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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast.

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Speaker 2: Pot all right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Fifteen horny, twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five,

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Speaker 3: fifty and the chicks block the college football world.

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Speaker 1: Stunder good bye, Oh my goodness, he stumbled, and football

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Speaker 1: the lateral.

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Speaker 3: Turn a corner of the.

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Speaker 2: Inside, don't you The lad.

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Speaker 4: Came up the fail the night.

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Speaker 3: It's not the side of the dog in the fight.

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Speaker 3: It's the size of the fight in the hall. What's

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Speaker 3: up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets on

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Speaker 3: Campus Podcast presented by bet MGM. This is the Week

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Speaker 3: one college football betting preview. I'm stucky and enjoy me

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Speaker 3: as always Colin Wilson. Look, week zero, I always say

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Speaker 3: for the appetizer, some what some mott sticks. Maybe it's

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Speaker 3: not the most appetizing appetizer. But now we get into

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Speaker 3: week one with action on Thursday, Friday, Saturday obviously, and

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Speaker 3: then even Sunday and Monday. This is the true start

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Speaker 3: of the college football season. You're excited, am I excited?

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Speaker 2: Like last week was just you know, preschool this, I mean,

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Speaker 2: we're really bad knocking the rust off. I'm watching an

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Speaker 2: hour of YouTube footage of Yukon's quarterback. I'm hearing from

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Speaker 2: Wales on one side of the coast. I'm hearing from

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Speaker 2: services you know, over on the west coast that are O,

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Speaker 2: We're gonna move along. You better get yours now. Like

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Speaker 2: I'm in the dryer, just spinning around like some clothes

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Speaker 2: that I'm so glad to be back. The next fourteen

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Speaker 2: weeks are gonna be awesome.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, we have so much to get to, including the

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Speaker 3: aforementioned Ken State on Thursday night, which we'll get to

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Speaker 3: in just a second. Yeah, last weekend, I had the

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Speaker 3: definition of pushing money around all day, but it was

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Speaker 3: good to be back to sweating games. I think in

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Speaker 3: the apol went three and three. But I also had

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Speaker 3: some personal just like live bets. Nothing I loved worth

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Speaker 3: putting in the app. But I added up all of

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Speaker 3: my action in total for the entire day and at

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Speaker 3: the end that I went, I was negative forty one cents,

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Speaker 3: So forty one cents well spent, though watching the abomination

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Speaker 3: of UTEP play calling at the end, I'm look, we

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Speaker 3: didn't get to do voicemails. By the way, that our

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Speaker 3: recap show is back. Minor Nation Guy. For those new

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Speaker 3: to the show. We've out friend of El Paso who

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Speaker 3: calls in whenever you tep wins. He chickened out, didn't

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Speaker 3: call in this weekend, losing to lowly Jacksonville State. But

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Speaker 3: I was livid at that play calling.

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Speaker 2: Out in the southwestern town Posso there is a coaching

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Speaker 2: step who needs to be fired.

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Speaker 3: You have a huge offensive line third or whatever. Anyway,

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Speaker 3: voicemails are back. We'll have a recap episode. We're gonna

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Speaker 3: record that on Monday, and then we'll also preview Duke

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Speaker 3: Clemson on that episode, which is Monday night, so that'll

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Speaker 3: be out Monday afternoon, and then we'll play back voice

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Speaker 3: smails nine to five nine bad Beat call in scream yell.

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Speaker 3: It's really funny, it's cathartic. It so people love it

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Speaker 3: and we've been doing it for years. So and you know,

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Speaker 3: we'll do prize the end of the year for best

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Speaker 3: voice smell caller, best fully smell things like that. So

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Speaker 3: nine to five to nine bad Beat. So on my

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Speaker 3: Twitter profile and also tweeted out we have a lot

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Speaker 3: to get to today. We will start with Thursday at

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Speaker 3: the end of the show on three and out. We'll

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Speaker 3: get to Friday as well. Go through a marquee games

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Speaker 3: and we'll run down in a little more rapid fire

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Speaker 3: some of the games you like. But before we get

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Speaker 3: into that, I do just want to get very quick

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Speaker 3: high level thoughts because it's a sample size of seven

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Speaker 3: games on the rule changes, any any thoughts from either

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Speaker 3: a betting perspective or just from a you know, watching experience.

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Speaker 2: Plays per game came out about. I mean there were

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Speaker 2: some outlayers, I mean there, but there were some that

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Speaker 2: went well under. There were some that went well over

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Speaker 2: from a plays per game perspective. But I think about

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Speaker 2: sixty five percent to seventy percent of the teams that

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Speaker 2: played came within maybe five plays of the number of

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Speaker 2: plays they had last year. Like USC was spot on

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Speaker 2: with their average of last year. So from a tempo perspective,

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Speaker 2: from a maybe there's less points, maybe the unders are

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Speaker 2: going to thrive here. Not really, it wasn't that big

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Speaker 2: of a change. Are the game shorter? Yes, it's kind

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Speaker 2: of like putting the pitch clock on baseball. You didn't

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Speaker 2: change how many runs are getting scored. You just kind

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Speaker 2: of sped up the action a little bit. So from

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Speaker 2: a really small sample, there's a totals piece I put

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Speaker 2: out this week. It didn't change the plays per game,

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Speaker 2: and it certainly didn't change the scoring and go severely under.

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Speaker 2: So we'll see how this weekend turns out.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean it's only a se size of seven

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Speaker 3: right the and I think the players are you know,

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Speaker 3: theoretically supposed to drop by what six sixty seven a

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Speaker 3: game and then you know that translates to two and

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Speaker 3: a half three points potentially, But that's in aggregate. What

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Speaker 3: I noticed, number one, I didn't really love it, Like

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Speaker 3: I don't need less cult twelve by the way, the

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Speaker 3: games are the same length. It's more commercials, more money whatever.

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Speaker 3: Mac Brown just did an interview on actionwork dot com

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Speaker 3: worth checking out with Prem mc murphy. He was like, yeah,

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Speaker 3: we're we're trying to reduce plays that we're adding a

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Speaker 3: twelve team playoffs, Like, come on, it's all about the

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Speaker 3: money as always. But I will say that just because

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Speaker 3: that's the expectation in aggregate, there's you're gonna have to

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Speaker 3: look at this and I'm still collecking data just on

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Speaker 3: a team by team basis. So what I mean by

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Speaker 3: that is teams with you know that are gonna run

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Speaker 3: the ball, grind pound and pound low average depth of target,

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Speaker 3: aren't you know, aren't explosive moving down the field quickly?

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Speaker 3: In those games, you know, you're probably gonna see a

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Speaker 3: greater reduction in the number of plays with the clock

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Speaker 3: not stopping, whereas teams that are going super fast and

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Speaker 3: moving the ball with explosive plays and pushing it downfield

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Speaker 3: probably not going to see that much of a difference.

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Speaker 3: So something that we will keep all of you up

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Speaker 3: to date on as we continue to get more data.

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Speaker 2: I think Hawaii. I think Hawaii is the prime example there. Right,

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Speaker 2: not a lot of first downs, a lot of explosive plays.

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Speaker 2: It didn't stop them from scoring a whole bunch of points,

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Speaker 2: not at all. Yeah, and that was an under team

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Speaker 2: last year.

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Speaker 3: Run and Shoot is back. We'll get to Hawaii later,

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Speaker 3: but let's start off with some midweek madness.

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Speaker 1: Why wait for the weekend, Strap in your fun belts

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Speaker 1: and get ready for maction. It's midweek madness and.

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Speaker 3: We have four games on Thursday. We'll start with NC

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Speaker 3: State Yukon. NC State sitting around a fourteen and a

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Speaker 3: half point favor over Under forty six and a half.

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Speaker 3: The interesting thing to me in this game is you

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Speaker 3: have two new quarterbacks reuniting with their old offensive coordinators.

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Speaker 3: You have Joseph Faniano, who was named the starter at Yukon,

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Speaker 3: surprising many out there that he was in the starter,

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Speaker 3: but he's reunited with his former coach at Maine where

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Speaker 3: he ran this scheme, Nick Charlton. And then you have

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Speaker 3: Brendan Armstrong reunited with Robert and I, this time at

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Speaker 3: NC State. Previously they were at Virginia. So that's a

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Speaker 3: very interesting nugget for this game. My first thought was,

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Speaker 3: under here you might see some growing pains with the

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Speaker 3: NC State offense and never really that flashy, but I

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Speaker 3: think that they want to be a little more explosive

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Speaker 3: this year, and maybe there's some familiarity with this Yukon quarterback.

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Speaker 3: So I think I'm staying away on this game. Do

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Speaker 3: you have any to take well, I.

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Speaker 2: Mean, this was one of the biggest mismatches of Week

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Speaker 2: one when it comes to Yukon bringing back ninety percent

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Speaker 2: of their offense and NC State losing so much that

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Speaker 2: awesome Tony Gibson three three five. You know, they lose

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Speaker 2: Corey Durdin to the NFL. Isaiah Moore Drake Thomas are

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Speaker 2: gone from the linebackers. So are we going to see

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Speaker 2: a drop off in production from NC State on the

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Speaker 2: defensive side of the ball. And you mentioned it, you know,

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Speaker 2: with Josephoniana coming in underneath Nick Charlton to Kwan, Robert

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Speaker 2: Roberson is now third string. I didn't think that would happen.

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Speaker 2: Zion Turner, the starter in the Bowl last year, going

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Speaker 2: to be second string.

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Speaker 3: And you have a Penn State transfer who is the

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Speaker 3: day one starter last year before we got hurt. Penn

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Speaker 3: State transferred to third string, Maine transfer first string.

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Speaker 2: Pretty funny Main Black Bears quarterback. I went and watched

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Speaker 2: a whole bunch of footage of him that he put

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Speaker 2: together himself on his YouTube that he only has two subscribers.

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Speaker 2: He had twenty seven games at Main, forty six to

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Speaker 2: twelve TD to I in t ratio. He ran for

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Speaker 2: five hundred and thirty five yards while he was there.

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Speaker 2: But I think more importantly the video that he put together,

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Speaker 2: he's smoking the liberty defense. He's smoking the boss in

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Speaker 2: college defense. Playing for Maine. I had to go back

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Speaker 2: and check those box scores. This guy can appse. I

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Speaker 2: can see why he won the job for Yukon. So

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Speaker 2: you know, I projected this game at about forty two.

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Speaker 2: The market continues to steam down. I wonder, at what

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Speaker 2: point do you say, these quarterbacks and these offensive coordinators

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Speaker 2: know each other so well, maybe they're a little bit

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Speaker 2: faster and ahead of the game when it comes to

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Speaker 2: getting something down the field. So I do I don't

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Speaker 2: fear Yukon in this game for making this quarterback change.

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Speaker 2: I think I'm gonna stay away from the side and

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna let this thing steam down a little bit more.

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Speaker 2: And I think once it gets down even further below

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Speaker 2: forty five forty four, I'll play an over on this

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Speaker 2: stock I offensive coordinators reuniting with quarterbacks, kind of like

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Speaker 2: that angle.

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Speaker 3: Well, NC State, Yukon over. If that sounds gross to you,

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Speaker 3: I won't be joining you. But I have another game

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Speaker 3: where I'll be talking about waiting for the market to

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Speaker 3: come down. So we could bet a gross over. That's

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Speaker 3: what we call teaser in the business. So that's later

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Speaker 3: we'll talk. That's also on Thursday night, so we'll get

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Speaker 3: that into the second Let's talk Florida Utah. Very fascinating

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Speaker 3: game for what's going on in the market all summer.

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Speaker 3: Utah is down to a four and a half point

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Speaker 3: favorite over under continues to come down. Not sure where

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Speaker 3: this will be by the time you're listening to this,

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Speaker 3: but we're recording here on Wednesday night, and that's where

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Speaker 3: it stands right now. I think it was like ten

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Speaker 3: in earlier in the summer, and it has come all

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Speaker 3: the way down because Cam Rising was announced out. I

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Speaker 3: guess like that he's probably not going to start. That

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Speaker 3: means you're going to get his back up, and you're

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Speaker 3: also going to get there the third string in wildcat packages,

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Speaker 3: Nate Johnson, who is like super fast, Like he's like

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Speaker 3: one of the fastest just overall players in the state,

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Speaker 3: burning speed. So you know, Florida has a tough gig here.

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Speaker 3: It's like they were, Okay, are we preparing for Rising

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Speaker 3: or not? And then it's ok now, we're preparing for

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Speaker 3: uh which backup and we have wildcat packages. So this

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Speaker 3: could work in Utah's favor. They probably knew and weren't

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Speaker 3: releasing or you know, maybe you know they were preparing

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Speaker 3: for Rising to be out. I'm sure. So they've been

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Speaker 3: working with different packages for the past few weeks. This

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Speaker 3: line keeps coming down. I'm going to bet Utah. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: I mean, if I can get three with Utah, I

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Speaker 3: made this up double digits. And by the way, at ten,

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Speaker 3: I think it was like, hey, Rising might not be

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Speaker 3: one hundred percent. I think this should have been This

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Speaker 3: line should have been closer to two touchdowns and one.

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Speaker 3: And you know, Rising, you could argue, is fully healthy

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Speaker 3: is worth what close? Maybe six six ish points? Would

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Speaker 3: you say, yeah at six points?

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Speaker 2: Six?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, six seven points? And but this is a Utah team,

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Speaker 3: so now, and I think it's the three I'm going

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Speaker 3: to show value in Utah playing a Florida team. That's

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Speaker 3: remember we're talking about the quarterback situation in Utah. Florida

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Speaker 3: starting Grand Mertz, and yes, they got a lot of

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Speaker 3: talent on the offensive line, but they have to replace

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Speaker 3: four starters from a really good offensive line. Utah's offensive

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Speaker 3: line is still great. They're still gonna be able to

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Speaker 3: run the ball. And this is still an excellent Utah

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Speaker 3: defense playing in a stadium at night in their season

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Speaker 3: opener where they haven't lost with fans since twenty eighteen

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Speaker 3: in five years, and these Florida kids playing in altitude

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Speaker 3: early in the year won't help either. And I'll just

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Speaker 3: throw this out there. I don't think this is the case.

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Speaker 3: But what if Cam Rising plays, it's they say he's out.

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Speaker 3: But last year Cam Rising was out when nobody knew

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Speaker 3: until the game basically kicked off. So there's definitely been

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Speaker 3: some secrets there from Winningham and company. Yeah, this keeps

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Speaker 3: coming down even without Rising. I would love to get

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Speaker 3: Utah minus three. And I could see this still coming

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Speaker 3: down of too much professional money doesn't get involved and

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Speaker 3: scoop up Utah too early because you'll have Hey, the

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Speaker 3: sec dog. It's a primetime game, a lot of public

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Speaker 3: money's gonna get involved that sca dog quarterbacks out, tight

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Speaker 3: end is out. But I would love to get you

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Speaker 3: Tom honest three year thoughts.

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Speaker 2: I think it is gonna get I think it's gonna

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Speaker 2: touch it. Then rise back up because people like you

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Speaker 2: and me want to do that. And you know I

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Speaker 2: put that God, I put money on Florida like what

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Speaker 2: eight and a half when I was at meet boy

250
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Speaker 2: say his name, I can't say his name. Scared money

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Speaker 2: don't make money.

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Speaker 3: You know.

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Speaker 2: I didn't want to bet it. I had to bet

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Speaker 2: it because I knew cam Riising wasn't gonna play. I

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Speaker 2: knew back then cameras to play. I didn't even know

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Speaker 2: that Brant Kuth. Kuth was not gonna play either. He's

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Speaker 2: now doubtful. So the best two weapons are gone. Bryson.

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Speaker 2: I mean there's a precedence here. I say six points,

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Speaker 2: probably seven because of the drop off down to bryceon

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Speaker 2: Bryce and Barnes, he started to.

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Speaker 3: At least have some experience, at least he's got. Yeah.

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Speaker 2: I played Washington State. They won that game twenty one

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Speaker 2: to seventeen last year, and you know, he looked good

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Speaker 2: enough Vanilla. He's fine. But Nate Johnson is going to

265
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Speaker 2: be the change of pace. He only had like five

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Speaker 2: rushing attempts last year, but broke a twenty one yarder

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Speaker 2: against Stanford. He is extremely fast. But he's coming in

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Speaker 2: to play maybe four or five. His playbook is about

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Speaker 2: four or five plays. So you know, we'll see what

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Speaker 2: Florida is going to be able to do with that.

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Speaker 2: But you know, you go back down to the trenches.

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Speaker 2: Utah's defense is going to be the best in the

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Speaker 2: Pac twelve. That's from a defensive line, that's from a linebacker,

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Speaker 2: and that's from a secondary perspective. The Gators offensive line.

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Speaker 2: You mentioned a lot of new faces that yes, they

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Speaker 2: have a lot of talent, and they have a lot

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Speaker 2: of just pure size. Right, they're a huge offensive line,

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Speaker 2: but is pretty new sixty two percent of their snaps

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Speaker 2: returned from twenty twenty two. I think what you need

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Speaker 2: to look at is Graham Mertz had one hundred and

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Speaker 2: three pressures last season. When he has pressure, he has

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Speaker 2: not been able to show when he's at Wisconsin that

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Speaker 2: he can overcome that. Three tds, four interceptions, a fifty

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Speaker 2: four percent completion rate goes down about twenty five percent

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Speaker 2: when Graham Mertz gets pressure in his face. He's going

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Speaker 2: to have that all night against Utah. I don't trust

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Speaker 2: Floor to win this game out right. I wouldn't trust

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Speaker 2: them to cover three or four. I took the number,

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Speaker 2: bought it, put it in the app because it was

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Speaker 2: over a touchdown. I knew Cam Raising wasn't gonna play.

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Speaker 2: I'm itching to come back on Utah. I just need

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Speaker 2: the right time because of Utah and I know Cam

293
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Speaker 2: Raising was there. But if that defense can beat Caleb

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Speaker 2: Williams and Rice Ecles, I don't think I have a

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Speaker 2: problem with that defense containing Graham Mertz, who absolutely cannot

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Speaker 2: deal with any havoc whatsoever, and that's never changed.

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Speaker 3: So you know, I don't know.

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Speaker 2: About the Rising, you know, coming out to play, but

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Speaker 2: I will definitely back Utah if it gets down to three,

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Speaker 2: I will come back on that floor a number.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, well, just bounce out. Last year, no one knew

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Speaker 3: Rising was out, and now no one's gonna know Rising

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Speaker 3: is in. But my assumption is he's gonna be out,

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Speaker 3: and I'm gonna wait to buy Utah. So keep an

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Speaker 3: eye out on the Action Network Gap as I'll be

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Speaker 3: watching the market furiously all day. And yeah, you better

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Speaker 3: buy back some. You cannot start the real start of

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Speaker 3: the college football season with money on Graham Mertz and

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Speaker 3: Billy Naper.

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Speaker 2: Oh you said it.

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Speaker 3: I can say that. You just can't. That is what

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Speaker 3: we call a bad omen. And I'm sure our producer

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Speaker 3: has inserted the scared money.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, scared money don't make money. Would you say that?

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Speaker 2: Buy out?

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Speaker 3: Let's move on to some action Kent State at UCF.

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Speaker 4: Are you serious?

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Speaker 3: You gotta love it? This line has come down. The

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Speaker 3: total has come down, I should say, UCF sitting a

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Speaker 3: little over five touchdown favorites here. Total has come down

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Speaker 3: from fifty nine to fifty eight and a half down

322
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Speaker 3: to like fifty five and a half fifty fifty six,

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Speaker 3: fifty six and a half. There were some weather concerns,

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Speaker 3: so this has come down. I played this under. I

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Speaker 3: still like the under even I don't think the weather's

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Speaker 3: going to be a factor by the time they kick off.

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Speaker 3: Maybe there's some bad field conditions. I just think this

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Speaker 3: Kent State offense is going to be horrifying. They named

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Speaker 3: Purdue transfer Michael Olmo the starting quarterback on a unit

330
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Speaker 3: that lost all eleven starters. They're starting all over and

331
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Speaker 3: then the offensive line is as young as can be.

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Speaker 3: It's not like they brought in great transfers of wide

333
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Speaker 3: receivers like backups. This offense, I cannot see it working

334
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Speaker 3: the whole staff. You know it just last year with

335
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Speaker 3: Sean Lowis went to Colorado and was flash fast, right,

336
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Speaker 3: go fast, go fast to read option with Crumb, and

337
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Speaker 3: then Shlee transferred to UCLA. I don't think that's gonna

338
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Speaker 3: be anywhere close to the offense now. I think it's

339
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Speaker 3: gonna be you know, slow plotting, relying on the rushing attack.

340
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Speaker 3: All the whole staff is like involved with O line

341
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Speaker 3: running backs in their past, so I think it's gonna

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Speaker 3: be a completely different Kent State offense. Number one just

343
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Speaker 3: based on the coach's backgrounds, and the number two just

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Speaker 3: on the talent level that they have. And they'd be

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Speaker 3: smart to kind of slow off games also, so there

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Speaker 3: should be a ton of running and then I don't

347
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Speaker 3: think they're gonna have a lot of explosive plays. And

348
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Speaker 3: by the way, UCF, they're just I feel like they're

349
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Speaker 3: at Boys next week. They're gonna be running a lot

350
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Speaker 3: and they should get a lead and then kind of

351
00:18:03,640 --> 00:18:07,320
Speaker 3: this game should die. But I think Kent State defense

352
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Speaker 3: has some pieces back. They also have two Missouri transfers

353
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Speaker 3: that are starting, and the defense is definitely going to

354
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Speaker 3: be ahead of the offense. So yeah, I just I

355
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Speaker 3: cannot see Kent State contributing much here. And UCF is

356
00:18:22,680 --> 00:18:25,920
Speaker 3: eventually gonna stop scoring, and I think the clock will

357
00:18:25,960 --> 00:18:29,480
Speaker 3: be moving fast throughout. So I like the under here

358
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Speaker 3: with or without weather. Yeah, you just to get just

359
00:18:34,160 --> 00:18:36,480
Speaker 3: to illustrate where where like these teams weren't this months

360
00:18:36,520 --> 00:18:41,359
Speaker 3: ago the spring game in Kent State, I think what

361
00:18:41,440 --> 00:18:43,439
Speaker 3: do they call the Blue Goal game or whatever? They

362
00:18:43,520 --> 00:18:46,640
Speaker 3: finished Thirteen to twelve was the score of the spring game.

363
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Speaker 3: This is the new Akron remember twelve, but the Kent

364
00:18:51,280 --> 00:18:56,040
Speaker 3: State defense to Kent State defense thirteen to twelve. Te

365
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Speaker 3: On Dollar hit the Akron field and all of a

366
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Speaker 3: sudden we got points. It was like a you know,

367
00:19:00,080 --> 00:19:01,399
Speaker 3: like an oasis in the desert.

368
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Speaker 2: So, yeah, Kent State is going to go extremely slow here.

369
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Speaker 2: New head coach Kenny Burns. I think what you know,

370
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Speaker 2: offensive coordinator Matt Johnson was promoted from running back coach

371
00:19:09,720 --> 00:19:11,720
Speaker 2: to offensive coordinator. But Kenny Burns, what you should know

372
00:19:11,720 --> 00:19:13,800
Speaker 2: about him is he was the running back at running

373
00:19:13,800 --> 00:19:17,159
Speaker 2: back coach at Minnesota since twenty seventeen, so one of

374
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Speaker 2: the slowest rock pounding offenses over the last seven years

375
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Speaker 2: or so. That's now the new head coach of Kent State.

376
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Speaker 2: So it's completely different than the Sean Lewis flash fast.

377
00:19:28,800 --> 00:19:31,119
Speaker 2: You're not gonna get any of that going on right now. So,

378
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Speaker 2: you know, I think the total coming down fifty nine

379
00:19:33,960 --> 00:19:36,480
Speaker 2: to fifty eight. It's down fifty six. It's a combination

380
00:19:36,600 --> 00:19:39,400
Speaker 2: of the hurricane passing through that's gone now. ACU Weather

381
00:19:39,480 --> 00:19:40,920
Speaker 2: says there's gonna be about an hour and a half

382
00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:43,040
Speaker 2: of rain in the PM. Not really sure if that's

383
00:19:43,080 --> 00:19:45,320
Speaker 2: going to be during the game about seventeen mile an

384
00:19:45,359 --> 00:19:48,480
Speaker 2: hour win Gus. But my thinking is there might not

385
00:19:48,560 --> 00:19:50,360
Speaker 2: be any throwing. Not sure if they're gonna be any

386
00:19:50,400 --> 00:19:52,920
Speaker 2: kicking either. Kent State finished dead last and special teams

387
00:19:53,000 --> 00:19:56,280
Speaker 2: last year. But is John rees plumb Lee gonna really

388
00:19:56,280 --> 00:19:58,119
Speaker 2: air it out? I mean, he had nearly a thousand

389
00:19:58,200 --> 00:20:00,680
Speaker 2: yards on the ground, loves to leave the pok. He's got,

390
00:20:00,800 --> 00:20:02,440
Speaker 2: you know, the green light to leave the pocket any

391
00:20:02,520 --> 00:20:04,920
Speaker 2: time he wants. And I started thinking to myself, does

392
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Speaker 2: Gus Malzon want plumbly all four quarters running around the

393
00:20:09,160 --> 00:20:11,240
Speaker 2: field when he dealt with a lower body injury that

394
00:20:11,359 --> 00:20:13,760
Speaker 2: got Mikey Keene a lot of playing time last year?

395
00:20:14,280 --> 00:20:17,200
Speaker 2: So does that lesson with Mikey Keen teach Gus that

396
00:20:17,320 --> 00:20:20,680
Speaker 2: maybe I'm going to hold it back here, not completely

397
00:20:20,760 --> 00:20:22,560
Speaker 2: blow them out and get ready for this big trip

398
00:20:22,640 --> 00:20:24,560
Speaker 2: up to Boise State. When you go back and look

399
00:20:24,560 --> 00:20:26,720
Speaker 2: at what's happened in the last two years, Gus blew

400
00:20:26,760 --> 00:20:29,080
Speaker 2: out South Carolina State last year, they lost to Louisville

401
00:20:29,119 --> 00:20:31,520
Speaker 2: the next week. In twenty twenty one, they blew out

402
00:20:31,560 --> 00:20:33,879
Speaker 2: Bethune Cookman. They lost to Louisville on the road the

403
00:20:33,920 --> 00:20:36,840
Speaker 2: next week. So My question is is do we get

404
00:20:36,960 --> 00:20:40,120
Speaker 2: enough cruise control. Maybe Kent State ads a field goal,

405
00:20:40,200 --> 00:20:42,120
Speaker 2: who knows. I don't know. It's going to be such

406
00:20:42,160 --> 00:20:44,800
Speaker 2: a slow pace from the Kent State side. I did

407
00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:47,600
Speaker 2: buy Kent State at thirty seven. I would still buy

408
00:20:47,600 --> 00:20:50,280
Speaker 2: it at thirty five and a half. I don't love that,

409
00:20:50,840 --> 00:20:53,800
Speaker 2: but I needed some money down on this game. I

410
00:20:54,760 --> 00:20:57,320
Speaker 2: wanted the under two. I assume that if it gets

411
00:20:57,359 --> 00:20:59,000
Speaker 2: to fifty five it's going to pop back up being

412
00:20:59,040 --> 00:21:01,639
Speaker 2: the biggest key number in totals, but the under and

413
00:21:01,760 --> 00:21:05,119
Speaker 2: Kent State is the way to look. I can't I

414
00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:06,640
Speaker 2: can't believe I have money. I can't state this early.

415
00:21:06,680 --> 00:21:08,520
Speaker 2: I didn't think I would ever do it. But when

416
00:21:08,600 --> 00:21:11,280
Speaker 2: you think of UCF spot where they're going next week.

417
00:21:11,440 --> 00:21:14,000
Speaker 2: Their quarterback, and they got to get some experience in

418
00:21:14,040 --> 00:21:16,160
Speaker 2: the backups in case Plumblely gets hurt again this year.

419
00:21:16,800 --> 00:21:19,840
Speaker 2: So maybe Gus in the second half says, yeah, let's

420
00:21:19,880 --> 00:21:22,119
Speaker 2: get that second string out there and let him go

421
00:21:22,200 --> 00:21:24,240
Speaker 2: and maybe Kent State can actually hold onto the ball

422
00:21:24,320 --> 00:21:26,960
Speaker 2: for a long possession. Yeah.

423
00:21:27,040 --> 00:21:31,760
Speaker 3: I would tend to agree that's probably the sentiment of

424
00:21:32,800 --> 00:21:37,160
Speaker 3: Gus here. I mean his quote about this game. Yesked

425
00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:40,360
Speaker 3: when he was asked about Kent State. Honestly, we don't

426
00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:42,879
Speaker 3: know a lot about them. They don't have a lot

427
00:21:42,920 --> 00:21:45,000
Speaker 3: of good players back. They have a lot of new faces.

428
00:21:45,520 --> 00:21:47,919
Speaker 3: So we're curious to see exactly what they'll do. At

429
00:21:47,920 --> 00:21:49,679
Speaker 3: the end of the day. When there's so many unknowns,

430
00:21:49,680 --> 00:21:52,040
Speaker 3: you do what you do. You adapt, and I'm sure

431
00:21:52,080 --> 00:21:55,200
Speaker 3: they'll do something similar. So it doesn't seem like he's

432
00:21:55,240 --> 00:21:59,000
Speaker 3: too concerned, as he shouldn't be with this god awful He.

433
00:21:59,040 --> 00:22:01,480
Speaker 2: Probably put it a game plan for Boise. He's probably

434
00:22:01,520 --> 00:22:02,480
Speaker 2: already on to Boise.

435
00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:07,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, all right, let's move on to the final game

436
00:22:07,359 --> 00:22:11,600
Speaker 3: on that we'll talk about on Thursday night, Nebraska at Minnesota.

437
00:22:12,119 --> 00:22:14,520
Speaker 3: Twenty five percent of this crowd might be Nebraska.

438
00:22:14,160 --> 00:22:19,119
Speaker 5: Fans Nebraska, Honestly, it's not for everyone.

439
00:22:19,440 --> 00:22:22,119
Speaker 3: I mean, Minnesota always plays on Thursday nights, you know,

440
00:22:22,119 --> 00:22:25,119
Speaker 3: a lot because of State Fair. The State Fair on

441
00:22:25,240 --> 00:22:27,960
Speaker 3: Saturday pushes them to for parking or something. I don't know,

442
00:22:28,040 --> 00:22:28,920
Speaker 3: so I think it has something to do with the

443
00:22:28,960 --> 00:22:30,000
Speaker 3: State Fair, which might.

444
00:22:29,920 --> 00:22:32,199
Speaker 2: Be my volleyball game though, Drew mooreph maybe that's going

445
00:22:32,280 --> 00:22:33,960
Speaker 2: to keep some of the Nebraska fans at home after

446
00:22:33,960 --> 00:22:34,600
Speaker 2: the volleyball game.

447
00:22:34,640 --> 00:22:36,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, well it was actually pretty cool. They filled the

448
00:22:36,280 --> 00:22:39,959
Speaker 3: football stadium for the volleyball game in Nebraska. But by

449
00:22:40,000 --> 00:22:42,920
Speaker 3: the way, you made me go to what's the thing

450
00:22:43,080 --> 00:22:45,240
Speaker 3: to make me South? Make me because I moved to

451
00:22:45,320 --> 00:22:47,320
Speaker 3: the South. I had waffle house. Maybe go to the

452
00:22:47,359 --> 00:22:49,800
Speaker 3: waffle house for the first time. I've never been to

453
00:22:49,840 --> 00:22:53,120
Speaker 3: a state fair, and yeah, so I kind of want

454
00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:55,240
Speaker 3: to go to a state fair. Like all the the

455
00:22:55,320 --> 00:22:57,720
Speaker 3: fried pickles are one of the things that Minnesota is

456
00:22:57,720 --> 00:22:59,280
Speaker 3: known for. I think there's like a fried pickle, I

457
00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:02,520
Speaker 3: mean a pickle lemonade or something. I saw Rebell tweeting

458
00:23:02,560 --> 00:23:04,960
Speaker 3: about that. But there's like a famed fried pickle vender

459
00:23:05,000 --> 00:23:06,600
Speaker 3: at Minnesota State There. I don't know, but I gotta

460
00:23:06,640 --> 00:23:08,120
Speaker 3: go to one. I know the Iowa one is good.

461
00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:08,520
Speaker 3: Which one?

462
00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:11,440
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I don't know. Iowa State Fair is fantastic.

463
00:23:11,520 --> 00:23:14,320
Speaker 2: It's the best, but it's good. It's not as good

464
00:23:14,359 --> 00:23:16,520
Speaker 2: as the Iowa State Fair. The Iowa State Fair is

465
00:23:16,600 --> 00:23:20,280
Speaker 2: like pure beer and fried food and carbs, and it's

466
00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:22,560
Speaker 2: it's almost like going down to the Texas State Fair. Anyways,

467
00:23:22,600 --> 00:23:24,119
Speaker 2: We're not going to compare to Texas State Firs. I'm

468
00:23:24,119 --> 00:23:26,280
Speaker 2: glad you went to waffle house. I like smothered covered chunks.

469
00:23:27,080 --> 00:23:28,800
Speaker 3: All right, Well, I don't I forget what I ordered

470
00:23:28,840 --> 00:23:32,240
Speaker 3: because I had some beverages, but I did go Nebraska Minnesota.

471
00:23:32,520 --> 00:23:37,560
Speaker 3: Minnesota sitting as und a touchdown favorite over under down

472
00:23:37,640 --> 00:23:39,760
Speaker 3: to forty three, forty two and a half at some

473
00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:42,320
Speaker 3: places I know you like Minnesota. I'll let you build

474
00:23:42,359 --> 00:23:45,400
Speaker 3: your case in the moment. This is my potential over

475
00:23:45,560 --> 00:23:47,760
Speaker 3: that I might buy if it keeps going down. And

476
00:23:48,200 --> 00:23:50,760
Speaker 3: it's the last thing I want to do because it's Minnesota,

477
00:23:50,800 --> 00:23:52,600
Speaker 3: who's usually a snail. But I think they're going to

478
00:23:52,640 --> 00:23:55,240
Speaker 3: pass more this year without Abraham, and they have a

479
00:23:55,359 --> 00:23:59,760
Speaker 3: really good wide receiver room and the Greek rifle at quarterback,

480
00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:01,360
Speaker 3: so I think they're going to chuck it her out more.

481
00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:03,800
Speaker 3: But they play so slow, and I have no idea

482
00:24:03,800 --> 00:24:05,520
Speaker 3: what Nebraska's going to do an offense, Like are they

483
00:24:05,560 --> 00:24:09,320
Speaker 3: just going to run counter for like sixty minutes and

484
00:24:09,440 --> 00:24:12,080
Speaker 3: just run into walls? I don't know. The Nebraska offense

485
00:24:12,119 --> 00:24:14,840
Speaker 3: is a big unknown, but that might work in their

486
00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:18,080
Speaker 3: favor maybe in Week one. But if this Minnesota defense

487
00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:20,760
Speaker 3: I think was extremely overrated last year, and I have

488
00:24:20,800 --> 00:24:24,239
Speaker 3: a lot of respect for Rossei, their coordinator, but if

489
00:24:24,320 --> 00:24:26,760
Speaker 3: you look last year at you know their numbers are

490
00:24:26,800 --> 00:24:30,920
Speaker 3: really good. Here are their wins New Mexico State with

491
00:24:31,119 --> 00:24:35,199
Speaker 3: Frankas and Pavia, Western Illinois who played two quarterbacks, Colorado

492
00:24:35,280 --> 00:24:38,800
Speaker 3: who played three quarterbacks, Michigan State with Thorn and Kim

493
00:24:39,080 --> 00:24:44,200
Speaker 3: Rutgers with their two quarterbacks. Nebraska when Smothers and Purdy

494
00:24:44,320 --> 00:24:48,560
Speaker 3: played Northwestern when Sullivan and Helenski split time, and your

495
00:24:48,640 --> 00:24:51,520
Speaker 3: boy Mertz in Wisconsin, that's what they beat last year.

496
00:24:52,080 --> 00:24:54,920
Speaker 3: And then they played Syracuse, they beat him in the bable.

497
00:24:54,960 --> 00:24:56,880
Speaker 3: They give a five hundred yards, they lose a ton

498
00:24:56,960 --> 00:25:00,960
Speaker 3: at linebacker, a ton in the secondary. This Minnesota defense

499
00:25:01,040 --> 00:25:03,440
Speaker 3: might be right. I don't know if Nebraska could take advantage,

500
00:25:04,440 --> 00:25:06,760
Speaker 3: but I think Minnesota can move the ball in this

501
00:25:06,840 --> 00:25:11,640
Speaker 3: Nebraska defense, especially since a great receiver wide receiver room.

502
00:25:12,240 --> 00:25:14,359
Speaker 3: You know they're always gonna have a great offensive line

503
00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:17,240
Speaker 3: to a their replace a center first round draft pick.

504
00:25:17,320 --> 00:25:24,480
Speaker 3: But they keep in mind Nebraska hired Tony White defensive

505
00:25:24,520 --> 00:25:28,920
Speaker 3: coordinator Syracuse, who's going to implement that same scheme at Nebraska.

506
00:25:30,560 --> 00:25:33,879
Speaker 3: Who did Minnesota face in the Bowl last year, the

507
00:25:34,000 --> 00:25:36,240
Speaker 3: same defense, so they already prepped for it last year.

508
00:25:36,280 --> 00:25:38,240
Speaker 3: They already saw it, so I think that should help

509
00:25:38,240 --> 00:25:42,119
Speaker 3: their case as well. So it's ugly, and if anyone

510
00:25:42,200 --> 00:25:44,680
Speaker 3: remembers trying to sweat out that Minnesota Syracuse over in

511
00:25:44,760 --> 00:25:47,639
Speaker 3: the Bowl and we had that miracle Strader scramble to

512
00:25:47,680 --> 00:25:52,720
Speaker 3: get it, it might be that ugly again. But forty

513
00:25:52,760 --> 00:25:54,680
Speaker 3: two and a half. I'm tempted by the over.

514
00:25:54,760 --> 00:25:54,879
Speaker 5: Now.

515
00:25:55,520 --> 00:25:57,280
Speaker 3: I know you like Minnesota. What are your thoughts there?

516
00:25:57,640 --> 00:26:00,640
Speaker 2: I do like Minnesota. The total content doing the sync

517
00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:02,640
Speaker 2: makes me a little scared on the minus seven, which

518
00:26:02,720 --> 00:26:04,560
Speaker 2: is why I have held off. This isn't in the

519
00:26:04,640 --> 00:26:06,480
Speaker 2: app and I don't have money because maybe a six

520
00:26:06,560 --> 00:26:08,200
Speaker 2: and a half will pop and I'll happily take that.

521
00:26:08,359 --> 00:26:12,879
Speaker 2: But I am expecting Athan caliac manis to have a

522
00:26:13,119 --> 00:26:15,400
Speaker 2: really good season, especially against the defense he just saw

523
00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:17,639
Speaker 2: in a bowl game. He went seven to nine eighty yards.

524
00:26:18,600 --> 00:26:20,159
Speaker 2: He wasn't asked to do much, but he didn't make

525
00:26:20,240 --> 00:26:22,879
Speaker 2: any mistakes whatsoever, and generally when people see that kind

526
00:26:22,880 --> 00:26:24,800
Speaker 2: of defense for the first time, they do make mistakes.

527
00:26:25,359 --> 00:26:27,360
Speaker 2: He didn't have any problems with it. He has got

528
00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:30,960
Speaker 2: the pedigree, the arm that everything to do this, which

529
00:26:31,280 --> 00:26:33,320
Speaker 2: is nice. But then I started looking at the wide

530
00:26:33,320 --> 00:26:36,520
Speaker 2: receiver room and I started diving into the stats, and

531
00:26:36,720 --> 00:26:39,960
Speaker 2: holy cow, if you are over two yards per route run,

532
00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:43,680
Speaker 2: you are considered an explosive wide receiver. They have four

533
00:26:43,760 --> 00:26:46,800
Speaker 2: of them. Corey Krumes comes in from Western Michigan. Oh,

534
00:26:46,800 --> 00:26:49,000
Speaker 2: by the way, the running backs from Western Michigan. PJ.

535
00:26:49,160 --> 00:26:50,960
Speaker 2: Fleck rowed the boat all the way back and brought

536
00:26:51,280 --> 00:26:54,639
Speaker 2: these kids back. So he's still getting kids out of

537
00:26:55,000 --> 00:26:57,320
Speaker 2: the old state. But Corey Krumes comes in, he's over

538
00:26:57,359 --> 00:26:59,560
Speaker 2: two yards per out run. Daniel Jackson still on roster,

539
00:26:59,880 --> 00:27:04,600
Speaker 2: was explosive. Elijah Spencer from Club Litt from Charlotte Babies coming,

540
00:27:04,680 --> 00:27:07,560
Speaker 2: he's like two point three. And then Chris Ottoman Bell,

541
00:27:07,600 --> 00:27:10,400
Speaker 2: which I had to check this this seventh year. Yeah,

542
00:27:10,840 --> 00:27:11,400
Speaker 2: seventh year.

543
00:27:11,560 --> 00:27:12,280
Speaker 3: I think in the.

544
00:27:12,320 --> 00:27:15,119
Speaker 2: Program in twenty twenty one. That year that you know,

545
00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:17,520
Speaker 2: Minnesota was crazy. He was two point six yards per

546
00:27:17,640 --> 00:27:22,560
Speaker 2: route run. I am going to back a quarterback that

547
00:27:22,720 --> 00:27:25,840
Speaker 2: can sling it downfield, has the arm strength, with a

548
00:27:26,760 --> 00:27:30,840
Speaker 2: bevy of wide receivers that can absolutely get free. And

549
00:27:30,880 --> 00:27:32,760
Speaker 2: then when I turn around, I look at this Nebraska

550
00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:36,359
Speaker 2: secondary and I know that there is some experience on

551
00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:40,320
Speaker 2: this defense, but they are switching schemes from the Shenander

552
00:27:40,440 --> 00:27:41,760
Speaker 2: or whatever they run at the end of the year

553
00:27:41,840 --> 00:27:44,840
Speaker 2: to the three three five. Nebraska on their depth chart

554
00:27:44,880 --> 00:27:48,840
Speaker 2: that they put out has to extremely inexperience safeties. On

555
00:27:48,920 --> 00:27:51,639
Speaker 2: the depth chart a Northern Iowa transfer Omar Brown, he

556
00:27:51,760 --> 00:27:54,000
Speaker 2: was targeted only twice last year, only twice at his

557
00:27:54,160 --> 00:27:57,640
Speaker 2: FBS career, and then Juco Deshaun Singleton was targeted five

558
00:27:57,680 --> 00:27:59,760
Speaker 2: times last year, gave up four catches. These are your

559
00:27:59,800 --> 00:28:02,840
Speaker 2: two safeties. That's how much experience they have at this level,

560
00:28:03,200 --> 00:28:06,840
Speaker 2: and you're gonna throw these four wide receivers at him. Minnesota,

561
00:28:06,880 --> 00:28:08,560
Speaker 2: I don't know how. I'm not saying that this is

562
00:28:08,640 --> 00:28:10,960
Speaker 2: the new you know, I'm not saying that this is

563
00:28:11,000 --> 00:28:12,639
Speaker 2: gonna be Central Florida. I'm not gonna say it's a

564
00:28:12,640 --> 00:28:15,479
Speaker 2: big twelve offense. What I am saying is Minnesota's got

565
00:28:15,560 --> 00:28:17,719
Speaker 2: some passing game, They've got arm strength to get down

566
00:28:17,760 --> 00:28:20,720
Speaker 2: the field, They've got right, they've got wide wide receivers

567
00:28:20,760 --> 00:28:22,879
Speaker 2: that can get downfield, and they're going up against a

568
00:28:22,920 --> 00:28:25,840
Speaker 2: defense that's gonna be soft over the middle. Am I

569
00:28:25,960 --> 00:28:30,280
Speaker 2: scared about Jeff Simms? Not really? I mean I don't

570
00:28:30,359 --> 00:28:33,120
Speaker 2: like the Minnesota linebackers, and I don't like the Minnesota secondary,

571
00:28:33,160 --> 00:28:35,040
Speaker 2: but I'm not scared in this game if they don't

572
00:28:35,040 --> 00:28:36,760
Speaker 2: get They've never been able to get pressure. They haven't

573
00:28:37,080 --> 00:28:40,200
Speaker 2: pressured a quarterback and so long. But does that matter

574
00:28:40,200 --> 00:28:42,960
Speaker 2: against Jeff Simms because he takes himself out of games.

575
00:28:43,520 --> 00:28:47,080
Speaker 2: He has twenty four big time throws to thirty eight. Yeah,

576
00:28:47,080 --> 00:28:49,120
Speaker 2: he's a walking tour. I mean, it's not Adrian Martinez

577
00:28:49,160 --> 00:28:51,520
Speaker 2: bad when he was in Nebraska, but hey, there's time

578
00:28:51,800 --> 00:28:54,040
Speaker 2: to be that bad. So I don't think it's such

579
00:28:54,080 --> 00:28:57,680
Speaker 2: a bad thing that Minnesota's defense, which is not gonna

580
00:28:57,720 --> 00:29:00,479
Speaker 2: be great this year, doesn't get pressure because Jeff Sims

581
00:29:00,840 --> 00:29:03,200
Speaker 2: is very turnover prone. As to we're on the other

582
00:29:03,280 --> 00:29:06,200
Speaker 2: side of the BAF of Minnesota, we might see the

583
00:29:06,280 --> 00:29:11,120
Speaker 2: emergence of an elite arm in the Big ten West yep.

584
00:29:11,560 --> 00:29:13,760
Speaker 3: All right before Oh and one other note, Nick Monroe,

585
00:29:14,040 --> 00:29:17,000
Speaker 3: Minnesota hired to be their co defensive coordinator. He was

586
00:29:17,080 --> 00:29:21,120
Speaker 3: the passing defensive passing coordinator for Syracuse in that scheme,

587
00:29:21,160 --> 00:29:23,880
Speaker 3: so there's even more familiarity now in that room. All right,

588
00:29:23,960 --> 00:29:27,680
Speaker 3: let's move on to Saturday and we'll talk some marquee games.

589
00:29:29,120 --> 00:29:34,240
Speaker 1: It's another fabulous weekend of college football. Let's check out

590
00:29:34,280 --> 00:29:38,240
Speaker 1: the marquee matchups we'll all end up bedding for week one.

591
00:29:39,360 --> 00:29:42,240
Speaker 3: It's the official start of the Cacole season, but it's

592
00:29:42,280 --> 00:29:45,560
Speaker 3: not a loaded marquee game Slate. I don't think there's

593
00:29:45,600 --> 00:29:48,960
Speaker 3: any ranked matchups until Sunday, which we'll get to when

594
00:29:48,960 --> 00:29:51,280
Speaker 3: we talk Florida State LSU. But let's talk a little

595
00:29:52,320 --> 00:29:55,320
Speaker 3: big noon on Fox. Kick things off on Saturday.

596
00:29:55,760 --> 00:29:56,040
Speaker 2: The game.

597
00:29:56,080 --> 00:30:00,120
Speaker 3: Everyone's gonna have their eyes on Colorado and Neon Dion.

598
00:30:00,360 --> 00:30:03,720
Speaker 4: Dion Sanderson Sanderson.

599
00:30:03,200 --> 00:30:06,480
Speaker 2: Sander Deon Dion saluting as he goes.

600
00:30:06,920 --> 00:30:11,160
Speaker 3: What don't you know he'd find the one Colorado heading

601
00:30:11,280 --> 00:30:14,640
Speaker 3: two TCU, the defending runner ups to kick off their

602
00:30:14,760 --> 00:30:17,480
Speaker 3: season TCU twenty and a half point favorite over under

603
00:30:18,280 --> 00:30:20,720
Speaker 3: sixty four ish. I don't really, I don't know what

604
00:30:20,800 --> 00:30:23,360
Speaker 3: to expect from Colorado. Anyone that note like can tell

605
00:30:23,400 --> 00:30:26,360
Speaker 3: you this is what's gonna happen is lying. I do

606
00:30:26,480 --> 00:30:28,920
Speaker 3: think the TCU offense is going to take a bigger

607
00:30:28,920 --> 00:30:33,600
Speaker 3: step back than most. I think the market is valuing

608
00:30:33,640 --> 00:30:37,200
Speaker 3: and I think that their defense is gonna be fine

609
00:30:38,240 --> 00:30:43,280
Speaker 3: under Gillespie and It's hard to project the Colorid offense,

610
00:30:43,320 --> 00:30:45,040
Speaker 3: especially with that offensive line. They do much. That's one

611
00:30:45,040 --> 00:30:48,760
Speaker 3: thing I will say. So I'm kind of leaning this

612
00:30:49,200 --> 00:30:51,920
Speaker 3: under here for the game. Is what I'm is what

613
00:30:52,000 --> 00:30:55,520
Speaker 3: I might play, but it's scary it would be small totals.

614
00:30:55,560 --> 00:30:58,480
Speaker 3: I'm not playing too much on many totals early in

615
00:30:58,520 --> 00:31:00,920
Speaker 3: the year. But your thoughts here, Colt.

616
00:31:02,480 --> 00:31:04,479
Speaker 2: What worried me about taking the over, which I did

617
00:31:04,520 --> 00:31:06,400
Speaker 2: put some money on the over. What worried me about

618
00:31:06,440 --> 00:31:10,320
Speaker 2: it is what I completely believe that these two offenses

619
00:31:10,880 --> 00:31:13,400
Speaker 2: are probably going to have some quality drives. That doesn't

620
00:31:13,400 --> 00:31:15,080
Speaker 2: mean they're going to score. That just means that I

621
00:31:15,080 --> 00:31:16,320
Speaker 2: think that they're going to get down the field and

622
00:31:16,360 --> 00:31:19,160
Speaker 2: get past the forty and have opportunities. I think you

623
00:31:19,200 --> 00:31:21,239
Speaker 2: should start with the tempo. Kendle Brows comes in an

624
00:31:21,280 --> 00:31:25,800
Speaker 2: offensive coordinator at TCU, you're gonna and Sonny Dyke said,

625
00:31:26,040 --> 00:31:28,920
Speaker 2: you know, Brows and I aren complete lockstep about what

626
00:31:28,960 --> 00:31:31,320
Speaker 2: we want to do at the offense. Well, Kindle Brills

627
00:31:31,400 --> 00:31:33,440
Speaker 2: is going to improve the seconds per play from twenty

628
00:31:33,520 --> 00:31:35,200
Speaker 2: seven down to twenty three and a half. That is

629
00:31:35,240 --> 00:31:37,800
Speaker 2: a significant jump. They are going to run the ball

630
00:31:37,800 --> 00:31:40,160
Speaker 2: a little bit more. What worries me from an over

631
00:31:40,280 --> 00:31:43,840
Speaker 2: perspective is Kindle Briles took Arkansas to be like fiftieth

632
00:31:43,920 --> 00:31:45,800
Speaker 2: in offensive finishing drives. I don't know how you do

633
00:31:45,920 --> 00:31:48,920
Speaker 2: that with kJ Jefferson and Raheem Sanders. I think it's

634
00:31:49,000 --> 00:31:51,280
Speaker 2: one of the biggest reasons that maybe Pittman didn't have

635
00:31:51,360 --> 00:31:53,760
Speaker 2: the invite for him for Briles to come back, and

636
00:31:53,840 --> 00:31:56,800
Speaker 2: Brill's jump so quick to get on this staff. But

637
00:31:57,080 --> 00:31:58,200
Speaker 2: and you go to the other side of the ball.

638
00:31:58,240 --> 00:32:00,880
Speaker 2: Sean Lewis is the master of tempo. The flash fast

639
00:32:01,320 --> 00:32:03,680
Speaker 2: twenty one point seven seconds per play at Kent State

640
00:32:03,760 --> 00:32:06,479
Speaker 2: last year. So the tempo is there to produce an

641
00:32:06,560 --> 00:32:10,080
Speaker 2: over and you know from the Colorado side, Shador Sanders,

642
00:32:10,240 --> 00:32:13,000
Speaker 2: you know Dion's kid, he's gonna be playing quarterback. He's

643
00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:15,800
Speaker 2: going to create some highlights. Especially if TCU is able

644
00:32:15,880 --> 00:32:17,800
Speaker 2: to flush him with that front three and that three

645
00:32:17,880 --> 00:32:20,640
Speaker 2: three five from Joe Gillespie. They're able to flush atar

646
00:32:20,800 --> 00:32:23,280
Speaker 2: Sanders out of the out of the pocket, then he's

647
00:32:23,360 --> 00:32:25,280
Speaker 2: going to show, you know, some He's going to show

648
00:32:25,320 --> 00:32:27,480
Speaker 2: some explosiveness on the ground and he can hit some

649
00:32:27,520 --> 00:32:30,360
Speaker 2: guys downfield. Now, wide receiver, they do have some talent.

650
00:32:30,720 --> 00:32:34,680
Speaker 2: Jimmy Horn Junior Xavier's Xavier Weaver both come in from

651
00:32:34,720 --> 00:32:37,560
Speaker 2: South Florida. Both were more than two yards per route run,

652
00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:40,680
Speaker 2: so they do have some explosiveness on the outside. Everything

653
00:32:40,720 --> 00:32:42,720
Speaker 2: else on this offense is really a mystery. I don't

654
00:32:42,720 --> 00:32:44,760
Speaker 2: expect this offensive line to be able to contain anything,

655
00:32:45,880 --> 00:32:47,600
Speaker 2: but you know, if that generates some havoc, maybe we

656
00:32:47,680 --> 00:32:50,800
Speaker 2: get some scores out of that. The TCU secondary is

657
00:32:50,880 --> 00:32:54,280
Speaker 2: still a strength, but it's a really aggressive defense.

658
00:32:54,320 --> 00:32:54,520
Speaker 3: Douck.

659
00:32:54,520 --> 00:32:56,000
Speaker 2: You and I talked about this last year on that

660
00:32:56,080 --> 00:32:59,120
Speaker 2: National championship run. They jump routes. You know, Bud Clark

661
00:32:59,160 --> 00:33:01,160
Speaker 2: had like four inner sets in a game because he

662
00:33:01,280 --> 00:33:05,160
Speaker 2: jumps every route, and I mean that really works sometimes.

663
00:33:05,200 --> 00:33:07,600
Speaker 2: But you can also give up explosives. This is a

664
00:33:07,760 --> 00:33:10,800
Speaker 2: TCU defense. There was one hundred and twenty fifth last

665
00:33:10,880 --> 00:33:13,840
Speaker 2: year and giving up past explosives. They were one hundred

666
00:33:13,880 --> 00:33:16,200
Speaker 2: first in defensive finishing drives. Now that's a huge improvement

667
00:33:16,320 --> 00:33:19,720
Speaker 2: from Gary Patterson two years ago, but they're still outside

668
00:33:19,720 --> 00:33:21,520
Speaker 2: the top one hundred and some very key metrics and

669
00:33:21,640 --> 00:33:24,960
Speaker 2: limiting teams from scoring. I think the play is on

670
00:33:25,040 --> 00:33:27,160
Speaker 2: the over you stop at sixty five, which is a key,

671
00:33:28,320 --> 00:33:30,840
Speaker 2: you know. I think if that gets over that sixty five,

672
00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:33,160
Speaker 2: you might want to pivot to a TCU team total over.

673
00:33:34,440 --> 00:33:39,479
Speaker 2: I don't see a circumstance study where Dion or Sonny

674
00:33:39,800 --> 00:33:43,280
Speaker 2: is not trying to continue scoring as fast as possible

675
00:33:43,400 --> 00:33:46,000
Speaker 2: until the clock is up. Nobody is sitting on the ball.

676
00:33:46,080 --> 00:33:48,240
Speaker 2: I don't care if the score is sixty five to zero.

677
00:33:48,800 --> 00:33:51,440
Speaker 2: Nobody is sitting on the ball in this game. Expect

678
00:33:51,520 --> 00:33:54,000
Speaker 2: nobody's sitting on the ball against Dean Sanders period.

679
00:33:55,520 --> 00:33:57,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, no, that's true. It's definitely concern of mind. But

680
00:33:57,880 --> 00:33:59,720
Speaker 3: I'm going to disagree with you on the total under.

681
00:33:59,720 --> 00:34:02,520
Speaker 3: I think colored offense line is going to be their downfall.

682
00:34:03,000 --> 00:34:04,680
Speaker 3: This TCU offense, I think is going to take a

683
00:34:04,680 --> 00:34:07,160
Speaker 3: step back, especially earlier in the year. But let's move

684
00:34:07,200 --> 00:34:14,160
Speaker 3: on to Boise State heading to Washington. Washington still over

685
00:34:14,480 --> 00:34:20,000
Speaker 3: a two touchdown favorite. Here, I am concerned a couple

686
00:34:20,719 --> 00:34:23,960
Speaker 3: phases for Boise State. Number One, their offensive line young

687
00:34:24,040 --> 00:34:26,040
Speaker 3: in a couple of places, no Mason Rudolph on the

688
00:34:26,120 --> 00:34:33,080
Speaker 3: depth chart, and in their secondary really across their entire defense,

689
00:34:33,320 --> 00:34:35,920
Speaker 3: but specifically their secondary. When you're going up against Michael

690
00:34:35,920 --> 00:34:41,680
Speaker 3: Pennis and this fantastic wide receiving cores of Washington. But

691
00:34:41,840 --> 00:34:45,520
Speaker 3: this Boise State defense, not many realize they must replace

692
00:34:46,160 --> 00:34:52,000
Speaker 3: seven guys who are now playing professionally. Six on recent

693
00:34:52,160 --> 00:34:56,400
Speaker 3: NFL rosters, safety Skinner Jael Skinner and the Broncos defensive

694
00:34:56,400 --> 00:35:00,640
Speaker 3: tackles Scott Matlock on the Chargers, cornerbacks Caleb Biggers just

695
00:35:00,719 --> 00:35:04,320
Speaker 3: got caught by the Browns, Tyrek leboff in Ce on

696
00:35:04,400 --> 00:35:08,920
Speaker 3: the Seahawks, and linebackers Ezekiel Noah is playing at like

697
00:35:09,000 --> 00:35:12,200
Speaker 3: an International Football league or something like that, and they're

698
00:35:12,239 --> 00:35:15,239
Speaker 3: Nickel Tyrek Jones on the Titans. Oh, they're pastors for

699
00:35:15,280 --> 00:35:17,000
Speaker 3: George tarles Is on the Raiders. And then they had

700
00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:19,879
Speaker 3: a couple of front seven guys transfer to BYU. That's

701
00:35:19,960 --> 00:35:25,960
Speaker 3: a lot of production for this Boise State defense to replace,

702
00:35:26,280 --> 00:35:29,239
Speaker 3: especially in the back end against this passing attack. And

703
00:35:29,719 --> 00:35:34,799
Speaker 3: this isn't a really prolific Boise State passing attack. It's

704
00:35:34,920 --> 00:35:37,560
Speaker 3: really you know, they want to run first and that's

705
00:35:38,000 --> 00:35:41,120
Speaker 3: not really how you attack Washington. So I'm concerned for

706
00:35:41,160 --> 00:35:42,280
Speaker 3: Boise here. What are your thoughts?

707
00:35:42,560 --> 00:35:44,400
Speaker 2: I am very I would be very concerned if I

708
00:35:44,440 --> 00:35:46,759
Speaker 2: had a Boise ticket right now and probably thinking about

709
00:35:46,800 --> 00:35:49,239
Speaker 2: taking a Washington. I am on Washington in this game.

710
00:35:50,120 --> 00:35:51,440
Speaker 2: I don't really have a lot of fear on it,

711
00:35:51,520 --> 00:35:52,920
Speaker 2: and it's not because of a number. I mean, I

712
00:35:53,000 --> 00:35:54,719
Speaker 2: make the number higher than this a little bit. But

713
00:35:55,640 --> 00:35:58,320
Speaker 2: there's a lot of things going on here that Mason Randolph.

714
00:35:59,480 --> 00:36:01,719
Speaker 2: I'll get to that here in a second. Washington has

715
00:36:01,880 --> 00:36:04,320
Speaker 2: arguably the best passing game on the West Coast. I

716
00:36:04,440 --> 00:36:07,359
Speaker 2: might have to readjust that statement after watching Zachariah Branch

717
00:36:07,400 --> 00:36:10,800
Speaker 2: at USC just run wild as a freshman. But Washington

718
00:36:10,880 --> 00:36:13,320
Speaker 2: really should just be a well oiled machine. They should

719
00:36:13,320 --> 00:36:16,360
Speaker 2: come out here and tear up a defense that lost

720
00:36:16,520 --> 00:36:19,200
Speaker 2: so much only thirty percent of the pressure's comeback. Three

721
00:36:19,239 --> 00:36:21,880
Speaker 2: of the top four tacklers are gone. It's just going

722
00:36:21,960 --> 00:36:23,759
Speaker 2: to be a score fest out of Washington, who was

723
00:36:23,880 --> 00:36:26,200
Speaker 2: number one in the nation last year. And two really

724
00:36:26,239 --> 00:36:29,799
Speaker 2: important things. One available yards, two have it allowed. They

725
00:36:29,840 --> 00:36:32,359
Speaker 2: don't make mistakes ever, and Washington's going to get their

726
00:36:32,400 --> 00:36:34,120
Speaker 2: points and they're going to continue to get their points

727
00:36:34,280 --> 00:36:35,440
Speaker 2: when you go to the other side of the ball.

728
00:36:35,480 --> 00:36:39,040
Speaker 2: I've got I've been so vocal about this. I don't

729
00:36:39,160 --> 00:36:44,279
Speaker 2: like Bush Hampden's offensive coordinator offensive styles scheme, personnel. He's

730
00:36:44,320 --> 00:36:46,520
Speaker 2: taking over for Dirt Codder, which good luck with that

731
00:36:47,480 --> 00:36:49,279
Speaker 2: coming in trying to pick up after the job that

732
00:36:49,360 --> 00:36:52,880
Speaker 2: he did last year. An amazing jobs intermoc. But Hamden

733
00:36:52,920 --> 00:36:55,520
Speaker 2: has always said Taylor Green, I want him to stay

734
00:36:55,560 --> 00:36:57,840
Speaker 2: in the pocket. I don't want him to escape. I

735
00:36:57,960 --> 00:37:00,240
Speaker 2: need him to stay healthy. Well, that's the best part

736
00:37:00,280 --> 00:37:01,880
Speaker 2: of his game is when he was leaving it and

737
00:37:01,960 --> 00:37:03,960
Speaker 2: scrambling all over the place. He says, I don't want

738
00:37:04,000 --> 00:37:05,640
Speaker 2: him to go. You know, more than six to eight

739
00:37:05,719 --> 00:37:09,320
Speaker 2: times a game. Green exceeded that number three of the

740
00:37:09,400 --> 00:37:12,040
Speaker 2: last four games. That's when they were at their best. Now,

741
00:37:12,080 --> 00:37:13,719
Speaker 2: the other thing that I don't like bush Hampton, I've

742
00:37:13,719 --> 00:37:15,080
Speaker 2: said that before. But the other thing I don't like

743
00:37:15,120 --> 00:37:18,040
Speaker 2: about bush Hampton is that he talks about how his

744
00:37:18,239 --> 00:37:21,680
Speaker 2: offense is all the work at the line of scrimmage

745
00:37:21,920 --> 00:37:25,160
Speaker 2: pre snap is done by the center. The center calls

746
00:37:25,239 --> 00:37:27,520
Speaker 2: out blocking schemes. He is the one in charge of

747
00:37:27,560 --> 00:37:31,160
Speaker 2: the line of scrimmage, not the quarterback. Mason Randolph was supposed.

748
00:37:30,760 --> 00:37:31,319
Speaker 3: To be the center.

749
00:37:31,360 --> 00:37:33,719
Speaker 2: This season. He's not even on the two deep depth chart.

750
00:37:33,960 --> 00:37:36,399
Speaker 2: And it's not just they're not disclosing what's going on either,

751
00:37:36,920 --> 00:37:39,840
Speaker 2: so they take Garrett Kerrn, who listen, He's been on

752
00:37:39,880 --> 00:37:41,839
Speaker 2: the offensive line for four years, but he's been at

753
00:37:41,880 --> 00:37:43,799
Speaker 2: right guard. He's never even done in a live game,

754
00:37:43,880 --> 00:37:45,799
Speaker 2: and now you're putting him in charge of calling out

755
00:37:45,840 --> 00:37:49,080
Speaker 2: the blocking schemes. I don't see this going well for

756
00:37:49,160 --> 00:37:52,560
Speaker 2: Boise State whatsoever. I don't love trends. I don't play trends.

757
00:37:52,880 --> 00:37:54,759
Speaker 2: Kaylyn Debor is nine to one against the spread in

758
00:37:54,840 --> 00:37:57,640
Speaker 2: non conference game. Andy Avolos is zero to five last

759
00:37:57,680 --> 00:38:00,120
Speaker 2: year against the spread in non conference games. One of

760
00:38:00,160 --> 00:38:03,520
Speaker 2: these coaches treats every game seriously, and one of these

761
00:38:03,600 --> 00:38:05,560
Speaker 2: coaches only cares about the Mountain West Conference. And the

762
00:38:05,680 --> 00:38:07,640
Speaker 2: last thing I'll say is, if you're afraid about that

763
00:38:07,719 --> 00:38:10,160
Speaker 2: fourteen and a half, you don't like that hook, look

764
00:38:10,160 --> 00:38:12,040
Speaker 2: at what Washington did in the second half last year.

765
00:38:12,440 --> 00:38:14,839
Speaker 2: Bord never start marching down the field. The Huskies were

766
00:38:14,960 --> 00:38:18,239
Speaker 2: third nationally and second half scoring. They do not take

767
00:38:18,239 --> 00:38:20,640
Speaker 2: their foot off the pedal against anybody in any circumstance.

768
00:38:21,000 --> 00:38:23,759
Speaker 2: Gim me Washington, don't care about the hook, Let's roll.

769
00:38:24,280 --> 00:38:27,839
Speaker 3: Yeah, I would not be comfortable the Boise ticket here. Yeah,

770
00:38:27,960 --> 00:38:31,080
Speaker 3: keeping green in the pocket is not the way to

771
00:38:32,040 --> 00:38:34,840
Speaker 3: unleash his full potential. Okay, before we go to the

772
00:38:34,920 --> 00:38:39,080
Speaker 3: next Marquee game, I do want to share that this

773
00:38:39,200 --> 00:38:43,080
Speaker 3: is actually some really exciting moves. Colin and I will

774
00:38:43,120 --> 00:38:46,040
Speaker 3: be on the Favorites podcast right after this comes out

775
00:38:46,120 --> 00:38:50,440
Speaker 3: on Thursday with Simon Hunter and the one and Only

776
00:38:50,520 --> 00:38:55,719
Speaker 3: Chad Millman, and I mentioned that because we're going to

777
00:38:55,800 --> 00:38:58,719
Speaker 3: be on talking a little week one, but also The

778
00:38:58,840 --> 00:39:03,799
Speaker 3: Favorites is about to announce on that episode that they're

779
00:39:03,880 --> 00:39:07,520
Speaker 3: launching a free NFL Pick the contest. Its retally free.

780
00:39:07,719 --> 00:39:10,200
Speaker 3: There's gonna be a link you go to and you pick,

781
00:39:10,880 --> 00:39:13,560
Speaker 3: just like most of the popular contests out there. I

782
00:39:13,640 --> 00:39:15,439
Speaker 3: think the White's gonna operate just five picks a week,

783
00:39:15,600 --> 00:39:20,280
Speaker 3: giving away one hundred twenty thousand dollars in a contest

784
00:39:20,360 --> 00:39:24,040
Speaker 3: that anybody can play apparently, which is just insane. So

785
00:39:24,400 --> 00:39:26,600
Speaker 3: it's got to be the most money ever given away

786
00:39:27,120 --> 00:39:29,640
Speaker 3: by a podcast for a free contest. If you're listening

787
00:39:29,640 --> 00:39:32,440
Speaker 3: to this Thursday morning, they probably haven't even announced this yet,

788
00:39:32,480 --> 00:39:35,160
Speaker 3: so you're hearing the first here, So definitely listen to

789
00:39:35,200 --> 00:39:37,920
Speaker 3: the Favorites podcast later day to check us out. If

790
00:39:38,000 --> 00:39:41,600
Speaker 3: they're running a contest that goddamn big you should probably

791
00:39:41,680 --> 00:39:42,960
Speaker 3: investigate and join.

792
00:39:43,120 --> 00:39:46,200
Speaker 2: We just learned about hours ago. Yeah, why fly out

793
00:39:46,239 --> 00:39:48,680
Speaker 2: to the West coast to play in these big money.

794
00:39:48,920 --> 00:39:51,640
Speaker 3: These big money and there's gonna be process every money year. Yeah,

795
00:39:51,640 --> 00:39:53,560
Speaker 3: and then like the details will you share tomorrow? But

796
00:39:53,880 --> 00:39:55,520
Speaker 3: I think like first prize will probably get like forty

797
00:39:55,640 --> 00:39:58,440
Speaker 3: grand or something. Yeah, we're I'm gonna be entering it,

798
00:39:58,960 --> 00:40:03,120
Speaker 3: but I can't win the grand prize, so you can

799
00:40:03,320 --> 00:40:05,320
Speaker 3: play against us as well. So yeah, make sure you

800
00:40:05,400 --> 00:40:09,480
Speaker 3: check that out. Awesome ship, historical shit. All right, let's

801
00:40:09,560 --> 00:40:14,000
Speaker 3: move on to our third marquee game of the day.

802
00:40:14,040 --> 00:40:16,080
Speaker 3: I shouldn't sayday because we're gonna get tell us you

803
00:40:16,160 --> 00:40:18,160
Speaker 3: Florida State soon, so I should say of the weekend.

804
00:40:18,880 --> 00:40:23,880
Speaker 3: And let's talk some North Carolina South Carolina. North Carolina

805
00:40:24,600 --> 00:40:28,640
Speaker 3: is sitting not much movement recently in this game. I

806
00:40:28,680 --> 00:40:31,000
Speaker 3: think they're still sitting as a two and a half

807
00:40:31,120 --> 00:40:32,000
Speaker 3: point favorite.

808
00:40:32,560 --> 00:40:32,920
Speaker 2: I have.

809
00:40:34,520 --> 00:40:36,680
Speaker 3: Over under has ticked up a bit the sixty four

810
00:40:36,719 --> 00:40:40,160
Speaker 3: and a half let's give We played primetime seventh thirty

811
00:40:40,160 --> 00:40:45,000
Speaker 3: Eastern on ABC and Charlotte, North Carolina. Look, here's my

812
00:40:45,200 --> 00:40:47,239
Speaker 3: thoughts on this first week. We got to see if

813
00:40:48,600 --> 00:40:51,359
Speaker 3: Teses Walker is gonna play the We don't know yet

814
00:40:51,440 --> 00:40:53,719
Speaker 3: if he's eligible, and that's big. He's he's gonna be

815
00:40:53,719 --> 00:40:55,480
Speaker 3: a big part of that offense, and who knows, and

816
00:40:55,560 --> 00:40:57,799
Speaker 3: he's from Charlotte. His whole family has tickets to the game.

817
00:40:58,280 --> 00:41:00,640
Speaker 3: The NCAA just keeps delaying this and it's insane what

818
00:41:00,680 --> 00:41:04,640
Speaker 3: they do sometimes. But anyway, I kind of look at

819
00:41:04,680 --> 00:41:11,239
Speaker 3: this game pretty simply. It's Drake May, and I hate

820
00:41:11,280 --> 00:41:12,520
Speaker 3: the I think it was a big drop off an

821
00:41:12,520 --> 00:41:16,279
Speaker 3: offense coordinator for UNS. Is what I will say. Going

822
00:41:16,320 --> 00:41:20,000
Speaker 3: from long go to your boy, Lindsay. Don't love that,

823
00:41:20,280 --> 00:41:23,759
Speaker 3: but I think the South Carolina team is overrated. We

824
00:41:23,800 --> 00:41:27,879
Speaker 3: talked about that in our preseason podcast. It's Drake May,

825
00:41:28,600 --> 00:41:29,880
Speaker 3: who I love and I think is going to be

826
00:41:29,880 --> 00:41:34,200
Speaker 3: the best pro of any quarterback that's currently in college football,

827
00:41:36,040 --> 00:41:39,480
Speaker 3: taking on a defense that I project to take a

828
00:41:39,560 --> 00:41:42,240
Speaker 3: major step back. They lost two stud corners to the NFL.

829
00:41:42,560 --> 00:41:45,440
Speaker 3: They also lost their defensive tackle pickings to the NFL.

830
00:41:47,200 --> 00:41:50,359
Speaker 3: And then on the other side, you know it's going

831
00:41:50,400 --> 00:41:53,520
Speaker 3: to be Spencer Rattler, and he's got a really good

832
00:41:53,520 --> 00:41:56,400
Speaker 3: receiver in Antoine Wells who will feed against a very

833
00:41:56,480 --> 00:42:00,560
Speaker 3: questionable UNC defense. Ultimately, at the end of the day,

834
00:42:01,719 --> 00:42:04,080
Speaker 3: I trust Drake May more and I think that's what

835
00:42:04,120 --> 00:42:05,520
Speaker 3: it's gonna come down to it again, it should be

836
00:42:05,560 --> 00:42:09,279
Speaker 3: a shootout. I will say Beamer has been really good

837
00:42:09,920 --> 00:42:14,200
Speaker 3: in you know, opening week games, games, Eyes Bowls, non conference,

838
00:42:14,320 --> 00:42:16,760
Speaker 3: like in preparation. He's been very good in those spots,

839
00:42:17,320 --> 00:42:22,000
Speaker 3: which scares me a bit. But I kind of I like,

840
00:42:22,520 --> 00:42:25,960
Speaker 3: I don't love it, especially with the walker and with

841
00:42:26,080 --> 00:42:31,040
Speaker 3: the walker unknown and this offensive coordinator drop off. I

842
00:42:31,120 --> 00:42:35,319
Speaker 3: don't love it, but I'm gonna have UNC in some way.

843
00:42:35,400 --> 00:42:37,239
Speaker 3: It might just be like the anchor of my round robin.

844
00:42:37,719 --> 00:42:39,600
Speaker 3: But I think UNC wins This game. Not a game

845
00:42:39,640 --> 00:42:41,719
Speaker 3: I love, but it should be an exciting one to

846
00:42:41,760 --> 00:42:42,799
Speaker 3: watch anything you see here.

847
00:42:43,239 --> 00:42:46,080
Speaker 2: I think there's two big live betting games of the weekend.

848
00:42:46,160 --> 00:42:49,560
Speaker 2: This is one of them. I don't really want to

849
00:42:49,560 --> 00:42:51,160
Speaker 2: be I never really want to be opposite of you.

850
00:42:51,560 --> 00:42:54,160
Speaker 2: Uh And if I played South Carolina, I would think

851
00:42:54,160 --> 00:42:56,800
Speaker 2: I could get a better number live. I do have

852
00:42:56,920 --> 00:43:00,600
Speaker 2: problems with the chip Lindsay higher. You know, I want

853
00:43:00,680 --> 00:43:02,680
Speaker 2: Drake May to throw the ball as many times as possible,

854
00:43:02,680 --> 00:43:04,880
Speaker 2: and that's what was happening under Phil Longo. Not anymore.

855
00:43:05,280 --> 00:43:07,120
Speaker 2: I think the simple play here is to play the over,

856
00:43:07,800 --> 00:43:10,120
Speaker 2: and not because we have these two quarterbacks that have

857
00:43:10,200 --> 00:43:14,839
Speaker 2: all these weapons, because these defenses are absolutely atrocious. North

858
00:43:14,880 --> 00:43:18,560
Speaker 2: Carolina returns a ton of defense here, but is that

859
00:43:18,640 --> 00:43:22,320
Speaker 2: a good thing? South Carolina returns almost no defense, and

860
00:43:22,400 --> 00:43:25,120
Speaker 2: they couldn't get any worse. So the South Carolina defense

861
00:43:25,200 --> 00:43:28,040
Speaker 2: was horrific, near dead last against the rush outside the

862
00:43:28,080 --> 00:43:30,520
Speaker 2: top one hundred and coverage and finishing drives, and they

863
00:43:30,560 --> 00:43:32,719
Speaker 2: were one hundred and fifteenth and third downs. But now

864
00:43:32,760 --> 00:43:36,920
Speaker 2: they get two two NFL corners. Now they get a

865
00:43:37,320 --> 00:43:40,879
Speaker 2: clean slate of players, and you get Drake May. Not good.

866
00:43:41,239 --> 00:43:45,600
Speaker 2: The North Carolina defense was worse. Five top tacklers returned

867
00:43:45,640 --> 00:43:48,040
Speaker 2: to a squad that was bottom seven in fbs and

868
00:43:48,160 --> 00:43:52,000
Speaker 2: finishing drives and havoc. Everybody got a score, Nobody turned

869
00:43:52,040 --> 00:43:54,800
Speaker 2: the ball over, nobody got tackled in the backfield. So

870
00:43:54,920 --> 00:43:57,520
Speaker 2: what do these teams do best? They just score. Both

871
00:43:57,600 --> 00:44:00,960
Speaker 2: offenses still with the same quarterbacks, I think top fifteen

872
00:44:01,040 --> 00:44:04,480
Speaker 2: in offensive finishing drives last year wide receive rantwain well

873
00:44:04,520 --> 00:44:06,960
Speaker 2: as you mentioned as back for Spencer Rattler Drake May.

874
00:44:07,080 --> 00:44:10,080
Speaker 2: If you look at this depth chart. I think it's

875
00:44:10,200 --> 00:44:12,520
Speaker 2: nine targets back that at least got ten catches in

876
00:44:12,560 --> 00:44:16,000
Speaker 2: one hundred yards nine targets. I know, ten catches in

877
00:44:16,040 --> 00:44:18,200
Speaker 2: one hundred yards y much, but it's still nine guys.

878
00:44:18,320 --> 00:44:21,759
Speaker 2: I mean, that's a baseball team. So I don't see

879
00:44:21,760 --> 00:44:23,879
Speaker 2: how you play anything but the over here, I see

880
00:44:24,000 --> 00:44:26,600
Speaker 2: zero resistance on the defense. The only thing that could

881
00:44:26,640 --> 00:44:28,520
Speaker 2: clog that up is the fact that Chip Lindsay is

882
00:44:28,719 --> 00:44:33,320
Speaker 2: way slower in tempo than Phil Longo. But I expect

883
00:44:33,320 --> 00:44:35,120
Speaker 2: a lot of explosives here. I don't expect a lot

884
00:44:35,120 --> 00:44:35,560
Speaker 2: of stops.

885
00:44:36,719 --> 00:44:39,400
Speaker 3: Yeah. The only thing I thought about the over I

886
00:44:39,560 --> 00:44:42,719
Speaker 3: ultimately stayed away, but I think it's over nothing in

887
00:44:42,840 --> 00:44:45,920
Speaker 3: this game is yeah, Lindsay is a little slower. And

888
00:44:46,000 --> 00:44:49,120
Speaker 3: then also Drake May got the Mahomes treatment at the

889
00:44:49,200 --> 00:44:50,960
Speaker 3: end of last year and he really started the struggle.

890
00:44:51,719 --> 00:44:54,759
Speaker 3: South Carolina had two freshmen played pretty well towards the

891
00:44:54,800 --> 00:44:57,160
Speaker 3: end of the year, especially at safety. I think they

892
00:44:57,280 --> 00:45:01,040
Speaker 3: really benefited from having two NFL corners. They started to

893
00:45:01,080 --> 00:45:04,800
Speaker 3: play better. But they're at least returning to safety. Do

894
00:45:04,840 --> 00:45:08,360
Speaker 3: they just drop them back take away the explosive? And

895
00:45:08,440 --> 00:45:12,960
Speaker 3: then does North Carolina and May struggle again facing that

896
00:45:13,080 --> 00:45:15,160
Speaker 3: type off because May loves to push the ball down

897
00:45:15,200 --> 00:45:19,440
Speaker 3: the field and is so accurate in doing so. But

898
00:45:19,600 --> 00:45:22,520
Speaker 3: when teams just started taking away the explosive and dropping

899
00:45:22,600 --> 00:45:25,879
Speaker 3: eight and you know, and South kinda saw that tape.

900
00:45:25,880 --> 00:45:27,440
Speaker 3: Now North count is going to have to you know,

901
00:45:27,640 --> 00:45:29,400
Speaker 3: obviously it's a all off season to come up with

902
00:45:29,719 --> 00:45:32,719
Speaker 3: some adjustments. But that's one of the reasons they struggled.

903
00:45:32,760 --> 00:45:35,040
Speaker 3: And then one of the reasons why North count is

904
00:45:35,120 --> 00:45:37,760
Speaker 3: even before team started doing that, North Count is finishing.

905
00:45:37,840 --> 00:45:40,400
Speaker 3: Dry's number wasn't great and in the red zone they

906
00:45:40,400 --> 00:45:43,200
Speaker 3: weren't great because then the field shrunk and they couldn't

907
00:45:43,200 --> 00:45:45,359
Speaker 3: push the ball down the field as much. So I'm

908
00:45:45,360 --> 00:45:47,720
Speaker 3: a little concerned there. But you're one of these defens

909
00:45:47,800 --> 00:45:51,000
Speaker 3: is going to offer up much resistance. End partying just

910
00:45:51,160 --> 00:45:55,040
Speaker 3: a good old friendly expression from the deep South by

911
00:45:55,600 --> 00:45:58,719
Speaker 3: and hurried back. All right. This next game, I think

912
00:45:58,800 --> 00:46:03,240
Speaker 3: is a pretty simple handicap, but maybe I'm missing something.

913
00:46:03,719 --> 00:46:06,200
Speaker 3: West Virginia Penn State Penn State twenty and a half

914
00:46:06,239 --> 00:46:10,000
Speaker 3: point favorites over under fifty and a half. It's going

915
00:46:10,080 --> 00:46:14,439
Speaker 3: to be played Saturday night at Beaver Stadium. Ah here's

916
00:46:14,600 --> 00:46:17,319
Speaker 3: here's my thoughts in this game, it comes to these

917
00:46:17,320 --> 00:46:19,200
Speaker 3: are two of your favorite teams, so I was curious

918
00:46:19,320 --> 00:46:23,280
Speaker 3: to get see what you think. Ken. West Virginia shorten

919
00:46:23,360 --> 00:46:27,799
Speaker 3: this game enough with their rushing attack to stay within

920
00:46:27,880 --> 00:46:31,040
Speaker 3: the number. That's that's basically what this handicap comes down to. There.

921
00:46:31,200 --> 00:46:34,120
Speaker 3: They won a ground and pound. They all run, so

922
00:46:34,160 --> 00:46:38,160
Speaker 3: if they can succeed moving the chains on the ground,

923
00:46:39,360 --> 00:46:41,120
Speaker 3: then number one, they're gonna be able to sustain drives

924
00:46:42,160 --> 00:46:44,400
Speaker 3: and number two, that clock is going to be flying

925
00:46:44,880 --> 00:46:47,799
Speaker 3: in a hostile environment, and then that's going to make

926
00:46:47,840 --> 00:46:53,440
Speaker 3: it extremely tough for Penn State to cover three touchdowns. Now,

927
00:46:53,440 --> 00:46:55,680
Speaker 3: if West Virginia can't run the ball, which is all

928
00:46:55,719 --> 00:47:00,480
Speaker 3: they want to do, then they're fucked and defense isn't

929
00:47:00,480 --> 00:47:02,440
Speaker 3: going to hold up here and the game's not going

930
00:47:02,520 --> 00:47:05,000
Speaker 3: to be shortened and they're not going to cover. Do

931
00:47:05,040 --> 00:47:06,440
Speaker 3: you agree that's the handy gunt you?

932
00:47:06,640 --> 00:47:08,560
Speaker 2: I mean, you are for those of you with YouTube,

933
00:47:08,719 --> 00:47:11,880
Speaker 2: Stucky is on the nose, right, I mean. James Franklin

934
00:47:11,920 --> 00:47:13,759
Speaker 2: stepped up to the podium for his pressure this week,

935
00:47:13,840 --> 00:47:15,960
Speaker 2: and what he did is he immediately started rattling off

936
00:47:16,000 --> 00:47:18,640
Speaker 2: the West Virginia offensive line and said we tried to

937
00:47:18,680 --> 00:47:20,400
Speaker 2: recruit him. We tried to recruit him.

938
00:47:21,480 --> 00:47:22,200
Speaker 3: He knows that.

939
00:47:22,400 --> 00:47:24,600
Speaker 2: The He even knows that. The handicap in this game

940
00:47:24,719 --> 00:47:27,000
Speaker 2: is the fact that West Virginia is coming to clank

941
00:47:27,120 --> 00:47:28,680
Speaker 2: heads on the rushing game.

942
00:47:28,960 --> 00:47:29,200
Speaker 3: CJ.

943
00:47:29,360 --> 00:47:32,600
Speaker 2: Donaldson, Jalen Anderson running the ball, Garrett Green at quarterback.

944
00:47:32,680 --> 00:47:34,880
Speaker 2: That's the identity that won them two games in November

945
00:47:35,000 --> 00:47:37,879
Speaker 2: last year. Neil Brown is calling the plays here. West

946
00:47:37,920 --> 00:47:40,239
Speaker 2: Virginia is going to run the ball over and over

947
00:47:40,360 --> 00:47:42,600
Speaker 2: and over. And if you think fourth downs are taboo

948
00:47:42,640 --> 00:47:45,520
Speaker 2: to run the ball, they're not. West Virginia was fifth

949
00:47:45,600 --> 00:47:49,120
Speaker 2: last year and fourth down conversions, so they're going to

950
00:47:49,200 --> 00:47:51,759
Speaker 2: use all four downs. And when I think about that,

951
00:47:51,800 --> 00:47:55,000
Speaker 2: you go back to Penn State's pass lost in nine overtimes.

952
00:47:55,040 --> 00:47:57,759
Speaker 2: The Illinois who did the same damn thing got run

953
00:47:57,840 --> 00:48:00,759
Speaker 2: over let Michigan score forty one point points last year.

954
00:48:00,920 --> 00:48:02,680
Speaker 2: These teams that just want to bang down in the

955
00:48:02,719 --> 00:48:05,680
Speaker 2: trench with running games that are brutal. Penn State's had

956
00:48:05,719 --> 00:48:07,640
Speaker 2: some trouble with and the worst thing that you could

957
00:48:07,640 --> 00:48:09,440
Speaker 2: do against Penn State has come out and starts slinging

958
00:48:09,440 --> 00:48:12,040
Speaker 2: the ball round against Kayln King, Johnny Dixon, I mean,

959
00:48:12,040 --> 00:48:13,440
Speaker 2: you're just not going to do that, and West Virginia

960
00:48:13,520 --> 00:48:14,879
Speaker 2: is not going to do that. So that's a favor

961
00:48:15,000 --> 00:48:17,080
Speaker 2: for West Virginia. They're going to slow the game down

962
00:48:17,080 --> 00:48:18,880
Speaker 2: a little bit. And I think the last I mean,

963
00:48:18,960 --> 00:48:20,440
Speaker 2: I have going to have a full write up on

964
00:48:20,520 --> 00:48:22,680
Speaker 2: Action Network about this. We are going to be on

965
00:48:22,760 --> 00:48:24,800
Speaker 2: West Virginia. I'm holding off on the twenty and a

966
00:48:24,840 --> 00:48:26,920
Speaker 2: half waiting for a twenty one. I'll happily take that.

967
00:48:27,880 --> 00:48:29,960
Speaker 2: But I think the one thing that people should know

968
00:48:30,160 --> 00:48:33,040
Speaker 2: is that Penn State slid last year to forty second

969
00:48:33,120 --> 00:48:36,040
Speaker 2: the nation and first down rushing success rate per Sports

970
00:48:36,040 --> 00:48:40,000
Speaker 2: Source Analytics. They were not good defending the rush on

971
00:48:40,160 --> 00:48:42,960
Speaker 2: first down. Now that bumped up to nineteenth on second down,

972
00:48:43,040 --> 00:48:45,839
Speaker 2: but still West Virginia is going to use all four

973
00:48:45,920 --> 00:48:48,399
Speaker 2: downs to try to get a first down on every

974
00:48:48,440 --> 00:48:51,719
Speaker 2: single drive, and so that's going to be the difference here.

975
00:48:52,239 --> 00:48:54,279
Speaker 2: Drew Aller probably going to have some success throwing it

976
00:48:54,360 --> 00:48:58,440
Speaker 2: down the field, Nick Singleton, Kateron Allen, They're absolutely gonna,

977
00:48:58,520 --> 00:49:00,600
Speaker 2: you know, probably slice up the West. But that's why

978
00:49:00,600 --> 00:49:02,799
Speaker 2: the spread is twenty one. West Virginia will do enough

979
00:49:02,840 --> 00:49:07,160
Speaker 2: on the ground burnclock, get a couple scores cover the spread.

980
00:49:07,840 --> 00:49:11,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, and if Western succeeds and playing how they want

981
00:49:11,120 --> 00:49:13,239
Speaker 3: to play, that's really where you're going to see the

982
00:49:13,239 --> 00:49:19,400
Speaker 3: impact of the new clock rules. Hey, form and tackle.

983
00:49:19,800 --> 00:49:22,320
Speaker 3: It's mountain your pride from the heart.

984
00:49:22,880 --> 00:49:28,200
Speaker 1: Plead no doubt tonight, no doubt, no, no, yes tonight.

985
00:49:29,520 --> 00:49:32,279
Speaker 3: All right, Let's move on to the biggest game of

986
00:49:32,280 --> 00:49:37,920
Speaker 3: the weekend on Sunday Night, LSU at Florida State. I

987
00:49:37,960 --> 00:49:40,960
Speaker 3: shouldn't say at Florida State, but it's in Florida. Rematch

988
00:49:41,560 --> 00:49:45,760
Speaker 3: of last year's thriller. If these two teams should always

989
00:49:45,840 --> 00:49:49,400
Speaker 3: just open the season on Sunday Night, And it feels

990
00:49:49,440 --> 00:49:53,520
Speaker 3: like this one is also going to be super competitive,

991
00:49:53,760 --> 00:49:59,080
Speaker 3: major national title college football playoff implications right off the bat.

992
00:49:59,400 --> 00:50:03,520
Speaker 3: I can't wait for this one on Sunday Night. This

993
00:50:03,960 --> 00:50:09,040
Speaker 3: line has been I mean it's I think it touched

994
00:50:09,160 --> 00:50:13,239
Speaker 3: three briefly, got popped right away. Else He's a two

995
00:50:13,239 --> 00:50:15,239
Speaker 3: and a half point favorite over under fifty five and

996
00:50:15,280 --> 00:50:18,080
Speaker 3: a half game seven thirty Eastern ABC on Sunday Night

997
00:50:19,160 --> 00:50:20,200
Speaker 3: in Orlando, Florida.

998
00:50:21,160 --> 00:50:23,759
Speaker 2: I you know my no.

999
00:50:23,920 --> 00:50:30,359
Speaker 3: Mason Smith is noteworthy for LSU. Their star defense tackle

1000
00:50:30,360 --> 00:50:32,719
Speaker 3: a lot hurt in this game last year celebrating he

1001
00:50:32,760 --> 00:50:36,279
Speaker 3: won't play due to a suspension. My handicap on this

1002
00:50:36,440 --> 00:50:42,520
Speaker 3: game is I think can well here Here's it's similar

1003
00:50:42,560 --> 00:50:46,840
Speaker 3: to this is similar to West Virginia Penn State. My

1004
00:50:46,920 --> 00:50:51,319
Speaker 3: handicap is ken Florida State established the room, and if

1005
00:50:51,400 --> 00:50:57,279
Speaker 3: they can, that means Harold Perkins and that outstanding linebacker

1006
00:50:59,200 --> 00:51:04,840
Speaker 3: has to be turned into run stoppers and not harassing

1007
00:51:05,400 --> 00:51:10,120
Speaker 3: Jordan Travis and pinning her ears back on known passing

1008
00:51:10,239 --> 00:51:14,000
Speaker 3: down situations. If Florida State is able to establish the run,

1009
00:51:15,040 --> 00:51:20,240
Speaker 3: then that's also going to set up play action shots

1010
00:51:20,320 --> 00:51:25,400
Speaker 3: down field for Wilson and company against an LSU secondary

1011
00:51:25,440 --> 00:51:27,120
Speaker 3: that has a lot of new pieces and I think

1012
00:51:27,719 --> 00:51:30,200
Speaker 3: can be picked apart a little bit. I like Florida

1013
00:51:30,280 --> 00:51:33,200
Speaker 3: State here, don't love it, but I have empowered it

1014
00:51:33,280 --> 00:51:36,600
Speaker 3: slightly above LSU. If I'm waiting on three. If I

1015
00:51:36,640 --> 00:51:40,200
Speaker 3: get three, then yeah, I like Florida State, but I'll

1016
00:51:40,200 --> 00:51:42,560
Speaker 3: be on Florida State in some form or fashion. But

1017
00:51:42,880 --> 00:51:46,840
Speaker 3: I am lower than LSU, lower in LSU than you,

1018
00:51:46,960 --> 00:51:51,319
Speaker 3: as we established on our SEC preview podcast. So maybe

1019
00:51:51,360 --> 00:51:54,000
Speaker 3: you have a different take and you like your beloved

1020
00:51:54,200 --> 00:51:55,080
Speaker 3: value Bengals.

1021
00:51:55,400 --> 00:51:58,040
Speaker 2: I do love LSU so much, but that is a

1022
00:51:58,360 --> 00:52:01,399
Speaker 2: long term stance on those guys. I'm taking Florida State

1023
00:52:01,440 --> 00:52:03,839
Speaker 2: in this game, but there's just no higher at two

1024
00:52:03,880 --> 00:52:05,759
Speaker 2: and a half. I would like it three. I don't

1025
00:52:05,760 --> 00:52:07,479
Speaker 2: think it's going to come. I have no problems playing

1026
00:52:07,520 --> 00:52:09,000
Speaker 2: two and a half, but that is going to be

1027
00:52:09,040 --> 00:52:10,480
Speaker 2: the right up at Action Network. That is going to

1028
00:52:10,520 --> 00:52:14,440
Speaker 2: be the three one fifteen. Yeah, fine, I'll take two.

1029
00:52:14,719 --> 00:52:16,800
Speaker 2: I mean, after what happened last year, I've seen that

1030
00:52:16,840 --> 00:52:19,200
Speaker 2: game on repeat, stuck and it's just like Florida State

1031
00:52:19,280 --> 00:52:21,520
Speaker 2: dominated for fifty five minutes and then there's just this

1032
00:52:22,600 --> 00:52:26,439
Speaker 2: this inexperience and youth on the roster and Mike Norvel calling.

1033
00:52:26,480 --> 00:52:28,520
Speaker 2: It's it's like they just kind of froze at the

1034
00:52:28,640 --> 00:52:30,719
Speaker 2: very end, and you saw LSU start to flex a

1035
00:52:30,760 --> 00:52:33,839
Speaker 2: little bit and come back from that two two score lead.

1036
00:52:34,280 --> 00:52:37,800
Speaker 2: I expect Florida State to be more have more maturity

1037
00:52:38,160 --> 00:52:41,520
Speaker 2: or more game experience, and not give up leads like that.

1038
00:52:42,480 --> 00:52:45,040
Speaker 2: There's a couple of handicaps in this game. You know,

1039
00:52:45,239 --> 00:52:48,239
Speaker 2: high level Florida State's going to be able to throw

1040
00:52:48,280 --> 00:52:52,319
Speaker 2: down the field. This LSU secondary maybe inexperienced. Now new

1041
00:52:52,400 --> 00:52:56,240
Speaker 2: faces you know, Harold Perkins was not great in coverage

1042
00:52:56,280 --> 00:52:57,799
Speaker 2: grading at all that so it's why they went out

1043
00:52:57,800 --> 00:52:59,640
Speaker 2: and got Omar Spates from Rted State. He's a much

1044
00:52:59,680 --> 00:53:02,839
Speaker 2: better coverage linebacker and known passing downs. So I think,

1045
00:53:03,040 --> 00:53:04,800
Speaker 2: you know, Florida State is going to have the ability

1046
00:53:05,239 --> 00:53:07,399
Speaker 2: to throw the ball a little bit, you know, whether

1047
00:53:07,480 --> 00:53:09,080
Speaker 2: Trey Benson is getting it done or not at the

1048
00:53:09,120 --> 00:53:12,000
Speaker 2: line of scrimmage. I think that Florida State is the

1049
00:53:12,040 --> 00:53:14,120
Speaker 2: one that's going to have a more dynamic passing attack

1050
00:53:14,160 --> 00:53:16,360
Speaker 2: because when you look at Jayden Daniels and LSU on

1051
00:53:16,400 --> 00:53:18,760
Speaker 2: the offensive side of the ball, they got Molik Neighbors

1052
00:53:18,800 --> 00:53:20,480
Speaker 2: and then there's just not a lot of other proven

1053
00:53:20,560 --> 00:53:22,840
Speaker 2: quantities for him to throw to. And the other thing

1054
00:53:22,880 --> 00:53:24,480
Speaker 2: that I've heard, you know out of camp is that

1055
00:53:24,600 --> 00:53:27,360
Speaker 2: Jayden Daniels has put on twenty pounds of muscle, and

1056
00:53:27,480 --> 00:53:30,439
Speaker 2: that is so that they can exclusively run the inside zone.

1057
00:53:30,840 --> 00:53:32,880
Speaker 2: He got hurt a lot last year. He was limping

1058
00:53:32,920 --> 00:53:36,200
Speaker 2: around the month of November, and you know, and they've

1059
00:53:36,280 --> 00:53:38,719
Speaker 2: he's now got Logan Digs who transferred in from Notre Dame.

1060
00:53:39,320 --> 00:53:43,160
Speaker 2: So we're looking at an elite inside zone. The problem

1061
00:53:43,239 --> 00:53:45,400
Speaker 2: is you're going up against one of the most talented

1062
00:53:45,480 --> 00:53:48,320
Speaker 2: front sevens and all of college football. From a defensive perspective,

1063
00:53:48,920 --> 00:53:51,399
Speaker 2: Jared Vers had nine sacks and eight tackles for Laws,

1064
00:53:51,440 --> 00:53:54,320
Speaker 2: and he's just one of the players on the front seven.

1065
00:53:54,360 --> 00:53:58,600
Speaker 2: I mean Florida State has advantages, small advantage. These are

1066
00:53:58,600 --> 00:54:03,520
Speaker 2: all NFL players. Florida State has advantages and areas. I

1067
00:54:03,560 --> 00:54:05,480
Speaker 2: don't think they should be underdogs. This game should be

1068
00:54:05,560 --> 00:54:07,680
Speaker 2: a pick. I'll happily take the points. Considering what happened

1069
00:54:07,760 --> 00:54:11,279
Speaker 2: last year with special teams LS. You could take a

1070
00:54:11,320 --> 00:54:13,839
Speaker 2: Laws here, they still win the nation title. They might

1071
00:54:13,920 --> 00:54:15,319
Speaker 2: take a Laws here, but I'm gonna take the points.

1072
00:54:16,880 --> 00:54:19,960
Speaker 3: Yeah. I like Florida State here. I make them small favorite,

1073
00:54:20,520 --> 00:54:22,719
Speaker 3: and I think they will be able to establish the

1074
00:54:22,760 --> 00:54:26,439
Speaker 3: ground game and then that will open up the play action.

1075
00:54:27,200 --> 00:54:28,680
Speaker 3: I think their offensive line and get a push here

1076
00:54:28,800 --> 00:54:30,880
Speaker 3: ultimately open up the play action. Yeah. I think the

1077
00:54:31,000 --> 00:54:34,880
Speaker 3: LSU secondary is vulnerable in this particular matchup, and I

1078
00:54:34,960 --> 00:54:36,799
Speaker 3: think Florida State comes right to win. But it will

1079
00:54:36,840 --> 00:54:39,040
Speaker 3: be close and it should be really good watch. But

1080
00:54:39,120 --> 00:54:40,920
Speaker 3: yet I'm on the hunt for that three. There was

1081
00:54:40,960 --> 00:54:46,359
Speaker 3: a three minus one fifteen and I had it. Bet

1082
00:54:46,719 --> 00:54:51,440
Speaker 3: had it in the went to hit cement gone. Yeah,

1083
00:54:51,520 --> 00:54:54,399
Speaker 3: So I didn't bet it and didn't log it in yet,

1084
00:54:55,040 --> 00:54:57,200
Speaker 3: but I'll be hunting for that three. So keep an

1085
00:54:57,200 --> 00:54:59,920
Speaker 3: eye out the action work gap to see if that pops.

1086
00:55:00,040 --> 00:55:03,640
Speaker 4: Yes, then coore we go any further. As a reminder,

1087
00:55:03,760 --> 00:55:07,320
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1094
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1095
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1096
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1099
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1100
00:55:48,960 --> 00:55:49,960
Speaker 3: Please gamble responsibly.

1101
00:55:50,040 --> 00:55:52,720
Speaker 6: Gambling problem call one one hundred next Step in Arizona

1102
00:55:52,880 --> 00:55:54,879
Speaker 6: one one hundred five to two four seven zero zero

1103
00:55:54,960 --> 00:55:58,560
Speaker 6: in Colorado, DC, Kansas, Louisiana, Nevada, Wyoming, or Virginia one

1104
00:55:58,560 --> 00:56:00,960
Speaker 6: eight hundred two seven zero seven one one seven for

1105
00:56:01,040 --> 00:56:04,640
Speaker 6: confidential help in Michigan one eight hundred gambler in Indiana, Maryland,

1106
00:56:04,680 --> 00:56:07,200
Speaker 6: New Jersey, or West Virginia one eight hundred bets off

1107
00:56:07,560 --> 00:56:09,880
Speaker 6: in Iowa one hundred ninet eight one zero zero two three.

1108
00:56:09,920 --> 00:56:13,239
Speaker 6: In Puerto Rico, call eight seven seven eight hope and Why,

1109
00:56:13,440 --> 00:56:15,480
Speaker 6: or text hope and Why. In New York call it

1110
00:56:15,600 --> 00:56:18,120
Speaker 6: text the Tennessee Redline at twenty hundred eight eight nine

1111
00:56:18,200 --> 00:56:20,040
Speaker 6: nine seven eight nine or call one eight eight eight

1112
00:56:20,160 --> 00:56:23,000
Speaker 6: seven seven seven nine six nine six in Mississippi. In Ontario,

1113
00:56:23,120 --> 00:56:25,000
Speaker 6: if you have questions or concerns about your gambling or

1114
00:56:25,080 --> 00:56:27,440
Speaker 6: someone close to you, please contact Connects Ontario at one

1115
00:56:27,480 --> 00:56:29,279
Speaker 6: eight six six five three one two six zero zero

1116
00:56:29,400 --> 00:56:31,440
Speaker 6: to speak to an advisor free charge. Sports betting is

1117
00:56:31,520 --> 00:56:34,200
Speaker 6: void in Georgia, Hawaii and Utah and other states were prohibited.

1118
00:56:34,320 --> 00:56:38,719
Speaker 6: Promotional offers not available in Nevada, m New York. Let's

1119
00:56:38,719 --> 00:56:42,919
Speaker 6: go a little rapid fire here some other games. Let's

1120
00:56:42,920 --> 00:56:49,319
Speaker 6: do We'll do three games UTSA Houston talk about our thriller. Yeah,

1121
00:56:49,400 --> 00:56:53,520
Speaker 6: rematch is another rematch from an absolute thriller last year.

1122
00:56:54,160 --> 00:56:58,880
Speaker 6: I believe I saw you having to play in on

1123
00:56:59,160 --> 00:57:03,000
Speaker 6: Houston on the app. This is your time to shine.

1124
00:57:03,719 --> 00:57:05,319
Speaker 6: I don't really have a strong feel in this game

1125
00:57:05,960 --> 00:57:09,120
Speaker 6: your time to shine as to why. And also I

1126
00:57:09,280 --> 00:57:11,080
Speaker 6: assume you're going to cash everyone's bets.

1127
00:57:11,560 --> 00:57:14,560
Speaker 3: You still haven't mentioned media days, and I'm assuming you're

1128
00:57:14,560 --> 00:57:18,040
Speaker 3: going to get a Dana Holgerson media day mensioned in

1129
00:57:19,360 --> 00:57:20,800
Speaker 3: during your extination.

1130
00:57:20,760 --> 00:57:23,880
Speaker 2: Dana Holgerson in at and T Stadium on the Cowboys

1131
00:57:23,960 --> 00:57:26,560
Speaker 2: field around the thirty yard line, decided to give me

1132
00:57:26,600 --> 00:57:30,240
Speaker 2: about thirty minutes one on one, and I wish I

1133
00:57:30,280 --> 00:57:33,720
Speaker 2: could divulge what happened in that conversation, but I now

1134
00:57:33,840 --> 00:57:38,080
Speaker 2: understand why he's the most pittalized head coach. He wants

1135
00:57:38,160 --> 00:57:41,200
Speaker 2: to be as aggressive as possible. The reason why they

1136
00:57:41,320 --> 00:57:44,040
Speaker 2: have issues tackling every year and with penalties every year

1137
00:57:44,080 --> 00:57:45,920
Speaker 2: is because he coaches that with his team, just to

1138
00:57:45,960 --> 00:57:48,720
Speaker 2: be ultra aggressive, that's going to be the nature of

1139
00:57:48,760 --> 00:57:51,720
Speaker 2: this game. We talked a lot about Donovan Smith. His

1140
00:57:51,880 --> 00:57:54,479
Speaker 2: transfer from Texas Tech is simply because of the fact

1141
00:57:54,520 --> 00:57:57,680
Speaker 2: that that quarterback room at Texas Tech is completely loaded

1142
00:57:57,720 --> 00:57:59,920
Speaker 2: and Donovan Smith was really fighting to get playing time.

1143
00:58:00,120 --> 00:58:02,120
Speaker 2: He is an excellent quarterback and he is going to

1144
00:58:02,320 --> 00:58:06,800
Speaker 2: ball in this game. These two defenses can't tackle worth

1145
00:58:06,800 --> 00:58:09,680
Speaker 2: a lick. UTSA was almost dead last last year and

1146
00:58:09,800 --> 00:58:12,240
Speaker 2: now I mean they have Frank Harris and that's about it.

1147
00:58:12,960 --> 00:58:14,920
Speaker 2: So with these two teams, I wanted to get the

1148
00:58:15,000 --> 00:58:16,920
Speaker 2: team that I believe is going to win the game,

1149
00:58:16,960 --> 00:58:18,520
Speaker 2: which is Houston. I'll take a little bit of a

1150
00:58:18,600 --> 00:58:21,400
Speaker 2: dog number on there, but I am absolutely coming back

1151
00:58:21,840 --> 00:58:26,760
Speaker 2: that there is no team that has bigger swings during

1152
00:58:26,880 --> 00:58:30,160
Speaker 2: games twenty one point swings, three straight scores, four straight

1153
00:58:30,240 --> 00:58:34,240
Speaker 2: scores that a Dana Holgerson Houston team. So I will

1154
00:58:34,280 --> 00:58:36,360
Speaker 2: take a stance and I'm going to play the other

1155
00:58:36,400 --> 00:58:39,000
Speaker 2: side because that swing is coming. I can't wait to

1156
00:58:39,000 --> 00:58:43,160
Speaker 2: see Donovan Smith. Utsa's defense. They have never I believe

1157
00:58:43,200 --> 00:58:46,760
Speaker 2: they've only got two victories in history over Powerfy programs.

1158
00:58:46,800 --> 00:58:49,840
Speaker 2: Houston is now a Powerfi program. They have choked away

1159
00:58:49,960 --> 00:58:54,280
Speaker 2: leads in tons of big exclusive showcase games. This is

1160
00:58:54,320 --> 00:58:57,000
Speaker 2: a big game in the state of Texas. So I'm

1161
00:58:57,000 --> 00:58:59,920
Speaker 2: going to back Houston. I think I'm backing the better quarterback,

1162
00:59:00,040 --> 00:59:02,160
Speaker 2: at least from a potential perspective. I hate to say

1163
00:59:02,160 --> 00:59:04,280
Speaker 2: that with Frank Harris, but I'm gonna take a stance

1164
00:59:04,320 --> 00:59:06,520
Speaker 2: on Houston. But I am absolutely coming back live on

1165
00:59:06,680 --> 00:59:08,680
Speaker 2: UTSA with a dog number in the market.

1166
00:59:09,400 --> 00:59:12,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, it should be a very good live trading game.

1167
00:59:13,520 --> 00:59:15,800
Speaker 3: Let's move on to the next year. South Alabama at

1168
00:59:15,880 --> 00:59:20,480
Speaker 3: Tulane here this number has come down below seven. Interestingly enough,

1169
00:59:21,640 --> 00:59:25,600
Speaker 3: I'm looking to back South Alabama here missed the seven,

1170
00:59:27,120 --> 00:59:29,640
Speaker 3: might have them in a round robin, my first round

1171
00:59:29,680 --> 00:59:31,560
Speaker 3: robin of the year on Saturday as a money line dog.

1172
00:59:31,840 --> 00:59:34,520
Speaker 3: I hate to do that against Tulane. There are darlings

1173
00:59:34,600 --> 00:59:35,760
Speaker 3: last year, but I think they're going to take a

1174
00:59:35,760 --> 00:59:39,000
Speaker 3: big step back. Taja Spear is a special I mean,

1175
00:59:39,080 --> 00:59:41,200
Speaker 3: you see what he's already doing in preseason. They're gonna

1176
00:59:41,200 --> 00:59:45,240
Speaker 3: miss him dearly. And then their defense, I think it's

1177
00:59:45,280 --> 00:59:48,640
Speaker 3: going to take a massive step back. Losing Williams and

1178
00:59:48,680 --> 00:59:52,000
Speaker 3: Anderson at linebacker, and then you know Brooks, Clark and

1179
00:59:52,080 --> 00:59:55,400
Speaker 3: Young at safety. They did so much in the run game,

1180
00:59:55,560 --> 00:59:59,000
Speaker 3: they allowed so much flexibility. Also lost a great defensive

1181
00:59:59,040 --> 01:00:03,080
Speaker 3: coordinator with the top five tacklers gone from a really

1182
01:00:03,240 --> 01:00:05,680
Speaker 3: good defense. And now you know the new coordinator is

1183
01:00:05,720 --> 01:00:08,600
Speaker 3: going to like blend two systems. I think that you

1184
01:00:08,680 --> 01:00:10,800
Speaker 3: know the defense is gonna have some growing pains early.

1185
01:00:10,920 --> 01:00:13,560
Speaker 3: The offense is going to really miss spears. And I

1186
01:00:13,600 --> 01:00:17,840
Speaker 3: think this very experienced South Alabama team that I like,

1187
01:00:18,000 --> 01:00:21,360
Speaker 3: I love, actually I love the staff can take advantage

1188
01:00:21,520 --> 01:00:23,960
Speaker 3: pull off this mini upset. Hate to do it, though,

1189
01:00:23,960 --> 01:00:27,360
Speaker 3: because Willie Fritz at home there's been a covering machine.

1190
01:00:27,400 --> 01:00:30,280
Speaker 3: He's twenty eight twelve and one against the spread at

1191
01:00:30,320 --> 01:00:35,800
Speaker 3: home seventy percent since starting at Tulane in twenty sixteen.

1192
01:00:36,520 --> 01:00:38,720
Speaker 3: I bet you can never guess the only the second

1193
01:00:38,800 --> 01:00:42,600
Speaker 3: most profitable team at home over that span Michigan now

1194
01:00:43,080 --> 01:00:47,480
Speaker 3: Washington State on the poloose twenty six thirteen and one

1195
01:00:47,520 --> 01:00:50,640
Speaker 3: against the spread at home. Who would have guessed? And Fritz,

1196
01:00:50,680 --> 01:00:53,320
Speaker 3: by the way overalls the head coach sixty seven forty

1197
01:00:53,400 --> 01:00:57,480
Speaker 3: one and two against the spread in our Action Labs database,

1198
01:00:57,520 --> 01:01:01,240
Speaker 3: the third most profitable of five hundred seventy five coaches

1199
01:01:01,920 --> 01:01:04,640
Speaker 3: since two thousand and five. Can you name one of

1200
01:01:04,680 --> 01:01:08,440
Speaker 3: the other two you faded one on this podcast minutes ago.

1201
01:01:09,120 --> 01:01:11,000
Speaker 2: It's not Boise State. I know it's not Penn State.

1202
01:01:11,080 --> 01:01:14,680
Speaker 3: You're beloved by you Bengals. Brian Kelly, who Brian Kelly

1203
01:01:14,840 --> 01:01:17,960
Speaker 3: never doesn't get enough respect for his covering track record.

1204
01:01:18,280 --> 01:01:21,600
Speaker 3: He's the second most profitable coach against the spread since

1205
01:01:21,680 --> 01:01:25,760
Speaker 3: two thousand and five, the most profitable, no moreer coaching

1206
01:01:26,160 --> 01:01:30,080
Speaker 3: the corrupt one. Jim tressel A Tattoo State, the Sugar Bowl,

1207
01:01:30,600 --> 01:01:34,640
Speaker 3: mister Youngstown himself. So two Lanes with Fritz been a

1208
01:01:34,640 --> 01:01:37,960
Speaker 3: car machines splains monster at home against the number. But

1209
01:01:38,200 --> 01:01:40,240
Speaker 3: I think South Abouna pulls off this many upset. Do

1210
01:01:40,240 --> 01:01:40,600
Speaker 3: you agree?

1211
01:01:41,120 --> 01:01:44,680
Speaker 2: I absolutely agree. From a returning production standpoint from Tarp,

1212
01:01:45,360 --> 01:01:47,840
Speaker 2: nobody has more coming back on offense in South of

1213
01:01:47,920 --> 01:01:50,960
Speaker 2: Alabama and the Sun Belt. Seventy seven percent comes back

1214
01:01:51,000 --> 01:01:53,560
Speaker 2: on the defense. That's second in the Sun Belt. This

1215
01:01:53,720 --> 01:01:55,760
Speaker 2: is a team that I think can win ten games

1216
01:01:55,800 --> 01:01:58,720
Speaker 2: this year. The big difference between two Lane and South

1217
01:01:58,760 --> 01:02:00,680
Speaker 2: Alabama on the deffit you mentioned and two Lane losing

1218
01:02:00,720 --> 01:02:03,200
Speaker 2: so much on defense last year they were seventy six

1219
01:02:03,280 --> 01:02:06,360
Speaker 2: and defensive finishing drives that was covered up by TYJ.

1220
01:02:06,520 --> 01:02:08,840
Speaker 2: Spears and the offense. They were so good on offense,

1221
01:02:08,880 --> 01:02:10,680
Speaker 2: they covered up so many mistakes on the defense. They

1222
01:02:10,720 --> 01:02:13,280
Speaker 2: were outside the top one hundred and defensive havoc. We

1223
01:02:13,440 --> 01:02:16,160
Speaker 2: don't have that kind of problem with South Alabama. Last

1224
01:02:16,200 --> 01:02:18,520
Speaker 2: year they finished fifteenth in defensive finishing drives. They were

1225
01:02:18,560 --> 01:02:20,600
Speaker 2: sixteenth and success right on defense. And now they get

1226
01:02:20,640 --> 01:02:24,360
Speaker 2: almost all of those players back. I am making a

1227
01:02:25,160 --> 01:02:27,400
Speaker 2: money line round robin for the weekend. I believe a

1228
01:02:27,480 --> 01:02:29,360
Speaker 2: video will be published about that South Alabama is one

1229
01:02:29,360 --> 01:02:29,600
Speaker 2: of them.

1230
01:02:30,280 --> 01:02:33,200
Speaker 3: Love it in full of grants there. Before we move

1231
01:02:33,280 --> 01:02:37,760
Speaker 3: on to everyone's favorite segment. By everyone, I mean my

1232
01:02:38,440 --> 01:02:44,600
Speaker 3: three fans and mother my traft segment. I do want

1233
01:02:44,600 --> 01:02:46,840
Speaker 3: to remind everyone to make sure you check out the

1234
01:02:46,920 --> 01:02:50,880
Speaker 3: Group of Five podcast episode. Our boys Mike and Mike,

1235
01:02:50,960 --> 01:02:53,720
Speaker 3: Mike Calapriest, Mike Ianello. They do a Group of five

1236
01:02:53,880 --> 01:02:58,080
Speaker 3: deep dive every Wednesday morning here on Big Bets on Campus.

1237
01:02:58,680 --> 01:03:00,840
Speaker 3: It's off all things Group of Five. I've they do

1238
01:03:00,920 --> 01:03:04,320
Speaker 3: a great job. Cannot recommend enough, so make sure during

1239
01:03:04,960 --> 01:03:09,080
Speaker 3: your weekly podcast listening and college football weekend preparation you

1240
01:03:09,160 --> 01:03:12,120
Speaker 3: get those guys a listen all right, let's get to

1241
01:03:12,280 --> 01:03:13,320
Speaker 3: some trash.

1242
01:03:13,080 --> 01:03:16,080
Speaker 1: Baby, the trash man pick of the week.

1243
01:03:16,640 --> 01:03:20,000
Speaker 4: I'm the trash man. Just throw me the trash, your garbage,

1244
01:03:20,320 --> 01:03:23,600
Speaker 4: and you know it, totally unreliable, undependable.

1245
01:03:23,600 --> 01:03:24,880
Speaker 3: That's it. You've been told off.

1246
01:03:24,920 --> 01:03:26,120
Speaker 2: How do you like that? Good?

1247
01:03:27,080 --> 01:03:29,280
Speaker 3: I'm gonna get. This is week one, so I'm not

1248
01:03:29,400 --> 01:03:32,560
Speaker 3: in mid season form yet, although my best bet last

1249
01:03:32,560 --> 01:03:34,800
Speaker 3: week was trash and I mentioned it you mass. But

1250
01:03:34,840 --> 01:03:37,360
Speaker 3: I'm going to get at some point this year, like

1251
01:03:37,400 --> 01:03:41,720
Speaker 3: a trash man gear or something for this segment message

1252
01:03:41,720 --> 01:03:44,400
Speaker 3: some intern to go to figure something out there. I

1253
01:03:44,720 --> 01:03:46,400
Speaker 3: don't have time to find a trash man outfit, but

1254
01:03:46,400 --> 01:03:48,680
Speaker 3: I want to get something funny. But let's go do

1255
01:03:48,800 --> 01:03:51,520
Speaker 3: if you're new here. Last year, I think I had

1256
01:03:51,560 --> 01:03:56,360
Speaker 3: like seventy one percent on these. I promise that rarely happens.

1257
01:03:56,640 --> 01:03:59,760
Speaker 3: But all the trash turn to treasures last year, which

1258
01:03:59,760 --> 01:04:02,640
Speaker 3: means I'm fuck this year. I remember a couple of

1259
01:04:02,720 --> 01:04:06,400
Speaker 3: years ago the trash was actual trash for the whole season,

1260
01:04:07,240 --> 01:04:09,880
Speaker 3: and now that always made the voicemails extra spicy. But

1261
01:04:09,960 --> 01:04:12,640
Speaker 3: hopefully we can repeat what we did last year in

1262
01:04:12,680 --> 01:04:17,800
Speaker 3: this segment. Let's start off with where we finished off

1263
01:04:17,920 --> 01:04:23,280
Speaker 3: last week, U mass, here's a chance.

1264
01:04:23,200 --> 01:04:26,920
Speaker 5: Be amending my hand on a day I don't want.

1265
01:04:26,720 --> 01:04:31,560
Speaker 3: To know, man, and man, no one cares what number

1266
01:04:31,560 --> 01:04:33,400
Speaker 3: you got if it's no longer available. I like anything

1267
01:04:33,440 --> 01:04:37,440
Speaker 3: over five touchdowns. I bet it this earlier. It's over

1268
01:04:37,560 --> 01:04:40,640
Speaker 3: thirty five. I like it. This UMass team is not

1269
01:04:40,760 --> 01:04:43,560
Speaker 3: getting enough respect in the market, as evidenced by last week.

1270
01:04:44,160 --> 01:04:47,840
Speaker 3: I made that game a pick. I thought it was

1271
01:04:47,920 --> 01:04:50,440
Speaker 3: a touchdown off. I think that this spread should be

1272
01:04:50,520 --> 01:04:54,160
Speaker 3: under five touchdowns. You mess now? Is a quarterback that

1273
01:04:54,600 --> 01:04:56,640
Speaker 3: that you haven't had a quarterback in years makes a

1274
01:04:56,680 --> 01:05:00,600
Speaker 3: pretty big difference on a football team. No quarterback quarterback,

1275
01:05:01,400 --> 01:05:04,840
Speaker 3: big power rating adjustment, and they also power five receivers.

1276
01:05:05,560 --> 01:05:10,920
Speaker 3: But Tyson Pumachan got you know, his feet under started

1277
01:05:11,000 --> 01:05:13,160
Speaker 3: in a start, look more comfortable as the game went on.

1278
01:05:14,280 --> 01:05:17,920
Speaker 3: The defense even looked better, more comfortable in Don Brown's system,

1279
01:05:18,000 --> 01:05:21,160
Speaker 3: but brought in a lot more talent. This is a

1280
01:05:21,280 --> 01:05:23,360
Speaker 3: roster that, you know, a couple of years ago didn't

1281
01:05:23,360 --> 01:05:26,160
Speaker 3: even have just the amount of scholarship players. They had

1282
01:05:26,240 --> 01:05:28,680
Speaker 3: no depth. And it's just a roster on the rise,

1283
01:05:28,800 --> 01:05:31,920
Speaker 3: and they're no longer I think the worst team in

1284
01:05:31,960 --> 01:05:34,880
Speaker 3: the country where you could just clearly peg them in.

1285
01:05:35,440 --> 01:05:37,640
Speaker 3: They're still bad, that's why they're in the trash segment,

1286
01:05:37,720 --> 01:05:41,840
Speaker 3: but they're improving, and I like them to stay within

1287
01:05:43,000 --> 01:05:48,280
Speaker 3: five touchdowns against Peyton Thorn in company. For an offense

1288
01:05:48,360 --> 01:05:50,560
Speaker 3: that's you know it's gonna be good under Hugh Freeze,

1289
01:05:51,160 --> 01:05:55,280
Speaker 3: but it's definitely gonna take some time. Agree on you Mass.

1290
01:05:56,560 --> 01:05:58,560
Speaker 2: Not at thirty five, I would if it was thirty.

1291
01:05:58,840 --> 01:06:00,880
Speaker 2: If it's thirty five and a half. For above thirty eight,

1292
01:06:00,920 --> 01:06:03,120
Speaker 2: I would take U mass. The problem I agree with

1293
01:06:03,160 --> 01:06:07,080
Speaker 2: that right, and the problem is there's a couple teams

1294
01:06:07,120 --> 01:06:09,880
Speaker 2: in this segment. I do not want to fade teams

1295
01:06:10,000 --> 01:06:13,360
Speaker 2: where quarterback competitions were extremely close and there is very

1296
01:06:13,520 --> 01:06:17,480
Speaker 2: much quality of the depth. Robbie Ashford could slice up

1297
01:06:17,480 --> 01:06:19,600
Speaker 2: that U Mass offense on a number of drives. He's

1298
01:06:19,640 --> 01:06:22,280
Speaker 2: that fast. He does it to s SEC defenses. So

1299
01:06:22,760 --> 01:06:24,880
Speaker 2: that would be my main concern there is that once

1300
01:06:24,960 --> 01:06:27,640
Speaker 2: Hugh Freeze decides to go second string or give Ashford

1301
01:06:27,720 --> 01:06:31,160
Speaker 2: some playing time, that's still scoring time for Aubert. So

1302
01:06:31,320 --> 01:06:35,280
Speaker 2: that that's my hesitation. I would want the thirty five

1303
01:06:35,320 --> 01:06:36,000
Speaker 2: and a half plus.

1304
01:06:37,040 --> 01:06:38,600
Speaker 3: How are you gonna put in the second string. If

1305
01:06:38,600 --> 01:06:43,360
Speaker 3: it's close throughout though, all right, uh U Mass is

1306
01:06:43,360 --> 01:06:46,600
Speaker 3: already on the card. I hope all of you join me,

1307
01:06:46,800 --> 01:06:48,400
Speaker 3: and if so, we get to the window. Should be

1308
01:06:48,440 --> 01:06:49,160
Speaker 3: a fun sweat.

1309
01:06:49,760 --> 01:06:50,120
Speaker 2: What the hell?

1310
01:06:50,200 --> 01:06:50,600
Speaker 3: What the hell?

1311
01:06:50,600 --> 01:06:50,960
Speaker 2: Where is that?

1312
01:06:51,040 --> 01:06:52,760
Speaker 3: All? I gotta check where? What the fuck is? Where

1313
01:06:52,800 --> 01:06:55,560
Speaker 3: is that going to be? Wow? U Mass is on

1314
01:06:56,320 --> 01:06:59,840
Speaker 3: ESPN Primary, ESPN the Main one two weeks in a row.

1315
01:07:00,240 --> 01:07:02,120
Speaker 3: You don't believe they're an up and coming program. Week

1316
01:07:02,240 --> 01:07:06,280
Speaker 3: zero U Mass on ESPN over USC and now three

1317
01:07:06,280 --> 01:07:09,960
Speaker 3: point thirty Eastern on ESPN Maine. They should put it

1318
01:07:10,000 --> 01:07:12,280
Speaker 3: on CBS. This is basically a This is basically an

1319
01:07:12,400 --> 01:07:14,920
Speaker 3: SEC Prime SEC matchup of the weekend.

1320
01:07:15,160 --> 01:07:18,240
Speaker 2: All ESPN is done is bitch all summer about how

1321
01:07:18,280 --> 01:07:21,040
Speaker 2: everybody's on the goddamn app that we created and everybody's

1322
01:07:21,080 --> 01:07:24,160
Speaker 2: cutting cable. Put U Mass on ESPN one and man,

1323
01:07:24,240 --> 01:07:26,439
Speaker 2: we're all back, We're all subscribing back.

1324
01:07:26,800 --> 01:07:30,160
Speaker 3: I love that for UMass and we're gonna be talking

1325
01:07:30,160 --> 01:07:34,800
Speaker 3: about UMS games a lot this year. Moving on more

1326
01:07:34,880 --> 01:07:38,680
Speaker 3: trash Utah State at Iowa. This game might have to

1327
01:07:38,960 --> 01:07:42,480
Speaker 3: be left off because of the quarterback situation, but I

1328
01:07:42,560 --> 01:07:44,840
Speaker 3: wanted to talk about this game Utah State depleted roster.

1329
01:07:44,880 --> 01:07:46,800
Speaker 3: I don't like it. I mean they lost their best back,

1330
01:07:46,880 --> 01:07:49,520
Speaker 3: to best receivers or defensive mess that people left the

1331
01:07:49,680 --> 01:07:54,120
Speaker 3: key defenders after the spring. This just team stinks. I

1332
01:07:54,240 --> 01:07:57,320
Speaker 3: wanted to fade them here. This wide was trash as

1333
01:07:57,320 --> 01:07:59,080
Speaker 3: I wanted to. Like. Remember, we had a la whoever

1334
01:07:59,200 --> 01:08:01,720
Speaker 3: was with me last year and late three touchdowns with

1335
01:08:01,800 --> 01:08:04,000
Speaker 3: Iowa and it took like eight hours and multiple delays

1336
01:08:04,040 --> 01:08:05,680
Speaker 3: and we got there in like a broken run late.

1337
01:08:06,880 --> 01:08:11,360
Speaker 3: But Kay McNamara, I don't he was cleared to play,

1338
01:08:11,800 --> 01:08:14,360
Speaker 3: But reading the tea leaves, I don't think he's gonna play.

1339
01:08:14,760 --> 01:08:16,800
Speaker 3: Their backup who started the bowl game last year's hurt,

1340
01:08:16,920 --> 01:08:19,439
Speaker 3: so now you're down to the third string quarterback just

1341
01:08:19,520 --> 01:08:21,120
Speaker 3: got a good arm, but we don't really know much.

1342
01:08:22,120 --> 01:08:27,360
Speaker 3: So I'm really conflicted here because even with their backup quarterback,

1343
01:08:27,360 --> 01:08:30,559
Speaker 3: I who could still cover this number. But and even

1344
01:08:30,640 --> 01:08:33,920
Speaker 3: but if he plays, they might just go super conservative,

1345
01:08:34,479 --> 01:08:36,400
Speaker 3: rely on their punt, rely on their defense, which I

1346
01:08:36,640 --> 01:08:38,680
Speaker 3: completely agree with the undermove here. I wish I got

1347
01:08:38,760 --> 01:08:42,240
Speaker 3: some forty five before reading the tea leaves sound to

1348
01:08:42,280 --> 01:08:45,000
Speaker 3: forty three. I kind of still like it there, Utah State,

1349
01:08:45,040 --> 01:08:48,200
Speaker 3: I just can't see them doing anything on offense. But yeah,

1350
01:08:48,479 --> 01:08:50,600
Speaker 3: here's the thing with I just my question for you is,

1351
01:08:51,680 --> 01:08:56,080
Speaker 3: there's Kirk Ferentz today in a press conference was saying

1352
01:08:57,439 --> 01:08:59,360
Speaker 3: laughing about winning ugly and said his favorite win ever

1353
01:08:59,439 --> 01:09:00,519
Speaker 3: was when he won six four.

1354
01:09:01,439 --> 01:09:03,280
Speaker 5: I could probably fire this, but like one of my

1355
01:09:03,360 --> 01:09:05,479
Speaker 5: favorite all the times win wins here it was six

1356
01:09:05,560 --> 01:09:07,800
Speaker 5: to four. I mean, you know, maybe I'm revealing my

1357
01:09:07,920 --> 01:09:11,280
Speaker 5: inner reason why we are struggling this way, but that

1358
01:09:11,520 --> 01:09:13,280
Speaker 5: was the best way to win that day and take

1359
01:09:13,360 --> 01:09:14,000
Speaker 5: him the safety.

1360
01:09:14,439 --> 01:09:16,360
Speaker 3: Like the score was literally it was six to four.

1361
01:09:16,720 --> 01:09:22,200
Speaker 3: But then his brother, the offensive coordinator, has incentives yep

1362
01:09:22,520 --> 01:09:25,000
Speaker 3: in his contract to average twenty five points per game

1363
01:09:25,680 --> 01:09:27,639
Speaker 3: and to win I think seven year early seven years.

1364
01:09:27,920 --> 01:09:30,160
Speaker 3: But so he has an incentive and it's his brother too,

1365
01:09:30,280 --> 01:09:32,920
Speaker 3: but like to run it up in these games and

1366
01:09:33,080 --> 01:09:36,120
Speaker 3: to keep scoring like he's literally his contract will go

1367
01:09:36,160 --> 01:09:38,080
Speaker 3: to a roll in two years back again he gets

1368
01:09:38,240 --> 01:09:41,320
Speaker 3: a big financial bonus couple under that, like I as

1369
01:09:41,360 --> 01:09:43,760
Speaker 3: an incentive to keep like normally it's like we're up

1370
01:09:43,800 --> 01:09:46,680
Speaker 3: ten to nothing at Utah State, punt it like on

1371
01:09:46,800 --> 01:09:48,799
Speaker 3: first down, that's it. But now they have an incentive

1372
01:09:48,800 --> 01:09:50,760
Speaker 3: to keep running this up, which kind of scares me

1373
01:09:50,760 --> 01:09:53,240
Speaker 3: a little bit about the under wakes me kind of

1374
01:09:53,240 --> 01:09:55,599
Speaker 3: want to lay it with Iowa, but the quarterback uncertainty.

1375
01:09:55,640 --> 01:09:57,040
Speaker 3: If back then I was playing, I'm laying this. I'm

1376
01:09:57,080 --> 01:09:59,640
Speaker 3: laying this up to twenty seven and a half, So

1377
01:09:59,720 --> 01:10:01,160
Speaker 3: I think staying away from this trash.

1378
01:10:02,320 --> 01:10:04,840
Speaker 2: Don't we just play team totals on Iowa since there's

1379
01:10:04,920 --> 01:10:08,120
Speaker 2: like this whole like, oh, Daddy got me this contract.

1380
01:10:08,160 --> 01:10:10,599
Speaker 2: Now I gotta score all these points now, you know, Now,

1381
01:10:10,600 --> 01:10:12,200
Speaker 2: all of a sudden, I'm gonna change a playbook a

1382
01:10:12,240 --> 01:10:14,080
Speaker 2: little bit and make sure I at least get twenty

1383
01:10:14,120 --> 01:10:16,280
Speaker 2: five points per game. Like it just feels like they

1384
01:10:16,400 --> 01:10:19,559
Speaker 2: kind of duped somebody in charge of contracts into getting

1385
01:10:19,560 --> 01:10:23,639
Speaker 2: an incentivelated like points per game type thing where special

1386
01:10:23,720 --> 01:10:25,680
Speaker 2: teams and defense can help you get above that and

1387
01:10:25,720 --> 01:10:27,960
Speaker 2: get you paid off. Like it's just crazy to me.

1388
01:10:28,080 --> 01:10:31,320
Speaker 2: I feel like we should have an open parlay card

1389
01:10:31,560 --> 01:10:34,320
Speaker 2: and it should be Iowa team total over every single

1390
01:10:34,360 --> 01:10:35,559
Speaker 2: week until it doesn't cash.

1391
01:10:37,120 --> 01:10:39,400
Speaker 3: I'll throw some money for it. Whoever wants to join

1392
01:10:39,960 --> 01:10:43,920
Speaker 3: Starter your own open parlay card, And yeah, I just

1393
01:10:44,000 --> 01:10:45,920
Speaker 3: can't lay it as of now. Maybe it keeps going

1394
01:10:46,000 --> 01:10:48,719
Speaker 3: on down maybe if it gets like twenty one, because

1395
01:10:48,720 --> 01:10:50,320
Speaker 3: I just don't think that McNamara is gonna play, and

1396
01:10:50,320 --> 01:10:52,479
Speaker 3: if he does play, if he does play, they're definitely

1397
01:10:52,479 --> 01:10:53,840
Speaker 3: not going to risk it anything him. They got Iowa

1398
01:10:53,880 --> 01:10:54,960
Speaker 3: State next week. Well.

1399
01:10:55,120 --> 01:10:57,160
Speaker 2: The problem with Blake Anderson too is that he's got

1400
01:10:57,320 --> 01:10:59,920
Speaker 2: a lot of the coach will will not be named

1401
01:11:00,040 --> 01:11:02,040
Speaker 2: in him. He could be down by twenty four, he

1402
01:11:02,080 --> 01:11:03,800
Speaker 2: could be down by thirty four or forty four and

1403
01:11:03,960 --> 01:11:05,760
Speaker 2: still be going up tempo trying to get a score

1404
01:11:05,760 --> 01:11:07,200
Speaker 2: on the board. The same thing. They could be up

1405
01:11:07,240 --> 01:11:08,760
Speaker 2: by fifty and he's still trying to go up tempo.

1406
01:11:08,760 --> 01:11:10,840
Speaker 2: We get a score on the board. So I've seen

1407
01:11:10,920 --> 01:11:13,840
Speaker 2: some wild things happen in Utah State games with what

1408
01:11:14,080 --> 01:11:15,880
Speaker 2: happens the way that they try to coach no matter

1409
01:11:15,960 --> 01:11:17,160
Speaker 2: what score is a.

1410
01:11:17,240 --> 01:11:19,280
Speaker 3: Quick one here. I already mentioned this in some of

1411
01:11:19,280 --> 01:11:21,000
Speaker 3: our preseason pops. I'll be looking for Rice. I might

1412
01:11:21,040 --> 01:11:23,080
Speaker 3: play them pregame so I show value in the number

1413
01:11:23,840 --> 01:11:26,040
Speaker 3: over again, just like you. Matt's over if it's over,

1414
01:11:26,120 --> 01:11:28,120
Speaker 3: thirty five if it is now, but I might just

1415
01:11:28,160 --> 01:11:30,519
Speaker 3: look for second half if Texas is up, don't think

1416
01:11:30,560 --> 01:11:33,280
Speaker 3: Sark wants to show much here with Alabama on deck

1417
01:11:34,000 --> 01:11:37,599
Speaker 3: and JT. Daniels in his forty seventh year, big upgrade

1418
01:11:37,800 --> 01:11:40,840
Speaker 3: at quarterback for a program like Rice, who has some

1419
01:11:41,479 --> 01:11:45,519
Speaker 3: capable receivers as well. So I like Rice with the points,

1420
01:11:45,560 --> 01:11:48,840
Speaker 3: but might lay off and maybe wait live or for

1421
01:11:48,960 --> 01:11:50,559
Speaker 3: the second half. Agree or disagree there.

1422
01:11:51,120 --> 01:11:54,200
Speaker 2: I am interested in the first half over because Rice

1423
01:11:54,360 --> 01:11:58,120
Speaker 2: has a new dedication to playing with tempo, and Texas

1424
01:11:58,160 --> 01:12:02,080
Speaker 2: will probably want to get yours as many touchdowns deep

1425
01:12:02,120 --> 01:12:04,479
Speaker 2: throws as he can get arched some playing time. I

1426
01:12:04,520 --> 01:12:06,960
Speaker 2: don't know how quick quinn ear is going to get

1427
01:12:06,960 --> 01:12:09,519
Speaker 2: pulled out with Alabama on deck, but I do think

1428
01:12:09,600 --> 01:12:12,080
Speaker 2: it's balls to the wall for Texas until the end

1429
01:12:12,120 --> 01:12:15,000
Speaker 2: of the first half. And this Rice tempo that they've

1430
01:12:15,160 --> 01:12:17,960
Speaker 2: now wanting to do with JT. Daniels, I missed it

1431
01:12:18,000 --> 01:12:18,920
Speaker 2: in the first half over.

1432
01:12:20,800 --> 01:12:25,080
Speaker 3: Sam Houston at BYU. I like Sam Houston here first

1433
01:12:25,200 --> 01:12:25,880
Speaker 3: FBS game.

1434
01:12:27,000 --> 01:12:28,280
Speaker 2: One of the.

1435
01:12:29,880 --> 01:12:35,160
Speaker 3: Best coaches in the country is that no one knows.

1436
01:12:35,240 --> 01:12:38,960
Speaker 3: I mean only two coaches in all of college football

1437
01:12:39,520 --> 01:12:44,360
Speaker 3: that have won national titles at two different schools. Nick Saba,

1438
01:12:44,960 --> 01:12:48,840
Speaker 3: Casey Keeler at sam Houston State, excellent head coach. They

1439
01:12:48,920 --> 01:12:52,800
Speaker 3: were dominant in the two years prior to last. Last

1440
01:12:52,840 --> 01:12:56,839
Speaker 3: year they struggled on paper, but they basically punted the season.

1441
01:12:57,439 --> 01:12:59,559
Speaker 3: They red shirted a bunch of guys, They sat out

1442
01:12:59,560 --> 01:13:02,439
Speaker 3: a bunch of guys in order to get ready for

1443
01:13:02,520 --> 01:13:05,760
Speaker 3: the FBS transition. Brought in some transfers that I like.

1444
01:13:06,200 --> 01:13:12,559
Speaker 3: So this team is much more talented than you would

1445
01:13:12,800 --> 01:13:14,360
Speaker 3: So it's a hard They're a hard team the price

1446
01:13:14,800 --> 01:13:16,600
Speaker 3: because last year you basically have to throw out a

1447
01:13:16,640 --> 01:13:19,080
Speaker 3: lot of it. But I think they're going to be

1448
01:13:19,080 --> 01:13:22,679
Speaker 3: ready for this spot. Keel or haven't prepared. They're better

1449
01:13:22,760 --> 01:13:24,280
Speaker 3: than the market applies. And I'm not high on this

1450
01:13:24,360 --> 01:13:27,679
Speaker 3: BYU team. I like the hire of a new defense coordinator.

1451
01:13:27,680 --> 01:13:30,479
Speaker 3: They needed to change scheme. Think it'll be a net

1452
01:13:30,560 --> 01:13:32,200
Speaker 3: positive in the end, but it's a big change. I'm

1453
01:13:32,200 --> 01:13:36,400
Speaker 3: not sure they have the roster to really thrive in

1454
01:13:36,520 --> 01:13:40,760
Speaker 3: this new scheme. Don't love the receivers for Slovas, who

1455
01:13:40,800 --> 01:13:44,200
Speaker 3: is now their quarterback. So I think Sam Houston State

1456
01:13:44,240 --> 01:13:46,599
Speaker 3: stays within this number. I'll take the twenty.

1457
01:13:47,920 --> 01:13:51,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, they'reircuts, they're live by you. Hasn't figured it out

1458
01:13:51,280 --> 01:13:53,960
Speaker 2: on defense, they haven't yet. They got Weaver State's coaching there.

1459
01:13:54,360 --> 01:13:56,400
Speaker 2: They're going to be fine on defense eventually, but they

1460
01:13:56,439 --> 01:13:58,920
Speaker 2: don't have the players there yet. And you're right about

1461
01:13:58,920 --> 01:14:01,040
Speaker 2: Sam Houston. I mean, they had a loaded roster and

1462
01:14:01,200 --> 01:14:04,599
Speaker 2: they purposely kind of held back in preparation for this year.

1463
01:14:04,720 --> 01:14:06,920
Speaker 2: I think I'm not gonna say they're live to win

1464
01:14:07,000 --> 01:14:12,639
Speaker 2: this game, but BYU has played awful, awful, awful, dreadful

1465
01:14:12,680 --> 01:14:15,080
Speaker 2: defense for so long. It's just gonna be so hard

1466
01:14:15,120 --> 01:14:15,760
Speaker 2: to recover from that.

1467
01:14:16,240 --> 01:14:18,720
Speaker 3: And by the way, Sam Houston State, if you're not

1468
01:14:18,800 --> 01:14:22,200
Speaker 3: college basketball better, you can now tweet out hashtag whenever

1469
01:14:22,200 --> 01:14:24,519
Speaker 3: Sam you bet on Sam Houston State and they do

1470
01:14:24,680 --> 01:14:28,800
Speaker 3: something good for you, you can tweet hashtag eat them

1471
01:14:28,920 --> 01:14:31,240
Speaker 3: up Cats, Cats with a cat, Eat them up Cats.

1472
01:14:31,680 --> 01:14:35,360
Speaker 3: That's what That's the Sam Houston State slogan. All right,

1473
01:14:35,439 --> 01:14:38,840
Speaker 3: last one here ECU and no Holton Ahlers is still

1474
01:14:38,880 --> 01:14:44,960
Speaker 3: not there at Michigan in the Big House. I'm taking ECU.

1475
01:14:45,320 --> 01:14:47,200
Speaker 3: Haven't bet this yet because i'd saw a tick up

1476
01:14:47,560 --> 01:14:49,320
Speaker 3: today at thirty six and a half. We're gonna wait

1477
01:14:49,360 --> 01:14:50,960
Speaker 3: see where it goes, because I don't care if it

1478
01:14:50,960 --> 01:14:52,439
Speaker 3: comes back down to thirty six. I'm gonna see I

1479
01:14:52,439 --> 01:14:54,639
Speaker 3: maybe get a thirty seven, maybe thirty eight, who knows.

1480
01:14:55,160 --> 01:14:59,400
Speaker 3: But look, I think Michigan reading the tea LEAs talking

1481
01:14:59,439 --> 01:15:02,120
Speaker 3: to some folks that I know they're gonna be without

1482
01:15:02,400 --> 01:15:06,679
Speaker 3: a ton of starters. I think that they're not Rod Johnson,

1483
01:15:06,680 --> 01:15:09,439
Speaker 3: their star corner. I think he's gonna sit. I think

1484
01:15:09,520 --> 01:15:11,240
Speaker 3: both of their and there, and they lost their other

1485
01:15:11,320 --> 01:15:15,200
Speaker 3: corner turner to the draft. Both of their safeties, who

1486
01:15:15,200 --> 01:15:17,040
Speaker 3: are really good more in page, I think they both

1487
01:15:17,200 --> 01:15:19,679
Speaker 3: are out, both can be held back with an injury,

1488
01:15:20,280 --> 01:15:22,880
Speaker 3: and they already lost Motin to the portal. So you're

1489
01:15:22,880 --> 01:15:25,800
Speaker 3: gonna have in the secondary a bunch of you, a

1490
01:15:25,840 --> 01:15:29,519
Speaker 3: bunch of freshmen, and a U Mass transfer. Maybe that's

1491
01:15:29,520 --> 01:15:31,439
Speaker 3: a good thing now U Mass. And then on the

1492
01:15:31,479 --> 01:15:34,080
Speaker 3: other side, they might have a couple of starting receivers out,

1493
01:15:34,280 --> 01:15:38,560
Speaker 3: including Cornelius Johnson. That's that's just my gut telling me

1494
01:15:38,640 --> 01:15:41,599
Speaker 3: that from what I've read and heard, that Michigan might

1495
01:15:41,680 --> 01:15:48,519
Speaker 3: be without their entire starting secondary sends whilst in their slot.

1496
01:15:49,000 --> 01:15:52,240
Speaker 3: So but both safeties and their star corner and a

1497
01:15:52,320 --> 01:15:55,439
Speaker 3: couple starting wide receivers. That means they're just gonna come in,

1498
01:15:56,080 --> 01:15:57,200
Speaker 3: by the way, if they don't have a lot of

1499
01:15:57,479 --> 01:15:59,880
Speaker 3: you know, their star receivers run the ball a lot,

1500
01:16:00,600 --> 01:16:03,400
Speaker 3: just pound it with their star backfield. And by the way,

1501
01:16:03,439 --> 01:16:04,920
Speaker 3: this is gonna be a dominant offensive line, but a

1502
01:16:04,960 --> 01:16:08,200
Speaker 3: lot of new pieces. Maybe there's some And by the way,

1503
01:16:08,200 --> 01:16:09,840
Speaker 3: they're not gonna have their offensive coordinators off of the

1504
01:16:09,920 --> 01:16:12,639
Speaker 3: offensive line coach, so if things aren't going well, he's

1505
01:16:12,720 --> 01:16:14,960
Speaker 3: not in there to so that the car ball is

1506
01:16:15,000 --> 01:16:17,720
Speaker 3: not gonna coach here. He loves to run it up,

1507
01:16:17,880 --> 01:16:22,640
Speaker 3: so maybe they don't run it up. But there's just

1508
01:16:22,920 --> 01:16:24,920
Speaker 3: you know, you're not gonna have your offensive coordinator, You're

1509
01:16:24,920 --> 01:16:26,919
Speaker 3: not gonna have your head coach. You got the defensive

1510
01:16:26,960 --> 01:16:30,360
Speaker 3: coordinator now worried about being the head coach. So there's

1511
01:16:30,360 --> 01:16:32,840
Speaker 3: a lot of focus all over the place. I think

1512
01:16:32,880 --> 01:16:34,599
Speaker 3: Michigan's gonna have to lean on their ground game if

1513
01:16:34,680 --> 01:16:37,479
Speaker 3: these injuries are real, and that's the strength of the

1514
01:16:37,520 --> 01:16:41,360
Speaker 3: ECU defense. Garcia is gonna make his first started quarterback.

1515
01:16:41,360 --> 01:16:43,400
Speaker 3: He's got a big arm. It's gonna make some mistakes.

1516
01:16:43,880 --> 01:16:45,320
Speaker 3: I think they can get a couple of touchdowns on

1517
01:16:45,400 --> 01:16:49,680
Speaker 3: the board. It's all I need here. Yeah, I like

1518
01:16:49,920 --> 01:16:50,800
Speaker 3: these few and the points.

1519
01:16:51,320 --> 01:16:53,840
Speaker 2: I'm completely sitting this out the bully ball that goes

1520
01:16:53,880 --> 01:16:55,880
Speaker 2: on with Michigan up in the big house against these

1521
01:16:55,960 --> 01:16:58,880
Speaker 2: inferior directional schools. I don't want any part of it.

1522
01:16:59,640 --> 01:17:02,760
Speaker 2: I will say that I am not I'm not gonna

1523
01:17:02,760 --> 01:17:03,840
Speaker 2: have a side in this game. But with U and

1524
01:17:03,920 --> 01:17:08,760
Speaker 2: LV coming to town next week, look ahead at Leonov Yeah,

1525
01:17:08,800 --> 01:17:10,760
Speaker 2: well no, I'm not saying look ahead, but that that

1526
01:17:11,240 --> 01:17:13,719
Speaker 2: that's gonna be. I think that one could be a bludgeony.

1527
01:17:14,000 --> 01:17:17,200
Speaker 2: Uh So I'm gonna I'm gonna save it. Watch this week,

1528
01:17:17,200 --> 01:17:19,719
Speaker 2: see if the suspensions happen, and then if they don't

1529
01:17:19,800 --> 01:17:23,160
Speaker 2: cover an ECU, you know, does something with this, Maybe

1530
01:17:23,200 --> 01:17:24,639
Speaker 2: that makes a better number for me next week.

1531
01:17:25,840 --> 01:17:29,360
Speaker 3: All right, before we get three and out, talk some

1532
01:17:29,479 --> 01:17:31,960
Speaker 3: Friday night lights rapid fire, and then do our favorite

1533
01:17:32,920 --> 01:17:37,479
Speaker 3: overdog and favorite underdog. We have to have our you know,

1534
01:17:37,520 --> 01:17:42,840
Speaker 3: our second favorite segment, and that is Colin on the

1535
01:17:43,479 --> 01:17:47,600
Speaker 3: San Diego State total. He whiffed last week, although in

1536
01:17:47,680 --> 01:17:49,960
Speaker 3: fairness work got hurt. I think that game probably would

1537
01:17:49,960 --> 01:17:52,720
Speaker 3: have went over if he didn't. But he's over one

1538
01:17:52,720 --> 01:17:55,360
Speaker 3: of the season on San Diego State totals, bringing his

1539
01:17:55,520 --> 01:17:57,839
Speaker 3: update at San Diego State total record on this podcast

1540
01:17:57,920 --> 01:18:03,759
Speaker 3: to three and seventy seven. So San Diego State plays

1541
01:18:03,840 --> 01:18:05,840
Speaker 3: Idaho State. I haven't seen a line for this game.

1542
01:18:07,640 --> 01:18:10,599
Speaker 3: I'm not up to date on my FPS. I got

1543
01:18:10,680 --> 01:18:14,080
Speaker 3: nothing on this. But are you gonna bet this total

1544
01:18:14,160 --> 01:18:15,200
Speaker 3: for low limits when it's out?

1545
01:18:15,840 --> 01:18:18,040
Speaker 2: I mean, last year this game went over thirty eight

1546
01:18:18,120 --> 01:18:20,880
Speaker 2: to seven was the final score. Jalen Maiden had two

1547
01:18:20,920 --> 01:18:23,920
Speaker 2: touchdowns in that game. I don't see how I'm not

1548
01:18:24,040 --> 01:18:26,000
Speaker 2: taking it over in this one, So yeah, count me

1549
01:18:26,080 --> 01:18:29,080
Speaker 2: in on my boys, San Diego State going over against

1550
01:18:29,120 --> 01:18:32,120
Speaker 2: Idaho State. Listen, I would kind of impressed how they

1551
01:18:32,160 --> 01:18:33,200
Speaker 2: moved it up and down the field. I know it

1552
01:18:33,280 --> 01:18:35,720
Speaker 2: was only twenty points, but I think this spread's gonna

1553
01:18:35,760 --> 01:18:39,000
Speaker 2: come in somewhere around thirty five and a half thirty six,

1554
01:18:39,600 --> 01:18:42,360
Speaker 2: So we'll see when it hits the board the total. Man,

1555
01:18:42,400 --> 01:18:44,120
Speaker 2: they're gonna have to score more than thirty eight points.

1556
01:18:43,880 --> 01:18:44,320
Speaker 3: To get over that.

1557
01:18:45,320 --> 01:18:49,000
Speaker 1: As tech overs, before we get out of here, let's

1558
01:18:49,040 --> 01:18:50,240
Speaker 1: go three and out.

1559
01:18:52,439 --> 01:18:54,719
Speaker 2: Let's make it a quick three and out.

1560
01:18:56,080 --> 01:18:58,120
Speaker 3: For those new the show. Three and out, quick three

1561
01:18:58,160 --> 01:19:01,160
Speaker 3: downs before we get out and sign on off. First down,

1562
01:19:01,320 --> 01:19:02,800
Speaker 3: let's cover some Friday night lights.

1563
01:19:03,640 --> 01:19:07,920
Speaker 2: That's here, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts. Let's go play.

1564
01:19:09,000 --> 01:19:11,439
Speaker 3: Let's talk about a couple of the games here. Central

1565
01:19:11,479 --> 01:19:14,679
Speaker 3: Michigan catching over two touchdowns at Michigan State. I'm fading

1566
01:19:14,720 --> 01:19:16,760
Speaker 3: Michigan State hard. I don't like anything about this team.

1567
01:19:17,120 --> 01:19:19,080
Speaker 3: I think the Central Michigan offensive line will be better,

1568
01:19:19,439 --> 01:19:22,280
Speaker 3: that'll improve their offense. Overall, I think I stay within

1569
01:19:22,320 --> 01:19:24,879
Speaker 3: two touchdowns. I agree, still.

1570
01:19:24,720 --> 01:19:26,559
Speaker 2: Waiting for el Tucker to show up after he signed

1571
01:19:26,600 --> 01:19:29,800
Speaker 2: that contract. Central Michigan is a dangerous team, this one.

1572
01:19:30,600 --> 01:19:31,000
Speaker 2: I'm with you.

1573
01:19:31,880 --> 01:19:34,839
Speaker 3: Since nineteen twenty, Michigan and Michigan State have only suffered

1574
01:19:34,880 --> 01:19:39,280
Speaker 3: three losses in total to the directional mac Michigan schools.

1575
01:19:39,320 --> 01:19:41,280
Speaker 3: All three were Michigan State at home to Central Michigan

1576
01:19:41,800 --> 01:19:46,240
Speaker 3: since nineteen ninety. Louisville at Georgia Tech. I'm on an

1577
01:19:46,280 --> 01:19:49,960
Speaker 3: island here. I've let Georgia Tech. I've seen nothing but

1578
01:19:50,080 --> 01:19:54,639
Speaker 3: Louisville money. Everyone is bet Louisville. Everyone's already writing Louisville

1579
01:19:54,720 --> 01:19:57,040
Speaker 3: of the AC Championship game. I don't. I'm not buying

1580
01:19:57,080 --> 01:19:59,120
Speaker 3: the hype yet, especially early on in the season. I

1581
01:19:59,160 --> 01:20:01,680
Speaker 3: think there's going to be growing Haynes Brom's great, It's

1582
01:20:01,680 --> 01:20:05,000
Speaker 3: going to get it turned around. But it's a brand

1583
01:20:05,040 --> 01:20:07,400
Speaker 3: new offense. And by the way, it's a pass heavy offense.

1584
01:20:07,439 --> 01:20:10,599
Speaker 3: That's the strength of this Georgia Tech defense, which their

1585
01:20:10,640 --> 01:20:14,000
Speaker 3: secondary right very highly last year. I really liked their secondary.

1586
01:20:14,320 --> 01:20:16,040
Speaker 3: Don't really love their run defense, but that's not as

1587
01:20:16,120 --> 01:20:19,000
Speaker 3: much of a concern against the brom team and the

1588
01:20:19,080 --> 01:20:22,200
Speaker 3: Louisville defense. I don't love the Georgia Tech offense. And

1589
01:20:22,439 --> 01:20:24,320
Speaker 3: Haynes King. Hopefully he learned. He got named the start

1590
01:20:24,439 --> 01:20:26,479
Speaker 3: with surprise by so maybe that means he improved, because

1591
01:20:26,640 --> 01:20:28,760
Speaker 3: every time I watched him, I didn't know how he knew.

1592
01:20:29,080 --> 01:20:30,639
Speaker 3: He looked like he was learning how to throw football

1593
01:20:30,640 --> 01:20:33,479
Speaker 3: for the first time every time. But the Louisville defense

1594
01:20:33,760 --> 01:20:37,040
Speaker 3: lost a lot. They you know, they lost three pros,

1595
01:20:37,120 --> 01:20:41,280
Speaker 3: one corner and two of the guys that were really

1596
01:20:41,360 --> 01:20:43,720
Speaker 3: important in creating all the havoc that they did last year.

1597
01:20:44,040 --> 01:20:46,240
Speaker 3: I think their defense is going to take a step back.

1598
01:20:46,280 --> 01:20:50,040
Speaker 3: Offense early struggles home division dog catching over a touchdown

1599
01:20:50,080 --> 01:20:52,920
Speaker 3: here and that no one likes in I think it's

1600
01:20:52,960 --> 01:20:57,040
Speaker 3: a decent matchup. I think they'll wins this game in

1601
01:20:57,160 --> 01:20:58,840
Speaker 3: a close, close, close one.

1602
01:21:00,160 --> 01:21:01,760
Speaker 2: Yeah. I have a thirty five to one prop on

1603
01:21:01,840 --> 01:21:04,000
Speaker 2: Louisville going undefeated on the season. I think you're on

1604
01:21:04,080 --> 01:21:06,200
Speaker 2: the right side. I'm just too much of a pussy

1605
01:21:06,280 --> 01:21:09,360
Speaker 2: to take georgiattack. I absolutely think it covers with the

1606
01:21:09,400 --> 01:21:11,479
Speaker 2: way that they're playing defense. There's just too many new

1607
01:21:11,720 --> 01:21:15,920
Speaker 2: variables in play for Bram. You know, his system is

1608
01:21:15,960 --> 01:21:18,440
Speaker 2: in place, but the players are pretty new. His quarterback

1609
01:21:18,479 --> 01:21:20,679
Speaker 2: has been away from him for longer than a season.

1610
01:21:20,880 --> 01:21:22,360
Speaker 2: He's got to, you know, kind of shake the rust

1611
01:21:22,400 --> 01:21:25,120
Speaker 2: off in live action. This is not the defense that

1612
01:21:25,120 --> 01:21:26,719
Speaker 2: I would want to start off with on the season.

1613
01:21:28,400 --> 01:21:31,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, and I mean everyone is acting like I mean

1614
01:21:32,000 --> 01:21:36,360
Speaker 3: Jamari thrashes the next Jerry Rice, like let's let's let's

1615
01:21:36,479 --> 01:21:39,519
Speaker 3: uh cooler engines a little bit from coming to Georgia State.

1616
01:21:40,800 --> 01:21:49,800
Speaker 3: Stanford at Hawaii Hawaii I played earlier. Still like them

1617
01:21:49,840 --> 01:21:51,600
Speaker 3: over three because I'm a nut and I love this

1618
01:21:51,640 --> 01:21:55,599
Speaker 3: Hawaii team. But value is pretty much all stucked out.

1619
01:21:55,640 --> 01:21:58,160
Speaker 3: But still I still like hawaiyat over a field goal.

1620
01:21:58,240 --> 01:21:59,960
Speaker 3: I think this is the line's going to keep going down.

1621
01:22:00,000 --> 01:22:02,479
Speaker 3: I think it's gonna hit three. I wouldn't even surprised

1622
01:22:02,640 --> 01:22:06,080
Speaker 3: with the two and a half Stanford complete rebuild. Everything's new, new, scheme,

1623
01:22:06,200 --> 01:22:09,519
Speaker 3: new players. It's gonna take some time there. And Hawaii,

1624
01:22:10,439 --> 01:22:12,160
Speaker 3: it's covered eight of nine, so it's coming out of

1625
01:22:12,200 --> 01:22:14,280
Speaker 3: the by last week. That run and shoot is really working.

1626
01:22:14,360 --> 01:22:16,920
Speaker 3: It's a timing offense. And guess what was working last week?

1627
01:22:17,040 --> 01:22:19,400
Speaker 3: The timing. Sometimes you don't worry about that. Early on,

1628
01:22:20,240 --> 01:22:24,839
Speaker 3: they out played Vanderbilt statistically. I watched that entire game. Vanderbilt.

1629
01:22:24,840 --> 01:22:26,760
Speaker 3: If they don't fuck up a couple times near the

1630
01:22:26,800 --> 01:22:30,000
Speaker 3: goal line and they don't drop a pick six, they

1631
01:22:30,080 --> 01:22:32,680
Speaker 3: win that game at Vandy, the team that bludgeed them

1632
01:22:32,760 --> 01:22:35,680
Speaker 3: last year. This team is significantly improved. I even liked

1633
01:22:35,720 --> 01:22:38,360
Speaker 3: some of what I saw from the defense. Stanford's a mess.

1634
01:22:39,720 --> 01:22:43,439
Speaker 3: It's why big, big lot of hype for this game

1635
01:22:43,960 --> 01:22:46,360
Speaker 3: on the Island. I know it's a short week. I

1636
01:22:46,520 --> 01:22:49,040
Speaker 3: know teams that are playing for the first time all

1637
01:22:49,040 --> 01:22:50,800
Speaker 3: of an article out on actually Know dot Com about this.

1638
01:22:51,000 --> 01:22:52,800
Speaker 3: Teams that are playing for the first time against teams

1639
01:22:52,800 --> 01:22:56,240
Speaker 3: that played in Week zero have an advantage historically, so

1640
01:22:56,400 --> 01:23:01,080
Speaker 3: that like film advantage, rest and is a bigger advantage

1641
01:23:01,120 --> 01:23:04,559
Speaker 3: in shaking off the rust. Just historically doesn't mean it's

1642
01:23:04,560 --> 01:23:05,960
Speaker 3: going to be that way in the future, but it's

1643
01:23:06,040 --> 01:23:10,280
Speaker 3: you know, around fifty six fifty seven percent. I have

1644
01:23:10,360 --> 01:23:12,920
Speaker 3: all the numbers in the article, but I'm going against

1645
01:23:12,920 --> 01:23:16,160
Speaker 3: the trend here twice you mass and then now with

1646
01:23:16,240 --> 01:23:17,520
Speaker 3: Hawaii thoughts.

1647
01:23:18,320 --> 01:23:21,559
Speaker 2: Profile Ashlock, the wide receiver for Hawaii is an act

1648
01:23:21,800 --> 01:23:25,800
Speaker 2: awesome animal. He's an animal. I love what Hawaii is doing,

1649
01:23:26,080 --> 01:23:29,920
Speaker 2: but I'm going to play the over here Stanford, with

1650
01:23:30,000 --> 01:23:31,920
Speaker 2: what Troy Taylor wants to do on offense. If you

1651
01:23:32,000 --> 01:23:34,040
Speaker 2: took his seconds per play what he did in FCS

1652
01:23:34,120 --> 01:23:35,880
Speaker 2: last year, they would rank in the top fifteen from

1653
01:23:35,880 --> 01:23:38,040
Speaker 2: a tempo perspective. They're going to run a lot of

1654
01:23:38,120 --> 01:23:43,000
Speaker 2: quarterback wide receiver option. It's going to be a really

1655
01:23:43,479 --> 01:23:49,280
Speaker 2: tough scheme. When Timmy Chang spent a lot of time

1656
01:23:49,360 --> 01:23:51,639
Speaker 2: in the Mainland getting ready for Vanderbilt and now you're

1657
01:23:51,680 --> 01:23:54,120
Speaker 2: on short rest getting ready for this offense that is

1658
01:23:54,200 --> 01:23:57,360
Speaker 2: going to be counter misdirection motion. Just some of the

1659
01:23:57,439 --> 01:24:00,640
Speaker 2: craziest shit. Plus Troy Taylor won't name a quarterback out

1660
01:24:00,680 --> 01:24:02,840
Speaker 2: of the three, actually won't name I think a starter.

1661
01:24:02,920 --> 01:24:07,880
Speaker 3: At a you got Lamps and Daniels and two I

1662
01:24:08,120 --> 01:24:09,519
Speaker 3: just to win the job, and he was like third

1663
01:24:09,560 --> 01:24:10,280
Speaker 3: a couple of weeks ago.

1664
01:24:11,200 --> 01:24:13,280
Speaker 2: I don't know how you get prepared for this game

1665
01:24:13,360 --> 01:24:15,760
Speaker 2: and you're on short rest. The one thing I get

1666
01:24:15,760 --> 01:24:18,400
Speaker 2: worried about with the over or backing Hawaii is when

1667
01:24:18,479 --> 01:24:20,760
Speaker 2: does the emotional steam get let out because you've had

1668
01:24:20,800 --> 01:24:24,720
Speaker 2: so many players get you know, just having what's going

1669
01:24:24,760 --> 01:24:27,559
Speaker 2: on with families getting displaced, what's happening with the Maui fires.

1670
01:24:28,920 --> 01:24:30,600
Speaker 2: That was a great trip to the mainland. What you

1671
01:24:30,680 --> 01:24:33,400
Speaker 2: did against Vanderbilt. It almost felt like a celebration when

1672
01:24:33,439 --> 01:24:35,599
Speaker 2: Timmy Chane covered that and came so close to maybe

1673
01:24:35,600 --> 01:24:37,680
Speaker 2: winning the game against Vanderbilt. But how much you have

1674
01:24:37,760 --> 01:24:40,000
Speaker 2: in the tank here when you get back to you know,

1675
01:24:40,479 --> 01:24:41,920
Speaker 2: when you get back home and you get to open

1676
01:24:42,000 --> 01:24:45,000
Speaker 2: up the stadium. I get it. But you know you're

1677
01:24:45,040 --> 01:24:48,720
Speaker 2: on short rest against a extreme unknown with Stanford. So

1678
01:24:48,840 --> 01:24:50,559
Speaker 2: I do like the over here. I think it's going

1679
01:24:50,600 --> 01:24:52,479
Speaker 2: to take a long time before these defenses figure out

1680
01:24:52,520 --> 01:24:54,640
Speaker 2: what the other team is doing. I don't know.

1681
01:24:54,720 --> 01:24:57,080
Speaker 3: I love I love what I saw from Schagar, who

1682
01:24:57,160 --> 01:25:02,439
Speaker 3: worked with mom. Yeah, he was amazing. Worked really closely

1683
01:25:02,520 --> 01:25:04,720
Speaker 3: with a couple guys who are really close with the

1684
01:25:04,760 --> 01:25:07,400
Speaker 3: June Jones, running shoot through the all through the offseason.

1685
01:25:07,439 --> 01:25:10,800
Speaker 3: It seemed to work. He was super sharp and that

1686
01:25:10,920 --> 01:25:15,160
Speaker 3: offense was in rhythm. That's one Miami or Miami.

1687
01:25:16,040 --> 01:25:22,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah Miami. I'm going in Miami.

1688
01:25:25,120 --> 01:25:29,680
Speaker 3: According to Miami Ohio quarterback Brett Gabbert, they are the

1689
01:25:29,760 --> 01:25:33,559
Speaker 3: real Miami and they're gonna prove it this week against

1690
01:25:33,600 --> 01:25:35,479
Speaker 3: Tyler Van Dyke. A lot of injury on certainty there

1691
01:25:35,760 --> 01:25:38,000
Speaker 3: Mary Chris Ball came out this week or yesterday and

1692
01:25:38,040 --> 01:25:40,160
Speaker 3: said he's a hundred percent healthy, practicing a full speed

1693
01:25:40,920 --> 01:25:42,640
Speaker 3: Who knows that that smoke or mirrors or what. They

1694
01:25:42,680 --> 01:25:45,400
Speaker 3: also have Texas A and M next week. I leaned

1695
01:25:45,400 --> 01:25:47,880
Speaker 3: the Max school here with the points, but no real

1696
01:25:48,120 --> 01:25:48,719
Speaker 3: strong feel.

1697
01:25:49,400 --> 01:25:51,360
Speaker 2: I took sixteen and a half on the Tyler Van

1698
01:25:51,439 --> 01:25:54,120
Speaker 2: Dyk news, but it wasn't for a big play. If

1699
01:25:54,160 --> 01:25:56,880
Speaker 2: he is healthy and christ Ball has the horses in

1700
01:25:56,920 --> 01:25:59,160
Speaker 2: the trench that he's desired since he got into town,

1701
01:25:59,520 --> 01:26:02,720
Speaker 2: they should over Miami Ohio. Mexico. Absolutely, that's going on

1702
01:26:02,760 --> 01:26:04,840
Speaker 2: the road. But I took sixty and a half. We'll

1703
01:26:04,840 --> 01:26:08,320
Speaker 2: see what happens. You laid it right, Yeah, sorry, I

1704
01:26:08,320 --> 01:26:11,360
Speaker 2: should be Miami is a lot.

1705
01:26:11,640 --> 01:26:14,120
Speaker 3: Miami is a lock in that game. That's it for

1706
01:26:14,720 --> 01:26:18,320
Speaker 3: Friday Night. Let's let's move on to second down, which

1707
01:26:18,400 --> 01:26:22,960
Speaker 3: is our favorite overdog. It's called the overdog parlay. If

1708
01:26:22,960 --> 01:26:26,800
Speaker 3: you're new, one of our callers referenced overdog instead as

1709
01:26:26,800 --> 01:26:30,200
Speaker 3: the opposite of underdog. It's meaning favorite and it's our thing.

1710
01:26:30,680 --> 01:26:35,320
Speaker 3: So we talk about our favorite favorite each week. We'll

1711
01:26:35,320 --> 01:26:37,880
Speaker 3: also have this up on Action Nework dot com and

1712
01:26:38,080 --> 01:26:40,640
Speaker 3: the Action Network app will write this up. And by

1713
01:26:40,680 --> 01:26:43,599
Speaker 3: the way, if you're listening to this on YouTube, make

1714
01:26:43,640 --> 01:26:46,439
Speaker 3: sure you smash that bike and subscribe button. It really

1715
01:26:46,439 --> 01:26:51,160
Speaker 3: helps us out. So Colin favorite favorite of the weekend.

1716
01:26:51,560 --> 01:26:55,280
Speaker 2: UCLA at home lett in Coastal Carolina, fly all the

1717
01:26:55,320 --> 01:26:57,920
Speaker 2: way across the country. Yes, it's Grayce and McCall, but

1718
01:26:57,960 --> 01:27:00,559
Speaker 2: there are some serious issues going on here. Starting off

1719
01:27:00,600 --> 01:27:02,639
Speaker 2: on the UCLA side, they're gonna have three quarterbacks playing

1720
01:27:02,680 --> 01:27:05,280
Speaker 2: this game, starting off with Ethan Garber's Colin Schlee came

1721
01:27:05,320 --> 01:27:08,000
Speaker 2: in from Kent State. But we're all here to see

1722
01:27:08,040 --> 01:27:10,599
Speaker 2: Dante Moore play some football. The true freshman has one

1723
01:27:10,600 --> 01:27:15,200
Speaker 2: of the highest ratings ever for a recruit. Prodigy is

1724
01:27:15,520 --> 01:27:18,080
Speaker 2: all that we can hear. Carson Steele is running the

1725
01:27:18,120 --> 01:27:20,280
Speaker 2: ball now for UCLA. In case you don't remember who

1726
01:27:20,320 --> 01:27:22,559
Speaker 2: Crocky j is from last year. He is a Max

1727
01:27:23,520 --> 01:27:26,479
Speaker 2: Hall of Famer. But the real issue here for the

1728
01:27:26,600 --> 01:27:28,439
Speaker 2: Chant of Clears is the fact that they are very

1729
01:27:28,600 --> 01:27:31,880
Speaker 2: inexperienced and maybe the worst secondary in all of the

1730
01:27:31,960 --> 01:27:34,160
Speaker 2: Sun Belt. They are going to line up a couple

1731
01:27:34,240 --> 01:27:36,400
Speaker 2: guys at corner that are absolutely going to get torn

1732
01:27:36,479 --> 01:27:39,040
Speaker 2: up by these three quarterbacks for UCLA. And then when

1733
01:27:39,040 --> 01:27:40,960
Speaker 2: you switch to the other side of the ball, Jamie

1734
01:27:41,000 --> 01:27:43,600
Speaker 2: Chadwell is gone. He is no longer a Coastal Carolina.

1735
01:27:43,760 --> 01:27:46,040
Speaker 2: That offense is going to change under Tim Beck. It's

1736
01:27:46,080 --> 01:27:49,559
Speaker 2: going to be a heavy rush rate, real predictable out

1737
01:27:49,600 --> 01:27:51,639
Speaker 2: of eleven is going to be running when they line

1738
01:27:51,720 --> 01:27:53,280
Speaker 2: up in ten, it's going to be a sixty percent

1739
01:27:53,400 --> 01:27:55,720
Speaker 2: pass And you know McCall is going to have to

1740
01:27:55,840 --> 01:28:00,320
Speaker 2: deal with Laya to Latu, who had sixty five pressures year.

1741
01:28:01,000 --> 01:28:03,360
Speaker 2: UCLA was a top thirty pass rush team. It might

1742
01:28:03,439 --> 01:28:06,200
Speaker 2: be better. Their new defensive coordinator comes from the Raven staff.

1743
01:28:06,600 --> 01:28:09,840
Speaker 2: This is a lot for Coastal Carolina to walk into

1744
01:28:10,280 --> 01:28:12,240
Speaker 2: in a cross country trip way late at night. I

1745
01:28:12,360 --> 01:28:14,960
Speaker 2: love UCLA to blow them out.

1746
01:28:16,320 --> 01:28:17,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, you're gonna need them to run this side because

1747
01:28:17,880 --> 01:28:20,879
Speaker 3: I'd be petrified at like a mcgrayson McCall at backdoor

1748
01:28:21,360 --> 01:28:23,720
Speaker 3: late if they have the ball against this Uclid So

1749
01:28:23,800 --> 01:28:26,400
Speaker 3: you hope they go up by like four or five

1750
01:28:26,479 --> 01:28:30,360
Speaker 3: touchdowns at some point in the second half. All right,

1751
01:28:30,360 --> 01:28:33,840
Speaker 3: I'm going to go with an all reliable in Week one.

1752
01:28:34,400 --> 01:28:41,040
Speaker 3: Alabama laying the lumber against Middle Tennessee, my old nemesis.

1753
01:28:41,120 --> 01:28:43,360
Speaker 3: So we'll see how this works out. Numbers sitting at

1754
01:28:43,400 --> 01:28:45,559
Speaker 3: thirty nine. I like it at thirty nine, but kind

1755
01:28:45,560 --> 01:28:47,479
Speaker 3: of I'm waiting to see maybe it comes back down

1756
01:28:47,520 --> 01:28:50,280
Speaker 3: below thirty eight before it goes with the forty. But

1757
01:28:50,360 --> 01:28:52,720
Speaker 3: I will be playing Alabama. It's my favorite favorite the

1758
01:28:52,760 --> 01:28:54,519
Speaker 3: weekend number one. I think this is a statement game

1759
01:28:54,600 --> 01:28:58,599
Speaker 3: for Alabama all summer. They're hearing about Georgia, how they're

1760
01:28:58,640 --> 01:29:00,479
Speaker 3: going to take a step back. I think they're going

1761
01:29:00,520 --> 01:29:02,800
Speaker 3: to come out with their hair on fire. I hate

1762
01:29:02,840 --> 01:29:05,400
Speaker 3: this Middle Tennessee State team, a much lower than the

1763
01:29:05,479 --> 01:29:09,160
Speaker 3: market on them. They lost the quarterback Chase Cunningham, They're

1764
01:29:09,280 --> 01:29:12,720
Speaker 3: three top pass catchers, one's on an NFL roster, one

1765
01:29:12,760 --> 01:29:15,720
Speaker 3: transfer of Virginia Tech. One graduated all their captains from

1766
01:29:15,800 --> 01:29:17,960
Speaker 3: last year. That's bad news for a team that can't

1767
01:29:18,000 --> 01:29:20,800
Speaker 3: run the ball with a bad offensive line, how are

1768
01:29:20,840 --> 01:29:23,200
Speaker 3: they going to move the ball? On Alabama? I have

1769
01:29:23,439 --> 01:29:25,880
Speaker 3: no idea on the other side of the ball. Their

1770
01:29:25,920 --> 01:29:28,679
Speaker 3: defense due for massive aggression after some of the turnover

1771
01:29:28,800 --> 01:29:31,280
Speaker 3: luck they've had. They also lose their sack leader who's

1772
01:29:31,320 --> 01:29:35,160
Speaker 3: now at the Seahawks. Their star corner Patterson's now with UCF.

1773
01:29:35,240 --> 01:29:37,960
Speaker 3: He led FBS and interceptions last year. I think their

1774
01:29:38,000 --> 01:29:40,680
Speaker 3: defense takes a big step back. I think Alabama, who,

1775
01:29:40,720 --> 01:29:44,400
Speaker 3: by the way, has quarterback. You said teams of quarterback competitions.

1776
01:29:44,439 --> 01:29:47,320
Speaker 3: You repened that earlier. Alabama is a number of guys

1777
01:29:47,400 --> 01:29:49,519
Speaker 3: who are in the mix to play quarterback this year.

1778
01:29:49,600 --> 01:29:51,559
Speaker 3: So even when they go to their second team thirteen,

1779
01:29:51,600 --> 01:29:54,000
Speaker 3: they're still going to want to see things. And last

1780
01:29:54,080 --> 01:29:59,040
Speaker 3: year you might say, hey, Alabama has Texas next week,

1781
01:29:59,120 --> 01:30:01,479
Speaker 3: maybe they're gonna pull their starters. Maybe they're not going

1782
01:30:01,520 --> 01:30:03,719
Speaker 3: to show much. Alven was in the same exact spot

1783
01:30:03,840 --> 01:30:07,360
Speaker 3: last year, laying right around the same number to Utah State,

1784
01:30:07,920 --> 01:30:10,479
Speaker 3: and they had their quarterback in a known in Bryce

1785
01:30:10,520 --> 01:30:12,639
Speaker 3: Young who sat almost the entire second half. They won

1786
01:30:12,720 --> 01:30:15,240
Speaker 3: fifty five to nothing. And you know what, the best

1787
01:30:15,320 --> 01:30:18,559
Speaker 3: bet Week one college football since two thousand and five

1788
01:30:18,680 --> 01:30:21,960
Speaker 3: is Nick Saban in Week one?

1789
01:30:22,800 --> 01:30:26,160
Speaker 2: It's going to be difficult at a high level. What

1790
01:30:26,360 --> 01:30:27,479
Speaker 2: does it take to break you?

1791
01:30:28,320 --> 01:30:31,920
Speaker 3: Since arriving in Tuscaloosa, he is thirteen to two against

1792
01:30:31,960 --> 01:30:35,679
Speaker 3: the spread eighty six point seven percent in the first

1793
01:30:35,720 --> 01:30:38,679
Speaker 3: game of the season. That includes four to oh against

1794
01:30:38,680 --> 01:30:42,240
Speaker 3: the number one laying over thirty who's covered thirteen to

1795
01:30:42,360 --> 01:30:46,200
Speaker 3: fifteen games, covering by an average margin of over eight

1796
01:30:46,520 --> 01:30:48,720
Speaker 3: points per game. So I don't care if they have

1797
01:30:48,800 --> 01:30:50,360
Speaker 3: Texas on deck. I think it's a statement game. I

1798
01:30:50,400 --> 01:30:54,719
Speaker 3: don't see Middle Tennessee scores Alabama, no matter what quarterbacks

1799
01:30:54,760 --> 01:30:57,080
Speaker 3: in there, no matter what they're doing, they should score

1800
01:30:57,760 --> 01:31:01,040
Speaker 3: on this Middle Tennessee State team that has just significantly

1801
01:31:01,080 --> 01:31:04,639
Speaker 3: outclassed from a talent perspective. Yeah, give me the tide here.

1802
01:31:05,080 --> 01:31:08,280
Speaker 3: Who should feast on this Middle Tennessee State offense? Who's

1803
01:31:08,280 --> 01:31:09,920
Speaker 3: going to be in third and long all night long?

1804
01:31:10,439 --> 01:31:12,800
Speaker 2: Didn't you get Covid Murphy's Boro. I did.

1805
01:31:13,160 --> 01:31:16,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, I said that was a week one game, one

1806
01:31:16,439 --> 01:31:18,880
Speaker 3: of my worst bats and calls on this podcast ever.

1807
01:31:19,479 --> 01:31:21,519
Speaker 3: And then I tweeted out at the bar like a

1808
01:31:21,640 --> 01:31:25,040
Speaker 3: fucking asshole that I am that if Middle Tennessee State

1809
01:31:25,080 --> 01:31:27,280
Speaker 3: doesn't cover the second half that I'm going to drive

1810
01:31:27,360 --> 01:31:29,560
Speaker 3: to Murphy's Borrow the next next week. And I'm a

1811
01:31:29,600 --> 01:31:31,720
Speaker 3: man of my word. I'm a betting man. So I

1812
01:31:31,840 --> 01:31:34,599
Speaker 3: took my wife and our dog. We drove to Murphy's Borrow,

1813
01:31:35,040 --> 01:31:38,320
Speaker 3: stopped at a restaurant, drove back, and got COVID while

1814
01:31:38,320 --> 01:31:41,120
Speaker 3: I was there. Lovely town though. All right, before we

1815
01:31:41,160 --> 01:31:45,400
Speaker 3: get out of here. Third down, our underdog money line.

1816
01:31:45,400 --> 01:31:53,920
Speaker 1: Parlay, turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for

1817
01:31:54,080 --> 01:31:59,280
Speaker 1: the money line parlaying.

1818
01:31:57,320 --> 01:32:00,880
Speaker 3: Our favorite underdog of the week. Where you going.

1819
01:32:01,320 --> 01:32:03,400
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go to Denton, Texas, where it's expected to

1820
01:32:03,520 --> 01:32:08,080
Speaker 2: be triple digit heat around kickoff three pm locally. We're

1821
01:32:08,120 --> 01:32:10,120
Speaker 2: gonna take North Texas here on the money line to

1822
01:32:10,200 --> 01:32:12,439
Speaker 2: beat Cal. Listen, there's a lot of changes on this

1823
01:32:12,560 --> 01:32:15,480
Speaker 2: Cal staff. With the Bears offensive coordinators now Jake Spaviadoal

1824
01:32:15,520 --> 01:32:17,560
Speaker 2: who was fired as a Texas State head coach. He

1825
01:32:17,640 --> 01:32:20,400
Speaker 2: comes into a situation looking for a starting quarterback. They

1826
01:32:20,439 --> 01:32:22,799
Speaker 2: got Sam Jackson out of the transfer portal from TCU,

1827
01:32:23,040 --> 01:32:25,799
Speaker 2: who had shown some electric skills while in his limited

1828
01:32:25,840 --> 01:32:28,439
Speaker 2: playing time for the horn Frogs, but at the same time,

1829
01:32:28,520 --> 01:32:30,960
Speaker 2: we were all wondering why Sam Jackson was not named

1830
01:32:30,960 --> 01:32:33,200
Speaker 2: as starter from day one. He was in a huge

1831
01:32:33,240 --> 01:32:36,400
Speaker 2: competition with two other quarterbacks he wanted. At the end

1832
01:32:36,439 --> 01:32:38,640
Speaker 2: of the day, as Jake Spaviadol said, it's because he

1833
01:32:38,760 --> 01:32:40,920
Speaker 2: just has the ability to get into the red zone

1834
01:32:41,320 --> 01:32:43,839
Speaker 2: in those situations, which means he hasn't learned the playbook,

1835
01:32:44,000 --> 01:32:46,560
Speaker 2: he hasn't learned the quarterback position, and he's probably not

1836
01:32:46,680 --> 01:32:48,960
Speaker 2: suited to be the one that's gonna lift this Cal

1837
01:32:49,120 --> 01:32:52,439
Speaker 2: offense from a success rate perspective. Move the chains. So

1838
01:32:52,600 --> 01:32:54,479
Speaker 2: we'll see what Cal can do on offense, but it's

1839
01:32:54,520 --> 01:32:56,919
Speaker 2: not a good outlook. And speaking of not good outlooks,

1840
01:32:57,160 --> 01:33:01,160
Speaker 2: the defense for Cal has been on the downslope for

1841
01:33:01,439 --> 01:33:03,720
Speaker 2: years and finally now they're one hundred and twenty fifth

1842
01:33:03,800 --> 01:33:06,720
Speaker 2: defensive finishing drives, they don't create any havoc, they don't

1843
01:33:06,760 --> 01:33:09,360
Speaker 2: have any pass rush. They have been on that. You know,

1844
01:33:10,600 --> 01:33:13,320
Speaker 2: everything has been on the decline ever since Justin Wilcox

1845
01:33:13,360 --> 01:33:15,479
Speaker 2: has been there a defensive minded coach. They're going to

1846
01:33:15,520 --> 01:33:17,400
Speaker 2: fly in and take on a North Texas team with

1847
01:33:17,640 --> 01:33:20,559
Speaker 2: Eric Morris coming in as offensive coordinator at Washington State,

1848
01:33:20,880 --> 01:33:23,240
Speaker 2: but he is a Texas person learned from the School

1849
01:33:23,280 --> 01:33:25,200
Speaker 2: of Leech, knows the air raid really well. Going to

1850
01:33:25,240 --> 01:33:28,320
Speaker 2: bring in those concepts and they had. North Texas was

1851
01:33:28,400 --> 01:33:31,120
Speaker 2: the biggest winner in the offseason in their conference when

1852
01:33:31,120 --> 01:33:34,240
Speaker 2: it came to tarp both offense and defensively. I expect

1853
01:33:34,240 --> 01:33:35,840
Speaker 2: them to create a lot of noise with those air

1854
01:33:35,880 --> 01:33:39,439
Speaker 2: raid principles, lots of depth on the offensive end defensive

1855
01:33:39,439 --> 01:33:41,280
Speaker 2: side of the ball. Look for North Texas to win

1856
01:33:41,320 --> 01:33:42,479
Speaker 2: this game out right against Calf.

1857
01:33:43,200 --> 01:33:45,320
Speaker 3: I agree that he is going to be a major

1858
01:33:45,400 --> 01:33:49,000
Speaker 3: factor in the season. Hi on Saturday High of seventy

1859
01:33:49,600 --> 01:33:52,840
Speaker 3: in Berkeley, just to show you the difference in the

1860
01:33:52,880 --> 01:33:55,880
Speaker 3: whether those two teams are used to dealing with. And yeah,

1861
01:33:55,920 --> 01:33:57,720
Speaker 3: I don't like anything about this Cal team. I think

1862
01:33:57,800 --> 01:34:01,560
Speaker 3: North Texas pulls off the up set as well. And

1863
01:34:01,640 --> 01:34:05,960
Speaker 3: I'm gonna throw in Louisiana Monree the Warhawks against Army.

1864
01:34:07,400 --> 01:34:09,080
Speaker 3: When I look for an underdogust you know on the

1865
01:34:09,120 --> 01:34:10,680
Speaker 3: money line, especially ur in the season, I won a

1866
01:34:10,720 --> 01:34:13,160
Speaker 3: lot of variants. It's hard to predict what we're gonna

1867
01:34:13,160 --> 01:34:15,559
Speaker 3: get from ULM. They basically just like blow it up

1868
01:34:15,600 --> 01:34:17,760
Speaker 3: every year and then get a bunch of transfers who

1869
01:34:17,840 --> 01:34:20,200
Speaker 3: knows a lot of uncertainty there Army a lot of

1870
01:34:20,280 --> 01:34:23,799
Speaker 3: uncertainty because they're changing offenses. They're gonna run a shotgun,

1871
01:34:23,840 --> 01:34:26,160
Speaker 3: single set, shotgun, spread option attacks, so a lot of

1872
01:34:26,200 --> 01:34:31,560
Speaker 3: triple option principles. So again, I love fading Service academies

1873
01:34:31,920 --> 01:34:35,920
Speaker 3: triple option teams when they're double digit favorites because the

1874
01:34:36,000 --> 01:34:37,760
Speaker 3: game is shorter and I have these new clock roles,

1875
01:34:37,760 --> 01:34:39,360
Speaker 3: so there's still gonna be a lot of running. There's

1876
01:34:39,360 --> 01:34:41,080
Speaker 3: still gonna be a lot of triple option principles in

1877
01:34:41,120 --> 01:34:43,200
Speaker 3: this game. I think that the clock is going to

1878
01:34:43,280 --> 01:34:46,000
Speaker 3: be speeding throughout, especially when a army has the ball.

1879
01:34:46,840 --> 01:34:49,840
Speaker 3: And if you look back since two thousand and five,

1880
01:34:50,439 --> 01:34:52,880
Speaker 3: if you faded all of the Service academies on the

1881
01:34:52,920 --> 01:34:55,120
Speaker 3: money line when they're favored by ten or more points,

1882
01:34:55,720 --> 01:34:58,240
Speaker 3: you would have gone eleven and twenty four. Doesn't sound great,

1883
01:34:58,840 --> 01:35:01,920
Speaker 3: but that's a fifty one point six percent ROI one

1884
01:35:02,000 --> 01:35:05,120
Speaker 3: hundred dollars better fading the Service academies on the money

1885
01:35:05,160 --> 01:35:07,680
Speaker 3: line and all those games, those thirty five games will

1886
01:35:07,680 --> 01:35:10,840
Speaker 3: be up over eighteen hundred dollars. Just not great as

1887
01:35:10,880 --> 01:35:13,240
Speaker 3: big favorites, and there's a lot of uncertainty in this game,

1888
01:35:13,680 --> 01:35:16,639
Speaker 3: and Louisiana Monroe has been terrible the past couple of years.

1889
01:35:17,560 --> 01:35:20,040
Speaker 3: Under Terry Bowden. They've only won four games each the

1890
01:35:20,080 --> 01:35:22,840
Speaker 3: past two years, but three of those games they've won

1891
01:35:22,880 --> 01:35:25,719
Speaker 3: as double digit underdogs. They beat Georgia State as thirteen

1892
01:35:25,760 --> 01:35:28,120
Speaker 3: net one underdogs, they beat South Alabama's thirteen net one

1893
01:35:28,160 --> 01:35:30,120
Speaker 3: under oas, and they beat Troy as twenty three net

1894
01:35:30,120 --> 01:35:33,240
Speaker 3: POE underdogs. Over the past two years, only three teams

1895
01:35:33,920 --> 01:35:37,280
Speaker 3: have been more profitable as double digit underdog money lines

1896
01:35:37,320 --> 01:35:42,000
Speaker 3: over that span. It's all coming together. La Monaree pulls

1897
01:35:42,040 --> 01:35:47,080
Speaker 3: off the upset against a restructuring Army team in the opener,

1898
01:35:47,680 --> 01:35:50,160
Speaker 3: So you have it our underdog money line. Parlay be

1899
01:35:50,240 --> 01:35:51,920
Speaker 3: a juicy won this week, will have it written up

1900
01:35:52,320 --> 01:35:56,800
Speaker 3: ULM and unt sounds good to me. Let's kick off

1901
01:35:56,840 --> 01:36:01,120
Speaker 3: the season with a big weekend. Thanks as always to

1902
01:36:01,720 --> 01:36:05,920
Speaker 3: Colin for joining me, Thanks to our audio, video producers

1903
01:36:06,280 --> 01:36:08,760
Speaker 3: and the entire team on the back end. You don't

1904
01:36:08,760 --> 01:36:12,400
Speaker 3: get enough credit. Thanks to our sponsors. Make sure again

1905
01:36:12,439 --> 01:36:14,919
Speaker 3: you check out the Favorites episode for that massive contest,

1906
01:36:15,280 --> 01:36:17,120
Speaker 3: and thanks of course to all of you who make

1907
01:36:17,160 --> 01:36:18,960
Speaker 3: this podcast. It's great to be back. This is the

1908
01:36:19,040 --> 01:36:22,880
Speaker 3: real official start of the college football betting season. Let's

1909
01:36:22,920 --> 01:36:24,920
Speaker 3: have a weekend. Let's have a season. Make sure you

1910
01:36:24,920 --> 01:36:27,519
Speaker 3: subscribe on subscribe subscribe, and don't forget about the voicemails.

1911
01:36:27,560 --> 01:36:29,479
Speaker 3: We have a recap episode on Monday. We'll also preview

1912
01:36:30,040 --> 01:36:32,519
Speaker 3: Monday Night Football, a rare Monday night football college game

1913
01:36:32,520 --> 01:36:34,960
Speaker 3: between Duke and Clemson. Thanks for tuning in. It's good

1914
01:36:34,960 --> 01:36:38,040
Speaker 3: to be back. We'll catch you all on Monday. Cheers.

1915
01:36:38,439 --> 01:36:39,040
Speaker 2: Peace Out.

1916
01:36:52,120 --> 01:36:56,600
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1917
01:36:56,680 --> 01:36:59,439
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1918
01:36:59,439 --> 01:37:02,559
Speaker 1: available twenty four seven at one eight hundred Gambler