WEBVTT - 2022 Predictions! 0:00:05.040 --> 0:00:07.320 This is gonna be ship, this is gonna suck, this 0:00:07.400 --> 0:00:09.920 is gonna be trash because no one knows what's gonna happen. 0:00:09.960 --> 0:00:12.119 I have not actually come up with a prediction yet. 0:00:13.320 --> 0:00:16.079 I don't know I have this one. I have, I 0:00:16.160 --> 0:00:19.640 hoped one that I came up with before the show. 0:00:19.480 --> 0:00:23.280 Have we have we opened it? Yeah, we've already started. 0:00:24.040 --> 0:00:27.360 Um we were supposed to. This isn't happen here. Everybody 0:00:27.440 --> 0:00:32.360 podcast things falling apart? How to maybe make them fall apart? Less? Um, 0:00:32.400 --> 0:00:34.960 Sophie pitched the great idea of why don't we do 0:00:35.000 --> 0:00:38.839 an episode that is our predictions? It's really not my 0:00:39.000 --> 0:00:42.600 idea when people ask, so this this was Sophie's idea. 0:00:42.760 --> 0:00:48.120 That she's been Sophie's idea alone. It's sprang fully formed 0:00:48.200 --> 0:00:52.440 from the sight of her head, like Athena from Zeus's skull. Um, 0:00:52.479 --> 0:00:53.960 and we all agreed it was a good idea for 0:00:54.000 --> 0:00:56.400 an episode, and that I did not come up with 0:00:56.440 --> 0:00:58.800 the prediction. Did you get you know? So that's a 0:00:58.840 --> 0:01:01.720 minute of time thinking about not second not even absolutely 0:01:01.800 --> 0:01:04.400 love the Athena Zeus reference. That's how I tell people 0:01:04.440 --> 0:01:07.560 I got Anderson. Yeah, Well, my prediction for the year 0:01:07.680 --> 0:01:09.960 is that I'm going to keep making references to Athena 0:01:10.000 --> 0:01:12.200 whenever I do something that pisses Sophie off, so that 0:01:13.200 --> 0:01:16.800 I will it will absolutely work. Yeah, that's my prediction 0:01:16.840 --> 0:01:24.080 for prediction. Okay, okay, okay, wait, before we go into 0:01:24.120 --> 0:01:28.440 the to the to the big, bigger thing, I want 0:01:28.480 --> 0:01:32.920 everybody to give one word prediction for how you would 0:01:32.959 --> 0:01:39.920 describe this coming here. One word prediction. Borning, n F 0:01:39.959 --> 0:01:49.360 t H. I was just gonna say fucked, but I 0:01:49.400 --> 0:01:53.200 don't think because it's going to be hot too, I 0:01:53.240 --> 0:01:55.520 don't think it's going to be that fucked. Actually, I 0:01:55.560 --> 0:02:00.120 think I was gonna say mediocre. Yeah, I'm I'm was 0:02:00.160 --> 0:02:07.560 seeing a lot of blandness, a lot of blandness. My here, 0:02:07.640 --> 0:02:11.440 here's a prediction I'll make. I think that one of 0:02:11.480 --> 0:02:13.720 the things that we were seeing last year, especially in 0:02:13.760 --> 0:02:16.359 the streets, with like the far right being so much 0:02:16.400 --> 0:02:21.160 more uh active, um than the left in a lot 0:02:21.200 --> 0:02:23.320 of places and in a lot of ways, is UM 0:02:25.000 --> 0:02:27.519 really tired. A lot of people on the left out, 0:02:27.520 --> 0:02:29.760 a lot of organizers, a lot of street level people. 0:02:29.960 --> 0:02:32.880 UM not just like oh I'm tired, but like I 0:02:32.919 --> 0:02:37.760 was injured, Um, I'm fighting charges my funds were depleted. 0:02:37.800 --> 0:02:40.360 I had to I couldn't keep going out because I 0:02:40.400 --> 0:02:41.880 have a family and I had to deal with that 0:02:42.000 --> 0:02:45.480 sort of ship. Um And I think, I don't think 0:02:45.520 --> 0:02:48.720 that energy is back yet, but it always ebbs and flows, 0:02:48.760 --> 0:02:51.160 and it does on both sides, because at the end 0:02:51.160 --> 0:02:53.640 of the day, whether you're a fascist or a progressive, 0:02:54.200 --> 0:02:57.760 people have x amount of energy, you know. Um And 0:02:57.800 --> 0:03:00.840 I think we are, I leave, we are kind of 0:03:00.880 --> 0:03:04.120 at the beginning process of folks on the left starting 0:03:04.160 --> 0:03:07.760 to recover some of that energy. Um And I think 0:03:07.800 --> 0:03:10.040 that that is a process we're going to see building 0:03:10.120 --> 0:03:14.360 throughout the year. UM. I agree with that. Yeah, yeah, 0:03:14.440 --> 0:03:16.440 and it will be a multi year process. And I'm 0:03:16.480 --> 0:03:21.040 I'm kind of hoping folks are ready to throw down again. 0:03:21.080 --> 0:03:24.320 But but we'll see, like where that goes. We might 0:03:24.400 --> 0:03:28.160 have like a few days of people throwing down in 0:03:28.200 --> 0:03:31.440 the streets for some reason, like something bad may happen, 0:03:31.760 --> 0:03:35.560 like like late summer. I I can I can definitely 0:03:35.640 --> 0:03:38.360 see like a few days in July or August where 0:03:38.360 --> 0:03:40.320 it's like, oh, is the thing starting again? And it 0:03:40.320 --> 0:03:41.520 goes on for a bit and then it kind of 0:03:41.520 --> 0:03:44.400 peters out. I kind of I definitely see that being 0:03:44.480 --> 0:03:47.440 a decent possibility, um, because yeah, I think there will 0:03:47.480 --> 0:03:51.320 be more energy for that this year and more mental 0:03:51.480 --> 0:03:54.560 like like like ability to to do to do that 0:03:54.600 --> 0:03:59.680 this year than yeah. But overall, I don't see anything 0:04:00.400 --> 0:04:03.160 super eventful, and I hopefully just doesn't like anything and 0:04:03.160 --> 0:04:05.760 then we get no. I mean, my my big eventful 0:04:05.800 --> 0:04:09.560 prediction is that. And I will explain what this is 0:04:09.600 --> 0:04:12.040 based on in a bit. I think we are going 0:04:12.080 --> 0:04:16.360 to see a significant sized urban metropolitan area be rendered 0:04:17.320 --> 0:04:20.960 uninhabitable either permanently or for a significant period of time 0:04:21.040 --> 0:04:23.200 in the United States due to climate change. And part 0:04:23.200 --> 0:04:26.520 of what this is based on is the December wildfires 0:04:26.520 --> 0:04:29.760 that just destroyed a significant chunk of Boulder, Colorado. Right, 0:04:30.120 --> 0:04:32.320 not talking about like New York City gets swallowed by 0:04:32.320 --> 0:04:34.279 the waves, but like a place where there's a couple 0:04:34.400 --> 0:04:37.720 hundred thousand people living, they're not able to be for 0:04:37.800 --> 0:04:40.560 either ever or an extended period of time because a 0:04:40.640 --> 0:04:44.920 climate based disaster hits. Um. Maybe it'll be a heat 0:04:44.920 --> 0:04:47.400 dome type thing, Maybe it'll be like a wet bulb event. 0:04:47.480 --> 0:04:52.080 Maybe it'll be um fires. Obviously always possible, Hurricane Tornado. 0:04:52.160 --> 0:04:54.320 You know, we we saw enough just in the last 0:04:54.320 --> 0:04:56.720 couple of months in terms of those like record hurricanes 0:04:56.760 --> 0:04:59.560 that killed like a hundred people in um in the south, 0:04:59.800 --> 0:05:05.080 or the fires sweeping Boulder right now and again fucking December. Um. 0:05:05.120 --> 0:05:07.279 But but I do think there's a pretty good chance 0:05:07.320 --> 0:05:12.520 we see something like that this year. I think my 0:05:12.640 --> 0:05:15.160 big one is that, I mean, okay, so the the 0:05:15.760 --> 0:05:17.720 obvious free B is that we're going to cross a 0:05:17.720 --> 0:05:20.320 million COVID deaths or like the the the official count, 0:05:20.400 --> 0:05:24.280 we were like we we've had war count. That's that's 0:05:24.279 --> 0:05:26.800 the free b. The not free B is that like 0:05:27.160 --> 0:05:30.400 it's not even a prediction. If that's that's that's that's 0:05:30.040 --> 0:05:33.479 what I think. It's going to be warm in the summertime, yeah, 0:05:33.600 --> 0:05:35.680 like you know, and the warm in the summertime is 0:05:35.720 --> 0:05:39.240 probably like a bigger gamble at this point then yeah, 0:05:39.440 --> 0:05:43.120 very very warm. But yeah. But but but I think 0:05:43.520 --> 0:05:45.800 the real thing is that like there there is never 0:05:45.880 --> 0:05:47.680 going to be never locked down the U S never 0:05:47.839 --> 0:05:52.280 like you of the United States could die and there 0:05:52.279 --> 0:05:55.960 would be no lockdown, like and this is you know, 0:05:55.960 --> 0:05:59.000 and I think this this is the result of I 0:05:59.040 --> 0:06:01.520 don't know, I wonder what you do. This my thesis 0:06:01.560 --> 0:06:05.680 for what was going on, was that, Like I actually 0:06:05.760 --> 0:06:09.840 think the like the like liberate Wisconsin stuff, I think 0:06:09.839 --> 0:06:13.520 that actually worked. Like those number umber they were all 0:06:13.560 --> 0:06:15.520 those giant like like a mount of people show up 0:06:15.520 --> 0:06:18.120 with guns to captain. Absolutely it worked. Yeah, yeah, it worked, 0:06:18.120 --> 0:06:20.000 and it was like but but they did. They did. 0:06:20.760 --> 0:06:23.560 Usually works. It's a very effective way to get things 0:06:23.600 --> 0:06:26.320 done well. And I think there's an important lesson here though, 0:06:26.320 --> 0:06:29.800 which is that, like, so the state will never like 0:06:30.040 --> 0:06:34.000 very very rarely will the state ever like directly like 0:06:34.240 --> 0:06:38.040 they they won't immediately back down, right. What they'll do 0:06:38.400 --> 0:06:40.680 is like they'll make an enormous show about how they 0:06:40.680 --> 0:06:42.760 didn't grant any concessions, and then they will grant concessions. 0:06:43.080 --> 0:06:44.359 Like I know. This is the thing with the riots, right, 0:06:44.360 --> 0:06:45.840 It's like people are talking about why do we not 0:06:45.880 --> 0:06:47.480 there's not gonna any more stimulus checks? Right. The reason 0:06:47.480 --> 0:06:49.479 there's not gonna be more stimulus checks because nobody's rioting. 0:06:50.240 --> 0:06:53.400 And you know, like what kind of stimulus checks you 0:06:53.480 --> 0:06:57.160 get if a couple of targets get redacted? Yeah, like 0:06:57.200 --> 0:06:59.440 you know if if if you burn down another police station, 0:06:59.520 --> 0:07:01.440 we will up more stimulus checks. It's just that you 0:07:01.440 --> 0:07:02.760 have to you know, there has to be in a 0:07:02.760 --> 0:07:05.400 police station burned down, right, but like this is and 0:07:05.400 --> 0:07:06.840 this is the this is the you know, the the 0:07:07.120 --> 0:07:08.960 right was extremely effective at this right and in a 0:07:08.960 --> 0:07:11.880 way that people just don't really talk about, which is 0:07:11.880 --> 0:07:14.280 that it is now politically impossible in the US, Like no, 0:07:14.280 --> 0:07:17.000 no one, no one will ever do anover lockdown because 0:07:17.000 --> 0:07:18.680 people will show up with guns and they don't want 0:07:18.680 --> 0:07:21.120 to do that, and they've decided that just just just kill, 0:07:21.520 --> 0:07:24.040 just kill. Look, you know, we we've already killed the 0:07:24.160 --> 0:07:27.200 entire population of Seattle, like they're dead. Like we'll just 0:07:27.240 --> 0:07:30.120 keep killing more people, more people, and just never. I 0:07:30.160 --> 0:07:32.200 think people often are going I think people on the 0:07:32.280 --> 0:07:36.520 left attack the Biden's COVID response for a lot of 0:07:36.520 --> 0:07:39.040 the wrong things. Like the thing that I I would 0:07:39.120 --> 0:07:41.400 go after him for is like, yeah, we didn't he 0:07:41.440 --> 0:07:44.520 didn't just say here's a bunch of money, don't go 0:07:44.560 --> 0:07:47.240 to work, We're not going back to school, Like stay 0:07:47.280 --> 0:07:49.720 at home. Here's a pile of cash, which might have worked, 0:07:49.720 --> 0:07:53.280 it was worth a shot, But past that, a lot 0:07:53.320 --> 0:07:56.320 of this was beyond By the time he came into office, 0:07:56.600 --> 0:08:01.960 the the armed militant cultural movement against the idea of 0:08:02.000 --> 0:08:05.160 COVID precautions was so advanced that like what do you 0:08:05.680 --> 0:08:09.240 what what what more could have been realistically done other 0:08:09.280 --> 0:08:11.600 than trying to give people enough money again to actually 0:08:11.640 --> 0:08:13.280 stay home, which again is the thing I think it's 0:08:13.320 --> 0:08:15.280 most fair to attack him on. Like okay, I mean 0:08:15.880 --> 0:08:19.120 like ships beyond Biden and a lot. Yeah, but like 0:08:19.120 --> 0:08:21.720 like I don't like, okay, it was like, well, what 0:08:22.000 --> 0:08:24.000 could have been done? I don't know, like if you're 0:08:24.040 --> 0:08:26.160 looking from the perspective of the state, they could actually 0:08:26.160 --> 0:08:28.400 have deployed the intelligence services against them instead of doing 0:08:28.440 --> 0:08:31.120 like one dumb and trapment plot, right, Like well, sure, 0:08:31.200 --> 0:08:34.199 but that's that's also that starts before Biden and by 0:08:34.240 --> 0:08:37.040 again by the time, I mean it's like you know 0:08:37.120 --> 0:08:38.599 but like like yeah, I called her bluff, right, have 0:08:38.640 --> 0:08:40.320 want people show up to the capital, and then it's like, okay, 0:08:40.400 --> 0:08:42.319 here's the FBI like like that that that's a thing 0:08:42.440 --> 0:08:44.480 that like if if you're a liberal status you could 0:08:44.600 --> 0:08:48.400 do and they just don't want to because like, partially 0:08:48.440 --> 0:08:50.040 I don't want the conflict of partially because it would 0:08:50.040 --> 0:08:51.920 actually it would look like it would look really bad 0:08:51.960 --> 0:08:53.960 for them heading into the midterms. It would look so 0:08:54.000 --> 0:08:56.320 they're bad and and also I think this is less 0:08:56.320 --> 0:08:59.280 The FBI is kind of much more centrist in terms 0:08:59.320 --> 0:09:01.840 of their politics as an agency, but like there were 0:09:01.880 --> 0:09:05.439 a lot of federal state Yeah, well, I mean the 0:09:05.600 --> 0:09:07.400 most federal and state. Like I don't know that they 0:09:07.400 --> 0:09:09.680 can rely on them like they do that they can. 0:09:10.400 --> 0:09:12.240 Even even the FBI, it's like, yeah, they're using the 0:09:12.240 --> 0:09:16.440 proud ways informants like on Higgins synechists like yeah, so yeah, 0:09:16.480 --> 0:09:21.560 like they're not they're not, They're not. Like I have 0:09:21.600 --> 0:09:23.600 an appreciation. What I will say is I have an 0:09:23.600 --> 0:09:26.240 appreciation for the fact that by the time Biden was 0:09:26.280 --> 0:09:29.520 in office, it may have been an unsolvable problem, which 0:09:29.520 --> 0:09:31.079 doesn't let him off the hook for things that were 0:09:31.080 --> 0:09:35.440 objectively bad decisions like not doing ship for stimulus, um, 0:09:35.600 --> 0:09:38.719 like pushing to open the schools, like you know, a 0:09:38.800 --> 0:09:40.679 number of other things that he's done. But also like 0:09:41.360 --> 0:09:43.400 if he had done all of the right things, we 0:09:43.480 --> 0:09:45.880 still might be at exactly this death toll because there 0:09:45.880 --> 0:09:48.560 are cultural issues here that were very advanced by the 0:09:48.600 --> 0:09:52.720 time he took office. UM. And I do think like 0:09:52.800 --> 0:09:54.760 it's whatever, I'm not I'm not saying this to let 0:09:54.800 --> 0:09:56.880 Biden off the hook or support the Democratic Party. I'm 0:09:56.880 --> 0:09:58.840 saying this because people need to have an accurate conception 0:09:58.880 --> 0:10:01.640 of the problem. Um, and the problem is so much 0:10:01.679 --> 0:10:04.720 deeper than what a technocrat could have handled by making 0:10:04.760 --> 0:10:26.640 smart policy at break break Yeah, we're back. Actual prediction 0:10:27.000 --> 0:10:32.839 Republicans will win the Senate. Yeah, which seems pretty I 0:10:33.400 --> 0:10:37.439 think there's a decent chance Democrats can keep the House. Um, 0:10:37.480 --> 0:10:39.640 but I'm pretty sure it's going to go back to 0:10:39.679 --> 0:10:42.160 the Republicans. I mean, they are damn near in control 0:10:42.160 --> 0:10:45.600 of the Senate as it is. Yeah, but they did. Yeah, 0:10:45.840 --> 0:10:49.480 but I I do believe that's gonna happen. Um. And 0:10:49.600 --> 0:10:52.120 let's see other which, yeah, it does, does not seem 0:10:52.160 --> 0:10:55.559 that's not that far fetched of a thing. And I 0:10:55.600 --> 0:10:59.760 don't know. There'll be some other kind of tech faccory 0:11:00.920 --> 0:11:06.000 the space between Elon Musk, Peter Thiel Silicon Valley, there's 0:11:06.000 --> 0:11:09.960 gonna be I think there's gonna be some worsening development 0:11:10.440 --> 0:11:15.559 of like tech like technocratic stuff, possibly in like possibly 0:11:15.600 --> 0:11:18.800 with like the mask of trying to like fix climate 0:11:18.880 --> 0:11:21.360 change or something. But I think they'll be a decent 0:11:21.480 --> 0:11:25.720 growth of tech power and possibly they're like um cooperation 0:11:26.080 --> 0:11:28.800 with the state or the state like fund giving more 0:11:29.240 --> 0:11:32.400 explicit like funding and permission to tech power to like 0:11:32.559 --> 0:11:35.360 do terror forming or like some geo engineering like that. 0:11:35.360 --> 0:11:38.080 There's there's gonna be something related to that sphere that 0:11:38.280 --> 0:11:40.160 is a it's going to get a lot more visible 0:11:40.440 --> 0:11:43.959 than it is. My big tech prediction is that there 0:11:44.040 --> 0:11:46.400 is going to be a crime against humanity at some 0:11:46.440 --> 0:11:48.880 point this year, like on a massive scale, not like 0:11:48.920 --> 0:11:51.040 just a mass shooting, but like a state level crime 0:11:51.040 --> 0:11:53.680 against humanity. And we're going to find out that for 0:11:53.720 --> 0:11:56.080 the last like eight months, Facebook had been paying the 0:11:56.120 --> 0:11:59.040 perpetrators a significant amount of money as a result of 0:11:59.080 --> 0:12:02.640 like some ill thought out ad program that they had. Yeah, 0:12:03.400 --> 0:12:05.360 like we're going to we're going to leave to Facebook 0:12:05.400 --> 0:12:10.760 actively funding and ethnic cleansing. Um, because some somebody thought 0:12:10.840 --> 0:12:15.320 up some sort of affiliate program that was not well conceived. Um. 0:12:15.320 --> 0:12:19.000 That's my fun tech industry prediction. My fun tech industry 0:12:19.080 --> 0:12:24.600 prediction is that, uh, Jeff Bezos will increasingly become the 0:12:24.600 --> 0:12:28.320 most cringe eest man in the world. Yeah, it is 0:12:28.480 --> 0:12:31.760 very funny that the picture him on New Year's he's 0:12:31.800 --> 0:12:34.800 just wearing a Dan Flash his shirt. He's he's absolutely 0:12:34.840 --> 0:12:38.680 wearing a Dan Flash his shirt and that's incredibly fine, Robert, Robert, 0:12:38.760 --> 0:12:42.200 that shirt costs him three thousand dollars because the pattern 0:12:42.280 --> 0:12:45.720 is so comp very complicated, and how much the lines crisscross. 0:12:47.120 --> 0:12:49.880 I I just I just don't like you insisting that 0:12:49.960 --> 0:12:53.480 it's not as much money. But despite its complicatedness, that 0:12:53.480 --> 0:12:57.040 that photo was my version of holiday Carne said to 0:12:57.120 --> 0:13:04.559 everyone I know. Um, yeah, I think I think we're 0:13:04.559 --> 0:13:07.080 going to see a lot more unions this year. Yeah, 0:13:07.160 --> 0:13:09.360 that does seem to be a positive trend that we're 0:13:09.360 --> 0:13:12.679 seeing is a lot more unionization and some significant successes 0:13:12.760 --> 0:13:17.559 for and and a lot more like like general acceptance 0:13:17.640 --> 0:13:20.880 of the concept of a union. Other prodiction related to 0:13:20.880 --> 0:13:24.400 to tech industry stuff, I think one of the billionaire 0:13:25.240 --> 0:13:29.120 space ships things is going to have a disastrous launch. 0:13:30.960 --> 0:13:33.960 Positive prediction of spaceship is gonna build up with people 0:13:34.000 --> 0:13:36.000 inside it as it tries to take off. That's that's 0:13:36.040 --> 0:13:40.000 my positive prediction. That it can take some people with it. Um, 0:13:40.040 --> 0:13:42.080 sorry to the people, Sorry to the workers who are 0:13:42.080 --> 0:13:44.719 gonna be probably harmed at that, but it can take 0:13:44.760 --> 0:13:48.000 some people out, So it's gonna be funny. Um, that 0:13:48.160 --> 0:13:52.280 is that's possibility. Also, Uh, there's gonna be a there's 0:13:52.320 --> 0:13:57.760 gonna be a disastrous effect. Uh around Austin is right 0:13:57.800 --> 0:13:59.440 that that's where that's where a lot of the spacehip 0:13:59.440 --> 0:14:01.720 stuff is getting set up. No, no, no, no, it's 0:14:01.800 --> 0:14:04.959 that's just where the offices are. It's like Chica. It's 0:14:05.000 --> 0:14:08.480 like on the coast of Texts, not close enough to Austin. 0:14:08.720 --> 0:14:10.760 Some some piece of a spaceship is gonna fly through 0:14:10.800 --> 0:14:14.160 someone's house. No one's gonna care about it. Um, there 0:14:14.160 --> 0:14:16.200 gets brought, gonna kill a family or something. No one's 0:14:16.200 --> 0:14:19.400 gonna care. Nothing's gonna happen. It'll be fine. That Those 0:14:19.440 --> 0:14:24.840 are my more my tech industry predictions related to spaceship stuff. Yeah, 0:14:25.080 --> 0:14:28.120 um yeah. I I also think on on a more. 0:14:28.920 --> 0:14:32.640 I don't know how the current civil war in Myanmar 0:14:32.920 --> 0:14:38.000 is going to shake out, but I think there's a 0:14:38.080 --> 0:14:42.440 chance that it becomes the first kay place where there 0:14:42.520 --> 0:14:46.520 is a successful or at least partially successful revolutionary movement 0:14:46.960 --> 0:14:49.920 that is to a significant extent armed via three D 0:14:50.440 --> 0:14:54.040 printed weaponry. Um, they've all we've already seen a lot 0:14:54.080 --> 0:15:00.240 of that deployed by the rebels in Myanmar. Um. I'm 0:15:00.480 --> 0:15:02.840 interested in watching that because it's kind of the first 0:15:02.880 --> 0:15:06.840 time we've seen that technology used on a meaningful scale 0:15:06.840 --> 0:15:10.840 by people that aren't like organized crime. Um, and yeah, 0:15:10.880 --> 0:15:12.720 I think it's still too early to tell, like how 0:15:12.800 --> 0:15:14.640 much of an actual like whether or not it's just 0:15:14.720 --> 0:15:18.560 kind of a distraction from the more meaningful aspects of 0:15:18.720 --> 0:15:22.000 the struggle, or the more meaningful like kind of deployments 0:15:22.040 --> 0:15:24.640 of weaponry and other tools and the struggle, or whether 0:15:24.680 --> 0:15:26.640 or not it will actually play a significant role in 0:15:26.760 --> 0:15:29.840 the armed struggle. But it's it's very much worth watching 0:15:29.920 --> 0:15:33.440 if you're somebody who pays attention to insurgent movements and 0:15:33.840 --> 0:15:37.280 what is increasingly possible as a result of new technology. 0:15:41.160 --> 0:15:45.440 I have another really bad prediction. J K. Rowling is 0:15:45.480 --> 0:15:50.960 going to release a book on gender. Go orci fund 0:15:51.000 --> 0:15:55.200 to YouTube channel, yeah something, I think. I think there's 0:15:55.240 --> 0:15:57.480 a decent chance she has been writing a book about 0:15:57.480 --> 0:16:00.560 gender and she's going to release in two I think 0:16:00.560 --> 0:16:05.240 that as an actual, actual series prediction, just go away, 0:16:05.640 --> 0:16:08.280 and a whole bunch of liberal moms are gonna buy 0:16:08.320 --> 0:16:10.120 it for each other and they're gonna read it and 0:16:10.440 --> 0:16:13.440 it's gonna be bad. And that is that is my 0:16:13.840 --> 0:16:17.960 that's my that's my horrible prediction. She could be so 0:16:18.000 --> 0:16:21.880 beloved if she had limited her comments after publishing Harry Potter, 0:16:22.040 --> 0:16:25.520 if she repeatedly telling people that are constantly shifting their pants, 0:16:26.000 --> 0:16:29.160 if she just didn't use Twitter after anything at all, 0:16:29.520 --> 0:16:31.960 and she could have been a different person. Just it's 0:16:32.040 --> 0:16:34.280 it's the Dave Chappelle thing. Just stay off. We all 0:16:34.400 --> 0:16:36.600 we all would have loved you forever if you just 0:16:36.600 --> 0:16:39.480 just gone off and counted your money and left us alone. Yeah, 0:16:39.640 --> 0:16:43.480 go be rich somewhere. It's fine to be done. It's 0:16:43.480 --> 0:16:46.440 fine to be done being famous and influential. You you had, 0:16:46.480 --> 0:16:48.640 you did great, you did great. You never needed to 0:16:48.680 --> 0:16:52.920 come back. She I don't she did. I'm not sure 0:16:52.920 --> 0:16:56.800 if she did great? She did? She did? She did again. 0:16:57.440 --> 0:17:00.280 This is all colored. But if she had never back 0:17:00.320 --> 0:17:01.880 into the public eye, all it would have been as 0:17:01.880 --> 0:17:03.840 like you remember that lady who got like twelve year 0:17:03.840 --> 0:17:07.280 olds to read seven d page books that one time, Like, 0:17:07.400 --> 0:17:09.959 people would not be as critical of the actual content 0:17:10.040 --> 0:17:14.399 of the Harry Potter books. If she just hadn't kept 0:17:14.760 --> 0:17:19.080 coming back and saying ship so that and and and 0:17:19.080 --> 0:17:22.920 and then like didn't stop and then did not stop, 0:17:23.000 --> 0:17:26.840 and then was told bad, really really bad, and then 0:17:26.920 --> 0:17:29.200 kept doing it and kept doing it and kept doing 0:17:29.240 --> 0:17:33.640 it and kept doing it. You know what people should beat. Look, 0:17:33.720 --> 0:17:35.840 if you're if you're listening to this and you're a 0:17:35.880 --> 0:17:39.119 millionaire who was like hugely popular for some cultural reason 0:17:39.160 --> 0:17:42.119 in the late nineties and early two thousand's, think about 0:17:42.119 --> 0:17:47.879 Bill Waterson. Bill Waterson ends the most popular comic strip 0:17:47.920 --> 0:17:51.320 in the history of comics and spends the rest of 0:17:51.359 --> 0:17:54.840 his life and fucking Iowa painting landscapes and never talks 0:17:54.880 --> 0:17:58.880 to anybody with a platform again, And I everybody loves 0:17:58.920 --> 0:18:02.200 Bill Waterson. Like not a single person has a criticism 0:18:02.240 --> 0:18:05.320 of Bill Waterson. Um, just do that. Just do what 0:18:05.400 --> 0:18:08.080 he did. Just go paint landscapes in Iowa and don't 0:18:08.119 --> 0:18:11.720 talk to journalists or get on Twitter. It's fine. Does 0:18:11.760 --> 0:18:14.840 Bill Waterson believe regressive things about gender? Nobody knows because 0:18:14.840 --> 0:18:18.440 he doesn't say anything. I think another prediction that is 0:18:18.440 --> 0:18:22.679 actually decently possible. I think we will get more and 0:18:22.760 --> 0:18:27.719 more cities and or states to decriminalize hard drugs in 0:18:28.000 --> 0:18:32.560 in certain possession amounts UM. I think there is a 0:18:32.640 --> 0:18:36.280 there's a number of bills going around California, UM and 0:18:36.320 --> 0:18:38.560 a lot of other states, and I believe that will 0:18:38.600 --> 0:18:41.280 be start to become more and more common, which will 0:18:41.320 --> 0:18:43.760 be great. It would be nice if they get legalized. 0:18:43.800 --> 0:18:46.800 But you know, get get get what you can for now. 0:18:47.400 --> 0:18:55.040 Um yeah, speaking of drugs, Uh, here's CDD oil sponsored 0:18:55.160 --> 0:18:59.479 by heroin, by by big drug. Here we go have fun. 0:18:59.680 --> 0:19:11.480 They say we're back. And I just want to let 0:19:11.480 --> 0:19:16.560 everybody know that if if everything gets legalized, we will 0:19:16.680 --> 0:19:19.920 be sponsored by meth amphetamine so fucking quickly it will 0:19:19.960 --> 0:19:21.960 make your head spin. I will never turn down a 0:19:22.000 --> 0:19:25.120 drug sponsor, um, except for like super foods. We don't 0:19:25.119 --> 0:19:28.320 do super foods, we don't do brain pills, but heroin. 0:19:28.520 --> 0:19:31.360 I would advertise the ship out of heroin. I'm already 0:19:31.400 --> 0:19:35.200 ready to advertise hero the hair lost. Drugs we don't do, 0:19:35.920 --> 0:19:41.920 but heroin. M Hey is life depressing? You know, it'll 0:19:41.960 --> 0:19:47.800 make easier heroin. I hated that I helped that bit. Uh, Chris, 0:19:47.840 --> 0:19:50.960 you were you were saying something before break My My 0:19:51.080 --> 0:19:55.720 one serious prediction is I don't think we've I think 0:19:55.760 --> 0:19:59.240 we're going to get one more big like Latin American uprising, 0:19:59.280 --> 0:20:01.520 and it will not in Argentina. I have been eating 0:20:01.520 --> 0:20:04.280 ship for three goddamn years predicting it's gonna be Argentina. 0:20:04.280 --> 0:20:06.520 It's like, oh, they're getting an IMF bailout. Like it's 0:20:06.520 --> 0:20:08.800 never Argentina. It won't be Argentina, it will be somewhere else. 0:20:09.280 --> 0:20:12.280 But someone is, someone is going to spend like two 0:20:12.320 --> 0:20:15.800 months doing a bunch of stuff that's extremely cool outside 0:20:15.800 --> 0:20:19.119 of Argentina. I kind of think, um, I don't know, 0:20:19.160 --> 0:20:22.399 I'll be interested to see what happens in Brazil because um, 0:20:22.640 --> 0:20:25.040 it's hard to get a sense for the exact numbers, 0:20:25.080 --> 0:20:28.920 but there's potential there. There is potential there with what's 0:20:28.920 --> 0:20:31.240 happened in Bolivia and what's happened in Chile, There's there's 0:20:32.040 --> 0:20:37.000 momentum in its exciting broad area. It was like I 0:20:37.000 --> 0:20:40.399 mean like the os there's shoot, there's like enormous protest 0:20:40.440 --> 0:20:43.320 in Brazil like all the time. Yeah, yeah, there's like massive. 0:20:43.359 --> 0:20:46.240 It just hasn't sort of like like it hasn't turned 0:20:46.240 --> 0:20:49.679 into like everyone fighting the cops and like yeah, and 0:20:50.000 --> 0:20:53.800 maybe I don't know if it will because like I 0:20:53.800 --> 0:20:55.359 don't know. I mean, this is this is this is 0:20:55.400 --> 0:20:59.720 my vibes based interpretation of it. But it feels like 0:20:59.800 --> 0:21:02.359 the the Workers Party has enough of a handle on 0:21:03.240 --> 0:21:05.399 the protests that they're not going to sort of like 0:21:05.880 --> 0:21:09.520 explode because the PT just wants to win its election 0:21:09.680 --> 0:21:13.159 and get out of Bulson Arrow. But well, yeah, and 0:21:13.200 --> 0:21:15.880 I mean the possibility of any kind of like actual 0:21:16.359 --> 0:21:21.000 revolutionary insurrection anything relies heavily on like that path not 0:21:21.200 --> 0:21:23.720 working for people, like they're not that they're not being 0:21:23.720 --> 0:21:25.399 that kind of safety. Then well, I mean I say this, 0:21:25.480 --> 0:21:29.080 if they arrest Lula again, like yeah, I don't think 0:21:29.080 --> 0:21:32.120 bos like I think will die in his own ship, 0:21:32.200 --> 0:21:35.600 Like yeah, that might happen even if his party stays 0:21:35.640 --> 0:21:38.560 in power. I mean that he was actively dying as 0:21:38.600 --> 0:21:42.680 we would record this episode, which is very funny. Um 0:21:42.720 --> 0:21:44.640 I got as a result of one of our ad 0:21:44.680 --> 0:21:48.360 campaigns several or a picture frames uh this year, and 0:21:48.800 --> 0:21:50.960 right now we're loading one up. That's just pictures of 0:21:50.960 --> 0:21:53.359 sick Bulson Arrow to keep in my living room. So 0:21:53.400 --> 0:21:55.760 anytime I walk past, I can look at JayR. Bolson 0:21:55.840 --> 0:21:58.800 Naro and hacking up a lung or having ships sucked 0:21:58.800 --> 0:22:03.399 out of his nose from its um, I will say, oh, 0:22:03.440 --> 0:22:06.119 by my one more like very fast prediction about this 0:22:06.160 --> 0:22:09.320 is that Kissinger is gonna live. He's not gonna die. Damn. 0:22:09.560 --> 0:22:15.920 Chris allowed myself to hope for one for about I 0:22:15.920 --> 0:22:17.560 allow myself to hope for about eight hours and I 0:22:17.600 --> 0:22:21.439 think it's gonna live, but immediately wrong. I don't know. 0:22:21.880 --> 0:22:24.359 It would have been pretty cool if Betty White's last 0:22:24.400 --> 0:22:29.440 action had been some sort of anti TA takeout Kissinger. 0:22:30.720 --> 0:22:33.320 She becomes the most loved American and human history, like 0:22:33.400 --> 0:22:35.760 goes out just like jumping out of an airplane, Like 0:22:36.280 --> 0:22:45.040 she parachutes into Kissinger's house with a flancing knife. I'm 0:22:45.040 --> 0:22:49.040 gonna say, in Colorado, Oregon, or Washington, we're going to 0:22:49.119 --> 0:22:54.399