WEBVTT - Free Picks for EVERY Week 10 NFL Game (Ep. 380) 0:00:00.760 --> 0:00:03.040 Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 0:00:03.080 --> 0:00:05.920 your bets. This be Joey Pa Joe Pisapia, and it's 0:00:05.960 --> 0:00:08.880 time to look ahead for Week ten in the NFL. 0:00:09.000 --> 0:00:13.200 Week nine had some fireworks, some fun stuff, some crazy moments, 0:00:13.280 --> 0:00:16.720 good bad, ugly, some great matchups too. I think we're 0:00:16.720 --> 0:00:18.759 starting to get a picture of what some of these 0:00:18.800 --> 0:00:20.440 playoff teams are going to be, and some of these 0:00:20.440 --> 0:00:22.960 playoff races are going to be really interesting. So make 0:00:23.000 --> 0:00:26.040 sure you subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel and 0:00:26.079 --> 0:00:27.800 subscribeer erever you get your pods, you can say. On 0:00:27.840 --> 0:00:30.560 top of all of that, my top ten bets for 0:00:30.600 --> 0:00:32.519 the week video will come out tomorrow. We've got the 0:00:32.520 --> 0:00:35.360 prop Show this week. Later on, we've got all kinds 0:00:35.400 --> 0:00:37.800 of fun things, including our Monday night football live stream, 0:00:38.200 --> 0:00:40.320 so don't forget to subscribe. We'll check that out in 0:00:40.360 --> 0:00:42.680 Thursday nights too. But we're taking this Thursday off everybody 0:00:42.680 --> 0:00:45.400 because Joeyp's going on a little vacation. Now. Two guys 0:00:45.440 --> 0:00:48.040 will never take a break, Pat Fitz Morris My Patty 0:00:48.080 --> 0:00:51.479 Cakes and of course Derek Brown Debro the King of Bros. 0:00:51.520 --> 0:00:55.240 The Fantasy Bro coming over to betting Bro just for today. 0:00:55.560 --> 0:00:57.840 Sam Hoppin taking a day off, so I guess this 0:00:57.880 --> 0:01:02.800 is the season here, so bro, looking back at week nine, 0:01:02.840 --> 0:01:06.800 was there a certain circumstance that really kind of let's 0:01:06.800 --> 0:01:09.280 be negative, let's have some fun that ruined your weekend? 0:01:11.040 --> 0:01:13.240 It's always fun, man, when you hit the over for 0:01:13.280 --> 0:01:17.720 Saquon Barkley's carries and you're like, well that's a stone lock. Yeah, 0:01:17.760 --> 0:01:20.920 and then the entire offense falls apart. The game goes 0:01:20.959 --> 0:01:24.760 sideways and you're questioning everything that you thought you knew 0:01:24.760 --> 0:01:25.440 about life. 0:01:25.800 --> 0:01:29.160 Yeah, that sounds about right. Poor Daniel Jones, who he's 0:01:29.160 --> 0:01:31.560 gonna be out for the year, man, talk more about. 0:01:31.600 --> 0:01:33.679 But guy could not catch a break this year. Pat 0:01:33.680 --> 0:01:37.800 fitz Morris, let's spend some positivity. What worked out for 0:01:37.840 --> 0:01:39.880 you on Sunday that you felt really good about when 0:01:39.920 --> 0:01:40.400 you look back. 0:01:41.600 --> 0:01:45.960 I caught a huge break on under in Ravens Seahawks, 0:01:46.360 --> 0:01:49.480 where the Ravens decided to show the Seahawks mercy being 0:01:49.560 --> 0:01:51.760 right at the doorstep of yet another score at the 0:01:51.880 --> 0:01:54.160 very end of the game. And luckily, I swear to god, 0:01:54.160 --> 0:01:57.640 it took like the Ravens maybe like six minutes to 0:01:57.760 --> 0:02:00.440 go the last twenty yards of that drive like they 0:02:00.480 --> 0:02:03.720 easily could have scored again, and thank goodness, took the 0:02:03.720 --> 0:02:06.960 foot off the accelerator and got me that under bet. 0:02:06.760 --> 0:02:08.960 So that was a positive result for sure. 0:02:09.040 --> 0:02:11.400 Here you go. Mercy is not for the week, So 0:02:11.440 --> 0:02:13.640 there you go. Let's get to some of the picks 0:02:13.680 --> 0:02:16.960 here for this week in the NFL, some early values. 0:02:16.960 --> 0:02:18.080 The boys and are going to take a look at 0:02:18.080 --> 0:02:20.280 some of these games here. Don't forget to subscribe to 0:02:20.320 --> 0:02:22.080 the channel and drop a comment below let us know 0:02:22.080 --> 0:02:24.760 what your favorite pick is. We love our Betting Pros 0:02:24.760 --> 0:02:27.000 community here. We're so happy to see all of you subscribing. 0:02:27.040 --> 0:02:30.079 It's great, keep it going. Let's go because we're giving 0:02:30.120 --> 0:02:32.600 away a one year free premium upgrade to Betting Pros 0:02:32.680 --> 0:02:36.680 Premium for you just for dropping a comment and subscribing. 0:02:36.880 --> 0:02:39.560 What's better than that nothing I tell you? So make 0:02:39.600 --> 0:02:41.639 sure you also ring that bell for notification so you 0:02:41.680 --> 0:02:43.440 can be alerted when new episodes are up with the 0:02:43.480 --> 0:02:45.959 VP Show or the live streams here on the VP channel. 0:02:46.320 --> 0:02:48.440 And if you're the big winner so one year free 0:02:48.480 --> 0:02:50.400 premium upgrade doesn't get better than that, you can follow 0:02:50.440 --> 0:02:53.400 us too at bettingpros dot Com slash Joe slash fits 0:02:53.639 --> 0:02:55.919 have some fun with that. Also, let's get to the games. 0:02:55.919 --> 0:02:56.200 Boys. 0:02:56.280 --> 0:02:59.240 Let's take a look here, and it's Bettingpros dot Com 0:02:59.280 --> 0:03:01.760 sash Debro. I believe, yes, we can follow. 0:03:01.560 --> 0:03:03.280 You to say two weeks in a row. I get 0:03:03.360 --> 0:03:06.000 left out right now. I almost did it to you twice. 0:03:06.800 --> 0:03:13.200 Third time's the chart. Let's get over to Thursday Night football. Yeah, 0:03:13.400 --> 0:03:15.400 so Carolinas one and seven. 0:03:16.000 --> 0:03:19.440 The Bears are two and seven. It's on Amazon Prime, 0:03:19.440 --> 0:03:21.320 which is annoying to have to switch over and I 0:03:21.360 --> 0:03:24.080 can't DVR it. So let's look at the lines over 0:03:24.160 --> 0:03:25.600 on BP and see if we can make some money 0:03:25.600 --> 0:03:27.280 on this one. The Bears are three and a half 0:03:27.280 --> 0:03:30.680 point favorites at minus one ten right now. Forty is 0:03:30.680 --> 0:03:32.720 the number you can get the Carolina Panthers plus one 0:03:32.760 --> 0:03:35.800 forty five, Debro. Since you're our guest today, we'll start 0:03:35.800 --> 0:03:38.920 with you on this one. So many bad looks, bad 0:03:39.920 --> 0:03:42.800 reads from Bryce Young. The pick sixes are not good. 0:03:42.840 --> 0:03:44.560 You can get Carolina at plus one fifty two on 0:03:44.560 --> 0:03:47.200 the money line at Fandel right now. But we don't 0:03:47.200 --> 0:03:51.720 know the status as of right now of mister one 0:03:52.040 --> 0:03:54.960 Justin Fields. Do you want to bet this now and 0:03:55.080 --> 0:03:57.280 hope that he plays on the Thursday in the short week, 0:03:57.320 --> 0:03:59.160 and do you think that's where the value is or 0:03:59.200 --> 0:04:02.960 do you wait potentially and see where things go from here? 0:04:03.000 --> 0:04:04.880 Because if you don't think Fields is gonna play Carolina 0:04:04.880 --> 0:04:06.560 on the money line is kind of interesting? Is the 0:04:06.600 --> 0:04:07.160 upset for me? 0:04:08.480 --> 0:04:12.040 I'm willing to take Chicago here to cover. I think 0:04:12.080 --> 0:04:14.800 that Justin Fields does have a realistic chance to play. 0:04:14.840 --> 0:04:18.400 But either way, what is Carolina shown us this year? Nothing? 0:04:18.800 --> 0:04:23.039 Bryce John has shown us nothing. This defense is in shambles. 0:04:23.120 --> 0:04:26.400 And even if it's Tyson Baigen under center, he went 0:04:26.480 --> 0:04:28.760 toe to toe with the Saints this last week, showed 0:04:28.800 --> 0:04:32.000 the rushing, showed the ability to play quarterback. Like I'm 0:04:32.040 --> 0:04:34.320 willing to say that the Chicago Bears cover. I mean, 0:04:34.640 --> 0:04:37.159 outside of that, the only other action I'll have on 0:04:37.200 --> 0:04:39.920 this game is probably betting the over for when Deontay 0:04:39.920 --> 0:04:43.080 Foreman's props come out. As far as rushing, rushing attempts 0:04:43.080 --> 0:04:44.919 and stuff, playing almost sixty percent of the snaps, but 0:04:45.240 --> 0:04:46.400 past that, I'm off this game. 0:04:47.279 --> 0:04:49.279 FITZI Brian Burns is probably not gonna play in this 0:04:49.320 --> 0:04:51.599 game either, that's a big loss in the Carolina defense 0:04:51.640 --> 0:04:53.240 and the Bears defense is played better of late. Do 0:04:53.240 --> 0:04:55.880 you see any value here on this Thursday Night contest? 0:04:56.760 --> 0:04:59.039 I can't say I do show it does seem like 0:05:00.040 --> 0:05:02.080 this line is maybe giving the Bears a little too 0:05:02.120 --> 0:05:04.520 much credit, and it does seem like it is kind 0:05:04.520 --> 0:05:08.120 of anticipating the return of Justin Fields. 0:05:08.360 --> 0:05:10.840 So I don't know. I mean, the Panthers were ahead 0:05:10.880 --> 0:05:11.200 of the. 0:05:11.120 --> 0:05:14.280 Bears and the Massy Peabody rankings going into Week nine, 0:05:14.320 --> 0:05:17.120 and even if that gap has closed up, like I 0:05:17.160 --> 0:05:20.080 think they'd still be pretty close to even for giving 0:05:20.080 --> 0:05:22.240 the Bears two points for home field. Like, maybe there's 0:05:22.279 --> 0:05:26.760 a little value on the Panthers, but it is hard, 0:05:26.880 --> 0:05:29.280 as Deebro mentioned, to back the Panthers with. 0:05:29.279 --> 0:05:30.480 Anything these days. 0:05:30.520 --> 0:05:32.800 And you know, although they did knock off the Texans 0:05:32.839 --> 0:05:34.800 a couple of weeks ago, that was kind of an 0:05:34.800 --> 0:05:41.039 impressive win. But exactly, I'm probably not gonna bet this one, Like, 0:05:41.080 --> 0:05:43.599 I just can't give more than a field goal to anyone. 0:05:44.240 --> 0:05:45.480 With the Bears early. 0:05:45.279 --> 0:05:46.960 Money coming in on the Panthers too, I think people 0:05:46.960 --> 0:05:48.560 are starting to see what I see, which is, hey, 0:05:48.839 --> 0:05:51.720 take the Panthers and then if Fields doesn't play, then 0:05:51.839 --> 0:05:53.119 all of a sudden, that's a good value. 0:05:53.120 --> 0:05:54.680 But it's a little even if he does. 0:05:54.920 --> 0:05:57.159 Even if he does, Joe like the Panthers can beat 0:05:57.360 --> 0:05:59.080 the justin Field's bad well. 0:05:59.520 --> 0:06:01.560 I also mentioned here I think the unders in play 0:06:01.600 --> 0:06:03.800 because both these offenses have been terrible. The pace of 0:06:03.839 --> 0:06:05.760 this game is going to be disgusting too. 0:06:06.480 --> 0:06:09.520 Indianapolis Colts and New England Patriots will go to Germany 0:06:09.640 --> 0:06:13.200 Guten mordon. We did that the other day, so I 0:06:13.279 --> 0:06:16.760 learned a little German guten morton. So we have this 0:06:16.800 --> 0:06:19.640 game here, sitting at forty three and a half at 0:06:19.680 --> 0:06:23.280 minus one ten. You've got the New England Patriots one 0:06:23.320 --> 0:06:25.599 and a half point underdogs at minus won ten. The 0:06:25.680 --> 0:06:28.080 Pats a plus one ten on the money line. Fits 0:06:29.560 --> 0:06:32.080 Bill Belichick after this game, taking some questions here for 0:06:32.200 --> 0:06:34.080 the media. It was ugly. It was bad. I mean, 0:06:34.120 --> 0:06:36.720 I know they won two weeks ago, but it just 0:06:36.720 --> 0:06:39.000 seems like things are going in a really bad direction, 0:06:39.160 --> 0:06:42.400 very negative. Whereas the Colts, I feel like, are competitive 0:06:42.440 --> 0:06:44.440 in these games. What do you think about this one? 0:06:44.520 --> 0:06:46.159 I mean to me, I'm on the cult side of 0:06:46.160 --> 0:06:47.240 this one. In the early going. 0:06:48.200 --> 0:06:50.560 Yeah, we've talked about the Colts Joe being one of 0:06:50.600 --> 0:06:53.359 those vexing teams that I've been unable to get on 0:06:53.440 --> 0:06:55.680 the right side of all season long. So I guess 0:06:55.720 --> 0:06:58.880 I don't really like either side here. I just don't 0:06:58.920 --> 0:07:02.360 like betting against the Patriots as home dogs, even though 0:07:03.520 --> 0:07:06.960 you know I bet on the Patriots as home dogs. Wait, no, 0:07:07.080 --> 0:07:08.920 they were slight favorites against the Commanders. 0:07:09.000 --> 0:07:12.560 Yeah, how didn't work out, not at all. 0:07:12.680 --> 0:07:16.280 But then again, like they knocked off the Bills a 0:07:16.320 --> 0:07:19.440 few weeks ago, now they're really kind of squarely at home. 0:07:20.080 --> 0:07:21.880 I don't like either side, but the Colts have been 0:07:21.880 --> 0:07:26.480 a pretty reliable over team. Week nine notwithstanding, I thought 0:07:26.520 --> 0:07:28.160 the Panthers were gonna be able to keep up their 0:07:28.240 --> 0:07:29.880 end of the bargain and score enough to get that 0:07:29.920 --> 0:07:33.120 game over. It didn't happen. It was the Panther's fault, 0:07:35.000 --> 0:07:36.880 but I don't know. The Colts have gone over the 0:07:36.880 --> 0:07:40.840 total in four of their last six and six of 0:07:40.840 --> 0:07:43.720 their last nine games have gone over fifty points. The 0:07:43.800 --> 0:07:46.160 average point total of the Colts game this season is 0:07:46.200 --> 0:07:48.360 fifty two point seven, So I do kind of like 0:07:48.400 --> 0:07:50.960 the over here. I think I'm gonna bet the over, 0:07:51.080 --> 0:07:53.640 but I don't think I'm gonna bet either side. 0:07:53.720 --> 0:07:56.640 Yeah, debro, what's interesting here? Obviously the neutral site comes 0:07:56.640 --> 0:07:59.880 into play quite a bit, but still the you have 0:07:59.920 --> 0:08:02.600 to two of the Patriots, you know, not being able 0:08:02.640 --> 0:08:05.280 to find any consistency. The fact that they are underdogs 0:08:05.280 --> 0:08:07.160 in this game feels right to me. I like the 0:08:07.160 --> 0:08:08.600 Colts in the minus one and a half. At minus 0:08:08.640 --> 0:08:10.320 one fifteen you get a FanDuel. But what do you think? 0:08:11.040 --> 0:08:12.760 Yeah, I mean, if I got to take a side here, 0:08:12.840 --> 0:08:15.480 I'll go with the Colts. I have no confidence in 0:08:15.520 --> 0:08:17.440 the Patriots. But my favorite bet out of this game, 0:08:17.440 --> 0:08:18.920 and I think fits hit hit the nail on the 0:08:18.920 --> 0:08:22.200 head here, is betting the over. We quietly have two 0:08:22.280 --> 0:08:24.520 teams that are top three in neutral pace, so I 0:08:24.520 --> 0:08:27.560 think the play volume and neither one of these defenses 0:08:27.600 --> 0:08:30.280 have been playing fantastic. Let's also throw that out there, like, 0:08:30.480 --> 0:08:33.120 I know, Kenny Moore house two touchdowns and you don't 0:08:33.120 --> 0:08:36.000 want to target the slot versus defense. The outside corners 0:08:36.040 --> 0:08:38.240 have still been up and down. I like the over 0:08:38.320 --> 0:08:39.760 in this game because I think the play volume is 0:08:39.760 --> 0:08:40.600 gonna be fantastic. 0:08:41.400 --> 0:08:43.880 All right, about the volume in this next one here, 0:08:43.960 --> 0:08:47.400 Green Bay and Pittsburgh coming up here. I got one 0:08:47.480 --> 0:08:50.800 word for you kids under unders. That's wharble. Thirty seven 0:08:50.800 --> 0:08:52.880 and a half is that number of my at minus 0:08:52.920 --> 0:08:55.480 went aw eight on FanDuel, green Bay's plus one sixty 0:08:55.480 --> 0:08:57.959 seven on the money line, Pittsburgh minus three and a 0:08:58.000 --> 0:09:00.839 half points over on DK one on five de bro. 0:09:01.120 --> 0:09:02.360 I know I'm kind of like quick to that and 0:09:02.400 --> 0:09:06.120 I'm being facetious, but it just neither of these offenses 0:09:06.120 --> 0:09:10.240 give me a lot of real confidence necessarily week to week. 0:09:10.400 --> 0:09:12.200 The Pittsburgh Steelers like to play, you know, all these 0:09:12.240 --> 0:09:14.800 kind of down and dirty games. A little bit you 0:09:14.920 --> 0:09:17.800 saw also the Christian Watson is gonna be dealing with 0:09:17.840 --> 0:09:19.520 an injury, so Green Bay is not gonna be one 0:09:19.559 --> 0:09:22.880 hundred percent. You got Jordan Love on the road Pittsburgh defense. 0:09:23.040 --> 0:09:24.680 I'm just looking at this under to me, that's the 0:09:24.720 --> 0:09:27.000 best bet of this one. I think Pittsburgh can handle 0:09:27.040 --> 0:09:29.400 the three and a half. I would like it to 0:09:29.440 --> 0:09:32.720 be three, to be honest, like god like, but whatever, Well, 0:09:32.920 --> 0:09:34.840 beggars can't be choosers. What are your thoughts here on 0:09:34.880 --> 0:09:35.319 this one? 0:09:35.840 --> 0:09:38.840 I'm with you, Joe. I think I wish this opened 0:09:38.840 --> 0:09:39.800 at like two and a half. 0:09:39.880 --> 0:09:40.280 Or three. 0:09:40.840 --> 0:09:43.480 But I still think Pittsburgh can cover because the thing 0:09:43.520 --> 0:09:45.480 they do well is get after the quarterback, and the 0:09:45.520 --> 0:09:47.920 thing that Jordan Love can't handle is pressure. So he's 0:09:47.920 --> 0:09:51.000 gonna see one huge dose of TJ. Watt all up 0:09:51.040 --> 0:09:54.800 in his face all day. So I think Pittsburgh, Well, 0:09:55.440 --> 0:09:59.280 the money line has been good. Lord, it's been seduced 0:09:59.280 --> 0:10:03.360 by the juice. But looking at I mean minus one ninety, No, 0:10:03.920 --> 0:10:07.120 but you can give me to hope that the Steelers 0:10:07.120 --> 0:10:10.559 will cover in this one. I'm in on the under. Really, 0:10:10.600 --> 0:10:12.920 this comes down to I'm probably gonna attack this mostly 0:10:13.000 --> 0:10:16.200 with props. But I do also think that once we 0:10:16.280 --> 0:10:18.200 get the news that Christian Watson is out, we could 0:10:18.200 --> 0:10:20.000 see this line move a little bit more in the 0:10:20.000 --> 0:10:20.720 Steelers favor. 0:10:21.360 --> 0:10:23.760 Well here's the thing, Fitzy, this one did open at three, 0:10:23.800 --> 0:10:25.520 and now every book has added the hook. What do 0:10:25.559 --> 0:10:25.960 you make of that? 0:10:26.679 --> 0:10:29.400 Yeah, I mean, I think they're recognizing that the Packers' 0:10:29.440 --> 0:10:31.640 offense is pretty sickly and that it's hard to see 0:10:31.640 --> 0:10:34.360 them going to Pittsburgh and winning. I mean, I've been 0:10:34.520 --> 0:10:38.560 very guilty of over estimating the Steelers all season. 0:10:38.640 --> 0:10:40.880 So I'm you and me both brothers. 0:10:41.000 --> 0:10:45.440 Yeah, We've talked about this, Joe, I'm wary of that, 0:10:46.320 --> 0:10:49.760 but like I still considering that, I can't see the 0:10:49.800 --> 0:10:51.040 Packers winning this game. 0:10:51.240 --> 0:10:53.360 I think I am going to bet the Steelers, and Joe, 0:10:53.360 --> 0:10:55.080 if you're going to grab that under you better grab 0:10:55.120 --> 0:10:57.600 it fast. You mentioned it's thirty seven and a half 0:10:57.960 --> 0:11:01.080 on Fan Duel. It's already down to thirty seven on 0:11:01.200 --> 0:11:04.320 DraftKings as of late morning on Monday, and I could 0:11:04.320 --> 0:11:05.800 see this going down to thirty six. 0:11:07.880 --> 0:11:10.240 Yeah, I bet it before the show, my friends, and 0:11:10.240 --> 0:11:12.360 make sure you're making all your picks count. By the way, 0:11:12.400 --> 0:11:16.080 make sure you're doing our fun Betting Pros contest at 0:11:16.080 --> 0:11:19.240 bettingpros dot com slash NFL contest. We make five picks 0:11:19.240 --> 0:11:20.720 a week, one hundred on the season, and the winner 0:11:20.720 --> 0:11:23.520 gets a Jackson Smith and Jigba autograph jersey. We're also 0:11:23.559 --> 0:11:26.240 doing weekly prizes, monthly prizes, so you can join any 0:11:26.280 --> 0:11:28.439 time in this contest and you don't even have to 0:11:28.480 --> 0:11:30.200 make a bet. You just have to make a pick, 0:11:30.280 --> 0:11:32.960 that's all you have to do. We're giving away upgrades 0:11:32.960 --> 0:11:35.480 to Fantasy pros, to betting Pros. We're giving away swag 0:11:35.520 --> 0:11:38.520 from our shops. Let you go shopping Black Friday sales 0:11:38.559 --> 0:11:40.760 or right around the corner. But again, have some fun 0:11:40.840 --> 0:11:42.880 with us. Download the Betting Pros app and make sure 0:11:42.880 --> 0:11:45.040 you click on that community tab and go to NFL contest, 0:11:45.160 --> 0:11:46.959 or you can just go to betting pros dot com 0:11:46.960 --> 0:11:50.400 slash NFL contest and when you download the app, you 0:11:50.440 --> 0:11:53.280 get three free days of premium on iOS. So there 0:11:53.280 --> 0:11:57.080 you go, a little bonus for you with the NFL, NHL, NBA. 0:11:57.800 --> 0:12:00.560 Someone told me college basketball is starting again. I know, 0:12:00.600 --> 0:12:04.120 fits cares, I do not, but whatever to each his own. 0:12:04.480 --> 0:12:06.680 There's only so much room in my brain at one 0:12:06.679 --> 0:12:07.320 time for things. 0:12:07.360 --> 0:12:09.520 That's I like all the college basketball betting to fits. 0:12:09.559 --> 0:12:11.480 I'll just tail, yeah, I just follow fits. 0:12:11.400 --> 0:12:13.559 Betting pros dot com slash fits. Let's get to the 0:12:13.559 --> 0:12:15.800 New Orleans Saints and the Minnesota Vikings. The Minnesota Vikings 0:12:15.800 --> 0:12:19.560 aren't a roll. I'm feeling it, boys. Let's go. They're 0:12:19.600 --> 0:12:21.600 gonna be at home against the Saints. You know the 0:12:21.640 --> 0:12:26.080 Saints are, obviously, you know, a defense that continues to 0:12:26.120 --> 0:12:29.720 be steady. Here Taysom Hill continues to do Taysom Hill things. 0:12:29.960 --> 0:12:33.000 Forty one is the number. Here you have the Minnesota 0:12:33.080 --> 0:12:34.959 Vikings home under dogs at two and a half, which 0:12:35.000 --> 0:12:37.640 is always appealing minus one oh two o Ron DK 0:12:37.760 --> 0:12:39.679 can get that if you like Minnesota for the upset 0:12:39.679 --> 0:12:41.840 of plus one twenty five or a points bet. This 0:12:41.880 --> 0:12:45.280 one's really intriguing to me. Both teams are five and four. Derek, 0:12:45.679 --> 0:12:49.840 It's interesting narrative. It feels like the Minnesota Vikings have 0:12:49.920 --> 0:12:53.240 this good favor rolling and this confidence. The Josh Dobbs 0:12:53.280 --> 0:12:55.680 thing gave them this life. It feels like they're really 0:12:55.720 --> 0:12:59.719 coalescing and the Jefferson injury almost kind of united them 0:12:59.720 --> 0:13:02.760 to get Yeah, there is it enough though to bet 0:13:02.800 --> 0:13:04.880 them in this scenario at home week ten? 0:13:05.559 --> 0:13:07.400 I think it is. I was actually kind of surprised 0:13:07.400 --> 0:13:09.160 where this opened that I thought the line was gonna 0:13:09.160 --> 0:13:11.720 be closer. I feel like this is giving way too 0:13:11.800 --> 0:13:13.880 much credit to the minute to the New Orleans Saints. 0:13:14.200 --> 0:13:17.079 With Minnesota's secondary playing better, they're gonna blitz they ever 0:13:17.120 --> 0:13:19.360 live in heck out of Derek Carr, He's been up 0:13:19.360 --> 0:13:21.640 and down. It's always an adventure with Derek Carr. Give 0:13:21.640 --> 0:13:24.200 me the Minnesota Vikings money line, especially a plus money, 0:13:24.840 --> 0:13:27.560 and I am intrigued by the over in this one, 0:13:28.120 --> 0:13:31.120 with Josh Jobs having a full week to actually learn 0:13:31.200 --> 0:13:33.840 all the names of the people around him. What can 0:13:33.880 --> 0:13:37.080 he do? And this Saints offense is starting to come together. 0:13:37.120 --> 0:13:38.960 So give me the over and I'll take a Minnesota 0:13:38.960 --> 0:13:39.640 money line. 0:13:39.880 --> 0:13:43.160 Okay, Minnesota money line. I like where Debro's head's at. 0:13:43.520 --> 0:13:45.760 It's two for two, for two, Pat, you want to 0:13:45.760 --> 0:13:47.240 make it three for three? Yeah? 0:13:47.280 --> 0:13:49.760 I like Debro's call on this one too. Minnesota is 0:13:49.800 --> 0:13:53.400 a tough place to play. And granted this is not 0:13:53.640 --> 0:13:56.840 like a star studded edition of the Vikings, but man 0:13:56.920 --> 0:14:01.160 like Brian Flores has really got that defense overachieving. The 0:14:01.200 --> 0:14:03.240 Saints defense has been really good too. But why do 0:14:03.400 --> 0:14:06.320 I also feel like the over is the right play here? 0:14:06.720 --> 0:14:09.679 I mean, this was supposed to be Josh Dobbs Vikings debut. 0:14:09.800 --> 0:14:12.560 He's already, as it turns out, had a week to 0:14:12.559 --> 0:14:15.840 dig his heels in and get comfortable, and he makes 0:14:15.880 --> 0:14:19.880 the Vikings kind of plucky on offensively plucky offensively. So 0:14:19.880 --> 0:14:22.840 at this low number I'm leaning over to It's it's 0:14:22.960 --> 0:14:24.800 just kind of a vibe. I know both of these 0:14:24.840 --> 0:14:28.280 teams have maybe been a little better defensively than offensively, 0:14:28.680 --> 0:14:30.640 but I think we're going to see points. 0:14:30.400 --> 0:14:33.200 In this one. The over is probably the safest bet 0:14:33.240 --> 0:14:34.800 of anything on here. I think if you're trying to 0:14:34.800 --> 0:14:36.840 have a little little bit more juice there, you take 0:14:36.880 --> 0:14:38.840 the Vikings on the money line. But I agree with 0:14:38.880 --> 0:14:41.120 you Fits, I think the safe bet here, or if 0:14:41.160 --> 0:14:43.200 you like individual props, you want to put something along 0:14:43.240 --> 0:14:45.040 with the game, you take the over, and then you 0:14:45.120 --> 0:14:47.840 take something you really like, whether now you know Madison 0:14:47.920 --> 0:14:49.320 might be that you know, now that Acres is out 0:14:49.320 --> 0:14:51.520 with that torn Achilles, you know, maybe some Madison propsy 0:14:51.600 --> 0:14:54.240 come a little bit easier to digest. Let's get to 0:14:54.280 --> 0:14:56.760 the next game on the slate here as a run 0:14:56.800 --> 0:15:00.000 through Week ten in the NFL. Having a good time here. 0:15:00.000 --> 0:15:02.800 The next one, we've got the Houston Texans and the 0:15:02.840 --> 0:15:07.040 Cincinnati Bengals. Now, gentlemen Joe Burrow and c. J. Stroud 0:15:07.080 --> 0:15:10.600 looked really good on Sunday. This one, in theory, should 0:15:10.640 --> 0:15:14.320 be a very entertaining contest. The number forty seven and 0:15:14.400 --> 0:15:18.360 a half pretty pretty good. Minus one ten on FanDuel, 0:15:18.720 --> 0:15:21.200 the Cincinnati Bengals are seven point favorites at home. That 0:15:21.240 --> 0:15:24.080 feels right. I think the Bengals have earned that plus 0:15:24.120 --> 0:15:26.960 two to eighty over on the FanDuel side. Now that's 0:15:26.960 --> 0:15:29.120 for the Houston money line fits. I want to talk 0:15:29.160 --> 0:15:31.560 about this because there's that dangerous thing, and we talked 0:15:31.600 --> 0:15:32.240 about it last week. 0:15:32.320 --> 0:15:32.480 Right. 0:15:32.520 --> 0:15:34.680 You know, just because the team looks great one week 0:15:34.760 --> 0:15:38.440 doesn't mean it travels around. The Cincinnati Bengals are starting 0:15:38.480 --> 0:15:40.560 to really look like the Cincinnati Bengals of old, that 0:15:41.080 --> 0:15:44.560 big time playoff team. The seven is a big number. 0:15:45.000 --> 0:15:47.480 I'm still here for it. The forty seven and a half, 0:15:47.560 --> 0:15:49.760 I think is pretty high. I'm actually staying away from 0:15:49.800 --> 0:15:52.680 I'm just gonna go with Cincy in the seven. But Fitz, 0:15:52.760 --> 0:15:54.640 do you see anything different here in this game? Do 0:15:54.680 --> 0:15:56.720 you think forty seven and a half is a number 0:15:56.720 --> 0:15:57.720 that this game can go over? 0:15:58.920 --> 0:16:01.080 I don't know about that. I'm not betting the total 0:16:01.280 --> 0:16:03.800 this one. I think the total is pretty spot on. 0:16:04.000 --> 0:16:06.360 But I'm kind of with you and the Bengals, Joe. 0:16:06.480 --> 0:16:09.000 They like they've got it together. They are rolling. They 0:16:09.040 --> 0:16:12.040 look like the AFC Super Bowl contender that we've seen 0:16:12.080 --> 0:16:15.080 the last couple of years. And I do find it 0:16:15.160 --> 0:16:19.360 interesting that this game opened up on DraftKings at plus 0:16:19.400 --> 0:16:23.120 eight for the Texans and was quickly bet down to 0:16:23.600 --> 0:16:26.160 like money must have come flowing in on the Texans 0:16:26.240 --> 0:16:28.480 right off the bat, and it got down to seven 0:16:28.560 --> 0:16:30.560 really quickly. But seven is a number one. 0:16:30.440 --> 0:16:32.520 Good thing for everybody who wants to bet Cincinnati. 0:16:32.720 --> 0:16:37.040 Yeah, exactly, And I'm pretty comfortable with it. At Bengals 0:16:37.080 --> 0:16:38.840 minus seven, I think I want to hit that now 0:16:38.880 --> 0:16:41.080 before it goes up again and you have to throw 0:16:41.120 --> 0:16:41.880 a hook in there. 0:16:42.840 --> 0:16:45.880 Yeah. I'll tell you what too. This is why you're 0:16:45.880 --> 0:16:48.880 watching betting pros, this is why you're subscribe to the channel. 0:16:49.640 --> 0:16:51.920 Three weeks ago, I think I think it was before 0:16:51.960 --> 0:16:54.800 the San Francisco game. I it was my number one 0:16:54.800 --> 0:16:57.760 bet of the week, which was the plus five hundred 0:16:58.080 --> 0:17:01.600 on Cincinnati to win the AFC North, and I said, 0:17:01.600 --> 0:17:03.960 you're never gonna see this number again if they bet 0:17:04.200 --> 0:17:06.639 if they win against San Francisco, and then it went 0:17:06.680 --> 0:17:08.280 to three fifty. I didn't look at it what it 0:17:08.320 --> 0:17:09.719 is this morning. I'm gonna check it right now. But 0:17:10.000 --> 0:17:11.720 that's the thing. It's like, you have to say, all right, 0:17:11.880 --> 0:17:14.000 you're in a position now if Cincinnati runs a couple 0:17:14.000 --> 0:17:16.240 of these big games, if they go and beat San Francisco, 0:17:16.320 --> 0:17:18.679 they beat Buffalo, what does that number look like. I 0:17:18.680 --> 0:17:20.040 don't care what the Ravens are doing. I don't care 0:17:20.080 --> 0:17:22.240 who they're beating up on, the Arizona Cardinals and teams 0:17:22.280 --> 0:17:25.240 like that. I care about the Bengals beating the forty 0:17:25.320 --> 0:17:27.040 nine ers. I care about the Bengals beating the Bills. 0:17:27.080 --> 0:17:29.200 That says to me that team is ready. Trey Hendrickson 0:17:29.240 --> 0:17:31.919 being back to has been such a huge piece for 0:17:31.960 --> 0:17:35.440 this defense. On that that defensive line get into the 0:17:35.520 --> 0:17:39.040 quarterback making things happen. Debro any final thoughts on this 0:17:39.080 --> 0:17:40.479 contest here? How do you want to approach it? 0:17:41.080 --> 0:17:42.680 I'm in locks up with you, guys. I thought I 0:17:42.720 --> 0:17:45.320 thought you were gonna mention how we bet or we 0:17:45.400 --> 0:17:48.320 both bet the Cincinnati Bengals money line against San Francisco, 0:17:48.359 --> 0:17:48.639 which was. 0:17:48.720 --> 0:17:50.320 Oh we did that too, Oh we did that too. 0:17:50.359 --> 0:17:53.159 That was what was a joe plus two ten at 0:17:53.200 --> 0:17:53.760 one point? 0:17:53.840 --> 0:17:56.960 Like it was plus two ten. I think I got it. 0:17:57.000 --> 0:17:58.639 Plus two forty is what I got. 0:17:58.640 --> 0:18:01.040 Oh it was so nice, man. But I'm with you. 0:18:01.680 --> 0:18:05.119 I think the Bengals cover this number. I'm intrigued by 0:18:05.119 --> 0:18:08.360 the under in this game. Cincinnati has been rolling. If 0:18:08.359 --> 0:18:10.200 they get to the over, I think it's because the 0:18:10.240 --> 0:18:13.560 Bengals just mollywop them in this one. But I'm curious 0:18:13.680 --> 0:18:16.160 what the line does if it goes up. I'm gonna 0:18:16.200 --> 0:18:18.720 let this kind of simmer. I'm curious that this line 0:18:18.760 --> 0:18:20.919 continues to go up a little bit, and then I'm 0:18:20.920 --> 0:18:23.640 gonna hammer the under later in the week depending on. 0:18:23.600 --> 0:18:26.200 What it does. Still good value the Bengals on FanDuel 0:18:26.200 --> 0:18:28.520 plus three twenty to win that division. Baltimore's minus one 0:18:28.600 --> 0:18:31.280 forty five. It is wrong that it gets wrong. That's 0:18:31.320 --> 0:18:33.760 absolutely right. Go better right now, folks. You know what. 0:18:34.200 --> 0:18:36.080 It's going back in the video again. It's going back 0:18:36.119 --> 0:18:38.800 in the video again tomorrow because the people need to know. 0:18:39.040 --> 0:18:40.800 I have to be the voice of the people. Let's 0:18:40.800 --> 0:18:43.600 get to the next TikTok superstar, Joey p I'm an 0:18:43.600 --> 0:18:47.440 influencer if nothing else. The Cleveland Browns Baltimore Ravens. Again, 0:18:47.600 --> 0:18:50.240 all credit to Baltimore. They are handling their business. Offense 0:18:50.280 --> 0:18:52.600 is starting to jive here with the new play calling 0:18:52.640 --> 0:18:54.200 and then everything going on here in the new OC. 0:18:54.640 --> 0:18:57.520 Baltimore's six point favorites at home against this Cleveland defense, 0:18:57.560 --> 0:18:59.760 that is for real. You can get minus one oh 0:18:59.760 --> 0:19:04.000 five on Baltimore DK. You get minus one ten over 0:19:04.040 --> 0:19:06.720 on the plus six side Cleveland. Thirty eight and a 0:19:06.760 --> 0:19:08.720 half is the number everywhere here for this game pretty 0:19:08.800 --> 0:19:11.440 much right now, plus two twenty on the Cleveland side 0:19:11.440 --> 0:19:15.879 for the upset debro. The Baltimore Ravens continue to be 0:19:15.920 --> 0:19:17.280 that team that kind of plays up and down to 0:19:17.320 --> 0:19:19.760 the competition. Now, Seattle was kind of a weird one 0:19:19.800 --> 0:19:22.119 where I feel like that was almost like a mid 0:19:22.400 --> 0:19:26.160 so I guess this is to me where Baltimore starts 0:19:26.200 --> 0:19:28.480 to really prove itself winning these big Indivision games because 0:19:28.480 --> 0:19:30.760 they came up short against the Steelers. These are the 0:19:30.760 --> 0:19:32.879 games you have to win. What do you think about 0:19:32.880 --> 0:19:35.400 this contest? You see the early value on the betting side. 0:19:35.720 --> 0:19:37.919 I think that this is giving way too much credit 0:19:37.920 --> 0:19:41.119 to the Cleveland Browns and their defense. This line should 0:19:41.160 --> 0:19:45.040 be seven seven and a half. I think I'm willing 0:19:45.040 --> 0:19:47.520 to say the Raven's going to cover this at home. 0:19:48.440 --> 0:19:50.120 I'm staying away from the total. I think it's good, 0:19:50.160 --> 0:19:52.960 but I think Baltimore evens just stomp the Browns in 0:19:52.960 --> 0:19:53.479 this one. 0:19:53.920 --> 0:19:56.520 Yeah see, I tend to go that way too, But Fitz, 0:19:56.720 --> 0:19:59.199 I've learned one thing in all of these years, which is, 0:19:59.520 --> 0:20:00.960 you know, some times when it looks like this too 0:20:01.000 --> 0:20:02.879 good to be true, Like the real value on this 0:20:03.000 --> 0:20:06.480 game is to go bet the Browns, Like that's where 0:20:06.520 --> 0:20:08.320 the value lies. There's no doubt about that. And I 0:20:08.680 --> 0:20:11.479 know it's Oh, I get it, it's so gross. But 0:20:11.840 --> 0:20:13.520 if you're the Browns, what you have to do is 0:20:13.560 --> 0:20:17.000 defensively contain Lamar Jackson, make him beat you throwing in 0:20:17.040 --> 0:20:21.240 the football, and continue to sack and rush that passer. Now, 0:20:21.320 --> 0:20:24.840 Lamar's a little slippery, That's that's true. But pat to me, 0:20:24.960 --> 0:20:26.880 the value on this game is the brown side, which 0:20:26.920 --> 0:20:28.920 I know it's gross, like Derek is alluding to, and 0:20:29.000 --> 0:20:31.560 I'm with you, but I might even watch this one 0:20:31.600 --> 0:20:33.520 and bet it in game live because I feel like 0:20:33.640 --> 0:20:36.480 that is something. If you see that Browns come out 0:20:36.840 --> 0:20:38.639 then looking like that team that played the forty nine ers, 0:20:38.760 --> 0:20:41.880 right or leaving the team that came out yesterday, that 0:20:42.000 --> 0:20:44.360 energized Browns team, that's a tough team to beat anywhere. 0:20:45.000 --> 0:20:49.560 Yeah, although you know the Cardinals are such a punching bag, 0:20:49.640 --> 0:20:51.880 Like I don't feel like we can take that much 0:20:51.920 --> 0:20:56.160 away from that game, especially with Clayton Tune at quarterback. 0:20:56.240 --> 0:20:58.399 But you know what, they should have beaten the Indianapolis Colts. 0:20:58.400 --> 0:20:59.879 They had that game in their grasp. That was a 0:21:00.080 --> 0:21:03.800 road game they beat San Francisco, you know, and they're 0:21:03.800 --> 0:21:07.800 doing it with subpar quarterback play at times. But I 0:21:07.880 --> 0:21:09.360 keep coming back to, like, this is one of those 0:21:09.400 --> 0:21:11.080 games that you know it's going to be nasty. It's 0:21:11.080 --> 0:21:14.800 an indivision AFC North kind of grinding game, and I 0:21:14.800 --> 0:21:18.320 think that style favors Cleveland because of the defense. 0:21:18.480 --> 0:21:20.679 Where I agree with you in Baltimore. 0:21:20.960 --> 0:21:22.560 Where I agree with see. 0:21:23.040 --> 0:21:24.960 Where I agree with you on this show is that 0:21:26.600 --> 0:21:28.560 you know, like I think the Ravens are the more 0:21:28.880 --> 0:21:33.640 complete and the better team, but this game, with these defenses, 0:21:33.680 --> 0:21:36.960 I do see this as being a classic AFC North 0:21:37.080 --> 0:21:40.400 rock fight kind of game, and six points is too 0:21:40.480 --> 0:21:42.879 much to give up in a rock fight. And like, 0:21:42.960 --> 0:21:45.479 I just kind of have a policy where I do 0:21:45.560 --> 0:21:47.800 not bet against the Ravens when they're at home. It's 0:21:47.840 --> 0:21:50.359 either bet four layoff, and it's probably going to be 0:21:50.359 --> 0:21:52.600 a layoff. I was mildly interested in the under here 0:21:52.640 --> 0:21:54.520 when it was thirty nine and a half to open. 0:21:55.040 --> 0:21:57.600 It's already gone down to thirty eight and a half, 0:21:57.680 --> 0:22:00.119 and I'm not quite as comfortable with it. They're so 0:22:00.160 --> 0:22:04.800 I'm probably just gonna enjoy this as sort of a 0:22:04.840 --> 0:22:09.560 classic AFC North defensive struggle and not bet at at all. 0:22:10.400 --> 0:22:11.960 Well, let's see if you can enjoy the battle of 0:22:11.960 --> 0:22:15.119 two three and five teams in Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers 0:22:15.160 --> 0:22:17.800 are going to host the Tennessee Titans. Will Levis with 0:22:17.840 --> 0:22:20.440 a little bit extra time to prepare for this one. 0:22:21.400 --> 0:22:23.679 Give Levis credit. You know Pittsburgh, he got down to 0:22:23.720 --> 0:22:25.800 that last play and then he threw the picky. You know, 0:22:25.880 --> 0:22:27.840 bog and I were talking on that thursdaynight football game. 0:22:27.880 --> 0:22:30.400 I said, look, there's just too many negatives against Levis here, 0:22:30.800 --> 0:22:33.840 rookie quarterbacks, short week on the road against the Seilers, 0:22:33.880 --> 0:22:35.800 like there was just and you know what, we got 0:22:35.800 --> 0:22:38.040 it right. Bogman hit four out of his five props 0:22:38.040 --> 0:22:41.240 that night, and I hit the three, and that's it. 0:22:41.320 --> 0:22:44.159 Like that, we crush that game. Now it's time to 0:22:44.160 --> 0:22:47.840 crush this one. Titans Tampa. I know here, you're getting 0:22:47.880 --> 0:22:50.600 basically a pick them. I like Tampa. On this side. 0:22:50.640 --> 0:22:53.960 It's one point minus one ten over the minus one 0:22:54.040 --> 0:22:56.480 side of Tampa. That's on DraftKings. Thirty eight and a 0:22:56.520 --> 0:22:59.440 half is the over under the money line for tennesseet 0:22:59.440 --> 0:23:03.399 fandels two DKs at minus one fifteen. So Vegas is 0:23:03.440 --> 0:23:05.440 telling you this game is a pick him, and I'm pat. 0:23:05.440 --> 0:23:08.000 I'm just gonna pick Tampa and I'm gonna pick the 0:23:08.040 --> 0:23:11.840 home team with Baker Mayfield coming off of a bad 0:23:11.920 --> 0:23:14.879 loss there where I think the defense kind of grabs 0:23:14.880 --> 0:23:17.600 itself up by the Haunches and has a better showing 0:23:17.600 --> 0:23:19.040 here against Will Levis. What do you think. 0:23:19.280 --> 0:23:23.240 I'm with you, Joe. The Buccaneers just have not finished 0:23:23.280 --> 0:23:25.600 well lately. They've lost three straight, but all of them 0:23:25.600 --> 0:23:27.800 have been one score games, two of them by a 0:23:27.800 --> 0:23:30.840 field goal, and the Bucks do seem to play a 0:23:30.880 --> 0:23:33.040 lot of these close games. I just feel like this 0:23:33.119 --> 0:23:36.120 line is giving Levis too much credit. And I understand 0:23:36.119 --> 0:23:39.720 the enthusiasm, like he immediately has looked like he belongs 0:23:39.760 --> 0:23:43.679 in the NFL. But rookie quarterbacks are still gonna make mistakes. 0:23:43.960 --> 0:23:47.800 And while the Buccaneers are, you know, like certainly not 0:23:47.880 --> 0:23:49.760 one of the better teams in the league, they're not 0:23:49.800 --> 0:23:52.440 an NFL doormat. And it just seems like giving too 0:23:52.520 --> 0:23:55.520 much credit to the Titans to have them be almost 0:23:55.520 --> 0:23:59.000 to pick them in a road game against the Bucks. 0:23:59.000 --> 0:24:01.280 So I agree with you. I like the box here. 0:24:02.600 --> 0:24:06.800 I'll say this too. I think I'm very comfortable going 0:24:06.880 --> 0:24:09.800 up there to let's say, like right now, on the 0:24:09.800 --> 0:24:11.720 alternate spread on fandle you can get at minus three 0:24:11.760 --> 0:24:14.080 and a half at plus one forty like I'm comfortable, 0:24:14.080 --> 0:24:15.159 And if you don't want to go that far, you 0:24:15.200 --> 0:24:16.760 can get minus two and a half at plus one 0:24:16.800 --> 0:24:19.239 oh four. I can move the needle just a little bit, 0:24:19.320 --> 0:24:22.360 get plus money and just take that, because I think 0:24:22.400 --> 0:24:24.200 that is the best way to approach this game. Debro, 0:24:24.280 --> 0:24:24.720 what do you think? 0:24:25.200 --> 0:24:27.800 Absolutely agree? You bet the all line and I think 0:24:27.800 --> 0:24:30.120 Tampa Bay's gonna cover this. And the other part about 0:24:30.160 --> 0:24:33.200 this is as news trickles out, I think we could 0:24:33.240 --> 0:24:36.280 see this line move more in the Buccaneers favor because 0:24:36.800 --> 0:24:38.880 none of us project that Traylon Burks is probably gonna 0:24:38.880 --> 0:24:40.920 play this week. Now, that's probably not gonna be the 0:24:41.000 --> 0:24:43.640 needle mover. But the other side of that is DeAndre 0:24:43.720 --> 0:24:46.600 Hopkins is not fully healthy. He's been dealing with a 0:24:46.640 --> 0:24:50.399 toe issue. If anything comes out midweek about oh, maybe 0:24:50.440 --> 0:24:52.840 he's more doubtful to play. Who the heck is Will 0:24:52.880 --> 0:24:55.639 Levis throwing to? And yes, this line is giving Tampa 0:24:55.640 --> 0:24:58.160 Bay at home. This line is giving way too much 0:24:58.200 --> 0:25:01.560 credit to Will Levis. So give me Tampa Bay outright 0:25:01.600 --> 0:25:06.080 to win this game, and I agree Betett right now 0:25:06.160 --> 0:25:08.399 with them at minus one or a pick them. I 0:25:08.440 --> 0:25:09.640 think Tampa Bay wins this game. 0:25:09.680 --> 0:25:11.920 And I think the cover. That's my favorite thing. The 0:25:12.240 --> 0:25:14.679 best thing that came out of that Will Levis debut 0:25:15.040 --> 0:25:17.040 was the three touchdowns and all of this, like, oh, 0:25:17.080 --> 0:25:19.240 I can't believe it. Nobody could believe it. But let's 0:25:19.280 --> 0:25:22.000 not forget the reason why we couldn't believe it. I 0:25:22.000 --> 0:25:25.320 think everybody has. And that's what Bogwin and I were trying. 0:25:25.320 --> 0:25:27.200 We were trying to check the privilege. That's what we're 0:25:27.200 --> 0:25:29.040 trying to do. And Thursday night, damn it, we checked 0:25:29.040 --> 0:25:30.520 the privilege and I want to check it again here 0:25:30.800 --> 0:25:33.440 checking privileges. That's what we do here at betting Pros. 0:25:33.480 --> 0:25:35.120 Let's get to another game here. Can the San Francisco 0:25:35.160 --> 0:25:37.840 forty nine er stopped the bleeding in Jacksonville five and 0:25:37.880 --> 0:25:42.440 three going to Jacksonville six and two, Jacksonville three point 0:25:42.520 --> 0:25:45.760 underdogs at home at minus one oh five, man is 0:25:45.800 --> 0:25:47.920 attempting debro. Forty five is the number for this one. 0:25:47.960 --> 0:25:50.800 Minus won ten in the under over at bet MGM 0:25:50.960 --> 0:25:53.720 forty five and a half over on fand what minus 0:25:53.720 --> 0:25:55.720 won ten. If you like Jacksonville for the upset at 0:25:55.760 --> 0:25:57.760 plus one forty five at points bet, you can get 0:25:57.760 --> 0:26:04.120 it there. Debro look, San Fran looked like first class 0:26:04.200 --> 0:26:05.760 and then all of a sudden they got bumped down 0:26:05.760 --> 0:26:08.159 to coach. And now I think this is where you 0:26:08.240 --> 0:26:10.879 got to figure out where you are if you're the 0:26:10.920 --> 0:26:13.480 forty nine ers, because the headspace I feel like is 0:26:13.520 --> 0:26:16.880 a little iffy at this point. So do you think 0:26:17.000 --> 0:26:18.840 Jacksonville has it in them for this kind of upset 0:26:18.920 --> 0:26:20.120 or do the forty nine ers get right? 0:26:21.720 --> 0:26:25.160 I don't know if I can confidently say that Jacksonville 0:26:25.200 --> 0:26:27.560 can upset them. I don't disagree that they've been bumped 0:26:27.600 --> 0:26:30.600 down to coach. They're riding in the middle seat, somebody's 0:26:30.640 --> 0:26:33.280 reclined back on them, and they're just questioning life and 0:26:33.320 --> 0:26:36.760 all their choices. I agree with all of that. I 0:26:36.760 --> 0:26:38.440 think the way that I want to attack this game 0:26:38.680 --> 0:26:41.720 with I think Deebo Samuel's gonna be back this week, 0:26:41.760 --> 0:26:43.080 and I think that's gonna be a big boost to 0:26:43.119 --> 0:26:46.680 this offense for me. I'm staying away from the sides. 0:26:47.920 --> 0:26:50.120 What I like here is the over in this game. 0:26:50.160 --> 0:26:52.000 I think that this game could be a shootout. If 0:26:52.040 --> 0:26:55.480 San Francisco gets right, I think Jacksonville can push back 0:26:55.520 --> 0:26:58.000 on the other side against what we've seen be more 0:26:58.080 --> 0:27:00.800 of a porous San Francisco forty Niners defense. 0:27:01.160 --> 0:27:04.280 They are giving well. Now they've added Chase Young, so 0:27:04.320 --> 0:27:05.760 we'll see what that pass rush look. 0:27:06.400 --> 0:27:09.080 But even with the pass rush, secondary has been more 0:27:09.119 --> 0:27:11.399 poorishe you can get at them? I think I like 0:27:11.440 --> 0:27:12.320 the over in this game. 0:27:12.720 --> 0:27:14.760 You know, to Derek's point, Pat, you know, when you 0:27:14.760 --> 0:27:17.800 have Dee Deebo Samuel in the game, party's numbers are 0:27:17.840 --> 0:27:20.600 markedly different. Uh, the splits with that, It's like the 0:27:20.640 --> 0:27:22.919 Daniel Jones splits with and without Saquon Barkley. So if 0:27:22.920 --> 0:27:25.119 you have that in this one here, I start to 0:27:25.200 --> 0:27:27.280 lean towards the individual rock party props here because I 0:27:27.280 --> 0:27:29.080 think they're gonna be low after these last couple of 0:27:29.119 --> 0:27:31.200 weeks that I think that is a great opportunity of 0:27:31.240 --> 0:27:34.160 deep if if Deebo's healthy. So you're gonna wait till 0:27:34.200 --> 0:27:36.399 Friday for this one, have to wait for the Friday 0:27:36.400 --> 0:27:40.800 show for it. But in your opinion, Pat, how do 0:27:40.840 --> 0:27:43.000 you see this one, because both of these teams I 0:27:43.000 --> 0:27:44.560 think you can throw on them. That's gonna be the 0:27:44.600 --> 0:27:46.400 interesting part. Do you think that tends to an over? 0:27:46.520 --> 0:27:47.520 Do you see any value there? 0:27:47.560 --> 0:27:47.600 Like? 0:27:47.600 --> 0:27:48.880 How do you how do you parse this game? 0:27:49.000 --> 0:27:49.680 Yeah? 0:27:49.760 --> 0:27:53.399 I think that the total is about right, and but 0:27:53.480 --> 0:27:55.800 I do kind of like those Rock Party overs if 0:27:55.880 --> 0:27:58.120 Deebo does in fact play, And it seems like things 0:27:58.160 --> 0:27:59.720 are trending towards debo playing. 0:28:00.440 --> 0:28:02.000 But we've got two streaking teams here. 0:28:02.000 --> 0:28:04.199 We've got the forty nine Ers who've dumped three straight, 0:28:04.640 --> 0:28:08.320 and the Jaguars have won five straight. And I mean, 0:28:08.680 --> 0:28:12.280 although I don't think anyone considers the Jaguars like legitimate 0:28:12.280 --> 0:28:15.959 Super Bowl contenders, I do think they have stamped themselves 0:28:16.040 --> 0:28:22.479 as a legitimate AFC playoff team. I still don't think 0:28:22.520 --> 0:28:24.800 there's much disputing that the forty nine Ers are the 0:28:24.840 --> 0:28:28.080 better team, however, although maybe Jags fans would dispute it. 0:28:28.640 --> 0:28:32.639 So I'm leaning slightly towards betting the Niners here to 0:28:32.960 --> 0:28:34.359 end their three game losing streak. 0:28:34.520 --> 0:28:35.560 I just think this team is. 0:28:35.600 --> 0:28:38.640 Too good to lose four straight and coming off the buy, 0:28:40.080 --> 0:28:43.560 hopefully that gave them time to patch up some of 0:28:43.560 --> 0:28:47.160 the holes in the secondary and get the defense right again. 0:28:47.240 --> 0:28:50.560 But I kind of like the Niners here, all right. 0:28:50.720 --> 0:28:52.440 Next game on the slate here, we got the Los 0:28:52.480 --> 0:28:54.520 Angeles Chargers at home. We'll see what they do tonight 0:28:54.520 --> 0:28:56.480 against the New York Jets. This is that Monday when 0:28:56.480 --> 0:28:59.120 we're recording this. Plus one and a half minus one 0:28:59.160 --> 0:29:01.560 ten on DK. The Los Angeles Chargers at home against 0:29:01.560 --> 0:29:05.080 the Detroit Lions. Lions coming off of bye here, they 0:29:05.080 --> 0:29:06.720 are favorites, as they should be. I don't think their 0:29:06.720 --> 0:29:08.720 favorites by enough. I know that sounds a little kooky 0:29:08.800 --> 0:29:11.040 considering you know, they kind of got their rear end 0:29:11.040 --> 0:29:12.600 handed to them, but they've had some time to think 0:29:12.600 --> 0:29:15.440 about what they did wrong. Maybe you get David Montgomery 0:29:15.480 --> 0:29:17.360 back in this game. I'm still waiting on news for that. 0:29:17.400 --> 0:29:18.959 Forty eight and a half is the number pretty much 0:29:19.000 --> 0:29:22.000 everywhere here. Plus one ten for the Los Angeles Chargers. 0:29:22.120 --> 0:29:25.440 Pat The Chargers have no home field advantage. They are, 0:29:26.480 --> 0:29:28.640 you know, they're an army without a country. They are 0:29:28.720 --> 0:29:33.160 this team that continuously lets you down. I would again, 0:29:33.160 --> 0:29:35.120 I can't find the alternate spreads because they're not up 0:29:35.160 --> 0:29:37.600 right now for this game. In particularly because the Chargers 0:29:37.600 --> 0:29:41.080 play tonight, but I would say this. I would no 0:29:41.120 --> 0:29:42.920 matter what happens tonight. I don't care if the Chargers 0:29:42.920 --> 0:29:45.800 win this game tonight against the Jets. I still don't 0:29:46.080 --> 0:29:48.400 like this number here. For the Charger side, I would 0:29:48.440 --> 0:29:51.000 tease this one. Try to get it to three or so. 0:29:51.120 --> 0:29:52.240 For the Lions, what do you think? 0:29:52.400 --> 0:29:55.880 Yeah, the Chargers still can't close. Joe coffee is for closers, 0:29:55.920 --> 0:29:57.240 no coffee for the Chargers. 0:29:57.240 --> 0:29:58.360 So that's right. 0:29:58.720 --> 0:30:02.680 Yeah, I'm taking the Lions here. I've bet this one already. 0:30:02.720 --> 0:30:05.320 You've got the team coming off the bye well rested, 0:30:05.440 --> 0:30:09.120 probably getting David Montgomery back this week, and going against 0:30:09.120 --> 0:30:11.080 the team that's gonna be on short rest after the 0:30:11.080 --> 0:30:14.720 Monday night game in what's probably gonna be a hard 0:30:14.760 --> 0:30:17.080 fought and physical game against the Jets. 0:30:18.960 --> 0:30:20.040 I love the Lions here. 0:30:21.040 --> 0:30:23.640 I love a good Glenn Gary Glenn Ross reference. That's 0:30:23.640 --> 0:30:25.080 what I love. And for those of you who have 0:30:25.120 --> 0:30:27.320 never seen the play or the movie, you should. You 0:30:27.320 --> 0:30:30.720 should find it. It's great, fantastic performances. Al Pacino sell 0:30:30.760 --> 0:30:33.440 in real estate. I got a piece of land I 0:30:33.520 --> 0:30:35.480 want to sell you. I want you to take a 0:30:35.480 --> 0:30:37.200 look at this. It's a good deal. It's a good 0:30:37.240 --> 0:30:41.120 deal for everybody. We're gonna make so much money here. 0:30:41.720 --> 0:30:44.480 But the fun fact, the Alec Baldwin character in that 0:30:44.480 --> 0:30:46.840 movie who comes in does that amazing monologue. It's not 0:30:46.960 --> 0:30:49.000 in the play. They wrote it just for Alec Baldwin 0:30:49.080 --> 0:30:50.480 to show up that day and be in the movie. 0:30:51.000 --> 0:30:53.760 Fun facts. Here at betting pros and again people he's like, 0:30:53.800 --> 0:30:55.640 what wire you talking about? Just go look for it. 0:30:55.640 --> 0:30:59.600 It's great. It's a dude movie. It's a true dude movie. 0:31:01.400 --> 0:31:03.360 Derek Brown, you're a dude. What do you make of 0:31:03.400 --> 0:31:03.720 this game? 0:31:05.840 --> 0:31:08.600 But you're going to bring up in this entire schools. 0:31:09.840 --> 0:31:12.840 The problem is again Glengarry Glenn Ross is not a 0:31:12.840 --> 0:31:15.640 PG film necessarily to the way they talk to each other. 0:31:15.720 --> 0:31:19.200 So any quotes that I could lend here, uh would? 0:31:19.640 --> 0:31:22.000 He's gonna tell your Paccino story. Your Pacino story is 0:31:22.080 --> 0:31:22.800 very good, but we don't. 0:31:22.920 --> 0:31:25.240 I met out a couple of times. He's very small, 0:31:25.280 --> 0:31:28.880 but he's got a big head. That is as it is. 0:31:28.920 --> 0:31:31.000 It is. He has a huge head. I don't know 0:31:31.000 --> 0:31:32.840 how it stays on top of his body. It's crazy. 0:31:33.080 --> 0:31:35.320 He just had a kid. He's like eighty years old. 0:31:35.320 --> 0:31:37.320 He just had a kid god blessed. 0:31:38.400 --> 0:31:43.320 Yeah, just that man. 0:31:43.440 --> 0:31:46.400 His girl friends like in her thirties, Al Pacino, Robert 0:31:46.440 --> 0:31:48.480 de Niro. These guys are like eighty years old, having. 0:31:48.440 --> 0:31:49.880 Man, let's go off. 0:31:50.280 --> 0:31:55.240 You want to legost lego? All right, let's let's caf 0:31:55.600 --> 0:31:59.920 What do we have? Yeah, let's talking about Lord. 0:32:00.520 --> 0:32:02.280 I think we're still somewhere in the midst of the 0:32:02.320 --> 0:32:04.920 Lions and Chargers. Uh yeah, I'm with paddle this one. 0:32:05.000 --> 0:32:08.280 Give me the Lions. I think all spreads are definitely 0:32:08.360 --> 0:32:11.160 in play here. I think the total is spot on. 0:32:11.240 --> 0:32:13.680 If anything, I think the Lions could slow this down 0:32:13.720 --> 0:32:16.560 and drag the Chargers down, so the under in this 0:32:16.600 --> 0:32:18.360 one is actually more in play for me. But I 0:32:18.360 --> 0:32:19.480 think the Lions take this one. 0:32:19.520 --> 0:32:19.640 Man. 0:32:19.760 --> 0:32:23.200 The Chargers, Yeah, they get no coffee, they cannot close, 0:32:23.600 --> 0:32:25.680 they fall on their face. I think it's gonna happen 0:32:25.720 --> 0:32:27.800 again at home this week. Now. 0:32:27.840 --> 0:32:29.600 You haven't seen The Godfather? Have you seen Glenn Garry 0:32:29.600 --> 0:32:30.080 Glenn Ross? 0:32:30.080 --> 0:32:32.280 At least I have seen that, And no I have 0:32:32.360 --> 0:32:35.239 not seen The Godfather. But you take a little bit 0:32:35.240 --> 0:32:38.040 of ownership for this. Joe, I was up in Jersey. 0:32:38.160 --> 0:32:41.920 I'm staying at the we just had no turn, no time. 0:32:42.080 --> 0:32:43.040 Here's the excuses. 0:32:43.080 --> 0:32:45.720 We were at the draft, a big talk. I was 0:32:45.760 --> 0:32:48.400 too busy embarrassing you and Madden. That's what's too busy doing. 0:32:49.160 --> 0:32:50.640 You don't want to talk about your three losses. 0:32:50.640 --> 0:32:52.400 You don't want to talk about Alea Pacheco running for 0:32:52.440 --> 0:32:54.479 three eighty five on you. You know what, we don't need 0:32:54.520 --> 0:32:56.000 those screenshots, So I don't even in my life have 0:32:56.040 --> 0:32:59.680 a screenshot to prove it that Atlanta Falcons head over 0:32:59.680 --> 0:33:02.080 to aaron Zona, Arizona. You can get plus two and 0:33:02.120 --> 0:33:04.640 a half over on BETMGM at minus one ten. You 0:33:04.680 --> 0:33:06.480 can get Atlanta at minus one and a half at 0:33:06.480 --> 0:33:08.360 minus one ten over on DK, So this game is 0:33:08.400 --> 0:33:10.240 all over the map here. Forty one and a half 0:33:11.480 --> 0:33:13.800 is the number you can get at bet MGM, forty 0:33:13.880 --> 0:33:16.760 two over on DK. Everyone's just trying to figure this 0:33:16.800 --> 0:33:18.720 out because we don't know if Kyler Murray's gonna play 0:33:18.920 --> 0:33:20.720 plus one ten on the money line for Arizona right now. 0:33:20.800 --> 0:33:22.479 That's the best number you get it. But bet MGM 0:33:23.520 --> 0:33:27.360 debro we anticipate Kyler Murray's returned this week. I think 0:33:27.400 --> 0:33:31.840 that feels about right. So not being said, do we 0:33:31.880 --> 0:33:33.800 want to jump on this one ten now before that 0:33:33.840 --> 0:33:35.920 news comes out. 0:33:38.040 --> 0:33:40.360 I think it's in play. I would like this number 0:33:40.480 --> 0:33:42.960 if it was a little bit higher. Honestly, my favorite 0:33:42.960 --> 0:33:45.440 play in this game is just hitting me over. We've 0:33:45.480 --> 0:33:48.000 seen theirs on a Cardinals y fans can't stop anybody 0:33:48.040 --> 0:33:50.760 through the air on the ground. This number is going 0:33:50.840 --> 0:33:52.480 to go up as soon as we get news. And 0:33:52.720 --> 0:33:55.959 I fully believe that Kyler Murray will play this week. 0:33:56.120 --> 0:33:58.920 This has been my thought the entire time that if 0:33:58.920 --> 0:34:01.080 this team wants to put Kyler Murray and won a 0:34:01.120 --> 0:34:03.800 spot to succeed in his first game back, you're not 0:34:03.920 --> 0:34:06.400 running him out there versus the Browns of the Ravens, 0:34:06.800 --> 0:34:08.960 as well as his trade value if they do want 0:34:09.000 --> 0:34:11.359 to trade him this offseason, You're not going to put 0:34:11.400 --> 0:34:13.799 him out there in his first game. So I think 0:34:13.840 --> 0:34:16.040 Kyler Murray does play, and for me, my favorite one 0:34:16.080 --> 0:34:17.400 is just betting the over and moving on. 0:34:17.960 --> 0:34:19.799 Okay, bet in the over, moving on, Pat, how do 0:34:19.800 --> 0:34:20.840 you want to take this one? 0:34:20.920 --> 0:34:23.120 I'll take the Cardinals' home dogs, Joe, and you can 0:34:23.200 --> 0:34:25.719 interest me in that money line going against the Falcons. 0:34:25.760 --> 0:34:28.520 Where is the Falcons morale going to be after losing 0:34:28.600 --> 0:34:31.880 that damn to the Vikings as maybe better if they 0:34:31.880 --> 0:34:34.440 get rid of Arthur Smith, that would be great. And 0:34:35.239 --> 0:34:37.800 like I'm a Packers fan, I can't stand the Vikings. 0:34:37.840 --> 0:34:39.719 I was cheering for the Vikings to pull off that 0:34:39.840 --> 0:34:44.440 upset yesterday, like that was yeah. So I think the 0:34:44.480 --> 0:34:47.800 Cardinals can win this game absolutely with Kyler Murray at quarterback. 0:34:47.840 --> 0:34:50.759 And I do think we're going to see Kyler back so. 0:34:51.360 --> 0:34:53.879 And people wanted to give crap for Bejon's fumble. Look, 0:34:53.920 --> 0:34:56.880 Bijon is a guy. He's carrying the football twenty five times. 0:34:57.520 --> 0:34:59.359 He needs to be in a rhythm. And I don't 0:34:59.400 --> 0:35:01.520 make excuse for him, but like, enough is enough already. 0:35:01.520 --> 0:35:03.480 If we're not gonna use John Robinson, why we spend 0:35:03.520 --> 0:35:05.520 the draft capital on him? It's crazy. 0:35:05.800 --> 0:35:08.919 Roll that same clip for Drake Clundon and Kyle Pitt's baby, 0:35:08.920 --> 0:35:11.520 and Arthur Smith has nothing to hide behind, because guess what. 0:35:11.840 --> 0:35:14.200 You can't pander to the media about the w's you're 0:35:14.200 --> 0:35:16.120 getting this week, buddy, it's. 0:35:16.080 --> 0:35:18.560 You know, it's like it's it's like Chris Farley and 0:35:18.719 --> 0:35:21.239 Tommy Boy is like I'm like JoJo's the idiot's circus. Boy, 0:35:21.560 --> 0:35:23.000 I don't know what to do. I get all excited. 0:35:23.000 --> 0:35:24.600 I get a fleasant like. That's what he feels like. 0:35:24.600 --> 0:35:26.360 He's Jojoe the idiot circus boy, that's what he is 0:35:26.400 --> 0:35:27.440 at this point. He doesn't know what to do with 0:35:27.440 --> 0:35:29.080 any of the toys that we've given him. And he's 0:35:29.080 --> 0:35:31.320 got really good toys. Learn to play with them the 0:35:31.400 --> 0:35:31.680 right way. 0:35:31.719 --> 0:35:34.440 I just want him gone. I want to see victory cigars. 0:35:34.880 --> 0:35:37.520 I want to see vibes all out out of the falcons. 0:35:37.560 --> 0:35:40.920 Antonio Pearce is my spirit animal. All right, Let's get 0:35:40.960 --> 0:35:45.239 to Washington, Seattle. Seattle goes back home to the great 0:35:45.320 --> 0:35:48.520 Northwest here locking their wounds after just a butt kicking. 0:35:48.600 --> 0:35:50.960 Let's be honest by the ravens, and we'll see who 0:35:51.040 --> 0:35:54.799 shows up there. Washington. Let's you go against Philly goes 0:35:54.840 --> 0:35:57.399 on the road, upsets New England. In New England, they're 0:35:57.440 --> 0:35:59.320 still six and a half point underdogs. The though to 0:35:59.320 --> 0:36:01.600 travel to Seattle, which is really interesting. Minus one tens 0:36:01.640 --> 0:36:04.279 that number forty five, forty five and a half. That's 0:36:04.280 --> 0:36:05.960 where this range of the total is plus two thirty 0:36:06.000 --> 0:36:09.600 on the money line. FITZI, you might call me crazy here, 0:36:09.920 --> 0:36:11.840 kind of like Washington to go in there and handle 0:36:11.840 --> 0:36:15.600 their business against Seattle, which I know sounds insane, but 0:36:15.680 --> 0:36:20.000 I just I don't get this whole Seattle like Seattle 0:36:20.080 --> 0:36:22.200 is mid to me, and those teams always scare me. 0:36:22.239 --> 0:36:24.759 So whenever I have a mid team, I'm gonna look 0:36:24.760 --> 0:36:26.160 what the value of the line is. And the value 0:36:26.200 --> 0:36:28.200 of the line is clearly on the Washington side. But 0:36:28.239 --> 0:36:29.520 maybe you see this one differently. 0:36:29.640 --> 0:36:32.400 I do see it differently than you, guys. I'm afraid. 0:36:32.800 --> 0:36:34.920 Yeah, Like I don't want to give Seattle too much credit, 0:36:34.960 --> 0:36:38.840 but this defense has been pretty respectable. And although Gino 0:36:39.120 --> 0:36:42.680 has not been the Geno of early twenty twenty two, 0:36:42.760 --> 0:36:45.400 like I think he's kind of reverted to early career Gino, 0:36:46.280 --> 0:36:48.160 I still think they can beat the Commanders. And I 0:36:48.239 --> 0:36:51.120 was expecting a dud performance by the Commanders last week 0:36:51.200 --> 0:36:54.359 after getting rid of Montese sweat and Chase Young, and 0:36:54.520 --> 0:36:57.560 I seem to doubt Sam Howell at all the wrong times. 0:36:57.600 --> 0:36:59.560 He went out and had a pretty good game against 0:36:59.560 --> 0:37:02.799 the But this is still a guy who makes a 0:37:02.840 --> 0:37:07.000 lot of mistakes leads the leads the NFL in Sacks 0:37:07.480 --> 0:37:11.120 has thrown nine interceptions in nine games. Now they're traveling 0:37:11.160 --> 0:37:14.319 cross country to Seattle, which I think is gonna be 0:37:14.480 --> 0:37:17.719 uh circling the wagons after let's just say, not their 0:37:17.760 --> 0:37:22.280 finest effort in Baltimore in week nine. So I'm actually 0:37:22.280 --> 0:37:25.520 willing to lay the points here and take Seattle, I think. 0:37:26.880 --> 0:37:28.759 But I think a lot of people are gonna be 0:37:28.800 --> 0:37:30.600 thinking the way you guys are, and I wouldn't be 0:37:30.680 --> 0:37:33.719 surprised to see the line drop, which is why I'm 0:37:33.760 --> 0:37:35.960 not taking it yet. I think it could go down 0:37:35.960 --> 0:37:38.560 to like five, and in that case, I'll be bouncing 0:37:39.040 --> 0:37:41.000 on Seattle pretty vigorously. 0:37:41.400 --> 0:37:43.040 Debro what side of the game that you want with 0:37:43.120 --> 0:37:46.520 any I'm on the I'm on the Commander side. For me, 0:37:47.120 --> 0:37:49.400 looking at the plus two fifteen right now on the 0:37:49.400 --> 0:37:52.600 money line for the Commanders, that's a side of one. 0:37:52.680 --> 0:37:55.520 I get Seattle is at home, and yes, the defense 0:37:55.520 --> 0:37:58.920 has been good. This is a This offense stays in 0:37:59.000 --> 0:38:02.600 games every single week. So even if you don't want 0:38:02.640 --> 0:38:05.040 to bet the money line for the Commanders, take the 0:38:05.120 --> 0:38:08.959 over here. We talked about Seattle's defense has played good, 0:38:08.960 --> 0:38:11.399 but Commanders have put up points. They've been in every 0:38:11.440 --> 0:38:14.160 single game. If you can hang with the Eagles, you 0:38:14.160 --> 0:38:17.359 can hang with the freaking Seahawks. So that's the way 0:38:17.360 --> 0:38:19.319 I'm approaching this game. I like the over is my 0:38:19.360 --> 0:38:22.400 favorite bet in this game, but I am willing to 0:38:22.880 --> 0:38:25.600 put some keshe down on the Commander's money line. 0:38:25.640 --> 0:38:27.279 All Right, We'll see how you feel about this next one, 0:38:27.280 --> 0:38:29.680 because this one's a doozy. It's a big number of folks. 0:38:30.040 --> 0:38:33.480 It is fifteen and a half to sixteen right now, 0:38:33.520 --> 0:38:35.600 and the number is, of course, the Dallas Cowboys at 0:38:35.600 --> 0:38:38.000 home against the New York Giants. I assume it's Tommy 0:38:38.000 --> 0:38:40.840 DeVito playing quarterback, so I get it. I mean it 0:38:40.880 --> 0:38:42.960 feels like the Giant season is over at this point, 0:38:43.040 --> 0:38:46.240 which is two and seven, probably true. Look, Dallas, Dallas 0:38:46.280 --> 0:38:48.319 hung in there, so like I'll take the I'll take 0:38:48.360 --> 0:38:51.479 a tiny little l, tiny little l on that because 0:38:51.480 --> 0:38:53.319 they said the Eagles are gonna blow their doors off, 0:38:53.320 --> 0:38:54.440 they didn't blow their doors off. 0:38:54.480 --> 0:38:57.279 You were not in on Dak Prescott this last week. 0:38:57.320 --> 0:39:00.399 You said he was all and did Dak Prescot step 0:39:00.440 --> 0:39:03.239 out of bounds instead of explaining the session, did Dak 0:39:03.239 --> 0:39:06.000 Prescott not throw a ball in the end zone on 0:39:06.080 --> 0:39:06.880 the last play. 0:39:06.640 --> 0:39:10.839 Of the game, and that closing play sequence could not 0:39:10.960 --> 0:39:11.839 have gone worse? 0:39:11.920 --> 0:39:14.880 Closing place like here's why I love the Eagles, and 0:39:14.880 --> 0:39:16.480 here's why I bets at the beginning of the year 0:39:16.480 --> 0:39:19.080 at plus seven hundred to go back to the Super Bowl. 0:39:19.600 --> 0:39:22.440 The reason why is because there's no other team in 0:39:22.480 --> 0:39:24.879 the NFC to me that plays upfront on both sides 0:39:24.880 --> 0:39:26.800 of the football the way the Eagles do. That offensive 0:39:26.840 --> 0:39:29.480 line is tough and the defensive line is tough. And 0:39:29.520 --> 0:39:31.600 if you can play on the if you play that 0:39:31.680 --> 0:39:33.919 kind of brand of football, you're gonna win football games 0:39:33.920 --> 0:39:36.319 in the NFL. That being said, let's take a look 0:39:36.320 --> 0:39:39.680 at this one here, Dallas right now with this big 0:39:39.719 --> 0:39:41.600 line here, thirty nine and a half is the number 0:39:42.080 --> 0:39:44.399 plus eight seventy for a Giants upset. Not gonna go there. 0:39:44.400 --> 0:39:47.240 It's a minus one thousand already on DK for this game. 0:39:47.480 --> 0:39:49.239 One thing I will say, Pat, if you don't think 0:39:49.280 --> 0:39:51.200 Dallas completely blows them out and just kind of takes 0:39:51.200 --> 0:39:53.759 their foot off the gas a little on Fandle they 0:39:53.760 --> 0:39:56.440 have that you know, winning margin four way plus one 0:39:56.520 --> 0:39:59.560 seventy five for Dallas to win between one and thirteen points. 0:39:59.719 --> 0:40:01.520 That's interesting take on this game. What do you think 0:40:01.520 --> 0:40:02.120 about that? Pat? 0:40:03.320 --> 0:40:04.359 Yeah, I could see that. 0:40:04.600 --> 0:40:07.160 I mean, because like I you can't bet the Giants 0:40:07.440 --> 0:40:10.640 with Tommy Devine, Like, their implied point total in this 0:40:10.680 --> 0:40:13.600 game is thirteen and a half and it's hard to 0:40:13.760 --> 0:40:15.920 kind it's hard to argue it should be any higher 0:40:15.960 --> 0:40:18.440 than that, right, I mean like they might need a 0:40:18.480 --> 0:40:19.960 defensive touchdown. 0:40:19.520 --> 0:40:20.040 To get there. 0:40:21.280 --> 0:40:25.080 So yeah, I don't necessarily love laying fifteen and a 0:40:25.160 --> 0:40:29.120 half points with anyone in the NFL, but I'm certainly 0:40:29.120 --> 0:40:31.480 not betting the Giants. So that is an interesting bet. 0:40:31.719 --> 0:40:34.040 Joe at that, what was what were the odds on 0:40:34.080 --> 0:40:34.839 that winning one? 0:40:35.160 --> 0:40:38.360 One seventy five win between one and thirteen, So basically 0:40:38.400 --> 0:40:42.359 like it's basically yeah, so not cover. But the thing 0:40:42.400 --> 0:40:44.319 about that is it's like, Okay, you could still have 0:40:44.320 --> 0:40:46.680 this game well in check and just kind of take 0:40:46.680 --> 0:40:48.200 your foot out of the gas and take starters out 0:40:48.239 --> 0:40:49.640 in the third, like if it just becomes one of these, 0:40:49.680 --> 0:40:51.919 you know, with the defense, like you know, if they're 0:40:51.920 --> 0:40:54.480 a little i don't know, slow out of the gate. Like, 0:40:54.520 --> 0:40:56.960 it's just an interesting thing because you're giving yourself such 0:40:56.960 --> 0:41:00.680 a wide positive range of outcomes and positive mind. To me, 0:41:00.760 --> 0:41:02.839 that's the way to approach this game and not muck 0:41:02.880 --> 0:41:03.840 around with the sixteen. 0:41:04.160 --> 0:41:07.280 Yeah, I'm not messing with anything from this game outside 0:41:07.280 --> 0:41:09.160 of your bet, Joe, and I'm just going to wait 0:41:09.200 --> 0:41:11.359 until the props get released and just bad seedee lamb 0:41:11.400 --> 0:41:14.239 overs because they get their cash and every week, Baby. 0:41:14.000 --> 0:41:16.160 We can't have a week in the NFL without a 0:41:16.200 --> 0:41:18.200 New York team in a primetime game. So the Jets 0:41:18.200 --> 0:41:20.960 are gonna go to Las Vegas because I hate life 0:41:21.320 --> 0:41:24.400 and we're gonna see this one here. And look, I 0:41:24.440 --> 0:41:27.160 gotta tell you, I'm drinking the kool aid. I mean, 0:41:27.239 --> 0:41:30.680 comic crazy. I don't know why Antonio Pierce got me 0:41:30.760 --> 0:41:32.239 fired up. I don't know if it's gonna carry over. 0:41:32.280 --> 0:41:35.120 The Jets defense. A very different piece here you're gonna get. 0:41:35.120 --> 0:41:37.319 But asking Zach Wilson to go over there and cover 0:41:37.320 --> 0:41:39.640 two and a half on the road is intriguing to me. 0:41:39.760 --> 0:41:41.359 I don't know if he could do it. Thirty six 0:41:41.440 --> 0:41:42.799 and a half to thirty seven is the number you're 0:41:42.800 --> 0:41:44.920 getting for this one. I like Vegas plus one eighteen 0:41:44.920 --> 0:41:46.200 on the money line, Derek, what do you think? 0:41:46.640 --> 0:41:49.360 Yep? I'm taking Vegas money line, man. I think Antonioppiers 0:41:49.360 --> 0:41:52.000 got them fired up, and this is not to besmirch 0:41:52.080 --> 0:41:54.280 with the Jets. Have been doing. They're reeling off wins, 0:41:54.600 --> 0:41:57.879 and they're doing it a lot with their defense. This 0:41:57.920 --> 0:41:59.800 is an easy spot where you could see the Raiders 0:41:59.800 --> 0:42:02.919 can continued to be fired up and Zach Wilson implode, 0:42:03.120 --> 0:42:06.200 especially on the road. So yeah, give me the Raiders. 0:42:06.320 --> 0:42:08.680 I'm staying away from the line and the total and stuff, 0:42:08.680 --> 0:42:11.560 but Raiders' money line all day fits your thoughts. 0:42:12.560 --> 0:42:14.600 I told you, Joe that last week I bet the 0:42:14.600 --> 0:42:17.680 Giants plus one and a half. On Monday, when Josh 0:42:17.760 --> 0:42:20.960 McDaniels was the head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders, 0:42:22.120 --> 0:42:25.400 he got fired, that line went up to Giants plus 0:42:25.440 --> 0:42:30.000 three and a half. And like, even though I was 0:42:30.040 --> 0:42:34.080 getting the Giants, uh man, Like, I felt much worse 0:42:34.080 --> 0:42:37.520 about that beat after McDaniels got fired, Like I'm like, no, 0:42:37.560 --> 0:42:38.280 I'm not gonna. 0:42:38.040 --> 0:42:40.640 Win all So yeah, when you cash out and you 0:42:40.680 --> 0:42:44.840 go ticket somewhere else, that's called hedging. 0:42:47.040 --> 0:42:50.720 I'm actually tempted to be I've been just faithfully betting 0:42:50.760 --> 0:42:53.440 against the Raiders every week with Josh McDaniels, and now 0:42:53.480 --> 0:42:55.719 I might actually bet on them, Like, I can't back 0:42:55.800 --> 0:42:57.520 Zach Wilson as a road favorite. 0:42:57.560 --> 0:42:58.200 Are you kidding me? 0:42:58.320 --> 0:42:58.560 No? 0:42:58.560 --> 0:43:02.360 No, No, there's as much respect as I have for 0:43:02.400 --> 0:43:03.560 that Jets defense. 0:43:05.080 --> 0:43:08.160 Like I'll take I'll take the money line with the Raiders. 0:43:07.760 --> 0:43:10.760 Here Monday Night football. I'm not gonna lie. I hate 0:43:10.880 --> 0:43:15.040 this line. Buffalo seven at home, minus seven at minus one, 0:43:15.120 --> 0:43:16.759 fifteen at points bet. It's not that I don't think 0:43:16.760 --> 0:43:19.640 Buffalo is good, but I don't know if I'm comfortable 0:43:19.680 --> 0:43:22.960 with Buffalo and a seven point lead with anybody nowadays. 0:43:23.280 --> 0:43:26.719 Denver's coming off of bye, Buffalo didn't look great like 0:43:26.760 --> 0:43:28.879 and I never felt like Buffalo was going to win 0:43:28.920 --> 0:43:30.600 that game with the Bengals, even when I got in 0:43:30.600 --> 0:43:32.440 the second half. It just never felt like that from 0:43:32.520 --> 0:43:34.880 the jump. To me, you're getting plus three twenty in 0:43:34.880 --> 0:43:37.520 the money line for Denver upset. Forty six to forty 0:43:37.520 --> 0:43:39.920 seven is the numbers, So there's a range here. Pat 0:43:39.960 --> 0:43:42.319 This one to me is as a stay away. I'm 0:43:42.320 --> 0:43:43.440 not a big fan of this game. 0:43:43.760 --> 0:43:46.960 I agree Joe, like I can't bet on the Broncos 0:43:47.000 --> 0:43:48.880 as bad as they looked early in the season, but 0:43:48.920 --> 0:43:51.080 I wonder, like have they fixed their defense. They did 0:43:51.120 --> 0:43:53.359 a really good job against the Packers a few weeks ago, 0:43:53.480 --> 0:43:57.760 kept the Chiefs under twenty points. In that upset victory. Meanwhile, 0:43:57.800 --> 0:44:03.960 the Bills lost to the Patriot Yets needed to stop 0:44:04.000 --> 0:44:06.200 the Giants on the final play of the game to 0:44:06.239 --> 0:44:10.319 avoid being upset at home by the Giants. You know, 0:44:10.480 --> 0:44:12.680 like played a decent game against the Bengals, but like 0:44:12.719 --> 0:44:15.920 you said, we're really in No, they weren't close to 0:44:15.960 --> 0:44:18.520 winning that game. So there's no way I can lay 0:44:18.520 --> 0:44:20.640 a touchdown or more with the Bills right now to 0:44:21.239 --> 0:44:24.640 a team that has played better of late. So I agree, 0:44:24.640 --> 0:44:26.560 I'm not going to touch this game. 0:44:27.360 --> 0:44:29.319 I don't feel great about the Broncos either, Debro, so 0:44:29.400 --> 0:44:31.520 that's why this game I have an individual game for me. 0:44:31.560 --> 0:44:33.080 So tell you think they can cover that seven and 0:44:33.120 --> 0:44:33.399 a half. 0:44:33.840 --> 0:44:35.799 No, I'm not worried about that. I'm betting the Denver 0:44:35.880 --> 0:44:37.560 Bronco's money line of plus three hundred. 0:44:37.960 --> 0:44:39.279 Yeah, this is let's go. 0:44:39.320 --> 0:44:44.240 That's how this is getting way too much credit, giving 0:44:44.360 --> 0:44:46.920 way too much credit to the Bills. Like if we 0:44:47.000 --> 0:44:50.279 take out the Bills name Cache here and the fact 0:44:50.320 --> 0:44:53.000 that they're at home, this is giving too much credit 0:44:53.000 --> 0:44:55.000 to them. If we look at what the Bills have 0:44:55.080 --> 0:44:58.120 been as far as offensively and defensively over the last 0:44:58.120 --> 0:45:02.400 few weeks, this team is trying hard to find themselves, 0:45:02.480 --> 0:45:04.279 and I think the Broncos have found themselves. I think 0:45:04.280 --> 0:45:07.799 it's gonna be a wopping dose of Javonte Williams. You 0:45:07.840 --> 0:45:10.920 can run all over the Bills. The Broncos slow this 0:45:11.120 --> 0:45:13.400 game down, pull like we've talked about with like the 0:45:13.440 --> 0:45:15.840 Titans love to do, Joe, Pull them down into the 0:45:15.920 --> 0:45:19.160 muck and say this is going to be a nasty game. 0:45:19.560 --> 0:45:22.440 So give me the under and give me the Broncos 0:45:22.680 --> 0:45:23.440 money line. 0:45:23.760 --> 0:45:26.080 By the way, boys, I was just tinkering around a 0:45:26.080 --> 0:45:29.040 little bit on fandel. You could take that Dallas by 0:45:29.160 --> 0:45:32.160 one to thirteen points and then the Lions one to 0:45:32.239 --> 0:45:34.880 thirteen points victory at plus one forty five and plus 0:45:34.880 --> 0:45:37.799 one seventy five respectively. Put them together for plus five 0:45:37.880 --> 0:45:42.040 seventy three. Kind of interesting, kind of interesting right there. See, 0:45:42.040 --> 0:45:44.400 this is what I come for betting pros. Here, you stay, 0:45:44.440 --> 0:45:47.719 you listen to Derek and Pat and Uncle Joey talk 0:45:47.760 --> 0:45:49.799 about some football. So hopefully you had a good time here. 0:45:49.840 --> 0:45:51.920 Make sure you drop your comments below. We want to 0:45:51.920 --> 0:45:53.239 hear what you are in on. Maybe you win a 0:45:53.239 --> 0:45:56.839 free premium upgrade. Make sure you set your game notifications 0:45:56.840 --> 0:45:58.759 to with the line alerts over on the VP app 0:45:58.760 --> 0:46:01.560 to you so you can see all the moving pieces 0:46:01.600 --> 0:46:04.360 here of what's going on here in the landscape of 0:46:04.480 --> 0:46:07.120 NFL for Week ten in the NFL. Great stuff, boys, 0:46:07.160 --> 0:46:10.319 great show, very fun. Go watch Glen Garry, Glenn Ross. 0:46:10.320 --> 0:46:12.000 That's my final thought for all of you. That'll do 0:46:12.040 --> 0:46:13.799 it for us, But the story of the game goes 0:46:13.840 --> 0:46:17.640 on for Derek Brown, Peppetts, Morris, I'm Joey P. We'll 0:46:17.680 --> 0:46:18.359 see you next time. 0:46:18.440 --> 0:46:22.360 Kids who Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 0:46:22.600 --> 0:46:25.239 Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 0:46:25.320 --> 0:46:27.160 Instagram at betting Pros NFL. 0:46:27.600 --> 0:46:28.640 Also subscribe to our 0:46:28.680 --> 0:46:31.560 YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros