WEBVTT - FFW Micro - Tony Pollard

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<v Speaker 1>You found Fantasy Football Weekly Micro a deep dive on

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<v Speaker 1>one player in just five to ten minutes. Now here's

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<v Speaker 1>your host, Paul Charge Fantasy Football Weekly Micro edition on

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<v Speaker 1>Paul Charchian. This is an experiment that we're doing that.

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<v Speaker 1>Now you may have heard several times, I hope, so anyway,

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<v Speaker 1>which we do a deep dive on one player who's

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<v Speaker 1>got some controversy, some unique elements, some shifting sands around

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<v Speaker 1>that player. My conversation today is with Tyler knabilely gid

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<v Speaker 1>Keuillotine Leagues dot Com writer Hi, Tyler, Hi, I'm excited

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<v Speaker 1>to talk about some Tony Pollard. Tony Pollard, Yes, he

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<v Speaker 1>has the upside to be the highest scoring player in

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<v Speaker 1>fantasy football this year. You think, so the upside, everything

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<v Speaker 1>goes perfectly, Okay, right, I'm intrigued. Now, Well, you do

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<v Speaker 1>not agree that if if, if they do not bring

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<v Speaker 1>in another running back to meaningfully take carries away from

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<v Speaker 1>Tony Pollard. If I tell you he's gonna get three

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<v Speaker 1>hundred fifty touches in on high powered offense that loves

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<v Speaker 1>to give the ball to running backs at the strike,

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<v Speaker 1>which he's never gotten the past, if he takes all

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<v Speaker 1>those Zeke carries inside the five. You tell me Tony

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<v Speaker 1>Pollard can't be the high scoring player in fantasy football

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<v Speaker 1>if they don't bring in another meaningful running back. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>totally with you. I think they will, just because I

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<v Speaker 1>don't think they're gonna give to Tony Pollard three fifty

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<v Speaker 1>plus touches. But we'll see. This is a team that

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<v Speaker 1>gave DeMarco Murray three hundred and fifty touches when they

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<v Speaker 1>franchise tagged him, knowing that they were just going to

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<v Speaker 1>grind him up and if at the end of the

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<v Speaker 1>year they felt like he was you know, there was nothing,

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<v Speaker 1>he was washed. They were just gonna let him go,

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<v Speaker 1>which he did and went to Philadelphia. They signed him

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<v Speaker 1>to a big deal and he was he was totally washed.

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<v Speaker 1>That could be the scenario here with Pollard. You know

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<v Speaker 1>they could they could just and Josh Jacobs on the

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<v Speaker 1>on the franchise tag last year, got all those all

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<v Speaker 1>those carries last year on the franchise tag. Now the

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<v Speaker 1>Raiders decided to bring him back. So I feel like

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<v Speaker 1>Josh Jacobs still is still going to be a good runner,

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<v Speaker 1>and maybe they'll do that with Pollard. What I'm saying

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<v Speaker 1>I think the franchise tag tells me you're getting use Okay, well,

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<v Speaker 1>I like it. I like this kind of a little satin.

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<v Speaker 1>It's the first hot take we've had a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>like Tony Pollard could be RB one, he could be

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<v Speaker 1>RB one. Okay's got I think he's got RB one

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<v Speaker 1>upside in him if if everything breaks right for him.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, well let's talk about his game a little bit.

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<v Speaker 1>Everybody's seen the highlights. You know that Tony Pollard's got

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<v Speaker 1>big play potential. Yeah, so he went as the RB eight. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>he finishes the RB eight last year, RB nine average

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<v Speaker 1>points per game. He's currently going RB ten. That's middle

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<v Speaker 1>middle of the round two in best ball, which I

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<v Speaker 1>think RB ten and ADP usually means end of the

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<v Speaker 1>first round in like home league stuff like that. So

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<v Speaker 1>there's that. There's that as well. I think the name,

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<v Speaker 1>the name of the game of Tony Pollard is efficiency.

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<v Speaker 1>He it's everyone always talks about how he's been the

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<v Speaker 1>most efficient running back because Zeke's getting the carries third,

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<v Speaker 1>one fourth and one ye your one yard. But Tony

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<v Speaker 1>Pollard in twenty twenty one fifth highest and yards per

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<v Speaker 1>attempt at five point five twenty twenty two third highest

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<v Speaker 1>in the yards for attempts at five point two, So

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<v Speaker 1>actually went down, but he was higher up high. Yeah, exactly.

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<v Speaker 1>Still great efficiency of anything over five is great. Now

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<v Speaker 1>here's the reason I think RB one might be a

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<v Speaker 1>little lofty for me. Is there receiving profile. So he

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<v Speaker 1>was tied for seventeenth in receptions among running backs in

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<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty two with thirty nine catches. Okay, which is

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<v Speaker 1>the exact same as the season prior. All right, Naji

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<v Speaker 1>Harrison Michael Carter had more than him last season. It's

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<v Speaker 1>just two notable names. I'd okay, but I would come

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<v Speaker 1>back with Ezekiel Elliot's not gonna be there to catch

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<v Speaker 1>his past there. That is very fair. Now, another telling

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<v Speaker 1>staff that I thought was actually very interesting. Seven of

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<v Speaker 1>the top of the top ten high scoring running backs

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<v Speaker 1>from last year were also in the top ten for

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<v Speaker 1>receptions among running backs. The only three that weren't were Pollard,

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<v Speaker 1>Derreck Henry, Nick Chubb. Now, Derrick Henry and Nick Chub

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<v Speaker 1>are two completely different types of players, and what Tony

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<v Speaker 1>Pollard is. Yeah, So I'm interested to see because I

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<v Speaker 1>feel like like in my head when I looked up

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<v Speaker 1>the number, I was like, oh, he's pie finished like

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<v Speaker 1>six or something, and receptions among running for the seventeenth

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<v Speaker 1>and I was very surprised. Yeah, And in fairness, Eeke

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<v Speaker 1>only at seventeen catches last year, but we know traditionally

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<v Speaker 1>Zeke had been had a lot more than that. For

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<v Speaker 1>whatever reason, they dialed down his receptions last season. But still,

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<v Speaker 1>if I throw seventeen more receptions at Tony Pollard, He's

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<v Speaker 1>not going to be tied for seventeenth among running backs,

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<v Speaker 1>and receptions will probably be in the top ten at

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<v Speaker 1>that point. And that's why I still think. I still

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<v Speaker 1>think he can have potentially RB one upside in him.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, So well, how different is this offense with

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<v Speaker 1>Zeke out of it? So only two of I think

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<v Speaker 1>is the thing you want to look at is maybe

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<v Speaker 1>Tony Pollard, if he is the guy as you think

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<v Speaker 1>he might be, is just the scoring opportunities that he

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<v Speaker 1>could have. Because only two of Pollard's twelve touchdowns came

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<v Speaker 1>from inside the five yard line, he had just six

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<v Speaker 1>rushes inside the five right, and Zeke, of course is

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<v Speaker 1>known for his rushes inside the five exactly, Zeke had

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<v Speaker 1>sixteen attemptions at the five yard line. Those carries were

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<v Speaker 1>good for seventeen total yards and nine touchdowns. Yeah, the

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<v Speaker 1>nine touchdowns on sixteen attempts is great return you're trying

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<v Speaker 1>to get for carries inside the five. You want to

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<v Speaker 1>see touchdowns at at roughly half of the carries should

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<v Speaker 1>be touchdowns. He turned sixteen attempts into nine touchdowns. That's good.

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<v Speaker 1>That's a number we want to see. If Pollard's going

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<v Speaker 1>to be at fifty percent now, I mean, you know

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<v Speaker 1>we can we again, if we can roll these together,

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<v Speaker 1>that's and six rushes and twenty two attempts from inside

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<v Speaker 1>the five between the two of them last year. If

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<v Speaker 1>Pollard's gonna get twenty two attempts from inside the five

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<v Speaker 1>and convert half, that's eleven touchdowns right there, just from

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<v Speaker 1>inside the five yard line. Yes, I think I think

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<v Speaker 1>you're just being a little too much on They got

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<v Speaker 1>to bring somebody in. This running back draft class is loaded,

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<v Speaker 1>so they might just draft a big guy like a

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<v Speaker 1>Roshawn Johnson. Dwayne McBride's just a big guy to just

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<v Speaker 1>be Zeke two point zh pye a little bit more

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<v Speaker 1>efficient because it'd be a younger, younger running back. But yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I think they're gonna bring somebody else in. I'm not

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<v Speaker 1>saying it ain't Ronald Jones. I can tell you that

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<v Speaker 1>much because that guy doesn't worry me. Yeah, I'm not

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<v Speaker 1>worried about Ronald Jones. I don't think anyone's worried about

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<v Speaker 1>Ronald Jones. But I just, I just I'll believe when

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<v Speaker 1>I see it. That's what kind of with the stance

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<v Speaker 1>I'm taking on this right now. Like, I honestly think

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<v Speaker 1>they could draft Bijean Robinson. That is the most Cowboys

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<v Speaker 1>thing to do is just get an elite running back talent.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, they drafted Zeke fifth. Overall, they're gonna get

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<v Speaker 1>a lot. Like a lot of people think that's gonna happen,

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<v Speaker 1>I don't. This team already got burned on the whole

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<v Speaker 1>Ezekiel Elliott. The whole the lifetime Ezekiel Elliott thing burned them,

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<v Speaker 1>and they're just coming out of that burn. So they

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<v Speaker 1>made they made the big investment in Zeke. Then he

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<v Speaker 1>held out for a bunch of money, which they eventually

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<v Speaker 1>gave him at the expense of keeping Amari Cooper, and

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<v Speaker 1>they desperately needed a wide receiver. Now that was a

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<v Speaker 1>huge mistake for them a tactical blunder. I don't think

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<v Speaker 1>they're gonna go back to the well with a first

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<v Speaker 1>round running back again after they just got burned on

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<v Speaker 1>the whole Ezekiel career. Arc Not that Zeke was never good,

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<v Speaker 1>because he was very good for a while, but you

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<v Speaker 1>watch your first round draft pick deally to be good

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<v Speaker 1>for longer than running backs are usually good for. I

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<v Speaker 1>think they got burned because they paid him. I think

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<v Speaker 1>that was the only reason they got burned. Like when

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<v Speaker 1>it was in the beginning of Zeke was a rookie

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<v Speaker 1>on that rookie deal for the first I think. I

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<v Speaker 1>think he asked for that deal early. So the first

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<v Speaker 1>two or three years, I mean, Zeke was dying in mind.

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<v Speaker 1>He was rb RB one type finishes year year after

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<v Speaker 1>year after year. And the other thing is in this draft,

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<v Speaker 1>it feels like they need offense, like they their defense

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<v Speaker 1>is elite. The problem in San Francisco in that playoff

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<v Speaker 1>game last year was their offense. They got Brandon Cooks

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<v Speaker 1>that receiver. They could drop another one. I'm not saying

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<v Speaker 1>that they can't, but I think that I just think

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<v Speaker 1>Bijan are like not chamer Gives because that's pretty much

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<v Speaker 1>just Tony Paul or two point oh, but it is Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>that profile isn't right, Yes, but I just think that

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<v Speaker 1>I wouldn't put it past them. It's Jerry Jones, like

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<v Speaker 1>I wouldn't put it as to draft Bijan Robinson. Maybe

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<v Speaker 1>you have to trade out for them a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>because I think they're at twenty five twenty six in

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<v Speaker 1>the draft. I think he'll I think he'll be there

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<v Speaker 1>for that. I think Bijan will be there that far. Yea,

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<v Speaker 1>just you know, just because that's what running that's what

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<v Speaker 1>running backs to do now. Should buy talent. B John

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<v Speaker 1>Robinson should go a way before that, should probably go

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<v Speaker 1>in the top ten. But that's not where the reality

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<v Speaker 1>is at the running back position. So we'll find out.

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<v Speaker 1>So okay, so uh, let's talk about dynasty value for

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<v Speaker 1>Tony Pollard where you know, at what at what what

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<v Speaker 1>level would you prescribe him from a dynasty standpoint, because

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<v Speaker 1>he's still young and has gotten pretty low mileage at

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<v Speaker 1>this stage of his career. The thing is is he's

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<v Speaker 1>gonna be on the Cowboys the season after this next one,

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<v Speaker 1>because like you said, they just got burned when they

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<v Speaker 1>paid They're like there, I don't think they would go

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<v Speaker 1>back to the well and then you're gonna pay twenty Follard.

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<v Speaker 1>I think he'll be twenty He's twenty six right now,

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<v Speaker 1>so he might be twenty twenty seven next season. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>you already passed the prime at that point for a

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<v Speaker 1>running back age And is he even better like on

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<v Speaker 1>a different team. I feel like this is the perfect

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<v Speaker 1>situation for him down It is the perfect situation the

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<v Speaker 1>fourth highest scoring offense last season. So I think I

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<v Speaker 1>think right now, if you're a win now team and

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<v Speaker 1>you want to go make a trade, at no problem

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<v Speaker 1>trading for totally Tony Pollard right now. He's a great

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<v Speaker 1>ass that's definitely gonna help your team win now. After

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<v Speaker 1>this season, I don't think his value is gonna get

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<v Speaker 1>any higher than it is right now. Let's try. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>with you on that. I agree the unknowns of his

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<v Speaker 1>landing spot Latin next year make Tony Pollard somebody you

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<v Speaker 1>could consider trading away in Dynasty and Empire formats. Let's

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<v Speaker 1>talk about some of the running backs drafted around him.

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<v Speaker 1>And again you said it's second round average average trap

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<v Speaker 1>about the middle of the second round for Tony Pollard. YEP. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>so who's going around him? We got Derrick Henry Pollard.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm of the opinion that Henry's close to washed. Have

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<v Speaker 1>we been saying that for four or five years now,

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<v Speaker 1>some more than others. Okay, before we do this, is it?

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<v Speaker 1>Are we doing Tony Pollard with no one else coming

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<v Speaker 1>in the front? Yes? Well, but BASI all we know

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<v Speaker 1>right now, I'll still go in the middle. Maybe he

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<v Speaker 1>may not, he may maybe it makes a big difference. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>so you're taking taking Pollard over Henry? Yeah, I think

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<v Speaker 1>I think I would at this point Nick Chubb Chubb

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<v Speaker 1>because that's super safe and a team that runs the

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<v Speaker 1>ball constantly, great offensive line, yeah, and better probably better

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<v Speaker 1>sailing for their offenses year with Shawn Watson playing a

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<v Speaker 1>full season, I hope. So, yep, Breeze Hall coming off

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<v Speaker 1>from ACL Let's say Roger's Ghost the Jets, which, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>Breese Hall assuming that you know the cl is a

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<v Speaker 1>huge question mark, but just assuming he's slated to begin

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<v Speaker 1>the beginning of the year and you think that's gonna

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<v Speaker 1>be the case, Breese Hall looked great in that offense,

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<v Speaker 1>So yeah, I'd go Breese Hall. Josh Jacobs also want

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<v Speaker 1>a franchise tag. Dude, it's a long pause right there.

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<v Speaker 1>Maybe you don't like Pollar. What's your thought if PAULA,

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<v Speaker 1>I gotta go, I gotta I just I started out

0:10:37.480 --> 0:10:38.959
<v Speaker 1>this thing by saying you could be the high scoring

0:10:39.080 --> 0:10:41.120
<v Speaker 1>running back in the league. So I've gotta go Pollard

0:10:41.160 --> 0:10:43.640
<v Speaker 1>here until i have a reason to believe he's not

0:10:43.640 --> 0:10:45.679
<v Speaker 1>going to get most of the work. Pollard last one.

0:10:45.720 --> 0:10:48.160
<v Speaker 1>I think I know your answer, Travis Etn Yeah, I'm out. Okay,

0:10:48.240 --> 0:10:50.280
<v Speaker 1>yeah Pollard. So if I'd take Pollard over most of

0:10:50.320 --> 0:10:52.560
<v Speaker 1>these guys, but not all of them U with the

0:10:52.600 --> 0:10:55.959
<v Speaker 1>unknowns now again, we'll see, We'll see who ends up

0:10:56.000 --> 0:10:58.640
<v Speaker 1>in that backfield with him and the Cowboys. To your point,

0:10:58.679 --> 0:11:01.319
<v Speaker 1>and I think it's a very salient one. The Cowboys

0:11:02.120 --> 0:11:05.080
<v Speaker 1>maybe they don't draft Bejean Robinson, but they may be

0:11:05.160 --> 0:11:08.280
<v Speaker 1>thinking two next year, knowing that Paul It's probably not

0:11:08.360 --> 0:11:10.000
<v Speaker 1>on the team and they want to go get their

0:11:10.080 --> 0:11:13.280
<v Speaker 1>running back this year for next year. Yeah, exactly so.

0:11:13.440 --> 0:11:15.800
<v Speaker 1>And if that's the case, then you know, paul It

0:11:15.800 --> 0:11:17.960
<v Speaker 1>gets to be a lot less interesting at that stage.

0:11:18.800 --> 0:11:21.240
<v Speaker 1>As in a time share. I'm not taking him in

0:11:21.240 --> 0:11:22.920
<v Speaker 1>the middle of the second round. It would be interesting

0:11:22.960 --> 0:11:24.880
<v Speaker 1>to see what that offense would be like if he's

0:11:24.880 --> 0:11:26.800
<v Speaker 1>the guy, because we've never seen that. Yeah, we haven't

0:11:26.840 --> 0:11:28.960
<v Speaker 1>seen his career, so but he's earned it. He has

0:11:29.000 --> 0:11:31.440
<v Speaker 1>earned it. He's earned it. He's a really good player.

0:11:32.160 --> 0:11:34.400
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening to this edition of Fantasy Football Weekly

0:11:34.480 --> 0:11:36.720
<v Speaker 1>Micro Edition. Be sure to stay tune. You're gonna get

0:11:36.720 --> 0:11:38.719
<v Speaker 1>more Fantasy Football micros Monday through Thursday, and then of

0:11:38.760 --> 0:11:41.120
<v Speaker 1>course Friday is the big edition of Fantasy Football Weekly

0:11:41.200 --> 0:11:43.680
<v Speaker 1>as well. We'll talk to you soon, everybody, Bye bye,