WEBVTT - Bloomberg Businessweek Weekend -August 25th, 2025

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Business Week Daily reporting from the magazine

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<v Speaker 2>that helps global leaders stay ahead with insight on the people, companies,

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<v Speaker 2>and trends shaping today's complex economy. Plus global business finance

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<v Speaker 2>and tech news as it happens. The Bloomberg Business Weekdaily

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<v Speaker 2>Podcast with Carol Masser and Tim Steneveek on Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 3>Hi, everyone, welcome to the Bloomberg Business Week Weekend Podcast. Well,

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<v Speaker 3>this week records for US doocs inflation prints too, one

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<v Speaker 3>that caused investors to more definitively price in a FED

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<v Speaker 3>rate cut in September, and then a second one that

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<v Speaker 3>dialed those expectations back. And then yes, of course, geopolitics,

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<v Speaker 3>including a meeting between President Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin,

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<v Speaker 3>and Bloomberg News breaking the story late Thursday that the

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<v Speaker 3>Trump administration is in talks with Intel to take a

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<v Speaker 3>stake in the company in what would be a huge

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<v Speaker 3>push to boost domestic chip making manufacturing. This is all

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<v Speaker 3>according to people familiar with the plan. For the latest

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<v Speaker 3>on this Bloomberg exclusive, head to the Bloomberg and to

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<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg dot Com. You also find there the cover story

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<v Speaker 3>of the upcoming Bloomberg BusinessWeek issue, which is particularly prescient.

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<v Speaker 4>More on that in a moment.

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<v Speaker 5>Plus retail with Dana Telsey and concerns about critical minerals

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<v Speaker 5>with the head of a mining company. Also an AI

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<v Speaker 5>surge for bloom Energy, both of those stocks soaring this year.

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<v Speaker 5>Later on, We're going to head to the Pebble Beach

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<v Speaker 5>Concord des elegance, Oh that to come. We begin with

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<v Speaker 5>this week's release of the cover story in the upcoming

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<v Speaker 5>new issue of Bloomberg BusinessWeek. It features US Treasury Secretary

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<v Speaker 5>Scott Bessant, who talked to Bloomberg Treasury reporter Dan Flatley

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<v Speaker 5>and Bloomberg's Eric Shatzker about growing up in South Carolina,

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<v Speaker 5>working for George Soros and Stanley Drunken Miller and his

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<v Speaker 5>path two the Trump White House and to not being

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<v Speaker 5>head of the FED. Our interview with both reporters can

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<v Speaker 5>be found on our podcast feed.

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<v Speaker 3>Well after the cover story was published, the Treasury Secretary

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<v Speaker 3>stop by Bloomberg Headquarters in Studios this past week, joining

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<v Speaker 3>surveillances Jonathan Farrow and Anne Marie Hordern to talk about

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<v Speaker 3>everything chips, government data. He also suggested the federal reserves

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<v Speaker 3>benchmark ought to be at least one hundred and fifty

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<v Speaker 3>basis points lower than it is right now.

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<v Speaker 6>What if the BLS data had been the higher quality

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<v Speaker 6>and we'd had those numbers, Jonathan, So if we'd seen

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<v Speaker 6>those numbers in May in June, I suspect we could

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<v Speaker 6>have had rate cuts in June and July. So that

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<v Speaker 6>tells me that there's a very good chance of a

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<v Speaker 6>fifty basis point rate cut. And I think President Trump

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<v Speaker 6>is very good at giving these nicknames. And I think

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<v Speaker 6>the reason that the Jay Powell gets a nickname too

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<v Speaker 6>late is because he wants to go into a series

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<v Speaker 6>of rate hikes. He's not willing. He's not Alan Greenspan,

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<v Speaker 6>who was very forward thinking. They try to be more

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<v Speaker 6>data driven, which I think is a mistake because I

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<v Speaker 6>think we are going back into an economy like we

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<v Speaker 6>had in the nineties, So you know, it's just very

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<v Speaker 6>old fashioned thinking. But I do think we could go

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<v Speaker 6>into a series of rate cuts here, starting with a

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<v Speaker 6>fifty basis point rate cut in September.

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<v Speaker 3>A fifty basis rate cut in September, does that signal

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<v Speaker 3>that the economy, though, is not.

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<v Speaker 6>Doing well, that signals that there's an adjustment and that

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<v Speaker 6>the rates are too constrictive.

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<v Speaker 7>If you look at any model, that the.

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<v Speaker 6>We should probably be one hundred and fifty one hundred

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<v Speaker 6>and seventy five basis points lower. So I think the

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<v Speaker 6>committee needs to step back. I think probably one of

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<v Speaker 6>the most politicized governors just went off the board and

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<v Speaker 6>that she was very, very political.

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<v Speaker 7>I believe that.

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<v Speaker 3>Was US Treasury Secretary Scott Besson with Bloomberg Jonathan Farrow

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<v Speaker 3>and Anne Marie Hord during this past week. That complete conversation.

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<v Speaker 3>They covered a lot. You can find it online at

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<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg dot com and on the Bloomberg terminal.

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<v Speaker 5>As we mentioned earlier, Eric Shatzker, Bloomberg New Economy Editorial

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<v Speaker 5>director and editor at large at Bloomberg BusinessWeek, was one

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<v Speaker 5>of the co authors of the BusinessWeek cover story on

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<v Speaker 5>Secretary Besson. So we asked Eric, along with Bloomberg International

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<v Speaker 5>Economics and Policy correspondent Michael McKee, to do a debrief

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<v Speaker 5>with us following Secretary Besons Bloomberg TV and radio interview.

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<v Speaker 8>Well, first and foremost, he is speaking on behalf of

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<v Speaker 8>the president and trying to drive his agenda.

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<v Speaker 7>That is his job.

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<v Speaker 8>And the job of every cabinet secretary working for President Trump.

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<v Speaker 8>In theory, it's the job of every cabinet secretary working

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<v Speaker 8>for any president. But there has, it would appear, been

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<v Speaker 8>room for a little more debate and disagreement in previous

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<v Speaker 8>cabinets than there is in this cabinet. So that's number one, right.

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<v Speaker 8>It's a salesmanship job. He's out there advancing President's objectives,

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<v Speaker 8>president's policies, and as we've seen, he's also a tool,

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<v Speaker 8>if you will, for the President's negotiating style or even

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<v Speaker 8>the manner in which he shapes public opinion, which is

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<v Speaker 8>to drive people to extremes and then ultimately pull them

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<v Speaker 8>back a little bit.

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<v Speaker 5>That was a big takeaway that I had, Eric from

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<v Speaker 5>the cover story that you wrote with Dan was the

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<v Speaker 5>risk tolerance for President Trump and the way that the

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<v Speaker 5>Treasury Secretary talked about President Trump's risk tolerance with regard

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<v Speaker 5>to being higher than his being higher than his a

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<v Speaker 5>hedge fund manager who spent years taking on big bets,

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<v Speaker 5>working with George Soros and others. And that's the whole

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<v Speaker 5>idea behind the tariff negotiating strategy.

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<v Speaker 8>To a degree, Sure's there's clearly there are clearly differences

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<v Speaker 8>in the way you manage risk as a hedge fund

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<v Speaker 8>manager who has a fiduciary obligation to clients, and the

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<v Speaker 8>way you think about risk and reward and making bets

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<v Speaker 8>on outcomes as the president of the United States or

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<v Speaker 8>as a policymaker in cabinet. And there's no doubt that

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<v Speaker 8>in Scott Besson's mind, Donald Trump has a higher risk tolerance.

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<v Speaker 7>But it's a risk tolerance. Again.

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<v Speaker 8>I don't want to put words in his mouth, but

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<v Speaker 8>as explained to us with a purpose. In other words,

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<v Speaker 8>let's see how far I can push people so I

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<v Speaker 8>know where their limits are, and then I can pull

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<v Speaker 8>it back to something that they're comfortable with, but only

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<v Speaker 8>comfortable with because they felt what it was like to

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<v Speaker 8>be scared.

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<v Speaker 4>So is he taking a risk? Mike?

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<v Speaker 3>I want to bring into what he said. He talked

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<v Speaker 3>about the FED working off of data that's not of

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<v Speaker 3>higher quality. Is he taking a risk in that?

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<v Speaker 7>He?

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<v Speaker 4>I don't know what he's looking for.

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<v Speaker 3>Like we all think the US data, the world thinks

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<v Speaker 3>the US data is the gold standard.

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<v Speaker 7>Until Friday, we thought that.

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<v Speaker 5>Now the narrative is that, wait, this data is lumpy,

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<v Speaker 5>this date is not good right, it needs.

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<v Speaker 4>He said we should have had that cuts in June

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<v Speaker 4>in July, which.

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<v Speaker 9>Is the other Trump thing is throw so much stuff

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<v Speaker 9>out there that you confuse people and you get people

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<v Speaker 9>to think that the truth is not the truth. I mean,

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<v Speaker 9>these are the gold standard data around the world, and

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<v Speaker 9>while they are somewhat less scientifically valid than they were

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<v Speaker 9>because the response rates have gone down, they are still

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<v Speaker 9>extraordinarily accurate.

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<v Speaker 7>Revisions are a part of it.

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<v Speaker 9>So this is I mean, it's truly an effort. The

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<v Speaker 9>whole BLS firing thing is an effort to confuse Americans

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<v Speaker 9>about what's going on with the data so that when

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<v Speaker 9>the data look bad, Trump can blame the data rather

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<v Speaker 9>than his policies. So for Scott Bessen, he has to

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<v Speaker 9>go along with that, but what he wants from the

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<v Speaker 9>Fed doesn't comport with the way the FED is looking

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<v Speaker 9>at it.

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<v Speaker 3>He also made reference to Alan Greenspan. He said he's

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<v Speaker 3>not willing meaning Fed Shair J.

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<v Speaker 4>Powell.

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<v Speaker 3>He's not Alan Greenspan, who was very forward thinking. They're

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<v Speaker 3>trying to be more data driven, which I think is

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<v Speaker 3>a mistake because I think we are going back into

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<v Speaker 3>an economy like we had in the nineties. We heard that,

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<v Speaker 3>Mike first and then Eric. I mean, we've all been

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<v Speaker 3>around since green Span, all of us. There's a lot

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<v Speaker 3>been written about perhaps the actions that Alan Greenspan took

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<v Speaker 3>as FED chair in the lead up to the Great

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<v Speaker 3>Financial Crisis, the mortgage meltdown.

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<v Speaker 4>Is that a good reference point, Mike.

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<v Speaker 7>For the USB That's an interesting question.

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<v Speaker 9>I don't think most people listening these days anymore really

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<v Speaker 9>remember a whole lot about the green Span years or

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<v Speaker 9>green SPAN's role in it, other than those of us

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<v Speaker 9>who were very closely tied to it. But he did

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<v Speaker 9>in the nineteen nineties suggest that inflation was going to

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<v Speaker 9>be low because productivity was picking up because of personal computers,

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<v Speaker 9>and that was the thing that got him the fame

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<v Speaker 9>and the lionization in Washington and on Wall Street. And

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<v Speaker 9>then of course he had the oops of no, there's

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<v Speaker 9>not going to be a housing crisis, and so, yeah,

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<v Speaker 9>I don't know if it's a good comparison or not.

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<v Speaker 9>The one thing you can say is that Greenspan, unlike

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<v Speaker 9>his successors, was very forceful and basically kind of ran

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<v Speaker 9>the FED in the direction that he wanted it to go,

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<v Speaker 9>which is not something that Jay Pile does, and it

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<v Speaker 9>wasn't the way Ben Bernanki or Janet Yellin are Eric.

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<v Speaker 5>Are you given the reporting that you and Dan Flatley did,

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<v Speaker 5>the folks that you spoke to within the Treasury Secretary's orbit,

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<v Speaker 5>they seem to express a little surprise that he has

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<v Speaker 5>not just joined the Trump administration, but that his views

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<v Speaker 5>seem so in line with the president's views right now.

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<v Speaker 7>How do you explain that? In two ways?

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<v Speaker 8>The first is, there's no question that Scott Bessant's point

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<v Speaker 8>of view and the things that he says to back

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<v Speaker 8>it up have evolved over the course of the past

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<v Speaker 8>at the very least seven months since he became Treasure Secretary,

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<v Speaker 8>and even before that as.

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<v Speaker 7>Of last year.

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<v Speaker 8>I remember interviewing him a little more than a year ago,

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<v Speaker 8>and he was talking then about the sense or sensibility

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<v Speaker 8>of a ten percent global tariff, and he was also

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<v Speaker 8>then talking about the goal of getting detch GDP ratio.

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<v Speaker 7>Down, you know, as far as the federal debt.

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<v Speaker 8>Is concerned, and also the percentage of you know, the

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<v Speaker 8>size of the deficit, the annual deficit relative to GDP

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<v Speaker 8>as a goal of under three percent, and by the

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<v Speaker 8>end of the president's term, the fiscal discipline has sort

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<v Speaker 8>of gone out the window for the time being with

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<v Speaker 8>the one big Beautiful bill. Besten will tell you that

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<v Speaker 8>if the bill is successful, and he believes it will

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<v Speaker 8>be in deregulating the you know, American industry and thus

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<v Speaker 8>you know, supercharging some kind of domestic manufacturing renaissance, then

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<v Speaker 8>you know you'll get a change in the relationship between

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<v Speaker 8>the numerator and denominator. And in fact, yes, deficits will

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<v Speaker 8>start to follows a percentage of GDP over time. So

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<v Speaker 8>he hasn't totally walked that back. On the subject of tariffs.

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<v Speaker 8>He now talks about how the president's maximum pressure strategy

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<v Speaker 8>is what has allowed the United States to achieve these

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<v Speaker 8>deals on paper with countries like Japan, for example, in

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<v Speaker 8>South Korea and others. And we'll see if those terms

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<v Speaker 8>stick and exactly how these novel terms unfold in the

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<v Speaker 8>wave of real, real substance of agreements. But and again

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<v Speaker 8>this is not to sort of come out in his defense,

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<v Speaker 8>that's not our job. But I would point out that

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<v Speaker 8>at the moment, the global terrorf rate is fourteen percent, right,

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<v Speaker 8>it's not that far off of ten percent. I mean,

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<v Speaker 8>I mean four percentage points is forty percent higher than

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<v Speaker 8>ten percent, but it's not twenty five percent, and it's

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<v Speaker 8>not thirty nine percent, which is of course what the

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<v Speaker 8>Swiss appear to be headed for at the moment. So

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<v Speaker 8>it's sifted, but it hasn't shifted to an extreme place,

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<v Speaker 8>if that makes any sense. Does that helped to answer

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<v Speaker 8>the question? And of course that IA would just say

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<v Speaker 8>that yes. The reason that people around Scott Bessen are

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<v Speaker 8>surprised by the fact that he has come out that

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<v Speaker 8>he's in the administration and that he went out for

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<v Speaker 8>President Trump in the first place on the campaign trail

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<v Speaker 8>and fundraising for him.

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<v Speaker 7>Is because they thought that he was a little closer to.

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<v Speaker 8>Who they think of themselves as, which is a Reagan Republican.

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<v Speaker 8>And the truth of the matter, as we demonstrated in

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<v Speaker 8>our reporting, is that even over the past ten or

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<v Speaker 8>fifteen years, he has held different points of view, he

0:12:30.920 --> 0:12:32.280
<v Speaker 8>just hasn't shared them with everybody.

0:12:32.440 --> 0:12:35.240
<v Speaker 5>We're speaking right now with Bloomberg New Economy Editorial director

0:12:35.280 --> 0:12:38.440
<v Speaker 5>and editor at large of Bloomberg BusinessWeek, Eric Shatsker, along

0:12:38.480 --> 0:12:42.520
<v Speaker 5>with Bloomberg BusinessWeek or Bloomberg TV and Radio, International Economics

0:12:42.520 --> 0:12:44.120
<v Speaker 5>and Policy correspondent Michael McKay.

0:12:44.200 --> 0:12:46.880
<v Speaker 3>You know, speaking of productivity, just a quick headline. Apple

0:12:47.000 --> 0:12:50.200
<v Speaker 3>planning to come back in artificial intelligence with new devices

0:12:50.240 --> 0:12:52.760
<v Speaker 3>including robots, a smart speaker with a display, and home

0:12:52.800 --> 0:12:54.959
<v Speaker 3>security cameras. According to folks in the know, this may

0:12:54.960 --> 0:12:57.880
<v Speaker 3>be a little bit of what some say, maybe.

0:12:57.600 --> 0:12:58.520
<v Speaker 7>Does it do the dishes?

0:12:58.880 --> 0:12:59.240
<v Speaker 4>Not yet?

0:12:59.280 --> 0:13:01.480
<v Speaker 7>Not yet, ai fed chair.

0:13:01.400 --> 0:13:05.440
<v Speaker 4>But exactly Okay, we only have a few minutes left here.

0:13:05.440 --> 0:13:07.760
<v Speaker 3>And I guess every time I listen to Scott Bessont,

0:13:08.280 --> 0:13:11.400
<v Speaker 3>I think about someone who understands the importance of an

0:13:11.440 --> 0:13:14.360
<v Speaker 3>independent FED, understands the role of the US Central Bank

0:13:14.880 --> 0:13:18.240
<v Speaker 3>in the world. Do you feel, like Mike, that he

0:13:18.720 --> 0:13:22.200
<v Speaker 3>understands that and that if it gets a bit wonky

0:13:22.320 --> 0:13:26.000
<v Speaker 3>or gets very political, that there will be market implications,

0:13:26.000 --> 0:13:28.959
<v Speaker 3>not just US market implications, but global market importations.

0:13:29.120 --> 0:13:31.120
<v Speaker 9>I think Besson knows that very well.

0:13:31.160 --> 0:13:32.600
<v Speaker 7>I mean, he's not dumb.

0:13:32.640 --> 0:13:35.319
<v Speaker 4>He rail around the president with that.

0:13:35.480 --> 0:13:36.920
<v Speaker 7>Well, no, there are.

0:13:36.760 --> 0:13:39.360
<v Speaker 9>No guardrails around this president anymore. He can he can

0:13:39.440 --> 0:13:42.840
<v Speaker 9>tell him all he wants, but there is only one

0:13:43.520 --> 0:13:47.040
<v Speaker 9>leader and the sider in chief. That leader does not

0:13:47.640 --> 0:13:52.239
<v Speaker 9>care about Uh well, he may care about a market collapse,

0:13:52.320 --> 0:13:56.559
<v Speaker 9>but he doesn't care that, you know, the FED is independent.

0:13:57.840 --> 0:14:00.760
<v Speaker 7>He believes he's the boss to that end.

0:14:00.840 --> 0:14:04.800
<v Speaker 5>Is it rare for the Secretary of Treasury to actually

0:14:04.800 --> 0:14:07.560
<v Speaker 5>weigh in on interest rate policy from that position?

0:14:07.720 --> 0:14:10.319
<v Speaker 9>Of course it is. It hasn't been done in decades.

0:14:10.880 --> 0:14:16.679
<v Speaker 9>I mean, we got officially into the government, doesn't The

0:14:16.679 --> 0:14:20.600
<v Speaker 9>executive branch doesn't comment on the FED during the Clinton

0:14:20.600 --> 0:14:23.360
<v Speaker 9>administration under Bob Rubin, and it's been that way pretty

0:14:23.440 --> 0:14:24.720
<v Speaker 9>much ever since.

0:14:27.000 --> 0:14:27.360
<v Speaker 7>US Trump.

0:14:27.800 --> 0:14:31.800
<v Speaker 9>But this is not the usual presidency. This is Donald

0:14:31.840 --> 0:14:35.680
<v Speaker 9>Trump's presidency, and it is completely different from anything we

0:14:35.760 --> 0:14:36.800
<v Speaker 9>have seen before.

0:14:37.480 --> 0:14:41.480
<v Speaker 3>Eric, forgive thirty five seconds, Scott besn't passed on being

0:14:41.640 --> 0:14:44.040
<v Speaker 3>FED chair, right, that's at least what we've reported. Do

0:14:44.080 --> 0:14:46.280
<v Speaker 3>you think he understands the importance of an independent FED,

0:14:46.360 --> 0:14:47.600
<v Speaker 3>how important it is globally.

0:14:48.080 --> 0:14:50.160
<v Speaker 7>Yes, he talks about it being a jewel box.

0:14:50.400 --> 0:14:52.040
<v Speaker 8>And by the way, the reason he passed on being

0:14:52.040 --> 0:14:54.000
<v Speaker 8>a FED chair is because he finds the job that

0:14:54.040 --> 0:14:54.720
<v Speaker 8>he's got now.

0:14:54.640 --> 0:14:56.200
<v Speaker 7>Way more interesting out of the irs.

0:14:56.320 --> 0:14:59.920
<v Speaker 8>I think he thinks of the job of Federal was

0:15:00.280 --> 0:15:03.200
<v Speaker 8>chairm and particularly if all you all you're really really

0:15:03.200 --> 0:15:06.520
<v Speaker 8>supposed to be doing is setting interest rates as relatively speaking,

0:15:06.600 --> 0:15:07.360
<v Speaker 8>very one dimensional.

0:15:07.480 --> 0:15:09.640
<v Speaker 4>Great stuff, guys, Thank you so much, so appreciate.

0:15:09.920 --> 0:15:12.960
<v Speaker 3>Eric Schatsker, Editorial Director Bloomberg New Economy, editor at Large

0:15:12.960 --> 0:15:16.360
<v Speaker 3>for Bloomberg Business Week, Michael McKee, International Economics and Policy

0:15:16.400 --> 0:15:19.560
<v Speaker 3>correspondent at Bloomberg TV. Check out the full Bessant interview

0:15:19.600 --> 0:15:20.360
<v Speaker 3>Secretary Vesson.

0:15:20.480 --> 0:15:21.880
<v Speaker 4>It's on the Bloomberg.

0:15:27.840 --> 0:15:31.840
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Weekdaily Podcast. Catch us

0:15:31.920 --> 0:15:35.360
<v Speaker 2>live weekday afternoons from two to five pm Eastern. Listen

0:15:35.400 --> 0:15:38.960
<v Speaker 2>on Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app,

0:15:39.120 --> 0:15:41.960
<v Speaker 2>or watch US live on YouTube.

0:15:42.040 --> 0:15:44.560
<v Speaker 3>We got a lot of economic news this week. Reads

0:15:44.600 --> 0:15:47.480
<v Speaker 3>on US inflation, one perceived as better.

0:15:47.280 --> 0:15:48.520
<v Speaker 4>One not so much.

0:15:48.680 --> 0:15:51.440
<v Speaker 3>We also got some data on factories, and we got

0:15:51.440 --> 0:15:54.680
<v Speaker 3>to check on the all important US consumer and retail sales.

0:15:54.920 --> 0:15:57.480
<v Speaker 5>I was out that day. I was not shopping. I

0:15:57.520 --> 0:15:59.440
<v Speaker 5>was not contributing to the economy. I guess I was

0:15:59.480 --> 0:16:03.520
<v Speaker 5>contributing thanks to you on vacation. Yeah. I'm always contributing

0:16:03.520 --> 0:16:06.440
<v Speaker 5>to the economy, to be honest, Carol, you and Mlikerfeo

0:16:06.520 --> 0:16:09.040
<v Speaker 5>caught up with someone who's been analyzing the retail space

0:16:09.120 --> 0:16:12.160
<v Speaker 5>for a long time. She's just a real legend within

0:16:12.200 --> 0:16:14.840
<v Speaker 5>the industry. She broke down the data. She looked more

0:16:14.880 --> 0:16:18.480
<v Speaker 5>broadly at what's hot and what's not among the nation's retailers.

0:16:19.000 --> 0:16:21.680
<v Speaker 4>Let's ask Dana Telsea. She knows retail like no other.

0:16:21.760 --> 0:16:25.000
<v Speaker 3>She has founder, CEO and chief Research officer of Telsey

0:16:25.040 --> 0:16:27.240
<v Speaker 3>Advisory Group. She's with us in New York City. Dana,

0:16:27.360 --> 0:16:29.480
<v Speaker 3>thank you so much for joining us on this Friday.

0:16:30.040 --> 0:16:34.600
<v Speaker 3>When CEOs are talking about the economy, do they always

0:16:34.680 --> 0:16:36.080
<v Speaker 3>kind of talk about it or do you feel like

0:16:36.080 --> 0:16:38.960
<v Speaker 3>we're seeing more momentum around some of those earnings releases

0:16:39.040 --> 0:16:41.840
<v Speaker 3>about concerns about the consumer and the economy.

0:16:42.240 --> 0:16:44.360
<v Speaker 10>Thank you for having me, and yes, I agree with

0:16:44.440 --> 0:16:48.120
<v Speaker 10>your take. You're definitely hearing more commentary that continues to

0:16:48.160 --> 0:16:51.960
<v Speaker 10>be increasing quarter to quarter about the uncertainty of the economy.

0:16:52.280 --> 0:16:54.360
<v Speaker 10>What you've heard from CEOs this week, in a little

0:16:54.360 --> 0:16:56.520
<v Speaker 10>bit last week, and we'll have a lot more next week,

0:16:56.920 --> 0:17:00.640
<v Speaker 10>is that spending and sales since the end of the

0:17:00.720 --> 0:17:04.159
<v Speaker 10>June quarter has improved and it's increased. Some of this

0:17:04.280 --> 0:17:07.320
<v Speaker 10>may be because the pull forward of sales given the

0:17:07.359 --> 0:17:10.840
<v Speaker 10>price increases from tariffs, are not yet fully there. And

0:17:10.880 --> 0:17:14.959
<v Speaker 10>you've also heard the volatility for example, maybe like April

0:17:15.000 --> 0:17:17.520
<v Speaker 10>and May was week, but then June and July picked up,

0:17:17.840 --> 0:17:21.600
<v Speaker 10>And is the new normal going to be volatility and

0:17:21.640 --> 0:17:25.960
<v Speaker 10>then improvement, volatility and then improvement. The lack of consistency

0:17:26.040 --> 0:17:30.120
<v Speaker 10>makes it difficult for sea level executives to plan their

0:17:30.160 --> 0:17:31.840
<v Speaker 10>businesses and give guidance.

0:17:32.520 --> 0:17:34.600
<v Speaker 11>But help us understand. I mean, it's been a couple

0:17:34.640 --> 0:17:38.480
<v Speaker 11>months since Liberation Day, we've been dealing with tariffs. Is

0:17:38.560 --> 0:17:43.440
<v Speaker 11>all of this uncertainty still linked to consumers just looking

0:17:43.480 --> 0:17:46.840
<v Speaker 11>at tariff's businesses looking at tariffs and still not understanding

0:17:46.880 --> 0:17:50.119
<v Speaker 11>exactly how those are going to affect their businesses.

0:17:51.080 --> 0:17:52.800
<v Speaker 10>Well, there's a couple things. First of all, what you

0:17:52.880 --> 0:17:56.200
<v Speaker 10>see companies do is they're diversifying their sourcing, and as

0:17:56.240 --> 0:17:59.200
<v Speaker 10>they're diversifying their sourcing, many of them pulled out of China.

0:17:59.240 --> 0:18:02.480
<v Speaker 10>One other place is the teriff rate rate went higher

0:18:02.520 --> 0:18:04.880
<v Speaker 10>than China, and as some of them are bringing back

0:18:04.920 --> 0:18:07.919
<v Speaker 10>their sourcing to China. Second thing is we do a

0:18:08.000 --> 0:18:11.240
<v Speaker 10>tracker of eighty items each week that we price. We've

0:18:11.280 --> 0:18:13.919
<v Speaker 10>been doing this since April sixteenth, and one of the

0:18:13.960 --> 0:18:17.119
<v Speaker 10>things you're seeing is our pricing and they're iconic goods,

0:18:17.119 --> 0:18:21.000
<v Speaker 10>whether Levi's five oh one, gene or Barbie doll. You've

0:18:21.000 --> 0:18:24.280
<v Speaker 10>been seeing prices begin to go up, certainly on footwear.

0:18:24.320 --> 0:18:27.240
<v Speaker 10>We've seen that and we expect to continue to increase

0:18:27.280 --> 0:18:30.640
<v Speaker 10>going forward. You had Amazon Prime Day this year four

0:18:30.760 --> 0:18:33.600
<v Speaker 10>days instead of two days, and the first two days

0:18:33.720 --> 0:18:37.200
<v Speaker 10>versus last year, we're up double digits. So consumers are

0:18:37.240 --> 0:18:41.119
<v Speaker 10>taking advantage of deals that they may think they're getting

0:18:41.160 --> 0:18:46.080
<v Speaker 10>now coupled with newness and product like closed toed Birkenstocks,

0:18:46.320 --> 0:18:48.720
<v Speaker 10>where they're buying some of the new items that they

0:18:48.720 --> 0:18:52.120
<v Speaker 10>wouldn't have had before and we're just introduced that's capturing

0:18:52.119 --> 0:18:55.440
<v Speaker 10>the interest of a younger consumer. So there's a mix

0:18:55.520 --> 0:18:58.879
<v Speaker 10>of things that are going on to create this dynamic

0:18:59.000 --> 0:19:00.960
<v Speaker 10>of what's happening to Dana.

0:19:01.160 --> 0:19:05.080
<v Speaker 3>So the retail sales numbers, again, it's an interesting number,

0:19:05.160 --> 0:19:07.040
<v Speaker 3>and it could be that people are just paying higher

0:19:07.119 --> 0:19:12.080
<v Speaker 3>prices for everything. Would you say in a nutshell with

0:19:12.280 --> 0:19:14.400
<v Speaker 3>if you kind of roll in? The US consumer sentiment

0:19:14.440 --> 0:19:17.159
<v Speaker 3>feelings down for the first time since April.

0:19:17.160 --> 0:19:18.520
<v Speaker 4>They're concerned about inflation.

0:19:18.640 --> 0:19:26.440
<v Speaker 3>Consumers are that the consumer, the US consumer is largely cautious.

0:19:24.800 --> 0:19:28.879
<v Speaker 10>Yes, they are. They are more discerning and cautious consumer.

0:19:29.160 --> 0:19:32.479
<v Speaker 10>They're more selective in their spending, and you're seeing it

0:19:32.520 --> 0:19:35.400
<v Speaker 10>whether it's in restaurants, you're seeing it in some travel,

0:19:35.560 --> 0:19:37.800
<v Speaker 10>and you're seeing it in the purchase of goods. More

0:19:37.840 --> 0:19:41.920
<v Speaker 10>to come this upcoming week given that target Walmart all

0:19:41.960 --> 0:19:45.160
<v Speaker 10>reporting the results an esday later, so more to come

0:19:45.200 --> 0:19:46.679
<v Speaker 10>and dissecting what it looks like.

0:19:47.080 --> 0:19:49.359
<v Speaker 11>Dana, I have to get your thoughts on the Tapestry

0:19:49.400 --> 0:19:53.440
<v Speaker 11>earnings that we saw just earlier this week. What did

0:19:53.480 --> 0:19:58.200
<v Speaker 11>you make of kind of that divergence in their two businesses.

0:19:58.640 --> 0:20:01.480
<v Speaker 11>The Coach brand has been so popular with gen Z

0:20:01.760 --> 0:20:04.920
<v Speaker 11>it feels like everyone wants to buy a Coach bag now,

0:20:05.080 --> 0:20:07.000
<v Speaker 11>but the Kate's Pade brand really pulling back.

0:20:07.400 --> 0:20:09.000
<v Speaker 4>Just walk us through high level thoughts.

0:20:08.800 --> 0:20:10.560
<v Speaker 11>There on what you made at the concernings.

0:20:11.200 --> 0:20:13.679
<v Speaker 10>When you think of Tapestry, it's a portfolio company with

0:20:13.720 --> 0:20:16.600
<v Speaker 10>two brands, Like you said, Coach and also Kate Spade.

0:20:16.800 --> 0:20:19.679
<v Speaker 10>The Coach brand up double digits, the Coach brand seeing

0:20:19.960 --> 0:20:24.719
<v Speaker 10>average unit retail selling prices increase, capturing more new customers,

0:20:24.720 --> 0:20:27.879
<v Speaker 10>and going from strength to strength by adding items in

0:20:27.920 --> 0:20:31.439
<v Speaker 10>their collections that allow them to have a consistent and

0:20:31.480 --> 0:20:35.600
<v Speaker 10>sustainable business model. These Kate Spade brand is only fifteen

0:20:35.640 --> 0:20:38.960
<v Speaker 10>percent of sales. More of their goods are sold in

0:20:39.000 --> 0:20:42.640
<v Speaker 10>the United States, making them more impactful to tariffs, and

0:20:42.920 --> 0:20:45.439
<v Speaker 10>that was definitely one of the headwinds and they have

0:20:45.560 --> 0:20:49.280
<v Speaker 10>to set the transformation. The surprise was they lost money

0:20:49.280 --> 0:20:51.919
<v Speaker 10>in the quarter. There's a reset going on. It's taking

0:20:52.000 --> 0:20:55.160
<v Speaker 10>longer than expected. You're going to have this upcoming fiscal

0:20:55.240 --> 0:20:58.800
<v Speaker 10>year where you're going to need to see stabilization markers

0:20:58.840 --> 0:21:01.600
<v Speaker 10>of what the brand is while they also try to

0:21:01.760 --> 0:21:05.080
<v Speaker 10>lean into the Coach playbook and utilize some of those

0:21:05.160 --> 0:21:08.720
<v Speaker 10>learnings to update and improve Kate Spade. More to come,

0:21:08.920 --> 0:21:11.320
<v Speaker 10>but eighty five percent of the business as coach and

0:21:11.359 --> 0:21:13.080
<v Speaker 10>that's growing all right.

0:21:13.040 --> 0:21:15.399
<v Speaker 3>In terms of earnings. Just one last question thirty seconds.

0:21:15.480 --> 0:21:16.680
<v Speaker 3>What's the big one next week?

0:21:17.240 --> 0:21:19.520
<v Speaker 10>It's going to be Walmart and Target. Is Target going

0:21:19.560 --> 0:21:22.320
<v Speaker 10>to talk about a successor? Is Walmart still seeing growth

0:21:22.320 --> 0:21:24.560
<v Speaker 10>in food? And they seem to be the market share

0:21:24.600 --> 0:21:25.680
<v Speaker 10>gainer at Walmart?

0:21:25.720 --> 0:21:27.159
<v Speaker 4>All right, got to leave it there, Dana, Thank you

0:21:27.200 --> 0:21:27.560
<v Speaker 4>so much.

0:21:27.680 --> 0:21:30.720
<v Speaker 3>Dana Telsey, CEO and Chief Research Officer of Telsey Advisory

0:21:30.760 --> 0:21:32.439
<v Speaker 3>Group joining us in New York City.

0:21:33.119 --> 0:21:37.119
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Weekdaily Podcast. Catch US

0:21:37.200 --> 0:21:40.639
<v Speaker 2>live weekday afternoons from two to five pm Eastern. Listen

0:21:40.680 --> 0:21:44.240
<v Speaker 2>on Applecarplay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app,

0:21:44.400 --> 0:21:46.160
<v Speaker 2>or watch US live on YouTube.

0:21:47.200 --> 0:21:49.720
<v Speaker 3>Well, we've been talking a lot about rare earth minerals

0:21:49.760 --> 0:21:51.960
<v Speaker 3>as of late, and some of the US companies that

0:21:52.000 --> 0:21:52.880
<v Speaker 3>are manufacturing.

0:21:52.960 --> 0:21:54.840
<v Speaker 4>The White House too, has been talking a lot about this.

0:21:54.960 --> 0:21:57.520
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, we've talked recently to the CEOs of MP Materials

0:21:57.560 --> 0:22:01.080
<v Speaker 5>and USA Rare Earth. Those are among the biggest US

0:22:01.160 --> 0:22:04.080
<v Speaker 5>rare earth mining companies in the US. But it's not

0:22:04.200 --> 0:22:07.040
<v Speaker 5>just rare earth that matter to the US. And that

0:22:07.080 --> 0:22:09.320
<v Speaker 5>brings us to one small cap miner with a roughly

0:22:09.359 --> 0:22:11.160
<v Speaker 5>five hundred million dollar market.

0:22:10.880 --> 0:22:14.040
<v Speaker 3>Cap, the company United States Antimony, and though it's not

0:22:14.080 --> 0:22:17.040
<v Speaker 3>a household name, it's in the crosshairs of US China

0:22:17.160 --> 0:22:19.960
<v Speaker 3>tensions and the global race for key minerals.

0:22:20.320 --> 0:22:23.040
<v Speaker 5>We spoke with Gary Evans, chairman and CEO of United

0:22:23.040 --> 0:22:27.200
<v Speaker 5>States Antimony Corporation, who joined us alongside Bloomberg News Economic

0:22:27.240 --> 0:22:31.200
<v Speaker 5>Statecraft reporter Joe Doe, and during our conversation we noticed

0:22:31.240 --> 0:22:33.040
<v Speaker 5>shares of the company we're rallying.

0:22:33.320 --> 0:22:37.080
<v Speaker 12>We're in the category of critical minerals. There's critical minerals

0:22:37.119 --> 0:22:39.840
<v Speaker 12>and there's rare earth, and so the public needs to

0:22:39.920 --> 0:22:46.000
<v Speaker 12>understand there's a significant distinction critical minerals. As an antimony producer,

0:22:46.040 --> 0:22:49.320
<v Speaker 12>we're number one on the DLDS a critical mineral list.

0:22:49.440 --> 0:22:53.000
<v Speaker 12>And the problem is there is no antimony today being

0:22:53.080 --> 0:22:55.880
<v Speaker 12>mined in either the United States or Canada. It all

0:22:55.880 --> 0:22:59.040
<v Speaker 12>has to come from international sources. We were all getting

0:22:59.480 --> 0:23:01.800
<v Speaker 12>every country the world was getting most of their antimony

0:23:01.800 --> 0:23:06.240
<v Speaker 12>from China. China controls sixty five percent of world antimony

0:23:07.000 --> 0:23:08.919
<v Speaker 12>or the raw or in the ground, and they control

0:23:09.000 --> 0:23:11.760
<v Speaker 12>eighty five percent of the downstream processing, which is what

0:23:11.800 --> 0:23:12.120
<v Speaker 12>we do.

0:23:12.600 --> 0:23:14.760
<v Speaker 7>So fortunately we're in a position of.

0:23:14.760 --> 0:23:18.760
<v Speaker 12>Having a smelter in Montana and one in Mexico, which

0:23:18.800 --> 0:23:21.960
<v Speaker 12>makes us the only two operating smelters for antimony in

0:23:22.040 --> 0:23:25.240
<v Speaker 12>North America. And therefore, as you said earlier, we're getting

0:23:25.280 --> 0:23:26.960
<v Speaker 12>a lot of attention from the US government.

0:23:27.880 --> 0:23:29.560
<v Speaker 7>They want us to expand our operation.

0:23:30.359 --> 0:23:33.520
<v Speaker 12>I think I read a report in April we only

0:23:33.560 --> 0:23:37.439
<v Speaker 12>have like a five percent supply in our stockpile. So

0:23:37.880 --> 0:23:40.520
<v Speaker 12>we're trying to ramp up our business to meet this

0:23:40.560 --> 0:23:44.240
<v Speaker 12>critical need. And as Joe said, there's no question that

0:23:44.680 --> 0:23:48.600
<v Speaker 12>antimony is needed by the military. It's used predominantly, as

0:23:48.640 --> 0:23:52.359
<v Speaker 12>he said, in bullets, but it's also used in laser

0:23:52.400 --> 0:23:55.800
<v Speaker 12>guided missile, night vision cameras, night vision binoculars, and what

0:23:55.920 --> 0:23:59.880
<v Speaker 12>have you. So it's a very necessary element for the.

0:24:00.400 --> 0:24:03.400
<v Speaker 5>Hey, Jojoe, come on back in here. We heard from

0:24:03.400 --> 0:24:06.800
<v Speaker 5>Gary just now that the antimony mining is not done

0:24:07.320 --> 0:24:10.359
<v Speaker 5>here in the US or in Canada. Is it possible

0:24:10.640 --> 0:24:12.480
<v Speaker 5>to do it here in the US? Do we have

0:24:13.800 --> 0:24:16.240
<v Speaker 5>the material to mine? And it's just not done for

0:24:16.320 --> 0:24:18.520
<v Speaker 5>environmental reasons. It's not done because we don't have the

0:24:18.520 --> 0:24:20.080
<v Speaker 5>mineral rights to it, or the companies none of the

0:24:20.119 --> 0:24:22.080
<v Speaker 5>mineral rights to it. Like why has this been moved

0:24:22.119 --> 0:24:24.280
<v Speaker 5>to China? I understand from a processing perspective, why that's

0:24:24.280 --> 0:24:27.399
<v Speaker 5>happened with rare earths, Yeah, but with a critical mineral

0:24:27.760 --> 0:24:29.920
<v Speaker 5>like antimony, Why why is that not happening here?

0:24:30.000 --> 0:24:32.199
<v Speaker 13>Well, I mean, I think you go to deposits, you know,

0:24:32.200 --> 0:24:33.840
<v Speaker 13>how good is the deposit and you can pull it

0:24:33.840 --> 0:24:35.679
<v Speaker 13>out of the ground, and then who can process it?

0:24:35.800 --> 0:24:37.639
<v Speaker 13>And this is a question that I have talked about

0:24:37.680 --> 0:24:40.600
<v Speaker 13>now quite a bit with Gary over the last few months.

0:24:40.640 --> 0:24:44.240
<v Speaker 13>And you know, Gary, I think I think your better

0:24:44.280 --> 0:24:47.440
<v Speaker 13>position to talk about that to an investor class. I mean,

0:24:48.000 --> 0:24:51.520
<v Speaker 13>you know, you talked to your investors yesterday on your

0:24:51.560 --> 0:24:54.119
<v Speaker 13>earnings call, and they asked you about the potential of

0:24:54.160 --> 0:24:56.919
<v Speaker 13>beginning mining in the United States anytime soon, and you

0:24:57.000 --> 0:24:59.960
<v Speaker 13>effectively told them, probably it's not going to happen any

0:25:00.080 --> 0:25:03.119
<v Speaker 13>time soon. So where is kind of the upside here.

0:25:03.760 --> 0:25:09.160
<v Speaker 12>We've been working on acquiring leases in both Montana and Alaska.

0:25:09.320 --> 0:25:12.720
<v Speaker 12>We've acquired close to thirty thousand acres of property in

0:25:12.720 --> 0:25:16.480
<v Speaker 12>Alaska and we've taken over the mountain area where our

0:25:16.600 --> 0:25:18.879
<v Speaker 12>smelter is. It used to be an area that we

0:25:19.000 --> 0:25:22.840
<v Speaker 12>mined some twenty years ago. So it's coming right now.

0:25:22.880 --> 0:25:26.680
<v Speaker 12>We're held up by permitting. We spiled permits in Alaska

0:25:26.720 --> 0:25:29.760
<v Speaker 12>back in May. And so getting back to your question,

0:25:29.880 --> 0:25:33.080
<v Speaker 12>why isn't this being done? The EPA, the federal government,

0:25:33.119 --> 0:25:37.520
<v Speaker 12>whether it be the Force Service, the BLM, native tribes,

0:25:37.880 --> 0:25:40.840
<v Speaker 12>everybody tried to stop mining in the United States and

0:25:41.280 --> 0:25:45.040
<v Speaker 12>unfortunately our laws allowed that. And that's why you see

0:25:45.200 --> 0:25:48.120
<v Speaker 12>mining occurring all over the world except the US. It's

0:25:48.119 --> 0:25:51.440
<v Speaker 12>coming back. There's no doubt this administration is very pro

0:25:51.520 --> 0:25:55.400
<v Speaker 12>mining and we have the resources. There's no question that

0:25:55.440 --> 0:25:58.200
<v Speaker 12>we can meet the demand for the United States with

0:25:58.440 --> 0:26:01.040
<v Speaker 12>just our Alaska properties, no doubt about that, and that's

0:26:01.080 --> 0:26:03.280
<v Speaker 12>going to happen soon. I would think in the next

0:26:03.320 --> 0:26:05.840
<v Speaker 12>thirty days we'll be able to bring our first loads

0:26:06.160 --> 0:26:11.000
<v Speaker 12>of antimony truck from Alaska to our facility in Thompson Falls, Montana.

0:26:11.119 --> 0:26:14.600
<v Speaker 5>Garry, how would you describe the conversations now with members

0:26:14.600 --> 0:26:18.520
<v Speaker 5>of the Trump administration with this government versus your conversations

0:26:18.920 --> 0:26:21.080
<v Speaker 5>during the Biden administration. How are they different.

0:26:22.240 --> 0:26:25.600
<v Speaker 12>Well, we started talking to the Department of Defense back

0:26:25.720 --> 0:26:30.639
<v Speaker 12>last September. This is right when China banned all antimony

0:26:30.680 --> 0:26:33.119
<v Speaker 12>sales to any country in the world. In course, our

0:26:33.160 --> 0:26:36.280
<v Speaker 12>Department of Defense was getting all their antimony from China,

0:26:36.359 --> 0:26:39.800
<v Speaker 12>so it raised a lot of red flags. And we've

0:26:39.800 --> 0:26:45.080
<v Speaker 12>been negotiating various agreements and contracts with the Department Defense

0:26:45.119 --> 0:26:47.560
<v Speaker 12>and the DLA since that period of time.

0:26:48.119 --> 0:26:48.919
<v Speaker 7>As we mentioned on.

0:26:48.920 --> 0:26:52.040
<v Speaker 12>The call yesterday, were very close we think to announcing

0:26:52.080 --> 0:26:55.840
<v Speaker 12>some things. It's not done yet, but there's definitely a

0:26:56.000 --> 0:27:00.199
<v Speaker 12>mindset change. Addressing your question from the Biden administration to

0:27:00.240 --> 0:27:04.080
<v Speaker 12>the Trump administration, for instance, we'll have to respond to

0:27:04.160 --> 0:27:07.720
<v Speaker 12>a request from the DoD and they say, can you

0:27:07.760 --> 0:27:09.240
<v Speaker 12>have it to us by Friday, We give it to

0:27:09.320 --> 0:27:12.240
<v Speaker 12>them Friday five o'clock and by eight thirty Monday morning.

0:27:12.280 --> 0:27:14.919
<v Speaker 12>We have a redline response. It's not very often you

0:27:14.920 --> 0:27:17.840
<v Speaker 12>see the government working over the weekend, so there's no question.

0:27:18.240 --> 0:27:22.440
<v Speaker 12>This is a high ticket item with our existing administration,

0:27:22.640 --> 0:27:24.040
<v Speaker 12>and there's a fire been lit.

0:27:24.240 --> 0:27:24.520
<v Speaker 7>Gary.

0:27:24.760 --> 0:27:26.600
<v Speaker 13>Despite the fact that you're getting a lot more attention

0:27:26.600 --> 0:27:28.639
<v Speaker 13>from the Trump administration and they seem to be speeding

0:27:28.640 --> 0:27:31.480
<v Speaker 13>things up, I'd still ask what is the hold up?

0:27:31.760 --> 0:27:33.240
<v Speaker 13>And I know this was a big question you got

0:27:33.240 --> 0:27:35.760
<v Speaker 13>on the call yesterday with investors. They kind of seem

0:27:35.760 --> 0:27:37.000
<v Speaker 13>to be saying, when are you going to get some

0:27:37.040 --> 0:27:39.239
<v Speaker 13>sort of announcement from the government. What's going on?

0:27:41.880 --> 0:27:45.879
<v Speaker 12>We're in a period where contractual changes are being made.

0:27:46.280 --> 0:27:49.359
<v Speaker 12>There was an open comment period respect to the DLA

0:27:49.480 --> 0:27:54.800
<v Speaker 12>that ended actually yesterday afternoon. So I'm very confident we're

0:27:54.840 --> 0:27:58.040
<v Speaker 12>near the finish line. But it has taken amount of time,

0:27:58.160 --> 0:28:00.280
<v Speaker 12>and there's been a lot of reasons that I can't

0:28:00.320 --> 0:28:03.959
<v Speaker 12>really talk about today for that delay, but we had

0:28:04.080 --> 0:28:07.120
<v Speaker 12>we have to make sure that whatever contract or whatever

0:28:07.359 --> 0:28:10.520
<v Speaker 12>agreement we signed with the government is beneficial to our shareholders.

0:28:10.800 --> 0:28:13.400
<v Speaker 12>In the first drafts were not and so we had

0:28:13.400 --> 0:28:16.719
<v Speaker 12>to make sure that we negotiated as best we could

0:28:17.000 --> 0:28:19.800
<v Speaker 12>to maximize the value for our shareholders, but also give

0:28:20.040 --> 0:28:23.520
<v Speaker 12>the federal government a fair trade. You know, we're we're

0:28:23.359 --> 0:28:26.159
<v Speaker 12>we pay taxes, we know, and so it was it

0:28:26.200 --> 0:28:27.359
<v Speaker 12>was that was very necessary.

0:28:27.680 --> 0:28:31.720
<v Speaker 3>Forgive me if I miss this, But is the agreement

0:28:31.760 --> 0:28:33.919
<v Speaker 3>that you might be working out with the government akin

0:28:33.960 --> 0:28:37.480
<v Speaker 3>to what we saw with MP Materials, which has a

0:28:38.160 --> 0:28:41.120
<v Speaker 3>four hundred million dollar equity investment by the Department of

0:28:41.200 --> 0:28:44.800
<v Speaker 3>Defense into the company. And we know that MP Materials

0:28:44.840 --> 0:28:49.440
<v Speaker 3>is certainly working specifically in the rare earth materials area.

0:28:49.640 --> 0:28:55.040
<v Speaker 3>So could it possibly be that the government DoD makes

0:28:55.040 --> 0:28:57.560
<v Speaker 3>an equity investment in you guys as part of an

0:28:57.600 --> 0:29:00.880
<v Speaker 3>agreement so that you can do what you need to

0:29:01.160 --> 0:29:04.600
<v Speaker 3>in terms of ramping up either production or your facilities.

0:29:05.800 --> 0:29:09.520
<v Speaker 12>So obviously that's on the table. I think with us,

0:29:09.560 --> 0:29:11.680
<v Speaker 12>as well as a lot of other companies, I think

0:29:11.720 --> 0:29:13.720
<v Speaker 12>we're in a little bit unique position in that we

0:29:13.840 --> 0:29:16.400
<v Speaker 12>have a four hundred and fifty million dollar market cap,

0:29:16.720 --> 0:29:18.920
<v Speaker 12>we have our own cash, we have our own capital.

0:29:19.480 --> 0:29:23.160
<v Speaker 12>We need more of a big brother than a huge

0:29:23.280 --> 0:29:28.320
<v Speaker 12>capital investment. Now, as we ramp up this year and

0:29:28.400 --> 0:29:30.640
<v Speaker 12>do the things that we've told the public we plan

0:29:30.680 --> 0:29:33.120
<v Speaker 12>on doing and the DoD I think there's a very

0:29:33.120 --> 0:29:35.920
<v Speaker 12>good chance in twenty twenty six if we want to

0:29:35.920 --> 0:29:38.520
<v Speaker 12>do another smelter, if we want to do another project.

0:29:38.800 --> 0:29:41.800
<v Speaker 12>We also are involved in tungsten and cobalt other two

0:29:41.840 --> 0:29:45.520
<v Speaker 12>other critical minerals, then those type of opportunities exist. But

0:29:45.560 --> 0:29:48.440
<v Speaker 12>what we're negotiating today and have been for the last

0:29:48.480 --> 0:29:52.920
<v Speaker 12>eight months is something different. It's very positive for our company,

0:29:52.920 --> 0:29:55.520
<v Speaker 12>but it's not a direct investment by the government.

0:29:55.640 --> 0:29:57.680
<v Speaker 13>Gary, I want to kind of bring people into what's

0:29:57.680 --> 0:29:59.920
<v Speaker 13>at stake here, or at least what is being said

0:30:00.080 --> 0:30:04.920
<v Speaker 13>is at stake. As you mentioned, the Chinese officials put

0:30:04.920 --> 0:30:09.440
<v Speaker 13>an export control on antimony, which came well after the

0:30:09.520 --> 0:30:11.680
<v Speaker 13>germanium and gallium that so many people talked about a

0:30:11.680 --> 0:30:15.080
<v Speaker 13>couple years ago. Have you guys experienced any of these

0:30:15.080 --> 0:30:18.720
<v Speaker 13>effects of export controls on antimony from China?

0:30:20.320 --> 0:30:21.960
<v Speaker 7>Yes, unfortunately we have.

0:30:22.680 --> 0:30:26.360
<v Speaker 12>We were acquiring material from a company out of Australia

0:30:26.960 --> 0:30:30.000
<v Speaker 12>and we were taking that material their fifty five ton

0:30:30.160 --> 0:30:35.480
<v Speaker 12>container loads to our smelter in Madero, Mexico, and that particular,

0:30:35.720 --> 0:30:40.000
<v Speaker 12>this third load that we acquired was transloaded over in

0:30:40.160 --> 0:30:44.360
<v Speaker 12>China in April and the Chinese customs confiscated our container,

0:30:44.400 --> 0:30:47.160
<v Speaker 12>took it off the ship and held it for ninety days,

0:30:47.560 --> 0:30:50.920
<v Speaker 12>gave us no reason. All the paperwork was correct, it

0:30:50.920 --> 0:30:54.080
<v Speaker 12>had been paid for, and we finally had to get

0:30:54.080 --> 0:30:57.440
<v Speaker 12>the State Department in the White House involved for some reason.

0:30:57.520 --> 0:31:01.800
<v Speaker 12>Finally they released it. It showed back up in Australia,

0:31:01.880 --> 0:31:04.240
<v Speaker 12>did not come to us. They sent it back to Australia.

0:31:04.720 --> 0:31:07.000
<v Speaker 12>Was arrived there about three or four days ago. It's

0:31:07.080 --> 0:31:08.680
<v Speaker 12>currently ownership to Mexico.

0:31:08.760 --> 0:31:08.920
<v Speaker 7>Now.

0:31:09.000 --> 0:31:13.080
<v Speaker 12>So from now on, obviously, whoever we buy antimony from,

0:31:13.200 --> 0:31:15.800
<v Speaker 12>we're in a putting in our contracts. They cannot stop

0:31:15.800 --> 0:31:19.320
<v Speaker 12>in China because China did this. For whatever reason, we

0:31:19.360 --> 0:31:22.600
<v Speaker 12>know this company used to sell antimony to China. Maybe

0:31:22.640 --> 0:31:25.000
<v Speaker 12>they were mad the fact I said US antimony on

0:31:25.080 --> 0:31:27.640
<v Speaker 12>it maybe was ticked them off. I don't know, but

0:31:28.280 --> 0:31:30.320
<v Speaker 12>they definitely made a statement with what they did.

0:31:30.560 --> 0:31:33.160
<v Speaker 5>We're speaking with Gary Evans, chairman and CEO of United

0:31:33.200 --> 0:31:37.040
<v Speaker 5>States Antimony Corps, also with US US Economic stake Craft

0:31:37.040 --> 0:31:37.960
<v Speaker 5>reporter Joe Dell.

0:31:39.160 --> 0:31:42.520
<v Speaker 13>Gary a follow up on that, I mean, what does this,

0:31:42.840 --> 0:31:46.280
<v Speaker 13>what does this really say, I like, should people actually

0:31:46.320 --> 0:31:49.520
<v Speaker 13>be concerned? I mean, eventually your antimony is getting to

0:31:49.560 --> 0:31:55.120
<v Speaker 13>you here at your Mexico location, Like, are are sounding

0:31:55.160 --> 0:31:56.680
<v Speaker 13>too many alarm bells on this front?

0:31:58.160 --> 0:31:58.800
<v Speaker 7>I don't think so.

0:31:59.200 --> 0:32:02.840
<v Speaker 12>I really, I doubt in our lifetimes we'll ever see

0:32:02.920 --> 0:32:06.240
<v Speaker 12>antimony coming out of China again. We know their largest

0:32:06.560 --> 0:32:10.720
<v Speaker 12>minor was depleted last year. Ever, and so ever, I

0:32:10.720 --> 0:32:13.040
<v Speaker 12>don't think we'll ever see antimony coming out of China.

0:32:13.080 --> 0:32:16.920
<v Speaker 12>There is truly a worldwide shortage of this product. It

0:32:17.000 --> 0:32:19.440
<v Speaker 12>is so difficult for us to find product. That's why

0:32:19.440 --> 0:32:22.000
<v Speaker 12>we went and started mining it ourselves. There's just not

0:32:22.160 --> 0:32:22.800
<v Speaker 12>any supply.

0:32:23.360 --> 0:32:26.880
<v Speaker 5>Presidents love to talk about energy independence, it doesn't matter

0:32:26.920 --> 0:32:29.440
<v Speaker 5>if they're Democrats or Republicans. Do we get to a

0:32:29.520 --> 0:32:33.840
<v Speaker 5>point where they can talk about antimony independence and we

0:32:33.880 --> 0:32:36.800
<v Speaker 5>can get one percent of what the US needs from

0:32:36.920 --> 0:32:37.720
<v Speaker 5>US supplies?

0:32:38.800 --> 0:32:41.520
<v Speaker 12>I have no doubt that we can meet all the

0:32:41.560 --> 0:32:45.840
<v Speaker 12>needs of our government as well as our industrial customers

0:32:46.200 --> 0:32:48.480
<v Speaker 12>from Canada, the United States, and Mexico.

0:32:48.560 --> 0:32:49.960
<v Speaker 7>We don't need to go anywhere else.

0:32:50.080 --> 0:32:53.480
<v Speaker 12>When When will we be able to do that in

0:32:53.160 --> 0:32:55.000
<v Speaker 12>the next three to five years.

0:32:55.080 --> 0:32:56.240
<v Speaker 7>It's not going to happen overnight.

0:32:56.360 --> 0:32:57.800
<v Speaker 5>You know, in the last few years, you would have

0:32:57.840 --> 0:33:00.640
<v Speaker 5>said Canada, United States, and Mexico and I have thought, okay,

0:33:00.640 --> 0:33:03.480
<v Speaker 5>that could work. These countries can all work together. But

0:33:03.520 --> 0:33:05.840
<v Speaker 5>over the last few months we've seen trade tensions flare,

0:33:06.000 --> 0:33:08.520
<v Speaker 5>especially with our neighbors to the north and our neighbors

0:33:08.520 --> 0:33:10.160
<v Speaker 5>to the south. How does that affect the way you

0:33:10.200 --> 0:33:12.240
<v Speaker 5>look at the industry in your own business.

0:33:12.720 --> 0:33:15.560
<v Speaker 12>No question that. You know, Mexico has a new president.

0:33:15.640 --> 0:33:18.640
<v Speaker 12>She's very anti mining. Fortunately the minds that we have

0:33:18.720 --> 0:33:21.920
<v Speaker 12>in Mexico or grandfather, but you know, there needs to

0:33:21.960 --> 0:33:23.320
<v Speaker 12>be greater collaboration.

0:33:23.480 --> 0:33:23.680
<v Speaker 6>Now.

0:33:23.760 --> 0:33:25.920
<v Speaker 12>The DD looks at Canada dislike it was in the

0:33:26.040 --> 0:33:28.560
<v Speaker 12>United States. So any project we find up there, the

0:33:28.640 --> 0:33:31.840
<v Speaker 12>DoD likes it and looks at it as a domiciled country.

0:33:31.960 --> 0:33:34.360
<v Speaker 3>Great is that as a separate country or because they

0:33:34.360 --> 0:33:35.160
<v Speaker 3>want to take it over?

0:33:35.880 --> 0:33:38.000
<v Speaker 12>Well, you know the fifty first state, of course, is

0:33:38.040 --> 0:33:39.000
<v Speaker 12>what I'm talking about now.

0:33:39.600 --> 0:33:43.520
<v Speaker 3>So you're saying relations between the two nations are comfortable,

0:33:43.920 --> 0:33:47.120
<v Speaker 3>and despite what we have in the headlines, you're saying

0:33:47.120 --> 0:33:50.160
<v Speaker 3>that they are working and cooperating because they understand they

0:33:50.240 --> 0:33:51.040
<v Speaker 3>kind of need each other.

0:33:52.040 --> 0:33:55.120
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, Canada needs antimony just as bad as the United

0:33:55.120 --> 0:33:59.880
<v Speaker 12>States needs antimony and Canada is a very pro mining country.

0:34:00.200 --> 0:34:03.120
<v Speaker 12>So that's why we have a lot of activities like

0:34:03.160 --> 0:34:06.000
<v Speaker 12>I mentioned in tungsten and cobalt in Canada Gary.

0:34:06.160 --> 0:34:11.719
<v Speaker 13>These conversations you have with defense officials, how dire are

0:34:11.760 --> 0:34:16.040
<v Speaker 13>they indicating to you that the antimony shortage is for them?

0:34:17.239 --> 0:34:20.640
<v Speaker 12>When you see the announcements will be making, you'll understand

0:34:20.719 --> 0:34:24.239
<v Speaker 12>it's pretty dire. We have the lowest we have the

0:34:24.280 --> 0:34:28.799
<v Speaker 12>lowest amount of antimony supplies in the inventory for our

0:34:28.800 --> 0:34:31.520
<v Speaker 12>government since World War Two. You got to remember we're

0:34:31.560 --> 0:34:35.640
<v Speaker 12>funding Israel, we're funding Ukraine, and we've dwindled our supplies

0:34:35.680 --> 0:34:38.000
<v Speaker 12>and at the same time China cut us off. So

0:34:38.320 --> 0:34:40.600
<v Speaker 12>it's a double edged sword. People are waking up that hey,

0:34:40.640 --> 0:34:41.360
<v Speaker 12>we have a problem.

0:34:41.760 --> 0:34:43.759
<v Speaker 5>So what does that mean for national defense? Like, what

0:34:43.760 --> 0:34:47.080
<v Speaker 5>would your message be to viewers and listeners right now

0:34:47.160 --> 0:34:49.040
<v Speaker 5>about how critical this mineral is.

0:34:50.800 --> 0:34:55.000
<v Speaker 12>It's a it's an extremely critical mineral. And there's there's

0:34:56.080 --> 0:34:59.239
<v Speaker 12>you know, people that have tried to replicate antimony with

0:34:59.280 --> 0:35:01.640
<v Speaker 12>other synthetic antimony and hasn't worked very well at all.

0:35:01.680 --> 0:35:04.040
<v Speaker 12>In fact, it's three times expensive. I do think they'll

0:35:04.080 --> 0:35:07.520
<v Speaker 12>be continued upward pressure on the price because we cannot

0:35:07.520 --> 0:35:10.280
<v Speaker 12>meet we can't come close to meet our customer's demands.

0:35:10.320 --> 0:35:13.520
<v Speaker 12>We're we're changing that. We have a substantial expansion going

0:35:13.560 --> 0:35:15.160
<v Speaker 12>on in Montana that'll be done by the end of

0:35:15.200 --> 0:35:17.719
<v Speaker 12>the year. But you know, it's just going to take

0:35:17.760 --> 0:35:19.319
<v Speaker 12>some time. It's not going to happen overnight. It's not

0:35:19.360 --> 0:35:21.920
<v Speaker 12>like there's a huge pile of antimony sitting over here

0:35:21.920 --> 0:35:25.520
<v Speaker 12>in some country waiting to go to market. It's all depleted,

0:35:25.600 --> 0:35:30.240
<v Speaker 12>so we're having to find new areas to find the ore.

0:35:30.280 --> 0:35:33.600
<v Speaker 3>Gary, how long has the dwindling supply issue been going

0:35:33.640 --> 0:35:35.480
<v Speaker 3>on for? And I'm just curious if you had conversations

0:35:35.480 --> 0:35:37.759
<v Speaker 3>with the Bidy administration as well.

0:35:37.920 --> 0:35:38.200
<v Speaker 7>Well.

0:35:38.960 --> 0:35:42.680
<v Speaker 12>Because China was selling so much antimony around the world,

0:35:42.719 --> 0:35:47.759
<v Speaker 12>nobody cared about it. China kept the price artificially low, less.

0:35:47.280 --> 0:35:48.400
<v Speaker 7>Than five dollars a pound.

0:35:48.440 --> 0:35:51.200
<v Speaker 12>Today the price is twenty five to twenty seven dollars

0:35:51.239 --> 0:35:54.160
<v Speaker 12>a pound and probably going higher. I really believe we'll

0:35:54.160 --> 0:35:56.560
<v Speaker 12>see fifty dollars a pound in the next year. So

0:35:58.600 --> 0:36:01.000
<v Speaker 12>you know, the fact that we were so fact that

0:36:01.360 --> 0:36:05.520
<v Speaker 12>we're so dependent upon China and had blindfolds on that

0:36:05.680 --> 0:36:07.879
<v Speaker 12>all of a sudden, they cut it off had nothing

0:36:07.920 --> 0:36:10.919
<v Speaker 12>to do with Trump coming in office. This happened last September,

0:36:11.040 --> 0:36:13.960
<v Speaker 12>so it's been a year since they cut everybody off.

0:36:13.960 --> 0:36:15.280
<v Speaker 7>It's not just the United States.

0:36:15.480 --> 0:36:18.320
<v Speaker 12>They cut off every country in the world, the European Union,

0:36:18.640 --> 0:36:21.319
<v Speaker 12>all other countries that were buying antimony. You can sell

0:36:21.360 --> 0:36:24.200
<v Speaker 12>antimony to China when you get nothing back in return

0:36:24.280 --> 0:36:25.280
<v Speaker 12>other than cash.

0:36:25.360 --> 0:36:28.480
<v Speaker 13>Gary, what's the biggest hurdle US antimony faces right now

0:36:28.960 --> 0:36:32.359
<v Speaker 13>in getting more antimony production up and out the door.

0:36:33.280 --> 0:36:37.120
<v Speaker 12>If I had my permits right now in Alaska and

0:36:37.160 --> 0:36:42.160
<v Speaker 12>in Montana, I'd have antimony in our smelters. I don't

0:36:42.160 --> 0:36:45.760
<v Speaker 12>have those permits yet. And you know, we're doing everything

0:36:45.800 --> 0:36:48.560
<v Speaker 12>we can to speed it along. There's people in Alaska

0:36:48.600 --> 0:36:51.560
<v Speaker 12>that don't want to see mining, and the group called

0:36:51.600 --> 0:36:52.480
<v Speaker 12>Save our Domes.

0:36:52.880 --> 0:36:54.200
<v Speaker 7>We've done pr work.

0:36:54.239 --> 0:36:57.760
<v Speaker 12>We're doing everything we can to a greeze the skids

0:36:57.760 --> 0:36:59.799
<v Speaker 12>to make sure that people understand that.

0:36:59.800 --> 0:37:01.000
<v Speaker 7>We're we're trying to clean up.

0:37:01.040 --> 0:37:03.440
<v Speaker 12>This is antimony left on the ground the last one

0:37:03.480 --> 0:37:07.440
<v Speaker 12>hundred years from gold miners in Alaska. We're picking it up,

0:37:07.480 --> 0:37:09.920
<v Speaker 12>putting in super sacks, and bringing it to Montana. We're

0:37:09.960 --> 0:37:12.600
<v Speaker 12>cleaning up the place and people are fighting that. So

0:37:12.960 --> 0:37:15.600
<v Speaker 12>it's an education process that we've got a lot of

0:37:15.600 --> 0:37:19.400
<v Speaker 12>pr we're doing, and we're obviously working with senators, House members,

0:37:19.600 --> 0:37:21.799
<v Speaker 12>we're working with the President. We're working with a lot

0:37:21.840 --> 0:37:24.319
<v Speaker 12>of people. You'll see some other news about that next week.

0:37:24.440 --> 0:37:27.360
<v Speaker 13>Gary, would would the Defense Department be your only customer?

0:37:29.280 --> 0:37:35.160
<v Speaker 12>We currently have seventeen industrial customers. We have one particular customer.

0:37:35.480 --> 0:37:37.600
<v Speaker 12>It would take one hundred percent of our supply. So

0:37:37.640 --> 0:37:40.439
<v Speaker 12>that gives you an idea. The industrial side is much

0:37:40.520 --> 0:37:43.920
<v Speaker 12>greater than the Department of Defense. And that's you know,

0:37:44.000 --> 0:37:46.399
<v Speaker 12>one thing in these contracts we're been working on. They've

0:37:46.400 --> 0:37:49.600
<v Speaker 12>made sure that we don't take away the business from

0:37:49.640 --> 0:37:52.240
<v Speaker 12>the industrial side. And that's why we're ramping up. Because

0:37:52.280 --> 0:37:55.680
<v Speaker 12>the government needs a stockpile which they currently don't have.

0:37:56.080 --> 0:37:58.120
<v Speaker 7>And we're the only provider. There's nobody else.

0:37:58.160 --> 0:38:01.880
<v Speaker 12>It's China's us antimony and a smelter in Belgium.

0:38:01.880 --> 0:38:03.520
<v Speaker 7>That's it for the whole world.

0:38:03.600 --> 0:38:04.840
<v Speaker 4>All Right, We're gonna have to leave it there. I

0:38:04.880 --> 0:38:06.319
<v Speaker 4>got to say, this is one of those interviews. I

0:38:06.360 --> 0:38:07.160
<v Speaker 4>know Joe knows this.

0:38:07.120 --> 0:38:11.240
<v Speaker 3>Stuff, but I certainly take a lot away from it. Great, Gary,

0:38:11.280 --> 0:38:14.120
<v Speaker 3>thank you so much Gary Evans, chairman CEO of US Antimony,

0:38:14.760 --> 0:38:16.919
<v Speaker 3>joining us from our bureau in Dallas, and of course

0:38:16.920 --> 0:38:19.160
<v Speaker 3>our in house expert on all things when it comes

0:38:19.200 --> 0:38:21.359
<v Speaker 3>to mining, Bloomberg News Economic.

0:38:21.000 --> 0:38:22.280
<v Speaker 4>Statecraft reporter Jodoe.

0:38:22.280 --> 0:38:24.560
<v Speaker 3>By the way, shares of US antimony timp there up

0:38:24.560 --> 0:38:27.880
<v Speaker 3>about one hundred and seventeen percent here to day.

0:38:31.440 --> 0:38:35.319
<v Speaker 2>This is the Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast. Listen live

0:38:35.400 --> 0:38:38.640
<v Speaker 2>each weekday starting at two pm Eastern on Apple CarPlay

0:38:38.719 --> 0:38:41.360
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0:38:41.400 --> 0:38:44.600
<v Speaker 2>can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship

0:38:44.640 --> 0:38:48.160
<v Speaker 2>New York station Just Say Alexa. Played Bloomberg eleven.

0:38:47.920 --> 0:38:50.800
<v Speaker 3>Thirty plenty ahead in our second hour of the weekend

0:38:50.920 --> 0:38:53.400
<v Speaker 3>edition of Bloomberg Business Week, including a check on the

0:38:53.400 --> 0:38:56.160
<v Speaker 3>New York City luxury real estate market, who's buying and

0:38:56.200 --> 0:38:57.520
<v Speaker 3>who's paying in cash?

0:38:57.680 --> 0:39:00.840
<v Speaker 5>Plus the most stunning and rare ours from around the

0:39:00.840 --> 0:39:03.680
<v Speaker 5>world are taking center stage at this year's Pebble Beach

0:39:03.760 --> 0:39:07.959
<v Speaker 5>Concorde Elegance. We talk with the chairman, Sandra Button.

0:39:07.800 --> 0:39:10.319
<v Speaker 3>Firstep this hour. Green firms in the United States have

0:39:10.320 --> 0:39:13.680
<v Speaker 3>found something of a lifeline in artificial intelligence after being

0:39:13.719 --> 0:39:17.239
<v Speaker 3>bogged down by high interest rates, shrinking funding, and more recently,

0:39:17.640 --> 0:39:20.160
<v Speaker 3>President Trump's sharp rollback of support.

0:39:20.320 --> 0:39:23.319
<v Speaker 5>Our Bloomberg New Energy Finance team recently pointed out that

0:39:23.400 --> 0:39:26.520
<v Speaker 5>clean tech companies that have inked deals to support data

0:39:26.520 --> 0:39:29.800
<v Speaker 5>centers have seen their stock sore this year, out performing

0:39:29.880 --> 0:39:32.400
<v Speaker 5>the S and P five hundred. That includes the stock

0:39:32.440 --> 0:39:35.680
<v Speaker 5>price of fuel cell provider Bloom Energy, which as we

0:39:35.760 --> 0:39:38.480
<v Speaker 5>put our show to bed this week, nearly doubled so

0:39:38.600 --> 0:39:41.360
<v Speaker 5>far this year and as a roughly ten billion dollar

0:39:41.440 --> 0:39:42.320
<v Speaker 5>market cap.

0:39:42.200 --> 0:39:44.799
<v Speaker 3>And shares of Bloom Energy continue to rally big time

0:39:44.920 --> 0:39:45.880
<v Speaker 3>again this week.

0:39:46.239 --> 0:39:46.520
<v Speaker 14>K R.

0:39:46.600 --> 0:39:49.680
<v Speaker 3>Shreeter is founder, chairman, and CEO bloom Energy. He joined

0:39:49.680 --> 0:39:52.680
<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg's David Gore and me to discuss the impact of

0:39:52.760 --> 0:39:54.960
<v Speaker 3>AI on its business and a lot more.

0:39:55.440 --> 0:39:59.560
<v Speaker 15>This is an amazing time yeah in human history where

0:39:59.600 --> 0:40:04.000
<v Speaker 15>we have no seeing the need for power growth anywhere

0:40:04.239 --> 0:40:06.279
<v Speaker 15>close to what we are seeing today. Let me put

0:40:06.320 --> 0:40:10.080
<v Speaker 15>it in perspective, the amount of power that the big

0:40:10.239 --> 0:40:13.520
<v Speaker 15>hyperscalers are saying they need between now and twenty thirty

0:40:14.640 --> 0:40:19.600
<v Speaker 15>is equal to all the power every single family home

0:40:19.760 --> 0:40:22.919
<v Speaker 15>in the US put together would need about eighty five

0:40:22.960 --> 0:40:26.800
<v Speaker 15>million single family homes Give or day all the power

0:40:26.800 --> 0:40:29.840
<v Speaker 15>that they use is going to be needed in addition

0:40:29.960 --> 0:40:32.840
<v Speaker 15>to the power we have today to just power the

0:40:32.840 --> 0:40:37.440
<v Speaker 15>AI data service. That's how large this opportunity is. And

0:40:37.640 --> 0:40:42.560
<v Speaker 15>very clearly the old model of centralized power plants with

0:40:42.680 --> 0:40:47.640
<v Speaker 15>transmission distribution simply cannot meet that demand in a timely fashion.

0:40:48.600 --> 0:40:53.960
<v Speaker 15>That is the opportunity. And Bloom was purpose built to

0:40:54.040 --> 0:40:57.560
<v Speaker 15>provide on site power for the digital revolution, and we

0:40:57.600 --> 0:40:59.560
<v Speaker 15>are so happy to be in the right place at

0:40:59.560 --> 0:40:59.920
<v Speaker 15>the right time.

0:41:00.520 --> 0:41:02.960
<v Speaker 16>Well, help us understand how the company works. And you

0:41:03.040 --> 0:41:05.920
<v Speaker 16>mentioned that on site power, so what that looks like.

0:41:05.960 --> 0:41:08.440
<v Speaker 16>Of course, there's been so much conversation recent months about

0:41:08.680 --> 0:41:11.480
<v Speaker 16>perhaps the need to invest more in nuclear power or

0:41:12.000 --> 0:41:15.160
<v Speaker 16>fortify the grid, bring more power plants online. How do

0:41:15.200 --> 0:41:18.239
<v Speaker 16>you see your company as maybe not a substitution for that,

0:41:18.280 --> 0:41:21.200
<v Speaker 16>but a compliment to the kind of growth and develop

0:41:21.280 --> 0:41:23.520
<v Speaker 16>we're likely to see here in the power grid going forward.

0:41:24.760 --> 0:41:27.000
<v Speaker 15>I think we're going to need all forms of power

0:41:27.120 --> 0:41:30.800
<v Speaker 15>in very large quantities going forward to meet our ratios

0:41:31.600 --> 0:41:34.560
<v Speaker 15>like energy needs. However, in the short term, if you

0:41:34.640 --> 0:41:39.640
<v Speaker 15>take five to ten years, natural gas to electricity is

0:41:39.680 --> 0:41:43.760
<v Speaker 15>going to be the single largest contributor to this additionality,

0:41:44.320 --> 0:41:48.560
<v Speaker 15>what Bloom does. It takes natural gas without burning it,

0:41:48.640 --> 0:41:52.759
<v Speaker 15>without combustin. We extract the chemical energy in it using

0:41:52.760 --> 0:41:57.239
<v Speaker 15>a fuel cell and make electricity at the highest efficiency

0:41:58.440 --> 0:42:02.960
<v Speaker 15>without air pollution, without noise in our generators because they

0:42:03.000 --> 0:42:06.359
<v Speaker 15>have quiet, solid state and a very high reliability.

0:42:06.840 --> 0:42:11.040
<v Speaker 7>For those reasons, if you are in a.

0:42:10.960 --> 0:42:14.719
<v Speaker 15>Neighborhood that is going to have a data center, we

0:42:14.760 --> 0:42:17.520
<v Speaker 15>are your best choice because we don't pollute your air,

0:42:18.080 --> 0:42:21.400
<v Speaker 15>we don't use water, and we don't make any noise

0:42:21.760 --> 0:42:26.279
<v Speaker 15>as we generate this reliable power, So you can have

0:42:26.800 --> 0:42:31.360
<v Speaker 15>the economic advantage that a data center brings to the

0:42:31.600 --> 0:42:35.759
<v Speaker 15>local community. At the same time, you're not compromising on

0:42:35.800 --> 0:42:36.280
<v Speaker 15>your health.

0:42:36.560 --> 0:42:38.560
<v Speaker 3>So one thing I want to ask you, actually, our

0:42:38.600 --> 0:42:40.719
<v Speaker 3>Will Wade does who really covers this space? And we

0:42:40.719 --> 0:42:42.680
<v Speaker 3>were talking about you coming on and he said, well,

0:42:42.719 --> 0:42:44.920
<v Speaker 3>wait a minute, let's talk about these fuel cells for

0:42:45.040 --> 0:42:49.000
<v Speaker 3>data centers. Can fuel cells really work for this? What

0:42:49.080 --> 0:42:52.840
<v Speaker 3>evidence have you guys seen that it does really work?

0:42:53.960 --> 0:42:59.759
<v Speaker 15>So, yeah, that's a great question. The issue is we

0:43:00.080 --> 0:43:04.040
<v Speaker 15>are progressing so fast in our technology at ai speed

0:43:04.680 --> 0:43:07.000
<v Speaker 15>that some people that have looked at fuel sales ten

0:43:07.080 --> 0:43:09.560
<v Speaker 15>years ago and have that notion of who we are

0:43:10.000 --> 0:43:13.360
<v Speaker 15>don't understand where we are today as a company. We

0:43:13.640 --> 0:43:17.440
<v Speaker 15>already are powering more than half a gigawa worth of

0:43:17.560 --> 0:43:21.880
<v Speaker 15>data center because our total installed capacity for data centers

0:43:22.120 --> 0:43:24.759
<v Speaker 15>is more than half a gigawat. So we're not a concept.

0:43:24.840 --> 0:43:27.960
<v Speaker 15>We are not a PowerPoint. We're actually producing power for

0:43:28.040 --> 0:43:31.960
<v Speaker 15>these data centers. And this year alone we have increased

0:43:31.960 --> 0:43:35.640
<v Speaker 15>our capacity to one giga what a year, and we

0:43:35.719 --> 0:43:38.560
<v Speaker 15>announced in our earnings call that by end of next

0:43:38.680 --> 0:43:41.239
<v Speaker 15>year we can do two gigawards a year. That's two

0:43:41.400 --> 0:43:44.120
<v Speaker 15>nuclear power plants worth of power coming out of our

0:43:44.200 --> 0:43:48.960
<v Speaker 15>factory next year. And you know how long it takes

0:43:48.960 --> 0:43:51.400
<v Speaker 15>to build a nuclear power plant and actually commission it.

0:43:51.719 --> 0:43:55.279
<v Speaker 15>So we are no longer a concept. We are a

0:43:55.480 --> 0:44:00.480
<v Speaker 15>mature technology that is affordable and can compete with other

0:44:00.560 --> 0:44:04.640
<v Speaker 15>technologies that don't have as good attributes as we do Strata.

0:44:04.680 --> 0:44:06.279
<v Speaker 16>I wonder if you could talk a bit about your

0:44:06.480 --> 0:44:08.799
<v Speaker 16>business model. I know that you've announced deals with with

0:44:08.880 --> 0:44:12.200
<v Speaker 16>other companies, most recently with Oracle, of course, the company

0:44:12.200 --> 0:44:15.000
<v Speaker 16>that I know is building investing a lot in its

0:44:15.120 --> 0:44:16.720
<v Speaker 16>data center infrastructure.

0:44:18.360 --> 0:44:18.719
<v Speaker 2>Could you.

0:44:20.200 --> 0:44:22.000
<v Speaker 16>Cares for you just give us a sense here sort

0:44:22.000 --> 0:44:23.520
<v Speaker 16>of of what those deals look like. What that deal

0:44:23.560 --> 0:44:25.400
<v Speaker 16>with Oracle is like and in particular.

0:44:25.960 --> 0:44:31.560
<v Speaker 15>Yeah, David, So our customers, here's what happens. Once we

0:44:31.680 --> 0:44:35.239
<v Speaker 15>sign a deal with the customer, they either buy the

0:44:35.239 --> 0:44:39.680
<v Speaker 15>capital equipment from us, and then they also sign up

0:44:39.719 --> 0:44:42.839
<v Speaker 15>for a service contract. It's one hundred percent attached rate

0:44:42.880 --> 0:44:46.040
<v Speaker 15>because we run those units for them and we maintain

0:44:46.160 --> 0:44:51.000
<v Speaker 15>that and we offer them the promise guarantee of performance. Now,

0:44:51.719 --> 0:44:55.120
<v Speaker 15>if they don't buy the equipment as caadpex, we create

0:44:55.160 --> 0:44:58.680
<v Speaker 15>a special purpose vehicle using financing and we simply sell

0:44:58.719 --> 0:45:03.239
<v Speaker 15>them power like the utility world, except this is on

0:45:03.360 --> 0:45:07.359
<v Speaker 15>site and highly reliable and clean. So either way, when

0:45:07.440 --> 0:45:10.360
<v Speaker 15>we create a special purpose vehicle, that financial investor in

0:45:10.400 --> 0:45:14.280
<v Speaker 15>that vehicle gives us the upfront money for our capital,

0:45:14.760 --> 0:45:17.680
<v Speaker 15>and we also have an annuity revenue coming out of service.

0:45:18.040 --> 0:45:20.480
<v Speaker 15>So we have two streams of revenue if you want

0:45:20.520 --> 0:45:25.520
<v Speaker 15>to think about it. Installed capital equipment that gets paid

0:45:25.560 --> 0:45:30.640
<v Speaker 15>to us when we ship the equipment, a continuous service

0:45:30.640 --> 0:45:34.480
<v Speaker 15>annuity over the tenure of the contract. That's how we

0:45:34.480 --> 0:45:38.040
<v Speaker 15>make our money, irrespective of whether the customer actually buys

0:45:38.080 --> 0:45:40.800
<v Speaker 15>the capital equipment or a third party buys the capital

0:45:40.800 --> 0:45:45.840
<v Speaker 15>equipment and then charges the monthly rate from the customer.

0:45:45.960 --> 0:45:47.400
<v Speaker 4>Hey, kr Way, I'm curious.

0:45:47.440 --> 0:45:49.360
<v Speaker 3>I'm looking at one of my favorite functions on the

0:45:49.400 --> 0:45:51.640
<v Speaker 3>bloom markets and supply chain function, and I'm looking at

0:45:51.640 --> 0:45:57.400
<v Speaker 3>your customers. Your biggest is I think American Electric Power Company,

0:45:57.440 --> 0:46:00.799
<v Speaker 3>but I'm also looking at Alphabet Microsoft. Do you know Yep,

0:46:00.880 --> 0:46:03.759
<v Speaker 3>sound familiar. These are some of the hyperscalers. Tell me

0:46:03.840 --> 0:46:06.440
<v Speaker 3>how they are amping up their business because they're the

0:46:06.480 --> 0:46:09.719
<v Speaker 3>ones who are doing the massive, massive AI spend, but

0:46:09.760 --> 0:46:12.760
<v Speaker 3>it looks like they're a very small part of your business.

0:46:12.760 --> 0:46:16.200
<v Speaker 3>I'm just curious about what's the conversations you're having with them.

0:46:16.640 --> 0:46:18.640
<v Speaker 3>Are they ramping up to do more with you? That

0:46:18.680 --> 0:46:19.680
<v Speaker 3>would be very telling.

0:46:20.320 --> 0:46:24.120
<v Speaker 15>Yes, the answer to your question is very simple. In

0:46:24.160 --> 0:46:28.760
<v Speaker 15>the past, these hyperscalers would spend all their capital equipment

0:46:29.360 --> 0:46:32.040
<v Speaker 15>just on building the data centers and they could simply

0:46:32.120 --> 0:46:34.279
<v Speaker 15>pick up the phone and call the utility company and

0:46:34.320 --> 0:46:38.480
<v Speaker 15>they would provide the power. No longer is that a

0:46:38.480 --> 0:46:41.880
<v Speaker 15>reality because the utility does not have the amounts of

0:46:42.000 --> 0:46:48.160
<v Speaker 15>power that these hyperscalers need. So now electricity power, which

0:46:48.239 --> 0:46:52.120
<v Speaker 15>is what ultimately the data center needs to monetize the

0:46:52.200 --> 0:46:56.000
<v Speaker 15>data center, is a supply chain that comes from the

0:46:56.000 --> 0:46:58.879
<v Speaker 15>common good called the utility. So they have to own

0:46:58.920 --> 0:47:02.000
<v Speaker 15>that supply chain or they to procure from that supply Chaine,

0:47:02.200 --> 0:47:04.879
<v Speaker 15>we are very much an integral part of that supply chain.

0:47:05.160 --> 0:47:08.320
<v Speaker 15>And we are having conversations with all the hyperscalers today

0:47:08.800 --> 0:47:12.720
<v Speaker 15>and you've seen the announcement rhetorical expect to see similar

0:47:12.800 --> 0:47:17.880
<v Speaker 15>things coming soon. Our American Electric Power contract was actually

0:47:17.960 --> 0:47:20.319
<v Speaker 15>for AWS, which is another hyperscaler.

0:47:20.760 --> 0:47:23.520
<v Speaker 16>I wonder if you could situate your company and this

0:47:23.600 --> 0:47:26.239
<v Speaker 16>industry in the moment that we're in. So we're coming

0:47:26.360 --> 0:47:28.440
<v Speaker 16>out of an administration that was doing a lot to

0:47:29.360 --> 0:47:32.879
<v Speaker 16>support or encourage the adoption of alternative energy. It's why

0:47:32.920 --> 0:47:35.080
<v Speaker 16>to say this is administration that's not doing that. There's

0:47:35.160 --> 0:47:39.200
<v Speaker 16>much less impulse to do that going forward. Here, What

0:47:39.239 --> 0:47:42.160
<v Speaker 16>do you see here as the ideal role of government

0:47:42.400 --> 0:47:46.319
<v Speaker 16>in encouraging the adoption of technologies like yours? In other words,

0:47:46.360 --> 0:47:49.759
<v Speaker 16>if you'd like to see fuel cell technology take off,

0:47:49.800 --> 0:47:52.600
<v Speaker 16>be more widely adopted, what is the role of government

0:47:52.800 --> 0:47:53.640
<v Speaker 16>in making that happen?

0:47:53.840 --> 0:47:54.239
<v Speaker 7>If any?

0:47:54.840 --> 0:47:58.040
<v Speaker 15>I think a simple role that they can play going

0:47:58.160 --> 0:48:02.799
<v Speaker 15>forward is the US government, between the various government functions,

0:48:03.160 --> 0:48:07.120
<v Speaker 15>the military and the intelligence, is the largest procurer of

0:48:07.200 --> 0:48:13.000
<v Speaker 15>electricity to be able to purchase electricity from technologies that

0:48:13.080 --> 0:48:16.400
<v Speaker 15>are made in America. We are made in America technology.

0:48:16.719 --> 0:48:19.520
<v Speaker 15>No other country in the world has the technology that

0:48:19.600 --> 0:48:22.959
<v Speaker 15>we have. So they should embrace us, and they should

0:48:23.000 --> 0:48:26.120
<v Speaker 15>give us an opportunity to serve the US government, the

0:48:26.200 --> 0:48:29.280
<v Speaker 15>US military, and US intelligence and make us a really

0:48:29.320 --> 0:48:30.040
<v Speaker 15>strong country.

0:48:31.239 --> 0:48:33.800
<v Speaker 3>Well there, I was also curious about. And I'm looking

0:48:33.840 --> 0:48:37.680
<v Speaker 3>at your market cap. It's almost about nine point six

0:48:38.200 --> 0:48:42.040
<v Speaker 3>billion dollars, and it is this excitement over AI. You know,

0:48:42.120 --> 0:48:45.520
<v Speaker 3>there's all the money that's being spent care on the buildout,

0:48:45.640 --> 0:48:47.640
<v Speaker 3>and I get that, but I'm just curious. And then

0:48:47.680 --> 0:48:49.400
<v Speaker 3>there's going to be the maintenance and we might not

0:48:49.480 --> 0:48:51.680
<v Speaker 3>need as many workers. And you know, we're all trying

0:48:51.719 --> 0:48:53.880
<v Speaker 3>to get our head about around whether you know, the

0:48:53.880 --> 0:48:57.799
<v Speaker 3>boom the bust part of maybe AI after the build out,

0:48:58.239 --> 0:49:00.840
<v Speaker 3>what is the business for you? Is it maintenance? Is

0:49:00.840 --> 0:49:01.880
<v Speaker 3>it replacement values?

0:49:01.920 --> 0:49:03.040
<v Speaker 4>I'm just curious.

0:49:03.840 --> 0:49:08.920
<v Speaker 15>Oh, thank you for asking that question, Carol. The buildout

0:49:09.239 --> 0:49:12.279
<v Speaker 15>is just a tip of the iceberg. Why would these

0:49:12.480 --> 0:49:16.880
<v Speaker 15>large hyperscalers spend close to a trillion dollars worth of

0:49:16.960 --> 0:49:20.799
<v Speaker 15>capex just this year alone. If all that they're going

0:49:20.840 --> 0:49:24.440
<v Speaker 15>to do is that buildout that's the training data centers.

0:49:24.680 --> 0:49:28.319
<v Speaker 15>The inference data centers will be at least an order

0:49:28.360 --> 0:49:31.759
<v Speaker 15>of magnitude larger than these training data centers, which are

0:49:31.760 --> 0:49:38.040
<v Speaker 15>the foundation building blocks every factory, every bank, every law firm.

0:49:38.360 --> 0:49:41.440
<v Speaker 15>They're going to have inference data centers close to the edge.

0:49:41.680 --> 0:49:44.440
<v Speaker 15>And these edge data centers are going to be located

0:49:44.800 --> 0:49:47.799
<v Speaker 15>where you all live, where people are, where equipment is,

0:49:48.200 --> 0:49:53.560
<v Speaker 15>and in those congested cities, getting the additional power needed

0:49:53.920 --> 0:49:57.839
<v Speaker 15>ten to twenty megawatts in every edge data center, which

0:49:57.880 --> 0:50:01.640
<v Speaker 15>is an inference data center. We are ideally suited not

0:50:01.760 --> 0:50:03.919
<v Speaker 15>just for the large data centers, but for these age

0:50:04.000 --> 0:50:07.960
<v Speaker 15>data centers because we are non polluting, you're quiet, you're reliable,

0:50:08.080 --> 0:50:11.359
<v Speaker 15>and we can provide it on site very quickly. So

0:50:11.480 --> 0:50:15.040
<v Speaker 15>we're super excited about what we think is a really

0:50:15.160 --> 0:50:19.360
<v Speaker 15>secular phenomenon that's happening here that's going to last for

0:50:19.400 --> 0:50:21.880
<v Speaker 15>a very long time to come. This is not just

0:50:21.960 --> 0:50:26.359
<v Speaker 15>a build and bust cycle at all as far as see.

0:50:26.440 --> 0:50:28.040
<v Speaker 4>So would you say a long time? Are you saying

0:50:28.080 --> 0:50:29.160
<v Speaker 4>decades or.

0:50:29.560 --> 0:50:31.160
<v Speaker 15>I'm just going to at least a couple of decades

0:50:31.239 --> 0:50:32.520
<v Speaker 15>at least a couple of decades.

0:50:33.080 --> 0:50:35.160
<v Speaker 4>All right, good to know, we'll stay in touch.

0:50:35.440 --> 0:50:38.799
<v Speaker 3>Love to hear because you certainly have a front row

0:50:38.800 --> 0:50:41.279
<v Speaker 3>seat in terms of this spend and what is going on.

0:50:41.320 --> 0:50:44.120
<v Speaker 4>Certainly all the power that's needed. It's just kind of astounding.

0:50:44.680 --> 0:50:45.800
<v Speaker 4>Doctor K. R. Schweder.

0:50:45.920 --> 0:50:48.800
<v Speaker 3>He is founder, chairman, and chief executive officer of bloom Energy.

0:50:48.840 --> 0:50:51.400
<v Speaker 3>The stock david up another nine percent in today's session,

0:50:51.520 --> 0:50:54.600
<v Speaker 3>and it's really been on a tear this year, up

0:50:54.640 --> 0:50:55.760
<v Speaker 3>about eighty four percent.

0:50:55.880 --> 0:50:58.080
<v Speaker 16>So so interesting to talk about these companies because we

0:50:58.200 --> 0:51:00.879
<v Speaker 16>focus so much on the AI provide as we're making

0:51:00.880 --> 0:51:03.440
<v Speaker 16>these chatbots and all the developments there, but as we

0:51:03.440 --> 0:51:06.520
<v Speaker 16>were just discussing the apparatus that you need to make

0:51:06.560 --> 0:51:10.279
<v Speaker 16>all of that work so huge, so sprawling, and I'm

0:51:10.280 --> 0:51:12.120
<v Speaker 16>just fascinating every time I kind of learn what goes

0:51:12.160 --> 0:51:14.120
<v Speaker 16>into that making all of this stuff run.

0:51:14.280 --> 0:51:15.680
<v Speaker 3>Right, Right, we just hear about that kind of the

0:51:15.719 --> 0:51:17.839
<v Speaker 3>big hyper skelets, and they spend, but there's a lot

0:51:17.840 --> 0:51:19.080
<v Speaker 3>of stuff that needs to be done.

0:51:19.200 --> 0:51:23.200
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Weekdaily podcast. Catch us

0:51:23.280 --> 0:51:26.720
<v Speaker 2>live weekday afternoons from two to five pm Eastern. Listen

0:51:26.760 --> 0:51:30.239
<v Speaker 2>on Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app,

0:51:30.480 --> 0:51:32.440
<v Speaker 2>or watch us live on YouTube.

0:51:33.200 --> 0:51:36.480
<v Speaker 5>Let's talk real estate, because our Bloomberg News team reported

0:51:36.520 --> 0:51:39.160
<v Speaker 5>that Manhattan home sales in the second quarter were stronger

0:51:39.160 --> 0:51:41.799
<v Speaker 5>than they've been in almost two years. Bo'sted by cash

0:51:41.840 --> 0:51:44.879
<v Speaker 5>buyers who've been undeterred by the economic uncertainty created by

0:51:45.280 --> 0:51:48.800
<v Speaker 5>President Trump's trade war. We got some numbers here. A

0:51:48.800 --> 0:51:51.080
<v Speaker 5>little more than three thousand co op in condo purchases

0:51:51.080 --> 0:51:53.480
<v Speaker 5>closed during the quarter. That's a seventeen percent chop from

0:51:53.480 --> 0:51:56.840
<v Speaker 5>a year earlier. That's according to Miller Samuel and the

0:51:56.880 --> 0:52:00.480
<v Speaker 5>brokerage Doug Ellman. The median price of those transit actions

0:52:00.640 --> 0:52:03.680
<v Speaker 5>one point two million dollars. That's up one point six percent.

0:52:03.800 --> 0:52:05.680
<v Speaker 3>I love this cash buyers, all right, So we're wondering

0:52:05.719 --> 0:52:08.600
<v Speaker 3>what Louise Phillips Forbes isssing. She's a real estate broker

0:52:08.640 --> 0:52:11.080
<v Speaker 3>with Brown Harris steven She's been in the industry for

0:52:11.120 --> 0:52:13.520
<v Speaker 3>more than three decades. We love kind of picking her

0:52:13.520 --> 0:52:15.640
<v Speaker 3>brain about what's going on. She's got close to six

0:52:15.719 --> 0:52:18.480
<v Speaker 3>billion dollars in sales during her tenures. She's back with

0:52:18.560 --> 0:52:21.080
<v Speaker 3>us here in our Bloomberg Interactive Broker studio. Hello, Hello,

0:52:21.239 --> 0:52:23.319
<v Speaker 3>Kay Good to see you, guys, Good to see you.

0:52:23.800 --> 0:52:25.840
<v Speaker 3>So where are we give us a snapshot of the

0:52:25.840 --> 0:52:26.440
<v Speaker 3>market right now?

0:52:26.480 --> 0:52:28.360
<v Speaker 1>You know, you just did that little snapshot of the quarter.

0:52:28.440 --> 0:52:31.640
<v Speaker 1>I did a little snapshot from May and June for

0:52:31.760 --> 0:52:34.520
<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty four compared to twenty twenty five, and there

0:52:34.600 --> 0:52:40.520
<v Speaker 1>was a seventy two percent volume and price sales, so

0:52:40.560 --> 0:52:43.880
<v Speaker 1>it went from one point four billion in sales to

0:52:43.920 --> 0:52:47.680
<v Speaker 1>two point four billion, so of contrast and science almost

0:52:48.200 --> 0:52:50.360
<v Speaker 1>and then you also had a twenty five percent on

0:52:50.480 --> 0:52:53.440
<v Speaker 1>the number of transactions. So this is all four million

0:52:53.480 --> 0:52:57.120
<v Speaker 1>and above. And on an average of those two months

0:52:57.120 --> 0:52:59.520
<v Speaker 1>in twenty twenty four they were eight point two million.

0:53:00.239 --> 0:53:05.840
<v Speaker 1>This year they're eleven million. So you know, chaos is

0:53:05.880 --> 0:53:09.960
<v Speaker 1>opportunity for many. And cash on those deals is ninety

0:53:10.239 --> 0:53:14.440
<v Speaker 1>ninety percent. That's a lot. So it's kind of interesting.

0:53:14.480 --> 0:53:17.160
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I talk to my bankers all the time, and.

0:53:17.160 --> 0:53:18.000
<v Speaker 7>They are busy.

0:53:18.200 --> 0:53:20.520
<v Speaker 1>They are busy, but on the lower end, and people

0:53:20.560 --> 0:53:24.160
<v Speaker 1>are closing with cash and then they're pulling out you know,

0:53:24.239 --> 0:53:24.839
<v Speaker 1>cash back.

0:53:25.320 --> 0:53:25.680
<v Speaker 4>Okay.

0:53:26.120 --> 0:53:29.120
<v Speaker 5>We spoke to Peter Auchen Bloom Auker Bloom, chief revenue

0:53:29.160 --> 0:53:32.080
<v Speaker 5>officer at Centsion Jet the day that Flexjet announced this.

0:53:32.560 --> 0:53:34.959
<v Speaker 5>Another private jet firm that owned by the same parent

0:53:35.040 --> 0:53:39.680
<v Speaker 5>company announced this investment, and they basically said, we're seeing

0:53:40.520 --> 0:53:44.560
<v Speaker 5>wealthy people from tech and crypto younger people from tech

0:53:44.600 --> 0:53:48.239
<v Speaker 5>and crypto want private jets. We're seeing our demographic go younger,

0:53:48.280 --> 0:53:49.000
<v Speaker 5>and we're seeing crypto.

0:53:49.040 --> 0:53:50.040
<v Speaker 1>Inn't surprise me.

0:53:50.200 --> 0:53:51.080
<v Speaker 5>Is that happening to you?

0:53:51.960 --> 0:53:53.839
<v Speaker 4>I think that the assets.

0:53:54.120 --> 0:53:56.479
<v Speaker 1>First of all, let's just kind of bring it down

0:53:56.520 --> 0:53:59.280
<v Speaker 1>for one second and remember that the first time buyer

0:53:59.360 --> 0:54:03.240
<v Speaker 1>today on an average is pushing forty years old. That's

0:54:03.480 --> 0:54:06.239
<v Speaker 1>different from that millennial run that we had in the

0:54:06.280 --> 0:54:07.120
<v Speaker 1>construction boom.

0:54:07.719 --> 0:54:11.280
<v Speaker 4>But even in New York, right in New York, Yeah.

0:54:11.040 --> 0:54:15.280
<v Speaker 1>Particularly in New York, to be honest, and I'm seeing

0:54:15.320 --> 0:54:17.360
<v Speaker 1>more and more first time buyers that are purchasing that

0:54:17.400 --> 0:54:21.120
<v Speaker 1>are having family members, multi generational family members like grandmothers,

0:54:21.160 --> 0:54:25.080
<v Speaker 1>like instead of inheriting this, I'm giving it to you

0:54:25.640 --> 0:54:28.680
<v Speaker 1>or I'll co purchase with you with the right to survive.

0:54:29.080 --> 0:54:33.239
<v Speaker 1>So listen, creativity is We're in Mecca, so people are

0:54:33.239 --> 0:54:35.919
<v Speaker 1>going to be creative to buy a piece of the rock.

0:54:36.400 --> 0:54:39.920
<v Speaker 1>And I do think the you know, new money and

0:54:40.360 --> 0:54:43.680
<v Speaker 1>I've seen it. Watch the tech commitment from the first

0:54:43.920 --> 0:54:46.640
<v Speaker 1>announcement of Google in two thousand and five with like

0:54:47.000 --> 0:54:50.640
<v Speaker 1>forty eight employees morph to five hundred to twenty five hundred.

0:54:50.600 --> 0:54:53.640
<v Speaker 1>And you see that we are now becoming a hub

0:54:53.680 --> 0:54:57.400
<v Speaker 1>for tech. And as you run up against the housing

0:54:57.480 --> 0:55:03.480
<v Speaker 1>issues that are in California, we're attractive. You know, we

0:55:03.600 --> 0:55:05.920
<v Speaker 1>can get insurance for our apartments.

0:55:06.400 --> 0:55:11.400
<v Speaker 5>Do we stay attractive even if Zoron Mamdani wins the

0:55:11.480 --> 0:55:12.239
<v Speaker 5>mayoral race?

0:55:12.400 --> 0:55:15.680
<v Speaker 1>You mean Robin Hood, I mean the Robin Hood rhetoric.

0:55:15.960 --> 0:55:19.520
<v Speaker 1>I mean, listen, I know this person cares about New Yorkers.

0:55:19.719 --> 0:55:23.360
<v Speaker 1>I believe that. I believe wholeheartedly that his intentions are stellar.

0:55:23.960 --> 0:55:28.799
<v Speaker 1>But you know, the ideology around real estate is not

0:55:29.520 --> 0:55:30.279
<v Speaker 1>a conversation.

0:55:30.600 --> 0:55:31.120
<v Speaker 4>It's action.

0:55:31.280 --> 0:55:36.080
<v Speaker 1>It's infrastructure, it's collaboration public private. And you know, we

0:55:36.320 --> 0:55:40.239
<v Speaker 1>just crawled out of five years of COVID. We now

0:55:40.320 --> 0:55:44.120
<v Speaker 1>have sixty four million last year in tourism. You know,

0:55:44.200 --> 0:55:48.759
<v Speaker 1>the crime is down, you have people back in the office.

0:55:49.160 --> 0:55:53.880
<v Speaker 1>So freezing rent is doing nothing, and it's it's also

0:55:54.000 --> 0:55:57.720
<v Speaker 1>suggesting that landlords are all on their yachts doing nothing,

0:55:57.840 --> 0:56:00.880
<v Speaker 1>and that they should be paying for the opportunity for

0:56:00.920 --> 0:56:03.680
<v Speaker 1>somebody else to be able to pay rent. But there's

0:56:03.760 --> 0:56:07.440
<v Speaker 1>so many landlords that are just skinning by because they

0:56:08.120 --> 0:56:12.280
<v Speaker 1>were postponed from allowing people who weren't paying rent.

0:56:12.400 --> 0:56:14.719
<v Speaker 3>So Louise, you know, Tim and I talk about this

0:56:14.760 --> 0:56:16.239
<v Speaker 3>a lot, and I feel like when we have real

0:56:16.360 --> 0:56:21.640
<v Speaker 3>estate discussions and the idea of providing affordable homes in

0:56:21.760 --> 0:56:24.200
<v Speaker 3>kind of major cities where a lot of people work,

0:56:24.360 --> 0:56:26.560
<v Speaker 3>so that you don't have individuals who are maybe not

0:56:26.600 --> 0:56:30.880
<v Speaker 3>making that much money having to travel an hour or two.

0:56:30.640 --> 0:56:31.480
<v Speaker 4>I've in order to work.

0:56:31.520 --> 0:56:33.799
<v Speaker 3>So what's what's because I've been talking about this like

0:56:33.840 --> 0:56:34.480
<v Speaker 3>my whole career.

0:56:34.560 --> 0:56:37.080
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, how you know, this industry, how do we do

0:56:37.120 --> 0:56:37.719
<v Speaker 4>this so.

0:56:37.640 --> 0:56:41.359
<v Speaker 3>That there is affordable homes in the places where people

0:56:41.440 --> 0:56:41.960
<v Speaker 3>are working.

0:56:42.040 --> 0:56:44.799
<v Speaker 1>I mean when I came into the business, they had

0:56:44.800 --> 0:56:48.040
<v Speaker 1>something called four twenty one a's. There were certificates that

0:56:48.200 --> 0:56:52.680
<v Speaker 1>when you improve a land, yeah there's an unimproved land.

0:56:52.719 --> 0:56:58.320
<v Speaker 1>And remember Bloomberg, thank you twelve twelve years of you know, rezoning,

0:56:59.000 --> 0:57:02.799
<v Speaker 1>you know probably forty percent of our land mass, which

0:57:02.840 --> 0:57:07.600
<v Speaker 1>has helped that situation. And when you build in the

0:57:07.600 --> 0:57:10.000
<v Speaker 1>middle of I don't know. I mean they used to

0:57:10.040 --> 0:57:14.200
<v Speaker 1>have these tax certificates that when developers would improve land,

0:57:14.600 --> 0:57:16.720
<v Speaker 1>they would get a four to twenty one a tax abatement.

0:57:16.760 --> 0:57:19.600
<v Speaker 1>It's a ten year abatement on your taxes, and then

0:57:19.800 --> 0:57:23.400
<v Speaker 1>for that certificate they would then go and sell it

0:57:23.440 --> 0:57:26.120
<v Speaker 1>for somebody to do affordable housing somewhere else that is

0:57:26.320 --> 0:57:28.080
<v Speaker 1>not that has gone away.

0:57:28.880 --> 0:57:31.840
<v Speaker 4>Now was that affordable house though still in New York City?

0:57:32.400 --> 0:57:33.479
<v Speaker 4>That yes, oh okay.

0:57:33.880 --> 0:57:37.080
<v Speaker 1>And by the way, you know, people would say, it's well,

0:57:37.320 --> 0:57:38.880
<v Speaker 1>we don't want to just be in the Bronx and

0:57:38.960 --> 0:57:42.520
<v Speaker 1>in you know, far parts of Brooklyn or Queens But honestly.

0:57:42.240 --> 0:57:44.720
<v Speaker 4>And nothing wrong with those parts. You want to admit,

0:57:45.160 --> 0:57:46.240
<v Speaker 4>and you want a mixture.

0:57:46.560 --> 0:57:50.160
<v Speaker 1>And I just think that it has to be thoughtful

0:57:50.320 --> 0:57:53.080
<v Speaker 1>and it has to be collaborative, and it can't be

0:57:53.400 --> 0:57:58.600
<v Speaker 1>just somebody who isn't practically experiencing these things making rules up,

0:57:58.800 --> 0:58:02.480
<v Speaker 1>like you know, the city councilmen that wants to have

0:58:02.600 --> 0:58:06.680
<v Speaker 1>that has good intentions around broker fees, well, rentals as

0:58:06.720 --> 0:58:10.440
<v Speaker 1>of June eleventh are up fifteen percent because they've just

0:58:10.520 --> 0:58:15.000
<v Speaker 1>passed it all off to the consumer and so unintentional

0:58:15.040 --> 0:58:19.280
<v Speaker 1>consequences when lawmakers don't want to collaborate with the industry

0:58:19.320 --> 0:58:23.760
<v Speaker 1>individuals as well as just regular people. If it's only

0:58:23.840 --> 0:58:27.880
<v Speaker 1>politicians making these decisions and not working with their people.

0:58:28.000 --> 0:58:29.640
<v Speaker 3>I think there's always a concern though, that that the

0:58:29.680 --> 0:58:31.960
<v Speaker 3>people who are renting don't have the voice and don't

0:58:31.960 --> 0:58:32.760
<v Speaker 3>have a seat at the table.

0:58:33.000 --> 0:58:35.480
<v Speaker 1>But you know what I mean, So city is sixty

0:58:35.520 --> 0:58:37.640
<v Speaker 1>eight percent, it's a city of renters.

0:58:37.880 --> 0:58:38.800
<v Speaker 4>Yeah. Yeah.

0:58:39.280 --> 0:58:42.440
<v Speaker 5>I want to get to know your clients a little

0:58:42.440 --> 0:58:44.360
<v Speaker 5>bit and how they're different than they were let's say

0:58:44.400 --> 0:58:47.840
<v Speaker 5>a year ago. The people who are selling real estate

0:58:47.880 --> 0:58:49.920
<v Speaker 5>with you right now, why are they selling and where

0:58:49.920 --> 0:58:50.439
<v Speaker 5>are they moving?

0:58:51.160 --> 0:58:53.000
<v Speaker 1>I mean a lot of it is life change, you know.

0:58:54.200 --> 0:58:57.400
<v Speaker 1>But I'm I have people that have been contemplating selling

0:58:57.680 --> 0:59:03.440
<v Speaker 1>since twenty twenty that are now selling because there's a

0:59:03.520 --> 0:59:07.080
<v Speaker 1>lack of inventory. What their apartments were not worth in

0:59:07.160 --> 0:59:10.440
<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty three are worth what they would like and

0:59:10.440 --> 0:59:14.720
<v Speaker 1>they'll accept it. So, look, a lot of people are

0:59:14.840 --> 0:59:17.360
<v Speaker 1>downsizing and staying in the city. They are people that

0:59:17.440 --> 0:59:22.200
<v Speaker 1>are leaving. But that's that's that's a life decision. That is,

0:59:22.600 --> 0:59:24.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, a cycle of life. I mean, I have

0:59:24.520 --> 0:59:27.520
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people coming back into the city because

0:59:27.560 --> 0:59:31.280
<v Speaker 1>their grandkids and their kids are here. So who are

0:59:31.320 --> 0:59:35.680
<v Speaker 1>my sellers? My sellers range from like a one bedroom

0:59:35.960 --> 0:59:40.000
<v Speaker 1>for six hundred and fifty thousand dollars to and that's

0:59:40.000 --> 0:59:44.720
<v Speaker 1>somebody who bought who now is leaving the city and

0:59:45.120 --> 0:59:47.920
<v Speaker 1>loved owning her home and she's ready for a new

0:59:48.000 --> 0:59:52.160
<v Speaker 1>chapter in Colorado. And then you have a sixteen million

0:59:52.200 --> 0:59:54.680
<v Speaker 1>dollar penthouse which is from one of my developers that

0:59:55.000 --> 0:59:58.040
<v Speaker 1>will be coming on the market in September on the

0:59:58.120 --> 1:00:00.680
<v Speaker 1>Upper West Side, and I just think there's just not

1:00:00.840 --> 1:00:05.080
<v Speaker 1>enough inventory. Inventory is twenty one percent down, and that

1:00:05.200 --> 1:00:07.560
<v Speaker 1>is the first time we've experienced that since COVID as well.

1:00:07.600 --> 1:00:09.560
<v Speaker 3>It's amazing because sometimes it feels like there's a ton

1:00:09.600 --> 1:00:12.160
<v Speaker 3>of building and stuff going on. Hey, before you go,

1:00:12.320 --> 1:00:14.440
<v Speaker 3>you've got a minute and a half left. Tell us

1:00:14.440 --> 1:00:17.040
<v Speaker 3>about what you're seeing. In terms of international purchases.

1:00:17.360 --> 1:00:20.840
<v Speaker 1>They're coming, they're coming, and it's doubled since twenty twenty four,

1:00:21.200 --> 1:00:24.920
<v Speaker 1>particularly the Chinese market. I mean, when you were dealing

1:00:24.960 --> 1:00:28.920
<v Speaker 1>with strife in your government and the housing market in

1:00:28.960 --> 1:00:30.680
<v Speaker 1>Beijing is kind of upside down.

1:00:30.760 --> 1:00:31.880
<v Speaker 4>I'm not familiar with.

1:00:31.760 --> 1:00:34.480
<v Speaker 1>That market particularly, but in all of the appointments that

1:00:34.520 --> 1:00:38.240
<v Speaker 1>I've had, in all the various kindomniums, they are buying

1:00:38.360 --> 1:00:40.560
<v Speaker 1>some of them are buying with the anticipation of their

1:00:40.640 --> 1:00:43.640
<v Speaker 1>children in the future to be going to school here.

1:00:44.680 --> 1:00:47.720
<v Speaker 5>Where are they buying all over?

1:00:47.880 --> 1:00:52.280
<v Speaker 1>But new developments, particularly matt has always been in Manhattan, Brooklyn,

1:00:52.320 --> 1:00:55.000
<v Speaker 1>Long Island City. We were talking earlier about there are

1:00:55.080 --> 1:01:00.800
<v Speaker 1>some developers that are leaning into the Asian market by

1:01:01.120 --> 1:01:10.160
<v Speaker 1>accepting deposits that are in the Chinese You're on, yeah,

1:01:08.840 --> 1:01:13.480
<v Speaker 1>and that is because they are They're being nimble. We

1:01:14.120 --> 1:01:17.640
<v Speaker 1>have to be nimble. That's new, that's relatively new. There

1:01:17.640 --> 1:01:20.520
<v Speaker 1>are two projects in particular, one is in Long Island

1:01:20.520 --> 1:01:24.240
<v Speaker 1>City and this was news for me. You know, a

1:01:24.320 --> 1:01:25.080
<v Speaker 1>couple of months ago.

1:01:25.240 --> 1:01:26.520
<v Speaker 5>Russian buyers gone.

1:01:26.400 --> 1:01:31.800
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, no, no quiet, quiet, coming back, quietly trying to

1:01:32.040 --> 1:01:36.439
<v Speaker 1>acquire or displace, you know, place assets, but not as

1:01:36.480 --> 1:01:38.680
<v Speaker 1>big as what we experienced when you had the eighty

1:01:38.720 --> 1:01:43.640
<v Speaker 1>eight million fifteen Central Park West transactions like that, midas

1:01:43.960 --> 1:01:48.080
<v Speaker 1>Que Yepes and you have also I think there I

1:01:48.280 --> 1:01:53.320
<v Speaker 1>have had three different Korean transactions this year. I think

1:01:53.360 --> 1:01:56.800
<v Speaker 1>they're quiet. French. I mean, I think people are trying

1:01:56.840 --> 1:02:00.560
<v Speaker 1>to come here. There's there's you know, jargon around the

1:02:00.600 --> 1:02:02.919
<v Speaker 1>Canadians not being happy and.

1:02:04.080 --> 1:02:07.760
<v Speaker 3>If President Trump go does away with a capital gains

1:02:07.800 --> 1:02:08.800
<v Speaker 3>tax on house sales.

1:02:09.200 --> 1:02:11.600
<v Speaker 4>What would that mean? And just got twenty five just.

1:02:11.440 --> 1:02:16.280
<v Speaker 1>To remind everybody when Bush was in the house in

1:02:16.320 --> 1:02:20.720
<v Speaker 1>twenty twelve and he reduced the capital gains to fuel

1:02:20.840 --> 1:02:23.600
<v Speaker 1>our market went on fire in twelve and thirteen.

1:02:24.400 --> 1:02:25.000
<v Speaker 4>Just for that.

1:02:25.000 --> 1:02:27.240
<v Speaker 1>That was like the people that lived on Park Avenue

1:02:27.240 --> 1:02:30.560
<v Speaker 1>and Fifth Avenue for four decades. Finally sold.

1:02:30.680 --> 1:02:33.000
<v Speaker 4>I can only imagine. Louise Phillips Forbes.

1:02:33.040 --> 1:02:34.680
<v Speaker 3>Always fun to check in with you be well, Be

1:02:34.760 --> 1:02:37.600
<v Speaker 3>well Real estate broker Brown Harris Stevens joining us in

1:02:37.640 --> 1:02:39.160
<v Speaker 3>our Bremberg Interactive Broker studio.

1:02:39.240 --> 1:02:39.960
<v Speaker 4>This is Bloomberk.

1:02:45.760 --> 1:02:49.600
<v Speaker 2>This is the Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast. Listen live

1:02:49.680 --> 1:02:52.600
<v Speaker 2>each weekday starting at two pm Eastern on Apple car

1:02:52.680 --> 1:02:55.640
<v Speaker 2>Play and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. You

1:02:55.680 --> 1:02:58.880
<v Speaker 2>can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship

1:02:58.920 --> 1:03:02.520
<v Speaker 2>New York station, Say Alexa played Bloomberg eleven thirty.

1:03:03.360 --> 1:03:06.120
<v Speaker 3>This weekend wraps up the finale of Monterey Car Week,

1:03:06.160 --> 1:03:08.960
<v Speaker 3>where the California Coast becomes the ultimate showroom for some

1:03:09.000 --> 1:03:12.440
<v Speaker 3>of the world's most extraordinary automobiles and car enthusiasts.

1:03:12.920 --> 1:03:17.000
<v Speaker 5>It ends with their annual event, the Pebble Beach Concord Elegance.

1:03:17.320 --> 1:03:19.880
<v Speaker 5>Sandra Button knows about this event pretty much better than

1:03:19.920 --> 1:03:22.720
<v Speaker 5>anyone else. She's a longtime chair of the Pebble Beach

1:03:22.760 --> 1:03:26.360
<v Speaker 5>concor She previews what makes this year's show so special

1:03:26.840 --> 1:03:29.200
<v Speaker 5>and gives a look into the collector car market.

1:03:29.440 --> 1:03:33.600
<v Speaker 17>The collector car market is really celebrated on this one

1:03:33.680 --> 1:03:36.120
<v Speaker 17>day a year at Pebble Beach when it's sort of

1:03:36.200 --> 1:03:40.160
<v Speaker 17>like the Olympics of cars, and it's a whole symphony

1:03:40.200 --> 1:03:42.520
<v Speaker 17>of different kinds of cars from you know, cars from

1:03:42.560 --> 1:03:46.280
<v Speaker 17>the late eighteen eighties all the way to Formula one

1:03:46.320 --> 1:03:49.880
<v Speaker 17>cars that were just raced this last season. So we

1:03:50.000 --> 1:03:53.320
<v Speaker 17>really all things cars and everything in between. And of

1:03:53.360 --> 1:03:55.960
<v Speaker 17>course you mentioned the beautiful cars from the thirties and

1:03:56.000 --> 1:03:58.560
<v Speaker 17>the swoopy lines. Well, it's all going to be here.

1:03:59.240 --> 1:04:01.560
<v Speaker 18>So how does a car get invited to the show?

1:04:01.640 --> 1:04:04.400
<v Speaker 18>Because is it that the car gets invited, not necessarily

1:04:04.440 --> 1:04:04.960
<v Speaker 18>the owners.

1:04:06.120 --> 1:04:08.640
<v Speaker 4>It's all about the cars. And you know, because we

1:04:08.720 --> 1:04:10.240
<v Speaker 4>have about two we have about two.

1:04:10.240 --> 1:04:12.960
<v Speaker 17>Hundred and fifty cars on the field, and if you

1:04:13.160 --> 1:04:16.480
<v Speaker 17>own a car, that's really important. And let's say it's

1:04:16.520 --> 1:04:18.880
<v Speaker 17>a part of our celebration this year. We're celebrating one

1:04:18.920 --> 1:04:23.280
<v Speaker 17>hundred years of Chrysler. We have Invicta's, Moretti's believe it

1:04:23.400 --> 1:04:26.000
<v Speaker 17>or not, one hundred years of the Rolls Royce Phantom,

1:04:26.040 --> 1:04:30.280
<v Speaker 17>just that one mark of car. So if you own

1:04:30.320 --> 1:04:33.280
<v Speaker 17>one of those cars and it's critical that we have it,

1:04:33.360 --> 1:04:35.280
<v Speaker 17>that it's important to celebrate's.

1:04:35.440 --> 1:04:36.720
<v Speaker 4>That's one way to get invited.

1:04:37.040 --> 1:04:38.800
<v Speaker 3>Hey, I want to ask a little bit more too

1:04:39.000 --> 1:04:41.520
<v Speaker 3>about you know, judging and how it all works. But

1:04:41.640 --> 1:04:43.480
<v Speaker 3>I want to take a step back, Sandra, because this

1:04:43.560 --> 1:04:46.040
<v Speaker 3>is something that has been around for a long time,

1:04:46.160 --> 1:04:48.600
<v Speaker 3>started back in nineteen fifty and I'm just.

1:04:48.720 --> 1:04:51.800
<v Speaker 4>Curious why and how it came to be one of

1:04:51.840 --> 1:04:55.200
<v Speaker 4>the most important prestigious car shows really in the world.

1:04:55.640 --> 1:04:57.840
<v Speaker 17>Something that I think is really cool about the Pebble

1:04:57.840 --> 1:05:02.520
<v Speaker 17>Beach Concourse that we're actually very dynamically organic. The event

1:05:02.640 --> 1:05:05.680
<v Speaker 17>started in nineteen fifty and to be honest, the Pebble

1:05:05.720 --> 1:05:08.320
<v Speaker 17>Beach Concord was just a side show the Pebble Beach

1:05:08.440 --> 1:05:11.360
<v Speaker 17>road races that started in nineteen fifty. They were the

1:05:11.400 --> 1:05:15.800
<v Speaker 17>star event and after the road race is finished then

1:05:16.040 --> 1:05:18.320
<v Speaker 17>it was kind of time to kick tires and take

1:05:18.360 --> 1:05:20.360
<v Speaker 17>a look at cars. And in the very beginning at

1:05:20.360 --> 1:05:24.160
<v Speaker 17>Pebble Beach, the cars were brand new. They were sports

1:05:24.200 --> 1:05:27.840
<v Speaker 17>cars from the fifties, and that kind of changed in

1:05:27.920 --> 1:05:32.200
<v Speaker 17>nineteen fifty five when Phil Hill won with the Piercero

1:05:33.200 --> 1:05:35.600
<v Speaker 17>with an actual, you know, antique car and not a

1:05:35.640 --> 1:05:40.080
<v Speaker 17>brand new car. But Pebble Beach is all about celebrating

1:05:40.160 --> 1:05:44.920
<v Speaker 17>everything automotive, racing, the style, even fashion.

1:05:45.800 --> 1:05:47.760
<v Speaker 4>So I'm glad you got to see it once. It

1:05:47.840 --> 1:05:49.520
<v Speaker 4>was amazing. I have to see the whole event.

1:05:50.080 --> 1:05:53.280
<v Speaker 3>Just you're just driving around the area and there's parades

1:05:53.320 --> 1:05:56.880
<v Speaker 3>through the streets and it's just really, really beautiful and

1:05:56.960 --> 1:05:57.920
<v Speaker 3>really amazing.

1:05:58.080 --> 1:06:01.120
<v Speaker 18>Sandra, I'm curious how in general has the collector's market

1:06:01.240 --> 1:06:03.520
<v Speaker 18>been right now, because typically it's been pretty volatile.

1:06:03.800 --> 1:06:06.160
<v Speaker 17>Well, I think you've mentioned it's been volatile. It's kind

1:06:06.160 --> 1:06:08.720
<v Speaker 17>of like any art market. Of course, it has ups

1:06:08.760 --> 1:06:12.680
<v Speaker 17>and downs. And I would say we're seeing some generational

1:06:12.760 --> 1:06:15.400
<v Speaker 17>shift that a lot of the people that collected the

1:06:15.440 --> 1:06:18.880
<v Speaker 17>cars from the twenties, thirties and forties are aging out

1:06:18.960 --> 1:06:21.760
<v Speaker 17>of the hobby and we're getting newer collectors who are

1:06:21.760 --> 1:06:24.800
<v Speaker 17>maybe looking for things that are more relative to their

1:06:24.840 --> 1:06:27.919
<v Speaker 17>lifestyle or cars that they've seen on the road. So yeah,

1:06:27.920 --> 1:06:31.360
<v Speaker 17>there is that generational shift. There's also the challenge of

1:06:31.680 --> 1:06:35.240
<v Speaker 17>getting these cars restored. Many of the people that have

1:06:35.320 --> 1:06:37.920
<v Speaker 17>worked on the cars, they're aging out as well, and

1:06:37.960 --> 1:06:41.840
<v Speaker 17>there aren't as many people joining the ranks of restorers.

1:06:42.400 --> 1:06:44.919
<v Speaker 17>Hannah wrote a great article today about how a car

1:06:44.960 --> 1:06:48.800
<v Speaker 17>gets ready for Pebble Beach, and you can see that,

1:06:49.080 --> 1:06:52.200
<v Speaker 17>you know, there's not as many people joining that profession

1:06:52.680 --> 1:06:55.520
<v Speaker 17>that are leaving. So it's a great it's a great

1:06:55.680 --> 1:06:57.080
<v Speaker 17>job to look for right now.

1:06:57.280 --> 1:06:58.680
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I agree with you.

1:06:58.760 --> 1:07:02.000
<v Speaker 3>It's in our weekend Day for Bloomberg and she says,

1:07:02.120 --> 1:07:04.600
<v Speaker 3>you know, she writes, she says that jobs, and she

1:07:04.640 --> 1:07:08.040
<v Speaker 3>talks about one individual in particular, are the most tedious

1:07:08.040 --> 1:07:10.160
<v Speaker 3>in the classic car business, which by its very nature

1:07:10.200 --> 1:07:15.400
<v Speaker 3>tends to tract a select few maniacally devoted artisans.

1:07:15.440 --> 1:07:18.840
<v Speaker 4>But we see that in general, like we talk about that, it's.

1:07:18.760 --> 1:07:21.600
<v Speaker 3>Just not something we've seen certainly happening here in the

1:07:21.680 --> 1:07:22.600
<v Speaker 3>United States.

1:07:22.800 --> 1:07:25.160
<v Speaker 4>I love that you talked about though, a younger.

1:07:24.840 --> 1:07:28.160
<v Speaker 3>Generation, and it's another thing that we talk about, you know,

1:07:28.200 --> 1:07:30.680
<v Speaker 3>who's going to be collecting in the future. What does

1:07:30.680 --> 1:07:34.280
<v Speaker 3>a younger generation of collectors CEDRA mean for the winners

1:07:34.280 --> 1:07:38.720
<v Speaker 3>of the concourse, could a nineteen or nineties car win? Like,

1:07:38.760 --> 1:07:40.920
<v Speaker 3>how do how does that evolve and impact?

1:07:41.520 --> 1:07:44.320
<v Speaker 17>You're right, Younger cars, you know, that aren't as old,

1:07:44.440 --> 1:07:47.520
<v Speaker 17>can be winning. And we have runners up to Best

1:07:47.520 --> 1:07:49.800
<v Speaker 17>of Shows. So you know, we have two hundred cars

1:07:49.840 --> 1:07:52.840
<v Speaker 17>on the field. There's maybe twenty eight classes, so you

1:07:52.960 --> 1:07:55.439
<v Speaker 17>have to win your class to be eligible for Best

1:07:55.440 --> 1:07:59.560
<v Speaker 17>of Show. And of those twenty eight cars usually boils

1:07:59.600 --> 1:08:02.480
<v Speaker 17>down to three or four that are all really in

1:08:02.560 --> 1:08:05.760
<v Speaker 17>contention for Best of Show. So we bring up those

1:08:05.880 --> 1:08:08.840
<v Speaker 17>runner up the nominees for Best of Show. And in

1:08:08.880 --> 1:08:11.880
<v Speaker 17>the last few years, we've had postwar cars we've had

1:08:12.040 --> 1:08:14.920
<v Speaker 17>Last year we had a preservation car that hadn't been

1:08:14.960 --> 1:08:18.120
<v Speaker 17>restored that actually became our winner. But you're right, the

1:08:18.720 --> 1:08:22.519
<v Speaker 17>breadth of the years of those cars is widening, and

1:08:22.560 --> 1:08:24.840
<v Speaker 17>I think it is because of the younger collectors that

1:08:24.920 --> 1:08:28.320
<v Speaker 17>have so much passion. I mean, they really want perfection

1:08:28.439 --> 1:08:33.280
<v Speaker 17>in their cars. They persevere through the restoration project process,

1:08:33.320 --> 1:08:36.080
<v Speaker 17>which can take years, and they really want I think

1:08:36.120 --> 1:08:38.160
<v Speaker 17>they're great stewards because they want the cars to be

1:08:38.280 --> 1:08:41.360
<v Speaker 17>right for the future. So they dig into the history

1:08:41.600 --> 1:08:43.720
<v Speaker 17>and they make sure that when they restore the car

1:08:43.880 --> 1:08:46.680
<v Speaker 17>that they do right by it that they show the

1:08:46.720 --> 1:08:48.400
<v Speaker 17>way that it was really built in the day.

1:08:48.600 --> 1:08:51.200
<v Speaker 3>We're talking with Sandra Button, chairman of the Pebble Beach

1:08:51.240 --> 1:08:55.400
<v Speaker 3>Concorde de Elegance, joining us from Pebble Beach.

1:08:56.160 --> 1:08:58.679
<v Speaker 4>I am curious too about the theme this year.

1:08:58.760 --> 1:09:01.160
<v Speaker 3>My understanding is it you guys are marking seventy five

1:09:01.200 --> 1:09:03.679
<v Speaker 3>years of Formula one racing, So talk to us about

1:09:03.680 --> 1:09:06.000
<v Speaker 3>this theme, how you're going to be celebrating it, and

1:09:06.439 --> 1:09:07.800
<v Speaker 3>why you chose to pick that theme.

1:09:08.080 --> 1:09:10.479
<v Speaker 17>Well, I think seventy five years is a pretty amazing

1:09:11.439 --> 1:09:13.280
<v Speaker 17>you know, it's about the same age as the Pebble

1:09:13.320 --> 1:09:16.760
<v Speaker 17>Beach Concord Elegance. But if you can think about we're

1:09:16.760 --> 1:09:19.120
<v Speaker 17>going to be able to see the entire history of

1:09:19.160 --> 1:09:23.880
<v Speaker 17>Formula one unfold before us, and we're also having a

1:09:23.920 --> 1:09:27.840
<v Speaker 17>class of Grand Prix race cars that pre dated Formula One,

1:09:28.200 --> 1:09:30.080
<v Speaker 17>so you're really going to be able to see the

1:09:30.240 --> 1:09:33.759
<v Speaker 17>entire history of racing along the water at Pebble Beach.

1:09:34.479 --> 1:09:37.920
<v Speaker 5>That's Sandra Button, chairman of the Pebble Beach Concord de Elegance.

1:09:38.000 --> 1:09:40.320
<v Speaker 3>And Sandra came to us thanks to Bloomberg's Hannah Elliott,

1:09:40.320 --> 1:09:42.360
<v Speaker 3>who's been right in the middle of all the action

1:09:42.479 --> 1:09:43.559
<v Speaker 3>Tim at Pebble Beach.

1:09:43.920 --> 1:09:46.719
<v Speaker 5>She's walking the fairway, taking in the really cool rare cars,

1:09:46.760 --> 1:09:50.040
<v Speaker 5>the crowds and the excitement. Of course, we're talking about

1:09:50.040 --> 1:09:53.559
<v Speaker 5>our car expert, Bloomberg News auto columnist Hannah Elliott.

1:09:53.800 --> 1:09:56.360
<v Speaker 14>So this is a big year. It's the seventy fourth

1:09:56.479 --> 1:09:59.880
<v Speaker 14>year of the Pebble Beach Concord Elegance. This year the

1:10:00.000 --> 1:10:03.680
<v Speaker 14>they are celebrating seventy five years of Formula One. So

1:10:03.720 --> 1:10:05.960
<v Speaker 14>the big thing on Sunday, which is when the main

1:10:06.040 --> 1:10:08.639
<v Speaker 14>car show is is they're going to have thirty old

1:10:08.760 --> 1:10:12.439
<v Speaker 14>vintage classic Formula one cars on the lawn, which I

1:10:12.439 --> 1:10:16.559
<v Speaker 14>don't think we've seen a big group that significant of

1:10:16.640 --> 1:10:19.920
<v Speaker 14>F one cars ever. So that's really the emphasis. We

1:10:20.080 --> 1:10:23.280
<v Speaker 14>had the opening tour of the Concore, which is where

1:10:23.320 --> 1:10:25.120
<v Speaker 14>all of the cars that are going to be shown

1:10:25.160 --> 1:10:29.920
<v Speaker 14>on Sunday must complete a drive down the Peninsula, down

1:10:30.320 --> 1:10:33.680
<v Speaker 14>to Bigsur, across the bridge and then come back. And

1:10:33.760 --> 1:10:36.000
<v Speaker 14>that is to prove that they are running driving cars.

1:10:36.000 --> 1:10:40.439
<v Speaker 14>These aren't just you know, garage trailer queens. They can drive.

1:10:41.160 --> 1:10:42.920
<v Speaker 14>I was fortunate enough to be able to drive in

1:10:42.960 --> 1:10:45.320
<v Speaker 14>that as well. I drove in a modern car. But

1:10:45.479 --> 1:10:48.679
<v Speaker 14>that's actually the really big kickoff to what we can

1:10:48.880 --> 1:10:50.920
<v Speaker 14>look forward to on Sunday. And then of course we've

1:10:50.920 --> 1:10:53.599
<v Speaker 14>got auctions, which is a really big two selling similar

1:10:53.800 --> 1:10:55.840
<v Speaker 14>you know, vintage and classic and collectible cars.

1:10:55.960 --> 1:10:57.880
<v Speaker 4>What's a lot going on. Tell us about the collector

1:10:57.920 --> 1:10:58.559
<v Speaker 4>car market.

1:10:58.600 --> 1:11:00.800
<v Speaker 3>You know, you were kind enough to link us up

1:11:00.800 --> 1:11:04.000
<v Speaker 3>with Sandra Button, chairman of the Pebble Beach Concord to Elegance,

1:11:04.439 --> 1:11:06.880
<v Speaker 3>and we talked a lot about kind of the changing

1:11:06.960 --> 1:11:11.519
<v Speaker 3>marketplace and maybe the interest or lack thereof, maybe among

1:11:11.560 --> 1:11:12.400
<v Speaker 3>younger buyers.

1:11:12.439 --> 1:11:15.200
<v Speaker 4>But it's evolving. Tell us about the marketplace right now.

1:11:15.560 --> 1:11:16.600
<v Speaker 4>It is evolving.

1:11:16.760 --> 1:11:20.080
<v Speaker 14>Historically, this has been really a celebration of pre war

1:11:20.240 --> 1:11:24.080
<v Speaker 14>cars and cars from the fifties and sixties, and we

1:11:24.280 --> 1:11:27.160
<v Speaker 14>are seeing that changing just because the people buying the

1:11:27.200 --> 1:11:31.080
<v Speaker 14>cars are changing. It's coming into a new demographic, people

1:11:31.120 --> 1:11:33.960
<v Speaker 14>who grew up with cars from the eighties and nineties

1:11:33.960 --> 1:11:37.679
<v Speaker 14>and even the early two thousands, like Lamborghini, Kuntash's Ferrari

1:11:37.840 --> 1:11:40.559
<v Speaker 14>F forties and f fifties. We're talking about that kind

1:11:40.560 --> 1:11:43.880
<v Speaker 14>of era of car becoming more popular in the auctions

1:11:44.160 --> 1:11:47.559
<v Speaker 14>and that is a trickle down effect. Everywhere. So, for instance,

1:11:47.880 --> 1:11:50.200
<v Speaker 14>back to the Concoor on Sunday, we have never seen

1:11:50.240 --> 1:11:53.400
<v Speaker 14>a non pre war car win. But as Sandra kind

1:11:53.400 --> 1:11:56.080
<v Speaker 14>of alluded to, I think we're moving toward that point

1:11:56.560 --> 1:11:59.680
<v Speaker 14>and the whole market is following that. Of course, you've

1:11:59.680 --> 1:12:02.559
<v Speaker 14>got the Duesenbergs and the Packards and all of these

1:12:02.600 --> 1:12:07.639
<v Speaker 14>really Rolls Royce's expensive multimillion dollar pre war cars. Those

1:12:07.800 --> 1:12:12.800
<v Speaker 14>still exist, but there is a big up swell of

1:12:12.920 --> 1:12:18.760
<v Speaker 14>these nineties and early two thousands Mercedes, Lamborghinis Ferraris that

1:12:18.840 --> 1:12:21.800
<v Speaker 14>are really coming on strong, and I think that's where

1:12:21.800 --> 1:12:22.479
<v Speaker 14>the market's going.

1:12:22.600 --> 1:12:25.240
<v Speaker 5>I love that these are considered classic cars. Nothing, you know,

1:12:25.479 --> 1:12:28.880
<v Speaker 5>these are like cars. Yes, I do feel old, thank

1:12:28.880 --> 1:12:30.400
<v Speaker 5>you very much. I mean these are cars that I

1:12:30.439 --> 1:12:32.000
<v Speaker 5>was reading, you know, the scene on the cover of

1:12:32.080 --> 1:12:35.040
<v Speaker 5>like Car and Driver and Road and Track when I

1:12:35.080 --> 1:12:37.479
<v Speaker 5>was growing up. You know, my dad had descriptions to

1:12:37.479 --> 1:12:38.520
<v Speaker 5>all of these things.

1:12:38.960 --> 1:12:42.080
<v Speaker 14>Completely and these things tend to go in thirty year cycles.

1:12:42.320 --> 1:12:45.519
<v Speaker 14>So that is sort of the general rule of thumb.

1:12:45.560 --> 1:12:48.519
<v Speaker 14>Whatever you grew up with the poster on your wall, yeah,

1:12:48.600 --> 1:12:51.120
<v Speaker 14>thirty years later, maybe you can afford it.

1:12:53.360 --> 1:12:55.840
<v Speaker 3>Wait, so the car I actually grew up, they like

1:12:55.920 --> 1:12:57.679
<v Speaker 3>Driftwood Estate station Wagon.

1:12:57.760 --> 1:12:58.839
<v Speaker 4>That was massive.

1:12:59.439 --> 1:13:03.160
<v Speaker 3>That's a It was massive. It was like it just

1:13:03.160 --> 1:13:04.240
<v Speaker 3>went on forever and ever.

1:13:05.080 --> 1:13:06.040
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, called it the trade.

1:13:07.960 --> 1:13:10.680
<v Speaker 5>Hey, before we let you go, what who's going to

1:13:10.760 --> 1:13:13.599
<v Speaker 5>work on these cars? You've got a great story out

1:13:13.880 --> 1:13:18.080
<v Speaker 5>about the dwindling numbers of mechanics who work on classic cars.

1:13:18.120 --> 1:13:19.400
<v Speaker 5>You have a classic.

1:13:19.000 --> 1:13:20.680
<v Speaker 15>Car, Yeah I do.

1:13:20.800 --> 1:13:23.040
<v Speaker 14>I've got an old Rolls Royce and the man who

1:13:23.080 --> 1:13:25.839
<v Speaker 14>looks after it is in his eighties. And I'm not joking.

1:13:26.160 --> 1:13:28.679
<v Speaker 14>And that gets to your question. The people who work

1:13:28.720 --> 1:13:31.360
<v Speaker 14>on these old classic cars tend to be on the

1:13:31.400 --> 1:13:35.280
<v Speaker 14>older side. You know, if you're talking to a teenager

1:13:35.360 --> 1:13:39.080
<v Speaker 14>about spending hundreds of hours in a back room somewhere

1:13:39.160 --> 1:13:41.840
<v Speaker 14>learning how to press metal, that doesn't necessarily sound as

1:13:41.880 --> 1:13:44.800
<v Speaker 14>fun as some of the other job opportunities right now.

1:13:44.880 --> 1:13:47.439
<v Speaker 14>So there is a big gap between the people who

1:13:47.479 --> 1:13:50.360
<v Speaker 14>look after the cars and trying to get younger people

1:13:50.520 --> 1:13:56.080
<v Speaker 14>involved in this trade. There are some colleges like McPherson

1:13:56.120 --> 1:13:59.960
<v Speaker 14>College which do have great restoration programs to teach younger

1:14:00.080 --> 1:14:02.160
<v Speaker 14>people how to work on these cars, because at the

1:14:02.240 --> 1:14:04.680
<v Speaker 14>end of the day, the love of the cars is

1:14:04.720 --> 1:14:06.920
<v Speaker 14>going to stick around. The cars might change. We might

1:14:06.960 --> 1:14:10.880
<v Speaker 14>go from pre war to Akontosh or a Gallardo, but

1:14:11.240 --> 1:14:13.120
<v Speaker 14>it's still the car that needs to be worked on.

1:14:13.280 --> 1:14:16.639
<v Speaker 14>So there's a gap right now, but there is some

1:14:16.800 --> 1:14:21.080
<v Speaker 14>slow growth toward trying to get younger people involved. It's like,

1:14:21.120 --> 1:14:23.160
<v Speaker 14>if anyone thinks they want to learn a trade, this

1:14:23.160 --> 1:14:24.400
<v Speaker 14>would be a good one to go into.

1:14:24.800 --> 1:14:28.200
<v Speaker 5>Our thanks to Hannah Elliott, Bloomberg News autocolumnist. Check out

1:14:28.240 --> 1:14:31.200
<v Speaker 5>Hannah's podcast. She co hosts it with Matt Miller. It's

1:14:31.200 --> 1:14:33.840
<v Speaker 5>called Hot Pursuit and in the episode they go into

1:14:33.880 --> 1:14:36.559
<v Speaker 5>full detail of the cars that she saw it Cubble Beach.

1:14:36.920 --> 1:14:39.400
<v Speaker 5>You can find it at Bloomberg dot com Slash Podcasts.

1:14:39.439 --> 1:14:41.479
<v Speaker 3>And that wraps up the weekend edition at Bloomberg business

1:14:41.520 --> 1:14:42.559
<v Speaker 3>Week from Bloomberg Radio.

1:14:42.560 --> 1:14:43.840
<v Speaker 4>Thank you so much for joining us.

1:14:44.160 --> 1:14:46.519
<v Speaker 3>I'm Tim Stenober and I'm Carol Messer. Have a good

1:14:46.520 --> 1:14:47.920
<v Speaker 3>and safe weekend everyone.

1:14:48.560 --> 1:14:53.920
<v Speaker 2>This is the Bloomberg Business Week Daily podcast, available on Apple, Spotify,

1:14:54.040 --> 1:14:57.759
<v Speaker 2>and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live weekday

1:14:57.800 --> 1:15:01.839
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1:15:01.880 --> 1:15:05.760
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1:15:06.000 --> 1:15:08.759
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1:15:09.000 --> 1:15:11.120
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