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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. So this is me Joey P joe P

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Speaker 1: Zapia and it's week eleven. It's time to look ahead

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Speaker 1: to some of the games you if there's any early

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Speaker 1: value that we see on the board that we can

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Speaker 1: help you invest in in the NFL season. To help

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Speaker 1: me do it, of course, it's Pat fitz Morris and

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Speaker 1: Sam hopping back again, coming out of the dungeon of

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Speaker 1: NBA getting everything ready for all of you, you crazy

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Speaker 1: NBA folks over there by the way, In case you

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Speaker 1: didn't know, we got some NBA content going on in

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Speaker 1: the channel too, So tune into our new show, Fast

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Speaker 1: Break Bets, your ultimate source for NBA betting insights, and

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Speaker 1: join our host, Matt Mody every single Wednesday and Friday

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Speaker 1: eleven am Eastern, exclusively right here on the Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: YouTube channel. You can get ready for the hottest picks,

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Speaker 1: the juiciest odds, and all the NBA's matchups for the day,

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Speaker 1: plus expert analysis and player props that can only get

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Speaker 1: you big wins. So make sure you don't miss out

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Speaker 1: on that winning advantage. Go subscribe to the Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: YouTube channel right now, if you haven't already, We're doing NFL,

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Speaker 1: We're doing NBA. It's only a matter of time before

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Speaker 1: Pat gets his own hockey show. Can only imagine. But

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Speaker 1: we are here to talk football today, so we're going

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Speaker 1: to get into that, and we're going to start here

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Speaker 1: with the Hot one boys. I want to go right

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Speaker 1: to Thursday night football for the first time in a

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Speaker 1: long time. I don't know if I've said those words

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Speaker 1: very often in the last six weeks, but I want

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Speaker 1: to go right to Thursday night football. Cincinnati Bengals coming

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Speaker 1: off a heartbreaking home loss, the Baltimore Ravens coming off

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Speaker 1: a heartbreaking home loss. Stop me if you've heard this before.

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Speaker 1: Right now, the number sits on Betting Pros at minus

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Speaker 1: three and a half on the Baltimore side. Forty six

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Speaker 1: is the number for the Cincinnati Bengals. On the money line,

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Speaker 1: it's plus one six. A gentleman, I don't know if

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Speaker 1: this is a gut instinct here, but I am going

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Speaker 1: straight to the money line. I'm going straight to the

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati Bengals. I thought they got caught napping and looking

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Speaker 1: ahead to Baltimore on Thursday night and the Houston Texas

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Speaker 1: came into town and caught them sleeping and took care

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Speaker 1: of their business. Pat, let's start with you on this one.

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Speaker 1: What do you think in terms of early value if

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Speaker 1: any on this big time Let's call it what it is.

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Speaker 1: It's a playoff game for this division.

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Speaker 2: It is, and boy, I think both teams got caught napping, Joe.

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Speaker 2: The Ravens kind of went to sleep on their big

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Speaker 2: lead against the Browns. And what I found fascinating about

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Speaker 2: the numbers in this game last night, at like midnight

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Speaker 2: on Sunday night, the total on this game was forty

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Speaker 2: three and a half. It has gone up two and

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Speaker 2: a half points based I have to think largely on

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Speaker 2: what we saw, the scoring we saw in Bengals Texans

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Speaker 2: and in Browns Ravens. I've got the under. Like anytime

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Speaker 2: I see an AFC North game with a total above

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Speaker 2: forty four forty five points, like, I'm smashing the under.

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Speaker 2: So like I'm taking advantage of the line movement on

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Speaker 2: the total here as far as your money line, bat, Joe,

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Speaker 2: Like that's bold.

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Speaker 3: I like the take.

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Speaker 2: I think the Bengals could certainly win this game. I

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Speaker 2: just I have so much faith in the Ravens at home,

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Speaker 2: and seeing them let a win slip through their fingers

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Speaker 2: the way it did really makes me want to bet

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Speaker 2: them at home because I just don't feel like they're

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Speaker 2: gonna let two in a row get away from them

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Speaker 2: in the friendly environment of their home stadium. So I

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Speaker 2: think I'm gonna wait on this one because I do

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Speaker 2: think the line is gonna come down and move closer

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Speaker 2: to three, maybe two and a half, see if I

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Speaker 2: can get the Ravens at a field goal or less.

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Speaker 2: But right now, I like the under and I'm kind

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Speaker 2: of waiting to bet the Ravens.

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Speaker 1: See. I like the Bengals on the road. I like

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Speaker 1: when they play the underdog. I feel like that's Joe

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Speaker 1: Burrow's favorite place to be, is the spot where you

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Speaker 1: tell Joe b he can't do something and it goes

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Speaker 1: out there and he proves you're wrong. So I know

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Speaker 1: it was a tough Sunday for both of these teams here,

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Speaker 1: and this is a huge game here for the division.

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Speaker 1: If the Ravens take this one, Sam, they kind of

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Speaker 1: really go in, I think, to that front seat here

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Speaker 1: and have everything in front of them. But if the

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Speaker 1: Bengals come away with this victory, we are in a

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Speaker 1: dogfight to the very bitter end. What's your take on

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Speaker 1: this Thursday night game, because this one's gonna be hot.

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Speaker 4: I actually like the Ravens a ton here. I took

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Speaker 4: them at three and a half earlier this morning. The

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Speaker 4: Bengals defense is just not what it used to be.

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Speaker 4: It is struggling a ton. Over the last four weeks.

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Speaker 4: They are thirty second in passing success rate, thirty second

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Speaker 4: in early down success rate. They just are sort of

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Speaker 4: falling apart right now. And Trey Hendrickson, one of their

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Speaker 4: better edge rushers, left the game Sunday with a hyperincented knee.

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Speaker 4: It sounds like he is unlikely to play. They're still

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Speaker 4: monitoring the severity of that. But if you look at

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Speaker 4: the three losses that Baltimore has had this year, I mean,

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Speaker 4: the win probability charts are just absurd. I mean, they're

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Speaker 4: going into these games with fourth quarter leads and are

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Speaker 4: just blowing it. So I think there's a little bit

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Speaker 4: more predictability, or I guess it's a little bit stickier

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Speaker 4: that they're having and getting these early leads, and then

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Speaker 4: it's just sort of down to randomness that they're falling

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Speaker 4: apart late and really like the Ravens. I think again too,

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Speaker 4: with the unknown about t higgins health, whether Jamar Chase

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Speaker 4: is at full health. Still I really like the Ravens here.

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Speaker 1: It's so interesting though, because I'm on the polar opposite

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Speaker 1: and for this very reason you're talking about. We're just

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Speaker 1: talking about, you know, the stickiness of the well. They

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Speaker 1: get up, they have the leads, they're in control of things,

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Speaker 1: but at the same time, they can't finish. And I

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Speaker 1: feel like teams that can't finish it starts to get

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Speaker 1: into their psyche a little bit, and the best teams

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Speaker 1: in the NFL take care of their business. They finish,

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Speaker 1: and I feel like the Ravens have been that team

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Speaker 1: all year that just have not done that. To your point,

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Speaker 1: and to Pat's point too, you know, they were caught

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Speaker 1: caught sleeping in the game, and it keeps coming around

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Speaker 1: to bite them in the rear end. So we'll see. Now,

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Speaker 1: we've got no foreign exchange student games this weekend, so

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Speaker 1: nobody's going to London, no one's going to Germany. Everybody's

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Speaker 1: hanging out in the States this weekend, So we're gonna

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Speaker 1: be a little bit more normal here. On our one

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Speaker 1: pm slate, And before we get to that slate too,

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Speaker 1: just a reminder, we're giving away free stuff here at

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros and we are giving away our one free

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Speaker 1: premium upgrade we've been talking about for the last week.

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Speaker 1: So Joseph Mogan Joe Mogan, not to be confused with

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Speaker 1: someone else with a similar name. You are the big winner.

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Speaker 1: Joseph Mogan, great name, Joe. All of us Jos have

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Speaker 1: to stick together. You're the big winner. Hit us up

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Speaker 1: mail bag at Fantasy Pros. Excuse me, mail bag at

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Speaker 1: away too many things, And don't be jealous of Joseph

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Speaker 1: because Joseph won. But we're giving away another one year

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Speaker 1: that VP upgrade. Let's get to the Sunday slate here,

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Speaker 1: and let's start with the Dallas Cowboys flying high of

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Speaker 1: a huge victory, a huge victory against the New York

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Speaker 1: foot Ball Giants. Carolina is at one and eight. They

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Speaker 1: are sitting there lowly here, eleven point underdogs in Carolina.

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Speaker 1: Maybe this number isn't big enough, Sam, but forty two

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Speaker 1: is the number overall in this one. If you like

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Speaker 1: the Carolina Panthers for the upset, and I don't, it's

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Speaker 1: plus four ten. I think the eleven's too small here.

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna lie, Sam. I think this offense is

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Speaker 1: really starting to find itself. It was sixteen last week

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Speaker 1: when we were talking about the Giants game, and I

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Speaker 1: know that Carolina is a little bit better than them offensively,

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Speaker 1: but I don't know about a whole lot. And I

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Speaker 1: don't know if enough for eleven points to me, I'm

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Speaker 1: on the Dallas side. But where are you?

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Speaker 4: I mean, are they better than the Giants offensively? You're

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Speaker 4: watching that Thursday night football game against the Bears, and

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Speaker 4: they just look so out of sorts. I mean, Bryce

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Speaker 4: Young might be the worst starting quarterback in the league

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Speaker 4: right now. I mean, he's certainly bottom five. And it's

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Speaker 4: I made this a thirteen point spread, so I actually

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Speaker 4: took Dallas with the ten and a half earlier this morning. Again,

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Speaker 4: you talked about their offense. They are just hitting their

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Speaker 4: stride right now, and you can look at the schedule

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Speaker 4: and say that's part of it. Because they've played the

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Speaker 4: Chargers defense, which is not great, the Rams and the Giants,

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Speaker 4: but they played super well against the Eagles. I think

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Speaker 4: if that game flips in favor of the Cowboys, were

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Speaker 4: talking about them a lot differently, and I do think

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Speaker 4: I know we're talking about early lines, but I do

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Speaker 4: think Dak for MVP at forty to one is not

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Speaker 4: the worst bet you could make right now. I mean,

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Speaker 4: I know they are two games out of the division

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Speaker 4: lead with the Eagles, but they have an easier schedule

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Speaker 4: than Philadelphia down the road. Dak is playing again, like

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Speaker 4: I said, lights out right now, and part of the

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Speaker 4: schedule helps that. But him having the same odds as

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Speaker 4: Trevor Lawrence, who is playing not well at all I

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Speaker 4: think is a bit greediest. Now, I don't think Dak

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Speaker 4: necessarily wins, but if he keeps playing like this and

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Speaker 4: closes out the season strong, there's there's a real case for.

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Speaker 1: Him certainly building that case the last three weeks, Pat,

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Speaker 1: I'm more at least thirteen thirteen and a half on

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Speaker 1: this game. Where do you have this one?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I've got it.

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Speaker 2: I think at twelve right now, So I might maybe

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Speaker 2: a little lower than you guys, but that still gets

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Speaker 2: me to land on the Cowboys. And the Cowboys have

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Speaker 2: really taken care of business against the poor teams this year,

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Speaker 2: except for their one slip up against the Cardinals in

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Speaker 2: Week three, but other than that, in the four games

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Speaker 2: where Dallas was favored by six or more points, they're

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Speaker 2: three and one in those games, three and one versus

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Speaker 2: the spread, and the three wins they averaged a twenty

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Speaker 2: six point margin of victory in those three wins, and

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Speaker 2: that does not include the opening night Sunday night game

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Speaker 2: against the Giants where they were only favored on the

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Speaker 2: road by three and a half and won forty to

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Speaker 2: nothing against the Giants. So Dallas is good at taking

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Speaker 2: out the trash and I think they're going to do

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Speaker 2: that against them Panthers this week.

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Speaker 1: Wow, FITZI, what do you really think. Let's get to

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Speaker 1: the next game here. The Cleveland Browns are going to

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Speaker 1: host the Pittsburgh Steelers. I love how all these games

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Speaker 1: fell in the schedule too. So you've got the playoff

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Speaker 1: game for the AFC North on Thursday, and then AFC

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Speaker 1: North Junior Division here the Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers.

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Speaker 1: And I say junior but meanwhile, they have better records

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Speaker 1: than the Bengals. I don't know if they have better

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Speaker 1: roster than the Bengals. Certainly not a better quarterback. But look,

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Speaker 1: Cleveland pulled out another big win. We talked about this

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Speaker 1: last week. Fits right as aid defense travels, you gotta

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Speaker 1: be careful, But here you go. The same can be

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Speaker 1: set here for the Pittsburgh Steelers. And I know Pittsburgh

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Speaker 1: lost another piece here on the defensive side of the football.

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Speaker 1: Can't pick has been underwhelming. The number here is four

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Speaker 1: on the side of Cleveland, and they're geting the minus

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Speaker 1: four right now, thirty seven for the over under and

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Speaker 1: plus one sixty two for the Steelers to win on

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Speaker 1: the road. Thirty seven is low, but Pat feels about

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Speaker 1: right to me. What are your thoughts on any early

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Speaker 1: value in this game between these two teams?

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Speaker 3: Oh? It does.

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Speaker 2: This is the sort of low total we're used to

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Speaker 2: sing in an a North tilt Joe, not this forty

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Speaker 2: six stuff like we're seeing in the Bengals Ravens game.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean, the Steelers have now been outgained

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Speaker 2: in all nine games they've played this season, and they

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Speaker 2: have been outscored by twenty six points in the air

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Speaker 2: and they're six and three. They just keep winning games

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Speaker 2: they should not be winning. So what was the money

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Speaker 2: line on Steelers show? Is that plus one.

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Speaker 1: Sixty two plus one sixty two? Right now? Looking at

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Speaker 1: it over up wedding pros.

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Speaker 2: I think I like the money line on the Steelers

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Speaker 2: at plus one sixty two.

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Speaker 3: They're just finding ways to do it.

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Speaker 2: And I'm still not entirely confident in Deshaun Watson's ability

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Speaker 2: to guide the Browns into the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: Why ever, would you not be confident Deshaun Watson? What

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Speaker 1: would make you feel that way? Sam? Any confidence at

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Speaker 1: all in either of these two teams heading into this game?

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Speaker 4: No, none, whatsoever. I mean, again, if the Browns had

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Speaker 4: lost the game. I think that might have been might

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Speaker 4: have made it easier to handicap this. But I think

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Speaker 4: I if I had to lean one way, it's with

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Speaker 4: Pittsburgh with it, whether it's on the money line or

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Speaker 4: with the four points. But that offense still continues to

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Speaker 4: look anemic, even with the performance they put up this

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Speaker 4: past Sunday. So I don't know. I'm staying away from

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Speaker 4: this one for right now.

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Speaker 1: All right, Chicago Detroit, the Detroit Lions of pulling out

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Speaker 1: in the last second, they go to seven and two.

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Speaker 1: The Bears are now three and seven. Big number here

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Speaker 1: for this one too. You're getting it ten and a

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Speaker 1: half over here on the Lion's side. This one just

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Speaker 1: jumped while we started the show. Went from nine and

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Speaker 1: a half to ten and a half. So there you go,

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Speaker 1: get it. Well, it's good. Forty six and a half

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Speaker 1: is the total for this contest and the Bears for

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Speaker 1: the upsets plus four hundred on the money line. Sam,

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Speaker 1: let's talk about this one here. The Lions, you know,

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Speaker 1: defensively two weeks in a row here, I mean you

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Speaker 1: combine these points, we're pushing almost eighty that they've given up.

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Speaker 1: That's a lot of points. I know the Bears offense

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Speaker 1: is not exactly prolific, but can considering the way they've

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Speaker 1: been given up points left and right in the last

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Speaker 1: two contests here to Baltimore and then again to the Chargers,

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Speaker 1: is the forty six and a half over the right

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Speaker 1: way to go to this game.

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Speaker 4: I don't think it is. I mean, if you look

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Speaker 4: at the performances they've had on defense against again the

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Speaker 4: Ravens and the Chargers, it's it's been exceptionally bad. But

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Speaker 4: then if you look at the performances they've had against

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Speaker 4: the weaker opponents like Carolina, Tampa Bay, Las Vegas, like

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Speaker 4: they're performing well still, so I think they're sort of

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Speaker 4: their defense is sort of in the middle of that,

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Speaker 4: not as bad as what they've shown, but not as

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Speaker 4: good as what they've been against the weaker opponents. So

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Speaker 4: I think with how the Bears defense is performing too,

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Speaker 4: like they're playing some inspider ball on defense, like they're

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Speaker 4: their first in rushing EPA per play allowed over the

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Speaker 4: last four weeks, allowing just a nineteen point five percent

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Speaker 4: success rate on the ground, And I don't know, I

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Speaker 4: think this game goes under the forty six and a half,

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Speaker 4: especially with these two teams leaning more towards the run overall.

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Speaker 4: So this is one of those ones. I was saying

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Speaker 4: in our chat beforehand that it's tough because of how

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Speaker 4: these teams have played recently, but if you look at

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Speaker 4: the competition, it's tough to adjust a little bit for that.

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Speaker 1: Certainly an element of that pat you see any early

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Speaker 1: value in this game between these two division fos here

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Speaker 1: with the Chicago and Detroit.

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Speaker 2: I do know that you're telling me that it's jumped

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Speaker 2: to ten and a half in some spots, Joe, because

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Speaker 2: I was checking DraftKings right before we started recording this.

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Speaker 2: It had been nine points on Sunday night. It was

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Speaker 2: nine and a half right before I came on with you.

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Speaker 2: I have to go odd shopping at ten and a half,

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Speaker 2: and I'm going to take the Bears. I think, justin

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Speaker 2: fields likely to return this week makes them kind of

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Speaker 2: a live dog. The Bears d is not bad. Like

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Speaker 2: they can really stop the run. That's sort of the

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Speaker 2: little secret. Everyone thinks the Bears just to push over,

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Speaker 2: but they can stop the run. And now that they're

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Speaker 2: healthy in the secondary, like, I think they're pretty solid

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Speaker 2: all around. I don't know where the Detroit defense is

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Speaker 2: right now after what we've seen the last couple of weeks,

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Speaker 2: like they've got to fix some things, and you know,

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Speaker 2: the Bears with Justin Fields might be able to do

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Speaker 2: just enough to put some points on the board. So

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Speaker 2: you know, like I can't get on either side of

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Speaker 2: the total like for the last five Bears games have

320
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Speaker 2: played under and I like, I don't know if Detroit's

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Speaker 2: going to continue to play in these souped up, high

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Speaker 2: scoring games. But I do like the Bears here if

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Speaker 2: I can get them at plus ten and a half,

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Speaker 2: like I think they can keep it in single digits

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Speaker 2: for sure.

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Speaker 1: It certainly makes a lot of sense there. That's why

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Speaker 1: if a Field's return happens, the forty six and a

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Speaker 1: half I think is in play on the overside. But

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Speaker 1: again we still don't have that news as of yet.

330
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Speaker 1: We were crossing our fingers and seeing if that happens

331
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Speaker 1: next one here maybe a game in August we saw

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Speaker 1: on the schedule and we wanted to look past, but

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Speaker 1: not this week. No, No, I want to watch this one.

334
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Speaker 1: I want to watch thej at home conquering hero two

335
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Speaker 1: straight huge victories for them. They are now five and four,

336
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Speaker 1: very much in the playoff hunt. Arizona Cardinals had Kyler

337
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Speaker 1: Murray return yesterday. He looked fantastic right in the football

338
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Speaker 1: no signs of knee injury there, I mean, he looks spectacular.

339
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Speaker 1: A huge run too at the end of that game

340
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Speaker 1: to set up the field goal. So they are now

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Speaker 1: two and eight plus four is the number for the

342
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Speaker 1: Arizona Cardinals. There underdogs going into Houston, which is understandably

343
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Speaker 1: so as they should be. That number feels right. Forty

344
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Speaker 1: seven and a half is the total plus one seventy

345
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Speaker 1: five for Arizona. So Pat, let's talk about it here. CJ.

346
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Speaker 1: Stroud and Houston Texans have been incredibly solid these last

347
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Speaker 1: few weeks. You can see the confidence in this team

348
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Speaker 1: continuing to build. So did they get another victory here

349
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Speaker 1: and by four or do you think Arizona makes this

350
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Speaker 1: one a little tighter.

351
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Speaker 3: I see a little bit of value on the Texans.

352
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Speaker 2: I'm not quite ready to bet them yet, Like I

353
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Speaker 2: want to see if there's any movement. Maybe this probably

354
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Speaker 2: doesn't get any closer than it is right now. Maybe

355
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Speaker 2: this moves towards the Texans and I should get it.

356
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Speaker 2: But Joe, what a feel good game with plucky upstart teams.

357
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Speaker 2: Like I would not have complained if this were the

358
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Speaker 2: Thursday night game and we had to watch this standalone,

359
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Speaker 2: and like if we had been told this was going

360
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Speaker 2: to be a standalone game in August, like we would

361
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Speaker 2: have just you know, wretched.

362
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Speaker 1: Anything's better than having to watch the Jets or Giants

363
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Speaker 1: in prime time. I am so no, I know a

364
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Speaker 1: lot more Jets are Giants game in prime time. I'm

365
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Speaker 1: gonna hurl myself off a tall building.

366
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Speaker 3: Pat what I what? I just can't get over.

367
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Speaker 2: If I would have told you in August, Joe that

368
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Speaker 2: the total for Cardinals Texans would be forty eight and

369
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Speaker 2: a half, like you would have thought that was ten

370
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Speaker 2: points high, right, Still, I still think it seems a

371
00:17:37,960 --> 00:17:40,160
Speaker 2: smidge too high at forty eight and a half. I'm

372
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Speaker 2: considering the under here, But I don't know these these

373
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Speaker 2: maybe are we have to come to grips with the

374
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Speaker 2: fact that these are pretty high functioning offense.

375
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Speaker 1: Well, on Fandel, you can get forty seven and a

376
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Speaker 1: half too. Again, it's just the one point difference. But

377
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Speaker 1: Sam again, now you got you know, two quarterbacks here

378
00:17:56,240 --> 00:18:00,280
Speaker 1: doing you know, really fun things, making big plays that

379
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Speaker 1: certainly throws a wrench into I think a lot of

380
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Speaker 1: algorithms and a lot of smart people when they kind

381
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Speaker 1: of map out what they think this game is going

382
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Speaker 1: to be. That sort of chaos can really take its toll.

383
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Speaker 1: But what side of that chaos do you want to

384
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Speaker 1: be on this game? Yeah?

385
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Speaker 4: So this opened at about five and a half last night,

386
00:18:15,840 --> 00:18:20,520
Speaker 4: down to four now, I make this about five points

387
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Speaker 4: in favor of the Texans. That Cardinals did have their

388
00:18:23,600 --> 00:18:27,800
Speaker 4: best offensive output since Week four against San Francisco against

389
00:18:28,040 --> 00:18:31,200
Speaker 4: not a terrible defense in the Atlanta Falcons. I think

390
00:18:31,400 --> 00:18:33,760
Speaker 4: Kyler could be running the ball a little bit more

391
00:18:34,160 --> 00:18:38,040
Speaker 4: this next week, but their defense is still suspect. Houston

392
00:18:38,119 --> 00:18:42,320
Speaker 4: should get Nico Collins back. Noah Brown is coming into

393
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Speaker 4: his own just balling out for the Texans. I think Houston.

394
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Speaker 4: You know, Houston finally had some success rushing the ball

395
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Speaker 4: to this past week with Devin Singletary, and I don't know,

396
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Speaker 4: I'm just continuing to ride the high of the Texans

397
00:18:59,600 --> 00:19:02,240
Speaker 4: like it's it's tough not to buy into this team

398
00:19:02,280 --> 00:19:05,200
Speaker 4: with what CJ. Straud is doing, with the way Demico

399
00:19:05,280 --> 00:19:09,520
Speaker 4: Ryans is coaching that defense, and they're playing some inspired

400
00:19:09,560 --> 00:19:12,440
Speaker 4: football as well, I think, you know, they allowed twenty

401
00:19:12,480 --> 00:19:15,760
Speaker 4: seven points to the Bengals, but still put up a

402
00:19:16,040 --> 00:19:20,520
Speaker 4: respectable number as far as success rate against Cincinnati. So

403
00:19:21,480 --> 00:19:25,879
Speaker 4: I lean Houston right now, but I could see I

404
00:19:25,880 --> 00:19:28,000
Speaker 4: think if I'm going to back the Cardinals, I want

405
00:19:28,119 --> 00:19:31,359
Speaker 4: them on the money line and sort of playing into

406
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Speaker 4: that variance without totally knowing what they are fully with Kylo.

407
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Speaker 1: Right now, the Miami Dolphins come off of bye. There

408
00:19:38,280 --> 00:19:40,119
Speaker 1: are six and three. The Las Vegas Raiders have won

409
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Speaker 1: two games in a row and shedding themselves of Josh McDaniels.

410
00:19:45,480 --> 00:19:48,679
Speaker 1: The number though Miami minus ten and a half. They

411
00:19:48,720 --> 00:19:51,280
Speaker 1: are very heavy favorites in this game, which again feels

412
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Speaker 1: right with a rookie quarterback going on the road. Forty

413
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Speaker 1: seven and a half is the number of Vegas for

414
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Speaker 1: the upset plus four hundred. Sam. Miami's been I think

415
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Speaker 1: real a little bit in the last month or so.

416
00:20:02,960 --> 00:20:05,479
Speaker 1: Devon Chan looks like he is going to be cleared

417
00:20:05,480 --> 00:20:07,680
Speaker 1: and coming back. That is a huge piece getting them

418
00:20:07,720 --> 00:20:10,240
Speaker 1: back for practice this week. Hopefully he will play in

419
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Speaker 1: this game. So that being said, in that element back

420
00:20:13,119 --> 00:20:15,520
Speaker 1: in this offense, along with that extra week of rest,

421
00:20:15,600 --> 00:20:17,720
Speaker 1: do you think that Miami covers is ten and a half.

422
00:20:18,480 --> 00:20:21,680
Speaker 4: Yeah, easily. I mean they're coming off to buy obviously,

423
00:20:21,680 --> 00:20:25,320
Speaker 4: they had the losses to Kansas City and Germany and

424
00:20:25,560 --> 00:20:30,640
Speaker 4: to Philadelphia on Sunday night before the buye. But getting

425
00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:36,240
Speaker 4: Devonhan back, I think the shine of Josh McDaniel's being

426
00:20:36,359 --> 00:20:40,560
Speaker 4: gone will wear off here for the Vegas Raiders. Max

427
00:20:40,600 --> 00:20:42,679
Speaker 4: Crosby is playing out of his mind right now, so

428
00:20:42,760 --> 00:20:46,240
Speaker 4: I do think he could, you know, make some good

429
00:20:46,240 --> 00:20:50,360
Speaker 4: defensive stops for Las Vegas to keep this potentially closer

430
00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:53,480
Speaker 4: or keep it under this the forty eight point total

431
00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:56,600
Speaker 4: it's at right now. But I don't know. I think

432
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Speaker 4: coming off to buy, Mike McDaniel is just gonna put

433
00:21:00,160 --> 00:21:02,879
Speaker 4: all his eggs in a basket and just blow this

434
00:21:02,920 --> 00:21:03,400
Speaker 4: team out.

435
00:21:04,400 --> 00:21:06,520
Speaker 1: All right, So all the eggs going in the bask

436
00:21:06,640 --> 00:21:09,639
Speaker 1: But are they gonna scramble up the Raiders here? Or

437
00:21:09,680 --> 00:21:12,480
Speaker 1: is Antonio Pierce make them road warriors and they just

438
00:21:12,560 --> 00:21:13,959
Speaker 1: keep believing in themselves?

439
00:21:15,000 --> 00:21:16,920
Speaker 2: You know, I want to think like Sam here, and

440
00:21:17,119 --> 00:21:19,280
Speaker 2: you see the quarterback matchup and it's too a tongue

441
00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:21,520
Speaker 2: of I Loo versus eight and O'Connell, and you think

442
00:21:21,520 --> 00:21:24,480
Speaker 2: ten points doesn't seem like nearly enough. But man, the

443
00:21:24,560 --> 00:21:26,679
Speaker 2: Raiders are playing like they have had the weight of

444
00:21:26,720 --> 00:21:30,439
Speaker 2: the world lifted off their shoulders with Josh McDaniel's gone.

445
00:21:30,440 --> 00:21:34,840
Speaker 2: And I'm reluctant to lay ten points a team that's

446
00:21:34,840 --> 00:21:38,399
Speaker 2: playing this free and easy. So I'm just I'm not

447
00:21:38,520 --> 00:21:41,720
Speaker 2: touching this, Like, I don't see any value in either

448
00:21:41,840 --> 00:21:42,840
Speaker 2: the line.

449
00:21:42,680 --> 00:21:45,760
Speaker 1: Or the total. Yeah, certainly in some danger there, I agree, Pat,

450
00:21:45,840 --> 00:21:48,240
Speaker 1: let's go to one, maybe a little less dangerous. The

451
00:21:48,240 --> 00:21:51,040
Speaker 1: New York Football Giants who kind of quit on the season,

452
00:21:51,080 --> 00:21:53,000
Speaker 1: I think it might be over for them, just saying

453
00:21:53,000 --> 00:21:55,439
Speaker 1: hot take. They are two and eight now after an

454
00:21:55,440 --> 00:21:58,320
Speaker 1: absolute she lacking at the hands of the Dallas Cowboys

455
00:21:58,320 --> 00:22:02,800
Speaker 1: this past weekend. Washington Commanders continue to be competitive. They

456
00:22:02,840 --> 00:22:05,720
Speaker 1: are four and six, but they compete. They are ten

457
00:22:05,760 --> 00:22:08,520
Speaker 1: point favorites in this game, Pat, thirty seven is the

458
00:22:08,600 --> 00:22:11,800
Speaker 1: number plus three seventy five for the Giants. You know

459
00:22:12,200 --> 00:22:13,520
Speaker 1: there's not gonna be a lot of times we see

460
00:22:13,560 --> 00:22:17,080
Speaker 1: the Washington Commanders favored by double digits. It feels dirty,

461
00:22:17,560 --> 00:22:19,480
Speaker 1: but the way it feels right. Can you get on

462
00:22:19,520 --> 00:22:20,080
Speaker 1: board with this?

463
00:22:21,800 --> 00:22:23,560
Speaker 3: I don't think I can. Joe. I think I'm just

464
00:22:23,560 --> 00:22:25,600
Speaker 3: gonna walk away from this game. But I know what

465
00:22:25,640 --> 00:22:26,000
Speaker 3: you mean.

466
00:22:26,040 --> 00:22:29,359
Speaker 2: In this game, with a ten point spread and a

467
00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:32,840
Speaker 2: thirty seven point total, that means an implied point total

468
00:22:32,840 --> 00:22:36,159
Speaker 2: of thirteen and a half for the Giants, and it

469
00:22:36,200 --> 00:22:39,400
Speaker 2: feels right they managed to OutKick that in garbage time

470
00:22:39,440 --> 00:22:43,360
Speaker 2: against the Cowboys, certainly a much better defense than Washington,

471
00:22:43,400 --> 00:22:47,880
Speaker 2: which I had the pre trade deadline fire sale. But man,

472
00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:51,480
Speaker 2: I just there's nothing about this game that makes me

473
00:22:51,520 --> 00:22:52,720
Speaker 2: want to play it either way.

474
00:22:52,840 --> 00:22:54,800
Speaker 3: I just can't. I can't do it, Joe.

475
00:22:54,880 --> 00:22:57,840
Speaker 1: Sorry, Sam, Can I interest you in a double digit

476
00:22:57,880 --> 00:22:58,880
Speaker 1: spread in Washington?

477
00:22:59,640 --> 00:23:02,840
Speaker 4: No, not at all. I mean this is way this

478
00:23:02,960 --> 00:23:05,160
Speaker 4: is way too big of a line to trust Sam

479
00:23:05,200 --> 00:23:08,000
Speaker 4: Howe to cover. It's also not big enough for me

480
00:23:08,040 --> 00:23:11,479
Speaker 4: to trust Tommy Devido to keep it that close.

481
00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:14,680
Speaker 1: I doubt said. That's what they call the perfect store,

482
00:23:14,760 --> 00:23:15,160
Speaker 1: my friend.

483
00:23:15,560 --> 00:23:18,520
Speaker 4: Yeah, I do think if I had to choose a side,

484
00:23:19,080 --> 00:23:21,680
Speaker 4: it would be with the Giants, just because of how

485
00:23:21,720 --> 00:23:25,600
Speaker 4: low this total is. If it does go under, then

486
00:23:25,840 --> 00:23:29,520
Speaker 4: the Giants are are most likely covering this spread. So

487
00:23:31,080 --> 00:23:33,120
Speaker 4: I mean, if you're looking for a sweat in this game,

488
00:23:33,200 --> 00:23:35,760
Speaker 4: that take the Giants. But I I'd.

489
00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:39,119
Speaker 1: Rather not fair enough. Let's talk about the Los Angeles

490
00:23:39,200 --> 00:23:41,520
Speaker 1: Chargers going to Green Bay. The Chargers fall to four

491
00:23:41,520 --> 00:23:45,120
Speaker 1: and five, tough loss for them at the final moments,

492
00:23:45,160 --> 00:23:48,200
Speaker 1: green Bay other loss for them. They are three point

493
00:23:48,200 --> 00:23:51,080
Speaker 1: home underdogs. Forty four is the number plus one forty

494
00:23:51,119 --> 00:23:53,919
Speaker 1: five on the green Bay money line. Sam, you know,

495
00:23:53,960 --> 00:23:56,040
Speaker 1: the Green Bay Packers seemed to just have a host

496
00:23:56,040 --> 00:23:57,600
Speaker 1: of problems. Pat and I were just talking about on

497
00:23:57,720 --> 00:24:00,480
Speaker 1: FP two problems on the defensive side, especially that's secondary

498
00:24:00,520 --> 00:24:02,920
Speaker 1: looming as well for them. That seems like a bad

499
00:24:02,960 --> 00:24:05,600
Speaker 1: combination here. I don't know if the Chargers are favored

500
00:24:05,640 --> 00:24:07,520
Speaker 1: by enough in this game. I love the Chargers in

501
00:24:07,560 --> 00:24:08,439
Speaker 1: the spot, what about you?

502
00:24:09,240 --> 00:24:11,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, the Chargers should be able to take care of

503
00:24:11,119 --> 00:24:15,639
Speaker 4: the Packers on offense, especially if kay Walker and Jyra

504
00:24:15,920 --> 00:24:20,160
Speaker 4: Alexander are out again. This is one of those things

505
00:24:20,160 --> 00:24:23,640
Speaker 4: where the Chargers just played in what was an emotional

506
00:24:23,680 --> 00:24:28,680
Speaker 4: game against the Lions and not being able to come

507
00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:31,160
Speaker 4: away with the victory, losing on that last second field goal.

508
00:24:32,080 --> 00:24:35,560
Speaker 4: The Packers, I think, had five red zone trips against

509
00:24:35,600 --> 00:24:39,199
Speaker 4: the Steelers and only scored on one of them, So

510
00:24:39,280 --> 00:24:42,919
Speaker 4: there's a little bit of randomness in that as well.

511
00:24:43,520 --> 00:24:46,159
Speaker 4: I lean the Chargers, but it being a noon game

512
00:24:46,760 --> 00:24:52,080
Speaker 4: in God's Central time zone, I do think I'm staying

513
00:24:52,080 --> 00:24:53,760
Speaker 4: away from this one as well.

514
00:24:54,880 --> 00:24:57,400
Speaker 1: All right, I'm in with two feet in this one.

515
00:24:57,600 --> 00:25:02,600
Speaker 1: I just think the Charges are just markedly better offensively here, Pat,

516
00:25:02,680 --> 00:25:04,080
Speaker 1: what do you think about this one? I just think

517
00:25:04,080 --> 00:25:05,960
Speaker 1: they're gonna outscore them to death here in this one

518
00:25:06,000 --> 00:25:07,200
Speaker 1: in three is just not enough.

519
00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:10,680
Speaker 2: Like, I can't disagree with that, Joe. That's kind of

520
00:25:10,720 --> 00:25:12,400
Speaker 2: the way I see the game going. But then again,

521
00:25:12,440 --> 00:25:16,080
Speaker 2: you've got the Chargers who just notoriously cannot close.

522
00:25:15,800 --> 00:25:19,119
Speaker 1: Games and ever on this show, Pat say, man, I

523
00:25:19,160 --> 00:25:20,920
Speaker 1: love the Chargers this week. I don't think I've said

524
00:25:20,920 --> 00:25:23,200
Speaker 1: that all season, but I just I love the Chargers

525
00:25:23,240 --> 00:25:24,119
Speaker 1: this week. I just do.

526
00:25:24,280 --> 00:25:27,159
Speaker 2: And by the way, Joe, it's a SoCal team going

527
00:25:27,200 --> 00:25:31,080
Speaker 2: to Green Bay in late November. Uh, it might be

528
00:25:31,119 --> 00:25:33,520
Speaker 2: a little frosty up there for the Chargers, So I

529
00:25:33,840 --> 00:25:37,679
Speaker 2: can't I'm not gonna bet either side on this one.

530
00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:40,080
Speaker 2: I do think I like the over here because I

531
00:25:40,119 --> 00:25:42,879
Speaker 2: do think, as Sam mentioned, you know, Koi Walker and

532
00:25:42,960 --> 00:25:46,879
Speaker 2: joy R Alexander are their availability is in doubt. The

533
00:25:46,880 --> 00:25:50,600
Speaker 2: Packers have traded Rasul Douglass, a trustworthy cornerback. They can't

534
00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:53,760
Speaker 2: stop the run, so I think they're gonna be points.

535
00:25:53,760 --> 00:25:57,680
Speaker 2: And strangely, uh, we've seen Jordan Love operate pretty well

536
00:25:57,680 --> 00:26:01,000
Speaker 2: in the second half sometimes when his when he's being

537
00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:03,520
Speaker 2: forced to play from behind and the Packers can't lean

538
00:26:03,560 --> 00:26:05,240
Speaker 2: on the running game, and you would think that would

539
00:26:05,280 --> 00:26:08,000
Speaker 2: make it tougher for Jordan Love to operate knowing he's

540
00:26:08,000 --> 00:26:10,080
Speaker 2: got to be one dimensional and throw throw a throw.

541
00:26:10,480 --> 00:26:11,399
Speaker 3: He's actually been.

542
00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:13,760
Speaker 2: Into his best in those situations, it seems like. So

543
00:26:14,040 --> 00:26:15,679
Speaker 2: I think we'll see points in this one. I do

544
00:26:15,760 --> 00:26:16,800
Speaker 2: sort of like the over.

545
00:26:17,160 --> 00:26:19,600
Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans are gonna travel with Jacksonville. The Titans are

546
00:26:19,600 --> 00:26:22,040
Speaker 1: three and six, the Jags are six and three. Jags

547
00:26:22,040 --> 00:26:26,080
Speaker 1: look terrible, five sacks on Trevor Lawrence. They could not

548
00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:30,040
Speaker 1: stop that pass rush of the San Francisco forty nine ers. Regardless,

549
00:26:30,040 --> 00:26:31,760
Speaker 1: though at home they are six and a half point

550
00:26:31,800 --> 00:26:34,480
Speaker 1: favorites here against Tennessee and Will Levis only mattered six

551
00:26:34,520 --> 00:26:37,200
Speaker 1: points of offense. I hate to say I told you so.

552
00:26:37,280 --> 00:26:39,760
Speaker 1: Actually that's a lie I enjoy saying that. Sometimes forty

553
00:26:39,800 --> 00:26:42,320
Speaker 1: points is the total for this one plus two forty

554
00:26:42,320 --> 00:26:45,239
Speaker 1: for the Titans to win this contest. Pat, Look, you know,

555
00:26:45,680 --> 00:26:47,119
Speaker 1: I don't know if we're gonna get Levis again in

556
00:26:47,119 --> 00:26:49,560
Speaker 1: this game or not. I would assume we do, because

557
00:26:49,560 --> 00:26:52,760
Speaker 1: the Titans really don't have anything left to lose and

558
00:26:52,800 --> 00:26:55,320
Speaker 1: they need to continue to evaluate. It feels like a

559
00:26:55,359 --> 00:26:57,320
Speaker 1: get right game for the Jags. But the six and

560
00:26:57,359 --> 00:26:59,080
Speaker 1: a half feels a little large to me. What do

561
00:26:59,119 --> 00:26:59,520
Speaker 1: you think?

562
00:27:00,320 --> 00:27:03,600
Speaker 2: I think this seems tall and I cannot lay six

563
00:27:03,600 --> 00:27:05,959
Speaker 2: and a half points to a Mike Vrabel team unless

564
00:27:06,040 --> 00:27:08,720
Speaker 2: I am certain that the favorite is capable of winning

565
00:27:08,800 --> 00:27:11,760
Speaker 2: the Super Bowl. I'm not convinced the Jaguars are capable

566
00:27:11,800 --> 00:27:14,680
Speaker 2: of winning the super Bowl, especially after we saw them

567
00:27:14,840 --> 00:27:17,520
Speaker 2: just get crushed by the forty nine ers coming out

568
00:27:17,520 --> 00:27:19,720
Speaker 2: of a bye. So I think a lot of the

569
00:27:20,280 --> 00:27:24,480
Speaker 2: goodwill of the Jaguars winning streak that they had built

570
00:27:24,520 --> 00:27:28,119
Speaker 2: up going into their by was sort of sort of

571
00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:32,040
Speaker 2: evaporated after that performance against San Francisco. So I'm not

572
00:27:32,080 --> 00:27:33,960
Speaker 2: sure if I'm going to bet the Titans here, but

573
00:27:34,000 --> 00:27:36,639
Speaker 2: I'm definitely not taking the Jags in laying six and

574
00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:37,080
Speaker 2: a half.

575
00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:39,760
Speaker 1: Sam your thoughts on this one too. The numbers pretty

576
00:27:39,800 --> 00:27:42,119
Speaker 1: low at forty, but then Tennessee again has to do

577
00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:45,080
Speaker 1: their part, and the Jaguars, you know, they need to

578
00:27:45,119 --> 00:27:47,480
Speaker 1: get right game in the worst way, and Tennessee's coming

579
00:27:47,520 --> 00:27:50,560
Speaker 1: into town here. But at the same time, it's just

580
00:27:50,760 --> 00:27:52,840
Speaker 1: really hard to trust the Jaguars. Do you have any

581
00:27:52,880 --> 00:27:54,399
Speaker 1: faith in them to cover the six and a half?

582
00:27:55,840 --> 00:27:58,040
Speaker 4: I do to an extent. I mean, I think you're

583
00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:01,440
Speaker 4: buying the Jaguars at their low. You know, we saw

584
00:28:01,560 --> 00:28:06,359
Speaker 4: the forty nine ers beat up on the Cowboys several

585
00:28:06,400 --> 00:28:09,480
Speaker 4: weeks ago, and the Cowboys have sort of returned to

586
00:28:10,160 --> 00:28:16,120
Speaker 4: their form. Tennessee offensive line is just abysmal, and will

587
00:28:16,200 --> 00:28:19,600
Speaker 4: Leves has struggled to handle pressure. He's got a fifty

588
00:28:19,720 --> 00:28:22,959
Speaker 4: four point three PFF Grade one pressure, which is eighteenth

589
00:28:23,000 --> 00:28:26,200
Speaker 4: to month quarterbacks. He's also attempting a ton of deep passes.

590
00:28:26,280 --> 00:28:29,640
Speaker 4: I mean, he's got a ten plus eight hot in

591
00:28:29,680 --> 00:28:33,479
Speaker 4: each of his games. Jacksonville is sixth best in EPA

592
00:28:33,600 --> 00:28:36,720
Speaker 4: per play allowed on passes traveling at least fifteen yards

593
00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:40,000
Speaker 4: in the air. So I think the Jags defense can

594
00:28:40,840 --> 00:28:46,280
Speaker 4: do enough to hold Tennessee's offense down. The obvious concern

595
00:28:46,600 --> 00:28:49,840
Speaker 4: is whether their offense can can do enough. But I

596
00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:53,000
Speaker 4: don't think the Titans defenses is really that scary, So

597
00:28:53,520 --> 00:28:56,560
Speaker 4: I think I'm laying off for now, but they are

598
00:28:56,920 --> 00:29:01,000
Speaker 4: Jacksonville an interesting teaser leg if it stays at six

599
00:29:01,040 --> 00:29:01,840
Speaker 4: and a half or more.

600
00:29:02,840 --> 00:29:05,040
Speaker 1: The forty nine Ers defense looks pretty scary when you

601
00:29:05,120 --> 00:29:08,200
Speaker 1: have Moosa on one side and Young on the other.

602
00:29:08,360 --> 00:29:10,640
Speaker 1: San Francisco goes to six and three. They stopped the bleeding.

603
00:29:10,640 --> 00:29:12,280
Speaker 1: They are ten and a half point favorites at home

604
00:29:12,280 --> 00:29:15,640
Speaker 1: against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. We're four and five and competitive.

605
00:29:15,680 --> 00:29:17,840
Speaker 1: The Bucks go out there and they compete every week.

606
00:29:17,880 --> 00:29:20,000
Speaker 1: They're coming off the victory of their own. Forty one

607
00:29:20,040 --> 00:29:21,480
Speaker 1: and a half is the number for this one. Tampa

608
00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:24,320
Speaker 1: Bay for the upset plus four twenty five. So is

609
00:29:24,360 --> 00:29:27,000
Speaker 1: it just as easy sam as San Franz back and yeah,

610
00:29:27,040 --> 00:29:28,360
Speaker 1: double digits, we'll cover that.

611
00:29:30,240 --> 00:29:32,440
Speaker 4: I think it is. But again, this is another one

612
00:29:32,440 --> 00:29:36,760
Speaker 4: that Tampa Bay has been frisky in some games against

613
00:29:36,760 --> 00:29:42,760
Speaker 4: better competite, excuse me, against better competition. They've faltered a bit,

614
00:29:42,800 --> 00:29:45,880
Speaker 4: but they were able to keep it close against Buffalo.

615
00:29:46,000 --> 00:29:49,400
Speaker 4: But that said, they just don't have I think the

616
00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:52,880
Speaker 4: fire power to keep up with San Francisco here. I

617
00:29:52,920 --> 00:29:55,920
Speaker 4: think San Francisco is able to cover this, but it'll

618
00:29:55,920 --> 00:29:59,400
Speaker 4: be I think a little bit closer than people expect.

619
00:30:00,480 --> 00:30:02,440
Speaker 1: Two weeks ago, they showed a lot of firepower. They

620
00:30:02,440 --> 00:30:04,440
Speaker 1: were going back and forth trade and blows there with

621
00:30:04,520 --> 00:30:08,000
Speaker 1: the the Houston Texans. Excuse me, Pat, do you think

622
00:30:08,040 --> 00:30:10,320
Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield has another rabbit in his hat this game

623
00:30:10,360 --> 00:30:11,640
Speaker 1: against the forty nine Ers.

624
00:30:12,480 --> 00:30:14,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, And I mean they hung close with the Bills

625
00:30:14,480 --> 00:30:18,880
Speaker 2: a couple of weeks ago. So it's interesting the total

626
00:30:18,880 --> 00:30:21,520
Speaker 2: on this has dropped a full point since it from

627
00:30:21,520 --> 00:30:24,560
Speaker 2: where it opened. So it's as if the betting public

628
00:30:24,640 --> 00:30:28,719
Speaker 2: does think maybe now the forty nine Ers defense is like,

629
00:30:29,440 --> 00:30:32,520
Speaker 2: it's just gonna be impregnable now that they've got Chase Young.

630
00:30:32,280 --> 00:30:33,480
Speaker 3: In that pass rush.

631
00:30:33,920 --> 00:30:36,640
Speaker 2: But we saw that defense look pretty terrible right before

632
00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:39,200
Speaker 2: they're by and with some problems on the back end,

633
00:30:39,280 --> 00:30:42,000
Speaker 2: and I like Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, are they

634
00:30:42,000 --> 00:30:45,120
Speaker 2: going to completely shut down these guys? You know, Baker's

635
00:30:45,160 --> 00:30:47,160
Speaker 2: mobile enough to get away from the pass rush. So

636
00:30:47,200 --> 00:30:50,560
Speaker 2: I'm intrigued by the over here. I don't really see

637
00:30:50,800 --> 00:30:54,400
Speaker 2: value on either side because the Buccaneers have shown the

638
00:30:54,480 --> 00:30:57,520
Speaker 2: ability to hang with tougher opponents, So I'm not laying

639
00:30:57,520 --> 00:31:00,479
Speaker 2: the ten and a half. I'm mildly intrigued by the

640
00:31:00,520 --> 00:31:01,040
Speaker 2: over here.

641
00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:02,960
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to the next one here, And

642
00:31:03,000 --> 00:31:04,800
Speaker 1: I just don't understand this one. I gotta be honest

643
00:31:04,840 --> 00:31:07,520
Speaker 1: with you, Buffalo Bills. We'll see what happens to night

644
00:31:07,560 --> 00:31:09,600
Speaker 1: on Monday Night Football. But no matter what happens, they

645
00:31:09,600 --> 00:31:12,440
Speaker 1: are favored by seven against the New York Jets. Forty

646
00:31:12,440 --> 00:31:14,480
Speaker 1: and a half is the number consensus on betting pros,

647
00:31:14,480 --> 00:31:17,360
Speaker 1: plus two fifty for the Jets upset pat This Jets

648
00:31:17,400 --> 00:31:23,720
Speaker 1: offense is misery, absolute misery. Seven is not enough to me.

649
00:31:24,040 --> 00:31:25,880
Speaker 1: I guessaid, I don't care. The Buffalo Bills can go

650
00:31:25,880 --> 00:31:28,320
Speaker 1: out there and just lose outright tonight, and I don't care.

651
00:31:28,840 --> 00:31:30,800
Speaker 1: I'm still going to be on the Bill side of this.

652
00:31:30,880 --> 00:31:32,760
Speaker 1: I don't think seven is enough. But what do you think?

653
00:31:33,760 --> 00:31:36,280
Speaker 2: No one wants to bet the Jets, Joe, But the

654
00:31:36,360 --> 00:31:38,719
Speaker 2: Jets beat the Bills back in Week one when they

655
00:31:38,760 --> 00:31:41,560
Speaker 2: lost Aaron Rodgers early in that game, found a way

656
00:31:41,600 --> 00:31:45,040
Speaker 2: to come back and win. They split the series with

657
00:31:45,080 --> 00:31:47,680
Speaker 2: the Bills last year and covered in both games. So

658
00:31:47,720 --> 00:31:50,440
Speaker 2: they have covered in three straight.

659
00:31:50,400 --> 00:31:51,320
Speaker 3: Against the Bills.

660
00:31:51,920 --> 00:31:54,680
Speaker 2: And yes, you look at Josh Allen against Zach Wilson,

661
00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:59,000
Speaker 2: and you know that looks like Muhammad Ali against Glass

662
00:31:59,080 --> 00:32:03,960
Speaker 2: Joe pretty much as far as the quarterback matchup. But man,

663
00:32:04,080 --> 00:32:07,040
Speaker 2: like this Jets d is fierce, and they do seem

664
00:32:07,080 --> 00:32:10,800
Speaker 2: to play up to the level of competition at times,

665
00:32:10,840 --> 00:32:14,400
Speaker 2: like they seem to get up for challenges. So, man,

666
00:32:14,480 --> 00:32:17,000
Speaker 2: I do think the Jets are capable of uglying this

667
00:32:17,080 --> 00:32:20,320
Speaker 2: game up and staying within a touchdown.

668
00:32:20,600 --> 00:32:22,400
Speaker 1: Well you might have made my argument for me though,

669
00:32:22,400 --> 00:32:24,760
Speaker 1: because you said they split every series. So this is

670
00:32:24,800 --> 00:32:27,960
Speaker 1: the Bills turn to win in convincing fashion, Right, Sam,

671
00:32:28,240 --> 00:32:31,040
Speaker 1: Let's go Bills right over the Jets. I mean, come on,

672
00:32:31,400 --> 00:32:35,400
Speaker 1: this Jets offense is just pathetic the last few weeks.

673
00:32:35,480 --> 00:32:38,520
Speaker 1: How can they seven seven? I don't even know if

674
00:32:38,520 --> 00:32:39,960
Speaker 1: they can get up to seven against Buffalo.

675
00:32:41,320 --> 00:32:45,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, the Jets offense is anemic, to say the least.

676
00:32:46,160 --> 00:32:49,240
Speaker 4: The thing that confuses me with the Bills is that

677
00:32:50,080 --> 00:32:53,680
Speaker 4: they are top four in almost every major efficiency stat

678
00:32:54,000 --> 00:32:56,040
Speaker 4: there is, you know, EPA per play successor at all

679
00:32:56,080 --> 00:33:00,160
Speaker 4: that stuff, But it just doesn't look like it. I mean,

680
00:33:00,800 --> 00:33:04,400
Speaker 4: they just seem like they're sort of doing their thing,

681
00:33:04,560 --> 00:33:07,680
Speaker 4: like they've had a couple bummer losses like they didn't

682
00:33:07,720 --> 00:33:12,400
Speaker 4: get much going against Cincinnati last week. So I'm waiting

683
00:33:12,440 --> 00:33:15,120
Speaker 4: for the Monday night football game tonight. I want to

684
00:33:15,160 --> 00:33:19,560
Speaker 4: see what this Bill's offense looks like against what is

685
00:33:20,040 --> 00:33:24,880
Speaker 4: certainly a below average Broncos defense, and if they can

686
00:33:24,920 --> 00:33:28,239
Speaker 4: put together a complete game, then I'm all in on

687
00:33:28,320 --> 00:33:31,720
Speaker 4: the Bills, but I need to see it first because

688
00:33:31,720 --> 00:33:34,920
Speaker 4: their defense has struggled a little bit too. Obviously. Again,

689
00:33:35,240 --> 00:33:38,920
Speaker 4: I think the Raiders defense has not been great, but

690
00:33:39,840 --> 00:33:42,920
Speaker 4: and the Jets couldn't put up much against them. But

691
00:33:44,240 --> 00:33:46,760
Speaker 4: I just need to see if from this Bill's offense once.

692
00:33:47,920 --> 00:33:51,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, I feel yeah, but it's the Jets and Zach Wilson.

693
00:33:51,600 --> 00:33:54,320
Speaker 1: So I'm just going to close my eyes and bet it.

694
00:33:54,440 --> 00:33:57,000
Speaker 1: And of course, make sure you're making all your bets

695
00:33:57,040 --> 00:33:58,760
Speaker 1: over at betting Pros, and make sure you're joining our

696
00:33:58,840 --> 00:34:02,280
Speaker 1: NFL contest. Do com slash NFL Contest when you do,

697
00:34:02,680 --> 00:34:04,080
Speaker 1: or if you have the VP app, and I think

698
00:34:04,120 --> 00:34:06,960
Speaker 1: you do by now, you should just go to the

699
00:34:07,000 --> 00:34:10,080
Speaker 1: community tab, click on that and join our NFL contest.

700
00:34:10,400 --> 00:34:13,520
Speaker 1: Make five picks a week. We're doing weekly prizes, monthly prizes.

701
00:34:13,520 --> 00:34:15,920
Speaker 1: We're giving away upgrades to Fantasy Pros, Betting Pros. We're

702
00:34:15,920 --> 00:34:18,560
Speaker 1: giving away free stuff from our Fantasy Pros and Betting

703
00:34:18,719 --> 00:34:21,600
Speaker 1: Pros shops, as well as a Jackson Smith and jig

704
00:34:21,640 --> 00:34:25,480
Speaker 1: but autograph jersey for the season long winner. So again,

705
00:34:25,640 --> 00:34:29,400
Speaker 1: prizes abound. Go to Betting pros dot Com. Slash NFL

706
00:34:29,440 --> 00:34:31,399
Speaker 1: contest joined today. You don't even have to be betting.

707
00:34:31,440 --> 00:34:33,640
Speaker 1: You just have to make picks. It's just fun. You're

708
00:34:33,760 --> 00:34:36,799
Speaker 1: like fun, don't you? Well? Go join the contest right now.

709
00:34:36,880 --> 00:34:40,400
Speaker 1: Let's go to this next one might be fun, might

710
00:34:40,440 --> 00:34:42,759
Speaker 1: be more fun than we realized. The Los Angeles Rams

711
00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:44,800
Speaker 1: coming off a buy three and six. Maybe Matthew Stafford

712
00:34:44,800 --> 00:34:47,000
Speaker 1: a little bit healthier. We shall see. The Seattle Seahawks

713
00:34:47,080 --> 00:34:50,000
Speaker 1: coming off a big victory. They are six and three

714
00:34:50,120 --> 00:34:52,640
Speaker 1: right now, So forty four and a half is the

715
00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:55,320
Speaker 1: number the Rams should be underdogs in this game. The

716
00:34:55,400 --> 00:34:58,160
Speaker 1: number feels right plus one twenty on the money line

717
00:34:58,200 --> 00:35:00,759
Speaker 1: for the Rams. To me, the forty four and a

718
00:35:00,760 --> 00:35:02,640
Speaker 1: half is the most intriguing. I like the over in

719
00:35:02,680 --> 00:35:06,479
Speaker 1: this game. What do you think, Sam? Yeah?

720
00:35:06,480 --> 00:35:10,479
Speaker 4: I mean this largely depends on Matthew Stafford's health, which

721
00:35:10,520 --> 00:35:13,279
Speaker 4: is why I'm staying away from it right now, we

722
00:35:13,320 --> 00:35:16,359
Speaker 4: don't know whether he's going to play in this game.

723
00:35:16,400 --> 00:35:19,439
Speaker 4: I would assume he does since they didn't put him

724
00:35:19,520 --> 00:35:24,719
Speaker 4: on injured reserve, but there is that concern still. The

725
00:35:25,200 --> 00:35:29,640
Speaker 4: Seahawks offense has just been weird. Like a couple of

726
00:35:29,680 --> 00:35:32,759
Speaker 4: weeks ago, there were people calling for Gino Smith's job

727
00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:36,520
Speaker 4: and telling saying the Seahawks should should bench him for

728
00:35:37,040 --> 00:35:42,800
Speaker 4: Drew Locke, which I vehemently disagree with. But they again,

729
00:35:42,880 --> 00:35:46,600
Speaker 4: they have yet to put together a full and incomplete game.

730
00:35:46,640 --> 00:35:49,200
Speaker 4: They looked much better in the second half against Washington

731
00:35:49,280 --> 00:35:54,120
Speaker 4: on Sunday, but their offense just tends to sputter at times.

732
00:35:54,120 --> 00:35:57,360
Speaker 4: So I think this line is pretty close to accurate.

733
00:35:57,560 --> 00:36:01,120
Speaker 4: And I'd be waiting to see what the status of

734
00:36:01,160 --> 00:36:03,719
Speaker 4: Matthew Stafford is because that's going to change things a lot.

735
00:36:04,680 --> 00:36:07,040
Speaker 1: I feel like both these teams are mistake prone, and

736
00:36:07,040 --> 00:36:08,600
Speaker 1: that's why I like the over in the forty four

737
00:36:08,600 --> 00:36:11,200
Speaker 1: and a half because usually mistakes learned lean to points,

738
00:36:11,520 --> 00:36:13,759
Speaker 1: you know, typically, in my opinion, Fitz, what do you

739
00:36:13,760 --> 00:36:15,560
Speaker 1: think about this game here? It does feel kind of

740
00:36:15,600 --> 00:36:19,440
Speaker 1: spot on. I like the over. Anything you like here, I.

741
00:36:19,400 --> 00:36:22,520
Speaker 2: Think as soon as we get any indication that Matthew

742
00:36:22,520 --> 00:36:24,640
Speaker 2: Stafford is going to play, and I do believe he

743
00:36:24,719 --> 00:36:27,600
Speaker 2: will play. This line is gonna come down right now.

744
00:36:27,920 --> 00:36:30,880
Speaker 2: I don't want to take it. When I checked on DraftKings,

745
00:36:30,920 --> 00:36:33,800
Speaker 2: it was Rams plus three but at minus one twenty

746
00:36:33,840 --> 00:36:35,320
Speaker 2: to bet the Rams, so I don't really want to

747
00:36:35,360 --> 00:36:37,240
Speaker 2: do that. I'm a little more interested in the Rams

748
00:36:37,239 --> 00:36:39,960
Speaker 2: on the money line because I like a home dog

749
00:36:40,000 --> 00:36:41,440
Speaker 2: on the money line when I think they have the

750
00:36:41,440 --> 00:36:46,560
Speaker 2: better quarterback. That to me just seems like a reasonable play.

751
00:36:46,600 --> 00:36:49,239
Speaker 2: And like Gino has not played well. He was he

752
00:36:49,360 --> 00:36:52,200
Speaker 2: was decent against the Commanders on Sunday, but for the

753
00:36:52,200 --> 00:36:56,600
Speaker 2: most part, we've seen early career Geno Smith for much

754
00:36:56,600 --> 00:36:59,759
Speaker 2: of the season, and I think, you know, late career

755
00:36:59,800 --> 00:37:04,640
Speaker 2: Mathew Stafford, Trump's early career Geno Smith. So like, give, yeah,

756
00:37:04,719 --> 00:37:06,200
Speaker 2: give me the Rams on the money line.

757
00:37:06,239 --> 00:37:10,080
Speaker 1: Here the team that can't be stopped, the Minnesota Vikings.

758
00:37:10,200 --> 00:37:13,520
Speaker 1: Who needs Justin Jefferson, who needs Kirk Cousins. We've got

759
00:37:13,640 --> 00:37:17,919
Speaker 1: Josh Dobbs, Jordan Addison and Ty Chandler. That's all we need.

760
00:37:18,600 --> 00:37:23,000
Speaker 1: Minnesota travels to Denver. They are underdogs plus one and

761
00:37:23,000 --> 00:37:25,359
Speaker 1: a half right now at minus one ten forty three

762
00:37:25,360 --> 00:37:27,399
Speaker 1: and a half is the number plus one oh five

763
00:37:27,400 --> 00:37:30,319
Speaker 1: for Minnesota right now. Again, the Denver Broncos, we'll see

764
00:37:30,360 --> 00:37:33,920
Speaker 1: what they do tonight. But Pat, I'm just gonna keep

765
00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:36,439
Speaker 1: rolling the dice here with the Minnesota Vikings. They're hot,

766
00:37:36,520 --> 00:37:39,160
Speaker 1: they're believing in themselves. I think they can go on

767
00:37:39,200 --> 00:37:41,120
Speaker 1: the road in Denver and come out with a victory.

768
00:37:41,120 --> 00:37:42,480
Speaker 1: So I will go straight to the money line on

769
00:37:42,480 --> 00:37:43,359
Speaker 1: this one. What about you?

770
00:37:44,040 --> 00:37:46,200
Speaker 2: It does seem like kind of a toss up, Joe.

771
00:37:46,719 --> 00:37:48,560
Speaker 2: The one thing that makes me hesitate is like the

772
00:37:48,560 --> 00:37:51,640
Speaker 2: Broncos may have kind of quietly fixed their defense.

773
00:37:51,840 --> 00:37:53,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, oh, I think they're gonna beat the Bills tonight,

774
00:37:53,880 --> 00:37:56,239
Speaker 1: but we'll see well more on that. Join our live

775
00:37:56,239 --> 00:37:59,680
Speaker 1: streams every Monday and Thursday for that conversation. But continue on,

776
00:37:59,680 --> 00:38:00,440
Speaker 1: my friend.

777
00:38:00,840 --> 00:38:03,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, the Broncos have held two of their last three

778
00:38:03,040 --> 00:38:05,759
Speaker 2: opponents under one hundred rushing yards. They seem to have

779
00:38:05,800 --> 00:38:07,919
Speaker 2: gotten things squared away a little bit in the back

780
00:38:08,000 --> 00:38:12,640
Speaker 2: end on past defense. So boy, yeah, Like, I'm not

781
00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:15,920
Speaker 2: quite sure what to expect with this game. So this

782
00:38:16,000 --> 00:38:17,880
Speaker 2: is when I'm kind of staying away from I just

783
00:38:17,920 --> 00:38:20,759
Speaker 2: don't see any value and like there's pretty much no

784
00:38:20,880 --> 00:38:23,280
Speaker 2: outcome in this game that would surprise me. High scoring,

785
00:38:23,360 --> 00:38:28,160
Speaker 2: low scoring win.

786
00:38:30,320 --> 00:38:33,000
Speaker 1: So Sam, I'm writing a script here where I get

787
00:38:33,040 --> 00:38:35,719
Speaker 1: the Denver Broncos upset and this money line increases a

788
00:38:35,719 --> 00:38:37,840
Speaker 1: little bit, and then I go bet the Minnesota Vikings.

789
00:38:38,040 --> 00:38:40,080
Speaker 1: That's what I'm trying to live in. That's that's the

790
00:38:40,080 --> 00:38:42,359
Speaker 1: world I'm creating for myself. But what do you think

791
00:38:42,400 --> 00:38:45,280
Speaker 1: here any early value on this line between Minnesota and Denver.

792
00:38:46,040 --> 00:38:50,680
Speaker 4: Yeah, Joshua Dobbs is him, he could take the Vikings higher.

793
00:38:51,040 --> 00:38:54,439
Speaker 4: I mean Kenmin O'Connell has talked about the value of

794
00:38:54,880 --> 00:38:57,080
Speaker 4: having a rushing quarterback and what it can do to

795
00:38:57,120 --> 00:39:00,799
Speaker 4: open up the playbook and the different options you have

796
00:39:00,880 --> 00:39:03,279
Speaker 4: from there. He's obviously been a little bit quiet about

797
00:39:03,280 --> 00:39:05,279
Speaker 4: that in the past because Kirk Counsins is not a

798
00:39:05,280 --> 00:39:08,279
Speaker 4: mobile quarterback. But I think we're seeing that here with

799
00:39:08,640 --> 00:39:11,400
Speaker 4: Joshua Dobbs being able to extend plays with his feet

800
00:39:11,480 --> 00:39:14,839
Speaker 4: and run some some readoption plays. I think they'll get

801
00:39:15,000 --> 00:39:17,719
Speaker 4: Justin Jefferson back. They do have, in my opinion, a

802
00:39:17,719 --> 00:39:22,200
Speaker 4: clear coaching advantage in Kevin O'Connell over Sean Payton at

803
00:39:22,200 --> 00:39:24,960
Speaker 4: this point in his career. So I love the Vikings

804
00:39:25,040 --> 00:39:28,600
Speaker 4: money line. I think we just continue to ride Josh Dobbs.

805
00:39:28,880 --> 00:39:32,000
Speaker 4: He is just a phenomenal story. Like I think it's

806
00:39:32,960 --> 00:39:35,040
Speaker 4: you take a step back and think of what he's

807
00:39:35,080 --> 00:39:38,840
Speaker 4: all been through and it's just super impressive what he's doing.

808
00:39:39,120 --> 00:39:41,359
Speaker 4: I'm enamored with the man right now.

809
00:39:41,880 --> 00:39:45,560
Speaker 1: I am. So there's nothing I love more than sitting

810
00:39:45,560 --> 00:39:49,600
Speaker 1: here with two giant cheeseheads who last two weeks have

811
00:39:49,719 --> 00:39:52,080
Speaker 1: done nothing but talk about how awesome the Vikings and

812
00:39:52,200 --> 00:39:54,000
Speaker 1: Josh Dobbs are. Like, I don't know how you guys

813
00:39:54,000 --> 00:39:56,399
Speaker 1: are sleeping at night, but it's entertaining for me. I'm

814
00:39:56,440 --> 00:39:59,360
Speaker 1: loving this. I'm really enjoying this and taking shots at

815
00:39:59,360 --> 00:40:01,560
Speaker 1: Sean Payton the way out to look at.

816
00:40:01,480 --> 00:40:03,600
Speaker 3: You, well, look at the good thing is Joe.

817
00:40:03,800 --> 00:40:04,160
Speaker 1: Yeah.

818
00:40:04,239 --> 00:40:07,200
Speaker 2: I mean, now we're we weren't expecting the Vikings to

819
00:40:07,200 --> 00:40:09,160
Speaker 2: make the playoffs, but now Sam and I know we're

820
00:40:09,160 --> 00:40:11,000
Speaker 2: going to get to watch the Vikings fans go through

821
00:40:11,000 --> 00:40:12,600
Speaker 2: another soul crushing playoffs.

822
00:40:13,000 --> 00:40:13,520
Speaker 1: That's what it is.

823
00:40:14,280 --> 00:40:15,040
Speaker 3: That's encouraging.

824
00:40:15,719 --> 00:40:17,960
Speaker 1: Well, it looks like Kevin O'Connell's having himself a hell

825
00:40:17,960 --> 00:40:21,160
Speaker 1: of a time. He smiles galore there, throwing his hands

826
00:40:21,200 --> 00:40:24,640
Speaker 1: up giving hugs looks like a good feel good story

827
00:40:24,680 --> 00:40:27,640
Speaker 1: basically in Minnesota, and I'm riding that wave. I mean,

828
00:40:27,920 --> 00:40:30,880
Speaker 1: it just looks good. Now. Look, this is the marquee

829
00:40:30,880 --> 00:40:34,280
Speaker 1: matchup of the week, coming off the bye. Andy Reid's

830
00:40:34,280 --> 00:40:36,000
Speaker 1: always really good. Well, the Eagles are coming off the bye.

831
00:40:36,040 --> 00:40:39,200
Speaker 1: Two eight and one Eagles against seven and two Kansas

832
00:40:39,200 --> 00:40:41,239
Speaker 1: City Chiefs, the rematch of the Super Bowl. The two

833
00:40:41,320 --> 00:40:45,120
Speaker 1: favorites to go back there again. And it's hard to

834
00:40:45,239 --> 00:40:47,160
Speaker 1: argue right now from what we've seen, Maybe like the

835
00:40:47,160 --> 00:40:50,200
Speaker 1: forty nine ers of the Cowboys, if you want to

836
00:40:50,200 --> 00:40:51,960
Speaker 1: make a case for somebody else in the AFC, I

837
00:40:51,960 --> 00:40:55,120
Speaker 1: don't know, but the Kansasity Chiefs are three point favorites

838
00:40:55,960 --> 00:40:57,680
Speaker 1: at home in Kansas City. Forty six and a half

839
00:40:57,760 --> 00:40:59,480
Speaker 1: is the number for this one plus one thirty four

840
00:40:59,520 --> 00:41:03,080
Speaker 1: the Eagles on the upset. So, Sam, do the Eagles

841
00:41:03,080 --> 00:41:05,840
Speaker 1: get some revenge here on a Kansas Chiefs team that

842
00:41:05,960 --> 00:41:09,640
Speaker 1: also has struggled at times to put everything together? What

843
00:41:09,680 --> 00:41:10,719
Speaker 1: do you think about this one?

844
00:41:12,760 --> 00:41:14,719
Speaker 4: I mean, this is going to be some good, clean fun.

845
00:41:15,600 --> 00:41:19,320
Speaker 4: I go through and make the lines every you know

846
00:41:19,480 --> 00:41:22,600
Speaker 4: what I would have them said at before we record here,

847
00:41:22,640 --> 00:41:25,080
Speaker 4: and I could not have been more confident that this

848
00:41:25,120 --> 00:41:26,440
Speaker 4: is going to be a two and a half or

849
00:41:26,440 --> 00:41:30,120
Speaker 4: three point spread, just with the way these two teams are.

850
00:41:30,640 --> 00:41:32,560
Speaker 4: I do think there are a couple of things. I mean,

851
00:41:32,560 --> 00:41:35,440
Speaker 4: the Eagles are not going to have Dallas Godder, which

852
00:41:36,120 --> 00:41:40,760
Speaker 4: with their depth at wide receiver, is a slight concern. Obviously,

853
00:41:40,840 --> 00:41:44,240
Speaker 4: the Chiefs offense has looked a little bit out of spurts.

854
00:41:44,320 --> 00:41:49,000
Speaker 4: I think the Eagles have the coaching advantage just from

855
00:41:49,040 --> 00:41:53,600
Speaker 4: a decision making perspective, But I think Andy Reid, from

856
00:41:53,680 --> 00:41:57,040
Speaker 4: a scheme and play calling perspective, is going to come

857
00:41:57,040 --> 00:42:00,360
Speaker 4: out of this buy and figure out a way to

858
00:42:00,400 --> 00:42:03,400
Speaker 4: get these these receivers involved. He's going to put the

859
00:42:03,440 --> 00:42:06,440
Speaker 4: good stuff out. I think he's going to show that

860
00:42:06,480 --> 00:42:10,360
Speaker 4: this offense is what it is and can come away

861
00:42:10,520 --> 00:42:14,680
Speaker 4: with a victory. So at minus three, it is very,

862
00:42:14,800 --> 00:42:17,680
Speaker 4: very tough for me to take the Chiefs against this

863
00:42:17,760 --> 00:42:22,080
Speaker 4: Eagles because they are a phenomenal team. But I like

864
00:42:22,160 --> 00:42:24,080
Speaker 4: the Chiefs overall in this matchup.

865
00:42:24,800 --> 00:42:27,760
Speaker 1: All right, FITZI, big game, what's the pick?

866
00:42:28,960 --> 00:42:31,360
Speaker 2: I can predict how Joe Pi Sapia is going to

867
00:42:31,400 --> 00:42:32,120
Speaker 2: bet this game?

868
00:42:32,680 --> 00:42:34,439
Speaker 3: And Joe, I.

869
00:42:34,360 --> 00:42:36,640
Speaker 2: Think you could actually talk me into the Eagles on

870
00:42:36,680 --> 00:42:38,080
Speaker 2: the money line at plus one thirty.

871
00:42:38,160 --> 00:42:40,520
Speaker 1: Well, when you're when Vegas is telling you there's no advantage,

872
00:42:40,520 --> 00:42:43,040
Speaker 1: which is the three, Like when Vegas when Vega says

873
00:42:43,040 --> 00:42:45,840
Speaker 1: Bett Holmes Vavora by three, they're telling you they don't know,

874
00:42:45,920 --> 00:42:47,720
Speaker 1: So take the value, which is the money line.

875
00:42:48,440 --> 00:42:51,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, and it's interesting that the total on this game

876
00:42:51,880 --> 00:42:54,239
Speaker 2: dropped a point and a half overnight. It opened at

877
00:42:54,280 --> 00:42:56,640
Speaker 2: forty eight on Sunday night on DraftKings, and it was

878
00:42:56,680 --> 00:42:59,040
Speaker 2: forty six and a half last I checked right before

879
00:42:59,080 --> 00:43:04,160
Speaker 2: this show. The Eagles have been really leaky in the

880
00:43:04,239 --> 00:43:07,400
Speaker 2: secondary lately. They have had all sorts of issues trying

881
00:43:07,400 --> 00:43:11,560
Speaker 2: to deal with wide receivers, and weirdly enough, I have

882
00:43:11,600 --> 00:43:14,200
Speaker 2: to question whether the Chiefs can actually take advantage of

883
00:43:14,239 --> 00:43:16,399
Speaker 2: that with the wide receiver group they have, Like this

884
00:43:16,480 --> 00:43:17,600
Speaker 2: is not a good group.

885
00:43:19,280 --> 00:43:22,680
Speaker 3: So boy, like I could you could.

886
00:43:22,520 --> 00:43:25,239
Speaker 2: Definitely talk me into the Eagles of the money line here, Joe.

887
00:43:25,280 --> 00:43:28,839
Speaker 2: I do think this is a really close matchup and

888
00:43:29,520 --> 00:43:30,880
Speaker 2: I kind of like that plus money.

889
00:43:31,360 --> 00:43:33,239
Speaker 1: I could guarantee you the Eagles of the money line

890
00:43:33,239 --> 00:43:35,480
Speaker 1: will be part of my ten favorite bets for Week eleven.

891
00:43:35,600 --> 00:43:38,000
Speaker 1: So make sure you subscribe to the YouTube channel of

892
00:43:38,000 --> 00:43:40,359
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893
00:43:40,400 --> 00:43:42,680
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894
00:43:42,719 --> 00:43:45,240
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895
00:43:45,239 --> 00:43:48,120
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896
00:43:48,400 --> 00:43:50,640
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897
00:43:50,680 --> 00:43:52,439
Speaker 1: We want to know what you're in on. What games

898
00:43:52,480 --> 00:43:54,759
Speaker 1: do you love? What games do you hate? This week

899
00:43:54,760 --> 00:43:57,239
Speaker 1: and week eleven. This is a safe place for you

900
00:43:57,280 --> 00:43:59,520
Speaker 1: to communicate, so make sure you drop those comments below.

901
00:43:59,560 --> 00:44:03,040
Speaker 1: In the utube you been check us out Monday Night Football,

902
00:44:03,080 --> 00:44:05,640
Speaker 1: Thursday Night Football and all of our other podcasts, and

903
00:44:05,760 --> 00:44:08,759
Speaker 1: of course our NBA show going as well. You don't

904
00:44:08,760 --> 00:44:11,640
Speaker 1: want to miss that, so tune in live for that

905
00:44:11,840 --> 00:44:14,600
Speaker 1: fast break bets. Pretty damn good right there. That'll do

906
00:44:14,640 --> 00:44:16,560
Speaker 1: it for us, but the story of the game goes

907
00:44:16,600 --> 00:44:19,399
Speaker 1: on for Fits and Sam. I'm Joey P. We'll see

908
00:44:19,440 --> 00:44:22,360
Speaker 1: you next time. Kids. Thanks for listening to the Betting

909
00:44:22,400 --> 00:44:23,279
Speaker 1: Pros podcast.

910
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911
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913
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914
00:44:35,960 --> 00:44:39,000
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