1 00:00:01,120 --> 00:00:03,360 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's done to place 2 00:00:03,440 --> 00:00:05,800 Speaker 1: your bets. It has me Joey P joe P Zapia 3 00:00:06,120 --> 00:00:09,520 Speaker 1: and this is BP NFL joining me as always to 4 00:00:09,640 --> 00:00:12,080 Speaker 1: preview the Thursday night football game. He is the one, 5 00:00:12,119 --> 00:00:14,760 Speaker 1: the only Scott Bogman, the Man of CFB in the 6 00:00:14,800 --> 00:00:18,680 Speaker 1: Dynasty podcast. Bogman, My New England Patriots will be playing 7 00:00:18,720 --> 00:00:20,880 Speaker 1: the New York Jets. I feel like I'm playing with 8 00:00:20,920 --> 00:00:23,040 Speaker 1: house money in this one. I've already got a win 9 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:25,960 Speaker 1: over the Bengals, which I didn't expect. 10 00:00:26,040 --> 00:00:27,600 Speaker 2: A tough loss at to see that. 11 00:00:28,200 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 1: You do love to see that, a tough loss at 12 00:00:29,920 --> 00:00:33,600 Speaker 1: home last week, So I don't have very high expectations. 13 00:00:33,600 --> 00:00:36,320 Speaker 1: I always put the you know, being the Italian from Brooklyn, 14 00:00:36,400 --> 00:00:39,120 Speaker 1: I am. I put the business aside from the personal 15 00:00:39,520 --> 00:00:42,280 Speaker 1: as always. But I'm looking forward to this game because 16 00:00:42,640 --> 00:00:45,600 Speaker 1: I feel like the Patriots have very little pressure on them. 17 00:00:45,920 --> 00:00:48,879 Speaker 1: I know it's a big game theoretically for Robert Kraft 18 00:00:48,880 --> 00:00:51,680 Speaker 1: and you know Mayo's first game as a head coach 19 00:00:51,720 --> 00:00:54,520 Speaker 1: against the New York Jets. Yeah, yeah, yeah, the Jets 20 00:00:54,520 --> 00:00:56,880 Speaker 1: have all the expectations. The Jets, to me, are the 21 00:00:56,920 --> 00:01:00,840 Speaker 1: team that has all the pressure on them. So after 22 00:01:01,040 --> 00:01:04,319 Speaker 1: week two or Will Levis gave them a victory, we 23 00:01:04,400 --> 00:01:07,680 Speaker 1: got to talk about what kind of expectations maybe that 24 00:01:07,760 --> 00:01:11,000 Speaker 1: the New York Jets are feeling, were maybe putting on themselves. 25 00:01:11,480 --> 00:01:14,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, you can see really the lack of continuity from 26 00:01:14,640 --> 00:01:18,560 Speaker 2: the Jets offense specifically right like, and that's Aaron Rodgers 27 00:01:18,600 --> 00:01:20,920 Speaker 2: missing a bunch of time in camp. So you know, 28 00:01:21,319 --> 00:01:27,039 Speaker 2: while surprising they, you know, they moan and whine about 29 00:01:27,400 --> 00:01:29,880 Speaker 2: the lack of time in preseason and things like that, 30 00:01:30,040 --> 00:01:32,520 Speaker 2: and I understand that it's true. And then you have 31 00:01:32,600 --> 00:01:35,840 Speaker 2: no rhythm when you get there. Not a surprise, right, 32 00:01:36,200 --> 00:01:39,080 Speaker 2: Breis Hall is still really good. Garrett Wilson's still really good. 33 00:01:39,200 --> 00:01:42,280 Speaker 2: Got to get the ball to him. So I expect 34 00:01:42,319 --> 00:01:45,560 Speaker 2: the Jets to become better moving forward. But in this 35 00:01:45,640 --> 00:01:48,720 Speaker 2: game specifically, this is a tough division game on the road. 36 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:51,440 Speaker 2: And or is this in New York? 37 00:01:51,520 --> 00:01:53,560 Speaker 1: I always this one was in New York. Yeah, my 38 00:01:53,600 --> 00:01:55,160 Speaker 1: best in New York. 39 00:01:55,240 --> 00:01:57,880 Speaker 2: But it's a tough division game and the Patriots are 40 00:01:57,880 --> 00:02:01,120 Speaker 2: playing much better than we ANTICI paid it in expected, 41 00:02:01,440 --> 00:02:04,480 Speaker 2: So I really don't like this game. But if I'm picking, 42 00:02:04,520 --> 00:02:06,920 Speaker 2: somebody give me the points. I'll take the Patriots and 43 00:02:06,960 --> 00:02:07,440 Speaker 2: the points. 44 00:02:07,840 --> 00:02:10,880 Speaker 1: We're back again to the Uh. It's Thursday night football 45 00:02:11,160 --> 00:02:12,640 Speaker 1: and we got Yeah. 46 00:02:12,680 --> 00:02:15,160 Speaker 2: I hate Thursday night football. I don't like it. I'll 47 00:02:15,160 --> 00:02:18,720 Speaker 2: say that, like what I all I want is them 48 00:02:18,800 --> 00:02:21,240 Speaker 2: to hold this off for teams coming off by weeks. 49 00:02:21,240 --> 00:02:23,160 Speaker 2: For God's sake, I'm gonna get up on my soapbox 50 00:02:23,200 --> 00:02:26,320 Speaker 2: here again. It's sloppy, bad football. It costs to a 51 00:02:26,720 --> 00:02:29,880 Speaker 2: Last week, all my bets were screwed because the Dolphins 52 00:02:29,919 --> 00:02:32,800 Speaker 2: held the ball for thirty six minutes somehow in that game, 53 00:02:32,840 --> 00:02:36,040 Speaker 2: because the Bills scored like that, and then they had 54 00:02:36,080 --> 00:02:38,359 Speaker 2: no reason to pass the ball to my my guy 55 00:02:38,480 --> 00:02:41,359 Speaker 2: Kean Coleman in the second half. You know, to a 56 00:02:41,400 --> 00:02:43,919 Speaker 2: got hurt. I was one and four all my picks 57 00:02:43,960 --> 00:02:46,120 Speaker 2: last week four and one week one. So we are 58 00:02:46,240 --> 00:02:48,799 Speaker 2: even at five and five. But we are coming off 59 00:02:48,800 --> 00:02:50,760 Speaker 2: a week where I hate it Thursday football. 60 00:02:50,840 --> 00:02:52,520 Speaker 1: Well, look, I've got a lot to live up to 61 00:02:52,560 --> 00:02:57,040 Speaker 1: after my Monday night Kirk Cousins calls because I got 62 00:02:57,480 --> 00:03:00,639 Speaker 1: the Falcons uh to cover. I got the Kurk Cousins 63 00:03:00,720 --> 00:03:03,799 Speaker 1: over on the passing yards on a Monday night, and 64 00:03:03,919 --> 00:03:06,120 Speaker 1: I got the Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown three for. 65 00:03:06,120 --> 00:03:08,720 Speaker 2: Three, couldn't give Barkley to get five more yards to 66 00:03:08,800 --> 00:03:10,880 Speaker 2: hit me on the three one one call, So. 67 00:03:11,040 --> 00:03:14,640 Speaker 1: I couldn't get that. But that's all right, and uh yeah, 68 00:03:14,680 --> 00:03:17,160 Speaker 1: look it's uh we'll see, we'll see how it goes 69 00:03:17,200 --> 00:03:21,880 Speaker 1: here in the Thursday night football const also tonight, there's 70 00:03:21,919 --> 00:03:25,320 Speaker 1: gonna be some injuries too, so let's talk about some 71 00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:27,680 Speaker 1: of those potential injuries here and how that might affect 72 00:03:28,240 --> 00:03:31,480 Speaker 1: these lines here. Again, we're recording this Wednesday afternoon, so 73 00:03:31,840 --> 00:03:33,960 Speaker 1: there might be some more things to pop off in between. 74 00:03:34,320 --> 00:03:36,040 Speaker 1: But as of what we know now in terms of 75 00:03:36,040 --> 00:03:37,200 Speaker 1: the health of some of the players, how do you 76 00:03:37,240 --> 00:03:40,600 Speaker 1: see that impacting potentially the spread for this And let's 77 00:03:40,600 --> 00:03:42,960 Speaker 1: set the stage here for this one too. Right now, 78 00:03:42,960 --> 00:03:45,200 Speaker 1: as a recording New England on the road, six and 79 00:03:45,200 --> 00:03:47,440 Speaker 1: a half point underdogs minus one ten at Caesars is 80 00:03:47,440 --> 00:03:50,040 Speaker 1: the best spot. The minus six on the Jets at 81 00:03:50,040 --> 00:03:52,160 Speaker 1: minus one ten or at ESPN Bet is the best 82 00:03:52,240 --> 00:03:55,840 Speaker 1: number you can get. Thirty eight is the best over 83 00:03:56,040 --> 00:03:58,840 Speaker 1: at minus one seventeen. The under at thirty eight and 84 00:03:58,880 --> 00:04:00,600 Speaker 1: a half is the best number you can find out there. 85 00:04:00,640 --> 00:04:03,080 Speaker 1: And then for the New York Jets to win on 86 00:04:03,120 --> 00:04:04,560 Speaker 1: the money line minus two six and nine for the 87 00:04:04,600 --> 00:04:08,400 Speaker 1: Patriots plus two thirty five. Now the under just seems 88 00:04:08,440 --> 00:04:10,600 Speaker 1: like the way to go for this game. 89 00:04:10,880 --> 00:04:11,240 Speaker 2: Does. 90 00:04:11,880 --> 00:04:15,280 Speaker 1: It's Thursday Night, it's the Patriots, it's the Jets, it's 91 00:04:15,320 --> 00:04:15,960 Speaker 1: in division. 92 00:04:16,080 --> 00:04:19,160 Speaker 2: It looks sloppy. We don't trust the Patriots offense at all. 93 00:04:19,560 --> 00:04:21,640 Speaker 1: His line is not good for the Patriots, not good 94 00:04:21,480 --> 00:04:24,360 Speaker 1: and not healthy. But you have some other feelings where 95 00:04:24,360 --> 00:04:25,719 Speaker 1: you might be looking the other way, so you have 96 00:04:25,760 --> 00:04:27,599 Speaker 1: to sell me on this one too. 97 00:04:28,160 --> 00:04:30,640 Speaker 2: There's too many damn her players on both sides of 98 00:04:30,680 --> 00:04:33,679 Speaker 2: this defense. I mean, that's what it is. This total 99 00:04:33,880 --> 00:04:37,640 Speaker 2: is low. Jermaine Johnson best pass rusher for the Jets, 100 00:04:37,720 --> 00:04:40,480 Speaker 2: especially since hasan redick game playing out for the year 101 00:04:40,520 --> 00:04:44,280 Speaker 2: with the achilles right CJ. Moseley with the toe left 102 00:04:44,320 --> 00:04:47,719 Speaker 2: last game, questionable for this game. Probably not going to play. 103 00:04:47,920 --> 00:04:50,240 Speaker 2: DJ Reid didn't play last week. They're one of their 104 00:04:50,240 --> 00:04:54,560 Speaker 2: best cover corners. He's probably not going this week as well. 105 00:04:54,720 --> 00:04:57,560 Speaker 2: On the Patriots side, Jawan Bentley might be out for 106 00:04:57,600 --> 00:05:00,960 Speaker 2: the season with the torn peck. You have Anthony Jennings, 107 00:05:00,960 --> 00:05:04,560 Speaker 2: a good pass rusher, Jabril Pepper is their best safety, well, 108 00:05:04,560 --> 00:05:06,280 Speaker 2: one of their best safeties. S Dougger is awesome too. 109 00:05:06,480 --> 00:05:10,360 Speaker 2: Whys all these guys are questionable, so playing on a 110 00:05:10,400 --> 00:05:13,680 Speaker 2: short week, even if they do play, all these dudes 111 00:05:14,040 --> 00:05:16,520 Speaker 2: are less than one hundred percent going into this game 112 00:05:16,640 --> 00:05:20,160 Speaker 2: if they even show up. So I don't like the 113 00:05:20,279 --> 00:05:22,840 Speaker 2: lack of continuity for the Jets. I don't like the 114 00:05:22,880 --> 00:05:27,040 Speaker 2: offensive line issues for the Patriots, but I think this 115 00:05:27,120 --> 00:05:29,160 Speaker 2: is a game where both these teams can score. And 116 00:05:29,240 --> 00:05:32,680 Speaker 2: in terms of passing the ball, these teams thirty first 117 00:05:32,680 --> 00:05:36,320 Speaker 2: for the Jets, thirtieth for the Patriots in completed air yards, 118 00:05:36,600 --> 00:05:39,200 Speaker 2: So this is in hypothetical air yards. This is stuff 119 00:05:39,279 --> 00:05:41,719 Speaker 2: that has happened on the field. Both these teams have 120 00:05:41,760 --> 00:05:44,839 Speaker 2: been bad covering the deep ball, soas Gardner looks terrible, 121 00:05:45,200 --> 00:05:49,880 Speaker 2: the Patriots twenty eighth and the Jets twenty fifth in 122 00:05:50,000 --> 00:05:53,839 Speaker 2: mistackles this season. They have a bunch of misstackles as well. 123 00:05:54,120 --> 00:05:57,400 Speaker 2: So I just think we concentrate on the offense because 124 00:05:57,400 --> 00:05:59,120 Speaker 2: we'll watch a lot of fantasy and that's the side 125 00:05:59,120 --> 00:06:02,719 Speaker 2: we know, right But on the defensive side, these teams 126 00:06:02,760 --> 00:06:06,400 Speaker 2: are actually worse than their offensive counterparts right now, which 127 00:06:06,480 --> 00:06:09,680 Speaker 2: is hard to say, well really for the Jets side, 128 00:06:09,680 --> 00:06:12,920 Speaker 2: and the Patriots offense has been okay under Brissette and 129 00:06:13,279 --> 00:06:15,920 Speaker 2: Stevenson running, So I just don't like the defenses. I 130 00:06:15,920 --> 00:06:16,960 Speaker 2: think they're too banged up. 131 00:06:17,200 --> 00:06:17,800 Speaker 1: We have. 132 00:06:18,320 --> 00:06:21,680 Speaker 2: The mistakes in Thursday are magnified, and I think we're 133 00:06:21,720 --> 00:06:23,960 Speaker 2: gonna have more mistakes on defense and offense this week. 134 00:06:24,120 --> 00:06:25,880 Speaker 1: It's a lot of good logic you're laying out there, 135 00:06:26,279 --> 00:06:28,120 Speaker 1: but it's one thing I've learned over the years. It's 136 00:06:28,160 --> 00:06:30,360 Speaker 1: a Thursday night football on logic typically don't go together, 137 00:06:30,880 --> 00:06:33,720 Speaker 1: and that's true, and I'm just gonna I'm gonna stick 138 00:06:33,760 --> 00:06:36,000 Speaker 1: with the under for this game because I don't know 139 00:06:36,040 --> 00:06:39,159 Speaker 1: if this juncture in the season, in a short week, 140 00:06:39,400 --> 00:06:42,719 Speaker 1: that either of these offenses are prepared to take advantage 141 00:06:43,040 --> 00:06:46,560 Speaker 1: of what's missing on defense. They should, I'm just not 142 00:06:46,680 --> 00:06:50,279 Speaker 1: confident that they will necessarily. So I feel like the 143 00:06:50,320 --> 00:06:52,279 Speaker 1: six and a half is a little bit too much 144 00:06:52,320 --> 00:06:54,360 Speaker 1: there because it is an a vision game. I think 145 00:06:54,360 --> 00:06:56,520 Speaker 1: the Patriots will be competitive. I think the Patriots play 146 00:06:56,520 --> 00:07:00,599 Speaker 1: fast and loose in this game because no expectations, there's none. 147 00:07:00,880 --> 00:07:03,120 Speaker 1: You know, they're they're going in there to be spoilers. 148 00:07:03,160 --> 00:07:05,080 Speaker 1: There's a lot of pressure on the Jets to come home, 149 00:07:05,600 --> 00:07:07,920 Speaker 1: you know, first game to not go well. Second game. 150 00:07:08,320 --> 00:07:09,920 Speaker 1: They got out of Tennessee with the victory. This is 151 00:07:09,920 --> 00:07:11,400 Speaker 1: their first game home. There'll be a lot of emotion 152 00:07:11,480 --> 00:07:13,520 Speaker 1: in that building. If they get off to any sort 153 00:07:13,520 --> 00:07:15,280 Speaker 1: of a bad start. I think it could go wrong 154 00:07:16,720 --> 00:07:19,360 Speaker 1: in a heartbeat for them. But at the same time, 155 00:07:19,520 --> 00:07:21,480 Speaker 1: I'm just not confident enough of anything I've seen out 156 00:07:21,480 --> 00:07:23,760 Speaker 1: of New England that I really think you can always 157 00:07:23,800 --> 00:07:25,680 Speaker 1: take advantage of it. So I'm just gonna stick with 158 00:07:25,720 --> 00:07:28,280 Speaker 1: the under thirty eight and a half. That is for me. 159 00:07:28,360 --> 00:07:30,400 Speaker 1: Bogs is on the over. If you had to lean 160 00:07:30,400 --> 00:07:32,040 Speaker 1: one way on the spread, which way would you be leaning? 161 00:07:32,040 --> 00:07:33,280 Speaker 1: Would you be taking the points? With the past? 162 00:07:33,440 --> 00:07:35,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, they give me the points. I don't want. 163 00:07:35,200 --> 00:07:36,080 Speaker 1: That's all I wanted too. 164 00:07:36,680 --> 00:07:39,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, Thursday Night Football, I think most of my thought 165 00:07:40,000 --> 00:07:41,920 Speaker 2: process is going to be give. It's going to start 166 00:07:42,000 --> 00:07:44,320 Speaker 2: at give me the points and then right backwards from there. 167 00:07:44,600 --> 00:07:46,800 Speaker 1: Yeah. Look, it's what I did on Monday night and 168 00:07:46,800 --> 00:07:50,320 Speaker 1: it worked out pretty pretty well. All right. Before we 169 00:07:50,360 --> 00:07:52,760 Speaker 1: get on to the breakdown of the props for Thursday 170 00:07:52,800 --> 00:07:54,920 Speaker 1: night football, don't forget We've got a way for you 171 00:07:54,960 --> 00:07:56,800 Speaker 1: to have some fun while making some picks, you can 172 00:07:56,840 --> 00:08:00,560 Speaker 1: join our NFL podcast group over at betting Pros. On 173 00:08:00,600 --> 00:08:02,760 Speaker 1: the app, you can click on the community tab and 174 00:08:02,880 --> 00:08:05,960 Speaker 1: join betting pros dot com slash NFL Contest. You can 175 00:08:06,000 --> 00:08:08,240 Speaker 1: sink your picks or use the quick pickfature which is 176 00:08:08,240 --> 00:08:09,720 Speaker 1: really easy on the Betting Pros app, and you get 177 00:08:09,720 --> 00:08:12,840 Speaker 1: a chance to win free, weekly and monthly prizes just 178 00:08:12,920 --> 00:08:15,520 Speaker 1: for being right with your picks. So elevate your betting 179 00:08:15,560 --> 00:08:18,720 Speaker 1: strategy and join the conversation today at bettingpros dot com 180 00:08:18,760 --> 00:08:21,440 Speaker 1: slash NFL Contest. Again, you don't even have to be 181 00:08:21,440 --> 00:08:23,600 Speaker 1: making wagers on it if wagering is not legal in 182 00:08:23,640 --> 00:08:25,760 Speaker 1: the state you live. You can at least make some picks, 183 00:08:25,800 --> 00:08:29,080 Speaker 1: have some fun and win some fabulous prizes with our 184 00:08:29,240 --> 00:08:32,960 Speaker 1: NFL contest only at bettingpros dot com slash NFL Contest. 185 00:08:33,000 --> 00:08:34,640 Speaker 1: All right, Bogs, let's take a look at some of 186 00:08:34,679 --> 00:08:36,480 Speaker 1: the props you've laid out for the people for Thursday 187 00:08:36,559 --> 00:08:37,120 Speaker 1: night football. 188 00:08:37,720 --> 00:08:40,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, let's start. I've got all overs here, and I 189 00:08:40,400 --> 00:08:42,440 Speaker 2: know my overs last week. 190 00:08:42,640 --> 00:08:46,200 Speaker 1: You're the opposite of You're like the cane to the undertaker, 191 00:08:46,280 --> 00:08:49,960 Speaker 1: that is Andrew ericson. That's what you mean. Yes, look, 192 00:08:50,080 --> 00:08:51,880 Speaker 1: and you have a little bit of a red beard 193 00:08:51,880 --> 00:08:52,160 Speaker 1: going on. 194 00:08:52,200 --> 00:08:56,040 Speaker 2: So any single Under you want, I understand right Like 195 00:08:56,160 --> 00:08:59,199 Speaker 2: Unders are paying this year. It's Thursday night. It's weird. 196 00:08:59,559 --> 00:09:02,600 Speaker 2: So I'm not hating Unders at all. I think they 197 00:09:02,679 --> 00:09:05,760 Speaker 2: win most of the time. But for this game, because 198 00:09:05,800 --> 00:09:08,000 Speaker 2: I don't like the defenses here, I'm gonna take a 199 00:09:08,000 --> 00:09:10,680 Speaker 2: lot of overs. And let's first start with ramondre Stevenson 200 00:09:10,800 --> 00:09:14,160 Speaker 2: over sixty sixty six and a half rushing yards is 201 00:09:14,200 --> 00:09:16,600 Speaker 2: two games so far, twenty five for one, twenty one 202 00:09:16,640 --> 00:09:18,960 Speaker 2: for eighty one. He's getting a lot of carries. The 203 00:09:19,040 --> 00:09:24,040 Speaker 2: Jets are currently twenty six in PFF defensive run grade. CJ. 204 00:09:24,160 --> 00:09:27,640 Speaker 2: Mosley is the highest graded run defender for the Jets. 205 00:09:27,880 --> 00:09:30,640 Speaker 2: He's likely not going to play in this game, and 206 00:09:30,679 --> 00:09:32,520 Speaker 2: if he does, he's gonna be less than one hundred percent. 207 00:09:32,840 --> 00:09:36,440 Speaker 2: Jermaine Johnson is being replaced by Will McDonald, who is 208 00:09:37,000 --> 00:09:39,600 Speaker 2: really bad against the run. In fact, I don't think 209 00:09:39,640 --> 00:09:42,880 Speaker 2: on rundowns you can still even put Will McDonald out there. 210 00:09:42,920 --> 00:09:46,960 Speaker 2: So you're gonna have suboptimal players out there to defend 211 00:09:46,960 --> 00:09:50,160 Speaker 2: a guy that has been running well recently. So I'm 212 00:09:50,160 --> 00:09:52,679 Speaker 2: gonna go with Remandre on the over sixty six and 213 00:09:52,720 --> 00:09:54,840 Speaker 2: a half here in this one. 214 00:09:55,120 --> 00:09:57,720 Speaker 1: All right, so Remandre in for the over. Let's talk 215 00:09:57,720 --> 00:10:00,000 Speaker 1: about Jalen Polk. Small number here, two and a half 216 00:10:01,040 --> 00:10:03,079 Speaker 1: and you're going over for this one. Also twenty and 217 00:10:03,120 --> 00:10:06,000 Speaker 1: a half receiving yards, So it said double over on 218 00:10:06,120 --> 00:10:08,400 Speaker 1: Jalen Polk. What did you see last week that made 219 00:10:08,400 --> 00:10:10,400 Speaker 1: you encourage for Thursday night football for Polk? 220 00:10:11,040 --> 00:10:15,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, so this one is about this bad secondary right 221 00:10:15,000 --> 00:10:18,960 Speaker 2: now for the Jets. Banged up, Yes, Dj Reed questionable 222 00:10:19,000 --> 00:10:21,040 Speaker 2: with the toe injury, didn't play last week. Maybe he 223 00:10:21,080 --> 00:10:24,000 Speaker 2: comes back. But saus Gardner has been miserable. He's given 224 00:10:24,120 --> 00:10:27,840 Speaker 2: up five receptions on his seven targets ninety six yards. 225 00:10:28,440 --> 00:10:30,640 Speaker 2: Polk is he plays a little bit in the slot, 226 00:10:30,679 --> 00:10:33,959 Speaker 2: but he mainly plays outside. So I like the plus money. 227 00:10:33,960 --> 00:10:36,280 Speaker 2: I like the receptions more at plus one twenty five. 228 00:10:37,760 --> 00:10:40,000 Speaker 2: You know, he was close on snaps with Douglas and 229 00:10:40,040 --> 00:10:43,720 Speaker 2: Thornton in week one, but he was highest among them 230 00:10:43,760 --> 00:10:46,600 Speaker 2: in week two. He caught a touchdown last week. He 231 00:10:46,640 --> 00:10:50,160 Speaker 2: has the second highest a dot behind tech Taekwon Thornton 232 00:10:50,559 --> 00:10:53,720 Speaker 2: on this team as well. So they're giving him shots 233 00:10:53,760 --> 00:10:56,040 Speaker 2: a little bit deeper, so if this is going to 234 00:10:56,080 --> 00:10:57,600 Speaker 2: be a little bit of a back and forth game 235 00:10:57,640 --> 00:10:59,560 Speaker 2: on the defensive side. Plus we go back to the 236 00:10:59,559 --> 00:11:02,000 Speaker 2: air yard it's given up by both these teams. I 237 00:11:02,080 --> 00:11:05,760 Speaker 2: like Jalen Polk to go sail past both these. 238 00:11:05,679 --> 00:11:07,559 Speaker 1: Okay, again low number there. The two and a half 239 00:11:07,559 --> 00:11:11,920 Speaker 1: receptions too, especially Aaron Rodgers the total is two hundred 240 00:11:11,960 --> 00:11:14,360 Speaker 1: and twelve and a half. When it comes to passing yards, 241 00:11:14,360 --> 00:11:15,720 Speaker 1: he going over under on this one. 242 00:11:16,200 --> 00:11:18,080 Speaker 2: Let's go back to the air yards given up. And 243 00:11:18,120 --> 00:11:21,559 Speaker 2: the fact that this run, this run blocking hasn't been 244 00:11:21,600 --> 00:11:24,400 Speaker 2: real great for the Jets so far. You've seen I 245 00:11:24,480 --> 00:11:27,600 Speaker 2: believe Brisall leads this team in receptions right now, right, 246 00:11:27,880 --> 00:11:32,120 Speaker 2: so a lot of short dumpoffs to help supply the 247 00:11:32,240 --> 00:11:35,800 Speaker 2: run game. And the Patriots are third worst in the 248 00:11:35,840 --> 00:11:38,680 Speaker 2: league in terms of air yards given up. Plus Aaron 249 00:11:38,760 --> 00:11:43,000 Speaker 2: Rodgers on Thursday Night is not a bad matchup here. 250 00:11:43,040 --> 00:11:47,520 Speaker 2: He's eleven and six in seventeen games. He's thrown for 251 00:11:47,520 --> 00:11:50,600 Speaker 2: forty three hundred yards. His averages on Thursday Night twenty 252 00:11:50,600 --> 00:11:53,240 Speaker 2: three point four completions, two hundred and fifty eight yards, 253 00:11:53,360 --> 00:11:56,520 Speaker 2: two point two touchdowns, and point three interceptions. That's say 254 00:11:56,559 --> 00:12:00,160 Speaker 2: thirty seven touchdown to five interception rate. This guy as 255 00:12:00,160 --> 00:12:03,400 Speaker 2: a veteran, right and when you see a game coming 256 00:12:03,440 --> 00:12:06,160 Speaker 2: on short rest like this, we have Brissett, we have 257 00:12:06,280 --> 00:12:09,080 Speaker 2: Aaron Rodgers, two krusty old Vets who know what to 258 00:12:09,120 --> 00:12:12,400 Speaker 2: do in this scenario. So I like a rod to 259 00:12:12,440 --> 00:12:13,400 Speaker 2: go over in this game. 260 00:12:13,720 --> 00:12:16,520 Speaker 1: Yeah. Interesting some of the stats you pulled up there 261 00:12:16,520 --> 00:12:19,079 Speaker 1: too about the Jets run game. I think the Tennessee 262 00:12:19,200 --> 00:12:21,680 Speaker 1: Titans defense is better than maybe people gave a credit 263 00:12:21,679 --> 00:12:22,360 Speaker 1: four going into the year. 264 00:12:22,440 --> 00:12:26,640 Speaker 2: Jeffrey Simmons and Tovandre sweat my boy from Texas. That 265 00:12:26,840 --> 00:12:27,720 Speaker 2: is tough to run. 266 00:12:27,520 --> 00:12:31,480 Speaker 1: On it is, So that's a B week one. Certainly, 267 00:12:31,480 --> 00:12:33,440 Speaker 1: games script wise did not go in their favor right away, 268 00:12:33,559 --> 00:12:35,480 Speaker 1: like that was kind of taken out of their hands 269 00:12:35,520 --> 00:12:38,000 Speaker 1: right away. So this is I think a unique opportunity here. 270 00:12:38,000 --> 00:12:39,760 Speaker 1: And if I'm the Jets, and we'll get to that 271 00:12:39,760 --> 00:12:41,200 Speaker 1: and when we get to my Vets later on in 272 00:12:41,200 --> 00:12:43,880 Speaker 1: my same game, parlay, I think that's what you do 273 00:12:43,920 --> 00:12:47,600 Speaker 1: first and foremost, establish this run, get your play action going, 274 00:12:47,679 --> 00:12:51,400 Speaker 1: get get you know, Aaron Rodgers comfortable, and get everything 275 00:12:51,440 --> 00:12:52,959 Speaker 1: in motion here. Because I do think it's going to 276 00:12:53,000 --> 00:12:55,800 Speaker 1: be a very you know, emotional night in that building here, 277 00:12:56,080 --> 00:12:57,840 Speaker 1: and Aaron Rodgers trying not to run on the field 278 00:12:57,840 --> 00:13:00,719 Speaker 1: with a flag this time or something. Just just just 279 00:13:00,720 --> 00:13:04,120 Speaker 1: just walk carefully onto the field, no running. All right, 280 00:13:04,200 --> 00:13:06,319 Speaker 1: Let's go to Garrett Wilson. So if you like Rogers 281 00:13:06,320 --> 00:13:08,480 Speaker 1: for the over, I imagine the five and a half 282 00:13:08,480 --> 00:13:11,600 Speaker 1: receptions you're liking as well for Garrett Wilson. And he 283 00:13:11,679 --> 00:13:14,440 Speaker 1: tends to find that one guy and stick to him. 284 00:13:14,440 --> 00:13:16,040 Speaker 1: That's kind of the Aaron Rodgers we know. 285 00:13:16,840 --> 00:13:20,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, and just everyone in this secondary for your team 286 00:13:20,679 --> 00:13:24,000 Speaker 2: has been giving up receptions like crazy. The top five 287 00:13:24,120 --> 00:13:28,360 Speaker 2: guys in terms of being targeted Christian Gonzalez, Marcus Jones, 288 00:13:28,440 --> 00:13:32,439 Speaker 2: Kyle Dugger, to Buy and Bentley. The linebackers have been 289 00:13:32,440 --> 00:13:35,360 Speaker 2: targeted forty nine times and given up thirty nine receptions. 290 00:13:35,400 --> 00:13:40,640 Speaker 2: That's an eighty percent completion rate for the defense against 291 00:13:40,679 --> 00:13:44,040 Speaker 2: them at three hundred and forty nine yards given up. 292 00:13:44,120 --> 00:13:48,000 Speaker 2: This is those air yards have not been great. So yeah, 293 00:13:48,000 --> 00:13:51,080 Speaker 2: it's been tough in coverage for New England so far. 294 00:13:51,800 --> 00:13:54,360 Speaker 2: Like I said, Aaron Rodgers across the old vet on 295 00:13:54,400 --> 00:13:56,800 Speaker 2: a short rest, like I don't like him not having 296 00:13:56,840 --> 00:13:59,880 Speaker 2: this continuity with the team early, but he knows what 297 00:14:00,080 --> 00:14:02,439 Speaker 2: to do on this short rest. He has great success 298 00:14:02,600 --> 00:14:04,719 Speaker 2: on Thursday Night football as well over the course of 299 00:14:04,760 --> 00:14:07,079 Speaker 2: his career, so I'm going to lean on his success. 300 00:14:07,520 --> 00:14:09,520 Speaker 1: All right, before we get to the same game Parlay 301 00:14:09,559 --> 00:14:11,680 Speaker 1: of the day, don't forget when you download the Betting 302 00:14:11,679 --> 00:14:14,120 Speaker 1: Pros app and sink your sports books for free, you 303 00:14:14,160 --> 00:14:17,360 Speaker 1: can use some of our cool Betting pros betting systems, 304 00:14:17,640 --> 00:14:20,880 Speaker 1: and that tool is designed to help you find winning 305 00:14:20,920 --> 00:14:24,240 Speaker 1: strategies and make smarter bets. Customize your betting systems by sport, 306 00:14:24,520 --> 00:14:27,760 Speaker 1: by bet type and timeframe to find the best opportunities. 307 00:14:27,800 --> 00:14:30,360 Speaker 1: Using real time data and expert analysis, you can track 308 00:14:30,400 --> 00:14:32,920 Speaker 1: the performance of different betting systems and over time you 309 00:14:32,960 --> 00:14:35,680 Speaker 1: can optimize your bets to increase your chances of success. 310 00:14:35,800 --> 00:14:38,200 Speaker 1: Because that's what it's all about, right success. Download the 311 00:14:38,200 --> 00:14:41,520 Speaker 1: Betting Pros app today and elevate your betting strategies and 312 00:14:41,600 --> 00:14:45,160 Speaker 1: start making smarter bets over using the betting systems at 313 00:14:45,320 --> 00:14:47,640 Speaker 1: Betting Pros. All right, Same game Parlay of the day, 314 00:14:47,680 --> 00:14:50,600 Speaker 1: Keeping it simple, little duo bet here, I am sticking 315 00:14:50,600 --> 00:14:53,040 Speaker 1: with the under thirty eight and a half here I'm 316 00:14:53,080 --> 00:14:55,800 Speaker 1: calling for a little bit of an ugly Thursday night 317 00:14:55,880 --> 00:14:59,800 Speaker 1: because that's what I've been, that's what I've grown up on, 318 00:15:00,120 --> 00:15:02,080 Speaker 1: That's how I was raised. I think at a certain 319 00:15:02,080 --> 00:15:04,440 Speaker 1: point now that's how I feel. And I don't think 320 00:15:04,480 --> 00:15:06,480 Speaker 1: this one is going to fail me. So it's fun 321 00:15:06,560 --> 00:15:09,200 Speaker 1: the POGs and on the opposite side of this. So 322 00:15:09,280 --> 00:15:10,960 Speaker 1: give me the under the thirty eight and a half 323 00:15:11,160 --> 00:15:13,240 Speaker 1: and give you Breise Hall, who's minus money to score 324 00:15:13,240 --> 00:15:15,640 Speaker 1: a touchdown. You put those two things together, you get 325 00:15:15,640 --> 00:15:18,160 Speaker 1: plus two forty three over on FanDuel right now, So 326 00:15:18,360 --> 00:15:20,640 Speaker 1: an interesting opportunity for you to go ahead and place 327 00:15:20,680 --> 00:15:23,400 Speaker 1: that same game parlay. And also you can do the 328 00:15:23,440 --> 00:15:25,680 Speaker 1: same game parlay tool over on Betting Pros which is 329 00:15:25,680 --> 00:15:28,560 Speaker 1: available now too, which is pretty spectacular now when it 330 00:15:28,600 --> 00:15:32,440 Speaker 1: comes to touchdown calls, some good ones out there. We've 331 00:15:32,480 --> 00:15:37,080 Speaker 1: even got Mike Williams plus four hundred. Maybe if he's 332 00:15:37,120 --> 00:15:39,360 Speaker 1: ready today to finally get one. I'm just putting that 333 00:15:39,480 --> 00:15:42,120 Speaker 1: out there. Maybe it's Mike Williams time slowly working his 334 00:15:42,160 --> 00:15:44,440 Speaker 1: way back. I saw that number and I went, that's 335 00:15:44,520 --> 00:15:46,320 Speaker 1: kind of intriguing. There. You can see him having one 336 00:15:46,360 --> 00:15:48,600 Speaker 1: catch for a touchdown in two yards. That feels like 337 00:15:48,640 --> 00:15:50,160 Speaker 1: Mike Williams to me, doesn't it Bogs? 338 00:15:50,480 --> 00:15:53,440 Speaker 2: It does? Yeah, and then only if he also leaves hurt, 339 00:15:53,880 --> 00:15:58,200 Speaker 2: so we'll see. But yeah, Lazard has been getting more 340 00:15:58,240 --> 00:15:59,040 Speaker 2: snaps in him. 341 00:15:59,000 --> 00:16:02,440 Speaker 1: So there you go. All right. So again, if you're 342 00:16:02,440 --> 00:16:05,040 Speaker 1: looking to make these same game parlays, put a touchdown 343 00:16:05,040 --> 00:16:07,240 Speaker 1: score with you know, the Patriots of the odds, but 344 00:16:07,480 --> 00:16:09,640 Speaker 1: you know the under like I'm doing in Breeze Hall. 345 00:16:09,800 --> 00:16:12,000 Speaker 1: You can do that betting pros dot com slash parlay 346 00:16:12,400 --> 00:16:15,840 Speaker 1: or on the Betting Pros app Right now, Boggs, who's 347 00:16:15,880 --> 00:16:18,560 Speaker 1: your favorite touchdown call for the night? For Thursday night football? 348 00:16:18,600 --> 00:16:19,000 Speaker 1: Who do you have? 349 00:16:19,440 --> 00:16:21,160 Speaker 2: Give me a Remondre. I mean, I just want the 350 00:16:21,160 --> 00:16:23,320 Speaker 2: guy with a bunch of carries twenty plus carries in 351 00:16:23,360 --> 00:16:26,560 Speaker 2: both games, more shots at it. Remondre's plus one twenty five. 352 00:16:26,600 --> 00:16:28,160 Speaker 2: That's who I'm going with, all right. 353 00:16:28,160 --> 00:16:30,440 Speaker 1: That seems like an easy way to go. I like that, 354 00:16:30,560 --> 00:16:33,760 Speaker 1: keeping it simple. I'm gonna continue to go with the theory. Also, 355 00:16:33,800 --> 00:16:36,200 Speaker 1: of Irey picked Breeze Hall for the same game parlay. 356 00:16:36,200 --> 00:16:38,160 Speaker 1: He was minus money. That's not his fun. So I 357 00:16:38,200 --> 00:16:39,840 Speaker 1: put the two things there with the minus money to 358 00:16:39,840 --> 00:16:41,920 Speaker 1: get in the plus. So I'm just looking to straight 359 00:16:41,920 --> 00:16:45,640 Speaker 1: bet somebody on a touchdown Garrett Wilson plus one forty five, 360 00:16:45,720 --> 00:16:47,880 Speaker 1: again taking advantage of some of the safety play. The 361 00:16:47,960 --> 00:16:51,040 Speaker 1: corner play has been okay. The communication between the corners 362 00:16:51,040 --> 00:16:52,840 Speaker 1: and the safeties has not been good. You saw how 363 00:16:52,920 --> 00:16:55,920 Speaker 1: DK metcalf in that last game. Just got completely loose 364 00:16:55,920 --> 00:16:58,400 Speaker 1: for everybody, and you just can't let that happen. So 365 00:16:58,600 --> 00:17:00,600 Speaker 1: that needs to get picked up. I think will address it. 366 00:17:00,640 --> 00:17:03,280 Speaker 1: But can they correct it? That is the question. In 367 00:17:03,320 --> 00:17:05,119 Speaker 1: the short week, it's not allowed of practice time to 368 00:17:05,119 --> 00:17:07,720 Speaker 1: really get everybody on the same page. So it should 369 00:17:07,760 --> 00:17:10,080 Speaker 1: be interesting. You've got a lot of storylines going here. 370 00:17:10,119 --> 00:17:15,080 Speaker 1: You got Aaron Rodgers theoretically bogs his first home start 371 00:17:15,119 --> 00:17:17,840 Speaker 1: when you really consider it in front of the Jets crowd, 372 00:17:17,920 --> 00:17:19,200 Speaker 1: right other than the. 373 00:17:19,800 --> 00:17:22,000 Speaker 2: He gets past three snaps, he gets past three snaps. 374 00:17:22,040 --> 00:17:24,560 Speaker 1: So this is really Aaron Rodgers first game at home 375 00:17:24,560 --> 00:17:27,760 Speaker 1: as a Jet. It's Jrod Mayo's first game as a 376 00:17:27,800 --> 00:17:31,600 Speaker 1: head coach going against the New York Jets that you 377 00:17:31,600 --> 00:17:34,040 Speaker 1: know he played for the Patriots. He understands the importance 378 00:17:34,080 --> 00:17:36,480 Speaker 1: of this rivalry, what it means to you know, the 379 00:17:36,520 --> 00:17:37,840 Speaker 1: culture of the Patriots over. 380 00:17:37,720 --> 00:17:38,640 Speaker 2: The years and the wa. 381 00:17:41,080 --> 00:17:42,520 Speaker 1: He understands it. 382 00:17:42,560 --> 00:17:45,320 Speaker 2: That's a journalism headline and I don't think it means 383 00:17:45,400 --> 00:17:46,159 Speaker 2: much to be well, I. 384 00:17:46,160 --> 00:17:48,000 Speaker 1: Think it means much now as the head coach and 385 00:17:48,040 --> 00:17:52,080 Speaker 1: wanting to continue and understanding that it is important that 386 00:17:52,200 --> 00:17:54,880 Speaker 1: this one in particular is not that against the Dolphins 387 00:17:54,880 --> 00:17:57,400 Speaker 1: isn't right, but the Jets in particular is It's one 388 00:17:57,400 --> 00:17:59,159 Speaker 1: of those one that's that's you know, one of the 389 00:17:59,200 --> 00:18:02,520 Speaker 1: better you know on rivalries and division that you know, 390 00:18:02,560 --> 00:18:04,199 Speaker 1: they just don't like each other, and you want to 391 00:18:04,240 --> 00:18:07,360 Speaker 1: continue to, you know, propagate that if you're the new 392 00:18:07,359 --> 00:18:10,600 Speaker 1: England Patriots over this new regime taking over and live 393 00:18:10,680 --> 00:18:12,280 Speaker 1: up to the standard that was left there by the 394 00:18:12,280 --> 00:18:14,960 Speaker 1: previous regime, which is a lot to live up to, 395 00:18:15,080 --> 00:18:17,399 Speaker 1: that's for sure, for at least twenty something years. The 396 00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:19,760 Speaker 1: last couple of years not so much. 397 00:18:19,880 --> 00:18:22,119 Speaker 2: But which is the more annoying fan base? Is my 398 00:18:22,240 --> 00:18:23,159 Speaker 2: question to everyone? 399 00:18:23,920 --> 00:18:26,760 Speaker 1: Uh? Well, I mean, I imagine the Patriots fan base is 400 00:18:26,760 --> 00:18:29,840 Speaker 1: more annoying like the Jets. Most of my friends who 401 00:18:29,840 --> 00:18:33,040 Speaker 1: are Jets fans. 402 00:18:31,760 --> 00:18:32,840 Speaker 2: In company included. 403 00:18:33,240 --> 00:18:38,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, come on, I mean, but you and Welsh always 404 00:18:38,359 --> 00:18:41,000 Speaker 1: say to me that I am far too practical of 405 00:18:41,000 --> 00:18:43,920 Speaker 1: a Patriot fan, like I'm I and again I lost. 406 00:18:43,960 --> 00:18:46,560 Speaker 1: I was a Patriot fan before the Dynasty's you know, 407 00:18:46,600 --> 00:18:48,919 Speaker 1: the Parcels, the Carol years. I went through all that 408 00:18:49,040 --> 00:18:51,560 Speaker 1: lost super Bowls before one of them. So I'm not 409 00:18:51,680 --> 00:18:53,160 Speaker 1: like some of the other folks that came on here. 410 00:18:53,600 --> 00:18:55,280 Speaker 2: You're not on the good ship fair Weather. 411 00:18:55,440 --> 00:18:55,600 Speaker 1: No. 412 00:18:55,840 --> 00:18:59,360 Speaker 2: So, yeah, you're not on that at all. But yeah, 413 00:18:59,520 --> 00:19:03,080 Speaker 2: I mean, but the Jets fans, for the most part, 414 00:19:03,160 --> 00:19:03,880 Speaker 2: you have haters. 415 00:19:04,119 --> 00:19:08,000 Speaker 1: They sort of, I don't know, they're always expecting every 416 00:19:08,080 --> 00:19:11,639 Speaker 1: see as a Mets fan, I understand they're expecting everything 417 00:19:11,680 --> 00:19:14,400 Speaker 1: to go wrong because usually it does. So it's kind 418 00:19:14,440 --> 00:19:17,200 Speaker 1: of the same thing how people are Mets and Jet fans. 419 00:19:18,240 --> 00:19:20,360 Speaker 1: I don't know. Like, to me, that's like, you've got 420 00:19:20,359 --> 00:19:22,480 Speaker 1: to rethink your choices in life if you're going to 421 00:19:22,520 --> 00:19:24,199 Speaker 1: do that to yourself. And then they add nicks on 422 00:19:24,240 --> 00:19:29,000 Speaker 1: top of it. I mean, jeez, there's people in their thirties. Yeah, 423 00:19:29,000 --> 00:19:30,520 Speaker 1: I guess it's people in their thirties who have never 424 00:19:30,520 --> 00:19:34,360 Speaker 1: seen a title from any of their teams. It's pretty brutal. Yeah, 425 00:19:34,400 --> 00:19:38,760 Speaker 1: that's pretty brutal. But Thursday night football, let's hope it's 426 00:19:38,800 --> 00:19:41,040 Speaker 1: not brutal. Let's hope it's fun. It's always fun to 427 00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:43,680 Speaker 1: hang out with Scott bog and don't forget to subscribe 428 00:19:43,680 --> 00:19:46,040 Speaker 1: to the Betting Pros YouTube channel and of course wherever 429 00:19:46,040 --> 00:19:48,199 Speaker 1: you get your podcasts and drop your comments below. What 430 00:19:48,320 --> 00:19:50,680 Speaker 1: are you on for Thursday Night football? Who's your pick? 431 00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:53,000 Speaker 1: You're taking the Jets, You're taking the Pats with the points, 432 00:19:53,000 --> 00:19:55,080 Speaker 1: You're taking the over the under. Let us know in 433 00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:57,840 Speaker 1: the comments below, and of course join our discord community 434 00:19:57,840 --> 00:20:00,000 Speaker 1: too while you're at it at Bettingpros dot com slash chat. 435 00:20:00,200 --> 00:20:01,639 Speaker 1: That'll do it for us, but the story of the 436 00:20:01,640 --> 00:20:04,480 Speaker 1: game goes on for Scott Bogman, I'm Joey P. We'll 437 00:20:04,520 --> 00:20:07,200 Speaker 1: see you next time. Kids. Enjoy Thursday Night football. 438 00:20:07,760 --> 00:20:11,280 Speaker 2: Soya, thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If 439 00:20:11,320 --> 00:20:13,719 Speaker 2: you love the show, the best freeway to support us 440 00:20:13,720 --> 00:20:17,160 Speaker 2: is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify, 441 00:20:17,520 --> 00:20:20,119 Speaker 2: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 442 00:20:20,240 --> 00:20:23,879 Speaker 2: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. 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