WEBVTT - SpaceX Sends Civilians Into Space

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanovik. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio, or watch us on YouTube

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<v Speaker 1>search Bloomberg clovel News. Joining us right now is Dr

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<v Speaker 1>William Moss. He's professor of epidemiology at the Johns Hopkins

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg School of Public Health, Executive director of the International

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<v Speaker 1>Vaccine Access Center, and of course, the Bloomberg School of

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<v Speaker 1>Public Health, supported by Michael R. Bloomberg, founder of Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>LP and Bloomberg Philanthropies. Dr Moss on the phone from Baltimore, Bill,

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<v Speaker 1>good to have you here with Katie and myself help

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<v Speaker 1>us make sense as we try to figure out should

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<v Speaker 1>we be getting booster shots? Yes, thank you very much

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<v Speaker 1>for howiving me again, UM, And I realized this has

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<v Speaker 1>been a confusing issue for folks, UM, and perhaps we

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<v Speaker 1>should think about it. You know, who should get a

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<v Speaker 1>booster and when should they get a booster? UM? What

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<v Speaker 1>we're what we're really looking for, as you were just saying,

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<v Speaker 1>we want our vaccines to protect us against severe disease, hospitalization,

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<v Speaker 1>and death. That's our our primary goal, and the way

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<v Speaker 1>we're going to achieve this primarily is by getting more

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<v Speaker 1>people vaccinated. Now. When we when and if we start

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<v Speaker 1>seeing more breakthrough infections or I should say higher rates

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<v Speaker 1>of breakthrough infections in fully vaccinated individuals UM that results

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<v Speaker 1>in severe disease, hospitalizations, and death, that's going to be

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<v Speaker 1>our trigger for booster doses. And I think a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of the discussion we're gonna here tomorrow at the FDA

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<v Speaker 1>and then that next week with the Advisory Committee on

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<v Speaker 1>Immunization Practices are do we have the day eat to

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<v Speaker 1>yet to suggest uh that there's there's increase in breakthrough

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<v Speaker 1>infections resulting in severe disease? And I think where we

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<v Speaker 1>may see this, we may see that there's evidence for

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<v Speaker 1>older adults, perhaps those older than but not yet for

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<v Speaker 1>the general population. Dr Moss. I'm curious to hear your

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<v Speaker 1>opinion on whether the f d A can really feel

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<v Speaker 1>any public pressure, whether they feel pressure from the public

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<v Speaker 1>to approve booster shots, because it feels like there is

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<v Speaker 1>this uh sort of dichotomy emerging where Okay, the people

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<v Speaker 1>who have been vaccinated got vaccine as soon as they

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<v Speaker 1>were able to, they do want to get booster shots,

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<v Speaker 1>and then you have you know, the rest of the

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<v Speaker 1>United States, the holdouts who haven't yet gotten their full vaccinations.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, does the f d A would they even

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<v Speaker 1>respond to that? Yes, I think what we can expect

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<v Speaker 1>from the f d A, and again we'll hear about

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<v Speaker 1>it tomorrow, is the FDA is going to tell us

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<v Speaker 1>whether these additional doses UM for people who are fully

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<v Speaker 1>vaccinated our safe and effective. That's what they're going to

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<v Speaker 1>be looking for. And they have the data that we're

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<v Speaker 1>submitted by fiser UM. Some of that has been released

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<v Speaker 1>in the in the FDA briefing that that was released UM.

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<v Speaker 1>And you know those numbers are based on relatively small,

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<v Speaker 1>uh small sample sizes UM. But the FDA is going

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<v Speaker 1>to be looking at that safety and effectiveness of an

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<v Speaker 1>additional dose. What we have to wait for then is

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<v Speaker 1>the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices UM that will make

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<v Speaker 1>recommendations to the c d C on who should be,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, on whether or not we should actually go

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<v Speaker 1>forward with booster doses and and who should be the

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<v Speaker 1>recipients of those U. UM, they will not be weighing

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<v Speaker 1>in on, you know, how do we deal with the problem,

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<v Speaker 1>uh of unvaccinated Americans at this point in the pandemic.

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<v Speaker 1>I guess what I wonder too is do you default

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<v Speaker 1>and say, let me just go get a third one,

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<v Speaker 1>let me just got to be safe than sorry? Or

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<v Speaker 1>are there potential complications by getting a vaccine that you

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<v Speaker 1>don't need? Yes? So, UM, you know what, this is

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<v Speaker 1>an important issue. UM. The CDC estimates that perhaps at

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<v Speaker 1>this point one point eight million Americans have gone ahead

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<v Speaker 1>UH and that booster dose. Katie knows people who donive Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>And I can understand. And we're kind of, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>feeling this tension between having a rigorous regulatory process and

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<v Speaker 1>debate UM, and in the midst of a pandemic and

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<v Speaker 1>and surging case numbers, surging hospitalizations and deaths in the the

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<v Speaker 1>United States, and and people wanting to feel that that

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<v Speaker 1>they're best protected. Uh, and so individuals going out and

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<v Speaker 1>getting those booster doses. We still don't know really that

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<v Speaker 1>you know, whether there are any safety concerns around booster doses.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't expect that we're going to have any surprises there. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>Fiser did present to the f d A some of

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<v Speaker 1>their safety data, again relatively small numbers, a couple of

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<v Speaker 1>hundred people. Um, maybe there was some increase in in

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<v Speaker 1>swollen lymph nodes after that after the third dose compared

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<v Speaker 1>to the first two, but in general the side effects

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<v Speaker 1>seem to be the same, but again against small numbers.

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<v Speaker 1>Where it also becomes problematic from a public health point

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<v Speaker 1>of view is that it just makes it very hard

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<v Speaker 1>for us to track, uh, the number of people vaccinated

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<v Speaker 1>in the in the United States. If people are going

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<v Speaker 1>and getting a third dose and kind of pretending they

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<v Speaker 1>have never had a dose before, um, it messes up

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<v Speaker 1>the numbers. And so Dr Moss, I'm curious to hear

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<v Speaker 1>your thoughts on some pushback that I've or two booster

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<v Speaker 1>shots offering them in the United States. Because you have

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<v Speaker 1>the developed world where you know a lot of people

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<v Speaker 1>who want to be vaccinated have gotten vaccinated, and then

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<v Speaker 1>you have, you know, the emerging markets of the world

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<v Speaker 1>where it's been a really tough rollout, and you know

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of people still remain unvaccinated. So some of

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<v Speaker 1>the pushback I hear is that, you know, offering booster

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<v Speaker 1>shots will basically exacerbate global inequality. I'm curious to hear

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<v Speaker 1>your thoughts on that. Right this is it's a very

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<v Speaker 1>important issue. We've heard from the World Health Organization and

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<v Speaker 1>the Director General. They're raising this issue. There was a

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<v Speaker 1>recent report in The Lancet raising this issue as well,

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<v Speaker 1>UM about the you know, the the ethics of UH

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<v Speaker 1>booster doses in high income countries when much of the

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<v Speaker 1>world remains unvaccinated. There's no doubt there they remain glaring

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<v Speaker 1>global inequities and vaccination coverage. UM or more of vaccine

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<v Speaker 1>doses have been administered to people in high and upper

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<v Speaker 1>middle income countries. Less than point five percent have gone

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<v Speaker 1>to people in low income countries. UM And as as

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<v Speaker 1>many folks have said, you know, we're not going to

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<v Speaker 1>be able to control this pandemic in the United States

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<v Speaker 1>until it's controlled globally. The question is, you know, can

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<v Speaker 1>these doses that are now sitting you know, in the

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<v Speaker 1>United States, you know, be diverted or or recanneled to

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<v Speaker 1>other countries. There's no doubt that the United States can

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<v Speaker 1>and should do more to address those global inequities. But

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<v Speaker 1>but also, if a vaccinees out at a pharmacy um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, there's no way we're going to get that

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<v Speaker 1>vack reroute that vaccine dose. So this is a very

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<v Speaker 1>important issue, but it's also very complex in in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of the process of how we take vaccines in the

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<v Speaker 1>United States and get them to other countries where perhaps

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<v Speaker 1>they're needed more. Yeah, I feel like this is an

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<v Speaker 1>issue we've been talking about from day one. When we

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<v Speaker 1>need a vaccine would hopefully ultimately be created, how do

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<v Speaker 1>we make sure that it gets out to the world.

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<v Speaker 1>Having said that, Dr Moss, I think one of the

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<v Speaker 1>discussions I keep hearing a lot in the US right

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<v Speaker 1>now is get ready for flu season everyone, because you're

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<v Speaker 1>all going to get really sick and you need to

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<v Speaker 1>get a flu shot too. What's your advice to our

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<v Speaker 1>listeners right now who are thinking, I'm going to need

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<v Speaker 1>to get a COVID nineteen booster, I'm going to need

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<v Speaker 1>to get a flu shot. How do we need to

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<v Speaker 1>kind of schedule all this playoff for this Yes, well, um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know these vaccines are are are very important in

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<v Speaker 1>our public health response and protecting ourselves individually and and

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<v Speaker 1>protecting people around us. Are our our COVID nineteen vaccines

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<v Speaker 1>are actually much better than our influenza vaccines. UM. But

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<v Speaker 1>it's going to be very important with this upcoming respiratory

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<v Speaker 1>season UM that people get vaccinated against you know, be

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<v Speaker 1>vaccinated against COVID nineteen and get their annual flu shot. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>What we don't want to have happen and say, I'll say,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, I think one of the real tragedies of

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<v Speaker 1>this last wave of cases in the United States is

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<v Speaker 1>that we've allowed our healthcare system, our hospitals are intensive

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<v Speaker 1>care units, to be overwhelmed with COVID nineteen patients, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>to the point where sometimes people with other diseases can't

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<v Speaker 1>get the care they need. But we don't have happened

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<v Speaker 1>this this respiratory season is to see our health care

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<v Speaker 1>system overwhelmed again with both COVID and influenza cases. Right.

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<v Speaker 1>We're seeing parts of the country already right that are

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<v Speaker 1>overwhelmed because of COVID absolutely, and I mean Dr Moss,

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<v Speaker 1>I'd love to get your thoughts on children and vaccinating children.

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<v Speaker 1>Because school is opening back up. New York City public

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<v Speaker 1>schools just had their first day. When will we see

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<v Speaker 1>the bottom end of the range for who can get

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<v Speaker 1>vaccinated basically increase? I'm missing metaphors there, But when will

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<v Speaker 1>children younger than twelve be able to get vaccines? Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>this is this is a very common question, and uh,

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<v Speaker 1>I wish I had a definitive answer on this, But

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<v Speaker 1>what I can tell you is that this will be

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<v Speaker 1>done in phases. The first group of children for whom

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<v Speaker 1>we'll see an authorization or approval our children five years

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<v Speaker 1>to eleven years of age. It will be with the

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<v Speaker 1>FISER vaccine. They're they're slightly ahead of of Maderna and

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<v Speaker 1>having the data being uh you know, collected and and

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<v Speaker 1>presented to the FDA. We expect FISER to be able

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<v Speaker 1>to present these data on that age group, perhaps by

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<v Speaker 1>the end of September or early October. It will then

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<v Speaker 1>take a couple of weeks for FDA to UH to

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<v Speaker 1>review the data, and then we'll need a recommendation from

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<v Speaker 1>the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices should the vaccine be

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<v Speaker 1>deemed safe and effective in that age group. And again

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<v Speaker 1>I don't expect any any surprises there, so I'm hopeful

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<v Speaker 1>that will have an approval or authors ation. Uh, perhaps

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<v Speaker 1>late October, early November. Um, you know, depending upon how

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<v Speaker 1>the process goes. But we won't see a vaccine for

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<v Speaker 1>children younger than five years of age right until first

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<v Speaker 1>quarter of On some level, you gotta appreciate the measured

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<v Speaker 1>and careful guidance by regulators on all of this as

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<v Speaker 1>we move forward, and always appreciate the guidance of Dr

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<v Speaker 1>William Moss, Executive Director of the International Vaccine Access Center,

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<v Speaker 1>Professor in the Departments of Epidemiology, International Health, and Molecular

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<v Speaker 1>Microbiology Enemynology at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.

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<v Speaker 1>You are listening to Bloomberg Business Week. This is Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. Remember how we

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<v Speaker 1>keep talking about the push for a fifteen dollar federal

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<v Speaker 1>minimum wage. We do that well. The move may installed

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<v Speaker 1>in Congress, but thanks to our current environment, we may

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<v Speaker 1>already be there. So let's get to it. Here to

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<v Speaker 1>explain Bloomberg News Economy reporter Michael s. So he joins

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<v Speaker 1>us on the phone in Atlanta bureau. Mike, good to

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<v Speaker 1>have you here with Katie and myself. So tell us

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<v Speaker 1>what's going on. Yeah, yeah, good to be here. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>what we've seen is just kind of a topsy turvy

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<v Speaker 1>labor market where even though the move to adopt a

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<v Speaker 1>fifteen dollar minimum wage may have stalled in Congress, it

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<v Speaker 1>seems that the market as well as let's just just

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<v Speaker 1>be honest, there's a lot of state and local minimum

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<v Speaker 1>wage laws going into effects. So those two things combined,

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<v Speaker 1>are you know, making it so that a relatively small

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<v Speaker 1>portion of Americans makes less than fifteen hours as we speak. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I was amazed that I forgot that the minimum wage

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<v Speaker 1>still though for a lot of Americans is seven dollars

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<v Speaker 1>and twenty five cents an hour. Yeah, yeah, what is

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<v Speaker 1>I forget what the status is at least a decade old.

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<v Speaker 1>So I have not kept up at all with the

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<v Speaker 1>way to rave inflation. And there are there are ten states,

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<v Speaker 1>ten states that have adopted a fifteen dollar minum wage,

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<v Speaker 1>not immediately, but kind of ramp up to fifteen. So

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<v Speaker 1>they're kind of getting ahead of the curve and So, Mike,

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<v Speaker 1>your characterization of the labor market topsy turvy. Uh, it

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<v Speaker 1>definitely feels accurate, just you know, after sitting through the

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<v Speaker 1>NFP release every month. Uh So it feels like we're

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<v Speaker 1>in this interesting scenario where part of the reason the

0:13:21.080 --> 0:13:24.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, wages are rising is because employers can't fill

0:13:25.160 --> 0:13:27.280
<v Speaker 1>their roles. You had a great stat in your article

0:13:27.520 --> 0:13:30.800
<v Speaker 1>that the number of job vacancies exceeded new hires by

0:13:30.840 --> 0:13:35.760
<v Speaker 1>four point three million in July. I'm curious, even with

0:13:35.840 --> 0:13:39.640
<v Speaker 1>the higher wages, why aren't employees necessarily coming back into

0:13:39.640 --> 0:13:43.360
<v Speaker 1>the workforce. Well, that's the million dollar question. You know,

0:13:43.480 --> 0:13:46.080
<v Speaker 1>certainly there has been a lot of women have stayed

0:13:46.080 --> 0:13:49.920
<v Speaker 1>out of the workforce for child care issues. You know,

0:13:50.200 --> 0:13:54.960
<v Speaker 1>there's the old question about whether the enhanced unemployment benefits

0:13:55.320 --> 0:13:58.079
<v Speaker 1>we're keeping people out of the labor force. Of course

0:13:58.080 --> 0:14:00.840
<v Speaker 1>those are expired now, but there's I gotta tell us

0:14:00.840 --> 0:14:03.920
<v Speaker 1>a lot every employer I talked to insist that yes,

0:14:04.080 --> 0:14:08.959
<v Speaker 1>they those high unemployment benefits were keeping people out, even

0:14:08.960 --> 0:14:11.480
<v Speaker 1>though even though most economists and a lot of these

0:14:11.760 --> 0:14:14.439
<v Speaker 1>academics will say that there's no evidence of that. So

0:14:14.480 --> 0:14:17.880
<v Speaker 1>that's that is a big, kind of a big question. Yeah,

0:14:17.920 --> 0:14:21.240
<v Speaker 1>I was talking to UM senior EXEXU people who have

0:14:21.280 --> 0:14:24.120
<v Speaker 1>been in the airline industry for a long time over

0:14:24.160 --> 0:14:27.360
<v Speaker 1>the past week. And what's interesting is they're saying people

0:14:27.360 --> 0:14:28.800
<v Speaker 1>just don't want to come back to work. They just

0:14:28.880 --> 0:14:31.280
<v Speaker 1>don't want to come back to work. Uh. And this

0:14:31.360 --> 0:14:35.000
<v Speaker 1>includes things like child uh, flight attendants and you name it.

0:14:35.080 --> 0:14:39.080
<v Speaker 1>We're seeing that play out. So what does this mean? Okay,

0:14:39.200 --> 0:14:43.600
<v Speaker 1>if though, because it's a tight labor force, Mike, and

0:14:43.760 --> 0:14:47.920
<v Speaker 1>so that is forcing employers like a Walmart, like a Target,

0:14:47.920 --> 0:14:50.960
<v Speaker 1>like a Chipotle Mexican grill to bump up their average

0:14:50.960 --> 0:14:53.920
<v Speaker 1>generally paid a fifteen dollars or more. Amazon what you know,

0:14:54.040 --> 0:14:57.080
<v Speaker 1>looking for some of their logistics jobs eighteen dollars an hour,

0:14:57.480 --> 0:15:00.280
<v Speaker 1>So we're kind of getting that fifteen dollars in our

0:15:00.360 --> 0:15:04.680
<v Speaker 1>minimum wage. What does it mean in terms of cost

0:15:04.720 --> 0:15:07.680
<v Speaker 1>to employers? What does it mean in terms of versus

0:15:07.720 --> 0:15:12.920
<v Speaker 1>inflation real wages? What does it all mean? Well? Yeah,

0:15:12.960 --> 0:15:16.040
<v Speaker 1>that and that's the issue. And the inflation pieces interesting.

0:15:16.120 --> 0:15:18.480
<v Speaker 1>So it's not as not as if everyone is doing

0:15:19.680 --> 0:15:22.720
<v Speaker 1>at some of these lower page jobs is just experiencing this.

0:15:22.960 --> 0:15:26.920
<v Speaker 1>That's absolute windfall. Inflation is running a little over five percent,

0:15:27.120 --> 0:15:30.320
<v Speaker 1>so to be sure, and over the last now, to

0:15:30.400 --> 0:15:35.440
<v Speaker 1>be sure, since the pandemic started, wages the wage inflation

0:15:35.600 --> 0:15:40.600
<v Speaker 1>has has has advanced more so, I'm wage inflation or

0:15:40.680 --> 0:15:43.440
<v Speaker 1>wages are rising at a greater paste than inflation is.

0:15:43.640 --> 0:15:45.960
<v Speaker 1>So that's a good thing for the worker. In the

0:15:46.040 --> 0:15:49.960
<v Speaker 1>last year, however, that's actually reversed itself and inflation is

0:15:50.000 --> 0:15:54.280
<v Speaker 1>actually eating up a greater percentage of wages. And so

0:15:54.920 --> 0:15:57.800
<v Speaker 1>since the pandemic started, you know, things are generally on

0:15:57.840 --> 0:16:01.200
<v Speaker 1>the upswing, although there's been a blip over the last year,

0:16:01.280 --> 0:16:03.680
<v Speaker 1>just the last year because of just the cost of

0:16:03.720 --> 0:16:06.280
<v Speaker 1>everything rising. All right, So just thirty seconds, So does

0:16:06.280 --> 0:16:08.720
<v Speaker 1>this mean thanks, you know, we don't need the federal

0:16:08.760 --> 0:16:10.640
<v Speaker 1>government to get there that we're going to now see

0:16:10.640 --> 0:16:12.760
<v Speaker 1>the new floor of fifteen dollars that stays with us

0:16:12.840 --> 0:16:16.800
<v Speaker 1>longer term. Just quickly, Well, I know there's probably some

0:16:16.880 --> 0:16:19.640
<v Speaker 1>people would say that I will say activists are are

0:16:19.640 --> 0:16:22.240
<v Speaker 1>having none of that. They're insisting, as somebody told me,

0:16:22.640 --> 0:16:25.680
<v Speaker 1>fifteen dollars is not the you know, the cap that's

0:16:25.920 --> 0:16:28.160
<v Speaker 1>fifteen dollars of the floor, and we intend to go

0:16:28.240 --> 0:16:31.680
<v Speaker 1>higher than that. Yeah, it's a very different economy that

0:16:31.720 --> 0:16:34.680
<v Speaker 1>we're certainly seeing come out of this pandemic. Uh, and

0:16:34.680 --> 0:16:37.240
<v Speaker 1>we're not quite there at the pandemic. Mike Sasso, thank

0:16:37.240 --> 0:16:39.680
<v Speaker 1>you so much. He is economy reporter at Bloomberg News,

0:16:39.720 --> 0:16:42.120
<v Speaker 1>joining us on the phone from Atlanta. You do wonder,

0:16:42.160 --> 0:16:45.320
<v Speaker 1>to Katie, though, these are you know, higher wages, higher

0:16:45.400 --> 0:16:47.880
<v Speaker 1>labor costs for companies. You know, how much do they

0:16:47.920 --> 0:16:50.480
<v Speaker 1>ultimately pass along to consumers. I guess that's something we'll

0:16:50.520 --> 0:16:52.760
<v Speaker 1>keep an eye on absolutely. I mean, this is how

0:16:52.800 --> 0:16:55.480
<v Speaker 1>inflation gets built into the economy when you actually see

0:16:55.520 --> 0:16:58.800
<v Speaker 1>employers raised wages exactly good point, and then had the

0:16:58.800 --> 0:17:01.760
<v Speaker 1>supply chain problems and yeah, costs go up. You're listening

0:17:01.800 --> 0:17:05.640
<v Speaker 1>to Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick

0:17:05.680 --> 0:17:10.720
<v Speaker 1>Takes Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. Well a Bloomberg exclusive.

0:17:10.920 --> 0:17:13.840
<v Speaker 1>It's also the Bloomberg Business Week cover story. It's about

0:17:13.840 --> 0:17:17.600
<v Speaker 1>Peter Teal, you know, the Silicon Valley billionaire investor and disruptor.

0:17:18.000 --> 0:17:20.240
<v Speaker 1>Turns out he's kind of just like all the other

0:17:20.400 --> 0:17:23.560
<v Speaker 1>rich folks out there, so writes Max Chafkin in his

0:17:23.640 --> 0:17:26.240
<v Speaker 1>new biography of Tell. Let's get more on this Bloomberg

0:17:26.240 --> 0:17:28.240
<v Speaker 1>Business Week Get or Joe Webber, as I just mentioned

0:17:28.280 --> 0:17:31.240
<v Speaker 1>in her Boomberg Interactive Studio along with Bloomberg u S

0:17:31.280 --> 0:17:34.480
<v Speaker 1>Technology Managing Editor Mark Millian. He is on the phone

0:17:34.480 --> 0:17:37.200
<v Speaker 1>in our New York City bureau. Peter Teal, We've talked

0:17:37.240 --> 0:17:40.160
<v Speaker 1>about him a lot in his relationship interesting one with Trump. Yeah,

0:17:40.200 --> 0:17:42.760
<v Speaker 1>and I'm gonna I'm gonna actually say that he's not

0:17:42.920 --> 0:17:46.399
<v Speaker 1>maybe like all the other people you know, And I

0:17:46.440 --> 0:17:48.400
<v Speaker 1>think that's when it comes to Texas, and he's never

0:17:48.480 --> 0:17:50.639
<v Speaker 1>had a biography of him before. And that is the

0:17:51.119 --> 0:17:54.280
<v Speaker 1>first and foremost defeat that our own colleague Max Chafkin

0:17:54.280 --> 0:17:58.879
<v Speaker 1>has accomplished with this book, The Contrarian Next week. Uh,

0:17:59.720 --> 0:18:02.680
<v Speaker 1>it's really fascinating you mentioned the Trump thing. That is

0:18:02.720 --> 0:18:05.600
<v Speaker 1>where the excerpt that is the cover story this week

0:18:05.720 --> 0:18:09.800
<v Speaker 1>begins this, uh meeting in Trump Tower right in the

0:18:09.840 --> 0:18:13.840
<v Speaker 1>transition period after Trump had been elected, where Peter Teal,

0:18:13.920 --> 0:18:16.000
<v Speaker 1>who you may recall was on the stage at the

0:18:16.040 --> 0:18:19.640
<v Speaker 1>Republican National Convention just a couple of weeks before that,

0:18:20.280 --> 0:18:24.000
<v Speaker 1>months before that, and and basically he was able to

0:18:24.040 --> 0:18:29.040
<v Speaker 1>bring a bunch of tech CEOs to Trump and basically

0:18:29.080 --> 0:18:36.440
<v Speaker 1>be this bridge between tech and the recently elected president. Uh,

0:18:36.480 --> 0:18:40.800
<v Speaker 1>in a way that was somewhat unexpected, right, And it

0:18:41.000 --> 0:18:45.160
<v Speaker 1>speaks to the sort of the power that Teal Weed

0:18:45.359 --> 0:18:50.040
<v Speaker 1>wields in Silicon Valley. Like obviously he's been real integral

0:18:50.080 --> 0:18:54.320
<v Speaker 1>part of this PayPal mafia for for years, first outside

0:18:54.359 --> 0:18:57.520
<v Speaker 1>investor in Facebook, and there's a lot of roads in

0:18:57.560 --> 0:19:00.560
<v Speaker 1>Silicon Valley that leads to Peter Teal. Um. And what's

0:19:00.560 --> 0:19:04.359
<v Speaker 1>interesting was this sort of little marriage that happened between

0:19:04.440 --> 0:19:09.399
<v Speaker 1>Trump and Teal and that that proved um not great

0:19:09.560 --> 0:19:12.720
<v Speaker 1>for a lot of people in Trump's circle and and

0:19:12.760 --> 0:19:15.400
<v Speaker 1>it seemed to have worked out really well for Peter Teal,

0:19:15.480 --> 0:19:18.720
<v Speaker 1>who we think um more than double misfortune during that

0:19:18.920 --> 0:19:20.679
<v Speaker 1>During that time, Mark want to bring you into this

0:19:20.720 --> 0:19:25.200
<v Speaker 1>conversation because it's been really wonderful throughout the Trump presidency

0:19:25.560 --> 0:19:30.320
<v Speaker 1>and thereafter. Is you know, exploring these relationships that the

0:19:30.359 --> 0:19:34.280
<v Speaker 1>former president had with some likely subjects and some unlikely subjects,

0:19:34.280 --> 0:19:38.080
<v Speaker 1>and Peter Tell seems to fall into that category. Yes,

0:19:38.320 --> 0:19:41.360
<v Speaker 1>I would definitely agree with that. And one of the

0:19:41.440 --> 0:19:44.919
<v Speaker 1>spite holding hands at that meeting at Trump Tower, that

0:19:45.119 --> 0:19:51.120
<v Speaker 1>is a dark image the bro hand holding love best

0:19:51.160 --> 0:19:55.840
<v Speaker 1>they had their um but yeah, I mean Teal is

0:19:56.160 --> 0:20:02.880
<v Speaker 1>uh long time technologists from Silicon Valley, foreign born, um Gay.

0:20:02.920 --> 0:20:05.600
<v Speaker 1>I mean, there are a lot of things about his

0:20:05.640 --> 0:20:09.760
<v Speaker 1>background that would suggest that he would not be um

0:20:09.960 --> 0:20:14.119
<v Speaker 1>part of the MAGA contingent um. And yet he is

0:20:14.640 --> 0:20:19.119
<v Speaker 1>a contrarian investor above all else. And he's made a

0:20:19.160 --> 0:20:22.640
<v Speaker 1>lot of bad bets over the years, Um, but he's

0:20:22.680 --> 0:20:26.359
<v Speaker 1>made some some fantastic ones. Facebook is certainly in that camp,

0:20:26.400 --> 0:20:29.600
<v Speaker 1>and I think Trump is is in that camp. Yeah, Mark,

0:20:29.640 --> 0:20:31.800
<v Speaker 1>That's what I want to dig into, because I mean,

0:20:31.880 --> 0:20:34.280
<v Speaker 1>like you said, this is what TIL does. I mean,

0:20:34.320 --> 0:20:37.080
<v Speaker 1>he's a venture capital, is a capitalist. This whole thing

0:20:37.200 --> 0:20:41.280
<v Speaker 1>is finding you know, startups to invest in. I mean,

0:20:41.440 --> 0:20:44.560
<v Speaker 1>how much does this Is there a parallel to draw

0:20:44.680 --> 0:20:48.280
<v Speaker 1>between his m O when it comes to you know, investing,

0:20:48.359 --> 0:20:52.320
<v Speaker 1>being a venture capitalist and this kind of unlikely relationship

0:20:52.359 --> 0:20:56.680
<v Speaker 1>he forged with Donald Trump. I think there's a direct line.

0:20:56.760 --> 0:21:00.760
<v Speaker 1>I think his his entire investment strategy he speaks is

0:21:01.280 --> 0:21:04.480
<v Speaker 1>the reflection of the title of Max's book, which is contrarian.

0:21:04.560 --> 0:21:08.560
<v Speaker 1>I mean he looks at where the popular opinions are

0:21:08.680 --> 0:21:10.840
<v Speaker 1>and where the where the winds are blowing, and he

0:21:10.920 --> 0:21:15.120
<v Speaker 1>goes the opposite direction. And oftentimes that doesn't work. Max

0:21:15.200 --> 0:21:18.480
<v Speaker 1>chronicles in the book his hedge fund Clarium Capital, which

0:21:19.600 --> 0:21:22.639
<v Speaker 1>was like very early to seeing the housing crisis, but

0:21:22.760 --> 0:21:25.920
<v Speaker 1>in fact was too early and just went so far

0:21:26.000 --> 0:21:30.080
<v Speaker 1>down this contrarian path that it it led to disaster. Um.

0:21:30.320 --> 0:21:33.480
<v Speaker 1>And so this strategy is not bull proof, but when

0:21:33.720 --> 0:21:35.840
<v Speaker 1>you nail it, I mean, it can really pay off.

0:21:35.880 --> 0:21:39.480
<v Speaker 1>And I think um Trump was was an example of

0:21:39.480 --> 0:21:42.199
<v Speaker 1>of where he saw it early and he went in

0:21:42.400 --> 0:21:45.439
<v Speaker 1>pretty big and and it did pay off in some ways.

0:21:46.320 --> 0:21:51.840
<v Speaker 1>Speaking of paying off, the the ultimate uh payoff has

0:21:51.920 --> 0:21:55.600
<v Speaker 1>been the roth eyray and and that is to to

0:21:55.920 --> 0:21:59.680
<v Speaker 1>your joke earlier, just about you know, just like other

0:21:59.760 --> 0:22:04.120
<v Speaker 1>other billionaires. Um. We don't really know if other billionaires

0:22:04.160 --> 0:22:06.600
<v Speaker 1>have have done this as well as Peter Teel has,

0:22:06.640 --> 0:22:10.359
<v Speaker 1>but it seems to be that um he has exploited

0:22:10.480 --> 0:22:12.800
<v Speaker 1>the wrath ira a to perhaps a way that was

0:22:12.840 --> 0:22:16.280
<v Speaker 1>never intended. Um. You know, this was invented as really

0:22:16.320 --> 0:22:19.160
<v Speaker 1>like a way to help middle class Americans retire, and

0:22:19.680 --> 0:22:22.880
<v Speaker 1>um uh he he seems to be able to pack

0:22:22.920 --> 0:22:28.320
<v Speaker 1>away some shares uh from PayPal and palinteer uh and

0:22:28.520 --> 0:22:32.280
<v Speaker 1>others perhaps um all tax free and then watch that

0:22:32.359 --> 0:22:35.920
<v Speaker 1>grow and and so Max reporting suggests north of five

0:22:35.960 --> 0:22:41.040
<v Speaker 1>billion dollars all tax free, just like Myra I. Some

0:22:41.160 --> 0:22:45.160
<v Speaker 1>reporting suggest maybe closer to ten billion UM. And it's

0:22:45.200 --> 0:22:48.199
<v Speaker 1>also as as Max reveals in this excerpt in in

0:22:48.240 --> 0:22:50.000
<v Speaker 1>his book, it's also the thing that's made him quite

0:22:50.000 --> 0:22:53.280
<v Speaker 1>paranoid that it would not take that much for the

0:22:53.320 --> 0:22:56.080
<v Speaker 1>I R S to maybe change, you know, have these

0:22:56.160 --> 0:22:59.040
<v Speaker 1>rules changed take more than the rs. But the I

0:22:59.160 --> 0:23:01.680
<v Speaker 1>R S seems to be keeping a pretty close eye

0:23:01.800 --> 0:23:05.320
<v Speaker 1>to make sure everything UH is abided by and it's

0:23:05.520 --> 0:23:08.880
<v Speaker 1>very textbook and and otherwise you know, the risk there

0:23:08.880 --> 0:23:10.800
<v Speaker 1>would be that um, you know, you you could have

0:23:10.840 --> 0:23:14.800
<v Speaker 1>a pretty sizable tax tax bill in the billions. And

0:23:14.800 --> 0:23:18.400
<v Speaker 1>and Mark, I mean, it's it's legal, right what he did,

0:23:18.480 --> 0:23:20.879
<v Speaker 1>but it's all it's all legal. And actually, you know

0:23:20.920 --> 0:23:23.840
<v Speaker 1>Max's reporting UH indicates that you know, there there was

0:23:23.880 --> 0:23:27.480
<v Speaker 1>an audit and so it has been looked at closely.

0:23:27.800 --> 0:23:30.320
<v Speaker 1>And he's not alone, right like this this is something

0:23:30.359 --> 0:23:34.280
<v Speaker 1>and there's an unrelated story today even by Bloomberg News

0:23:34.280 --> 0:23:37.159
<v Speaker 1>that you know, there is a small small group of

0:23:37.200 --> 0:23:39.520
<v Speaker 1>people who seem to have been able to to work

0:23:39.600 --> 0:23:43.080
<v Speaker 1>these i RA s to too great great results. Ben

0:23:43.119 --> 0:23:44.640
<v Speaker 1>Steve Whreman story. We're gonna talk to him a little

0:23:44.640 --> 0:23:47.520
<v Speaker 1>bit later on. I mean, Matt, as you go through

0:23:47.840 --> 0:23:50.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, Max's book and this excerpt which is the

0:23:50.119 --> 0:23:53.439
<v Speaker 1>cover story. Um again, like you said that that picture

0:23:53.480 --> 0:23:55.480
<v Speaker 1>of the two of them holding hands. I mean, I

0:23:55.520 --> 0:23:57.160
<v Speaker 1>think for a long time early on, we were all

0:23:57.200 --> 0:23:59.439
<v Speaker 1>just trying to make sense of this relationship. But in

0:23:59.520 --> 0:24:06.879
<v Speaker 1>the end, Uh, Peter Teel benefited big time. Yes, I

0:24:07.000 --> 0:24:10.560
<v Speaker 1>certainly did. I mean not to the extent maybe he

0:24:11.040 --> 0:24:14.880
<v Speaker 1>envisioned in as wildest imaginations of sort of remaking government

0:24:14.960 --> 0:24:19.120
<v Speaker 1>in his image. Um. You know, Max, this excerpt goes

0:24:19.160 --> 0:24:22.760
<v Speaker 1>into some detail about how he offered you know, a

0:24:22.800 --> 0:24:27.440
<v Speaker 1>long list of of picks for various administrative positions that

0:24:27.920 --> 0:24:33.600
<v Speaker 1>the campaign deemed too extreme. Um. So which is something

0:24:34.119 --> 0:24:37.080
<v Speaker 1>really says something for sure. But you know the other

0:24:37.119 --> 0:24:38.880
<v Speaker 1>thing that I think is important, and this is sort

0:24:38.880 --> 0:24:42.320
<v Speaker 1>of the where Max's excerpt culminates, and and I think

0:24:42.359 --> 0:24:45.440
<v Speaker 1>it's Uh, one of the reasons that that this this

0:24:45.680 --> 0:24:49.160
<v Speaker 1>biography um by Max Jeffkin have I mentioned out next

0:24:49.160 --> 0:24:52.119
<v Speaker 1>week is so important is that what we're really going

0:24:52.160 --> 0:24:56.040
<v Speaker 1>to be watching here is Peter Teel's transition from from

0:24:56.040 --> 0:24:59.600
<v Speaker 1>being a Silicone Silicon Valley power broker to something that

0:24:59.720 --> 0:25:03.080
<v Speaker 1>maybe is more about the GOP and politics going forward,

0:25:03.080 --> 0:25:05.200
<v Speaker 1>and that will play out in mid terms. First and foremost,

0:25:05.400 --> 0:25:08.480
<v Speaker 1>really good point. This story cover on the new issue

0:25:08.480 --> 0:25:11.400
<v Speaker 1>of Bloomberg Business Week, which is available Bloomberg Business Week,

0:25:11.440 --> 0:25:14.000
<v Speaker 1>of course, and that's Max Chafkin's book, The Contrarian. We're

0:25:14.000 --> 0:25:17.120
<v Speaker 1>gonna be talking to Max next week, Joel and more. Thanks.

0:25:17.160 --> 0:25:21.200
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg

0:25:21.280 --> 0:25:25.280
<v Speaker 1>Quick Takes. Tim Stinovic from Bloomberg Radio. All right, Katie

0:25:25.280 --> 0:25:28.520
<v Speaker 1>Gray felt she's in for Tim Stinovic. Uh, kind of

0:25:28.600 --> 0:25:31.280
<v Speaker 1>heard a bunch of people go into space another group. Yeah,

0:25:31.359 --> 0:25:35.119
<v Speaker 1>I don't know. It's just the Steady, not Tim's Tim.

0:25:35.119 --> 0:25:37.480
<v Speaker 1>It's not Ed Ludlow either, although I think both of

0:25:37.480 --> 0:25:40.200
<v Speaker 1>them would love to. I think I would when you know,

0:25:42.200 --> 0:25:44.719
<v Speaker 1>to get into a rocket ship. No way, I just

0:25:44.760 --> 0:25:47.920
<v Speaker 1>told you I was referred of votes. You won't even

0:25:47.920 --> 0:25:49.720
<v Speaker 1>go to the dentist. I'm just gonna put it out there,

0:25:50.200 --> 0:25:53.359
<v Speaker 1>of course. Of course, all right, we'll talk about that later. Uh.

0:25:53.520 --> 0:25:55.880
<v Speaker 1>It did happen though, at a pm Local time yesterday

0:25:55.920 --> 0:25:59.520
<v Speaker 1>from Kennedy Space Center in Florida, SpaceX sending four civilians

0:25:59.800 --> 0:26:03.399
<v Speaker 1>on a three day orbital excursion. Who was there was

0:26:03.480 --> 0:26:06.960
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg News West Coast correspondent ed Low. Ledlow, he joins

0:26:07.040 --> 0:26:09.960
<v Speaker 1>us out from Cape Canaveral in Florida. So good to

0:26:10.000 --> 0:26:11.840
<v Speaker 1>have you here. I would go up. I know you

0:26:11.880 --> 0:26:17.520
<v Speaker 1>would go up. Tell us about what it's been like. Yeah,

0:26:17.520 --> 0:26:20.520
<v Speaker 1>I think to be honest, it's been tense because of

0:26:20.680 --> 0:26:23.240
<v Speaker 1>the nature of what we're talking about. These are four civilians.

0:26:23.240 --> 0:26:26.960
<v Speaker 1>They're not professional astronauts. And even though space X is

0:26:27.000 --> 0:26:29.920
<v Speaker 1>a fantastic trek record they've done so many missions now

0:26:30.640 --> 0:26:34.040
<v Speaker 1>varying professional antionals to and from the Insational space Station,

0:26:35.200 --> 0:26:38.879
<v Speaker 1>this mission is so ambitious. They go They are currently

0:26:38.960 --> 0:26:41.720
<v Speaker 1>orbite in the Earth for three hundred sixty miles altitudes,

0:26:41.760 --> 0:26:44.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, much further than the Interstral Space Station, much

0:26:44.960 --> 0:26:48.000
<v Speaker 1>further than the Hubble Telescope. And you know, the question

0:26:48.040 --> 0:26:49.919
<v Speaker 1>going into it this was why would they do that?

0:26:50.000 --> 0:26:51.639
<v Speaker 1>Why would they not just play it safe? But the

0:26:51.720 --> 0:26:54.359
<v Speaker 1>latest reports we have from space X is the cruise

0:26:54.359 --> 0:26:57.040
<v Speaker 1>doing well. They've even slept and had meals and things

0:26:57.080 --> 0:26:59.960
<v Speaker 1>like that. So so so far it's a successful mission,

0:27:00.640 --> 0:27:04.600
<v Speaker 1>and so I'm really curious to hear what this means

0:27:04.680 --> 0:27:08.760
<v Speaker 1>for commercial space travel and whether that's becoming closer to

0:27:08.840 --> 0:27:12.159
<v Speaker 1>becoming a reality. You know, when will Ed Ludlow be

0:27:12.200 --> 0:27:15.800
<v Speaker 1>able to get into orbits? Yeah, Sace, they think about

0:27:15.960 --> 0:27:18.880
<v Speaker 1>this side of the business being supplied and strange right,

0:27:19.000 --> 0:27:22.160
<v Speaker 1>that there's really great demand there and it outweighs their

0:27:22.200 --> 0:27:24.960
<v Speaker 1>ability or the number of times that they can launch

0:27:24.960 --> 0:27:27.720
<v Speaker 1>in a calendar year. They're talking about sort of potentially

0:27:27.760 --> 0:27:31.160
<v Speaker 1>four missions in two which is still quite a lot,

0:27:31.520 --> 0:27:33.879
<v Speaker 1>you know, going from zero to four. I think the

0:27:33.920 --> 0:27:36.800
<v Speaker 1>big takeaway from the investors I speak to, you know,

0:27:36.880 --> 0:27:40.840
<v Speaker 1>people that work at NASA aerospace engineers is this mission

0:27:40.960 --> 0:27:42.919
<v Speaker 1>is so much more of a big deal than what

0:27:42.960 --> 0:27:45.520
<v Speaker 1>we saw from Bezos and Brandon. You know, what they

0:27:45.560 --> 0:27:49.040
<v Speaker 1>did doesn't even register. Bess went to sixty five miles

0:27:49.119 --> 0:27:51.320
<v Speaker 1>above the Earth for a few minutes. These guys are

0:27:51.400 --> 0:27:54.720
<v Speaker 1>orbiting the Earth for three days as amateurs, as civilians

0:27:55.040 --> 0:28:00.600
<v Speaker 1>with minimal training, encountering higher radiation space debris, all aboard

0:28:00.600 --> 0:28:04.640
<v Speaker 1>a fully autonomous system, and if they're successful, the consensus

0:28:04.720 --> 0:28:07.560
<v Speaker 1>this really is a big step forward for human space

0:28:07.640 --> 0:28:10.240
<v Speaker 1>flight in general, and as you said, been more preparation.

0:28:10.359 --> 0:28:13.640
<v Speaker 1>But nonetheless, these four spent, according to reporting, about nine

0:28:13.640 --> 0:28:17.960
<v Speaker 1>months in preparation. They had to learn how to intervene

0:28:18.000 --> 0:28:19.960
<v Speaker 1>during the flight if necessary. I mean, this isn't just

0:28:20.280 --> 0:28:23.360
<v Speaker 1>take a seat. You're up for a few seconds basically,

0:28:23.640 --> 0:28:26.440
<v Speaker 1>and then you're back down on Earth. Correct, So it's

0:28:26.440 --> 0:28:30.280
<v Speaker 1>a fully autonomous spaceship. However, you know, things happen, and

0:28:30.480 --> 0:28:35.120
<v Speaker 1>this is what's so amazing. Their entire experiences documented by Netflix. Right,

0:28:35.160 --> 0:28:37.840
<v Speaker 1>so if the listeners gone to Netflix, you can watch

0:28:37.920 --> 0:28:41.120
<v Speaker 1>the first four parts of the series, which includes their training.

0:28:41.120 --> 0:28:45.680
<v Speaker 1>You know, things you'd expect like centrifuges and extreme G

0:28:45.920 --> 0:28:49.120
<v Speaker 1>force exposure. And Jared Isaakman, who is actually paying for

0:28:49.160 --> 0:28:51.719
<v Speaker 1>this entire thing, and the commander of the mission, one

0:28:51.760 --> 0:28:55.000
<v Speaker 1>of the four inside the capsule, his that his day

0:28:55.080 --> 0:28:57.600
<v Speaker 1>job is running a fintech company. His passion is being

0:28:57.600 --> 0:28:59.680
<v Speaker 1>a pilot, and he took all of them on fight

0:28:59.720 --> 0:29:02.920
<v Speaker 1>age to experience that extreme G pause. They did do

0:29:03.000 --> 0:29:05.280
<v Speaker 1>this properly, and they are ready in the event that

0:29:05.320 --> 0:29:08.200
<v Speaker 1>they have to act, and so I know that they

0:29:08.200 --> 0:29:10.240
<v Speaker 1>went through all that prep. It still blows my mind

0:29:10.240 --> 0:29:14.480
<v Speaker 1>that there's no professional astronauts on this trip. But Ed

0:29:14.800 --> 0:29:17.360
<v Speaker 1>so I mean, this is different, like we've just been

0:29:17.360 --> 0:29:20.200
<v Speaker 1>talking about. Different from Blue Origin and Virgin Galactic, which

0:29:20.240 --> 0:29:23.320
<v Speaker 1>sort of took off and then came back down pretty quickly.

0:29:23.520 --> 0:29:27.360
<v Speaker 1>This flight is actually going into orbit. And I feel like,

0:29:27.520 --> 0:29:29.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, at least I've been joking about the billionaire

0:29:29.840 --> 0:29:32.840
<v Speaker 1>space race for months now, but I'm curious whether we

0:29:32.880 --> 0:29:38.000
<v Speaker 1>should expect a response from Jeff Bezos or Richard Branson. Well,

0:29:38.000 --> 0:29:41.040
<v Speaker 1>we just got it. We did it within the last hour,

0:29:41.120 --> 0:29:44.120
<v Speaker 1>and all he said was congratulations. As we reached Branson

0:29:44.200 --> 0:29:47.360
<v Speaker 1>and Elon Musk replied saying thank you to both of them.

0:29:47.440 --> 0:29:49.320
<v Speaker 1>You know, like this has been the criticism, right that

0:29:49.440 --> 0:29:52.920
<v Speaker 1>this is a billionaires sport and that it's only open billionaires,

0:29:52.960 --> 0:29:56.760
<v Speaker 1>and Jared Isaingman himself, he's a billionaire. He's paying the

0:29:56.800 --> 0:29:59.280
<v Speaker 1>two hundred reported to a million for these guys to

0:29:59.320 --> 0:30:01.640
<v Speaker 1>be up there. But he acknowledged it head on, and

0:30:01.680 --> 0:30:05.440
<v Speaker 1>he basically said, I am bringing exposure to this industry.

0:30:05.480 --> 0:30:09.080
<v Speaker 1>I'm showing that it is possible and that more investment

0:30:09.160 --> 0:30:11.880
<v Speaker 1>is needed, and that it is possible and attainable for

0:30:11.920 --> 0:30:14.400
<v Speaker 1>a civilian to eventually go up. And he kind of

0:30:14.480 --> 0:30:15.920
<v Speaker 1>went on with that and that's why they are at

0:30:15.920 --> 0:30:18.000
<v Speaker 1>three hundred and sixty miles and not playing it safe,

0:30:18.160 --> 0:30:20.240
<v Speaker 1>because he wanted to show that you could actually make

0:30:20.360 --> 0:30:25.440
<v Speaker 1>progress and develop the science, developed the technology in that process. Well,

0:30:25.520 --> 0:30:27.840
<v Speaker 1>it's interesting to uh and you point out too in

0:30:27.880 --> 0:30:30.200
<v Speaker 1>your story that's on the Bloomberg and Bloomberg dot com

0:30:30.200 --> 0:30:32.760
<v Speaker 1>about how the missions raising about two hundred million in

0:30:32.840 --> 0:30:36.160
<v Speaker 1>charity for childhood cancer research. So there's another component to

0:30:36.200 --> 0:30:39.040
<v Speaker 1>this story. The thing is, you know, add the debate,

0:30:39.080 --> 0:30:40.760
<v Speaker 1>there are people saying, why are we spending why our

0:30:40.760 --> 0:30:43.040
<v Speaker 1>companies spending so much money on this? You know, what

0:30:43.120 --> 0:30:45.360
<v Speaker 1>do we get out of it? But I'm a daughter

0:30:45.440 --> 0:30:47.360
<v Speaker 1>of I say this all the time. I know my

0:30:47.360 --> 0:30:49.600
<v Speaker 1>producers like here she goes again, But a daughter of

0:30:49.640 --> 0:30:53.440
<v Speaker 1>an engineer electrical aerospace engineer who worked on their early

0:30:53.440 --> 0:30:55.960
<v Speaker 1>space missions. A lot of what we learned from those

0:30:56.000 --> 0:31:01.000
<v Speaker 1>missions lead to some pretty significant scientific and technol logical developments.

0:31:01.080 --> 0:31:02.920
<v Speaker 1>Jeff Bezos says, right, he wants to learn more about

0:31:02.920 --> 0:31:06.480
<v Speaker 1>space to help Earth. All of this could ultimately lead

0:31:06.520 --> 0:31:10.120
<v Speaker 1>to some really important discoveries. That is the logic here

0:31:10.240 --> 0:31:13.000
<v Speaker 1>very quickly on St. Jude and cancer. I mean, this

0:31:13.240 --> 0:31:15.720
<v Speaker 1>mission is so high profile the world's media there, and

0:31:15.760 --> 0:31:19.320
<v Speaker 1>they're going to raise two million dollars. Hailey Arsenal, one

0:31:19.320 --> 0:31:21.440
<v Speaker 1>of the people on the capsule in space, is a

0:31:21.520 --> 0:31:24.600
<v Speaker 1>cancer survivor and now works at St. Jude. So that's

0:31:24.600 --> 0:31:27.400
<v Speaker 1>the link there. One thing I learned in my reporting

0:31:27.440 --> 0:31:30.040
<v Speaker 1>is SpaceX has agreed to give NASA all of the

0:31:30.120 --> 0:31:33.400
<v Speaker 1>data generated from this mission for free at no cost.

0:31:33.640 --> 0:31:36.960
<v Speaker 1>And it's really detailed data, things like radiation. As I said,

0:31:37.000 --> 0:31:39.720
<v Speaker 1>space debry, the tests they're doing on board about the

0:31:39.800 --> 0:31:42.600
<v Speaker 1>human body um and and after they land, if they

0:31:42.680 --> 0:31:45.880
<v Speaker 1>land successfully back splashed down on the Florida coast, then

0:31:45.920 --> 0:31:48.240
<v Speaker 1>they're space extually even going to hand over the capsule

0:31:48.440 --> 0:31:51.080
<v Speaker 1>and let NASA inspect it. So this is all worthwhile

0:31:51.480 --> 0:31:54.680
<v Speaker 1>as part of a bigger, broader initiative to move forward

0:31:54.760 --> 0:31:56.920
<v Speaker 1>with human space flight. Just gonna make it a little

0:31:56.920 --> 0:32:00.560
<v Speaker 1>bit more affordable, exactly. Put the semi charge card. Well,

0:32:00.640 --> 0:32:03.560
<v Speaker 1>you've got a supply crunch, you know, it's everywhere, supply

0:32:03.680 --> 0:32:07.200
<v Speaker 1>crunch everywhere. Ed Ludlow Safe Travel. You gotta get back

0:32:07.200 --> 0:32:10.520
<v Speaker 1>to Katie so you guys can anchor tomorrow Bloomberg cricktake together.

0:32:10.680 --> 0:32:13.920
<v Speaker 1>Ed Ludlow, West Coast correspondent Bloomberg News on the phone

0:32:14.520 --> 0:32:17.640
<v Speaker 1>actually at Kennedy Space Center in Florida. Still you don't

0:32:17.680 --> 0:32:20.520
<v Speaker 1>want to go? No, I'm not there yet, but happy

0:32:20.560 --> 0:32:22.600
<v Speaker 1>to watch other people do it. All right. Well, my

0:32:22.640 --> 0:32:25.000
<v Speaker 1>guess is we're going to continue to see the billionaires

0:32:25.000 --> 0:32:33.760
<v Speaker 1>and others going up into space. I'm roc journal. Yeah,

0:32:33.840 --> 0:32:38.320
<v Speaker 1>but you let me drive? No, no, no, dr honey,

0:32:38.560 --> 0:32:46.120
<v Speaker 1>please the vel I want to drive. Just drive by

0:32:48.920 --> 0:32:58.840
<v Speaker 1>the questions drying. This is the drive to the globe.

0:32:59.480 --> 0:33:04.080
<v Speaker 1>Nive me. Thanks well, try US radio. Just about ten

0:33:04.080 --> 0:33:06.840
<v Speaker 1>and a half minutes left in today's trading session. We are,

0:33:06.840 --> 0:33:09.440
<v Speaker 1>as Charlie mentioned, well off our loads of the session,

0:33:09.520 --> 0:33:11.920
<v Speaker 1>slight gain in fact on the NAZAC as we speak.

0:33:12.200 --> 0:33:13.959
<v Speaker 1>Let's get to it, the drive to the close. Our

0:33:13.960 --> 0:33:16.680
<v Speaker 1>guest today is Chris Dyer, director of Global Equity, over

0:33:16.720 --> 0:33:19.720
<v Speaker 1>at Eaton Vance with us on the phone in London. Chris,

0:33:19.840 --> 0:33:22.440
<v Speaker 1>nice to have you here with Katie and myself. You

0:33:22.480 --> 0:33:24.640
<v Speaker 1>look at the market, you look at the trade today,

0:33:24.720 --> 0:33:28.000
<v Speaker 1>September not a great month, although when you really look

0:33:28.000 --> 0:33:30.600
<v Speaker 1>at the percentages, at least for the US trade, we're

0:33:30.640 --> 0:33:33.959
<v Speaker 1>just down by maybe a percentage point or so, especially

0:33:34.000 --> 0:33:35.960
<v Speaker 1>when it comes to the large cap names, how do

0:33:36.000 --> 0:33:38.400
<v Speaker 1>you see the market environment and and feel free to

0:33:38.400 --> 0:33:42.360
<v Speaker 1>expand it in terms of the global environment. Sure, and

0:33:42.440 --> 0:33:45.000
<v Speaker 1>thanks for having me. I think you know, what we've

0:33:45.040 --> 0:33:46.840
<v Speaker 1>seen in the market over the last couple of weeks

0:33:46.880 --> 0:33:50.920
<v Speaker 1>is really emblematic of the broader challenge with the equity market.

0:33:50.960 --> 0:33:54.080
<v Speaker 1>I think the equity market is becoming increasingly difficult to

0:33:54.240 --> 0:33:57.920
<v Speaker 1>navigate from pure top down perspective, as it had been

0:33:57.920 --> 0:34:00.840
<v Speaker 1>over the last several years. If you think back um

0:34:00.880 --> 0:34:03.520
<v Speaker 1>a few years ago, it was really growth and momentum

0:34:03.560 --> 0:34:07.960
<v Speaker 1>was driving the market, and then earlier late two thousand

0:34:08.000 --> 0:34:13.120
<v Speaker 1>twenty and then early the reopening trade really shifted rotation

0:34:13.160 --> 0:34:16.719
<v Speaker 1>into cyclicals and value stocks, and that's played out now,

0:34:16.880 --> 0:34:18.680
<v Speaker 1>and so I think the market is really trying to

0:34:18.719 --> 0:34:21.719
<v Speaker 1>find a direction and there's a lot of tug of

0:34:21.719 --> 0:34:24.400
<v Speaker 1>war going on between factors that you drive the market

0:34:24.400 --> 0:34:28.319
<v Speaker 1>potentially higher, but also some challenges and concerns that are

0:34:28.320 --> 0:34:30.840
<v Speaker 1>facing the market. And so I think that the bottom

0:34:30.840 --> 0:34:33.360
<v Speaker 1>line from our perspective is that you really need to

0:34:33.360 --> 0:34:35.600
<v Speaker 1>focus on stock selection. It needs to be some good

0:34:35.840 --> 0:34:40.680
<v Speaker 1>bottom up stock specific stories to drive returns, which is

0:34:40.680 --> 0:34:44.040
<v Speaker 1>a great market environment for active managers. Well, let's talk

0:34:44.080 --> 0:34:47.839
<v Speaker 1>about that, Chris. I mean when it comes to individual stocks, Uh,

0:34:48.160 --> 0:34:52.400
<v Speaker 1>what are you keeping an eye on a mix of

0:34:52.440 --> 0:34:55.600
<v Speaker 1>different companies? And again, um, you know, I highlight some

0:34:55.680 --> 0:34:59.600
<v Speaker 1>European names because Europe's sent out of focus for US

0:34:59.640 --> 0:35:02.600
<v Speaker 1>invest years for many years. Um you know, and we

0:35:02.760 --> 0:35:06.359
<v Speaker 1>are firm believers, um that you know, the outperformance going

0:35:06.400 --> 0:35:08.560
<v Speaker 1>forward in the coming years should be driven by Europe.

0:35:08.560 --> 0:35:12.000
<v Speaker 1>It's time for a geographical rotation. And so a few

0:35:12.000 --> 0:35:14.240
<v Speaker 1>of the names that you know I would highlight should

0:35:14.239 --> 0:35:18.600
<v Speaker 1>be relatively familiar. Atlantis that's the company that it's an

0:35:18.600 --> 0:35:21.880
<v Speaker 1>auto manufacturer that was created for the merger of Fiat

0:35:21.920 --> 0:35:25.359
<v Speaker 1>Chrysler and Pigeau. Um they came together earlier this year,

0:35:25.360 --> 0:35:28.640
<v Speaker 1>and there's just a tremendous amount of synergies that are

0:35:28.680 --> 0:35:31.560
<v Speaker 1>going to be delivered by the CEO, Carlos Davars, who

0:35:31.600 --> 0:35:33.239
<v Speaker 1>we have a lot of respect for and he's a

0:35:33.320 --> 0:35:38.120
<v Speaker 1>grab a great long term track, traffic track record, and um,

0:35:38.200 --> 0:35:39.879
<v Speaker 1>you know, this is a company that trades on the

0:35:40.040 --> 0:35:42.399
<v Speaker 1>mid single digit price to earnings multiple and so there's

0:35:42.400 --> 0:35:46.640
<v Speaker 1>a real value aspect of this company. And um, you know,

0:35:46.640 --> 0:35:50.200
<v Speaker 1>there's a stock specific story, real improvement story to come through.

0:35:50.600 --> 0:35:52.520
<v Speaker 1>And then on the other side of the equation, a

0:35:52.560 --> 0:35:56.160
<v Speaker 1>company like Nova Nordisk, which is a Danish pharmaceuticals company.

0:35:56.440 --> 0:35:58.879
<v Speaker 1>They are the global leader in what they do, which

0:35:58.960 --> 0:36:03.040
<v Speaker 1>is uh the They basically have leading diabetes drugs, which

0:36:03.120 --> 0:36:07.239
<v Speaker 1>is unfortunately been a growing market across the globe. But

0:36:07.320 --> 0:36:09.920
<v Speaker 1>now it's interesting and you know, the next leg of

0:36:10.360 --> 0:36:13.320
<v Speaker 1>growth for them in years to come is the release

0:36:13.480 --> 0:36:16.240
<v Speaker 1>of a new obesity drug, which is called we Govie.

0:36:16.719 --> 0:36:19.600
<v Speaker 1>And if you just think about the market opportunity for

0:36:19.640 --> 0:36:23.520
<v Speaker 1>an obesity drug, you know, estimates are that in two

0:36:23.520 --> 0:36:26.239
<v Speaker 1>thousand twenty five across the globe there could be one

0:36:26.280 --> 0:36:30.520
<v Speaker 1>billion obese people. Hey hey, so let me just ask you, Chris,

0:36:30.560 --> 0:36:31.759
<v Speaker 1>both of those names. If I look at the a

0:36:31.840 --> 0:36:33.680
<v Speaker 1>d R s, I'm thinking of our audience that might

0:36:33.719 --> 0:36:36.160
<v Speaker 1>be listening here in the US, it looks like both

0:36:36.160 --> 0:36:37.600
<v Speaker 1>of those ad r s have been on a tear

0:36:37.760 --> 0:36:42.680
<v Speaker 1>this year. Stilantis is up almost fort Novo Nordisk is

0:36:42.760 --> 0:36:46.000
<v Speaker 1>up almost forty seven percent. Still opportunity though, you think

0:36:46.080 --> 0:36:50.600
<v Speaker 1>for upside momentum, that's right, And and in each of

0:36:50.600 --> 0:36:53.200
<v Speaker 1>those cases there is something that we think will be

0:36:53.239 --> 0:36:56.919
<v Speaker 1>a catalyst for further share price moves in the years

0:36:56.960 --> 0:37:00.279
<v Speaker 1>to come. You know, we are long term investors and UM,

0:37:00.600 --> 0:37:03.720
<v Speaker 1>these are companies that we believe, you know, will continue

0:37:03.760 --> 0:37:06.160
<v Speaker 1>to do well in years to come. They're very different, however,

0:37:06.320 --> 0:37:09.200
<v Speaker 1>and that sort of goes back to what I said earlier.

0:37:09.239 --> 0:37:11.960
<v Speaker 1>It's not gonna be one top down factor that's driving

0:37:11.960 --> 0:37:15.600
<v Speaker 1>the market. So the Lantis is very much in value stock. Uh.

0:37:15.640 --> 0:37:20.439
<v Speaker 1>Nova Nordis is a growth pharmaceutical company. UM. It trades

0:37:20.440 --> 0:37:22.920
<v Speaker 1>on the much higher price earnings multiple, but they have

0:37:23.840 --> 0:37:27.400
<v Speaker 1>a new drug that we believe will catalyze growth for

0:37:27.480 --> 0:37:29.600
<v Speaker 1>them in years to come, given the results that they're

0:37:29.640 --> 0:37:31.839
<v Speaker 1>having in the efficacy of the drug. Just to jump in, though,

0:37:31.840 --> 0:37:34.920
<v Speaker 1>you did say not one top down factor impacting these names.

0:37:34.960 --> 0:37:38.439
<v Speaker 1>Having said that, we've had one top down, bottom down

0:37:38.520 --> 0:37:41.480
<v Speaker 1>or bottom up factor, and that's been Covid, How does

0:37:41.520 --> 0:37:43.840
<v Speaker 1>that factor into your thinking. I understand the approach of

0:37:43.840 --> 0:37:47.319
<v Speaker 1>bottoms up analysis, but Covid is still out there. So

0:37:47.440 --> 0:37:49.160
<v Speaker 1>does that play into any of your thinking about some

0:37:49.200 --> 0:37:53.360
<v Speaker 1>of these names. I think that there will for many companies,

0:37:53.400 --> 0:37:55.719
<v Speaker 1>there will be disruption in the short term. UM. If

0:37:55.760 --> 0:37:59.080
<v Speaker 1>you think of a pharmaceutical company, not so much UM

0:37:59.239 --> 0:38:02.759
<v Speaker 1>from that perspective of but within the auto space, we

0:38:02.880 --> 0:38:06.080
<v Speaker 1>typically have avoided investing in O E M. S UM.

0:38:06.200 --> 0:38:09.480
<v Speaker 1>And you know, if you look at the the environment

0:38:09.520 --> 0:38:12.440
<v Speaker 1>and the challenges that are facing the auto sector in

0:38:12.600 --> 0:38:16.280
<v Speaker 1>terms of shortage of semiconductor stocks, really impacting the ability

0:38:16.320 --> 0:38:19.319
<v Speaker 1>to companies to meet demand. Yeah, that is a short

0:38:19.400 --> 0:38:22.520
<v Speaker 1>term disruption and UM part of that is related to

0:38:22.520 --> 0:38:26.080
<v Speaker 1>covid um because of the availability of of workers, particularly

0:38:26.239 --> 0:38:30.719
<v Speaker 1>in UM semiconductor plants in Malaysia. So UM, there there

0:38:30.760 --> 0:38:33.319
<v Speaker 1>will be continue to be disruption in the short term.

0:38:33.360 --> 0:38:36.480
<v Speaker 1>But you know, again we believe the investors should really

0:38:36.480 --> 0:38:39.640
<v Speaker 1>focus on companies with good long term stories that are

0:38:39.680 --> 0:38:44.040
<v Speaker 1>not going to be too dependent on this factor investing. Yeah,

0:38:44.040 --> 0:38:46.520
<v Speaker 1>and Chris, it was interesting to hear you run through

0:38:46.520 --> 0:38:48.160
<v Speaker 1>your picks and like you noted, I mean, you have

0:38:48.200 --> 0:38:50.440
<v Speaker 1>some growth names in there, you have some value names

0:38:50.600 --> 0:38:53.319
<v Speaker 1>and uh, you know you just said that, you know

0:38:53.400 --> 0:38:55.839
<v Speaker 1>when it comes to factors, not really relying on that,

0:38:55.880 --> 0:38:59.239
<v Speaker 1>but what is the common denominator if there is one

0:38:59.360 --> 0:39:02.480
<v Speaker 1>between some of those individual picks and just got about

0:39:02.480 --> 0:39:07.279
<v Speaker 1>forty seconds. Sure, Uh, sustainable business models, Yeah, that is

0:39:07.320 --> 0:39:10.120
<v Speaker 1>what we look for in the Calvit international equity strategy

0:39:10.400 --> 0:39:13.160
<v Speaker 1>in which we're managing. Uh, look for companies that we

0:39:13.200 --> 0:39:14.960
<v Speaker 1>have a good feel for what they're gonna look like

0:39:15.280 --> 0:39:17.600
<v Speaker 1>in decades to come, and have a good understanding of

0:39:17.600 --> 0:39:21.480
<v Speaker 1>what earnings and growth opportunities are there for them. That's

0:39:21.520 --> 0:39:24.879
<v Speaker 1>some sound advice. UM, I like that, sustainable business models. Hey, Chris,

0:39:24.920 --> 0:39:27.520
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much, really appreciate it. Chris Dyer, he's

0:39:27.560 --> 0:39:29.800
<v Speaker 1>director of Global Equity, over to eat in vance, joining

0:39:29.880 --> 0:39:32.120
<v Speaker 1>us on the phone from London. Uh, you know, the

0:39:32.120 --> 0:39:34.560
<v Speaker 1>bottoms up approach. We hear that from a lot of

0:39:35.000 --> 0:39:37.239
<v Speaker 1>folks that you know, if you look at particular names,

0:39:37.280 --> 0:39:40.480
<v Speaker 1>if you understand their business, understand maybe their growth trajectory,

0:39:40.680 --> 0:39:42.480
<v Speaker 1>that's how you can make an investment decision. Yeah. And

0:39:42.520 --> 0:39:45.279
<v Speaker 1>there's probably a lot of active managers to Chris's point,

0:39:45.320 --> 0:39:47.880
<v Speaker 1>they're listening to that and saying, bring it on, let's go.

0:39:49.239 --> 0:39:52.080
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0:39:52.120 --> 0:39:55.080
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0:39:55.120 --> 0:39:57.280
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0:39:57.280 --> 0:40:00.440
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0:40:00.440 --> 0:40:02.960
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