Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's me Joey pit Joe Pisapia. Welcome
Speaker 1: back to Fantasy Pros MLB Channel, and today we're going
Speaker 1: to talk about the breakout players for twenty twenty three.
Speaker 1: I've got ten names for you. We are ready to
Speaker 1: take their stock from here all the way up to
Speaker 1: here and help you win some fantasy championships. But before
Speaker 1: we get to that, guess what, the Draft Wizard is back.
Speaker 1: That's right, the draft simulator over Fantasy Pros is back
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Speaker 1: mock draft on. All you gotta do is go to
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Speaker 1: in five minutes, or you could do one for three
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Speaker 1: the way and a little bit of business, it's time
Speaker 1: for a little fun. So let's talk about the top
Speaker 1: ten twenty twenty three breakouts courtesy of me Joey p.
Speaker 1: Number ten Nick Lidolo, starting pitcher for the Cincinnati Reds.
Speaker 1: Over his final thirteen starts, nick Lodolo really found himself
Speaker 1: and seventy seven eight things. He pitched to a two
Speaker 1: point nine to two ERA just twenty seven walks with
Speaker 1: ninety three ks. That's more than a three and a
Speaker 1: half to one strikeout to walk ratio practically, and that
Speaker 1: bodes very well for Nick Lodolo. Now, you'll say it's
Speaker 1: a tough ballpark to pitch into, which I'll say, well,
Speaker 1: you had a two eight five VRA at home last year.
Speaker 1: In fact, it's on the road where things did not
Speaker 1: work out well over a five VRA on the road
Speaker 1: that eventually will right itself. And he is only one
Speaker 1: of two pitchers outside of the top one hundred ADP.
Speaker 1: They're earmarked for over projected two hundred strikeouts and Nick
Speaker 1: Lodolo is one of them. You want to draft this
Speaker 1: guy this year, get him on your roster. Number nine,
Speaker 1: justin Steel Chicago Cubs starting pitcher. Now, it's been a
Speaker 1: while since the Chicago Cubs have really had a starting
Speaker 1: pitcher homegrown that we could really get excited about after
Speaker 1: eight years basically in the minor leagues. We are here
Speaker 1: with Justin Steele, who last year was four and seven
Speaker 1: but at a three to one eight erara over one
Speaker 1: hundred and nineteen innings. I saw him strike out one
Speaker 1: hundred and twenty six and walk just fifty. Now that's
Speaker 1: a nine and a half k per nine. That's a
Speaker 1: really good rate, more than a two and a half
Speaker 1: to one strikeout to walk ratio. That's what you're looking for. Now.
Speaker 1: The question with Steele is can he make the innings jump.
Speaker 1: One nineteen was a career high for him. The previous
Speaker 1: high was all the way back when he was twenty one,
Speaker 1: with ninety eight innings over that span. So now that
Speaker 1: he is healthy at one nineteen, can he make that
Speaker 1: jump to one fifty even one sixty. I think he can.
Speaker 1: And if he does, when you add in some of
Speaker 1: these new bats and some of this run support is
Speaker 1: going to get in Chicago, Justin Steele could be a
Speaker 1: very sneaky fantasy starting pitcher this year who might be
Speaker 1: ready to break out give you one hundred and fifty
Speaker 1: plus ks, maybe even give you ten wins if things
Speaker 1: break right. Number eight Vinnie pass Guentino, first basement of
Speaker 1: the Kansas City Royals. My Italian brother. Vinnie pas Guentino
Speaker 1: had a very good rookie debut, having an eight thirty
Speaker 1: two ops a one thirty seven WRC plus and establish
Speaker 1: himself as the cleanup hitter for the Kansas City Royals.
Speaker 1: That's a good spot for fantasy productivity. We both know
Speaker 1: that he also at two ninety five over those seventy
Speaker 1: two games for the Royals last year and over the
Speaker 1: minor league track record two hundred and forty six games,
Speaker 1: a two to ninety two batting average, three eighty two OBP,
Speaker 1: and a five to sixty nine slugging He also basically
Speaker 1: walked as much as he's struck out one thirty one
Speaker 1: to walk one forty three to the k You don't
Speaker 1: see that very often in young players. So this is
Speaker 1: a left handed bat that I think is going to
Speaker 1: perform well and outperforms ADP in twenty twenty three. Number
Speaker 1: seven Andres Munos, relief pitcher of the Seattle Mariners. Last year,
Speaker 1: he pitched you a two forty nine er over sixty
Speaker 1: five innings, striking out a whopping ninety six batters and
Speaker 1: walking just fifteen. That's a thirteen point three k per
Speaker 1: nine boys and girls. That is very exciting, and there's
Speaker 1: an opportunity for this twenty four year old to kind
Speaker 1: of be the next Edwin Diaz, who, let's not forget
Speaker 1: this is the same organization that bred Edwin Diaz. So
Speaker 1: Andres Munos at minimum is going to be in a
Speaker 1: elite set up guy. But he could take over this
Speaker 1: closer role with an injury or potentially with any sort
Speaker 1: of performance issues with Paul Seawall. So keep a close
Speaker 1: eye on this because Munos, if indeed he does become
Speaker 1: a closer anytime in the year even halfway, would become
Speaker 1: an enormous breakout candidate for twenty twenty three. Number six
Speaker 1: Corbyn Carol outfielder for the Arizona Diamondbacks. Corbin Carroll was
Speaker 1: ranked as the number three prospect by the MLB Pipeline
Speaker 1: when the d Backs promoted him to the bigs last
Speaker 1: year in August. In one hundred and three at bats
Speaker 1: for Arizona, he hit two sixty with a three thirty
Speaker 1: OVP and a five hundred slugging percentage, and he has
Speaker 1: elite level speed. I'm talking top shelf. We're talking the
Speaker 1: guys that you want on your rodo rosters. So if
Speaker 1: you're playing in that format, Corbyn Carroll is worth a
Speaker 1: little bit of an overpay. Coming into the year, He's
Speaker 1: going to have a clear path do with everyday job
Speaker 1: and a good chance he's the NL rookie of the
Speaker 1: Year in waiting. And Corbin Carroll's power. It's for real, folks.
Speaker 1: Just because he's a smaller player, do not discount the
Speaker 1: power of Corbyn Carroll. He had a five eighty eight
Speaker 1: slugging over one hundred and forty two minor league games. Well,
Speaker 1: come down to earth a little bit, yes, but he
Speaker 1: still got popping. When he add that to the speed,
Speaker 1: Corbyn Carroll could be an enormous breakout player in twenty
Speaker 1: twenty three. Number five Josh Young, third baseman, Texas Rangers.
Speaker 1: I was so excited for Josh Young last year and
Speaker 1: then then he got hurt. What a miserable set of circumstances.
Speaker 1: But that does not mean we forget, and instead we're
Speaker 1: going to start the high train all over again for
Speaker 1: Josh Young because he's coming into a lineup now that's
Speaker 1: got Marcus Simeon. That's got Corey Seeger, that's got players
Speaker 1: around him. Finally, oh yeah, and at a least Garcia two.
Speaker 1: And this guy can really hit. If you go look
Speaker 1: at the minor league section there for him, you're talking
Speaker 1: about a three hundred hitter in the minor leagues with
Speaker 1: a three eighty OBP and a five hundred slugging. That
Speaker 1: is an elite level type hitter. He just needs some
Speaker 1: time to grow at the major league level. And he
Speaker 1: is going to be the everyday third basement for the
Speaker 1: Texas Rangers, hitting a lineup that could be surprisingly good
Speaker 1: on a team it could be surprisingly competitive. I think
Speaker 1: there's a breakout here potentially. Four Josh Young in twenty
Speaker 1: twenty three, at age twenty five. This is a guy
Speaker 1: you'll want to draft. Number four. Ryan Mountcastle, outfielder for
Speaker 1: the Baltimore Orioles. Now, I know what you're gonna say, Joe,
Speaker 1: this guy's already kind of broken out. He's an established player.
Speaker 1: I think there's another gear though, in Ryan Mountcastle. He
Speaker 1: had thirty three home runs in twenty twenty one. Last
Speaker 1: year that dipped to twenty two home runs, and I
Speaker 1: know some adjustments to the ballpark, not necessarily the greatest thing. However,
Speaker 1: I think there's a version of Ryan Mauncastle we haven't
Speaker 1: seen yet where he brings that average back up. Because
Speaker 1: in the minor leagues this player was a two ninety
Speaker 1: five hitter. But check out these stats. He had an
Speaker 1: x LUG of five oh nine, which was the eighth
Speaker 1: best in the league last year. His two fifty batting
Speaker 1: average meh, but he had a two seventy seven expected
Speaker 1: batting average and the third biggest home run to X
Speaker 1: home run differential five point six. So we're talking about
Speaker 1: another gear potentially of this player with a higher batting
Speaker 1: average and maybe even some more power than we saw
Speaker 1: last year. Put it all together for a thirty five
Speaker 1: two to eighty season, I think he might. That would
Speaker 1: make Ryan Mountcastle a breakout star in twenty twenty three.
Speaker 1: Number three George Kirby, starting pitcher Seattle Mariners now last year,
Speaker 1: over twenty five starts in his rookie season, Kirby went
Speaker 1: eight and five with a nine k per nine and
Speaker 1: a three thirty nine ERA, but his FIP was even
Speaker 1: better at two point nine to nine, suggesting scary as
Speaker 1: it seems, George Kirby could even take another step forward
Speaker 1: this year. Some of the projections on him, you're looking
Speaker 1: at somewhere around one hundred and fifty to one hundred
Speaker 1: and sixty innings, and I think that is very reasonable
Speaker 1: for George Kirby this season. If you look at the
Speaker 1: minor league track record, he was dominant there. He had
Speaker 1: a one point zero seven whip over thirty games pitched
Speaker 1: in the minor leagues for the Seattle Mariners. This Mariner
Speaker 1: rotation could be very good here with Castillo at the
Speaker 1: top and then guys like Logan Gilbert and George Kirby.
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, and some guy named Robbie Ray. Two. George
Speaker 1: Kirby doesn't have any pressure on him out of that
Speaker 1: fourth spot, and I think this guy could be an
Speaker 1: absolute steal in drafts and an incredible breakout performer in
Speaker 1: twenty twenty three. Number two Andrew Vaughn, First Basement Chicago
Speaker 1: White Sox. Now, I've been waiting a long time for this.
Speaker 1: I've been a big fan of Andrew Vaughns ever since
Speaker 1: his college days, and now he's finally getting his starting role.
Speaker 1: With Jose Abreu gone to Houston, Andrew Vaughn is the
Speaker 1: everyday first basement. This is a guy that just had
Speaker 1: fifty seven games, just two hundred and fifty four plate
Speaker 1: appearances in the minor leagues. He's been learning on the
Speaker 1: job for the last two years. Cut him some slack.
Speaker 1: Last year he had two to seventy one with a
Speaker 1: seven to fifty ops, but he had seventeen homers and
Speaker 1: seventy six RBI. And I'm telling you this guy is ready.
Speaker 1: Now that he's back playing his everyday position as he
Speaker 1: should be, Andrew Vaughn is ready to take that next
Speaker 1: step forward. This is his age twenty five season. And
Speaker 1: Andrew Vaughn has the power, the plate, discipline, the total
Speaker 1: package to get it done. And I think he's going
Speaker 1: to be a breakout in twenty twenty three and the
Speaker 1: number one breakout for twenty twenty three Onneal Cruz short,
Speaker 1: it's not Pittsburgh Pirates. Now. Last year we were tough
Speaker 1: on Oneal Cruise because we didn't know when he was
Speaker 1: going to show up in the show and how he
Speaker 1: was going to react to the higher end pitching. Well,
Speaker 1: we were right. He did struggle early on and it
Speaker 1: did take him a while to get there. However, when
Speaker 1: the dust settled over eighty seven games, he did hit
Speaker 1: seventeen homers and steal ten paces. If he progresses the
Speaker 1: way we saw him down the stretch, it's well within
Speaker 1: reason to think this is a player that could reach
Speaker 1: the thirty homer twenty stolen based threshold in twenty twenty three.
Speaker 1: We'll see what the batting average gives us, but this
Speaker 1: is a player with big time potential despite the shortcomings
Speaker 1: in the lineup. With lineup protection, Cruise looks like a
Speaker 1: breakout star and a potential league winner in twenty twenty three.
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