1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:04,960 Speaker 1: The official name of that defensive umbrella is Operation Prosperity Guardian. 2 00:00:05,519 --> 00:00:08,840 Speaker 1: It's a coalition of more than twenty nations that includes 3 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:12,720 Speaker 1: the United Kingdom, but most of the ships, aircraft, and 4 00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:21,360 Speaker 1: firepower are coming from America. When was the last time 5 00:00:22,040 --> 00:00:25,319 Speaker 1: that the US Navy operated in this place for a 6 00:00:25,320 --> 00:00:26,000 Speaker 1: couple of months? 7 00:00:26,880 --> 00:00:28,680 Speaker 2: I think you'd have to go back to World War 8 00:00:28,720 --> 00:00:32,360 Speaker 2: Two where you have ships who are engaged in combat. 9 00:00:32,360 --> 00:00:34,920 Speaker 2: When I say engagement, combat where they're getting shot at, 10 00:00:35,400 --> 00:00:37,160 Speaker 2: we're getting shot at and we're shooting back. 11 00:00:37,479 --> 00:00:39,600 Speaker 3: You'd have to go back to World War II. Since 12 00:00:39,640 --> 00:00:42,000 Speaker 3: the Navy's been engaged in that sort of thing sustained 13 00:00:42,040 --> 00:00:42,800 Speaker 3: period of time. 14 00:00:43,600 --> 00:00:44,920 Speaker 4: Sounds like combat to me. 15 00:00:45,200 --> 00:00:48,240 Speaker 5: Let's discuss the developments in the Gulf, in the region 16 00:00:48,280 --> 00:00:51,080 Speaker 5: around the world with CNN military analyst Mike Lyons, who 17 00:00:51,159 --> 00:00:51,599 Speaker 5: joins us. 18 00:00:52,159 --> 00:00:53,479 Speaker 4: Mike, thanks great to talk to. 19 00:00:53,440 --> 00:00:55,560 Speaker 6: You, Hey one, guys, great to be back with you. 20 00:00:55,920 --> 00:00:58,120 Speaker 3: So does that sound accurate to you? That's the most 21 00:00:58,120 --> 00:01:00,160 Speaker 3: engagement our Navy's had since World War Two. 22 00:01:00,720 --> 00:01:03,800 Speaker 6: Probably from a naval perspective. If you take out the 23 00:01:03,880 --> 00:01:07,760 Speaker 6: naval air assets that have been participating in combat, you know, 24 00:01:07,800 --> 00:01:10,440 Speaker 6: really in every conflict for the past twenty twenty five years. 25 00:01:10,600 --> 00:01:13,600 Speaker 6: This is you know, combat towards the ships, you know, 26 00:01:14,080 --> 00:01:16,240 Speaker 6: the destroyers, the aircraft careers were always safe, you know, 27 00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:18,920 Speaker 6: naval tactics or protect carry at all costs. Well, now 28 00:01:19,360 --> 00:01:21,360 Speaker 6: they've got to be concerned about that. The fact that 29 00:01:21,600 --> 00:01:25,440 Speaker 6: our enemy is targeting actual naval assets in the water 30 00:01:25,600 --> 00:01:30,039 Speaker 6: is somewhat new. And this new thing is this underwater drone. 31 00:01:30,200 --> 00:01:34,360 Speaker 6: Doing some research on that coming from irun it loiters. 32 00:01:34,400 --> 00:01:36,360 Speaker 6: It's kind of like a loitering torpedo is kind of 33 00:01:36,360 --> 00:01:38,880 Speaker 6: the best way to describe it. And the fact that 34 00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:41,160 Speaker 6: they were able to shoot that out before it got 35 00:01:41,160 --> 00:01:43,679 Speaker 6: close to it. Things are getting dicey. No question for 36 00:01:43,720 --> 00:01:46,680 Speaker 6: the naval operators in the Red Cina. 37 00:01:47,160 --> 00:01:48,880 Speaker 4: Just a quick tangential question, Mike. 38 00:01:48,920 --> 00:01:51,600 Speaker 5: I think a lot about the navy for various reasons, 39 00:01:51,600 --> 00:01:54,720 Speaker 5: both personal and patriotic. I'm troubled by our lack of 40 00:01:54,800 --> 00:01:57,600 Speaker 5: capacity for shipbuilding as China's navy grows. 41 00:01:57,360 --> 00:01:58,240 Speaker 4: By leaves and bounds. 42 00:01:58,360 --> 00:02:00,560 Speaker 5: At the same time, though, with the growings of shistication 43 00:02:00,960 --> 00:02:05,080 Speaker 5: of missiles, both ours and the Chinese in particular, I 44 00:02:05,160 --> 00:02:08,680 Speaker 5: wonder how long a big manned surface fleet is going 45 00:02:08,720 --> 00:02:10,480 Speaker 5: to have the significance it has now. 46 00:02:11,880 --> 00:02:15,239 Speaker 6: Well from a principle of war perspective, it provides mass 47 00:02:15,280 --> 00:02:17,800 Speaker 6: on that domain. So I think that's always going to 48 00:02:17,840 --> 00:02:19,760 Speaker 6: be there. I'm turned about it as well. I do 49 00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:23,920 Speaker 6: think we need to increase our enable capacity, both what 50 00:02:23,960 --> 00:02:26,120 Speaker 6: we have in the water and the sea as well 51 00:02:26,120 --> 00:02:29,080 Speaker 6: as underwater. We're talking about submarines there as well. So 52 00:02:30,040 --> 00:02:32,960 Speaker 6: I do believe that as the Chinese are going to, 53 00:02:33,600 --> 00:02:36,359 Speaker 6: you know, kind of rely on the old school gunboat 54 00:02:36,400 --> 00:02:39,320 Speaker 6: diplomacy and what's happening in the Pacific, we've got to 55 00:02:39,320 --> 00:02:43,480 Speaker 6: match that with similar assets. Now we use our technology 56 00:02:43,880 --> 00:02:45,880 Speaker 6: to gain the advantage. But right now that's being flipped 57 00:02:45,919 --> 00:02:48,280 Speaker 6: on its head. You saw that sixty minutesry for Norah 58 00:02:48,280 --> 00:02:51,280 Speaker 6: O'Donnell talking about you know, we're taking million dollar cruise 59 00:02:51,320 --> 00:02:54,680 Speaker 6: missiles and knocking out ten and fifty thousand dollars drones. 60 00:02:54,800 --> 00:02:57,000 Speaker 6: Let's say with it, because we have to protect our shifts. 61 00:02:57,000 --> 00:02:59,480 Speaker 6: So from an economic perspective, we're not on the right 62 00:02:59,480 --> 00:03:01,000 Speaker 6: side of that. We have to you know, kind of 63 00:03:01,000 --> 00:03:02,680 Speaker 6: figure that as well. We can we get away with 64 00:03:02,720 --> 00:03:05,440 Speaker 6: that because we're prosperous country. We can afford it, but 65 00:03:05,639 --> 00:03:07,160 Speaker 6: we might not be able to afford that in the future, 66 00:03:07,240 --> 00:03:10,560 Speaker 6: especially as these countries change their taxes. I'm concerned about 67 00:03:10,600 --> 00:03:14,519 Speaker 6: swarming technology for example, that's going to impact the battlefield 68 00:03:14,800 --> 00:03:15,320 Speaker 6: on the sea. 69 00:03:15,919 --> 00:03:17,720 Speaker 3: Yeah, I thought it was interesting. I mentioned a couple 70 00:03:17,720 --> 00:03:20,640 Speaker 3: of different times. They're not exactly sure what they're up to, 71 00:03:20,760 --> 00:03:24,440 Speaker 3: Like what's their goal? Picking a fight with the biggest, 72 00:03:24,480 --> 00:03:27,160 Speaker 3: baddest bull in the barn and what you know is 73 00:03:27,200 --> 00:03:29,639 Speaker 3: an attrition like you guys were just talking about her. 74 00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:32,799 Speaker 6: Yeah, I don't know what the Huthi's goal is, just 75 00:03:32,800 --> 00:03:36,480 Speaker 6: just besides from a purely religious perspective, to go meet 76 00:03:36,520 --> 00:03:39,040 Speaker 6: their maker there. It doesn't make sense. And that's why, 77 00:03:39,520 --> 00:03:43,840 Speaker 6: you know, the rational negotiation with these terrorists don't. It 78 00:03:43,880 --> 00:03:47,560 Speaker 6: doesn't go go anywhere because they don't have the same 79 00:03:47,640 --> 00:03:49,240 Speaker 6: you know, kind of value sets we do. So they're 80 00:03:49,240 --> 00:03:54,240 Speaker 6: going to continue to until until where they've been deterred 81 00:03:54,480 --> 00:03:56,440 Speaker 6: or either out of ammunition. They're going to continue to 82 00:03:56,480 --> 00:03:58,760 Speaker 6: do exactly that, and the Ron's going to use them. 83 00:03:58,800 --> 00:04:02,400 Speaker 6: I think it's a laboratory. And again, the submarine rones 84 00:04:02,480 --> 00:04:04,720 Speaker 6: and the surface drones and the things that they're doing, 85 00:04:04,840 --> 00:04:07,280 Speaker 6: these unmanned the things, they're easy to they're easy to 86 00:04:07,280 --> 00:04:11,080 Speaker 6: get there, and they're easy to deploy. 87 00:04:12,680 --> 00:04:15,840 Speaker 3: I saw your tweets about Russia and Ukraine. Ukraine lost 88 00:04:15,880 --> 00:04:19,360 Speaker 3: a major city over the weekend to Russia. But you 89 00:04:19,640 --> 00:04:22,800 Speaker 3: seem to say Russia is not quite on the verge 90 00:04:22,839 --> 00:04:24,080 Speaker 3: of winning. What's going on there? 91 00:04:24,520 --> 00:04:27,800 Speaker 6: No, I don't think so. I think that. You know, 92 00:04:28,160 --> 00:04:32,919 Speaker 6: for the last four months, they've expended about forty thousand 93 00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:35,640 Speaker 6: soldiers that have been lost on their side and all 94 00:04:35,680 --> 00:04:39,000 Speaker 6: kinds of battle damage assessment from thirty square kilometers. You know, 95 00:04:39,240 --> 00:04:45,159 Speaker 6: there's not this immediacy with regard to Russia breaking through 96 00:04:45,240 --> 00:04:48,039 Speaker 6: on an offensive operation. Ukraine's got to go into a 97 00:04:48,080 --> 00:04:51,280 Speaker 6: defensive mode now and and stop any kind of counteroffensive. 98 00:04:51,279 --> 00:04:53,479 Speaker 6: And what Russia's doing is taking back some of those 99 00:04:53,480 --> 00:04:55,800 Speaker 6: areas that they lost during that counter offensive in the 100 00:04:55,800 --> 00:04:59,520 Speaker 6: past nine months. But Russia is learning, they recognize that 101 00:04:59,520 --> 00:05:02,159 Speaker 6: they've they ask forces in certain areas they'll be successful. 102 00:05:02,160 --> 00:05:04,640 Speaker 6: That this area Aft Difcas in the middle of this 103 00:05:04,880 --> 00:05:07,920 Speaker 6: very long front, and you know, you look at it 104 00:05:08,000 --> 00:05:10,360 Speaker 6: from a strategic perspective, it looks like a divide and conquer, 105 00:05:10,440 --> 00:05:13,120 Speaker 6: but they just still don't have the resources to do that. 106 00:05:13,240 --> 00:05:13,440 Speaker 3: Now. 107 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:18,080 Speaker 6: Eventually they might if they Ukraine government doesn't get resupplied 108 00:05:18,120 --> 00:05:19,960 Speaker 6: the military, I think't resupplied in the next let's sake, 109 00:05:19,960 --> 00:05:22,760 Speaker 6: thirty sixty ninety days. They're running out of ammunition, no 110 00:05:22,880 --> 00:05:25,520 Speaker 6: question about that. Artillery. We saw Denmark decide to give 111 00:05:25,560 --> 00:05:28,599 Speaker 6: all of its artillery inventory to Ukraine. That's a that's 112 00:05:28,600 --> 00:05:31,359 Speaker 6: a nice gesture. But they need the fifty or sixty 113 00:05:31,400 --> 00:05:33,760 Speaker 6: billion dollars of aid that's that would come from the 114 00:05:33,839 --> 00:05:37,839 Speaker 6: from the West in order to have this fight to 115 00:05:37,839 --> 00:05:39,920 Speaker 6: be sustained for the next couple of years. And what 116 00:05:40,080 --> 00:05:43,040 Speaker 6: we'll do is take stock things out of our stocks, 117 00:05:43,120 --> 00:05:45,640 Speaker 6: send them to Ukraine, and rebuild them here in the 118 00:05:45,720 --> 00:05:47,880 Speaker 6: United States. So it's kind of a win win from 119 00:05:47,920 --> 00:05:50,800 Speaker 6: a political perspective. But I guess right now neither side 120 00:05:50,839 --> 00:05:53,080 Speaker 6: wants to give the other side any kind of political victory, 121 00:05:53,120 --> 00:05:54,920 Speaker 6: which is it's going to hurt the Ukraine military. 122 00:05:55,400 --> 00:05:57,040 Speaker 4: It's interesting to watch the arguments. 123 00:05:57,120 --> 00:06:00,600 Speaker 5: Listen to the arguments here domestically, particular on the right 124 00:06:00,600 --> 00:06:02,640 Speaker 5: side of the aisle between those who are staunchly in 125 00:06:02,680 --> 00:06:04,880 Speaker 5: favor of helping Ukraine and those who seem to think 126 00:06:04,920 --> 00:06:07,160 Speaker 5: it's a bad idea for a variety of reasons. But 127 00:06:07,320 --> 00:06:09,760 Speaker 5: there doesn't seem to be a lot of disagreement in Europe. 128 00:06:09,800 --> 00:06:14,160 Speaker 5: The EU is remarkably united in thinking Putin's a hell 129 00:06:14,200 --> 00:06:15,080 Speaker 5: of a threat. 130 00:06:15,520 --> 00:06:18,760 Speaker 6: Right, yeah, and look what he's done to Nivaldi now. 131 00:06:18,800 --> 00:06:22,520 Speaker 6: And he does this because it's getting closer to the election. 132 00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:25,719 Speaker 6: He picks and chooses when he wants to assassinate people. 133 00:06:25,760 --> 00:06:29,440 Speaker 6: And you know, these kind of bloody leaders, they exist 134 00:06:29,720 --> 00:06:32,400 Speaker 6: because they take their they take their opponents out before 135 00:06:32,440 --> 00:06:34,720 Speaker 6: they you know, they get close to becoming more powerful. 136 00:06:35,040 --> 00:06:38,880 Speaker 6: But yeah, over the weekend you saw the foreign minister 137 00:06:38,920 --> 00:06:41,840 Speaker 6: of Latvia and Lithuania make comments about the threat as 138 00:06:41,880 --> 00:06:44,719 Speaker 6: they are close to Putin, They're close to what's going 139 00:06:44,720 --> 00:06:48,000 Speaker 6: on in Russia there. We've got to get you know, 140 00:06:48,080 --> 00:06:50,560 Speaker 6: the Germans and the French and know others involved and 141 00:06:50,640 --> 00:06:53,599 Speaker 6: start spending more money. Only seven countries in NATO are 142 00:06:53,600 --> 00:06:56,480 Speaker 6: meeting that two and a half percent goal that they're 143 00:06:56,520 --> 00:06:57,479 Speaker 6: supposed to be for GDP. 144 00:06:57,640 --> 00:07:02,240 Speaker 5: That's just not enough, my clients, CNN Military analyst Mike, 145 00:07:02,320 --> 00:07:04,000 Speaker 5: it's always great to talk before we let you go 146 00:07:04,040 --> 00:07:06,760 Speaker 5: on this President's Day. Are there any is there a 147 00:07:06,920 --> 00:07:10,640 Speaker 5: president or are there a couple that you admire, particularly 148 00:07:10,680 --> 00:07:12,720 Speaker 5: that you think about a lot read about a lot 149 00:07:12,760 --> 00:07:16,800 Speaker 5: to maybe use his role models. 150 00:07:16,960 --> 00:07:20,760 Speaker 6: There's so many. I've studied them. JFK was inaugurated in 151 00:07:20,760 --> 00:07:22,520 Speaker 6: the year of my birth. I guess, but I guess 152 00:07:22,520 --> 00:07:25,720 Speaker 6: my favorite president has got to be Abraham Lincoln. If 153 00:07:25,760 --> 00:07:27,920 Speaker 6: you go to the Lincoln Memorial and you look above 154 00:07:28,280 --> 00:07:30,920 Speaker 6: the statue that the great statue that exists in that 155 00:07:31,040 --> 00:07:33,400 Speaker 6: the monument to him, and there's a quote above it 156 00:07:33,440 --> 00:07:34,920 Speaker 6: and it says something goes like this. I don't have 157 00:07:34,960 --> 00:07:37,280 Speaker 6: it exact, but it's like, for who we saved the nation, 158 00:07:37,440 --> 00:07:40,760 Speaker 6: the memory of Abraham Lincoln is enshrined in this temple forever. 159 00:07:41,560 --> 00:07:42,840 Speaker 6: And I was with that and said, you know, forever 160 00:07:42,920 --> 00:07:44,520 Speaker 6: was a long time. You know, I'm sure the Romans 161 00:07:44,520 --> 00:07:46,760 Speaker 6: put up a lot of statues and said the memory 162 00:07:46,760 --> 00:07:48,400 Speaker 6: of this guy is going to be here forever. So 163 00:07:48,560 --> 00:07:50,920 Speaker 6: the soldier I get to the Lincoln Memorial, I look 164 00:07:50,960 --> 00:07:52,400 Speaker 6: up and there, I said, you know, I would look 165 00:07:52,400 --> 00:07:54,280 Speaker 6: around here. It's going to be defending this place someplace 166 00:07:54,320 --> 00:07:56,640 Speaker 6: because the United States said his memory is going to 167 00:07:56,640 --> 00:07:57,360 Speaker 6: be here forever. 168 00:07:57,880 --> 00:07:58,720 Speaker 4: That's a good one. 169 00:07:59,240 --> 00:08:02,040 Speaker 5: Yeah, Amen to that, Mike, Thanks very very much, good 170 00:08:02,040 --> 00:08:02,520 Speaker 5: to talk to you. 171 00:08:02,880 --> 00:08:03,920 Speaker 6: Thanks guys, thanks for having me. 172 00:08:05,120 --> 00:08:06,280 Speaker 4: Armstrong and Getty