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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcas All.

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Speaker 2: Right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Ready in the court, ten seconds remaining, so it just

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Speaker 1: goes show under the basket, under the basket, it's the

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Speaker 1: crew for the wind God.

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Speaker 2: A miracle.

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Speaker 1: It's water hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by DraftKings.

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Speaker 2: I am your host for this Monday morning episode, Jim Root,

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Speaker 2: joined by the rest of the Three Man Weave crew,

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Speaker 2: Ki McEwan and Matt Cox. We are back for another

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Speaker 2: season of college hoops here on the BBOC feed. Return

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Speaker 2: the page from football. That means it's time for weekly

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Speaker 2: daily almost basketball podcasts and every Monday morning we the

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Speaker 2: Three Man we will be dropping a new BBOC episode

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Speaker 2: talking all things betting in the Monday and Tuesday world

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Speaker 2: of betting college hoops. Today's episode, we're gonna talk some

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Speaker 2: key games Monday Tuesday, really only Tuesday. Monday slate is terrible,

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Speaker 2: some mid major games, some spots, some favorite favorites, some

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Speaker 2: dogs were in two really cover everything, give you some

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Speaker 2: early takes before spreads are out, and give you maybe

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Speaker 2: takes on what the Ken Pum projected spread is. So

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Speaker 2: that's what we will lean on. But before we dive

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Speaker 2: all the way in, let's kick it too stucky For

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Speaker 2: a quick message from our sponsor, DraftKings.

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Speaker 2: There.

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Speaker 2: All right, stuck fellas, let's get into it. Let's start

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Speaker 2: with the big one on Tuesday. There really is a headliner.

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Speaker 1: Can't get drunk?

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Speaker 2: Oh, I could feel kai. We've got Louisville headed to Tennessee.

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Speaker 2: This is a return game. Last year, Tennessee kind of

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Speaker 2: whooped up on the Cardinals early in the season. Pat

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Speaker 2: Kelsey's first big game. The Balls handled their business. Might

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Speaker 2: not be the case this year, Valls have struggled against

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Speaker 2: top competition. Louisville is a fine oiled machine offensively. Looking

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Speaker 2: at a spread of minus one for the balls on

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Speaker 2: Ken Pump, Kay, what do you think?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, Jim, I think Louisville gets its revenge. I have

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Speaker 4: not been impressed with Tennessee that much. They did beat Houston,

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Speaker 4: but I watched that game and Houston could have won

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Speaker 4: pretty easily. There's cracks and it's shown through on their

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Speaker 4: three game losing streak right now. Their offense can stagnate.

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Speaker 4: It's Nate in meant, it's Jacoby Gillespie.

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Speaker 2: And not much else.

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Speaker 4: It's overreliance on two guys. They do the number one

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Speaker 4: offensive rebound rate in the country. That certainly helps cover

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Speaker 4: up things. But I just think Louisville is too explosive.

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Speaker 4: I think they can compete on the glass a little

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Speaker 4: bit with Tennessee, and I think they can win this one.

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Speaker 4: Number one three point or temperate in the country. There's

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Speaker 4: so much fun to watch. Top fifty three point percentage,

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Speaker 4: so hard to stop, even the Tennessee's great defense. Matthew,

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Speaker 4: give me the Louisville Cardinals.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Aleen, Louisville Pack, Helsey with a charged up call

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Speaker 1: to action to get fans out to that Memphis game.

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Speaker 1: I feel like they were you know, they put all

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Speaker 1: chips into that performance. I'm not saying this is a

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Speaker 1: letdown spot for Louisville, but you know, next to a

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Speaker 1: Tennessee team to gym off three straight losses, I do

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Speaker 1: feel like you're maybe going to get a better spot

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Speaker 1: for Tennessee if you're into that. But everything else, to me,

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Speaker 1: I just feel like I like this legal team more

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Speaker 1: like the way they're playing. And I kind of was

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Speaker 1: I should have stuck to my preseason guns with Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: I was a little bit down on them. I think

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Speaker 1: they just had a really favorable schedule, got Houston at

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Speaker 1: a good time, and then I think now what we've

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Speaker 1: seen is more really who they are, really good, but

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Speaker 1: more flawed than what we're used to seeing with Rick

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Speaker 1: Barton's teams.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, they and Tennessee's off ten days of rest, so

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Speaker 2: perhaps the spot does shift more towards the balls like

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Speaker 2: trust rest Rust. Barnes has been running them through the

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Speaker 2: gauntlet after the double digit loss in Nashville to Illinois,

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Speaker 2: But yeah, the matchup wise, I just I prefer what

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Speaker 2: Louisville has going right now. They've got a lot more mojo.

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Speaker 2: They the three point shooters they flood the court with

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Speaker 2: through thundering down the lane is like the dive man

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Speaker 2: the rollman in pick and rolls. They're just really hard

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Speaker 2: to guard. And Tennessee's got some quality defenders, but Kate

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Speaker 2: Phillips is now out for the year. That lessens some

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Speaker 2: of the front court versatility. And as Kai mentioned, I

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Speaker 2: don't know how they score if it's not Gillespie or

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Speaker 2: a meant. They haven't figured out the third banana. It's

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Speaker 2: kind of jal and carry. I don't think that's a

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Speaker 2: good thing if he's your third scorer. Okpara hasn't come along.

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Speaker 2: They don't have a two guard that can actually get buckets.

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Speaker 2: So I am also leaning towards Louisville in the face

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Speaker 2: of the spot, but it's not going to be a

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Speaker 2: bet for me just because I probably won't be able

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Speaker 2: to get there on the number. With Tennessee at home

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Speaker 2: with the rest, it does kind of shape up well

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Speaker 2: for the balls there. The next game on Tuesday that

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Speaker 2: we're going to discuss, Florida State headed to Dayton. I

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Speaker 2: don't know what Florida State has really earned being in

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Speaker 2: this section, Matthew. They have struggled against power competition, against

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Speaker 2: really any quality competition. They slipped outside the Ken pund

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Speaker 2: top one hundred just give one hundred and three d

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Speaker 2: u mass on a neutral floor, They've lost four straight,

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Speaker 2: matt Can you make any case for the Knowles here?

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Speaker 2: Another high variance type team that takes a ton of threes,

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Speaker 2: top five and three point tenth rate taking on Dayton,

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Speaker 2: who's a little steadier this year, and though they have

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Speaker 2: a couple losses in tough games, they have also been

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Speaker 2: competitive against Big East teams.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the only concern here is Dayton. You know, they

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Speaker 1: only turned it over nine times against Virginia, a team

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Speaker 1: that presses, and coming into that game, Dayton had sort

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Speaker 1: of struggled with some pressure this year. That's where Florida

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Speaker 1: State's frankly only hope is is to kind of turn

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Speaker 1: their chaos into pick six touchdowns. But man, I just

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Speaker 1: think people have exposed Florida State's defense. I think the

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Speaker 1: scalty reports kind of out on that team, and you

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Speaker 1: know those early poorer against the press, person energy. I

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Speaker 1: think I'm sort of looking at Dayton's ball Hailers. I'm like,

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Speaker 1: I trust these guys more than what the data showed.

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Speaker 1: And again it's Virginia. They collapse, not because of that,

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Speaker 1: just for other reasons. Uh, that won't come to fruition

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Speaker 1: in this matchup. I like Dayton quite a bit of here,

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Speaker 1: kay minus fourteen per Mark Torvik Q one Q two

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Speaker 1: games only only fourteen wow one of the filter games.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, and again the samples I hate using that

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Speaker 1: for in December. That's more relevant I think in February.

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Speaker 1: But just noting to kind of crystallize him's point there.

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Speaker 1: What is Foresta really done in these big games lately?

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Speaker 2: Nothing?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, They've been really bad and I wish I kept

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Speaker 4: them down after preseason rating. I had them pretty down

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Speaker 4: and then I got enamored with the Knoles after that

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Speaker 4: close for loss. They tricked me. They tricked me like

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Speaker 4: Woodson tricked Kenny Payne. This defense is horrible and I

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Speaker 4: am still believer in Dayton, especially their defense.

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Speaker 2: Their defense actually good.

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Speaker 4: A bit of a pace battle of Dayton is playing

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Speaker 4: a little more fast this season that they're willing to

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Speaker 4: run more and actually that could play in their favor right.

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Speaker 4: More possessions forst that you know is going to play

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Speaker 4: a hectic pace that's going to help us get over

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Speaker 4: the number. Possibly Jim spread fields a touch high for

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Speaker 4: I don't love laying almost ten with Dayton in really

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Speaker 4: any game, especially with the Florida State team that Hey,

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Speaker 4: yes they've been bad, but they have some firepower offense,

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Speaker 4: the Robert Craze really good, So it's going to be

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Speaker 4: a stay away from me.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I wouldn't hate. Like, if you're going to back

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Speaker 2: Florida State, it's probably high variants. I wouldn't mind a

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Speaker 2: little money line dabble because the amount of three is

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Speaker 2: they're going to take. If they're hot, maybe they got

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Speaker 2: a chance to actually win. But I cannot envision them

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Speaker 2: going into ud Arena Kai, a place we went and

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Speaker 2: really enjoyed, fantastic, fantastic atmosphere to put one more bow

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Speaker 2: on the Florida State awful defense point. In their last

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Speaker 2: four games they played Texas A and M Georgia, Houston

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Speaker 2: and UMass. They have surrendered one point two two, one

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Speaker 2: point three to two, one point one two and one

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Speaker 2: point twenty five points for possession. Like teams are smoking them.

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Speaker 2: They have no size. Their starting center is a six

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Speaker 2: to eight D two transfer. Sometimes it's Chauncey Wagans who

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Speaker 2: played the three at Clemson. They just don't have a

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Speaker 2: lot of physical intimidation and it becomes are the threes

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Speaker 2: going in or not? And they don't get enough stops

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Speaker 2: to sometimes keep pay. So yeah, maybe high variants, moneyline dog,

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Speaker 2: but I definitely lean towards Dayton just kind of methodically

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Speaker 2: picking them apart, and Dan's got in a firepower to

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Speaker 2: get it done. Let's go big East, Matthew. There are

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Speaker 2: a couple big East games on Tuesday, but we're gonna

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Speaker 2: ignore De Paul getting smoked at Saint John's and talk

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Speaker 2: Butler headed to Yukon. Yukon is maybe not quite the

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Speaker 2: fully formed non conference juggernaut that we've seen with Dan

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Speaker 2: Hurley in the past, but this team is really really

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Speaker 2: good and they're getting better. Terrorist Reid's getting healthier, Bayln

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Speaker 2: Mullins is getting integrated into the system. Obviously, they didn't

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Speaker 2: blow out Texas, matt but with Butler a high scoring

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Speaker 2: team coming to town, what do you think of this spread?

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Speaker 2: Thirteen at Kenpom does feel a hair high.

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Speaker 1: For me, Matthias, it does. I kind of think it's

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Speaker 1: going to be close to that, though, I don't know

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Speaker 1: if the DOUBLET providence win for Butler. I'm not sure

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Speaker 1: if that makes this a tough spot. It's pretty tight

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Speaker 1: turnaround though it's only two days off to go to

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Speaker 1: the East Coast. I think this Butler team message Jalen Jackson,

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Speaker 1: I was sort of skeptical that I thought that'd be

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Speaker 1: okay without him. But Butler had point guard issues last year.

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Speaker 1: I worry that those will kind of fester against bigger

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Speaker 1: competition this year. So that's my concern. And everyone likes

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Speaker 1: stink Robinson Ky your boy stink boys, but I think

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Speaker 1: you've got a long way to go and against those

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Speaker 1: point of attack defenders that Yukon can throw at you,

200
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Speaker 1: and I'd be a little worried. I feel like this

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Speaker 1: could be sort of a danger zone second half situation

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Speaker 1: for the Bulldogs been pressed with Butler. They are building

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Speaker 1: a resume, so I hey, hat off to Thadmada. Yukon's

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Speaker 1: just so legit. They're a legit top five team. They

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Speaker 1: scare me.

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Speaker 4: I think Butler's only hope and I think they can

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Speaker 4: take advantage of this is getting read in foul trouble

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Speaker 4: and Yukon bigs and foul trouble.

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Speaker 2: They really do attack the basket.

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Speaker 4: They get to the line frequently, and that might be

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Speaker 4: Yukon's only quote unquote weakness right now. I agree that

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Speaker 4: spread feels a little high, Jim, but I do not

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Speaker 4: like the quick turnaround after thet I wonder if they

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Speaker 4: stayed out there on the East coasts for a couple

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Speaker 4: of days or if they was the Butler grim away.

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Speaker 2: I'm sorry, I thought it was a providence.

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Speaker 1: Well, yeah, I'm still gonna pass in this game.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. No. I think the point is well made on

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Speaker 2: Butler actually being a little more competitive, but the point

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Speaker 2: guard issues definitely concern me. It's not like Yukon isn't

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Speaker 2: going to be in your grill for ninety four feet,

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Speaker 2: But like Malachi Smith is a really good on ball defender,

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Speaker 2: Demory's got a lot of length. I think they can

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Speaker 2: give Butler a little bit of problems there. And it's

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Speaker 2: just a different team team with Terris Reid on the floor,

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Speaker 2: the plus minus isn't like overwhelming for him because he

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Speaker 2: missed some blowouts like some of those like non con stuff.

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Speaker 2: But you watch and it just feels like a different team.

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Speaker 2: Like Eric Griyib is negative thirteen net rating. He's been solid,

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Speaker 2: Like I don't I think you'd be happy with what

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Speaker 2: they've gotten out of him. But it's just a better

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Speaker 2: team with Reid, So you could even make the case

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Speaker 2: they're a little underrated analytically because they have Mullins and

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Speaker 2: Reid in the fold now and they can really put

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Speaker 2: runs on you, Like I'm surprised Texas hung on and

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Speaker 2: kept that one close on Friday Night, But Yukon can

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Speaker 2: smoke you if they really get going, all right. The

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Speaker 2: last one that I opted to give big game status

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Speaker 2: to is a rivalry in South Carolina Kai South Carolina.

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Speaker 2: The game Cocks just got some big football news on

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Speaker 2: our sellers. He's back. Get excited, but we're talking to hoops.

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Speaker 2: They're headed to Clemson to take on the Orange Tigers,

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Speaker 2: who had a little bit of a scare this weekend,

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Speaker 2: and by that I mean barely beat Mercer, which was

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Speaker 2: surprising to me. Mercer was winning at halftime. Maybe a

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Speaker 2: tough spot for Clemson coming off the BYU heartbreak. Look

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Speaker 2: ahead to this game with arrival, Are you discounting that

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Speaker 2: performance because of that Kai? Or you maybe going to

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Speaker 2: ride with the Game Cocks on the road who are

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Speaker 2: getting eleven points per Kenton.

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Speaker 4: I'm still not really sure what Clemson is. I don't

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Speaker 4: really love them as big faith, I know that much.

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Speaker 4: And South Carolina has not been good, but they've competed

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Speaker 4: in all three games that they've lost this season. It

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Speaker 4: is a rivalie game. I think South Carolina is good

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Speaker 4: enough to not get blown out in this game, and man,

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Speaker 4: I lean pretty hard their way in a double digit spread.

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Speaker 1: Right, this is one where I think we got to

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Speaker 1: be I just don't think it's gonna be eleven.

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Speaker 2: To be honest.

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Speaker 1: It kind of this South Carolina team. I know they're

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Speaker 1: they're not as good as the twenty twenty four team,

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Speaker 1: but I think they have similar there's some essence that

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Speaker 1: similarities there where they're just they're gonna always be a

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Speaker 1: little bit undervalued. I think in KEMPOM because they're not

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Speaker 1: really blowing teams out, they don't win by margin. But

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Speaker 1: I think in close games against bigger teams, I think

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Speaker 1: they have the ability to compete. So you know, if

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Speaker 1: it's eight, I think that's probably more more realistic opener

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Speaker 1: I could be enticed to come into game.

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Speaker 2: Cocks.

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Speaker 1: I'm more sold on Clempson though, so I won't be

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Speaker 1: rushing the counter to fade them as a favorite. I

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Speaker 1: do think they're legit, but I also think South Carolina

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Speaker 1: is a little better than their eighty nine Kem Palm suggest.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Clemson's still I think kind of figuring out who

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Speaker 2: their best five is. Like Nick Davidson was played fourteen

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Speaker 2: minutes off the bench against Bama, then started and played

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Speaker 2: thirty two minutes as Mercer, like that front court rotation

280
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Speaker 2: with Welling and Godfree. They haven't fully figured it out,

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Speaker 2: but all the players are good, so it's not like

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Speaker 2: you know there's a bad choice with them, but I

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Speaker 2: think there's still feeling out who they are South Carolina

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Speaker 2: with Michie Johnson back Matt, you said it has shades

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Speaker 2: of the twenty twenty fourteen Well.

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Speaker 1: Little Saint players.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yes, exactly, boomeranging back after a cup of coffee

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Speaker 2: at Ohio State. His second cup of coffee at Ohio State.

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Speaker 2: I make this eight and a half at Clemson. So

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Speaker 2: if it's eleven, I would bet South Carolina. But I'm

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Speaker 2: kind of with Matt. I think it opens a little lower,

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Speaker 2: and if it doesn't, it gets bet down pretty quickly

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Speaker 2: to single digits. And I wouldn't take below ten so

294
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Speaker 2: lean towards the game Cocks. I think they can kind

295
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Speaker 2: of junk it up. It's going to be a slower game.

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Speaker 2: I don't think this will get up and down and

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Speaker 2: that should play well for the dog in arrival Rabery game.

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Speaker 2: All Right, that is the big games of the week, fellas.

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Speaker 2: Let's go to the mid major games of the week.

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Speaker 2: We'll start on one game and Monday we go to

301
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Speaker 2: the Pentagon Kai, one of my favorite venues to watch TV.

302
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Speaker 2: Wyoming taking on South Dakota State. The Jack Bunny is

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Speaker 2: typically a favorite in the Summit. You can you know

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Speaker 2: you're milea. Je mayvarry if they're the favorite this year

305
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Speaker 2: with Saint Thomas, Wyoming getting up and down the floor

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Speaker 2: a lot with old sun Dance Wicks. One of the

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Speaker 2: happiest coaches you'll ever meet. That guy is just lay

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Speaker 2: of sunshine. Yes, he is very sunny. Kayannie takes on

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00:14:23,600 --> 00:14:25,960
Speaker 2: this matchup obviously a little maybe a little bit of

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Speaker 2: home for South Dakota State. It'll be a very pro

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Speaker 2: crowd there. But what do you think?

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Speaker 4: I think the Jacks have been pretty disappointing this season.

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Speaker 4: It's very clear that Hindo is a big loss for them,

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Speaker 4: losing their coach. Wyoming quietly top one hundred. They have

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Speaker 4: a home loss to Sammy Houston. I'm not sure I'm

316
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Speaker 4: buying them necessarily as the top one hundred team, but

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Speaker 4: I do like them in this game. The jump shooting

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Speaker 4: Jacks aren't taking advantage of Wyoming's absurd foul rate. It's

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Speaker 4: like absurd. They're the third or fourth highest valling team

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Speaker 4: in the country, and I like the postcards better. So yeah,

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Speaker 4: I lean pretty hard to Wyoming in this match at

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Speaker 4: Matthew Yeah, I was very us to Wyoming against Texas Tech.

323
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Speaker 4: I think they have an underrated talent crop, especially in

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Speaker 4: the back court. Wicks would all went on guards this season,

325
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Speaker 4: so from matchup perspective, I think they'll have some issues

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Speaker 4: against some teams. I don't think South Dakota State is

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Speaker 4: one of those. It's funny, I feel like South Dakota

328
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Speaker 4: State missus Hendo, but Drake's been pretty bad too. It's

329
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Speaker 4: like they kind of both programs are splintering from that divorce.

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Speaker 1: I suppose no real take Jim. I'm always weary of

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Speaker 1: these altitude teams leaving the mountaintop. I went to away

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Speaker 1: from home, Wyoming has been really good, much like Colorado

333
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Speaker 1: at home against some of these other teams. So it's

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Speaker 1: this is a tricky cap for me. If the number

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Speaker 1: is like, I don't know, what do you think it's

336
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Speaker 1: gonna be, it's probably six seven.

337
00:15:41,120 --> 00:15:43,280
Speaker 2: I think it'll be around five. I think that's five.

338
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Speaker 2: Kem Pom's projection is reasonable there.

339
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Speaker 1: And I think Kempom is also baking in the he

340
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Speaker 1: does the partial homes, which is probably prudent in this case.

341
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Speaker 2: Would you guys give any extra for home to South

342
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Speaker 2: Dakota State because they've played here? On Opening Night they

343
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Speaker 2: played in the Pentagon against Intermac.

344
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Speaker 1: I think I think his fields at home court not

345
00:16:00,520 --> 00:16:02,640
Speaker 1: maybe not true, but I think it feels very homey.

346
00:16:02,760 --> 00:16:04,520
Speaker 1: A lot of the neutrals I don't buy that. I

347
00:16:04,560 --> 00:16:07,520
Speaker 1: think this one is definitely that that that take applies.

348
00:16:07,840 --> 00:16:10,000
Speaker 2: There's familiarity, the travels not bad at all.

349
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Speaker 1: So cramation of ninety nine percent of the fans there,

350
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Speaker 1: and they actually will have a pretty good crowd.

351
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Speaker 2: I assume, yeah, yeah, these Dakota fans turn up for

352
00:16:18,440 --> 00:16:21,040
Speaker 2: those games, and the Pentagon will be a pretty good atmosphere.

353
00:16:21,560 --> 00:16:23,440
Speaker 2: All that said, though, I like what you guys are

354
00:16:23,520 --> 00:16:26,040
Speaker 2: talking about with the guards. I just haven't seen it

355
00:16:26,160 --> 00:16:29,360
Speaker 2: outside of like I like Siler for South DA Coast state,

356
00:16:29,440 --> 00:16:32,720
Speaker 2: but everybody else has been not awesome, and Wyoming has

357
00:16:32,760 --> 00:16:35,680
Speaker 2: been impressive to crack the top one hundred. Shout out

358
00:16:35,720 --> 00:16:38,000
Speaker 2: Sundance Wicks. That team is like a stealth top one

359
00:16:38,080 --> 00:16:38,560
Speaker 2: hundred team.

360
00:16:38,600 --> 00:16:40,440
Speaker 4: Right now, I'm not really sure how they cracked the

361
00:16:40,480 --> 00:16:42,360
Speaker 4: top one hundred. I think it's from beating Denver in

362
00:16:42,400 --> 00:16:45,600
Speaker 4: South Dakota by a million in Portland. But yeah, rest

363
00:16:45,960 --> 00:16:48,120
Speaker 4: by four is good and that one's good too.

364
00:16:48,200 --> 00:16:49,680
Speaker 2: I'm just very confused about Wyoming.

365
00:16:49,960 --> 00:16:52,960
Speaker 1: I don't know their guards are good. Look at I

366
00:16:53,040 --> 00:16:57,800
Speaker 1: mean like I love Walker, Yeah, I mean I like

367
00:16:57,920 --> 00:16:59,280
Speaker 1: I like two of their guards a lot.

368
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Speaker 4: So I never was gonna say that South Dakota State here,

369
00:17:02,480 --> 00:17:04,720
Speaker 4: and my heart just doesn't feel that's necessary.

370
00:17:05,200 --> 00:17:08,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, Kile, we'll let you decide when the

371
00:17:08,200 --> 00:17:11,000
Speaker 2: spread actually comes out. As we're recording this on Sunday,

372
00:17:11,040 --> 00:17:14,280
Speaker 2: no lines official yet on that one, and I will

373
00:17:14,280 --> 00:17:17,359
Speaker 2: peek ahead to Tuesday and get some kin palm lines here.

374
00:17:17,800 --> 00:17:20,119
Speaker 2: The big one, Matt, that I'm pretty excited about is

375
00:17:20,200 --> 00:17:23,159
Speaker 2: you see San Diego minus one on the road at

376
00:17:23,240 --> 00:17:25,680
Speaker 2: Loyal and Merrymount. You see, San Diego is awesome and

377
00:17:25,760 --> 00:17:27,760
Speaker 2: they're fun to watch. And that is a team that

378
00:17:27,840 --> 00:17:31,480
Speaker 2: has survived the continuity higher more than South Dakota State

379
00:17:31,560 --> 00:17:34,720
Speaker 2: has on the internal promotion with Allard after Olin took

380
00:17:34,760 --> 00:17:37,880
Speaker 2: the New Mexico job, they have been fantastic, Very easy

381
00:17:37,920 --> 00:17:39,760
Speaker 2: to argue they're the best team in the Big West

382
00:17:39,880 --> 00:17:43,000
Speaker 2: right now, just based on results. Anything for you in

383
00:17:43,080 --> 00:17:44,679
Speaker 2: this game, and you've kind of been an LMU guy,

384
00:17:44,800 --> 00:17:47,840
Speaker 2: Stan Johnson believer this season. Pretty talented roster there.

385
00:17:48,320 --> 00:17:51,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, they started a taper off once once v Day

386
00:17:51,680 --> 00:17:54,520
Speaker 1: got hurt. I think they've sort of such a good start.

387
00:17:55,080 --> 00:17:58,040
Speaker 1: But two weeks off, I haven't checked. I think he's

388
00:17:58,080 --> 00:18:00,560
Speaker 1: done for the year. Correct, I believe out for the year.

389
00:18:00,560 --> 00:18:03,000
Speaker 1: I need to double life, but I think he's just

390
00:18:03,359 --> 00:18:05,479
Speaker 1: comes back game to game. Yeah, I'll double check as

391
00:18:05,480 --> 00:18:07,760
Speaker 1: you speak. I have it in my notes somewhere. I'm

392
00:18:07,760 --> 00:18:09,720
Speaker 1: gonna control a fine while I fill time here. But

393
00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:13,120
Speaker 1: I think with him healthy, I like l you quite

394
00:18:13,119 --> 00:18:14,520
Speaker 1: a bit here. Maybe two weeks off is too much

395
00:18:14,560 --> 00:18:17,199
Speaker 1: time here, but they got some size. I think they

396
00:18:17,200 --> 00:18:19,680
Speaker 1: actually can guard people. In my guy mj Amy's just

397
00:18:19,720 --> 00:18:22,520
Speaker 1: a stud did kind of reincarnation from his awesome San

398
00:18:22,600 --> 00:18:26,480
Speaker 1: Jose state tenure. Comes down to number. As you mentioned,

399
00:18:26,560 --> 00:18:30,160
Speaker 1: Jim One, I gotta think the Lions.

400
00:18:29,840 --> 00:18:30,920
Speaker 2: Are a dog here.

401
00:18:31,000 --> 00:18:32,639
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be a home dog just based

402
00:18:32,680 --> 00:18:35,320
Speaker 1: on current form and market vibes.

403
00:18:36,240 --> 00:18:36,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know.

404
00:18:37,000 --> 00:18:38,200
Speaker 1: It's got to be a I think I need like

405
00:18:38,240 --> 00:18:41,680
Speaker 1: three or four to competently bet against the Tritons as

406
00:18:41,720 --> 00:18:42,320
Speaker 1: I call them.

407
00:18:43,080 --> 00:18:45,720
Speaker 2: V Day update out at least a few more weeks

408
00:18:45,800 --> 00:18:48,359
Speaker 2: as of November twenty third, per John Rosstein, and it

409
00:18:48,480 --> 00:18:50,720
Speaker 2: sounds like he'll probably still be out in Matt, maybe

410
00:18:50,760 --> 00:18:54,640
Speaker 2: through the new year. So yeah, no V day expected, Matt.

411
00:18:54,680 --> 00:18:57,679
Speaker 2: Can you guess how far lmu is from UC San Diego?

412
00:18:58,200 --> 00:19:01,560
Speaker 2: Oh if folks don't know this man, California Geography is

413
00:19:01,760 --> 00:19:03,199
Speaker 2: the most fun segment we do here.

414
00:19:04,200 --> 00:19:06,159
Speaker 1: All my numbers, aren't They used to have a dot

415
00:19:06,240 --> 00:19:09,400
Speaker 1: of travel mild matrix. It's not updating right now. San

416
00:19:09,440 --> 00:19:10,679
Speaker 1: Diego to La Kai.

417
00:19:12,359 --> 00:19:15,080
Speaker 2: Two hour drive. Yeah, yeah, it's about tr ar drives.

418
00:19:15,080 --> 00:19:16,520
Speaker 1: So I'm a short travel here.

419
00:19:16,600 --> 00:19:17,400
Speaker 2: I like the trientents.

420
00:19:17,880 --> 00:19:20,119
Speaker 1: I'm not a believer in elm you and especially with

421
00:19:20,160 --> 00:19:21,600
Speaker 1: that v Day and Jim's right.

422
00:19:21,880 --> 00:19:24,600
Speaker 4: You see San Diego, despite the coaching churover, despite the

423
00:19:24,680 --> 00:19:28,359
Speaker 4: roster turnover, they've hit almost a new team. They might

424
00:19:28,400 --> 00:19:30,200
Speaker 4: be the best team in the Big West. I I'm

425
00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:32,880
Speaker 4: gonna keep rolling with them. I smartly did not bet

426
00:19:32,920 --> 00:19:36,560
Speaker 4: Tulane against them on Saturday, stay away, did your number

427
00:19:36,600 --> 00:19:39,960
Speaker 4: one to mind? Absolutely no. I said I'm gonna stop

428
00:19:40,000 --> 00:19:42,200
Speaker 4: betting Tulane and I'm not gonna do this. And yeah,

429
00:19:42,240 --> 00:19:45,119
Speaker 4: they absolutely smoked them. So I would be betting. You

430
00:19:45,160 --> 00:19:46,879
Speaker 4: see San Diego if they're a one point favorite.

431
00:19:47,280 --> 00:19:49,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, They're just so fun to watch. I watched the

432
00:19:49,880 --> 00:19:53,760
Speaker 2: game against Tousan at the Disney Events invitation or whatever,

433
00:19:54,520 --> 00:19:56,280
Speaker 2: and they just like they're spread you out. They've got

434
00:19:56,320 --> 00:19:59,680
Speaker 2: big guys that can make plays. Everybody can shoot. It's

435
00:19:59,720 --> 00:20:02,919
Speaker 2: a really good and fun team. Well, coach, I think

436
00:20:02,960 --> 00:20:04,480
Speaker 2: you see San Diego wins that that would be like

437
00:20:04,720 --> 00:20:06,840
Speaker 2: a bet for me. So I will be on the

438
00:20:06,920 --> 00:20:10,280
Speaker 2: Tritons on Tuesday, Maddie. The other one to check in

439
00:20:10,400 --> 00:20:13,919
Speaker 2: on here is Miami of Ohio headed to Wright State.

440
00:20:14,680 --> 00:20:17,520
Speaker 2: One of the few remaining undefeateds, the red Hawks. They

441
00:20:17,560 --> 00:20:20,760
Speaker 2: have played by far the worst schedule in the country.

442
00:20:20,800 --> 00:20:22,800
Speaker 2: Oh wait, no, they're up to three sixty four per

443
00:20:22,920 --> 00:20:26,320
Speaker 2: ken Pom. How about that? Only Fordhamo has a worst

444
00:20:26,320 --> 00:20:29,080
Speaker 2: schedule right now. But yeah, Miami has not played a

445
00:20:29,119 --> 00:20:32,680
Speaker 2: single team inside the top two ten of ken Pom

446
00:20:32,760 --> 00:20:35,000
Speaker 2: Old Dominion an opening night their best opponents so far.

447
00:20:35,640 --> 00:20:37,840
Speaker 2: Now they go to Wright State number one forty two

448
00:20:37,880 --> 00:20:39,280
Speaker 2: and ken Palm a little bit of a step up

449
00:20:39,320 --> 00:20:42,760
Speaker 2: in class. Are you buying the RedHawks Matthew Travis Steel

450
00:20:42,800 --> 00:20:44,680
Speaker 2: and the Boys? Do they stay undefeated or do they.

451
00:20:45,240 --> 00:20:47,719
Speaker 1: L I do think they're good, right, it's I think

452
00:20:47,760 --> 00:20:49,840
Speaker 1: a few teams this year I've been sort of stubbornly like,

453
00:20:49,880 --> 00:20:51,800
Speaker 1: I know they've played nobody, but I believe they're good.

454
00:20:52,000 --> 00:20:54,640
Speaker 1: I believe Miami is in that camp. But it comes

455
00:20:54,680 --> 00:20:58,280
Speaker 1: down to numbers in price here. I think they should

456
00:20:58,280 --> 00:21:01,000
Speaker 1: be favored, But the question is about how kem Pom has.

457
00:21:01,080 --> 00:21:03,879
Speaker 1: As you mentioned one, I think Miami opens closer to

458
00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:07,639
Speaker 1: like a three point favorite Kai. I think there's a

459
00:21:07,760 --> 00:21:09,520
Speaker 1: there's a number wide coming here on Wright stay who

460
00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:11,440
Speaker 1: Just the way they play this year is a little

461
00:21:11,480 --> 00:21:14,959
Speaker 1: more uh. They actually can play defense. They've not been

462
00:21:15,000 --> 00:21:17,400
Speaker 1: super consistent offensively. They're relying on a freshman to score

463
00:21:17,600 --> 00:21:19,159
Speaker 1: in Cooper to create. But I do think they have

464
00:21:19,240 --> 00:21:22,159
Speaker 1: a good backbone defensively, makes me trust them and in

465
00:21:22,280 --> 00:21:25,520
Speaker 1: the Nutter Center can get absolutely balkers as I'm sure

466
00:21:25,720 --> 00:21:27,360
Speaker 1: I probably won't be. Let's be honest for this game,

467
00:21:27,400 --> 00:21:28,520
Speaker 1: but I do lean their way.

468
00:21:28,760 --> 00:21:28,879
Speaker 2: Kai.

469
00:21:28,960 --> 00:21:30,560
Speaker 1: I think it's to like four or five, but I

470
00:21:30,600 --> 00:21:32,399
Speaker 1: don't think the market will lower that for me.

471
00:21:32,680 --> 00:21:34,600
Speaker 4: Your nuts if you think you can just walk into

472
00:21:34,640 --> 00:21:36,760
Speaker 4: a Nutter Center and get away with a win, Your nuts,

473
00:21:37,040 --> 00:21:41,040
Speaker 4: house of hordes. Yeah, Miami finally plays a competent team.

474
00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:43,600
Speaker 4: I do think Right State is a great job defending

475
00:21:43,680 --> 00:21:45,760
Speaker 4: the arc, and I think that's a key against Miami.

476
00:21:46,000 --> 00:21:48,240
Speaker 4: It's also very difficult, and we kind of allude to

477
00:21:48,359 --> 00:21:50,720
Speaker 4: with the schedule, it's difficult to know how good Miami

478
00:21:50,880 --> 00:21:53,640
Speaker 4: is because you can look at all your the handlings

479
00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:55,760
Speaker 4: you want, but they haven't played anybody, so it's like, Okay,

480
00:21:55,920 --> 00:21:59,040
Speaker 4: they're kind of beating up on nobody's right now. They're

481
00:21:59,040 --> 00:22:01,080
Speaker 4: supposed to be good. They brought everybody back from last year.

482
00:22:01,520 --> 00:22:05,440
Speaker 4: I like rights ball handlers combating Miami's pressure. I have

483
00:22:05,560 --> 00:22:08,280
Speaker 4: a slightly inhere to write State Jim. I hope that's

484
00:22:08,359 --> 00:22:11,520
Speaker 4: right and it you know, goes three four, I don't

485
00:22:11,520 --> 00:22:11,960
Speaker 4: know if it will.

486
00:22:12,040 --> 00:22:15,040
Speaker 2: To be honest, yeah I would. I would take right

487
00:22:15,080 --> 00:22:17,040
Speaker 2: state if you get a full possession, if you get

488
00:22:17,080 --> 00:22:19,440
Speaker 2: the three points, I would definitely take them. Yeah, to

489
00:22:19,720 --> 00:22:21,760
Speaker 2: your point, Kai, Miami, Ohio is ten and oh, and

490
00:22:21,840 --> 00:22:24,280
Speaker 2: they've only moved up eight spots and kept them. It's

491
00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:27,000
Speaker 2: not like they're it's blowing away expectations. Yeah, they beat

492
00:22:27,080 --> 00:22:31,000
Speaker 2: Mercy Hurst at home by five, they beat Ashville and

493
00:22:31,119 --> 00:22:33,520
Speaker 2: ot like they haven't been like overly convincing. I know

494
00:22:33,560 --> 00:22:34,960
Speaker 2: they're up big in the Ashville game and it was

495
00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:37,760
Speaker 2: kind of like a crazy comeback, but it's still just

496
00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:40,879
Speaker 2: like they haven't been blowing away what you'd expect from them.

497
00:22:40,920 --> 00:22:42,600
Speaker 2: It's just kind of been sneaking by getting the ten

498
00:22:42,680 --> 00:22:45,800
Speaker 2: and oh. I would lean towards the right state knocking

499
00:22:45,880 --> 00:22:48,040
Speaker 2: them off and getting the l and as con mentioned,

500
00:22:48,040 --> 00:22:50,159
Speaker 2: if it gets the three, I'll be on the raiders.

501
00:22:51,040 --> 00:23:02,840
Speaker 2: Let's go to live dogs. And we don't have a

502
00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:06,960
Speaker 2: ton of great candidates. I've got a few like spots

503
00:23:07,040 --> 00:23:09,000
Speaker 2: that I want to highlight later in the spots section.

504
00:23:09,200 --> 00:23:11,080
Speaker 2: But are there any that have jumped out to you

505
00:23:11,280 --> 00:23:13,440
Speaker 2: that you as Maddy money lines. I'll give you the

506
00:23:13,840 --> 00:23:16,879
Speaker 2: true nickname as you deserve anything jumping out of you

507
00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:18,719
Speaker 2: for live dogs. I'm on Deer Tuesdays.

508
00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:21,240
Speaker 1: Honestly, the only one that really got me was the

509
00:23:21,640 --> 00:23:23,119
Speaker 1: right Stay one. But then I look at some of

510
00:23:23,160 --> 00:23:24,840
Speaker 1: the pricing and we kind of talked about that one

511
00:23:24,880 --> 00:23:27,639
Speaker 1: that there's not a lot of good options. Yeah, you

512
00:23:27,680 --> 00:23:29,439
Speaker 1: looked at the idea. You had some Southland ones right

513
00:23:29,560 --> 00:23:31,440
Speaker 1: down here. I kind of glossed over those Francys. But

514
00:23:31,480 --> 00:23:34,480
Speaker 1: the Southland home courts have been worth you know, they've

515
00:23:34,520 --> 00:23:36,840
Speaker 1: been good, right, I think there's been that's that's a

516
00:23:36,880 --> 00:23:40,360
Speaker 1: tricky travels no joke in that league, and we've seen

517
00:23:40,400 --> 00:23:42,280
Speaker 1: some really good top top one hundred teams go on

518
00:23:42,320 --> 00:23:45,000
Speaker 1: the road and lose to you know, just helter skelter

519
00:23:45,119 --> 00:23:45,720
Speaker 1: random teams.

520
00:23:45,920 --> 00:23:49,040
Speaker 4: So I got a couple just like, hey, if you

521
00:23:49,080 --> 00:23:51,359
Speaker 4: want to swing for the fences, I wrote down in

522
00:23:51,400 --> 00:23:54,080
Speaker 4: carnate word, and carnate word is not a bad team.

523
00:23:54,160 --> 00:23:56,720
Speaker 4: They're playing TCU. TC has gotten knocked off by New

524
00:23:56,800 --> 00:23:59,120
Speaker 4: Orleans already. It's gonna be in thesane price because they're

525
00:23:59,160 --> 00:24:01,439
Speaker 4: going to be like a seven taighteen point dog. They

526
00:24:01,520 --> 00:24:04,440
Speaker 4: beat McNeice in Carnia where they scared Indiana. It's a

527
00:24:04,520 --> 00:24:07,480
Speaker 4: dangerous team, so I hey, if you want to truly

528
00:24:07,520 --> 00:24:10,639
Speaker 4: gamble and put some shekels on something, I don't think

529
00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:13,480
Speaker 4: it's a horrible play. I don't think LU jim is

530
00:24:13,520 --> 00:24:16,680
Speaker 4: a bad play. Againssissippi State without Josh Hubbard. I know

531
00:24:16,760 --> 00:24:19,080
Speaker 4: they beat Utah, but LU has a lot of talent,

532
00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:21,600
Speaker 4: and then you're not gonna get a great price. But heck,

533
00:24:21,680 --> 00:24:25,240
Speaker 4: Maris can beat Georgia Tech. They lost by FORDA Xavier

534
00:24:25,320 --> 00:24:26,919
Speaker 4: and Georgia Tech is horrible.

535
00:24:27,600 --> 00:24:30,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, Georgia Tech almost lost at home to Maryland Eastern Shore.

536
00:24:30,440 --> 00:24:34,000
Speaker 2: Like they can lose to anybody, and Maris does well

537
00:24:34,040 --> 00:24:36,280
Speaker 2: coach enough sol the game down kind of shorten it,

538
00:24:36,760 --> 00:24:39,320
Speaker 2: increase variance as a dog. I like that one. I

539
00:24:39,440 --> 00:24:42,359
Speaker 2: also love the LU call out because Mississippi State is

540
00:24:42,400 --> 00:24:44,920
Speaker 2: another power conference team that can lose to anybody. They've

541
00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:48,720
Speaker 2: been really struggling without Hubbard there, Like I just don't

542
00:24:48,800 --> 00:24:52,640
Speaker 2: know what they are offensively, like he was their identity

543
00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:55,680
Speaker 2: and LU has been feisty. They've been really well traveled

544
00:24:55,760 --> 00:24:57,679
Speaker 2: this year, like all over the place. They went out

545
00:24:57,720 --> 00:25:00,880
Speaker 2: to Air Force, they played at IU Indy, played at Illinois,

546
00:25:01,720 --> 00:25:03,920
Speaker 2: played down or played up at Lehigh, a couple of

547
00:25:03,960 --> 00:25:06,920
Speaker 2: teams in the Northeast there, but it's a talented team

548
00:25:07,040 --> 00:25:10,920
Speaker 2: that just plays all downhill. They don't have Isaam Miranda.

549
00:25:11,080 --> 00:25:15,240
Speaker 2: He's like the big former top fifty recruit who was

550
00:25:15,280 --> 00:25:17,920
Speaker 2: supposed to be an impact guy, but he's just like

551
00:25:18,080 --> 00:25:19,840
Speaker 2: not even in the rotation anymore. He seems like a

552
00:25:19,920 --> 00:25:22,760
Speaker 2: true team cancer. So maybe that's even better. But they

553
00:25:22,800 --> 00:25:24,640
Speaker 2: might have the best player on the floor in Malki Davis.

554
00:25:24,680 --> 00:25:27,320
Speaker 2: If Hubbard's not playing, he's arguably the best player on

555
00:25:27,359 --> 00:25:29,920
Speaker 2: the floor. So so good that's that's not bad for

556
00:25:30,320 --> 00:25:33,119
Speaker 2: a team that's going to be getting like twelve points.

557
00:25:33,200 --> 00:25:34,840
Speaker 2: It's fifteen at ken Palm, but I'm sure it will

558
00:25:34,840 --> 00:25:37,440
Speaker 2: be lower than that because of the Hubbard factor. But

559
00:25:37,640 --> 00:25:38,240
Speaker 2: I don't mind that.

560
00:25:38,359 --> 00:25:41,960
Speaker 1: Taking a swing there, I wrote down the only Houston Christian.

561
00:25:43,080 --> 00:25:45,880
Speaker 1: It was Monday night, though, I guess against McNeice it's

562
00:25:46,600 --> 00:25:48,560
Speaker 1: I think Craig Doties are really good. You actually I

563
00:25:48,560 --> 00:25:50,000
Speaker 1: got a huge extent. I think he's really good coach.

564
00:25:50,040 --> 00:25:52,560
Speaker 1: I think they're tricky, tough to play against. Chematically, one

565
00:25:52,560 --> 00:25:54,639
Speaker 1: of those sort of south Land Land mines that you

566
00:25:54,680 --> 00:25:57,080
Speaker 1: don't want to step on if you're a McNeice er. Well,

567
00:25:57,119 --> 00:26:00,560
Speaker 1: I guess really McNeice is the only true, like largish

568
00:26:00,680 --> 00:26:03,240
Speaker 1: type contender from that conference, and that even that's probably

569
00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:05,200
Speaker 1: a stretch. At this point, they're.

570
00:26:05,040 --> 00:26:08,640
Speaker 2: Done, they're lost to incarnate. Yeah, Matt, is there any

571
00:26:08,920 --> 00:26:11,760
Speaker 2: part of you that has would have interest in high

572
00:26:11,840 --> 00:26:16,760
Speaker 2: variants pressure f IU against Miami? Miami Florida, who's been

573
00:26:16,880 --> 00:26:20,280
Speaker 2: pretty good, but they've blown out a lot of their

574
00:26:20,320 --> 00:26:22,320
Speaker 2: bad competition. That's what makes me hesitate.

575
00:26:22,600 --> 00:26:26,080
Speaker 1: I just think Miami, Yeah, the way they're built defensively, Yeah,

576
00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:29,160
Speaker 1: I just I though this is actually an FIU team

577
00:26:29,200 --> 00:26:31,200
Speaker 1: I sort of trust more than the past few seasons,

578
00:26:31,240 --> 00:26:32,720
Speaker 1: so it's like one I would like to back in

579
00:26:32,760 --> 00:26:35,480
Speaker 1: this spot. But now against Miami, I've watched them play

580
00:26:35,520 --> 00:26:37,920
Speaker 1: a couple like good solid majors and they just look

581
00:26:38,040 --> 00:26:41,240
Speaker 1: like they look like a men versus boys thing. And defensively,

582
00:26:41,880 --> 00:26:44,760
Speaker 1: their their length is pretty stymming, both on the perimeter

583
00:26:44,800 --> 00:26:45,240
Speaker 1: and upfront.

584
00:26:45,800 --> 00:26:48,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, they haven't played a great schedule, but still twelfth

585
00:26:48,880 --> 00:26:50,760
Speaker 2: and two point percentage of defense I think tells a

586
00:26:50,840 --> 00:26:53,520
Speaker 2: story of like the size they have to day and

587
00:26:53,680 --> 00:26:56,920
Speaker 2: renew and yeah, Washington and Donaldson are two really good

588
00:26:56,920 --> 00:26:59,480
Speaker 2: perimeter defenders. And they've got some size and length on

589
00:26:59,600 --> 00:27:00,480
Speaker 2: the wing too.

590
00:27:00,720 --> 00:27:02,399
Speaker 1: And they're friend get them off the bench too, like

591
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:06,000
Speaker 1: I think they're they can extend quickly with their scoring

592
00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:07,360
Speaker 1: punch with the rookies.

593
00:27:07,800 --> 00:27:11,639
Speaker 2: Yeah, they've had some injuries. Dante Allen Marcus Allen unrelated,

594
00:27:12,040 --> 00:27:15,840
Speaker 2: I have missed the last three games, but they maybe

595
00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:17,520
Speaker 2: that means they played the starters a lot more and

596
00:27:17,960 --> 00:27:20,840
Speaker 2: can just kind of roll over. So yeah, okay, I

597
00:27:20,880 --> 00:27:24,040
Speaker 2: didn't talk myself in the FIU. I tried, all right, fellas,

598
00:27:24,119 --> 00:27:27,920
Speaker 2: let's go to Our next segment is the Favorite Favorites.

599
00:27:28,080 --> 00:27:32,680
Speaker 2: Our Favorite Favorites presented by Draft Kings Kai. Who is

600
00:27:32,760 --> 00:27:35,200
Speaker 2: your favorite favorite as you look at the board for

601
00:27:35,320 --> 00:27:36,560
Speaker 2: Monday and Tuesday?

602
00:27:36,800 --> 00:27:38,760
Speaker 4: Well, Jim I picked out too, If that's okay, if

603
00:27:38,800 --> 00:27:41,199
Speaker 4: you don't mind, and they share two of them, how

604
00:27:41,280 --> 00:27:42,480
Speaker 4: dare you share a thread?

605
00:27:42,800 --> 00:27:43,879
Speaker 1: A thread of the fates?

606
00:27:43,960 --> 00:27:46,760
Speaker 2: It's you and c and Duke of course. I don't

607
00:27:46,760 --> 00:27:47,760
Speaker 2: think Etsu has.

608
00:27:47,680 --> 00:27:50,280
Speaker 4: A chance against North Carolina. I think they're gonna get smashed.

609
00:27:50,760 --> 00:27:54,400
Speaker 4: They LOSTO dated by seventeen. They also Austin p Presbyterian.

610
00:27:54,920 --> 00:27:57,200
Speaker 4: Somehow they're top one to twenty and Kempum, I do

611
00:27:57,320 --> 00:27:59,240
Speaker 4: not buy it. I do not think they're that good

612
00:27:59,280 --> 00:28:02,199
Speaker 4: of a team. I think you and See absolutely bulldozes them.

613
00:28:02,680 --> 00:28:05,000
Speaker 4: And I do not think Lipscomb has a chance in

614
00:28:05,160 --> 00:28:09,080
Speaker 4: hell against Duke size edge. They're going to shut the

615
00:28:09,119 --> 00:28:12,080
Speaker 4: three point line off and that's the only way Lipscomb

616
00:28:12,080 --> 00:28:14,159
Speaker 4: can win. And by the way, Vanderbilt beat them by

617
00:28:14,200 --> 00:28:16,440
Speaker 4: forty four points. Duke is going to have their way

618
00:28:16,480 --> 00:28:19,840
Speaker 4: with Lipscomb a chew toy if I may, kai, what.

619
00:28:19,880 --> 00:28:21,800
Speaker 2: Do you think that spread will be? It is twenty

620
00:28:21,920 --> 00:28:22,960
Speaker 2: four per ken Pom.

621
00:28:23,080 --> 00:28:25,960
Speaker 4: I bet it's thirty, right, it could be thirty yeah, yeah,

622
00:28:26,080 --> 00:28:28,640
Speaker 4: ives betting up the big favorites.

623
00:28:28,720 --> 00:28:31,320
Speaker 2: Yeah yeah. Also, Matt Duke could if Duke want two,

624
00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:33,040
Speaker 2: they could win that game by forty five, right, Like

625
00:28:33,119 --> 00:28:35,400
Speaker 2: that's that's such a name your number kind of game.

626
00:28:35,520 --> 00:28:37,280
Speaker 2: Lipscomb has no athleticism.

627
00:28:37,520 --> 00:28:39,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, I just you got to have a few athletes

628
00:28:39,040 --> 00:28:41,040
Speaker 1: if you're going to have a chance against Duke, and

629
00:28:41,120 --> 00:28:43,880
Speaker 1: Lipscomb just doesn't. I think there's sort of a very

630
00:28:43,960 --> 00:28:48,040
Speaker 1: much a in their way class terrific against elites.

631
00:28:48,240 --> 00:28:48,760
Speaker 2: I don't know what.

632
00:28:49,120 --> 00:28:50,240
Speaker 1: I don't know what you're doing there.

633
00:28:50,480 --> 00:28:53,640
Speaker 2: So, yeah, Matt, any favorite favorites for you on Monday

634
00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:53,880
Speaker 2: or two?

635
00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:58,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, I had Delaware writer written down. Delaware, no one

636
00:28:58,440 --> 00:28:59,680
Speaker 1: knows what they are at this point.

637
00:28:59,800 --> 00:28:59,880
Speaker 2: Right.

638
00:29:01,000 --> 00:29:03,480
Speaker 1: They're certainly not healthy, but they with Justin Fernandez, at

639
00:29:03,560 --> 00:29:05,760
Speaker 1: least they have a pulse and a pulse that can

640
00:29:06,480 --> 00:29:09,320
Speaker 1: that can beat pretty profoundly as they beat get Of.

641
00:29:09,400 --> 00:29:12,000
Speaker 1: Then they just got smoked at home by Seasun and

642
00:29:12,080 --> 00:29:15,080
Speaker 1: what was arguably a bad spot for both teams. Now

643
00:29:15,120 --> 00:29:18,320
Speaker 1: they play Rider and Riders terrible. As Kyle will attest to,

644
00:29:18,800 --> 00:29:20,200
Speaker 1: they're really really concerned here.

645
00:29:20,280 --> 00:29:20,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, they're bad.

646
00:29:21,200 --> 00:29:23,479
Speaker 1: My only concern is that Riders actually been pretty good

647
00:29:23,480 --> 00:29:25,720
Speaker 1: against zones this season. They like almost beat Merrimack. They

648
00:29:25,800 --> 00:29:27,240
Speaker 1: play a lot of zone themselves, so it's kind of

649
00:29:27,240 --> 00:29:28,440
Speaker 1: a battle of zones. I don't know if I like

650
00:29:28,520 --> 00:29:31,800
Speaker 1: laying the favorite and what could be like a high

651
00:29:31,880 --> 00:29:35,200
Speaker 1: variance shot making game. Rather you probably rather back the

652
00:29:35,280 --> 00:29:38,040
Speaker 1: dog in that spot, but that just instinctually, I feel

653
00:29:38,040 --> 00:29:40,960
Speaker 1: like Delaware is still good and they should smoke Rider

654
00:29:41,000 --> 00:29:42,720
Speaker 1: if they play at their best, but they just you know,

655
00:29:42,760 --> 00:29:44,360
Speaker 1: they haven't this year because they haven't been healthy.

656
00:29:44,440 --> 00:29:47,840
Speaker 2: So all right, I'll sell for either, I'll pitch you

657
00:29:47,920 --> 00:29:51,280
Speaker 2: guys on to first. Saint John's I mentioned to Paul,

658
00:29:52,440 --> 00:29:55,840
Speaker 2: just struggling so far this year. I think the Johnny's

659
00:29:56,040 --> 00:29:57,960
Speaker 2: with the high temple they play at. I know they

660
00:29:58,000 --> 00:30:00,719
Speaker 2: didn't quite get over the number against Iona. I think

661
00:30:00,720 --> 00:30:02,320
Speaker 2: they were twenty seven and a half point favorites and

662
00:30:02,320 --> 00:30:05,760
Speaker 2: they won by twenty seven. But that team can really extend.

663
00:30:06,080 --> 00:30:08,800
Speaker 2: And to Paul, is hurting a little in the front court.

664
00:30:08,920 --> 00:30:11,760
Speaker 2: They don't have a fully healthy and Jay Benson Brandon

665
00:30:11,800 --> 00:30:15,640
Speaker 2: Macklin missed last game. It's just there's not a complete

666
00:30:15,680 --> 00:30:18,200
Speaker 2: picture there beyond their big three returners of gun Blocker

667
00:30:18,440 --> 00:30:21,160
Speaker 2: and Benson. Haven't been able to integrate Kale Banks that

668
00:30:21,240 --> 00:30:24,640
Speaker 2: well after he racked up numbers at Tulane. So I

669
00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:26,520
Speaker 2: think Saint John's can run away and hide in that

670
00:30:26,600 --> 00:30:31,120
Speaker 2: game and then also a awful loss big home favorite

671
00:30:31,640 --> 00:30:35,520
Speaker 2: Texas Tech. I know they're kind of playing. They're playing

672
00:30:35,640 --> 00:30:38,160
Speaker 2: Northern Colorado and Matt there's the assistant connection there where

673
00:30:38,200 --> 00:30:41,400
Speaker 2: Jeff Linder used to work with Steve Smiley, who was

674
00:30:41,440 --> 00:30:44,360
Speaker 2: the coach a Northern Colorado and the Wyoming connection with

675
00:30:44,520 --> 00:30:47,360
Speaker 2: Linder ended up a very close game, but Texas Tech's

676
00:30:47,360 --> 00:30:51,360
Speaker 2: coming off the loss to Arkansas frustrating second half where

677
00:30:51,360 --> 00:30:53,880
Speaker 2: they just couldn't get stops. The big thing to watch there, though,

678
00:30:53,960 --> 00:30:56,520
Speaker 2: is if Bam Boy's back out of concussion protocol, the

679
00:30:56,560 --> 00:30:59,000
Speaker 2: big shot blocking center for Texas Tech. He missed the

680
00:30:59,120 --> 00:31:02,800
Speaker 2: Arkansas game, so they only played six players, and that

681
00:31:03,040 --> 00:31:05,520
Speaker 2: really hurt their depth and could open up a backdoor here,

682
00:31:05,920 --> 00:31:07,760
Speaker 2: So I would keep an eye on his status. If

683
00:31:07,800 --> 00:31:10,000
Speaker 2: he's in, I think they can kind of score it

684
00:31:10,040 --> 00:31:11,840
Speaker 2: will against Northern Colorado's defense.

685
00:31:12,320 --> 00:31:15,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, played last year. You mentioned that gym by twenty

686
00:31:15,960 --> 00:31:19,160
Speaker 1: five and Texas Tech had him buried early. Wasn't like

687
00:31:19,840 --> 00:31:22,520
Speaker 1: a second half fok that we've seen so frequently this season,

688
00:31:22,560 --> 00:31:24,640
Speaker 1: But that one intrigues me as well. I just think

689
00:31:24,720 --> 00:31:26,920
Speaker 1: Texas Tech't depth this year still concerns me as a

690
00:31:27,000 --> 00:31:29,040
Speaker 1: large fair. There's been times where I thought they'd really

691
00:31:29,880 --> 00:31:32,240
Speaker 1: pound teams in the second half, and I mean they

692
00:31:32,280 --> 00:31:34,520
Speaker 1: really couldn't Like Milwaukee, they couldn't like get away from

693
00:31:34,600 --> 00:31:38,880
Speaker 1: that emphatically. I know they've beaten Orleans, but whatever, Sam Houston.

694
00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:43,520
Speaker 2: They shot game one lights out in the Sam Houston game.

695
00:31:43,720 --> 00:31:45,760
Speaker 1: So I don't know. I think this Tech team is

696
00:31:46,320 --> 00:31:48,640
Speaker 1: I don't know if they have that breakaway gear, but

697
00:31:48,680 --> 00:31:51,240
Speaker 1: maybe the spot here and again price you're getting a

698
00:31:51,320 --> 00:31:53,560
Speaker 1: cheaper favorite Pricer than you're usually getting, like you're not

699
00:31:53,600 --> 00:31:54,760
Speaker 1: untilly twenty five or thirty.

700
00:31:55,080 --> 00:31:58,280
Speaker 2: So yeah, yeah, the point about their depth is spot on.

701
00:31:58,400 --> 00:32:01,040
Speaker 2: Josiah Mosley has not played yet. The transfer from vander

702
00:32:01,120 --> 00:32:05,760
Speaker 2: Or Villanova and Damgoy, as I mentioned, was in concussion protocol,

703
00:32:05,840 --> 00:32:08,360
Speaker 2: and they have eight good players. Their ninth man is

704
00:32:08,480 --> 00:32:12,320
Speaker 2: so bad sorry Leon Horner, but they can't even go

705
00:32:12,400 --> 00:32:14,480
Speaker 2: to him. So they really need those guys to get

706
00:32:14,520 --> 00:32:16,600
Speaker 2: healthy or they're never really going to be the full version.

707
00:32:16,640 --> 00:32:19,000
Speaker 2: It's by there three hundred and forty third in bench minutes.

708
00:32:19,080 --> 00:32:22,800
Speaker 1: Because I think paying JT top and three million or

709
00:32:22,840 --> 00:32:24,240
Speaker 1: whatever you paid him a year, I guess he was

710
00:32:24,280 --> 00:32:26,800
Speaker 1: the best player on planet Earth yesterday, but I think

711
00:32:26,960 --> 00:32:28,800
Speaker 1: there's a cost to that, and I think the depth

712
00:32:28,920 --> 00:32:30,040
Speaker 1: is very very much.

713
00:32:30,560 --> 00:32:34,080
Speaker 2: I think they like Federico was getting like one point

714
00:32:34,120 --> 00:32:36,240
Speaker 2: five million from Texas A and M so he left

715
00:32:36,360 --> 00:32:38,840
Speaker 2: and they chose to pay Bamgoy two million, and that

716
00:32:39,080 --> 00:32:41,560
Speaker 2: has been just a terrible choice. Like Federico is a

717
00:32:41,600 --> 00:32:46,680
Speaker 2: better player and he's available, Yep, dam Gooy was a

718
00:32:46,760 --> 00:32:48,960
Speaker 2: great shop locker upside, but yeah, he's been hurt so

719
00:32:49,480 --> 00:32:51,600
Speaker 2: hasn't quite worked out for them. All right, that was

720
00:32:51,680 --> 00:32:54,400
Speaker 2: our favorite favorites. We'll recap everything at the end of

721
00:32:54,440 --> 00:32:57,800
Speaker 2: the episode, all our bets for the week. But let's

722
00:32:57,840 --> 00:33:00,560
Speaker 2: go to spot section Fellas and I didn't find anything

723
00:33:00,600 --> 00:33:02,960
Speaker 2: on Monday, but I do think there's a really good

724
00:33:03,000 --> 00:33:06,160
Speaker 2: spot on Tuesday, and then a couple lesser ones. Maddie,

725
00:33:06,240 --> 00:33:10,000
Speaker 2: I love the Queen's spot. Arkansas just beat Texas Tech.

726
00:33:10,560 --> 00:33:13,960
Speaker 2: They've got Houston coming on Saturday. This is like the

727
00:33:14,040 --> 00:33:17,480
Speaker 2: sandwich of all sandwich sandwiches, a little bit of letdown.

728
00:33:17,880 --> 00:33:19,880
Speaker 2: Arkansas has not been that convincing. It's a big home

729
00:33:19,960 --> 00:33:22,680
Speaker 2: favorite this year. I think this is a great bet,

730
00:33:22,800 --> 00:33:25,360
Speaker 2: and Queens is playing really really well. What say you

731
00:33:25,520 --> 00:33:26,920
Speaker 2: with this? I like it.

732
00:33:28,320 --> 00:33:31,960
Speaker 1: I'm looking at queens as results against good teams this year.

733
00:33:32,800 --> 00:33:36,120
Speaker 1: Great not great. Yeah, that's my concern. I just it

734
00:33:36,200 --> 00:33:38,520
Speaker 1: seems that can't guard anybody. That's I don't I worry

735
00:33:38,560 --> 00:33:40,920
Speaker 1: about that. I like That'd rather just instinctly rather back

736
00:33:40,960 --> 00:33:43,560
Speaker 1: a team that can actually defend to some degree and

737
00:33:43,720 --> 00:33:45,800
Speaker 1: just randomly start making shots. A suppose a team that

738
00:33:45,840 --> 00:33:49,200
Speaker 1: has to make shots and then has no spine defensively.

739
00:33:49,800 --> 00:33:51,440
Speaker 1: But you're right, I think the spot this is a

740
00:33:51,600 --> 00:33:54,640
Speaker 1: qualifies as a spot, but not wanted. I'm probably gonna

741
00:33:54,680 --> 00:33:56,440
Speaker 1: back again as we as we'll probably top about all

742
00:33:56,560 --> 00:33:57,960
Speaker 1: year that any A lot of these are factored into

743
00:33:57,960 --> 00:34:00,160
Speaker 1: the market pricing, so you have to really love the

744
00:34:00,200 --> 00:34:03,280
Speaker 1: spot and the matchup and probably something else to get

745
00:34:03,320 --> 00:34:06,760
Speaker 1: to the window to bed at least that just for me, I.

746
00:34:06,920 --> 00:34:10,359
Speaker 4: Would assume Arkansas would take money because we see he's

747
00:34:10,360 --> 00:34:11,600
Speaker 4: prey favorite stude all the time.

748
00:34:11,840 --> 00:34:14,359
Speaker 1: But you're right, the pace is going to be high

749
00:34:14,800 --> 00:34:17,440
Speaker 1: and Queens is truly horrible.

750
00:34:18,840 --> 00:34:21,600
Speaker 4: Arkansas not scoring one hundred would be a surprise for me,

751
00:34:22,000 --> 00:34:25,239
Speaker 4: so i'd probably I will stay away personally in that one.

752
00:34:25,719 --> 00:34:27,759
Speaker 2: Okay, I'm gonna do it. I'm gonna take Queens. I

753
00:34:27,840 --> 00:34:29,319
Speaker 2: just like the spot. Now, there is a little bit

754
00:34:29,400 --> 00:34:31,600
Speaker 2: worth mentioning where Queens is playing at Wake Forest on

755
00:34:31,680 --> 00:34:34,160
Speaker 2: Sunday today as we record. So it's a forty eight

756
00:34:34,200 --> 00:34:37,040
Speaker 2: hour turnaround going from Wake to Arkansas, and they do

757
00:34:37,160 --> 00:34:39,040
Speaker 2: play fast, so if there we'll see if their legs

758
00:34:39,080 --> 00:34:41,120
Speaker 2: are there. But I just think it's going to be

759
00:34:41,200 --> 00:34:45,400
Speaker 2: a very unfocused John Calipari team, and if it's not

760
00:34:45,560 --> 00:34:48,600
Speaker 2: Jackson State, they haven't been overly convincing, Like beating Samford

761
00:34:48,640 --> 00:34:50,880
Speaker 2: by four at home was not good. Like that was

762
00:34:50,960 --> 00:34:53,440
Speaker 2: not a big showing from them. So I just think

763
00:34:53,480 --> 00:34:54,840
Speaker 2: you get a little bit of a letdown from them

764
00:34:54,880 --> 00:34:58,120
Speaker 2: and Queens can hang around all right. Two other spots, Matthew,

765
00:34:58,680 --> 00:35:01,359
Speaker 2: you won a best bet on our three minut weave

766
00:35:01,400 --> 00:35:05,400
Speaker 2: show on Saturday with Oklahoma taking down our tribal undefeated

767
00:35:05,440 --> 00:35:09,520
Speaker 2: Oklahoma State in Bedlam. Can I talk you into Kansas City,

768
00:35:09,600 --> 00:35:13,680
Speaker 2: who is truly awful getting almost thirty points against the Sooners,

769
00:35:13,680 --> 00:35:15,879
Speaker 2: who have also not been very good as big home

770
00:35:15,920 --> 00:35:16,640
Speaker 2: favorites this year.

771
00:35:17,320 --> 00:35:17,960
Speaker 1: I'm interested.

772
00:35:19,560 --> 00:35:20,000
Speaker 2: I am.

773
00:35:20,120 --> 00:35:24,239
Speaker 1: I saw Umks compete at Texas sort of for a

774
00:35:24,280 --> 00:35:27,840
Speaker 1: little bit there, and they're obviously loaded. I mean, they're

775
00:35:27,840 --> 00:35:30,680
Speaker 1: obviously a terrible team, Jim, I just can they be

776
00:35:30,760 --> 00:35:33,520
Speaker 1: any worse? This was This team was not supposed to

777
00:35:33,520 --> 00:35:35,480
Speaker 1: be that bad. So I think just from that angle

778
00:35:35,920 --> 00:35:38,799
Speaker 1: in the spot again, this is one where I think

779
00:35:38,800 --> 00:35:40,120
Speaker 1: you gotta be careful up at in the flood. I

780
00:35:40,120 --> 00:35:41,680
Speaker 1: think this is one maybe I go first half, as

781
00:35:41,719 --> 00:35:46,120
Speaker 1: our guys saying says, getting get out. Yeah, and you

782
00:35:46,200 --> 00:35:48,800
Speaker 1: know I begin there is some There is some talent

783
00:35:49,000 --> 00:35:52,360
Speaker 1: on this team. There is some athletics, some being in

784
00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:55,600
Speaker 1: big fat quotations. But this team should not be this bad.

785
00:35:55,640 --> 00:35:58,200
Speaker 1: I can't quite understand how they got here. Well, Matt,

786
00:35:58,280 --> 00:36:01,200
Speaker 1: I've thought the same thing, and I've paid for I

787
00:36:01,320 --> 00:36:03,480
Speaker 1: paid for dearly. They're two and seven against the spread,

788
00:36:03,520 --> 00:36:06,040
Speaker 1: and I'm probably zero to five or ozho and six

789
00:36:06,200 --> 00:36:08,960
Speaker 1: betting on them. So I have tanked their rating and

790
00:36:09,000 --> 00:36:10,360
Speaker 1: I'll never bet on them again for the rest of

791
00:36:10,360 --> 00:36:12,680
Speaker 1: the year. So no, thank you, Jim on the ruse.

792
00:36:13,400 --> 00:36:15,080
Speaker 2: Okay, no thank you for the ru the rules. Get

793
00:36:15,160 --> 00:36:19,080
Speaker 2: the two for at Oklahoma Tuesday, at Oklahoma State Thursday,

794
00:36:19,880 --> 00:36:21,400
Speaker 2: so I could see them packing it in if it

795
00:36:21,480 --> 00:36:23,759
Speaker 2: starts to look bad in the second half, just like

796
00:36:23,920 --> 00:36:26,400
Speaker 2: ask it. We got to go to Oklahoma State on Thursday?

797
00:36:26,480 --> 00:36:28,640
Speaker 2: Why even why even bothers fun?

798
00:36:28,960 --> 00:36:32,600
Speaker 1: I just spent both those Oklahoma teams. Just fin crush them,

799
00:36:32,960 --> 00:36:33,400
Speaker 1: just good.

800
00:36:35,280 --> 00:36:35,480
Speaker 2: Three.

801
00:36:35,640 --> 00:36:37,560
Speaker 1: Like I don't like to be like shooting rushing guy,

802
00:36:37,840 --> 00:36:40,359
Speaker 1: but like I do think there's a point where even

803
00:36:40,400 --> 00:36:45,000
Speaker 1: the worst shooting teams historically can't possibly shoot that poorly.

804
00:36:45,719 --> 00:36:48,280
Speaker 2: They they've they've only had one guy take fifty threes.

805
00:36:48,320 --> 00:36:50,960
Speaker 2: They've had only one guy make ten, so like it

806
00:36:51,160 --> 00:36:53,280
Speaker 2: kind of they're just a bad shooting team because Carmelo

807
00:36:53,360 --> 00:36:55,520
Speaker 2: Branch can't make threes. Like that's really all it is,

808
00:36:55,640 --> 00:36:57,759
Speaker 2: Like they just, you know, it's not like a team

809
00:36:57,800 --> 00:37:00,839
Speaker 2: wide issue. They just don't have any shooters. So it's

810
00:37:00,920 --> 00:37:03,440
Speaker 2: hard to get excited about an underdog that's gonna have

811
00:37:03,560 --> 00:37:06,120
Speaker 2: to score at the rim against more athletic size. That

812
00:37:06,520 --> 00:37:08,960
Speaker 2: scares you with you okay, See the other spot I

813
00:37:09,120 --> 00:37:13,920
Speaker 2: wrote down is cal Baptist laying nine against Southern matt

814
00:37:14,120 --> 00:37:16,800
Speaker 2: a team that I do respect. Southern is feisty, but

815
00:37:16,880 --> 00:37:18,960
Speaker 2: why the hell do they care about going to California

816
00:37:19,080 --> 00:37:21,600
Speaker 2: after playing in Texas a couple of games. It's a

817
00:37:21,760 --> 00:37:23,879
Speaker 2: one off trip to the West coast. Makes no sense

818
00:37:23,960 --> 00:37:26,200
Speaker 2: for them. On the other side of cal Baptist has

819
00:37:26,239 --> 00:37:28,759
Speaker 2: been away from home for like six straight games. They

820
00:37:28,760 --> 00:37:31,719
Speaker 2: haven't played a home game since November twenty. First, I

821
00:37:31,800 --> 00:37:34,200
Speaker 2: feel like it's a decent get right spot and it's

822
00:37:34,200 --> 00:37:36,839
Speaker 2: a really good cal Baptist team who just won at

823
00:37:36,880 --> 00:37:40,239
Speaker 2: Eastern Washington. It's just like, can you get there with

824
00:37:40,360 --> 00:37:43,000
Speaker 2: the spot? With Southern being a feisty underdog, that's the question.

825
00:37:43,120 --> 00:37:45,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, no, I I think if you have handl or

826
00:37:45,760 --> 00:37:48,440
Speaker 1: super handle pressure, and obviously cal Baptist does. Yeah, this

827
00:37:48,520 --> 00:37:51,080
Speaker 1: is actually when I this is my favorite one that

828
00:37:51,160 --> 00:37:55,080
Speaker 1: you wrote down here, You're right back home. They just

829
00:37:55,320 --> 00:37:57,200
Speaker 1: they're so big. That's what cal Baptists I think is

830
00:37:57,200 --> 00:37:58,600
Speaker 1: a good could be a good favorite. Like they can

831
00:37:58,680 --> 00:38:00,520
Speaker 1: just dominate the glass, but their size and they can

832
00:38:00,560 --> 00:38:01,640
Speaker 1: handle Southern's pressure.

833
00:38:01,719 --> 00:38:02,320
Speaker 2: And I agree with you.

834
00:38:02,400 --> 00:38:04,319
Speaker 1: Why is Southern care about this game? I mean, can

835
00:38:04,400 --> 00:38:07,200
Speaker 1: Baptist has basically played one bad game. I wouldn't even

836
00:38:07,200 --> 00:38:08,759
Speaker 1: call it a bad game. It was at BYU when

837
00:38:08,760 --> 00:38:11,719
Speaker 1: they were on forty eight hours of altitude turn around

838
00:38:11,760 --> 00:38:14,239
Speaker 1: against bro Talent. I mean, this is a good team

839
00:38:14,239 --> 00:38:15,400
Speaker 1: and everyone understands that.

840
00:38:15,920 --> 00:38:16,320
Speaker 2: I like it.

841
00:38:16,400 --> 00:38:18,440
Speaker 1: Jim, I don't like fading Southern as a dog, but

842
00:38:18,800 --> 00:38:20,720
Speaker 1: I do think this is sort of a tough matchup

843
00:38:20,760 --> 00:38:24,120
Speaker 1: and tough spot. Jim has my attention and curiosity on

844
00:38:24,200 --> 00:38:24,480
Speaker 1: this one.

845
00:38:24,760 --> 00:38:28,560
Speaker 2: New Baptist. I do indeed like agreed the spot is great.

846
00:38:29,719 --> 00:38:33,200
Speaker 4: And yes the blood bathroom the glass, which I am

847
00:38:33,920 --> 00:38:36,600
Speaker 4: very attracted to, would be something for CBU.

848
00:38:37,160 --> 00:38:39,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, cal Baptists plays four guys that are six to

849
00:38:39,520 --> 00:38:41,920
Speaker 2: ten or bigger, like they're enormous in the paint, like

850
00:38:41,960 --> 00:38:44,840
Speaker 2: their guards are small, but like they're big upfront.

851
00:38:45,160 --> 00:38:47,040
Speaker 4: It is funny their average height this three hundred and

852
00:38:47,080 --> 00:38:49,480
Speaker 4: fifth and yet they have two seven footers and a

853
00:38:49,520 --> 00:38:50,160
Speaker 4: six to eleven guy.

854
00:38:50,200 --> 00:38:50,880
Speaker 2: They play it all the.

855
00:38:50,880 --> 00:38:53,680
Speaker 1: Time, which is a skewed because it's the two small guards.

856
00:38:53,760 --> 00:38:56,560
Speaker 1: It's two small guards then super size frontline.

857
00:38:57,080 --> 00:39:00,839
Speaker 2: Yep, exactly. Yeah, I'm gonna ly with cal Baptist. I'll

858
00:39:01,600 --> 00:39:04,640
Speaker 2: have the minus nine in my end of show recap.

859
00:39:05,080 --> 00:39:08,000
Speaker 2: All right, one more section before we recap everything fellas

860
00:39:08,080 --> 00:39:10,000
Speaker 2: the trash. It's time to take.

861
00:39:09,840 --> 00:39:12,600
Speaker 1: Out the trash, the trash man pick of the week.

862
00:39:13,160 --> 00:39:14,279
Speaker 1: I'm the trash man.

863
00:39:14,600 --> 00:39:17,480
Speaker 2: Just throw me the trash. You're garbage and you know it,

864
00:39:17,960 --> 00:39:20,160
Speaker 2: totally unreliable, undependable.

865
00:39:20,440 --> 00:39:20,680
Speaker 1: That's it.

866
00:39:20,800 --> 00:39:22,000
Speaker 3: You've been told all how do you like that?

867
00:39:22,400 --> 00:39:22,640
Speaker 1: Good?

868
00:39:23,480 --> 00:39:25,920
Speaker 2: And we're going to start with the Chicago trash local

869
00:39:26,120 --> 00:39:28,960
Speaker 2: for US guys week, you trash hop on the garbage

870
00:39:28,960 --> 00:39:31,960
Speaker 2: truck and head up to Loyola and watch them take

871
00:39:32,000 --> 00:39:35,040
Speaker 2: on Chicago State. Loyola has been one of the worst

872
00:39:35,360 --> 00:39:38,359
Speaker 2: against the spread teams this entire season. They did get

873
00:39:38,360 --> 00:39:41,239
Speaker 2: their first cover of the year recently, but kai they

874
00:39:41,320 --> 00:39:43,680
Speaker 2: currently sit at one and nine with an average cover

875
00:39:43,800 --> 00:39:46,919
Speaker 2: margin of negative twelve and a half points. They haven't

876
00:39:46,960 --> 00:39:49,239
Speaker 2: been close for most of their games. The ratings have

877
00:39:49,360 --> 00:39:52,600
Speaker 2: kind of adjusted, but I kind of find Chicago State

878
00:39:52,680 --> 00:39:55,359
Speaker 2: scrappy under their new coach, Bussy getting him to come

879
00:39:55,400 --> 00:39:58,040
Speaker 2: over from the swack. I think this one stays a

880
00:39:58,120 --> 00:40:00,600
Speaker 2: little bit competitive. Kind of do too.

881
00:40:00,880 --> 00:40:02,919
Speaker 4: If I was forced to bet this game, I would

882
00:40:03,440 --> 00:40:06,160
Speaker 4: lean towards Chicago State here. They have no business competing

883
00:40:06,200 --> 00:40:08,640
Speaker 4: with Loyola, but Loyola has done things this year that

884
00:40:09,440 --> 00:40:11,680
Speaker 4: I never thought possible with the talent on their team.

885
00:40:12,480 --> 00:40:15,480
Speaker 4: They've been horrible, so I would They're not good enough

886
00:40:15,480 --> 00:40:19,000
Speaker 4: offensively to really kill a bad Chicago State defense, and

887
00:40:19,719 --> 00:40:23,040
Speaker 4: Lowell's events is so bad. I think Chicago State can

888
00:40:23,440 --> 00:40:25,560
Speaker 4: score points and lock it up and make this one

889
00:40:25,680 --> 00:40:26,160
Speaker 4: kind of close.

890
00:40:26,480 --> 00:40:29,000
Speaker 1: Matthew, Yeah, you just got smoke by Only State. They've

891
00:40:29,040 --> 00:40:30,399
Speaker 1: been off for like a week. I bet you get

892
00:40:30,400 --> 00:40:32,320
Speaker 1: a pretty good effort from Chicago State. I don't know

893
00:40:32,400 --> 00:40:34,800
Speaker 1: if that translates to good performance, but I think you

894
00:40:34,880 --> 00:40:37,000
Speaker 1: get a good effort, and that intrigues me. From a

895
00:40:37,040 --> 00:40:40,800
Speaker 1: dog perspective, and yeah, the blurs. It's like, you know,

896
00:40:40,840 --> 00:40:43,040
Speaker 1: I fell into the trap against I backed Central Michigan.

897
00:40:43,040 --> 00:40:44,839
Speaker 1: It turns out Touch Michigan it's just terrible. Yep.

898
00:40:45,760 --> 00:40:48,120
Speaker 2: So that one has hurt finding that out.

899
00:40:48,200 --> 00:40:51,040
Speaker 1: Yes, And Princeton is just basically like, we don't care

900
00:40:51,120 --> 00:40:53,200
Speaker 1: until I be playing. We have players back. So yeah,

901
00:40:53,360 --> 00:40:55,000
Speaker 1: I think if you're looking to fade Loyola and you

902
00:40:55,040 --> 00:40:57,160
Speaker 1: still think they're sort of bad, I mean, they are bad,

903
00:40:57,200 --> 00:40:59,719
Speaker 1: but if you believe they're not turning it around, which

904
00:40:59,760 --> 00:41:01,400
Speaker 1: I think I do, I think this is maybe a

905
00:41:01,440 --> 00:41:02,959
Speaker 1: good spot to get cute.

906
00:41:03,400 --> 00:41:06,000
Speaker 2: Yep. All right. One other just trash that I had

907
00:41:06,040 --> 00:41:09,760
Speaker 2: to mention guys. Mississippi Valley State is hosting its first

908
00:41:10,080 --> 00:41:15,040
Speaker 2: D one non conference game since it has been three years.

909
00:41:15,080 --> 00:41:17,399
Speaker 2: They had two straight seasons where they did not host

910
00:41:17,480 --> 00:41:20,399
Speaker 2: a non conference game against D one team Tarleton State

911
00:41:20,480 --> 00:41:23,960
Speaker 2: coming to town KAI as a seventeen point road favorite.

912
00:41:24,520 --> 00:41:27,359
Speaker 2: Do you think Ida Beena is going to stand up

913
00:41:27,400 --> 00:41:31,680
Speaker 2: here and get the Delta Devils a competitive effort against Tarleton? Hell? Yeah,

914
00:41:31,680 --> 00:41:31,880
Speaker 2: I do.

915
00:41:32,200 --> 00:41:34,360
Speaker 1: I'm taking the Delta Devs. Man, how can you not

916
00:41:35,000 --> 00:41:36,480
Speaker 1: non con home game? Come on?

917
00:41:36,719 --> 00:41:40,319
Speaker 4: They Hey, they weren't horrible in a few games this season,

918
00:41:40,360 --> 00:41:44,319
Speaker 4: they've been mostly bad, but competing, Look, you gotta move

919
00:41:44,400 --> 00:41:46,439
Speaker 4: the bar down. We were talking about Misisisi Valley State

920
00:41:46,480 --> 00:41:49,280
Speaker 4: and they took Utah Tech to double overtime. They competed

921
00:41:49,320 --> 00:41:54,040
Speaker 4: with Manhattan in Hawaii. You know, that's about as good

922
00:41:54,080 --> 00:41:57,400
Speaker 4: as I can say. But Charleton State, they're so erratic

923
00:41:57,520 --> 00:41:59,800
Speaker 4: and heck, gleas, who's playing?

924
00:42:00,120 --> 00:42:01,200
Speaker 1: Lest you might just not play?

925
00:42:01,280 --> 00:42:02,719
Speaker 2: Guys play?

926
00:42:04,280 --> 00:42:07,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, so yeah, absolutely, mississ Valley State. It's going on

927
00:42:07,640 --> 00:42:10,360
Speaker 4: the betting board. Absolutely, Yeah, I agree.

928
00:42:10,800 --> 00:42:11,200
Speaker 2: I agree.

929
00:42:11,239 --> 00:42:12,600
Speaker 1: I think it's game. It's ugly.

930
00:42:13,960 --> 00:42:14,480
Speaker 2: On the road.

931
00:42:15,360 --> 00:42:18,040
Speaker 1: God, what number do you need? Though I don't I'll

932
00:42:18,040 --> 00:42:21,600
Speaker 1: take seventeen. I need two touchdowns at least. Right anything

933
00:42:21,680 --> 00:42:24,120
Speaker 1: under two touch I cannot look myself in the mirror.

934
00:42:24,120 --> 00:42:27,400
Speaker 1: And Bede City Valley State guarantee it.

935
00:42:27,920 --> 00:42:30,320
Speaker 2: There will be a lot of free throws taken in

936
00:42:30,400 --> 00:42:33,960
Speaker 2: this game. Both teams foul like crazy, and Missison Valley

937
00:42:34,000 --> 00:42:36,200
Speaker 2: State's the better free throw shooting team their top fifteen.

938
00:42:38,600 --> 00:42:40,759
Speaker 2: I think that matters here. And yeah, I mean I

939
00:42:40,880 --> 00:42:43,040
Speaker 2: mentioned they had had a home non conference game since

940
00:42:43,120 --> 00:42:46,200
Speaker 2: North Alabama in twenty twenty three. It was the twenty

941
00:42:46,239 --> 00:42:49,279
Speaker 2: twenty three season. Uh, they beat North Alabama at home. Like,

942
00:42:49,600 --> 00:42:53,160
Speaker 2: I think there's like a weird aura with that place,

943
00:42:53,280 --> 00:42:56,360
Speaker 2: and it's it's an odd scheduling decision by Gillaspie to

944
00:42:56,400 --> 00:42:59,000
Speaker 2: go to Missispi Valley State. But I'm thinking the Delta

945
00:42:59,080 --> 00:43:03,719
Speaker 2: Devil's compete there minimum the Harrison Complex, Live Dog, Live

946
00:43:03,800 --> 00:43:04,320
Speaker 2: Dog boys.

947
00:43:04,760 --> 00:43:07,600
Speaker 1: Did they pay them to come? Is that a bye game?

948
00:43:08,200 --> 00:43:09,200
Speaker 2: There's no way.

949
00:43:10,719 --> 00:43:14,120
Speaker 1: I don't think no way, right, Maybe it's a Charlton State.

950
00:43:14,160 --> 00:43:16,960
Speaker 1: Their whole schedule is like non D one teams at home,

951
00:43:17,000 --> 00:43:19,120
Speaker 1: which are basically cheaper to book. Like, it's kind of

952
00:43:19,160 --> 00:43:21,680
Speaker 1: an obvious, like budget New Mexico State does this too,

953
00:43:21,760 --> 00:43:23,200
Speaker 1: kind of a budget saving thing. You get a bunch

954
00:43:23,239 --> 00:43:25,480
Speaker 1: of deep non D one teams, get him a cheap.

955
00:43:25,640 --> 00:43:29,520
Speaker 4: We should say go follow MVSU MBB. That's the unofficial

956
00:43:29,560 --> 00:43:34,120
Speaker 4: Missisipi Valley State Grants basketball account. It's hilarious, it's fantastic.

957
00:43:34,280 --> 00:43:38,200
Speaker 4: You guys have to follow them. They're very deprecating. Yes, yes,

958
00:43:39,200 --> 00:43:40,200
Speaker 4: I love this account.

959
00:43:40,560 --> 00:43:43,320
Speaker 2: Yes, highly highly recommended. All right, fellas, that is the

960
00:43:43,480 --> 00:43:46,880
Speaker 2: trash section. Let's go through a little recamp here. I

961
00:43:47,000 --> 00:43:50,200
Speaker 2: have got uc SAN Diego against Oyle and Merrymount. Definitely

962
00:43:50,239 --> 00:43:53,480
Speaker 2: betting that South Carolina at plus ten or better. I'm

963
00:43:53,520 --> 00:43:57,360
Speaker 2: taking Queen's getting twenty against Arkansas in that sandwich spot.

964
00:43:58,080 --> 00:44:03,280
Speaker 2: Texas Tech was my favorite despite the depth questions and concerns,

965
00:44:03,840 --> 00:44:06,600
Speaker 2: and I will hop all aboard the Mississippi Valley State

966
00:44:06,640 --> 00:44:10,200
Speaker 2: train as well the Delta devs KI. What about you?

967
00:44:10,440 --> 00:44:11,520
Speaker 2: What have you got on the board this week?

968
00:44:11,960 --> 00:44:16,400
Speaker 4: Very similar, Jim, I'm gonna take Louisville against Tennessee. Hopefully

969
00:44:16,440 --> 00:44:18,960
Speaker 4: the market that's Tennessee maybe get a little dog action.

970
00:44:19,040 --> 00:44:22,319
Speaker 4: We'll see South Carolina plus ten or better. U see

971
00:44:22,360 --> 00:44:26,359
Speaker 4: San Diego will be on the card cal bat minus nine.

972
00:44:26,480 --> 00:44:31,120
Speaker 4: Hopefully that's right, yes, and then the Delta devs at

973
00:44:31,200 --> 00:44:34,520
Speaker 4: home non con game Delta Deves.

974
00:44:34,520 --> 00:44:37,040
Speaker 1: Matthew, I'm gonna try and just trust some of the

975
00:44:37,160 --> 00:44:42,240
Speaker 1: strongest spots agnostic of number, so South Carolina, Cal Baptist, MSSOPI,

976
00:44:42,320 --> 00:44:44,880
Speaker 1: Valley State. I think you'll probably see some shade maybe

977
00:44:45,920 --> 00:44:48,759
Speaker 1: toward those teams, at least from the ken Pom expectation.

978
00:44:50,080 --> 00:44:51,839
Speaker 1: But again, if you if your spot, if our spot

979
00:44:51,960 --> 00:44:55,000
Speaker 1: radar is good enough, matchup radar is good enough, it

980
00:44:55,000 --> 00:44:56,759
Speaker 1: shouldn't matter. I'm just gonna keep it. Yeah, those three

981
00:44:56,880 --> 00:44:57,520
Speaker 1: three pack for me.

982
00:44:58,040 --> 00:44:59,960
Speaker 2: You're feeling good about your your spot and matchup? Right

983
00:45:00,040 --> 00:45:00,840
Speaker 2: are today, Matthew?

984
00:45:01,120 --> 00:45:05,120
Speaker 1: Not really after this weekend, but I think the the

985
00:45:05,200 --> 00:45:08,120
Speaker 1: week after finals, Jim, I'm gonna I'm gonna sharpen back up.

986
00:45:08,239 --> 00:45:09,920
Speaker 1: That's so the finals we got me as I know,

987
00:45:09,960 --> 00:45:11,920
Speaker 1: I got lot of the kids this past week, so

988
00:45:12,600 --> 00:45:13,160
Speaker 1: glad to get.

989
00:45:13,080 --> 00:45:15,040
Speaker 2: Out of that. That's a boy, good, good, good good.

990
00:45:15,200 --> 00:45:15,480
Speaker 2: All right.

991
00:45:15,600 --> 00:45:17,640
Speaker 1: That is actually probably finals this week though, right, It's

992
00:45:17,640 --> 00:45:20,239
Speaker 1: not like everyone is exact same different different finals week.

993
00:45:20,800 --> 00:45:24,560
Speaker 2: Yep. That is it for our BBOC are in our

994
00:45:24,640 --> 00:45:26,680
Speaker 2: first episode of the season again. We will be here

995
00:45:26,719 --> 00:45:29,280
Speaker 2: every Monday morning taking you through the Monday and Tuesday slates.

996
00:45:29,280 --> 00:45:31,319
Speaker 2: So you're gonna get a lot of swack talk from

997
00:45:31,360 --> 00:45:34,480
Speaker 2: Maddy swackhin. So don't worry, folks, if that's what you're

998
00:45:34,480 --> 00:45:36,600
Speaker 2: waiting for, We've got plenty of it. Thank you to

999
00:45:36,760 --> 00:45:40,960
Speaker 2: DraftKings for sponsoring the BBOC feed. Thank you to our

1000
00:45:41,000 --> 00:45:44,400
Speaker 2: producer David behind the scenes. Thank you everybody for tuning in,

1001
00:45:44,600 --> 00:45:47,160
Speaker 2: and we will catch you again next week Monday morning

1002
00:45:47,239 --> 00:45:49,279
Speaker 2: here on the Big Bets on Campus.

1003
00:45:49,120 --> 00:46:11,320
Speaker 1: Podcast Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you

1004
00:46:11,640 --> 00:46:14,359
Speaker 1: or someone you care about has a gambling problem, help

1005
00:46:14,480 --> 00:46:17,120
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1006
00:46:17,200 --> 00:46:17,600
Speaker 1: gambler