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Speaker 1: This is the Action Network podcast, but this one is good.

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Speaker 1: All right. Here we go throwing in so spec I'm

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Speaker 1: saying it to cash touchtop.

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Speaker 2: We see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 2: go to Wind.

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Speaker 1: That's incredible, big banks, ball bank. I like to make money.

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Speaker 1: All right, This is the ultimate KABA and we are underway.

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Speaker 2: Hello, and welcome to the Action Network Podcast. I'm your host,

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Speaker 2: Brandon Anderson here with Raheem Palmer. After a very wild

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Speaker 2: and a full week, eleven bad day to be a

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Speaker 2: first place team in your division. The Bills lost, the

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Speaker 2: Titans loss, the Packers and Cowboys lost. Apparently, the only

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Speaker 2: way you can win your division today is you start

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Speaker 2: your backup. Colt McCoy and Tyler Huntley got the wins. Raheem,

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Speaker 2: are there any good teams in the NFL this year?

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Speaker 1: I think there's good teams.

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Speaker 3: I just don't think that there's that elite team that

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Speaker 3: totally stands out from the rest of these teams.

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Speaker 1: I mean, this is the NFL.

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Speaker 3: I think we see this on a regular basis, but

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Speaker 3: I think this year it's it's even more extreme.

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Speaker 1: So, I mean it's really interesting. He it's very interesting.

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Speaker 2: Aaron Schatz at Football Outsiders, that's where they do the

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Speaker 2: DVA numbers. He tweeted out that this is only the

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Speaker 2: second season since nineteen eighty eight that there's no team

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Speaker 2: with a thirty percent DVOA or better. I know that

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Speaker 2: number doesn't mean too much, but basically just saying there's

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Speaker 2: nobody that we know for sure is good. Like you

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Speaker 2: want your number to be very high, and there's just

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Speaker 2: no standout. Even the Bills who were number one DVOA

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Speaker 2: and then lost so badly today might still be number

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Speaker 2: one DVA when the number is clear tomorrow because there's

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Speaker 2: just nobody else to replace them. Right now as I'm

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Speaker 2: looking at this at bt MGM, the official odds provider

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Speaker 2: for our podcast, as all is, nine teams have Super

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Speaker 2: Bowl at twelve to one or shorter. Nine quarterbacks have

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Speaker 2: MVP odds at fourteen to one or shorter. We'll get

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Speaker 2: into all of it. We will do our recap like usual,

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Speaker 2: we'll preview Monday Night football and do our week twelve

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Speaker 2: hot read and a little bonus for you guys. Today

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Speaker 2: we are off where hum and I are off this

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Speaker 2: Friday for Thanksgiving.

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Speaker 1: You'll still have a six pack later in the week.

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Speaker 2: But since we're off 'erehem and I are going to

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Speaker 2: finish with a little bonus hot read a little bonus

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Speaker 2: hot Thanksgiving meal for you at the end of our podcast.

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Speaker 2: Take a look at those games for you too. So

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Speaker 2: let's dig in right away. We're gonna whip through some

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Speaker 2: of these games. Hopefully we'll start out where we finish

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Speaker 2: the night with that wild Steelers Chargers shootout. About halfway through,

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Speaker 2: I thought we'd be able to just kind of skip

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Speaker 2: right over this one. It looked like the Chargers are

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Speaker 2: running away with it. And then man, the Chargers chargers

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Speaker 2: so hard. We thought the Chargers were done chargers ing

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Speaker 2: this year, and they tried to give that away. They

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Speaker 2: had the block punt, they had the tipped interception, Steelers

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Speaker 2: come all the way back. Chargers win. Anyway, what's your

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Speaker 2: big takeaway from this game?

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Speaker 3: My big takeaway from this game is that the Steelers

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Speaker 3: defense isn't the same defense that we've seen the last

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Speaker 3: couple of years. Obviously, they could be scored upon, and

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Speaker 3: this Chargers team, as much as we wanted them to

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Speaker 3: be different under Brandon Staley, they're the same Chargers team

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Speaker 3: that's going to break your heart. I mean, obviously he

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Speaker 3: pulled it out, but they're gonna charge her as much

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Speaker 3: as they can charge.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, I think my takeaway I agree with that.

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Speaker 2: You know, this is a great game to test. Were

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Speaker 2: you watching the game when you check the box score stats,

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Speaker 2: Cameron Hayward was absolute just stud just everywhere in this game,

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Speaker 2: just wreaking havoc on the line. You check the line,

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Speaker 2: two tackles, one pass defense, you never know. He was

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Speaker 2: barely even out there, but it was like him and

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Speaker 2: a bunch of high schoolers playing defense in this game.

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Speaker 1: Because the Steelers were so short, TJ. A.

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Speaker 2: Watta is out, making Fitzpatrick is out like directly cost

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Speaker 2: them the game. Fitzpatrick would never have been up that

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Speaker 2: long Mike Williams touchdown at the end.

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Speaker 1: So a weird game.

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Speaker 2: My big takeaway here, I know that it kind of

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Speaker 2: got wonkylight justin.

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Speaker 1: Herbert was incredible this game.

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Speaker 2: Like all the praise we heaped on Herbert early in

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Speaker 2: the year that was a little too early. This was

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Speaker 2: the one like last week when I talked about Herbert

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Speaker 2: as a top five quarterback.

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Speaker 1: And maybe it was early, but this is the reason.

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Speaker 2: A game like this where Herbert is just dealing, he

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Speaker 2: was hitting tight windows. He ran for almost one hundred yards.

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Speaker 2: Felt like every third down Herbert made the play, and

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Speaker 2: in a weird, wild game, it felt like Herbert just

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Speaker 2: was the MVP of the game and willed the team

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Speaker 2: to victory, just won it himself.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I mean I totally agree with that. Obviously.

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Speaker 1: You look at the numbers.

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Speaker 3: Thirty or forty one, three hundred and eighty two yards,

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Speaker 3: three touchdowns, and then one pick was just it was

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Speaker 3: it was a fluke. So this guy, he's absolutely incredible.

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Speaker 3: He had a total EPA of twenty three point four.

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Speaker 3: This guy, you have a quarterback like this just set

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Speaker 3: up for the next ten to fifteen years, so they're

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Speaker 3: in good shape.

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Speaker 2: Herbert was zero point four to four EPA per play,

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Speaker 2: which is already very good on late downs, third and

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Speaker 2: fourth down one point two to three EPA per play

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Speaker 2: for Justin Herbert. So yeah, that's that's gonna get the

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Speaker 2: job done pretty well. He had that big late touchdown

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Speaker 2: on Mike Williams when they finally let him actually throw

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Speaker 2: down field. My guy, Austin Eckler. Four touchdowns, not even

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Speaker 2: the best fantasy performance of the day, just just a

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Speaker 2: wild game.

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Speaker 1: That the first half flew by, we had six drives.

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Speaker 2: Basically the second half we had fifteen drives, just back

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Speaker 2: and forth. NBC literally ran out of commercials. We went

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Speaker 2: to the two minute warning. They're like, we'll just stay here.

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Speaker 2: We don't have any commercials left and stock like, when

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Speaker 2: does television run out of commercials? Just crazy Chargers five

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Speaker 2: hundred and thirty five yards to three hundred yards.

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Speaker 1: So this is a game.

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Speaker 2: They dominate every facet. They averaged eight yards of play

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Speaker 2: until the kneel downs at the end, and so they

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Speaker 2: really should have won big and they were most of

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Speaker 2: the way.

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I did enjoy, well, I didn't enjoy. So you know,

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Speaker 2: I had a cold Steelers money line parlot. This was

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Speaker 2: my double upset special. Ten to one didn't come through

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Speaker 2: for me. I also added in Texans for another three

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Speaker 2: way money line special at what was a forty six

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Speaker 2: to one, a little bit smaller. I thought I had it.

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Speaker 2: I thought we came all the way back. I probably

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Speaker 2: should have hatched out or cashed.

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Speaker 1: Out along the way.

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Speaker 2: Big Brand, Big Ben, staying on brand fourth and thirty two,

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Speaker 2: last play of the game, throws a five yard checkdown

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Speaker 2: and that's it. So that's pretty much the old Steelers

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Speaker 2: that we saw along the way.

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Speaker 1: You got anything else on this one. It's gonna be interesting.

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Speaker 1: The City charges next week.

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Speaker 3: I got a divisional opponent, same with the Steelers, so

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Speaker 3: we'll see what happens.

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Speaker 2: So as we were wrapping up this wild day of football,

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Speaker 2: I was like, okay, so what all happened again today?

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Speaker 1: Oh?

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Speaker 2: That's right, my Minnesota Vikings beat the Packers. I legitimately forgot.

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Speaker 2: It was so long ago and there's so much that happened.

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Speaker 2: That was a back and forth game. Vikings win thirty

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Speaker 2: four to thirty one. You know, the line was basically

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Speaker 2: made this close to a pick'em, and that's how the

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Speaker 2: game played out. It was back and forth and Kirk

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Speaker 2: Cousins and Aaron Rodgers just dealing. Both of them were

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Speaker 2: incredible in this game. This was a true who has

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Speaker 2: the ball last wins the game. The Vikings actually did it.

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Speaker 2: They actually fell down inside the ten and made sure

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Speaker 2: that mister Rogers didn't get the ball anymore. They actually

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Speaker 2: made the field goal and they got the lokoff. When

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Speaker 2: I'm proud of my Vikings. You got me on this one.

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Speaker 2: You're all over Minnesota.

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Speaker 3: Oh yeah, like I mean, I love Minnesota. Last week

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Speaker 3: I actually gave it out. Here were some threes in

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Speaker 3: the market early on. I told you guys, grab a three.

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Speaker 3: So hopefully you guys grabbed it, but you didn't need it.

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Speaker 3: I mean, we look at this Minnesota Vikings team. They've

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Speaker 3: been absolutely dominated and they led by seven points in

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Speaker 3: every single game this year. This game it was no different.

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Speaker 3: Like when you look at Justin Jefferson. He was an

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Speaker 3: absolute stud in his game. He had one hundred yards

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Speaker 3: receiving at the end of the first cool. Everything you

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Speaker 3: wanted from a receiver you got from Justin Jefferson. I

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Speaker 3: think the one takeaway for this game is that Minnesota

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Speaker 3: still can't hold onto leads. And I don't know what

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Speaker 3: it is, but when you look at their numbers this year,

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Speaker 3: they're just two and two when leading by thirteen points

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Speaker 3: this year, and they had a double digit lead and

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Speaker 3: they let Aaron Rodgers come back and take the lead.

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Speaker 3: So this Vikings team, to me, I said it before,

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Speaker 3: I said it on Twitter. If anybody but Mike Zimmer

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Speaker 3: was coaching this team, I'd be taking them to win

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Speaker 3: a Super Bowl.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, I have to admit, even though I'm

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Speaker 2: a Vikings fan, which automatically makes me a nihilist, and

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Speaker 2: I assume the worst. I wait for the other shoot

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Speaker 2: to drop at all times. Just like ten fifteen minutes ago,

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Speaker 2: I was looking at the Super Bowl eyes and I

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Speaker 2: was like, you know, if there's nobody that's actually good,

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Speaker 2: could the Vikings be the team that's good?

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Speaker 1: Like there is room for that.

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Speaker 2: Team that gets like some team is gonna get hot,

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Speaker 2: and Minnesota certainly has the talent to get hot. The

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Speaker 2: Packers obviously have the talent to get hot. Both these

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Speaker 2: offenses were going back and forth. I agree, Justin Jefferson

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Speaker 2: was incredible in this game. I tweeted out about that too.

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Speaker 2: He's playing as well as any receiver in the NFL

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Speaker 2: right now. He was at one point seventy five EPA

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Speaker 2: per play, get twenty one EPA this game for a

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Speaker 2: receiver twenty one. I don't know if I've seen too

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Speaker 2: many games like that. They threw him, threw twelve times

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Speaker 2: toward him. He ended up drawing a thirty seven yard

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Speaker 2: pass interference, so that picked up a first down. Hit

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Speaker 2: eight catches for one hundred and six yards and two touchdowns.

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Speaker 2: Could have been three. He couldn't quite stretch out that

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Speaker 2: last one, but he got real close. Yeah, just an

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Speaker 2: incredible game. As a Vikings fan, I was obviously excited.

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Speaker 2: I picked the Packers in this one. The one note

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Speaker 2: I had I felt very good about everything Packers. The

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Speaker 2: one note in my thing said unless Justin Jefferson just

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Speaker 2: takes over. And that's what happened this game. He just

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Speaker 2: he took over, and the Vikings are letting him take

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Speaker 2: over too. I'll say this too. The Vikings galaxy brain

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Speaker 2: led Aaron Rodgers go deep for that MVS touchdown, get

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Speaker 2: the ball out of Rogers hands. All they could do

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Speaker 2: is tied up and then the Rodgers never got the

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Speaker 2: ball again. That's just next level thinking.

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Speaker 3: I think one thing we got to mention is that

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Speaker 3: over the last three games before this game, and so

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Speaker 3: last four games last month, really the Packers defense has

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Speaker 3: been showing up and they didn't have some of their

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Speaker 3: main guys. So if you look over the last month,

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Speaker 3: somehow they've gotten better. They Hotel Washington at ten points.

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Speaker 3: They held this Arizona Cardal offense to twenty one points,

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Speaker 3: the Chiefs to just thirteen points. So a lot of

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Speaker 3: people were coming in crowning. This team is a championship defense.

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Speaker 3: And I think the one thing that we saw today

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Speaker 3: is we saw some aggression.

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Speaker 1: What do you make of it? Because I'm curious with

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Speaker 1: shit thoughts on.

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Speaker 2: Does that mean, like where what's the credit here? Is

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Speaker 2: the credit that have we overrated the Packers defense? Or

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Speaker 2: do we have to give credit to the Vikings because

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Speaker 2: the passing attack has really been good? And if you

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Speaker 2: look at you know, the pfil Ray Pro Football Focus

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Speaker 2: and the epas, all the fancy ratings love Kirk Cousins

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Speaker 2: this year. I don't I'm a Vikings fan, but their

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Speaker 2: metrics love him. He's been better than Rodgers by a

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Speaker 2: lot of the metrics. So is this that the Packers

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Speaker 2: defense has been overrated? Or is this that the Vikings

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Speaker 2: just really are that good passing and Jefferson really is

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Speaker 2: that good.

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Speaker 1: I think it's a little bit of both. To me,

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I definitely. I think it's definitely a little

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Speaker 1: bit of both.

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Speaker 2: Some weird plays in this one down the stretch, of course,

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Speaker 2: like the Vikings are the new Seahawks, there's just no

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Speaker 2: normal games every week. It's something Aaron Rodgers had the

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Speaker 2: play where the clock is running down. He tries to

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Speaker 2: call time out, but they already snapped it. So the

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Speaker 2: defense sees him trying to call time out and basically

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Speaker 2: lets up and he throws a touchdown on it, so

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Speaker 2: we get that one. Of course, in the final drive,

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Speaker 2: Vikings is the ball back Kirk throws in interception. I

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Speaker 2: think on the first play of the drive to Darnell

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Speaker 2: Savage gets overturned because it dropped Darnald Savage.

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Speaker 1: Big game for him.

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Speaker 2: He had that thirty seven yard defensive pass interference hit

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Speaker 2: two in or seven I got overturned one by roughing

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Speaker 2: the passer one on that one. A couple of plays later,

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Speaker 2: Kirk throws the ball so badly to Adam Thielen that

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Speaker 2: the Green Bay guy ran the route for feeling and

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Speaker 2: over ran the route and the ball is behind him

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Speaker 2: and Feeling somehow caught it for a big play, just

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Speaker 2: just purely a who has the ball last game, big loss.

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Speaker 1: For Green Bay.

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Speaker 2: Elchtin Jenkins their their left guard slash tackle who's been

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Speaker 2: filling in for bak Tiari.

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Speaker 1: He left hurt.

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Speaker 2: It looks like possible acl right as Bachtiari's is maybe

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Speaker 2: about to come back.

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Speaker 1: So that sucks.

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Speaker 2: That's another big name who's played really well for them.

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Speaker 2: Rogers is talking too afterward about how he has his

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Speaker 2: toe has been an injury. He got stepped on again,

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Speaker 2: he's been in pain. So yeah, the Packers, they're playing well.

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Speaker 2: They obviously could have won this game. But man, the

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Speaker 2: big names, I don't think they're getting a ton of injuries,

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Speaker 2: but the key injuries, the key names on the roster

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Speaker 2: starting to get a little worrisome.

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Speaker 1: How high should I get on my vikings right now?

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Speaker 2: So Minnesota is five and five, they're the sixth seed

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Speaker 2: right now, they're back in the playoffs. Huge game next

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Speaker 2: week at San Francisco, who's playing really well. But if

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Speaker 2: they get that one Lions, Steelers Bears next, there's a

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Speaker 2: real chance here for Minnesota to go on a run

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Speaker 2: six to one in the division. Are you sniffering around

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Speaker 2: a little bit? Is Minnesota playoff team? What do you

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Speaker 2: think is the upside here?

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Speaker 3: I mean, you know, I've been picking Minnesota in almost

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Speaker 3: every single week, so you know, I think they are

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Speaker 3: a playoff team. And then obviously you name your schedule.

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Speaker 3: After the forty ninetys, they got the Lions still as

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Speaker 3: Bears and Zimmer even with all the defensive losses. They

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Speaker 3: He's still been able to put together a respectable defense.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, the defense has definitely gotten a lot better even

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Speaker 2: with their losses. I think I'm out on the division

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Speaker 2: odds still and they're playing well. Minnesota always always struggles

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Speaker 2: in Chicago, no matter how badly the Bears are playing.

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Speaker 2: Minnesota is gonna have to play in Green Bays still,

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Speaker 2: and to win the division, they basically have to win

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Speaker 2: that game because that would give them the tie break

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Speaker 2: were Green Bay and you can't lose that head to head.

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Speaker 1: You're better off if you like that.

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Speaker 2: Just just play those games, play you know, the underdog odds,

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Speaker 2: and you get there. But it you know, I'm a

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Speaker 2: little less nihilistic right now than I was yesterday on

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Speaker 2: my Vikings. Other teams who are nihilistic include the Buffalo Bills.

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Speaker 2: We Vikings and Bills fans know what it feels like

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Speaker 2: to lose in a.

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Speaker 1: Lot of Super Bowls. Buffalo.

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Speaker 2: Today, I was all over Indianapolis on this one plus

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Speaker 2: seven plus two forty on the money line, and boy,

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Speaker 2: I thought the Colts would hang in there and maybe

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Speaker 2: win a close one.

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Speaker 1: This was not that at all.

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Speaker 2: This was a blowout. Colts forty one fifteen. The Colts

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Speaker 2: dominated from start to finish. I don't even know where

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Speaker 2: to start. Is this more about Indianapolis to you? Or

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Speaker 2: is this Buffalo lang and Egg.

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Speaker 3: We even want to phrase it Buffalo lang at egg

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Speaker 3: because when you look at Buffalo schedule, they're just two

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Speaker 3: and four when they haven't played Miami, the New York

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Speaker 3: Jets in the Houston Texas.

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Speaker 2: Like, wow, that's certainly a way to frame it. That

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Speaker 2: is a rough schedule. You take those games out and

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Speaker 2: that is not saying a whole lot about them.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so it's like, how do you even look at Buffalo?

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Speaker 3: And when I think the big thing is it appears

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Speaker 3: that Josh Allen is his regrets to Josh Allen.

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Speaker 1: That we saw his first two years in the league.

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Speaker 2: I agree Josh Allen is a rough one for him.

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Speaker 2: He had interception early, he had another interception that got

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Speaker 2: overturned rightfully so because it hit the ground, another interception late,

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Speaker 2: just really missing his guys. He had a few nice throws,

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Speaker 2: a nice throw the Digs touchdown, got some late throws

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Speaker 2: after the game was basically over. But it's just it's

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Speaker 2: too inconsistent and too many misses and yeah, it's this

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Speaker 2: is clearly clearly not Josh Allen from last year. Even

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Speaker 2: as of an hour ago, Josh Allen still at that

337
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Speaker 2: point was the MVP favorite.

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Speaker 1: And I was like, what are we doing?

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Speaker 2: What does Josh Allen have to do to not be

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Speaker 2: the MVP favorite. Finally, now Allen is not the MVP favorite.

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Speaker 2: Tom Brady has moved into the lead, but Allen's still

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Speaker 2: a second. The Bills are still up near the top

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Speaker 2: of the rankings. I don't understand it anymore, Like everything

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Speaker 2: you just said, how can the Bills still be at

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Speaker 2: the top or near the top of the AFC. I

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Speaker 2: think they're the second favorite right now in the AFC.

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Speaker 2: Josh Allen's the second favorite in the MVP race. How

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Speaker 2: far out on Buffalo are you right now? I'm very

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Speaker 2: far out.

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Speaker 3: And I think a lot of it has to do

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Speaker 3: with their schedule and this team look their first and

352
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Speaker 3: EPA can play on defense first and successfully. But it

353
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Speaker 3: appears that a lot of this was built on the

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Speaker 3: fact that they didn't play a tough schedule. And obviously

355
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Speaker 3: they did take down the Chiefs, so they got they

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Speaker 3: got some respect in that regard. But if this offense

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Speaker 3: isn't gonna be what it was. Then they're in trouble,

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Speaker 3: and obviously they have some some key defensive losses. Anytime

359
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Speaker 3: you got Jonathan Taylor out there scoring five touchdown four

360
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Speaker 3: one hundred and eighty five yards is quite telling the

361
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Speaker 3: state of this defense and the coach. Two of sixty

362
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Speaker 3: four rushing yards were the most Bills opponed in the

363
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Speaker 3: last three season.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think to me, this game tells me a

365
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Speaker 2: lot more about the Bills defense than the offense. Look,

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Speaker 2: we already knew the offense wasn't great like it was

367
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Speaker 2: a year ago, but the defense came into this one

368
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Speaker 2: number one in the DVO ranking DVOA rankings, and they

369
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Speaker 2: just couldn't get off the field until the Colts took

370
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Speaker 2: their starters out. They scored on seven of eight drives.

371
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Speaker 2: They had long drives eleven, ten and fifteen plays. They

372
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Speaker 2: had five scoring drives of fifty seven yards or more.

373
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Speaker 2: They just kept just going down the field. Had the

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Speaker 2: ball thirty eight minutes, only twenty two for the Bills.

375
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Speaker 2: Because of all that running game, the Bills turned it

376
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Speaker 2: over all game. They had four turnovers. Josh Allen couldn't

377
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Speaker 2: make plays. Taylor had the huge game.

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Speaker 1: I will say this it it does.

379
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Speaker 2: Feel like the score lopsided itself a little bit more

380
00:17:57,920 --> 00:18:00,639
Speaker 2: than the game actually was. Like, you know, there was

381
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Speaker 2: that play early on the Colts get a field goal,

382
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Speaker 2: kick it off and the Bills got Mackenzie brings the

383
00:18:06,000 --> 00:18:09,360
Speaker 2: ball out and literally just trips on the turf, falls

384
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Speaker 2: down and the ball comes out and because no one

385
00:18:11,560 --> 00:18:14,320
Speaker 2: touched him, that's a fumble and the Colts score touchdown

386
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Speaker 2: the next play.

387
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Speaker 3: There.

388
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Speaker 2: You know, sometimes just everything goes wrong. And before we

389
00:18:20,119 --> 00:18:22,520
Speaker 2: too much overreact to Buffalo, it did seem like this

390
00:18:22,640 --> 00:18:25,680
Speaker 2: wasn't everything goes wrong game, like we're just it feels

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Speaker 2: like the field is slanted against you and you just

392
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Speaker 2: can't quite get up. So I don't know, like this

393
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Speaker 2: is not the Bills are terrible and going to miss

394
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Speaker 2: the playoffs. The Bills are actually still favored to win

395
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Speaker 2: the division right now, even as hot as New England is,

396
00:18:40,080 --> 00:18:43,280
Speaker 2: but they have lost now three or five. Josh Allen

397
00:18:43,320 --> 00:18:46,679
Speaker 2: has thrown six interceptions in those five games. And they

398
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Speaker 2: also this is a team that ranked number one invariance

399
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Speaker 2: the whole season. So when they look good against maybe

400
00:18:53,440 --> 00:18:55,920
Speaker 2: the Houstons and the Jets and Miami's of the world.

401
00:18:56,000 --> 00:18:59,200
Speaker 2: They look really good, but they have lost to the Colts.

402
00:18:59,240 --> 00:19:01,600
Speaker 2: Now they lost the Titans and the Steelers. That's the

403
00:19:01,680 --> 00:19:06,080
Speaker 2: three toughest opponents. Luckily, they don't really have a great

404
00:19:06,119 --> 00:19:10,879
Speaker 2: schedule left, like they have a pretty soft schedule. Saints, Patriots, Bucks, Panthers,

405
00:19:10,920 --> 00:19:14,240
Speaker 2: Patriots and then Falcons Jets at the end, two easy

406
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Speaker 2: ones to get the wins they need to into the playoffs.

407
00:19:16,880 --> 00:19:19,560
Speaker 2: They're six and four. They're gonna be in the playoffs.

408
00:19:19,600 --> 00:19:22,840
Speaker 2: They're fine. Those two Patriot games though, that's gonna be

409
00:19:22,840 --> 00:19:24,359
Speaker 2: for the division at this point. You were on that

410
00:19:24,400 --> 00:19:26,280
Speaker 2: a couple of weeks ago and I didn't give it

411
00:19:26,359 --> 00:19:29,200
Speaker 2: much credit. But who would you pick in the division here?

412
00:19:29,480 --> 00:19:32,080
Speaker 2: Would you bet on the Patriots at plus odds or

413
00:19:32,160 --> 00:19:33,520
Speaker 2: would you stick with the Bills.

414
00:19:33,800 --> 00:19:36,440
Speaker 3: I'm running with the Patriots. I think the Patriots. To me,

415
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Speaker 3: they've shown that they're one of the best defenses in

416
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Speaker 3: the league right now. And I know the metrics say

417
00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:44,760
Speaker 3: that the Bills are number one at EPA for play

418
00:19:44,760 --> 00:19:47,479
Speaker 3: and number one and success rate, but the Patriots are

419
00:19:48,280 --> 00:19:51,840
Speaker 3: four feit EPA per play, and I don't I just

420
00:19:51,840 --> 00:19:55,399
Speaker 3: think this Patriots team, their defense reminds me of the

421
00:19:55,520 --> 00:19:59,119
Speaker 3: early Belichick years in New and for then. I know,

422
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Speaker 3: obviously it's a so a lot of people aren't going

423
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Speaker 3: to give him credit, but they picked off every single

424
00:20:03,080 --> 00:20:07,200
Speaker 3: quarterback when the Roston like that, they're playing lights out.

425
00:20:07,200 --> 00:20:10,359
Speaker 3: They shut down Cleveland and Cleveland, I mean, regardless of

426
00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:11,640
Speaker 3: the injuries that they've had.

427
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Speaker 1: Kevin Stefanski is.

428
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Speaker 3: A genius of an offensive coordinator, and obviously he's heads

429
00:20:17,160 --> 00:20:20,359
Speaker 3: coach now, but he's a guy who he's not easy

430
00:20:20,359 --> 00:20:23,479
Speaker 3: to match up with and completely shut down. That's what

431
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Speaker 3: this Belichick defense did. So I have a lot of

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00:20:26,080 --> 00:20:28,320
Speaker 3: respect for New England. I think Mac Jones is playing

433
00:20:28,320 --> 00:20:31,000
Speaker 3: good football, So I think I think they have a

434
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Speaker 3: real shot of winning division.

435
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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think they have a shot.

436
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Speaker 2: I think I'm going to just pass on playing either

437
00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:39,280
Speaker 2: side right now. I still think the Bills are slightly

438
00:20:39,320 --> 00:20:40,879
Speaker 2: the better. Like I think the oltre about right, I

439
00:20:40,920 --> 00:20:43,760
Speaker 2: think the Bills should be slightly favored. I'm certainly not

440
00:20:43,840 --> 00:20:46,879
Speaker 2: betting anything on the Bills right now. I'm not betting

441
00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:49,000
Speaker 2: Josh Allen for MVP. I'm not betting the Bills to

442
00:20:49,040 --> 00:20:51,520
Speaker 2: win the AFC, the Super Bowl. But I don't think

443
00:20:51,520 --> 00:20:53,600
Speaker 2: I'm gonna ready go all in on the Patriots either,

444
00:20:53,640 --> 00:20:56,120
Speaker 2: Like I heard some people saying today, are the Patriots

445
00:20:56,160 --> 00:20:59,040
Speaker 2: the team to beat in the AFC? Now, let's let's

446
00:20:59,080 --> 00:21:02,399
Speaker 2: settle down, Like, let's see what happens when the Patriots

447
00:21:02,400 --> 00:21:05,480
Speaker 2: play the Bills and some of these other teams. You know,

448
00:21:05,800 --> 00:21:08,520
Speaker 2: it is just the Falcons, Like it was a nice game,

449
00:21:08,560 --> 00:21:11,119
Speaker 2: it was a short week, Like, you give them some credit,

450
00:21:11,160 --> 00:21:13,240
Speaker 2: but let's not give them all the credit in the world,

451
00:21:13,359 --> 00:21:15,800
Speaker 2: especially the way we've seen the season go. You get

452
00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:17,280
Speaker 2: hot for a couple of games, and then you're right

453
00:21:17,320 --> 00:21:20,320
Speaker 2: back to earth after that. So it certainly is interesting.

454
00:21:20,560 --> 00:21:22,240
Speaker 2: We thought it was over a couple of weeks ago.

455
00:21:22,600 --> 00:21:24,480
Speaker 2: We did our mid season review. We didn't really talk

456
00:21:24,480 --> 00:21:26,439
Speaker 2: about the division. We basically just kind of gave it

457
00:21:26,440 --> 00:21:31,440
Speaker 2: to the Bills. Certainly not over in that way. Titans division.

458
00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:33,960
Speaker 2: The Titans, I think are pretty much still over despite

459
00:21:34,000 --> 00:21:36,439
Speaker 2: the Colts getting the big win today and the Titans

460
00:21:36,480 --> 00:21:38,920
Speaker 2: took the loss. Not a lot to say on this game,

461
00:21:39,440 --> 00:21:44,400
Speaker 2: Houston twenty two to thirteen. Ryan Tannehill just a nightmare.

462
00:21:44,800 --> 00:21:49,720
Speaker 2: Four interceptions, he fumbled twice, Titans turnover on downs twice.

463
00:21:50,320 --> 00:21:53,919
Speaker 2: But what's crazy is the Texans were terrible in this game.

464
00:21:54,200 --> 00:21:56,760
Speaker 2: Houston had one hundred and ninety yards of offense. They

465
00:21:56,800 --> 00:22:01,000
Speaker 2: averaged three point one yards per play, Like, could hardly

466
00:22:01,040 --> 00:22:03,240
Speaker 2: have been any worse than this game. And it didn't

467
00:22:03,280 --> 00:22:06,480
Speaker 2: matter that the Titans were just like, nah, now we're

468
00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:08,320
Speaker 2: taking a bye week. We're taking a second bye week

469
00:22:08,359 --> 00:22:09,720
Speaker 2: this year. You have this on Newston.

470
00:22:10,720 --> 00:22:12,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, this was a fascinating game.

471
00:22:12,640 --> 00:22:14,680
Speaker 3: And I think one of the things that was fascinating

472
00:22:14,720 --> 00:22:16,600
Speaker 3: about is that the Titans.

473
00:22:16,240 --> 00:22:19,080
Speaker 1: Had the ball multiple times in the green zone.

474
00:22:19,080 --> 00:22:21,399
Speaker 3: It just couldn't score, and it looked like they were

475
00:22:21,400 --> 00:22:23,320
Speaker 3: going to pull off a comeback, and then you have

476
00:22:24,040 --> 00:22:27,480
Speaker 3: a Ryan Tannehill interception, you just have a turnover on downs.

477
00:22:27,520 --> 00:22:29,880
Speaker 1: It just it's a really bad situation.

478
00:22:29,960 --> 00:22:32,760
Speaker 3: And I think the interesting thing is that next week

479
00:22:33,080 --> 00:22:36,320
Speaker 3: the New England Patriots are actually laying six points.

480
00:22:35,960 --> 00:22:38,560
Speaker 1: To this Titans team. What do you think about that?

481
00:22:38,640 --> 00:22:40,760
Speaker 3: I mean, that's that's I mean, my mono actually makes

482
00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:42,560
Speaker 3: it a lot lower, so it just seems to mark it.

483
00:22:42,560 --> 00:22:43,520
Speaker 1: It's really high for me.

484
00:22:43,680 --> 00:22:45,919
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that that is gonna be You know,

485
00:22:46,119 --> 00:22:48,520
Speaker 2: you and I have talked about fading the Titans all

486
00:22:48,600 --> 00:22:51,040
Speaker 2: year long and I think that this is finally the

487
00:22:51,080 --> 00:22:52,840
Speaker 2: spot where it starts to go the other way a

488
00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:55,760
Speaker 2: little bit, because Mike Rabel is too and zho against

489
00:22:55,800 --> 00:22:58,520
Speaker 2: Bill Belichack beat him in the playoff game. He beat

490
00:22:58,560 --> 00:23:01,879
Speaker 2: him that other big Raley season game. And you know,

491
00:23:02,200 --> 00:23:04,640
Speaker 2: the line jumped from three to six based on these

492
00:23:04,680 --> 00:23:07,480
Speaker 2: results today, and I feel like that is a little

493
00:23:07,480 --> 00:23:10,080
Speaker 2: bit closer to a toss up game. Certainly, the Patriots

494
00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:12,880
Speaker 2: are the better team and playing better, but are they

495
00:23:12,920 --> 00:23:17,680
Speaker 2: playing six points better? I don't know about that. So yeah,

496
00:23:17,760 --> 00:23:20,520
Speaker 2: I think that was one of the possibilities. We'll get

497
00:23:20,560 --> 00:23:22,320
Speaker 2: to the hot read that was on my list of

498
00:23:22,359 --> 00:23:25,879
Speaker 2: possibilities to grab the Titans at six, Except I'm not

499
00:23:25,920 --> 00:23:28,000
Speaker 2: sure I need to hot read it because aren't people

500
00:23:28,040 --> 00:23:29,280
Speaker 2: just gonna bet on the Patriots.

501
00:23:29,320 --> 00:23:32,000
Speaker 1: Won't that one maybe even get the seven? Still, No,

502
00:23:32,040 --> 00:23:33,120
Speaker 1: I don't think it's gonna get the seven.

503
00:23:33,119 --> 00:23:35,639
Speaker 3: Were Actually we're actually seeing that lone moved down to

504
00:23:35,760 --> 00:23:38,439
Speaker 3: five and a half. Now, Okay, most of the sixes

505
00:23:38,480 --> 00:23:41,840
Speaker 3: are born, so I think the market is too efficient now.

506
00:23:41,960 --> 00:23:45,560
Speaker 2: So it is, But I will say that that is

507
00:23:45,560 --> 00:23:47,879
Speaker 2: a line that's begging for people to get their early

508
00:23:47,960 --> 00:23:50,359
Speaker 2: teasers in on New England. I'm not sure i'd be

509
00:23:50,400 --> 00:23:53,120
Speaker 2: teasing that one, like that's not necessarily the safeties line

510
00:23:53,119 --> 00:23:55,720
Speaker 2: that you want to get, so I don't know. Texans

511
00:23:55,760 --> 00:23:58,720
Speaker 2: obviously get the cover plus ten plus three seventy five

512
00:23:58,760 --> 00:24:02,679
Speaker 2: to the money line. Houston is favored. Next week, the

513
00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:05,480
Speaker 2: Houston Texans are favored because they're playing the Jets. So

514
00:24:05,840 --> 00:24:08,359
Speaker 2: good job, New York Jets. Way to be a football team.

515
00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:10,879
Speaker 2: Our big game of the day, we thought was our

516
00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:13,200
Speaker 2: big game of the day, turned out to be a snoozer.

517
00:24:13,320 --> 00:24:16,800
Speaker 2: Chiefs nineteen to nine over the Cowboys. The total finished

518
00:24:16,800 --> 00:24:19,720
Speaker 2: at fifty six. You gave out the under on this one,

519
00:24:19,720 --> 00:24:21,840
Speaker 2: and boy did you get that one right. We didn't

520
00:24:21,840 --> 00:24:27,400
Speaker 2: even get halfway there. So way under Micah Parsons superstar,

521
00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:32,240
Speaker 2: huge strip sack, another sack. He's at nineteen percent pressure rate,

522
00:24:32,280 --> 00:24:36,040
Speaker 2: which leads the entire NFL, not for rookies, just everybody.

523
00:24:36,440 --> 00:24:38,640
Speaker 2: So I think you go ahead and lock up defensive

524
00:24:38,680 --> 00:24:40,280
Speaker 2: rookie of the year. That's got to be him at

525
00:24:40,280 --> 00:24:43,119
Speaker 2: this point, not much offense here. Did you you know

526
00:24:43,200 --> 00:24:44,919
Speaker 2: you expected the under? Did you think it'd go this

527
00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:46,760
Speaker 2: far under? No, I didn't think it was going to

528
00:24:46,840 --> 00:24:47,280
Speaker 2: go this far.

529
00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:47,680
Speaker 1: Under.

530
00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:50,320
Speaker 3: I think the Cowboys just didn't have their a game,

531
00:24:50,560 --> 00:24:53,280
Speaker 3: But I also think they were missing too many You

532
00:24:53,320 --> 00:24:57,399
Speaker 3: can't miss this many guys against a solid NFL team. Obviously,

533
00:24:57,400 --> 00:25:00,280
Speaker 3: you got Pro Bowl left tackle Tyleran Smith out for

534
00:25:00,320 --> 00:25:03,919
Speaker 3: a third straight game. Maari Cooper out, you have gallop.

535
00:25:04,320 --> 00:25:07,640
Speaker 3: Actually like come back. It's just this is a team

536
00:25:07,680 --> 00:25:10,760
Speaker 3: that's supposed to, you know, actually dominate with their three

537
00:25:10,760 --> 00:25:13,000
Speaker 3: wide receivers, said, I thought they would be able to

538
00:25:13,080 --> 00:25:14,840
Speaker 3: run the ball a lot better. I think that's the

539
00:25:14,880 --> 00:25:17,520
Speaker 3: one thing that I expected the Cowboys to do. I

540
00:25:17,520 --> 00:25:20,959
Speaker 3: expect them to keep Patrick Holmes off the field. So

541
00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:23,520
Speaker 3: that's why I like the under. But that kind of

542
00:25:23,560 --> 00:25:24,199
Speaker 3: just didn't end.

543
00:25:24,480 --> 00:25:24,920
Speaker 1: It didn't.

544
00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:28,040
Speaker 2: The Cowboys had one rushing first down the entire game,

545
00:25:28,600 --> 00:25:31,320
Speaker 2: and you know, we talked about that before and when

546
00:25:31,359 --> 00:25:33,560
Speaker 2: we previewed this game, you brought up the Cowboys running

547
00:25:33,560 --> 00:25:35,840
Speaker 2: all over them, and it almost said something because I

548
00:25:35,840 --> 00:25:39,240
Speaker 2: hadn't noticed for the last month or so, Cowboys rushing

549
00:25:39,280 --> 00:25:42,520
Speaker 2: EPA has really been like below average and closer to

550
00:25:42,560 --> 00:25:44,960
Speaker 2: the bottom of the league. I was just like, yeah,

551
00:25:45,000 --> 00:25:47,600
Speaker 2: but it's the Cowboys. Their line is so good and

552
00:25:47,720 --> 00:25:51,240
Speaker 2: Zeke and Pollard. I just didn't believe the numbers that

553
00:25:51,280 --> 00:25:53,400
Speaker 2: I saw, and the Chiefs defense has been so bad.

554
00:25:53,440 --> 00:25:55,600
Speaker 2: It just felt like the Cowboys that are all over them.

555
00:25:55,680 --> 00:25:59,119
Speaker 2: But there's a concern. Dallas had six three and outs today,

556
00:25:59,520 --> 00:26:02,800
Speaker 2: they're all in the red zone. That three turnovers. This

557
00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:06,840
Speaker 2: couldn't get anything going. And now you have to say, Okay,

558
00:26:06,960 --> 00:26:10,160
Speaker 2: so that game against the Broncos two weeks ago where

559
00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:12,200
Speaker 2: they couldn't move the ball or scoring that one either,

560
00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:14,800
Speaker 2: like we kind of checked that up to Dak was

561
00:26:14,840 --> 00:26:17,680
Speaker 2: just rusty and it's fine now. But this is two

562
00:26:17,680 --> 00:26:21,760
Speaker 2: and three weeks. So I don't know if I come

563
00:26:21,800 --> 00:26:24,560
Speaker 2: out of this game being excited about both the defenses. Here,

564
00:26:24,600 --> 00:26:26,359
Speaker 2: we knew Dallas the defense was good. They had a

565
00:26:26,400 --> 00:26:30,160
Speaker 2: good game for sure. Patrick Mahomes and Dak Prescott both

566
00:26:30,440 --> 00:26:33,600
Speaker 2: kind of bad. They were both negative VPA for the game.

567
00:26:34,080 --> 00:26:38,119
Speaker 2: No touchdowns, three interceptions between them, eight sacks that they took.

568
00:26:38,840 --> 00:26:41,760
Speaker 2: I don't know, do you take more about the offenses

569
00:26:41,840 --> 00:26:42,960
Speaker 2: or defenses from this game.

570
00:26:43,680 --> 00:26:46,760
Speaker 1: I take a lot more from the offenses. Didn't understand

571
00:26:46,760 --> 00:26:49,960
Speaker 1: the coaching for the Cowboys all this season. They've been

572
00:26:50,000 --> 00:26:53,240
Speaker 1: super duper aggressed all this season and this is the

573
00:26:53,280 --> 00:26:57,080
Speaker 1: first game where you're kicking field goals every single.

574
00:26:57,080 --> 00:27:00,880
Speaker 3: Like snap, and I just like they point with eight

575
00:27:00,960 --> 00:27:03,960
Speaker 3: minutes left down two scores, and it's just like, are

576
00:27:04,000 --> 00:27:05,560
Speaker 3: you not trying to win? Like?

577
00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:08,000
Speaker 2: So I just I just get against the Chiefs. You

578
00:27:08,040 --> 00:27:10,280
Speaker 2: know they took a field goal too down the stretch

579
00:27:10,320 --> 00:27:12,520
Speaker 2: against the Chiefs. I know the Chiefs had not exactly

580
00:27:12,560 --> 00:27:15,280
Speaker 2: been putting up huge points lately, but still, like, what

581
00:27:15,280 --> 00:27:17,240
Speaker 2: are you doing? You got to get some points here

582
00:27:17,280 --> 00:27:22,080
Speaker 2: in Arrowhead? Yeah, the aggression factor wasn't there. The Chiefs

583
00:27:22,119 --> 00:27:24,679
Speaker 2: actually ran the ball pretty well in this game. I

584
00:27:24,720 --> 00:27:26,720
Speaker 2: had noted that that was a possible way they could

585
00:27:26,800 --> 00:27:29,200
Speaker 2: kind of hang in this game. That Dallas's run defense

586
00:27:29,200 --> 00:27:31,080
Speaker 2: has been beatable, But when do the Chiefs ever run

587
00:27:31,080 --> 00:27:31,360
Speaker 2: the ball?

588
00:27:31,400 --> 00:27:31,520
Speaker 1: Like?

589
00:27:31,520 --> 00:27:33,040
Speaker 2: I didn't really think that was gonna be a thing.

590
00:27:33,640 --> 00:27:36,400
Speaker 2: They managed to run all right. Chris Jones, by the way,

591
00:27:36,440 --> 00:27:39,080
Speaker 2: had a monster game three and a half sacks, three

592
00:27:39,160 --> 00:27:42,639
Speaker 2: quarterback hits, two tackles for a loss. So that is

593
00:27:42,680 --> 00:27:45,040
Speaker 2: big news for the Chiefs that they get him like

594
00:27:45,119 --> 00:27:48,080
Speaker 2: looking like the superstars he certainly has at times. So

595
00:27:48,160 --> 00:27:51,760
Speaker 2: after all that, after all of our crying about the Chiefs,

596
00:27:52,080 --> 00:27:55,840
Speaker 2: there's seven and four the leading the division, and they're

597
00:27:56,200 --> 00:27:58,320
Speaker 2: not that far off from the one seat. Their game

598
00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:00,119
Speaker 2: out of the one seat, and the AFC is So

599
00:28:00,200 --> 00:28:03,119
Speaker 2: let me just set the stage for AFC. I just

600
00:28:03,119 --> 00:28:05,439
Speaker 2: want to hear your thoughts of what you make of it.

601
00:28:05,520 --> 00:28:06,200
Speaker 2: We're not going to go.

602
00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:06,960
Speaker 1: Too far into it.

603
00:28:07,400 --> 00:28:10,520
Speaker 2: Titans are eight and three at the one seed, Ravens

604
00:28:10,560 --> 00:28:13,320
Speaker 2: seven to three are the two seeds. Patriots and Chiefs

605
00:28:13,359 --> 00:28:15,560
Speaker 2: are the three and four seed right now, and then

606
00:28:15,600 --> 00:28:18,320
Speaker 2: you got Bengals, Chargers, Bills are the wild card six

607
00:28:18,359 --> 00:28:20,359
Speaker 2: and four. So Buffalo is all the way down to

608
00:28:20,400 --> 00:28:23,640
Speaker 2: the seventh seed right now, and then Steelers, Colts, Brown's

609
00:28:23,680 --> 00:28:27,080
Speaker 2: are the three teams out and Raiders Broncos kind of out.

610
00:28:27,000 --> 00:28:27,880
Speaker 1: Of the picture from there.

611
00:28:28,000 --> 00:28:32,480
Speaker 2: So the Chiefs right now have after everything we've seen,

612
00:28:32,960 --> 00:28:36,320
Speaker 2: the Chiefs are the AFC favorites at BETMGM they're plus

613
00:28:36,359 --> 00:28:40,080
Speaker 2: three twenty five. They're the second favorites after all we've

614
00:28:40,120 --> 00:28:42,360
Speaker 2: seen all year. Guess who's back at the top of

615
00:28:42,360 --> 00:28:44,920
Speaker 2: the Super Bowl favorites. Why it's the Bucks and the Chiefs.

616
00:28:44,920 --> 00:28:47,040
Speaker 2: The same thing we started with at the very beginning.

617
00:28:47,640 --> 00:28:49,560
Speaker 2: So where are we at?

618
00:28:49,720 --> 00:28:51,160
Speaker 1: Are you in on the Chiefs?

619
00:28:51,240 --> 00:28:53,360
Speaker 2: Is there any AFC team out of that mix that

620
00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:55,960
Speaker 2: you actually want to bet on right now, I.

621
00:28:55,960 --> 00:28:59,160
Speaker 1: Don't those teams. I'm not really crazy about anybody.

622
00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:01,880
Speaker 3: Like you said before, there's no real great team, So

623
00:29:02,040 --> 00:29:04,920
Speaker 3: there's no real great teams. Why not take a flyer

624
00:29:05,040 --> 00:29:07,640
Speaker 3: with some of the long shots. I wouldn't mind taking

625
00:29:07,680 --> 00:29:10,160
Speaker 3: a flyer with the Patriots at this point in time

626
00:29:10,320 --> 00:29:12,640
Speaker 3: based on their defense. But I think the one thing

627
00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:16,400
Speaker 3: I really want to talk about is this Chiefs defense

628
00:29:16,480 --> 00:29:17,520
Speaker 3: is really trending up.

629
00:29:17,880 --> 00:29:19,440
Speaker 1: If you look at the.

630
00:29:19,440 --> 00:29:22,640
Speaker 3: Last four weeks, their tip for EPA per play for

631
00:29:22,720 --> 00:29:25,080
Speaker 3: most of this season they were dead last.

632
00:29:25,200 --> 00:29:27,680
Speaker 1: They're also top ten and success rate as well.

633
00:29:27,840 --> 00:29:29,840
Speaker 3: So I don't know if this is like a Green

634
00:29:29,840 --> 00:29:32,240
Speaker 3: Bay Packers thing, but I kind of believe this is

635
00:29:32,240 --> 00:29:34,160
Speaker 3: a little bit more than the Green Bay Packers because

636
00:29:34,280 --> 00:29:37,680
Speaker 3: obviously you had guys like Chris Jones come back, and

637
00:29:37,720 --> 00:29:41,840
Speaker 3: it's almost apparent that Patrick Mahomes doesn't have to do everything.

638
00:29:42,200 --> 00:29:44,880
Speaker 1: Over the last four weeks, the defense has shown up.

639
00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:47,280
Speaker 3: So I do think you kind of got to give

640
00:29:47,320 --> 00:29:50,000
Speaker 3: this Chiefs team credit and they might be live to

641
00:29:50,280 --> 00:29:51,000
Speaker 3: make another run.

642
00:29:51,320 --> 00:29:53,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, we've kind of just credited the defense

643
00:29:53,440 --> 00:29:55,400
Speaker 2: a little bit but now at this point you have

644
00:29:55,440 --> 00:29:57,240
Speaker 2: to say, okay, look look what they just said to

645
00:29:57,320 --> 00:30:01,440
Speaker 2: the Cowboys who granted her missing tyrons, missing the receivers.

646
00:30:01,480 --> 00:30:03,760
Speaker 2: It's not the healthiest team in the world. But look

647
00:30:03,800 --> 00:30:06,440
Speaker 2: what the Cowboys just did a week ago. They just

648
00:30:06,480 --> 00:30:08,720
Speaker 2: put up what like forty four points or something, So

649
00:30:09,400 --> 00:30:11,200
Speaker 2: this is you know, they've been a top five offense

650
00:30:11,200 --> 00:30:14,120
Speaker 2: all year. The chief shut it down. Then flip it.

651
00:30:14,320 --> 00:30:16,240
Speaker 2: Look what the Chiefs did to the Packers and Aaron

652
00:30:16,320 --> 00:30:19,440
Speaker 2: Rodgers And we're like, ah, well, you know Rogers and

653
00:30:19,480 --> 00:30:22,080
Speaker 2: you know they're not healthy. Then look at today Rogers

654
00:30:22,160 --> 00:30:25,640
Speaker 2: unstoppable scoring anytime you want it against a good Vikings defense.

655
00:30:25,720 --> 00:30:27,640
Speaker 2: So at some point we do have to give the

656
00:30:27,680 --> 00:30:30,880
Speaker 2: Chiefs defense some credit, like they're actually showing up against

657
00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:33,960
Speaker 2: good offenses and good quarterbacks and just shutting them down.

658
00:30:34,760 --> 00:30:35,880
Speaker 2: I don't know that I would have bet on the

659
00:30:35,920 --> 00:30:39,280
Speaker 2: Chiefs just because the value is gone. Again, Like I

660
00:30:39,280 --> 00:30:41,160
Speaker 2: guess we should have done it. Mahomes was a forty

661
00:30:41,200 --> 00:30:43,600
Speaker 2: to one MVP a couple of weeks ago. The odds

662
00:30:43,600 --> 00:30:47,040
Speaker 2: were there. I agree, if you like a long shot,

663
00:30:47,040 --> 00:30:49,000
Speaker 2: I think this is the chance to grab a long shot.

664
00:30:49,080 --> 00:30:52,440
Speaker 2: Like even looking at the list, I don't know, could

665
00:30:52,480 --> 00:30:55,360
Speaker 2: the Colts be the AFC team? Why couldn't the Colts

666
00:30:55,400 --> 00:30:58,000
Speaker 2: be the AFC team? The defense is good, they're running

667
00:30:58,040 --> 00:31:01,400
Speaker 2: the ball so well. The Colt absolutely could be anyone

668
00:31:01,400 --> 00:31:04,200
Speaker 2: else on that list any given day. And right now,

669
00:31:04,600 --> 00:31:06,320
Speaker 2: if I look at it, I'm like, I don't want

670
00:31:06,320 --> 00:31:08,800
Speaker 2: to bet on the Titans. I don't trust the Ravens.

671
00:31:09,600 --> 00:31:11,360
Speaker 2: I don't want to put my money on the Chiefs

672
00:31:11,360 --> 00:31:14,040
Speaker 2: because the odds aren't there. We had the Bengals, that's

673
00:31:14,080 --> 00:31:16,000
Speaker 2: the five seed. I'm not bet on the Bengals. Like,

674
00:31:16,560 --> 00:31:19,240
Speaker 2: if there's a long shot that you like, why couldn't

675
00:31:19,240 --> 00:31:21,320
Speaker 2: it be one of them? So I don't know who

676
00:31:21,320 --> 00:31:23,520
Speaker 2: it is. I'm not sure that it is the Colts,

677
00:31:23,600 --> 00:31:25,680
Speaker 2: but I think that you want to bet on someone

678
00:31:25,760 --> 00:31:26,720
Speaker 2: with those longer odds.

679
00:31:26,720 --> 00:31:29,000
Speaker 1: If there's someone you got your eye on, I gotta

680
00:31:29,040 --> 00:31:30,200
Speaker 1: set up with that. I think you gotta.

681
00:31:30,280 --> 00:31:32,160
Speaker 3: You gotta go with a long shot right now, it's

682
00:31:32,240 --> 00:31:34,880
Speaker 3: just so much parody this season. You'll be able to

683
00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:36,960
Speaker 3: get a Kansas City Chiefs later.

684
00:31:37,560 --> 00:31:39,360
Speaker 2: You don't know, you want to buy high on the

685
00:31:39,440 --> 00:31:40,320
Speaker 2: Chiefs right now?

686
00:31:41,000 --> 00:31:41,520
Speaker 1: Real quick?

687
00:31:41,600 --> 00:31:45,719
Speaker 2: Last one go over to the NFC for our stink

688
00:31:45,880 --> 00:31:46,520
Speaker 2: of the week.

689
00:31:46,760 --> 00:31:48,560
Speaker 1: Smell it, Smell it smelly.

690
00:31:49,120 --> 00:31:49,920
Speaker 3: It's the smell.

691
00:31:50,440 --> 00:31:54,280
Speaker 1: It's quite bungent. Du plug your nose. It's stinks.

692
00:31:54,960 --> 00:31:57,520
Speaker 4: This is your stink of the week.

693
00:32:01,000 --> 00:32:02,800
Speaker 2: Not the strongest stink of the week we ever had.

694
00:32:02,840 --> 00:32:05,240
Speaker 2: But this week's stink of the week is any of

695
00:32:05,280 --> 00:32:08,040
Speaker 2: us who grabbed the Seahawks early on in the week.

696
00:32:08,120 --> 00:32:11,320
Speaker 2: Seahawks plus two point five early in the week, you

697
00:32:11,440 --> 00:32:13,360
Speaker 2: tease them like I did. You got them up to

698
00:32:13,400 --> 00:32:16,600
Speaker 2: eight and a half. The Seahawks closed at minus four

699
00:32:16,600 --> 00:32:19,240
Speaker 2: and a half because guess what if you got them early,

700
00:32:19,280 --> 00:32:22,320
Speaker 2: You got them before Dandre Hopkins was out, before Cayler

701
00:32:22,400 --> 00:32:23,160
Speaker 2: Murray was out.

702
00:32:23,480 --> 00:32:24,360
Speaker 1: The whole line.

703
00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:26,440
Speaker 2: Flipped and then we did the same thing that we've

704
00:32:26,480 --> 00:32:27,640
Speaker 2: done how many times now.

705
00:32:27,720 --> 00:32:30,120
Speaker 1: Colt McCoy has done it twice. We flipped the.

706
00:32:30,040 --> 00:32:32,600
Speaker 2: Whole line and then you just lose all the closing

707
00:32:32,640 --> 00:32:35,960
Speaker 2: value anyways, because Colt McCoy just goes out and apparently

708
00:32:36,040 --> 00:32:38,720
Speaker 2: is the real McCoy and has a huge game. So

709
00:32:39,520 --> 00:32:42,400
Speaker 2: Cooper Rush did that for your guys. We keep having

710
00:32:42,400 --> 00:32:44,320
Speaker 2: this happen where you get all this closing value.

711
00:32:44,680 --> 00:32:45,400
Speaker 1: You feel great.

712
00:32:45,720 --> 00:32:47,240
Speaker 2: I think on a teaser you were getting like a

713
00:32:47,280 --> 00:32:50,840
Speaker 2: thirteen points of value here, and it didn't matter. Seahawks

714
00:32:50,880 --> 00:32:52,479
Speaker 2: couldn't even keep it close. In the end, the Cardinals

715
00:32:52,520 --> 00:32:56,520
Speaker 2: win by ten twenty three to thirteen. So Russell Wilson

716
00:32:56,880 --> 00:33:00,640
Speaker 2: had lost only four times by nine or more in

717
00:33:00,680 --> 00:33:03,400
Speaker 2: his career at home by that much. So you have

718
00:33:03,480 --> 00:33:06,240
Speaker 2: to light your chances of being able to keep this close.

719
00:33:07,000 --> 00:33:10,800
Speaker 2: But I'm worried. I'm worried about Rouss. It feels like

720
00:33:10,880 --> 00:33:14,080
Speaker 2: he's clearly not healthy, and it sort of feels like

721
00:33:14,120 --> 00:33:15,920
Speaker 2: this is the end of the era in Seattle, do

722
00:33:15,960 --> 00:33:16,320
Speaker 2: you think so?

723
00:33:17,080 --> 00:33:18,720
Speaker 3: I don't want to go as far and say it's

724
00:33:18,720 --> 00:33:20,960
Speaker 3: the end of the era, but I think it's pretty

725
00:33:20,960 --> 00:33:23,360
Speaker 3: clear that they might actually shut this guy down next week,

726
00:33:23,400 --> 00:33:26,040
Speaker 3: and I think you may be actually seeing it from

727
00:33:26,440 --> 00:33:27,000
Speaker 3: the line.

728
00:33:27,200 --> 00:33:27,600
Speaker 1: Next week.

729
00:33:27,640 --> 00:33:32,000
Speaker 3: They played Washington football team on Monday Night Football and

730
00:33:32,640 --> 00:33:35,280
Speaker 3: Seattle was actually opened up as three and a half

731
00:33:35,360 --> 00:33:38,280
Speaker 3: point favorites, and now that line is down to one

732
00:33:38,320 --> 00:33:38,520
Speaker 3: and a.

733
00:33:38,520 --> 00:33:40,520
Speaker 1: Half two consensus worldwide.

734
00:33:40,880 --> 00:33:43,320
Speaker 3: So it wouldn't surprise me if Rush just didn't play

735
00:33:43,400 --> 00:33:45,920
Speaker 3: last week like you saw it during the Green Bay

736
00:33:45,920 --> 00:33:49,080
Speaker 3: Packers game. It's pretty clear that his finger wasn't the

737
00:33:49,120 --> 00:33:51,520
Speaker 3: same he's missing like wide open throws.

738
00:33:51,600 --> 00:33:53,800
Speaker 1: He missed some of the same throws in this game.

739
00:33:54,560 --> 00:33:57,520
Speaker 3: He had just a QBR twenty two. He had a

740
00:33:57,640 --> 00:34:01,320
Speaker 3: quarterback rating of eighty, just fourteen to twenty six seven yard.

741
00:34:01,560 --> 00:34:03,520
Speaker 3: This is not the Russell Wilson and we're used to

742
00:34:03,720 --> 00:34:06,280
Speaker 3: actually think they brought him back too soon. But if

743
00:34:06,280 --> 00:34:08,319
Speaker 3: you're trying to make a playoff run that you gotta

744
00:34:08,320 --> 00:34:09,799
Speaker 3: do what you gotta do. But I think they're gonna

745
00:34:09,880 --> 00:34:10,680
Speaker 3: upset this guy there.

746
00:34:11,000 --> 00:34:12,839
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree. I think they brought him back too soon.

747
00:34:12,880 --> 00:34:15,680
Speaker 2: He's clearly not healthy. He's only scored thirteen points in

748
00:34:15,719 --> 00:34:18,960
Speaker 2: his two games back, his first average, three game losing streak,

749
00:34:19,400 --> 00:34:22,319
Speaker 2: negative VPA, second week in a row is just not

750
00:34:22,440 --> 00:34:24,920
Speaker 2: right right now. And you know there were two of

751
00:34:24,920 --> 00:34:28,160
Speaker 2: ten and third down. The Seahawks had under twenty minutes

752
00:34:28,200 --> 00:34:31,120
Speaker 2: of the ball today the nineteen minutes thirty eight seconds

753
00:34:31,160 --> 00:34:34,000
Speaker 2: of possession, So I don't know. If they do shut

754
00:34:34,040 --> 00:34:36,759
Speaker 2: it down, I think that's it. I like, I don't

755
00:34:36,760 --> 00:34:38,719
Speaker 2: know what Seattle is like. They're training in all their

756
00:34:38,719 --> 00:34:40,920
Speaker 2: wrong direction, and I think it might be time to

757
00:34:40,960 --> 00:34:44,279
Speaker 2: go on credit the Cardinals too. The defense just got

758
00:34:44,280 --> 00:34:46,919
Speaker 2: the job done, and you know they're two and one

759
00:34:47,000 --> 00:34:51,080
Speaker 2: now without Kyler Murray. Rough look for Kyler's MVP case.

760
00:34:51,200 --> 00:34:53,279
Speaker 2: I think when Colton McCoy can just come in and

761
00:34:53,320 --> 00:34:56,320
Speaker 2: get the wins. Arizona nine and two. They're the first

762
00:34:56,360 --> 00:34:59,359
Speaker 2: team of the season to hit their over over eight

763
00:34:59,400 --> 00:35:01,839
Speaker 2: and a half. I can tell you what. Neither one

764
00:35:01,840 --> 00:35:03,200
Speaker 2: of us had that one.

765
00:35:03,400 --> 00:35:03,920
Speaker 1: Not at all.

766
00:35:04,080 --> 00:35:06,440
Speaker 3: I think we were We were expecting them to be

767
00:35:06,520 --> 00:35:10,280
Speaker 3: last in the division. I think Cliff Kingsbury has really impressed.

768
00:35:10,320 --> 00:35:13,040
Speaker 3: We can't hate on them anymore. Kyler Murray has been

769
00:35:13,040 --> 00:35:15,600
Speaker 3: banged He's missed two games, missed a couple of games

770
00:35:15,600 --> 00:35:16,000
Speaker 3: this year.

771
00:35:16,120 --> 00:35:18,239
Speaker 1: He's been banged up, and they're just still getting it done.

772
00:35:18,280 --> 00:35:20,880
Speaker 2: So yeah, nine and two and now heading to the

773
00:35:20,880 --> 00:35:23,680
Speaker 2: bye week and Tyler will and Hopkins will have had

774
00:35:23,719 --> 00:35:27,319
Speaker 2: a full month to rest and totally get healthy. They

775
00:35:27,400 --> 00:35:29,879
Speaker 2: might kind of be the sleeping dogs, you know, as

776
00:35:29,920 --> 00:35:32,399
Speaker 2: everyone else keeps losing their games, they're the one team

777
00:35:32,440 --> 00:35:35,360
Speaker 2: that's losing their guys and actually hanging around and about

778
00:35:35,400 --> 00:35:37,480
Speaker 2: to get them back after a month of rest. So

779
00:35:38,280 --> 00:35:40,759
Speaker 2: I don't know, maybe this is the Arizona season. We

780
00:35:40,800 --> 00:35:43,840
Speaker 2: shall see. Let's run quickly through the rest of Sunday's

781
00:35:43,880 --> 00:35:46,879
Speaker 2: action to wrap up the week. Lamark Jackson, of course,

782
00:35:47,000 --> 00:35:50,279
Speaker 2: was a late scratch. In Baltimore, Tyler Huntley made his

783
00:35:50,400 --> 00:35:54,920
Speaker 2: NFL debut and the Ravens they took them seventy two

784
00:35:55,000 --> 00:35:57,839
Speaker 2: yards in five plays for the game winning touchdown. Late

785
00:35:57,960 --> 00:36:02,200
Speaker 2: in Chicago sixteen to thirteen, Justin Fields did leave with

786
00:36:02,239 --> 00:36:06,160
Speaker 2: a rib injury, noted a Ravens killer. Andy Dalton comes

787
00:36:06,200 --> 00:36:10,640
Speaker 2: in and throws three throws two touchdowns, but Bears couldn't

788
00:36:10,719 --> 00:36:11,720
Speaker 2: quite finish the job.

789
00:36:12,360 --> 00:36:14,640
Speaker 1: The new look Eagles are rolling.

790
00:36:15,160 --> 00:36:17,440
Speaker 2: They beat the Saints forty to twenty nine in a

791
00:36:17,440 --> 00:36:20,600
Speaker 2: game that was nothing anywhere near that close. Philly ran

792
00:36:20,800 --> 00:36:24,160
Speaker 2: fifty times two hundred and forty two yards. They're up

793
00:36:24,200 --> 00:36:27,239
Speaker 2: thirty three to seven heading the fourth quarter. The Saints

794
00:36:27,239 --> 00:36:29,640
Speaker 2: are under one hundred yards of offense at that point,

795
00:36:29,880 --> 00:36:32,799
Speaker 2: and we got a ton of Trevor Seimian in garbage time.

796
00:36:33,200 --> 00:36:34,320
Speaker 1: Philly looking good.

797
00:36:34,920 --> 00:36:38,759
Speaker 2: Cam Neon is back in Carolina, but Taylor Heineke was

798
00:36:38,800 --> 00:36:41,880
Speaker 2: back for Washington and looking really good. Two hundred and

799
00:36:41,880 --> 00:36:45,840
Speaker 2: six yards and three touchdowns, huge advanced metrics against a

800
00:36:45,880 --> 00:36:47,080
Speaker 2: great Carolina defense.

801
00:36:47,480 --> 00:36:49,240
Speaker 1: He had nineteen EPA.

802
00:36:49,280 --> 00:36:52,160
Speaker 2: Twelve yards averaged up the target and twenty three percent

803
00:36:52,200 --> 00:36:56,359
Speaker 2: completion over expected. Just a monster game for Heineke, kind

804
00:36:56,360 --> 00:36:59,000
Speaker 2: of looking like his guy Brett fare out there scrambling around,

805
00:36:59,120 --> 00:37:03,360
Speaker 2: keeping the playoff, making some big plays. Washington beat Carolina

806
00:37:03,520 --> 00:37:06,399
Speaker 2: twenty seven to twenty one, another one of those road underdogs,

807
00:37:06,840 --> 00:37:09,319
Speaker 2: and Washington actually dominated by a lot more than that,

808
00:37:09,520 --> 00:37:13,080
Speaker 2: so big win for them. The Bengals pulled away late

809
00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:15,800
Speaker 2: for an easy thirty two to thirteen to win cover

810
00:37:15,880 --> 00:37:19,800
Speaker 2: and under against the Raiders. Vegas only had seven third

811
00:37:19,880 --> 00:37:22,520
Speaker 2: downs the entire game, and they converted to one of them.

812
00:37:22,640 --> 00:37:24,800
Speaker 2: Neither one of these teams at three hundred yards of offense.

813
00:37:25,480 --> 00:37:28,879
Speaker 2: Easy win for the Niners and kind of an impressive win.

814
00:37:29,280 --> 00:37:32,120
Speaker 2: Is an easy letdown spot going west to East Coast

815
00:37:32,239 --> 00:37:34,759
Speaker 2: on a short week, and they just took it to

816
00:37:34,800 --> 00:37:37,560
Speaker 2: the Jaguars thirty to ten under two hundred yards of

817
00:37:37,560 --> 00:37:41,319
Speaker 2: offense for Jacksonville. The Dolphins beat the Jets twenty four

818
00:37:41,360 --> 00:37:44,280
Speaker 2: to seventeen, with Joe Flacco getting the start in New York.

819
00:37:44,920 --> 00:37:45,320
Speaker 1: Bomber.

820
00:37:45,440 --> 00:37:47,440
Speaker 2: If you bet the over forty four and a half.

821
00:37:47,840 --> 00:37:50,440
Speaker 2: These teams missed three field goals and went three of

822
00:37:50,560 --> 00:37:54,719
Speaker 2: eight in the red zone, and our Guy, our favorite accountant,

823
00:37:54,760 --> 00:37:57,960
Speaker 2: Tim Boyle, made his first start for the Lions. We

824
00:37:58,080 --> 00:38:01,640
Speaker 2: might get him back on Thanksgiving. Twenty three passes for

825
00:38:01,840 --> 00:38:03,040
Speaker 2: seventy seven yards.

826
00:38:03,520 --> 00:38:04,680
Speaker 1: That is not great.

827
00:38:04,880 --> 00:38:09,120
Speaker 2: He had a pair of interceptions and unfortunately Baker Mayfield

828
00:38:09,160 --> 00:38:12,960
Speaker 2: is only slightly better and the Browns snuck by thirteen

829
00:38:13,000 --> 00:38:16,040
Speaker 2: to ten. Detroit did get the cover, two covers in

830
00:38:16,080 --> 00:38:16,960
Speaker 2: a row, Lions.

831
00:38:17,040 --> 00:38:17,520
Speaker 1: Let's go.

832
00:38:17,640 --> 00:38:20,120
Speaker 2: Let's call that a winning streak. All right, Let's hear

833
00:38:20,160 --> 00:38:22,400
Speaker 2: a quick word from our sponsor and get to Monday

834
00:38:22,520 --> 00:38:23,160
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835
00:38:26,200 --> 00:38:30,480
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836
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00:39:58,520 --> 00:40:01,120
Speaker 4: Thanks so much for listening. Le's get back to the show.

865
00:40:02,280 --> 00:40:05,160
Speaker 2: All right, Monday night, we are in Tampa Bay for

866
00:40:05,320 --> 00:40:09,800
Speaker 2: your defending champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers and an old foe

867
00:40:09,840 --> 00:40:13,560
Speaker 2: for Tom Brady, the New York Football Giants. We got

868
00:40:13,600 --> 00:40:16,640
Speaker 2: Tom and the Giants. The Bucks are at minus ten

869
00:40:16,680 --> 00:40:19,839
Speaker 2: and a half. We're at forty nine point five on

870
00:40:19,880 --> 00:40:23,480
Speaker 2: the total, Giants plus four twenty five to the money Lion.

871
00:40:24,239 --> 00:40:27,480
Speaker 2: Can the Giants keep us close for Tampa Bay and

872
00:40:27,680 --> 00:40:29,839
Speaker 2: Tom Brady? Or is this just gonna be a buck

873
00:40:29,880 --> 00:40:30,600
Speaker 2: Steamer off too?

874
00:40:31,680 --> 00:40:33,200
Speaker 3: I think the one thing that stands out to me

875
00:40:33,280 --> 00:40:36,720
Speaker 3: is dead when I look at this Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense.

876
00:40:37,040 --> 00:40:39,680
Speaker 3: This is not the same defense that they were in

877
00:40:39,719 --> 00:40:42,480
Speaker 3: their Super Bowl year, and we saw it over the

878
00:40:42,560 --> 00:40:46,640
Speaker 3: last couple of weeks. Taylor Heineken carved this team up.

879
00:40:47,360 --> 00:40:50,279
Speaker 3: Is just Trevor Simeon carved this team up. These are

880
00:40:50,280 --> 00:40:52,680
Speaker 3: bottom of the barrel quarterbacks.

881
00:40:52,040 --> 00:40:54,160
Speaker 1: And Daniel Jones.

882
00:40:54,200 --> 00:40:56,080
Speaker 3: As much as you know people may not like of

883
00:40:57,120 --> 00:40:59,319
Speaker 3: He's a guy who can add variants to the game,

884
00:40:59,520 --> 00:41:02,080
Speaker 3: and you can add veris to the game. And sa

885
00:41:02,200 --> 00:41:04,040
Speaker 3: Kwan Barkley is gonna be able to run on this

886
00:41:04,200 --> 00:41:07,160
Speaker 3: defense without lead of day. I think the Giants can

887
00:41:07,200 --> 00:41:09,359
Speaker 3: keep it close, but I don't see the Giants stop

888
00:41:09,360 --> 00:41:10,000
Speaker 3: at Tampa Bay.

889
00:41:10,160 --> 00:41:12,880
Speaker 1: I'm leaning towards the overt interesting.

890
00:41:13,320 --> 00:41:16,400
Speaker 2: So I actually think that the key name for the

891
00:41:16,440 --> 00:41:19,640
Speaker 2: Giants in this game is Patrick Graham. Patrick Graham is

892
00:41:19,680 --> 00:41:23,200
Speaker 2: a defensive coordinator and I think he's gonna really try

893
00:41:23,239 --> 00:41:26,160
Speaker 2: to come after Tom Brady. The pass defense for the

894
00:41:26,200 --> 00:41:28,719
Speaker 2: Giants has been number four in EPA for the year,

895
00:41:29,040 --> 00:41:31,520
Speaker 2: the defense number seven in e PA, So the Giants

896
00:41:31,520 --> 00:41:34,200
Speaker 2: defense has really come around from what we saw early on.

897
00:41:34,880 --> 00:41:36,080
Speaker 1: The run dye is not good.

898
00:41:36,400 --> 00:41:39,600
Speaker 2: So I think if Tampa is kind of conservative and

899
00:41:39,760 --> 00:41:41,360
Speaker 2: gives the ball to Leonard Fournette, he could have a

900
00:41:41,440 --> 00:41:43,680
Speaker 2: big game. But I'm not sure that they're gonna be

901
00:41:43,680 --> 00:41:44,279
Speaker 2: willing to do that.

902
00:41:44,320 --> 00:41:45,600
Speaker 1: They're they on this two.

903
00:41:45,400 --> 00:41:48,319
Speaker 2: Game losing streak. They're big favorites Monday Night. I think

904
00:41:48,320 --> 00:41:51,000
Speaker 2: they're gonna want to lay it up and I don't know.

905
00:41:51,120 --> 00:41:53,680
Speaker 2: The Giants pass rush has come around a lot this season.

906
00:41:54,280 --> 00:41:57,040
Speaker 2: Azizo Jalai has been a really good rookie for them,

907
00:41:57,480 --> 00:42:00,480
Speaker 2: So that's kind of been the formula with Tom Brady

908
00:42:00,480 --> 00:42:03,920
Speaker 2: against the Giants. That's the Giants thing is come after Tom.

909
00:42:04,320 --> 00:42:06,799
Speaker 2: So here are some of the crazy trends in this game.

910
00:42:06,880 --> 00:42:10,400
Speaker 2: So Tom Brady for his lifetime against every team in

911
00:42:10,400 --> 00:42:13,640
Speaker 2: the NFL that's not the Giants, one hundred and eighty

912
00:42:13,640 --> 00:42:17,279
Speaker 2: one and one twenty two against the spread against the Giants,

913
00:42:17,680 --> 00:42:20,960
Speaker 2: two and six against the spread. That includes in two

914
00:42:20,960 --> 00:42:23,880
Speaker 2: thousand and seven, they nearly lost the perfect season, remember

915
00:42:23,960 --> 00:42:24,880
Speaker 2: right down the stretch.

916
00:42:25,160 --> 00:42:25,960
Speaker 1: Then they did.

917
00:42:25,840 --> 00:42:28,359
Speaker 2: Lose the perfect season in the super Bowl. Then they

918
00:42:28,360 --> 00:42:31,879
Speaker 2: lost the other super Bowl. Those eight games we've had,

919
00:42:31,960 --> 00:42:35,320
Speaker 2: five of the eight have been within four points. Somehow,

920
00:42:35,960 --> 00:42:39,600
Speaker 2: despite all the things Tom has done for two decades,

921
00:42:40,120 --> 00:42:42,600
Speaker 2: the Giants are the one team that has his number.

922
00:42:42,680 --> 00:42:44,600
Speaker 2: Is that a thing? Is that anything at all? Or

923
00:42:44,640 --> 00:42:46,040
Speaker 2: is that completely irrelevant to this?

924
00:42:47,440 --> 00:42:50,720
Speaker 3: I think it's completely irrelevant obviously. These different coaching staffs,

925
00:42:50,760 --> 00:42:51,840
Speaker 3: these are different teams.

926
00:42:52,239 --> 00:42:52,959
Speaker 1: Like Tom has.

927
00:42:52,880 --> 00:42:57,359
Speaker 3: Played so long that this is almost three different eras.

928
00:42:58,360 --> 00:43:00,360
Speaker 3: So I can't really make too much which of it

929
00:43:00,400 --> 00:43:03,040
Speaker 3: hit right now? Is there a better time than now

930
00:43:03,080 --> 00:43:05,880
Speaker 3: for him to avenge these losses.

931
00:43:05,480 --> 00:43:07,919
Speaker 2: Because he's the favorite for MVP now it's a good

932
00:43:07,920 --> 00:43:10,760
Speaker 2: spot for him to you know, every time someone becomes

933
00:43:10,760 --> 00:43:13,040
Speaker 2: the favorite MVP for the last month or so, they

934
00:43:13,200 --> 00:43:15,120
Speaker 2: go out and lay an eggs. So we'll see if

935
00:43:15,120 --> 00:43:17,680
Speaker 2: he continues the trend, hopefully not. You know, I've been

936
00:43:17,719 --> 00:43:20,319
Speaker 2: on Brady all season. Here's another trend, a little bit

937
00:43:20,360 --> 00:43:23,000
Speaker 2: more relevant maybe, rather than just the mistique of the Giants.

938
00:43:23,400 --> 00:43:27,160
Speaker 2: So Brady sixty percent against the spread, fifty five percent

939
00:43:27,360 --> 00:43:30,160
Speaker 2: as a double digit favorite, still good, not as good

940
00:43:30,960 --> 00:43:33,680
Speaker 2: five and nine against the spread as a night game

941
00:43:33,800 --> 00:43:35,120
Speaker 2: double digit favorite.

942
00:43:35,280 --> 00:43:36,560
Speaker 1: So you think in these.

943
00:43:36,440 --> 00:43:40,680
Speaker 2: Primetime spots, that's my guy, Tom Brady. But the line

944
00:43:40,719 --> 00:43:43,320
Speaker 2: makes it looks like that those are actually they're inflating

945
00:43:43,360 --> 00:43:46,720
Speaker 2: the lines up and the Bucks or the Brady himself

946
00:43:46,800 --> 00:43:49,480
Speaker 2: is not covering. In fact, the last two of those,

947
00:43:49,680 --> 00:43:53,040
Speaker 2: of course, have been against the Giants, and the Giants

948
00:43:53,080 --> 00:43:55,520
Speaker 2: covered both of them, including against the Bucks last year.

949
00:43:55,600 --> 00:43:59,240
Speaker 2: So I know it's a little crazy. I'm I'm taking

950
00:43:59,239 --> 00:44:01,959
Speaker 2: the mistique. I'm taking the Giants taking the cover here.

951
00:44:02,320 --> 00:44:05,359
Speaker 2: We know Danny Jones is a big cover guy on

952
00:44:05,400 --> 00:44:08,240
Speaker 2: the road. I'm just gonna take the mistake. I'm throwing

953
00:44:08,280 --> 00:44:10,719
Speaker 2: out all the rest of the logic. I know what

954
00:44:10,760 --> 00:44:13,440
Speaker 2: the Bucks can do. I know the Bucks certainly could

955
00:44:13,480 --> 00:44:15,320
Speaker 2: come out and win by like thirty in this game.

956
00:44:15,600 --> 00:44:17,520
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take the Giants plus ten and a half.

957
00:44:18,000 --> 00:44:18,640
Speaker 1: I'm not mad at it.

958
00:44:19,000 --> 00:44:20,520
Speaker 3: I don't have a I don't have enough paint on

959
00:44:20,560 --> 00:44:23,360
Speaker 3: the side, but I think I'm a like if I

960
00:44:23,160 --> 00:44:25,200
Speaker 3: have to, if i'd roll anything, I'm gonna go with

961
00:44:25,239 --> 00:44:27,920
Speaker 3: the over because I don't see the Giants. To me,

962
00:44:27,960 --> 00:44:29,880
Speaker 3: if they're gonna cover, they're gonna put up some points.

963
00:44:29,960 --> 00:44:33,480
Speaker 3: So I think forty nine fifty where it's at now,

964
00:44:33,520 --> 00:44:34,480
Speaker 3: it's a little bit help.

965
00:44:34,440 --> 00:44:35,479
Speaker 1: Hopefully it's a good game.

966
00:44:35,600 --> 00:44:38,200
Speaker 2: We got Peyton and Eli in the booth on this one,

967
00:44:38,320 --> 00:44:41,560
Speaker 2: So with Tom and with the Giants, you definitely want

968
00:44:41,560 --> 00:44:43,759
Speaker 2: to get over to ESPN two and be listening to

969
00:44:43,840 --> 00:44:46,319
Speaker 2: what the Mannings have to say. If ever, this is

970
00:44:46,360 --> 00:44:48,359
Speaker 2: the one for that, so I'm looking forward to that.

971
00:44:48,880 --> 00:44:51,240
Speaker 2: Let's get to our week twelve hot read.

972
00:44:51,680 --> 00:44:56,560
Speaker 4: Hot Rop booth would say ice rights ice cream.

973
00:44:59,280 --> 00:45:02,640
Speaker 2: So we are getting some hot reads here. I know

974
00:45:02,800 --> 00:45:05,319
Speaker 2: that you and I both our favorite pick of the

975
00:45:05,320 --> 00:45:07,520
Speaker 2: week are the same picks that we gave out on

976
00:45:07,560 --> 00:45:10,080
Speaker 2: the look Ahead, but we want you the listeners to

977
00:45:10,160 --> 00:45:12,000
Speaker 2: know that we're doubling down on it.

978
00:45:12,080 --> 00:45:15,160
Speaker 1: So you're on the vikings, I'm on the vikings. I'm

979
00:45:15,200 --> 00:45:16,120
Speaker 1: letting you have this one.

980
00:45:16,200 --> 00:45:19,080
Speaker 2: Tell me why in Minnesota is still your favorite hot read.

981
00:45:19,320 --> 00:45:22,359
Speaker 3: Look, my model makes this game closer to a pick

982
00:45:22,400 --> 00:45:24,000
Speaker 3: them than the two and a half it's in the

983
00:45:24,040 --> 00:45:26,759
Speaker 3: market right now. I have so much respect for this

984
00:45:26,880 --> 00:45:29,600
Speaker 3: Vikings team. They can run the ball, they can pass

985
00:45:29,640 --> 00:45:33,240
Speaker 3: the ball. The defense has been putting it together. Also,

986
00:45:34,200 --> 00:45:36,520
Speaker 3: as always, what do you want to do when you're

987
00:45:36,520 --> 00:45:38,759
Speaker 3: playing the forty nine ers? You want to fade Kyle

988
00:45:38,800 --> 00:45:42,800
Speaker 3: Shanahan as a favorite. He hasn't been great as a favorite,

989
00:45:43,000 --> 00:45:46,319
Speaker 3: so I'm fading him in that spot. This forty nine

990
00:45:46,400 --> 00:45:49,200
Speaker 3: or secondary is still leaking. I don't expect them to

991
00:45:49,200 --> 00:45:51,880
Speaker 3: be able to slow down. Justin Jefferson and feeling so

992
00:45:51,920 --> 00:45:53,239
Speaker 3: at plus two and a half, I think this is

993
00:45:53,280 --> 00:45:54,920
Speaker 3: a positive expective value proposition.

994
00:45:55,239 --> 00:45:57,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. I let you have the Vikings on

995
00:45:57,920 --> 00:45:59,480
Speaker 1: the look ahead. I'm letting you have them here, but

996
00:45:59,600 --> 00:46:01,200
Speaker 1: I am them all the way.

997
00:46:01,239 --> 00:46:03,200
Speaker 2: And I don't know Alwa's back the Vikings as you know,

998
00:46:03,760 --> 00:46:07,480
Speaker 2: but short road dog trends that favors Minnesota. The other

999
00:46:07,520 --> 00:46:10,040
Speaker 2: thing too, the Niners pass defense has not been great

1000
00:46:10,080 --> 00:46:13,279
Speaker 2: this year. Justin Jefferson's gonna light those guys up. If

1001
00:46:13,320 --> 00:46:14,680
Speaker 2: they keep throwing it to him the way that.

1002
00:46:14,640 --> 00:46:15,239
Speaker 1: They have been.

1003
00:46:15,880 --> 00:46:18,840
Speaker 2: And I can't believe that the Vikings go out and

1004
00:46:18,920 --> 00:46:22,440
Speaker 2: beat the Packers and look so good on offense and

1005
00:46:22,520 --> 00:46:25,640
Speaker 2: this line actually like moves slightly away from them here.

1006
00:46:26,040 --> 00:46:28,879
Speaker 2: I think it's an overreaction to the Niners. You know,

1007
00:46:29,400 --> 00:46:31,839
Speaker 2: so they beat the Jaguars like it's urban Meyer, Well,

1008
00:46:32,400 --> 00:46:34,319
Speaker 2: who cares? Like what are we really making of that?

1009
00:46:34,440 --> 00:46:37,400
Speaker 2: Like credit for not losing, but we're really gonna push

1010
00:46:37,440 --> 00:46:38,920
Speaker 2: the line away from them for that?

1011
00:46:39,640 --> 00:46:41,880
Speaker 1: I don't buy it. So we're both on the Vikings.

1012
00:46:42,640 --> 00:46:44,480
Speaker 2: My other pick that I gave out on the look

1013
00:46:44,520 --> 00:46:46,560
Speaker 2: Ahead last week was the Eagles.

1014
00:46:46,680 --> 00:46:49,120
Speaker 1: And same thing. I'm coming back Eagles.

1015
00:46:49,120 --> 00:46:51,200
Speaker 2: I'm still seeing some two and a half a two

1016
00:46:51,239 --> 00:46:55,440
Speaker 2: point five favorite at New York Giants. I understand the

1017
00:46:55,520 --> 00:46:58,520
Speaker 2: Eagles are clobbering teams right now, and they're running all

1018
00:46:58,560 --> 00:47:02,960
Speaker 2: over teams like forty something yard or forty something rush

1019
00:47:03,080 --> 00:47:06,880
Speaker 2: is a game. The Giants are thirtieth in run defense

1020
00:47:06,920 --> 00:47:07,600
Speaker 2: on DVOA.

1021
00:47:07,760 --> 00:47:09,160
Speaker 1: They can't stop the run.

1022
00:47:09,719 --> 00:47:13,359
Speaker 2: And look, we talked about Saints Eagles this week, and

1023
00:47:13,480 --> 00:47:15,799
Speaker 2: you like the Saints because their run defense was so good.

1024
00:47:15,800 --> 00:47:18,920
Speaker 2: It was the wrong matchup for the Eagles. The Giants

1025
00:47:18,920 --> 00:47:21,440
Speaker 2: are the right matchup for the Eagles, Like, this is

1026
00:47:21,480 --> 00:47:23,360
Speaker 2: not the team you want to play if you can't

1027
00:47:23,400 --> 00:47:25,319
Speaker 2: be a stop on the run right now. So I

1028
00:47:25,320 --> 00:47:28,120
Speaker 2: don't understand it at all. The Eagles are playing so well.

1029
00:47:28,200 --> 00:47:31,120
Speaker 2: Jalen Hursts is looking great right now. Giants will be

1030
00:47:31,200 --> 00:47:34,200
Speaker 2: on a short week, can't stop the run. I love

1031
00:47:34,239 --> 00:47:35,520
Speaker 2: the Eagles on the spot.

1032
00:47:35,719 --> 00:47:37,200
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I'm not mad at this at all.

1033
00:47:37,760 --> 00:47:41,480
Speaker 3: Interesting thing about this matchup against the Saints is that

1034
00:47:41,800 --> 00:47:45,880
Speaker 3: the Saints were the right matchup the first and Russian defense,

1035
00:47:46,160 --> 00:47:48,319
Speaker 3: and the Eagles still went out there and rushed for

1036
00:47:48,360 --> 00:47:51,360
Speaker 3: two hundred and forty two yards. What is the Giants

1037
00:47:51,360 --> 00:47:53,080
Speaker 3: gonna do? They gotta deal with the Eagles on a

1038
00:47:53,080 --> 00:47:55,960
Speaker 3: short week, right after dealing with Tom Brady and Tampa

1039
00:47:56,000 --> 00:47:56,759
Speaker 3: Bay Buccaneers.

1040
00:47:56,920 --> 00:47:58,799
Speaker 1: So this is a good spot for the Eagles, all right.

1041
00:47:58,840 --> 00:48:00,879
Speaker 2: I know you were debating beween a few other hot

1042
00:48:00,920 --> 00:48:03,400
Speaker 2: read options. What is your second hot reader going to

1043
00:48:03,480 --> 00:48:03,640
Speaker 2: go with?

1044
00:48:03,760 --> 00:48:03,920
Speaker 4: There?

1045
00:48:04,480 --> 00:48:10,000
Speaker 3: I'm gonna buy low on the Los Angeles Rams. This

1046
00:48:10,880 --> 00:48:14,200
Speaker 3: side is sitting at plus two plus two and a half,

1047
00:48:14,880 --> 00:48:16,640
Speaker 3: essentially getting bet down on some one and a halfs

1048
00:48:16,640 --> 00:48:19,359
Speaker 3: in the market, but I don't think the Packers should

1049
00:48:19,400 --> 00:48:21,920
Speaker 3: be favored in this spot. Like when you look at

1050
00:48:21,960 --> 00:48:24,800
Speaker 3: some of the injuries that they're dealing with. Aaron Jones,

1051
00:48:25,680 --> 00:48:28,560
Speaker 3: Aaron Rodgers has a toe injury. I think this team

1052
00:48:28,640 --> 00:48:30,640
Speaker 3: just needs to get to the buy. The Rams are

1053
00:48:30,680 --> 00:48:32,920
Speaker 3: coming off their buy week. Obviously they got beat down

1054
00:48:32,960 --> 00:48:34,319
Speaker 3: by the forty nine ers, but I think it's the

1055
00:48:34,360 --> 00:48:37,040
Speaker 3: perfect spot to buy low on this team. Like we

1056
00:48:37,120 --> 00:48:42,640
Speaker 3: said before, the Packers defense, they've been overperforming. They lost

1057
00:48:42,800 --> 00:48:46,160
Speaker 3: a lot of their best players, and then somehow they.

1058
00:48:46,000 --> 00:48:46,919
Speaker 1: Were performing better.

1059
00:48:46,960 --> 00:48:49,799
Speaker 3: And I think what we saw today was more indicative

1060
00:48:49,880 --> 00:48:50,600
Speaker 3: about who they are.

1061
00:48:50,760 --> 00:48:52,040
Speaker 1: I'm going to Rams plus two.

1062
00:48:52,600 --> 00:48:54,399
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't have a good read on that game yet,

1063
00:48:54,480 --> 00:48:56,520
Speaker 2: but that's a big game. It's certainly our big game

1064
00:48:56,520 --> 00:48:59,279
Speaker 2: of the week. That ifc it's very interesting. You do

1065
00:48:59,360 --> 00:49:01,600
Speaker 2: not want to even if you win your division, you

1066
00:49:01,719 --> 00:49:04,719
Speaker 2: don't want to be the fourth division winner because if

1067
00:49:04,719 --> 00:49:07,239
Speaker 2: you are, like look the other teams either get to

1068
00:49:07,320 --> 00:49:10,640
Speaker 2: buy if you're number one, or you play Minnesota or

1069
00:49:10,680 --> 00:49:13,920
Speaker 2: Philly or San fran or New Orleans or Carolina. If

1070
00:49:13,920 --> 00:49:16,479
Speaker 2: you're the four seed, you're going to be playing either

1071
00:49:16,560 --> 00:49:19,879
Speaker 2: Arizona or the Rams in the first round. So if

1072
00:49:19,880 --> 00:49:22,040
Speaker 2: you're the Rams, you need this win to try to

1073
00:49:22,080 --> 00:49:25,360
Speaker 2: not fall you fall out of the race with the Cardinals.

1074
00:49:24,880 --> 00:49:26,760
Speaker 1: And basically lock into that five seed.

1075
00:49:27,320 --> 00:49:29,759
Speaker 2: And if you're the Bucks on Monday night, you're the

1076
00:49:29,800 --> 00:49:32,040
Speaker 2: Packers in this game, you don't want to be slipping

1077
00:49:32,080 --> 00:49:33,240
Speaker 2: down to that four seed.

1078
00:49:33,560 --> 00:49:36,520
Speaker 1: Otherwise you have by far. Like that's the marquee.

1079
00:49:36,600 --> 00:49:39,600
Speaker 2: Round one playoff game is whoever the NFC five seed

1080
00:49:39,680 --> 00:49:42,640
Speaker 2: is playing. So it's a big game. I'm excited for it.

1081
00:49:42,680 --> 00:49:43,960
Speaker 2: I don't have a great read on it, but I

1082
00:49:44,000 --> 00:49:46,759
Speaker 2: can't wait to watch. I am going back to the

1083
00:49:46,800 --> 00:49:49,680
Speaker 2: well that we've gone too often this season. I'm gonna

1084
00:49:49,680 --> 00:49:53,240
Speaker 2: stay in Pennsylvania. I'm taking the Steelers on the road

1085
00:49:53,680 --> 00:49:56,880
Speaker 2: in another underdog spot. They're plus four and a half

1086
00:49:57,000 --> 00:50:01,359
Speaker 2: bus four some books against the Bengals. Look big Ben

1087
00:50:01,719 --> 00:50:05,520
Speaker 2: is twenty four and nine against the Bengals in our

1088
00:50:05,640 --> 00:50:08,360
Speaker 2: bet lab system. He's twelve and four against the spread

1089
00:50:08,400 --> 00:50:10,920
Speaker 2: as far back as we have it for them. So

1090
00:50:11,400 --> 00:50:14,160
Speaker 2: I just think I can't believe that the Bengals are

1091
00:50:14,160 --> 00:50:15,960
Speaker 2: favored by so much. I know that there's a lot

1092
00:50:15,960 --> 00:50:18,520
Speaker 2: of injury question marks with the Steelers. The line is

1093
00:50:18,560 --> 00:50:21,839
Speaker 2: banged up. Naja Harris left with the concussion and came back,

1094
00:50:21,880 --> 00:50:25,480
Speaker 2: and I think he's fine. Mika Fitzpatrick is in COVID protocol,

1095
00:50:25,560 --> 00:50:28,200
Speaker 2: but he should be cleared by then. I don't know

1096
00:50:28,239 --> 00:50:30,600
Speaker 2: that TG a lot will play. He probably won't, I

1097
00:50:30,640 --> 00:50:33,919
Speaker 2: would guess. And you know, the Steelers defense wasn't great tonight.

1098
00:50:33,960 --> 00:50:36,440
Speaker 2: We talked about how well the Charges look, but this

1099
00:50:36,480 --> 00:50:39,440
Speaker 2: is the Mike Tomlin thing. Sixty seven percent cover rate

1100
00:50:39,480 --> 00:50:42,440
Speaker 2: as an underdog, almost half of the over half the

1101
00:50:42,440 --> 00:50:44,360
Speaker 2: games he's won straight up as a dog.

1102
00:50:44,960 --> 00:50:46,440
Speaker 1: Just look what we saw tonight.

1103
00:50:46,600 --> 00:50:49,440
Speaker 2: They find a way they make those wonky plays or

1104
00:50:49,480 --> 00:50:52,640
Speaker 2: tip drills or whatever. Big Ben actually kind of look

1105
00:50:52,760 --> 00:50:56,879
Speaker 2: decent tonight, and I think the Bengals it's an overreaction.

1106
00:50:57,040 --> 00:50:59,360
Speaker 1: They beat the Raiders, so it kind of falling apart lately.

1107
00:51:00,040 --> 00:51:02,040
Speaker 2: They don't look good at all out of the bye week,

1108
00:51:02,080 --> 00:51:04,400
Speaker 2: and the Bengals really were kind of close until pulling

1109
00:51:04,400 --> 00:51:04,920
Speaker 2: away late.

1110
00:51:05,480 --> 00:51:07,400
Speaker 1: So I don't know that i'd even make the Bengals

1111
00:51:07,400 --> 00:51:08,279
Speaker 1: favorite at all. Here.

1112
00:51:08,640 --> 00:51:10,879
Speaker 2: Certainly when you're getting over a field goal, I think

1113
00:51:10,880 --> 00:51:14,360
Speaker 2: this is insane. So it's another Steelers underdog spot. I

1114
00:51:14,400 --> 00:51:16,120
Speaker 2: gotta grab them again, when.

1115
00:51:15,960 --> 00:51:18,200
Speaker 3: I look at the numbers in terms of power rating

1116
00:51:18,560 --> 00:51:21,479
Speaker 3: rank these I pretty much had these teams the same.

1117
00:51:21,840 --> 00:51:24,000
Speaker 3: So at four and a half five, I think you're

1118
00:51:24,000 --> 00:51:27,279
Speaker 3: getting some value and the stillers, like you said, I

1119
00:51:27,320 --> 00:51:31,040
Speaker 3: sat down and watched this Bengals game and it was

1120
00:51:31,080 --> 00:51:34,359
Speaker 3: actually six to three. It looked like the Raiders were

1121
00:51:34,360 --> 00:51:37,600
Speaker 3: about to get off the field and the Raiders just

1122
00:51:37,600 --> 00:51:40,360
Speaker 3: had penalty. It just killed themselves with penalties. The Bengals

1123
00:51:40,360 --> 00:51:43,160
Speaker 3: scored a touchdown before the half. They never really looked

1124
00:51:43,160 --> 00:51:45,200
Speaker 3: back and a lot of it was penalties. A lot

1125
00:51:45,200 --> 00:51:48,760
Speaker 3: of it was the Raiders being undisciplined, but they actually

1126
00:51:48,760 --> 00:51:51,200
Speaker 3: put some pressure on Burrow. And I think that's where

1127
00:51:51,400 --> 00:51:54,160
Speaker 3: Burrow is going to struggle here because this offensive line

1128
00:51:54,200 --> 00:51:54,880
Speaker 3: isn't the best.

1129
00:51:55,239 --> 00:51:57,560
Speaker 2: I agree with you want this week all right, Well

1130
00:51:57,600 --> 00:51:59,880
Speaker 2: that's going to wrap up our week twelve hot reads.

1131
00:52:00,600 --> 00:52:03,879
Speaker 2: Because Raheem and I are not here on Friday, We're

1132
00:52:03,880 --> 00:52:06,320
Speaker 2: gonna give you a little bonus hot read a little

1133
00:52:06,320 --> 00:52:10,080
Speaker 2: bonus hot Thanksgiving read some hot turkey hot stuff in

1134
00:52:10,239 --> 00:52:13,160
Speaker 2: mashed potatoes and gravy. We're gonna set you up for Thursday.

1135
00:52:13,239 --> 00:52:16,920
Speaker 2: Just quickly, look at our Thursday games. All six teams

1136
00:52:16,960 --> 00:52:21,200
Speaker 2: playing on Thanksgiving lost today, so they are ready to

1137
00:52:21,239 --> 00:52:23,440
Speaker 2: get a win. Like, give me some teams ready to

1138
00:52:23,440 --> 00:52:26,600
Speaker 2: get back on the field. So I look through our

1139
00:52:26,680 --> 00:52:30,359
Speaker 2: action labs here and found some trends. If you are

1140
00:52:30,680 --> 00:52:33,400
Speaker 2: the public and you like to just bet on favorites,

1141
00:52:33,480 --> 00:52:36,360
Speaker 2: Thanksgiving is the day for you to bet on football,

1142
00:52:36,480 --> 00:52:39,200
Speaker 2: because since two thousand and five, that's what all these

1143
00:52:39,239 --> 00:52:43,200
Speaker 2: trends are. Favorites on Thanksgiving are thirty two and fourteen

1144
00:52:43,320 --> 00:52:47,520
Speaker 2: against the spread, covering seventy percent of the time. Road

1145
00:52:47,600 --> 00:52:51,400
Speaker 2: favorites playing the Lions are ten and two against the

1146
00:52:51,440 --> 00:52:54,560
Speaker 2: spread and twelve and oho straight up. They're covering by

1147
00:52:54,600 --> 00:52:57,319
Speaker 2: almost ten points a game, So you'll like to be

1148
00:52:57,360 --> 00:53:00,279
Speaker 2: a road favorite against Detroit if you are better with

1149
00:53:00,280 --> 00:53:02,960
Speaker 2: the public. If a side is a favorite and getting

1150
00:53:02,960 --> 00:53:05,440
Speaker 2: at least fifty seven percent of the bets on the

1151
00:53:05,480 --> 00:53:08,839
Speaker 2: spread twenty four and seven seventy seven percent cover rate.

1152
00:53:09,360 --> 00:53:12,320
Speaker 2: If you are a big favorite, favorites of a touchdown

1153
00:53:12,400 --> 00:53:15,719
Speaker 2: or more since two thousand and five on Thanksgiving sixteen

1154
00:53:15,840 --> 00:53:19,120
Speaker 2: and three against the spread, so they are not really

1155
00:53:19,719 --> 00:53:23,440
Speaker 2: getting upset there, big cover covering by eight points a game.

1156
00:53:24,000 --> 00:53:27,279
Speaker 2: Last one night favorite since we added that night game

1157
00:53:27,719 --> 00:53:31,480
Speaker 2: ten and four against the spread, so basically almost entirely

1158
00:53:31,520 --> 00:53:35,359
Speaker 2: across the board, bet your favorites on Thanksgiving, so say

1159
00:53:35,400 --> 00:53:38,400
Speaker 2: the spreads. So let's just quickly look at each of

1160
00:53:38,440 --> 00:53:42,080
Speaker 2: these three games. I gotta admit it's not the kindest

1161
00:53:42,080 --> 00:53:44,279
Speaker 2: schedule in the world. There's going to be a lot

1162
00:53:44,280 --> 00:53:46,319
Speaker 2: of trip to fan naps, I think during some of

1163
00:53:46,360 --> 00:53:49,240
Speaker 2: these games. But you know it's the Lions. We always

1164
00:53:49,239 --> 00:53:51,439
Speaker 2: get the Lions. We know the dwell. So Bear's at

1165
00:53:51,480 --> 00:53:54,640
Speaker 2: Lions in the opener, Bears minus three and a half

1166
00:53:54,760 --> 00:53:56,200
Speaker 2: on the road in Detroit.

1167
00:53:56,320 --> 00:53:57,799
Speaker 1: What do you think about this one? We're here.

1168
00:53:57,920 --> 00:53:59,799
Speaker 3: I think you go Lions money line. When you look

1169
00:53:59,840 --> 00:54:02,000
Speaker 3: this Bears team, they laid it all on the line.

1170
00:54:02,000 --> 00:54:05,520
Speaker 3: I guess this Ravens team they struggled with the Ravens backup,

1171
00:54:05,680 --> 00:54:10,160
Speaker 3: and look the Bears a bank guy. The injuries are

1172
00:54:10,160 --> 00:54:12,759
Speaker 3: just rampant, and the one thing you can say about

1173
00:54:12,760 --> 00:54:16,760
Speaker 3: this Lions team is that they're playing hard for their coach. Now,

1174
00:54:17,040 --> 00:54:20,640
Speaker 3: obviously you want to see the injury report. Is golf playing,

1175
00:54:20,760 --> 00:54:22,919
Speaker 3: But even if golf is playing, I don't know if

1176
00:54:23,360 --> 00:54:24,800
Speaker 3: there's that much of a downgrade.

1177
00:54:25,520 --> 00:54:27,520
Speaker 1: So I'm looking to take the line. I think his

1178
00:54:27,640 --> 00:54:30,040
Speaker 1: Lions are passed. I don't. I don't necessarily want to

1179
00:54:30,040 --> 00:54:32,719
Speaker 1: be laying three and a half of the Bears at

1180
00:54:32,719 --> 00:54:33,520
Speaker 1: this point in time.

1181
00:54:34,480 --> 00:54:36,160
Speaker 2: I don't necessarily want to lay three and a half

1182
00:54:36,200 --> 00:54:38,279
Speaker 2: on the Bears, but I do want to play the

1183
00:54:38,280 --> 00:54:40,799
Speaker 2: Bears here. I'm gonna wait and hope that I get

1184
00:54:40,800 --> 00:54:43,080
Speaker 2: back to a field goal. I played it before today

1185
00:54:43,080 --> 00:54:45,480
Speaker 2: out of field goal already. I do think that the

1186
00:54:45,480 --> 00:54:48,520
Speaker 2: Lion's going to move towards Detroit, just as the Thanksgiving

1187
00:54:48,520 --> 00:54:52,240
Speaker 2: home underdog, you know the injury news Jared Goff maybe

1188
00:54:52,280 --> 00:54:55,719
Speaker 2: could be back. I think Boyle probably plays the Lions

1189
00:54:56,280 --> 00:55:00,000
Speaker 2: look awful for about two and a half quarters today

1190
00:55:00,040 --> 00:55:02,080
Speaker 2: and ripped off a long run and suddenly.

1191
00:55:01,680 --> 00:55:03,320
Speaker 1: Like, oh they only lost by three.

1192
00:55:03,480 --> 00:55:05,640
Speaker 2: But they only lost by three to a terrible looking

1193
00:55:05,640 --> 00:55:08,160
Speaker 2: Browns team, So I think they kind of hung around

1194
00:55:08,280 --> 00:55:11,600
Speaker 2: enough to maybe save some value here. If the Bears

1195
00:55:11,640 --> 00:55:15,120
Speaker 2: were healthy, I put put them more like six point

1196
00:55:15,160 --> 00:55:18,200
Speaker 2: favorites here. They're obviously not healthy. The defense isn't healthy.

1197
00:55:18,760 --> 00:55:19,600
Speaker 2: Justin fields.

1198
00:55:19,840 --> 00:55:20,520
Speaker 1: I think is.

1199
00:55:20,480 --> 00:55:23,000
Speaker 2: Probably a doubt to play this one. So we might

1200
00:55:23,120 --> 00:55:25,640
Speaker 2: start our Thanksgiving off with Andy Dalton and Tim Boyle

1201
00:55:25,800 --> 00:55:29,439
Speaker 2: hooray for us. The Lions lost another guard, so they're

1202
00:55:29,480 --> 00:55:31,600
Speaker 2: down three starting offensive lignment.

1203
00:55:31,320 --> 00:55:32,839
Speaker 1: Now, and the Bears too.

1204
00:55:32,880 --> 00:55:35,400
Speaker 2: The Bears have won six of seven against the Lions,

1205
00:55:35,760 --> 00:55:38,320
Speaker 2: including three in a row in Detroit, two of those

1206
00:55:38,520 --> 00:55:42,000
Speaker 2: on Thanksgiving, so I just I have to trust the

1207
00:55:42,000 --> 00:55:46,200
Speaker 2: trends here again. Road favorites on Thanksgiving in Detroit are

1208
00:55:46,239 --> 00:55:49,440
Speaker 2: ten and two against the spread. The Detroit is okay

1209
00:55:49,520 --> 00:55:52,319
Speaker 2: if they're favored, but when the Lions aren't good, they're

1210
00:55:52,320 --> 00:55:55,640
Speaker 2: not good on Thanksgiving either. So I'm gonna take Chicago.

1211
00:55:55,800 --> 00:55:58,319
Speaker 2: I will wait, though, and hope that I might get

1212
00:55:58,320 --> 00:56:00,920
Speaker 2: this back down to three, depending on where the news goes.

1213
00:56:01,600 --> 00:56:05,719
Speaker 2: Your Cowboys at Home, of course, as always, I'm sure

1214
00:56:05,719 --> 00:56:08,439
Speaker 2: we're gonna get that Red Salvation ARMI bucket, We're gonna

1215
00:56:08,440 --> 00:56:10,839
Speaker 2: get Ezekiel Elliott jumping in trying to eat a little

1216
00:56:10,840 --> 00:56:14,080
Speaker 2: cereal out of there. Cowboys at Home minus seven seven

1217
00:56:14,120 --> 00:56:16,759
Speaker 2: and a half, depending on your book Home against the

1218
00:56:16,840 --> 00:56:18,920
Speaker 2: Raiders who are fading fast?

1219
00:56:19,120 --> 00:56:20,480
Speaker 1: Do you like your cowboys here?

1220
00:56:21,320 --> 00:56:24,480
Speaker 3: I think this line is a tad bit too high

1221
00:56:24,560 --> 00:56:27,440
Speaker 3: at seven and a half. I really want to be

1222
00:56:27,480 --> 00:56:29,520
Speaker 3: looking towards the Raiders in this matchup, and I think

1223
00:56:29,560 --> 00:56:31,600
Speaker 3: a lot of it has to do with the Cowboys injury.

1224
00:56:32,200 --> 00:56:33,800
Speaker 3: I think you want to look at that injury report

1225
00:56:33,840 --> 00:56:36,879
Speaker 3: before you get into anything. It's Tyron Smith going to play?

1226
00:56:37,120 --> 00:56:40,040
Speaker 3: Is Marie Cooper gonna play. It's just there's just a

1227
00:56:40,040 --> 00:56:42,279
Speaker 3: lot of things that I'm concerned about with the Cowboys

1228
00:56:42,280 --> 00:56:45,319
Speaker 3: on a short week. Obviously, the Chiefs game was the

1229
00:56:45,360 --> 00:56:48,960
Speaker 3: start of a three games and twelve day span for

1230
00:56:49,040 --> 00:56:52,200
Speaker 3: the Cowboys. The Cowboys normally show up on Thanksgiving, but

1231
00:56:52,280 --> 00:56:53,720
Speaker 3: I think you're gonna have a lot of the public

1232
00:56:53,760 --> 00:56:56,479
Speaker 3: when the Cowboys. They started off the season with six

1233
00:56:56,480 --> 00:56:59,080
Speaker 3: straight covers, and I think now the market is starting

1234
00:56:59,080 --> 00:56:59,919
Speaker 3: to catch up with them.

1235
00:57:00,080 --> 00:57:01,040
Speaker 1: So I'm looking towards the.

1236
00:57:01,040 --> 00:57:03,239
Speaker 3: Raiders here, even though they'd been kind of in a

1237
00:57:03,320 --> 00:57:06,040
Speaker 3: tail spin. So I'm not really crazy about it. But

1238
00:57:06,080 --> 00:57:08,360
Speaker 3: if I got chose a sample with Raders, yeah.

1239
00:57:08,200 --> 00:57:09,960
Speaker 2: I think of the three, this is the one that

1240
00:57:10,000 --> 00:57:13,160
Speaker 2: I'm the most tepid about betting. If you are betting

1241
00:57:13,239 --> 00:57:17,000
Speaker 2: the Thanksgiving trends, you mostly like the Cowboys here. Now,

1242
00:57:17,000 --> 00:57:20,080
Speaker 2: I mentioned before that you bet the favorites on Thanksgiving

1243
00:57:20,320 --> 00:57:23,880
Speaker 2: almost all is the almost is because of the Cowboys.

1244
00:57:24,360 --> 00:57:27,800
Speaker 2: Dallas as a Thanksgiving favorite is only five and seven.

1245
00:57:28,320 --> 00:57:31,160
Speaker 2: All other teams in the NFL as favorites on Thanksgiving

1246
00:57:31,160 --> 00:57:34,080
Speaker 2: are twenty seven and seven against the spread, so you

1247
00:57:34,160 --> 00:57:37,480
Speaker 2: got to be careful with Dallas. However, Dallas is a

1248
00:57:37,480 --> 00:57:41,000
Speaker 2: touchdown favor We said that sixteen and three. Ats Also,

1249
00:57:41,280 --> 00:57:43,880
Speaker 2: the Raiders are coming out a two game home streak,

1250
00:57:43,920 --> 00:57:47,520
Speaker 2: playing on Thursday night, Thanksgiving or not, that does not go.

1251
00:57:47,560 --> 00:57:49,440
Speaker 1: Well for teams. Usually teams on that.

1252
00:57:49,320 --> 00:57:52,800
Speaker 2: Spot on the short week, you know, traveling fifteen and

1253
00:57:52,880 --> 00:57:55,680
Speaker 2: thirty against the spread. The Raiders have lost three in

1254
00:57:55,720 --> 00:57:58,520
Speaker 2: a row coming out of the bye week. They've scored sixteen,

1255
00:57:58,640 --> 00:58:02,600
Speaker 2: fourteen and thirteen. They're not scoring. So what I think

1256
00:58:02,720 --> 00:58:04,840
Speaker 2: we're going to see in this game is not a

1257
00:58:04,840 --> 00:58:06,720
Speaker 2: fun game. I don't think we're gona get much fun

1258
00:58:06,800 --> 00:58:11,000
Speaker 2: football on Thanksgiving. But I think that Dallas's defense actually

1259
00:58:11,080 --> 00:58:13,160
Speaker 2: is the reason why I'm going to take the Cowboys here.

1260
00:58:13,920 --> 00:58:16,160
Speaker 2: I would say to'll wait because you hope that maybe

1261
00:58:16,160 --> 00:58:18,040
Speaker 2: the line comes down a little bit. Maybe if you

1262
00:58:18,080 --> 00:58:20,120
Speaker 2: can't get that seven, try to wait for the seven.

1263
00:58:20,600 --> 00:58:22,080
Speaker 2: I don't think Amari Cooper is going to be out

1264
00:58:22,120 --> 00:58:24,560
Speaker 2: of COVID protocol. I don't think Ceedee Lamb is going

1265
00:58:24,640 --> 00:58:27,680
Speaker 2: to play and in the concussion and protocol, so you

1266
00:58:27,800 --> 00:58:29,840
Speaker 2: might get some injury news that move it that way.

1267
00:58:30,840 --> 00:58:32,800
Speaker 2: But you know, you know the public money's coming in

1268
00:58:32,840 --> 00:58:35,880
Speaker 2: on Dallas. But then again, if it does, that's another

1269
00:58:35,920 --> 00:58:37,600
Speaker 2: trend that Thanksgiving likes.

1270
00:58:37,720 --> 00:58:39,840
Speaker 1: So I'm a little leery.

1271
00:58:39,960 --> 00:58:42,960
Speaker 2: I lean Cowboys on this one, but it's it's definitely

1272
00:58:43,000 --> 00:58:45,880
Speaker 2: just playing the trends more than the injury news.

1273
00:58:46,400 --> 00:58:48,480
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, this is a very tough game. I think

1274
00:58:48,480 --> 00:58:50,040
Speaker 1: a lot of it with this one. You're gonna have

1275
00:58:50,040 --> 00:58:52,480
Speaker 1: to wait for the injury news before anything, I think so.

1276
00:58:52,960 --> 00:58:55,040
Speaker 2: And a short week obviously too, so it should be

1277
00:58:55,280 --> 00:58:57,400
Speaker 2: you might have to wait right up until kickoff. Got

1278
00:58:57,480 --> 00:58:59,919
Speaker 2: to get your phone like underneath the table while Graham

1279
00:59:00,120 --> 00:59:02,400
Speaker 2: was passing the stuff, and get that bet in right

1280
00:59:02,440 --> 00:59:06,840
Speaker 2: before get the kickoff there? All right, last one Thursday

1281
00:59:06,960 --> 00:59:09,680
Speaker 2: night before you head out and do your Black Friday shopping.

1282
00:59:10,160 --> 00:59:14,000
Speaker 2: The Buffalo Bills are four point favorites on the road

1283
00:59:14,120 --> 00:59:17,440
Speaker 2: in New Orleans taking on the Saints. Bill's looking to

1284
00:59:17,480 --> 00:59:20,040
Speaker 2: bounce back, although I guess every team on Thanksgiving is

1285
00:59:20,040 --> 00:59:23,520
Speaker 2: looking to bounce back. So Freim, do you like Buffalo

1286
00:59:23,960 --> 00:59:26,640
Speaker 2: on the road here or do you think New Orleans

1287
00:59:27,120 --> 00:59:28,360
Speaker 2: holds Sport at home.

1288
00:59:28,800 --> 00:59:32,200
Speaker 3: I think this is the ideal Bilo spot for Buffalo.

1289
00:59:32,600 --> 00:59:35,560
Speaker 3: As much as I trashed your defense earlier, they were

1290
00:59:35,680 --> 00:59:38,720
Speaker 3: playing Frank Wright in this coach's offense, which you know,

1291
00:59:38,880 --> 00:59:41,800
Speaker 3: really has played well over the last month, month and

1292
00:59:41,840 --> 00:59:45,680
Speaker 3: a half since Carson Wentz, you know, recovered from COVID.

1293
00:59:46,080 --> 00:59:49,080
Speaker 3: My biggest thing is that I think Trevor Simion is

1294
00:59:49,120 --> 00:59:52,080
Speaker 3: a real issue for this Saints team. I thought we

1295
00:59:52,080 --> 00:59:55,240
Speaker 3: would see more Taysom Hill. I want to see the

1296
00:59:55,240 --> 00:59:58,560
Speaker 3: injury report because in this Eagles game they were missing

1297
00:59:58,760 --> 01:00:01,400
Speaker 3: a ton of linemen. They were miss Alva Kamara, so

1298
01:00:01,440 --> 01:00:03,640
Speaker 3: that's gonna be big for this match up. I'm leaving

1299
01:00:03,720 --> 01:00:04,400
Speaker 3: Buffalo here.

1300
01:00:04,840 --> 01:00:07,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like Buffalo here a lot, especially because of

1301
01:00:07,880 --> 01:00:09,960
Speaker 2: the short week. You know, we've been miss Kamara now

1302
01:00:10,000 --> 01:00:12,560
Speaker 2: a couple of games. You have to think he's unlikely

1303
01:00:12,600 --> 01:00:16,080
Speaker 2: to go on a short week again. And yeah, Buffalo,

1304
01:00:16,160 --> 01:00:19,280
Speaker 2: their defense looked really bad today. The Colts are pretty

1305
01:00:19,280 --> 01:00:22,360
Speaker 2: good though. The Saints offense is not the Colts offense.

1306
01:00:22,840 --> 01:00:26,040
Speaker 2: And much as we can dump on my guy Carson Wentz,

1307
01:00:26,240 --> 01:00:30,560
Speaker 2: Trevor Simion is not Carson Wentz, so we're seeing lately

1308
01:00:30,640 --> 01:00:33,520
Speaker 2: why Trevor Simeon is a journeyman and why he was

1309
01:00:33,560 --> 01:00:36,240
Speaker 2: the third string guy. So I just I feel like

1310
01:00:36,960 --> 01:00:40,600
Speaker 2: if I'm Buffalo, I love them playing on Thanksgiving. I

1311
01:00:40,640 --> 01:00:44,760
Speaker 2: got embarrassed. It's a terrible game. I looked awful against Indianapolis.

1312
01:00:45,120 --> 01:00:47,680
Speaker 2: Get me back out on the field. Let me shut

1313
01:00:47,760 --> 01:00:51,000
Speaker 2: up those podcasters saying that we're frauds and overrated and

1314
01:00:51,040 --> 01:00:53,960
Speaker 2: we're not like this. Give me on the field. Let

1315
01:00:53,960 --> 01:00:56,840
Speaker 2: my defense be awesome again. And I think the Buffalo

1316
01:00:56,840 --> 01:00:59,440
Speaker 2: defense is gonna make a statement here. So I think

1317
01:00:59,480 --> 01:01:01,840
Speaker 2: it's an under two forty six and a half seems

1318
01:01:01,840 --> 01:01:04,360
Speaker 2: pretty high for the Saints are good defense. I don't

1319
01:01:04,360 --> 01:01:05,800
Speaker 2: think the Bills are going to necessarily put up a

1320
01:01:05,840 --> 01:01:08,160
Speaker 2: huge number. But I don't think the Saints score very

1321
01:01:08,200 --> 01:01:11,240
Speaker 2: much here. The Bills had number one DVA defense, Saints

1322
01:01:11,320 --> 01:01:14,000
Speaker 2: number six. The Bills, I think we're getting a little

1323
01:01:14,040 --> 01:01:17,200
Speaker 2: value with them getting blown out today. So I think

1324
01:01:17,240 --> 01:01:19,800
Speaker 2: the line really if you were a little bit a

1325
01:01:19,840 --> 01:01:22,160
Speaker 2: little more distance, I think you put the line closer

1326
01:01:22,200 --> 01:01:23,960
Speaker 2: to a touchdown than to a field goal.

1327
01:01:24,520 --> 01:01:27,000
Speaker 1: So yeah, I like Buffalo lot here.

1328
01:01:27,080 --> 01:01:29,600
Speaker 2: I think they're the team that I feel best about

1329
01:01:29,640 --> 01:01:33,280
Speaker 2: among these Thanksgivings teams, and again we know that favorites

1330
01:01:33,280 --> 01:01:36,840
Speaker 2: and the night games have done well, and non division

1331
01:01:36,880 --> 01:01:39,120
Speaker 2: matchup favorites do well on Thursdays too, So I think

1332
01:01:39,120 --> 01:01:40,320
Speaker 2: it's a good spot for Buffalo.

1333
01:01:40,680 --> 01:01:41,480
Speaker 1: I yeah, agree with you.

1334
01:01:41,520 --> 01:01:45,160
Speaker 3: I think that's probably my strongest pick of the day

1335
01:01:45,240 --> 01:01:47,320
Speaker 3: because I think the other ones they can probably go

1336
01:01:47,400 --> 01:01:47,919
Speaker 3: either way.

1337
01:01:48,240 --> 01:01:50,000
Speaker 1: You never really want to late three and a half

1338
01:01:50,040 --> 01:01:50,960
Speaker 1: points with the Bears.

1339
01:01:51,240 --> 01:01:54,800
Speaker 3: The Cowboys are dealing with so many injuries, the Raiders

1340
01:01:54,840 --> 01:01:57,240
Speaker 3: are dealing with turmoil. But I think the Bills are

1341
01:01:57,240 --> 01:02:00,240
Speaker 3: better than what they showed against the Colts today, So I.

1342
01:02:00,200 --> 01:02:02,400
Speaker 2: Think so if you want to go crazy, you know

1343
01:02:02,440 --> 01:02:05,840
Speaker 2: how I love my favorites, rahiem if you can find.

1344
01:02:05,640 --> 01:02:06,280
Speaker 1: It out your book.

1345
01:02:06,320 --> 01:02:08,600
Speaker 2: If you can get the Bears out of three and

1346
01:02:08,680 --> 01:02:10,720
Speaker 2: the Cowboys out of seven, if you can find them

1347
01:02:10,720 --> 01:02:14,080
Speaker 2: there without the hook, throw those two together, throwing the

1348
01:02:14,080 --> 01:02:16,600
Speaker 2: Bills a little pumpkin pie on top of your turkey

1349
01:02:16,760 --> 01:02:20,800
Speaker 2: main course. Give me the three favorite parlay on Thanksgiving,

1350
01:02:21,280 --> 01:02:23,920
Speaker 2: Favorites dominate. I'm just gonna play the trends and see

1351
01:02:23,960 --> 01:02:26,120
Speaker 2: if I can get a little favorite action on Thanksgiving.

1352
01:02:26,120 --> 01:02:28,000
Speaker 1: What do you think? I'm not mad? At that at all.

1353
01:02:28,040 --> 01:02:30,240
Speaker 3: I think if I had to play something, I think

1354
01:02:30,240 --> 01:02:34,919
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with a Lion's Cowboys teaser. I'm gonna

1355
01:02:34,960 --> 01:02:38,840
Speaker 3: tease the Lions, uh okay through the key numbers of seven.

1356
01:02:39,040 --> 01:02:40,840
Speaker 3: I'm gonna get that up to nine and then I

1357
01:02:40,880 --> 01:02:42,760
Speaker 3: think the Cowboys bounce back when this game.

1358
01:02:42,920 --> 01:02:44,160
Speaker 1: So that's my teaser.

1359
01:02:44,800 --> 01:02:46,480
Speaker 2: If that is not me and you and a nutshell,

1360
01:02:46,520 --> 01:02:48,480
Speaker 2: I don't know what it is. You got the safe teaser,

1361
01:02:48,680 --> 01:02:49,640
Speaker 2: just getting a little.

1362
01:02:49,400 --> 01:02:50,480
Speaker 1: Bit of edge in here.

1363
01:02:50,800 --> 01:02:53,440
Speaker 2: I'm all in. Give me some money for Black Friday.

1364
01:02:53,480 --> 01:02:54,920
Speaker 2: I got some shopping to do, any of a new

1365
01:02:54,960 --> 01:02:57,560
Speaker 2: TV all right. That is gonna wrap it up today

1366
01:02:57,560 --> 01:03:00,440
Speaker 2: at the Action Network podcast. Make sure you're raised subscribe

1367
01:03:00,480 --> 01:03:03,320
Speaker 2: and review the podcast speed if you haven't yet. Raheem

1368
01:03:03,360 --> 01:03:05,880
Speaker 2: and I are off Friday, but Stucky and Raybon are

1369
01:03:05,960 --> 01:03:09,240
Speaker 2: here Wednesday night with their NFL six pack betting guide.

1370
01:03:09,520 --> 01:03:12,120
Speaker 2: Rahem and I will be back first thing Monday to

1371
01:03:12,320 --> 01:03:16,400
Speaker 2: review the next slate of games on Sunday for Raheem Palmer.

1372
01:03:16,440 --> 01:03:19,920
Speaker 2: I'm Brandon Anderson and this has been the Action Network Podcast.

1373
01:03:20,320 --> 01:03:21,920
Speaker 1: We're on to week twelve.