1 00:00:14,440 --> 00:00:14,840 Speaker 1: Lots up. 2 00:00:14,840 --> 00:00:17,160 Speaker 2: Guys, how are you welcome into a Sunday morning episode 3 00:00:17,200 --> 00:00:18,239 Speaker 2: of the Daily Juice podcast. 4 00:00:18,239 --> 00:00:19,080 Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolt. 5 00:00:19,079 --> 00:00:20,759 Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all of my socials 6 00:00:20,800 --> 00:00:23,759 Speaker 2: at Sports Talk Matt, And yes, this is a day 7 00:00:23,800 --> 00:00:26,040 Speaker 2: of podcast. Okay, there's going to be a taping of 8 00:00:26,079 --> 00:00:28,960 Speaker 2: the podcast for tomorrow for Monday morning. That will do 9 00:00:29,000 --> 00:00:31,760 Speaker 2: on Sunday night. But due to the fact that last 10 00:00:31,840 --> 00:00:34,520 Speaker 2: night I was looking at the numbers and there were 11 00:00:34,560 --> 00:00:36,760 Speaker 2: no there was nothing up, I mean from numbers. It 12 00:00:36,880 --> 00:00:41,240 Speaker 2: was just a gobbly gook of blank pay you know, props, 13 00:00:41,280 --> 00:00:44,240 Speaker 2: and everything was just empty. So we decided to push 14 00:00:44,240 --> 00:00:46,640 Speaker 2: the podcast to a Sunday morning tape. So I'm taping 15 00:00:46,680 --> 00:00:48,680 Speaker 2: this day of This is not normal, and this is 16 00:00:48,720 --> 00:00:51,320 Speaker 2: not we won't do this very often, but this is 17 00:00:51,640 --> 00:00:55,440 Speaker 2: because it's the last day of the of the first 18 00:00:55,480 --> 00:00:58,520 Speaker 2: half of Major League Baseball's regular season, so we go 19 00:00:58,560 --> 00:01:00,360 Speaker 2: to the All Star break as of tomorrow or home 20 00:01:00,440 --> 00:01:03,800 Speaker 2: run derby tomorrow. So we're into like, this is literally 21 00:01:03,840 --> 00:01:08,120 Speaker 2: the wonky week, right, This day is really wonky. So 22 00:01:08,160 --> 00:01:10,080 Speaker 2: if you want to tread lightly and you want to 23 00:01:10,160 --> 00:01:12,640 Speaker 2: drop your unit size, this is not a bad day 24 00:01:12,680 --> 00:01:16,560 Speaker 2: to do that just because of the lineups. And you know, 25 00:01:16,640 --> 00:01:19,000 Speaker 2: some players are playing in the All Star Game, some 26 00:01:19,040 --> 00:01:21,520 Speaker 2: players are going to the Home run Derby. Some players 27 00:01:21,760 --> 00:01:24,280 Speaker 2: are just going to Barbados and just getting away from 28 00:01:24,280 --> 00:01:28,360 Speaker 2: it all. So like, where are their brains? Where's the bullpen? 29 00:01:28,760 --> 00:01:30,840 Speaker 2: Is a manager going to empty the bullpen? Is a 30 00:01:30,840 --> 00:01:32,800 Speaker 2: manager not going to use the bullpen? Like it is 31 00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:36,520 Speaker 2: such a difficult day today in terms of the last 32 00:01:36,600 --> 00:01:40,319 Speaker 2: day of the first half, and everyone has vacation tomorrow. 33 00:01:40,440 --> 00:01:42,880 Speaker 2: Think about your own work, right, how do you prepare 34 00:01:42,920 --> 00:01:44,800 Speaker 2: for that Friday before your vacation. 35 00:01:45,200 --> 00:01:46,440 Speaker 1: You're not exactly locked in? 36 00:01:46,680 --> 00:01:49,240 Speaker 2: Okay, right, You're not exactly like right there and you 37 00:01:49,360 --> 00:01:51,880 Speaker 2: your nogget and everything is exactly how it's supposed to be. 38 00:01:52,200 --> 00:01:55,640 Speaker 2: So I tend to lean towards pitchers when it comes 39 00:01:55,680 --> 00:01:59,240 Speaker 2: to what happens here. They're one player, one person, and 40 00:01:59,360 --> 00:02:01,440 Speaker 2: genuinely speak. When they're on the mound by themselves in 41 00:02:01,480 --> 00:02:03,960 Speaker 2: a major League baseball game, They're not going to play around. 42 00:02:04,080 --> 00:02:05,440 Speaker 1: Their brains aren't wandering. 43 00:02:05,680 --> 00:02:08,960 Speaker 2: But offenses, I don't touch totals, like in terms of 44 00:02:09,000 --> 00:02:12,600 Speaker 2: like overall totals, I don't touch them. I don't think 45 00:02:12,600 --> 00:02:14,760 Speaker 2: you can touch them, to be quite honest, and I 46 00:02:14,800 --> 00:02:17,760 Speaker 2: bet streaks even more so than I do normally, simply 47 00:02:17,760 --> 00:02:19,639 Speaker 2: because I don't know what we're gonna get today out 48 00:02:19,639 --> 00:02:22,200 Speaker 2: of these lineups, out of anybody. So that's how I 49 00:02:22,240 --> 00:02:24,880 Speaker 2: approach today, and that's why we tape the podcast today. 50 00:02:24,919 --> 00:02:26,360 Speaker 1: Now for yesterday, it was a losing day. 51 00:02:26,440 --> 00:02:30,799 Speaker 2: Yesterday, still a winning week, but Red Sox won one nothing, 52 00:02:30,919 --> 00:02:32,560 Speaker 2: so we lost on the run line. More in the 53 00:02:32,600 --> 00:02:35,280 Speaker 2: Red Sox here in just one second, they've won nine 54 00:02:35,320 --> 00:02:36,400 Speaker 2: straight baseball games. 55 00:02:36,639 --> 00:02:38,000 Speaker 1: Tigers do not get there. 56 00:02:38,040 --> 00:02:41,400 Speaker 2: They got housed by the Mariners, blown off their blown 57 00:02:41,440 --> 00:02:44,520 Speaker 2: out astros. They did win an extra as they saved 58 00:02:44,560 --> 00:02:46,200 Speaker 2: the day for us on that one and one on 59 00:02:46,240 --> 00:02:48,920 Speaker 2: player props down my point one units on that, so 60 00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:52,639 Speaker 2: two and three day for us down one point one units. 61 00:02:52,760 --> 00:02:55,600 Speaker 2: Now while we go through the prop betchets sheet, and 62 00:02:55,639 --> 00:02:57,760 Speaker 2: I got two player props for you on the podcast. 63 00:02:57,919 --> 00:03:00,000 Speaker 2: Plus I got two plays for us as well. Here 64 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:04,000 Speaker 2: full unit places for games happening today. Reminder that you 65 00:03:04,040 --> 00:03:08,200 Speaker 2: guys can play around with Betting Pros Premium right now 66 00:03:08,240 --> 00:03:11,080 Speaker 2: when you go and download the Betting Pros app and 67 00:03:11,200 --> 00:03:13,800 Speaker 2: use the code juice. This is a good time to 68 00:03:13,800 --> 00:03:15,799 Speaker 2: do this right now during the All Star break, because 69 00:03:15,880 --> 00:03:17,239 Speaker 2: you can take a look at some other sports and 70 00:03:17,320 --> 00:03:19,440 Speaker 2: maybe you haven't always look. Maybe you're good at player 71 00:03:19,480 --> 00:03:21,080 Speaker 2: props in baseball and you want to take a look 72 00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:23,120 Speaker 2: at the WNBA prop bet cheat sheet. 73 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:26,120 Speaker 1: Great time, do it seven days for free here. 74 00:03:26,280 --> 00:03:28,560 Speaker 2: It might help you get through the All Star break 75 00:03:28,680 --> 00:03:31,160 Speaker 2: when there's nothing really going on here for Major League 76 00:03:31,160 --> 00:03:34,359 Speaker 2: Baseball and it's sort of like, you know, the desert 77 00:03:34,520 --> 00:03:37,000 Speaker 2: of the summer when it comes to betting. Use the 78 00:03:37,000 --> 00:03:39,440 Speaker 2: code Juice when you download the Betting Pros app in 79 00:03:39,480 --> 00:03:42,360 Speaker 2: the App Store or Google play Store seven day free 80 00:03:42,400 --> 00:03:45,080 Speaker 2: trial to Betting Pros Premium for all the prop bet 81 00:03:45,160 --> 00:03:47,840 Speaker 2: cheat sheet, prop but Analyzer and everything else. Use that 82 00:03:47,920 --> 00:03:50,600 Speaker 2: code Juice after you download it in the upgrade screen 83 00:03:51,120 --> 00:03:52,640 Speaker 2: on the Betting Pros app. 84 00:03:52,680 --> 00:03:54,200 Speaker 1: All right, let's get right into it. 85 00:03:54,920 --> 00:03:58,520 Speaker 2: I'm betting streaks, okay, So I'm betting the Red Sox 86 00:03:58,720 --> 00:04:02,320 Speaker 2: like there's just no The Red Sox are at home 87 00:04:02,400 --> 00:04:06,320 Speaker 2: today after a one nothing lead Garrett Crochet or one 88 00:04:06,360 --> 00:04:10,080 Speaker 2: nothing win. Rather, Garrett Crochet was unbelievable yesterday. Nine innings, 89 00:04:10,320 --> 00:04:15,480 Speaker 2: three hits, no earned runs, nine K's just making a 90 00:04:15,560 --> 00:04:17,920 Speaker 2: case for him to go and win the cy Young Like, 91 00:04:18,360 --> 00:04:21,200 Speaker 2: I know, everyone's saying it's schooable, it's schoolble. Are you 92 00:04:21,200 --> 00:04:23,520 Speaker 2: are you sure that it's gonna be schooble. I'm not 93 00:04:23,520 --> 00:04:25,840 Speaker 2: sure it's gonna be schooble. With the way that Crochet 94 00:04:25,920 --> 00:04:28,120 Speaker 2: is currently pitching. He's ten and four with a two 95 00:04:28,160 --> 00:04:31,599 Speaker 2: point two to three ERA, and he's gone and looked 96 00:04:31,960 --> 00:04:35,359 Speaker 2: really strong over the last month month and a half 97 00:04:35,400 --> 00:04:38,840 Speaker 2: for himself. I mean, he is just dominating hitters in 98 00:04:39,560 --> 00:04:42,200 Speaker 2: Major League Baseball. And he's had one bad start, really 99 00:04:42,200 --> 00:04:44,960 Speaker 2: two bad starts the Yankees on June the seventh and 100 00:04:45,000 --> 00:04:48,400 Speaker 2: the Reds on June on June the thirtieth, But everything 101 00:04:48,400 --> 00:04:53,080 Speaker 2: else has been zero two, zero one one one earned 102 00:04:53,200 --> 00:04:56,480 Speaker 2: runs over the last month and a half. Crochet has 103 00:04:56,520 --> 00:04:59,600 Speaker 2: been tremendous at home. He's a two point three five 104 00:04:59,839 --> 00:05:02,200 Speaker 2: r on the road, two point one to three right 105 00:05:02,240 --> 00:05:03,440 Speaker 2: he eight and one on the road. By the way, 106 00:05:03,480 --> 00:05:05,720 Speaker 2: Garret Crochet, the second half of the year, we're gonna back, 107 00:05:05,800 --> 00:05:08,400 Speaker 2: but unfortunately we just didn't get there with the run line. 108 00:05:08,960 --> 00:05:11,600 Speaker 2: We got the Astros wins that kind of saved everything. 109 00:05:11,600 --> 00:05:14,359 Speaker 2: But the Red Sox today look to close out the 110 00:05:14,360 --> 00:05:17,960 Speaker 2: first half of the regular season on a ten game 111 00:05:18,000 --> 00:05:21,400 Speaker 2: winning streak. They are five and one against Tampa and 112 00:05:21,440 --> 00:05:23,960 Speaker 2: they get to go and throw Brian Beao. I'm not 113 00:05:24,080 --> 00:05:26,240 Speaker 2: in love with Brian Bayo, but you can't talk about 114 00:05:26,360 --> 00:05:28,520 Speaker 2: you can't knock out whether you gots throwing the baseball. 115 00:05:28,600 --> 00:05:30,480 Speaker 2: Right now, the team has won back to beck starts 116 00:05:30,839 --> 00:05:34,520 Speaker 2: by Brian Beao ten two, five to three. He's gone 117 00:05:34,839 --> 00:05:37,719 Speaker 2: nine innings complete game in his last start with two 118 00:05:37,760 --> 00:05:39,200 Speaker 2: earn runs, So you could say, Matt he threw one 119 00:05:39,279 --> 00:05:42,239 Speaker 2: hundred and seven pitches, So maybe that's a dangerous spot. Maybe, 120 00:05:42,240 --> 00:05:44,520 Speaker 2: but the Rays don't really hit, and they aren't hitting 121 00:05:44,560 --> 00:05:49,000 Speaker 2: right now. So Red's huge win. Five innings, two earned 122 00:05:49,080 --> 00:05:52,719 Speaker 2: runs for him, and the bullpen did not pitch yesterday. 123 00:05:53,000 --> 00:05:54,920 Speaker 2: No one from the bullpen came out for the Red Sox, 124 00:05:55,040 --> 00:05:57,760 Speaker 2: so they have everybody. So if Bo gets out to 125 00:05:57,760 --> 00:05:59,440 Speaker 2: a little bit of a trouble spot and maybe he 126 00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:02,120 Speaker 2: only goes four today and they bring in the bullpen. 127 00:06:02,240 --> 00:06:05,640 Speaker 2: The Red Sox bullpen during this run has been very good, 128 00:06:06,160 --> 00:06:09,440 Speaker 2: huge for them. Our favorite name that I can never pronounce, 129 00:06:09,600 --> 00:06:11,960 Speaker 2: Ryan Ppo. I think I said it right. Ppo is 130 00:06:12,000 --> 00:06:14,640 Speaker 2: going today for the Rais and he is not bad 131 00:06:15,000 --> 00:06:16,880 Speaker 2: on the Road's got a three point seven to two era, 132 00:06:16,920 --> 00:06:19,719 Speaker 2: a one in three record, a two twenty posing batting average, 133 00:06:19,800 --> 00:06:22,360 Speaker 2: fifteen earn runs and thirty six innings worth of work 134 00:06:22,400 --> 00:06:24,520 Speaker 2: for him. But the team lost his last start in 135 00:06:24,560 --> 00:06:28,560 Speaker 2: two of the last three, including a absolute destruction on 136 00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:30,920 Speaker 2: the road against Baltimore where he went one in two 137 00:06:30,960 --> 00:06:33,360 Speaker 2: thirds innings, give up four earned runs and the team 138 00:06:33,400 --> 00:06:36,400 Speaker 2: gave up twenty two earned runs to the Baltimore Orioles. 139 00:06:36,640 --> 00:06:39,520 Speaker 2: Last two starts on the road for Tampa with Ryan 140 00:06:39,560 --> 00:06:42,479 Speaker 2: Ppo both have been losses four to two loss to Detroit, 141 00:06:43,600 --> 00:06:46,359 Speaker 2: a twenty two to eight loss to Baltimore like I mentioned, 142 00:06:46,440 --> 00:06:48,200 Speaker 2: and a three to one loss to the Red Sox 143 00:06:48,480 --> 00:06:50,000 Speaker 2: back on the tenth of June. 144 00:06:50,000 --> 00:06:50,760 Speaker 1: So oh to three. 145 00:06:51,120 --> 00:06:54,080 Speaker 2: Last three road starts for Ryan Ppo and the Timpa 146 00:06:54,120 --> 00:06:57,000 Speaker 2: Bay Rays. We'll keep it rolling here. Red Sox money 147 00:06:57,040 --> 00:06:59,599 Speaker 2: line is not expensive today. Let's just bet the streak 148 00:06:59,600 --> 00:07:02,200 Speaker 2: with Boston and to keep it going to win ten 149 00:07:02,279 --> 00:07:05,200 Speaker 2: in a row heading into the break Red Sox money 150 00:07:05,240 --> 00:07:09,440 Speaker 2: line at minus one sixteen for one point one six units. Okay, 151 00:07:09,480 --> 00:07:13,440 Speaker 2: I mentioned coming in with streaks. The Milwaukee Brewers are 152 00:07:13,560 --> 00:07:16,520 Speaker 2: red hot. They have won six games in a row. 153 00:07:16,720 --> 00:07:19,240 Speaker 2: They're fifty five and forty and they are one game 154 00:07:19,320 --> 00:07:24,360 Speaker 2: behind the Chicago Cubs in the NL Central standings. Look, 155 00:07:24,520 --> 00:07:26,920 Speaker 2: it's the Nationals. They've won the first two games of 156 00:07:26,920 --> 00:07:30,040 Speaker 2: this series eight three and six to five. We bet 157 00:07:30,080 --> 00:07:33,160 Speaker 2: the run line two games ago and it came in 158 00:07:33,200 --> 00:07:36,040 Speaker 2: for us. Freddy Peralta is going on the mound here 159 00:07:36,240 --> 00:07:39,280 Speaker 2: for the Milwaukee Brewers, Freddy Perlta. The team has won 160 00:07:39,480 --> 00:07:43,040 Speaker 2: five consecutive games with Freddy Peralta on the mound and 161 00:07:43,080 --> 00:07:46,680 Speaker 2: the team is five sorry, three and two on the 162 00:07:46,800 --> 00:07:49,240 Speaker 2: run line, but two and h three and oh sorry. 163 00:07:49,240 --> 00:07:52,200 Speaker 2: Over the last three starts on the run line nine 164 00:07:52,240 --> 00:07:56,040 Speaker 2: to one, seven to two, nine to three against the Pirates, 165 00:07:56,080 --> 00:07:58,320 Speaker 2: on the road against the Mets, and at home against 166 00:07:58,360 --> 00:08:02,239 Speaker 2: the Dodgers, he's given up zero earn runs, two earned 167 00:08:02,320 --> 00:08:06,360 Speaker 2: runs and three earn runs the last four starts for 168 00:08:06,480 --> 00:08:08,160 Speaker 2: him during this run. And if you go back to 169 00:08:08,200 --> 00:08:10,360 Speaker 2: Saint Louis a three to two win, he gave up 170 00:08:10,440 --> 00:08:13,640 Speaker 2: one earned run. Freddie Pelton has been really really good. 171 00:08:14,320 --> 00:08:17,280 Speaker 2: Run line is minus one ten. We're gonna go and 172 00:08:17,320 --> 00:08:19,040 Speaker 2: take it and take a shot at it. Maybe it's 173 00:08:19,040 --> 00:08:20,920 Speaker 2: a one run lead in that I want to one 174 00:08:21,080 --> 00:08:24,120 Speaker 2: run win and that burns us. But this has been 175 00:08:24,240 --> 00:08:27,280 Speaker 2: a very good team at home for the Milwaukee Brewers. 176 00:08:27,440 --> 00:08:29,680 Speaker 2: The Nationals are not a good team on the road. 177 00:08:29,680 --> 00:08:33,400 Speaker 2: They're twenty and twenty nine thirty two and seventeen Milwaukee. 178 00:08:33,520 --> 00:08:36,080 Speaker 2: They got one of their best pitchers going. Their offense 179 00:08:36,160 --> 00:08:38,440 Speaker 2: is Humming that scored six and eight runs in in 180 00:08:38,440 --> 00:08:40,800 Speaker 2: the first two games of this series. Sure, they gave 181 00:08:40,880 --> 00:08:43,679 Speaker 2: up five runs to the Nationals last night, but eight 182 00:08:43,760 --> 00:08:46,439 Speaker 2: three win in Game one. Let's get another eight to 183 00:08:46,480 --> 00:08:49,240 Speaker 2: three win here to go into the break for the Brewers. 184 00:08:49,360 --> 00:08:53,520 Speaker 2: Red hot run line not money line. Run line for 185 00:08:53,720 --> 00:08:58,040 Speaker 2: the Brewers at minus one ten one point one units. 186 00:08:57,720 --> 00:08:58,920 Speaker 1: Down on that, all right. 187 00:08:58,920 --> 00:09:01,000 Speaker 2: I normally give you guys the play props on the 188 00:09:01,080 --> 00:09:02,560 Speaker 2: betting pros app, but I'm not going to do that 189 00:09:02,559 --> 00:09:04,600 Speaker 2: obviously because of the limited time you guys will have 190 00:09:04,679 --> 00:09:06,880 Speaker 2: to bet this. But I want to go to Miami 191 00:09:06,920 --> 00:09:10,839 Speaker 2: in Baltimore and Uri Perez, who has been really good 192 00:09:11,040 --> 00:09:14,720 Speaker 2: his last two starts, one earn run and zero earned 193 00:09:14,800 --> 00:09:17,400 Speaker 2: runs given up the last two times that he hit 194 00:09:17,440 --> 00:09:20,240 Speaker 2: the bump. And I don't like Baltimore's offense right now. 195 00:09:20,320 --> 00:09:23,160 Speaker 2: They got shut out last night six nothing by Miami 196 00:09:23,520 --> 00:09:25,680 Speaker 2: and looking like a team that just wants to head 197 00:09:25,679 --> 00:09:28,559 Speaker 2: on out into the All Star break. Right now, Uri 198 00:09:28,600 --> 00:09:31,200 Speaker 2: Perez is two and two with a four ERA, but 199 00:09:31,559 --> 00:09:33,640 Speaker 2: on the road he's been a little bit rocky four 200 00:09:33,679 --> 00:09:36,439 Speaker 2: point nine to six one in one, but he's been 201 00:09:36,559 --> 00:09:39,840 Speaker 2: really really good late. Team is three to zero in 202 00:09:39,880 --> 00:09:43,320 Speaker 2: his last three starts. He's given up one zero in 203 00:09:43,480 --> 00:09:46,640 Speaker 2: three earned runs over his last three starts, a twelve 204 00:09:46,720 --> 00:09:49,079 Speaker 2: two win over Cincinnati on the road. His last road start, 205 00:09:49,240 --> 00:09:53,719 Speaker 2: five innings, one earned run. Let's duplicate that today Minnesota 206 00:09:53,800 --> 00:09:57,280 Speaker 2: for one win, six innings, no earn runs will take 207 00:09:57,320 --> 00:10:00,000 Speaker 2: that as well, Uri Perez. According to the prop Bitch 208 00:10:00,040 --> 00:10:03,200 Speaker 2: cheat sheet, this is a seventy six percent cover probability, 209 00:10:03,400 --> 00:10:05,920 Speaker 2: a twenty four percent expected value play, and a five 210 00:10:06,000 --> 00:10:08,560 Speaker 2: star play on top of that number is said at 211 00:10:08,559 --> 00:10:11,480 Speaker 2: two and a half earned runs for Uri Perez of 212 00:10:11,520 --> 00:10:14,480 Speaker 2: the Marlins, and we're going to go under Uri Perez 213 00:10:14,720 --> 00:10:17,280 Speaker 2: under two and a half. It's a little expensive at 214 00:10:17,280 --> 00:10:19,520 Speaker 2: minus one sixty, but when we're only going to bet 215 00:10:19,520 --> 00:10:22,000 Speaker 2: it to win a half a unit, okay, it's not 216 00:10:22,400 --> 00:10:24,360 Speaker 2: you know, you can bet full units if you want Okay, 217 00:10:24,559 --> 00:10:26,760 Speaker 2: that's perfectly fine if you want to bet full units, 218 00:10:26,880 --> 00:10:28,200 Speaker 2: but since we're only going to bet it for a 219 00:10:28,200 --> 00:10:30,600 Speaker 2: half a unit, I think it's okay to jump. 220 00:10:30,400 --> 00:10:30,840 Speaker 1: In on that. 221 00:10:30,960 --> 00:10:34,040 Speaker 2: With that at point eight units at minus one sixty 222 00:10:34,400 --> 00:10:37,319 Speaker 2: for Uri Perez under two and a half earned runs 223 00:10:37,559 --> 00:10:43,880 Speaker 2: today for the Marlins up against the Baltimore Orioles. Second play. 224 00:10:44,040 --> 00:10:45,960 Speaker 2: Going back to the prop bet cheat sheet, this is 225 00:10:45,960 --> 00:10:50,079 Speaker 2: a sixty four percent probability, a seventeen percent expected value, 226 00:10:50,120 --> 00:10:53,880 Speaker 2: and only a four star play. However, Hunter Brown's been awesome. 227 00:10:55,000 --> 00:10:56,840 Speaker 2: I love what he has done. He's coming off of 228 00:10:56,880 --> 00:11:00,320 Speaker 2: one of his worst outings of the first half, where 229 00:11:00,320 --> 00:11:03,520 Speaker 2: he gave up six earned runs to the Cleveland Guardians 230 00:11:03,640 --> 00:11:06,440 Speaker 2: in a ten to six loss, and the starts before 231 00:11:06,520 --> 00:11:10,000 Speaker 2: that he had given up two zero in one earned run. 232 00:11:10,320 --> 00:11:14,640 Speaker 2: He gave up two earned runs up against Minnesota. The 233 00:11:14,760 --> 00:11:17,520 Speaker 2: number when we set to two and a half, I 234 00:11:17,520 --> 00:11:19,040 Speaker 2: mean he just gave up six. 235 00:11:20,600 --> 00:11:22,280 Speaker 1: Look, he might be running out of gas. 236 00:11:22,520 --> 00:11:25,160 Speaker 2: He might be a tough, a little tired on this, 237 00:11:25,600 --> 00:11:28,319 Speaker 2: and the prop pitt chic sheet likes him to give 238 00:11:28,400 --> 00:11:31,160 Speaker 2: up two earned runs today. I said a sixty four 239 00:11:31,160 --> 00:11:34,360 Speaker 2: percent cover probability, even though it's a four star play. 240 00:11:34,920 --> 00:11:37,440 Speaker 2: I still like it. I think Hunter Brown is going 241 00:11:37,480 --> 00:11:41,120 Speaker 2: to give up, and he's up against a pretty good 242 00:11:41,200 --> 00:11:43,800 Speaker 2: I mean obviously a pretty good or not a very 243 00:11:43,800 --> 00:11:47,160 Speaker 2: good offense here in Texas, but I like it. I 244 00:11:47,240 --> 00:11:51,560 Speaker 2: like the Rangers to score two runs today. Again, these guys, 245 00:11:51,600 --> 00:11:53,680 Speaker 2: I don't really know where they're going to be. Are 246 00:11:53,679 --> 00:11:57,480 Speaker 2: we getting lockdown shutout performances? I mean, Houston is fifty 247 00:11:57,520 --> 00:12:01,400 Speaker 2: six and thirty nine currently the Races are twenty one 248 00:12:01,440 --> 00:12:03,920 Speaker 2: and thirty on the road. But a five to four 249 00:12:04,000 --> 00:12:06,280 Speaker 2: win last night after a seven to three win in 250 00:12:06,320 --> 00:12:09,440 Speaker 2: the first game for the Rangers, who scored I mean 251 00:12:09,440 --> 00:12:12,400 Speaker 2: that's four seven and four runs scored by the Rangers, 252 00:12:12,400 --> 00:12:14,760 Speaker 2: So their bats are a little hotter one of what 253 00:12:14,800 --> 00:12:15,720 Speaker 2: they have been here. 254 00:12:16,720 --> 00:12:18,040 Speaker 1: Get a two run home run. 255 00:12:17,880 --> 00:12:19,760 Speaker 2: And we go over here and two earned you know, 256 00:12:19,800 --> 00:12:21,640 Speaker 2: go in five innings, give you up two earned runs 257 00:12:21,880 --> 00:12:24,120 Speaker 2: is not a bad thing at all. We're gonna follow 258 00:12:24,120 --> 00:12:26,680 Speaker 2: the prop bet cheat sheet here, Hunter Brown over one 259 00:12:26,679 --> 00:12:29,040 Speaker 2: and a half earned runs at minus one twenty four 260 00:12:29,120 --> 00:12:32,480 Speaker 2: point six units. All right, So our plays for today 261 00:12:32,600 --> 00:12:36,240 Speaker 2: Red Sox money line minus one, sixteen Brewers run line 262 00:12:36,280 --> 00:12:39,000 Speaker 2: at mine one ten uri Perez under two and a 263 00:12:39,040 --> 00:12:42,000 Speaker 2: half earned runs and Hunter Brown over one and a 264 00:12:42,040 --> 00:12:45,080 Speaker 2: half earned runs for us Here on a Sunday. My 265 00:12:45,160 --> 00:12:46,840 Speaker 2: name is Matt Paroz. You guys can follow me across 266 00:12:46,840 --> 00:12:50,160 Speaker 2: all my socials at Sports Talk Matt every single morning, 267 00:12:50,559 --> 00:13:04,640 Speaker 2: sometimes late. It is the Daily Juice podcast