1
00:00:00,800 --> 00:00:03,720
Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game. Ju us proud

2
00:00:04,360 --> 00:00:05,640
Speaker 1: read enough.

3
00:00:06,160 --> 00:00:07,640
Speaker 2: There were running a game.

4
00:00:11,240 --> 00:00:13,880
Speaker 1: So smoothe so sweet.

5
00:00:13,800 --> 00:00:19,079
Speaker 2: Splend sixteen just glorious. Ex procution, guys, all I'm looking

6
00:00:19,120 --> 00:00:22,520
Speaker 2: for is sixty percent effort four thousand percent of the time.

7
00:00:23,079 --> 00:00:26,560
Speaker 2: How shot with that shop with mind bog buddy, and

8
00:00:26,640 --> 00:00:27,280
Speaker 2: that's why.

9
00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:29,400
Speaker 1: You see your beautiful tiers.

10
00:00:29,680 --> 00:00:31,800
Speaker 2: Look at his movements. The most dangerous a mount of

11
00:00:31,800 --> 00:00:32,240
Speaker 2: the planet.

12
00:00:32,280 --> 00:00:33,000
Speaker 1: Nobody kitchen, the.

13
00:00:35,600 --> 00:00:38,400
Speaker 2: Shit shut up, I'm trying.

14
00:00:41,880 --> 00:00:45,040
Speaker 1: The love is left to one of the wide eyed

15
00:00:45,640 --> 00:00:51,839
Speaker 1: drilled bibus. How on Earth picked up? Happened? Hello everybody,

16
00:00:51,880 --> 00:00:55,120
Speaker 1: and welcome to this edition of Wondergo Live. I am

17
00:00:55,160 --> 00:00:58,720
Speaker 1: your host BJ Cunningham. Today we'll be talking best bets

18
00:00:59,280 --> 00:01:02,080
Speaker 1: for the World Cup. We obviously went through each of

19
00:01:02,160 --> 00:01:05,880
Speaker 1: the groups yesterday. Today we're going to be doing more

20
00:01:06,040 --> 00:01:09,280
Speaker 1: overall outrights, some of our favorite knockout stage bats, maybe

21
00:01:09,319 --> 00:01:11,640
Speaker 1: some golden boot stuff, and then our favorite pick from

22
00:01:11,720 --> 00:01:14,080
Speaker 1: match week one. We kind of hinted at it during

23
00:01:14,360 --> 00:01:17,600
Speaker 1: our group stage bets, Anthony, but we are aligned on

24
00:01:17,760 --> 00:01:21,680
Speaker 1: our favorite outright here for the World Cup, and it's

25
00:01:21,720 --> 00:01:23,040
Speaker 1: our guy Purvee Renard.

26
00:01:23,720 --> 00:01:26,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, if you haven't seen the advertisement. Yet I just

27
00:01:26,200 --> 00:01:29,800
Speaker 2: saw yesterday after we recorded our episode, and I got real,

28
00:01:30,120 --> 00:01:33,600
Speaker 2: just like giddy. It feels like France was in a

29
00:01:33,640 --> 00:01:36,840
Speaker 2: really bad place at this time last year, heading through

30
00:01:36,840 --> 00:01:39,120
Speaker 2: the fall and even into the spring, when you know

31
00:01:39,400 --> 00:01:44,720
Speaker 2: multiple players demanded the firing of Corindiac, the former manager.

32
00:01:45,200 --> 00:01:47,960
Speaker 2: They went with the sensible decision to, you know, keep

33
00:01:48,000 --> 00:01:51,000
Speaker 2: the talented players in the fold and find a better manager.

34
00:01:51,640 --> 00:01:53,919
Speaker 2: And I think they've they've struck gold with erve Renard,

35
00:01:54,000 --> 00:01:57,120
Speaker 2: and we talked about this on Monday show we.

36
00:01:57,200 --> 00:01:57,920
Speaker 1: Previewed the group.

37
00:01:58,280 --> 00:02:01,440
Speaker 2: But this is a very tactically flexible manager who's shown

38
00:02:01,440 --> 00:02:03,640
Speaker 2: an ability to get his team to play the way

39
00:02:03,680 --> 00:02:06,680
Speaker 2: he wants to. I think that's really the biggest skill

40
00:02:06,760 --> 00:02:08,720
Speaker 2: you can have for an international manager, because you're not

41
00:02:08,760 --> 00:02:11,519
Speaker 2: going to be able to drill all these complex pressing

42
00:02:11,639 --> 00:02:15,880
Speaker 2: tactics or establish a true identity. But if you can

43
00:02:16,040 --> 00:02:18,440
Speaker 2: get your players to execute the simple tasks that you

44
00:02:18,480 --> 00:02:21,840
Speaker 2: want them to and change flexibly, I think it makes

45
00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:24,120
Speaker 2: a huge difference in a tournament setting when you're going

46
00:02:24,200 --> 00:02:27,360
Speaker 2: to face teams of different quality, different tactics, and different talent,

47
00:02:27,680 --> 00:02:29,720
Speaker 2: and it's you winner go home for the majority of

48
00:02:29,760 --> 00:02:32,680
Speaker 2: the tournament, pretty much every consequential match that France will

49
00:02:32,720 --> 00:02:35,720
Speaker 2: play in this tournament will be an elimination match because

50
00:02:35,720 --> 00:02:39,200
Speaker 2: of their group being relatively weak after Brazil. So I

51
00:02:39,360 --> 00:02:41,359
Speaker 2: like France thirteen to one to win the whole tournament.

52
00:02:41,400 --> 00:02:43,639
Speaker 2: We're in agreement there. I bet them plus one seventy

53
00:02:44,080 --> 00:02:46,000
Speaker 2: to make the semi final. If you look at what

54
00:02:46,080 --> 00:02:48,880
Speaker 2: their potential path could be if they were to win

55
00:02:48,960 --> 00:02:51,120
Speaker 2: the group, they would play the second place from Team H,

56
00:02:51,240 --> 00:02:56,040
Speaker 2: which could be Columbia, South Korea or Morocco most likely,

57
00:02:56,840 --> 00:02:58,680
Speaker 2: and they would be a heavy favorite over all three

58
00:02:58,720 --> 00:03:00,800
Speaker 2: of those teams. They just rolled Collecia in a friendly

59
00:03:01,360 --> 00:03:03,720
Speaker 2: by three goals a few months ago. One of the

60
00:03:03,760 --> 00:03:08,120
Speaker 2: first matches under Renard a potential quarterfinal with Australia or Canada,

61
00:03:08,200 --> 00:03:10,760
Speaker 2: depending on how that group broke out. I would make

62
00:03:10,800 --> 00:03:12,600
Speaker 2: them a favorite in terms of true talent over both

63
00:03:12,639 --> 00:03:15,720
Speaker 2: of those teams. I think that, you know, playing Australia

64
00:03:15,760 --> 00:03:17,959
Speaker 2: in Australia could be a difficult task, but overall, I

65
00:03:18,000 --> 00:03:20,600
Speaker 2: think that's a pretty friendly path to the semifinal when

66
00:03:20,600 --> 00:03:23,480
Speaker 2: you compare it to say England or Germany, who's going

67
00:03:23,560 --> 00:03:25,800
Speaker 2: to be much more challenged to playing one another potentially

68
00:03:25,840 --> 00:03:30,720
Speaker 2: in a quarterfinal. So I like the French Eugenie Lesmaier,

69
00:03:31,320 --> 00:03:33,919
Speaker 2: somebody that I've loved at the international level for multiple

70
00:03:33,919 --> 00:03:35,560
Speaker 2: World Cups. Now, I thought France would do it in

71
00:03:35,640 --> 00:03:38,240
Speaker 2: twenty nineteen at home, and they really were the better

72
00:03:38,360 --> 00:03:41,400
Speaker 2: side in the match. They ultimately were eliminated in that tournament.

73
00:03:41,880 --> 00:03:43,600
Speaker 2: So it's not like this French team doesn't have a

74
00:03:43,680 --> 00:03:46,200
Speaker 2: ton of experience going toe to toe with the best team.

75
00:03:46,320 --> 00:03:49,040
Speaker 2: So given their price being so much lower than the

76
00:03:49,120 --> 00:03:51,520
Speaker 2: Germany's and the England's, the spains of the world, I

77
00:03:51,640 --> 00:03:53,840
Speaker 2: just don't necessarily agree with that. And so at thirteen

78
00:03:53,840 --> 00:03:57,520
Speaker 2: to one, a les les Bleux and as I said yesterday,

79
00:03:57,600 --> 00:03:59,960
Speaker 2: Ramene la coupe a la maison bring the cup home.

80
00:04:00,360 --> 00:04:03,360
Speaker 2: It's a famous song from the twenty nineteen French men's

81
00:04:03,400 --> 00:04:04,320
Speaker 2: team that won the World Cup.

82
00:04:05,520 --> 00:04:07,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree, that's gonna be my favorite outright as well.

83
00:04:07,920 --> 00:04:09,400
Speaker 1: I mean you mentioned I mean her favorite yard is

84
00:04:09,440 --> 00:04:13,200
Speaker 1: tactical flexibility. Also, France has one of the best center

85
00:04:13,280 --> 00:04:15,960
Speaker 1: backs in the entire world and Wendy Reynards, So if

86
00:04:16,000 --> 00:04:19,440
Speaker 1: they want to play a high, high line, counterpressing style,

87
00:04:19,960 --> 00:04:22,279
Speaker 1: they can do that because their center backs are so good,

88
00:04:22,640 --> 00:04:24,680
Speaker 1: and there also can be a very slow build up

89
00:04:24,720 --> 00:04:28,120
Speaker 1: style team in that you mentioned les soamer Diani, really

90
00:04:28,160 --> 00:04:30,840
Speaker 1: really talented attackers and some of the best talent in

91
00:04:30,920 --> 00:04:33,240
Speaker 1: the entire world. So France thirteen to one, and you

92
00:04:33,279 --> 00:04:37,000
Speaker 1: mentioned that path if it's relatively to get into the Semis.

93
00:04:37,440 --> 00:04:40,280
Speaker 1: If England and Germany play each other of a repeat

94
00:04:40,360 --> 00:04:41,640
Speaker 1: of the Euros, I mean, that's gonna be a very

95
00:04:41,800 --> 00:04:44,560
Speaker 1: emotionally draining match and then they're gonna have to get

96
00:04:44,600 --> 00:04:46,840
Speaker 1: up and try to face France again France here in

97
00:04:46,880 --> 00:04:49,000
Speaker 1: the Semis. So I agree with you. I love France

98
00:04:49,040 --> 00:04:51,039
Speaker 1: at thirteen to one. My other favorite one is Sweden

99
00:04:51,520 --> 00:04:54,800
Speaker 1: at twenty to one, a team that has loads and

100
00:04:54,839 --> 00:04:57,640
Speaker 1: loads of talent as well. Rolfo is an incredible winger

101
00:04:58,000 --> 00:05:01,800
Speaker 1: for them. Their path open up pretty nicely because what

102
00:05:01,960 --> 00:05:04,799
Speaker 1: we've discussed about the Spanish national team and the potential

103
00:05:04,920 --> 00:05:07,520
Speaker 1: mutiny that's happening there. Well, if Sweden wins their group,

104
00:05:07,520 --> 00:05:11,000
Speaker 1: they're gonna get a very favorable second place team in

105
00:05:11,080 --> 00:05:12,960
Speaker 1: the round of sixteen, and then they'll get to play

106
00:05:13,040 --> 00:05:15,680
Speaker 1: Spain and then obviously we'll have to play you know,

107
00:05:15,760 --> 00:05:20,600
Speaker 1: potentially the United States in the semifinals. But Sweden, who

108
00:05:20,720 --> 00:05:22,560
Speaker 1: is the third ranked team in the world and has

109
00:05:22,600 --> 00:05:24,680
Speaker 1: had really really good results, made it all the way

110
00:05:24,720 --> 00:05:26,960
Speaker 1: to the Semis of the Euros before losing four nothing

111
00:05:27,000 --> 00:05:29,200
Speaker 1: to England at a price of twenty to one. Given

112
00:05:29,200 --> 00:05:32,240
Speaker 1: the talent that they have, it wouldn't shock me if

113
00:05:32,279 --> 00:05:34,440
Speaker 1: they give the United States a lot of trouble when

114
00:05:34,440 --> 00:05:37,760
Speaker 1: they get to the semifinals. All right, So that'll do

115
00:05:37,880 --> 00:05:41,160
Speaker 1: it for our favorite outrights here. We will move on

116
00:05:41,600 --> 00:05:44,120
Speaker 1: to our favorite group stage bets. We've already kind of

117
00:05:44,160 --> 00:05:47,480
Speaker 1: teased them a little bit yesterday. But Anthony, after the

118
00:05:47,560 --> 00:05:50,680
Speaker 1: dust is settled, after we went through everything yesterday, what

119
00:05:51,640 --> 00:05:53,720
Speaker 1: is the one, one or two group bets that he

120
00:05:53,800 --> 00:05:56,200
Speaker 1: came away being like, these are my two favorites. These

121
00:05:56,200 --> 00:05:57,120
Speaker 1: are the two I love the most.

122
00:05:58,839 --> 00:06:01,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, Portugal eight to one one to advance is my

123
00:06:01,160 --> 00:06:04,200
Speaker 2: favorite long shot. You can find a Morocco fifty to

124
00:06:04,320 --> 00:06:06,800
Speaker 2: one to advance out there, which is worth a sprinkle

125
00:06:06,839 --> 00:06:08,920
Speaker 2: as well, but I'm gonna use Portugal here for this.

126
00:06:09,600 --> 00:06:11,440
Speaker 2: They get put in a group with the United States

127
00:06:11,520 --> 00:06:15,120
Speaker 2: and with the Dutch. Now, I think that of all

128
00:06:15,200 --> 00:06:17,840
Speaker 2: the newcomers and debutants, they are the team most likely

129
00:06:18,279 --> 00:06:23,080
Speaker 2: to make a real impact in this tournament. Portugal doesn't

130
00:06:23,120 --> 00:06:25,080
Speaker 2: have the rich footballing history on the women's side they

131
00:06:25,120 --> 00:06:28,160
Speaker 2: do on the men's, but they do have a very

132
00:06:28,279 --> 00:06:31,520
Speaker 2: assured way of playing. They have a very set tactical plan,

133
00:06:32,320 --> 00:06:35,240
Speaker 2: and they've had some results in the last calendar year

134
00:06:35,360 --> 00:06:38,000
Speaker 2: that kind of give you some hope that maybe they

135
00:06:38,040 --> 00:06:40,360
Speaker 2: can stun a Dutch team that has been very up

136
00:06:40,400 --> 00:06:43,000
Speaker 2: and down and has taken a couple of beatings in

137
00:06:43,040 --> 00:06:44,800
Speaker 2: the last few years that make me think that they're

138
00:06:44,839 --> 00:06:48,239
Speaker 2: not quite as good as maybe the ELO ratings suggest.

139
00:06:48,680 --> 00:06:50,880
Speaker 2: From an ELO perspective, the Dutch are a top ten team.

140
00:06:51,160 --> 00:06:55,600
Speaker 2: I think that's debatable. But we've seen this Portugal team

141
00:06:56,440 --> 00:06:59,680
Speaker 2: show some real promise, right They tie England, they get

142
00:06:59,720 --> 00:07:02,120
Speaker 2: a five no win against New Zealand, They played to

143
00:07:02,440 --> 00:07:04,559
Speaker 2: toe with Japan and an eventual two to one loss.

144
00:07:05,000 --> 00:07:07,080
Speaker 2: They were competitive in one match with Germany at home

145
00:07:07,120 --> 00:07:09,840
Speaker 2: and then not so competitive in the second match away

146
00:07:09,880 --> 00:07:13,360
Speaker 2: from home. During the qualifying and they relatively you know,

147
00:07:13,480 --> 00:07:15,720
Speaker 2: rolled through qualifying except for their losses to Germany. So

148
00:07:16,120 --> 00:07:18,400
Speaker 2: there are some things to like, and I think that

149
00:07:18,480 --> 00:07:22,840
Speaker 2: the given the Dutch defensive inconsistency and the loss of

150
00:07:22,960 --> 00:07:25,520
Speaker 2: Viv Medema, who hasn't really played most of the season

151
00:07:26,200 --> 00:07:28,360
Speaker 2: most of the year because of her acl injury. I

152
00:07:28,400 --> 00:07:31,880
Speaker 2: think it just lowers the floor enough on the Dutch

153
00:07:31,960 --> 00:07:34,560
Speaker 2: that they could get surprised and all you would need

154
00:07:35,240 --> 00:07:37,920
Speaker 2: if the Dutch draw the first game and they played Portugal.

155
00:07:38,480 --> 00:07:42,960
Speaker 2: There is a chance that the United States would potentially

156
00:07:43,040 --> 00:07:44,800
Speaker 2: rest their final game if they were to win their

157
00:07:44,800 --> 00:07:49,000
Speaker 2: first two matches and play a somewhat rotated team having

158
00:07:49,000 --> 00:07:51,040
Speaker 2: already clinched the group, and that would open the door

159
00:07:51,080 --> 00:07:53,360
Speaker 2: for Portugal to maybe steal that extra point they need

160
00:07:54,040 --> 00:07:57,040
Speaker 2: to advance, or more importantly, potentially to keep the goal

161
00:07:57,120 --> 00:07:59,960
Speaker 2: difference down in a potential tie breaker scenario with the Dotch,

162
00:08:00,000 --> 00:08:02,560
Speaker 2: which if the United States were to beat both the

163
00:08:02,640 --> 00:08:06,840
Speaker 2: Netherlands and Portugal, you know, with Vietnam being the fourth

164
00:08:06,840 --> 00:08:08,720
Speaker 2: team and not really much of a threat in this group.

165
00:08:08,960 --> 00:08:11,600
Speaker 2: I think at eight to one, Portugal is worth a shot.

166
00:08:11,680 --> 00:08:13,640
Speaker 2: You can find them like plus five fifty to win

167
00:08:13,720 --> 00:08:16,680
Speaker 2: the game against the Dutch. I think there's more scenarios

168
00:08:16,880 --> 00:08:18,800
Speaker 2: where they get through with a draw than maybe the

169
00:08:18,840 --> 00:08:21,320
Speaker 2: market is suggesting there. So, like I said, eight to one,

170
00:08:21,560 --> 00:08:25,320
Speaker 2: the Portuguese to advance in group in the group of

171
00:08:25,320 --> 00:08:25,920
Speaker 2: the United States.

172
00:08:27,240 --> 00:08:28,960
Speaker 1: Yes, I agree with you. I'm with you on that one.

173
00:08:29,280 --> 00:08:30,920
Speaker 1: Our other favorite bet I know you are aligned with me.

174
00:08:31,080 --> 00:08:33,240
Speaker 1: This one is one of the hosts. New Zealand not

175
00:08:33,440 --> 00:08:35,839
Speaker 1: to advance and minus one twenty out of Group A.

176
00:08:36,400 --> 00:08:39,440
Speaker 1: New Zealand they got into this World Cup because obviously

177
00:08:39,520 --> 00:08:41,000
Speaker 1: they are the host, and they got into Pot one

178
00:08:41,600 --> 00:08:43,720
Speaker 1: and the group that they're set up with with Norway

179
00:08:43,920 --> 00:08:47,079
Speaker 1: and Switzerland. The talent disparity between New Zealand and those

180
00:08:47,120 --> 00:08:48,880
Speaker 1: two teams is actually quite drastic. I mean, if you

181
00:08:48,920 --> 00:08:52,040
Speaker 1: look at New Zealand's results leading up to this World Cup,

182
00:08:52,480 --> 00:08:55,480
Speaker 1: they played two friendlies against the United States, one against Portugal,

183
00:08:55,640 --> 00:08:59,120
Speaker 1: two against Argentina, one against Iceland, one against Nigeria and

184
00:08:59,200 --> 00:09:02,559
Speaker 1: one against Italy. They got outscored twenty two to one

185
00:09:02,960 --> 00:09:05,319
Speaker 1: in those friendlies and they were not competitive whatsoever. The

186
00:09:05,360 --> 00:09:07,720
Speaker 1: only fairlyure they won was a two nothing went over Vietnam,

187
00:09:07,760 --> 00:09:10,280
Speaker 1: who is one of the longest shots in this entire tournament.

188
00:09:10,640 --> 00:09:13,199
Speaker 1: They do have some talent playing in the NWSL and

189
00:09:13,320 --> 00:09:15,959
Speaker 1: you know over in Australia as well, but the style

190
00:09:16,040 --> 00:09:18,920
Speaker 1: of play that they have, they're a very low blocks

191
00:09:19,000 --> 00:09:20,520
Speaker 1: centric four to four to two type of team, but

192
00:09:20,559 --> 00:09:23,160
Speaker 1: they will come out and press. And what happens oftentimes

193
00:09:23,240 --> 00:09:24,480
Speaker 1: is they try to come out and press and they

194
00:09:24,559 --> 00:09:26,319
Speaker 1: leave a lot of space in behind, and teams like

195
00:09:26,559 --> 00:09:29,360
Speaker 1: a Norway who's incredibly aggressive in Switzerland, who's a very

196
00:09:29,440 --> 00:09:32,360
Speaker 1: very good build up team, can punish you. And once

197
00:09:32,440 --> 00:09:35,360
Speaker 1: that first goal goes in, then New Zealand tends to

198
00:09:36,320 --> 00:09:39,200
Speaker 1: fall off. So at a price, you know, and now

199
00:09:39,200 --> 00:09:41,679
Speaker 1: they're sitting here at only minus one twenty. So it's

200
00:09:41,720 --> 00:09:44,040
Speaker 1: because they're the host nation, it's because they're gonna be

201
00:09:44,040 --> 00:09:47,240
Speaker 1: playing every single game at home. I don't agree with

202
00:09:47,280 --> 00:09:49,120
Speaker 1: that price. I think that the talent disparity. If you

203
00:09:49,160 --> 00:09:52,040
Speaker 1: look at Switzerland, you know they have struggle. Then they've

204
00:09:52,080 --> 00:09:54,000
Speaker 1: gone through a little bit of managerial change right now.

205
00:09:54,080 --> 00:09:55,400
Speaker 1: But if you look at their roster, they have a

206
00:09:55,480 --> 00:09:59,679
Speaker 1: ton of women playing in the women's super League in Germany.

207
00:10:00,040 --> 00:10:01,800
Speaker 1: There's a lot of talent on this squad and they

208
00:10:01,840 --> 00:10:03,800
Speaker 1: are again, they are a good bill a team. They

209
00:10:03,840 --> 00:10:06,040
Speaker 1: are good at controlling possession. The problems exists for them

210
00:10:06,280 --> 00:10:08,000
Speaker 1: when they get into the final third. So that match

211
00:10:08,320 --> 00:10:10,520
Speaker 1: is going to be very key between Switzerland and New Zealand.

212
00:10:10,559 --> 00:10:13,440
Speaker 1: But I mean New Zealand has not been competitive whatsoever

213
00:10:13,480 --> 00:10:15,160
Speaker 1: and these friendlies living up at the World Cups. So

214
00:10:15,960 --> 00:10:17,880
Speaker 1: at a price of minus one twenty, it's just far,

215
00:10:18,000 --> 00:10:21,400
Speaker 1: far too short for New Zealand here to advance. So

216
00:10:21,440 --> 00:10:23,640
Speaker 1: I like them not to advance at minus one twenty.

217
00:10:24,000 --> 00:10:25,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it's a real question if they would

218
00:10:25,400 --> 00:10:28,280
Speaker 2: have even qualified if they didn't get the benefit of

219
00:10:28,320 --> 00:10:30,439
Speaker 2: having to qualify automatically because of their one of the

220
00:10:30,440 --> 00:10:33,000
Speaker 2: two host nations. It has not been a good run

221
00:10:33,080 --> 00:10:35,160
Speaker 2: and they have been to the World Cup five times,

222
00:10:35,200 --> 00:10:38,720
Speaker 2: they played fifteen matches they've never won, so certainly has

223
00:10:38,800 --> 00:10:41,439
Speaker 2: not been a great go at it for the Ferns

224
00:10:41,559 --> 00:10:43,719
Speaker 2: at the World Cup. And I don't expect a ton

225
00:10:43,760 --> 00:10:46,439
Speaker 2: of difference here again, like you know you mentioned it.

226
00:10:46,480 --> 00:10:47,920
Speaker 2: If they have to try to run up the score

227
00:10:48,280 --> 00:10:51,080
Speaker 2: against the Philippines, they can't. They're not very good at

228
00:10:51,120 --> 00:10:54,720
Speaker 2: scoring in general, so their lack of dynamism and firepower

229
00:10:54,800 --> 00:10:57,360
Speaker 2: could cost them in a potential gold difference battle if

230
00:10:57,360 --> 00:10:59,880
Speaker 2: they were to draw Switzerland in that matchup that they have,

231
00:11:00,920 --> 00:11:05,360
Speaker 2: So I think there's a real risk that they are

232
00:11:05,440 --> 00:11:07,400
Speaker 2: kind of on the outside looking in, whether it's via

233
00:11:07,440 --> 00:11:09,200
Speaker 2: the goal difference tiebreaker or they just get beat by

234
00:11:09,240 --> 00:11:10,520
Speaker 2: switchling too, I think is a better team.

235
00:11:11,960 --> 00:11:14,719
Speaker 1: I agree. All right, let's move on to some of

236
00:11:14,720 --> 00:11:18,040
Speaker 1: our favorite knockout tickets. So these are teams to make

237
00:11:18,080 --> 00:11:21,240
Speaker 1: the quarters, make the semis, make the final, anything that's

238
00:11:21,320 --> 00:11:24,160
Speaker 1: not an outright to essentially win the tournament. We are

239
00:11:24,200 --> 00:11:26,600
Speaker 1: aligned on two of them. It's two teams that we've

240
00:11:26,600 --> 00:11:29,400
Speaker 1: already spoken of. It's France to make the semifinals at

241
00:11:29,400 --> 00:11:33,080
Speaker 1: plus one seventy and Sweden to make the semifinals at

242
00:11:33,120 --> 00:11:35,079
Speaker 1: plus two to fifty. We've already mentioned their past, we've

243
00:11:35,080 --> 00:11:38,320
Speaker 1: already talked about them, but we each also have one separately.

244
00:11:38,520 --> 00:11:41,120
Speaker 1: So why don't you talk about your number one favorite

245
00:11:42,320 --> 00:11:43,480
Speaker 1: knockout stage future.

246
00:11:44,280 --> 00:11:46,040
Speaker 2: So I went through and I filled out my little

247
00:11:46,080 --> 00:11:49,400
Speaker 2: bracket here, and I kind of basically picked each group

248
00:11:49,480 --> 00:11:51,280
Speaker 2: and came to a consensus on who I want as

249
00:11:51,360 --> 00:11:54,560
Speaker 2: my final four to be, and kind of bet accordingly

250
00:11:54,640 --> 00:11:56,079
Speaker 2: looking at the numbers and kind of the market and

251
00:11:56,240 --> 00:11:58,400
Speaker 2: where I feel about these teams. So you know, the

252
00:11:58,480 --> 00:12:02,679
Speaker 2: top left quadrant I have Norway, Japan, Usa, Italy is

253
00:12:02,760 --> 00:12:04,280
Speaker 2: the four teams that kind of get out of it.

254
00:12:05,000 --> 00:12:07,480
Speaker 2: I think Japan could give Norway a game I think

255
00:12:07,480 --> 00:12:09,920
Speaker 2: that would be close, but ultimately the United States and

256
00:12:09,960 --> 00:12:13,240
Speaker 2: Norway are pretty confidently in the quarter finals, and I

257
00:12:13,280 --> 00:12:15,599
Speaker 2: don't really think Norway has that upper end talent to

258
00:12:15,960 --> 00:12:17,640
Speaker 2: really compete with the United States. Even though I think

259
00:12:17,640 --> 00:12:19,600
Speaker 2: the United States is flawed, I think there's a world

260
00:12:19,600 --> 00:12:21,800
Speaker 2: where I find myself betting against the United States, maybe

261
00:12:21,840 --> 00:12:24,440
Speaker 2: in the spread markets, even though I expect them to advance,

262
00:12:24,679 --> 00:12:26,720
Speaker 2: and so you won't see me betting the United States

263
00:12:26,840 --> 00:12:29,439
Speaker 2: much in this tournament. But I do have them getting

264
00:12:29,440 --> 00:12:31,560
Speaker 2: to the semi final, where I think they would face

265
00:12:31,960 --> 00:12:36,800
Speaker 2: Sweden coming out of that bottom that region, because Sweden

266
00:12:37,600 --> 00:12:39,559
Speaker 2: could face the Dutch in the round of sixteen, which

267
00:12:39,600 --> 00:12:41,760
Speaker 2: wouldn't be an easy matchup by any stretch, but it

268
00:12:41,800 --> 00:12:44,800
Speaker 2: also could be Portugal if when I think I said

269
00:12:44,800 --> 00:12:47,000
Speaker 2: earlier about Portugal advancing where they were to pull off

270
00:12:47,040 --> 00:12:49,800
Speaker 2: that upset the Dutch. In general, though I think there

271
00:12:49,880 --> 00:12:52,120
Speaker 2: are just a little bit of a level below the Swedes,

272
00:12:52,160 --> 00:12:53,480
Speaker 2: not to the point where they couldn't beat them in

273
00:12:53,520 --> 00:12:56,320
Speaker 2: a one off, but the Swedes are a more consistent

274
00:12:56,880 --> 00:13:01,640
Speaker 2: team with a higher talent floor, just because of the

275
00:13:01,720 --> 00:13:05,040
Speaker 2: Dutch being a little bit shorthanded. In attack and having

276
00:13:05,080 --> 00:13:07,400
Speaker 2: some inconsistent results in the last couple of years, and

277
00:13:07,480 --> 00:13:09,440
Speaker 2: then I have them playing Spain in the quarters. Now,

278
00:13:09,520 --> 00:13:11,240
Speaker 2: we talked about Spain as a risk and why they

279
00:13:11,280 --> 00:13:14,920
Speaker 2: could flame out early. They're one of the more difficult

280
00:13:14,960 --> 00:13:18,360
Speaker 2: teams to price, but Spain is an overwhelming favorite over

281
00:13:18,440 --> 00:13:20,720
Speaker 2: Sweden in a potential quarterfinal if you were to look

282
00:13:20,760 --> 00:13:22,599
Speaker 2: at based on where the market price is, both of

283
00:13:22,640 --> 00:13:24,839
Speaker 2: those teams to make the Semis. So I'm going to

284
00:13:24,880 --> 00:13:27,160
Speaker 2: take the dog there, and I think that given the

285
00:13:27,280 --> 00:13:29,600
Speaker 2: risk of Spain having their issues, I'm going to take

286
00:13:29,600 --> 00:13:32,480
Speaker 2: Sweden to make the semifinals at plus two point fifty.

287
00:13:32,720 --> 00:13:34,599
Speaker 2: So I've got the USA and Sweden making it to

288
00:13:34,640 --> 00:13:36,720
Speaker 2: the Semis on one half of the bracket, and then

289
00:13:36,720 --> 00:13:38,280
Speaker 2: the other half of the bracket is where things get

290
00:13:38,320 --> 00:13:42,559
Speaker 2: really interesting. I mentioned France and how their path is

291
00:13:42,640 --> 00:13:45,280
Speaker 2: relatively friendly, so I've got them to make the semifinals

292
00:13:45,559 --> 00:13:51,839
Speaker 2: at plus one seventy. I had them beating Columbia, South Korea, Morocco,

293
00:13:51,840 --> 00:13:54,760
Speaker 2: whoever comes in second there. I think they roll easily. Ultimately.

294
00:13:54,800 --> 00:13:56,840
Speaker 2: I do think South Korea is the most likely to advance,

295
00:13:56,880 --> 00:13:59,120
Speaker 2: but I wouldn't be shocked if it was Morocco as

296
00:13:59,160 --> 00:14:01,960
Speaker 2: a potential long shot. Columbia doesn't really defend, so they're

297
00:14:01,960 --> 00:14:04,880
Speaker 2: going to have their issues in that group. So France

298
00:14:05,000 --> 00:14:07,360
Speaker 2: for me, coming out of that top region beating either

299
00:14:07,360 --> 00:14:10,760
Speaker 2: Australia or Canada, whichever two came out from the top.

300
00:14:11,120 --> 00:14:13,960
Speaker 2: And then in the bottom region, the bottom corner, which

301
00:14:14,040 --> 00:14:16,920
Speaker 2: is really the section of death that's setting up here,

302
00:14:17,720 --> 00:14:21,680
Speaker 2: I have England, Australia or Canada, and then Germany Brazil.

303
00:14:21,800 --> 00:14:23,840
Speaker 2: Those four teams all in the same region. All four

304
00:14:24,240 --> 00:14:26,240
Speaker 2: would be top ten in the FIFA rankings, the e

305
00:14:26,360 --> 00:14:28,960
Speaker 2: Low rankings, which is more like a power rating system,

306
00:14:29,040 --> 00:14:32,320
Speaker 2: not just the kind of antiquated FIFA rankings. Germany has

307
00:14:32,560 --> 00:14:35,280
Speaker 2: the most talent in my view of those four teams,

308
00:14:36,040 --> 00:14:38,400
Speaker 2: so I put them through to the semi final and

309
00:14:38,640 --> 00:14:40,840
Speaker 2: at plus one seventy, I do like them there. I

310
00:14:40,960 --> 00:14:43,760
Speaker 2: think they'd be relatively a coin flip against England. I

311
00:14:43,840 --> 00:14:47,080
Speaker 2: think maybe you could argue, given England's injuries, that they

312
00:14:47,080 --> 00:14:50,360
Speaker 2: should be the favorite over England. They outplayed them in

313
00:14:50,400 --> 00:14:52,840
Speaker 2: the Euro Final last year, and that was with that

314
00:14:53,160 --> 00:14:56,080
Speaker 2: Alexandra Popp who's their leading goal scorer and best striker.

315
00:14:57,000 --> 00:14:59,400
Speaker 2: That was also in England so all kinds of advantages

316
00:14:59,440 --> 00:15:00,960
Speaker 2: built in for Englan and now I think on a

317
00:15:01,000 --> 00:15:04,280
Speaker 2: neutral field on the other side of the world with

318
00:15:04,440 --> 00:15:06,800
Speaker 2: pop back, and then you know Beth Mead, fran Kirby

319
00:15:07,000 --> 00:15:09,200
Speaker 2: and Leah Williamson all being out for the English team,

320
00:15:09,200 --> 00:15:11,360
Speaker 2: I think that there kind of flips the balance of

321
00:15:11,400 --> 00:15:14,920
Speaker 2: power in that potential matchup. Either way, you could convince

322
00:15:15,000 --> 00:15:16,480
Speaker 2: me that's the two best teams in the world right now,

323
00:15:16,560 --> 00:15:19,160
Speaker 2: England and Germany, and so them playing in the quarter

324
00:15:19,240 --> 00:15:21,800
Speaker 2: finals is kind of a disappointment for you know, as

325
00:15:21,840 --> 00:15:25,120
Speaker 2: a neutral perspective, But I did put Germany going through there.

326
00:15:25,520 --> 00:15:27,960
Speaker 2: So I have Germany, France, Sweden and the United States

327
00:15:28,000 --> 00:15:30,920
Speaker 2: is my fourth semi finalists. And I did bet tickets

328
00:15:30,960 --> 00:15:34,240
Speaker 2: on Germany plus one seventy, France plus one seventy, Sweden

329
00:15:34,320 --> 00:15:38,240
Speaker 2: plus two fifty all to make the semifinals, and all

330
00:15:38,280 --> 00:15:40,280
Speaker 2: three hopefully do and then we have a hell of

331
00:15:40,360 --> 00:15:40,760
Speaker 2: a tournament.

332
00:15:41,160 --> 00:15:45,160
Speaker 1: I know, I agree with you obviously on Sweden and

333
00:15:45,560 --> 00:15:47,760
Speaker 1: on France on those two tickets. My other one that

334
00:15:47,880 --> 00:15:51,280
Speaker 1: I loved is Norway to make the quarterfinals at plus

335
00:15:51,400 --> 00:15:54,320
Speaker 1: one twenty. The thing about Norway is and they're a

336
00:15:54,440 --> 00:15:57,280
Speaker 1: very interesting team because of how aggressive they are. There

337
00:15:57,320 --> 00:16:00,440
Speaker 1: are a lot of times where Norway will send five

338
00:16:00,600 --> 00:16:03,440
Speaker 1: six women up to the back line of the opposing defense.

339
00:16:03,880 --> 00:16:06,920
Speaker 1: And they love to play vertical football. They don't like

340
00:16:06,960 --> 00:16:08,600
Speaker 1: to do a lot of short passes. They love to

341
00:16:08,960 --> 00:16:11,960
Speaker 1: just go right at the defense and when they were

342
00:16:12,000 --> 00:16:14,600
Speaker 1: out of possession, they are a frantic counter pressing team

343
00:16:14,800 --> 00:16:17,240
Speaker 1: and that can lead itself to a lot of high scoring,

344
00:16:17,280 --> 00:16:19,680
Speaker 1: event type matches. You saw at the Euros they lost

345
00:16:19,680 --> 00:16:23,240
Speaker 1: eight nothing to England. So there's a path where it's like, oh,

346
00:16:23,320 --> 00:16:25,360
Speaker 1: this doesn't work. But then there's also this path where

347
00:16:25,440 --> 00:16:28,120
Speaker 1: they have Ada Hegeberg, who has been one of the

348
00:16:28,240 --> 00:16:30,320
Speaker 1: best strikers in the women's game. She was injured for

349
00:16:30,440 --> 00:16:33,120
Speaker 1: quite a long time this season for Leon, her club team,

350
00:16:33,320 --> 00:16:35,840
Speaker 1: but she is back. She is healthy. They have fantastic

351
00:16:35,920 --> 00:16:39,640
Speaker 1: midfielders and their group Group A sets up very favorably,

352
00:16:39,720 --> 00:16:41,760
Speaker 1: like we just talked about with New Zealand not having

353
00:16:41,840 --> 00:16:43,760
Speaker 1: much talent, Switchedland being in a little bit of a

354
00:16:43,880 --> 00:16:46,280
Speaker 1: state of flux with their manager. So they should very

355
00:16:46,320 --> 00:16:49,000
Speaker 1: easily get through Group A and win it, and then

356
00:16:49,320 --> 00:16:53,200
Speaker 1: most likely we'll face Japan in the round of sixteam

357
00:16:53,280 --> 00:16:55,760
Speaker 1: and a Japan team that has a high floor, low ceiling,

358
00:16:56,400 --> 00:16:58,880
Speaker 1: they probably will be favored in that type in that match.

359
00:16:58,960 --> 00:17:01,360
Speaker 1: So at a price and plum one twenty, I like

360
00:17:01,560 --> 00:17:04,200
Speaker 1: Norway to make the quarterfinals. I don't think they're gonna

361
00:17:04,200 --> 00:17:06,080
Speaker 1: get by to the United States, but at a price

362
00:17:06,119 --> 00:17:08,440
Speaker 1: of plus one twenty, I think they probably should be

363
00:17:08,480 --> 00:17:10,719
Speaker 1: around minus one ten or minus one twenty to make

364
00:17:10,760 --> 00:17:14,280
Speaker 1: the quarterfinals. All right, let's move on to the fun

365
00:17:14,359 --> 00:17:18,480
Speaker 1: stuff now, Golden Boots. This is given out to the

366
00:17:18,640 --> 00:17:25,080
Speaker 1: top goal scorer in the World Cup. Anthony. There are

367
00:17:25,080 --> 00:17:27,679
Speaker 1: a lot of really really good strikers in the women's

368
00:17:27,680 --> 00:17:30,040
Speaker 1: game outside of you know, Alex Morgan or Sophia Smith,

369
00:17:30,119 --> 00:17:33,920
Speaker 1: around the world, and you are targeting one to lift

370
00:17:33,960 --> 00:17:36,439
Speaker 1: the Golden Boot for in her home country.

371
00:17:38,520 --> 00:17:41,400
Speaker 2: Yes, I've got two Golden Boot tickets, one of which

372
00:17:41,480 --> 00:17:44,560
Speaker 2: is Sam Kerr fourteen to one. She plays for Chelsea

373
00:17:44,640 --> 00:17:46,840
Speaker 2: and the Women's Super League and she's been dominant there.

374
00:17:48,000 --> 00:17:49,680
Speaker 2: Arguably the best striker in the world, I would say

375
00:17:49,720 --> 00:17:51,840
Speaker 2: she is. Now she gets to go home and play

376
00:17:51,880 --> 00:17:54,200
Speaker 2: for her home country. She scored five goals in four

377
00:17:54,320 --> 00:17:59,000
Speaker 2: games for the Aussies in twenty nineteen. Typically and if

378
00:17:59,000 --> 00:18:01,800
Speaker 2: you combine men's men's World Cups, you typically need to

379
00:18:01,840 --> 00:18:06,200
Speaker 2: play about five games to get really into the conversation

380
00:18:06,920 --> 00:18:09,800
Speaker 2: for the Golden Boot. Most of the damage in those

381
00:18:09,880 --> 00:18:12,280
Speaker 2: tournaments is done in the group stage. You look at

382
00:18:12,840 --> 00:18:15,560
Speaker 2: Kerr's potential path in the group stage, Canada will certainly

383
00:18:15,640 --> 00:18:18,760
Speaker 2: be a tough matchup, but if they're able to win

384
00:18:18,920 --> 00:18:22,320
Speaker 2: that group, that would put them very favorably to advance

385
00:18:22,359 --> 00:18:24,120
Speaker 2: to the quarterfinals, which, like I said, is the key.

386
00:18:24,560 --> 00:18:26,960
Speaker 2: If you can get to the semifinals and guarantee yourself

387
00:18:26,960 --> 00:18:29,680
Speaker 2: a third place game, then it's even better just because

388
00:18:29,720 --> 00:18:33,240
Speaker 2: of the seventh game counting towards the stats. The third

389
00:18:33,280 --> 00:18:37,280
Speaker 2: place game does count, so Kerr fourteen to one. I

390
00:18:37,320 --> 00:18:39,120
Speaker 2: think she's the best striker in the world. I think

391
00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:41,639
Speaker 2: one of the problems you might see with say England

392
00:18:41,760 --> 00:18:45,080
Speaker 2: or Spain, who will probably score the most goals in

393
00:18:45,160 --> 00:18:48,639
Speaker 2: this tournament, is that they don't really have that concentrated

394
00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:51,160
Speaker 2: player to score all of the goals. Of course, Alex

395
00:18:51,240 --> 00:18:53,200
Speaker 2: Morgan is the favorite, but Sophie Smith is in the mix.

396
00:18:53,760 --> 00:18:57,000
Speaker 2: For Spain, They've got two or three players with Hermoso

397
00:18:58,080 --> 00:19:01,560
Speaker 2: and Redondo kind of all stealing the thunder from one another,

398
00:19:01,880 --> 00:19:04,720
Speaker 2: and I think that could hurt Spain in the United States,

399
00:19:04,760 --> 00:19:06,639
Speaker 2: even if you know the United States scores seven or

400
00:19:06,680 --> 00:19:08,920
Speaker 2: eight in their first game, which is possible. You could

401
00:19:08,960 --> 00:19:12,320
Speaker 2: also see Canada really run Australia really run up the score.

402
00:19:12,880 --> 00:19:16,040
Speaker 2: Sam Curse did get grab a hat trick against Jamaica,

403
00:19:16,119 --> 00:19:18,639
Speaker 2: for example, in the last World Cup. So her getting

404
00:19:18,640 --> 00:19:20,359
Speaker 2: that fifth match, if they're able to win the group

405
00:19:20,840 --> 00:19:22,680
Speaker 2: and get that fifth match, I think that's a huge

406
00:19:22,760 --> 00:19:25,280
Speaker 2: key for Kerr and I really don't know that she's

407
00:19:25,400 --> 00:19:28,040
Speaker 2: should be priced any worse than those top favorites given

408
00:19:28,080 --> 00:19:29,320
Speaker 2: her underlying talent level.

409
00:19:29,640 --> 00:19:31,239
Speaker 1: And then the other pick is Alexandra Pop.

410
00:19:31,440 --> 00:19:34,639
Speaker 2: I talked about her when I was discussing Germany. I

411
00:19:34,680 --> 00:19:36,639
Speaker 2: think Germany is going deep in this tournament. I think

412
00:19:36,680 --> 00:19:39,040
Speaker 2: They're going to make the quarterfinals at a minimum. I

413
00:19:39,080 --> 00:19:41,320
Speaker 2: wouldn't be surprised if they won the whole thing. And

414
00:19:41,480 --> 00:19:43,000
Speaker 2: I think Pop is going to be a major reason

415
00:19:43,040 --> 00:19:44,800
Speaker 2: why she was out for the final of the Euros

416
00:19:44,840 --> 00:19:47,280
Speaker 2: last year. She was a big loss for that team,

417
00:19:47,880 --> 00:19:50,440
Speaker 2: but her underlying numbers and qualifying and her underlying numbers

418
00:19:50,560 --> 00:19:53,959
Speaker 2: playing for Volsburg in Germany has been as good as

419
00:19:54,080 --> 00:19:55,800
Speaker 2: Like I said, as good as any striker in the world.

420
00:19:55,920 --> 00:19:58,159
Speaker 2: So I think Kurr and Pop are priced below these

421
00:19:58,240 --> 00:20:01,760
Speaker 2: top top talents with with the Americans in the Spanish

422
00:20:02,280 --> 00:20:05,000
Speaker 2: and the English, but I don't really agree with it.

423
00:20:05,040 --> 00:20:07,320
Speaker 2: I think that they should be all priced relatively similarly.

424
00:20:07,840 --> 00:20:09,680
Speaker 2: And so at fourteen to one on Current sixteen to

425
00:20:09,760 --> 00:20:12,200
Speaker 2: one on Pop, those are my two favorite tickets. You know,

426
00:20:12,240 --> 00:20:14,560
Speaker 2: there are some fun strikers on the lower teams and

427
00:20:14,840 --> 00:20:16,080
Speaker 2: the teams that I don't think we'll get out of

428
00:20:16,119 --> 00:20:18,040
Speaker 2: the group, and you know you're gonna talk about and

429
00:20:18,440 --> 00:20:20,320
Speaker 2: I just think that it's very hard if you only

430
00:20:20,400 --> 00:20:23,480
Speaker 2: get three games, whereas you know, somebody like a Germany

431
00:20:24,160 --> 00:20:26,760
Speaker 2: is playing in a very attack mined group and then

432
00:20:26,840 --> 00:20:29,800
Speaker 2: could get you know, like a South Korea or should

433
00:20:29,840 --> 00:20:32,000
Speaker 2: we could get like a Brazil and then you know,

434
00:20:32,160 --> 00:20:35,119
Speaker 2: multiple matches after that. So the path there's just more games,

435
00:20:35,240 --> 00:20:37,320
Speaker 2: more math, more minutes to score.

436
00:20:38,640 --> 00:20:41,359
Speaker 1: Yes, So my favorite ones, my first one is I

437
00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:44,720
Speaker 1: already mentioned are Ada Hegeberg, who plays for Norway. We

438
00:20:44,800 --> 00:20:46,679
Speaker 1: already mentioned how easy their group is. They're gonna get

439
00:20:46,680 --> 00:20:48,520
Speaker 1: to play New Zealand, they're gonna get play the Philippines.

440
00:20:48,680 --> 00:20:51,119
Speaker 1: So two really really good matches for them for a

441
00:20:51,200 --> 00:20:54,600
Speaker 1: team that's uber uber uber aggressive in their attack. Hegerberg

442
00:20:54,640 --> 00:20:57,480
Speaker 1: won the Ballador in twenty eighteen. He you know, like

443
00:20:57,560 --> 00:20:59,080
Speaker 1: I mentioned, she was injured for lay On this season,

444
00:20:59,119 --> 00:21:01,280
Speaker 1: but the two seasons probably that she was a point

445
00:21:01,359 --> 00:21:03,680
Speaker 1: nine xt she permitted striker, one of the best strikers

446
00:21:03,720 --> 00:21:05,919
Speaker 1: in the entire world. She is twenty five to one

447
00:21:05,960 --> 00:21:08,200
Speaker 1: to win the Golden Boot given that favorable group, given

448
00:21:08,200 --> 00:21:09,679
Speaker 1: the fact that I do believe that she is going

449
00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:12,680
Speaker 1: to make the quarters. All it takes Anthony is a

450
00:21:12,760 --> 00:21:15,800
Speaker 1: nine to nothing win over the Philippines and Hagerberg scores

451
00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:18,760
Speaker 1: four or five goals and suddenly she leads the Golden

452
00:21:18,800 --> 00:21:20,200
Speaker 1: Boot race. But you could say that also about the

453
00:21:20,280 --> 00:21:22,240
Speaker 1: United States playing Vietnam and some of these other teams

454
00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:25,920
Speaker 1: playing smaller nations. Another one I really like is Sweden

455
00:21:26,520 --> 00:21:31,280
Speaker 1: blackensteinas Arsenal striker. She scored thirteen goals between the Women's

456
00:21:31,320 --> 00:21:33,399
Speaker 1: Super League and the Champions League this season. She was

457
00:21:33,440 --> 00:21:36,400
Speaker 1: in the ninety fourth percentile for non penalty expected goals.

458
00:21:36,440 --> 00:21:38,440
Speaker 1: She is thirty to one for a team that we

459
00:21:38,480 --> 00:21:40,760
Speaker 1: had already mentioned we really like to make the semifinals

460
00:21:40,920 --> 00:21:44,080
Speaker 1: in a very favorable group. As well with Italy, Argentina

461
00:21:44,359 --> 00:21:47,359
Speaker 1: and South Africa. A good opportunity here for her to

462
00:21:47,520 --> 00:21:49,280
Speaker 1: bag a bunch of goals there, and then the path

463
00:21:49,560 --> 00:21:52,320
Speaker 1: obviously opens up playing a second place team group that's

464
00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:54,440
Speaker 1: going to be very favorable in the round of sixteen.

465
00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:57,879
Speaker 1: Then my last one before I get to the super

466
00:21:57,960 --> 00:22:00,960
Speaker 1: long shots that I like Dianni for France. She's twenty

467
00:22:01,000 --> 00:22:03,960
Speaker 1: to one to win the Golden Boop. She won the

468
00:22:04,000 --> 00:22:06,800
Speaker 1: Golden Boot in France this season. She scored seventeen goals,

469
00:22:06,920 --> 00:22:09,879
Speaker 1: was a one point zero one xg permanent striker for

470
00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:13,159
Speaker 1: a France team that at the Euros outside of England

471
00:22:13,480 --> 00:22:15,920
Speaker 1: was the best offensive team. They created seventeen point four

472
00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:19,280
Speaker 1: expected goals in their five matches. We've already mentioned their group.

473
00:22:19,320 --> 00:22:22,520
Speaker 1: They're gonna get matches against Jamaica and against Panama, two

474
00:22:23,320 --> 00:22:25,760
Speaker 1: really really bad defenses with a chance for France to

475
00:22:25,840 --> 00:22:28,199
Speaker 1: really run up the score, and obviously that match against Brazil,

476
00:22:28,280 --> 00:22:30,040
Speaker 1: and then like we already mentioned, they're gonna get the

477
00:22:30,040 --> 00:22:32,600
Speaker 1: second place group out of a group age with if

478
00:22:32,600 --> 00:22:35,280
Speaker 1: it's Columbia, I mean my gunn is France might put

479
00:22:35,320 --> 00:22:38,080
Speaker 1: up seven or eight goals in that match. So Deanni

480
00:22:38,119 --> 00:22:39,800
Speaker 1: there at twenty to one, and then if you want

481
00:22:39,880 --> 00:22:43,960
Speaker 1: some super long shots, Aja Shaw one hundred and fifty

482
00:22:44,000 --> 00:22:47,520
Speaker 1: to one for Jamaica. She scored twenty goals for Manchester

483
00:22:47,600 --> 00:22:50,760
Speaker 1: City this season. For Jamaica at the national team level,

484
00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:53,760
Speaker 1: she's scored fifty six goals in thirty eight games. Jamaica

485
00:22:53,960 --> 00:22:56,560
Speaker 1: is going to be a very high flying team that's

486
00:22:56,600 --> 00:22:59,160
Speaker 1: going to be looking to get forward a lot. They're

487
00:22:59,160 --> 00:23:01,800
Speaker 1: obviously in a very different group with Brazil and France,

488
00:23:01,880 --> 00:23:05,080
Speaker 1: but she will have that one game against Panama that

489
00:23:05,280 --> 00:23:07,200
Speaker 1: we might be able to just sneak one out there.

490
00:23:08,240 --> 00:23:11,720
Speaker 1: The other really really long shot one Oshiola who plays

491
00:23:11,760 --> 00:23:14,200
Speaker 1: for Nigeria. She's two hundred to one. She's a striker

492
00:23:14,280 --> 00:23:16,800
Speaker 1: for Barcelona and she had an incredible season at the

493
00:23:16,840 --> 00:23:19,920
Speaker 1: club level. One point four x sheeper minute striker, just

494
00:23:20,040 --> 00:23:23,120
Speaker 1: incredible numbers. Nigeria's and obviously in a group with Australia,

495
00:23:23,200 --> 00:23:26,400
Speaker 1: Canada and the Republic of Ireland, so not a great

496
00:23:26,480 --> 00:23:28,560
Speaker 1: draw there, but again it's a price of two hundred

497
00:23:28,560 --> 00:23:31,000
Speaker 1: and one in Nigeria is going to be a team

498
00:23:31,040 --> 00:23:32,600
Speaker 1: that is going to be looking to get forward quite

499
00:23:32,600 --> 00:23:35,040
Speaker 1: a bit as well, and a lot of with some

500
00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:37,240
Speaker 1: of these smaller teams is once they get behind, I mean,

501
00:23:37,280 --> 00:23:39,600
Speaker 1: they're just going to continue to attack, attack and attack.

502
00:23:39,840 --> 00:23:42,560
Speaker 1: And if they have talented strakers like this, who knows,

503
00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:44,560
Speaker 1: you might be able to bag a few goals and

504
00:23:46,480 --> 00:23:49,440
Speaker 1: score four or five at the group stage. So those

505
00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:53,800
Speaker 1: are our favorite golden boot bets. Let's close things out here, Anthony,

506
00:23:54,560 --> 00:23:57,760
Speaker 1: your favorite bet from these first round of group stage matches.

507
00:23:59,680 --> 00:24:01,680
Speaker 2: Yes, so I'm gonna go with Portugal plus one and

508
00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:04,280
Speaker 2: a half minus one fifty against the Netherlands. Laying a

509
00:24:04,320 --> 00:24:05,879
Speaker 2: little bit of juice here, but really don't think that

510
00:24:05,920 --> 00:24:07,879
Speaker 2: there's that big of a gap between these two teams.

511
00:24:08,240 --> 00:24:10,920
Speaker 2: I've talked about this coming into the tournament, why I

512
00:24:11,080 --> 00:24:14,440
Speaker 2: was kind of a believer in Portugal and why I'm

513
00:24:14,480 --> 00:24:16,040
Speaker 2: a little bit of a doubter in the Dutch. And

514
00:24:16,040 --> 00:24:17,440
Speaker 2: I think there's a little bit of a you know,

515
00:24:17,720 --> 00:24:22,600
Speaker 2: overrated versus underrated matchup in the first round here. The Netherlands,

516
00:24:23,560 --> 00:24:28,159
Speaker 2: like the attacking firepower even without Medim is solid, but

517
00:24:28,760 --> 00:24:30,600
Speaker 2: because they have to commit more numbers forward, they can't

518
00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:32,920
Speaker 2: just rely on her. That does leave them more vulnerable

519
00:24:33,040 --> 00:24:35,840
Speaker 2: in defense, and you've seen some up and down results

520
00:24:35,840 --> 00:24:38,240
Speaker 2: as a result of that, and I really don't think

521
00:24:38,240 --> 00:24:40,159
Speaker 2: there's a huge gap between these two teams that you know,

522
00:24:40,240 --> 00:24:43,399
Speaker 2: minus one and a half is suggesting, so over the

523
00:24:43,440 --> 00:24:45,320
Speaker 2: course of it, you know, I'm going to go with them.

524
00:24:45,520 --> 00:24:47,720
Speaker 2: This is the Dutch team that has lost to Austria

525
00:24:47,760 --> 00:24:51,000
Speaker 2: and qualifying, drew the Czech Republic away, and lost to

526
00:24:51,080 --> 00:24:53,879
Speaker 2: Germany at home, so they haven't been infallible, and I

527
00:24:53,960 --> 00:24:57,440
Speaker 2: think that Portugal, given their form and their flare, could

528
00:24:57,480 --> 00:24:58,000
Speaker 2: make this a game.

529
00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:02,080
Speaker 1: With you. I've also bet Portugal plus four and a

530
00:25:02,080 --> 00:25:04,680
Speaker 1: half at minus one fifty in my favorite bet. I

531
00:25:04,800 --> 00:25:06,840
Speaker 1: texted you last night when I saw it because I

532
00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:09,480
Speaker 1: was shocked when I saw this line. But it's going

533
00:25:09,520 --> 00:25:11,560
Speaker 1: to be Columbia South Korea over two and a half

534
00:25:11,600 --> 00:25:14,280
Speaker 1: goals at plus one twenty. I mean, Colombia is the

535
00:25:14,320 --> 00:25:17,159
Speaker 1: most aggressive team in this entire tournament. They play this

536
00:25:17,320 --> 00:25:20,600
Speaker 1: haywire style where it's just a bunch of risky passes

537
00:25:20,720 --> 00:25:23,240
Speaker 1: up to the final third. They send so many women

538
00:25:23,359 --> 00:25:25,400
Speaker 1: forward trying to compress that back line, and then when

539
00:25:25,400 --> 00:25:28,280
Speaker 1: they're out of possession, they just do this chaotic pressing

540
00:25:28,359 --> 00:25:30,920
Speaker 1: that usually lacks a lot of structures. So they have

541
00:25:31,119 --> 00:25:34,920
Speaker 1: these incredibly high scoring type matches. Now they're going to

542
00:25:34,960 --> 00:25:36,680
Speaker 1: face the South Korean team that's very similar to the

543
00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:39,879
Speaker 1: Japanese team where they are you know, they can be

544
00:25:40,080 --> 00:25:42,920
Speaker 1: a good possession dominant side, but they're also very capable

545
00:25:43,119 --> 00:25:45,280
Speaker 1: of sitting back and setting pressing traps and then looking

546
00:25:45,320 --> 00:25:47,119
Speaker 1: to hit teams on the counter. So if you want

547
00:25:47,160 --> 00:25:49,679
Speaker 1: a match that's going to be end to end style

548
00:25:49,840 --> 00:25:52,720
Speaker 1: for the entire ninety minutes, any match with Colombia is

549
00:25:52,760 --> 00:25:55,520
Speaker 1: going to be. This entire tournament over two and a

550
00:25:55,520 --> 00:25:57,440
Speaker 1: half at plus one twenty. When you look around a

551
00:25:57,480 --> 00:25:59,679
Speaker 1: lot of these other matches that are the totals are

552
00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:01,720
Speaker 1: being three to three and a half, some even four.

553
00:26:02,400 --> 00:26:05,080
Speaker 1: I think it's insane that this total is this low

554
00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:08,200
Speaker 1: for how aggressive of a style Colombia is going to play,

555
00:26:08,240 --> 00:26:10,920
Speaker 1: and especially being the first match of the group stage.

556
00:26:10,920 --> 00:26:13,280
Speaker 1: You know each team is going to play Germany in

557
00:26:13,359 --> 00:26:15,959
Speaker 1: this group and they're probably gonna lose. These matches are very,

558
00:26:16,040 --> 00:26:18,000
Speaker 1: very crucial to get all three points if you're gonna

559
00:26:18,000 --> 00:26:20,119
Speaker 1: get second place in this group. So over two and

560
00:26:20,160 --> 00:26:22,720
Speaker 1: a half plus one twenty in Colombia and South Korea,

561
00:26:22,800 --> 00:26:26,440
Speaker 1: I believe it's the final match of the first round

562
00:26:26,480 --> 00:26:29,320
Speaker 1: of group stage matches. But I mean Colombia is just

563
00:26:29,440 --> 00:26:32,120
Speaker 1: they're very you know, they're very exciting team to watch

564
00:26:32,280 --> 00:26:34,720
Speaker 1: because of how haywire and chaotic it is. But I

565
00:26:34,760 --> 00:26:37,160
Speaker 1: mean they send like when they actually get the ball

566
00:26:37,160 --> 00:26:39,359
Speaker 1: into the final third, they're sending their defensive midfielders for

567
00:26:39,560 --> 00:26:41,480
Speaker 1: then they are just making so many runs in the box,

568
00:26:41,560 --> 00:26:43,840
Speaker 1: so it just leads them so exposed in the back

569
00:26:43,920 --> 00:26:45,520
Speaker 1: line for a team like South Korea that can really

570
00:26:45,520 --> 00:26:47,680
Speaker 1: punish them. So Columbia South Korea over two and a

571
00:26:47,720 --> 00:26:49,840
Speaker 1: half at plus one twenty is gonna be my favorite bet.

572
00:26:50,760 --> 00:26:53,680
Speaker 2: All right, that'll do talked about her, but Maira Ramirez,

573
00:26:53,840 --> 00:26:56,160
Speaker 2: one of the most exciting attacking players in this whole

574
00:26:56,200 --> 00:26:59,000
Speaker 2: tournament playing for Columbia pretty much will be the focal

575
00:26:59,040 --> 00:27:02,440
Speaker 2: point of their attack and somebody that can certainly cause

576
00:27:02,520 --> 00:27:05,280
Speaker 2: problems for even the best defenses, even the Germans in

577
00:27:05,400 --> 00:27:08,360
Speaker 2: that group, and will be a threat for every team

578
00:27:08,400 --> 00:27:09,200
Speaker 2: that they play against.

579
00:27:10,520 --> 00:27:13,200
Speaker 1: That's without I mean, fourteen goals and eleven sists for

580
00:27:13,320 --> 00:27:17,080
Speaker 1: Lavonte in Spain this season, incredible output from her. So yes,

581
00:27:17,400 --> 00:27:19,480
Speaker 1: I agree that Columbia is just going to be a

582
00:27:19,560 --> 00:27:22,360
Speaker 1: very very fun team to watch, all right. That I'll

583
00:27:22,359 --> 00:27:24,160
Speaker 1: do it for this edition of Wonder Goal Live. Thank

584
00:27:24,200 --> 00:27:27,320
Speaker 1: you all for tuning in. The World Cup kicks off Thursday,

585
00:27:28,000 --> 00:27:30,639
Speaker 1: July twentieth, and we wish you all good luck with

586
00:27:30,720 --> 00:27:32,200
Speaker 1: your wagers and we'll see you next time.

587
00:27:33,840 --> 00:27:49,720
Speaker 2: The Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you

588
00:27:50,000 --> 00:27:52,760
Speaker 2: or someone you care about has a gambling problem, help

589
00:27:52,840 --> 00:27:55,520
Speaker 2: is available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred

590
00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:56,000
Speaker 2: gambler