WEBVTT - 10 Must-Have Breakout Players for Your Roster

0:00:00.960 --> 0:00:03.760
<v Speaker 1>What's up, everybody, It's me Joey pit Joe Pisapia. Welcome

0:00:03.800 --> 0:00:06.720
<v Speaker 1>back to Fantasy Pros MLB Channel, and today we're going

0:00:06.800 --> 0:00:09.680
<v Speaker 1>to talk about the breakout players for twenty twenty three.

0:00:09.720 --> 0:00:11.760
<v Speaker 1>I've got ten names for you. We are ready to

0:00:11.760 --> 0:00:13.960
<v Speaker 1>take their stock from here all the way up to

0:00:14.000 --> 0:00:16.600
<v Speaker 1>here and help you win some fantasy championships. But before

0:00:16.640 --> 0:00:19.880
<v Speaker 1>we get to that, guess what, the Draft Wizard is back.

0:00:19.960 --> 0:00:22.480
<v Speaker 1>That's right, the draft simulator over Fantasy Pros is back

0:00:22.520 --> 0:00:25.079
<v Speaker 1>and ready for action, ready for you to get your

0:00:25.160 --> 0:00:27.240
<v Speaker 1>mock draft on. All you gotta do is go to

0:00:27.240 --> 0:00:30.320
<v Speaker 1>fantasypros dot com slash Draft Wizard or go use the app.

0:00:30.480 --> 0:00:33.440
<v Speaker 1>The app is spectacular and get all the mock drafts

0:00:33.440 --> 0:00:35.280
<v Speaker 1>you could possibly handle. You can do a mock draft

0:00:35.280 --> 0:00:37.240
<v Speaker 1>in five minutes, or you could do one for three

0:00:37.240 --> 0:00:39.760
<v Speaker 1>hours and ignore your job in your family, which is

0:00:39.760 --> 0:00:41.960
<v Speaker 1>probably not a good idea. Don't do that, but get

0:00:42.000 --> 0:00:44.199
<v Speaker 1>some mock drafts going, get some practice in, and the

0:00:44.280 --> 0:00:46.800
<v Speaker 1>Draft Wizard is the place to do that. Again, Fantasypros

0:00:46.840 --> 0:00:49.760
<v Speaker 1>dot Com slash Draft Wizard. So with that out of

0:00:49.840 --> 0:00:51.880
<v Speaker 1>the way and a little bit of business, it's time

0:00:51.920 --> 0:00:54.120
<v Speaker 1>for a little fun. So let's talk about the top

0:00:54.200 --> 0:00:57.480
<v Speaker 1>ten twenty twenty three breakouts courtesy of me Joey p.

0:00:58.120 --> 0:01:01.560
<v Speaker 1>Number ten Nick Lidolo, starting pitcher for the Cincinnati Reds.

0:01:01.920 --> 0:01:05.080
<v Speaker 1>Over his final thirteen starts, nick Lodolo really found himself

0:01:05.080 --> 0:01:06.600
<v Speaker 1>and seventy seven eight things. He pitched to a two

0:01:06.640 --> 0:01:09.560
<v Speaker 1>point nine to two ERA just twenty seven walks with

0:01:09.680 --> 0:01:11.960
<v Speaker 1>ninety three ks. That's more than a three and a

0:01:12.000 --> 0:01:15.560
<v Speaker 1>half to one strikeout to walk ratio practically, and that

0:01:15.680 --> 0:01:19.119
<v Speaker 1>bodes very well for Nick Lodolo. Now, you'll say it's

0:01:19.120 --> 0:01:20.920
<v Speaker 1>a tough ballpark to pitch into, which I'll say, well,

0:01:20.920 --> 0:01:23.120
<v Speaker 1>you had a two eight five VRA at home last year.

0:01:23.120 --> 0:01:24.920
<v Speaker 1>In fact, it's on the road where things did not

0:01:24.959 --> 0:01:27.319
<v Speaker 1>work out well over a five VRA on the road

0:01:27.640 --> 0:01:30.640
<v Speaker 1>that eventually will right itself. And he is only one

0:01:30.680 --> 0:01:33.440
<v Speaker 1>of two pitchers outside of the top one hundred ADP.

0:01:33.600 --> 0:01:37.119
<v Speaker 1>They're earmarked for over projected two hundred strikeouts and Nick

0:01:37.200 --> 0:01:39.080
<v Speaker 1>Lodolo is one of them. You want to draft this

0:01:39.120 --> 0:01:42.800
<v Speaker 1>guy this year, get him on your roster. Number nine,

0:01:43.200 --> 0:01:46.679
<v Speaker 1>justin Steel Chicago Cubs starting pitcher. Now, it's been a

0:01:46.720 --> 0:01:49.240
<v Speaker 1>while since the Chicago Cubs have really had a starting

0:01:49.280 --> 0:01:51.960
<v Speaker 1>pitcher homegrown that we could really get excited about after

0:01:52.000 --> 0:01:54.200
<v Speaker 1>eight years basically in the minor leagues. We are here

0:01:54.640 --> 0:01:57.800
<v Speaker 1>with Justin Steele, who last year was four and seven

0:01:57.840 --> 0:02:00.280
<v Speaker 1>but at a three to one eight erara over one

0:02:00.320 --> 0:02:02.200
<v Speaker 1>hundred and nineteen innings. I saw him strike out one

0:02:02.240 --> 0:02:05.080
<v Speaker 1>hundred and twenty six and walk just fifty. Now that's

0:02:05.120 --> 0:02:06.960
<v Speaker 1>a nine and a half k per nine. That's a

0:02:07.000 --> 0:02:08.799
<v Speaker 1>really good rate, more than a two and a half

0:02:09.000 --> 0:02:12.400
<v Speaker 1>to one strikeout to walk ratio. That's what you're looking for. Now.

0:02:12.440 --> 0:02:14.840
<v Speaker 1>The question with Steele is can he make the innings jump.

0:02:15.120 --> 0:02:17.800
<v Speaker 1>One nineteen was a career high for him. The previous

0:02:17.880 --> 0:02:19.760
<v Speaker 1>high was all the way back when he was twenty one,

0:02:20.080 --> 0:02:23.520
<v Speaker 1>with ninety eight innings over that span. So now that

0:02:23.600 --> 0:02:26.120
<v Speaker 1>he is healthy at one nineteen, can he make that

0:02:26.200 --> 0:02:29.000
<v Speaker 1>jump to one fifty even one sixty. I think he can.

0:02:29.360 --> 0:02:31.480
<v Speaker 1>And if he does, when you add in some of

0:02:31.520 --> 0:02:33.440
<v Speaker 1>these new bats and some of this run support is

0:02:33.480 --> 0:02:36.640
<v Speaker 1>going to get in Chicago, Justin Steele could be a

0:02:36.840 --> 0:02:40.160
<v Speaker 1>very sneaky fantasy starting pitcher this year who might be

0:02:40.240 --> 0:02:42.200
<v Speaker 1>ready to break out give you one hundred and fifty

0:02:42.200 --> 0:02:44.960
<v Speaker 1>plus ks, maybe even give you ten wins if things

0:02:45.000 --> 0:02:49.440
<v Speaker 1>break right. Number eight Vinnie pass Guentino, first basement of

0:02:49.480 --> 0:02:53.200
<v Speaker 1>the Kansas City Royals. My Italian brother. Vinnie pas Guentino

0:02:53.240 --> 0:02:56.160
<v Speaker 1>had a very good rookie debut, having an eight thirty

0:02:56.160 --> 0:02:59.440
<v Speaker 1>two ops a one thirty seven WRC plus and establish

0:02:59.480 --> 0:03:02.519
<v Speaker 1>himself as the cleanup hitter for the Kansas City Royals.

0:03:02.520 --> 0:03:05.440
<v Speaker 1>That's a good spot for fantasy productivity. We both know

0:03:05.520 --> 0:03:08.200
<v Speaker 1>that he also at two ninety five over those seventy

0:03:08.200 --> 0:03:10.520
<v Speaker 1>two games for the Royals last year and over the

0:03:10.520 --> 0:03:13.240
<v Speaker 1>minor league track record two hundred and forty six games,

0:03:13.240 --> 0:03:15.560
<v Speaker 1>a two to ninety two batting average, three eighty two OBP,

0:03:15.680 --> 0:03:17.880
<v Speaker 1>and a five to sixty nine slugging He also basically

0:03:17.919 --> 0:03:20.280
<v Speaker 1>walked as much as he's struck out one thirty one

0:03:20.480 --> 0:03:22.720
<v Speaker 1>to walk one forty three to the k You don't

0:03:22.760 --> 0:03:24.800
<v Speaker 1>see that very often in young players. So this is

0:03:24.800 --> 0:03:26.400
<v Speaker 1>a left handed bat that I think is going to

0:03:26.440 --> 0:03:31.160
<v Speaker 1>perform well and outperforms ADP in twenty twenty three. Number

0:03:31.280 --> 0:03:36.320
<v Speaker 1>seven Andres Munos, relief pitcher of the Seattle Mariners. Last year,

0:03:36.400 --> 0:03:39.480
<v Speaker 1>he pitched you a two forty nine er over sixty

0:03:39.480 --> 0:03:43.280
<v Speaker 1>five innings, striking out a whopping ninety six batters and

0:03:43.400 --> 0:03:46.280
<v Speaker 1>walking just fifteen. That's a thirteen point three k per

0:03:46.360 --> 0:03:49.000
<v Speaker 1>nine boys and girls. That is very exciting, and there's

0:03:49.000 --> 0:03:50.800
<v Speaker 1>an opportunity for this twenty four year old to kind

0:03:50.840 --> 0:03:53.720
<v Speaker 1>of be the next Edwin Diaz, who, let's not forget

0:03:53.760 --> 0:03:56.640
<v Speaker 1>this is the same organization that bred Edwin Diaz. So

0:03:57.000 --> 0:03:59.840
<v Speaker 1>Andres Munos at minimum is going to be in a

0:04:00.000 --> 0:04:03.320
<v Speaker 1>elite set up guy. But he could take over this

0:04:03.400 --> 0:04:07.600
<v Speaker 1>closer role with an injury or potentially with any sort

0:04:07.600 --> 0:04:10.120
<v Speaker 1>of performance issues with Paul Seawall. So keep a close

0:04:10.200 --> 0:04:13.040
<v Speaker 1>eye on this because Munos, if indeed he does become

0:04:13.040 --> 0:04:16.560
<v Speaker 1>a closer anytime in the year even halfway, would become

0:04:16.600 --> 0:04:20.840
<v Speaker 1>an enormous breakout candidate for twenty twenty three. Number six

0:04:21.000 --> 0:04:24.960
<v Speaker 1>Corbyn Carol outfielder for the Arizona Diamondbacks. Corbin Carroll was

0:04:25.000 --> 0:04:28.040
<v Speaker 1>ranked as the number three prospect by the MLB Pipeline

0:04:28.160 --> 0:04:30.120
<v Speaker 1>when the d Backs promoted him to the bigs last

0:04:30.200 --> 0:04:32.520
<v Speaker 1>year in August. In one hundred and three at bats

0:04:32.520 --> 0:04:34.680
<v Speaker 1>for Arizona, he hit two sixty with a three thirty

0:04:34.680 --> 0:04:38.039
<v Speaker 1>OVP and a five hundred slugging percentage, and he has

0:04:38.160 --> 0:04:41.440
<v Speaker 1>elite level speed. I'm talking top shelf. We're talking the

0:04:41.520 --> 0:04:44.680
<v Speaker 1>guys that you want on your rodo rosters. So if

0:04:44.720 --> 0:04:46.800
<v Speaker 1>you're playing in that format, Corbyn Carroll is worth a

0:04:46.880 --> 0:04:49.240
<v Speaker 1>little bit of an overpay. Coming into the year, He's

0:04:49.279 --> 0:04:51.119
<v Speaker 1>going to have a clear path do with everyday job

0:04:51.200 --> 0:04:53.760
<v Speaker 1>and a good chance he's the NL rookie of the

0:04:53.839 --> 0:04:57.360
<v Speaker 1>Year in waiting. And Corbin Carroll's power. It's for real, folks.

0:04:57.600 --> 0:05:00.360
<v Speaker 1>Just because he's a smaller player, do not discount the

0:05:00.400 --> 0:05:03.560
<v Speaker 1>power of Corbyn Carroll. He had a five eighty eight

0:05:03.640 --> 0:05:06.880
<v Speaker 1>slugging over one hundred and forty two minor league games. Well,

0:05:07.000 --> 0:05:08.840
<v Speaker 1>come down to earth a little bit, yes, but he

0:05:08.960 --> 0:05:10.800
<v Speaker 1>still got popping. When he add that to the speed,

0:05:11.200 --> 0:05:14.479
<v Speaker 1>Corbyn Carroll could be an enormous breakout player in twenty

0:05:14.520 --> 0:05:19.919
<v Speaker 1>twenty three. Number five Josh Young, third baseman, Texas Rangers.

0:05:19.960 --> 0:05:22.240
<v Speaker 1>I was so excited for Josh Young last year and

0:05:22.279 --> 0:05:26.400
<v Speaker 1>then then he got hurt. What a miserable set of circumstances.

0:05:26.400 --> 0:05:29.200
<v Speaker 1>But that does not mean we forget, and instead we're

0:05:29.240 --> 0:05:31.400
<v Speaker 1>going to start the high train all over again for

0:05:31.480 --> 0:05:33.800
<v Speaker 1>Josh Young because he's coming into a lineup now that's

0:05:33.839 --> 0:05:37.520
<v Speaker 1>got Marcus Simeon. That's got Corey Seeger, that's got players

0:05:37.640 --> 0:05:41.039
<v Speaker 1>around him. Finally, oh yeah, and at a least Garcia two.

0:05:41.560 --> 0:05:43.360
<v Speaker 1>And this guy can really hit. If you go look

0:05:43.360 --> 0:05:45.520
<v Speaker 1>at the minor league section there for him, you're talking

0:05:45.520 --> 0:05:47.200
<v Speaker 1>about a three hundred hitter in the minor leagues with

0:05:47.240 --> 0:05:49.400
<v Speaker 1>a three eighty OBP and a five hundred slugging. That

0:05:49.480 --> 0:05:52.400
<v Speaker 1>is an elite level type hitter. He just needs some

0:05:52.480 --> 0:05:54.479
<v Speaker 1>time to grow at the major league level. And he

0:05:54.600 --> 0:05:56.440
<v Speaker 1>is going to be the everyday third basement for the

0:05:56.520 --> 0:05:59.640
<v Speaker 1>Texas Rangers, hitting a lineup that could be surprisingly good

0:05:59.720 --> 0:06:03.440
<v Speaker 1>on a team it could be surprisingly competitive. I think

0:06:03.480 --> 0:06:06.599
<v Speaker 1>there's a breakout here potentially. Four Josh Young in twenty

0:06:06.600 --> 0:06:09.640
<v Speaker 1>twenty three, at age twenty five. This is a guy

0:06:09.720 --> 0:06:13.960
<v Speaker 1>you'll want to draft. Number four. Ryan Mountcastle, outfielder for

0:06:14.040 --> 0:06:16.920
<v Speaker 1>the Baltimore Orioles. Now, I know what you're gonna say, Joe,

0:06:17.000 --> 0:06:19.440
<v Speaker 1>this guy's already kind of broken out. He's an established player.

0:06:20.000 --> 0:06:22.359
<v Speaker 1>I think there's another gear though, in Ryan Mountcastle. He

0:06:22.360 --> 0:06:24.960
<v Speaker 1>had thirty three home runs in twenty twenty one. Last

0:06:25.040 --> 0:06:27.080
<v Speaker 1>year that dipped to twenty two home runs, and I

0:06:27.120 --> 0:06:31.040
<v Speaker 1>know some adjustments to the ballpark, not necessarily the greatest thing. However,

0:06:31.400 --> 0:06:33.360
<v Speaker 1>I think there's a version of Ryan Mauncastle we haven't

0:06:33.360 --> 0:06:36.239
<v Speaker 1>seen yet where he brings that average back up. Because

0:06:36.240 --> 0:06:38.560
<v Speaker 1>in the minor leagues this player was a two ninety

0:06:38.600 --> 0:06:41.040
<v Speaker 1>five hitter. But check out these stats. He had an

0:06:41.160 --> 0:06:43.000
<v Speaker 1>x LUG of five oh nine, which was the eighth

0:06:43.080 --> 0:06:45.279
<v Speaker 1>best in the league last year. His two fifty batting

0:06:45.320 --> 0:06:47.960
<v Speaker 1>average meh, but he had a two seventy seven expected

0:06:48.000 --> 0:06:51.000
<v Speaker 1>batting average and the third biggest home run to X

0:06:51.040 --> 0:06:54.039
<v Speaker 1>home run differential five point six. So we're talking about

0:06:54.080 --> 0:06:56.760
<v Speaker 1>another gear potentially of this player with a higher batting

0:06:56.760 --> 0:06:58.880
<v Speaker 1>average and maybe even some more power than we saw

0:06:58.960 --> 0:07:01.559
<v Speaker 1>last year. Put it all together for a thirty five

0:07:01.720 --> 0:07:04.240
<v Speaker 1>two to eighty season, I think he might. That would

0:07:04.279 --> 0:07:08.200
<v Speaker 1>make Ryan Mountcastle a breakout star in twenty twenty three.

0:07:08.720 --> 0:07:13.160
<v Speaker 1>Number three George Kirby, starting pitcher Seattle Mariners now last year,

0:07:13.240 --> 0:07:16.560
<v Speaker 1>over twenty five starts in his rookie season, Kirby went

0:07:16.640 --> 0:07:19.840
<v Speaker 1>eight and five with a nine k per nine and

0:07:19.960 --> 0:07:22.440
<v Speaker 1>a three thirty nine ERA, but his FIP was even

0:07:22.480 --> 0:07:26.040
<v Speaker 1>better at two point nine to nine, suggesting scary as

0:07:26.040 --> 0:07:29.120
<v Speaker 1>it seems, George Kirby could even take another step forward

0:07:29.240 --> 0:07:31.600
<v Speaker 1>this year. Some of the projections on him, you're looking

0:07:31.640 --> 0:07:33.480
<v Speaker 1>at somewhere around one hundred and fifty to one hundred

0:07:33.480 --> 0:07:35.800
<v Speaker 1>and sixty innings, and I think that is very reasonable

0:07:36.040 --> 0:07:38.080
<v Speaker 1>for George Kirby this season. If you look at the

0:07:38.120 --> 0:07:40.840
<v Speaker 1>minor league track record, he was dominant there. He had

0:07:40.840 --> 0:07:45.640
<v Speaker 1>a one point zero seven whip over thirty games pitched

0:07:45.720 --> 0:07:48.560
<v Speaker 1>in the minor leagues for the Seattle Mariners. This Mariner

0:07:48.640 --> 0:07:51.880
<v Speaker 1>rotation could be very good here with Castillo at the

0:07:51.920 --> 0:07:55.120
<v Speaker 1>top and then guys like Logan Gilbert and George Kirby.

0:07:55.320 --> 0:07:57.920
<v Speaker 1>Oh yeah, and some guy named Robbie Ray. Two. George

0:07:57.960 --> 0:08:00.520
<v Speaker 1>Kirby doesn't have any pressure on him out of that

0:08:00.520 --> 0:08:02.240
<v Speaker 1>fourth spot, and I think this guy could be an

0:08:02.280 --> 0:08:06.320
<v Speaker 1>absolute steal in drafts and an incredible breakout performer in

0:08:06.360 --> 0:08:11.000
<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty three. Number two Andrew Vaughn, First Basement Chicago

0:08:11.000 --> 0:08:13.160
<v Speaker 1>White Sox. Now, I've been waiting a long time for this.

0:08:13.440 --> 0:08:15.400
<v Speaker 1>I've been a big fan of Andrew Vaughns ever since

0:08:15.400 --> 0:08:18.880
<v Speaker 1>his college days, and now he's finally getting his starting role.

0:08:18.920 --> 0:08:21.840
<v Speaker 1>With Jose Abreu gone to Houston, Andrew Vaughn is the

0:08:21.880 --> 0:08:24.600
<v Speaker 1>everyday first basement. This is a guy that just had

0:08:24.680 --> 0:08:27.080
<v Speaker 1>fifty seven games, just two hundred and fifty four plate

0:08:27.120 --> 0:08:30.520
<v Speaker 1>appearances in the minor leagues. He's been learning on the

0:08:30.600 --> 0:08:32.960
<v Speaker 1>job for the last two years. Cut him some slack.

0:08:33.200 --> 0:08:34.559
<v Speaker 1>Last year he had two to seventy one with a

0:08:34.600 --> 0:08:37.200
<v Speaker 1>seven to fifty ops, but he had seventeen homers and

0:08:37.360 --> 0:08:40.480
<v Speaker 1>seventy six RBI. And I'm telling you this guy is ready.

0:08:40.520 --> 0:08:43.280
<v Speaker 1>Now that he's back playing his everyday position as he

0:08:43.320 --> 0:08:45.880
<v Speaker 1>should be, Andrew Vaughn is ready to take that next

0:08:45.880 --> 0:08:48.360
<v Speaker 1>step forward. This is his age twenty five season. And

0:08:48.360 --> 0:08:51.560
<v Speaker 1>Andrew Vaughn has the power, the plate, discipline, the total

0:08:51.600 --> 0:08:53.839
<v Speaker 1>package to get it done. And I think he's going

0:08:53.880 --> 0:08:56.719
<v Speaker 1>to be a breakout in twenty twenty three and the

0:08:56.800 --> 0:08:59.920
<v Speaker 1>number one breakout for twenty twenty three Onneal Cruz short,

0:09:00.000 --> 0:09:02.760
<v Speaker 1>it's not Pittsburgh Pirates. Now. Last year we were tough

0:09:02.800 --> 0:09:04.920
<v Speaker 1>on Oneal Cruise because we didn't know when he was

0:09:04.960 --> 0:09:07.480
<v Speaker 1>going to show up in the show and how he

0:09:07.559 --> 0:09:11.480
<v Speaker 1>was going to react to the higher end pitching. Well,

0:09:11.720 --> 0:09:13.800
<v Speaker 1>we were right. He did struggle early on and it

0:09:13.840 --> 0:09:15.959
<v Speaker 1>did take him a while to get there. However, when

0:09:15.960 --> 0:09:18.040
<v Speaker 1>the dust settled over eighty seven games, he did hit

0:09:18.080 --> 0:09:21.360
<v Speaker 1>seventeen homers and steal ten paces. If he progresses the

0:09:21.360 --> 0:09:23.840
<v Speaker 1>way we saw him down the stretch, it's well within

0:09:23.880 --> 0:09:25.720
<v Speaker 1>reason to think this is a player that could reach

0:09:25.760 --> 0:09:29.720
<v Speaker 1>the thirty homer twenty stolen based threshold in twenty twenty three.

0:09:30.240 --> 0:09:32.240
<v Speaker 1>We'll see what the batting average gives us, but this

0:09:32.360 --> 0:09:36.199
<v Speaker 1>is a player with big time potential despite the shortcomings

0:09:36.240 --> 0:09:38.960
<v Speaker 1>in the lineup. With lineup protection, Cruise looks like a

0:09:39.000 --> 0:09:42.840
<v Speaker 1>breakout star and a potential league winner in twenty twenty three.

0:09:43.280 --> 0:09:46.920
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Baseball podcast. Follow

0:09:47.040 --> 0:09:50.600
<v Speaker 1>us on Twitter at Fantasy Pros MLB, and subscribe to

0:09:50.640 --> 0:09:54.560
<v Speaker 1>our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Fantasy Pros MLB.