1 00:00:00,800 --> 00:00:04,040 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney alongside 2 00:00:04,040 --> 00:00:06,920 Speaker 1: my co host Matt Miller. Every business day we bring 3 00:00:06,960 --> 00:00:11,520 Speaker 1: you interviews from CEOs, market pros, and Bloomberg experts, along 4 00:00:11,560 --> 00:00:15,560 Speaker 1: with essential market moving news. Find the Bloomberg Markets podcast 5 00:00:15,560 --> 00:00:18,479 Speaker 1: called Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen to podcasts, and 6 00:00:18,480 --> 00:00:22,600 Speaker 1: at Bloomberg dot com slash podcast. All right, we've got many, 7 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:25,960 Speaker 1: many bricks in the wall of worry. Now let's add 8 00:00:26,000 --> 00:00:29,480 Speaker 1: another one, geopolitical concerns, another significant headwind for this market 9 00:00:29,520 --> 00:00:31,760 Speaker 1: to digest. Let's see how the pros are doing it. 10 00:00:32,000 --> 00:00:37,519 Speaker 1: Tracy McMillian, Global head of Asset Allocation Strategy at Wells Fargo. So, Tracy, 11 00:00:37,560 --> 00:00:40,280 Speaker 1: you think about this stuff on a global scale. We 12 00:00:40,440 --> 00:00:44,959 Speaker 1: now have a hot war in yourp um. How does 13 00:00:45,000 --> 00:00:47,279 Speaker 1: that factor into your calculus as you talk to your 14 00:00:47,320 --> 00:00:52,760 Speaker 1: clients about where to allocate capple on a global scale. Yes, 15 00:00:53,120 --> 00:00:57,600 Speaker 1: we we certainly have had to make um some adjustments here. 16 00:00:58,080 --> 00:01:02,080 Speaker 1: But what we are killing alliance telling investors is that 17 00:01:02,720 --> 00:01:07,960 Speaker 1: amid this uncertainty that is certainly being compounded by the 18 00:01:08,000 --> 00:01:11,280 Speaker 1: war in Europe, to make sure that they're going back 19 00:01:11,319 --> 00:01:14,959 Speaker 1: to basics thinking about what their risk tolerances, what their 20 00:01:15,000 --> 00:01:18,600 Speaker 1: time horizon is, and making sure that that does align 21 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:23,880 Speaker 1: with their allocations. A short term horizon means they should 22 00:01:23,920 --> 00:01:28,199 Speaker 1: probably be holding more cash here, probably more short term 23 00:01:28,240 --> 00:01:34,000 Speaker 1: fixed income, and a longer term horizon, a more aggressive 24 00:01:34,120 --> 00:01:38,360 Speaker 1: risk tolerance. Those investors might want to start dollar cost 25 00:01:38,440 --> 00:01:42,400 Speaker 1: averaging in um We are down ten percent or more 26 00:01:42,640 --> 00:01:45,920 Speaker 1: in some equities markets globally, so it might be a 27 00:01:45,959 --> 00:01:49,880 Speaker 1: good time to, uh, you know, break their cash into 28 00:01:50,200 --> 00:01:54,240 Speaker 1: different buckets and start dollar cost averaging into equities, especially 29 00:01:54,240 --> 00:01:58,440 Speaker 1: if they're below their longer term targets. And where would 30 00:01:58,480 --> 00:02:01,120 Speaker 1: you go? I mean, in terms of sectors, what do 31 00:02:01,160 --> 00:02:03,840 Speaker 1: you think is a good place to buy undervalued right now? 32 00:02:03,960 --> 00:02:05,720 Speaker 1: And what do you think has run too far too 33 00:02:05,720 --> 00:02:09,120 Speaker 1: fast and it's still overvalued because there's still a lot 34 00:02:09,120 --> 00:02:14,200 Speaker 1: of big evaluations out there. There are absolutely and you know, 35 00:02:14,280 --> 00:02:17,000 Speaker 1: one of the places that that we're looking right now 36 00:02:17,440 --> 00:02:22,400 Speaker 1: is information technology and communication services, so those growth areas 37 00:02:22,440 --> 00:02:27,200 Speaker 1: where we see very high quality earning. We also still 38 00:02:27,240 --> 00:02:30,720 Speaker 1: like financials because even though rates have come in here 39 00:02:31,240 --> 00:02:33,640 Speaker 1: um as we've seen a flight to quality, we do 40 00:02:33,800 --> 00:02:36,960 Speaker 1: think that the trend is higher in interest rates. So 41 00:02:37,000 --> 00:02:41,280 Speaker 1: we think that financials have uh you know, come down 42 00:02:41,280 --> 00:02:44,760 Speaker 1: in price. The valuations looked there and uh you know, 43 00:02:44,880 --> 00:02:47,400 Speaker 1: through the course of the next six eighteen months, we 44 00:02:47,480 --> 00:02:50,600 Speaker 1: see some value there. Um where we would stay away, 45 00:02:50,680 --> 00:02:54,120 Speaker 1: we'd stay away from things that are more defensive. So 46 00:02:54,360 --> 00:02:59,720 Speaker 1: you know, thinks of utilities um and also um consumers 47 00:02:59,760 --> 00:03:01,919 Speaker 1: stay poles, consumer shape as we think are going to 48 00:03:02,000 --> 00:03:06,839 Speaker 1: be hit very hard by additional commodities inflation. So those 49 00:03:06,880 --> 00:03:11,679 Speaker 1: are two areas speaking of speaking of tracy, commodities inflation. 50 00:03:11,800 --> 00:03:15,639 Speaker 1: Look at your oil shirt right now. Unbelievable. I mean, 51 00:03:16,080 --> 00:03:18,200 Speaker 1: Greg Jarrett was just telling me that the i e. 52 00:03:18,280 --> 00:03:22,400 Speaker 1: A Is going to deploy emergency oil stockpiles. Um, how 53 00:03:22,520 --> 00:03:25,240 Speaker 1: much can they really deploy? Mr market asked and bid 54 00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:30,000 Speaker 1: up eight percent? So now uh w t I is 55 00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:33,320 Speaker 1: trading at a hundred and three dollars and forty cents 56 00:03:33,360 --> 00:03:38,840 Speaker 1: a barrel. Brent is up at one oh five thirty. UM. 57 00:03:38,880 --> 00:03:43,200 Speaker 1: It's just amazing to watch these games in oil. Whatever 58 00:03:43,200 --> 00:03:45,360 Speaker 1: I'm going to enter, Paul, are we energy independent? I 59 00:03:45,360 --> 00:03:47,600 Speaker 1: thought we were. I thought we're all going green? Tracy, 60 00:03:47,760 --> 00:03:53,280 Speaker 1: have I missed the energy trade? Uh? Oil is certainly 61 00:03:53,600 --> 00:03:57,800 Speaker 1: much higher than we originally thought going into this year. 62 00:03:57,880 --> 00:04:00,920 Speaker 1: But things have changed, and the war in Europe is 63 00:04:01,000 --> 00:04:05,240 Speaker 1: making a tight commodities market and tighter UM. So the 64 00:04:05,320 --> 00:04:09,880 Speaker 1: off ramp to lower inflation, we think it could be prolonged. 65 00:04:10,040 --> 00:04:13,240 Speaker 1: And a big part of that UH inflation is going 66 00:04:13,280 --> 00:04:16,800 Speaker 1: to be that commodities markets and that is across the 67 00:04:16,800 --> 00:04:20,800 Speaker 1: commodities complex are going to continue to be pressured higher. 68 00:04:22,440 --> 00:04:24,680 Speaker 1: If we get this kind of inflation continuing, you're gonna 69 00:04:24,720 --> 00:04:30,920 Speaker 1: have to be Tracy mcbillian. But it was unfair. I'm 70 00:04:30,960 --> 00:04:32,360 Speaker 1: sure you hear that all the time. That will be 71 00:04:32,400 --> 00:04:35,279 Speaker 1: here all week. I looked it up and mcmillian's apparently 72 00:04:35,279 --> 00:04:39,359 Speaker 1: an old Scottish name referring to I guess the offspring 73 00:04:39,400 --> 00:04:42,880 Speaker 1: of a bald man, or maybe it's a Gaelic like 74 00:04:43,000 --> 00:04:47,520 Speaker 1: a monastery or community of Gaelic monks. What do you think, Tracy, 75 00:04:47,560 --> 00:04:51,839 Speaker 1: I mean, it's a perfect name for wealth management, isn't it? Yes, 76 00:04:51,920 --> 00:04:54,279 Speaker 1: it is. But I have heard from my clients UM 77 00:04:54,320 --> 00:04:57,400 Speaker 1: that I should be Tracy mcfillian, So I'll have to 78 00:04:57,440 --> 00:04:59,960 Speaker 1: look into that. What's the what are you look for 79 00:05:00,080 --> 00:05:01,720 Speaker 1: from the State of the Union addressed tonight? We think 80 00:05:01,720 --> 00:05:04,840 Speaker 1: the market is going to be paying attention to so 81 00:05:04,880 --> 00:05:09,200 Speaker 1: there's certainly going to be a paying attention to any um, 82 00:05:09,520 --> 00:05:12,839 Speaker 1: you know change and energy policy. I would say, uh, 83 00:05:12,920 --> 00:05:16,560 Speaker 1: you know, do we need to be focusing more on 84 00:05:16,880 --> 00:05:22,280 Speaker 1: energy security? Um over you know any climate objectives at 85 00:05:22,400 --> 00:05:25,560 Speaker 1: this point? Um, so that that's certainly something we'll be 86 00:05:25,560 --> 00:05:28,200 Speaker 1: looking for. We'll be looking for, um you know, what 87 00:05:28,480 --> 00:05:31,320 Speaker 1: the plans are at this point for build back better 88 00:05:31,880 --> 00:05:34,760 Speaker 1: you know, is that still alive or are we moving 89 00:05:34,760 --> 00:05:40,440 Speaker 1: on to other uh initiatives? And you know, I think, um, 90 00:05:40,480 --> 00:05:43,200 Speaker 1: you know, another thing that we're certainly going to be 91 00:05:43,200 --> 00:05:48,599 Speaker 1: watching for is any change to our policy towards um, 92 00:05:48,680 --> 00:05:52,400 Speaker 1: your Russia or Ukraine. So you know, three big things 93 00:05:52,560 --> 00:05:55,040 Speaker 1: there absolutely or I think a lot of folks for 94 00:05:55,120 --> 00:05:58,200 Speaker 1: with tuning in here Tonitracy McMillian, although the do pit 95 00:05:58,320 --> 00:05:59,839 Speaker 1: games on tonight, so I'm gonna have to go back 96 00:05:59,839 --> 00:06:02,599 Speaker 1: and fourth. But devil sale goes Tracy McMillian, head of 97 00:06:02,600 --> 00:06:10,320 Speaker 1: Global Asset Allocation Strategy for Wells Fargo, giving us her thoughts. Boy, 98 00:06:10,400 --> 00:06:12,880 Speaker 1: looking at oil here nine up nine percent here a 99 00:06:12,920 --> 00:06:15,600 Speaker 1: hundred four hours forty cents of barrel. Let's break that down. 100 00:06:15,680 --> 00:06:17,520 Speaker 1: Let's take a little bit of extra time and look 101 00:06:17,560 --> 00:06:19,839 Speaker 1: at oil here. We can do that with Julia Fanzerious 102 00:06:19,960 --> 00:06:24,040 Speaker 1: Bloomberg News. Oil's future reporting pretty grouped to Bloomberg Markets corresponded, Julia, 103 00:06:24,720 --> 00:06:28,120 Speaker 1: what's going on today? Is this technical? What's going on? 104 00:06:28,160 --> 00:06:31,279 Speaker 1: Why is oil up nine? It is not technical. It 105 00:06:31,400 --> 00:06:34,080 Speaker 1: is all on the headlines right now. So starting off 106 00:06:34,080 --> 00:06:37,520 Speaker 1: with the fact that traders are finally deciding that oil 107 00:06:37,800 --> 00:06:41,279 Speaker 1: exports from Russia and energy supplies in general are going 108 00:06:41,320 --> 00:06:44,120 Speaker 1: to be impacted by sanctions, even if it is indirectly, 109 00:06:44,120 --> 00:06:46,799 Speaker 1: and today is the day where they're just realizing, Okay, 110 00:06:47,279 --> 00:06:49,160 Speaker 1: this is the moment that we have to start pricing 111 00:06:49,160 --> 00:06:51,520 Speaker 1: this in more. And then we saw that the i e. 112 00:06:51,680 --> 00:06:55,600 Speaker 1: A decided to go and have a crude tap into 113 00:06:55,600 --> 00:06:58,640 Speaker 1: their crude releases for sixty million barrels, which at first 114 00:06:58,640 --> 00:07:01,080 Speaker 1: you're like, okay, so maybe crew prices should have slowed 115 00:07:01,080 --> 00:07:05,640 Speaker 1: down a bit, but no, but you know, it's supercharged 116 00:07:05,680 --> 00:07:10,320 Speaker 1: the rally, unbelieved supercharge the rally. And the reason is 117 00:07:10,360 --> 00:07:13,760 Speaker 1: because trainers are saying, well, that's not really that much 118 00:07:13,800 --> 00:07:16,480 Speaker 1: compared to Russian experts. I think it's up to six 119 00:07:16,560 --> 00:07:19,880 Speaker 1: days of Russia's more than zero. It's more than zero, 120 00:07:20,000 --> 00:07:23,320 Speaker 1: but it's letty, what in the heck is going on here? 121 00:07:23,440 --> 00:07:27,360 Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, I get that, you realize, oh, that's 122 00:07:27,360 --> 00:07:29,800 Speaker 1: not very much in wait, what we used twenty million 123 00:07:29,840 --> 00:07:34,080 Speaker 1: barrels a day here, a hundred million barrels a day globally. Uh, 124 00:07:34,120 --> 00:07:36,840 Speaker 1: but you knew that before this, right, and it's better 125 00:07:36,880 --> 00:07:39,640 Speaker 1: than zero. Well, folks, you guys should really witness Matt 126 00:07:39,680 --> 00:07:44,440 Speaker 1: Miller's face. Rain is exploding. Not even talking cars yet. 127 00:07:44,880 --> 00:07:47,440 Speaker 1: I know, let's not, let's not, let's not open that door. 128 00:07:48,240 --> 00:07:50,920 Speaker 1: But to Julia's point, what's interesting here is and I 129 00:07:50,960 --> 00:07:52,760 Speaker 1: mean it's everything that Julie said. I asked her this 130 00:07:52,800 --> 00:07:55,160 Speaker 1: before we became on the show. Why is oil supercharged 131 00:07:55,240 --> 00:07:58,080 Speaker 1: right now? Because nothing has really changed? But she makes 132 00:07:58,080 --> 00:07:59,880 Speaker 1: a really good point on the sanctions bit of it, 133 00:08:00,000 --> 00:08:02,240 Speaker 1: because that's the part that I think a lot of 134 00:08:02,240 --> 00:08:04,480 Speaker 1: people are looking at. Remember, the energy payments have been 135 00:08:04,480 --> 00:08:07,520 Speaker 1: taken out of swift for the moment, or any transactions 136 00:08:07,560 --> 00:08:09,440 Speaker 1: or any swift actions that they might do. But I 137 00:08:09,440 --> 00:08:12,600 Speaker 1: think the assumption here is that eventually that's going to change. So, yes, 138 00:08:13,120 --> 00:08:17,680 Speaker 1: you're right, oil was soaring quite a bit before. But 139 00:08:18,400 --> 00:08:21,559 Speaker 1: these headlines sometimes if there you did see immediate drop 140 00:08:21,560 --> 00:08:24,600 Speaker 1: on the headlines, which would be where you're simple extra 141 00:08:24,640 --> 00:08:28,160 Speaker 1: supply drops oil narrative comes from, but then you really 142 00:08:28,200 --> 00:08:30,640 Speaker 1: have traders reconsider and it's kind of supercharged it. And 143 00:08:30,680 --> 00:08:32,640 Speaker 1: that's a pretty normal thing to see for traders, not 144 00:08:32,679 --> 00:08:34,640 Speaker 1: just an oil but you see in stock markets. You 145 00:08:34,679 --> 00:08:37,280 Speaker 1: see it in all assets. Right when when there's a 146 00:08:37,360 --> 00:08:40,880 Speaker 1: sign that an incredibly large institution is all of a 147 00:08:40,880 --> 00:08:44,520 Speaker 1: sudden freaking out, then traders go, WHOA, we're going to 148 00:08:44,600 --> 00:08:46,880 Speaker 1: run out of oil, Let's buy as much as we 149 00:08:46,960 --> 00:08:49,400 Speaker 1: can right now, exactly. And it was that knee jerk 150 00:08:49,440 --> 00:08:52,319 Speaker 1: reaction that from the I A that then have the 151 00:08:52,360 --> 00:08:55,360 Speaker 1: kne jerk reaction in the crewde markets. What's the futures markets? 152 00:08:55,360 --> 00:08:57,199 Speaker 1: What are they telling you as you take a look 153 00:08:57,240 --> 00:09:00,240 Speaker 1: at them now? Is just oil gonna come down? Ice 154 00:09:00,240 --> 00:09:02,560 Speaker 1: going forwardard? What? Oh? No, the futures market is saying 155 00:09:02,640 --> 00:09:07,840 Speaker 1: quite the opposite. We're backward dated. So we are seeing backwardation, backwardation, yeah, 156 00:09:07,920 --> 00:09:09,559 Speaker 1: and that find that for me again because I'm in 157 00:09:09,640 --> 00:09:12,559 Speaker 1: equad worse No. Yeah, So that means that traders are 158 00:09:12,559 --> 00:09:16,000 Speaker 1: paying more money to get their hands on barrels right now, 159 00:09:16,240 --> 00:09:19,120 Speaker 1: and we're not seeing that go away because supply is 160 00:09:19,160 --> 00:09:21,840 Speaker 1: tight and demand is high, so these prices are not 161 00:09:21,840 --> 00:09:24,840 Speaker 1: going to go down anytime soon. OPEC they're meeting tomorrow 162 00:09:24,880 --> 00:09:26,600 Speaker 1: and it looks like they're also going to continue with 163 00:09:26,600 --> 00:09:28,960 Speaker 1: their four hundred thousand barrels a day, and we know 164 00:09:29,120 --> 00:09:32,160 Speaker 1: that they're not actually meeting that output. So still supplies 165 00:09:32,200 --> 00:09:34,800 Speaker 1: are tight and demand is high. Every time oil gets 166 00:09:34,840 --> 00:09:37,920 Speaker 1: to these prices or goes down drastically, I have to 167 00:09:38,000 --> 00:09:42,599 Speaker 1: relearn how to look at the forward curve. CT is 168 00:09:42,600 --> 00:09:44,600 Speaker 1: a great way to do. Do you see t also 169 00:09:44,800 --> 00:09:48,280 Speaker 1: on the Bloomberg terminal. I was using Ohman before and 170 00:09:48,320 --> 00:09:50,079 Speaker 1: trying to figure it out from there, but it's so 171 00:09:50,160 --> 00:09:54,760 Speaker 1: difficult through the options market the contract. So I'm you know, 172 00:09:54,800 --> 00:09:56,360 Speaker 1: I don't think about it the right way, but if 173 00:09:56,400 --> 00:09:58,200 Speaker 1: you use CT you can. Actually it's right there in 174 00:09:58,200 --> 00:10:01,640 Speaker 1: front of you. Paul, on any uh, I'm guessing on 175 00:10:01,679 --> 00:10:05,000 Speaker 1: pretty much any commodities contract, you can just type CT 176 00:10:05,160 --> 00:10:08,800 Speaker 1: go and pretty when are some of these oil companies 177 00:10:08,840 --> 00:10:10,800 Speaker 1: in the shell patch, you can and say I gotta 178 00:10:10,800 --> 00:10:12,840 Speaker 1: I'm gonna start drilling. Yeah, And re told us just 179 00:10:12,920 --> 00:10:16,840 Speaker 1: now that the Biden administration is reminding people there are 180 00:10:17,000 --> 00:10:21,080 Speaker 1: nine thousand leases out there that haven't been used. Greg Jared, 181 00:10:21,120 --> 00:10:26,120 Speaker 1: at some point it is just gonna leave exactly, wildcatting exactly. Well, 182 00:10:26,120 --> 00:10:28,080 Speaker 1: it comes down to the point on backwardation, right because 183 00:10:28,080 --> 00:10:29,800 Speaker 1: if you actually listen to what some of these CEOs 184 00:10:29,800 --> 00:10:32,360 Speaker 1: are saying, they're saying, well, yeah, we're in deep backwardation. Yeah, 185 00:10:32,360 --> 00:10:35,040 Speaker 1: the spot prices are looking really good right now, but 186 00:10:35,080 --> 00:10:36,959 Speaker 1: that's not sustainable. Remember, you have to look at the 187 00:10:36,960 --> 00:10:39,280 Speaker 1: future's curve and if you have all that demand right now, 188 00:10:39,559 --> 00:10:41,440 Speaker 1: what are good people going to buy later? So a 189 00:10:41,440 --> 00:10:43,960 Speaker 1: lot of a lot of these American companies or American 190 00:10:44,000 --> 00:10:47,040 Speaker 1: shale producers are looking for that backwardation to lessen just 191 00:10:47,160 --> 00:10:50,160 Speaker 1: a little bit. So those spot prices aren't all your 192 00:10:50,280 --> 00:10:53,400 Speaker 1: demand essentially isn't targeted in one point in time, and 193 00:10:53,400 --> 00:10:56,200 Speaker 1: it's more of a longer term play and production plan. 194 00:10:56,640 --> 00:11:00,760 Speaker 1: To add some Mike mcgloan Bloomberg Intelligence, Commodity strategist, he's 195 00:11:00,760 --> 00:11:02,560 Speaker 1: saying we're gonna see fifty dollar oil and then not 196 00:11:02,600 --> 00:11:05,400 Speaker 1: to distant future. He thinks it's gonna come back big time. 197 00:11:05,800 --> 00:11:08,040 Speaker 1: Uh So that whole supply demand thing. But we appreciate 198 00:11:08,080 --> 00:11:11,559 Speaker 1: getting some color here. Juliette Fanzaris, Bloomberg News. Oil's future 199 00:11:11,559 --> 00:11:15,200 Speaker 1: reporter and Cretu Gupta Bloomberg Markets correspondent, just helping us 200 00:11:15,240 --> 00:11:16,920 Speaker 1: break down a little bit this big move up what 201 00:11:16,920 --> 00:11:19,880 Speaker 1: we've seen in energy across the energy complex. But we're 202 00:11:19,920 --> 00:11:22,120 Speaker 1: we focus here on w t I crude oil, Brent 203 00:11:22,200 --> 00:11:24,800 Speaker 1: crude oil brants up on seven point four percent on 204 00:11:25,320 --> 00:11:30,040 Speaker 1: five dollars per barrel, so definitely some supply issues. We 205 00:11:30,080 --> 00:11:33,439 Speaker 1: know the demand is there as this global economy continues 206 00:11:33,480 --> 00:11:36,839 Speaker 1: to reopen, the question really is supply So interesting to 207 00:11:36,880 --> 00:11:42,920 Speaker 1: see what we hear out of OPEC tomorrow. Another difficult 208 00:11:42,960 --> 00:11:45,360 Speaker 1: day in the markets here as in vestors trying to 209 00:11:45,400 --> 00:11:49,120 Speaker 1: digest what we're seeing on the geopolitical front, particularly out 210 00:11:49,120 --> 00:11:52,160 Speaker 1: of Ukraine. Let's get the latest with Megan Hornuman, director 211 00:11:52,200 --> 00:11:58,880 Speaker 1: of Portfolio Strategist Strategy Advertence, Chief Investment Strategists Adverten's Capital Advisors. Megan, 212 00:11:58,880 --> 00:12:01,600 Speaker 1: thanks so much for joining us here. How do you 213 00:12:01,720 --> 00:12:06,880 Speaker 1: think about your portfolio your discussions with your portfolio managers 214 00:12:07,160 --> 00:12:10,760 Speaker 1: as you have to add geopolitical risk to the potential 215 00:12:11,120 --> 00:12:15,880 Speaker 1: wall of worry. Ye. Absolutely. The one thing that's the 216 00:12:15,880 --> 00:12:18,440 Speaker 1: most important is knowing what you own, So not just 217 00:12:18,520 --> 00:12:22,960 Speaker 1: from the broad asset allocation perspective, making sure you're well diversified. 218 00:12:23,400 --> 00:12:26,079 Speaker 1: Even though coming into this crisis no one wanted to 219 00:12:26,080 --> 00:12:29,520 Speaker 1: touch bonds at all, we continue to advise our clients 220 00:12:29,520 --> 00:12:32,000 Speaker 1: at least have some portion of the portfolio in some 221 00:12:32,160 --> 00:12:37,960 Speaker 1: defensive bond positioning because they will consistently be used as 222 00:12:37,960 --> 00:12:41,440 Speaker 1: a portfolio diversification tool. So in that event, you have 223 00:12:41,480 --> 00:12:43,840 Speaker 1: to know what you want from the asset class perspective. 224 00:12:44,240 --> 00:12:47,840 Speaker 1: Then when you delve into your whether it's regions or sectors, 225 00:12:47,880 --> 00:12:51,319 Speaker 1: what is your exposure to Russia itself? Um? Investing in 226 00:12:51,320 --> 00:12:55,400 Speaker 1: international equities, specifically on the developed side has been something 227 00:12:55,400 --> 00:12:58,439 Speaker 1: that we haven't shied away from. So we're consistently having 228 00:12:58,440 --> 00:13:02,520 Speaker 1: conversations with our manager looking at what is the company's 229 00:13:03,080 --> 00:13:05,880 Speaker 1: balance sheet look like, what can they withstand from an 230 00:13:06,040 --> 00:13:09,840 Speaker 1: energy or commodity increased perspective, seeing what kind of impact 231 00:13:09,880 --> 00:13:12,439 Speaker 1: that may have on future earnings. So are you're going 232 00:13:12,520 --> 00:13:20,480 Speaker 1: into portfolios and selling uh Russian assets and anything related 233 00:13:20,679 --> 00:13:24,040 Speaker 1: to Russia? And I wonder, I mean, I can understand 234 00:13:24,080 --> 00:13:27,640 Speaker 1: making that move, um obviously, but it must be difficult 235 00:13:27,640 --> 00:13:31,280 Speaker 1: at a time when there probably are few buyers. Am 236 00:13:31,320 --> 00:13:36,679 Speaker 1: I seeing that correctly? Yeah? Unfortunately, we have very little 237 00:13:36,679 --> 00:13:38,720 Speaker 1: of any exposure to Russia. When we look at our 238 00:13:38,760 --> 00:13:43,080 Speaker 1: overall asset allocation, our managers that we utilize have done 239 00:13:43,080 --> 00:13:46,400 Speaker 1: that job for us before the crisis and then throughout 240 00:13:46,400 --> 00:13:50,080 Speaker 1: the crisis. So I'm not necessarily concerned about the exposure 241 00:13:50,120 --> 00:13:52,520 Speaker 1: to Russia itself. You have to look beyond that now, 242 00:13:52,920 --> 00:13:55,880 Speaker 1: um you know, is their bigger concern and some of 243 00:13:55,880 --> 00:13:58,120 Speaker 1: the other exposure that we have. The one thing that 244 00:13:58,240 --> 00:14:01,360 Speaker 1: history tells us is you had mentioned selling into this. 245 00:14:01,720 --> 00:14:05,800 Speaker 1: It's very dangerous to sell into geopolitical events when you 246 00:14:05,920 --> 00:14:08,280 Speaker 1: don't know what kind of change, if any of this 247 00:14:08,480 --> 00:14:11,400 Speaker 1: is going to have to the fundamental perspective. It's also 248 00:14:11,520 --> 00:14:14,800 Speaker 1: dangerous if you don't know, um, how far the leader 249 00:14:14,840 --> 00:14:16,920 Speaker 1: is going to take this, which we do not know 250 00:14:16,960 --> 00:14:18,800 Speaker 1: how long, how far Putent is going to take this. 251 00:14:19,280 --> 00:14:21,320 Speaker 1: The most important thing is just to make sure that 252 00:14:21,400 --> 00:14:25,400 Speaker 1: you're well diversified, that your portfolio over time can withstand 253 00:14:25,840 --> 00:14:29,440 Speaker 1: short term periods of volatility. We ultimately do believe that 254 00:14:29,480 --> 00:14:32,200 Speaker 1: this will end up being short lived. We don't know 255 00:14:32,240 --> 00:14:35,280 Speaker 1: how much pain that will occur. In the meantime, it's 256 00:14:35,440 --> 00:14:39,840 Speaker 1: very difficult to watch, not just from the humanity humanitarian perspective, 257 00:14:39,840 --> 00:14:42,760 Speaker 1: but also watching these daily moves in the market. So 258 00:14:42,800 --> 00:14:47,400 Speaker 1: we're telling our clients consistently, so let emotions override your 259 00:14:47,440 --> 00:14:50,960 Speaker 1: long term risk, your long term objective. Be very careful 260 00:14:51,280 --> 00:14:54,520 Speaker 1: to be selling, because once you sell, your locking in losses, 261 00:14:54,600 --> 00:14:56,600 Speaker 1: and that can be dangerous for the long run. It's 262 00:14:56,640 --> 00:14:59,800 Speaker 1: proven to be dangerous for the long run. Stay invested. 263 00:15:00,080 --> 00:15:02,600 Speaker 1: Have dry powder, which we do and we have had 264 00:15:02,680 --> 00:15:06,000 Speaker 1: coming into this year, some dry powder to look for opportunities. 265 00:15:06,320 --> 00:15:09,480 Speaker 1: Just consistently be monitoring what you own. We do believe 266 00:15:09,520 --> 00:15:12,000 Speaker 1: the managers have made the right decisions within our asset 267 00:15:12,040 --> 00:15:15,360 Speaker 1: allocation to mitigate some of the exposure that they may 268 00:15:15,360 --> 00:15:18,320 Speaker 1: have to this crisis. And Megan, we also have a 269 00:15:18,400 --> 00:15:20,600 Speaker 1: State of the Union address this evening the first by 270 00:15:20,640 --> 00:15:23,520 Speaker 1: President Biden. What will you be looking for? What will 271 00:15:23,560 --> 00:15:28,320 Speaker 1: your fund managers be looking for? Here? Right now? I 272 00:15:28,360 --> 00:15:30,920 Speaker 1: think the one thing that that's working as unity. We've 273 00:15:30,960 --> 00:15:35,840 Speaker 1: seen that just from these sanctioned perspective is the Western 274 00:15:35,840 --> 00:15:39,120 Speaker 1: world forming together and putting these sanctions from the Russian 275 00:15:39,120 --> 00:15:41,920 Speaker 1: government one by one um and it is the very 276 00:15:42,040 --> 00:15:46,560 Speaker 1: unified approach that right now, especially with the just the 277 00:15:46,600 --> 00:15:49,920 Speaker 1: tragic situations that everybody is looking at on television all 278 00:15:50,000 --> 00:15:53,920 Speaker 1: day long. We need some unity and confidence. But as 279 00:15:53,960 --> 00:15:56,320 Speaker 1: far as I think what people will be looking for 280 00:15:56,720 --> 00:15:59,320 Speaker 1: tonight is is that, you know, bringing the conference back 281 00:15:59,320 --> 00:16:02,080 Speaker 1: in the United States, because people are already speculating about 282 00:16:02,080 --> 00:16:04,360 Speaker 1: what may or may not happen as a results of 283 00:16:04,400 --> 00:16:07,640 Speaker 1: this with other countries, and I think that's dangerous, and 284 00:16:07,760 --> 00:16:10,840 Speaker 1: so we really have to create a sense of confidence 285 00:16:10,920 --> 00:16:14,440 Speaker 1: that we are unified with our other counterparts and we 286 00:16:15,160 --> 00:16:17,360 Speaker 1: against what Russia is doing. I think that that will 287 00:16:17,400 --> 00:16:19,480 Speaker 1: help to some degree. But people will be looking from 288 00:16:19,520 --> 00:16:23,720 Speaker 1: the energy perspective, and it's difficult at this point for 289 00:16:23,760 --> 00:16:26,560 Speaker 1: the administration to kind of do a three sixty on 290 00:16:26,600 --> 00:16:29,200 Speaker 1: some of the green energy initiatives. But I think people 291 00:16:29,240 --> 00:16:31,400 Speaker 1: will be looking on some of the things that the 292 00:16:31,440 --> 00:16:34,000 Speaker 1: administration can do for the short term that can help 293 00:16:34,040 --> 00:16:36,880 Speaker 1: alleviate some of the pain at the pump for for Americans. 294 00:16:37,080 --> 00:16:39,760 Speaker 1: By the way, just got about thirty seconds left. But 295 00:16:40,160 --> 00:16:45,040 Speaker 1: when you're looking to diversify, do you look into commodities 296 00:16:45,120 --> 00:16:48,000 Speaker 1: as well? I mean typically people and retail investors think 297 00:16:48,040 --> 00:16:50,960 Speaker 1: of just stocks and bonds, But do you look at gold, 298 00:16:51,000 --> 00:16:52,600 Speaker 1: do you look at oil? Do you look at aggs? 299 00:16:52,600 --> 00:16:57,000 Speaker 1: Like how far do you go, so we will always 300 00:16:57,040 --> 00:16:59,400 Speaker 1: look at them because they're considered. We kind of lumped 301 00:16:59,480 --> 00:17:03,720 Speaker 1: the commodity these into what is our alternative exposure, but 302 00:17:03,880 --> 00:17:08,159 Speaker 1: instead of focusing on some of the different commodities with 303 00:17:08,240 --> 00:17:10,840 Speaker 1: its crude oil goal because they're highly volatile and our 304 00:17:10,880 --> 00:17:13,880 Speaker 1: clients really have more of an eighteen to twenty four 305 00:17:13,920 --> 00:17:16,600 Speaker 1: month time frame. So what we would focus on is 306 00:17:16,640 --> 00:17:19,600 Speaker 1: other real assets that that can give the same types 307 00:17:19,640 --> 00:17:23,960 Speaker 1: of characteristics in the given our expectation for economic growth. 308 00:17:24,280 --> 00:17:27,080 Speaker 1: So thinking about things like real estate or infrastructure. These 309 00:17:27,080 --> 00:17:29,120 Speaker 1: are summarias the market that we would focus on. Now. 310 00:17:29,600 --> 00:17:32,960 Speaker 1: I think it's it is a very risky game to 311 00:17:32,960 --> 00:17:37,480 Speaker 1: be entering into oil now, specifically because people will be 312 00:17:37,480 --> 00:17:39,679 Speaker 1: doing it on a speculation trade on what's going on 313 00:17:39,720 --> 00:17:42,080 Speaker 1: over these all right, Megan, thank you so much for 314 00:17:42,200 --> 00:17:44,280 Speaker 1: joining us giving a couple of minutes of your time. 315 00:17:44,280 --> 00:17:47,720 Speaker 1: We appreciate it. Megan Hordeman, she is a chief investment 316 00:17:47,760 --> 00:17:53,760 Speaker 1: strategist Adverten's Capital Advisors. This is the big take, the 317 00:17:53,880 --> 00:17:58,000 Speaker 1: best of Bloomberg's in depth original reporting from around the globe. 318 00:17:58,080 --> 00:18:01,160 Speaker 1: We're running on a financial system that's on old technologies. 319 00:18:01,280 --> 00:18:05,159 Speaker 1: We're seeing prices reach fresh record ties what unfolds in 320 00:18:05,240 --> 00:18:07,679 Speaker 1: mid terms, we will no doubt see again in the 321 00:18:07,720 --> 00:18:12,919 Speaker 1: next presidential election. The Big Take on Bloomberg Radio. All right, 322 00:18:13,400 --> 00:18:17,520 Speaker 1: another really cool and impressive Big Take story today out 323 00:18:17,600 --> 00:18:21,000 Speaker 1: on the Terminal and on Bloomberg dot Com Slash Big 324 00:18:21,040 --> 00:18:23,760 Speaker 1: Take this one. This time Bloomberg Opinion measure at President 325 00:18:23,760 --> 00:18:27,720 Speaker 1: Biden's presidency across fourteen metrics. And we have the reporter 326 00:18:27,800 --> 00:18:29,679 Speaker 1: here that focused on the supply chain because that's one 327 00:18:29,720 --> 00:18:32,760 Speaker 1: of our favorite topics here on Bloomberg Markets, Brooks Sutherland. 328 00:18:32,880 --> 00:18:36,439 Speaker 1: She's a calumnist for Bloomberg Opinion. She joins us here live, 329 00:18:37,080 --> 00:18:39,879 Speaker 1: I say, live in our Bloomberg Interactor broker studio. So 330 00:18:40,119 --> 00:18:42,040 Speaker 1: after a couple of years of call ins, we got 331 00:18:42,200 --> 00:18:45,760 Speaker 1: broke back in the studio, Brooke. You gotta fix the 332 00:18:45,800 --> 00:18:49,200 Speaker 1: supply chain for us. It's killing us. Where are we 333 00:18:49,359 --> 00:18:52,320 Speaker 1: right now when you step back and we take a 334 00:18:52,359 --> 00:18:55,440 Speaker 1: look at the global supply chain? Are we any closer 335 00:18:55,480 --> 00:18:58,160 Speaker 1: to fixing it? We are? But I will say that 336 00:18:58,280 --> 00:19:01,959 Speaker 1: nothing is moving is quickly as anybody would like, at 337 00:19:02,000 --> 00:19:04,280 Speaker 1: least of all c e O s, but certainly also 338 00:19:05,600 --> 00:19:07,960 Speaker 1: yes or President Biden. Um So we I mean, I 339 00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:12,159 Speaker 1: will say there's been incremental positive commentary coming out of 340 00:19:12,240 --> 00:19:15,120 Speaker 1: industrial CEOs where they are seeing some improvements on things, 341 00:19:15,119 --> 00:19:17,800 Speaker 1: whether it be resins, uh you know, GM is saying 342 00:19:17,800 --> 00:19:21,000 Speaker 1: they'll have enough semiconductors to significantly ramp up auto production 343 00:19:21,080 --> 00:19:24,360 Speaker 1: this year. Rockwell Automation is also seeing some improvements and semiconductors. 344 00:19:24,640 --> 00:19:27,840 Speaker 1: So there is progress, but it's taking a long time. 345 00:19:27,920 --> 00:19:29,800 Speaker 1: And I think what the result is is then you 346 00:19:29,800 --> 00:19:32,399 Speaker 1: have a lot of these industrial companies banking on a 347 00:19:32,440 --> 00:19:34,920 Speaker 1: significantly better environment in the back half of the year. 348 00:19:35,280 --> 00:19:37,920 Speaker 1: That tends to make investors very nervous. These back end 349 00:19:37,920 --> 00:19:40,680 Speaker 1: waited forecasts have a way of not always playing out 350 00:19:40,720 --> 00:19:43,439 Speaker 1: like we all hoped they might um and so, you know, 351 00:19:43,480 --> 00:19:47,160 Speaker 1: I think it's just it's slow people. I should point 352 00:19:47,160 --> 00:19:49,080 Speaker 1: out the people that you're you know, in your day, 353 00:19:49,359 --> 00:19:51,880 Speaker 1: what you do every day is for Bloomer Opinion, it's 354 00:19:51,880 --> 00:19:55,040 Speaker 1: cover the industrial sector of America, the heartland of America, 355 00:19:55,080 --> 00:19:57,119 Speaker 1: the really cool companies. That's why we're talking about some 356 00:19:57,160 --> 00:19:59,600 Speaker 1: of these companies. But the auto companies, they were the 357 00:19:59,640 --> 00:20:02,320 Speaker 1: kind of the first place where consumers saw, boy, we've 358 00:20:02,320 --> 00:20:04,240 Speaker 1: got a problem out there. And I think that's where 359 00:20:04,240 --> 00:20:06,919 Speaker 1: consumers are really looking to see when auto production does 360 00:20:06,960 --> 00:20:09,280 Speaker 1: in fact ramp up right, And you know, the hope 361 00:20:09,560 --> 00:20:11,720 Speaker 1: is this year that we're going to see some big 362 00:20:11,760 --> 00:20:14,160 Speaker 1: improvements in volumes. But again, I mean, I think it's 363 00:20:14,200 --> 00:20:17,960 Speaker 1: anybody's guests how that actually plays out. And you know, 364 00:20:18,000 --> 00:20:21,359 Speaker 1: the answer to the semiconductor problem particularly is very intractable. 365 00:20:21,359 --> 00:20:23,960 Speaker 1: The way you solve it is by adding significant amounts 366 00:20:23,960 --> 00:20:27,000 Speaker 1: of new supply. You cannot do that overnight. So there's 367 00:20:27,080 --> 00:20:29,680 Speaker 1: a huge wave of investment underway just in the US 368 00:20:29,720 --> 00:20:33,159 Speaker 1: alone to build new semiconductor plants. But this takes years, 369 00:20:33,240 --> 00:20:35,840 Speaker 1: It takes along TI. I just called yesterday the GMC, 370 00:20:36,400 --> 00:20:41,680 Speaker 1: my dealer up in Westchester, Empire UMU MC, and she said, 371 00:20:42,200 --> 00:20:45,520 Speaker 1: I haven't seen a Yukon in months here, and if 372 00:20:45,600 --> 00:20:49,200 Speaker 1: we do get one, it's not gonna have uh might 373 00:20:49,240 --> 00:20:52,479 Speaker 1: not have blind spot um detection, it might not have 374 00:20:52,560 --> 00:20:56,000 Speaker 1: adaptive cruise control, it might not have heated and ventilated 375 00:20:56,040 --> 00:20:58,920 Speaker 1: seats because the chips just aren't there for those things. 376 00:20:59,160 --> 00:21:04,159 Speaker 1: I'm also hearing about delivery issues. Verry rid Holtz just 377 00:21:04,240 --> 00:21:07,959 Speaker 1: had a Toyota FJ forty shipped up from Columbia and 378 00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:11,800 Speaker 1: it sat in customs for five weeks. This is the 379 00:21:11,840 --> 00:21:14,439 Speaker 1: kind of thing that the president can actually impact. Is 380 00:21:14,480 --> 00:21:17,320 Speaker 1: he doing stuff like that at the borders? Is he 381 00:21:17,600 --> 00:21:21,119 Speaker 1: encouraging people to onshore UM production? You know, what is 382 00:21:21,119 --> 00:21:25,960 Speaker 1: the administration doing in terms of actions now to try 383 00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:27,879 Speaker 1: and get it going again? Sure? I mean on the 384 00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:30,520 Speaker 1: semi conductor front, just one point. So the manufacturers are 385 00:21:30,520 --> 00:21:33,480 Speaker 1: also redesigning their products to get around UM some of 386 00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:35,840 Speaker 1: these issues where you know, you have shortages of one 387 00:21:35,840 --> 00:21:37,520 Speaker 1: ship but more of a supply of others, and so 388 00:21:37,560 --> 00:21:39,800 Speaker 1: they're retrofitting up. So it's not just cars. But to 389 00:21:39,880 --> 00:21:42,639 Speaker 1: your point, I mean, it is actually very hard for 390 00:21:42,680 --> 00:21:45,399 Speaker 1: the Biden administration to make a huge different in the 391 00:21:45,440 --> 00:21:47,640 Speaker 1: supply jam because so much of this is controlled by 392 00:21:47,800 --> 00:21:50,600 Speaker 1: private entities, and not just you know a handful of 393 00:21:50,680 --> 00:21:53,879 Speaker 1: private entities, but an entire system that historically has not 394 00:21:53,880 --> 00:21:56,120 Speaker 1: always had the best track record of talking to each other. 395 00:21:56,160 --> 00:22:00,080 Speaker 1: So whether that's manufacturers, whether that's railroads, trucking company, the 396 00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:04,720 Speaker 1: sport operators, the actual workers on the docks, warehouses. So 397 00:22:04,760 --> 00:22:07,119 Speaker 1: what the Biden administration is said is they are trying 398 00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:09,400 Speaker 1: to be a deal broker. They want to bring these 399 00:22:09,400 --> 00:22:11,800 Speaker 1: different parties to the table. They want to make sure 400 00:22:11,800 --> 00:22:14,320 Speaker 1: that those lines of communication are open. Now, we are 401 00:22:14,359 --> 00:22:17,480 Speaker 1: seeing a little bit of progress in the ports, specifically 402 00:22:17,520 --> 00:22:20,280 Speaker 1: those West coast ports Los Angeles and Long Beach, where 403 00:22:20,359 --> 00:22:22,119 Speaker 1: you know, there's been such a long back all the 404 00:22:22,240 --> 00:22:25,359 Speaker 1: ships that has gotten incrementally better. We are still a 405 00:22:25,400 --> 00:22:30,440 Speaker 1: long way away from normal operating conditions in those ports. Um. 406 00:22:30,520 --> 00:22:32,720 Speaker 1: And then longer term, you know, what they would like 407 00:22:32,800 --> 00:22:35,760 Speaker 1: to do is make investments in infrastructure, and you know 408 00:22:35,800 --> 00:22:37,959 Speaker 1: a huge portion of that goes to the ports in 409 00:22:38,080 --> 00:22:41,920 Speaker 1: terms of making our existing set up much better suited 410 00:22:41,960 --> 00:22:44,920 Speaker 1: to handle the kind of cargo demand that we're seeing. Um. 411 00:22:44,920 --> 00:22:47,000 Speaker 1: You know, there's a lot that could be done in 412 00:22:47,119 --> 00:22:51,760 Speaker 1: terms of automation, in terms of you know, just rearranging 413 00:22:51,760 --> 00:22:55,199 Speaker 1: how this logistical apparatus works for the ships that we 414 00:22:55,280 --> 00:22:57,359 Speaker 1: have in our time. But again, you know, back to 415 00:22:57,359 --> 00:22:59,480 Speaker 1: the point about the semiconductor plants, those are not things 416 00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:01,840 Speaker 1: that you can do overnight. Are we gonna on shore anything? 417 00:23:01,840 --> 00:23:04,680 Speaker 1: Of note? Your your Industrial America. Are we gonna on 418 00:23:04,760 --> 00:23:08,960 Speaker 1: shore anything? So I think this is happening to some degree, 419 00:23:08,960 --> 00:23:11,920 Speaker 1: and you've seen companies like snyd Air say, look, we're 420 00:23:11,920 --> 00:23:15,280 Speaker 1: going to add some manufacturing capacity to support the high 421 00:23:15,320 --> 00:23:17,080 Speaker 1: levels of demand. Um, you know, I talked to the 422 00:23:17,119 --> 00:23:20,760 Speaker 1: automation companies like Siemens and Rockwell, which of course would 423 00:23:20,760 --> 00:23:23,720 Speaker 1: be big beneficiaries that any onshoing movement, because you're not 424 00:23:23,760 --> 00:23:26,119 Speaker 1: going to do it to hire a ton of American workers. 425 00:23:26,119 --> 00:23:27,560 Speaker 1: You're going to do it if you can make the 426 00:23:27,560 --> 00:23:30,439 Speaker 1: automation investment to make all of the economics work. So 427 00:23:30,480 --> 00:23:34,000 Speaker 1: I think we are seeing this particularly lower down the 428 00:23:34,040 --> 00:23:36,920 Speaker 1: supply chains, not necessarily the big name brand manufacturers that 429 00:23:36,960 --> 00:23:38,720 Speaker 1: we know, but their suppliers. I want to see a 430 00:23:38,720 --> 00:23:41,400 Speaker 1: big fab plant built right in maybe Columbus, a high 431 00:23:41,440 --> 00:23:45,720 Speaker 1: right writ in the middle. We're doing that, okay, in 432 00:23:45,760 --> 00:23:49,520 Speaker 1: the great state of Ohio in the vehicles the other 433 00:23:49,800 --> 00:23:52,600 Speaker 1: the Ohio State University. Brook Solyin, thanks so much for joining. 434 00:23:52,640 --> 00:23:54,639 Speaker 1: She's a columnist for Bloomberg Opinion. Joining us here in 435 00:23:54,640 --> 00:23:57,240 Speaker 1: our Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio. You can read all this 436 00:23:57,320 --> 00:24:00,920 Speaker 1: cool big take stuff Bloomberg dot Com Slag Big Take 437 00:24:01,119 --> 00:24:07,480 Speaker 1: or Ni Space Big Take go on the terminal. Thanks 438 00:24:07,520 --> 00:24:10,959 Speaker 1: for listening to the Bloomberg Markets podcast. You can subscribe 439 00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:14,760 Speaker 1: and listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts or whatever podcast 440 00:24:14,760 --> 00:24:18,320 Speaker 1: platform you prefer. I'm Matt Miller. I'm on Twitter at 441 00:24:18,359 --> 00:24:21,920 Speaker 1: Matt Miller three. Pet On Fall Sweeney, I'm on Twitter 442 00:24:22,040 --> 00:24:24,880 Speaker 1: at pt Sweeney. Before the podcast, you can always catch 443 00:24:24,960 --> 00:24:26,480 Speaker 1: us worldwide at Bloomberg Radio