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Speaker 1: This episode is brought to you by Love Herts. Keith

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Speaker 1: week Kwan has had quite a career, from childhood roles

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Speaker 1: in Indiana, Jones and the Temple of Doom and The

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Speaker 1: Goonies to a recent Academy Award win for Everything, Everywhere,

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Speaker 1: All at Once. But now Keith finally stars as a

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Speaker 1: leading man in the film Love Hurts. Love Hurts is

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Speaker 1: the top action comedy and a ton of heart. Love

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Speaker 1: Hurts Only at theaters February seventh.

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Speaker 2: This episode is brought to you by Unstoppable. Discover the

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Speaker 3: Welcome in What's Right? Nick Wright. Episode seventy nine of

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Speaker 3: our YouTube show and podcast like Rates Review, subscribe to

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Speaker 3: all those things. It is our Week five NFL gambling show.

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Speaker 3: The way the Gambling Show works is we give you

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Speaker 3: five picks. We put the rest of the eleven games

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Speaker 3: into three different categories, perfectly priced, stay aways, and be carefuls.

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Speaker 3: Then at the end of the show, we give you

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Speaker 3: a lock. More on that in a moment we see

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Speaker 3: if there's any exotics, any teasers, any parlay's we want

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Speaker 3: to do. I give you a survivor pick, which has

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Speaker 3: been right now worth the cost of admission on this

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Speaker 3: show Survivor pools. Through four weeks, the majority of Survivor

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Speaker 3: pools in America have lost more than eighty percent of

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Speaker 3: their injuries. We are not only four for four, but

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Speaker 3: none of our four survivors have even had a real

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Speaker 3: wet involved. They've been perfect, So that's been good. And

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Speaker 3: Demons tries to get me to make a bet. I

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Speaker 3: feel like I made a bet with you last week

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Speaker 3: because I owed you fifty dollars and we agreed double

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Speaker 3: or nothing on something and I think you lost. Mm hmm.

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Speaker 4: Are you talking about the Rams game?

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Speaker 3: No, I think it was the Dolphins game. I think

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Speaker 3: it was the old Dolphins Bengals. We went double or

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Speaker 3: nothing on the fifty bucks.

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Speaker 5: I thought it was double or nothing for all of

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Speaker 5: the reverse of your picks.

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Speaker 3: Well you would have lost that too, because I had

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Speaker 3: a winning week last week. Let's show it America. Okay,

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Speaker 3: So we went three and two last week after three

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Speaker 3: straight two and three weeks, but once again we lost

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Speaker 3: our right move the lock of the week. So I

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Speaker 3: would like to discuss those picks briefly and we'll get

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Speaker 3: to this week's picks. First of all, what a sharp

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Speaker 3: side for me with Minnesota. This is where we talk

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Speaker 3: line value. We got Minnesota because these lines locked for

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Speaker 3: us when the Fox bet lines whatever they are, when

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Speaker 3: the super Contest locks on Wednesday evening, because we do

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Speaker 3: this on Thursday morning, which sometimes screws us. Sometimes we

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Speaker 3: don't have all the information, but that's how we do it.

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Speaker 3: And I said I loved Minnesota laying less than a

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Speaker 3: field goal in that game in London. Then what happened

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Speaker 3: day of the game. Oh my god, Jamis is out,

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Speaker 3: Kamara's out, Michael Thomas is out. When all the way

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Speaker 3: to Minnesota minus four or four and a half, Minnesota

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Speaker 3: one by three. So if you got it when we

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Speaker 3: said it, you won. Vegas covered easily, the Chiefs covered

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Speaker 3: by a million. My love affair with betting games involving

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Speaker 3: the Chicago Bears must end. It will end. This week

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Speaker 3: the Bears did not cover. And then there's the lock.

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Speaker 3: So I would like to tell you how the locks

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Speaker 3: have gone for us this year. Week one, we had

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Speaker 3: Baltimore covered easily. Week two we had Baltimore, they were

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Speaker 3: up twenty one in the fourth quarter. We were laying

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Speaker 3: three and a half. They did not win. Week three

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Speaker 3: we had San Francisco laying a point and a half.

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Speaker 3: Despite Jimmy Garoppolo's self safetying, we still were in fine shape.

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Speaker 3: Then the Broncos go down and score. The Niners had

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Speaker 3: the ball two more times. Down one, we're laying one

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Speaker 3: and a half. We just need a field goal. We

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Speaker 3: cover back to back turnovers. And then last week Jacksonville

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Speaker 3: is getting six and a half. It's fourteen to nothing

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Speaker 3: before Demons got back from his night out at Pianos,

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Speaker 3: and all of a sudden, we lose that game outright,

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Speaker 3: we lose the game. They lose by eight points. So

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Speaker 3: the reason I say that is this our process has

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Speaker 3: been sound on the locks. Our process has been sound

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Speaker 3: on these picks. We have made twenty picks so far

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Speaker 3: this year. I've done the I've crunched the numbers, if

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Speaker 3: you will. Eight of them win or law Eight of

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Speaker 3: them have been fifty to fifty games. Okay, so six

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Speaker 3: of them we have been on the right side of

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Speaker 3: by a mile, and the other six we have had

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Speaker 3: five very unlucky go against us and only one very

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Speaker 3: lucky go our way. That was the Arizona game from

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Speaker 3: a few weeks ago. So point is, we're not going

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Speaker 3: to change our process here, with the exception of we're

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Speaker 3: not gonna let the Bears ruin our record anymore. We're

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Speaker 3: not spilling to change our process. You tried to talk

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Speaker 3: me out of the Bears thing last week. I will

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Speaker 3: give you credit on that DEMANDE also gave us three

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Speaker 3: picks last week. I think we're gonna discuss those later

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Speaker 3: in the show. But right now, let's get to our

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Speaker 3: picks for the week. We're starting with the Prince that

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Speaker 3: was promised, Trevor Lawrence and the Jacksonville Jaguars laying seven

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Speaker 3: against the Houston Texans.

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Speaker 6: I don't typically believe in Jacksonville.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, that's why we like it. It's a good

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Speaker 3: catch by you. You as Jacksonville right now has been

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Speaker 3: a top ten defense and a top ten offense. Jacksonville

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Speaker 3: should be three to one, not because they should have

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Speaker 3: won the Philly game, but they should have won Week one.

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Speaker 3: They have also shown an ability to blow people out.

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Speaker 3: They blew out the Chargers and they blew out the Colts.

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Speaker 3: I like what they're doing on both sides of the ball.

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Speaker 3: Houston is the only win list team. Houston is just

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Speaker 3: going to try to run the ball. Run the ball.

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Speaker 3: Davis Mills has you know, reversed back to the regressed,

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Speaker 3: pardon me, back to the mean. As far as turnovers,

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Speaker 3: I expect this to be a game that Jacksonville jumps

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Speaker 3: out early like they did against Philadelphia, does not make

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Speaker 3: the same mistakes they made against Philadelphia. Trevor's not gonna

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Speaker 3: have five turnovers. He's not gonna have the most fumbles

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Speaker 3: of any player lost fumbles of any player in the

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Speaker 3: last twenty plus years.

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Speaker 4: As long as it's not Rady, Well, you.

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Speaker 3: Know that's a good point. Let's check the old weather forecast.

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Speaker 3: This is also one of the issues potentially with betting

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Speaker 3: these games on a Thursday, You're not gonna get the

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Speaker 3: most precise weather forecast. But his game is in Jacksonville, Florida.

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Speaker 3: It's certainly not gonna be the torrential downpour that we

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Speaker 3: had to deal with. And guess what on Sunday Sonny high

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Speaker 3: of eighty three, low of sixty four, no chance of precipitation.

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Speaker 3: That's a recipe for Jacksonville blowing out the Houston Texans.

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Speaker 3: We will lay the seven points. Next game, Seattle catching

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Speaker 3: five and a half against New Orleans. Now, this is

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Speaker 3: another one where I, because I have promised to you guys,

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Speaker 3: I will bet all of these games. Obviously will bet

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Speaker 3: all of these games. I'm gonna recommend you guys just

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Speaker 3: keep your eye on the injury report for both teams,

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Speaker 3: but particularly what it really matters for is the Saints

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Speaker 3: because at last check, we don't know is jamis playing.

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Speaker 3: We do expect Alvin Kamara to be playing. Michael Thomas

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Speaker 3: At this point, people need to stop backing like Michael

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Speaker 3: Thomas some big difference. Finger right, Thomas, unbelievable player three

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Speaker 3: years ago. Then you heard his ankle two years ago

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Speaker 3: was barely you know, was on and off the field

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Speaker 3: that year last year was missed the entire year with

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Speaker 3: that same ankle injury. This year came back Week one.

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Speaker 3: He's been on and off since then. Okay, there is

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Speaker 3: no reason New Orleans should be favored by more than

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Speaker 3: four points against anyone. Seattle, on the other hand, has

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Speaker 3: had a frisky offense. Very bad defense, but a frisky offense.

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Speaker 3: There's back door cover opportunity. I think Seattle could win

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Speaker 3: the game outright. Andy Dalton potentially is the starter, even

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Speaker 3: if he's not. Jamis has not exactly bathed himself in

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Speaker 3: glories so far this year. Dennis Allen has one of

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Speaker 3: the five worst records of any NFL head coach in

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Speaker 3: the last seventy years of football for a coach that's

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Speaker 3: coached as many games as him Seattle. I would have

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Speaker 3: when we were doing this you this Sunday. We didn't

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Speaker 3: do it because the Chiefs game was on, but Demonsey

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Speaker 3: and I like to do a Bill Simmons cousin south

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Speaker 3: thing of guessing the lines. I guessed it was New

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Speaker 3: Orleans minus two and a half. I'm never off by

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Speaker 3: three points on that. I'm not saying I always picked

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Speaker 3: the right side of it, but I'm usually pretty good

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Speaker 3: about guessing where Vegas is gonna set it. I don't

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Speaker 3: understand the respect New Orleans is getting when New Orleans

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Speaker 3: very very easily could be an zero to four football team.

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Speaker 3: Let me remind you about what New orleans Is year

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Speaker 3: has been like so far, because it's actually gonna come

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Speaker 3: into play in a later pick. But New Orleans so

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Speaker 3: far this season. Week one, they're down sixteen to Atlanta

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Speaker 3: in the fourth quarter, furious comeback they win by a point.

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Speaker 3: Week two, they can't move the ball at all, Tampa

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Speaker 3: dominates them. Week three they lose to the hapless Panthers.

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Speaker 3: And last week in London they lose to Minnesota despite

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Speaker 3: Minnesota shooting itself in the foot repeatedly, and they got

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Speaker 3: a flyback from London. They didn't take the bye after

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Speaker 3: the international trip. All those reasons. I like Seattle plus

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Speaker 3: the five and a.

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Speaker 4: Half and Gino Smith.

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Speaker 3: What about him?

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Speaker 6: Are you buying into him being a top quarterback.

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Speaker 3: I'm not buying into him being a top quarterback. But

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Speaker 3: am I buying into him not being awful? Yeah, he

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Speaker 3: wasn't awful when he filled in for us last year.

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Speaker 3: This year he's actually been excellent. Now that will regress somewhat,

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Speaker 3: and New Orleans has a good defense, but five and

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Speaker 3: a half's too much. We like Seattle plus the five

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Speaker 3: and a half. Speaking of Atlanta, next pick Atlanta catching

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Speaker 3: eight in the hook eight and a half at Tampa. Okay,

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Speaker 3: so let's talk about the Atlanta Falcons for a moment.

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Speaker 3: A team that some people thought was gonna be the

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Speaker 3: worst team in football this year.

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Speaker 6: And I can act like Atlanta what They're not far off?

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Speaker 3: Well, except for this Week one Atlanta. We just mentioned

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Speaker 3: it up sixteen and the fourth they blew it. Week

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Speaker 3: two Atlanta, and this is why we like the plus

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Speaker 3: eight and a half. Week two Atlanta is down thirty

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Speaker 3: one to ten with nine minutes left. Okay, that game

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Speaker 3: is thirty one twenty seven in the fourth quarter, and

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Speaker 3: you know what happens. All of a sudden, Jared Goff

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Speaker 3: and Jared Goff uh. Marcus Mariota is thrown into the

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Speaker 3: end zone and Jalen Ramsey has to moss. I think

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Speaker 3: it's Drake London to save the game. But a furious comeback.

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Speaker 3: They could have won. They shouldn't have won, but they

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Speaker 3: could have won. But furious comeback to cover Week two

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Speaker 3: Atlanta they go to Seattle all the way furthest trip

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Speaker 3: in the one of the furthest trips in the NFL

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Speaker 3: scheduled this season. Atlanta, Georgia to Seattle, Washington. They win

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Speaker 3: the game out right twenty three to twenty or twenty

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Speaker 3: seven to twenty three, pardon me. And Week four Atlanta

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Speaker 3: a game that I told you all was a trap.

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Speaker 3: I told you to stay away with Cleveland minus one

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Speaker 3: and a half, and Demonsey's watching the game with me.

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Speaker 3: Cleveland takes a lead in the fourth quarter. He's like, oh,

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Speaker 3: you said this was a trap. What does Atlanta do?

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Speaker 3: Boom boom, back to backfield goal drives. They win the

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Speaker 3: game out right twenty three to twenty against a frisky

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Speaker 3: Cleveland team. Now you're giving me more than a touchdown. Furthermore,

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Speaker 3: I don't want to get into Tom Brady's personal life.

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Speaker 3: It's been a rough week.

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Speaker 4: Gee.

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Speaker 3: He's also banged up. Yeah, the Chiefs hurt him, got

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Speaker 3: his shoulder. His finger was already banged up. I'm not

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Speaker 3: picking Atlanta to win this game, but I do think

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Speaker 3: that if Tampa has a lead late, they are going

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Speaker 3: to grind the clock and run the ball and not

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Speaker 3: put Brady in Jeopardy that screams Atlanta. Furthermore, Atlanta has

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Speaker 3: shown because Arthur Smith, their coach, has talked all this trash,

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Speaker 3: there are no give up team. So even if they're

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Speaker 3: getting their teeth kicked in, they are going to do

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Speaker 3: their damnedest to stay in the football game. Or you

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Speaker 3: could be down they've down fifteen with five minutes left

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Speaker 3: and cover this game. I love the eight and a half,

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Speaker 3: by the way, I love it that extra half point.

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Speaker 3: It feels good. Situation where they're down eleven with ninety

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Speaker 3: seconds left and they do the we're gonna kick the

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Speaker 3: field goal and then go on sidekick. All of a

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Speaker 3: sudden you're covering again. Additionally, the Chiefs just ran the

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Speaker 3: ball one hundred and eighty five yards on this Tampa

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Speaker 3: defense that previously you couldn't run the ball. Lanta's running

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Speaker 3: this weird college offense. I think they're going to run

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Speaker 3: the ball. I think both teams are going to run

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Speaker 3: the ball, which means it will be a fast game,

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Speaker 3: lower scoring game. You're giving me eight and a half

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Speaker 3: points like.

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Speaker 4: Plus the eight, Atlanta's four and against the spread so far.

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Speaker 3: So here's the thing I did not know that I

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Speaker 3: saw it in your notes.

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Speaker 4: Might be too late to jump on that bandwagon, you know.

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Speaker 3: I don't love that. Yeah, I'll tell you that much.

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Speaker 3: I don't love the four and oh against the spread.

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Speaker 3: It is scary it. I saw that, and it gave

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Speaker 3: me a bit of pause. But we're gonna disregard that,

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Speaker 3: and we're gonna plow ahead with Atlanta plus the eight

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Speaker 3: and a half. All right, next line, Dallas plus five

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Speaker 3: and a half at the Rams. Someone make a case

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Speaker 3: to me that the Rams are a great team that

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Speaker 3: doesn't involve last year's Super Bowl. It can't be made.

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Speaker 3: Someone make a case to me that Matt Stafford looks

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Speaker 3: like a top flight quarterback that does not involve last

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Speaker 3: year's Super Bowl and Super Bowl run. It cannot be made.

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Speaker 3: The Rams so far this year got their teeth kicked

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Speaker 3: in by Buffalo. Fine, we just told you about the

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Speaker 3: Atlanta game. Now, they dominated that game and then the

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Speaker 3: fourth quarter tried to give it away, so that no,

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Speaker 3: not you know, no step on your throat there. They

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Speaker 3: then escape against a miserable Cardinals team and get totally

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Speaker 3: I mean dominated by San Francisco. Okay, so let's talk

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Speaker 3: about that for a moment. That game was on Monday night,

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Speaker 3: so the Rams are on a short week. That's interesting.

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Speaker 3: Their offensive line is in shambles. The Cowboys have an

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Speaker 3: argument that they have the best pass rushing duo in

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Speaker 3: the whole league in Michael Parsons and DeMarcus Lawrence. The

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Speaker 3: Cowboys also have shown you they're going to throw the

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Speaker 3: ball on first down and then run the ball. Just

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Speaker 3: try not to turn the ball over. Conservative game that

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Speaker 3: also lends you to side of the underdog. Dallas has

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Speaker 3: been better than I gave them credit for being able

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Speaker 3: to be, particularly after Dack's injury.

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Speaker 5: But don't you think like that time might be coming

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Speaker 5: up for Cooper Rush to have a slip up game.

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Speaker 6: I do too many games in a row like we

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Speaker 6: saw it.

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Speaker 3: So I actually agree with that, and I think that

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Speaker 3: could happen this week. We could have the three interception

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Speaker 3: Cooper Rush game. Right I don't think the Rams have

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Speaker 3: enough firepower to blow anybody out right now. I just don't.

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Speaker 3: And I think that Stafford is going to be under

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Speaker 3: such dress. It's going to be all quick passing game stuff.

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Speaker 3: The Cowboys, if they're smart and they have a smart defense,

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Speaker 3: will double Cooper Cup throughout. I just think this should

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Speaker 3: be Rams by three, and the Rams are getting an

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Speaker 3: extra two and a half thanks being Super Bowl champs,

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Speaker 3: and that matters nothing to me at this point. Dallas

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Speaker 3: plus I was thinking about Dallas at plus four and

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Speaker 3: a half, which is I think where it opened, Dallas

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Speaker 3: plus five and a half. I like, even though I

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Speaker 3: haven't been big on the Cowboys, I like Dallas catching

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Speaker 3: the five and a half points. The final pick we

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Speaker 3: are giving out is Kansaity minus seven against the Raiders. Oh, Nick,

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Speaker 3: you always picked the Chiefs false. Did not pick the

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Speaker 3: Chiefs in week one and they covered. Did not pick

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Speaker 3: the Chiefs in week two and they covered. Did not

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Speaker 3: pick the Chiefs in week three. I had them in

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Speaker 3: a teaser. Oh I did not pick them against the

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Speaker 3: spread and they did not cover and they lost. Out Right.

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Speaker 3: I did pick the Chiefs last week, picked them on

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Speaker 3: this show lang one, and then I bet them a little.

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Speaker 3: I don't call it irresponsibly, but remember I told you

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Speaker 3: when you're gambling, you like to decide what your unit

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Speaker 3: size is. Yeah, and then you know, have that be

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Speaker 3: your typical bet. If you unit size one hundred bucks.

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Speaker 3: Occasionally you do a half or a three quarter unit

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Speaker 3: bet fifty or seventy five. Occasionally, if you really like something,

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Speaker 3: you'll do a one and a half unit bet. We

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Speaker 3: don't need to talk about what my average bet size is.

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Speaker 3: But we went with the old four unit bet on

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Speaker 3: Manas City the night before my birthday. Here's why. In

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Speaker 3: that game, first time in thirty eight games, Patrick Mahomes

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Speaker 3: was an underdog. You're not Gonnam. I might not get

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Speaker 3: that opportunity bet on him as a underdog again for

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Speaker 3: three years. I had to take advantage of it. The

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Speaker 3: Chiefs kicked the Raiders ass except for two years ago

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Speaker 3: where they played two close games. They play the Raiders

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Speaker 3: and they kick their teeth in. The Raiders also got

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Speaker 3: their win, so that the desperation a little gone. The Chiefs,

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Speaker 3: on the other hand, understand because they I think they

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Speaker 3: still have the added edge of having given that game

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Speaker 3: away against the Colts. Yea at home. It's on Monday night.

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Speaker 3: Arrowhead is going to be absolutely out of its mind.

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Speaker 3: I think that right now, teams watched what the Chiefs

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Speaker 3: did against Tampa recognize the Chiefs are willing to just

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Speaker 3: run the ball, run the ball. They're not going to

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Speaker 3: be able to play in that two high shell the

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Speaker 3: whole game. And because of that Cat, I think Mahomes

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Speaker 3: is going to have more opportunities. The only way any

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Speaker 3: team has ever slowed down Mahomes his entire career is

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Speaker 3: get constant pressure on the quarterback. The Raiders have one

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Speaker 3: of the worst pass rushes in the league. Listen, I

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Speaker 3: like what the Raiders are able to do on offense.

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Speaker 3: I think DeVante Adams is gonna end up being a

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Speaker 3: great player for them. I think you'll have a big game.

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Speaker 3: I still like the Chiefs. I feel like this game

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Speaker 3: should be Kansaity minus nine and a half. It's Kansidy

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Speaker 3: minus seven. I like it.

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Speaker 5: You said you have the opportunity to bet on the

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Speaker 5: Chiefs or bet on Patrick Mahomes being an underdogar that

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Speaker 5: won't happen for a while. You don't think that when

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Speaker 5: they play the Bills coming up here, so that they'll

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Speaker 5: be underdogs.

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Speaker 3: That game's in Kansas City, right, If that game's in

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Speaker 3: Kansas City, the answer is absolutely, unequivocally no, I don't

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Speaker 3: think they'll be underdogs. Now, what I will say is,

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Speaker 3: is there a concern, a bit of a concern the

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Speaker 3: Chiefs could be in look ahead mode to the Bills game,

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Speaker 3: if the Bucks game in the Bills game, Raiders trap

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Speaker 3: game in the middle, maybe, except for the fact the

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Speaker 3: Raiders have beaten the Chiefs once in Patrick Mahomes's career

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Speaker 3: and those sons of bitches did laps around the stadium

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Speaker 3: celebrating it. And I don't think the Chiefs are over

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Speaker 3: that part of it. Okay, So Kansas City minus seven

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Speaker 3: should be nine and a half. So our five picks

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Speaker 3: are Jacksonville minus seven, Seattle plus five and a half,

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Speaker 3: Atlanta plus eight and a half, Dallas plus five and

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Speaker 3: a half in Kansas City minus seven. All right, We'll

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Speaker 3: go through the other eleven games on the slate quickly

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Speaker 3: coming up next, And there is never the one thing.

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Speaker 3: While our record's been mediocre, we have been spot on

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Speaker 3: on the be careful category. We've prevented people from making

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Speaker 3: bets they shouldn't. There are four road favorites this week

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Speaker 3: that we beg you to be careful on. We will

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Speaker 3: discuss all of those and the rest of the slate

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Speaker 3: before we get to our official lock Exotics survivor all

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Speaker 3: that coming up next. What's right? Nick right? NFL gamelin

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Speaker 3: Show Week five.

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Speaker 7: If your football team had one option in their playbook,

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Speaker 7: disclosures and disclaimers at cbo dot com slash us underscore disclaimers.

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Speaker 3: Welcome back in What's Right, Nick Right, Episode seventy nine,

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Speaker 3: Week five NFL Gambling Show. We just gave you our

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Speaker 3: five picks. We'll get to the lock and all the

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Speaker 3: other fun stuff later, but there are eleven other games

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Speaker 3: we need to discuss. We put them into three categories.

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Speaker 3: Stay away, be careful and perfectly priced. First on the

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Speaker 3: stay away line, and then do we I think we

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Speaker 3: show you all of these here? Yeah, so here are

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Speaker 3: four stayaways. We're going to start with Indy at Denver.

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Speaker 3: Indy is getting three and a half. This is a

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Speaker 3: vintage stay Away for the following reasons. One is no

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Speaker 3: Jonathan Taylor, but also massive injury questions on both sides

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Speaker 3: of the ball, and it's a Thursday night game, so

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Speaker 3: people will already have known what happens here. I'm not

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Speaker 3: comfortable laying three and a half points with Denver right

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Speaker 3: now against almost anyone that has a pulse in this league.

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Speaker 3: I know somebody want to like, the Colts don't have

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Speaker 3: a pulse, and without Jonathan Taylor, they certain they shouldn't

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Speaker 3: have a pulse. However, the one thing the Colts have

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Speaker 3: done really well this year is get after the quarterback.

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Speaker 3: Russell Wilson will run himself into some sacks. I think

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Speaker 3: that the injury questions, the short week, all of that

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Speaker 3: to me, that to stay away for me for well.

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Speaker 3: I mean, if they lose this game to a Colts

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Speaker 3: team with though Jonathan Taylor, then they're a five win team.

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Speaker 3: Then I mean it's hard to find their wins. I

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Speaker 3: expect them to win this week, but it's gonna be

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Speaker 3: hard for them to ever get on a real hot

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Speaker 3: streak because so after this week, then they're at the Chargers.

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Speaker 3: That's a loss for them. Then they're home for the Jets.

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Speaker 3: That's good. Then they're at Jacksonville. To me, that's a

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Speaker 3: loss for them, then a bye home for Tennessee home

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Speaker 3: for Vegas, or at Tennessee home Vegas at Carolina. They

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Speaker 3: get a nice little streak there, but then at the

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Speaker 3: end of the year for them at KC home for

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Speaker 3: Arizona at the Rams at case again home for the Chargers,

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Speaker 3: to must win game for both of these teams, both

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Speaker 3: of them were without their star running backs. Stay away

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Speaker 3: next Green Bay against the Giants Giants catching eight.

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Speaker 4: Wanted.

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Speaker 3: I almost included the Giants plus eight and my picks.

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Speaker 3: This game is in London. The reason it to stay

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Speaker 3: away for us right now is the total question of

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Speaker 3: what healthy quarterbacks do the Giants have. We don't yet

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Speaker 3: have enough information on it. Also, the Packers have not

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Speaker 3: looked great against anybody this year. They probably shouldn't be

432
00:24:33,119 --> 00:24:36,320
Speaker 3: favored by more than a touchdown against any team, particularly

433
00:24:36,520 --> 00:24:39,480
Speaker 3: a team and the Giants three and one, well, I

434
00:24:39,520 --> 00:24:41,119
Speaker 3: don't care so much to the three and one. I

435
00:24:41,160 --> 00:24:44,399
Speaker 3: do care that Sakwan's been one of the best players

436
00:24:44,400 --> 00:24:46,840
Speaker 3: in the league this year. The Packers have not been

437
00:24:46,880 --> 00:24:49,440
Speaker 3: able to consistently stop the run the way you would

438
00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:51,639
Speaker 3: have hoped or expected them to be able to. You

439
00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:53,560
Speaker 3: would think, I mean what did we see this past week?

440
00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:55,760
Speaker 3: The Patriots ran the ball, ran the ball, ran the ball,

441
00:24:56,160 --> 00:24:58,800
Speaker 3: taking the final play of overtime. But because of the

442
00:24:58,920 --> 00:25:02,920
Speaker 3: questions at the quarterback spot, you can't bet the Giants.

443
00:25:03,280 --> 00:25:06,280
Speaker 3: But you also can't lay eight with Green Bay right now,

444
00:25:06,320 --> 00:25:10,399
Speaker 3: stay away. Next Detroit at New England. New England laying

445
00:25:10,480 --> 00:25:19,040
Speaker 3: three points. Okay, so the Lions defense has been so

446
00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:23,600
Speaker 3: awful this year, you feel like a Belichick team is

447
00:25:23,640 --> 00:25:26,360
Speaker 3: going to be able to look at that film and

448
00:25:27,080 --> 00:25:30,359
Speaker 3: exploit them in every area on the offensive side of

449
00:25:30,400 --> 00:25:35,720
Speaker 3: the ball. However, it might be Bailey Zappies starting this game.

450
00:25:36,080 --> 00:25:40,800
Speaker 3: Mac Jones came back to practice. We don't If this

451
00:25:40,840 --> 00:25:43,399
Speaker 3: were Sunday morning, we might be able to give you

452
00:25:43,440 --> 00:25:46,040
Speaker 3: a line on it. But as we're sitting here Thursday morning,

453
00:25:46,320 --> 00:25:49,080
Speaker 3: and when you guys hear this on Friday, we're still

454
00:25:49,119 --> 00:25:51,199
Speaker 3: not going to know who's playing quarterback for the Patriots.

455
00:25:51,440 --> 00:25:54,800
Speaker 3: I'm not comfortable with laying three points with New England

456
00:25:55,119 --> 00:25:57,360
Speaker 3: against a team that can score a bunch. I'm also

457
00:25:57,480 --> 00:26:01,679
Speaker 3: not comfortable with betting on the Troit plus three against

458
00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:03,800
Speaker 3: a well coached team when the defense is that bad.

459
00:26:04,240 --> 00:26:04,680
Speaker 3: What's up?

460
00:26:04,920 --> 00:26:07,120
Speaker 5: I feel like We've stayed away from betting against coach

461
00:26:07,160 --> 00:26:09,440
Speaker 5: Belichick every week except for the one time that they

462
00:26:09,440 --> 00:26:12,240
Speaker 5: played Baltimore, So you still well listen.

463
00:26:12,280 --> 00:26:16,000
Speaker 3: He deserves listen. He's the greatest coach ever. And yeah,

464
00:26:16,040 --> 00:26:18,840
Speaker 3: we've had two strong leans on the Patriots so far

465
00:26:18,880 --> 00:26:24,920
Speaker 3: this year Week two, Week three against Baltimore and Week two.

466
00:26:25,480 --> 00:26:28,119
Speaker 3: We told you it was a trap. Everyone's gonna be

467
00:26:28,119 --> 00:26:32,040
Speaker 3: betting Pittsburgh. This is just the quarterback injury. That's why

468
00:26:32,040 --> 00:26:34,879
Speaker 3: you have the stay away category because of the quarterback injury.

469
00:26:34,880 --> 00:26:39,160
Speaker 3: All right, Tennessee at Washington, Washington getting two and a half.

470
00:26:39,440 --> 00:26:42,360
Speaker 3: This is I'm gonna be totally honest with you. This

471
00:26:42,440 --> 00:26:44,719
Speaker 3: was the last game that I put in any category.

472
00:26:44,920 --> 00:26:47,199
Speaker 3: I had no lean or feel for this. These might

473
00:26:47,240 --> 00:26:48,840
Speaker 3: be two of the teams I've watched the least of

474
00:26:48,880 --> 00:26:50,879
Speaker 3: anyone in football this year. We can just move on.

475
00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:54,760
Speaker 3: You have great insight on Tennessee Washington. God bless I don't.

476
00:26:54,960 --> 00:27:03,159
Speaker 3: All right, be careful, home dogs, home dogs. It's not

477
00:27:03,280 --> 00:27:08,040
Speaker 3: that you can never bet the road favorite, but be careful.

478
00:27:08,400 --> 00:27:12,760
Speaker 3: We will start with Miami minus three and a half

479
00:27:12,920 --> 00:27:19,959
Speaker 3: against the Jets. Miami. The reasons for Miami extended break

480
00:27:20,800 --> 00:27:23,639
Speaker 3: because they were off since Thursday. Teddy Bridgewater one of

481
00:27:23,680 --> 00:27:27,080
Speaker 3: the better quarterbacks in all the football. They're playing the Jets,

482
00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:30,240
Speaker 3: which is always a reason to bet. The other side

483
00:27:30,240 --> 00:27:34,040
Speaker 3: of it, reason for the Jets a bit of a

484
00:27:34,119 --> 00:27:39,439
Speaker 3: stirring comeback last week is Zach Wilson. Maybe good, Probably not,

485
00:27:39,640 --> 00:27:42,600
Speaker 3: but maybe. But the reason this is in the be

486
00:27:42,800 --> 00:27:49,760
Speaker 3: careful category is nobody is going to be betting the Jets.

487
00:27:50,320 --> 00:27:52,840
Speaker 3: This is going to be a game where eighty percent

488
00:27:52,920 --> 00:27:55,120
Speaker 3: of the public money is going to be on the Dolphins,

489
00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:59,399
Speaker 3: on the belief that Hill and Waddle by themselves are

490
00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:01,680
Speaker 3: going to be another for twenty four points. The Jets

491
00:28:01,720 --> 00:28:03,480
Speaker 3: aren't going to be able to get there. They are

492
00:28:03,640 --> 00:28:07,960
Speaker 3: begging you to bet Miami, and it feels like a

493
00:28:08,040 --> 00:28:11,359
Speaker 3: game that that half point really matters. Now do I

494
00:28:11,400 --> 00:28:14,679
Speaker 3: have the gumption to bet on the Jets? I do not,

495
00:28:15,200 --> 00:28:21,440
Speaker 3: but be careful. Next one, Chargers laying just two and

496
00:28:21,520 --> 00:28:26,159
Speaker 3: a half against Cleveland. We've seen Cleveland lose to the Jets.

497
00:28:26,359 --> 00:28:29,199
Speaker 3: We saw him lose last week to Atlanta. They have

498
00:28:30,880 --> 00:28:33,879
Speaker 3: Jacoby Rsset at quarterback. Miles Garrett was just in a

499
00:28:33,920 --> 00:28:36,840
Speaker 3: big car accident. I do think he has a good

500
00:28:36,880 --> 00:28:41,520
Speaker 3: chance of playing this weekend though that line. I stared

501
00:28:41,560 --> 00:28:47,320
Speaker 3: at this for fifteen minutes trying to talk myself out

502
00:28:47,360 --> 00:28:51,240
Speaker 3: of betting the Chargers. I think the Chargers are an

503
00:28:51,240 --> 00:28:53,720
Speaker 3: excellent team. I think they have some of the most

504
00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:56,360
Speaker 3: talent in the league. I'm laying less than a field

505
00:28:56,400 --> 00:29:04,360
Speaker 3: goalies for the Chargers. The cross Country travel the old

506
00:29:04,440 --> 00:29:08,720
Speaker 3: West Coast team in a one o'clock East Coast kickoff,

507
00:29:10,280 --> 00:29:15,320
Speaker 3: short road favorite to trap. It's a trap. We need

508
00:29:15,360 --> 00:29:17,239
Speaker 3: a you know what for next week. Let's make an

509
00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:20,000
Speaker 3: animation for it's a trap, and it canna be like demonse,

510
00:29:20,240 --> 00:29:22,720
Speaker 3: like stepping into a bear trap or falling into a hole,

511
00:29:23,000 --> 00:29:24,760
Speaker 3: or maybe we make a bunch of them. They are

512
00:29:24,880 --> 00:29:28,040
Speaker 3: daring you to bet the Chargers. They're daring you too.

513
00:29:28,520 --> 00:29:31,440
Speaker 3: It's a trap. I again, I say all this. I

514
00:29:31,480 --> 00:29:33,600
Speaker 3: expect the Chargers to win by ten, but I know

515
00:29:33,640 --> 00:29:37,520
Speaker 3: it's a trap, all right. Next San Francisco at Carolina

516
00:29:37,560 --> 00:29:43,040
Speaker 3: another trapan No one is betting the Is anyone betting

517
00:29:43,040 --> 00:29:46,320
Speaker 3: the Panthers. Can you imagine meeting someone this week who's

518
00:29:46,320 --> 00:29:48,520
Speaker 3: a football better and they're gonna be like, hey, I'll

519
00:29:48,560 --> 00:29:51,800
Speaker 3: tell you what. I love. Baker Mayfield against the defense

520
00:29:51,840 --> 00:29:55,320
Speaker 3: that's allowing the the fewest yards in forty five years.

521
00:29:57,040 --> 00:30:02,720
Speaker 3: The Niners just looked awesome. Niners have shown the ability,

522
00:30:02,800 --> 00:30:06,320
Speaker 3: even when their quarterback doesn't play well, to beat a

523
00:30:06,360 --> 00:30:09,600
Speaker 3: team by fifteen points. The Panthers have been one of

524
00:30:09,600 --> 00:30:13,320
Speaker 3: the most poorly coached teams, and Baker's been arguably the

525
00:30:13,360 --> 00:30:16,600
Speaker 3: worst quarterback in football this year. So why isn't San

526
00:30:16,640 --> 00:30:17,880
Speaker 3: Francisco favored by eight?

527
00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:21,080
Speaker 4: Why don't we like them against Baker?

528
00:30:22,440 --> 00:30:30,000
Speaker 3: Because it's a tramp I know this sounds dumb. I

529
00:30:30,080 --> 00:30:34,760
Speaker 3: might bet this if it were San Francisco minus seven

530
00:30:34,800 --> 00:30:37,960
Speaker 3: and a half. At six and a half, it looks

531
00:30:38,080 --> 00:30:44,000
Speaker 3: so good I feel obligated to stay away San Francisco

532
00:30:44,080 --> 00:30:47,800
Speaker 3: on a shorter week. You're always a little overvalued when

533
00:30:47,840 --> 00:30:51,040
Speaker 3: you look great on national TV all you're a road

534
00:30:51,160 --> 00:30:54,600
Speaker 3: favorite of more than three points. You are now the

535
00:30:54,640 --> 00:30:57,680
Speaker 3: team that's the West Coast team going all the way

536
00:30:57,720 --> 00:31:01,280
Speaker 3: east for the one o'clock kickoff. It is a trap.

537
00:31:02,280 --> 00:31:04,400
Speaker 3: Six and a half is too good to be true.

538
00:31:04,800 --> 00:31:07,360
Speaker 3: For a defense and running game that good against a

539
00:31:07,440 --> 00:31:10,320
Speaker 3: quarterback and coaching staff that bad, it's a trap.

540
00:31:10,720 --> 00:31:12,440
Speaker 4: I hope you don't come to regret that one.

541
00:31:13,000 --> 00:31:14,840
Speaker 3: Right well, listen, I'm not gonna regret it by not

542
00:31:14,920 --> 00:31:17,520
Speaker 3: betting it. You're the one that tortures yourself with bets

543
00:31:17,560 --> 00:31:21,440
Speaker 3: you make and bets you don't. I don't ever regret

544
00:31:21,560 --> 00:31:25,560
Speaker 3: like a bet I didn't make like that. But I'm

545
00:31:25,600 --> 00:31:30,000
Speaker 3: telling you right now, you love it, our producers, I'm

546
00:31:30,120 --> 00:31:33,240
Speaker 3: sure love it. That means it's a trap, all right.

547
00:31:33,320 --> 00:31:37,520
Speaker 3: Last one, Philly say a lot of the same logic

548
00:31:37,560 --> 00:31:44,280
Speaker 3: here Philly at Arizona. Philly laying five and a half.

549
00:31:45,440 --> 00:31:48,760
Speaker 3: Phillies looked like the best team in football. Arizona has

550
00:31:48,800 --> 00:31:52,320
Speaker 3: been a total mess all year. Why is Philly laying

551
00:31:52,400 --> 00:31:56,160
Speaker 3: less than six points? All of these games? What they

552
00:31:56,200 --> 00:31:57,720
Speaker 3: have in common, if we can put them all back

553
00:31:57,760 --> 00:32:04,280
Speaker 3: on the screen again, is every member of the square

554
00:32:04,400 --> 00:32:07,960
Speaker 3: betting public is going to be on the road favorite.

555
00:32:08,720 --> 00:32:11,800
Speaker 3: That is why we created the be Careful category. It's

556
00:32:11,800 --> 00:32:15,200
Speaker 3: not because I have great reasoning as to why you

557
00:32:15,240 --> 00:32:18,760
Speaker 3: should bet the home dog. It's just I know the

558
00:32:18,800 --> 00:32:22,320
Speaker 3: public is going to be on the road favorite. It's

559
00:32:22,320 --> 00:32:26,360
Speaker 3: a trap, all right. Last group perfectly priced, and we'll

560
00:32:26,360 --> 00:32:30,400
Speaker 3: do this one quickly because it's perfectly priced. Cincinnati and Baltimore.

561
00:32:31,400 --> 00:32:35,840
Speaker 3: It's a division game against two somewhat equally matched teams.

562
00:32:36,400 --> 00:32:39,560
Speaker 3: It should be a three point game. It's priced at

563
00:32:39,560 --> 00:32:43,120
Speaker 3: three points. That is a game that if a come

564
00:32:43,160 --> 00:32:49,200
Speaker 3: around kickoffs, it gets to three and a half. I

565
00:32:49,360 --> 00:32:52,840
Speaker 3: jump on Senci at three. I can't do it. I

566
00:32:52,920 --> 00:32:55,640
Speaker 3: do A small part of me thinks Cincinnati might win

567
00:32:55,680 --> 00:32:59,120
Speaker 3: that game. But the line is exactly right. There's no

568
00:32:59,280 --> 00:33:04,400
Speaker 3: value on either of that line. Next one, Chicago at Minnesota. Again,

569
00:33:04,480 --> 00:33:08,240
Speaker 3: we're taking a break from involving ourselves in these Chicago games.

570
00:33:08,360 --> 00:33:11,440
Speaker 3: Minnesota is a very poorly coached team. Chicago, on the

571
00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:14,360
Speaker 3: other hand, is the worst passing offense in seventy years

572
00:33:14,360 --> 00:33:17,920
Speaker 3: in this league. It would appear Minnesota divisional game to

573
00:33:18,080 --> 00:33:21,280
Speaker 3: the far better team. It's priced exactly at seven. It's

574
00:33:21,360 --> 00:33:27,160
Speaker 3: just right. And then Pittsburgh at Buffalo. Pittsburgh needed five

575
00:33:27,280 --> 00:33:31,280
Speaker 3: turnovers and multiple miskicks or else they're owing four to

576
00:33:31,440 --> 00:33:36,280
Speaker 3: rookie quarterbacks first start. Buffalo, on the other hand, has

577
00:33:36,280 --> 00:33:40,080
Speaker 3: shown the ability when the team is overmatched to truly

578
00:33:40,160 --> 00:33:41,560
Speaker 3: blow them out.

579
00:33:41,920 --> 00:33:45,800
Speaker 5: The fourteen points though against Mike Tomlin all to find

580
00:33:45,800 --> 00:33:48,320
Speaker 5: some way to cover that it's fourteen points.

581
00:33:48,040 --> 00:33:50,760
Speaker 3: I don't know. I don't know if you can cover it.

582
00:33:51,240 --> 00:33:56,720
Speaker 3: If listen, here's my take on it. I don't think

583
00:33:56,800 --> 00:34:00,680
Speaker 3: the reason I'm calling it perfectly priced is you can't

584
00:34:01,600 --> 00:34:05,720
Speaker 3: in the NFL unless it is an O seven Patriot

585
00:34:05,800 --> 00:34:10,480
Speaker 3: situation or a historically awful awful team on the other

586
00:34:10,520 --> 00:34:13,279
Speaker 3: side of its situation. You can't make someone more than

587
00:34:13,320 --> 00:34:19,280
Speaker 3: a fourteen point favorite. But this Buffalo team that hasn't

588
00:34:19,320 --> 00:34:21,839
Speaker 3: had a great game start to finish on both sides

589
00:34:21,880 --> 00:34:24,960
Speaker 3: of the ball in a few weeks against the Pittsburgh

590
00:34:24,960 --> 00:34:28,880
Speaker 3: team that is banged up and is starting a rookie

591
00:34:28,920 --> 00:34:31,560
Speaker 3: in his first game ever. Fourteen's what it should be.

592
00:34:31,760 --> 00:34:34,680
Speaker 3: To me, that's just right. I'm not betting Pittsburgh plus

593
00:34:34,800 --> 00:34:38,680
Speaker 3: now I might include Buffalo in a teaser. We have

594
00:34:39,480 --> 00:34:42,279
Speaker 3: a teaser that I placed earlier in the week. The

595
00:34:42,320 --> 00:34:44,040
Speaker 3: lines have moved a bit, but I will share that

596
00:34:44,040 --> 00:34:46,920
Speaker 3: teaser with you. Guys. We have our Survivor pick, and

597
00:34:46,960 --> 00:34:50,759
Speaker 3: again we're four for four documented on Survivors. Demand's got

598
00:34:50,760 --> 00:34:53,359
Speaker 3: his picks. We also have to check Demonse's record from

599
00:34:53,440 --> 00:34:55,239
Speaker 3: last week. I'm not sure how well that went for you.

600
00:34:55,280 --> 00:34:57,359
Speaker 3: I haven't checked it yet. We'll do all that as

601
00:34:57,360 --> 00:35:00,320
Speaker 3: we wrap up the Gambling show. What's Right episode seven.

602
00:35:05,920 --> 00:35:08,000
Speaker 3: All Right, Welcome back in What's Right? Nick Right? Episode

603
00:35:08,000 --> 00:35:12,080
Speaker 3: seventy nine, Week five, NFL Gambling Show. Our five picks

604
00:35:12,120 --> 00:35:15,200
Speaker 3: of the week from earlier in the show are as follows.

605
00:35:15,280 --> 00:35:18,680
Speaker 3: Jacksonville minus seven against Houston, Seattle getting five and a

606
00:35:18,719 --> 00:35:22,600
Speaker 3: half at New Orleans, Atlanta getting eight and a half

607
00:35:22,680 --> 00:35:25,640
Speaker 3: at Tampa, Dallas getting five and a half at the

608
00:35:25,719 --> 00:35:31,160
Speaker 3: Rams in Kansas City minus seven against the Raiders. Our

609
00:35:31,280 --> 00:35:34,480
Speaker 3: lock of the week, the right Move, as they've called it.

610
00:35:34,520 --> 00:35:40,480
Speaker 3: We are one and three on these. However, Week one

611
00:35:40,840 --> 00:35:44,880
Speaker 3: nailed it wasn't even closed Baltimore against the Jets. Week

612
00:35:44,960 --> 00:35:48,480
Speaker 3: two had Baltimore lanyg three and a half to the Dolphins.

613
00:35:48,560 --> 00:35:52,840
Speaker 3: They were up twenty one points and blew it. Week

614
00:35:52,920 --> 00:35:57,160
Speaker 3: three we had San Francisco laying a point and a

615
00:35:57,239 --> 00:36:02,000
Speaker 3: half to Denver. Jimmy g self safety and we were

616
00:36:02,040 --> 00:36:05,520
Speaker 3: still covering, and then Jimmy g threw a pick and

617
00:36:05,560 --> 00:36:08,640
Speaker 3: then they fumbled and they lost by one. We're on

618
00:36:08,719 --> 00:36:12,160
Speaker 3: the right side of it. Week four we had Jacksonville

619
00:36:12,280 --> 00:36:15,680
Speaker 3: catching nice to the graphic. Oh I didn't even notice it,

620
00:36:16,280 --> 00:36:21,440
Speaker 3: so rude. We had Jacksonville catching six and a half.

621
00:36:22,040 --> 00:36:24,759
Speaker 3: They were up fourteen to nothing. They lost by eight.

622
00:36:25,680 --> 00:36:31,840
Speaker 3: Our process has been sound. The lock this week is

623
00:36:31,840 --> 00:36:35,560
Speaker 3: the Kancity Chiefs minus seven against the Raiders. Demonse, you

624
00:36:35,640 --> 00:36:38,360
Speaker 3: co signed that because that was one of the birthday

625
00:36:38,400 --> 00:36:39,760
Speaker 3: picks you gave me. Correct.

626
00:36:39,920 --> 00:36:41,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't know about co signing. What do you

627
00:36:42,000 --> 00:36:43,319
Speaker 4: mean I just signed it?

628
00:36:43,520 --> 00:36:46,200
Speaker 3: Oh you think you inspired it?

629
00:36:46,400 --> 00:36:46,840
Speaker 4: Yeah?

630
00:36:46,880 --> 00:36:47,360
Speaker 6: Okay?

631
00:36:47,560 --> 00:36:48,000
Speaker 1: All right?

632
00:36:48,480 --> 00:36:51,920
Speaker 3: Speaking of do we have Demanse's record? When are we

633
00:36:51,960 --> 00:36:54,120
Speaker 3: doing that? Can we do? Are we doing that now

634
00:36:54,200 --> 00:36:54,560
Speaker 3: or later?

635
00:36:54,760 --> 00:36:55,120
Speaker 4: Hey? Man?

636
00:36:55,160 --> 00:36:57,880
Speaker 5: It might be better than yours or it might get

637
00:36:57,960 --> 00:36:59,640
Speaker 5: the same, like we might be tied No.

638
00:37:00,200 --> 00:37:00,759
Speaker 3: One and two?

639
00:37:00,920 --> 00:37:04,720
Speaker 5: Buddy, what are you talking about last?

640
00:37:04,880 --> 00:37:05,160
Speaker 6: Look?

641
00:37:06,960 --> 00:37:10,320
Speaker 3: You only you gave it out last week and Miami

642
00:37:10,360 --> 00:37:13,640
Speaker 3: plus four I told you was a trap. Minnesota minus

643
00:37:13,680 --> 00:37:14,160
Speaker 3: two and a half.

644
00:37:14,200 --> 00:37:16,600
Speaker 6: You just followed me, not one in two total.

645
00:37:16,719 --> 00:37:17,759
Speaker 4: I'm like three and four.

646
00:37:18,040 --> 00:37:20,200
Speaker 3: Okay, Well you've only given out three official ones on

647
00:37:20,239 --> 00:37:22,759
Speaker 3: the show. All right, so you're too. We'll get to

648
00:37:22,840 --> 00:37:26,000
Speaker 3: keep a record. Sweet and the Rams they got their

649
00:37:26,040 --> 00:37:31,399
Speaker 3: asses kids wasn't even close. It was embarrassing. What has

650
00:37:31,440 --> 00:37:36,399
Speaker 3: not been embarrassing is our survivor picks. If you are

651
00:37:36,440 --> 00:37:40,440
Speaker 3: following along with us, Oh, look at that you have

652
00:37:40,520 --> 00:37:45,719
Speaker 3: already used Baltimore, Green Bay, Minnesota in the Chargers this week.

653
00:37:46,239 --> 00:37:51,719
Speaker 3: There are so many attractive survivor options, so this week

654
00:37:51,800 --> 00:37:55,040
Speaker 3: your possible survivor options are last week, there wasn't that

655
00:37:55,080 --> 00:37:58,799
Speaker 3: many good ones this week, so Chiefs are not a

656
00:37:58,880 --> 00:37:59,560
Speaker 3: terrible one.

657
00:38:00,440 --> 00:38:02,080
Speaker 4: I was gonna say the Chiefs.

658
00:38:02,320 --> 00:38:05,640
Speaker 3: But you might want to want to save the Bills.

659
00:38:06,080 --> 00:38:08,160
Speaker 3: Nobody's gonna be a bigger favorite anywhere in the league

660
00:38:08,160 --> 00:38:12,439
Speaker 3: this year than the Bills. The Vikings, if you hadn't,

661
00:38:12,480 --> 00:38:15,239
Speaker 3: we already used them. But the Vikings not a great team.

662
00:38:15,280 --> 00:38:18,920
Speaker 3: But they're playing the Bears laying a touchdown Tampa, you

663
00:38:18,960 --> 00:38:22,360
Speaker 3: don't love it, Tampa laying more than a touchdown against

664
00:38:22,360 --> 00:38:27,760
Speaker 3: the frisky Falcons. The Jags are an option laying seven

665
00:38:27,800 --> 00:38:30,759
Speaker 3: against the terrible Texans. So you have a bunch of

666
00:38:30,760 --> 00:38:36,040
Speaker 3: good survivor. Our survivor pick of the week, having already

667
00:38:36,080 --> 00:38:39,719
Speaker 3: used Baltimore, Green Made Minnesota and the Chargers, is the

668
00:38:39,800 --> 00:38:45,520
Speaker 3: prince that was promised Jacksonville home against the Texans. He

669
00:38:45,640 --> 00:38:49,520
Speaker 3: is not going to lose consecutive games. The Jags get

670
00:38:49,520 --> 00:38:52,840
Speaker 3: back above five hundred, they are our survivor pick. Now

671
00:38:53,480 --> 00:38:59,360
Speaker 3: to exotics. We placed one early this week. It is

672
00:38:59,400 --> 00:39:05,760
Speaker 3: a seven and a half point teaser, four teamer plus

673
00:39:05,840 --> 00:39:13,000
Speaker 3: one seventy. The Jags teased from minus seven to plus

674
00:39:13,000 --> 00:39:17,280
Speaker 3: a half point. They say, don't tease through zero specifically, correct, However,

675
00:39:18,560 --> 00:39:20,200
Speaker 3: we need the seven and a half for the other

676
00:39:20,280 --> 00:39:23,200
Speaker 3: three legs, and if there are is a time to

677
00:39:23,239 --> 00:39:26,400
Speaker 3: tease through zero, it's win. One of the teams involved

678
00:39:26,440 --> 00:39:29,640
Speaker 3: in your teaser has already had a tie. Texans have

679
00:39:29,680 --> 00:39:32,560
Speaker 3: already had a tie. Plus half point could come in Andy.

680
00:39:33,000 --> 00:39:37,200
Speaker 3: Tampa teased to minus half points, so Tampa just win.

681
00:39:37,840 --> 00:39:43,279
Speaker 3: The Bills teased to minus six and a half, so

682
00:39:43,320 --> 00:39:45,920
Speaker 3: they just have to win by a touchdown, and the

683
00:39:46,040 --> 00:39:49,440
Speaker 3: Chiefs tease to a pick. So there it is our

684
00:39:49,480 --> 00:39:55,040
Speaker 3: four team teaser. Jacksonville to win, Tampa to win, the

685
00:39:55,200 --> 00:39:58,359
Speaker 3: Chiefs to win, and Buffalo to win by at least

686
00:39:58,400 --> 00:40:03,880
Speaker 3: a touchdown plus one seventy. That's my teaser. Now you

687
00:40:04,600 --> 00:40:06,680
Speaker 3: are going to try to convince me on a teaser.

688
00:40:07,000 --> 00:40:07,720
Speaker 3: Is that correct?

689
00:40:07,960 --> 00:40:08,320
Speaker 4: Yeah?

690
00:40:08,440 --> 00:40:08,719
Speaker 3: All right?

691
00:40:08,760 --> 00:40:09,239
Speaker 4: What is it?

692
00:40:09,360 --> 00:40:11,400
Speaker 6: Packers minus two in London versus the Giants?

693
00:40:11,520 --> 00:40:16,160
Speaker 5: Yeah, got niners minus half a point in Carolina, Jacksonville

694
00:40:16,200 --> 00:40:21,200
Speaker 5: minas one and this one hundred dollars wins you one sixty.

695
00:40:21,000 --> 00:40:24,680
Speaker 3: So it's plus one sixty. It's a three team six

696
00:40:24,719 --> 00:40:28,880
Speaker 3: point teaser. I don't want it. I don't want it

697
00:40:28,960 --> 00:40:33,040
Speaker 3: because a little nervous about the Packers leg of it,

698
00:40:34,360 --> 00:40:37,640
Speaker 3: and we're not gonna have multiple teasers.

699
00:40:38,040 --> 00:40:40,359
Speaker 4: Geez what what that's disrespectful.

700
00:40:40,840 --> 00:40:43,600
Speaker 3: Saquon might run for a one sixty on them and

701
00:40:43,680 --> 00:40:47,799
Speaker 3: it's London weird game. I appreciate the producers and you

702
00:40:47,880 --> 00:40:52,319
Speaker 3: coming together for that. Not interested demons your picks this

703
00:40:52,440 --> 00:40:55,960
Speaker 3: week that you gave out on Monday? What are your

704
00:40:56,080 --> 00:40:56,799
Speaker 3: picks this week?

705
00:40:57,239 --> 00:41:00,799
Speaker 5: Denver minus three and a half versus Indiana? You all

706
00:41:01,040 --> 00:41:01,919
Speaker 5: in Indianapolis?

707
00:41:02,200 --> 00:41:03,320
Speaker 3: I always call him Indiana?

708
00:41:03,520 --> 00:41:04,480
Speaker 4: Uh second? All?

709
00:41:04,560 --> 00:41:07,560
Speaker 3: By the way, fun, it'll be fun for the audience

710
00:41:07,760 --> 00:41:09,759
Speaker 3: if by the time they're hearing this, you're already owing

711
00:41:09,880 --> 00:41:12,120
Speaker 3: one because that game's happening tonight. All right.

712
00:41:12,120 --> 00:41:13,080
Speaker 6: Next, you got.

713
00:41:12,920 --> 00:41:17,040
Speaker 5: Kansas City minus seven versus the Raiders, yep, and then

714
00:41:17,080 --> 00:41:20,000
Speaker 5: Arizona getting five and a half versus Philly.

715
00:41:20,080 --> 00:41:20,359
Speaker 4: All right.

716
00:41:20,400 --> 00:41:22,520
Speaker 3: I expect de Montay's three picks this week to go

717
00:41:22,680 --> 00:41:24,520
Speaker 3: just like they did last week. He'll get one, right,

718
00:41:24,600 --> 00:41:26,160
Speaker 3: it's the one that he agrees with me on on

719
00:41:26,200 --> 00:41:29,200
Speaker 3: the other two the one that he agrees with me on. Yeah,

720
00:41:29,280 --> 00:41:33,320
Speaker 3: it's true, all right. Lastly, what's the offer.

721
00:41:33,760 --> 00:41:39,400
Speaker 5: The offer is Jaguars money line, Bronco's money line, Commander's

722
00:41:39,440 --> 00:41:42,200
Speaker 5: money line one hundred wins you three to thirty five.

723
00:41:42,160 --> 00:41:44,360
Speaker 3: And if that happens, the Jags will be alone in

724
00:41:44,360 --> 00:41:47,680
Speaker 3: the first place. That's the idea behind it. I am

725
00:41:47,800 --> 00:41:50,440
Speaker 3: gonna reject that one too. I appreciate the offer. They

726
00:41:50,440 --> 00:41:52,359
Speaker 3: said I should go in on it with you. I

727
00:41:52,400 --> 00:41:57,160
Speaker 3: am not involving Nat Hackett were the Washington commanders in

728
00:41:57,239 --> 00:42:01,320
Speaker 3: any money line parlays, I'm not interested. I appreciate the offer.

729
00:42:01,680 --> 00:42:04,560
Speaker 3: Not doing it, so thank you, though, you feel free

730
00:42:04,600 --> 00:42:06,200
Speaker 3: to go ahead and place that one if you'd like.

731
00:42:06,440 --> 00:42:07,200
Speaker 3: I'm not going to do it.

732
00:42:07,239 --> 00:42:07,640
Speaker 4: I know the.

733
00:42:07,600 --> 00:42:10,320
Speaker 3: Producers were like, oh, you guys should go on this together, Prince,

734
00:42:10,320 --> 00:42:14,600
Speaker 3: that was promised this guys, I'm not putting bets on

735
00:42:14,640 --> 00:42:17,759
Speaker 3: the record that I don't believe in. Now. We've been

736
00:42:17,840 --> 00:42:20,759
Speaker 3: mediocre through four weeks, but we were barely keeping our

737
00:42:20,800 --> 00:42:24,800
Speaker 3: head above water. What we need is a nice crisp

738
00:42:25,239 --> 00:42:28,640
Speaker 3: four and one week. We go four and one and

739
00:42:28,680 --> 00:42:32,000
Speaker 3: we're above five hundred on the year. Get the lock right.

740
00:42:31,920 --> 00:42:35,840
Speaker 5: Yeah, maybe I should have put the Bears in there. Okay, no,

741
00:42:36,000 --> 00:42:38,480
Speaker 5: I might have warmed up the old taste buds.

742
00:42:38,800 --> 00:42:42,200
Speaker 3: Listen, I have not bet on the Bears every week.

743
00:42:42,520 --> 00:42:46,160
Speaker 3: I have bet on games involving the Bears every week,

744
00:42:46,200 --> 00:42:48,160
Speaker 3: but I'm taking this week off. So there it is.

745
00:42:48,400 --> 00:42:52,759
Speaker 3: There's our Week five gambling show. Good luck everyone. Don't

746
00:42:52,800 --> 00:42:55,479
Speaker 3: bet more than you can afford to lose, or in

747
00:42:55,520 --> 00:42:58,000
Speaker 3: Devonse's case, don't bet at all, because it's very, very

748
00:42:58,040 --> 00:42:59,520
Speaker 3: bad at this. All right, we'll see you guys next

749
00:42:59,520 --> 00:42:59,759
Speaker 3: week