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Speaker 1: Ready to witnesses football fans. Welcome to the biggest tailgate

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Speaker 1: party in the nation that Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff,

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Speaker 1: presented by Ben Naked Legendary. We're setting you up with

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Speaker 1: the information you need to watch your team win.

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Speaker 2: Let's go.

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Speaker 3: We're here to break.

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Speaker 2: It all down. Yeah.

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Speaker 3: Look, this is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff, presented

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Speaker 3: by Bett emsg app No, we're live from your tailgame.

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Speaker 3: Here's Brian Nook, former Penn State All American, Rich Hornberger,

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Speaker 3: and FSR betting analyst Jared Smith.

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Speaker 4: Oh oh, what is going on over here? Welcome in.

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Speaker 4: Got a whole full slate of college football action to

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Speaker 4: get through. A little World Series action as well. Jared,

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Speaker 4: Good morning to you, you Rich, everything good in you guys.

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Speaker 5: World.

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Speaker 6: Here coming to you guys live from Fresno. We got

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Speaker 6: a twelve thirty kick West Coast time between San Diego

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Speaker 6: State and Fresno State, two five and one football teams.

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Speaker 6: Gonna see who's tougher out there. It's always a battle.

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Speaker 6: This is gonna be the last time they meet as

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Speaker 6: Mountain West foes before they joined the PAC twelve together

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Speaker 6: in a year's time. So this is this is a

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Speaker 6: little bit of history in the making, this this afternoon

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Speaker 6: the Valley.

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Speaker 5: Every time I think Fresno, I think of think of

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Speaker 5: the car Brothers.

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Speaker 2: Oh yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah yeah.

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Speaker 5: With the V on the back of the helmet, green V.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 7: I know it well.

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Speaker 4: I did radio there for almost three years rich, so

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Speaker 4: I know Fresne very well. I know, Uh, Black of Stone,

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Speaker 4: I don't know if you're that deep in the game

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Speaker 4: where Black of Stone, I don't know Avenue I should

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Speaker 4: know the Avenue of I'm like like bragging, like you

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Speaker 4: don't know Blackstone, Old Avenue Bull, I'm not sure which one.

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Speaker 2: I'll tell you what they're.

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Speaker 6: Every city I'm in I wander around, and Fresno is

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Speaker 6: the one where I wandered into the strangest places. I

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Speaker 6: will say this, like, uh, one time I wandered into

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Speaker 6: I guess what ended up being one of the more

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Speaker 6: famous try Tip sandwich shops.

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Speaker 4: Oh yes, yes, like the smoke shop or something like that. Yeah,

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Speaker 4: And I had no idea that they were even known

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Speaker 4: for that. And I'm sitting there like, and I said

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Speaker 4: to somebody at the stadium the next day, I'm like,

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Speaker 4: I'm like, you know what.

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Speaker 2: I had yesterday? That was really good. Was a try

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Speaker 2: tip sandwich of all things. And the guys were laughing

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Speaker 2: at me and they're like yeah yeah. They're almost like yeah,

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Speaker 2: you idiot, Like that's what we do here. Yeah yeah.

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Speaker 4: Or maybe it's a dog house grill. I forget, but

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Speaker 4: oh that's it, talk house grill, that's it.

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Speaker 5: That's it's Listeners right now are loving this, you know,

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Speaker 5: giant dumbs up. Shout out Fresno.

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Speaker 7: I'll tell you, I love you.

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Speaker 4: I'll tell you a quick story that's funny because I

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Speaker 4: was on the way to work. It might have been

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Speaker 4: on it was on Shaw Shaw Avenue, but that's like

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Speaker 4: the main one. And of course I'm just blasting my

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Speaker 4: Lamb of God music, you know, and this guy pulls

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Speaker 4: up to me and he's pointing down at my back tire.

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Speaker 4: He's just's pointing down and I just give him the

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Speaker 4: thumbs up, like yeah, man, sounds good. And I got

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Speaker 4: to wear a guy at a flat tire, so I

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Speaker 4: always thought that was funny. This guy's like must be

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Speaker 4: the most laden back guy ever. He's just riding around

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Speaker 4: on a flat tire. It doesn't even care. But I

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Speaker 4: don't know. Good days in the five five to nine.

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Speaker 4: There it is there, yeah, yeah.

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Speaker 7: So the Blue Jays. Huh.

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Speaker 4: Before we get to all the college football action, the

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Speaker 4: Blue Jays smacked around the Dodgers. I can't believe I'm

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Speaker 4: even saying this right now. They went eleven to four.

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Speaker 4: They scored nine runs in one inning. And that's the

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Speaker 4: key to beating the Dodgers, right get past that brilliant

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Speaker 4: starting pitching and get into that bullpen. That's exactly what

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Speaker 4: they did last night. I guess the question right now

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Speaker 4: is do you buy the Blue Jays as a legitimate

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Speaker 4: threat to not only win the World Series, but would

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Speaker 4: you back them to do so at this stage?

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Speaker 6: I think if if you know what, yes, I'm gonna

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Speaker 6: answer your first question first, Yes, I think they are

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Speaker 6: legitimate contender.

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Speaker 2: It's going to take a lot more of that, though, you.

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Speaker 6: Know, Look the Blue Jays on blake'snell day, by the way,

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Speaker 6: who's no slouch.

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Speaker 2: That's a heck of a pitcher.

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Speaker 6: We're able to knock him around, like you said, get

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Speaker 6: into relief and then have that a nine run inning,

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Speaker 6: which included, by the way, speaking of a historic moment,

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Speaker 6: the first ever pinch slam, the first ever grand slam

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Speaker 6: off of a pinch hitter. It was everything worked, I

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Speaker 6: guess is what you could say about that game, insummation.

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Speaker 6: Is it going to be like that every time? Obviously not?

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Speaker 6: And do the Dodgers have some whole their roster?

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Speaker 2: Yeah?

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Speaker 6: You just pointed out the biggest one, and it's when

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Speaker 6: you get beyond their their starting pitcher. I still think

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Speaker 6: they're tough out. But if you're if you're a betting man,

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Speaker 6: I mean, yeah, it might be time to buy a

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Speaker 6: little Blue Jays stock. I don't know if it's worth

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Speaker 6: more than a sprinkle at this point if you're jumping

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Speaker 6: on the bandwagon.

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Speaker 2: But that was a stunning performance.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean I think it's a it's a worthy

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Speaker 5: question because everyone's waking up today and now it's a

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Speaker 5: pick them basically who's gonna win the World Series? So

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Speaker 5: there's your answer for you know, when you play golf

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Speaker 5: with your buddy and he's much better than you. How

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Speaker 5: many strokes per hole do I need to give you?

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Speaker 5: The answer is one? And now we're back to even.

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Speaker 5: So we give the Blue Jays a game, And now

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Speaker 5: does the market thinks anyone can win this thing? It's

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Speaker 5: fifty to fifty, But that just shows you how good

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Speaker 5: the Dodgers are is you had to give the Blue

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Speaker 5: Jays a game when they already have home field in

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Speaker 5: the series. You had to give them a free be

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Speaker 5: a mulligan. And now we can kind of reset and say,

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Speaker 5: all right, now, Toronto's live. That's why I think the

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Speaker 5: Dodgers end up winning this series because at the end

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Speaker 5: of the day, when you stretch this thing out, and

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Speaker 5: here's what Toronto might have done last night, Toronto might

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Speaker 5: have made this a series. Right we thought it was

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Speaker 5: gonna be Dodgers in five, maybe Dodgers and six. Now

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Speaker 5: it looks like a long series. It looks like a

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Speaker 5: series where la better strap up and strap in because

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Speaker 5: this is this is gonna be a fight. I think

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Speaker 5: Toronto has a little bit of that it factor that

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Speaker 5: definitely scares me. But the Dodgers roster is so good. Guys,

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Speaker 5: Like when we get and that's when we get later

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Speaker 5: in the series, I think that's when it'll kind of

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Speaker 5: become clear that the Dodgers are deeper. But right now,

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Speaker 5: after one game and after what Toronto did last night,

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Speaker 5: there's gonna be a lot of people that are gonna

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Speaker 5: jump on that train for sure.

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Speaker 4: YEA of funny because before the great comeback, my question

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Speaker 4: was are the Dodgers good or bad for baseball?

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Speaker 2: You know?

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Speaker 4: And that's completely been shifted because they get blown out

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Speaker 4: in Game one. Just think if they won Game one

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Speaker 4: eleven to four and I asked you that same question,

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Speaker 4: right that it completely changes how you probably feel about it.

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Speaker 4: But even after Game one, listen, I think they're more

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Speaker 4: good than bad for baseball. Is basically what it is.

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Speaker 4: Because the Dodgers, especially what they've done winning it all

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Speaker 4: last season, their resume before Game one last night, they're

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Speaker 4: nine to one in the playoffs. They're not even hitting

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Speaker 4: you know what I mean. That's amazing what they've been

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Speaker 4: able to do. So they are more than live to

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Speaker 4: still come back and win this series. But for one game,

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Speaker 4: hats off to the Blue Jays.

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Speaker 2: Man.

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Speaker 7: That was crazy. And that's the thing.

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Speaker 4: When they were down three to two in the ALCS,

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Speaker 4: I was telling Bo Benson, Dodgers guy and the crew,

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Speaker 4: I'm like, man, if the Dodgers face the Blue Jays

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Speaker 4: with that offense, they could get to the starting pitching,

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Speaker 4: get into that bullpen, could be an interesting series, and

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Speaker 4: at least through one game, that's what we have we'll

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Speaker 4: see if the Blue Jays bats can still stay alive. Hey,

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Speaker 4: how about this random gambling accusations?

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Speaker 5: What a story?

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Speaker 7: What a story here.

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Speaker 4: So we've got Terry Rogier, current NBA player, Chauncey Billups,

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Speaker 4: current head coach of the Portland Trailblazers, and we've got

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Speaker 4: Damon Jones, who's an assistant coach right now in the NBA.

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Speaker 7: They've all been arrested.

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Speaker 4: They're all part of this whole like gambling crackdown thing

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Speaker 4: going on by the feds. The FBI has been involved

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Speaker 4: in this for years and so they're trying to crack

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Speaker 4: down on. There might have been a little bit of

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Speaker 4: shadiness going on with Terry Rogier saying, ah, man, my

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Speaker 4: foot hurts while he was telling all these gamblers, Yeah,

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Speaker 4: I bet the under hammer the under might be a little.

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Speaker 7: Bit of an issue right there.

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Speaker 4: And then Chauncey Billups in this like Casino Royal, like

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Speaker 4: double seven type of hard game going on. I don't know,

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Speaker 4: odd job was at the table as well as as

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Speaker 4: eleven unbelievable, right, we got like X ray vision, we

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Speaker 4: got special glasses. They're completely stealing money from these wealthy fish.

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Speaker 4: What do you guys make of this whole thing as

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Speaker 4: it stands right now, well.

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Speaker 6: Wealthy fish and also professional poker players, because I saw

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Speaker 6: an interview with a pro and I'm not really in

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Speaker 6: that world, and so I don't know the name, so

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Speaker 6: forgive me, but it was from twenty twenty three.

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Speaker 2: This interview was being taped.

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Speaker 6: And this professional poker player was talking about how that

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Speaker 6: game was known because some of his buddies in the

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Speaker 6: professional poker playing world went to the La version and

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Speaker 6: when it moved out to Vegas. He was like, yeah,

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Speaker 6: that's a rigged game. And he was like, and it

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Speaker 6: was kind of a well known thing amongst pros that

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Speaker 6: that's a game you stay away from because the first round,

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Speaker 6: all these pros were getting mopped up with these lucky hands,

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Speaker 6: like guys were going all in on hands that you

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Speaker 6: absolutely don't play based off of what the flop looked like,

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Speaker 6: you know, and then the river card comes out and

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Speaker 6: you have these guys going against like real pros who

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Speaker 6: have a top hand considering what's been laid out in

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Speaker 6: a hold them game, and and they're they're getting absolutely worked.

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Speaker 6: And so he was like, yeah, he was like, we

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Speaker 6: we knew it was a job, and then somebody asked

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Speaker 6: them the question, well, hey, why didn't you report it.

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Speaker 6: He's like, yeah, that that's not really how life works.

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Speaker 2: He was like, you can.

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Speaker 6: He was like, but if you're wrong, or if these

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Speaker 6: people have buddies, which they often do in high places,

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Speaker 6: you could destroy your credibility. And you just have to

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Speaker 6: understand that. Man, you gotta you gotta be really right,

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Speaker 6: and if you're even the slightest bit hesitant, then you

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Speaker 6: stay away.

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Speaker 2: And it's it's.

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Speaker 6: An interesting thing getting back to the actual scandal with

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Speaker 6: Rosier and Billups and everybody who's been involved in this.

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Speaker 6: You know what, it's a cautionary tale to athletes because

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Speaker 6: I'm sure these guys weren't the masterminds behind this plot.

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Speaker 6: I'm sure were people that they became in contact with

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Speaker 6: over the course of their careers, and it may have

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Speaker 6: been like it is many times because somebody had something

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Speaker 6: on somebody, you know. So this is the reason why

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Speaker 6: young professional athletes need to be so careful what they

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Speaker 6: do with their free time.

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Speaker 2: Stay out of the strip clubs, you know, be careful.

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Speaker 6: Especially no, I'm serious, if you're a married man, you don't.

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Speaker 6: You don't transgress because all It takes is one person

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Speaker 6: to have a video of you doing something you're not

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Speaker 6: supposed to be doing, having.

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Speaker 2: A little bit of whatever it.

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Speaker 6: Is that can blow up your personal life, and all

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Speaker 6: of a sudden, they gotcha, and they can pull that

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Speaker 6: string whenever they want to. And that's what I think

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Speaker 6: leads to a lot of these issues with gambling, because

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Speaker 6: people say all the time, like, why on earth would

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Speaker 6: you risk tens of millions of dollars that you're earning.

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Speaker 6: You're an NBA champion or you've played for championship teams.

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Speaker 2: How could you do this?

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Speaker 6: I'll tell you how, because what if somebody has something

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Speaker 6: on you so damning that you will do anything to keep.

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Speaker 2: That secret hidden. That's how. And that's what these people do.

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Speaker 2: They're criminals.

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Speaker 6: They're criminals, so they will come after you and they

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Speaker 6: will find a way to destroy your life unless you

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Speaker 6: run an a legal poker game. And look, that's my

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Speaker 6: best guess. We'll see what the investigation uncovers. But young athletes,

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Speaker 6: if you're listening, hey, look the world of the nil

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Speaker 6: has opened this up to college as well.

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Speaker 2: You gotta be careful who you associate yourself with.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, and obviously this is a gambling show. So we're

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Speaker 5: not gonna come on here and say gambling's bad. Nobody's

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Speaker 5: gamble like I think, And that's the biggest thing. So,

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Speaker 5: for example, I was asked to do a segment on

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Speaker 5: ABC News yesterday because of this, Like that's how deep

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Speaker 5: this rabbit hole goes, Like national media is now paying

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Speaker 5: attention to gambling on a level that has never been

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Speaker 5: paid attention to before this has been and the questions

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Speaker 5: that I'm getting, it's obvious that they don't really know

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Speaker 5: what this is about. Because the questions I got yesterday

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Speaker 5: was has this been going on for years? Like yes,

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Speaker 5: Like this is not a groundbreaking thing that is just

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Speaker 5: now happening over the last few years because gambling has

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Speaker 5: been legalized. That is the common misconception about this story.

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Speaker 5: Oh well, I'm seeing all of these ads for sportsbooks,

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Speaker 5: every commercial. That must be why this is happening.

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Speaker 7: No, it's not.

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Speaker 5: The mob is going to do mob things. Bad actors

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Speaker 5: are going to do bad actor things, regardless if gambling

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Speaker 5: is legalized in this country or not. So we need

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Speaker 5: to get away from the well now, we have to

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Speaker 5: just put gambling back back in the box. Right, We

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Speaker 5: have to put the toothpaste back in the tube. Yeah, good,

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Speaker 5: good luck with that. Every time someone gets a DUI.

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Speaker 2: In this country.

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Speaker 5: Are we talking about, you know, eliminating alcohol and and

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Speaker 5: you know, criminalizing it again. No, we've been down that

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Speaker 5: road before. It doesn't work, the Rosier stuff. So here's

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Speaker 5: what interests me about the Rozier stuff, Brian to kind

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Speaker 5: of tie this back up to a bow. The NBA

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Speaker 5: investigated him the entire year and cleared him, right, and

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Speaker 5: the FBI said not so fast, my friend. That's the

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Speaker 5: part about this story that I want to know more about.

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Speaker 5: I feel like I have a pretty good grasp with

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Speaker 5: a poker thing. This happens a lot in the poker world.

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Speaker 5: It just so happens that they involved a couple of

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Speaker 5: high profile people. But let's be honest, rig poker games,

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Speaker 5: underground poker games, they've been going on forever, often new there.

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Speaker 5: The part that scares me is the NBA investigated Terry

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Speaker 5: Rozier and said you're good, bud, and they let him

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Speaker 5: play again yep. And then the FBI did their investigation,

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Speaker 5: or I guess continued their investigation, and now we get

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Speaker 5: the end result of it. That's the part that I

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Speaker 5: want to know more about that. I think we need

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Speaker 5: to Why did the NBA feel like everything was hunky dory?

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Speaker 5: What did they not find? What were they unable to find?

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Speaker 5: Or worst case scenario, what did they find and sweep

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Speaker 5: under the rug? Right, that's the part I think that's

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Speaker 5: intriguing with this case as we move forward.

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Speaker 7: Absolutely it is.

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Speaker 4: And like you said, it was twenty twenty three and

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Speaker 4: they did their quote unquote investigation and they were basically like,

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Speaker 4: it's gonna go. We didn't see anything improper, so we're

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Speaker 4: fine here. Thumbs up, Terry Rogier. Now you get this

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Speaker 4: second wave of the FEDS saying yeah, you might want

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Speaker 4: to look a little bit deeper. And now the NBA

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Speaker 4: is like, I mean, yes, right, the FEDS are just

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Speaker 4: like yeah, you know are the NBA is like, well,

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Speaker 4: we don't have we don't have wire taps, you know,

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Speaker 4: we don't have like we can't.

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Speaker 5: Write organization, can't figure out where to get wire topped.

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Speaker 4: We can't do the plea bargain thing, like there are

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Speaker 4: things that we're up against over here. It's like, wow,

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Speaker 4: you got okay, all right, you guys look right now

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Speaker 4: on top of.

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Speaker 8: The mafia, didn't didn't like didn't Sorry, I'm completely blanking

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Speaker 8: on his name, the former NBA commissioner. Uh didn't he

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Speaker 8: hire like former like investigators and mafia guys, Like there

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Speaker 8: was always the rumors about him. It was like he

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Speaker 8: had a lot of shady New York guys working for him.

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Speaker 8: He could find this. That was the Carmelo Anthony stories,

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Speaker 8: like we know who you're hanging out with, we know

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Speaker 8: where you're going at night, we know what trouble you're

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Speaker 8: getting into. And now you're telling me the NBA can't

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Speaker 8: find this stuff out.

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Speaker 4: Right now, They're just like, whoa way, you have all

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Speaker 4: these disadvantage.

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Speaker 7: You're the NBA. You kidding me?

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Speaker 4: You can't do a better job than what you did.

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Speaker 4: They just looking competent right now, or like you said, Jared,

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Speaker 4: really shady. If that's the other thing that I thought

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Speaker 4: was funny, And we'll move it back to college football

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Speaker 4: here shortly. But Terry Rozier's lawyer said that his client

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Speaker 4: is not a gambler. And I saw that, and I'm like,

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Speaker 4: that is a really bad defense, you know what I mean, Like,

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Speaker 4: think about that. You don't have to be a gambler

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Speaker 4: to do something that's completely wrong, like like throw a game,

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Speaker 4: like to tell all these gamblers like, yo, just bet

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Speaker 4: the under I'll take care of it. And then ten

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Speaker 4: minutes into a game he's like, oh, my foot is

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Speaker 4: killing me. I can't go anymore. And the other that's

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Speaker 4: not gambling. There's nothing gambling about that.

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Speaker 7: That's what I mean.

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Speaker 4: That's like, you know, if the lawyer said my client

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Speaker 4: is not a thief and did not take part in

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Speaker 4: this robbery, if he gave all details of how the

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Speaker 4: robbers pulled off the heist, right like, he gave all

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Speaker 4: that information, it doesn't matter. If he isn't a robber,

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Speaker 4: if he's not a thief himself, it does not matter.

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Speaker 4: So that that defense of Terry Rozier is not a

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Speaker 4: gambler is one of the dumbest defenses that that almost

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Speaker 4: tells me like, wow, he's guilty.

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Speaker 7: If that's the best you can come up with.

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Speaker 4: He's not a gambler, he just you know, maybe he

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Speaker 4: gave all this information to gamblers.

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Speaker 2: But what's wrong.

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Speaker 4: No, no, dude, that's that's not gonna fly. But that's

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Speaker 4: where we're at with this whole thing.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, it's it's you're gonna hear a lot of things

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Speaker 6: that to maybe the novice or the person who's uninformed,

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Speaker 6: like Jared. You point out perfectly that the line of

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Speaker 6: questioning you received when you're on ABC was very What

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Speaker 6: really revealed to you that so little is known about this,

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Speaker 6: and I think that's the majority of Americans. I think

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Speaker 6: that a lot of people have gotten a really elementary

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Speaker 6: understanding of how sports betting works, how gambling works. I

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Speaker 6: think a lot of people still watch sports as fans.

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Speaker 6: I think that that tide is shifting. I think maybe

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Speaker 6: in the next decade or two, we'll see a lot

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Speaker 6: more of sports betting's influence on the world's sports. And

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Speaker 6: I think that potentially it'll be some because people will

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Speaker 6: be interested in it and it'll become more popularized. I

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Speaker 6: think some because more scandals will come out. I don't

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Speaker 6: think gambling is the problem, though. I do think it's

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Speaker 6: bad actors because guess what they sell butcher knives, and

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Speaker 6: they are very useful tools. They're used in the kitchens

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00:19:37,480 --> 00:19:40,359
Speaker 6: across America. Yeah, bad things can happen with them. That

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00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:45,200
Speaker 6: doesn't mean you outlawed all knives. We need them. Now

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Speaker 6: do we necessarily need gambling as a tool, but we

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Speaker 6: need entertainment and there are plenty of things to entertain

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Speaker 6: yourself that you could get in trouble with that we

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Speaker 6: don't immediately need jerk to hey, this needs to be

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Speaker 6: outlawed as a result. But getting back to Rose in

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Speaker 6: the defense, I think what they're doing, Brian, it's there.

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Speaker 6: They're going to spotlight all the things Terry isn't because

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Speaker 6: they know how many things that are going to be

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Speaker 6: brought from the prosecution side saying that he is or was.

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Speaker 6: And so if you can hang your hat on hey,

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Speaker 6: one thing, we know for sure you could check Terry

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Speaker 6: up and down. He didn't place any bets. I mean

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00:20:23,160 --> 00:20:26,480
Speaker 6: that that'll that could be a very strong truth for them,

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Speaker 6: and amongst a jury of your peers should go that far.

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Speaker 6: If this does end up becoming a trial, that can

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Speaker 6: be something they can stand on and has been true

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Speaker 6: from day one all the way until you know, day

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00:20:39,359 --> 00:20:43,840
Speaker 6: four hundred of the proceedings, because it's an important fact

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Speaker 6: to the defense.

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Speaker 2: I don't know where this goes from here, but I

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Speaker 2: can tell you it is a.

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Speaker 6: Dark blemish on an already kind of seed reputation of

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00:20:55,720 --> 00:20:59,960
Speaker 6: the NBA. They've had many other scandals, inarguably the most

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Speaker 6: famous basketball player who's ever lived. Michael Jordan. I mean

403
00:21:04,480 --> 00:21:07,160
Speaker 6: he even had you know, there were there were questions

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00:21:07,200 --> 00:21:10,520
Speaker 6: about his integrity over the course of his career. During

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00:21:11,440 --> 00:21:14,560
Speaker 6: Colin on our network, he was talking about how in

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00:21:14,680 --> 00:21:17,359
Speaker 6: I forget which year it was one of the NBA finals.

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00:21:17,680 --> 00:21:20,520
Speaker 6: The round before that, when he was playing in New York,

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00:21:20,560 --> 00:21:23,320
Speaker 6: he was in in Atlantic City casino, and there was

409
00:21:23,480 --> 00:21:28,159
Speaker 6: all this hubbub about Jordan and Ezia Gambler. And look,

410
00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:30,880
Speaker 6: this has been as much a part of the NBA

411
00:21:31,119 --> 00:21:33,600
Speaker 6: as it has in the past as it is now.

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00:21:34,119 --> 00:21:37,240
Speaker 6: It's unfortunately not going anywhere. When you have a bunch

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Speaker 6: of young people getting having access to an incredible amount

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Speaker 6: of money over a very short amount of time, bad

415
00:21:45,119 --> 00:21:47,400
Speaker 6: things can and will happen. You got to put more

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00:21:47,440 --> 00:21:50,960
Speaker 6: guardrails in place to help these players. And obviously they

417
00:21:51,040 --> 00:21:53,040
Speaker 6: need to do a better job of keeping their nose

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00:21:53,080 --> 00:21:56,879
Speaker 6: clean and staying out of trouble during their careers or afterward.

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Speaker 6: For in, you know, in the instance of Chauncey billups.

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Speaker 7: Right, we're often running.

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00:22:00,920 --> 00:22:03,879
Speaker 4: We got Rich Hoornberger, Penn State All American, Jared Smith

422
00:22:04,440 --> 00:22:10,000
Speaker 4: FSR betting analyst soon to be ABC News correspondent, I'm bright.

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Speaker 7: Pretty cool moment for my career.

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Speaker 5: I'm not gonna lie.

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Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, heay.

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Speaker 4: Their engine was held in check. We'll see if they

435
00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:43,640
Speaker 4: can unleash him today. We'll get to that. Right around

436
00:22:43,680 --> 00:22:46,960
Speaker 4: the corner, it's Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff, presented

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442
00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:01,880
Speaker 2: Hey, it's me Rob Parker.

443
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Speaker 9: Check out my weekly MLB podcast Inside the Parker for

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450
00:23:29,920 --> 00:23:33,320
Speaker 4: It is Fox Sports Radios. Countdown to Kickoff presented by

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Speaker 4: in the bet mgm app. All right, so we've got

461
00:24:05,280 --> 00:24:12,159
Speaker 4: Missouri in action today. Miszoo going up against the number

462
00:24:12,280 --> 00:24:15,480
Speaker 4: ten Vanderbilt combodoors hunt. Is that not roll off the

463
00:24:15,520 --> 00:24:18,000
Speaker 4: tongue right there? Vandy is a top ten team both

464
00:24:18,040 --> 00:24:21,440
Speaker 4: six and one squads and If you look at Missouri,

465
00:24:21,800 --> 00:24:23,720
Speaker 4: the first thing I think of is their running back

466
00:24:23,760 --> 00:24:24,560
Speaker 4: Amad Hardy.

467
00:24:24,720 --> 00:24:27,040
Speaker 7: He's been held in check the last two weeks.

468
00:24:27,320 --> 00:24:30,440
Speaker 4: He was held in check two weeks ago against Alabama

469
00:24:30,920 --> 00:24:33,760
Speaker 4: when Missouri lost. He was held in check last week

470
00:24:33,800 --> 00:24:38,320
Speaker 4: against Auburn when Missouri barely won in overtime. So that

471
00:24:38,480 --> 00:24:40,879
Speaker 4: is job number one, I feel like for Miszoo, I

472
00:24:40,960 --> 00:24:43,480
Speaker 4: think that's the engine of their offense. You could argue

473
00:24:43,520 --> 00:24:45,680
Speaker 4: that's the engine of their team a modd. Hardy is

474
00:24:45,720 --> 00:24:48,360
Speaker 4: a stud and when he's held in check, you can

475
00:24:48,359 --> 00:24:51,960
Speaker 4: see how it just blogs down the entire offense. Vanderbilt

476
00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:55,000
Speaker 4: not great against the rush. They're sixty second in yards

477
00:24:55,040 --> 00:24:58,280
Speaker 4: allowed per carry, so I'm expecting Hardy to eat a

478
00:24:58,320 --> 00:25:00,400
Speaker 4: lot more than he has the last two games. That's

479
00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:03,400
Speaker 4: huge for Missouri to get their offense jump started here.

480
00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:05,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, there's no question about it.

481
00:25:06,040 --> 00:25:09,480
Speaker 6: Vandy needs to find a way against this Missouri run game,

482
00:25:10,040 --> 00:25:13,600
Speaker 6: which is really, I mean potentially the game breaker.

483
00:25:13,640 --> 00:25:15,200
Speaker 2: And I mean it because.

484
00:25:15,359 --> 00:25:20,639
Speaker 6: Every fifth play statistically when they run the football is

485
00:25:20,680 --> 00:25:23,840
Speaker 6: an explosive, which means that on the ground the Tigers

486
00:25:23,840 --> 00:25:28,880
Speaker 6: are gaining ten yards or more. It's an impressive outside

487
00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:32,920
Speaker 6: zone run game. That's that's really been most effective for them.

488
00:25:32,960 --> 00:25:34,800
Speaker 6: And what I mean by that is they're going to

489
00:25:34,920 --> 00:25:38,679
Speaker 6: stretch the field to one side and out of the backfield.

490
00:25:38,720 --> 00:25:40,560
Speaker 6: Hardy is going to put his foot in the ground

491
00:25:40,800 --> 00:25:42,640
Speaker 6: and he's going to go north south on you at

492
00:25:42,640 --> 00:25:45,920
Speaker 6: some point and that's either going to be playside or

493
00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:49,160
Speaker 6: he's going to find a cutback lean somewhere and he's

494
00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:54,600
Speaker 6: going to get it motoring upfield. The other thing about Missouri,

495
00:25:54,720 --> 00:25:57,000
Speaker 6: and we'll get to Vandy in a second here, is

496
00:25:57,240 --> 00:26:01,280
Speaker 6: their defense is much improved. This is arguably the best

497
00:26:01,359 --> 00:26:04,679
Speaker 6: defense that they fielded in a while. And if you

498
00:26:04,720 --> 00:26:06,640
Speaker 6: look at some of the things that they've done, they

499
00:26:06,640 --> 00:26:11,840
Speaker 6: create a tremendous amount of havoc for posing offenses, which

500
00:26:11,880 --> 00:26:15,080
Speaker 6: reduces the number of quality drives. And considering they have

501
00:26:15,160 --> 00:26:17,720
Speaker 6: such an impressive run game, they can play a little

502
00:26:17,800 --> 00:26:21,359
Speaker 6: keep away, which means they can shorten games. They can

503
00:26:21,720 --> 00:26:23,880
Speaker 6: control the clock a little bit, and that really does

504
00:26:23,920 --> 00:26:27,160
Speaker 6: bode well for their offense. Also, they're really good tacklers,

505
00:26:27,560 --> 00:26:31,400
Speaker 6: which is an overlooked stat in football altogether, whether you're

506
00:26:31,400 --> 00:26:34,600
Speaker 6: watching the professional game or the college game. When they

507
00:26:34,640 --> 00:26:38,080
Speaker 6: wrap up, they bring you down, which it limits the

508
00:26:38,119 --> 00:26:43,600
Speaker 6: potential for explosives against this Missouri Tigers defense. So yeah,

509
00:26:43,640 --> 00:26:47,359
Speaker 6: I mean they specifically offensively, they pose a great threat

510
00:26:47,359 --> 00:26:51,879
Speaker 6: to Vanderbilt, but defense, they're sneaky good on defense in

511
00:26:51,920 --> 00:26:52,960
Speaker 6: the SEC this year.

512
00:26:53,680 --> 00:26:56,640
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'll be honest, this is a really, really fun game.

513
00:26:56,680 --> 00:26:57,879
Speaker 5: I think the winner of this game is going to

514
00:26:57,920 --> 00:27:00,560
Speaker 5: make the collegeable playoff. Guys, how about that Bandy wins

515
00:27:00,600 --> 00:27:03,280
Speaker 5: this game in their favor to win the game. I

516
00:27:03,320 --> 00:27:05,320
Speaker 5: had him in my rankings this week, and I change,

517
00:27:05,400 --> 00:27:08,040
Speaker 5: you know, I adjust week to week based off of

518
00:27:08,119 --> 00:27:09,960
Speaker 5: kind of the flow and how things are moving. But

519
00:27:10,840 --> 00:27:13,040
Speaker 5: this week they were the last team in my field

520
00:27:13,800 --> 00:27:17,479
Speaker 5: in Jared's bracketology. But I think we do have to

521
00:27:17,480 --> 00:27:21,080
Speaker 5: give both of these teams some credit. I think both

522
00:27:21,080 --> 00:27:25,359
Speaker 5: of these teams have not necessarily overachieved the expectations because

523
00:27:25,359 --> 00:27:28,040
Speaker 5: we're still you know, when we're not there yet. The

524
00:27:28,520 --> 00:27:31,520
Speaker 5: wheels could fall off in the SEC very quickly. But

525
00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:35,120
Speaker 5: I think both of these teams deserve the attention this week,

526
00:27:35,200 --> 00:27:38,720
Speaker 5: right like game days at Vandy, I think very very

527
00:27:39,119 --> 00:27:42,080
Speaker 5: well deserving for this Vanderbilt program. They've really turned things

528
00:27:42,160 --> 00:27:45,520
Speaker 5: around over the last couple of years, So I love

529
00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:48,359
Speaker 5: what Brian said about Amatt Hardy because he's kind of

530
00:27:48,400 --> 00:27:50,520
Speaker 5: been lying in the weeds over the last couple of weeks.

531
00:27:50,560 --> 00:27:53,919
Speaker 5: Now he's faced some really tough defenses. But this Vandy

532
00:27:54,000 --> 00:27:57,440
Speaker 5: defense on paper looks like a team that can stop

533
00:27:57,480 --> 00:28:01,600
Speaker 5: the run. But when you actually dive into who they've

534
00:28:01,640 --> 00:28:05,040
Speaker 5: played in that stretch, South Carolina one hundred and thirty

535
00:28:05,040 --> 00:28:07,000
Speaker 5: second in rushing success, right, they had a big lead

536
00:28:07,040 --> 00:28:10,040
Speaker 5: in that game, So they're not running Georgia State ninety

537
00:28:10,080 --> 00:28:12,359
Speaker 5: first in rushing success right, so they had a big

538
00:28:12,440 --> 00:28:14,520
Speaker 5: lead in that game. Georgia State's not running it on Vandy.

539
00:28:14,760 --> 00:28:18,320
Speaker 5: Utah State eighty ninth, big lead, not running it. Bama

540
00:28:18,359 --> 00:28:20,360
Speaker 5: one hundred and twenty seventh, not a great running team

541
00:28:20,400 --> 00:28:22,400
Speaker 5: this year. Jam Miller got hurt midway through the game,

542
00:28:23,480 --> 00:28:26,760
Speaker 5: and it wasn't a running game for them. It was

543
00:28:26,760 --> 00:28:28,560
Speaker 5: more of a Ty Simpson game, who had a really

544
00:28:28,600 --> 00:28:30,920
Speaker 5: good game with his arm, especially on third and fourth down.

545
00:28:31,240 --> 00:28:33,960
Speaker 5: And then last week against LSU one hundred and twenty

546
00:28:34,040 --> 00:28:37,080
Speaker 5: ninth in rushing success right, the arguably the worst team

547
00:28:37,119 --> 00:28:39,440
Speaker 5: they faced in this stretch in terms of trying to

548
00:28:39,640 --> 00:28:43,960
Speaker 5: establish the run and make you hurt. That's where I

549
00:28:43,960 --> 00:28:47,360
Speaker 5: think Missouri's really going to have a time here. I

550
00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:50,200
Speaker 5: think Ahmad Hardy in this run game with Prebulah and

551
00:28:50,200 --> 00:28:53,280
Speaker 5: the Reid option, I think that's where Missouri has an edge.

552
00:28:53,800 --> 00:28:56,400
Speaker 5: These teams are mirror images of each other, right. They

553
00:28:56,440 --> 00:28:58,880
Speaker 5: both have mobile quarterbacks, They're both kind of feisty. I

554
00:28:59,000 --> 00:29:02,520
Speaker 5: like both coaches. But I think the edge here is

555
00:29:02,760 --> 00:29:06,120
Speaker 5: Vandy's defense where Missouri's defense. I know Missouri's defense, pecially

556
00:29:06,120 --> 00:29:09,880
Speaker 5: the front seven, is absolutely loaded, but the Vandy defense,

557
00:29:10,000 --> 00:29:12,360
Speaker 5: I think is a little susceptible to the run. And

558
00:29:12,400 --> 00:29:14,680
Speaker 5: I think that's why Missouri. Right now, the Mountain lines

559
00:29:14,720 --> 00:29:16,280
Speaker 5: are a flat three. It's gone all the way to

560
00:29:16,320 --> 00:29:19,440
Speaker 5: plus three at Missou. I think that's a bet for me. Guys.

561
00:29:19,640 --> 00:29:21,200
Speaker 5: I think Miszoo comes in here and I think they

562
00:29:21,240 --> 00:29:24,000
Speaker 5: run the ball. I think the Hardy props are in play,

563
00:29:24,120 --> 00:29:26,479
Speaker 5: and I would not be surprised if they leave Nashville

564
00:29:26,520 --> 00:29:26,880
Speaker 5: with a win.

565
00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:29,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, should be a good one. I'm excited for it.

566
00:29:29,440 --> 00:29:33,480
Speaker 4: How about BYU at Iowa State. I love when these

567
00:29:33,560 --> 00:29:37,040
Speaker 4: lines get stinky like this. So BYU is seven to zero,

568
00:29:37,160 --> 00:29:39,959
Speaker 4: just outside the top ten. They're the eleventh ranked team

569
00:29:40,360 --> 00:29:43,400
Speaker 4: in the nation against Iowa State Iowa States five and

570
00:29:43,480 --> 00:29:46,200
Speaker 4: two and Iowa State is a two and a half

571
00:29:46,280 --> 00:29:48,840
Speaker 4: point favorite, right there, how about that? And I'll tell

572
00:29:48,840 --> 00:29:51,080
Speaker 4: you what. I'm trying to be as objective as possible,

573
00:29:51,680 --> 00:29:54,920
Speaker 4: but this BYU team has cost me some freaking money

574
00:29:54,920 --> 00:29:55,320
Speaker 4: this year.

575
00:29:55,400 --> 00:29:57,200
Speaker 5: My guy Arizona last week was so bad.

576
00:29:57,400 --> 00:30:01,120
Speaker 4: Oh, the Arizona game was discussed thing, and I'll take

577
00:30:01,160 --> 00:30:03,680
Speaker 4: you back. This is when you're like, there is a

578
00:30:04,040 --> 00:30:06,160
Speaker 4: there's a help number here for you know, you know,

579
00:30:06,400 --> 00:30:08,080
Speaker 4: there's one eight hundred gambler.

580
00:30:08,080 --> 00:30:09,640
Speaker 5: You might give it another BYU.

581
00:30:09,920 --> 00:30:11,120
Speaker 7: But I had, yeah, right.

582
00:30:11,040 --> 00:30:11,360
Speaker 2: I had.

583
00:30:11,680 --> 00:30:15,160
Speaker 4: I had BYU against Stanford, right, I'm like, man, Stanford

584
00:30:15,240 --> 00:30:17,800
Speaker 4: is just trash at the beginning of the year.

585
00:30:17,920 --> 00:30:18,400
Speaker 7: Especially.

586
00:30:18,800 --> 00:30:21,120
Speaker 4: I'm gonna take BYU minus six and a half in

587
00:30:21,160 --> 00:30:24,320
Speaker 4: the first quarter. Okay, and forgive me if I've told

588
00:30:24,320 --> 00:30:25,800
Speaker 4: you this story. You can stop me if I have.

589
00:30:25,920 --> 00:30:29,000
Speaker 4: But so BYU goes right down, they score a touchdown,

590
00:30:29,560 --> 00:30:30,280
Speaker 4: and they're like, you.

591
00:30:30,240 --> 00:30:31,720
Speaker 7: Know what, we're feeling a little bit.

592
00:30:31,680 --> 00:30:34,120
Speaker 4: Like the Oregon Ducks here today. Let's go for two,

593
00:30:34,440 --> 00:30:36,680
Speaker 4: and let's do it in the swinging gate, you know,

594
00:30:36,760 --> 00:30:38,920
Speaker 4: And they try to run it up the middle, stuffed,

595
00:30:39,240 --> 00:30:41,640
Speaker 4: they don't get the extra point I need for my

596
00:30:41,720 --> 00:30:45,280
Speaker 4: first quarter, bet. But they get an interception and I'm like,

597
00:30:45,320 --> 00:30:48,080
Speaker 4: all right, we're in field goal range already. Just incomplete

598
00:30:48,080 --> 00:30:50,200
Speaker 4: passes are our friends. We only have a little bit

599
00:30:50,200 --> 00:30:52,960
Speaker 4: more than two minutes to go something like that. And

600
00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:56,200
Speaker 4: you know, they they run a very safe passing play.

601
00:30:56,280 --> 00:31:00,280
Speaker 4: Completion goes nowhere. They run it and I'm like, I

602
00:31:00,320 --> 00:31:03,560
Speaker 4: need an incompletion. They complete it for almost no yards,

603
00:31:03,640 --> 00:31:06,240
Speaker 4: clock keeps running. They could kick the field goal and

604
00:31:06,240 --> 00:31:07,719
Speaker 4: they're like, why should we do it at the end

605
00:31:07,720 --> 00:31:09,400
Speaker 4: of the first quarter. We can do it the first

606
00:31:09,400 --> 00:31:12,000
Speaker 4: play of the second quarter. It's exactly what happened. That's

607
00:31:12,000 --> 00:31:15,040
Speaker 4: how I lost my first quarter bet. Ah byu Is

608
00:31:15,600 --> 00:31:19,320
Speaker 4: they've hammered me left and right this season. They're he

609
00:31:19,360 --> 00:31:20,520
Speaker 4: got them losing today.

610
00:31:20,600 --> 00:31:21,960
Speaker 5: Huh yeah, they're losing today.

611
00:31:21,960 --> 00:31:24,840
Speaker 4: The line says, so Brian, they've been it's dagging for

612
00:31:24,960 --> 00:31:27,400
Speaker 4: a loss man they have and it just hasn't happened.

613
00:31:27,400 --> 00:31:29,680
Speaker 7: Today could be the day. It's a great spot.

614
00:31:29,760 --> 00:31:33,240
Speaker 4: Iowa State, they're off a by you know, BYU another

615
00:31:33,400 --> 00:31:36,360
Speaker 4: road game here, and uh, I'll tell you what, Iowa

616
00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:40,240
Speaker 4: State has no pass rush whatsoever. But and bear Bachmeyers

617
00:31:40,240 --> 00:31:42,640
Speaker 4: played pretty well, but he wears number forty seven and

618
00:31:42,680 --> 00:31:46,400
Speaker 4: he's a running, kind of gritty quarterback. Yeah, they got

619
00:31:46,400 --> 00:31:49,120
Speaker 4: to lose at some point, right, it's probably today, We'll see.

620
00:31:49,640 --> 00:31:54,120
Speaker 6: I will say that byu, part of the run this

621
00:31:54,240 --> 00:31:57,280
Speaker 6: season has been backed by one of the best offensives

622
00:31:57,480 --> 00:32:00,240
Speaker 6: they've been able to assemble in many years.

623
00:32:00,760 --> 00:32:01,200
Speaker 2: Uh.

624
00:32:01,760 --> 00:32:05,080
Speaker 6: Like, and I'm talking about Johnny's and Joe's Like you know,

625
00:32:05,160 --> 00:32:08,680
Speaker 6: you you look at the personnel and Bear Bachmeier anchors

626
00:32:08,720 --> 00:32:09,800
Speaker 6: it there as quarterback.

627
00:32:10,280 --> 00:32:12,840
Speaker 2: They're they're they're a talented team.

628
00:32:13,080 --> 00:32:17,000
Speaker 6: And then defensively, you know, there there are certain things

629
00:32:17,040 --> 00:32:20,680
Speaker 6: that they do well, but they're not very good against

630
00:32:20,720 --> 00:32:23,880
Speaker 6: the pass. And it's specifically for what you you pointed out.

631
00:32:24,320 --> 00:32:27,760
Speaker 6: They're their their coverage and and some of that pass

632
00:32:27,880 --> 00:32:33,160
Speaker 6: rush is completely depleted. Iowa State they're gonna be They're

633
00:32:33,200 --> 00:32:36,760
Speaker 6: gonna be uh coming off that bye week, and overall

634
00:32:36,840 --> 00:32:41,680
Speaker 6: their numbers this season they're pretty They're pretty paltry in

635
00:32:41,800 --> 00:32:42,920
Speaker 6: pass rush as well.

636
00:32:43,480 --> 00:32:43,720
Speaker 2: Uh.

637
00:32:43,800 --> 00:32:46,440
Speaker 6: There, we we were talking about Missouri being a good

638
00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:50,120
Speaker 6: tackling team. The Cyclones are not. This is the type

639
00:32:50,120 --> 00:32:53,959
Speaker 6: of team where you're gonna see opportunities for yards after catch,

640
00:32:54,360 --> 00:32:59,080
Speaker 6: yards after contact, and their offense does something weird. It

641
00:32:59,120 --> 00:33:05,360
Speaker 6: doesn't look very it makes your eyes hurt. Considering that

642
00:33:05,360 --> 00:33:07,280
Speaker 6: they're a little bit throwback. They spend a lot of

643
00:33:07,280 --> 00:33:11,760
Speaker 6: time in heavy personnel, Like you see extra linemens sometimes

644
00:33:11,840 --> 00:33:14,800
Speaker 6: come on the field. You'll see biggs on the field,

645
00:33:14,840 --> 00:33:17,760
Speaker 6: You'll see extra tight ends on the field. It's it's

646
00:33:17,880 --> 00:33:22,160
Speaker 6: not something that's traditionally done anymore, and so it's it's

647
00:33:22,280 --> 00:33:25,280
Speaker 6: very throwback. But yeah, I mean, if there's a spot

648
00:33:25,320 --> 00:33:28,080
Speaker 6: for BYU to lose this season, they've sort of been

649
00:33:28,080 --> 00:33:30,840
Speaker 6: playing with fire all season long, how about a trip

650
00:33:30,840 --> 00:33:34,480
Speaker 6: to Ames, Iowa for the first time since the seventies.

651
00:33:34,840 --> 00:33:39,320
Speaker 6: Like this is a really unique matchup for the Koogs

652
00:33:39,400 --> 00:33:45,239
Speaker 6: that they I'm curious this line stinks And Jared, I'm

653
00:33:45,320 --> 00:33:46,960
Speaker 6: kind of leaning your way on this one.

654
00:33:47,720 --> 00:33:50,320
Speaker 5: Yeah, you just got to look at the market here now.

655
00:33:50,640 --> 00:33:53,000
Speaker 5: To be fair, I have not watched until they're taking

656
00:33:53,040 --> 00:33:55,240
Speaker 5: money from me against Arizona and in other spots like

657
00:33:55,280 --> 00:33:57,080
Speaker 5: Worbing no mention, I have not watched a ton of

658
00:33:57,120 --> 00:33:59,080
Speaker 5: BYU this year. I haven't watched a ton of Iowa

659
00:33:59,120 --> 00:34:03,800
Speaker 5: State this year. But when the market is telling you something,

660
00:34:04,360 --> 00:34:07,680
Speaker 5: you have to understand that you're not as smart as

661
00:34:07,720 --> 00:34:10,719
Speaker 5: the market. Don't try to outsmart the market. It's not

662
00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:12,760
Speaker 5: a good idea. You might win once in a while,

663
00:34:12,880 --> 00:34:15,799
Speaker 5: but over the long haul, you're gonna lose. And so

664
00:34:15,960 --> 00:34:18,280
Speaker 5: I just tend to default. When I see a number

665
00:34:18,360 --> 00:34:20,840
Speaker 5: like this, I look at the trend and I say,

666
00:34:21,239 --> 00:34:24,319
Speaker 5: since nineteen eighty nine, when a seven to zero team

667
00:34:24,400 --> 00:34:30,319
Speaker 5: or better undefeated is a road underdog against an unranked team,

668
00:34:30,800 --> 00:34:34,719
Speaker 5: the unranked home favorites are twenty four and six straight up.

669
00:34:35,080 --> 00:34:35,400
Speaker 2: Wow.

670
00:34:36,840 --> 00:34:39,799
Speaker 5: Again, that's the market telling you who the better team

671
00:34:39,880 --> 00:34:43,080
Speaker 5: is here. It's Iowa State. Does that mean Iowa State

672
00:34:43,080 --> 00:34:43,560
Speaker 5: it's gonna win?

673
00:34:43,920 --> 00:34:44,000
Speaker 10: No?

674
00:34:44,200 --> 00:34:46,440
Speaker 5: Again, six of those teams have lost in that thirty

675
00:34:46,480 --> 00:34:52,359
Speaker 5: game sample, but more often than not, the better team

676
00:34:52,680 --> 00:34:55,600
Speaker 5: in terms of where the market perceives them, tends to

677
00:34:55,640 --> 00:34:56,360
Speaker 5: win these games.

678
00:34:57,400 --> 00:35:00,440
Speaker 4: You know what's crazy is uh? And I'm with you, Jared,

679
00:35:00,480 --> 00:35:03,160
Speaker 4: I agree. But every now and then there's a fly

680
00:35:03,280 --> 00:35:05,759
Speaker 4: in the ointment, if you will and think back to

681
00:35:06,080 --> 00:35:08,560
Speaker 4: it was just last week, right, we had this same

682
00:35:08,600 --> 00:35:12,080
Speaker 4: scenario with Georgia Tech undefeated. They weren't seven to zero,

683
00:35:12,440 --> 00:35:16,960
Speaker 4: but they were undefeated, and you had Duke getting points,

684
00:35:17,600 --> 00:35:21,759
Speaker 4: and Duke has all these statistical advantages, right, and they're

685
00:35:21,800 --> 00:35:23,320
Speaker 4: going in for the first score of the game and

686
00:35:23,360 --> 00:35:26,320
Speaker 4: they fumbled, Georgia Tech takes it like ninety five yards

687
00:35:26,320 --> 00:35:29,399
Speaker 4: for a touchdown, and somehow, some way, Georgia Tech wins

688
00:35:29,440 --> 00:35:29,799
Speaker 4: the game.

689
00:35:29,960 --> 00:35:30,160
Speaker 2: You know.

690
00:35:30,280 --> 00:35:33,800
Speaker 4: So I'm with you, right, like, there are some stinky

691
00:35:33,840 --> 00:35:36,800
Speaker 4: lines and you're like, wow, it's telling you duke today.

692
00:35:37,000 --> 00:35:38,759
Speaker 4: And then the game plays out and you're like, well,

693
00:35:38,800 --> 00:35:41,440
Speaker 4: the game told us Georgia Tech, you know. So we'll

694
00:35:41,440 --> 00:35:44,280
Speaker 4: see what happens with BYU. Could be a similar situation,

695
00:35:44,440 --> 00:35:45,879
Speaker 4: but I'm excited for that one.

696
00:35:45,920 --> 00:35:46,200
Speaker 2: All right.

697
00:35:46,239 --> 00:35:49,320
Speaker 4: We've got Rich Orenberger, Penn State All American, Jared Smith

698
00:35:49,520 --> 00:35:52,880
Speaker 4: FSR betting analyst. I'm Brian no coming up next the

699
00:35:52,920 --> 00:35:55,600
Speaker 4: Parlay Pladder. We each have one selection for you. We

700
00:35:55,680 --> 00:35:58,160
Speaker 4: pull it together for a greater payout. See if we

701
00:35:58,200 --> 00:35:59,040
Speaker 4: can get a winner for you.

702
00:35:59,080 --> 00:35:59,439
Speaker 7: This week.

703
00:35:59,480 --> 00:36:02,680
Speaker 4: It is Fock Sports Radios count Down to Kickoff presented

704
00:36:02,719 --> 00:36:06,320
Speaker 4: by BETMGM. It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff

705
00:36:06,960 --> 00:36:10,280
Speaker 4: presented by bet MGM. Every time you make a wager

706
00:36:10,320 --> 00:36:14,000
Speaker 4: at betmgm, you earn BETMGM Rewards points that can be

707
00:36:14,080 --> 00:36:17,520
Speaker 4: redeemed for things like bonus bets or converted to MGM

708
00:36:17,600 --> 00:36:20,360
Speaker 4: rewards points that can be used towards dining, shows and

709
00:36:20,400 --> 00:36:24,279
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710
00:36:24,280 --> 00:36:27,840
Speaker 4: to follow BETMGM across all socials at BETMGM.

711
00:36:28,440 --> 00:36:29,520
Speaker 7: Alright, let's do this.

712
00:36:31,400 --> 00:36:35,520
Speaker 3: Check this out our late letter, all right.

713
00:36:36,000 --> 00:36:38,440
Speaker 4: Which have one selection for you. We pull it together

714
00:36:38,480 --> 00:36:41,120
Speaker 4: for a greater payout. Jared, we start with you. What's

715
00:36:41,120 --> 00:36:41,720
Speaker 4: something you.

716
00:36:41,680 --> 00:36:44,680
Speaker 5: Like we're hitting this today? Guys, I already Actually, to

717
00:36:44,719 --> 00:36:46,359
Speaker 5: be fair, I don't know yet because I haven't gotten

718
00:36:46,400 --> 00:36:48,440
Speaker 5: fried yet. But based on the first two legs from

719
00:36:48,520 --> 00:36:50,680
Speaker 5: Rich and I that I have in my inbox right now.

720
00:36:50,560 --> 00:36:52,080
Speaker 4: It'd be fun if you get it right now and

721
00:36:52,120 --> 00:36:55,200
Speaker 4: you're like, oh gosh, I don't think we're hitting this.

722
00:36:56,920 --> 00:36:58,920
Speaker 5: You're gonna have to surprise me. Be no, but I'm

723
00:36:58,960 --> 00:37:02,720
Speaker 5: excited about this for it is Missouri on the money

724
00:37:02,760 --> 00:37:04,920
Speaker 5: line at Vandy. Be kind of hinted at this in

725
00:37:04,960 --> 00:37:06,960
Speaker 5: the last segment, right, you're getting the full three. I

726
00:37:06,960 --> 00:37:10,120
Speaker 5: would bet Missouri plus three for sure, but the money

727
00:37:10,120 --> 00:37:12,080
Speaker 5: line here plus one thirty I think is also worth

728
00:37:12,080 --> 00:37:14,279
Speaker 5: a sprinkle, because, let's be honest, if Missouri covers the

729
00:37:14,320 --> 00:37:17,120
Speaker 5: three odds are. They're probably gonna win the game unless

730
00:37:17,120 --> 00:37:18,759
Speaker 5: they love by one or two, which doesn't happen a

731
00:37:18,800 --> 00:37:21,839
Speaker 5: whole lot in college football. How good is this Vandy

732
00:37:21,920 --> 00:37:26,160
Speaker 5: run defense? I know Missouri's defense is damn good. Zion Young,

733
00:37:26,280 --> 00:37:28,520
Speaker 5: dam and Wilson, Chris mcclon, like, these are dudes up

734
00:37:28,560 --> 00:37:30,759
Speaker 5: front for this Missouri team. I think it's gonna be

735
00:37:30,800 --> 00:37:34,759
Speaker 5: a difficult day for Diego Pavia. I love this Vandy team.

736
00:37:34,880 --> 00:37:36,960
Speaker 5: I think Vandy is one of the most fun teams

737
00:37:36,960 --> 00:37:38,879
Speaker 5: in college football, and I hope they make the College

738
00:37:38,880 --> 00:37:42,600
Speaker 5: Football Playoff. But this feels like a trap game. They're

739
00:37:42,640 --> 00:37:45,759
Speaker 5: not used to being the favorite now. This is the

740
00:37:45,800 --> 00:37:49,040
Speaker 5: second consecutive week they are a favorite in the SEC

741
00:37:49,719 --> 00:37:53,080
Speaker 5: game days in Town. Nick Saban's picking Vandy like there's

742
00:37:53,120 --> 00:37:55,439
Speaker 5: a lot of pressure on this team, and I think

743
00:37:55,480 --> 00:37:57,840
Speaker 5: Missouri might be a little more buttoned up on the

744
00:37:57,880 --> 00:38:00,240
Speaker 5: defensive side. And when you're on the road in the SEC,

745
00:38:00,440 --> 00:38:04,560
Speaker 5: defense does win. So I will take the Tigers to

746
00:38:04,640 --> 00:38:06,720
Speaker 5: beat the doors in Nashville today.

747
00:38:07,040 --> 00:38:07,399
Speaker 2: All right.

748
00:38:07,560 --> 00:38:11,120
Speaker 6: I have LSU on the money line. They are dogs.

749
00:38:11,120 --> 00:38:14,920
Speaker 6: This line has flipped obviously. They opened his favorites and

750
00:38:14,960 --> 00:38:17,920
Speaker 6: they've been fed all the way down. I'm still on

751
00:38:18,080 --> 00:38:21,120
Speaker 6: LSU side. I think this season has gone sideways for them,

752
00:38:21,160 --> 00:38:24,080
Speaker 6: and much like the rest of the college football world,

753
00:38:24,239 --> 00:38:27,080
Speaker 6: I don't think this game between LSU and Texas A

754
00:38:27,120 --> 00:38:30,080
Speaker 6: and M is immune to the insanity that we've seen.

755
00:38:30,520 --> 00:38:32,600
Speaker 2: So I could very.

756
00:38:31,880 --> 00:38:36,759
Speaker 6: Easily see LSU get well against A and M, where defensively,

757
00:38:36,800 --> 00:38:41,200
Speaker 6: a lot of what LSU shuts down matches up specifically

758
00:38:41,320 --> 00:38:44,879
Speaker 6: well against this A and M offense. You have Reed

759
00:38:44,960 --> 00:38:48,440
Speaker 6: who's accumulated the majority of his rushing yards scrambling. Well,

760
00:38:48,480 --> 00:38:51,399
Speaker 6: it's going against an LSU pass rush that's pretty dang good,

761
00:38:51,440 --> 00:38:52,919
Speaker 6: one of the top groups in the nation.

762
00:38:53,960 --> 00:38:55,080
Speaker 2: A and M's pretty good.

763
00:38:55,320 --> 00:38:58,359
Speaker 6: I've thrown those quick slants and those screens to wide receivers. Well,

764
00:38:58,440 --> 00:39:01,480
Speaker 6: guess what LSU is really good at covering the quick

765
00:39:01,560 --> 00:39:04,960
Speaker 6: slant and the screen pass to the receivers. So I

766
00:39:05,000 --> 00:39:08,120
Speaker 6: feel like, offensively, you've got a big arm quarterback out

767
00:39:08,120 --> 00:39:10,680
Speaker 6: of LSU. The Tigers have a great chance to defend

768
00:39:10,719 --> 00:39:11,759
Speaker 6: their home court here.

769
00:39:12,160 --> 00:39:14,080
Speaker 2: I like the Tigers to down the money line.

770
00:39:14,640 --> 00:39:16,840
Speaker 4: You know, it's funny, It's not a good omen for

771
00:39:17,000 --> 00:39:20,600
Speaker 4: my entry here to the parlay bladder because I like

772
00:39:20,880 --> 00:39:24,680
Speaker 4: Haines King, the Georgia Tech quarterback. I like under seventy

773
00:39:24,719 --> 00:39:27,960
Speaker 4: six and a half rushing yards. The reasoning I'll get

774
00:39:27,960 --> 00:39:30,000
Speaker 4: to the bad Omen in a second. The reasoning is

775
00:39:30,320 --> 00:39:33,760
Speaker 4: he's banged up, he's not healthy. Right now, he's cutting

776
00:39:33,760 --> 00:39:37,399
Speaker 4: his way through it. They're playing Syracuse today. Georgia Tech

777
00:39:37,480 --> 00:39:40,280
Speaker 4: is a healthy favorite, about seventeen and a half points.

778
00:39:40,280 --> 00:39:42,080
Speaker 7: They're favored by so.

779
00:39:42,000 --> 00:39:45,280
Speaker 4: What they're what Georgia Tech wants to do is escape

780
00:39:45,320 --> 00:39:48,240
Speaker 4: with the win and keep Haynes King upright and healthy.

781
00:39:48,680 --> 00:39:51,279
Speaker 4: And so that's a recipe for him not getting as

782
00:39:51,280 --> 00:39:54,360
Speaker 4: many carries as he typically does. And one of the

783
00:39:54,480 --> 00:39:57,279
Speaker 4: comfortable wins that they had earlier this year, Georgia Tech

784
00:39:57,400 --> 00:40:01,680
Speaker 4: beat Temple by a lot and Haines King only had eight.

785
00:40:01,560 --> 00:40:03,120
Speaker 7: Rushes for fifteen yards.

786
00:40:03,360 --> 00:40:04,759
Speaker 4: You know, it's weird when you look at his game

787
00:40:04,800 --> 00:40:07,480
Speaker 4: by game, you're like, holy cow, one hundred yards one

788
00:40:07,520 --> 00:40:09,200
Speaker 4: hundred yikes. I don't know if I want to take

789
00:40:09,280 --> 00:40:11,600
Speaker 4: under seventy six and a half. I just think in

790
00:40:11,640 --> 00:40:15,480
Speaker 4: this spot they're going to want to not rely on

791
00:40:15,520 --> 00:40:18,560
Speaker 4: his running ability as much as they typically do. I

792
00:40:18,600 --> 00:40:20,600
Speaker 4: do like under seventy six and a half. The bad

793
00:40:20,600 --> 00:40:24,160
Speaker 4: Omen was I accidentally sent a screenshot to Jared of

794
00:40:24,360 --> 00:40:27,640
Speaker 4: over seventy six and a half. Yeah, you believe in

795
00:40:27,680 --> 00:40:30,200
Speaker 4: bad omens. That's not a good one. But I think

796
00:40:30,239 --> 00:40:32,960
Speaker 4: the handicap makes sense. Give me the under on Haines

797
00:40:33,040 --> 00:40:33,680
Speaker 4: King right there.

798
00:40:34,000 --> 00:40:34,600
Speaker 2: I like it.

799
00:40:34,680 --> 00:40:37,360
Speaker 5: And when you put this into the bed MGM parlay

800
00:40:37,480 --> 00:40:40,319
Speaker 5: machine and you add in my twenty five percent odds

801
00:40:40,360 --> 00:40:42,399
Speaker 5: boost that all of you should be getting today because

802
00:40:42,440 --> 00:40:44,719
Speaker 5: it's a college for ball Saturday, I've got plus ten

803
00:40:44,840 --> 00:40:47,640
Speaker 5: fifty seven, almost eleven to one on this parlay.

804
00:40:47,960 --> 00:40:51,919
Speaker 4: There you go nice. Once I'll be yelling sack him,

805
00:40:52,080 --> 00:40:52,839
Speaker 4: you know, instead of.

806
00:40:52,880 --> 00:40:55,719
Speaker 7: Throw it, just throw it, throw it anywhere. Sack him.

807
00:40:55,760 --> 00:40:58,279
Speaker 7: That gives us a good boost. Oh what is going on?

808
00:40:58,320 --> 00:40:59,000
Speaker 7: Welcome in here.

809
00:40:59,040 --> 00:41:03,799
Speaker 4: We are two hours away from kickoff over here. The

810
00:41:04,000 --> 00:41:10,920
Speaker 4: nine am early Pacific time kicks. I should say noon eastern, right,

811
00:41:10,960 --> 00:41:14,320
Speaker 4: it's big noon kickoff. It's not big nine am kickoff?

812
00:41:14,400 --> 00:41:14,480
Speaker 10: Right.

813
00:41:14,560 --> 00:41:15,680
Speaker 5: Yeah, it doesn't have the same ring too.

814
00:41:15,680 --> 00:41:17,759
Speaker 4: It doesn't have the same ring to it. We'll get

815
00:41:17,760 --> 00:41:20,040
Speaker 4: to the previews here in a second. Have we got

816
00:41:20,080 --> 00:41:23,120
Speaker 4: a little bit too far with a certain head coach.

817
00:41:23,160 --> 00:41:25,520
Speaker 4: We'll get to that here momentarily. Hey, throughout the entire

818
00:41:25,560 --> 00:41:28,400
Speaker 4: football season. Bet MGM will offer all different types of

819
00:41:28,400 --> 00:41:31,560
Speaker 4: no sweat tokens and odds boost tokens. Be on the

820
00:41:31,560 --> 00:41:35,240
Speaker 4: lookout for no sweat same game parlay tokens, parlay boost tokens,

821
00:41:35,680 --> 00:41:38,600
Speaker 4: and so much more. All Right, we've got Texas A

822
00:41:38,719 --> 00:41:43,239
Speaker 4: and M going to Death Valley taking on LSU Night game.

823
00:41:43,880 --> 00:41:47,000
Speaker 4: Gonna be a great scene. Texas A and M road

824
00:41:47,040 --> 00:41:50,760
Speaker 4: favorites by two and a half points. Do you guys

825
00:41:50,880 --> 00:41:53,000
Speaker 4: are because there are so many layers to this game,

826
00:41:53,040 --> 00:41:56,280
Speaker 4: but one of the top ones is man Brian Kelly's

827
00:41:56,320 --> 00:41:59,280
Speaker 4: on the hot seat. Do you think that that Brian

828
00:41:59,360 --> 00:42:03,520
Speaker 4: Kelly is in real jeopardy of getting fired this year?

829
00:42:04,200 --> 00:42:07,839
Speaker 4: I mean like getting fired because I don't I don't

830
00:42:07,880 --> 00:42:11,080
Speaker 4: see that. But they've dropped a couple of games, they

831
00:42:11,160 --> 00:42:14,200
Speaker 4: drop another one. You know, it goes the seat gets hotter,

832
00:42:14,360 --> 00:42:16,680
Speaker 4: But to the point where he actually gets fired.

833
00:42:16,840 --> 00:42:18,080
Speaker 7: I got to see it to believe it.

834
00:42:18,440 --> 00:42:21,680
Speaker 6: I'm I understand what you're saying, but I almost jumped

835
00:42:21,719 --> 00:42:25,040
Speaker 6: on you and said yes before you finish this statement. Yeah,

836
00:42:25,040 --> 00:42:29,800
Speaker 6: because college football these days is such a reactionary, knee

837
00:42:29,920 --> 00:42:34,880
Speaker 6: jerk snap reaction reality for these head coaches and players frankly,

838
00:42:34,920 --> 00:42:38,000
Speaker 6: but mostly these head coaches who are really going to

839
00:42:38,080 --> 00:42:41,839
Speaker 6: be held to account for poor play that like at

840
00:42:41,880 --> 00:42:45,840
Speaker 6: no other time in my life, our lives watching college football,

841
00:42:45,880 --> 00:42:49,359
Speaker 6: do I think there's any stability at head coach. I mean,

842
00:42:49,360 --> 00:42:53,360
Speaker 6: we saw James Franklin at Penn State, an institution in

843
00:42:53,400 --> 00:42:56,480
Speaker 6: college football, drop three games in a row and get fired.

844
00:42:57,040 --> 00:42:59,360
Speaker 6: I mean, this was a team that was top ranked

845
00:42:59,360 --> 00:43:03,520
Speaker 6: in the nation entering the season. Before that three game skid,

846
00:43:03,840 --> 00:43:07,600
Speaker 6: he was what number six in the country, was a

847
00:43:07,760 --> 00:43:10,359
Speaker 6: number two in the I forget exactly where they were

848
00:43:10,400 --> 00:43:13,200
Speaker 6: before the Oregon game, but that was a steep fall

849
00:43:13,280 --> 00:43:15,920
Speaker 6: out of the AP and coaches poll, and then all

850
00:43:15,960 --> 00:43:18,760
Speaker 6: of a sudden he's looking for a job and probably

851
00:43:18,800 --> 00:43:22,279
Speaker 6: in media so that he can still collect from Penn State. Look,

852
00:43:22,320 --> 00:43:25,280
Speaker 6: the point is this, I think everybody is at risk.

853
00:43:25,360 --> 00:43:28,960
Speaker 2: Now. Do I think LSU is going to lose tonight? No?

854
00:43:29,280 --> 00:43:29,720
Speaker 2: I don't.

855
00:43:30,000 --> 00:43:32,040
Speaker 6: That's the reason why I added them on the money

856
00:43:32,040 --> 00:43:35,279
Speaker 6: line as dogs to the parlay platter, because I really

857
00:43:35,320 --> 00:43:38,560
Speaker 6: do feel that when desperation enters the fold, and you're

858
00:43:38,600 --> 00:43:42,160
Speaker 6: talking about a long tenured coach who has figured things

859
00:43:42,280 --> 00:43:42,799
Speaker 6: out in.

860
00:43:42,800 --> 00:43:45,000
Speaker 2: The past, especially in spots like this.

861
00:43:45,600 --> 00:43:48,600
Speaker 6: I've got some belief that Brian Kelly and his crew

862
00:43:48,960 --> 00:43:50,799
Speaker 6: are going to find a way against Texas A and M,

863
00:43:50,880 --> 00:43:54,360
Speaker 6: especially at home, especially consecutive weeks on the road for

864
00:43:54,400 --> 00:43:57,200
Speaker 6: A and M. The Aggies they have some things that

865
00:43:57,320 --> 00:44:00,640
Speaker 6: really work for them, but specifically see some of those

866
00:44:00,680 --> 00:44:04,480
Speaker 6: things run into some issues where LSU does a good

867
00:44:04,560 --> 00:44:07,040
Speaker 6: job defending against those things, and we could get into

868
00:44:07,040 --> 00:44:10,319
Speaker 6: the details of that more, but just hovering around the

869
00:44:10,400 --> 00:44:14,560
Speaker 6: question about head coaching stability, there is none, Brian, there

870
00:44:14,600 --> 00:44:17,400
Speaker 6: is none anymore so as much as I believe in

871
00:44:17,440 --> 00:44:21,000
Speaker 6: the Tigers tonight, if they lose, it's potential that Brian

872
00:44:21,120 --> 00:44:23,200
Speaker 6: Kelly could be on the path to losing his job.

873
00:44:24,520 --> 00:44:27,200
Speaker 5: I'm a little more neutral on that. I think it

874
00:44:27,280 --> 00:44:30,440
Speaker 5: has to be like the Penn State situation. You have

875
00:44:30,480 --> 00:44:32,920
Speaker 5: to keep, you know, in perspective. They lost back to

876
00:44:32,960 --> 00:44:35,600
Speaker 5: back weeks as a third three touchdown plus favorite.

877
00:44:36,520 --> 00:44:38,440
Speaker 2: It's also true, yeah it's a pick.

878
00:44:38,320 --> 00:44:40,120
Speaker 5: Them this week basically right like it's plus two and

879
00:44:40,120 --> 00:44:44,600
Speaker 5: a half. So now if they lose by forty maybe

880
00:44:44,640 --> 00:44:48,359
Speaker 5: it's a different argument. But LSU had a little bit

881
00:44:48,400 --> 00:44:52,160
Speaker 5: of like I think when I watch LSU, I feel

882
00:44:52,239 --> 00:44:54,960
Speaker 5: like they're a much better team on paper than they

883
00:44:54,960 --> 00:44:57,960
Speaker 5: are in reality. I think a lot of that's injury.

884
00:44:58,080 --> 00:45:01,319
Speaker 5: I think a lot of that circumstance. I think none

885
00:45:01,360 --> 00:45:04,280
Speaker 5: of that is Brian Kelly's fault. I think they're dealing

886
00:45:04,320 --> 00:45:08,320
Speaker 5: with a lot of let's call it inconsistency. On offense.

887
00:45:08,480 --> 00:45:11,000
Speaker 5: They just refused like they're a good running team that

888
00:45:11,040 --> 00:45:13,600
Speaker 5: refuses to run the ball. I don't understand it. And

889
00:45:14,080 --> 00:45:17,680
Speaker 5: when Garrett Nesmeyer is not pushing it downfield, which he

890
00:45:17,760 --> 00:45:21,040
Speaker 5: hasn't done this year, he is one for sixteen on

891
00:45:21,080 --> 00:45:24,960
Speaker 5: throws twenty five or more yards downfield. I mean that's

892
00:45:25,360 --> 00:45:27,239
Speaker 5: he was supposed to be a Heisman candidate coming into

893
00:45:27,280 --> 00:45:30,240
Speaker 5: the year. So I need to see a little more

894
00:45:30,600 --> 00:45:33,960
Speaker 5: balance from LSU. I need to see a little more verticality,

895
00:45:34,320 --> 00:45:36,239
Speaker 5: and I want to get their running game going. And

896
00:45:36,280 --> 00:45:39,640
Speaker 5: I think both of those things are possible tonight against

897
00:45:39,680 --> 00:45:41,799
Speaker 5: an A and M defense. Go look at A and

898
00:45:41,880 --> 00:45:45,759
Speaker 5: m's two road games this year. Last week barely got

899
00:45:45,800 --> 00:45:48,200
Speaker 5: past Arkansas, and then, of course Brian remembers the Notre

900
00:45:48,280 --> 00:45:50,960
Speaker 5: Dame game, back and forth, high scoring game. Gave up

901
00:45:50,960 --> 00:45:54,440
Speaker 5: forty plus in both games, and I do think the

902
00:45:54,440 --> 00:45:57,200
Speaker 5: A and M defense scares me a little bit in

903
00:45:57,239 --> 00:46:00,759
Speaker 5: this spot because we haven't seen LSU's offense put it

904
00:46:00,800 --> 00:46:04,319
Speaker 5: together for four quarters. Yet they ran it a little

905
00:46:04,360 --> 00:46:06,799
Speaker 5: bit better last week against Vandy. They're running it a

906
00:46:06,840 --> 00:46:10,280
Speaker 5: little bit better over the last few weeks. Nus Meyer

907
00:46:10,320 --> 00:46:12,440
Speaker 5: maybe's getting a little bit healthier. Like I can make

908
00:46:12,480 --> 00:46:15,319
Speaker 5: a case for LSU's offense being the front foot in

909
00:46:15,400 --> 00:46:17,239
Speaker 5: this game. Now on the other side, for A and

910
00:46:17,320 --> 00:46:21,319
Speaker 5: M's offense, I'm a little concerned with LSU's linebacking group

911
00:46:21,440 --> 00:46:23,479
Speaker 5: right with Weeks is out this week, he's the star.

912
00:46:23,880 --> 00:46:26,040
Speaker 5: You got Harold Perkins, who's playing out of position. You've

913
00:46:26,040 --> 00:46:28,680
Speaker 5: got the older Week's brother, West Weeks, who's kind of

914
00:46:28,680 --> 00:46:31,480
Speaker 5: their best tackler. A and M. When I watch them

915
00:46:31,480 --> 00:46:33,920
Speaker 5: on tape, it's a lot of eye candy. Like they

916
00:46:33,960 --> 00:46:36,359
Speaker 5: go in a lot of twenty one personnel. What's that

917
00:46:36,400 --> 00:46:38,520
Speaker 5: two running backs, one tight end. They'll put both backs

918
00:46:38,520 --> 00:46:40,759
Speaker 5: in the backfield, they'll play action one to the left,

919
00:46:40,760 --> 00:46:42,440
Speaker 5: they'll run the other one on the right on like

920
00:46:42,440 --> 00:46:45,080
Speaker 5: a post corner route, and they they do a lot

921
00:46:45,120 --> 00:46:47,800
Speaker 5: of different like they'll counter Marceu Reid on the quarterback

922
00:46:47,880 --> 00:46:50,560
Speaker 5: run like it's it's a lot of window dressing. And

923
00:46:50,600 --> 00:46:53,640
Speaker 5: if LSU doesn't have I discipline at the linebacker level today,

924
00:46:53,840 --> 00:46:56,799
Speaker 5: Marso Reid's gonna have a really good game. But it's

925
00:46:56,840 --> 00:46:59,560
Speaker 5: Death Valley at night in a desperation spot, and the

926
00:46:59,680 --> 00:47:02,880
Speaker 5: number is kind of telling you that LSU might be

927
00:47:02,960 --> 00:47:05,080
Speaker 5: live here, right, I think with A and M being

928
00:47:05,120 --> 00:47:07,879
Speaker 5: undefeated and the fact that it's not a full three

929
00:47:07,960 --> 00:47:11,040
Speaker 5: points on the road, I think that's kind of telling

930
00:47:11,080 --> 00:47:12,960
Speaker 5: you that the market thinks LSU is going to compete

931
00:47:12,960 --> 00:47:13,439
Speaker 5: in this game.

932
00:47:13,640 --> 00:47:17,320
Speaker 4: I think it's sort of telling you that brand recognition wise,

933
00:47:17,760 --> 00:47:20,480
Speaker 4: Texas A and M is not what say like Alabama

934
00:47:20,760 --> 00:47:23,239
Speaker 4: or Georgia is you know what I mean? Like, I

935
00:47:23,280 --> 00:47:25,600
Speaker 4: think the past has a lot to do with this line. Also,

936
00:47:26,000 --> 00:47:28,960
Speaker 4: like if you put Texas A and M the same

937
00:47:29,040 --> 00:47:32,960
Speaker 4: team in Alabama jerseys, I don't think they're only favored

938
00:47:32,960 --> 00:47:34,279
Speaker 4: by two and a half on the road.

939
00:47:34,600 --> 00:47:35,160
Speaker 2: Is that fair?

940
00:47:35,520 --> 00:47:38,759
Speaker 7: I think it's completely fair. Right, Like it's A and M.

941
00:47:38,920 --> 00:47:42,400
Speaker 4: Okay, they're playing a lot better, they're undefeated, they're you know,

942
00:47:42,680 --> 00:47:43,479
Speaker 4: they're doing well.

943
00:47:43,520 --> 00:47:44,960
Speaker 7: But it's A and M.

944
00:47:45,160 --> 00:47:48,680
Speaker 4: You know, if it's Kirby Smart and Georgia, I think

945
00:47:48,680 --> 00:47:50,480
Speaker 4: they're favored by more than two and a half in

946
00:47:50,560 --> 00:47:52,680
Speaker 4: this one. If you just put them in Georgia uniforms,

947
00:47:52,680 --> 00:47:54,480
Speaker 4: if you will, I don't know if you agree with

948
00:47:54,520 --> 00:47:57,240
Speaker 4: that or not, but I certainly think that the lack

949
00:47:57,280 --> 00:48:02,280
Speaker 4: of brand recognition is subtly involved in this point spread.

950
00:48:02,320 --> 00:48:06,080
Speaker 6: Also, yeah, well let me give some flowers to Texas

951
00:48:06,120 --> 00:48:09,120
Speaker 6: A and M. Who I mean, it was a battle,

952
00:48:09,200 --> 00:48:13,080
Speaker 6: let's be honest against against Arkansas, but they pulled it off.

953
00:48:14,040 --> 00:48:20,880
Speaker 6: It's it's it's a pretty solid team. Their defense, they

954
00:48:21,080 --> 00:48:24,799
Speaker 6: are Let's put it this way. I don't really see

955
00:48:24,840 --> 00:48:26,920
Speaker 6: a weakness with A and M. I don't see a

956
00:48:26,960 --> 00:48:30,880
Speaker 6: glaring weakness. I think offensively they've done some great things.

957
00:48:31,280 --> 00:48:36,799
Speaker 6: Their zone read concept has been carried by their running back,

958
00:48:37,000 --> 00:48:40,560
Speaker 6: who's again very similar to how we're talking about Ahmad

959
00:48:40,640 --> 00:48:44,279
Speaker 6: Hardy out of the Missouri Tigers. They do a nice

960
00:48:44,360 --> 00:48:47,040
Speaker 6: job of getting upfield in a hurry when they're getting

961
00:48:47,080 --> 00:48:52,000
Speaker 6: to that. I think that they're pretty fully capable team

962
00:48:52,080 --> 00:48:55,440
Speaker 6: on both sides of the ball. And yeah, it arose

963
00:48:55,480 --> 00:48:58,200
Speaker 6: by another name. Does it smell as sweet? But maybe

964
00:48:58,200 --> 00:49:01,480
Speaker 6: it smells sweeter to take this experience. If A and

965
00:49:01,680 --> 00:49:05,400
Speaker 6: M wore Georgia jerseys, would we be taking them more seriously.

966
00:49:05,680 --> 00:49:07,759
Speaker 6: I think that's actually a good way to look at

967
00:49:08,000 --> 00:49:11,560
Speaker 6: this team. The answer is probably yeah. I think that

968
00:49:11,920 --> 00:49:15,600
Speaker 6: A and M is not getting the credit they deserve yet. However,

969
00:49:15,680 --> 00:49:19,320
Speaker 6: I don't think LSU as bad as some of their.

970
00:49:20,800 --> 00:49:23,800
Speaker 2: Some of their games would lead you to believe.

971
00:49:23,840 --> 00:49:26,480
Speaker 6: And that's such a bizarre thing to say, because you

972
00:49:26,560 --> 00:49:29,360
Speaker 6: are rated and ranked by your wins and losses in

973
00:49:29,400 --> 00:49:32,960
Speaker 6: college football. But I don't think this team stinks like

974
00:49:33,040 --> 00:49:35,520
Speaker 6: people think this team stinks. I think they're just easy

975
00:49:35,560 --> 00:49:38,560
Speaker 6: to hate. I think that LSU has recently had a

976
00:49:38,600 --> 00:49:42,480
Speaker 6: lot of success because, let's face it, their national power,

977
00:49:42,480 --> 00:49:45,600
Speaker 6: who's able to recruit well and you know, I mean

978
00:49:45,640 --> 00:49:47,880
Speaker 6: it feels like the Joe Burrow days are years and

979
00:49:47,960 --> 00:49:51,680
Speaker 6: years ago, but that's happened recently, and Brian Kelly is

980
00:49:51,800 --> 00:49:55,960
Speaker 6: not a well loved character in college football, right, you know?

981
00:49:56,080 --> 00:49:59,120
Speaker 6: So I just I think that gets factored in when

982
00:49:59,120 --> 00:50:01,080
Speaker 6: we look at some of the spreads as well. I

983
00:50:01,080 --> 00:50:03,640
Speaker 6: think they're an easy team to bet against, and so

984
00:50:03,760 --> 00:50:08,759
Speaker 6: oftentimes we see lines move away from LSU, especially when

985
00:50:08,800 --> 00:50:13,600
Speaker 6: they're having some struggles, and they're still a pretty good team.

986
00:50:13,800 --> 00:50:14,680
Speaker 7: Yeah.

987
00:50:14,880 --> 00:50:17,520
Speaker 5: Yeah, LSU to me is a team that's a sleeping giant,

988
00:50:17,600 --> 00:50:20,200
Speaker 5: and Brian your original point, I don't think the number,

989
00:50:20,600 --> 00:50:24,040
Speaker 5: the core power rating number is impacted on the uniforms

990
00:50:24,320 --> 00:50:26,000
Speaker 5: based off of Oh, if you know, if A and

991
00:50:26,080 --> 00:50:28,600
Speaker 5: M was wearing George uniforms would be a higher number.

992
00:50:28,680 --> 00:50:31,759
Speaker 5: But what I do think matters is the perception from

993
00:50:31,800 --> 00:50:32,720
Speaker 5: the betting public.

994
00:50:33,200 --> 00:50:33,399
Speaker 2: Right.

995
00:50:33,520 --> 00:50:36,640
Speaker 5: The betting public is not overly excited to hop on

996
00:50:36,719 --> 00:50:39,440
Speaker 5: Texas A and M as a road favorite, right, And

997
00:50:39,440 --> 00:50:41,479
Speaker 5: that's why we haven't seen this number get the three

998
00:50:41,600 --> 00:50:43,759
Speaker 5: because let's be honest, the records, the way these teams

999
00:50:43,800 --> 00:50:45,600
Speaker 5: have played, A and M should be a field goal

1000
00:50:45,640 --> 00:50:49,279
Speaker 5: favorite over LSU, but they're not. And I think part

1001
00:50:49,320 --> 00:50:53,280
Speaker 5: of that is the again, that perception, whether it's reality

1002
00:50:53,360 --> 00:50:56,920
Speaker 5: or not, that LSU at home at night, they have

1003
00:50:57,000 --> 00:50:58,959
Speaker 5: the win over Clemson early in the year on the road,

1004
00:50:59,360 --> 00:51:03,799
Speaker 5: They've shown you some positives this year. I think if

1005
00:51:03,800 --> 00:51:06,279
Speaker 5: they can get their run game going and they can

1006
00:51:06,360 --> 00:51:10,680
Speaker 5: keep somehow keep that Marcel Reid rpo game in check,

1007
00:51:10,719 --> 00:51:13,680
Speaker 5: it's gonna be tough. You watch them against Notre Dame

1008
00:51:13,719 --> 00:51:15,440
Speaker 5: like this is a really dangerous A and M offense.

1009
00:51:15,480 --> 00:51:17,560
Speaker 5: And I don't love the LSU linebackers, And that's the

1010
00:51:17,640 --> 00:51:19,680
Speaker 5: key to stopping this A and M defense is keeping

1011
00:51:19,719 --> 00:51:23,600
Speaker 5: those linebackers on the right level and keeping their eyes

1012
00:51:23,640 --> 00:51:25,680
Speaker 5: in the right place, because A and M is gonna

1013
00:51:26,239 --> 00:51:28,680
Speaker 5: fake you here and toss you there and boot you

1014
00:51:28,760 --> 00:51:30,800
Speaker 5: here like it's It's gonna be a lot of window

1015
00:51:30,880 --> 00:51:33,640
Speaker 5: dressing tonight. So I'm excited this is gonna be a

1016
00:51:33,680 --> 00:51:36,080
Speaker 5: really fun watch because I do think if LSU wins

1017
00:51:36,120 --> 00:51:38,799
Speaker 5: this game, I do think we're gonna start to have

1018
00:51:38,840 --> 00:51:43,640
Speaker 5: some conversations about how wide open this SEC race is.

1019
00:51:44,880 --> 00:51:47,439
Speaker 5: I don't know who that second team is right now.

1020
00:51:47,520 --> 00:51:50,879
Speaker 5: I feel comfortable Bama's gonna be in the SEC championship game.

1021
00:51:50,960 --> 00:51:53,479
Speaker 5: I don't know who the second team is. I honestly don't.

1022
00:51:54,520 --> 00:51:57,560
Speaker 5: It could be A and M. It could be Georgia,

1023
00:51:58,160 --> 00:52:00,600
Speaker 5: could be Vandy, could be missoo. Like, there's four or

1024
00:52:00,600 --> 00:52:03,800
Speaker 5: five teams that can all make their case, and LSU's

1025
00:52:03,920 --> 00:52:06,840
Speaker 5: probably not one of those teams. But they could definitely

1026
00:52:06,840 --> 00:52:09,160
Speaker 5: play spoiler tonight for A and M. Swops of getting

1027
00:52:09,160 --> 00:52:10,040
Speaker 5: to that SEC title.

1028
00:52:10,200 --> 00:52:12,759
Speaker 7: Yeah, it's a gotsa have it spot for LSU. They

1029
00:52:12,800 --> 00:52:14,000
Speaker 7: already have two losses.

1030
00:52:14,320 --> 00:52:18,080
Speaker 4: Their next game after this one is at Alabama, So

1031
00:52:18,280 --> 00:52:21,640
Speaker 4: you drop to what five and and two?

1032
00:52:21,680 --> 00:52:23,520
Speaker 7: You drop to five e three two.

1033
00:52:23,360 --> 00:52:25,040
Speaker 5: In the league right now, So they lose to two

1034
00:52:25,040 --> 00:52:25,759
Speaker 5: and three.

1035
00:52:25,520 --> 00:52:28,279
Speaker 4: In Yeah, that's it's curtains if they lose this one.

1036
00:52:28,320 --> 00:52:31,200
Speaker 4: But that's the funny thing too. If you look at LSU,

1037
00:52:31,760 --> 00:52:34,480
Speaker 4: it feels like the way they're talked about, it feels

1038
00:52:34,560 --> 00:52:36,520
Speaker 4: like they're three and four right now, you know what

1039
00:52:36,520 --> 00:52:39,120
Speaker 4: I mean, they're five and two. I think some of

1040
00:52:39,160 --> 00:52:42,120
Speaker 4: it is Brian Kelly is easy to dislike. That's part

1041
00:52:42,160 --> 00:52:44,279
Speaker 4: of it. And part of it is their offense is

1042
00:52:44,320 --> 00:52:47,560
Speaker 4: sucked this season, Like we gravitate toward oh, man, look

1043
00:52:47,560 --> 00:52:50,080
Speaker 4: at this team and their offense. We don't gravitate toward

1044
00:52:50,080 --> 00:52:51,680
Speaker 4: a team that's like, man, look at this team and

1045
00:52:51,680 --> 00:52:54,759
Speaker 4: their sucky offense, right Like, that's just not how it goes.

1046
00:52:54,800 --> 00:52:56,360
Speaker 4: But at the end of the day, they lost to

1047
00:52:56,400 --> 00:52:59,440
Speaker 4: Ole Miss on the road by five points. They lost

1048
00:52:59,440 --> 00:53:03,919
Speaker 4: to Vandy on the road by seven points. That's not like, man,

1049
00:53:03,960 --> 00:53:06,239
Speaker 4: this team is a grease fire, you know so, and

1050
00:53:06,280 --> 00:53:08,800
Speaker 4: they're at home. The home team has won the last

1051
00:53:08,840 --> 00:53:12,840
Speaker 4: eight games in this series, and six have been decided

1052
00:53:12,880 --> 00:53:16,279
Speaker 4: by multiple scores. Take that for what you will. That

1053
00:53:16,400 --> 00:53:18,400
Speaker 4: goes into I thought it was funny this week. So

1054
00:53:18,840 --> 00:53:22,000
Speaker 4: Texas A and M head coach Mike Elko, he was

1055
00:53:22,040 --> 00:53:24,400
Speaker 4: asked by a reporter about Texas A and M's oh

1056
00:53:24,480 --> 00:53:29,080
Speaker 4: win six record at Tiger Stadium since they joined the SEC.

1057
00:53:29,200 --> 00:53:29,880
Speaker 7: The reporter's like.

1058
00:53:29,880 --> 00:53:32,799
Speaker 4: Hey, you've had a tough time at LSU, And He's like,

1059
00:53:32,840 --> 00:53:35,480
Speaker 4: by tough time, you mean we've never done it, Like,

1060
00:53:35,520 --> 00:53:38,640
Speaker 4: we've never beaten them on the road. So that's what

1061
00:53:38,719 --> 00:53:41,160
Speaker 4: Texas A and M is up against as well tonight.

1062
00:53:41,840 --> 00:53:42,200
Speaker 2: Yeah.

1063
00:53:42,280 --> 00:53:44,640
Speaker 6: Yeah, and they're up against the Garrett Nis Smier because

1064
00:53:45,040 --> 00:53:49,360
Speaker 6: enough has been said about LSU's poor rush offense, and

1065
00:53:49,840 --> 00:53:54,360
Speaker 6: I think anytime the media or anybody questions Brian Kelly

1066
00:53:54,560 --> 00:53:58,560
Speaker 6: on you know, how they've struggled in that area of

1067
00:53:58,600 --> 00:54:02,319
Speaker 6: their offense had been very differ fishing. They've really done

1068
00:54:02,320 --> 00:54:04,680
Speaker 6: a nice job in the passing game, and specifically, while

1069
00:54:04,760 --> 00:54:07,520
Speaker 6: ness Meyer isn't pushing the ball down field, he's been

1070
00:54:07,640 --> 00:54:08,839
Speaker 6: effishing with his arm.

1071
00:54:08,920 --> 00:54:09,880
Speaker 2: He's doubled his.

1072
00:54:09,800 --> 00:54:15,920
Speaker 6: Touchdown and big throw numbers compared to last year. Here's

1073
00:54:16,040 --> 00:54:18,960
Speaker 6: here's where it gets a little dicey for him. The

1074
00:54:19,120 --> 00:54:24,760
Speaker 6: drop rate amongst his receivers is is pretty pretty significantly

1075
00:54:24,880 --> 00:54:27,960
Speaker 6: higher this year compared to last year. And so look,

1076
00:54:28,000 --> 00:54:30,440
Speaker 6: you can be the best quarterback on the planet if

1077
00:54:30,480 --> 00:54:32,680
Speaker 6: you're throwing the football to guys who are dropping it.

1078
00:54:33,160 --> 00:54:35,799
Speaker 6: I mean, you turn on that film and you say, hey,

1079
00:54:35,800 --> 00:54:39,040
Speaker 6: that's a first down there, Man, geez, that sets us

1080
00:54:39,120 --> 00:54:41,480
Speaker 6: up for a fourth and short right there, and then

1081
00:54:41,640 --> 00:54:43,640
Speaker 6: you know, roll the dice. But I'm guessing we get

1082
00:54:43,640 --> 00:54:46,279
Speaker 6: it because we had so much you know, going for

1083
00:54:46,400 --> 00:54:50,040
Speaker 6: us on that drive. Hey there's another touchdown dropped. Like

1084
00:54:50,080 --> 00:54:52,759
Speaker 6: you start adding them up over the course of a

1085
00:54:52,960 --> 00:54:56,120
Speaker 6: seven game season and you say, man, we have a

1086
00:54:56,200 --> 00:54:59,640
Speaker 6: bunch of missed opportunities out there. So that's another part

1087
00:54:59,680 --> 00:55:02,319
Speaker 6: of this team where if you clean up some of

1088
00:55:02,360 --> 00:55:06,080
Speaker 6: the mistakes and some of this offense coalesces a little

1089
00:55:06,120 --> 00:55:09,279
Speaker 6: bit in the passing game and you get anything going

1090
00:55:09,320 --> 00:55:11,560
Speaker 6: on the ground, you're gonna be able to control the

1091
00:55:11,600 --> 00:55:13,640
Speaker 6: line of scrimmage better. You're gonna be able to have

1092
00:55:13,719 --> 00:55:16,719
Speaker 6: better success. Now can they do that? Can they make

1093
00:55:16,800 --> 00:55:21,200
Speaker 6: those amendments? Can they fix those mistakes at this point

1094
00:55:21,200 --> 00:55:23,879
Speaker 6: in the season. Well, that's gonna be coaching, and that's

1095
00:55:23,920 --> 00:55:27,440
Speaker 6: going to be player buying, and we'll see this is

1096
00:55:27,480 --> 00:55:29,799
Speaker 6: a tough task. I think this is a very, like

1097
00:55:29,880 --> 00:55:32,759
Speaker 6: I said, a really well rounded Texas A and M

1098
00:55:32,840 --> 00:55:35,440
Speaker 6: team coming in for a night game at LSU.

1099
00:55:35,840 --> 00:55:40,240
Speaker 2: They could play runers here. I just have this belief.

1100
00:55:39,880 --> 00:55:45,000
Speaker 6: That desperate, desperate coaches and good coaches, which Brian Kelly is,

1101
00:55:45,040 --> 00:55:46,880
Speaker 6: even though he's not well liked, he's a good coach.

1102
00:55:47,600 --> 00:55:50,799
Speaker 6: They do special things when they're under the microscope. And

1103
00:55:50,840 --> 00:55:52,480
Speaker 6: I think, I think this could be a good night

1104
00:55:52,520 --> 00:55:53,560
Speaker 6: for LSU.

1105
00:55:54,160 --> 00:55:54,359
Speaker 2: Yeah.

1106
00:55:54,360 --> 00:55:56,279
Speaker 5: I didn't think elis who played bad last week at Man.

1107
00:55:56,239 --> 00:55:56,919
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't either.

1108
00:55:57,600 --> 00:56:01,600
Speaker 5: Nus Meyer was solid, no pay. The running game was good,

1109
00:56:01,760 --> 00:56:04,240
Speaker 5: right like Durham and Berry. You take away the sacks.

1110
00:56:05,200 --> 00:56:06,719
Speaker 5: Nus Meyer had a couple of sacks. He was in

1111
00:56:06,719 --> 00:56:08,640
Speaker 5: the negative yards, but you take away the sacks. They

1112
00:56:08,680 --> 00:56:10,600
Speaker 5: ran for over six yards of carry. Durham was over

1113
00:56:10,640 --> 00:56:14,359
Speaker 5: eight yards of carry. Like they they are dangerous when

1114
00:56:14,400 --> 00:56:18,000
Speaker 5: they can figure out the right buttons to push. It

1115
00:56:18,040 --> 00:56:20,920
Speaker 5: was actually funny. That was the Mike Elko quote. Brian.

1116
00:56:21,040 --> 00:56:22,839
Speaker 5: It was so funny. It was I think someone asked

1117
00:56:22,840 --> 00:56:26,320
Speaker 5: them specifically, so you know, how hard is it to

1118
00:56:26,920 --> 00:56:28,719
Speaker 5: win at Death Valley at night? And he's like, I

1119
00:56:28,760 --> 00:56:31,319
Speaker 5: don't know, we've never won there. It was great. It

1120
00:56:31,360 --> 00:56:34,200
Speaker 5: was a great coaching quote kind of vibe where he's

1121
00:56:34,239 --> 00:56:36,080
Speaker 5: just like, I don't know how hard. I don't know,

1122
00:56:36,440 --> 00:56:41,480
Speaker 5: We've never done it. There's there's a lot of there's

1123
00:56:41,600 --> 00:56:44,000
Speaker 5: definitely a lot of positives for LSU in this game.

1124
00:56:44,239 --> 00:56:47,520
Speaker 5: I think the market is telling me LSU is the

1125
00:56:47,560 --> 00:56:49,759
Speaker 5: right side. I did take some LSU plus two and

1126
00:56:49,760 --> 00:56:52,600
Speaker 5: a half. I missed the three earlier this week. We've

1127
00:56:52,600 --> 00:56:54,840
Speaker 5: got it in the platter this week. I A and

1128
00:56:54,960 --> 00:56:57,160
Speaker 5: m's a good story. A and M is not a

1129
00:56:57,200 --> 00:56:59,239
Speaker 5: team that strikes me that's gonna go undefeated in the

1130
00:56:59,280 --> 00:57:02,160
Speaker 5: SEC this year. I just don't think they're on that level.

1131
00:57:02,239 --> 00:57:04,239
Speaker 5: I think they're a team that's got a chance, just

1132
00:57:04,280 --> 00:57:07,279
Speaker 5: like last year, to sneak into the SEC championship game

1133
00:57:07,520 --> 00:57:10,439
Speaker 5: and to cause some havoc Because of the style of

1134
00:57:10,440 --> 00:57:13,360
Speaker 5: offense that they play. It is very tough to defend,

1135
00:57:13,440 --> 00:57:17,000
Speaker 5: especially if you are not disciplined at the linemacker level,

1136
00:57:17,000 --> 00:57:20,640
Speaker 5: which LSU has a deficiency at that spot. But then

1137
00:57:20,720 --> 00:57:22,680
Speaker 5: you look to the other side of the ball and

1138
00:57:22,720 --> 00:57:24,760
Speaker 5: you look at LSU's offense against his A and M

1139
00:57:24,800 --> 00:57:27,200
Speaker 5: defense that I think has struggled on the road in

1140
00:57:27,240 --> 00:57:30,040
Speaker 5: tough spots this year. They were fortunate to get past

1141
00:57:30,040 --> 00:57:32,400
Speaker 5: Notre Dame. They were fortunate to get past Arkansas. That

1142
00:57:32,520 --> 00:57:35,960
Speaker 5: Arkansas game was tight, and Arkansas is terrible. Arkansas is

1143
00:57:36,000 --> 00:57:38,120
Speaker 5: not a good football team, and that game was tight

1144
00:57:38,240 --> 00:57:41,000
Speaker 5: back and forth. LSU is a much more buttoned up

1145
00:57:41,040 --> 00:57:44,800
Speaker 5: football team than Arkansas is right now, and that tells

1146
00:57:44,840 --> 00:57:47,120
Speaker 5: me that LSU might be the team that should be

1147
00:57:47,160 --> 00:57:49,960
Speaker 5: favored here or at least considered to be the better

1148
00:57:50,000 --> 00:57:52,800
Speaker 5: team in the home environment at night.

1149
00:57:53,560 --> 00:57:58,000
Speaker 4: You know, I'll say real fast, the IF game can

1150
00:57:58,080 --> 00:58:01,280
Speaker 4: be interesting and can be a tool, and it could

1151
00:58:01,280 --> 00:58:03,720
Speaker 4: also get you into trouble here. But let me throw

1152
00:58:03,720 --> 00:58:06,480
Speaker 4: it out with Texas A and M. If Texas A

1153
00:58:06,560 --> 00:58:09,000
Speaker 4: and M had lost to Notre Dame and they easily

1154
00:58:09,080 --> 00:58:11,480
Speaker 4: could have right it's fourth and goal from the eleven,

1155
00:58:12,080 --> 00:58:14,240
Speaker 4: and they somehow scored a touchdown and won the game,

1156
00:58:14,520 --> 00:58:16,600
Speaker 4: you know, got away with a holding penalty.

1157
00:58:16,840 --> 00:58:17,760
Speaker 7: But I digress.

1158
00:58:19,240 --> 00:58:22,040
Speaker 4: If that's a loss and they're six and one heading

1159
00:58:22,040 --> 00:58:25,400
Speaker 4: into this game against LSU, how do you feel about them?

1160
00:58:25,480 --> 00:58:29,000
Speaker 4: Because that could easily be the case, and so I

1161
00:58:29,040 --> 00:58:33,560
Speaker 4: think it's just something worth considering. Obviously, that didn't happen,

1162
00:58:34,160 --> 00:58:37,080
Speaker 4: and that said a lot of things in motion that

1163
00:58:37,360 --> 00:58:39,680
Speaker 4: you know you can't undo with the IF game. But

1164
00:58:39,680 --> 00:58:43,080
Speaker 4: it's just something to consider when you're handicapping this game

1165
00:58:43,120 --> 00:58:44,960
Speaker 4: and thinking about it going in. When you see the

1166
00:58:45,120 --> 00:58:48,960
Speaker 4: zero in the loss column, that's pretty powerful for Texas

1167
00:58:49,000 --> 00:58:52,040
Speaker 4: A and M. But it's not like they haven't been

1168
00:58:52,080 --> 00:58:54,320
Speaker 4: on the ropes before, and they could easily be on

1169
00:58:54,360 --> 00:58:57,320
Speaker 4: the ropes in this game tonight. Hey, we've got Rich Orenberger,

1170
00:58:57,480 --> 00:59:00,720
Speaker 4: Penn State All American, Jared Smith FSR betting analyst.

1171
00:59:01,120 --> 00:59:01,760
Speaker 7: I'm Brian No.

1172
00:59:01,920 --> 00:59:04,720
Speaker 4: Register with betmgm to get instant access to the best

1173
00:59:04,760 --> 00:59:08,280
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1174
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1176
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1178
00:59:20,560 --> 00:59:24,840
Speaker 4: the bonus code is countdown bet MGM. Make it legendary.

1179
00:59:25,520 --> 00:59:28,600
Speaker 4: Speaking of legendary, or guy Seamus McGee coming up next

1180
00:59:28,600 --> 00:59:31,720
Speaker 4: from BETMGM gets you all set for a full slate

1181
00:59:32,160 --> 00:59:35,560
Speaker 4: of college ball plus his Seamus Special. We'll get that

1182
00:59:36,120 --> 00:59:38,200
Speaker 4: and maybe it's the Premier League or I don't know

1183
00:59:38,240 --> 00:59:39,160
Speaker 4: what's going on with Shampus.

1184
00:59:39,200 --> 00:59:39,760
Speaker 7: We'll find out.

1185
00:59:39,920 --> 00:59:43,880
Speaker 4: It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented by BETMGM.

1186
00:59:44,040 --> 00:59:47,720
Speaker 4: It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented by

1187
00:59:47,760 --> 00:59:51,440
Speaker 4: bet MGM. Be sure to subscribe to the BETMGM to

1188
00:59:51,520 --> 00:59:55,040
Speaker 4: the sorries the Fox Sports Radio YouTube channel. Just search

1189
00:59:55,120 --> 00:59:58,040
Speaker 4: Fox Sports Radio on YouTube and you'll see our best

1190
00:59:58,120 --> 01:00:00,320
Speaker 4: videos from all of our shows. And don't start up there.

1191
01:00:00,400 --> 01:00:03,160
Speaker 4: Hit that thumbs up icon and comment away. Let us

1192
01:00:03,200 --> 01:00:06,080
Speaker 4: know whose take you like and even whose takes you

1193
01:00:06,120 --> 01:00:11,040
Speaker 4: don't like. Just search Fox Sports Radio on YouTube and subscribe.

1194
01:00:11,360 --> 01:00:12,360
Speaker 7: Okay, let's do this.

1195
01:00:13,920 --> 01:00:15,600
Speaker 3: Follow the money, real good money.

1196
01:00:15,960 --> 01:00:18,680
Speaker 4: Yes, we welcome in our good friend, Seamus McGee, team

1197
01:00:18,760 --> 01:00:23,360
Speaker 4: lead of Sports Trading at BEDMGM. Good morning to you, Seamus.

1198
01:00:23,360 --> 01:00:26,480
Speaker 4: So uh, I'm in the FSR studios here in LA

1199
01:00:26,720 --> 01:00:29,160
Speaker 4: and there's live soccer on. I couldn't help but think

1200
01:00:29,200 --> 01:00:30,680
Speaker 4: you got some action on this stuff?

1201
01:00:30,680 --> 01:00:31,080
Speaker 2: Are you?

1202
01:00:31,160 --> 01:00:33,280
Speaker 7: Are you fired away early on a Saturday morning?

1203
01:00:34,440 --> 01:00:39,160
Speaker 10: I usually do, but didn't like the early slate of

1204
01:00:39,240 --> 01:00:41,640
Speaker 10: games Sunday. We have a little bit better of a slate,

1205
01:00:41,760 --> 01:00:44,000
Speaker 10: so we'll be involved tomorrow instead.

1206
01:00:44,440 --> 01:00:44,960
Speaker 7: Very nice.

1207
01:00:45,000 --> 01:00:48,120
Speaker 4: Well we'll start it with football here, like the real football,

1208
01:00:48,280 --> 01:00:54,280
Speaker 4: you know, and uh easy, you know, the real football.

1209
01:00:54,400 --> 01:00:57,200
Speaker 4: Seamous what uh what do you need at BEDMGM? What

1210
01:00:57,280 --> 01:00:58,840
Speaker 4: are a couple of big needs today?

1211
01:00:59,880 --> 01:01:03,960
Speaker 10: I tell you what. Vanderbilt has been an extremely popular

1212
01:01:04,080 --> 01:01:06,720
Speaker 10: side this week. A lot of love for Vandy. With

1213
01:01:06,800 --> 01:01:09,760
Speaker 10: Maszoo coming to town. We're really gonna need the Zoo.

1214
01:01:09,800 --> 01:01:12,120
Speaker 10: That's right now looking like one of the bigger needs

1215
01:01:12,120 --> 01:01:12,720
Speaker 10: for us today.

1216
01:01:13,480 --> 01:01:15,880
Speaker 5: That makes me very happy because we just did the

1217
01:01:15,880 --> 01:01:18,240
Speaker 5: parlay platter a few minutes ago, and we were hot

1218
01:01:18,240 --> 01:01:21,600
Speaker 5: and heavy on the Missoo Tigers. I think the other

1219
01:01:21,680 --> 01:01:23,960
Speaker 5: game that we were also we put in the platter.

1220
01:01:24,040 --> 01:01:27,040
Speaker 5: That also is very intriguing from a number standpoint, right,

1221
01:01:27,080 --> 01:01:30,200
Speaker 5: it's this A and M at LSU game. You would

1222
01:01:30,200 --> 01:01:33,520
Speaker 5: think A and M being undefeated and LSU having all

1223
01:01:33,560 --> 01:01:35,880
Speaker 5: of the negativity losing two of their last three. They're

1224
01:01:35,880 --> 01:01:38,720
Speaker 5: coming off that loss to Vandy. You would think A

1225
01:01:38,760 --> 01:01:41,120
Speaker 5: and M would be a bigger favorite. But Death Valley

1226
01:01:41,160 --> 01:01:45,520
Speaker 5: at Night maybe some Brian Kelly, you know desperation vibes

1227
01:01:45,560 --> 01:01:48,760
Speaker 5: that I'm assuming that you're gonna need LSU in this game.

1228
01:01:50,160 --> 01:01:52,320
Speaker 10: It's a it's a funny one. I mean, we got

1229
01:01:52,360 --> 01:01:54,080
Speaker 10: we got a little way still kick off here for

1230
01:01:54,160 --> 01:01:57,640
Speaker 10: this game, and you know, there's definitely some action on

1231
01:01:57,720 --> 01:01:59,400
Speaker 10: both ways. I mean a lot of the money's coming

1232
01:01:59,440 --> 01:02:01,280
Speaker 10: on LSU, but a lot of the tickets are coming

1233
01:02:01,320 --> 01:02:04,680
Speaker 10: in on A and M today. So it is a

1234
01:02:04,720 --> 01:02:07,040
Speaker 10: funny spread because I'm with the LS has not looked

1235
01:02:07,040 --> 01:02:09,560
Speaker 10: great past weeks at A. M is a pretty hot

1236
01:02:09,600 --> 01:02:13,240
Speaker 10: team right now, so definitely some interest on both sides.

1237
01:02:13,640 --> 01:02:16,200
Speaker 10: I think we're going to end up if I was

1238
01:02:16,200 --> 01:02:18,600
Speaker 10: a gambling man, I think wisterre gonna end up meeting

1239
01:02:18,880 --> 01:02:19,400
Speaker 10: A and M.

1240
01:02:19,440 --> 01:02:19,680
Speaker 2: Here.

1241
01:02:20,560 --> 01:02:23,120
Speaker 10: Everyone's getting a little hip to LSU today.

1242
01:02:23,920 --> 01:02:26,040
Speaker 6: Hey, you know a game that I'm not even sure

1243
01:02:26,080 --> 01:02:28,360
Speaker 6: if we're going to get to this morning because it

1244
01:02:28,400 --> 01:02:31,080
Speaker 6: has blowout written all over it. I don't think Stanford

1245
01:02:31,120 --> 01:02:34,960
Speaker 6: has much for Miami today, considering the spot therein coming

1246
01:02:34,960 --> 01:02:37,720
Speaker 6: off of an emotional loss, going on the road to

1247
01:02:38,400 --> 01:02:41,160
Speaker 6: a team that just wants to I couldn't be a

1248
01:02:41,160 --> 01:02:43,000
Speaker 6: better situation for Miami.

1249
01:02:42,680 --> 01:02:46,200
Speaker 2: To get a big win. Will Stanford ever get it right?

1250
01:02:46,240 --> 01:02:49,640
Speaker 6: They got the general Andrew Luck as their general manager

1251
01:02:49,720 --> 01:02:53,360
Speaker 6: now and we saw years of success during the luck

1252
01:02:53,400 --> 01:02:57,000
Speaker 6: in McCaffrey years after it is it possible to ever

1253
01:02:57,480 --> 01:03:03,680
Speaker 6: ever see Stanford emerge considering they've now realigned conferences, or

1254
01:03:04,640 --> 01:03:07,200
Speaker 6: does this feel like we're going back into the dark

1255
01:03:07,240 --> 01:03:07,960
Speaker 6: ages with the.

1256
01:03:07,920 --> 01:03:13,960
Speaker 10: Cardinal Stanford is an interesting program. They are school with

1257
01:03:14,040 --> 01:03:16,360
Speaker 10: a lot of money. I think you've seen a lot

1258
01:03:16,400 --> 01:03:18,960
Speaker 10: of schools light standard, Like look at Virginia this year.

1259
01:03:19,160 --> 01:03:21,000
Speaker 10: A lot of money is pouring into this program and

1260
01:03:21,040 --> 01:03:24,400
Speaker 10: you're starting seeing them turn around. I think Stanford could

1261
01:03:24,400 --> 01:03:26,880
Speaker 10: be a team like that. I know they I'm pretty

1262
01:03:26,880 --> 01:03:30,200
Speaker 10: sure they just got a big donation into the football program,

1263
01:03:30,600 --> 01:03:32,360
Speaker 10: but you do. But it is a good point. Like

1264
01:03:32,400 --> 01:03:35,040
Speaker 10: being in the ACC. It is a ton of travel

1265
01:03:35,120 --> 01:03:39,240
Speaker 10: for this team. I think they're I don't think they're

1266
01:03:39,280 --> 01:03:41,640
Speaker 10: going to be completely written off the map. They could

1267
01:03:41,640 --> 01:03:43,240
Speaker 10: go through a couple of years where you know they're

1268
01:03:43,280 --> 01:03:47,360
Speaker 10: kind of finding themselves. But I could see them at

1269
01:03:47,400 --> 01:03:49,360
Speaker 10: some point kind of getting back to like the good

1270
01:03:49,360 --> 01:03:51,880
Speaker 10: old days. But it is going to take some time

1271
01:03:51,960 --> 01:03:55,280
Speaker 10: to adjusting just being in this conference. But when you

1272
01:03:55,320 --> 01:03:57,720
Speaker 10: have the money now, anything is possible.

1273
01:03:58,080 --> 01:04:00,440
Speaker 6: Having said that, I love Miami in this one. I

1274
01:04:00,520 --> 01:04:03,640
Speaker 6: think I mean put the spread at whatever number you want.

1275
01:04:03,760 --> 01:04:06,520
Speaker 6: I think the Hurricanes cover it. It's going to be

1276
01:04:06,680 --> 01:04:07,240
Speaker 6: blood bath.

1277
01:04:07,880 --> 01:04:10,000
Speaker 10: And I there's a lot of people who share the

1278
01:04:11,000 --> 01:04:13,880
Speaker 10: same thoughts as you. We're gonna need Stanford tonight. But hey,

1279
01:04:14,280 --> 01:04:17,920
Speaker 10: we know very well this is a stupid sport with

1280
01:04:17,960 --> 01:04:21,120
Speaker 10: a stupid shape ball. A lot of different things could happen.

1281
01:04:21,600 --> 01:04:25,000
Speaker 4: How about this ol Miss Oklahoma game, Seamus, where you've

1282
01:04:25,040 --> 01:04:27,360
Speaker 4: got the Sooners. They're favored by four and a half.

1283
01:04:27,440 --> 01:04:29,640
Speaker 4: The total is ticked down a little bit now it's

1284
01:04:29,640 --> 01:04:32,040
Speaker 4: at fifty two and a half. What do you think

1285
01:04:32,080 --> 01:04:32,959
Speaker 4: happens in this one?

1286
01:04:34,480 --> 01:04:37,960
Speaker 10: I'm an Old Miss guy. I love Trinidad Chamblins. I

1287
01:04:38,000 --> 01:04:41,520
Speaker 10: really was surprised they ended up losing that game last week.

1288
01:04:41,520 --> 01:04:44,040
Speaker 10: It felt like they were in control for at least

1289
01:04:44,080 --> 01:04:46,360
Speaker 10: three quarters. Then they just couldn't get off the field

1290
01:04:46,400 --> 01:04:51,080
Speaker 10: on defense. But Oklahoma, I like, really really looks good

1291
01:04:51,160 --> 01:04:54,800
Speaker 10: last week at South Carolina in a weird spot coming

1292
01:04:54,800 --> 01:04:57,920
Speaker 10: off that loss against Texas. It's gonna be an interesting

1293
01:04:58,000 --> 01:05:01,720
Speaker 10: one personally, I said before, I like Old Miss, but uh,

1294
01:05:01,840 --> 01:05:03,960
Speaker 10: there is there is some interest on in Old Myths today.

1295
01:05:04,000 --> 01:05:07,080
Speaker 10: They're one of our most best spreads and on the

1296
01:05:07,120 --> 01:05:09,880
Speaker 10: tickets and the money so we're probably gonna end up

1297
01:05:09,880 --> 01:05:12,680
Speaker 10: meeting Oklahoma. That's it's definitely gonna be a good game.

1298
01:05:13,720 --> 01:05:18,560
Speaker 5: Public dog, please, that's scary with ole Miss. I I

1299
01:05:18,680 --> 01:05:20,840
Speaker 5: like Oklahoma. I think the tier if he if he

1300
01:05:20,960 --> 01:05:24,440
Speaker 5: shows up healthy today with that thumb, I think Matier

1301
01:05:25,120 --> 01:05:27,360
Speaker 5: gets all Miss across the finish line another stad. I

1302
01:05:27,360 --> 01:05:29,280
Speaker 5: mean these lines this week. I think we're at that

1303
01:05:29,320 --> 01:05:30,960
Speaker 5: point now where we feel like we have a good

1304
01:05:30,960 --> 01:05:33,240
Speaker 5: handle on these teams and who they are, Seamus, and

1305
01:05:33,240 --> 01:05:34,880
Speaker 5: then we get these numbers and it's just like, all right,

1306
01:05:34,920 --> 01:05:36,320
Speaker 5: what do I don't? What do I'm not? What am

1307
01:05:36,320 --> 01:05:42,760
Speaker 5: I not seeing here? Iowa State unranked favored against undefeated BYU.

1308
01:05:42,840 --> 01:05:44,960
Speaker 5: This doesn't happen often, but when it does, usually the

1309
01:05:45,040 --> 01:05:46,560
Speaker 5: unranked home favorite wins.

1310
01:05:47,920 --> 01:05:52,240
Speaker 10: And it's definitely something everyone's you know, aware of, now know.

1311
01:05:52,400 --> 01:05:55,800
Speaker 10: I think there was a point where if there was

1312
01:05:55,840 --> 01:05:58,320
Speaker 10: an edge here, like it was just so why play

1313
01:05:58,360 --> 01:06:01,120
Speaker 10: the game? You know, undefeated and ranked team is a

1314
01:06:01,160 --> 01:06:04,240
Speaker 10: dog on the road against the unring team. I think

1315
01:06:04,240 --> 01:06:07,640
Speaker 10: we're gonna need BYU here. A lot of people like

1316
01:06:07,680 --> 01:06:10,280
Speaker 10: Iowa stayed and it's just a line that stinks. We

1317
01:06:10,760 --> 01:06:11,560
Speaker 10: see it every week.

1318
01:06:12,520 --> 01:06:16,200
Speaker 6: If you would have told me Seamus that Ty Simpson

1319
01:06:16,800 --> 01:06:20,520
Speaker 6: Julian saying, you know, Alabama Ohio state signal callers, we're

1320
01:06:20,520 --> 01:06:23,200
Speaker 6: in the top five of Heisman odds. I would have

1321
01:06:23,240 --> 01:06:26,840
Speaker 6: sayh yeah, yeah, that makes sense. But Fernando Mendoza out

1322
01:06:26,880 --> 01:06:30,000
Speaker 6: of Indiana, Marcel Reed texts A and M more likely

1323
01:06:30,040 --> 01:06:33,960
Speaker 6: to be involved in the conversation. But Diego, Pavia, Vanderbilt

1324
01:06:34,000 --> 01:06:36,920
Speaker 6: all in the top five odd getter in terms of

1325
01:06:37,440 --> 01:06:42,680
Speaker 6: potential Heisman winners. This has been an odd season. I mean,

1326
01:06:42,840 --> 01:06:47,680
Speaker 6: is there somebody's Is there somebody stock you say to

1327
01:06:47,800 --> 01:06:50,959
Speaker 6: stock up on now because there's good value there.

1328
01:06:52,760 --> 01:06:55,360
Speaker 10: If you dasked me last week, it was Traddad Chambliss.

1329
01:06:55,520 --> 01:06:58,480
Speaker 10: But it's they're gonna have to He's gonna have to

1330
01:06:58,520 --> 01:07:01,520
Speaker 10: really show out, almost have to went out. But I

1331
01:07:01,600 --> 01:07:04,360
Speaker 10: mean it is it's so weird, Like I feel like

1332
01:07:04,520 --> 01:07:06,760
Speaker 10: the last few years there's always been like a runaway

1333
01:07:06,800 --> 01:07:09,960
Speaker 10: guy with crazy numbers. There's a Heisman moment mixed in.

1334
01:07:11,280 --> 01:07:14,560
Speaker 10: I like, if the season end of the day, I

1335
01:07:14,760 --> 01:07:17,800
Speaker 10: think I would give it to ty Simpson, But Mendoza

1336
01:07:18,080 --> 01:07:21,280
Speaker 10: is putting up some pretty ridiculous numbers and he does

1337
01:07:21,320 --> 01:07:23,840
Speaker 10: have that signature. Went on the road at Oregon. He's

1338
01:07:23,840 --> 01:07:26,400
Speaker 10: a favorite for a reason. But I tell you, if

1339
01:07:26,520 --> 01:07:31,000
Speaker 10: Vanderbilt just cames winning games. The media loves Diego Pavia,

1340
01:07:31,640 --> 01:07:34,200
Speaker 10: and I think there's gonna be a big surge if

1341
01:07:34,200 --> 01:07:37,720
Speaker 10: they just especially if they win today. I mean this,

1342
01:07:37,720 --> 01:07:40,240
Speaker 10: this could be a guy that ends up being I

1343
01:07:40,240 --> 01:07:41,920
Speaker 10: think he'll end up being on the Heisman stage when

1344
01:07:41,920 --> 01:07:43,000
Speaker 10: it's all said and done.

1345
01:07:43,160 --> 01:07:44,560
Speaker 5: Brian, can I jump in real quick cause I want

1346
01:07:44,560 --> 01:07:46,160
Speaker 5: to fall up on that and you're gonna let no time.

1347
01:07:46,280 --> 01:07:46,560
Speaker 2: Sorry?

1348
01:07:46,560 --> 01:07:47,560
Speaker 5: How about Jeremiah Love?

1349
01:07:51,040 --> 01:07:53,280
Speaker 10: I'm with you on Jeremiah Love. He's probably gonna score

1350
01:07:53,400 --> 01:07:56,439
Speaker 10: what twenty touchdowns this year? Notre Dame. They just got

1351
01:07:56,440 --> 01:07:58,720
Speaker 10: the hardest game of the schedule out of the way.

1352
01:07:58,840 --> 01:08:02,480
Speaker 10: He had a great game in that. If he really

1353
01:08:02,640 --> 01:08:05,320
Speaker 10: racks up some yards and keeps getting into the end zone,

1354
01:08:05,480 --> 01:08:08,000
Speaker 10: there's a world you see his odds sturge up. I mean,

1355
01:08:08,040 --> 01:08:10,959
Speaker 10: what if Marcel Reid loses today. I think you see

1356
01:08:11,000 --> 01:08:14,680
Speaker 10: his odds fall down. Stockton and Georgia's like, Stockton's got

1357
01:08:14,760 --> 01:08:19,160
Speaker 10: better odds than Love right now. But is George's success

1358
01:08:19,240 --> 01:08:21,360
Speaker 10: coming down to him? I know there's been a lot

1359
01:08:21,400 --> 01:08:25,720
Speaker 10: of detractives from in recent weeks, I could see Love

1360
01:08:25,800 --> 01:08:27,400
Speaker 10: getting having some value for sure.

1361
01:08:27,840 --> 01:08:31,759
Speaker 4: What about Jeremiah Love and Darian Price being the first

1362
01:08:31,800 --> 01:08:36,120
Speaker 4: teammates to split the Heisman? What do you think about that?

1363
01:08:36,840 --> 01:08:39,080
Speaker 10: I love my fighting Irish and I love nothing more

1364
01:08:39,120 --> 01:08:41,559
Speaker 10: to see that. But I mean, can you imagine do

1365
01:08:41,640 --> 01:08:44,040
Speaker 10: you imagine the world when that happens. I think everyone

1366
01:08:44,080 --> 01:08:46,680
Speaker 10: would freak out. Would be unbelievable.

1367
01:08:47,640 --> 01:08:50,160
Speaker 4: Every the sports books would melt down. You know, it'd

1368
01:08:50,160 --> 01:08:52,519
Speaker 4: be crazy, be chaos in the streets. All right, you're

1369
01:08:52,560 --> 01:08:54,479
Speaker 4: seamous special? What do you have for us this week?

1370
01:08:56,360 --> 01:08:56,599
Speaker 2: Few?

1371
01:08:57,280 --> 01:09:00,439
Speaker 10: A few things caught my eye. I mean, we had

1372
01:09:00,439 --> 01:09:04,160
Speaker 10: Wisconsin team total under last week. Yep, they haven't scored

1373
01:09:04,280 --> 01:09:07,840
Speaker 10: in two weeks, and now they go to Austin. I

1374
01:09:08,160 --> 01:09:10,759
Speaker 10: don't hate a flyer on them to be shut out again,

1375
01:09:10,880 --> 01:09:13,040
Speaker 10: But that's not what I'm going with. Everyone knows I

1376
01:09:13,080 --> 01:09:16,519
Speaker 10: love my FCS football, and we got a great FCS

1377
01:09:16,520 --> 01:09:20,360
Speaker 10: game today. Game day should be there, in my opinion,

1378
01:09:20,439 --> 01:09:23,760
Speaker 10: in South Dakota State, North Dakota State. But more as

1379
01:09:23,800 --> 01:09:26,520
Speaker 10: much as I love FCS football, I love the Pioneer

1380
01:09:26,600 --> 01:09:30,200
Speaker 10: Conference far more. And we got a weird looking line

1381
01:09:30,200 --> 01:09:34,960
Speaker 10: today San Diego three and four san Diego is traveling

1382
01:09:35,000 --> 01:09:39,920
Speaker 10: across the country to Davidson, North Carolina laying four touchdowns

1383
01:09:40,240 --> 01:09:43,960
Speaker 10: and we're gonna lay it. This is a had Davidson team.

1384
01:09:44,320 --> 01:09:47,680
Speaker 10: They've lost to our steps and hatters that we've been

1385
01:09:47,800 --> 01:09:51,799
Speaker 10: on so many times. Here, it's gonna be San Diego

1386
01:09:51,920 --> 01:09:55,639
Speaker 10: coming off of by going into Davidson and really putting

1387
01:09:55,680 --> 01:09:57,120
Speaker 10: a beat down on Davidson today.

1388
01:09:57,560 --> 01:10:01,280
Speaker 4: Okay, all right, you never disappointed. We never know what

1389
01:10:01,400 --> 01:10:03,280
Speaker 4: to expect. You keep us on our toes, man, But

1390
01:10:03,320 --> 01:10:05,479
Speaker 4: that's why we love you. I hope you enjoyed the day.

1391
01:10:05,520 --> 01:10:06,920
Speaker 4: We'll catch you soon, Seamus.

1392
01:10:07,280 --> 01:10:09,040
Speaker 10: I'm agoing go to games.

1393
01:10:08,800 --> 01:10:11,799
Speaker 4: You too, there, Seamus McGee, team lead of sports Trading

1394
01:10:11,960 --> 01:10:14,759
Speaker 4: at bet MGM. Hey, we jump right into a game

1395
01:10:14,800 --> 01:10:17,440
Speaker 4: that rich you were talking about this. How about Stanford

1396
01:10:17,600 --> 01:10:22,160
Speaker 4: at Miami. Man, it's like a microcosm of college football

1397
01:10:22,160 --> 01:10:22,479
Speaker 4: this year.

1398
01:10:22,520 --> 01:10:22,760
Speaker 2: Guys.

1399
01:10:22,760 --> 01:10:25,200
Speaker 4: If you look at Miami, they're favored by twenty nine

1400
01:10:25,200 --> 01:10:28,360
Speaker 4: and a half in this game. They're gonna be rocking

1401
01:10:28,439 --> 01:10:31,920
Speaker 4: some sweet Camo jerseys today. But I think it's a

1402
01:10:32,000 --> 01:10:35,559
Speaker 4: microcosm of the top teams in college football right where

1403
01:10:35,560 --> 01:10:37,760
Speaker 4: you look at, say the top ten teams and you

1404
01:10:37,800 --> 01:10:40,240
Speaker 4: can look at their strengths certainly, and you can look

1405
01:10:40,280 --> 01:10:42,840
Speaker 4: at their weaknesses. That's the case with a lot of

1406
01:10:42,840 --> 01:10:45,240
Speaker 4: these top teams that are going to challenge to win

1407
01:10:45,280 --> 01:10:48,040
Speaker 4: it all. If you look at Miami, they made us

1408
01:10:48,040 --> 01:10:50,160
Speaker 4: say wow a few times, like Wow, they beat Notre

1409
01:10:50,280 --> 01:10:54,439
Speaker 4: Dame first game of the season. Wow, they smashed South Florida.

1410
01:10:54,800 --> 01:10:57,559
Speaker 4: Then they beat Florida, they beat Florida State, And the

1411
01:10:57,600 --> 01:11:01,160
Speaker 4: last time we saw them, they laid an egg against Louisville.

1412
01:11:01,240 --> 01:11:04,920
Speaker 4: Ye had Carson Beck throwing four interceptions. They rushed for

1413
01:11:04,960 --> 01:11:10,080
Speaker 4: only sixty three yards right against Louisville. So, man, this

1414
01:11:10,200 --> 01:11:12,760
Speaker 4: Miami team, they probably get right tonight in a big way.

1415
01:11:13,439 --> 01:11:15,840
Speaker 4: But what do you think about them going forward? And

1416
01:11:15,920 --> 01:11:17,960
Speaker 4: I guess the larger picture is that not what college

1417
01:11:17,960 --> 01:11:21,360
Speaker 4: football is. These top teams obvious strengths, but most of

1418
01:11:21,400 --> 01:11:24,400
Speaker 4: them have obvious drawbacks and weaknesses as well.

1419
01:11:25,160 --> 01:11:29,360
Speaker 6: Yeah, I would say that is actually a perfect sort

1420
01:11:29,400 --> 01:11:34,240
Speaker 6: of summation or explanation about what college football has looked

1421
01:11:34,280 --> 01:11:37,479
Speaker 6: like this whole season. However, Stanford couldn't be in a

1422
01:11:37,479 --> 01:11:40,599
Speaker 6: worse spot coming off of a win where they were

1423
01:11:40,960 --> 01:11:44,720
Speaker 6: steep underdogs. Miami coming off of a loss a heartbreaker

1424
01:11:45,360 --> 01:11:49,040
Speaker 6: and defending a home court Stanford ask to travel cross country.

1425
01:11:49,080 --> 01:11:52,880
Speaker 6: We're just talking to Shamus about this. That really does matter.

1426
01:11:52,960 --> 01:11:57,200
Speaker 6: Those trips suck. It's hard to do, and now with

1427
01:11:57,360 --> 01:11:59,760
Speaker 6: conference realignment, they're gonna have to get used to it

1428
01:11:59,760 --> 01:12:05,320
Speaker 6: because that's the new normal. Stanford's offense is horribly inefficient.

1429
01:12:06,080 --> 01:12:14,439
Speaker 6: They have rotating quarterbacks. They're expected production or their past

1430
01:12:14,520 --> 01:12:22,000
Speaker 6: game production is dreadful. They've I mean, basically any stat

1431
01:12:22,120 --> 01:12:25,360
Speaker 6: you look at the Cardinals struggles with Here's what I

1432
01:12:25,400 --> 01:12:28,200
Speaker 6: will say, though, there has been such volatility in college

1433
01:12:28,240 --> 01:12:32,679
Speaker 6: football that, like Seamus also pointed out, that ball bounces

1434
01:12:32,720 --> 01:12:35,280
Speaker 6: in funny ways. And even though this is a dream

1435
01:12:35,360 --> 01:12:41,000
Speaker 6: spot for Miami, could I see a situation where weird

1436
01:12:41,040 --> 01:12:43,479
Speaker 6: things happen and all of a sudden we're saying, you know,

1437
01:12:43,560 --> 01:12:46,600
Speaker 6: Stanford is contending they're not gonna win, but but we

1438
01:12:46,680 --> 01:12:48,680
Speaker 6: are a long way from talking about the spread in

1439
01:12:48,720 --> 01:12:49,080
Speaker 6: this one.

1440
01:12:49,160 --> 01:12:52,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, I could see that. It's it's just been that

1441
01:12:52,320 --> 01:12:53,160
Speaker 2: kind of season.

1442
01:12:53,600 --> 01:12:57,000
Speaker 6: So I don't count any chickens before they hatch in

1443
01:12:57,080 --> 01:13:00,800
Speaker 6: twenty twenty five because we've been fooled before. But this

1444
01:13:00,960 --> 01:13:03,840
Speaker 6: is just one of those spots, man, where I don't know,

1445
01:13:04,160 --> 01:13:05,479
Speaker 6: and we'll see it on rapid fire.

1446
01:13:05,520 --> 01:13:09,400
Speaker 2: I'll tell you right now. I like Miami. I like Miami.

1447
01:13:10,479 --> 01:13:14,000
Speaker 6: In this game, but it's to cover a big old

1448
01:13:14,000 --> 01:13:16,920
Speaker 6: spread here. But it's just one of those. It's just

1449
01:13:17,000 --> 01:13:20,960
Speaker 6: one of those those you know, if I lose this one,

1450
01:13:21,040 --> 01:13:23,240
Speaker 6: I'll be fine with that result kind of thing like,

1451
01:13:23,439 --> 01:13:25,240
Speaker 6: And I think those are the best bets, the ones

1452
01:13:25,240 --> 01:13:28,519
Speaker 6: where you actually feel comfortable losing, where you say, yeah,

1453
01:13:28,560 --> 01:13:30,200
Speaker 6: I mean, I'm on the right side of this one,

1454
01:13:30,240 --> 01:13:32,759
Speaker 6: no matter what. And that's what it sort of feels

1455
01:13:32,800 --> 01:13:36,040
Speaker 6: like because Stanford could not be an a ward.

1456
01:13:36,400 --> 01:13:38,880
Speaker 2: They are literally their foots on a landmine.

1457
01:13:39,000 --> 01:13:43,040
Speaker 6: Now somebody's asking them to go, you know, go get

1458
01:13:43,040 --> 01:13:44,560
Speaker 6: a cup of coffee for them.

1459
01:13:46,160 --> 01:13:48,439
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, I think this one is I try

1460
01:13:48,479 --> 01:13:51,439
Speaker 5: not to overthink these games, right, And are you going

1461
01:13:51,479 --> 01:13:53,479
Speaker 5: to be feeling good about your Miami bet when it's

1462
01:13:53,960 --> 01:13:58,120
Speaker 5: thirty one ten in the fourth quarter? No? No, But

1463
01:13:58,800 --> 01:14:01,439
Speaker 5: that's the only way you can really play this game, Like,

1464
01:14:01,760 --> 01:14:04,439
Speaker 5: I would not recommend betting Stanford in this spot. Does

1465
01:14:04,479 --> 01:14:06,760
Speaker 5: that mean Stanford can't cover? No, of course they can cover.

1466
01:14:06,880 --> 01:14:10,160
Speaker 5: Anything could happen, as we just mentioned. But I'm looking

1467
01:14:10,200 --> 01:14:12,719
Speaker 5: at their advanced stats right now, and it's like everything

1468
01:14:12,760 --> 01:14:17,040
Speaker 5: is red, like everything every higher it's really bad. And

1469
01:14:17,080 --> 01:14:20,240
Speaker 5: then on the Miami side, everything's green. Everything's all rosy

1470
01:14:20,240 --> 01:14:22,800
Speaker 5: and sunshine. Even though that they lost that game last week,

1471
01:14:22,880 --> 01:14:25,559
Speaker 5: I think they still played well. They just could make

1472
01:14:25,560 --> 01:14:30,439
Speaker 5: a play down the stretch. I have no desire to

1473
01:14:30,479 --> 01:14:32,800
Speaker 5: take points in this matchup. I think there's certain games

1474
01:14:32,840 --> 01:14:34,800
Speaker 5: where I would be interested in taking points when it's

1475
01:14:34,800 --> 01:14:38,120
Speaker 5: a big number. But I think Miami's in one of

1476
01:14:38,160 --> 01:14:42,799
Speaker 5: those spots where we don't see TSS become a factor.

1477
01:14:43,120 --> 01:14:45,720
Speaker 5: Tight sphincter syndrome. I don't think Mario. I feel like

1478
01:14:45,800 --> 01:14:49,519
Speaker 5: he consulted his doctors last week and he's been cured

1479
01:14:49,560 --> 01:14:52,519
Speaker 5: of that symptom for at least a week, and I

1480
01:14:52,560 --> 01:14:54,519
Speaker 5: think the Miami's going to be just fine today.

1481
01:14:54,560 --> 01:14:58,639
Speaker 4: You know, it's funny like something that cures TSS sometimes

1482
01:14:58,760 --> 01:14:59,360
Speaker 4: is a loss.

1483
01:15:00,000 --> 01:15:00,800
Speaker 7: Well, that's a weird thing.

1484
01:15:01,080 --> 01:15:04,240
Speaker 4: Think about Ohio State last year they lost to Michigan.

1485
01:15:04,560 --> 01:15:08,080
Speaker 4: That was a TSS game at home against Michigan, and

1486
01:15:08,120 --> 01:15:11,400
Speaker 4: that was gone right. They cured them no TSS going

1487
01:15:11,400 --> 01:15:14,320
Speaker 4: forward as they bulldozed through the college football playoffs. So

1488
01:15:14,840 --> 01:15:16,880
Speaker 4: we'll see if that can happen from Miami. By the way,

1489
01:15:16,880 --> 01:15:22,120
Speaker 4: real fast quick bo Rich, you mentioned the dual quarterbacks thing. Yeah,

1490
01:15:22,520 --> 01:15:26,040
Speaker 4: teams with dual quarterbacks is like meeting a girl who

1491
01:15:26,120 --> 01:15:26,840
Speaker 4: says I do.

1492
01:15:26,800 --> 01:15:29,360
Speaker 7: A little prostitution on the side. It's like, not.

1493
01:15:29,439 --> 01:15:33,360
Speaker 4: Interested, not interested in any teams with dual quarterbacks.

1494
01:15:33,439 --> 01:15:34,200
Speaker 7: Not interested?

1495
01:15:34,320 --> 01:15:36,920
Speaker 5: What the NFL team with a dual quarterback? The Jets

1496
01:15:36,960 --> 01:15:38,759
Speaker 5: are currently experiencing that right now, there.

1497
01:15:38,600 --> 01:15:43,320
Speaker 4: You go even worse way worth right, We've got Rich Hornberger,

1498
01:15:43,400 --> 01:15:47,280
Speaker 4: Penn State All American, Jared Smith FSR betting analyst. I'm

1499
01:15:47,320 --> 01:15:48,920
Speaker 4: probably in no be sure to check out the new

1500
01:15:48,920 --> 01:15:52,080
Speaker 4: looking features in the bedmgm app. It's fast and easy

1501
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1508
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Speaker 4: That's code countdown in the betmgm app. Coming up, next

1509
01:16:16,240 --> 01:16:20,280
Speaker 4: prop it Up. That's right, the prop betting market. The waters,

1510
01:16:20,320 --> 01:16:23,920
Speaker 4: they're soothing. We will dive headfirst into that market. Coming

1511
01:16:24,000 --> 01:16:27,200
Speaker 4: up next, it's Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff, presented

1512
01:16:27,200 --> 01:16:30,799
Speaker 4: by BETMGM. It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff,

1513
01:16:31,280 --> 01:16:35,360
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1514
01:16:35,400 --> 01:16:37,560
Speaker 4: stream us wherever you happen to be. Catch us in

1515
01:16:37,640 --> 01:16:40,160
Speaker 4: all of our Fox Sports Radio shows live twenty four

1516
01:16:40,160 --> 01:16:43,200
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1517
01:16:43,240 --> 01:16:45,559
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1518
01:16:45,600 --> 01:16:48,439
Speaker 4: live all day, every day, and be sure to select

1519
01:16:48,479 --> 01:16:50,960
Speaker 4: Fox Sports Radio is one of your presets in the

1520
01:16:51,000 --> 01:16:53,760
Speaker 4: iHeart app, so it'll always pop up at the top

1521
01:16:53,800 --> 01:16:54,360
Speaker 4: of your screen.

1522
01:16:55,360 --> 01:17:00,759
Speaker 7: All right, let's do this.

1523
01:16:58,840 --> 01:17:01,320
Speaker 3: Prop it up player plays.

1524
01:17:02,000 --> 01:17:04,640
Speaker 4: Yes, I've been meaning to take a dip in the

1525
01:17:04,760 --> 01:17:08,280
Speaker 4: prop betting waters over here. Feels great, doesn't it. We

1526
01:17:08,360 --> 01:17:09,960
Speaker 4: start with you, Jared, What do you like?

1527
01:17:11,320 --> 01:17:11,640
Speaker 2: I like?

1528
01:17:11,680 --> 01:17:13,840
Speaker 5: I'm really hot and heavy on this handicap today with

1529
01:17:13,960 --> 01:17:18,400
Speaker 5: Missouri's offense, most notably their run game against this Bandy defense.

1530
01:17:18,479 --> 01:17:21,320
Speaker 5: I just don't think Bandy's defense has really been tested

1531
01:17:21,840 --> 01:17:25,519
Speaker 5: in that portion of the offense just yet. In terms

1532
01:17:25,520 --> 01:17:27,880
Speaker 5: of stretching you out and running this wide zone scheme

1533
01:17:27,920 --> 01:17:30,559
Speaker 5: and being dangerous with both Pabula also, but I'm just

1534
01:17:30,560 --> 01:17:32,040
Speaker 5: going to give you a Mott Hardy over eighty eight

1535
01:17:32,080 --> 01:17:35,400
Speaker 5: and a half rush yards. He can gash you, and

1536
01:17:35,479 --> 01:17:37,479
Speaker 5: I think Trabula's legs are also going to be a

1537
01:17:37,520 --> 01:17:39,280
Speaker 5: factor in this game. But we've talked about it before.

1538
01:17:39,320 --> 01:17:41,599
Speaker 5: We don't like the quarterback rushing yards because of sacks,

1539
01:17:42,200 --> 01:17:44,479
Speaker 5: so I'll just focus on the running back here. This

1540
01:17:44,520 --> 01:17:48,559
Speaker 5: will be the best running offense that Bandy has faced

1541
01:17:48,640 --> 01:17:50,920
Speaker 5: all year, and in many of their games, Bandy's had

1542
01:17:50,920 --> 01:17:54,320
Speaker 5: a big lead, which is neutralized the run game. Hardy's

1543
01:17:54,360 --> 01:17:57,639
Speaker 5: props listen. I think you're getting a discount here because

1544
01:17:57,680 --> 01:18:00,000
Speaker 5: he's been held to less than sixty yards in his life.

1545
01:18:01,080 --> 01:18:03,479
Speaker 5: But that's a little bit circumstantial because in the prior

1546
01:18:03,600 --> 01:18:05,719
Speaker 5: four he was one hundred plus in all of those games,

1547
01:18:05,720 --> 01:18:07,720
Speaker 5: and he's still averaging over six yards per carry. So

1548
01:18:08,120 --> 01:18:10,559
Speaker 5: I feel like this is the game where Maszoo comes in,

1549
01:18:10,680 --> 01:18:13,920
Speaker 5: establishes the run, and leaves Nashville with a win. A

1550
01:18:14,000 --> 01:18:16,080
Speaker 5: Mott Hardy a big reason why over eighty eight and

1551
01:18:16,080 --> 01:18:17,000
Speaker 5: a half rush yards for.

1552
01:18:16,960 --> 01:18:20,720
Speaker 2: Me today, A name you've heard before on Profita.

1553
01:18:21,920 --> 01:18:25,120
Speaker 6: I'm going to go with Tailing Green, quarterback for the

1554
01:18:25,240 --> 01:18:29,879
Speaker 6: Arkansas Razor Picks, who is leading a top five offense

1555
01:18:30,040 --> 01:18:33,639
Speaker 6: nationally by almost any metric you look at. Here's where

1556
01:18:33,640 --> 01:18:37,519
Speaker 6: I worry about Tailing Green and his passing yardage. It's

1557
01:18:37,880 --> 01:18:40,519
Speaker 6: two hundred and thirty five and a half yards he

1558
01:18:40,560 --> 01:18:42,920
Speaker 6: has to go over by for me to hit this bet.

1559
01:18:43,439 --> 01:18:44,720
Speaker 2: They have an elite.

1560
01:18:44,320 --> 01:18:47,640
Speaker 6: Front upfront on our burn side of the defense, but

1561
01:18:47,720 --> 01:18:50,320
Speaker 6: on the back end, their secondary is dreadful.

1562
01:18:50,800 --> 01:18:52,920
Speaker 2: So if he can evade and elude the.

1563
01:18:52,960 --> 01:18:55,800
Speaker 6: Rush at times and pump the ball downfield like we've

1564
01:18:55,840 --> 01:18:58,760
Speaker 6: seen him do many times, I think this could potentially

1565
01:18:58,880 --> 01:19:02,640
Speaker 6: sail over. Oh give me Taylor Green two hundred and

1566
01:19:02,640 --> 01:19:04,240
Speaker 6: thirty five and a half passing yards.

1567
01:19:04,280 --> 01:19:05,040
Speaker 2: I'm taking over.

1568
01:19:05,320 --> 01:19:07,479
Speaker 7: Yeah, pretty tough to take the under.

1569
01:19:07,520 --> 01:19:10,360
Speaker 4: It's almost like the NBA All Star Game right when

1570
01:19:10,360 --> 01:19:14,000
Speaker 4: it comes to Taylor Green unders, it's like, Hey, a

1571
01:19:14,000 --> 01:19:16,920
Speaker 4: lot overs hit. I'm gonna go with Minnesota running back

1572
01:19:17,080 --> 01:19:20,960
Speaker 4: Darius Taylor. Okay, give me under seventy one and a

1573
01:19:21,000 --> 01:19:25,519
Speaker 4: half rushing yards at Iowa. Iowa's allowing just three point

1574
01:19:25,560 --> 01:19:29,320
Speaker 4: four yards per carry. That does not include sacks and

1575
01:19:29,439 --> 01:19:33,920
Speaker 4: Minnesota they are one hundred and third in rushing success rate.

1576
01:19:34,320 --> 01:19:36,960
Speaker 4: And another reason why I really like this one so

1577
01:19:37,080 --> 01:19:40,120
Speaker 4: Darius Taylor. He rushed for a buck forty eight last

1578
01:19:40,160 --> 01:19:44,240
Speaker 4: week against Nebraska, So guess what Iowa's gonna be focused

1579
01:19:44,280 --> 01:19:48,639
Speaker 4: on stopping him like we can't let Darius Taylor go

1580
01:19:48,720 --> 01:19:51,679
Speaker 4: off on us like he did against Nebraska. I really

1581
01:19:51,760 --> 01:19:54,000
Speaker 4: like under seventy one and a half in this spot.

1582
01:19:54,439 --> 01:19:56,080
Speaker 7: I will back Iowa.

1583
01:19:56,800 --> 01:19:59,720
Speaker 4: Give me, give me Darius Taylor under seventy one and

1584
01:19:59,720 --> 01:20:00,519
Speaker 4: a half right there.

1585
01:20:01,640 --> 01:20:03,719
Speaker 5: I don't think there's anything else interesting today.

1586
01:20:04,200 --> 01:20:04,840
Speaker 2: I really like.

1587
01:20:04,960 --> 01:20:06,720
Speaker 5: I do think we're gonna see some points in this

1588
01:20:06,960 --> 01:20:09,400
Speaker 5: LSU and A and M game. I do. I think

1589
01:20:09,560 --> 01:20:12,400
Speaker 5: nuss Meyer is gonna be aggressive. I think Durham's gonna

1590
01:20:12,439 --> 01:20:14,840
Speaker 5: have some some moments, and I think Marcel Reid's gonna

1591
01:20:14,840 --> 01:20:16,280
Speaker 5: have his moments too. I would look to play some

1592
01:20:16,360 --> 01:20:19,280
Speaker 5: props overs in the A and MLSU game.

1593
01:20:19,400 --> 01:20:21,800
Speaker 4: I thought about Durham. You know, it's at fifty and

1594
01:20:21,840 --> 01:20:24,519
Speaker 4: a half. I'd have to check it again, but it

1595
01:20:24,640 --> 01:20:25,960
Speaker 4: was fifty and a half last night.

1596
01:20:26,040 --> 01:20:28,880
Speaker 7: Probably the same thing. I don't hate it either. You know,

1597
01:20:28,880 --> 01:20:29,840
Speaker 7: it might be a good way to go.

1598
01:20:30,200 --> 01:20:33,640
Speaker 4: Coming up next, we'll extend the prop betting talk with

1599
01:20:33,800 --> 01:20:34,720
Speaker 4: this quarterback.

1600
01:20:36,880 --> 01:20:37,760
Speaker 7: Oh, what is going on?

1601
01:20:37,840 --> 01:20:42,240
Speaker 4: We are less than one hour away from kickoff. Over here,

1602
01:20:42,360 --> 01:20:45,920
Speaker 4: we're also less than one hour away from kickoff when

1603
01:20:45,920 --> 01:20:48,439
Speaker 4: it comes to this ol Miss Oklahoma game.

1604
01:20:48,600 --> 01:20:49,280
Speaker 7: Huh.

1605
01:20:49,560 --> 01:20:51,960
Speaker 4: We now have Oklahoma favored by five and a half.

1606
01:20:52,320 --> 01:20:55,519
Speaker 4: Very interesting. How about this for ole Miss? It was

1607
01:20:55,640 --> 01:21:00,479
Speaker 4: ugly defensively last week for ole Miss at Georgia. Georgia

1608
01:21:00,520 --> 01:21:04,040
Speaker 4: had five hundred and ten yards of offense. They gained

1609
01:21:04,080 --> 01:21:08,240
Speaker 4: thirty four first downs against Ole Miss's defense. If you

1610
01:21:08,280 --> 01:21:11,880
Speaker 4: look at time of possession, you had Georgia. They had

1611
01:21:11,880 --> 01:21:15,040
Speaker 4: the ball for over thirty seven minutes in that game,

1612
01:21:15,439 --> 01:21:18,360
Speaker 4: and they scored on each of their eight their first

1613
01:21:18,439 --> 01:21:22,719
Speaker 4: eight possessions, never punted. That that Old Miss defense gotta

1614
01:21:22,720 --> 01:21:25,320
Speaker 4: be a whole heck of a lot better against Oklahoma.

1615
01:21:25,439 --> 01:21:30,200
Speaker 4: What's interesting in this matchup? When Oklahoma has the ball,

1616
01:21:30,400 --> 01:21:33,640
Speaker 4: it's weak versus week. Oklahoma's offense is not great. Ole

1617
01:21:33,720 --> 01:21:37,439
Speaker 4: Missus defense is not great either. When Ole Miss has

1618
01:21:37,479 --> 01:21:40,439
Speaker 4: the ball, it's strength versus strength. You look at that

1619
01:21:40,920 --> 01:21:44,360
Speaker 4: ole Miss offense really really good. That Oklahoma defense also

1620
01:21:44,479 --> 01:21:47,880
Speaker 4: really good. So I like that, right, When ole Miss

1621
01:21:47,880 --> 01:21:50,880
Speaker 4: has the ball strength versus strength, when Oklahoma has the

1622
01:21:50,920 --> 01:21:53,400
Speaker 4: ball weakness versus weakness, I think it's gonna be a

1623
01:21:53,400 --> 01:21:54,120
Speaker 4: lot of fun today.

1624
01:21:54,520 --> 01:21:54,720
Speaker 2: Yeah.

1625
01:21:54,800 --> 01:21:59,080
Speaker 6: Ole Miss obviously high flying passing attack always seem to

1626
01:21:59,160 --> 01:22:02,240
Speaker 6: get the ten on lane Kiffin teams.

1627
01:22:02,640 --> 01:22:03,880
Speaker 2: However, Lacy is.

1628
01:22:03,840 --> 01:22:07,600
Speaker 6: One of the country's best backs. I mean, he's compiled

1629
01:22:07,640 --> 01:22:10,759
Speaker 6: over six hundred yards ten touchdowns through the seven games

1630
01:22:10,760 --> 01:22:14,560
Speaker 6: he's played in. He's tied for third most rushing scores

1631
01:22:14,640 --> 01:22:17,479
Speaker 6: in the country and he ranked second in that sec

1632
01:22:17,600 --> 01:22:20,639
Speaker 6: with forty nine forced miss tackles. I mean, this guy

1633
01:22:21,240 --> 01:22:24,080
Speaker 6: gets his yards after contact and he's able to put

1634
01:22:24,120 --> 01:22:26,720
Speaker 6: people out of their shoes. Here's the bad news. The

1635
01:22:26,800 --> 01:22:31,519
Speaker 6: run defense has been shredded, absolutely shredded. They're allowing four

1636
01:22:31,520 --> 01:22:35,040
Speaker 6: and a half plus yards per carry one hundred sixty

1637
01:22:35,120 --> 01:22:36,120
Speaker 6: six plus per.

1638
01:22:36,000 --> 01:22:37,400
Speaker 2: Game on the ground this season.

1639
01:22:37,920 --> 01:22:40,960
Speaker 6: So yeah, it's going to be one of those games

1640
01:22:41,000 --> 01:22:46,400
Speaker 6: where you're going to see. The benefactor in the game

1641
01:22:46,479 --> 01:22:49,000
Speaker 6: is going to be when either side has the football

1642
01:22:49,000 --> 01:22:52,240
Speaker 6: on this one. But all Miss, it's like they're good

1643
01:22:52,280 --> 01:22:55,599
Speaker 6: where they're good, and they're not where they ain't. And

1644
01:22:55,760 --> 01:22:59,080
Speaker 6: right now, defensively, they give a lot to be desired.

1645
01:23:00,080 --> 01:23:02,000
Speaker 5: Yeah, strength versus strength a good way to put it, Brian,

1646
01:23:03,120 --> 01:23:05,559
Speaker 5: I think the pushback I have on the weakness versus weakness,

1647
01:23:05,560 --> 01:23:08,640
Speaker 5: I would argue that when Mateer is healthy, this Oklahoma

1648
01:23:08,640 --> 01:23:12,839
Speaker 5: offense is pretty decent. I think Matier is a Heisman candidate.

1649
01:23:12,920 --> 01:23:16,040
Speaker 5: If he plays the full season at peak strength, he

1650
01:23:16,080 --> 01:23:19,280
Speaker 5: maybe wins the Heisman this year. We'll see how healthy

1651
01:23:19,280 --> 01:23:22,200
Speaker 5: he is. You know, he looked awful against Texas. He

1652
01:23:22,280 --> 01:23:25,880
Speaker 5: looked a little bit better against South Carolina. Right, Like,

1653
01:23:26,000 --> 01:23:28,080
Speaker 5: if we play that forward and we say maybe he

1654
01:23:28,200 --> 01:23:31,240
Speaker 5: was like fifty percent against Texas, he should not have played.

1655
01:23:31,520 --> 01:23:34,240
Speaker 5: Maybe he was sixty seventy percent against South Carolina. Maybe

1656
01:23:34,280 --> 01:23:36,880
Speaker 5: he's eighty percent this week, maybe closer to ninety. I

1657
01:23:36,920 --> 01:23:38,559
Speaker 5: doubt he's going to be one hundred percent, probably not

1658
01:23:38,600 --> 01:23:41,240
Speaker 5: for the rest of the year. But if we get

1659
01:23:41,360 --> 01:23:44,719
Speaker 5: another step in the positive direction against that peak golden defense,

1660
01:23:45,000 --> 01:23:47,240
Speaker 5: I think that could be a big edge for Oklahoma

1661
01:23:47,240 --> 01:23:48,640
Speaker 5: in this game. Right if you want to say that

1662
01:23:48,680 --> 01:23:52,759
Speaker 5: old Missus defense is a weakness and Oklahoma looks better

1663
01:23:52,800 --> 01:23:55,000
Speaker 5: on offense than he did last week against South Carolina,

1664
01:23:55,040 --> 01:23:57,360
Speaker 5: I liked what I saw from the freshman Tory Blaylock,

1665
01:23:57,479 --> 01:24:00,840
Speaker 5: their traditional tailback. Of course, here in the run game

1666
01:24:00,920 --> 01:24:04,519
Speaker 5: is dangerous. I've got another young sophomore tailback, Xavier Robinson,

1667
01:24:04,520 --> 01:24:07,479
Speaker 5: who also looked good last week. So Oklahoma can gash

1668
01:24:07,479 --> 01:24:08,880
Speaker 5: you a little bit in the run game, and that's

1669
01:24:08,880 --> 01:24:13,000
Speaker 5: where ole Miss has really struggled this year. The intangible

1670
01:24:13,040 --> 01:24:16,200
Speaker 5: to this game, I think needs to be mentioned. Apparently

1671
01:24:16,240 --> 01:24:18,720
Speaker 5: Florida backed up the brinks truck for lank kiff and

1672
01:24:18,800 --> 01:24:20,439
Speaker 5: I'm here and it's like, you know, one hundred million

1673
01:24:20,520 --> 01:24:24,600
Speaker 5: or something in that range. And obviously ole miss Is

1674
01:24:24,640 --> 01:24:27,439
Speaker 5: players I'm sure have heard this news as well based

1675
01:24:27,439 --> 01:24:31,160
Speaker 5: off what lank Kiffen told the media. He's actually meeting

1676
01:24:31,160 --> 01:24:33,280
Speaker 5: with his players to talk about this and they're gonna

1677
01:24:33,479 --> 01:24:35,160
Speaker 5: put it all very out in the open and they're

1678
01:24:35,200 --> 01:24:38,559
Speaker 5: gonna discuss it because ole Miss's players haven't really been

1679
01:24:38,560 --> 01:24:40,960
Speaker 5: through this at this level. And the way he's spinning it,

1680
01:24:41,000 --> 01:24:43,080
Speaker 5: and it's a good way to spin it. Listen, Lane's

1681
01:24:43,120 --> 01:24:45,720
Speaker 5: a really smart guy. This is a compliment to you.

1682
01:24:46,800 --> 01:24:49,360
Speaker 5: Florida would not be coming after me unless they thought

1683
01:24:49,520 --> 01:24:52,000
Speaker 5: highly of you. How I'm coaching the players and what

1684
01:24:52,040 --> 01:24:54,760
Speaker 5: the players are doing, So I like the spin he's

1685
01:24:54,760 --> 01:24:57,200
Speaker 5: putting on it. But the question I have is what

1686
01:24:57,320 --> 01:25:00,320
Speaker 5: distraction will this pose for their preparation this week? And

1687
01:25:00,439 --> 01:25:02,280
Speaker 5: you're going on the road in the SEC and now

1688
01:25:02,280 --> 01:25:06,479
Speaker 5: you've got this gator looming over your head. It's a

1689
01:25:06,640 --> 01:25:09,880
Speaker 5: unique scenario and I don't know how his players. I

1690
01:25:09,920 --> 01:25:11,960
Speaker 5: think Lane will handle it. Okay, I don't know how

1691
01:25:12,000 --> 01:25:13,320
Speaker 5: his players will handle it.

1692
01:25:14,000 --> 01:25:17,719
Speaker 4: Yeah, that's fair, you know, if you look at Oklahoma's offense,

1693
01:25:17,800 --> 01:25:21,240
Speaker 4: fair about John Mattier, but their running game sucks. Like collectively,

1694
01:25:21,280 --> 01:25:23,639
Speaker 4: this is not a good offense. But Mattier makes it go.

1695
01:25:24,360 --> 01:25:29,000
Speaker 4: And hopefully he's healthier now. He was not healthy and

1696
01:25:29,040 --> 01:25:31,760
Speaker 4: he was very rusty against Texas and Texas has a

1697
01:25:31,760 --> 01:25:35,120
Speaker 4: real defense, right, Texas presents way more problems than ole

1698
01:25:35,240 --> 01:25:39,000
Speaker 4: Miss has defensively this season. And John Mattier looked like

1699
01:25:39,000 --> 01:25:41,160
Speaker 4: a fish out of water in that game against hook them.

1700
01:25:41,600 --> 01:25:44,120
Speaker 4: But it's a couple of weeks removed. You know, he's

1701
01:25:44,640 --> 01:25:47,080
Speaker 4: been able to shake off the rust and you might

1702
01:25:47,120 --> 01:25:50,479
Speaker 4: see much better performance from him today. The one thing though,

1703
01:25:50,560 --> 01:25:53,840
Speaker 4: is ole Miss is okay against the pass. They're actually

1704
01:25:53,880 --> 01:25:55,960
Speaker 4: pretty good against the pass. They're not very good against

1705
01:25:56,000 --> 01:25:59,000
Speaker 4: the rush, but that again comes back to Oklahoma, they

1706
01:25:59,040 --> 01:26:01,639
Speaker 4: have been able to run it. So if you look

1707
01:26:01,640 --> 01:26:04,040
Speaker 4: at Matier, one of the props that caught my attention,

1708
01:26:04,800 --> 01:26:07,720
Speaker 4: how about his passing touchdowns? One and a half? The

1709
01:26:07,760 --> 01:26:10,840
Speaker 4: over is at minus a dollar twenty five. What do

1710
01:26:10,880 --> 01:26:13,040
Speaker 4: you think, Rich, you like John Mattier to throw at

1711
01:26:13,120 --> 01:26:16,240
Speaker 4: least two touchdown passes against this old miss pass defense

1712
01:26:16,240 --> 01:26:18,720
Speaker 4: that has actually been pretty good, But Oklahoma has a

1713
01:26:18,760 --> 01:26:19,640
Speaker 4: hard time running it.

1714
01:26:20,520 --> 01:26:23,080
Speaker 6: I think that I think that they're going to have

1715
01:26:23,200 --> 01:26:24,639
Speaker 6: to throw the football a little bit.

1716
01:26:24,880 --> 01:26:25,880
Speaker 2: I really do.

1717
01:26:26,080 --> 01:26:28,400
Speaker 6: And now I don't want to throw complete shade on

1718
01:26:28,439 --> 01:26:32,760
Speaker 6: the run game because I think even though they've struggled.

1719
01:26:32,920 --> 01:26:36,760
Speaker 6: Last weekend was freshman Tory Blaylock's best game of the

1720
01:26:36,800 --> 01:26:38,320
Speaker 6: season against South Carolina.

1721
01:26:38,640 --> 01:26:41,040
Speaker 2: He racked up over one hundred yards in that one.

1722
01:26:41,400 --> 01:26:43,960
Speaker 6: It has been a mess of a season from a

1723
01:26:44,040 --> 01:26:47,759
Speaker 6: rush offense standpoint for Oklahoma so far. And Matier's getting

1724
01:26:47,760 --> 01:26:50,519
Speaker 6: better and better each week, and so as he creeps

1725
01:26:50,560 --> 01:26:53,000
Speaker 6: closer and closer to one hundred percent health, what does

1726
01:26:53,000 --> 01:26:56,040
Speaker 6: that mean for Oklahoma. Well, when he was healthy, he

1727
01:26:56,120 --> 01:26:58,400
Speaker 6: was averaging over three hundred yards per game, and he

1728
01:26:58,479 --> 01:27:02,679
Speaker 6: was passing per attempt eight and a half yards or

1729
01:27:02,720 --> 01:27:06,080
Speaker 6: eight and a half yards plus per attempt. I mean

1730
01:27:06,120 --> 01:27:09,240
Speaker 6: those numbers dropped off the map after the injury to

1731
01:27:09,360 --> 01:27:12,439
Speaker 6: one hundred and seventy six yards per game and five

1732
01:27:12,479 --> 01:27:15,280
Speaker 6: and a half yards past per attempt or I should say, yeah,

1733
01:27:15,400 --> 01:27:18,519
Speaker 6: yardage per attempt on his passing, So you can see

1734
01:27:18,560 --> 01:27:22,920
Speaker 6: the stark difference. But he's been playing, he's getting healthier,

1735
01:27:23,160 --> 01:27:26,439
Speaker 6: He's gonna trust his hand more as he keeps playing.

1736
01:27:26,479 --> 01:27:28,840
Speaker 6: So yeah, I don't hate taking the over on that prop.

1737
01:27:29,400 --> 01:27:32,479
Speaker 6: I think Oklahoma they hang around in every game at

1738
01:27:32,600 --> 01:27:35,200
Speaker 6: very least and they have a look at winning every game,

1739
01:27:35,240 --> 01:27:37,880
Speaker 6: and if that's going to be the case against a

1740
01:27:37,960 --> 01:27:41,920
Speaker 6: Rebels defense that can be had. Yeah, I would be

1741
01:27:42,000 --> 01:27:44,400
Speaker 6: more comfortable taking over than the under on that that

1742
01:27:44,439 --> 01:27:46,040
Speaker 6: one and a half touchdown pass prop.

1743
01:27:46,920 --> 01:27:48,960
Speaker 5: I think you just lay it with Oklahoma here, guys.

1744
01:27:49,280 --> 01:27:51,040
Speaker 5: I don't want to overthink this. This is another one

1745
01:27:51,080 --> 01:27:55,320
Speaker 5: of those scenarios where it's higher ranked team on the

1746
01:27:55,400 --> 01:27:59,200
Speaker 5: road against the lower ranked team with quarterback injury issues,

1747
01:27:59,280 --> 01:28:01,960
Speaker 5: and it's the lower ranked team with the quarterback injury

1748
01:28:02,000 --> 01:28:05,360
Speaker 5: issues that's lay in more than a field goal. Again,

1749
01:28:05,439 --> 01:28:08,559
Speaker 5: the market is kind of telling you which team is

1750
01:28:08,600 --> 01:28:11,880
Speaker 5: on the front foot here. I'm curious to see how

1751
01:28:13,560 --> 01:28:15,519
Speaker 5: we talked about the strength versus strength. I did a

1752
01:28:15,520 --> 01:28:18,280
Speaker 5: preview for this video earlier the week that we posted

1753
01:28:18,320 --> 01:28:21,519
Speaker 5: on our betem gym and Fox Sports Radio Socials, and

1754
01:28:21,960 --> 01:28:24,400
Speaker 5: I kind of called it neutral. Right, It's a wash

1755
01:28:24,479 --> 01:28:27,519
Speaker 5: between the Oklahoma defense number one and pressure right number

1756
01:28:27,560 --> 01:28:30,040
Speaker 5: one and overall defense and that lank iff In offense,

1757
01:28:30,800 --> 01:28:33,599
Speaker 5: which is obviously very explosive top ten and explosive play rate.

1758
01:28:33,760 --> 01:28:36,439
Speaker 5: I called it neutral. The more I think about it,

1759
01:28:37,040 --> 01:28:39,600
Speaker 5: I actually do believe there is a slight edge to

1760
01:28:39,640 --> 01:28:43,360
Speaker 5: Oklahoma because I think the one issue I see with

1761
01:28:43,520 --> 01:28:47,040
Speaker 5: ole Miss, and it's not necessarily an offensive issue, it

1762
01:28:47,120 --> 01:28:50,559
Speaker 5: actually plays into their defense. We want to ask questions

1763
01:28:50,560 --> 01:28:54,479
Speaker 5: about why the ole Miss defense struggled so mightily last

1764
01:28:54,479 --> 01:28:56,280
Speaker 5: week when they were on the field for eighty plays

1765
01:28:56,320 --> 01:28:58,439
Speaker 5: and they were just gassed in that game against Georgia.

1766
01:28:58,600 --> 01:29:00,400
Speaker 5: Let's be cause the ole Miss offense course so damn

1767
01:29:00,439 --> 01:29:03,400
Speaker 5: fast and they don't give their defense time to rest.

1768
01:29:03,600 --> 01:29:07,840
Speaker 5: So I actually think the two scenarios that play out here, right,

1769
01:29:08,120 --> 01:29:10,800
Speaker 5: ole Missus defense or excuse me, all Missus offense has

1770
01:29:10,840 --> 01:29:14,040
Speaker 5: success against this Oklahoma defense. They're scoring quickly well then

1771
01:29:14,040 --> 01:29:16,200
Speaker 5: you gotta throw your defense back on the field really fast,

1772
01:29:16,360 --> 01:29:18,479
Speaker 5: or the other side, you go three and out because

1773
01:29:18,479 --> 01:29:20,760
Speaker 5: this Oklahoma defense is really good. Well, then you gotta

1774
01:29:20,760 --> 01:29:23,959
Speaker 5: throw your defense back onto the field and there continue

1775
01:29:24,000 --> 01:29:25,639
Speaker 5: to be gassed throughout the game. So I think as

1776
01:29:25,640 --> 01:29:27,720
Speaker 5: we get deeper on in the season, the one thing

1777
01:29:27,720 --> 01:29:30,439
Speaker 5: I'm learning about ole Miss is their offense being so

1778
01:29:30,640 --> 01:29:34,479
Speaker 5: explosive and so fast paced is actually a detriment to

1779
01:29:34,520 --> 01:29:36,960
Speaker 5: their defense and being on the road, it just makes

1780
01:29:37,000 --> 01:29:40,120
Speaker 5: things a little bit more muddled. So I I the

1781
01:29:40,160 --> 01:29:43,000
Speaker 5: more I look into this game, the more I like Oklahoma.

1782
01:29:43,200 --> 01:29:45,960
Speaker 5: Maybe that's, you know, me being a little bit biased

1783
01:29:45,960 --> 01:29:48,240
Speaker 5: towards my bet, but I do feel like the old

1784
01:29:48,280 --> 01:29:52,599
Speaker 5: Miss offense being so explosive and being so quick actually

1785
01:29:52,680 --> 01:29:54,080
Speaker 5: is the negative at some points.

1786
01:29:54,720 --> 01:29:57,360
Speaker 4: I don't know if that applies to today though, right Like,

1787
01:29:57,439 --> 01:30:00,000
Speaker 4: do you see them being explosive and scoring super fans

1788
01:30:00,280 --> 01:30:01,559
Speaker 4: on Oklahoma's defense.

1789
01:30:02,560 --> 01:30:04,800
Speaker 5: It's kind of funny. It kind of reminds me of

1790
01:30:04,880 --> 01:30:08,120
Speaker 5: a boxing match, right Like, Ole Miss is a team

1791
01:30:08,160 --> 01:30:10,840
Speaker 5: that needs the knockout blow in order to win this game.

1792
01:30:10,920 --> 01:30:13,720
Speaker 5: They're not just gonna jab and punch and you know,

1793
01:30:14,000 --> 01:30:16,559
Speaker 5: a thousand cuts their way to a win today. They

1794
01:30:16,640 --> 01:30:19,360
Speaker 5: need knockout punches against his Oklahoma defense because I think

1795
01:30:19,439 --> 01:30:21,679
Speaker 5: over the course of an eight ten, twelve play drive,

1796
01:30:21,960 --> 01:30:23,840
Speaker 5: Oklahoma's gonna get a play I have it play that's

1797
01:30:23,840 --> 01:30:27,400
Speaker 5: gonna you know, ruin it, whereas ole Miss needs I

1798
01:30:27,439 --> 01:30:30,519
Speaker 5: think those uppercut lt to land if they want to

1799
01:30:30,560 --> 01:30:31,080
Speaker 5: win this game.

1800
01:30:31,120 --> 01:30:33,599
Speaker 2: So yeah, maybe, yeah.

1801
01:30:33,640 --> 01:30:35,360
Speaker 7: The total it's ticked down just a bit.

1802
01:30:35,640 --> 01:30:37,720
Speaker 4: Uh, it's down to fifty two and a half, which

1803
01:30:37,760 --> 01:30:40,200
Speaker 4: is still high, but it's come down a couple of points.

1804
01:30:40,439 --> 01:30:41,880
Speaker 7: So take it for that it's worth.

1805
01:30:42,360 --> 01:30:46,000
Speaker 6: I think that's faith in Oklahoma's defense, especially the tone

1806
01:30:46,000 --> 01:30:51,360
Speaker 6: setters up front. They have a substantial defensive line, and look,

1807
01:30:51,400 --> 01:30:54,599
Speaker 6: the Sooners lead the country in sackson tackles for loss.

1808
01:30:54,640 --> 01:31:00,040
Speaker 6: So getting in the kitchen of ole Miss early and

1809
01:31:00,680 --> 01:31:05,120
Speaker 6: you know, disrupting what would what ole Miss is looking

1810
01:31:05,160 --> 01:31:08,120
Speaker 6: to do is going to be a very important part

1811
01:31:08,160 --> 01:31:13,080
Speaker 6: of this game from the standpoint of of the Oklahoma

1812
01:31:13,160 --> 01:31:15,880
Speaker 6: Sooners controlling the line of scrimmage. I look at it

1813
01:31:16,200 --> 01:31:19,920
Speaker 6: kind of simply in matchups like this, I agree with

1814
01:31:20,080 --> 01:31:25,000
Speaker 6: what Jared said, props feel like like maybe a stay away.

1815
01:31:25,680 --> 01:31:29,920
Speaker 6: I think the market probably is telling you who who

1816
01:31:30,040 --> 01:31:32,960
Speaker 6: you should put your money on, and don't overthink it.

1817
01:31:32,960 --> 01:31:37,240
Speaker 6: It's it's pretty It's pretty obvious here. How how this

1818
01:31:37,320 --> 01:31:41,000
Speaker 6: one may or may not play out based on the feeling.

1819
01:31:41,120 --> 01:31:46,680
Speaker 6: I like, I like Oklahoma. I think Oklahoma defending their

1820
01:31:46,680 --> 01:31:48,400
Speaker 6: home turf makes the most sense.

1821
01:31:49,800 --> 01:31:52,519
Speaker 4: All right, we got Rich Hoornberger, Penn State All American,

1822
01:31:52,600 --> 01:31:54,759
Speaker 4: Jared Smith FSR betting analyst.

1823
01:31:55,240 --> 01:31:55,920
Speaker 7: I'm Brian No.

1824
01:31:56,000 --> 01:31:59,320
Speaker 4: Bet MGM players will receive college Football boost tokens and

1825
01:31:59,360 --> 01:32:02,680
Speaker 4: College Football Parlay boost tokens throughout the season to use

1826
01:32:02,760 --> 01:32:06,120
Speaker 4: in college football bets, score extra winnings if your bet

1827
01:32:06,160 --> 01:32:09,559
Speaker 4: with the boosted token wins. Check it out in the

1828
01:32:09,720 --> 01:32:13,200
Speaker 4: bet MGM app. All right, coming up next?

1829
01:32:13,680 --> 01:32:16,000
Speaker 7: What is it? Uh? What was the old saying like

1830
01:32:16,640 --> 01:32:17,800
Speaker 7: kickers are people too?

1831
01:32:18,320 --> 01:32:18,479
Speaker 10: Right?

1832
01:32:18,600 --> 01:32:18,680
Speaker 2: Like?

1833
01:32:19,080 --> 01:32:21,519
Speaker 4: Yeah, kind of applies to this game. It's not a

1834
01:32:21,640 --> 01:32:25,320
Speaker 4: kickers thing. But these teams are teams also. I don't

1835
01:32:25,360 --> 01:32:26,639
Speaker 4: know the best way to say it, but we'll dive

1836
01:32:26,640 --> 01:32:29,240
Speaker 4: into their game as well. Coming up next, it is

1837
01:32:29,280 --> 01:32:32,759
Speaker 4: Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented by bet MGM.

1838
01:32:33,040 --> 01:32:36,559
Speaker 4: It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented by

1839
01:32:36,600 --> 01:32:40,200
Speaker 4: bett MGM. If you missed anything, on today's show. You

1840
01:32:40,280 --> 01:32:42,960
Speaker 4: want to catch the podcast, just search Fox Sports Radio

1841
01:32:43,000 --> 01:32:46,439
Speaker 4: wherever you get your podcasts. Right after the show, today's

1842
01:32:46,479 --> 01:32:48,840
Speaker 4: pod will be posted. Be sure to follow it, rate

1843
01:32:48,880 --> 01:32:52,080
Speaker 4: it five stars, and you can even provide a review. Again,

1844
01:32:52,200 --> 01:32:55,040
Speaker 4: just search Fox Sports Radio wherever you get your podcasts,

1845
01:32:55,520 --> 01:32:58,080
Speaker 4: and you'll find today's full show posted right after we

1846
01:32:58,120 --> 01:32:58,760
Speaker 4: get off the air.

1847
01:33:00,080 --> 01:33:01,200
Speaker 7: Right, these teams matter too.

1848
01:33:02,320 --> 01:33:04,120
Speaker 4: It's a group of five, but hey, one of these

1849
01:33:04,120 --> 01:33:06,479
Speaker 4: team's gonna make it to the college football playoff. And

1850
01:33:06,560 --> 01:33:08,880
Speaker 4: this is a really interesting game. How about number eighteen

1851
01:33:09,040 --> 01:33:12,880
Speaker 4: South Florida against Memphis. Both teams are six and one.

1852
01:33:13,439 --> 01:33:15,880
Speaker 4: Kicks off here in just over a half hour, right

1853
01:33:16,000 --> 01:33:20,800
Speaker 4: early start time. And look, man, if you look at USF,

1854
01:33:21,400 --> 01:33:24,360
Speaker 4: they're really explosive and they do a great job converting

1855
01:33:24,360 --> 01:33:29,120
Speaker 4: on third down. And so that's a big deal today Memphis,

1856
01:33:29,320 --> 01:33:31,479
Speaker 4: what they have their their quarterback is gonna give it

1857
01:33:31,520 --> 01:33:34,720
Speaker 4: a go. That's the news this morning. Where you look

1858
01:33:34,760 --> 01:33:39,800
Speaker 4: at Brendan Lewis, he is expected to start today, and

1859
01:33:39,840 --> 01:33:42,560
Speaker 4: so it's always good like, hey, yeah, their quarterback's gonna go.

1860
01:33:43,200 --> 01:33:46,799
Speaker 4: The point spread has changed a little bit, so Memphis

1861
01:33:46,840 --> 01:33:48,880
Speaker 4: is now a three and a half point dog. They

1862
01:33:48,880 --> 01:33:52,799
Speaker 4: were as much as a five point dog earlier this morning,

1863
01:33:52,840 --> 01:33:55,720
Speaker 4: but that has changed a bit. So what do you think,

1864
01:33:55,840 --> 01:33:58,000
Speaker 4: rich little group of five action for you over here?

1865
01:33:58,080 --> 01:33:59,600
Speaker 4: South Florida at Memphis.

1866
01:34:00,120 --> 01:34:04,439
Speaker 6: Yeah, Like, here's the thing, both of these teams to

1867
01:34:04,560 --> 01:34:08,280
Speaker 6: me going into this game could win it. I felt

1868
01:34:08,280 --> 01:34:10,280
Speaker 6: like it was a toss up a pick them, even

1869
01:34:10,320 --> 01:34:14,240
Speaker 6: when the spread was a little bit wider. I like Memphis.

1870
01:34:15,200 --> 01:34:19,360
Speaker 6: They put good pressure on quarterbacks that they're opposing. They

1871
01:34:19,360 --> 01:34:24,040
Speaker 6: do a nice job limiting explosive plays defensively, They defend

1872
01:34:24,080 --> 01:34:26,600
Speaker 6: the run well, opponents are only rushing three and a

1873
01:34:26,640 --> 01:34:28,760
Speaker 6: half yards per carry against them, and they do a

1874
01:34:28,840 --> 01:34:31,680
Speaker 6: nice job even though USF is an explosive offense, and

1875
01:34:31,760 --> 01:34:35,439
Speaker 6: do a nice job on third down themselves. They're holding Memphis,

1876
01:34:35,439 --> 01:34:39,840
Speaker 6: the Tigers defensively opponents to thirty five percent on third

1877
01:34:39,880 --> 01:34:44,080
Speaker 6: down with fourteen takeaways. So this is a pretty solid

1878
01:34:44,200 --> 01:34:48,960
Speaker 6: Tigers defense that USF is going against an offensively missing

1879
01:34:49,600 --> 01:34:53,000
Speaker 6: possibly their best player on the field, Chass Nimrod. So

1880
01:34:54,240 --> 01:34:59,200
Speaker 6: I like what I've seen from Memphis's defense. Also, USF

1881
01:34:59,439 --> 01:35:02,040
Speaker 6: limping into this one a little bit. And even if

1882
01:35:02,080 --> 01:35:05,680
Speaker 6: Brandon Lewis isn't one hundred percent. AJ hill Is backup

1883
01:35:06,040 --> 01:35:11,479
Speaker 6: turned in a pretty good performance in Lewis's stead. He

1884
01:35:11,560 --> 01:35:14,200
Speaker 6: threw a tuddy, he was pretty clean. He ran that

1885
01:35:14,240 --> 01:35:18,440
Speaker 6: that well balanced offense they try to run at Memphis

1886
01:35:18,439 --> 01:35:22,320
Speaker 6: pretty well. So even if you see Lewis for part

1887
01:35:22,320 --> 01:35:24,439
Speaker 6: of the game and then Hill goes in there, he's

1888
01:35:24,479 --> 01:35:26,759
Speaker 6: proven himself to be a capable backup.

1889
01:35:26,880 --> 01:35:30,080
Speaker 2: So I do like Memphis in this game as dogs.

1890
01:35:30,960 --> 01:35:34,120
Speaker 5: Yeah. I think first of all, the number has moved

1891
01:35:34,160 --> 01:35:38,040
Speaker 5: considerably since last night, and that's your indicator. I guess,

1892
01:35:38,520 --> 01:35:40,880
Speaker 5: maybe not how healthy Brendon Lewis is, but that he's

1893
01:35:40,920 --> 01:35:41,759
Speaker 5: definitely gonna play.

1894
01:35:42,040 --> 01:35:42,280
Speaker 2: Yeah.

1895
01:35:43,800 --> 01:35:46,519
Speaker 5: You look at both of these teams and they both

1896
01:35:46,680 --> 01:35:49,240
Speaker 5: kind of remind me of each other, like they're both

1897
01:35:49,280 --> 01:35:51,640
Speaker 5: kind of mirror images. I think both quarterbacks, right, if

1898
01:35:51,720 --> 01:35:53,880
Speaker 5: Lewis is healthy and Byron Brown are both, you know,

1899
01:35:53,920 --> 01:35:56,200
Speaker 5: the best players on the field, and they're both very

1900
01:35:56,240 --> 01:36:03,200
Speaker 5: reliant on their offenses. Memphis is defense. There's a couple holes.

1901
01:36:03,680 --> 01:36:05,719
Speaker 5: I didn't like what I saw last week against UAB,

1902
01:36:05,880 --> 01:36:07,880
Speaker 5: although you could make the argument that they were very

1903
01:36:07,960 --> 01:36:10,920
Speaker 5: much looking ahead of this game and UAB was in

1904
01:36:10,960 --> 01:36:14,880
Speaker 5: that you know, fired coach spot. But when I look

1905
01:36:14,880 --> 01:36:18,559
Speaker 5: at this Memphis offense, especially the passing offense. I think

1906
01:36:18,560 --> 01:36:21,040
Speaker 5: that's where I need to see more. They take a

1907
01:36:21,040 --> 01:36:24,559
Speaker 5: lot of sacks, the pressure rates too high. Not sure

1908
01:36:24,600 --> 01:36:26,880
Speaker 5: if South Florida can take advantage of that. This is

1909
01:36:26,880 --> 01:36:30,080
Speaker 5: a very fun group of five race this year. I

1910
01:36:30,200 --> 01:36:35,439
Speaker 5: think I think the group of five winner, or excuse me,

1911
01:36:35,479 --> 01:36:38,280
Speaker 5: the group of five representative in the Cultural Playoff, will

1912
01:36:38,280 --> 01:36:41,920
Speaker 5: come from this conference, the American Conference. But Boise's still

1913
01:36:42,160 --> 01:36:45,519
Speaker 5: going strong. The knock on Boise is they went to

1914
01:36:45,600 --> 01:36:48,559
Speaker 5: USF Week one and got absolutely destroyed. So I think

1915
01:36:48,600 --> 01:36:52,360
Speaker 5: that's where the committee will look at this American Conference

1916
01:36:52,400 --> 01:36:55,799
Speaker 5: and say they are the best group of five conference

1917
01:36:55,880 --> 01:37:01,160
Speaker 5: this year. You've got Navy still lurking. Navy goes to

1918
01:37:01,320 --> 01:37:04,639
Speaker 5: Memphis the last game of the year and they play

1919
01:37:05,280 --> 01:37:09,080
Speaker 5: South Florida at home. That game is at Navy in

1920
01:37:09,800 --> 01:37:14,040
Speaker 5: three weeks. So regardless of what happens in this game today,

1921
01:37:14,280 --> 01:37:17,240
Speaker 5: this kind of feels like the elimination game before the

1922
01:37:17,280 --> 01:37:21,040
Speaker 5: Big Boss of Navy because Navy looks legit. Listen, guys,

1923
01:37:21,120 --> 01:37:23,320
Speaker 5: Navy six and zero. You know, they're a much different

1924
01:37:23,400 --> 01:37:24,840
Speaker 5: Navy team than what we used to We talked about

1925
01:37:24,840 --> 01:37:28,080
Speaker 5: it last year with play corbatt They're much more vertically

1926
01:37:28,120 --> 01:37:30,840
Speaker 5: inclined this year throwing the ball than they have been

1927
01:37:30,880 --> 01:37:34,000
Speaker 5: in prior years. They're not just an option three yards

1928
01:37:34,000 --> 01:37:37,759
Speaker 5: and a cloud of dust offense anymore. So. I actually think,

1929
01:37:37,800 --> 01:37:40,880
Speaker 5: regardless of who wins this game, I actually think Navy

1930
01:37:41,000 --> 01:37:44,680
Speaker 5: might be that final boss waiting to knock off one

1931
01:37:44,680 --> 01:37:47,360
Speaker 5: of these teams in the next few weeks to make

1932
01:37:47,400 --> 01:37:49,120
Speaker 5: it to the Group of five. I'll be honest, it

1933
01:37:49,120 --> 01:37:51,160
Speaker 5: would be It would be really fun. How about if

1934
01:37:51,200 --> 01:37:54,720
Speaker 5: we get a college football playoff with Navy and Vanderbilt.

1935
01:37:54,800 --> 01:37:56,840
Speaker 5: I mean, how weird and wacky would that be?

1936
01:37:56,920 --> 01:37:57,200
Speaker 2: Brian?

1937
01:37:57,840 --> 01:38:00,719
Speaker 4: Yeah, hey, it would qualify as weird and whack, no doubt.

1938
01:38:01,400 --> 01:38:04,040
Speaker 4: How about this, speaking of weird and wacky, UCLA at

1939
01:38:04,120 --> 01:38:09,479
Speaker 4: number two Indiana number two? Indiana like that kind of

1940
01:38:09,479 --> 01:38:13,400
Speaker 4: weird and wacky, right, But Indiana seven and zero and

1941
01:38:14,720 --> 01:38:18,519
Speaker 4: huge favorites today. Let me double check just to make sure.

1942
01:38:18,560 --> 01:38:20,960
Speaker 4: But it was forty four and a half, yeah, twenty

1943
01:38:21,280 --> 01:38:25,839
Speaker 4: so it's yeah, I U is a healthy, healthy favorite

1944
01:38:25,840 --> 01:38:29,280
Speaker 4: over here, twenty twenty six and a half, right, so

1945
01:38:29,360 --> 01:38:32,200
Speaker 4: it's ticked up even more. What do you think, rich?

1946
01:38:32,560 --> 01:38:34,439
Speaker 4: You interested in laying twenty six and a half are

1947
01:38:34,439 --> 01:38:35,480
Speaker 4: going with the Bruins.

1948
01:38:35,920 --> 01:38:40,679
Speaker 6: Man, I think Indiana really cares about winning by margin.

1949
01:38:41,040 --> 01:38:41,320
Speaker 2: I don't.

1950
01:38:41,360 --> 01:38:43,519
Speaker 6: I don't think winning is enough for them. I think

1951
01:38:43,560 --> 01:38:46,040
Speaker 6: Signetti likes to pile it on where he ken. I

1952
01:38:46,120 --> 01:38:51,160
Speaker 6: thought that Ucla Nico played bad last week, just miserable

1953
01:38:51,160 --> 01:38:55,040
Speaker 6: against Miami, And even though UCLA has woken up over

1954
01:38:55,080 --> 01:38:58,720
Speaker 6: the past few games, it's really been all about I

1955
01:38:58,720 --> 01:39:01,240
Speaker 6: don't want to call it lucky play. That's really rude,

1956
01:39:01,320 --> 01:39:04,719
Speaker 6: so I'll say explosives. There have been some moments where

1957
01:39:04,800 --> 01:39:09,840
Speaker 6: they've gotten themselves out of trouble or they've made miraculous, beautiful,

1958
01:39:09,960 --> 01:39:15,080
Speaker 6: acrobatic catches downfield. So yeah, I'm leaning hard Indiana in

1959
01:39:15,160 --> 01:39:15,559
Speaker 6: this game.

1960
01:39:15,680 --> 01:39:18,879
Speaker 5: Yeah, the world is not ready for number one Ohio

1961
01:39:18,920 --> 01:39:21,880
Speaker 5: State versus number two Indiana in the Big Ten Championship game.

1962
01:39:21,960 --> 01:39:25,120
Speaker 5: I don't think the world college football world is ready

1963
01:39:25,120 --> 01:39:30,559
Speaker 5: to swallow that matchup hole. I mean, guys, Indiana's last

1964
01:39:30,600 --> 01:39:33,439
Speaker 5: real test is at Penn State. I think it's next

1965
01:39:33,439 --> 01:39:37,960
Speaker 5: week or in two weeks. It's soon. I think they'll

1966
01:39:38,000 --> 01:39:40,800
Speaker 5: win that game. The rest of the schedule for Ohio State,

1967
01:39:40,920 --> 01:39:43,799
Speaker 5: it's really just a whole bunch of Nothing and Michigan.

1968
01:39:45,000 --> 01:39:48,760
Speaker 5: I think we are destined for one versus two Big

1969
01:39:48,800 --> 01:39:51,559
Speaker 5: Ten championship game, which is gonna I hope we get

1970
01:39:51,560 --> 01:39:53,200
Speaker 5: it because it would be awesome. It would be an

1971
01:39:53,280 --> 01:39:57,200
Speaker 5: awesome spectacle. I don't think any other teams in the

1972
01:39:57,240 --> 01:39:59,920
Speaker 5: Big Ten are on that level this year. I put

1973
01:40:00,360 --> 01:40:02,720
Speaker 5: I have four teams on my top tier right now,

1974
01:40:02,920 --> 01:40:06,040
Speaker 5: subject to change, but Alabama and Georgia and the SEC

1975
01:40:06,960 --> 01:40:09,360
Speaker 5: and Indiana and Ohio State in the Big Ten. And

1976
01:40:09,600 --> 01:40:11,479
Speaker 5: I think if I could do a final four, you know,

1977
01:40:11,560 --> 01:40:15,639
Speaker 5: March Madness style, I would pair those teams up cross

1978
01:40:15,640 --> 01:40:18,240
Speaker 5: conference matchups and I'd say, there you go, roll the

1979
01:40:18,240 --> 01:40:20,599
Speaker 5: ball out. Let's let's see who's best. Because right now,

1980
01:40:20,600 --> 01:40:26,799
Speaker 5: Indiana's surprisingly surprisingly in my top tier of national championship contenders.

1981
01:40:27,280 --> 01:40:27,800
Speaker 7: Interesting.

1982
01:40:29,040 --> 01:40:31,120
Speaker 4: I want to ask you a question, Jared, and you're

1983
01:40:31,160 --> 01:40:32,880
Speaker 4: gonna have to give me the benefit of the doubt.

1984
01:40:33,479 --> 01:40:35,559
Speaker 4: This is not always give you the benefit of the doubt,

1985
01:40:35,920 --> 01:40:38,599
Speaker 4: of course, as we all know, Yes, this is not

1986
01:40:38,640 --> 01:40:40,960
Speaker 4: the pick of fight. This is an honest question, okay,

1987
01:40:41,280 --> 01:40:44,519
Speaker 4: Because we know that you're your roll Tide. You know

1988
01:40:44,640 --> 01:40:47,320
Speaker 4: you've got the tide box and the roll of toilet

1989
01:40:47,360 --> 01:40:49,519
Speaker 4: paper on a like a ruler.

1990
01:40:49,720 --> 01:40:52,679
Speaker 7: Just roll Tide, baby, like you've adopted them.

1991
01:40:52,880 --> 01:40:55,920
Speaker 4: But but I'm just thinking about I you, right, and

1992
01:40:56,000 --> 01:40:58,360
Speaker 4: if you look at what has really sold you on

1993
01:40:58,560 --> 01:41:01,599
Speaker 4: the Tide was going on the road in beating Georgia,

1994
01:41:01,800 --> 01:41:04,479
Speaker 4: which is a big win, right, But you could play

1995
01:41:04,520 --> 01:41:05,639
Speaker 4: the same game with Indiana.

1996
01:41:05,720 --> 01:41:05,880
Speaker 2: Right.

1997
01:41:05,960 --> 01:41:08,160
Speaker 4: They went on the road and they beat Oregon, which

1998
01:41:08,240 --> 01:41:11,280
Speaker 4: was a mammoth win. And so you look at you.

1999
01:41:11,560 --> 01:41:15,040
Speaker 4: You love Ty Simpson for good reason. Fernando Mendoz has

2000
01:41:15,040 --> 01:41:18,160
Speaker 4: been playing really good football. So that's my question is

2001
01:41:19,400 --> 01:41:23,760
Speaker 4: why are you seemingly higher on Alabama than Indiana when

2002
01:41:23,800 --> 01:41:27,120
Speaker 4: Indiana has a lot of similar things on the resume

2003
01:41:27,240 --> 01:41:28,040
Speaker 4: that the Tide has.

2004
01:41:28,120 --> 01:41:31,640
Speaker 5: It's just depth, It's just depth. Yeah, I just I

2005
01:41:31,640 --> 01:41:34,120
Speaker 5: think Indiana. I honestly, I put them on the same

2006
01:41:34,160 --> 01:41:36,280
Speaker 5: tier as Obama right now. I don't have a lot

2007
01:41:36,280 --> 01:41:38,920
Speaker 5: of separation between those two teams. Bama would be favorite

2008
01:41:38,920 --> 01:41:43,720
Speaker 5: on a neutral but I think Signetti and their moxie,

2009
01:41:43,720 --> 01:41:46,080
Speaker 5: they're a little more experience this year. I think the

2010
01:41:46,120 --> 01:41:48,960
Speaker 5: fact that they went through the College Wall Playoff last

2011
01:41:49,040 --> 01:41:51,719
Speaker 5: year and had that experience I think will help them

2012
01:41:51,760 --> 01:41:54,840
Speaker 5: this year. But I still think Bama because of just

2013
01:41:55,040 --> 01:41:59,200
Speaker 5: how talented the roster is. They are the deepest team

2014
01:41:59,240 --> 01:42:03,280
Speaker 5: in college football. And that's why in addition to the resume,

2015
01:42:03,640 --> 01:42:06,759
Speaker 5: like the don't get me wrong, Indiana's resume is solid,

2016
01:42:06,960 --> 01:42:10,240
Speaker 5: but Indiana has one solid win, Bama has four, and

2017
01:42:10,280 --> 01:42:12,840
Speaker 5: Bama has two good wins on the road. So I

2018
01:42:12,840 --> 01:42:16,800
Speaker 5: think that's where I'm a little bit more intrigued with

2019
01:42:16,960 --> 01:42:22,320
Speaker 5: Bama's upside because they were so you know, lacklustering that

2020
01:42:22,360 --> 01:42:25,679
Speaker 5: opening game and people were jumping ship, and I said, Okay,

2021
01:42:26,040 --> 01:42:27,559
Speaker 5: let's see how the rest of the season plays out.

2022
01:42:27,600 --> 01:42:30,320
Speaker 5: And they've bounced back in such a strong way. Indiana

2023
01:42:30,360 --> 01:42:32,800
Speaker 5: hasn't faced a ton of adversity yet this year, Like,

2024
01:42:32,920 --> 01:42:34,960
Speaker 5: let's see if they're down late in a game and

2025
01:42:35,000 --> 01:42:37,160
Speaker 5: see how they handle that. You know, they've been on

2026
01:42:37,200 --> 01:42:39,120
Speaker 5: the front foot in most of their games and all

2027
01:42:39,120 --> 01:42:42,240
Speaker 5: their games blowing teams out. So I'll be fascinating to

2028
01:42:42,280 --> 01:42:44,240
Speaker 5: see them. They're not gonna be tested in the next

2029
01:42:44,320 --> 01:42:46,679
Speaker 5: five games, but I'll be fascinated to see what happens

2030
01:42:46,720 --> 01:42:49,920
Speaker 5: at Ohio State or on a neutrol against Ohio State

2031
01:42:49,920 --> 01:42:52,439
Speaker 5: in the Big Den Championship game, how they handle that

2032
01:42:52,560 --> 01:42:54,720
Speaker 5: next step because Bama's gonna be tested a lot over

2033
01:42:54,760 --> 01:42:56,240
Speaker 5: the next four weeks, where Indiana's not.

2034
01:42:57,680 --> 01:43:01,360
Speaker 6: I like the points here taking them South Carolina here,

2035
01:43:01,400 --> 01:43:05,840
Speaker 6: because you look at what Bama's done Underdbor so far.

2036
01:43:07,120 --> 01:43:09,920
Speaker 6: I think that once they build a little bit of room,

2037
01:43:10,160 --> 01:43:12,160
Speaker 6: once they get a little comfy, they can come out

2038
01:43:12,200 --> 01:43:16,120
Speaker 6: flat sometimes. And I could I could see Bama being

2039
01:43:16,160 --> 01:43:18,640
Speaker 6: a little flat footed, maybe having trouble getting.

2040
01:43:18,400 --> 01:43:19,719
Speaker 2: Off the bus in this game.

2041
01:43:21,680 --> 01:43:25,519
Speaker 6: And also, let's be honest, Bama's defense, and part of

2042
01:43:25,560 --> 01:43:29,639
Speaker 6: the reason why I'm not siding against Bama in any way,

2043
01:43:29,800 --> 01:43:33,120
Speaker 6: and we've had this debate on the show about Alabama.

2044
01:43:33,360 --> 01:43:36,360
Speaker 6: I think they look different, and I think the fact

2045
01:43:36,400 --> 01:43:38,879
Speaker 6: that they look so different hurts my eyes. Like for example,

2046
01:43:39,200 --> 01:43:42,519
Speaker 6: when Nick Saban was there, you never really saw too

2047
01:43:42,560 --> 01:43:46,040
Speaker 6: much weakness with Bama's defense, and now with the boor

2048
01:43:46,200 --> 01:43:49,879
Speaker 6: and their defensive coordinator, there are definite holes, like for example,

2049
01:43:50,200 --> 01:43:53,360
Speaker 6: against a mobile quarterback, they'll struggle more.

2050
01:43:53,680 --> 01:43:55,160
Speaker 2: Than they have in years past.

2051
01:43:55,240 --> 01:43:59,240
Speaker 6: And so I could see South Carolina keeping this game close,

2052
01:43:59,439 --> 01:44:02,320
Speaker 6: whereas in the past, I could see this being a

2053
01:44:02,360 --> 01:44:06,280
Speaker 6: complete blowout for the Tide over a team that that

2054
01:44:06,800 --> 01:44:09,960
Speaker 6: you know has kind of tripped over itself all season long,

2055
01:44:10,040 --> 01:44:13,960
Speaker 6: while Alabama has back to back to back to back

2056
01:44:14,080 --> 01:44:16,000
Speaker 6: top twenty five wins under their belt.

2057
01:44:16,120 --> 01:44:17,559
Speaker 2: So yeah, yeah, I.

2058
01:44:18,160 --> 01:44:20,720
Speaker 6: Think Bama wins this game. Don't get me wrong, and

2059
01:44:20,800 --> 01:44:23,240
Speaker 6: don't get it twisted. I think Bama is an elite

2060
01:44:23,360 --> 01:44:24,920
Speaker 6: national power this season.

2061
01:44:24,960 --> 01:44:25,599
Speaker 2: I really do.

2062
01:44:26,200 --> 01:44:29,439
Speaker 6: However, I'll I'll take whatever it is at this point.

2063
01:44:29,520 --> 01:44:30,840
Speaker 6: Is at eleven eleven and a half.

2064
01:44:30,920 --> 01:44:31,600
Speaker 7: Yeah, eleven, So.

2065
01:44:31,760 --> 01:44:34,040
Speaker 5: I'm on, I'm on South Carolina they do, by the way, Yeah,

2066
01:44:34,040 --> 01:44:37,880
Speaker 5: I okay, agree with Rich's dake. I think because of

2067
01:44:37,600 --> 01:44:40,439
Speaker 5: the road that Bama has had, this does feel like

2068
01:44:40,439 --> 01:44:42,280
Speaker 5: a spot where they maybe take their foot off the

2069
01:44:42,320 --> 01:44:43,240
Speaker 5: gas a little bit.

2070
01:44:43,640 --> 01:44:43,840
Speaker 2: Yep.

2071
01:44:43,920 --> 01:44:46,200
Speaker 5: And that's why I think it. Also, it's really tough

2072
01:44:46,200 --> 01:44:49,360
Speaker 5: to win with margin in the SEC. Double digit favorites.

2073
01:44:49,400 --> 01:44:51,240
Speaker 5: Last year in the SEC went six and twenty four

2074
01:44:51,240 --> 01:44:51,920
Speaker 5: against the spread.

2075
01:44:52,080 --> 01:44:55,040
Speaker 2: Wow, that's a great statue. Yeah I could.

2076
01:44:55,240 --> 01:44:58,240
Speaker 6: Yeah, that SEC top tough against each other. It's a

2077
01:44:58,400 --> 01:45:00,439
Speaker 6: it's a grinder of a of a reference.

2078
01:45:00,680 --> 01:45:03,519
Speaker 4: And think about it too, just getting up for your opponent.

2079
01:45:03,960 --> 01:45:07,599
Speaker 4: This is a sandwich spot, the Alabama taking on South Carolina.

2080
01:45:07,680 --> 01:45:13,080
Speaker 4: So Alabama played number five Georgia, number sixteen Vanderbilt number fourteen,

2081
01:45:13,120 --> 01:45:17,559
Speaker 4: Missouri number eleven, Tennessee now unranked South Carolina. Yeah, and

2082
01:45:17,600 --> 01:45:20,680
Speaker 4: then they face ranked LSU ranked Oklahoma.

2083
01:45:21,120 --> 01:45:23,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, so you know, not quite a trap, but we're

2084
01:45:23,920 --> 01:45:24,400
Speaker 2: right there.

2085
01:45:24,479 --> 01:45:24,880
Speaker 7: That's right.

2086
01:45:24,960 --> 01:45:27,160
Speaker 5: I think Bama's gonna I'll be honest, I wouldn't be

2087
01:45:27,160 --> 01:45:29,360
Speaker 5: shocked if Bama drops a game. And I hope they

2088
01:45:29,360 --> 01:45:30,960
Speaker 5: do because then it'll get us a better number to

2089
01:45:30,960 --> 01:45:34,360
Speaker 5: bet on Simpson Heisman and you know, Bama futures. But

2090
01:45:34,400 --> 01:45:36,360
Speaker 5: I wouldn't be shocked that Bama drops one of these games.

2091
01:45:36,560 --> 01:45:36,880
Speaker 2: Yeah.

2092
01:45:36,960 --> 01:45:40,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's an interesting spot for South Carolina too. Right,

2093
01:45:40,000 --> 01:45:43,360
Speaker 4: they're three and four. If you go back to last season,

2094
01:45:43,600 --> 01:45:46,799
Speaker 4: they played Bama tough. South Carolina lost by two points.

2095
01:45:46,840 --> 01:45:49,600
Speaker 4: They lost twenty seven to twenty five, and then that

2096
01:45:49,720 --> 01:45:52,559
Speaker 4: jump started their season. They won six straight games right

2097
01:45:52,640 --> 01:45:56,479
Speaker 4: after that. And this is now. We're never really for

2098
01:45:56,560 --> 01:45:59,439
Speaker 4: South Carolina. It's been a very disappointing season for them.

2099
01:46:00,000 --> 01:46:02,200
Speaker 4: They remind me of the Metallica song The Day that

2100
01:46:02,280 --> 01:46:05,720
Speaker 4: Never Comes right, That's what South Carolina feels like this year.

2101
01:46:06,400 --> 01:46:09,080
Speaker 4: Our guy Seamus McGee, he called this remember before the

2102
01:46:09,120 --> 01:46:12,679
Speaker 4: season started. He's like, yeah, we do this every year. Oh,

2103
01:46:12,800 --> 01:46:15,599
Speaker 4: Leonora sellers at all. Look at South Carolina. I'm gonna

2104
01:46:15,600 --> 01:46:18,800
Speaker 4: lose five games easy. He was right here they are.

2105
01:46:19,320 --> 01:46:22,280
Speaker 4: But this if there's ever a spot for Bama to

2106
01:46:22,360 --> 01:46:25,880
Speaker 4: be a little bit lax, you know, a little unfocused,

2107
01:46:26,120 --> 01:46:30,240
Speaker 4: it's today in this spot after four ranked opponents and

2108
01:46:30,280 --> 01:46:33,679
Speaker 4: two more to follow this game unranked South Carolina, who

2109
01:46:33,680 --> 01:46:35,479
Speaker 4: does have a lot of talent, they just haven't put

2110
01:46:35,520 --> 01:46:39,360
Speaker 4: it together. Yeah, this is an anticipation type spot here

2111
01:46:39,360 --> 01:46:40,479
Speaker 4: if you want to go with the dog.

2112
01:46:41,600 --> 01:46:45,080
Speaker 6: Yeah, yeah, that's that's a real good one. I look,

2113
01:46:45,120 --> 01:46:48,760
Speaker 6: this is uh again, like Jared said, do I read

2114
01:46:48,800 --> 01:46:52,240
Speaker 6: as a trap game? Maybe now more after hearing the

2115
01:46:52,280 --> 01:46:56,240
Speaker 6: stat he gave us about covers against the spread with

2116
01:46:56,320 --> 01:46:59,320
Speaker 6: double digit spreads and things like that. And also, yeah,

2117
01:46:59,600 --> 01:47:02,160
Speaker 6: you know, you start looking at that schedule. I cited

2118
01:47:02,160 --> 01:47:04,679
Speaker 6: the four games they just came out of. Yeah, look

2119
01:47:04,720 --> 01:47:08,400
Speaker 6: what's ahead of South Carolina. I mean, the grind continues

2120
01:47:08,439 --> 01:47:10,120
Speaker 6: on the other side of South Carolina.

2121
01:47:10,680 --> 01:47:13,000
Speaker 2: But Bama cannot look at this game.

2122
01:47:12,800 --> 01:47:15,800
Speaker 6: That way because if you look past any opponent in

2123
01:47:15,920 --> 01:47:20,720
Speaker 6: this conference, you're doing yourself dirty. But but, but it's

2124
01:47:20,760 --> 01:47:23,800
Speaker 6: a human game played by real humans who have a

2125
01:47:23,840 --> 01:47:26,920
Speaker 6: hard time you know, doing the right thing all the time.

2126
01:47:27,520 --> 01:47:29,320
Speaker 2: Just see the NBA.

2127
01:47:29,439 --> 01:47:31,920
Speaker 4: Hey hey, by the way, are you guys ready for

2128
01:47:32,120 --> 01:47:36,559
Speaker 4: a phrase that you probably did not anticipate coming today?

2129
01:47:37,040 --> 01:47:37,120
Speaker 10: No?

2130
01:47:37,280 --> 01:47:38,320
Speaker 2: Sure? Yeah?

2131
01:47:38,360 --> 01:47:43,240
Speaker 4: How about money coming in on the Wisconsin Badgers?

2132
01:47:43,439 --> 01:47:43,479
Speaker 1: No?

2133
01:47:45,080 --> 01:47:46,040
Speaker 7: Yeah, how about that?

2134
01:47:46,120 --> 01:47:50,320
Speaker 4: So Wisconsin at number six Oregon today, Oregon was favored

2135
01:47:50,320 --> 01:47:51,439
Speaker 4: by thirty three and a half.

2136
01:47:51,479 --> 01:47:53,800
Speaker 7: It's down to thirty one and a half. Wow, So

2137
01:47:54,200 --> 01:47:54,680
Speaker 7: there you go.

2138
01:47:55,520 --> 01:47:58,760
Speaker 6: I cannot get behind that whatsoever.

2139
01:47:59,160 --> 01:48:00,599
Speaker 2: I mean, Oregon is.

2140
01:48:00,600 --> 01:48:05,160
Speaker 6: Now a perennial powerhouse in college football. I don't think

2141
01:48:05,200 --> 01:48:09,040
Speaker 6: this is gonna be particularly close. I mean, if anything

2142
01:48:09,120 --> 01:48:13,040
Speaker 6: that's spread dropping a little bit just I mean, just

2143
01:48:13,160 --> 01:48:16,839
Speaker 6: sweetens the deal if you were waiting on taking Oregon

2144
01:48:16,920 --> 01:48:19,920
Speaker 6: by a I mean, look, it's hard. It's hard to

2145
01:48:20,640 --> 01:48:24,439
Speaker 6: beat beat a team that's already so down, even worse

2146
01:48:24,479 --> 01:48:27,679
Speaker 6: than they are. But look at the gauntlet that they've

2147
01:48:27,720 --> 01:48:34,720
Speaker 6: gone through. Iowa, Ohio State today, Oregon, they have Indiana

2148
01:48:34,800 --> 01:48:38,439
Speaker 6: in two weeks from now. I mean, Wisconsin right now

2149
01:48:38,520 --> 01:48:40,160
Speaker 6: is in the thick of it.

2150
01:48:40,200 --> 01:48:40,360
Speaker 10: Man.

2151
01:48:40,479 --> 01:48:44,160
Speaker 6: Yeah, I cannot put any money realistic. It's either put

2152
01:48:44,200 --> 01:48:46,120
Speaker 6: money on Oregon or don't bet this game at all.

2153
01:48:46,760 --> 01:48:50,240
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean listen, guys, I think Oregon is coming

2154
01:48:50,360 --> 01:48:53,559
Speaker 5: off of their game where it was bad spot like

2155
01:48:53,720 --> 01:48:57,600
Speaker 5: wrong time for you know whoever. I forget who was

2156
01:48:57,640 --> 01:48:59,479
Speaker 5: the opponent last week, but Oregon just absolutely blew him

2157
01:48:59,479 --> 01:49:02,840
Speaker 5: out coming off the Indiana game. But you just look

2158
01:49:02,880 --> 01:49:05,719
Speaker 5: at this week, you would think it's some It was Rutgers.

2159
01:49:05,760 --> 01:49:10,920
Speaker 5: It was Rutgers. You would think you would think that

2160
01:49:11,040 --> 01:49:14,040
Speaker 5: the smart money has some reason to bet Wisconsin, right,

2161
01:49:14,120 --> 01:49:17,479
Speaker 5: Like that's when when whenever I see a line move whenever,

2162
01:49:17,479 --> 01:49:19,360
Speaker 5: you know, we talk about these games all the time,

2163
01:49:19,439 --> 01:49:21,479
Speaker 5: like the Iowa State BYU game, like the A and

2164
01:49:21,560 --> 01:49:23,639
Speaker 5: MLSU game where it's just like that line just looks

2165
01:49:23,640 --> 01:49:26,640
Speaker 5: a little bit weird. I always try to remove my

2166
01:49:26,800 --> 01:49:29,200
Speaker 5: bias from the equation and say, oh, well, Organ is

2167
01:49:29,200 --> 01:49:31,759
Speaker 5: so much better, Like, you know, they must be stupid

2168
01:49:31,840 --> 01:49:35,320
Speaker 5: for betting Wisconsin. All right, Well what am I missing? Like, like,

2169
01:49:35,520 --> 01:49:37,200
Speaker 5: let's look into it and let's see if we can

2170
01:49:37,280 --> 01:49:40,840
Speaker 5: find anything. I can't find anything. I can't find anything

2171
01:49:41,360 --> 01:49:43,240
Speaker 5: that makes me want to bet Wisconsin in this game

2172
01:49:43,360 --> 01:49:46,840
Speaker 5: other than some math nerd out there makes this game

2173
01:49:46,960 --> 01:49:49,799
Speaker 5: thirty and the line was thirty four, so he's betting

2174
01:49:49,800 --> 01:49:53,200
Speaker 5: it or some service somewhere it feels like they have

2175
01:49:53,320 --> 01:49:56,800
Speaker 5: an edge and so they're gonna give out Wisconsin or

2176
01:49:57,800 --> 01:50:00,280
Speaker 5: we've seen this a lot. I know Bill Krachenberger talks

2177
01:50:00,320 --> 01:50:02,160
Speaker 5: about this a lot on the Sunday Show. Sometimes it's

2178
01:50:02,200 --> 01:50:05,479
Speaker 5: a headfake. Sometimes you'll get a service release something or

2179
01:50:06,200 --> 01:50:09,479
Speaker 5: a sharp release something, and it'll move the line. And

2180
01:50:09,520 --> 01:50:11,720
Speaker 5: the only reason to do that is so they can

2181
01:50:11,720 --> 01:50:13,960
Speaker 5: come back ten X on the other side after they

2182
01:50:13,960 --> 01:50:16,640
Speaker 5: get a better number. So I cannot think of a

2183
01:50:16,680 --> 01:50:19,160
Speaker 5: logical reason why you would bet Wisconsin in this game,

2184
01:50:19,200 --> 01:50:21,160
Speaker 5: besides the fact that it's a very low total game

2185
01:50:21,240 --> 01:50:23,959
Speaker 5: and the spreads very high, and in that particular scenario,

2186
01:50:24,479 --> 01:50:26,679
Speaker 5: the underdog really only has to score once or twice

2187
01:50:26,960 --> 01:50:30,400
Speaker 5: to cover. But man, I just I can't see it happening.

2188
01:50:30,520 --> 01:50:32,880
Speaker 4: Yeah, no, it's good. It's good to be open minded.

2189
01:50:33,080 --> 01:50:35,240
Speaker 4: It's a weird thing with sports betting, right. I think

2190
01:50:35,280 --> 01:50:37,200
Speaker 4: you have to be open minded and you have to

2191
01:50:37,200 --> 01:50:39,840
Speaker 4: be stubborn at the same time, and those two things

2192
01:50:39,960 --> 01:50:41,679
Speaker 4: completely contradict each other.

2193
01:50:41,720 --> 01:50:42,840
Speaker 7: But that's really what it is.

2194
01:50:42,920 --> 01:50:45,679
Speaker 4: It's like, if there's a point spread that just thinks,

2195
01:50:45,680 --> 01:50:48,800
Speaker 4: to the high heavens, you got to at least open

2196
01:50:48,840 --> 01:50:52,080
Speaker 4: your mind and entertain the thought of that might be right.

2197
01:50:52,240 --> 01:50:55,920
Speaker 4: But the other part of this is the market's wrong too.

2198
01:50:56,520 --> 01:50:59,920
Speaker 4: The market is dead wrong at times. So I don't

2199
01:50:59,880 --> 01:51:01,680
Speaker 4: think it makes sense to just open your mind to

2200
01:51:01,720 --> 01:51:04,000
Speaker 4: the point where you're just some sheep and you're.

2201
01:51:03,840 --> 01:51:05,040
Speaker 7: Like, they must have it.

2202
01:51:05,120 --> 01:51:05,599
Speaker 5: I don't.

2203
01:51:05,680 --> 01:51:06,280
Speaker 7: What do I know?

2204
01:51:06,439 --> 01:51:08,400
Speaker 4: Well, sometimes you know way more than them, you know

2205
01:51:08,400 --> 01:51:10,439
Speaker 4: what I mean, So you can be misled by the

2206
01:51:10,479 --> 01:51:13,800
Speaker 4: market as well. Hey, it is time right now for

2207
01:51:13,920 --> 01:51:16,080
Speaker 4: the tire rack play of the day. Let's do that

2208
01:51:17,120 --> 01:51:18,200
Speaker 4: swing in a high.

2209
01:51:17,960 --> 01:51:20,080
Speaker 2: Fly ball right center field.

2210
01:51:20,280 --> 01:51:28,640
Speaker 6: Bernandez back on the truck, Go on, Glin Slim, Madison

2211
01:51:28,840 --> 01:51:30,720
Speaker 6: Barger blues.

2212
01:51:30,240 --> 01:51:33,600
Speaker 2: This game wide open nine.

2213
01:51:33,479 --> 01:51:35,960
Speaker 5: Two Blue Jays in the bottom.

2214
01:51:35,600 --> 01:51:36,240
Speaker 2: Of the six.

2215
01:51:37,200 --> 01:51:40,400
Speaker 4: There you go, compliments a Blue Jays Radio network as

2216
01:51:40,439 --> 01:51:43,760
Speaker 4: the Jays win it eleven to four in Game one

2217
01:51:43,800 --> 01:51:46,519
Speaker 4: of the World Series. For over forty years, Tyrak has

2218
01:51:46,520 --> 01:51:48,920
Speaker 4: been helping customers find the right tires for how, what

2219
01:51:49,120 --> 01:51:51,800
Speaker 4: and where they drive, shipped fast and free back by

2220
01:51:51,800 --> 01:51:55,679
Speaker 4: free road hazard protection, with convenient installation options like mobile

2221
01:51:55,720 --> 01:51:59,240
Speaker 4: tire installation, tire rack dot Com. The way tire buying

2222
01:51:59,280 --> 01:52:03,240
Speaker 4: should be, By the way. Shout out to Dan Pleisak,

2223
01:52:03,520 --> 01:52:05,639
Speaker 4: who works for MLB Network.

2224
01:52:05,800 --> 01:52:08,479
Speaker 7: He called Barger hitting a home run.

2225
01:52:08,560 --> 01:52:11,280
Speaker 4: He wasn't even in the lineup, and he's like, oh,

2226
01:52:11,320 --> 01:52:14,080
Speaker 4: he's gonna come up to the plate with bad intentions, baby,

2227
01:52:14,120 --> 01:52:16,679
Speaker 4: And MLB Network's like, he's not even in the lineup.

2228
01:52:16,680 --> 01:52:19,400
Speaker 4: What are you talking about right now? Just mark my words?

2229
01:52:19,439 --> 01:52:22,880
Speaker 4: Sure enough, grand slam in the sixth inning. That was crazy, man,

2230
01:52:23,640 --> 01:52:24,280
Speaker 4: that's awesome.

2231
01:52:24,320 --> 01:52:24,599
Speaker 3: Wow.

2232
01:52:24,760 --> 01:52:26,679
Speaker 2: I mean, that's just the World Series.

2233
01:52:27,120 --> 01:52:29,680
Speaker 6: I get it. You know, the Dodgers. It kind of

2234
01:52:29,680 --> 01:52:32,000
Speaker 6: felt like, well, of course, the Dodgers are their best,

2235
01:52:32,240 --> 01:52:35,439
Speaker 6: best team money can buy, and the Blue Jays not

2236
01:52:35,520 --> 01:52:40,040
Speaker 6: necessarily in this country a national darling, but gosh, there

2237
01:52:40,040 --> 01:52:42,360
Speaker 6: are magical moments every.

2238
01:52:42,160 --> 01:52:45,120
Speaker 2: Single fall, and baseball delivers.

2239
01:52:45,240 --> 01:52:47,000
Speaker 7: It's awesome, absolutely all right.

2240
01:52:47,040 --> 01:52:50,120
Speaker 4: We've got a Rich Hornberger, Penn State All American, Jared

2241
01:52:50,160 --> 01:52:54,040
Speaker 4: Smith FSR betting analyst. I'm Brian No. Coming up next,

2242
01:52:54,360 --> 01:52:58,720
Speaker 4: picks Galore, rapid Fire. We have a bushel of selections

2243
01:52:58,720 --> 01:52:59,920
Speaker 4: for you will compare notes.

2244
01:53:00,040 --> 01:53:00,360
Speaker 7: Coming up.

2245
01:53:00,400 --> 01:53:04,040
Speaker 4: It's Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented by Bet MGM.

2246
01:53:04,360 --> 01:53:08,240
Speaker 4: It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented by

2247
01:53:08,320 --> 01:53:09,840
Speaker 4: Bett MGM.

2248
01:53:10,280 --> 01:53:11,160
Speaker 7: Props to the crew.

2249
01:53:11,640 --> 01:53:16,000
Speaker 4: Huh our guy Bo Benson, the Dodgers own pod or

2250
01:53:16,040 --> 01:53:21,519
Speaker 4: trusted producer, our technical producer extraordinary Chris Purfet, and shout

2251
01:53:21,520 --> 01:53:24,200
Speaker 4: out to our guy Sager on digital posting our clips.

2252
01:53:24,560 --> 01:53:27,639
Speaker 4: Give Fox Sports Radio a follow on X you can

2253
01:53:27,640 --> 01:53:30,760
Speaker 4: see our smiling faces all of our picks. You know,

2254
01:53:30,840 --> 01:53:33,200
Speaker 4: the ones that hit, you'll just you know, act like

2255
01:53:33,240 --> 01:53:36,559
Speaker 4: it never happened. The ones that didn't. You control us endlessly.

2256
01:53:36,760 --> 01:53:39,960
Speaker 4: That's just how it goes. You know, that's sadly, that's

2257
01:53:40,000 --> 01:53:40,599
Speaker 4: how it goes.

2258
01:53:41,040 --> 01:53:43,679
Speaker 7: You know know like hey man, good angle man, great call.

2259
01:53:43,800 --> 01:53:44,880
Speaker 7: This doesn't work like that.

2260
01:53:45,000 --> 01:53:48,040
Speaker 4: You know that would that'd be an American basically, you know,

2261
01:53:49,479 --> 01:53:55,040
Speaker 4: Top of the hour up on Game LaVar Arrington, TJ Hushman, Zada, Plexico, Burus,

2262
01:53:55,040 --> 01:53:57,439
Speaker 4: they have got you covered. Keep it locked right here

2263
01:53:57,520 --> 01:54:00,880
Speaker 4: on Fox Sports Radio, they head your way in just

2264
01:54:01,040 --> 01:54:05,400
Speaker 4: under twelve minutes. All right, little extended time right here,

2265
01:54:05,439 --> 01:54:08,160
Speaker 4: be as long as you what it is. Time for

2266
01:54:08,280 --> 01:54:08,880
Speaker 4: rapid fire.

2267
01:54:08,960 --> 01:54:09,639
Speaker 7: Let's do it.

2268
01:54:12,560 --> 01:54:13,439
Speaker 3: Rapid fire.

2269
01:54:14,479 --> 01:54:16,680
Speaker 7: All right, Jared, we start with you. What do you like?

2270
01:54:17,120 --> 01:54:19,519
Speaker 5: Well, let's go not so rapid fire. And I think

2271
01:54:19,560 --> 01:54:21,040
Speaker 5: that's what the pace is going to be in this

2272
01:54:21,120 --> 01:54:25,160
Speaker 5: Minnesota Iowa game, we're going under thirty nine and a half. Shocker,

2273
01:54:25,280 --> 01:54:28,960
Speaker 5: we're betting an under in an Iowa game. Points at

2274
01:54:28,960 --> 01:54:31,760
Speaker 5: a premium, guys. This is the Floyd of Rosedale game.

2275
01:54:31,760 --> 01:54:34,480
Speaker 5: They're giving out one hundred pound pig, not an actual pig,

2276
01:54:34,840 --> 01:54:37,000
Speaker 5: a bronze pig. That's the statue you win if you

2277
01:54:37,080 --> 01:54:40,960
Speaker 5: win this game. The last time these rivals played in

2278
01:54:41,040 --> 01:54:45,320
Speaker 5: Iowa City, the final score was twelve to ten. I'm

2279
01:54:45,320 --> 01:54:48,040
Speaker 5: hoping we get a similar score in this game again.

2280
01:54:48,080 --> 01:54:51,960
Speaker 5: Painfully slow tempos, both defenses playing well. Minnesota sack Dylan

2281
01:54:52,000 --> 01:54:55,440
Speaker 5: Royola nine times last week. A little callback to Ferris

2282
01:54:55,480 --> 01:54:59,440
Speaker 5: Bueller nine times. I was allowing less than three and

2283
01:54:59,480 --> 01:55:01,240
Speaker 5: a half yards for under thirty nine and a half

2284
01:55:01,320 --> 01:55:04,240
Speaker 5: between the Kiaphers and the Hawkeyes. How about a couple

2285
01:55:04,320 --> 01:55:08,880
Speaker 5: overs points, points, points, fast tempo here in Baylor Cincinnati,

2286
01:55:08,920 --> 01:55:11,360
Speaker 5: we're going over sixty seven and a half. Let's get

2287
01:55:11,400 --> 01:55:15,360
Speaker 5: Lackey with this one. Both teams again top twenty in pace.

2288
01:55:15,520 --> 01:55:18,720
Speaker 5: I really like this Baylor offense and Cincinnati Brendan Soresby

2289
01:55:19,320 --> 01:55:21,160
Speaker 5: slinging it a little bit better than I expected this

2290
01:55:21,240 --> 01:55:24,240
Speaker 5: year from the Cincinnati offense, got Sadderfield has got this

2291
01:55:24,320 --> 01:55:26,520
Speaker 5: team humming a little bit. Soresby Top five and EPA

2292
01:55:26,560 --> 01:55:28,520
Speaker 5: per play will go over sixty seven and a half

2293
01:55:28,680 --> 01:55:31,800
Speaker 5: Baylor and Cincy, and in one more over, another fast

2294
01:55:31,920 --> 01:55:35,080
Speaker 5: versus fast game in terms of tempos. TCU in West

2295
01:55:35,120 --> 01:55:38,520
Speaker 5: Virginia over fifty five and a half. Another matchup between

2296
01:55:38,520 --> 01:55:41,080
Speaker 5: two offenses that I think are on the front foot

2297
01:55:41,120 --> 01:55:43,280
Speaker 5: Josh Ruver probably one of the best quarterbacks in collage

2298
01:55:43,240 --> 01:55:46,560
Speaker 5: football you've never heard of, and the Mountaineers defense allowing

2299
01:55:46,720 --> 01:55:49,560
Speaker 5: forty three points per game over their last four. I

2300
01:55:49,600 --> 01:55:50,960
Speaker 5: think it'll be a high scoring affair.

2301
01:55:51,400 --> 01:55:56,200
Speaker 11: In Morgan County, Okay, LSU is dogged at home during

2302
01:55:56,200 --> 01:55:59,600
Speaker 11: a night game. This feels like a spot where you

2303
01:55:59,640 --> 01:56:02,560
Speaker 11: got love the Tigers. Now Texas A and M comes

2304
01:56:02,560 --> 01:56:05,240
Speaker 11: in and they have a good quarterback and a very

2305
01:56:05,280 --> 01:56:08,800
Speaker 11: talented mobile offense and a.

2306
01:56:08,760 --> 01:56:11,000
Speaker 6: Great defense as well. They're a lead up front, but

2307
01:56:11,120 --> 01:56:14,600
Speaker 6: desperation enters the bowl. Brian Kelly needs this win, and

2308
01:56:14,640 --> 01:56:19,560
Speaker 6: that's an important factor data point to add to this conversation.

2309
01:56:20,040 --> 01:56:22,840
Speaker 6: I already mentioned the fact that they're hosting and Death

2310
01:56:22,920 --> 01:56:26,800
Speaker 6: Valley at night. That's a tough place to win down

2311
01:56:26,840 --> 01:56:30,920
Speaker 6: there in the Bayou and beware brand recognition. Sometimes when

2312
01:56:30,960 --> 01:56:33,160
Speaker 6: I see spreads like this and they stick out to

2313
01:56:33,200 --> 01:56:35,760
Speaker 6: me a little bit, I think to myself, like, I

2314
01:56:35,800 --> 01:56:38,640
Speaker 6: could see this line moving a little bit more in

2315
01:56:38,880 --> 01:56:42,160
Speaker 6: LSU's Favorite before kickoff, a lot of time for betters

2316
01:56:42,160 --> 01:56:45,480
Speaker 6: to get on the Tigers wagon. This feels artificially low,

2317
01:56:46,080 --> 01:56:48,280
Speaker 6: so you get more points if you bet now, in

2318
01:56:48,320 --> 01:56:52,120
Speaker 6: my opinion. Moving on to Miami, Who's favorite? Twenty nine

2319
01:56:52,400 --> 01:56:57,160
Speaker 6: in a half. They're hosting Stanford. Perfect spot to take

2320
01:56:57,200 --> 01:56:59,880
Speaker 6: Miami in this one. Here's the reason why they're coming

2321
01:56:59,880 --> 01:57:03,920
Speaker 6: off an emotional loss. Stanford's coming off an emotional win

2322
01:57:04,080 --> 01:57:07,600
Speaker 6: and then traveling cross country. Don't overthink this one though.

2323
01:57:07,720 --> 01:57:09,720
Speaker 6: I'm not going to give you too much more. Stanford

2324
01:57:09,800 --> 01:57:13,400
Speaker 6: is god awful. They are a bad football team in

2325
01:57:13,480 --> 01:57:16,600
Speaker 6: just about every single metric you can measure by. They're

2326
01:57:16,640 --> 01:57:20,360
Speaker 6: going to get absolutely smoked on the road in Miami.

2327
01:57:20,680 --> 01:57:23,400
Speaker 6: Moving on to another team who's going to really struggle.

2328
01:57:23,760 --> 01:57:28,040
Speaker 6: You have Oregon taking on Wisconsin. Wisconsin's on the struggle bus.

2329
01:57:28,040 --> 01:57:30,560
Speaker 6: It doesn't get easier. They still have Indiana on their

2330
01:57:30,600 --> 01:57:33,200
Speaker 6: schedule and they just went through a gauntlet and it's

2331
01:57:33,240 --> 01:57:36,560
Speaker 6: punctuated by this beatdown that Oregon's about to put on them.

2332
01:57:36,640 --> 01:57:38,880
Speaker 6: I have Oregon favored by thirty one and a half.

2333
01:57:39,120 --> 01:57:41,880
Speaker 6: Here's the thing. You need points when you're favored by

2334
01:57:41,880 --> 01:57:44,440
Speaker 6: that many points, and they're going to get them because

2335
01:57:44,440 --> 01:57:48,480
Speaker 6: they have an amazing quarterback. They have an elite freshman receiver,

2336
01:57:49,080 --> 01:57:52,320
Speaker 6: they have two great running backs and an elite tight end.

2337
01:57:52,320 --> 01:57:55,520
Speaker 6: They have everywhere to go with the football offensively. Give

2338
01:57:55,560 --> 01:57:58,400
Speaker 6: me Oregon, give me the Ducks favorite thirty one and

2339
01:57:58,400 --> 01:57:58,800
Speaker 6: a half.

2340
01:57:59,200 --> 01:58:02,440
Speaker 4: All right, I'm gonna start off with a couple of props.

2341
01:58:02,520 --> 01:58:06,520
Speaker 4: Give me Minnesota running back Darius Taylor. I like under

2342
01:58:06,600 --> 01:58:10,240
Speaker 4: seventy one and a half rushing yards at Iowa today.

2343
01:58:10,600 --> 01:58:11,840
Speaker 7: As I said and prop it up.

2344
01:58:11,880 --> 01:58:14,280
Speaker 4: Iowa does a good job against the rush, only allowed

2345
01:58:14,280 --> 01:58:18,200
Speaker 4: three point four yards per Carrie, not including sacks. Minnesota's

2346
01:58:18,320 --> 01:58:22,080
Speaker 4: rushing success rate one hundred and third in the country.

2347
01:58:22,560 --> 01:58:25,240
Speaker 4: And you had Taylor go off last week against Nebraska

2348
01:58:25,320 --> 01:58:28,160
Speaker 4: rush for almost one hundred and fifty yards. It is

2349
01:58:28,240 --> 01:58:31,720
Speaker 4: priority number one for Iowa's defense to slow him down.

2350
01:58:31,800 --> 01:58:34,840
Speaker 4: I'll take Darius Taylor under seventy one and a half

2351
01:58:34,960 --> 01:58:38,360
Speaker 4: rushing yards. Give me another running back. Jared mentioned this.

2352
01:58:38,760 --> 01:58:41,160
Speaker 4: I'm on the same page. Give me Missouri running back

2353
01:58:41,200 --> 01:58:44,839
Speaker 4: Ahmad Hardy over eighty eight and a half yards rushing.

2354
01:58:45,200 --> 01:58:48,560
Speaker 4: He's playing against Vandy today on the road. I mean

2355
01:58:48,760 --> 01:58:52,400
Speaker 4: I faded him against Auburn's beef and I was right.

2356
01:58:52,600 --> 01:58:55,120
Speaker 4: You know, Auburn's beef slowed him down. We don't have

2357
01:58:55,160 --> 01:58:58,560
Speaker 4: the same beef with Vanderbilt over there. Their defense ranks

2358
01:58:58,840 --> 01:59:03,280
Speaker 4: sixty second and yards allowed per rush again not including sacks.

2359
01:59:03,880 --> 01:59:06,320
Speaker 4: So I think that you gotta get a modd Hardy

2360
01:59:06,720 --> 01:59:10,280
Speaker 4: going today. He's the engine of that offense. Missouri is

2361
01:59:10,320 --> 01:59:12,440
Speaker 4: gonna feed him the rock over and over, and I

2362
01:59:12,440 --> 01:59:14,120
Speaker 4: think that he's gonna find a lot of success. So

2363
01:59:14,160 --> 01:59:15,920
Speaker 4: I like a mod Hardy over eighty eight and a

2364
01:59:15,960 --> 01:59:17,520
Speaker 4: half yards rushing.

2365
01:59:18,120 --> 01:59:19,520
Speaker 7: And give me South Carolina.

2366
01:59:19,800 --> 01:59:22,440
Speaker 4: Give me the game Cocks plus eleven and a half

2367
01:59:22,600 --> 01:59:23,680
Speaker 4: hosting Alabama.

2368
01:59:23,800 --> 01:59:24,879
Speaker 7: I like the spot.

2369
01:59:25,120 --> 01:59:29,200
Speaker 4: Bama with four straight wins over ranked teams. They have

2370
01:59:29,280 --> 01:59:32,440
Speaker 4: two more games against ranked teams right after this game

2371
01:59:32,480 --> 01:59:36,520
Speaker 4: against South Carolina. I think it's a like a sleepy spot,

2372
01:59:36,560 --> 01:59:39,320
Speaker 4: a little bit of a letdown spot. We're getting eleven

2373
01:59:39,320 --> 01:59:41,919
Speaker 4: in the hook, a lot of talent with South Carolina.

2374
01:59:42,040 --> 01:59:43,600
Speaker 7: Just try to keep it within eleven.

2375
01:59:44,280 --> 01:59:46,400
Speaker 4: I think that can be done, so I will take

2376
01:59:46,560 --> 01:59:48,200
Speaker 4: South Carolina plus the points.

2377
01:59:48,280 --> 01:59:50,680
Speaker 5: There you go, yeah, nine and zero.

2378
01:59:51,560 --> 01:59:52,480
Speaker 7: How could it go wrong?

2379
01:59:52,720 --> 01:59:52,920
Speaker 2: You know?

2380
01:59:53,320 --> 01:59:55,480
Speaker 5: Well, it's actually eight to oh because rich and Bryn

2381
01:59:55,560 --> 01:59:56,360
Speaker 5: are on the same pick.

2382
01:59:56,480 --> 01:59:59,880
Speaker 7: But oh yeah, what do we pick the same as

2383
02:00:00,120 --> 02:00:01,120
Speaker 7: South Carolina? Carolina?

2384
02:00:01,200 --> 02:00:02,600
Speaker 2: Yeah? Oh well no, no, I too.

2385
02:00:03,120 --> 02:00:04,920
Speaker 6: I didn't end up taking them in rapid fire, but

2386
02:00:05,040 --> 02:00:07,320
Speaker 6: if I had a fourth pick, I would Okay, fair

2387
02:00:07,400 --> 02:00:09,720
Speaker 4: Enough, nine and oh, so we can't go we can't

2388
02:00:09,720 --> 02:00:13,840
Speaker 4: go nine and oh, let's go nine and oh