1 00:00:02,560 --> 00:00:07,080 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. 2 00:00:10,039 --> 00:00:13,200 Speaker 2: Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here 3 00:00:13,200 --> 00:00:14,960 Speaker 2: are the stories we're following today. 4 00:00:15,640 --> 00:00:18,320 Speaker 3: Karen, we begin with new developments in the Middle East. 5 00:00:18,440 --> 00:00:22,160 Speaker 3: US forces have carried out fresh strikes on Iran, targeting 6 00:00:22,200 --> 00:00:25,040 Speaker 3: air defense and surveillance sites near the Strait of Horror Moves. 7 00:00:25,480 --> 00:00:29,000 Speaker 3: The military is describing the attacks as proportional. They came 8 00:00:29,160 --> 00:00:32,440 Speaker 3: hours after President Trump blamed Tehran for shooting down an 9 00:00:32,440 --> 00:00:37,360 Speaker 3: American military helicopter. ABC Chief Washington correspondent Jonathan Carl was 10 00:00:37,400 --> 00:00:40,120 Speaker 3: on the phone with President Trump when the strikes were announced. 11 00:00:40,320 --> 00:00:42,960 Speaker 4: The President made it clear to me that these US 12 00:00:43,000 --> 00:00:47,440 Speaker 4: strikes on Iran are specifically in response to Iran's downing 13 00:00:47,479 --> 00:00:50,520 Speaker 4: of that Apache helicopter. He brought up the peace deal 14 00:00:50,560 --> 00:00:53,479 Speaker 4: that he is trying to negotiate with the Iranians. It 15 00:00:53,560 --> 00:00:56,600 Speaker 4: seemed clear to me that even as he was ordering 16 00:00:57,040 --> 00:01:00,440 Speaker 4: US attacks on Iran, he still believes he can get 17 00:01:00,440 --> 00:01:02,080 Speaker 4: a peace deal with the Iranians. 18 00:01:02,280 --> 00:01:05,119 Speaker 3: And ABC's Jonathan carlsa's President Trump told him he does 19 00:01:05,160 --> 00:01:07,160 Speaker 3: not see the strikes as the start of a major 20 00:01:07,200 --> 00:01:10,839 Speaker 3: new offensive. Bloomberg Middle East corresponded to Birabu Omar says 21 00:01:10,840 --> 00:01:12,720 Speaker 3: Iran has retaliated now. 22 00:01:12,760 --> 00:01:15,400 Speaker 5: The Iranian response came in the shape of attacks against 23 00:01:15,440 --> 00:01:19,680 Speaker 5: some GCC countries that includes the US Fifth Fleet and Bahan, 24 00:01:19,800 --> 00:01:23,920 Speaker 5: but also some US bases in Kuwait and in Jordan 25 00:01:24,040 --> 00:01:27,280 Speaker 5: as well. A US base was attacked there. The IRGC 26 00:01:27,560 --> 00:01:30,760 Speaker 5: came out and said that any attack will be responded to. 27 00:01:31,080 --> 00:01:35,119 Speaker 5: President Trump maintains that discussions to reach the ceasefire truce 28 00:01:35,160 --> 00:01:38,240 Speaker 5: are still underway and that Pakistan is still very much 29 00:01:38,360 --> 00:01:40,760 Speaker 5: mediating those truce discussions. 30 00:01:40,840 --> 00:01:44,200 Speaker 3: Bloomberg's a birabo Olmar says iron has not acknowledged shooting 31 00:01:44,240 --> 00:01:45,360 Speaker 3: down the US helicopter. 32 00:01:45,440 --> 00:01:48,680 Speaker 2: Well, let's turn to politics at home. Nathan primary election 33 00:01:48,840 --> 00:01:52,040 Speaker 2: results are in for four states across the country. Much 34 00:01:52,040 --> 00:01:54,920 Speaker 2: of the nation's focus was on the Democratic Senate race 35 00:01:54,920 --> 00:01:58,400 Speaker 2: in Maine, where with eighty percent of ballots counted, progressive 36 00:01:58,440 --> 00:02:01,760 Speaker 2: military veteran Graham plat is the winner with seventy two 37 00:02:01,800 --> 00:02:05,080 Speaker 2: percent of the vote. Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign 38 00:02:05,080 --> 00:02:08,160 Speaker 2: in April due to lackluster fundraising, but she still picked 39 00:02:08,240 --> 00:02:11,600 Speaker 2: up nineteen and a half percent. Last night, Platner's campaign 40 00:02:11,639 --> 00:02:14,200 Speaker 2: was played by a series of scandals and accusations of 41 00:02:14,240 --> 00:02:17,720 Speaker 2: past misbehavior, and he alluded to it in his victory 42 00:02:17,800 --> 00:02:18,680 Speaker 2: speech last night. 43 00:02:18,919 --> 00:02:21,320 Speaker 6: Every day I wake up and I try to be 44 00:02:21,360 --> 00:02:24,120 Speaker 6: a little bit better and a little bit kinder than 45 00:02:24,120 --> 00:02:26,400 Speaker 6: I was the day before. And if you give me 46 00:02:26,440 --> 00:02:29,560 Speaker 6: the chance, I will be a Senator for the people 47 00:02:29,600 --> 00:02:32,280 Speaker 6: who cannot afford to buy a senator. 48 00:02:32,639 --> 00:02:35,480 Speaker 2: Gram Plattner will now go on to face Republicans sue 49 00:02:35,480 --> 00:02:38,760 Speaker 2: the Susan Collins. In November, she ran uncontested in her 50 00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:41,000 Speaker 2: bid for a sixth Senate term, Karen. 51 00:02:41,040 --> 00:02:43,480 Speaker 3: It was also a busy election night in South Carolina, 52 00:02:43,560 --> 00:02:46,639 Speaker 3: where the Republican governor's race is headed for a runoff. 53 00:02:46,800 --> 00:02:50,200 Speaker 3: Lieutenant Governor Pamela Vett had President Trump's endorsement in the 54 00:02:50,240 --> 00:02:53,160 Speaker 3: five way field with ninety nine percent of votes counted. 55 00:02:53,200 --> 00:02:56,160 Speaker 3: Evett came in first with twenty eight point nine percent. 56 00:02:56,480 --> 00:02:59,400 Speaker 3: State Attorney General Alan Wilson is second with twenty six 57 00:02:59,440 --> 00:03:01,480 Speaker 3: point two per They'll face each. 58 00:03:01,360 --> 00:03:02,720 Speaker 7: Other again in two weeks. 59 00:03:03,040 --> 00:03:06,720 Speaker 3: Congressman Nancy Mace came in last place with twelve point 60 00:03:06,760 --> 00:03:09,600 Speaker 3: one percent after President Trump snubbed her with his endorsement, 61 00:03:09,680 --> 00:03:12,680 Speaker 3: but May says she has no regrets I'm voted to 62 00:03:12,760 --> 00:03:16,920 Speaker 3: release the EPC files and lost some support for that. 63 00:03:17,880 --> 00:03:19,880 Speaker 7: As a survivor, I chose to. 64 00:03:19,800 --> 00:03:24,360 Speaker 3: Stand on principle and stand against the EPSTEIN cover up. 65 00:03:24,639 --> 00:03:27,640 Speaker 3: Along with Nancy May's fellow congress member Ralph Norman failed 66 00:03:27,680 --> 00:03:29,640 Speaker 3: to make the cut. He was a strong supporter of 67 00:03:29,639 --> 00:03:32,320 Speaker 3: President Trump's first term, but endorsed NICKI Haley in the 68 00:03:32,320 --> 00:03:33,600 Speaker 3: twenty twenty four campaign. 69 00:03:33,720 --> 00:03:38,080 Speaker 2: In another key South Carolina race, Nathan Republican Senator Lindsey Graham, 70 00:03:38,080 --> 00:03:42,000 Speaker 2: avoids a runoff. He defeated conservative businessman Mark Lynch fifty 71 00:03:42,040 --> 00:03:44,720 Speaker 2: six point eight to twenty eight point nine percent. After 72 00:03:44,760 --> 00:03:48,520 Speaker 2: winning President Trump's early endorsement, grand Will faced Annie Andrews 73 00:03:48,520 --> 00:03:51,280 Speaker 2: in November. She won the Democratic primary with sixty one 74 00:03:51,360 --> 00:03:54,520 Speaker 2: and a half percent of the vote. Andrews ran unsuccessfully 75 00:03:54,560 --> 00:03:57,640 Speaker 2: against Nancy Mace for Congress in twenty twenty two, and 76 00:03:57,760 --> 00:04:01,720 Speaker 2: longtime Democratic Congressman Jim clyber and clinched his party's nomination 77 00:04:01,880 --> 00:04:04,920 Speaker 2: for an eighteenth term with more than ninety percent of 78 00:04:04,960 --> 00:04:09,400 Speaker 2: the vote. After Republicans draw plans for a mid decade redistricting. 79 00:04:09,480 --> 00:04:11,080 Speaker 7: There were some other key races last night. 80 00:04:11,160 --> 00:04:14,600 Speaker 3: In Nevada, Karen and the governor's contest, State Attorney General 81 00:04:14,640 --> 00:04:17,679 Speaker 3: Aaron Ford ran away with the Democratic nomination with nearly 82 00:04:17,720 --> 00:04:20,600 Speaker 3: sixty four percent of the vote. Ford will face Republican 83 00:04:20,640 --> 00:04:23,760 Speaker 3: incumbent Joe Lombardo in an election that's become a referendum 84 00:04:23,760 --> 00:04:26,640 Speaker 3: between President Trump's no tax on tips policy and a 85 00:04:26,680 --> 00:04:30,320 Speaker 3: slumping tourist economy. In Las Vegas and Reno, Lombardo won 86 00:04:30,360 --> 00:04:33,200 Speaker 3: his primary with almost ninety one percent of the vote. 87 00:04:32,920 --> 00:04:36,479 Speaker 2: And in Nevada's second congressional District Nathan the Republican race 88 00:04:36,520 --> 00:04:38,839 Speaker 2: is still too close to call with eighty three percent 89 00:04:38,839 --> 00:04:43,279 Speaker 2: of votes counted. Trump backed military veteran David Flippo leads 90 00:04:43,440 --> 00:04:47,360 Speaker 2: former state Senator James Settlemeyer forty five point seven to 91 00:04:47,400 --> 00:04:51,920 Speaker 2: thirty five point three percent. Retiring Congressman Mark M. Day 92 00:04:52,320 --> 00:04:54,080 Speaker 2: Endure Settlemeyer to replace him. 93 00:04:54,160 --> 00:04:57,440 Speaker 3: And finally, in North Dakota, Karen Julie Fetterchak won the 94 00:04:57,480 --> 00:05:01,440 Speaker 3: Republican primary for her state's only House district with seventy 95 00:05:01,480 --> 00:05:04,200 Speaker 3: three percent of the vote. Federchack will face Democrat Trigg 96 00:05:04,240 --> 00:05:05,360 Speaker 3: va Hammer in November. 97 00:05:05,400 --> 00:05:07,360 Speaker 7: He ran uncontested. 98 00:05:06,760 --> 00:05:09,400 Speaker 2: Wenagan billionaire Bill Gates, who is set to appear behind 99 00:05:09,400 --> 00:05:12,800 Speaker 2: closed doors before the House panel investigating Jeffrey Epstein, and 100 00:05:12,800 --> 00:05:15,040 Speaker 2: now we're learning that Gates, who's getting help from the 101 00:05:15,080 --> 00:05:18,200 Speaker 2: former council for the committee and Bloomberg's Amy Moore supports 102 00:05:18,200 --> 00:05:18,960 Speaker 2: from Washington. 103 00:05:19,200 --> 00:05:22,080 Speaker 8: The co founder of Microsoft, has reportedly been getting some 104 00:05:22,120 --> 00:05:24,960 Speaker 8: help from Jake Greenberg, who The New York Times says 105 00:05:25,320 --> 00:05:30,040 Speaker 8: was spearheading the Oversight Panel's Epstein inquiry until December. The 106 00:05:30,080 --> 00:05:33,680 Speaker 8: Gates Foundation, which has launched an external review of gates 107 00:05:33,800 --> 00:05:37,160 Speaker 8: ties with Epstein, told The Financial Times that it regretted 108 00:05:37,240 --> 00:05:41,440 Speaker 8: having any employees interact with Epstein in any way. Gates 109 00:05:41,440 --> 00:05:43,919 Speaker 8: has not been charged with anything. He has called his 110 00:05:44,000 --> 00:05:47,400 Speaker 8: relationship with Epstein a huge mistake and has denied any 111 00:05:47,440 --> 00:05:51,560 Speaker 8: wrongdoing in Washington. Amy Moore as Bloomberg Radio. Okaymie, thank you. 112 00:05:51,640 --> 00:05:54,720 Speaker 8: Let's turn to markets now. Futures are adding to yesterday's 113 00:05:54,720 --> 00:05:56,920 Speaker 8: declines on Wall Street. At one point, the tech heavy 114 00:05:56,960 --> 00:05:59,840 Speaker 8: Nasdaq one hundred index was down more than four percent. 115 00:06:00,080 --> 00:06:03,000 Speaker 8: It paired those losses to close down one point one 116 00:06:03,040 --> 00:06:06,360 Speaker 8: percent this morning. The tech retreat is spreading to Asia. 117 00:06:06,560 --> 00:06:09,880 Speaker 8: South Korea's COSTPI index slid four and a half percent. 118 00:06:10,040 --> 00:06:13,080 Speaker 2: We're just one day away from the highly anticipated IPO 119 00:06:13,160 --> 00:06:15,960 Speaker 2: of SpaceX. Bloomberg. John Tucker joins us with the very 120 00:06:16,000 --> 00:06:17,920 Speaker 2: latest John, good morning, Good morning Karen. 121 00:06:17,960 --> 00:06:21,120 Speaker 9: Demand for what's expected to be the largest ever IPO 122 00:06:21,440 --> 00:06:25,440 Speaker 9: is blasting off way over subscribed. It's around two hundred 123 00:06:25,440 --> 00:06:28,719 Speaker 9: and fifty billion dollars. That's more than three times the 124 00:06:28,839 --> 00:06:32,440 Speaker 9: seventy five billion, but SpaceX is trying to raise. Multiple 125 00:06:32,480 --> 00:06:36,080 Speaker 9: institutional investors place orders for about ten billion dollars or 126 00:06:36,080 --> 00:06:39,920 Speaker 9: more of shares each banks leading the IPO. They're expected 127 00:06:39,920 --> 00:06:43,880 Speaker 9: to stop taking orders from institutional investors after the market 128 00:06:43,920 --> 00:06:47,400 Speaker 9: closes today. Now, mom and pop investors can still submit 129 00:06:47,520 --> 00:06:51,479 Speaker 9: orders for SpaceX shares on some platforms beyond tonight's deadline. 130 00:06:51,600 --> 00:06:54,240 Speaker 9: The company allocating as much as thirty percent of the 131 00:06:54,320 --> 00:06:59,240 Speaker 9: offering to retail. SpaceX's IPO center price tomorrow. It'll trade 132 00:06:59,279 --> 00:07:02,039 Speaker 9: on Friday in New York. I'm John Tucker, Bloomberg Radio. 133 00:07:02,320 --> 00:07:04,159 Speaker 7: John. Thanks, Paramount Skuydances. 134 00:07:04,160 --> 00:07:06,480 Speaker 3: One hundred and ten billion dollar takeover of Warner Brothers 135 00:07:06,520 --> 00:07:09,080 Speaker 3: Discovery is now in a review in the European Union 136 00:07:09,200 --> 00:07:12,400 Speaker 3: regulators there approbing the involvement of Middle Eastern funds in 137 00:07:12,440 --> 00:07:15,160 Speaker 3: the takeover. Scrutiny from the EU is one of the 138 00:07:15,240 --> 00:07:19,160 Speaker 3: last hurdles Paramount has to overcome after outmaneuvering rival suitor 139 00:07:19,360 --> 00:07:23,320 Speaker 3: Netflix with multiple bids for warners over more than five months. 140 00:07:23,440 --> 00:07:26,200 Speaker 2: Well, Nathan, if it turns out you're not excited for 141 00:07:26,280 --> 00:07:29,720 Speaker 2: this week's World Cup, You're not alone. In a recent survey, 142 00:07:29,840 --> 00:07:32,520 Speaker 2: more than half of US adults said they are unlikely 143 00:07:32,600 --> 00:07:35,560 Speaker 2: to watch any of the games on TV. Only thirteen 144 00:07:35,600 --> 00:07:39,000 Speaker 2: percent said they were absolutely certain to watch. According to 145 00:07:39,080 --> 00:07:42,600 Speaker 2: a Morning Console poll conducted by Bloomberg, views on the tournament, 146 00:07:42,680 --> 00:07:45,600 Speaker 2: varied by age gen Z, whose oldest members are in 147 00:07:45,640 --> 00:07:49,040 Speaker 2: their late twenties, show the most enthusiasm. Baby boomers, now 148 00:07:49,040 --> 00:07:52,720 Speaker 2: in their sixties and seventies, displayed the least excitement. Three 149 00:07:52,840 --> 00:07:55,680 Speaker 2: quarters of them say they are not soccer fans, in 150 00:07:55,760 --> 00:07:59,320 Speaker 2: about half have never heard of star Lanel Messi. The 151 00:07:59,360 --> 00:08:02,160 Speaker 2: World Cup, which is co hosted by the US, Mexico, 152 00:08:02,200 --> 00:08:08,320 Speaker 2: and Canada, kicks off tomorrow. Time now for a look 153 00:08:08,320 --> 00:08:09,800 Speaker 2: at some of the other stories making news in New 154 00:08:09,880 --> 00:08:11,400 Speaker 2: York and around the world. And for that we're joined 155 00:08:11,440 --> 00:08:14,600 Speaker 2: by Bloomberg's Michael Barr. Michael, Good Morning, Good morning Karen. 156 00:08:14,680 --> 00:08:18,040 Speaker 10: Game four of the NBA Finals is tonight there will 157 00:08:18,040 --> 00:08:21,200 Speaker 10: be a watch party outside Madison Square Garden, but NYPD 158 00:08:21,320 --> 00:08:25,520 Speaker 10: officials will compy Monday night security perimeter and you'll need 159 00:08:25,520 --> 00:08:29,200 Speaker 10: a ticket. Meanwhile, MSG and the Knicks aren't happy with 160 00:08:29,320 --> 00:08:33,400 Speaker 10: police and the mayor, calling Commissioner Tish and Zora Memdani 161 00:08:33,640 --> 00:08:36,679 Speaker 10: party poopers. More on the game with John stash Hour 162 00:08:36,760 --> 00:08:40,280 Speaker 10: in a moment. Meanwhile, a Nick's watch party Monday night 163 00:08:40,320 --> 00:08:43,720 Speaker 10: at Brian Park turned violent. The NYPD arrested more than 164 00:08:43,760 --> 00:08:48,040 Speaker 10: twenty people. Residents in California face potential power outages later 165 00:08:48,080 --> 00:08:52,840 Speaker 10: this week as wins will increase wildfire risks. Bloomberg's Craig Allen. 166 00:08:53,120 --> 00:08:56,520 Speaker 11: The heat is beginning to intensify and expand across more 167 00:08:56,679 --> 00:08:59,600 Speaker 11: of the US, and this heat, the dry air, the 168 00:08:59,640 --> 00:09:03,560 Speaker 11: strong winds will be a major hazard in the planes, Rockies, 169 00:09:03,600 --> 00:09:07,960 Speaker 11: and especially in northern California. Red flag warnings cover these 170 00:09:08,040 --> 00:09:10,559 Speaker 11: regions and we're keeping a very close eye on the 171 00:09:10,600 --> 00:09:14,000 Speaker 11: potential danger in the Sacramento Valley about twenty to thirty 172 00:09:14,040 --> 00:09:17,240 Speaker 11: miles either side of I five. Heat advisories now have 173 00:09:17,440 --> 00:09:21,720 Speaker 11: also been posted in many counties could lose power intentionally 174 00:09:21,960 --> 00:09:24,680 Speaker 11: as PG and E shuts it down to prevent fires 175 00:09:24,720 --> 00:09:28,800 Speaker 11: from overloaded transformers or winds knocking down the lines. Any 176 00:09:28,880 --> 00:09:32,559 Speaker 11: spark or flames would spread very, very rapidly. The threat 177 00:09:32,600 --> 00:09:35,280 Speaker 11: for this may continue right through the rest of the week. 178 00:09:35,360 --> 00:09:39,160 Speaker 10: Bloomberg's Greig Allen. It is the first new ultraviolet filter 179 00:09:39,360 --> 00:09:42,440 Speaker 10: for sunscreens in more than twenty years. The FDA announced 180 00:09:42,480 --> 00:09:44,920 Speaker 10: it is adding an ingredient to its list of what 181 00:09:45,040 --> 00:09:46,960 Speaker 10: is permitted. Doctor Darien Sutton. 182 00:09:47,400 --> 00:09:49,319 Speaker 6: It's been engineered in a way where it can sit 183 00:09:49,400 --> 00:09:50,199 Speaker 6: on top of the skin. 184 00:09:50,480 --> 00:09:53,440 Speaker 12: It doesn't deeply penetrate, but it still does that job. 185 00:09:53,240 --> 00:09:55,680 Speaker 6: Of preventing those UV rays from causing damage. 186 00:09:55,720 --> 00:09:59,200 Speaker 10: Doctor Sutton spoke to ABC. Kim Johan Nun called ties 187 00:09:59,320 --> 00:10:03,960 Speaker 10: with China top priority. During Chinese President Chiajingping's visit to Pyongyang, 188 00:10:04,280 --> 00:10:07,760 Speaker 10: the two leaders vowed to expand cooperation in trade and tourism. 189 00:10:08,120 --> 00:10:10,520 Speaker 10: Pope Leo delivered a message of hope and unity to 190 00:10:10,600 --> 00:10:14,200 Speaker 10: about forty thousand people at the Olympic Stadium in Barcelona Tuesday. 191 00:10:14,520 --> 00:10:17,720 Speaker 7: I'm there you entering Nosaltres. 192 00:10:17,360 --> 00:10:20,880 Speaker 10: Today the pativ will celebrate Mass at the Fame Segratta. 193 00:10:20,920 --> 00:10:24,240 Speaker 10: Familia Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever 194 00:10:24,280 --> 00:10:26,560 Speaker 10: you want it with the Bloomberg News. Now now Michael Barr, 195 00:10:26,559 --> 00:10:27,680 Speaker 10: and this is Bloomberg Hearing. 196 00:10:27,880 --> 00:10:28,920 Speaker 7: Well, Thanks Michael. 197 00:10:29,120 --> 00:10:31,839 Speaker 2: Time now for our Bloomberg Sports update, and for that 198 00:10:32,040 --> 00:10:33,560 Speaker 2: we bring in John stash Hour. 199 00:10:33,760 --> 00:10:36,440 Speaker 12: Thanksgaring game for the Stanley Cup. Finally, in Las Vegas, 200 00:10:36,520 --> 00:10:38,920 Speaker 12: Carolina Hurricanes scored a goal of minute six in. They 201 00:10:39,000 --> 00:10:40,880 Speaker 12: led two nothing and three to one in the first period. 202 00:10:41,000 --> 00:10:43,240 Speaker 12: Vegas tied the game in the second, three to three 203 00:10:43,280 --> 00:10:46,199 Speaker 12: in the third, and Jordan's Stall scored six and a 204 00:10:46,200 --> 00:10:48,400 Speaker 12: half minutes in the Hurricanes at an empty ninter They 205 00:10:48,440 --> 00:10:51,120 Speaker 12: won five to three and the series is tied at two. 206 00:10:51,240 --> 00:10:53,840 Speaker 12: The Nixons first play their Game four the NBA Finals 207 00:10:53,840 --> 00:10:56,960 Speaker 12: tonight in New York. Forty four year old Serena Williams 208 00:10:57,040 --> 00:11:00,880 Speaker 12: victorious in her return to professional tennis team to Victoria 209 00:11:00,920 --> 00:11:02,680 Speaker 12: in Boklo to win a doubles match in England. 210 00:11:02,760 --> 00:11:04,040 Speaker 7: That's a Bloomberg Sports update. 211 00:11:05,559 --> 00:11:09,400 Speaker 2: Stay with us more from Bloomberg Daybreak coming up after this. 212 00:11:12,400 --> 00:11:16,600 Speaker 1: Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, 213 00:11:16,720 --> 00:11:19,560 Speaker 1: and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the 214 00:11:19,559 --> 00:11:20,800 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Business app. 215 00:11:21,080 --> 00:11:24,079 Speaker 7: This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning to Nathan Hager. 216 00:11:24,120 --> 00:11:26,600 Speaker 3: There are fresh tensions this morning in the Middle East, 217 00:11:26,640 --> 00:11:29,640 Speaker 3: with the US and Iran exchanging attacks after the downing 218 00:11:29,679 --> 00:11:32,480 Speaker 3: of the Apache helicopter near the Strait of Hormus, and 219 00:11:32,640 --> 00:11:35,760 Speaker 3: US election seasons heating up with important primaries in Maine, 220 00:11:35,800 --> 00:11:39,200 Speaker 3: South Carolina, Nevada, and North Dakota. Joining us from more 221 00:11:39,240 --> 00:11:41,840 Speaker 3: on all this this morning is Terry Haynes, the founder 222 00:11:41,880 --> 00:11:45,000 Speaker 3: of Pangaea Policy. Great to speak with you as always, Terry. 223 00:11:45,040 --> 00:11:47,560 Speaker 3: Want to start with what's happening in the Middle East. 224 00:11:47,559 --> 00:11:51,520 Speaker 3: We heard US Central Command say its response to the 225 00:11:51,559 --> 00:11:55,720 Speaker 3: downing of the Apache helicopter was proportional, but just this morning, 226 00:11:55,760 --> 00:11:59,439 Speaker 3: Iranian state media our reporting Tehran is going to reassess 227 00:11:59,600 --> 00:12:02,079 Speaker 3: peace after the latest attacks. 228 00:12:02,120 --> 00:12:03,800 Speaker 7: Where do you see things at this point? 229 00:12:03,880 --> 00:12:07,560 Speaker 13: Good morning, Good morning, Nathan. A couple of things. One 230 00:12:07,880 --> 00:12:13,959 Speaker 13: is that I think there is an increased likelihood, it's 231 00:12:13,960 --> 00:12:17,000 Speaker 13: certainly more than a trailing risk, that the United States 232 00:12:17,120 --> 00:12:21,520 Speaker 13: response is unlikely to remain proportionate. Frankly, because Iran isn't. 233 00:12:22,200 --> 00:12:24,400 Speaker 13: This is being covered in the United States press largely 234 00:12:24,440 --> 00:12:28,600 Speaker 13: as kind of a tit for tat, but Iran's been 235 00:12:29,200 --> 00:12:32,959 Speaker 13: kind of disproportioned for quite some time. You'll recall a 236 00:12:33,000 --> 00:12:35,360 Speaker 13: couple of weeks ago there was an attack on a 237 00:12:35,960 --> 00:12:39,640 Speaker 13: nuclear reactor in the Emirates by Iran that the IAEA 238 00:12:39,760 --> 00:12:45,760 Speaker 13: says was more dangerous than attacking Zaparisha in Ukraine, and 239 00:12:47,480 --> 00:12:50,040 Speaker 13: is even warning of a possible nuclear event in the 240 00:12:50,080 --> 00:12:54,000 Speaker 13: Gulf region of the sort of kind. Iran now is 241 00:12:54,040 --> 00:12:58,120 Speaker 13: also saying that the Gulf States need to make a 242 00:12:58,200 --> 00:13:01,440 Speaker 13: moral choice to stop US and Israel. Moral is their work, 243 00:13:02,120 --> 00:13:04,960 Speaker 13: and what they're trying to do is present the specter 244 00:13:05,080 --> 00:13:08,439 Speaker 13: of destabilizing the Golf in a more fundamental way. Now. 245 00:13:08,480 --> 00:13:11,080 Speaker 13: I think the Golf already made the choice militarily and 246 00:13:11,160 --> 00:13:14,080 Speaker 13: economically to be kind of on the United States side. 247 00:13:14,160 --> 00:13:17,400 Speaker 13: But Iran's going to try to push this sort of 248 00:13:17,440 --> 00:13:21,040 Speaker 13: advantage that by itself seems to me to be a 249 00:13:21,360 --> 00:13:26,240 Speaker 13: dangerous escalation on their side that risks the United States, 250 00:13:27,480 --> 00:13:30,120 Speaker 13: making the response less proportional. 251 00:13:30,559 --> 00:13:33,320 Speaker 3: Up to now, the market has been able to look 252 00:13:33,360 --> 00:13:35,720 Speaker 3: past many of the developments in the Middle East and 253 00:13:35,760 --> 00:13:38,120 Speaker 3: focus on the Ai trade. Are you thinking that we're 254 00:13:38,120 --> 00:13:40,560 Speaker 3: getting to a point where the market needs to start 255 00:13:40,600 --> 00:13:42,920 Speaker 3: pricing in a prolonged conflict in the Middle East? 256 00:13:44,120 --> 00:13:48,600 Speaker 13: I think The answer is probably not certainly at this point. 257 00:13:49,040 --> 00:13:51,320 Speaker 13: But what I would warrant of is that there's going 258 00:13:51,400 --> 00:13:57,360 Speaker 13: to be a rising shot of more volatility than less. 259 00:13:57,480 --> 00:14:01,400 Speaker 13: Markets think they have this pigeonholed. What I suggest today 260 00:14:01,520 --> 00:14:04,559 Speaker 13: is that that confidence is misplaced. 261 00:14:05,240 --> 00:14:07,520 Speaker 7: I want to turn to the election results. 262 00:14:07,520 --> 00:14:09,880 Speaker 3: Of course, a lot of the focus on the main 263 00:14:10,000 --> 00:14:15,400 Speaker 3: Democratic Senate primary landslide win for Graham Platner, but maybe 264 00:14:15,440 --> 00:14:18,160 Speaker 3: not as big a landslide as was expected before some 265 00:14:18,200 --> 00:14:20,480 Speaker 3: of the scandal surface surrounding him. 266 00:14:21,080 --> 00:14:23,200 Speaker 7: What's your read on last night's result? 267 00:14:24,040 --> 00:14:26,680 Speaker 13: Well, a couple of things. One is I've been for 268 00:14:26,760 --> 00:14:30,400 Speaker 13: the last couple of weeks been non consensus that Republicans 269 00:14:30,400 --> 00:14:34,360 Speaker 13: are sixty percent likely to keep Congress in the fall. 270 00:14:34,760 --> 00:14:36,560 Speaker 13: I expect a lot of change in my view over 271 00:14:36,600 --> 00:14:38,480 Speaker 13: the next five months, and it's believe it or not, 272 00:14:38,560 --> 00:14:42,560 Speaker 13: it will be five months before this is resolved. You've 273 00:14:42,560 --> 00:14:45,760 Speaker 13: got progressive purists that are triumphing here. But beyond the 274 00:14:45,800 --> 00:14:49,080 Speaker 13: many platin or personal issues which are real and won't 275 00:14:49,080 --> 00:14:53,600 Speaker 13: go away, You've got purism, but be kind of an 276 00:14:53,600 --> 00:14:59,760 Speaker 13: inauthentic candidate. You've got pessimism instead of solutions. He's given 277 00:14:59,800 --> 00:15:01,840 Speaker 13: away a lot of the center in a state where 278 00:15:01,880 --> 00:15:05,440 Speaker 13: Collins is the ultimate centrist. And I note, you're right 279 00:15:05,480 --> 00:15:09,040 Speaker 13: to say he had a landslide, but Governor Mills got 280 00:15:09,040 --> 00:15:12,800 Speaker 13: twenty percent. She's not even a candidate anymore. The bigger 281 00:15:12,840 --> 00:15:16,160 Speaker 13: threat with Platner, and one reason why I'm at sixty 282 00:15:16,200 --> 00:15:22,240 Speaker 13: Gerrars is that you can nationalize that negative perception. It 283 00:15:22,280 --> 00:15:25,920 Speaker 13: won't just be Platner in Maine, it's tall Ico in Texas. 284 00:15:25,960 --> 00:15:29,680 Speaker 13: It might be a candidate in Michigan as well, and 285 00:15:29,720 --> 00:15:34,200 Speaker 13: the main Michigan candidates are both anti Israeli candidates. Plus 286 00:15:34,240 --> 00:15:36,920 Speaker 13: you've got the Bidens coming back the summer and fall 287 00:15:36,960 --> 00:15:42,760 Speaker 13: to remind everybody of what that was like. National Democrats 288 00:15:42,840 --> 00:15:44,880 Speaker 13: are already seeing a lot of this, starting to shy 289 00:15:44,960 --> 00:15:49,440 Speaker 13: away from Platner. And finally, I would note too that there, 290 00:15:49,600 --> 00:15:54,600 Speaker 13: you know, Wall Street's got rising concern about the potential 291 00:15:54,800 --> 00:16:00,160 Speaker 13: of waning influence from Senate Democratic leader Schumer. You know, 292 00:16:00,200 --> 00:16:05,640 Speaker 13: Mills with Schumer's candidate, not Platner, for example, And you know, 293 00:16:05,720 --> 00:16:07,360 Speaker 13: so this is this fight for the soul of the 294 00:16:07,360 --> 00:16:12,480 Speaker 13: Democratic Party is also a fight over its leadership, particularly 295 00:16:12,480 --> 00:16:16,120 Speaker 13: in the Senate, and particularly with a leader that's very 296 00:16:16,120 --> 00:16:17,000 Speaker 13: close to Wall Street. 297 00:16:17,480 --> 00:16:19,280 Speaker 3: Just one minute left here, Terry, But I got to 298 00:16:19,280 --> 00:16:21,520 Speaker 3: get your take on the South Carolina Governor's race where 299 00:16:21,640 --> 00:16:25,120 Speaker 3: President Trump's endorsement led to a runoff now for Pamela 300 00:16:25,280 --> 00:16:26,480 Speaker 3: Vett against Alan Wilson. 301 00:16:27,480 --> 00:16:30,400 Speaker 13: I think what you get here is you have two 302 00:16:30,520 --> 00:16:35,720 Speaker 13: establishment candidates, two establishments, you know, successful statewide run candidates 303 00:16:35,760 --> 00:16:39,800 Speaker 13: and lieutenant governor and the attorney general. So yeah, and 304 00:16:41,120 --> 00:16:44,840 Speaker 13: South Carolina has proved itself, as Nicky Haley can tell you, 305 00:16:45,680 --> 00:16:49,720 Speaker 13: to be very focused not only institutionally on the Republican Party, 306 00:16:49,920 --> 00:16:52,800 Speaker 13: but also focused very solidly to keep on the rights 307 00:16:52,840 --> 00:16:55,400 Speaker 13: to the proper side of Donald Trump. So you've got 308 00:16:55,440 --> 00:16:59,240 Speaker 13: kind of two Trump like candidates endorsed candidates. One at 309 00:16:59,320 --> 00:17:03,840 Speaker 13: least that's a candidate already. 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