1 00:00:00,960 --> 00:00:03,760 Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's me Joey pit Joe Pisapia. Welcome 2 00:00:03,800 --> 00:00:06,720 Speaker 1: back to Fantasy Pros MLB Channel, and today we're going 3 00:00:06,800 --> 00:00:09,680 Speaker 1: to talk about the breakout players for twenty twenty three. 4 00:00:09,720 --> 00:00:11,760 Speaker 1: I've got ten names for you. We are ready to 5 00:00:11,760 --> 00:00:13,960 Speaker 1: take their stock from here all the way up to 6 00:00:14,000 --> 00:00:16,600 Speaker 1: here and help you win some fantasy championships. But before 7 00:00:16,640 --> 00:00:19,880 Speaker 1: we get to that, guess what, the Draft Wizard is back. 8 00:00:19,960 --> 00:00:22,480 Speaker 1: That's right, the draft simulator over Fantasy Pros is back 9 00:00:22,520 --> 00:00:25,079 Speaker 1: and ready for action, ready for you to get your 10 00:00:25,160 --> 00:00:27,240 Speaker 1: mock draft on. All you gotta do is go to 11 00:00:27,240 --> 00:00:30,320 Speaker 1: fantasypros dot com slash Draft Wizard or go use the app. 12 00:00:30,480 --> 00:00:33,440 Speaker 1: The app is spectacular and get all the mock drafts 13 00:00:33,440 --> 00:00:35,280 Speaker 1: you could possibly handle. You can do a mock draft 14 00:00:35,280 --> 00:00:37,240 Speaker 1: in five minutes, or you could do one for three 15 00:00:37,240 --> 00:00:39,760 Speaker 1: hours and ignore your job in your family, which is 16 00:00:39,760 --> 00:00:41,960 Speaker 1: probably not a good idea. Don't do that, but get 17 00:00:42,000 --> 00:00:44,199 Speaker 1: some mock drafts going, get some practice in, and the 18 00:00:44,280 --> 00:00:46,800 Speaker 1: Draft Wizard is the place to do that. Again, Fantasypros 19 00:00:46,840 --> 00:00:49,760 Speaker 1: dot Com slash Draft Wizard. So with that out of 20 00:00:49,840 --> 00:00:51,880 Speaker 1: the way and a little bit of business, it's time 21 00:00:51,920 --> 00:00:54,120 Speaker 1: for a little fun. So let's talk about the top 22 00:00:54,200 --> 00:00:57,480 Speaker 1: ten twenty twenty three breakouts courtesy of me Joey p. 23 00:00:58,120 --> 00:01:01,560 Speaker 1: Number ten Nick Lidolo, starting pitcher for the Cincinnati Reds. 24 00:01:01,920 --> 00:01:05,080 Speaker 1: Over his final thirteen starts, nick Lodolo really found himself 25 00:01:05,080 --> 00:01:06,600 Speaker 1: and seventy seven eight things. He pitched to a two 26 00:01:06,640 --> 00:01:09,560 Speaker 1: point nine to two ERA just twenty seven walks with 27 00:01:09,680 --> 00:01:11,960 Speaker 1: ninety three ks. That's more than a three and a 28 00:01:12,000 --> 00:01:15,560 Speaker 1: half to one strikeout to walk ratio practically, and that 29 00:01:15,680 --> 00:01:19,119 Speaker 1: bodes very well for Nick Lodolo. Now, you'll say it's 30 00:01:19,120 --> 00:01:20,920 Speaker 1: a tough ballpark to pitch into, which I'll say, well, 31 00:01:20,920 --> 00:01:23,120 Speaker 1: you had a two eight five VRA at home last year. 32 00:01:23,120 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 1: In fact, it's on the road where things did not 33 00:01:24,959 --> 00:01:27,319 Speaker 1: work out well over a five VRA on the road 34 00:01:27,640 --> 00:01:30,640 Speaker 1: that eventually will right itself. And he is only one 35 00:01:30,680 --> 00:01:33,440 Speaker 1: of two pitchers outside of the top one hundred ADP. 36 00:01:33,600 --> 00:01:37,119 Speaker 1: They're earmarked for over projected two hundred strikeouts and Nick 37 00:01:37,200 --> 00:01:39,080 Speaker 1: Lodolo is one of them. You want to draft this 38 00:01:39,120 --> 00:01:42,800 Speaker 1: guy this year, get him on your roster. Number nine, 39 00:01:43,200 --> 00:01:46,679 Speaker 1: justin Steel Chicago Cubs starting pitcher. Now, it's been a 40 00:01:46,720 --> 00:01:49,240 Speaker 1: while since the Chicago Cubs have really had a starting 41 00:01:49,280 --> 00:01:51,960 Speaker 1: pitcher homegrown that we could really get excited about after 42 00:01:52,000 --> 00:01:54,200 Speaker 1: eight years basically in the minor leagues. We are here 43 00:01:54,640 --> 00:01:57,800 Speaker 1: with Justin Steele, who last year was four and seven 44 00:01:57,840 --> 00:02:00,280 Speaker 1: but at a three to one eight erara over one 45 00:02:00,320 --> 00:02:02,200 Speaker 1: hundred and nineteen innings. I saw him strike out one 46 00:02:02,240 --> 00:02:05,080 Speaker 1: hundred and twenty six and walk just fifty. Now that's 47 00:02:05,120 --> 00:02:06,960 Speaker 1: a nine and a half k per nine. That's a 48 00:02:07,000 --> 00:02:08,799 Speaker 1: really good rate, more than a two and a half 49 00:02:09,000 --> 00:02:12,400 Speaker 1: to one strikeout to walk ratio. That's what you're looking for. Now. 50 00:02:12,440 --> 00:02:14,840 Speaker 1: The question with Steele is can he make the innings jump. 51 00:02:15,120 --> 00:02:17,800 Speaker 1: One nineteen was a career high for him. The previous 52 00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:19,760 Speaker 1: high was all the way back when he was twenty one, 53 00:02:20,080 --> 00:02:23,520 Speaker 1: with ninety eight innings over that span. So now that 54 00:02:23,600 --> 00:02:26,120 Speaker 1: he is healthy at one nineteen, can he make that 55 00:02:26,200 --> 00:02:29,000 Speaker 1: jump to one fifty even one sixty. I think he can. 56 00:02:29,360 --> 00:02:31,480 Speaker 1: And if he does, when you add in some of 57 00:02:31,520 --> 00:02:33,440 Speaker 1: these new bats and some of this run support is 58 00:02:33,480 --> 00:02:36,640 Speaker 1: going to get in Chicago, Justin Steele could be a 59 00:02:36,840 --> 00:02:40,160 Speaker 1: very sneaky fantasy starting pitcher this year who might be 60 00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:42,200 Speaker 1: ready to break out give you one hundred and fifty 61 00:02:42,200 --> 00:02:44,960 Speaker 1: plus ks, maybe even give you ten wins if things 62 00:02:45,000 --> 00:02:49,440 Speaker 1: break right. Number eight Vinnie pass Guentino, first basement of 63 00:02:49,480 --> 00:02:53,200 Speaker 1: the Kansas City Royals. My Italian brother. Vinnie pas Guentino 64 00:02:53,240 --> 00:02:56,160 Speaker 1: had a very good rookie debut, having an eight thirty 65 00:02:56,160 --> 00:02:59,440 Speaker 1: two ops a one thirty seven WRC plus and establish 66 00:02:59,480 --> 00:03:02,519 Speaker 1: himself as the cleanup hitter for the Kansas City Royals. 67 00:03:02,520 --> 00:03:05,440 Speaker 1: That's a good spot for fantasy productivity. We both know 68 00:03:05,520 --> 00:03:08,200 Speaker 1: that he also at two ninety five over those seventy 69 00:03:08,200 --> 00:03:10,520 Speaker 1: two games for the Royals last year and over the 70 00:03:10,520 --> 00:03:13,240 Speaker 1: minor league track record two hundred and forty six games, 71 00:03:13,240 --> 00:03:15,560 Speaker 1: a two to ninety two batting average, three eighty two OBP, 72 00:03:15,680 --> 00:03:17,880 Speaker 1: and a five to sixty nine slugging He also basically 73 00:03:17,919 --> 00:03:20,280 Speaker 1: walked as much as he's struck out one thirty one 74 00:03:20,480 --> 00:03:22,720 Speaker 1: to walk one forty three to the k You don't 75 00:03:22,760 --> 00:03:24,800 Speaker 1: see that very often in young players. So this is 76 00:03:24,800 --> 00:03:26,400 Speaker 1: a left handed bat that I think is going to 77 00:03:26,440 --> 00:03:31,160 Speaker 1: perform well and outperforms ADP in twenty twenty three. Number 78 00:03:31,280 --> 00:03:36,320 Speaker 1: seven Andres Munos, relief pitcher of the Seattle Mariners. Last year, 79 00:03:36,400 --> 00:03:39,480 Speaker 1: he pitched you a two forty nine er over sixty 80 00:03:39,480 --> 00:03:43,280 Speaker 1: five innings, striking out a whopping ninety six batters and 81 00:03:43,400 --> 00:03:46,280 Speaker 1: walking just fifteen. That's a thirteen point three k per 82 00:03:46,360 --> 00:03:49,000 Speaker 1: nine boys and girls. That is very exciting, and there's 83 00:03:49,000 --> 00:03:50,800 Speaker 1: an opportunity for this twenty four year old to kind 84 00:03:50,840 --> 00:03:53,720 Speaker 1: of be the next Edwin Diaz, who, let's not forget 85 00:03:53,760 --> 00:03:56,640 Speaker 1: this is the same organization that bred Edwin Diaz. So 86 00:03:57,000 --> 00:03:59,840 Speaker 1: Andres Munos at minimum is going to be in a 87 00:04:00,000 --> 00:04:03,320 Speaker 1: elite set up guy. But he could take over this 88 00:04:03,400 --> 00:04:07,600 Speaker 1: closer role with an injury or potentially with any sort 89 00:04:07,600 --> 00:04:10,120 Speaker 1: of performance issues with Paul Seawall. So keep a close 90 00:04:10,200 --> 00:04:13,040 Speaker 1: eye on this because Munos, if indeed he does become 91 00:04:13,040 --> 00:04:16,560 Speaker 1: a closer anytime in the year even halfway, would become 92 00:04:16,600 --> 00:04:20,840 Speaker 1: an enormous breakout candidate for twenty twenty three. Number six 93 00:04:21,000 --> 00:04:24,960 Speaker 1: Corbyn Carol outfielder for the Arizona Diamondbacks. Corbin Carroll was 94 00:04:25,000 --> 00:04:28,040 Speaker 1: ranked as the number three prospect by the MLB Pipeline 95 00:04:28,160 --> 00:04:30,120 Speaker 1: when the d Backs promoted him to the bigs last 96 00:04:30,200 --> 00:04:32,520 Speaker 1: year in August. In one hundred and three at bats 97 00:04:32,520 --> 00:04:34,680 Speaker 1: for Arizona, he hit two sixty with a three thirty 98 00:04:34,680 --> 00:04:38,039 Speaker 1: OVP and a five hundred slugging percentage, and he has 99 00:04:38,160 --> 00:04:41,440 Speaker 1: elite level speed. I'm talking top shelf. We're talking the 100 00:04:41,520 --> 00:04:44,680 Speaker 1: guys that you want on your rodo rosters. So if 101 00:04:44,720 --> 00:04:46,800 Speaker 1: you're playing in that format, Corbyn Carroll is worth a 102 00:04:46,880 --> 00:04:49,240 Speaker 1: little bit of an overpay. Coming into the year, He's 103 00:04:49,279 --> 00:04:51,119 Speaker 1: going to have a clear path do with everyday job 104 00:04:51,200 --> 00:04:53,760 Speaker 1: and a good chance he's the NL rookie of the 105 00:04:53,839 --> 00:04:57,360 Speaker 1: Year in waiting. And Corbin Carroll's power. It's for real, folks. 106 00:04:57,600 --> 00:05:00,360 Speaker 1: Just because he's a smaller player, do not discount the 107 00:05:00,400 --> 00:05:03,560 Speaker 1: power of Corbyn Carroll. He had a five eighty eight 108 00:05:03,640 --> 00:05:06,880 Speaker 1: slugging over one hundred and forty two minor league games. Well, 109 00:05:07,000 --> 00:05:08,840 Speaker 1: come down to earth a little bit, yes, but he 110 00:05:08,960 --> 00:05:10,800 Speaker 1: still got popping. When he add that to the speed, 111 00:05:11,200 --> 00:05:14,479 Speaker 1: Corbyn Carroll could be an enormous breakout player in twenty 112 00:05:14,520 --> 00:05:19,919 Speaker 1: twenty three. Number five Josh Young, third baseman, Texas Rangers. 113 00:05:19,960 --> 00:05:22,240 Speaker 1: I was so excited for Josh Young last year and 114 00:05:22,279 --> 00:05:26,400 Speaker 1: then then he got hurt. What a miserable set of circumstances. 115 00:05:26,400 --> 00:05:29,200 Speaker 1: But that does not mean we forget, and instead we're 116 00:05:29,240 --> 00:05:31,400 Speaker 1: going to start the high train all over again for 117 00:05:31,480 --> 00:05:33,800 Speaker 1: Josh Young because he's coming into a lineup now that's 118 00:05:33,839 --> 00:05:37,520 Speaker 1: got Marcus Simeon. That's got Corey Seeger, that's got players 119 00:05:37,640 --> 00:05:41,039 Speaker 1: around him. Finally, oh yeah, and at a least Garcia two. 120 00:05:41,560 --> 00:05:43,360 Speaker 1: And this guy can really hit. If you go look 121 00:05:43,360 --> 00:05:45,520 Speaker 1: at the minor league section there for him, you're talking 122 00:05:45,520 --> 00:05:47,200 Speaker 1: about a three hundred hitter in the minor leagues with 123 00:05:47,240 --> 00:05:49,400 Speaker 1: a three eighty OBP and a five hundred slugging. That 124 00:05:49,480 --> 00:05:52,400 Speaker 1: is an elite level type hitter. He just needs some 125 00:05:52,480 --> 00:05:54,479 Speaker 1: time to grow at the major league level. And he 126 00:05:54,600 --> 00:05:56,440 Speaker 1: is going to be the everyday third basement for the 127 00:05:56,520 --> 00:05:59,640 Speaker 1: Texas Rangers, hitting a lineup that could be surprisingly good 128 00:05:59,720 --> 00:06:03,440 Speaker 1: on a team it could be surprisingly competitive. I think 129 00:06:03,480 --> 00:06:06,599 Speaker 1: there's a breakout here potentially. Four Josh Young in twenty 130 00:06:06,600 --> 00:06:09,640 Speaker 1: twenty three, at age twenty five. This is a guy 131 00:06:09,720 --> 00:06:13,960 Speaker 1: you'll want to draft. Number four. Ryan Mountcastle, outfielder for 132 00:06:14,040 --> 00:06:16,920 Speaker 1: the Baltimore Orioles. Now, I know what you're gonna say, Joe, 133 00:06:17,000 --> 00:06:19,440 Speaker 1: this guy's already kind of broken out. He's an established player. 134 00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:22,359 Speaker 1: I think there's another gear though, in Ryan Mountcastle. He 135 00:06:22,360 --> 00:06:24,960 Speaker 1: had thirty three home runs in twenty twenty one. Last 136 00:06:25,040 --> 00:06:27,080 Speaker 1: year that dipped to twenty two home runs, and I 137 00:06:27,120 --> 00:06:31,040 Speaker 1: know some adjustments to the ballpark, not necessarily the greatest thing. However, 138 00:06:31,400 --> 00:06:33,360 Speaker 1: I think there's a version of Ryan Mauncastle we haven't 139 00:06:33,360 --> 00:06:36,239 Speaker 1: seen yet where he brings that average back up. Because 140 00:06:36,240 --> 00:06:38,560 Speaker 1: in the minor leagues this player was a two ninety 141 00:06:38,600 --> 00:06:41,040 Speaker 1: five hitter. But check out these stats. He had an 142 00:06:41,160 --> 00:06:43,000 Speaker 1: x LUG of five oh nine, which was the eighth 143 00:06:43,080 --> 00:06:45,279 Speaker 1: best in the league last year. His two fifty batting 144 00:06:45,320 --> 00:06:47,960 Speaker 1: average meh, but he had a two seventy seven expected 145 00:06:48,000 --> 00:06:51,000 Speaker 1: batting average and the third biggest home run to X 146 00:06:51,040 --> 00:06:54,039 Speaker 1: home run differential five point six. So we're talking about 147 00:06:54,080 --> 00:06:56,760 Speaker 1: another gear potentially of this player with a higher batting 148 00:06:56,760 --> 00:06:58,880 Speaker 1: average and maybe even some more power than we saw 149 00:06:58,960 --> 00:07:01,559 Speaker 1: last year. Put it all together for a thirty five 150 00:07:01,720 --> 00:07:04,240 Speaker 1: two to eighty season, I think he might. That would 151 00:07:04,279 --> 00:07:08,200 Speaker 1: make Ryan Mountcastle a breakout star in twenty twenty three. 152 00:07:08,720 --> 00:07:13,160 Speaker 1: Number three George Kirby, starting pitcher Seattle Mariners now last year, 153 00:07:13,240 --> 00:07:16,560 Speaker 1: over twenty five starts in his rookie season, Kirby went 154 00:07:16,640 --> 00:07:19,840 Speaker 1: eight and five with a nine k per nine and 155 00:07:19,960 --> 00:07:22,440 Speaker 1: a three thirty nine ERA, but his FIP was even 156 00:07:22,480 --> 00:07:26,040 Speaker 1: better at two point nine to nine, suggesting scary as 157 00:07:26,040 --> 00:07:29,120 Speaker 1: it seems, George Kirby could even take another step forward 158 00:07:29,240 --> 00:07:31,600 Speaker 1: this year. Some of the projections on him, you're looking 159 00:07:31,640 --> 00:07:33,480 Speaker 1: at somewhere around one hundred and fifty to one hundred 160 00:07:33,480 --> 00:07:35,800 Speaker 1: and sixty innings, and I think that is very reasonable 161 00:07:36,040 --> 00:07:38,080 Speaker 1: for George Kirby this season. If you look at the 162 00:07:38,120 --> 00:07:40,840 Speaker 1: minor league track record, he was dominant there. He had 163 00:07:40,840 --> 00:07:45,640 Speaker 1: a one point zero seven whip over thirty games pitched 164 00:07:45,720 --> 00:07:48,560 Speaker 1: in the minor leagues for the Seattle Mariners. This Mariner 165 00:07:48,640 --> 00:07:51,880 Speaker 1: rotation could be very good here with Castillo at the 166 00:07:51,920 --> 00:07:55,120 Speaker 1: top and then guys like Logan Gilbert and George Kirby. 167 00:07:55,320 --> 00:07:57,920 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, and some guy named Robbie Ray. Two. George 168 00:07:57,960 --> 00:08:00,520 Speaker 1: Kirby doesn't have any pressure on him out of that 169 00:08:00,520 --> 00:08:02,240 Speaker 1: fourth spot, and I think this guy could be an 170 00:08:02,280 --> 00:08:06,320 Speaker 1: absolute steal in drafts and an incredible breakout performer in 171 00:08:06,360 --> 00:08:11,000 Speaker 1: twenty twenty three. Number two Andrew Vaughn, First Basement Chicago 172 00:08:11,000 --> 00:08:13,160 Speaker 1: White Sox. Now, I've been waiting a long time for this. 173 00:08:13,440 --> 00:08:15,400 Speaker 1: I've been a big fan of Andrew Vaughns ever since 174 00:08:15,400 --> 00:08:18,880 Speaker 1: his college days, and now he's finally getting his starting role. 175 00:08:18,920 --> 00:08:21,840 Speaker 1: With Jose Abreu gone to Houston, Andrew Vaughn is the 176 00:08:21,880 --> 00:08:24,600 Speaker 1: everyday first basement. This is a guy that just had 177 00:08:24,680 --> 00:08:27,080 Speaker 1: fifty seven games, just two hundred and fifty four plate 178 00:08:27,120 --> 00:08:30,520 Speaker 1: appearances in the minor leagues. He's been learning on the 179 00:08:30,600 --> 00:08:32,960 Speaker 1: job for the last two years. Cut him some slack. 180 00:08:33,200 --> 00:08:34,559 Speaker 1: Last year he had two to seventy one with a 181 00:08:34,600 --> 00:08:37,200 Speaker 1: seven to fifty ops, but he had seventeen homers and 182 00:08:37,360 --> 00:08:40,480 Speaker 1: seventy six RBI. And I'm telling you this guy is ready. 183 00:08:40,520 --> 00:08:43,280 Speaker 1: Now that he's back playing his everyday position as he 184 00:08:43,320 --> 00:08:45,880 Speaker 1: should be, Andrew Vaughn is ready to take that next 185 00:08:45,880 --> 00:08:48,360 Speaker 1: step forward. This is his age twenty five season. And 186 00:08:48,360 --> 00:08:51,560 Speaker 1: Andrew Vaughn has the power, the plate, discipline, the total 187 00:08:51,600 --> 00:08:53,839 Speaker 1: package to get it done. And I think he's going 188 00:08:53,880 --> 00:08:56,719 Speaker 1: to be a breakout in twenty twenty three and the 189 00:08:56,800 --> 00:08:59,920 Speaker 1: number one breakout for twenty twenty three Onneal Cruz short, 190 00:09:00,000 --> 00:09:02,760 Speaker 1: it's not Pittsburgh Pirates. Now. Last year we were tough 191 00:09:02,800 --> 00:09:04,920 Speaker 1: on Oneal Cruise because we didn't know when he was 192 00:09:04,960 --> 00:09:07,480 Speaker 1: going to show up in the show and how he 193 00:09:07,559 --> 00:09:11,480 Speaker 1: was going to react to the higher end pitching. Well, 194 00:09:11,720 --> 00:09:13,800 Speaker 1: we were right. He did struggle early on and it 195 00:09:13,840 --> 00:09:15,959 Speaker 1: did take him a while to get there. However, when 196 00:09:15,960 --> 00:09:18,040 Speaker 1: the dust settled over eighty seven games, he did hit 197 00:09:18,080 --> 00:09:21,360 Speaker 1: seventeen homers and steal ten paces. If he progresses the 198 00:09:21,360 --> 00:09:23,840 Speaker 1: way we saw him down the stretch, it's well within 199 00:09:23,880 --> 00:09:25,720 Speaker 1: reason to think this is a player that could reach 200 00:09:25,760 --> 00:09:29,720 Speaker 1: the thirty homer twenty stolen based threshold in twenty twenty three. 201 00:09:30,240 --> 00:09:32,240 Speaker 1: We'll see what the batting average gives us, but this 202 00:09:32,360 --> 00:09:36,199 Speaker 1: is a player with big time potential despite the shortcomings 203 00:09:36,240 --> 00:09:38,960 Speaker 1: in the lineup. With lineup protection, Cruise looks like a 204 00:09:39,000 --> 00:09:42,840 Speaker 1: breakout star and a potential league winner in twenty twenty three. 205 00:09:43,280 --> 00:09:46,920 Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Baseball podcast. Follow 206 00:09:47,040 --> 00:09:50,600 Speaker 1: us on Twitter at Fantasy Pros MLB, and subscribe to 207 00:09:50,640 --> 00:09:54,560 Speaker 1: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Fantasy Pros MLB.