1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,160 Speaker 1: EU US trade talks are said to be heading in 2 00:00:02,200 --> 00:00:04,360 Speaker 1: the right direction after a meeting between the European Trade 3 00:00:04,360 --> 00:00:08,240 Speaker 1: Commissioner mars Chefsovich and the US Trade representative Jamerson Greer yesterday, 4 00:00:08,320 --> 00:00:10,760 Speaker 1: which Aftervich also warns that the EU was ready to 5 00:00:10,760 --> 00:00:14,200 Speaker 1: defend its interests and negotiations as time ticks down on 6 00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:16,960 Speaker 1: the pause on Donald Trump's tariffs. So how is the 7 00:00:17,040 --> 00:00:20,000 Speaker 1: up ending of transatlantic relations affecting the environment for foreign 8 00:00:20,040 --> 00:00:22,760 Speaker 1: direct investment in Europe? To discuss, we're joined in studio 9 00:00:22,800 --> 00:00:25,239 Speaker 1: by Michael Lowe and CEO of IDA Ireland, the Irish 10 00:00:25,280 --> 00:00:28,639 Speaker 1: government agency charged with attracting foreign investment. Michael, good morning, 11 00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:31,600 Speaker 1: Welcome to Bloomberg Radio. How much more difficult is your 12 00:00:31,680 --> 00:00:33,559 Speaker 1: job gotten since Donald Trump became president? 13 00:00:34,080 --> 00:00:36,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, So I think what you're correc Stephen, you've outlined 14 00:00:36,760 --> 00:00:39,800 Speaker 2: we are seeing a shift in terms of the geopolitical landscape, 15 00:00:40,120 --> 00:00:43,519 Speaker 2: the industrial landscape. But in essence we've actually been seen 16 00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:45,720 Speaker 2: the industrial policy shifting for the last. 17 00:00:45,600 --> 00:00:46,559 Speaker 3: Twenty four months. 18 00:00:46,920 --> 00:00:50,240 Speaker 2: You know, we had the European Chips Act in response 19 00:00:50,280 --> 00:00:52,840 Speaker 2: to the US Chips Act and the Inflation Reduction Act, 20 00:00:52,920 --> 00:00:56,000 Speaker 2: so we've seen a significant change in policy. What we've 21 00:00:56,000 --> 00:00:58,960 Speaker 2: seen in the last six months, particularly is I suppose 22 00:00:59,000 --> 00:01:02,240 Speaker 2: the movement from the US US administration from a tarist perspective. 23 00:01:02,280 --> 00:01:05,240 Speaker 2: So that's in some ways compounding and increasing that level 24 00:01:05,240 --> 00:01:06,040 Speaker 2: of change. 25 00:01:06,480 --> 00:01:08,319 Speaker 3: But it's also important. 26 00:01:07,920 --> 00:01:09,920 Speaker 2: To recognize as well as that, you know, as for 27 00:01:09,959 --> 00:01:13,840 Speaker 2: an FDI perspective, we continue to see FDI investments flow. 28 00:01:14,560 --> 00:01:17,080 Speaker 2: Companies you know, are international by their very nature, and 29 00:01:17,120 --> 00:01:19,840 Speaker 2: by that means by that means that they need international 30 00:01:19,880 --> 00:01:22,480 Speaker 2: markets and international presence, and we continue to see that 31 00:01:22,560 --> 00:01:26,040 Speaker 2: flow happening, albeit that some decisions are taking longer than 32 00:01:26,080 --> 00:01:27,080 Speaker 2: would have here before. 33 00:01:27,400 --> 00:01:30,959 Speaker 1: How much is the uncertainty affecting that our companies simply 34 00:01:31,040 --> 00:01:34,000 Speaker 1: holding off? Are they? Are they pausing conversations with your 35 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:35,200 Speaker 1: agency about investments? 36 00:01:35,280 --> 00:01:36,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, So I's two things. 37 00:01:37,040 --> 00:01:40,319 Speaker 2: Firstly, I think conversation actually is probably higher now. 38 00:01:40,319 --> 00:01:41,600 Speaker 3: Than it was in the past. 39 00:01:41,840 --> 00:01:44,120 Speaker 2: So I think the relationship and maybe that's where the 40 00:01:44,160 --> 00:01:46,800 Speaker 2: strength of an organization like IDA, where we have a 41 00:01:46,840 --> 00:01:49,720 Speaker 2: long standing relationship with our client companies, you know, So 42 00:01:50,120 --> 00:01:53,080 Speaker 2: that level of engagement, I would say is continues to 43 00:01:53,080 --> 00:01:55,200 Speaker 2: be high, and for us, that's critically important that we 44 00:01:55,240 --> 00:01:57,200 Speaker 2: stay close to our to our clients and to the 45 00:01:57,240 --> 00:02:00,600 Speaker 2: sectors to understand where their concerns are because you're X. Secondly, 46 00:02:00,760 --> 00:02:03,160 Speaker 2: there is has been and continues to be a level 47 00:02:03,160 --> 00:02:06,040 Speaker 2: of uncertainty, you know, and in some ways that uncertainty, 48 00:02:06,040 --> 00:02:08,360 Speaker 2: to my mind, was very much at its peak in 49 00:02:08,639 --> 00:02:12,280 Speaker 2: March April timeframe had possibly moved on as we started 50 00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:14,679 Speaker 2: to see maybe some movements around the tariffs and the 51 00:02:14,760 --> 00:02:17,960 Speaker 2: and the delays and negotiations, and I think we have 52 00:02:18,000 --> 00:02:20,400 Speaker 2: to continue on that trajectory. And from an Irish government 53 00:02:20,440 --> 00:02:23,880 Speaker 2: perspective and an idea perspective, we're very clear that we 54 00:02:24,000 --> 00:02:26,519 Speaker 2: have to continue those negotiations and that's why it's it's 55 00:02:26,520 --> 00:02:29,200 Speaker 2: heartwarming to hear the comments coming from Yester, the discussions 56 00:02:29,240 --> 00:02:32,000 Speaker 2: as you mentioned, and the fringes in Paris. You know 57 00:02:32,080 --> 00:02:35,480 Speaker 2: that we actually get Europe and the US to continue 58 00:02:35,520 --> 00:02:40,400 Speaker 2: to negotiate because the Europe and US relationship is so 59 00:02:40,440 --> 00:02:43,560 Speaker 2: important to the global trade. It's the largest global trade 60 00:02:43,560 --> 00:02:45,960 Speaker 2: in the world, and we need to find solutions, you know, 61 00:02:46,040 --> 00:02:48,280 Speaker 2: and a zero for zero tariff basis is really what 62 00:02:48,360 --> 00:02:50,520 Speaker 2: we're promoting at this point. 63 00:02:50,680 --> 00:02:52,440 Speaker 1: But the EU has also been taking a more as 64 00:02:52,840 --> 00:02:56,280 Speaker 1: a strident response to Donald Trump's tariff threats than for example, 65 00:02:56,560 --> 00:02:59,760 Speaker 1: the UK. Does that put Ireland at particular risk because 66 00:02:59,760 --> 00:03:02,400 Speaker 1: of it exposure in the major investment from US companies 67 00:03:02,440 --> 00:03:02,880 Speaker 1: in Ireland. 68 00:03:03,080 --> 00:03:05,280 Speaker 2: I don't believe it does, and I think it's appropriate 69 00:03:05,320 --> 00:03:06,760 Speaker 2: to do that. I think we have to plan, and 70 00:03:06,800 --> 00:03:09,360 Speaker 2: I think from an Ireland perspective and a European perspective, 71 00:03:09,639 --> 00:03:13,239 Speaker 2: our overarching focus is on negotiation and to get a 72 00:03:13,320 --> 00:03:16,360 Speaker 2: negotiated solution, but we also need to do scenario plans, 73 00:03:16,400 --> 00:03:18,280 Speaker 2: and I think in fairness to you know, at a 74 00:03:18,280 --> 00:03:20,680 Speaker 2: state level, at a European level, it's important we do 75 00:03:20,720 --> 00:03:23,720 Speaker 2: that so we can understand the consequences or not of 76 00:03:24,040 --> 00:03:26,480 Speaker 2: those decisions and we can prepare if that's what we 77 00:03:26,520 --> 00:03:26,840 Speaker 2: need to do. 78 00:03:26,919 --> 00:03:29,280 Speaker 3: But I would say it's even that it's important. 79 00:03:29,560 --> 00:03:32,919 Speaker 2: Like from a European perspective and an Ireland government perspective, 80 00:03:33,200 --> 00:03:36,200 Speaker 2: our fundamental principle is to negotiate, is to get a 81 00:03:36,240 --> 00:03:40,440 Speaker 2: position of mutual benefit. Because if we look at even 82 00:03:40,480 --> 00:03:43,680 Speaker 2: the FDI flows we talked about from Ireland to the US, 83 00:03:43,880 --> 00:03:47,280 Speaker 2: Ireland is the seventh largest investor in the US economy. 84 00:03:47,680 --> 00:03:51,520 Speaker 2: There are almost as many people employed in US companies sorry, 85 00:03:51,560 --> 00:03:53,560 Speaker 2: but Irish companies in the US as there are US 86 00:03:53,600 --> 00:03:54,400 Speaker 2: companies in Ireland. 87 00:03:54,600 --> 00:03:55,880 Speaker 3: So this is a bilateral. 88 00:03:55,920 --> 00:03:58,560 Speaker 2: It supports a two way flow on two where benefits 89 00:03:58,600 --> 00:03:59,560 Speaker 2: and we want to protect that. 90 00:04:00,160 --> 00:04:02,080 Speaker 1: The figure that Donald Trump has been paying attention to 91 00:04:02,240 --> 00:04:04,440 Speaker 1: is the trade deficit in goods, in particular when it 92 00:04:04,440 --> 00:04:07,600 Speaker 1: comes to biomedical and pharmaceutical. That's a very large figure 93 00:04:07,600 --> 00:04:10,080 Speaker 1: when it comes to Ireland. What's your reason of those 94 00:04:10,120 --> 00:04:13,480 Speaker 1: sectors we've been reporting, for example about pharmaceutical companies scaling 95 00:04:13,520 --> 00:04:15,520 Speaker 1: back on office leasing in Dublin. 96 00:04:15,720 --> 00:04:17,680 Speaker 3: What witness or what effects are you saying? 97 00:04:17,760 --> 00:04:22,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, so I think from a life sciences or pharmaceutical perspective, 98 00:04:22,160 --> 00:04:24,120 Speaker 2: we look at that in context, and you're correct that's 99 00:04:24,120 --> 00:04:26,200 Speaker 2: where the largest deficit is in the goods from an 100 00:04:26,200 --> 00:04:29,200 Speaker 2: Ireland US perspective. But also put in the context that 101 00:04:29,520 --> 00:04:32,279 Speaker 2: eighty percent of that deficit is actually an unfinished product, 102 00:04:32,279 --> 00:04:34,279 Speaker 2: so it's actually product that's come back to the US 103 00:04:34,440 --> 00:04:37,040 Speaker 2: where there's further value being added for completion for US 104 00:04:37,120 --> 00:04:41,240 Speaker 2: or international international markets. So it's actually a key component. Secondly, 105 00:04:41,480 --> 00:04:44,800 Speaker 2: the integrity and I think the complexity of global supply 106 00:04:44,920 --> 00:04:48,240 Speaker 2: chains is critically important for life sciences companies in terms 107 00:04:48,279 --> 00:04:50,599 Speaker 2: of making sure they have dual supply and sure they're 108 00:04:50,640 --> 00:04:54,080 Speaker 2: able to have support international markets, and I think that's 109 00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:57,960 Speaker 2: not going to change that. The strength of those supply 110 00:04:58,080 --> 00:05:00,640 Speaker 2: chains is so crearly important to that in industry that 111 00:05:00,720 --> 00:05:03,760 Speaker 2: we believe that will be maintained. Yes, it may well 112 00:05:03,800 --> 00:05:05,919 Speaker 2: be challenged in the short term, but long term, I 113 00:05:05,920 --> 00:05:07,880 Speaker 2: think that's going to be maintained. I think from an 114 00:05:07,880 --> 00:05:11,480 Speaker 2: Ireland perspective, we see investment continuing. Just this year we had, 115 00:05:11,480 --> 00:05:14,160 Speaker 2: for example, ge Healthcare announced just over one hundred and 116 00:05:14,200 --> 00:05:17,520 Speaker 2: twenty million investment in their existing facility in Ireland to 117 00:05:17,600 --> 00:05:19,279 Speaker 2: support international supply chain. 118 00:05:19,400 --> 00:05:21,080 Speaker 3: So investments continue, but. 119 00:05:21,160 --> 00:05:24,480 Speaker 2: You're correct, albeit levels of uncertainty leads to longer decision 120 00:05:24,520 --> 00:05:25,080 Speaker 2: time frames. 121 00:05:25,200 --> 00:05:27,839 Speaker 1: Is it life sciences that you're most worried about investment 122 00:05:27,920 --> 00:05:28,560 Speaker 1: drying up in? 123 00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:29,880 Speaker 3: Well? 124 00:05:30,040 --> 00:05:31,440 Speaker 2: To be honest, I think if you look at the 125 00:05:31,839 --> 00:05:33,840 Speaker 2: tariffs and where they're affected on goods, obviously that's the 126 00:05:33,920 --> 00:05:35,880 Speaker 2: highest persentage from an FDI. 127 00:05:35,800 --> 00:05:36,719 Speaker 3: Perspective in Ireland. 128 00:05:36,800 --> 00:05:39,400 Speaker 2: Obviously there's other sectors that would be our food industry 129 00:05:39,400 --> 00:05:41,120 Speaker 2: as well from an Ireland perspective we need to be 130 00:05:41,160 --> 00:05:44,400 Speaker 2: conscious of and our drinks industry as well. But from 131 00:05:44,440 --> 00:05:46,599 Speaker 2: an FDI perspective, that is the one you know, life 132 00:05:46,600 --> 00:05:50,280 Speaker 2: sciences and medical device both significant in terms of their 133 00:05:50,400 --> 00:05:53,719 Speaker 2: their physical presence in Ireland, the innovation that's happening in Ireland, 134 00:05:54,560 --> 00:05:56,680 Speaker 2: so we're very conscious of that. But we're also very 135 00:05:56,839 --> 00:05:59,720 Speaker 2: conscious and aware of the strengths that the Irish sites 136 00:05:59,760 --> 00:06:02,680 Speaker 2: bring to the global supply chain and the global delivery 137 00:06:02,680 --> 00:06:04,839 Speaker 2: as well. So we have lots of strength to bring 138 00:06:05,000 --> 00:06:05,839 Speaker 2: to that conversation. 139 00:06:06,080 --> 00:06:08,360 Speaker 1: Are there companies that are threatening to pull out that 140 00:06:08,400 --> 00:06:09,159 Speaker 1: you've been working with? 141 00:06:09,480 --> 00:06:10,320 Speaker 3: No, absolutely not. 142 00:06:10,560 --> 00:06:13,440 Speaker 2: And the reason I say that is like these companies 143 00:06:13,480 --> 00:06:16,440 Speaker 2: have invested in Ireland many for fifty sixty seventy years. 144 00:06:16,560 --> 00:06:19,760 Speaker 2: They are embedded in Ireland, they have strong innovation, and 145 00:06:19,800 --> 00:06:21,800 Speaker 2: they're serving global markets. And maybe just to put in 146 00:06:21,839 --> 00:06:23,719 Speaker 2: final context and that if you look at all of 147 00:06:23,720 --> 00:06:26,839 Speaker 2: the experts from FDI in Ireland, eighty five percent of 148 00:06:26,880 --> 00:06:30,440 Speaker 2: those experts exports of goods and services are outside of 149 00:06:30,440 --> 00:06:35,680 Speaker 2: North America serving international markets. So primarily serving outside North America. 150 00:06:35,800 --> 00:06:37,400 Speaker 2: I think that's a key component to remember. 151 00:06:37,400 --> 00:06:38,719 Speaker 1: I want to ask you as well, Ireland as a 152 00:06:38,760 --> 00:06:41,200 Speaker 1: new review mechanism for FDI that came into force at 153 00:06:41,240 --> 00:06:44,520 Speaker 1: the start of this year for sensitive investments from outside 154 00:06:44,560 --> 00:06:45,719 Speaker 1: the European Economic Area. 155 00:06:45,720 --> 00:06:48,080 Speaker 2: Has that been used yet, No, it's certainly just coming 156 00:06:48,120 --> 00:06:50,000 Speaker 2: into force at this juncture. So that's in terms of 157 00:06:50,040 --> 00:06:54,000 Speaker 2: project screening pretty much. It's focused from an FDI perspective. Yes, 158 00:06:54,040 --> 00:06:55,640 Speaker 2: we have to be conscious of it, but it's very 159 00:06:55,720 --> 00:06:59,680 Speaker 2: much about national infrastructure as supposed to maybe mobile investment projects, 160 00:06:59,720 --> 00:07:02,520 Speaker 2: which is it's probably somewhat different. So I don't think 161 00:07:02,520 --> 00:07:04,279 Speaker 2: it's going to have a major impact in terms of 162 00:07:04,320 --> 00:07:05,160 Speaker 2: our investor. 163 00:07:05,200 --> 00:07:07,159 Speaker 1: You're getting many questions about it from clients, not. 164 00:07:07,400 --> 00:07:09,600 Speaker 2: At this juncture, to be honest, it's it's pretty much 165 00:07:09,600 --> 00:07:13,080 Speaker 2: in its early in its early stages of implementation. But 166 00:07:13,400 --> 00:07:16,240 Speaker 2: I think as we go forward it possibly could become 167 00:07:16,240 --> 00:07:17,560 Speaker 2: more to the four. But as I said, I don't 168 00:07:17,600 --> 00:07:20,520 Speaker 2: see it as been particularly onerous from a from an 169 00:07:20,520 --> 00:07:21,320 Speaker 2: idea perspective,