaker 2: dot Com, slash chat or the links underneath me here 73 00:03:20,360 --> 00:03:24,600 Speaker 2: on YouTube to get into the Discord channel, which we 74 00:03:24,639 --> 00:03:27,520 Speaker 2: are approaching ten thousand users, Guys, can we get to 75 00:03:27,560 --> 00:03:29,240 Speaker 2: ten thousand? He ever hopped in a bunch of you 76 00:03:29,240 --> 00:03:31,639 Speaker 2: of dm me saying I'm new, welcome. It's very fun, 77 00:03:31,680 --> 00:03:34,440 Speaker 2: it's cool to be in there, and I highly recommend 78 00:03:34,480 --> 00:03:37,120 Speaker 2: it because we get a lot of sharp and smart 79 00:03:37,120 --> 00:03:39,320 Speaker 2: people who are in there, who are posting picks and plays. 80 00:03:39,360 --> 00:03:42,880 Speaker 2: And one guy last night picked. He bet two bets 81 00:03:43,200 --> 00:03:46,080 Speaker 2: five hundred dollars each on Mahomes to throw a pick 82 00:03:46,160 --> 00:03:48,520 Speaker 2: and for Daniel Jones to throw a pick, and he 83 00:03:48,680 --> 00:03:51,240 Speaker 2: cashed both those tickets in the first quarter. Not a 84 00:03:51,320 --> 00:03:53,600 Speaker 2: bad way to come out with one thousand dollars right 85 00:03:53,640 --> 00:03:55,720 Speaker 2: then and there. So just kind of the thing that 86 00:03:55,720 --> 00:03:57,240 Speaker 2: we hang out and do and what we watch and 87 00:03:57,280 --> 00:04:00,440 Speaker 2: have fun with in the Discord channel. So very very recommended, 88 00:04:00,520 --> 00:04:02,680 Speaker 2: highly recommended you guys come in on the Discord channel. 89 00:04:03,320 --> 00:04:06,080 Speaker 2: NBA player props will be drop dropped later today here 90 00:04:06,160 --> 00:04:07,520 Speaker 2: before the games tip off. 91 00:04:07,840 --> 00:04:08,960 Speaker 1: One of the good things about. 92 00:04:08,720 --> 00:04:10,760 Speaker 2: Having a new job, and I got a lot of 93 00:04:10,760 --> 00:04:12,800 Speaker 2: time so I can research the holy hell out of. 94 00:04:12,760 --> 00:04:14,920 Speaker 1: Those two player props coming up here today. 95 00:04:15,000 --> 00:04:20,240 Speaker 2: But let's start with Miami and their game tonight against Ohio. 96 00:04:20,279 --> 00:04:22,800 Speaker 2: Miami of Ohio four and four, three and one in 97 00:04:22,839 --> 00:04:25,839 Speaker 2: the MAC. The Ohio Bobcats are one in seven, one 98 00:04:25,880 --> 00:04:29,000 Speaker 2: in three in conference play. The line is seven and 99 00:04:29,080 --> 00:04:31,360 Speaker 2: a half at the time of taping. I saw two 100 00:04:31,400 --> 00:04:34,120 Speaker 2: books already at eight. I jumped on seven and a 101 00:04:34,160 --> 00:04:37,360 Speaker 2: half here at minus one ten for the Miami RedHawks. 102 00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:40,400 Speaker 2: Here is the philosophy and the backing of this bet. Okay, 103 00:04:40,720 --> 00:04:42,760 Speaker 2: when you look at what we've seen so far out 104 00:04:42,760 --> 00:04:46,040 Speaker 2: of Miami this year, Miami three and five to the number, 105 00:04:46,200 --> 00:04:48,640 Speaker 2: same with Ohio three and five to the number. But 106 00:04:48,760 --> 00:04:51,840 Speaker 2: last time out against ball State, the win outright for 107 00:04:51,960 --> 00:04:54,359 Speaker 2: Miami of Ohio as three and a half point dogs. 108 00:04:54,640 --> 00:04:57,920 Speaker 2: They won by seven. They did not cover against Akron. 109 00:04:57,920 --> 00:04:59,960 Speaker 2: They were twenty point dogs. They only won by thirte 110 00:05:00,160 --> 00:05:03,120 Speaker 2: teen in that game. That's not great. They lost to 111 00:05:03,160 --> 00:05:05,360 Speaker 2: Eastern Michigan on the road, which was somewhat of an 112 00:05:05,400 --> 00:05:07,520 Speaker 2: eye opener, But the week before that they beat Central 113 00:05:07,520 --> 00:05:10,719 Speaker 2: Michigan as two and a half point dogs by eleven points. 114 00:05:10,839 --> 00:05:13,279 Speaker 2: This is a pretty good team for Miami. Now, on 115 00:05:13,320 --> 00:05:17,360 Speaker 2: the other side, Ohio is bad. They lost to Kent 116 00:05:17,400 --> 00:05:20,080 Speaker 2: State as five point dogs, they lost by seven. They 117 00:05:20,080 --> 00:05:22,760 Speaker 2: did cover against Buffalo, they lost by one as seven 118 00:05:22,760 --> 00:05:25,800 Speaker 2: and a half point dogs. They lost by three as 119 00:05:26,080 --> 00:05:29,080 Speaker 2: five point dogs to Central Michigan, and they won by 120 00:05:29,120 --> 00:05:34,479 Speaker 2: seventeen laying ten against Akron. Akron's a pretty bad team 121 00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:36,280 Speaker 2: to be quite honest. But when you start to look 122 00:05:36,320 --> 00:05:39,240 Speaker 2: at these two stats, look, Miami's offense is not great. 123 00:05:39,560 --> 00:05:42,200 Speaker 2: So like before you go, oh, Matt, bet the over right, 124 00:05:42,320 --> 00:05:44,400 Speaker 2: it's it's maction, It's bet the over all. 125 00:05:44,480 --> 00:05:44,600 Speaker 1: Right. 126 00:05:44,760 --> 00:05:47,400 Speaker 2: Maybe, but Miami only scores twenty one points a game. 127 00:05:48,160 --> 00:05:50,839 Speaker 2: Now Ohio gives up thirty one points a game. And 128 00:05:50,920 --> 00:05:55,640 Speaker 2: Ohio's rush defense is horrific. Okay, two hundred and thirty 129 00:05:55,680 --> 00:05:57,600 Speaker 2: two point nine yard per game. 130 00:05:57,640 --> 00:05:58,080 Speaker 1: Given up. 131 00:05:58,080 --> 00:05:59,840 Speaker 2: That's one hundred and twenty second in the end in 132 00:06:00,440 --> 00:06:03,760 Speaker 2: college football. Okay, they can't stop anybody running the football. Now, 133 00:06:03,880 --> 00:06:06,400 Speaker 2: Miami's not great running the ball four point one yards 134 00:06:06,400 --> 00:06:07,479 Speaker 2: per carry, but they're good enough. 135 00:06:07,520 --> 00:06:07,799 Speaker 1: Okay. 136 00:06:07,800 --> 00:06:10,480 Speaker 2: That's the top one hundred, nearly top seventy five rush 137 00:06:10,560 --> 00:06:12,160 Speaker 2: offense in college football. 138 00:06:12,640 --> 00:06:14,320 Speaker 1: So I think they run the ball a lot tonight. 139 00:06:14,520 --> 00:06:17,440 Speaker 2: And that's why I'm a little bit concerned about the over, 140 00:06:17,880 --> 00:06:21,520 Speaker 2: because if Miami's running the ball and Ohio's not scoring, 141 00:06:22,360 --> 00:06:25,120 Speaker 2: then you're dealing with a potential under here of fifty 142 00:06:25,120 --> 00:06:27,400 Speaker 2: two and a half points. And you know everyone's gonna 143 00:06:27,400 --> 00:06:29,479 Speaker 2: bet the over here, right is this Everyone's gonna come in. 144 00:06:29,520 --> 00:06:30,159 Speaker 1: It's Macshain. 145 00:06:30,200 --> 00:06:34,640 Speaker 2: You bet the over with Mac football, right, Okay, fine, 146 00:06:35,160 --> 00:06:39,279 Speaker 2: but I'm concerned just about Miami's offense not being good enough. 147 00:06:39,279 --> 00:06:40,840 Speaker 2: I mean, you look at some of the offensive outputs 148 00:06:40,880 --> 00:06:43,400 Speaker 2: for Miami this year. Twenty four against ball State, thirty 149 00:06:43,400 --> 00:06:47,760 Speaker 2: four against Akron wasn't bad, thirteen sorry, twelve against Eastern Michigan, 150 00:06:48,279 --> 00:06:51,239 Speaker 2: twenty eight against Central Michigan, ten against Army. 151 00:06:52,360 --> 00:06:53,680 Speaker 1: I don't love this. 152 00:06:53,760 --> 00:06:55,960 Speaker 2: You might go team total, right, Matt to go team total, Well, 153 00:06:55,960 --> 00:06:58,320 Speaker 2: it's twenty nine and a half the team total from Miami, 154 00:06:58,839 --> 00:07:01,120 Speaker 2: so maybe you bet under right, oh bet under on 155 00:07:01,160 --> 00:07:04,159 Speaker 2: the team total four for Miami. Well, the problem is 156 00:07:04,160 --> 00:07:06,440 Speaker 2: Ohio's defense, as I said, gives up thirty one point 157 00:07:06,480 --> 00:07:09,920 Speaker 2: six points per game. That's ninety seconds in the country. Okay, 158 00:07:09,960 --> 00:07:14,040 Speaker 2: that's not good. On the other side, Miami, Ohio's defense 159 00:07:14,120 --> 00:07:16,160 Speaker 2: is okay, they're giving up twenty four point four points 160 00:07:16,160 --> 00:07:19,560 Speaker 2: per game. Miami's offense or Ohio's offense is bad. Twenty 161 00:07:19,600 --> 00:07:22,360 Speaker 2: point four points per game. Five point seven yards per 162 00:07:22,440 --> 00:07:25,400 Speaker 2: plays okay, fifty fourth in the country, five point five 163 00:07:25,720 --> 00:07:26,280 Speaker 2: for Miami. 164 00:07:26,280 --> 00:07:29,520 Speaker 1: Pretty much on par there. You can't really run on these. 165 00:07:29,400 --> 00:07:31,040 Speaker 2: Guys too much. They give up one hundred and four 166 00:07:31,040 --> 00:07:33,640 Speaker 2: to fIF fift three yards rushing. But my Ohio likes 167 00:07:33,640 --> 00:07:36,120 Speaker 2: to run the ball. Ohio five point four yards per 168 00:07:36,160 --> 00:07:39,120 Speaker 2: rush fourteenth best in the country. Two hundred and one 169 00:07:39,240 --> 00:07:41,640 Speaker 2: rushing yards a game twenty eighth best in the country. 170 00:07:41,960 --> 00:07:45,880 Speaker 2: Miami wants to run the football again, running clock tough 171 00:07:45,880 --> 00:07:49,160 Speaker 2: to get overs. When you have a Miami team that 172 00:07:49,240 --> 00:07:51,840 Speaker 2: wants to be able to run on Ohio's porus defense 173 00:07:52,080 --> 00:07:55,000 Speaker 2: versus Ohio who runs the football like crazy. 174 00:07:55,240 --> 00:07:57,080 Speaker 1: And they don't throw the ball all that well. 175 00:07:57,080 --> 00:08:00,280 Speaker 2: They're only averaging one hundred and sixty six yards on 176 00:08:00,840 --> 00:08:02,920 Speaker 2: through the air this year. And the thing is Miami 177 00:08:03,040 --> 00:08:06,440 Speaker 2: Ohio's defense gives up two hundred and fifteen yards through 178 00:08:06,480 --> 00:08:08,400 Speaker 2: the air, so you should be able to throw on Miami, 179 00:08:08,600 --> 00:08:10,000 Speaker 2: but Ohio wants to run. 180 00:08:10,120 --> 00:08:12,400 Speaker 1: Okay, number is seven and a half. 181 00:08:12,800 --> 00:08:14,360 Speaker 2: I'm gonna lay the seven and a half here with 182 00:08:14,400 --> 00:08:16,920 Speaker 2: the road favorite on a Tuesday night in Athens, Ohio. 183 00:08:17,680 --> 00:08:19,680 Speaker 2: I just don't think Ohio's very good. I don't think 184 00:08:19,720 --> 00:08:23,040 Speaker 2: they have the offense, don't love their defense. I think 185 00:08:23,120 --> 00:08:25,440 Speaker 2: the under might be in play here. To be quite honest, 186 00:08:26,320 --> 00:08:27,760 Speaker 2: I think people who bet the over may be in 187 00:08:27,800 --> 00:08:30,600 Speaker 2: trouble here. Maybe I'm wrong, but I'm taking Miami here. 188 00:08:30,680 --> 00:08:33,160 Speaker 2: I'm gonna lay the seven and a half Miami minus 189 00:08:33,200 --> 00:08:36,520 Speaker 2: seven and a half for half a unit at Ohio. 190 00:08:36,880 --> 00:08:40,040 Speaker 2: These are maction midweek games. I don't bet full units 191 00:08:40,080 --> 00:08:43,600 Speaker 2: on these games. Just FYI, I go half unit. Okay, 192 00:08:44,360 --> 00:08:48,559 Speaker 2: it's very volatile, it's maction. I don't trust these games. 193 00:08:48,679 --> 00:08:52,480 Speaker 2: These are standalone games, midweek games. Funky weird things happen. 194 00:08:52,840 --> 00:08:54,360 Speaker 2: I go half unit. So what am I doing? With 195 00:08:54,400 --> 00:08:56,960 Speaker 2: the other half a unit. Let's stay in maction here 196 00:08:57,360 --> 00:09:00,400 Speaker 2: and let's roll on over to the other game, Eastern 197 00:09:00,400 --> 00:09:04,640 Speaker 2: Michigan at Toledo. Now there are three games tonight, Okay, 198 00:09:04,720 --> 00:09:09,200 Speaker 2: just fyi, ball State at Akron is on CBS Sports Network, 199 00:09:09,440 --> 00:09:13,720 Speaker 2: Miami at Ohio is as on ESPNU in Eastern Michigan 200 00:09:13,760 --> 00:09:18,000 Speaker 2: at Toledo is on East ESPN two. Okay, we got 201 00:09:18,000 --> 00:09:20,400 Speaker 2: games tomorrow night too, two more games tomorrow night, but 202 00:09:21,320 --> 00:09:23,720 Speaker 2: just heads up the ball State Akron game. I don't 203 00:09:23,760 --> 00:09:25,400 Speaker 2: know what the hell to do with that game that 204 00:09:25,480 --> 00:09:28,400 Speaker 2: lines twenty and a half. I mean, I will have 205 00:09:28,440 --> 00:09:31,360 Speaker 2: a personal play on the over that game, just because 206 00:09:31,559 --> 00:09:36,520 Speaker 2: I figure highest total on the board being mactionin ball 207 00:09:36,600 --> 00:09:39,360 Speaker 2: State is supposed to be scoring a lot more offense 208 00:09:39,400 --> 00:09:42,160 Speaker 2: than they have. Akron used to have an offense they 209 00:09:42,200 --> 00:09:45,320 Speaker 2: don't anymore. But I'll have personal play on the over 210 00:09:45,400 --> 00:09:47,160 Speaker 2: just because I'll just see if we can get one 211 00:09:47,240 --> 00:09:49,040 Speaker 2: max shit over with ball State and Akron. But I 212 00:09:49,040 --> 00:09:50,640 Speaker 2: don't like it enough to make it an official play. 213 00:09:51,120 --> 00:09:55,520 Speaker 2: The other official play Eastern Michigan at Toledo. Okay, So 214 00:09:55,600 --> 00:09:57,960 Speaker 2: Eastern Michigan five and three overall, two and two in 215 00:09:57,960 --> 00:10:00,640 Speaker 2: conference Toldo four and four overall two and two, also 216 00:10:00,960 --> 00:10:04,360 Speaker 2: in conference play. So you start breaking these two teams down, 217 00:10:04,400 --> 00:10:05,000 Speaker 2: this is interesting. 218 00:10:05,040 --> 00:10:06,199 Speaker 1: Okay. So Eastern Michigan. 219 00:10:07,040 --> 00:10:10,200 Speaker 2: They won by thirty one points last week on the 220 00:10:10,320 --> 00:10:14,120 Speaker 2: road against Bowling Green, laying four and a half. Before that, 221 00:10:14,160 --> 00:10:16,160 Speaker 2: they were one and a half point favorites against Ball State, 222 00:10:16,240 --> 00:10:18,240 Speaker 2: lost by seven before that, didn't cover. 223 00:10:18,480 --> 00:10:19,440 Speaker 1: Before that they went. 224 00:10:20,000 --> 00:10:22,440 Speaker 2: They were one by one over Miami, Ohio as two 225 00:10:22,480 --> 00:10:24,480 Speaker 2: and a half point dogs at home in a pick 226 00:10:24,520 --> 00:10:27,679 Speaker 2: game against Northern Illinois, they lost by seven. They're three 227 00:10:27,760 --> 00:10:31,800 Speaker 2: and five so far against numbers so far. Toledo is 228 00:10:31,920 --> 00:10:34,720 Speaker 2: five and three to the numbers so far. Last week 229 00:10:34,760 --> 00:10:37,400 Speaker 2: against Western Michigan they won by nineteen as one and 230 00:10:37,400 --> 00:10:40,040 Speaker 2: a half point dogs. Two previous games before that, they 231 00:10:40,040 --> 00:10:41,600 Speaker 2: were favored and they lost outright. 232 00:10:41,880 --> 00:10:43,200 Speaker 1: Okay, lost outright. 233 00:10:43,360 --> 00:10:45,640 Speaker 2: They beat my UMass minimum by thirty eight. They beat 234 00:10:45,679 --> 00:10:47,720 Speaker 2: ball State as four and a half point favorites on 235 00:10:47,760 --> 00:10:51,520 Speaker 2: the road they won by ten. Okay, five and three, 236 00:10:52,040 --> 00:10:55,199 Speaker 2: but two of the last three they failed to cover. 237 00:10:55,360 --> 00:10:58,480 Speaker 2: In when they were at home as a home favorite 238 00:10:58,559 --> 00:11:01,480 Speaker 2: thirteen points against Northern Illinois, I lost it outright. Same 239 00:11:01,480 --> 00:11:04,719 Speaker 2: thing when they're favored against Central they lost it outright 240 00:11:04,920 --> 00:11:08,520 Speaker 2: number is plus nine. Here's k Toledo is laying nine points, 241 00:11:08,520 --> 00:11:11,360 Speaker 2: so we go over the key number of seven here 242 00:11:11,480 --> 00:11:17,120 Speaker 2: on this one. Toledo's offense is okay. Eastern Michigan's defense 243 00:11:17,320 --> 00:11:22,560 Speaker 2: is okay. But I think Eastern Michigan's offense at thirty 244 00:11:22,600 --> 00:11:26,560 Speaker 2: two points per game, and then Toledo's defense, which is 245 00:11:26,559 --> 00:11:30,560 Speaker 2: giving up nineteen points per game, I think this plus nine. 246 00:11:30,920 --> 00:11:32,760 Speaker 2: I think there's a lot of value here on plus nine. 247 00:11:32,800 --> 00:11:36,240 Speaker 2: I think Eastern Michigan can keep this game close. I 248 00:11:36,240 --> 00:11:39,200 Speaker 2: think at fifty three, I definitely hit the unders in 249 00:11:39,280 --> 00:11:41,840 Speaker 2: play here for this game. But you got an offense 250 00:11:41,840 --> 00:11:43,920 Speaker 2: for Eastern Michigan at five point four yards per play 251 00:11:44,200 --> 00:11:46,760 Speaker 2: per play, Toledo's got four point six yards per play. 252 00:11:47,040 --> 00:11:49,560 Speaker 2: Rushing three point one yards per rush not great, but 253 00:11:49,640 --> 00:11:52,280 Speaker 2: passing eight point one yards. Eastern Michigan likes to throw 254 00:11:52,320 --> 00:11:54,960 Speaker 2: the football. On the other side, Toledo's defense six point 255 00:11:55,000 --> 00:11:57,640 Speaker 2: two yards given up. That's twelve best in the country. 256 00:11:57,679 --> 00:12:00,360 Speaker 2: It is hard to pass on this Toledo defense. On 257 00:12:00,360 --> 00:12:03,720 Speaker 2: the other side, you've got a passing offense for Toledo 258 00:12:03,920 --> 00:12:06,560 Speaker 2: seven yards per play. That's eight point eighty fifth in 259 00:12:06,559 --> 00:12:09,720 Speaker 2: the country versus six point eight for Eastern Michigan. That 260 00:12:09,840 --> 00:12:12,800 Speaker 2: is thirty third best in the country. So both pass 261 00:12:12,840 --> 00:12:16,439 Speaker 2: defenses are very good. It's hard to run on Toledo though, 262 00:12:16,880 --> 00:12:18,720 Speaker 2: three point seven yards per rush. 263 00:12:18,760 --> 00:12:19,640 Speaker 1: That's thirty seconds. 264 00:12:19,679 --> 00:12:23,960 Speaker 2: You've got four point nine yards per rush for Eastern Michigan. 265 00:12:24,000 --> 00:12:26,480 Speaker 2: That's one hundred and fourth versus thirty second. But you 266 00:12:26,559 --> 00:12:28,400 Speaker 2: know you got a three point one yards per rush 267 00:12:28,400 --> 00:12:30,040 Speaker 2: for Eastern. They want to throw the football. They didn't 268 00:12:30,040 --> 00:12:31,840 Speaker 2: want to run anyway, so they're much more inclined to 269 00:12:31,840 --> 00:12:33,640 Speaker 2: throw the ball than run the ball. But it's gonna 270 00:12:33,640 --> 00:12:36,720 Speaker 2: be tough to pass on Toledo. Look, I think Eastern 271 00:12:36,720 --> 00:12:39,800 Speaker 2: Michigan can keep this game within one score. I don't 272 00:12:39,800 --> 00:12:41,400 Speaker 2: think this is a high scoring game. I think the 273 00:12:41,440 --> 00:12:43,640 Speaker 2: underdefinitely could be in play as well, even though it's maction. 274 00:12:43,760 --> 00:12:47,120 Speaker 2: But I think Eastern can throw the ball. They're live here, Okay. 275 00:12:47,120 --> 00:12:49,920 Speaker 2: I think Eastern's live to come up here. As I 276 00:12:49,960 --> 00:12:52,319 Speaker 2: mentioned two of the last three with Toledo being ranked 277 00:12:52,440 --> 00:12:56,160 Speaker 2: sorry being favored, they failed to cover here. Okay, I'm 278 00:12:56,200 --> 00:12:59,720 Speaker 2: taking the nine points Eastern Michigan plus nine on the 279 00:12:59,800 --> 00:13:03,320 Speaker 2: road at Toledo here with a total of fifty three, 280 00:13:04,160 --> 00:13:06,320 Speaker 2: taking the road dog at plus nine. All right, So 281 00:13:06,440 --> 00:13:09,880 Speaker 2: Miami of Ohio minus seven and a half against Ohio 282 00:13:10,160 --> 00:13:13,160 Speaker 2: for a half a unit in Eastern Michigan plus nine 283 00:13:13,640 --> 00:13:15,760 Speaker 2: for a half a unit. If you want to play 284 00:13:15,760 --> 00:13:17,920 Speaker 2: on the other game, I'm taking the over fifty seven 285 00:13:17,960 --> 00:13:20,520 Speaker 2: and a half over fifty eight for the other game. 286 00:13:20,559 --> 00:13:23,000 Speaker 1: But that's an unofficial play. That's just my personal play. Okay. 287 00:13:23,080 --> 00:13:23,600 Speaker 1: So there's our. 288 00:13:23,559 --> 00:13:26,480 Speaker 2: College football on a Tuesday. It's macchin Okay. It's why 289 00:13:26,480 --> 00:13:29,040 Speaker 2: I'm playing half units, all right. I'm not playing full 290 00:13:29,120 --> 00:13:32,040 Speaker 2: units on games that are being played on Tuesday and Wednesday. 291 00:13:32,200 --> 00:13:34,960 Speaker 2: Just my own personal preference. All right, let's get to 292 00:13:35,000 --> 00:13:38,960 Speaker 2: the World Series. Man, oh man, oh man, here we go. 293 00:13:39,400 --> 00:13:41,920 Speaker 2: This is going to be a very interesting game tonight. 294 00:13:42,880 --> 00:13:45,520 Speaker 2: It feels now correct if I'm wrong. This is why 295 00:13:45,559 --> 00:13:49,840 Speaker 2: we're on both sides of the of the winning right. 296 00:13:49,880 --> 00:13:52,720 Speaker 2: We're on Astros plus one forty five and we're on 297 00:13:52,760 --> 00:13:56,640 Speaker 2: the Braves plus one twenty here for the World Series 298 00:13:57,440 --> 00:14:00,439 Speaker 2: at FanDuel. The current number right now is to win 299 00:14:00,480 --> 00:14:06,679 Speaker 2: the World Series. And I that can't be right. That 300 00:14:06,720 --> 00:14:09,320 Speaker 2: can't be right. Hold on, that's got to be wrong. 301 00:14:09,360 --> 00:14:12,200 Speaker 2: That's got to be a mistake. The Braves are minus 302 00:14:12,200 --> 00:14:14,520 Speaker 2: two forty to win the World Series and the answers 303 00:14:14,559 --> 00:14:15,760 Speaker 2: are plus two hundred. 304 00:14:16,800 --> 00:14:20,920 Speaker 1: Is fan to will flip in this? Wow? 305 00:14:21,120 --> 00:14:24,800 Speaker 2: So they're still minus two forty going into a Game 306 00:14:24,880 --> 00:14:27,560 Speaker 2: six because they have a three to one lead. I'm 307 00:14:27,760 --> 00:14:31,080 Speaker 2: stunned at that, Huh. I injected that before we started 308 00:14:31,080 --> 00:14:33,680 Speaker 2: the podcast. Sorry, I was just I assume that would 309 00:14:33,680 --> 00:14:36,800 Speaker 2: be somewhere around like minus one fifty to thirty somewhere. 310 00:14:36,840 --> 00:14:39,520 Speaker 2: I mean, minus two forty win one game by the 311 00:14:39,520 --> 00:14:41,680 Speaker 2: next two. All right, Well, we'll see what happens there. 312 00:14:41,720 --> 00:14:43,800 Speaker 2: But that was surprising to me. Astros plus two hundred. 313 00:14:43,880 --> 00:14:46,120 Speaker 2: So you can bet the Astros right now to win 314 00:14:46,120 --> 00:14:47,680 Speaker 2: the World Series if you want, you get better numbers 315 00:14:47,680 --> 00:14:49,760 Speaker 2: of what I've got. I've got plus one forty five. 316 00:14:50,280 --> 00:14:52,320 Speaker 2: You can get plus two hundred right now on the Astros. 317 00:14:52,320 --> 00:14:54,600 Speaker 2: But doesn't it feel like the Braids are gonna blow this? 318 00:14:55,800 --> 00:14:58,240 Speaker 2: I mean, doesn't it feel like it is typical Atlanta 319 00:14:58,680 --> 00:15:00,720 Speaker 2: twenty eight to three all all over again? 320 00:15:01,080 --> 00:15:01,240 Speaker 1: Now? 321 00:15:01,240 --> 00:15:03,040 Speaker 2: I know you have Max Freed on the mound here 322 00:15:03,080 --> 00:15:07,160 Speaker 2: against Luis Garcia, but this is Game six in Houston. 323 00:15:07,600 --> 00:15:11,920 Speaker 2: Warmer weather, big lineups. Both lineups are alive in a 324 00:15:11,920 --> 00:15:15,440 Speaker 2: lot of ways. The Braves are trying to find some 325 00:15:15,520 --> 00:15:19,120 Speaker 2: offense to come back here and score and to do 326 00:15:19,880 --> 00:15:22,440 Speaker 2: some damage here. But I mean last time was a 327 00:15:22,520 --> 00:15:26,560 Speaker 2: nine to five win. On Sunday, we score fourteen runs, 328 00:15:26,600 --> 00:15:28,440 Speaker 2: the total is eight and a half. I think we're 329 00:15:28,440 --> 00:15:30,280 Speaker 2: going to be in for a very similar high scoring 330 00:15:30,320 --> 00:15:33,800 Speaker 2: game here tonight. I think after you see these lineups, 331 00:15:34,520 --> 00:15:37,240 Speaker 2: you get into the bullpens a little bit. I just 332 00:15:37,280 --> 00:15:40,040 Speaker 2: think this is a you know, I know Garcia has 333 00:15:40,080 --> 00:15:43,560 Speaker 2: been decent at home, but as Era on the road's 334 00:15:43,600 --> 00:15:46,680 Speaker 2: not been great. But I think you've got offenses that 335 00:15:47,280 --> 00:15:50,360 Speaker 2: need to go slugging here. I think the value is 336 00:15:50,400 --> 00:15:53,560 Speaker 2: on the over personally on this at minus one fifteen, 337 00:15:53,680 --> 00:15:57,560 Speaker 2: minus one ten shop around. I like the over eight 338 00:15:57,600 --> 00:15:58,920 Speaker 2: and a half runs here. It's going to be a 339 00:15:58,920 --> 00:16:01,600 Speaker 2: public play. But I us think with the Astros back 340 00:16:01,880 --> 00:16:05,400 Speaker 2: in the American League ballpark, with American League rules, Max 341 00:16:05,440 --> 00:16:08,520 Speaker 2: Freed on the mound, they've already seen them, and so 342 00:16:08,720 --> 00:16:11,520 Speaker 2: have the Braves seen Garcia. I mean, you know, a 343 00:16:11,600 --> 00:16:13,640 Speaker 2: chance to win the World Series again. The Braves will 344 00:16:13,640 --> 00:16:15,520 Speaker 2: have a chance tonight and tomorrow night they lose it 345 00:16:15,560 --> 00:16:17,600 Speaker 2: to win the World Series, but they force a Game seven. 346 00:16:18,200 --> 00:16:18,600 Speaker 1: Yikes. 347 00:16:19,800 --> 00:16:22,680 Speaker 2: I'm trying to think about the best way to play 348 00:16:22,680 --> 00:16:25,760 Speaker 2: this because if you haven't bet of total, so if 349 00:16:25,800 --> 00:16:28,120 Speaker 2: you bet the Astros to win the World Series now 350 00:16:28,120 --> 00:16:31,480 Speaker 2: at plus two hundred, So if you like the Astros 351 00:16:32,240 --> 00:16:36,120 Speaker 2: to win the World to win tonight, I think it's 352 00:16:36,160 --> 00:16:38,760 Speaker 2: probably smart to bet the Astros tonight at plus two 353 00:16:38,880 --> 00:16:41,200 Speaker 2: hundred because what do you think Game seven odds are 354 00:16:41,200 --> 00:16:47,320 Speaker 2: going to be if we go there, because technically my 355 00:16:47,400 --> 00:16:50,840 Speaker 2: guess would be maybe minus maybe maybe maybe minus one 356 00:16:50,960 --> 00:16:54,080 Speaker 2: ten And in a game seven setup, who's favorite Houston 357 00:16:54,120 --> 00:16:56,560 Speaker 2: probably his favorite right home team Game seven in the 358 00:16:56,560 --> 00:16:59,560 Speaker 2: World Series. So if that's the case, you bet, you know, 359 00:16:59,640 --> 00:17:02,240 Speaker 2: plus two hundred tonight on the Astros to win the 360 00:17:02,280 --> 00:17:03,880 Speaker 2: World Series. This might be a good way of playing. 361 00:17:03,920 --> 00:17:05,800 Speaker 2: Maybe you guys want it, so then you go to 362 00:17:05,800 --> 00:17:09,280 Speaker 2: a Game seven and then if you if the Astros 363 00:17:09,320 --> 00:17:12,679 Speaker 2: do win tonight for Game six, you've got plus two hundred. 364 00:17:12,720 --> 00:17:15,560 Speaker 2: That's essentially a plus two hundred money line going into 365 00:17:15,560 --> 00:17:18,400 Speaker 2: Game seven and then you're gonna come back with the 366 00:17:18,520 --> 00:17:20,600 Speaker 2: You could probably get minus one ten or you can 367 00:17:20,600 --> 00:17:23,800 Speaker 2: get something on the Astros sar on the Braves on 368 00:17:23,880 --> 00:17:26,280 Speaker 2: the money line for Game seven, and then you're basically 369 00:17:26,320 --> 00:17:29,159 Speaker 2: sitting on a guaranteed double ticket again, so you're at 370 00:17:29,200 --> 00:17:32,680 Speaker 2: plus one twenty for the Braves plus one forty five 371 00:17:32,920 --> 00:17:35,760 Speaker 2: on the Astros come back, you're on a plus two hundred. 372 00:17:35,800 --> 00:17:39,560 Speaker 1: You know what, I'm gonna do this. Let's I want 373 00:17:39,560 --> 00:17:40,400 Speaker 1: to make that official. 374 00:17:44,680 --> 00:17:46,280 Speaker 2: No, I'm not gonna make an official but I'm gonna 375 00:17:46,320 --> 00:17:47,880 Speaker 2: do this personally, so you can troll this you want, 376 00:17:47,920 --> 00:17:49,320 Speaker 2: but I don't want to do I already have two 377 00:17:49,320 --> 00:17:51,160 Speaker 2: official plays, so I don't. I'm we're already I don't 378 00:17:51,160 --> 00:17:53,440 Speaker 2: want to throw away, you know, a win here, We're 379 00:17:53,440 --> 00:17:55,520 Speaker 2: already plus So I'm not gonna do that officially, but 380 00:17:55,560 --> 00:17:58,119 Speaker 2: unofficially it's a way of playing this. So you do 381 00:17:58,200 --> 00:18:00,159 Speaker 2: two hundred plus two hundred on the Astros to the 382 00:18:00,160 --> 00:18:02,600 Speaker 2: World Series before they play Game six, because I do 383 00:18:02,600 --> 00:18:05,040 Speaker 2: think the Astros are gonna win Game seven personal opinion, 384 00:18:05,119 --> 00:18:07,159 Speaker 2: I think they win game seven, so they saw a 385 00:18:07,160 --> 00:18:08,600 Speaker 2: Game six other So then we're going to a game 386 00:18:08,600 --> 00:18:11,399 Speaker 2: seven and then for a Game seven, we're gonna go 387 00:18:11,480 --> 00:18:14,600 Speaker 2: into having a plus two hundred on the Braves, which 388 00:18:14,640 --> 00:18:17,600 Speaker 2: essentially becomes a plus two hundred money line and then 389 00:18:17,640 --> 00:18:20,119 Speaker 2: come back and bet the Braves as well for a 390 00:18:20,200 --> 00:18:23,480 Speaker 2: half a unit on either side. So then we're we'll 391 00:18:23,520 --> 00:18:26,240 Speaker 2: guarantee ourselves a profit and maybe you can come back 392 00:18:26,280 --> 00:18:27,880 Speaker 2: with depending on what I could be wrong. The Braves 393 00:18:27,920 --> 00:18:31,199 Speaker 2: are plus money for a game seven, who knows, I 394 00:18:31,240 --> 00:18:34,440 Speaker 2: mean they're I mean min's one ten both sides, right, probably, 395 00:18:35,280 --> 00:18:37,280 Speaker 2: So you know, you got a plus two hundred, you 396 00:18:37,320 --> 00:18:39,199 Speaker 2: got a plus one ten. You can hedge off of that. 397 00:18:39,240 --> 00:18:41,760 Speaker 2: If the Astros win the World Series, you're golden. We've 398 00:18:41,800 --> 00:18:44,919 Speaker 2: we cash two Astros tickets and we're way up. So 399 00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:47,199 Speaker 2: I'm gonna do that personally because I'm already on the 400 00:18:47,240 --> 00:18:49,240 Speaker 2: plus one twenty and the plus one forty five. So 401 00:18:49,800 --> 00:18:51,639 Speaker 2: sorry to ramble like that, but that's just kind of 402 00:18:51,720 --> 00:18:55,080 Speaker 2: us making that figuring that out live here on the podcast, 403 00:18:55,320 --> 00:18:57,840 Speaker 2: all right, So to recut the place, Miami minas seven 404 00:18:57,880 --> 00:19:01,879 Speaker 2: and a half at Ohio. That's Michigan plus nine on 405 00:19:02,000 --> 00:19:04,879 Speaker 2: the road at Toledo. Personal play on the over in 406 00:19:04,920 --> 00:19:07,320 Speaker 2: the other game with Paul State World Series over eight 407 00:19:07,320 --> 00:19:09,040 Speaker 2: and a half for a half a unit, and then 408 00:19:09,040 --> 00:19:11,360 Speaker 2: two NBA player props coming into the Discord channel later 409 00:19:11,440 --> 00:19:13,639 Speaker 2: on Today minus Matt Parralt. You guys can find me 410 00:19:13,720 --> 00:19:15,960 Speaker 2: on Twitter at sports Doc Matt. Each every morning, it's 411 00:19:16,000 --> 00:19:18,119 Speaker 2: the Daily Juice Podcast, always being brought to you by 412 00:19:18,240 --> 00:19:18,919 Speaker 2: bet MGM