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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcas All.

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Speaker 2: Right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Running in the court, ten seconds ormaining, so we just

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Speaker 3: go throw up to the basket.

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Speaker 1: Under the basket, it's the crow for the.

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Speaker 4: Wind God a miracle.

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Speaker 1: I's water hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 4: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast. I am

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Speaker 4: your host, Kai McEwan, joined by the rest of the

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Speaker 4: three man Weave crew, Jim Root and Matt Cox. Every

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Speaker 4: Monday morning, we'll be dropping a new BBOC episode talking

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Speaker 4: all things betting in the world of college hoops. On

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Speaker 4: today's episode, we're going to discuss some key games the week,

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Speaker 4: both at the power and mid major level. Talk some

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Speaker 4: live dogs, some favorite favorites, some spots, and of course

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Speaker 4: our trash play of the week, Fellas. How you doing.

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Speaker 4: Let's get into it, Jim, are you ready to break

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Speaker 4: down some big games for Monday and Tuesday?

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Speaker 5: Kay, it sounded to me like you said, every Monday morning,

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Speaker 5: that's what it was for everybody. Last week, it was

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Speaker 5: so the picks of the weave. My god, let's try

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Speaker 5: to repeat that performance. I believe we had a net

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Speaker 5: thirteen and two record, maybe with a push in there.

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Speaker 5: So if we can continue doing that, we will make

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Speaker 5: the people some money. So make it the Monday morning.

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Speaker 4: Pretty good stuff. Well, on Monday, there are two huge games,

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Speaker 4: Matthew Cox. We got Arizona going to BYU in a

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Speaker 4: Big twelve battle, and we got Louisville going to your duchies,

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Speaker 4: Louisville at Duke on Monday, starting with Zona BYU Arizona.

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Speaker 4: In case you haven't realized, it has gone to number

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Speaker 4: one in KEMPOM. They've surpassed Michigan. They are unstoppable. They're

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Speaker 4: coming off a thirty five point win against West Virginia.

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Speaker 4: Matthew BYU is five and one in the Big twelve

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Speaker 4: Provo obviously a very tough place to play. They won

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Speaker 4: at Arizona last season. Perhaps the Wildcats remember, or at

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Speaker 4: least Tommy Lloyd. Can the Cougars stand up to the

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Speaker 4: physicality and size of Arizona.

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Speaker 3: I think they can, But I think that's where Zona

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Speaker 3: has an edge. Just for context, it's basically Arizona, Michigan,

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Speaker 3: and then Duke and then Illinois, Iowa State, Michigan State,

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Speaker 3: Houston and sort of the advanced analytics kem POM tiering.

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Speaker 3: Just so Arizona Michigan operating at a different level. Although

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Speaker 3: Michigan more on the downspin, Warzona's just been quietly crushing

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Speaker 3: really good teams, sort of like beneath the national radar.

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Speaker 1: I think this is a game BYU competes.

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Speaker 3: I'm curious what the number settles out of here, but

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Speaker 3: I do think as a home doll even they just

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Speaker 3: came off that civil war game Gym, which I watched.

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Speaker 3: They did not play very well. I think it actually

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Speaker 3: sets up well for BI YouTube play much better than

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Speaker 3: they did against their art tribal, who I think kind

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Speaker 3: of came out desperate and angry.

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Speaker 5: Well, I don't know you'd say they didn't play well

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Speaker 5: against Utah. They got forty three from aj DEBATSA. I mean,

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Speaker 5: hard for him to do a lot more than that.

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Speaker 5: I'm looking at it right now. It's two and a

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Speaker 5: half and in the market a lot of two and

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Speaker 5: a half minus fifteen at hard Rock, at ESPN, BET, etc.

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Speaker 5: There's minus three and a half elsewhere Kai I'm going

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Speaker 5: to bet Arizona. I just I think they're on a

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Speaker 5: different level right now. You mentioned that they've passed Michigan.

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Speaker 5: You know, a month ago, three weeks ago, people were

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Speaker 5: like this Michigan team is on the historic track to

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Speaker 5: unseat nineteen ninety nine Duke for the best team ever

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Speaker 5: and Ken Palm's adjusted efficiency margin. Now they're well back

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Speaker 5: down to earth. And meanwhile, Hohum in the desert for

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Speaker 5: Arizona just keeps ticking along as this completely unstoppable juggernaut.

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Speaker 5: And I have no concern about their style traveling a

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Speaker 5: because BYU isn't going to slow the game down, and

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Speaker 5: like I think, to give something to trouble Arizona a little,

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Speaker 5: you've got to slow it down like UCLA and Yukon

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Speaker 5: did back in November. But if you're going to play

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Speaker 5: a track meet with them, good luck. And the style

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Speaker 5: just they're so good with shot volume margin, like they're

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Speaker 5: dominant on the glass. They're up there with Florida and

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Speaker 5: Michigan State. It's the three best rebounding teams in the country.

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Speaker 5: They don't turn it over that much, they don't need

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Speaker 5: to make shots to win like they're in some ways

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Speaker 5: that can be a downer, but I also think it

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Speaker 5: decreases the variance in their performances. So I'm gonna just

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Speaker 5: ride with them the juggernaut. I'm not going to try

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Speaker 5: to pick off this cute home dog spot. Maybe other

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Speaker 5: people will, but I'm laying at Arizona minus two and

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Speaker 5: a half. It's actually minus two and a half minus

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Speaker 5: ten at fan duel right now, so I'm just gonna

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Speaker 5: lock that in Kai.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, and I guess I kind of expected people to

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Speaker 4: bet BYU in this spot because it is kind of

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Speaker 4: a spot here, home home dog, as you said, very

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Speaker 4: good team. The market has tended to pounce on these

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Speaker 4: spots this season. Now, maybe it's just Arizona is this good.

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Speaker 4: I would love a chance to get a short favorite

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Speaker 4: Arizona or heaven forbid, even a pick if if BYU

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Speaker 4: is crazy in the market, But I'm also gonna be

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Speaker 4: on Arizona. You can't beat Arizona in the glass or

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Speaker 4: inside or at the foul line, and that's what Bou's

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Speaker 4: done so far in league play. It's not going to

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Speaker 4: work against Arizona. So give me the Wildcats as well.

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Speaker 4: Louisville Duke kem Pom's got Duke minus nine. But in

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Speaker 4: the market right now, let's see what it is. We

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Speaker 4: got Duke minus six and a half right now over Louisville,

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Speaker 4: and that's likely because mikel Brown came back last game

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Speaker 4: for Louisville, the Cardinals won easily against Virginia Tech. He

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Speaker 4: scored twenty He looked great. Duke Jim quietly has been

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Speaker 4: dominant the last few games after some head scratching performances.

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Speaker 4: They beat col by fifteen, They beat Stanford by thirty,

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Speaker 4: They beat Wake by twenty one. In game one of

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Speaker 4: this matchup, Louisville had a big lead in the first half,

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Speaker 4: led by twelve hot shooting in the first half, and

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Speaker 4: then when Ice Cold couldn't stop Cam boozer. Do we

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Speaker 4: think Louisville has a better effort in this game or

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Speaker 4: does Duke just run away with it again?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, that was one of the games that MIKEL. Brown

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Speaker 5: Junior missed and it clearly hurt Louisville, Like they're having

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Speaker 5: to miscast Willya and Conwell into creation roles and it

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Speaker 5: didn't really work out for them. But that was when

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Speaker 5: Duke turned it around. Because they had fallen to ninth

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Speaker 5: in Ken Palm. They're almost outside the top ten now here.

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Speaker 5: They are closer to Michigan than they are to like

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Speaker 5: number four.

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Speaker 2: Basically, at this.

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Speaker 5: Point, the Blue Devils have hit the gas pedal and

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Speaker 5: I think that was a turning point, Matt. They got

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Speaker 5: that awesome defensive half from Donasar. He just completely erased Conwell.

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Speaker 5: In the second half of that game. Boozer was unstoppable

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Speaker 5: per usual. He put Snanda fru in foul trouble basically

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Speaker 5: the entire game. He had four fourteen minutes. I just

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Speaker 5: you don't know about the number, Matthias. I kind of

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Speaker 5: want to back Louisville for like the road reversal, the

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Speaker 5: road revenge after one team lost at home, but man

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Speaker 5: nine in the nine ken pum six and a half

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Speaker 5: in the market, telling you what Brown Junior is worth.

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Speaker 5: I'm going to stay away from this one. I kind

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Speaker 5: of leaned towards the Cardinals, but I'm not going to

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Speaker 5: bet it.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I initially had Louisville too, but I that first

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Speaker 3: game at Duke, and you know, I remember we talked

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Speaker 3: about this and it's almost a continuation of Louisville's flaws

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Speaker 3: from last season.

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Speaker 1: Look at Evan Mia.

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Speaker 3: He has the opponent adjust rankings, basically categorizing team's performance

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Speaker 3: relative to good and not good teams.

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Speaker 1: Louisville's the only team inside.

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Speaker 3: The top fifty with like a severe them in Kentucky

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Speaker 3: for context, basically sort of low major mid major by

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Speaker 3: game merchants, and they just have not stepped up well

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Speaker 3: in class. I think that Duke's second half in the

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Speaker 3: first game, where they just were able to bully Leuisland inside,

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Speaker 3: even with the kel Brown coming back, I just don't

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Speaker 3: know if they have a remedy of that. I mean,

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Speaker 3: they're more physical than they were last year, but they've

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Speaker 3: still shown on multiple occasions this year that they just

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Speaker 3: don't match up well with the league teams. So I'm

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Speaker 3: probably gonna stay away here.

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Speaker 4: Kai.

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Speaker 3: If the line was like true to analytic form, I

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Speaker 3: guess like closer to nine or ten, I'd be intrigued.

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Speaker 3: But I think seven is like eh, I don't know.

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Speaker 3: I think what Duke did last game and what Duke's

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Speaker 3: doing currently feels repeatable in this matchup, even with Brett one.

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Speaker 2: Other thing on to throw in kay Is.

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Speaker 5: In that second half, Caleb Foster was like the key offensively,

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Speaker 5: Like obviously, Boozer did what he does and Evans hit

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Speaker 5: some shots, but Foster had a monster game. He had

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Speaker 5: twenty points against Louisville. In the four games since, he

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Speaker 5: has seventeen total, he has not been the same guy.

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Speaker 5: He hasn't scored twenty in any other game all season.

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Speaker 5: There's a chance that was the mirage the mirage performance,

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Speaker 5: and so he does push me a little more towards

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Speaker 5: the level. But Matt's indication with that the team, the

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Speaker 5: opponent's adjustment that Evan me has got, and just generally

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Speaker 5: where the number is, I'm gonna I'm gonna sit in

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Speaker 5: my hands.

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Speaker 1: My ran is just real quick.

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Speaker 3: His top five teams inside the top one hundred, Baylor,

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Speaker 3: pitt Louisville, Kentucky, Indiana, like that adds up to me,

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Speaker 3: like just teams that just really haven't played well and

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Speaker 3: games haven't stepped up in class.

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Speaker 4: Those teams fit to build my sentiments exactly, though. I

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Speaker 4: if it was closer to nine or ten, I'd be

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Speaker 4: thinking about Louisville. No thanks, at six and a half seven.

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Speaker 4: On Tuesday, I picked out three more big games. There's

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Speaker 4: actually a few, even more games than we're going to

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Speaker 4: talk about here, but gonna highlight three. On Tuesday, a

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Speaker 4: rivalry game purdued Indiana. Matt Cox went to Indiana, so

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Speaker 4: he might have an opinion on this game. Kim Pom

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Speaker 4: makes this one perdue minus four at the Hoosiers. Boilers

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Speaker 4: off two straight losses, including a recent home failure against Illinois.

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Speaker 4: Indiana just punked Rutgers after losing four straight. Matt, I

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Speaker 4: think the Purdue front line pretty much destroys Indiana, and

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Speaker 4: you just mentioned the step up in class stat Can

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Speaker 4: Indiana step up in class and compete with Purdue?

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Speaker 3: I skeptical, but I think against this version the version

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Speaker 3: we we saw lose at UCLA, the version we saw

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Speaker 3: get dominated by Illinois, which I know was largely the

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Speaker 3: Keaton wet Wogler explosion story. But Braden Smith had the

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Speaker 3: ankle issue come back, he still played really well. I

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Speaker 3: just don't think he's one hundred percent in those lineups

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Speaker 3: that Painter has tritten out with me and TKR Jim,

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Speaker 3: as you said, was on a milk carton. I think

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Speaker 3: it gets to that brittal kind of flawed version of Perdue.

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Speaker 3: I think Indiana actually has a chance, but we'll see

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Speaker 3: what the number opens. You say, kem pom four. You know,

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Speaker 3: if you just isolate Q two and better this year,

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Speaker 3: it's Perdue minus seven. Speaking to my point earlier about

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Speaker 3: Indiana being one of those teams that just hasn't played

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Speaker 3: well against good teams, I'm gonna stay away. I just

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Speaker 3: there's too much uncertainty with pretty right now, Jim, I

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Speaker 3: want to back Purdue here, I just I'm not going.

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Speaker 2: To do it.

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Speaker 5: I'm doing it. I'm pretty up to five.

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Speaker 2: Give it to me.

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Speaker 5: I know you mentioned Smith's ankle, but what's up with

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Speaker 5: Taiton Conaway?

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Speaker 2: Is he okay?

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Speaker 5: He's played eighteen minutes combined the last two games returned

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Speaker 5: against Rutgers, played sixteen minutes off the bench and was okay,

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Speaker 5: like not really a major difference maker. I think you

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Speaker 5: need him on the ball against Braden Smith to really

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Speaker 5: hold up here. I think Matt Painter's going to have

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Speaker 5: them doing rebounding drills basically from the end of that

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Speaker 5: Illinois game until the Indiana game starts. After they got

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Speaker 5: punked on the glass thirty three to nineteen. Kaufman Ren's

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Speaker 5: been absent there. I don't think Indiana can mismatch hunt

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Speaker 5: Purduees defense the way that Illinois did Kai.

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Speaker 2: That's the biggest thing for me.

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Speaker 5: They really got exposed there because they don't have big wings.

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Speaker 2: They don't have like.

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Speaker 5: Really just athletic defenders, and Illinois just picked on that Indiana.

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Speaker 5: I guess you could like kind of try to do

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Speaker 5: it with tuckative breeze, but he's no woggler off the

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Speaker 5: bounce getting all the way to the rim. He's got

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Speaker 5: the step back game, but not quite that Wilkerson maybe

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Speaker 5: a six to six scoring guy joked on Twitter that

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Speaker 5: Purdue can't guard anybody that's six six or six seven

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Speaker 5: that has ball skills. I just I think this one

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Speaker 5: ends up being a little bit of a punking in

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Speaker 5: the paint after Purdue got punked. So I'm gonna lay

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Speaker 5: it with Perdue on the road.

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Speaker 4: I'm gonna lay it as well. I agree Derez I

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Speaker 4: think is the guy that gives Purdue a little problem.

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Speaker 4: But I don't see how Indiana can hold up against

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Speaker 4: the front line of Purdue. Nebraska. Michigan is staying in the

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Speaker 4: Big Ten. Michigan has not covered six straight games. I

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Speaker 4: won six and last six against the spread, Nebraska five

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Speaker 4: and one against the spread and last six. Looking to

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Speaker 4: keep the lead in the Big Ten. Twenty four straight

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Speaker 4: wins dating back to last year. They're just good. I

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Speaker 4: watched the game against Minnesota. They ate the Gophers lunch

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Speaker 4: in the second half. Lawrence is good rink, mass Rocks.

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Speaker 4: Sandford is becoming a killer. He's just a total game

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Speaker 4: changer when he gets hot from three and Jim, I

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Speaker 4: think they're catching Michigan at a pretty good time. They're

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Speaker 4: a team that's still playing with their food, not quite

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Speaker 4: as dominant as they were, and it's an opportunity to

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Speaker 4: act the Huskers as a high dog. That intrigues me.

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Speaker 4: I'll be on Nebraska here if it's close to where

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Speaker 4: Kimpon makes it at nine.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm looking at I just pulled up team rankings

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Speaker 5: to see confirming it has been six non covers in

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Speaker 5: a row and they've been favored by double digits in

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Speaker 5: all of them, at least twelve and a half. There's

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Speaker 5: an early ten and a half out there somewhere. Hand

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Speaker 5: to me ten and a half with Nebraska, I'll take it.

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Speaker 5: I know Branden Frager is almost certainly still out, but

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Speaker 5: they figured things out without him. At Minnesota. They knocked

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Speaker 5: on shots. They are just like this thorn in the side.

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Speaker 5: I think somebody tweeted they were. They're like the most

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Speaker 5: elite YMCA team where every guy makes the right play,

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Speaker 5: every guy can dribble and shoot. They're cutting timing off

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Speaker 5: the ball is incredible, Like the second guy has a

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Speaker 5: post catch, there's somebody flying back door, and maybe that

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Speaker 5: doesn't work against Michigan size. But I just don't want

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Speaker 5: to lay double digits with this team right now. They

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Speaker 5: have been overvalued in the market.

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Speaker 6: For a while.

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Speaker 5: It's funny them in the Yukon are both O and

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Speaker 5: six ats in the last six. Conference play has exposed

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Speaker 5: them a little bit, and I think people were a

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Speaker 5: little stunned by what Michigan could bring the bear in

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Speaker 5: the paints with their size, their physicality. I don't know

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Speaker 5: if Yaxelendenborg is fully one hundred percent at this point.

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Speaker 5: I'll take Nebraska down to nine.

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Speaker 2: That's what it is. That Ken palm.

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Speaker 5: If there really is like ten and a half out

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Speaker 5: there in the market already for a Tuesday game, yes please,

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Speaker 5: But I'm just gonna mark it down and we'll judge

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Speaker 5: it at plus nine because I can't imagine eleven is

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Speaker 5: gonna be out there, Matthew or ten and a half.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I will say the slide Devil's advocate. I just

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Speaker 3: the Michigan overvalue run. I think I lean your way

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Speaker 3: here with Nebraska, But you know, they've their non covers

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Speaker 3: have been by like one point one and a half points.

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Speaker 3: Like Indiana, they were basically in the number and then

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Speaker 3: the kind of got back toward o'house one by twelve.

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Speaker 5: Well they'll they're down one with tenants.

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Speaker 1: Gas pedal.

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Speaker 3: But just a tough spot for Nebraska man the Saturday

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Speaker 3: to Tuesday back to back on the road. They had

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Speaker 3: to really push deep into that game and maybe the

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Speaker 3: last depth here. But again, I look at that Illinois

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Speaker 3: game when everyone sort of thought that was gonna be

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Speaker 3: the one that would come to roost against Nebraska, and

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Speaker 3: they won outright as I think an eleven point dog. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: like Nebraska, I think the market's gonna actually bet Nebraska here.

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Speaker 3: I feel like there's been like this sort of antire

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Speaker 3: Nebraska sentiment where if you're like riding the Nebraska train,

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Speaker 3: you can usually wait. This is what I feel like,

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Speaker 3: You're money will come in on the Huskers as sort

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Speaker 3: of a continuation of the Michigan slight plateau that we've

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Speaker 3: seen recently.

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Speaker 4: Uh yeah, Nebraska down to nine for me as well,

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Speaker 4: that'll be an official bet. Finally, Kentucky at Vanderbilt Vanderbilt

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Speaker 4: minus seven per Kim pom Hey, the Wildcats have won

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Speaker 4: five in a row. Matthew All without Jaylen Lowe played

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Speaker 4: three minutes in one of their wins, and Jaden Quainton's

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Speaker 4: Vanderbilt they woke up after beating Mississippi State following three losses.

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Speaker 4: My opinion, I kind of leaned towards Vanderbilt Smash a

319
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Speaker 4: better team, more cohesive, they don't make mistakes, and I'm

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Speaker 4: really not afraid of the non JQ Kentucky forwards and

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Speaker 4: that's kind of been Andrewald's weakness in sec play your

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Speaker 4: thoughts in this game again. Kem Pom has Vandy minus seven.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I leaned Vandy here again. Curious for the market

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Speaker 3: ultimately settles with this one. I kind of think it's

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Speaker 3: gonna be around a touchdown. I don't know there's gonna

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Speaker 3: be a huge shade. Kentucky's been a little bit. We've

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Speaker 3: seen some recent games. They've been overpriced, but a premium

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Speaker 3: to back them probably off on average by two points

329
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Speaker 3: from the kempalm line. Maybe that's the case here, but

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Speaker 3: I'm with you. I think the matchup is pretty strong here,

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Speaker 3: especially if there's no acquaintance. Well that's the key. Other

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Speaker 3: key jym is Kentucky's backcourt. Do they handle the pressure.

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Speaker 3: I think Byington really wants to lean into his pressure

334
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Speaker 3: as a way to mitigate his lack of rebounding in

335
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Speaker 3: size up proNT they did that agains Psissippi State. I

336
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Speaker 3: can see them doing that against Kentucky as well as

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Speaker 3: Aberdeen's played. I do think you need multiple high end

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Speaker 3: ball of handlers to deal with that, and I'm not

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Speaker 3: sure Kentucky's proven they have that yet.

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Speaker 2: Yep.

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Speaker 5: I'm all over Vandy again. Back to more over the weekend,

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Speaker 5: and they got very right against Mississippi State, just completely

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Speaker 5: destroyed them. And I think this is like the perfect

344
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Speaker 5: spot to sell on Kentucky. They're only two and three

345
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Speaker 5: ats in this little five game winning streak. They've been

346
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Speaker 5: down double digits in a bunch of these games and

347
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Speaker 5: have gotten back in with some I would call outlier shooting.

348
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Speaker 5: They were not convincing against Ole Miss. I know they

349
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Speaker 5: won by nine, but that was like a one point

350
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Speaker 5: game in the second half. I think Vandy's much better.

351
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Speaker 5: They're not going to get exposed inside, as you guys

352
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Speaker 5: both mentioned, and then that ball pressure against Denzel Aberdeen

353
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Speaker 5: and motions at the rest of the Kentucky backcourt. I

354
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Speaker 5: guess it's Colin Chandler and Oway, who I like as

355
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Speaker 5: a player, but not as a handler of pressure. I

356
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Speaker 5: think this is one where I'm not gonna overly respect

357
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Speaker 5: Kentucky on the road, that funky home court of Vanderbilt. Kai,

358
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Speaker 5: I will lay the touchdown seven. I don't want to

359
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Speaker 5: go higher than seven, So I'm just gonna stick it

360
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Speaker 5: at seven. That's where That's where Ken Palm's got it.

361
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Speaker 4: Yeah, lean that way towards for me. Not an official

362
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Speaker 4: bet though, so yeah, we're all commodores. On Tuesday, mid

363
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Speaker 4: major game fellows, I got two picked out from the

364
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Speaker 4: Mountain West. I got two picked out from the A ten.

365
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Speaker 4: Pretty solid slate on Tuesday. Nothing on Monday, but some

366
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Speaker 4: good Tuesday games here. So in the Mountain West, Grand

367
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Speaker 4: Canyon going to Nevada, Ken Palm's got this one. Nevada

368
00:17:14,400 --> 00:17:17,359
Speaker 4: minus four, Grand Canyon six and two in the Mountain West,

369
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Speaker 4: three straight wins, including two over San Diego State and

370
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Speaker 4: Utah State. Nevada though in sneaky solid shape in the

371
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Speaker 4: Mountain West standings as well, six and three, but they

372
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Speaker 4: have failed against the three best teams in the League.

373
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Speaker 4: Matt I kind of leaned towards Nevada here at home.

374
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Speaker 4: Comber's been a stud for them. Opponents aren't going to

375
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Speaker 4: shoot twenty five percent from three the entire Mountain West

376
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Speaker 4: play against Grand Canyon. Eventually that's going to break. Perhaps

377
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Speaker 4: it's in this game, but slightly in for me with Nevada.

378
00:17:42,760 --> 00:17:45,560
Speaker 4: Your thoughts, I have a big Nevada liene here. I'm

379
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Speaker 4: very curious for this number opens as well. We spoke

380
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Speaker 4: with Bryce Shrew on the Late Night Show with Tom

381
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Speaker 4: Oser and Mountain West Look last night. He said that

382
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Speaker 4: Brian Moore still getting evaluated. He may come back, but

383
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Speaker 4: it sounded more ominous. I think the Jayden Henley point.

384
00:18:01,720 --> 00:18:04,520
Speaker 3: Forward experiment that Drew talked about preseason is starting to

385
00:18:04,520 --> 00:18:07,239
Speaker 3: come to fruition. Makes me think I'm a little bit

386
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Speaker 3: undervaluing this GCU team and its current form. But off

387
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Speaker 3: three big, big games, I think they're due for a

388
00:18:14,160 --> 00:18:16,280
Speaker 3: little of a stink care. We've seen some inconsistency within

389
00:18:16,359 --> 00:18:18,240
Speaker 3: this year because their guard plays a little bit radic.

390
00:18:18,840 --> 00:18:21,000
Speaker 3: I know the Youngstown game feels like forever ago, but

391
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Speaker 3: that's just I think one example where it's like there

392
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Speaker 3: is some evidence that this team is not always at

393
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Speaker 3: their best, and I like this the Bada team. I

394
00:18:27,640 --> 00:18:29,280
Speaker 3: think they're kind of flying down too the radar right now,

395
00:18:29,520 --> 00:18:32,280
Speaker 3: a little bit banged up inside, but they've been pretty

396
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Speaker 3: consistent as well. They're deep, They're going to councregeons for

397
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Speaker 3: a lot of guys. I think this is a great

398
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Speaker 3: spot to back the pack.

399
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Speaker 5: Jim, Yeah, I actually had Grand Canyon written down, and

400
00:18:42,359 --> 00:18:44,560
Speaker 5: just you guys talking about it, I'm not going to

401
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Speaker 5: back Grand Canyon. I agree with you. The spot is

402
00:18:47,440 --> 00:18:50,200
Speaker 5: no good. I would have thought maybe Grand Canyon was

403
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Speaker 5: a fade last game after the home Utah State home

404
00:18:52,960 --> 00:18:55,320
Speaker 5: San Diego State back to back wins, and then they

405
00:18:55,359 --> 00:18:57,080
Speaker 5: go on the road and handle Fresno. But man, I

406
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Speaker 5: just I think Fresno is not a good team and

407
00:19:00,000 --> 00:19:03,480
Speaker 5: fairly poorly coached. But now they're second straight roady at

408
00:19:03,520 --> 00:19:07,000
Speaker 5: elevation against Nevada, a team I definitely.

409
00:19:06,960 --> 00:19:08,400
Speaker 2: Have undervalued at times this year.

410
00:19:08,440 --> 00:19:10,400
Speaker 5: The fact that all inside the top seventy of Ken

411
00:19:10,440 --> 00:19:12,320
Speaker 5: Palm is maybe higher than I would.

412
00:19:12,080 --> 00:19:12,640
Speaker 2: Have ranked them.

413
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Speaker 5: So and off a loss too at the pit back

414
00:19:15,520 --> 00:19:17,320
Speaker 5: home spots too much for me.

415
00:19:17,359 --> 00:19:17,639
Speaker 6: Kai.

416
00:19:17,920 --> 00:19:19,520
Speaker 5: I looked at the four, like I said, I wrote

417
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Speaker 5: it down, and I am backing off of that.

418
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Speaker 1: Stay away from me just big things throughout that Fresno game.

419
00:19:24,560 --> 00:19:28,280
Speaker 3: Presno is up too and then Collins and Gory fouled out,

420
00:19:28,359 --> 00:19:31,480
Speaker 3: Like I I mean, maybe they're too most important players,

421
00:19:31,520 --> 00:19:33,399
Speaker 3: with all due respect to Kay's boy Jake hard better.

422
00:19:33,960 --> 00:19:37,320
Speaker 3: So I think we could be Our GCU narrative could

423
00:19:37,320 --> 00:19:39,960
Speaker 3: be very different if Frezo wins that game. But I

424
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Speaker 3: think that's kind of what sets up for a what

425
00:19:41,720 --> 00:19:42,879
Speaker 3: I believe is a good spot here.

426
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Speaker 2: For the pack.

427
00:19:43,760 --> 00:19:46,200
Speaker 4: I agree, And of course Gran Canon got lucky against

428
00:19:46,240 --> 00:19:50,040
Speaker 4: San Diego State should have lost that game. Aztecs and

429
00:19:50,080 --> 00:19:53,119
Speaker 4: some reffing blew it at the end. Speaking of the PIT,

430
00:19:53,200 --> 00:19:55,080
Speaker 4: the team that plays at the PIT is traveling to

431
00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:58,040
Speaker 4: Las Vegas, New Mexico minus six on the road at

432
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Speaker 4: UNLV per Ken pom off of San Diego State loss

433
00:20:02,320 --> 00:20:04,520
Speaker 4: New Mexico, coming in at seven and two in the league,

434
00:20:04,560 --> 00:20:06,919
Speaker 4: a top fifty Ken Palm team fighting for an at

435
00:20:07,080 --> 00:20:09,280
Speaker 4: large bid. Here, Jim, they have the best defense in

436
00:20:09,320 --> 00:20:11,320
Speaker 4: the league. I don't think you want to be you

437
00:20:11,400 --> 00:20:14,240
Speaker 4: can really exploit this defense, and the Lobos, of course

438
00:20:14,400 --> 00:20:17,280
Speaker 4: under Eric Olin, a terrific team at protecting the ball,

439
00:20:17,359 --> 00:20:19,520
Speaker 4: they don't turn it over. I tend to think they

440
00:20:19,560 --> 00:20:21,359
Speaker 4: get it done here, but nothing strong.

441
00:20:22,080 --> 00:20:24,400
Speaker 5: Yeah, I've been really impressed by New Mexico. I don't

442
00:20:24,400 --> 00:20:27,160
Speaker 5: think anybody looked at this roster in the preseason and said, oh,

443
00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:28,800
Speaker 5: that's a top fifty team. It's going to flirt with

444
00:20:28,840 --> 00:20:32,119
Speaker 5: that large bid this year. Owen's just that good, really

445
00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:35,520
Speaker 5: really excellent coach. I would lean their way, but matt

446
00:20:35,600 --> 00:20:39,560
Speaker 5: unlv is like the ultimate that variance monster in terms

447
00:20:39,600 --> 00:20:42,320
Speaker 5: of like the way they play. But their outcomes have

448
00:20:42,400 --> 00:20:43,280
Speaker 5: been all.

449
00:20:43,040 --> 00:20:43,679
Speaker 2: Over the place.

450
00:20:43,680 --> 00:20:47,480
Speaker 5: They're three hundred and twentieth inconsistency per Houslo Metrics, and

451
00:20:47,520 --> 00:20:49,800
Speaker 5: I think that checks out exactly and some of the

452
00:20:49,800 --> 00:20:52,080
Speaker 5: home losses they've taken then to be able to go

453
00:20:52,119 --> 00:20:55,399
Speaker 5: on the road and win at Utah State, arguably the

454
00:20:55,400 --> 00:20:58,200
Speaker 5: best team in the league. It was able to nail

455
00:20:58,280 --> 00:21:01,200
Speaker 5: San Diego State on Saturday. Shout out to weekend listeners

456
00:21:01,200 --> 00:21:03,280
Speaker 5: of BBOC that was my favorite bet of the weekend

457
00:21:03,280 --> 00:21:06,000
Speaker 5: and as text took care of business. But I'm gonna

458
00:21:06,040 --> 00:21:09,120
Speaker 5: stay away from this UNLB Gay Matthews. It's not quite

459
00:21:09,240 --> 00:21:11,480
Speaker 5: enough of a bad spot where I'm willing to fade.

460
00:21:11,680 --> 00:21:14,359
Speaker 5: What is a very erratic team.

461
00:21:14,119 --> 00:21:15,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I think they are.

462
00:21:15,200 --> 00:21:18,639
Speaker 3: I think the the erratic behavior is sort of indicative,

463
00:21:18,760 --> 00:21:22,120
Speaker 3: like their rotate. Their roster lineup has been a question

464
00:21:22,160 --> 00:21:24,000
Speaker 3: mark all year. They had a ton of injuries. Pastor

465
00:21:24,080 --> 00:21:26,480
Speaker 3: loves to change defenses. I think that also plays into

466
00:21:26,480 --> 00:21:29,200
Speaker 3: the variants as well. I lean New Mexico here, though,

467
00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:31,080
Speaker 3: I'm with you, I was super impressive what I've seen

468
00:21:31,119 --> 00:21:35,040
Speaker 3: how they're playing. They got their guards in Tennett and

469
00:21:35,119 --> 00:21:36,760
Speaker 3: allber Area playing really well, and then CJ.

470
00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:37,520
Speaker 1: Hall the freshman.

471
00:21:37,560 --> 00:21:41,480
Speaker 3: It's just such like a quintessential j Cal Thank you J. Hall,

472
00:21:42,440 --> 00:21:44,680
Speaker 3: like strong guard who can kind of back you down

473
00:21:44,720 --> 00:21:46,840
Speaker 3: and post you, but then he can stretch. It reminds

474
00:21:46,880 --> 00:21:49,840
Speaker 3: me a little bit of like a thicker time a guy,

475
00:21:50,160 --> 00:21:51,719
Speaker 3: just not as leap of a shooter, just a bit

476
00:21:51,760 --> 00:21:55,280
Speaker 3: a versatile piece that just seems like a classic Triton guy.

477
00:21:55,600 --> 00:21:58,040
Speaker 3: And their size up fronts are pretty good too, deep

478
00:21:58,240 --> 00:21:59,840
Speaker 3: versaal tough to prepare for.

479
00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:02,000
Speaker 1: Aleen Lobo's here, but no bet for me.

480
00:22:02,040 --> 00:22:05,600
Speaker 4: Sorry to the A. Ten we Go and Slew is

481
00:22:06,080 --> 00:22:07,960
Speaker 4: maybe the best or excuse me, the most fun team

482
00:22:07,960 --> 00:22:11,120
Speaker 4: in the country to watch. They're hosting George Washington. Kemp

483
00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:13,200
Speaker 4: Pom's got the spread minus eleven in favor of Slough.

484
00:22:13,760 --> 00:22:16,160
Speaker 4: They're just so unselfish the Billikins, Matt. They're so fun

485
00:22:16,160 --> 00:22:18,400
Speaker 4: to watch. They get great shots. They rock on defense

486
00:22:18,440 --> 00:22:22,320
Speaker 4: as well. I gotta check if they're still this way.

487
00:22:22,359 --> 00:22:26,280
Speaker 4: But as of Saturday, and yes, as of today, number

488
00:22:26,280 --> 00:22:28,200
Speaker 4: one in the country and effective field goal percent in

489
00:22:28,400 --> 00:22:32,400
Speaker 4: both offense and defense. That's crazy. We know George Washington

490
00:22:32,440 --> 00:22:35,639
Speaker 4: has haymaker ability because it does have talent, but I

491
00:22:35,680 --> 00:22:37,720
Speaker 4: think the Bills are too good. You take away Castro

492
00:22:38,000 --> 00:22:40,120
Speaker 4: and I think GW kind of cracks. I think Sleugh

493
00:22:40,200 --> 00:22:42,640
Speaker 4: can do that. What are your thoughts, Matt again, kempom

494
00:22:42,640 --> 00:22:44,000
Speaker 4: minus eleven towards Slough.

495
00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:47,159
Speaker 3: Yeah, it just thinks for I think he think Slou's

496
00:22:47,160 --> 00:22:49,240
Speaker 3: gonna drop one of these games coming down the stretch,

497
00:22:50,680 --> 00:22:52,600
Speaker 3: and I don't think it's this one.

498
00:22:52,640 --> 00:22:53,440
Speaker 1: But you're right.

499
00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:57,640
Speaker 3: The haymaker punch ability that George Washington has is substantial.

500
00:22:58,240 --> 00:22:59,600
Speaker 1: And Dayton comes to town friedag GYM.

501
00:22:59,560 --> 00:23:02,320
Speaker 3: I don't think looking ahead past this team, but the

502
00:23:02,440 --> 00:23:05,960
Speaker 3: arch Bear rivalry is obviously very meaningful. And that's a

503
00:23:06,000 --> 00:23:09,520
Speaker 3: quick turn after the Tuesday game coming back from middle

504
00:23:09,520 --> 00:23:13,920
Speaker 3: of nowhere Upstate New York after dominating the bodies. My god,

505
00:23:13,960 --> 00:23:16,440
Speaker 3: they couldn't miss You. Wonder if SLU is going to

506
00:23:16,480 --> 00:23:18,119
Speaker 3: play their A game. I think they play a B

507
00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:21,080
Speaker 3: game here. But what George Washington team shows up. I

508
00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:21,560
Speaker 3: have no idea.

509
00:23:21,600 --> 00:23:22,480
Speaker 1: I never have any idea.

510
00:23:23,240 --> 00:23:26,399
Speaker 5: Yeah, George Washington is one of those like talented teams

511
00:23:26,440 --> 00:23:29,320
Speaker 5: that can play up and has has shown it a

512
00:23:29,320 --> 00:23:31,800
Speaker 5: little bit this year. But I don't know if I'm

513
00:23:31,840 --> 00:23:33,280
Speaker 5: going to get it. I mean, like the South Florida

514
00:23:33,320 --> 00:23:36,480
Speaker 5: win has aged pretty well. They competed really solidly with

515
00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:39,440
Speaker 5: Florida on a neutral court, and to your point, and

516
00:23:39,640 --> 00:23:41,680
Speaker 5: SLEW is in a weird spot here with coming off

517
00:23:42,160 --> 00:23:45,320
Speaker 5: an unbelievable performance at Saint Mountaventure. I think they hit

518
00:23:45,320 --> 00:23:47,560
Speaker 5: fourteen threes in the first half. It was never ever

519
00:23:47,600 --> 00:23:49,919
Speaker 5: close in one of the what's supposed to be a

520
00:23:49,960 --> 00:23:52,280
Speaker 5: tough road environment against one of the best coaches in

521
00:23:52,320 --> 00:23:56,119
Speaker 5: the conference. And arch Baron is huge for SLEW fans,

522
00:23:56,160 --> 00:23:58,879
Speaker 5: for Dayton fans. If you live in the Saint Louis area,

523
00:23:58,960 --> 00:24:01,119
Speaker 5: get to Schaefitz on Friday night, I think that's going

524
00:24:01,160 --> 00:24:03,520
Speaker 5: to be a popping atmosphere they.

525
00:24:03,560 --> 00:24:04,880
Speaker 2: Usually wipe that game out.

526
00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:07,679
Speaker 5: If I remember the bill can Blizzard is often what

527
00:24:07,760 --> 00:24:10,320
Speaker 5: they go with their so check that out. But I

528
00:24:10,320 --> 00:24:12,520
Speaker 5: would lean towards GW getting doubles here.

529
00:24:12,600 --> 00:24:12,840
Speaker 2: Kai.

530
00:24:13,320 --> 00:24:17,119
Speaker 5: I just am not willing to go against Slough. I

531
00:24:17,200 --> 00:24:20,800
Speaker 5: know they kind of got bumpy down the stretch against Dukane,

532
00:24:20,800 --> 00:24:22,960
Speaker 5: but they also handled that game. They're up twelve with

533
00:24:23,040 --> 00:24:25,760
Speaker 5: five minutes left and it got down to four. I

534
00:24:25,840 --> 00:24:28,359
Speaker 5: think that was more of just like a sometimes SLU

535
00:24:28,440 --> 00:24:30,760
Speaker 5: is going to have a small stretch, so I don't

536
00:24:30,760 --> 00:24:32,480
Speaker 5: want to fade them. I just think it's a big

537
00:24:32,560 --> 00:24:34,560
Speaker 5: number for a GW team that has enough talent and

538
00:24:34,640 --> 00:24:36,600
Speaker 5: depth to play up against this SLEU team.

539
00:24:37,200 --> 00:24:39,640
Speaker 4: I'm with you guys on that one. Yes, staying away.

540
00:24:39,680 --> 00:24:44,320
Speaker 4: Don't evade my slup bills. They're so great, Josh shirts Jim.

541
00:24:44,359 --> 00:24:47,040
Speaker 4: How about this one Richmond at VCU A rivalry game.

542
00:24:47,080 --> 00:24:48,560
Speaker 4: I don't know if this one has a fancy name,

543
00:24:48,560 --> 00:24:51,200
Speaker 4: but they both the schools. Both these schools are located

544
00:24:51,240 --> 00:24:54,280
Speaker 4: and basically the same area. VCU still in the hunt

545
00:24:54,280 --> 00:24:56,679
Speaker 4: for at large, but I would say it certainly cannot

546
00:24:56,680 --> 00:24:59,639
Speaker 4: lose this game. The Spiders, they've lost three in a row. Four,

547
00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:01,800
Speaker 4: the last five kind of plummeting back down to earth

548
00:25:02,240 --> 00:25:05,800
Speaker 4: after really a solid non con This up tempo game

549
00:25:05,880 --> 00:25:07,920
Speaker 4: scares me. I think both teams want to run Jim,

550
00:25:08,080 --> 00:25:09,920
Speaker 4: but I do think the Spiders can hang around. That's

551
00:25:09,920 --> 00:25:13,119
Speaker 4: my initial inkling that Richmond can hang around doubles Ken

552
00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:14,720
Speaker 4: Palm's got a VC minus twelve.

553
00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:17,720
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm gonna point the finger at myself here and

554
00:25:17,800 --> 00:25:20,080
Speaker 5: be like, why was I not fading both of these

555
00:25:20,080 --> 00:25:23,400
Speaker 5: teams on Saturday? Because this rivalry is massive and it's

556
00:25:23,440 --> 00:25:26,960
Speaker 5: such a huge look ahead and both teams did not cover.

557
00:25:27,440 --> 00:25:29,720
Speaker 5: Neither team covered, so it would have been probably a

558
00:25:29,720 --> 00:25:32,200
Speaker 5: good fade spot over the weekend. I just missed it.

559
00:25:32,840 --> 00:25:36,600
Speaker 5: But double digits again. Yeah, Richmond, they were really solid

560
00:25:36,680 --> 00:25:38,560
Speaker 5: early in the season, cracked the top one hundred. They've

561
00:25:38,600 --> 00:25:41,320
Speaker 5: drifted a little off that pace now I think they

562
00:25:41,320 --> 00:25:43,080
Speaker 5: can compete. I was going to look up the historic

563
00:25:43,080 --> 00:25:44,600
Speaker 5: stats for the matchup with then it's.

564
00:25:44,400 --> 00:25:46,920
Speaker 3: Been one side and I'm almost positive, like VCU dominates

565
00:25:46,920 --> 00:25:47,200
Speaker 3: this match.

566
00:25:47,359 --> 00:25:50,440
Speaker 5: Yeah, the athleticism usually is overwhelming for Mooney, but it's

567
00:25:50,440 --> 00:25:52,800
Speaker 5: because it's a new coach, because it's Martelli and it's

568
00:25:52,800 --> 00:25:56,200
Speaker 5: not Odahm or Rhodes or whoever's currently at the operations.

569
00:25:56,520 --> 00:25:59,200
Speaker 5: They kind of just roteating cast of characters of VCU

570
00:25:59,240 --> 00:26:01,400
Speaker 5: because they placed the coaches in the P five every year.

571
00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:05,320
Speaker 5: It is still a very athletic team with depth in size,

572
00:26:05,640 --> 00:26:08,880
Speaker 5: and that worries me for Richmond. So rivalry game double

573
00:26:08,880 --> 00:26:11,960
Speaker 5: digits Kai thinking about it, no travel at all, but

574
00:26:12,480 --> 00:26:16,560
Speaker 5: the historical precedent of Mooney's team struggling with this kind

575
00:26:16,640 --> 00:26:19,480
Speaker 5: of length athleticism scares me off it.

576
00:26:20,040 --> 00:26:22,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, Aileen Richmond, it might be a bet for me.

577
00:26:22,359 --> 00:26:23,760
Speaker 3: I need to see what the number comes in. But

578
00:26:24,119 --> 00:26:26,080
Speaker 3: they got killed by slow all right, A lot of

579
00:26:26,080 --> 00:26:28,480
Speaker 3: teams do. Rhode Islands. I think a good team that's

580
00:26:28,560 --> 00:26:31,440
Speaker 3: just annoyingly bad in the record column. And then George

581
00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:33,880
Speaker 3: Washington we talked about how they can play their fast

582
00:26:33,880 --> 00:26:35,360
Speaker 3: pass as good as any in this conference.

583
00:26:36,160 --> 00:26:37,960
Speaker 1: And I'm not a huge VS. You fan, I'm just not.

584
00:26:38,080 --> 00:26:39,320
Speaker 3: I think their offense has been a little bit of

585
00:26:39,359 --> 00:26:42,280
Speaker 3: herky jerky, and I know Richmond's been dominated by them.

586
00:26:42,280 --> 00:26:45,040
Speaker 3: But in the cross town thinking a new coach to reset,

587
00:26:45,320 --> 00:26:46,600
Speaker 3: I think Mooney keeps it close.

588
00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:50,080
Speaker 4: We'll see that. Okay, all right, fellas, let's go to

589
00:26:50,160 --> 00:27:02,520
Speaker 4: live docshs mine. I got some options for you. Quick

590
00:27:02,760 --> 00:27:05,800
Speaker 4: flashback to last week. Our options were pretty good against

591
00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:08,680
Speaker 4: the spread. Columbia did get waxed by Yale, so no

592
00:27:09,000 --> 00:27:11,879
Speaker 4: Columbia there. But Seaton Hall hung around with Saint John's.

593
00:27:11,920 --> 00:27:15,080
Speaker 4: They covered. Colorado covered the spread against Kansas depending what

594
00:27:15,160 --> 00:27:17,240
Speaker 4: number you got, they that was one of those split

595
00:27:17,280 --> 00:27:20,560
Speaker 4: ones where the number did move towards Colorado and would

596
00:27:20,600 --> 00:27:25,720
Speaker 4: not have covered the kimpom spread. Minnesota took Ohio State

597
00:27:25,760 --> 00:27:28,160
Speaker 4: to overtime and then lost by eight. Again I think

598
00:27:28,440 --> 00:27:30,800
Speaker 4: depending on your number, either covered or he didn't. And

599
00:27:30,840 --> 00:27:33,840
Speaker 4: then Utah covered easily against Kansas State. We didn't take

600
00:27:33,880 --> 00:27:36,800
Speaker 4: all these games, but they were options and fellas. I

601
00:27:36,840 --> 00:27:39,399
Speaker 4: have some options for you this week. On Monday, I

602
00:27:39,440 --> 00:27:42,399
Speaker 4: got one. I got Abline Christian at Tarleton. ACU has

603
00:27:42,440 --> 00:27:45,040
Speaker 4: already beaten Tarleton. They have similar styles with the way

604
00:27:45,040 --> 00:27:47,719
Speaker 4: they forced turn overshoot free throws. Then Tuesday, I'll give

605
00:27:47,720 --> 00:27:49,879
Speaker 4: you a four pack and Jim, you can pick and

606
00:27:49,920 --> 00:27:51,800
Speaker 4: choose or you can go totally off the board. Here

607
00:27:52,240 --> 00:27:55,239
Speaker 4: Missouri goes to Alabama. I know it's crazy, but the

608
00:27:55,240 --> 00:27:58,280
Speaker 4: Tigers plus eleven per kimpom, they have beaten good teams

609
00:27:58,280 --> 00:28:01,240
Speaker 4: before they can play up io plus seven at Kent

610
00:28:01,320 --> 00:28:04,919
Speaker 4: State Georgia Tech again, another crazy one plus eleven at

611
00:28:04,960 --> 00:28:08,399
Speaker 4: Virginia Tech, and do we tempt the gods with UMass

612
00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:12,200
Speaker 4: plus eleven at Miami of Ohio finally bringing down the RedHawks.

613
00:28:12,520 --> 00:28:14,640
Speaker 4: Thoughts on those games or you going elsewhere?

614
00:28:15,520 --> 00:28:18,840
Speaker 5: I maybe we should discuss it now or not. I'm

615
00:28:18,880 --> 00:28:22,040
Speaker 5: gonna end up on the tide in that game, I

616
00:28:22,040 --> 00:28:23,480
Speaker 5: think spot wise, I.

617
00:28:23,760 --> 00:28:24,280
Speaker 4: Don't like you.

618
00:28:24,400 --> 00:28:28,479
Speaker 5: Missouri had the double buzzer beater game at and then

619
00:28:28,520 --> 00:28:31,040
Speaker 5: yeah Bama off the loss to Tennessee.

620
00:28:31,440 --> 00:28:33,160
Speaker 2: Did you guys see Tennessee's tweet.

621
00:28:33,040 --> 00:28:36,679
Speaker 4: By the way, yes, remind remind me.

622
00:28:37,320 --> 00:28:40,120
Speaker 5: It was good of the Valls shouting at Betty Gaco

623
00:28:40,560 --> 00:28:44,520
Speaker 5: and it said like Delaware eighty six ers your next Yeah, yeah.

624
00:28:44,960 --> 00:28:45,920
Speaker 2: Bring on the g League.

625
00:28:46,680 --> 00:28:49,560
Speaker 5: Just just really good sense of humor from the Balls

626
00:28:49,640 --> 00:28:50,400
Speaker 5: social media team.

627
00:28:50,400 --> 00:28:51,200
Speaker 2: They respected them.

628
00:28:51,560 --> 00:28:54,400
Speaker 5: But I do think that Spot's awesome for Alabama. Question

629
00:28:54,520 --> 00:28:56,640
Speaker 5: is whether they're going to be healthy with Holloway and

630
00:28:56,680 --> 00:28:58,719
Speaker 5: Amari Allen, who I think are like two of their

631
00:28:58,760 --> 00:29:01,800
Speaker 5: three most important players after le Baron Filond So got

632
00:29:01,800 --> 00:29:05,200
Speaker 5: to keep an eye on that. Attempted by Ohio. Kent

633
00:29:05,240 --> 00:29:08,000
Speaker 5: State obviously had the disappointment against mynam Ohio, but that's

634
00:29:08,000 --> 00:29:12,280
Speaker 5: probably not lingering as much anymore. Georgia Tech, Matthew, I

635
00:29:12,320 --> 00:29:15,080
Speaker 5: love them against the top top top of the ACC

636
00:29:15,520 --> 00:29:17,400
Speaker 5: But is Virginia Tech good enough for them to show

637
00:29:17,480 --> 00:29:20,360
Speaker 5: up in the usual yellow jackets dog thrown in the

638
00:29:20,360 --> 00:29:21,360
Speaker 5: side that's dotted Myers.

639
00:29:21,440 --> 00:29:21,800
Speaker 2: I don't know.

640
00:29:21,840 --> 00:29:25,200
Speaker 1: I can't quite I had that was written down too.

641
00:29:26,240 --> 00:29:30,040
Speaker 5: I'm gonna end up more yeahs as we get to

642
00:29:30,120 --> 00:29:31,960
Speaker 5: the end and get through the next section.

643
00:29:32,000 --> 00:29:32,360
Speaker 2: Favorite.

644
00:29:32,440 --> 00:29:34,640
Speaker 5: I will be on more favorites this week than dogs,

645
00:29:34,720 --> 00:29:37,560
Speaker 5: just the way the the slate works out on Monday Tuesday.

646
00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:40,480
Speaker 5: So kayak, I'm not sadly gonna go hand in hand

647
00:29:40,480 --> 00:29:42,840
Speaker 5: with you on any of these, Okay, Matthew, I.

648
00:29:42,720 --> 00:29:46,000
Speaker 3: Had Rhode Island written down going to Dayton. I bet

649
00:29:46,000 --> 00:29:51,120
Speaker 3: they'll begin like eight. Kempom has its six for Dayton

650
00:29:51,160 --> 00:29:53,000
Speaker 3: to the arch parent the other side of that one,

651
00:29:53,120 --> 00:29:57,840
Speaker 3: and then Providence at Yukon after Providence, just totally. I mean,

652
00:29:57,880 --> 00:29:59,840
Speaker 3: I didn't watch Second's funny. I watched the first half,

653
00:30:00,040 --> 00:30:01,320
Speaker 3: and I didn't watch a lick of the second half.

654
00:30:01,360 --> 00:30:05,920
Speaker 3: I don't know what happened but that offense could get going,

655
00:30:06,000 --> 00:30:07,640
Speaker 3: and we talked about Yukon has been a.

656
00:30:07,640 --> 00:30:08,600
Speaker 1: Little bit dicey.

657
00:30:09,040 --> 00:30:11,600
Speaker 3: You're obviously getting a huge you know, payout for that's

658
00:30:11,640 --> 00:30:15,640
Speaker 3: probably gonna be you know, twelve hundred to one. There's

659
00:30:15,880 --> 00:30:21,320
Speaker 3: plus twelve hundred, so I might yeah, Lester City tied.

660
00:30:21,280 --> 00:30:23,880
Speaker 2: Back my intrigue. Interesting.

661
00:30:23,920 --> 00:30:26,120
Speaker 1: I think Providence might be a couch changed dabble.

662
00:30:25,920 --> 00:30:28,600
Speaker 4: For me, kay. Interesting. I will talk about them in

663
00:30:28,680 --> 00:30:32,640
Speaker 4: the spots section for sure. I'm going to aveline Fellas again.

664
00:30:33,040 --> 00:30:36,920
Speaker 4: This game is going to be absolutely chaos. Lots of turnovers,

665
00:30:37,080 --> 00:30:39,520
Speaker 4: lots of free throws. It's just high variants and the

666
00:30:39,560 --> 00:30:42,560
Speaker 4: high variance game. Obviously. I think the dog is a

667
00:30:42,600 --> 00:30:45,880
Speaker 4: good money line bet, and again Ablien's beating Tarlton once

668
00:30:45,920 --> 00:30:48,600
Speaker 4: this year. I will stay off off Mazoo. I don't

669
00:30:48,640 --> 00:30:51,680
Speaker 4: like Bam off a loss Ohio. I just think Ken

670
00:30:51,680 --> 00:30:54,760
Speaker 4: State is kind of a vulnerable favorite. They're off two

671
00:30:54,760 --> 00:30:57,720
Speaker 4: overtime losses. They're insane rebounders, but they're just streaky and

672
00:30:57,760 --> 00:31:00,560
Speaker 4: they're very loose with the ball. Definitely able to lose

673
00:31:00,560 --> 00:31:02,240
Speaker 4: any night, But I am going to go with u

674
00:31:02,280 --> 00:31:06,840
Speaker 4: mass Fellas. Miami keeps playing with fire. They're gonna get

675
00:31:06,840 --> 00:31:08,960
Speaker 4: burned eventually. And I don't think this U mass team

676
00:31:09,000 --> 00:31:12,120
Speaker 4: is a pushover. They did beat Tleedom Buffalo recently, They've

677
00:31:12,120 --> 00:31:14,520
Speaker 4: beaten Florida State earlier this season. It's a very high

678
00:31:14,520 --> 00:31:16,920
Speaker 4: tempo game, high scoring, and I definitely am worried about

679
00:31:16,960 --> 00:31:20,480
Speaker 4: umasses into your defense. I'm worried about they're fouling. They

680
00:31:20,480 --> 00:31:23,240
Speaker 4: can shoot, and they have positional size, and I will

681
00:31:23,240 --> 00:31:28,000
Speaker 4: take them at plus eleven. Maybe not money line bet there,

682
00:31:28,360 --> 00:31:30,320
Speaker 4: Jim found I like, well, first I want to ask

683
00:31:30,400 --> 00:31:32,400
Speaker 4: is Nebraska live? Do they count as a live I

684
00:31:32,400 --> 00:31:34,840
Speaker 4: think Nebraska is absolutely live. Yes, you may take them

685
00:31:34,880 --> 00:31:35,680
Speaker 4: if you want. Yeah.

686
00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:37,560
Speaker 5: I mean it's it's such a high variance game. Every

687
00:31:37,600 --> 00:31:39,640
Speaker 5: Nebraska game can be high variance because the amount of

688
00:31:39,640 --> 00:31:42,080
Speaker 5: three shot on both sides. The one I'm going to take,

689
00:31:42,080 --> 00:31:44,080
Speaker 5: and it hurts me because it's against the team that

690
00:31:44,120 --> 00:31:47,040
Speaker 5: I have loved most of the season, But I'm leaning

691
00:31:47,080 --> 00:31:51,280
Speaker 5: towards the Syracuse plus ten against NC State. They Syracuse

692
00:31:51,320 --> 00:31:54,360
Speaker 5: did just lose at home to Miami Florida, and they

693
00:31:54,400 --> 00:31:56,760
Speaker 5: have been due for some some three point shooting regression

694
00:31:56,840 --> 00:31:58,360
Speaker 5: on both ends of the floor. I talked about that

695
00:31:58,400 --> 00:32:01,840
Speaker 5: on the weekend episode of BEC and they got a

696
00:32:01,880 --> 00:32:04,360
Speaker 5: little bit against Miami. And by a little bit of that,

697
00:32:04,360 --> 00:32:06,360
Speaker 5: I mean Miami shot fifty four percent from three and

698
00:32:06,400 --> 00:32:09,479
Speaker 5: Syracuse shot twenty nine, so at least maybe they got

699
00:32:09,520 --> 00:32:11,080
Speaker 5: some of it out of the way. It also just

700
00:32:11,120 --> 00:32:14,200
Speaker 5: has to do the NC State being relatively inconsistent, like

701
00:32:14,400 --> 00:32:16,280
Speaker 5: it took a while to get away from Pitt on

702
00:32:16,280 --> 00:32:18,280
Speaker 5: the road and only won by single digits, lost.

703
00:32:18,120 --> 00:32:19,400
Speaker 2: At home to Georgia Tech.

704
00:32:20,000 --> 00:32:21,760
Speaker 5: I like that team when they're up and they go

705
00:32:21,840 --> 00:32:24,600
Speaker 5: to Clemson and they compete in that one, but I

706
00:32:24,600 --> 00:32:26,520
Speaker 5: think they could sleep walk through this one. And Syracuse

707
00:32:26,560 --> 00:32:29,080
Speaker 5: at least has the talent Donny Freeman's gonna be a

708
00:32:29,120 --> 00:32:33,640
Speaker 5: tough match up there. And I'll throw in Syracuse plus ten.

709
00:32:33,840 --> 00:32:35,240
Speaker 5: I won't take it below that, but I'll throw that

710
00:32:35,240 --> 00:32:35,800
Speaker 5: one on the card.

711
00:32:36,040 --> 00:32:37,800
Speaker 4: I like it Anti State, very high variance.

712
00:32:37,840 --> 00:32:41,040
Speaker 3: Matthew, Yes, yeah, I agree. And they didn't play consistent.

713
00:32:41,080 --> 00:32:43,360
Speaker 3: Now they covered this weekend, but they were not consistent.

714
00:32:43,560 --> 00:32:46,480
Speaker 3: I think had to make like multiple runs and Wade

715
00:32:46,520 --> 00:32:48,239
Speaker 3: just kind of I think has said that's who we are.

716
00:32:48,320 --> 00:32:51,400
Speaker 3: And with Darian Williams continuing to does not look like

717
00:32:51,600 --> 00:32:54,720
Speaker 3: himself and Holliman just came back. But yeah, that team

718
00:32:54,760 --> 00:32:58,560
Speaker 3: just doesn't have like the the talent that I think

719
00:32:58,640 --> 00:32:59,880
Speaker 3: we sort of thought preseason.

720
00:33:00,000 --> 00:33:01,240
Speaker 1: So I think they're gonna have to kind of mix

721
00:33:01,280 --> 00:33:01,680
Speaker 1: a matching.

722
00:33:02,040 --> 00:33:04,200
Speaker 3: They're gonna find themselves some close games against middling A

723
00:33:04,280 --> 00:33:07,040
Speaker 3: SEC teams that could doom their their turney.

724
00:33:06,760 --> 00:33:10,920
Speaker 4: Birth alrighty favorite favorites here we come. Last week two

725
00:33:11,000 --> 00:33:14,000
Speaker 4: games you talked about, Iowa couldn't get away from Rutgers. Yeah,

726
00:33:14,000 --> 00:33:16,760
Speaker 4: it was a close game, but Colorado State absolutely murdered

727
00:33:16,840 --> 00:33:19,880
Speaker 4: air Force. Air Force might just be on auto fade

728
00:33:19,920 --> 00:33:22,200
Speaker 4: for the rest of the season. It's a bad team

729
00:33:22,240 --> 00:33:24,560
Speaker 4: and Joe Scott, their coach, is now on the outs.

730
00:33:24,600 --> 00:33:26,960
Speaker 5: So if they play a team of the Pulse, yeah,

731
00:33:27,440 --> 00:33:30,040
Speaker 5: like any of those top eight, their top seven, Like,

732
00:33:30,080 --> 00:33:32,520
Speaker 5: maybe I won't fade them against San Jose State, but

733
00:33:33,080 --> 00:33:35,640
Speaker 5: anybody else like the Digital lose to Boise by forty

734
00:33:35,640 --> 00:33:36,120
Speaker 5: this weekend.

735
00:33:36,480 --> 00:33:39,520
Speaker 4: Yes, And speaking of Boise Gym, they make my list

736
00:33:39,600 --> 00:33:42,480
Speaker 4: this week for favorite favorites. They're minus ten per kmpom

737
00:33:42,480 --> 00:33:45,880
Speaker 4: at San Jose State. I just think the Spartans aren't

738
00:33:45,880 --> 00:33:49,320
Speaker 4: good and they've been getting beaten handily lately, with one

739
00:33:49,360 --> 00:33:53,000
Speaker 4: exception Wyoming game. Other than that had not been very good.

740
00:33:53,440 --> 00:33:56,800
Speaker 4: I think Arkansas minus four per km pom at Oklahoma

741
00:33:57,200 --> 00:33:59,520
Speaker 4: is a strong favorite this week because I think ou

742
00:33:59,680 --> 00:34:02,480
Speaker 4: is cooked. Miszoo I think was the last straw. I

743
00:34:02,480 --> 00:34:05,040
Speaker 4: think Arkansas rolls here. Porter I think is on the

744
00:34:05,040 --> 00:34:08,480
Speaker 4: way out. Unfortunately, we love Porter Moser, but it hasn't

745
00:34:08,480 --> 00:34:10,279
Speaker 4: been in the cars room this year. And then k

746
00:34:10,480 --> 00:34:15,200
Speaker 4: State has just been bad. West Virginia minus eight versus

747
00:34:15,320 --> 00:34:18,600
Speaker 4: k State hosting the Wildcats with a bunch of injuries.

748
00:34:19,040 --> 00:34:22,239
Speaker 4: They scraped by Utah, they weren't competitive against Kansas. I

749
00:34:22,320 --> 00:34:24,680
Speaker 4: just think, I man, I see a wounded deer in

750
00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:28,200
Speaker 4: Kansas State Wildcats, So I might be targeting West Virginia here.

751
00:34:28,680 --> 00:34:30,279
Speaker 4: Do you like any of those favorites? Do you have

752
00:34:30,360 --> 00:34:30,960
Speaker 4: some of your own?

753
00:34:31,760 --> 00:34:35,319
Speaker 3: Just looking at West Virginia's splits this season? As a

754
00:34:35,600 --> 00:34:37,440
Speaker 3: they're eight and four against the number at home, but

755
00:34:37,719 --> 00:34:39,279
Speaker 3: as a favorite, they're only six and six.

756
00:34:39,360 --> 00:34:40,719
Speaker 1: It's just hodge in that team.

757
00:34:40,719 --> 00:34:42,000
Speaker 3: That's just not a team that I trust to like

758
00:34:42,040 --> 00:34:44,400
Speaker 3: win by margin. Is as much as I dislike k State,

759
00:34:46,040 --> 00:34:48,560
Speaker 3: I honestly none of the I the Oklahoma one was

760
00:34:48,560 --> 00:34:49,960
Speaker 3: the one I was close to pulling trigger.

761
00:34:50,400 --> 00:34:52,759
Speaker 1: I just will see what that price comes in at.

762
00:34:52,800 --> 00:34:54,560
Speaker 3: But I'm with you. I think they're just that kind

763
00:34:54,560 --> 00:34:56,600
Speaker 3: of broke them the missoo thing. I think they're just

764
00:34:56,640 --> 00:34:59,319
Speaker 3: their spirits broken. Feels like the TCU game when they

765
00:34:59,320 --> 00:35:01,600
Speaker 3: blew the KU won at Fog and they came home

766
00:35:01,640 --> 00:35:04,200
Speaker 3: and got boat raced. Just it feels like that's a

767
00:35:04,239 --> 00:35:06,480
Speaker 3: broken maybe not the whole year, but just for the

768
00:35:06,520 --> 00:35:08,839
Speaker 3: next game. I don't know how you don't sulk about

769
00:35:08,840 --> 00:35:09,280
Speaker 3: that one.

770
00:35:09,880 --> 00:35:11,920
Speaker 5: Yeah, that's one. I think I buy most of your

771
00:35:11,920 --> 00:35:15,200
Speaker 5: three here, Kai. The one thing I'll mention with. There's

772
00:35:15,200 --> 00:35:18,120
Speaker 5: really personnel stuff involved in a couple of others, Like

773
00:35:18,200 --> 00:35:21,720
Speaker 5: if McGriff is out for K State, I think maybe

774
00:35:21,880 --> 00:35:23,959
Speaker 5: you get a little more friendly with West Virginia there.

775
00:35:24,120 --> 00:35:27,200
Speaker 5: That's a fun little matchup of former UNC Wilmington centers

776
00:35:27,320 --> 00:35:30,759
Speaker 5: if McGriff plays, because Obioha is the West Virginia big

777
00:35:30,800 --> 00:35:31,239
Speaker 5: man in there.

778
00:35:31,280 --> 00:35:32,400
Speaker 2: So I'm sure those guys.

779
00:35:32,239 --> 00:35:36,719
Speaker 5: Will renew some interior rivalry from practice. And then you

780
00:35:36,800 --> 00:35:39,759
Speaker 5: mentioned San Jose State actually being a little bit competitive

781
00:35:39,920 --> 00:35:42,840
Speaker 5: this weekend, and they did get Colby Garland back for

782
00:35:42,960 --> 00:35:45,960
Speaker 5: that game. They had Jermaine Washington back for two. They

783
00:35:46,000 --> 00:35:47,799
Speaker 5: still don't have Yaff at Moundy. They still don't have

784
00:35:47,840 --> 00:35:51,560
Speaker 5: Javon Hannah, so two of their opening night starters or

785
00:35:51,800 --> 00:35:54,200
Speaker 5: consistent starters are still not in there. Still short handed,

786
00:35:54,239 --> 00:35:56,920
Speaker 5: but at least they've got some of that some of

787
00:35:56,960 --> 00:36:00,360
Speaker 5: that juice back in the lineup because they were completely

788
00:36:00,360 --> 00:36:02,360
Speaker 5: walking wounded, like missing four of their best five players

789
00:36:02,360 --> 00:36:04,040
Speaker 5: for a long time. Rose Borrow is still out to

790
00:36:04,760 --> 00:36:07,880
Speaker 5: he matters, he's a starter, so they're trying to figure

791
00:36:07,920 --> 00:36:11,399
Speaker 5: it out. I'm gonna scare stay scared on that one.

792
00:36:11,640 --> 00:36:14,839
Speaker 5: I will back Virginia though, Kai on the road minus

793
00:36:14,880 --> 00:36:18,360
Speaker 5: seven at Notre Dame. The Joy Center not an environment

794
00:36:18,440 --> 00:36:21,879
Speaker 5: I am afraid of for a road favorite Notre Dame.

795
00:36:22,280 --> 00:36:24,719
Speaker 5: There's a lot of fans that are just headed up

796
00:36:24,719 --> 00:36:27,200
Speaker 5: to here. With Shrewsbury, I don't think he's real engaging

797
00:36:27,239 --> 00:36:30,719
Speaker 5: with the student's body and the fans in general. And

798
00:36:30,800 --> 00:36:34,440
Speaker 5: Virginia just blew a big lead to North Carolina. I

799
00:36:34,480 --> 00:36:36,600
Speaker 5: think that's going to stick in their crawl a little bit.

800
00:36:37,000 --> 00:36:39,080
Speaker 5: Their style travels really well on the road. They've got

801
00:36:39,120 --> 00:36:41,240
Speaker 5: a bunch of good road winds already in the ACC

802
00:36:41,320 --> 00:36:43,480
Speaker 5: and in the non conference. I think they get another

803
00:36:43,520 --> 00:36:46,360
Speaker 5: one there with the offensive rebounding the rim protection that

804
00:36:46,400 --> 00:36:49,160
Speaker 5: they have. Love Virginia minus seven on the road at

805
00:36:49,160 --> 00:36:49,600
Speaker 5: Notre Dame.

806
00:36:50,320 --> 00:36:53,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, good shout, Jim. I definitely think towards the who's there,

807
00:36:53,160 --> 00:36:56,360
Speaker 4: I'm going to lock in Arkansas officially there again. Minus

808
00:36:56,360 --> 00:36:58,680
Speaker 4: four for Kimpom. I'm not sure with them with the

809
00:36:58,680 --> 00:37:00,640
Speaker 4: market's going to go on that one, I would assume

810
00:37:01,000 --> 00:37:03,719
Speaker 4: they'd probably be on Arkansas, but I'll say up to

811
00:37:03,719 --> 00:37:08,360
Speaker 4: minus five for the Hogs against Ou. All Right, spots

812
00:37:08,400 --> 00:37:10,839
Speaker 4: fellas last week Matt called out a couple of big

813
00:37:10,880 --> 00:37:15,400
Speaker 4: sky spots. North Northern Colorado failed against Montana State NAU

814
00:37:15,480 --> 00:37:18,920
Speaker 4: got wrecked against Montana, so not great big sky there.

815
00:37:19,800 --> 00:37:23,480
Speaker 4: Indiana did cover against Michigan just barely, as we mentioned previously.

816
00:37:24,040 --> 00:37:27,640
Speaker 4: Now Kent State should have beatn Miami Ohio outright fantastic spot.

817
00:37:27,680 --> 00:37:29,799
Speaker 4: They ended up losing by six and ot, which means

818
00:37:30,000 --> 00:37:31,640
Speaker 4: I think my Ambohio covered that game.

819
00:37:32,320 --> 00:37:33,359
Speaker 2: They did that.

820
00:37:33,640 --> 00:37:37,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, and then Ohio Iowa State great shout destroyed UCF

821
00:37:37,600 --> 00:37:41,680
Speaker 4: by thirty coming off couple losses. That was a easy

822
00:37:41,719 --> 00:37:48,120
Speaker 4: win for the Clones. So this week Monday, nothing really obviously, Yes,

823
00:37:48,560 --> 00:37:51,200
Speaker 4: keep an eye out for bad travel news. There's a

824
00:37:51,200 --> 00:37:53,400
Speaker 4: lot of weather going on right now. It seems across

825
00:37:53,480 --> 00:37:55,759
Speaker 4: the entire United States, but certainly the Midwest and in

826
00:37:55,840 --> 00:37:58,160
Speaker 4: the South a bit, so there could be some some

827
00:37:58,200 --> 00:38:01,120
Speaker 4: difficulty getting across the country. Some good spots to fade

828
00:38:01,200 --> 00:38:05,040
Speaker 4: some road teams Tuesday Fellas, I have a couple picked

829
00:38:05,040 --> 00:38:08,000
Speaker 4: out here, and you guys can add a couple. Arizona

830
00:38:08,040 --> 00:38:10,640
Speaker 4: State at UCF is an interesting one because you have

831
00:38:10,680 --> 00:38:13,840
Speaker 4: Arizona State coming off a giant win after Bobby Hurley

832
00:38:13,880 --> 00:38:16,000
Speaker 4: pretty much pouted to the media about how he's lost

833
00:38:16,080 --> 00:38:20,360
Speaker 4: the team and they beat Cincinnati and they're traveling to Florida,

834
00:38:20,440 --> 00:38:22,839
Speaker 4: but UCF is flying back from the Mountain trip. They

835
00:38:22,840 --> 00:38:25,320
Speaker 4: just wanted Colorado. A very impressive game. They look great.

836
00:38:25,680 --> 00:38:28,160
Speaker 4: Their minus eight for Kimpom, so that's more of an

837
00:38:28,200 --> 00:38:29,840
Speaker 4: I don't know what to do with this one spot.

838
00:38:30,320 --> 00:38:32,960
Speaker 4: And then here's the one that we mentioned earlier. The

839
00:38:33,000 --> 00:38:35,360
Speaker 4: give up game is when I'm questioning this one. Jim

840
00:38:35,640 --> 00:38:39,440
Speaker 4: Providence at Yukon. Yukon sixteen point favorite per Kimpom is huge,

841
00:38:39,800 --> 00:38:42,440
Speaker 4: but after Providence blew that big leaded home on their

842
00:38:42,480 --> 00:38:45,120
Speaker 4: home floor against Georgetown of all teams against Ed Cooley

843
00:38:45,120 --> 00:38:48,200
Speaker 4: of all teams. Now you're traveling to Yukon, a team

844
00:38:48,239 --> 00:38:50,480
Speaker 4: that they blew a game against in overtime as well.

845
00:38:50,520 --> 00:38:53,279
Speaker 4: This season, I kind of think Yukon smashes them and

846
00:38:53,280 --> 00:38:57,120
Speaker 4: it's Providence's season is just like, ah, we're done. But

847
00:38:57,200 --> 00:38:58,839
Speaker 4: thoughts on add them if you want.

848
00:38:59,400 --> 00:39:01,680
Speaker 5: I'm having a time with that, that Providence Yukon one,

849
00:39:01,719 --> 00:39:03,520
Speaker 5: because on one hand, you have like, oh, we can

850
00:39:03,560 --> 00:39:06,000
Speaker 5: compete with this team. We've done it already, We've done

851
00:39:06,040 --> 00:39:07,960
Speaker 5: it once. Let's let's prove we can go out and

852
00:39:08,000 --> 00:39:10,480
Speaker 5: get it. And maybe this is like the line in

853
00:39:10,520 --> 00:39:13,440
Speaker 5: the sand after blowing it to Georgetown's like, all right,

854
00:39:13,440 --> 00:39:15,719
Speaker 5: we got one crack at the undefeated.

855
00:39:15,160 --> 00:39:16,239
Speaker 2: Team and the standings.

856
00:39:16,719 --> 00:39:19,400
Speaker 5: This is where we, you know, maybe prevent our season

857
00:39:19,400 --> 00:39:21,880
Speaker 5: from being over. I'm a little scared of that. And

858
00:39:21,960 --> 00:39:24,359
Speaker 5: has mentioned Yukon has not covered six in a row,

859
00:39:24,440 --> 00:39:26,720
Speaker 5: like they just have not been a convincing favorite. Recently,

860
00:39:27,560 --> 00:39:30,120
Speaker 5: Providence has moved to Oswin the big guy to the bench.

861
00:39:30,680 --> 00:39:33,640
Speaker 5: I guess he came back into the starting lineup. They

862
00:39:33,680 --> 00:39:35,800
Speaker 5: need him out there against Terrace Reid and the paint.

863
00:39:36,360 --> 00:39:39,280
Speaker 5: But the Yukon offense just hasn't gotten in rhythm quite yet,

864
00:39:39,480 --> 00:39:41,640
Speaker 5: so I'm I'm staying away from that. And yeah, Kai

865
00:39:41,719 --> 00:39:44,520
Speaker 5: wanted to back UCF, but the fact that they're traveling

866
00:39:44,520 --> 00:39:48,680
Speaker 5: almost as far as ASU, that one just couldn't quite

867
00:39:48,719 --> 00:39:51,080
Speaker 5: get there two spots. I am going to take Alabama

868
00:39:51,120 --> 00:39:54,399
Speaker 5: minus eleven. Mentioned that earlier. I kind of hope it's

869
00:39:54,480 --> 00:39:57,160
Speaker 5: like eight and a half if one of Holloway or

870
00:39:57,920 --> 00:40:01,040
Speaker 5: Allen is not playing. But we'll see what the market says.

871
00:40:01,040 --> 00:40:03,600
Speaker 5: I think the market bet Alabama despite their absence because

872
00:40:03,640 --> 00:40:06,240
Speaker 5: of the Bettioco thing, and market bet them up against Tennessee.

873
00:40:06,640 --> 00:40:07,160
Speaker 5: So I'm gonna have.

874
00:40:07,160 --> 00:40:07,640
Speaker 4: To monitor that.

875
00:40:07,640 --> 00:40:08,680
Speaker 2: I'd like it to be eleven.

876
00:40:09,040 --> 00:40:11,319
Speaker 5: And then Maddie, I'm gonna go the Georgia Bulldogs team

877
00:40:11,320 --> 00:40:14,319
Speaker 5: that maybe I've not given enough credit to, but they

878
00:40:14,320 --> 00:40:17,600
Speaker 5: got blasted at Texas in the second half this weekend,

879
00:40:17,760 --> 00:40:21,040
Speaker 5: like just completely outclassed in the second half. And I'm

880
00:40:21,080 --> 00:40:23,200
Speaker 5: gonna sell high on Tennessee off that huge road win

881
00:40:23,520 --> 00:40:26,120
Speaker 5: against Alabama. I think that's a good midweek spot to

882
00:40:26,160 --> 00:40:29,080
Speaker 5: back the home team right around to pick it's minus one,

883
00:40:29,120 --> 00:40:31,000
Speaker 5: I bet it up to minus three. I think they

884
00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:33,160
Speaker 5: can beat the in the paint with surreal against that

885
00:40:33,200 --> 00:40:36,200
Speaker 5: rebounding of Tennessee. So two sec ones they're forming that

886
00:40:36,280 --> 00:40:38,320
Speaker 5: Alabama and Georgia.

887
00:40:38,640 --> 00:40:41,960
Speaker 3: I'll just confirm Providence. You know, I talked earlier this

888
00:40:42,000 --> 00:40:43,960
Speaker 3: will be an official play for me. I'm a smaller

889
00:40:44,000 --> 00:40:44,400
Speaker 3: card this.

890
00:40:46,160 --> 00:40:48,480
Speaker 1: I again. Second half. I don't know what happened.

891
00:40:48,520 --> 00:40:50,400
Speaker 3: I was like a Twilight Zone experience, but I just

892
00:40:50,520 --> 00:40:55,160
Speaker 3: liked how Providence's offense, which is very much like wing

893
00:40:55,280 --> 00:41:00,400
Speaker 3: positionalist creators with Box and Mela and so. But he

894
00:41:00,400 --> 00:41:03,080
Speaker 3: can get downhill and Yukon's defense has obviously been really good,

895
00:41:03,120 --> 00:41:05,360
Speaker 3: but they're you know they if they have a weak

896
00:41:05,440 --> 00:41:07,960
Speaker 3: part defensively, it's probably on the wing. And I think

897
00:41:08,000 --> 00:41:10,719
Speaker 3: that's maybe where Province can maybe spread and shred a

898
00:41:10,719 --> 00:41:13,000
Speaker 3: little bit. And obviously the boards are a concern. Garden

899
00:41:13,080 --> 00:41:16,200
Speaker 3: terras ringed is a major concern. Uh maybe this is

900
00:41:16,200 --> 00:41:18,320
Speaker 3: a Duncan pal hits four of eight from three in

901
00:41:18,360 --> 00:41:20,680
Speaker 3: a stretch type spot, just a lot of avenues where

902
00:41:20,680 --> 00:41:23,319
Speaker 3: I think there's some some real compete here and burn

903
00:41:23,400 --> 00:41:26,480
Speaker 3: the boats situation after what feels like could be that

904
00:41:26,560 --> 00:41:29,680
Speaker 3: the season killer for the Friars. But like you got nothing,

905
00:41:29,719 --> 00:41:31,359
Speaker 3: you got house money, had nothing to lose, why not

906
00:41:31,400 --> 00:41:34,560
Speaker 3: go into stores, play your play your butts off, and

907
00:41:34,920 --> 00:41:37,479
Speaker 3: go out, you know again, cover against a team hasn't

908
00:41:37,480 --> 00:41:39,600
Speaker 3: covered in six straight Yeah?

909
00:41:39,640 --> 00:41:42,160
Speaker 4: I like him, Matt Yeah. And why why be confident

910
00:41:42,239 --> 00:41:46,520
Speaker 4: in a sixteen point favorite Yukon after what we've seen recently?

911
00:41:46,960 --> 00:41:49,280
Speaker 4: Great team but not covering and we know great teams

912
00:41:49,320 --> 00:41:52,479
Speaker 4: cover nothing for me? Though officially in the spot section,

913
00:41:52,560 --> 00:41:57,080
Speaker 4: fellas we in our podcast here with trash before we

914
00:41:57,120 --> 00:42:03,680
Speaker 4: recap our bets. What's that smell? It stinks me? This trash,

915
00:42:03,920 --> 00:42:05,800
Speaker 4: the sweet, sweet trash.

916
00:42:06,719 --> 00:42:09,439
Speaker 1: The trash is a gold mine, old mine.

917
00:42:10,280 --> 00:42:13,400
Speaker 4: Great trash section. Last week Fellas direxel in Tawson was

918
00:42:13,440 --> 00:42:16,480
Speaker 4: indeed a trip to the dentist. As advertised. It was

919
00:42:16,480 --> 00:42:19,759
Speaker 4: a fifty nine to fifty eight point game, scoring game

920
00:42:20,080 --> 00:42:22,560
Speaker 4: in favor of the Tigers. They went by one in

921
00:42:22,560 --> 00:42:24,959
Speaker 4: an ugly battle, one hundred and seventeen points total. Yuck.

922
00:42:25,360 --> 00:42:27,920
Speaker 4: Not many trash options this week. I went with the

923
00:42:28,040 --> 00:42:29,920
Speaker 4: NAC because we haven't really talked to the NEC. A

924
00:42:29,960 --> 00:42:34,120
Speaker 4: whole lot Central Connecticut at Stonehill a sixty four point

925
00:42:34,280 --> 00:42:37,000
Speaker 4: sixty four possession game excuse me, projected for Kim Pom

926
00:42:37,640 --> 00:42:40,480
Speaker 4: and what surprised me. Here Jim was Central Connecticut minus

927
00:42:40,520 --> 00:42:44,560
Speaker 4: two against Stonehill per Kim pom, sign me up. I

928
00:42:44,840 --> 00:42:48,120
Speaker 4: understand Central Connecticut hasn't been quite as strong as most

929
00:42:48,160 --> 00:42:51,959
Speaker 4: expected to be, but Sellers is a great coach. They've

930
00:42:51,960 --> 00:42:55,919
Speaker 4: beaten Stonehill this season, and Stonehill is a weird team

931
00:42:55,920 --> 00:42:58,400
Speaker 4: to try to peg down. They compete with LU, but

932
00:42:58,440 --> 00:43:01,120
Speaker 4: they also lose to Saint Francis. They lost Chicago State.

933
00:43:02,160 --> 00:43:05,080
Speaker 4: Give me Central Connecticut getting their mojo back here as

934
00:43:05,120 --> 00:43:08,440
Speaker 4: a short favorite after they led the entirety of Game one.

935
00:43:09,040 --> 00:43:10,839
Speaker 5: Yeah, I don't know what to do with them. I've

936
00:43:10,880 --> 00:43:13,879
Speaker 5: been I haven't watched Central Connecticut, but I followed them through.

937
00:43:14,200 --> 00:43:16,480
Speaker 5: They've like two very loyal fans on Twitter. I think

938
00:43:16,719 --> 00:43:19,120
Speaker 5: Matt morro the mid range jumper, and he is so

939
00:43:19,360 --> 00:43:21,719
Speaker 5: mad at their defense right now. It's funny like they're

940
00:43:21,719 --> 00:43:24,240
Speaker 5: three hundred and thirty six in the country, dead last

941
00:43:24,280 --> 00:43:27,560
Speaker 5: in the NBC deservedly so to be this angry at

942
00:43:27,560 --> 00:43:30,399
Speaker 5: their defense and they're not like that tiny you think

943
00:43:30,400 --> 00:43:33,400
Speaker 5: it'd be like. I remember they've got some smaller guards

944
00:43:33,400 --> 00:43:35,399
Speaker 5: in the past, but they're not quite that this year.

945
00:43:36,000 --> 00:43:36,920
Speaker 2: Just can't get stops.

946
00:43:38,120 --> 00:43:41,279
Speaker 5: I'm curious what happens with Stonehill following the collapse against LU,

947
00:43:41,480 --> 00:43:43,040
Speaker 5: Like they sort of had that game one, We're going

948
00:43:43,080 --> 00:43:46,200
Speaker 5: to knock off the favorite, and then final like two

949
00:43:46,239 --> 00:43:49,520
Speaker 5: minutes just couldn't score and LU took control and got

950
00:43:49,520 --> 00:43:52,480
Speaker 5: the W. So I do kind of lean Central Connecticut,

951
00:43:52,840 --> 00:43:55,439
Speaker 5: especially if you know we're highlighting a trash game here.

952
00:43:55,640 --> 00:43:57,120
Speaker 5: Had to bet it, I'd definitely be on the road

953
00:43:57,160 --> 00:44:00,520
Speaker 5: Blue Devils. If people want to get into the dumpster

954
00:44:00,600 --> 00:44:04,080
Speaker 5: and kmucket around, I would certainly recommend CCSCU minus two.

955
00:44:04,400 --> 00:44:06,839
Speaker 5: But Matt, I'm going to sit as well.

956
00:44:07,600 --> 00:44:08,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, I lean their way too.

957
00:44:08,560 --> 00:44:10,200
Speaker 3: They've been just I thought they would be right there

958
00:44:10,200 --> 00:44:12,120
Speaker 3: with LU, but I think LU is just they were

959
00:44:12,160 --> 00:44:14,399
Speaker 3: the more talented team, and talent has played to its

960
00:44:14,400 --> 00:44:18,520
Speaker 3: form in ccsu's you know, maybe Patrick Seller's coaching mojo

961
00:44:19,040 --> 00:44:21,719
Speaker 3: just isn't up to the same magic as it was

962
00:44:21,800 --> 00:44:24,120
Speaker 3: last year, which is again, it's still a solid team,

963
00:44:24,120 --> 00:44:26,040
Speaker 3: but I think he kind of convinced us all they

964
00:44:26,040 --> 00:44:27,239
Speaker 3: could hang with Lu's talent.

965
00:44:27,320 --> 00:44:28,879
Speaker 1: That just hasn't been the case this year.

966
00:44:30,120 --> 00:44:33,080
Speaker 4: All Right, Phillis, let's recap betting this week again. Really

967
00:44:33,080 --> 00:44:36,600
Speaker 4: good week last week for the boys. I'm going with

968
00:44:36,760 --> 00:44:39,640
Speaker 4: Arizona as a short favorite at BUYU. I'm going with

969
00:44:39,680 --> 00:44:44,120
Speaker 4: Purdue as a presumably short favor against Indiana Nebraska. I'm

970
00:44:44,160 --> 00:44:47,520
Speaker 4: taking the undefeated team as a big dog, or at

971
00:44:47,600 --> 00:44:49,920
Speaker 4: least an almost big dog. I think it's gonna get

972
00:44:49,920 --> 00:44:52,400
Speaker 4: close to ten. Well, we saw already early looks ten

973
00:44:52,440 --> 00:44:54,000
Speaker 4: and a half in the market. I take you down

974
00:44:54,000 --> 00:44:57,400
Speaker 4: to nine UMass plus eleven Miam of Ohio. I'm going

975
00:44:57,440 --> 00:45:01,000
Speaker 4: to do it Ablain Christian plus seven ish, but also

976
00:45:01,000 --> 00:45:04,879
Speaker 4: a little sprinkle against Charleton, Arkansas minus four minus five

977
00:45:04,880 --> 00:45:08,920
Speaker 4: against Oklahoma, and finally Central Connecticut minus two to two

978
00:45:08,960 --> 00:45:11,919
Speaker 4: and a half against stone Hill. That's my seven. Jim,

979
00:45:12,000 --> 00:45:13,120
Speaker 4: big week for me this week.

980
00:45:13,680 --> 00:45:14,359
Speaker 2: I love a kayak.

981
00:45:14,480 --> 00:45:16,800
Speaker 5: Put yourself out there, ride the high of the confidence

982
00:45:16,800 --> 00:45:19,719
Speaker 5: from last week. I will confirm that ten and a

983
00:45:19,760 --> 00:45:23,239
Speaker 5: half is available on FanDuel right now. It's minus one

984
00:45:23,239 --> 00:45:25,520
Speaker 5: o two for plus ten and a half that's taken.

985
00:45:25,600 --> 00:45:27,200
Speaker 4: So yep, I'm.

986
00:45:27,160 --> 00:45:30,200
Speaker 5: Surprised that that's a available and be juiced the way

987
00:45:30,239 --> 00:45:32,239
Speaker 5: that it is because I'm going to sync up with

988
00:45:32,280 --> 00:45:34,800
Speaker 5: you on the first three. I'm on Arizona as that

989
00:45:34,880 --> 00:45:38,280
Speaker 5: short road favorite, Perdue as a slightly longer road favorite

990
00:45:38,360 --> 00:45:41,719
Speaker 5: round four. I would last five Nebraska down to nine

991
00:45:41,880 --> 00:45:44,120
Speaker 5: in that road game, maybe as tiny sprinkle on the

992
00:45:44,120 --> 00:45:46,600
Speaker 5: money line. I do think that's gonna be a really

993
00:45:46,640 --> 00:45:49,520
Speaker 5: popular side, just because Michigan hasn't been playing well and

994
00:45:50,320 --> 00:45:53,799
Speaker 5: Nebraska is starting to capture the hearts and minds of

995
00:45:53,800 --> 00:45:57,920
Speaker 5: the masses. Then I'm going Georgia minus one, Vandy minus seven,

996
00:45:58,719 --> 00:46:03,200
Speaker 5: Alabama minus eleven. I'm really curious what that line ends

997
00:46:03,280 --> 00:46:05,400
Speaker 5: up being with the injuries on the Tide side, but

998
00:46:05,760 --> 00:46:08,919
Speaker 5: I'll laugh to that eleven and then hunting the dog

999
00:46:09,040 --> 00:46:13,440
Speaker 5: to include here Syracuse plus ten feels not good to

1000
00:46:13,520 --> 00:46:16,960
Speaker 5: back Red Autrey Matthew good look on you very good lately.

1001
00:46:17,040 --> 00:46:20,840
Speaker 5: But on the road at erratic NC State here I

1002
00:46:20,880 --> 00:46:22,920
Speaker 5: am taking Red Autry against wild Wade. We'll see how

1003
00:46:22,960 --> 00:46:24,719
Speaker 5: that ages over the next two days.

1004
00:46:25,040 --> 00:46:27,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, well, your your back comes down to Donnie Freeman basically,

1005
00:46:27,719 --> 00:46:30,359
Speaker 3: So it's not a coaching bet, it's a Donnie Freeman play.

1006
00:46:30,440 --> 00:46:32,120
Speaker 1: Well, I got.

1007
00:46:32,040 --> 00:46:35,279
Speaker 3: Three, keeping it tight. I go with Providence. I think

1008
00:46:35,360 --> 00:46:37,960
Speaker 3: fourteen is Rob Drawlin's so I was seventeen. I think

1009
00:46:37,960 --> 00:46:41,040
Speaker 3: on Ken Pom six sixteen sixteen Man.

1010
00:46:41,480 --> 00:46:42,279
Speaker 1: Twelve is too low.

1011
00:46:42,320 --> 00:46:43,880
Speaker 3: I think fourteenth where I drawed the line on that

1012
00:46:43,920 --> 00:46:47,640
Speaker 3: one Ohio six will be my strike there Ken Palm eight,

1013
00:46:47,880 --> 00:46:50,120
Speaker 3: I think I need five is probably a reach. I

1014
00:46:50,160 --> 00:46:52,920
Speaker 3: think I need at least six, and then Richmond double

1015
00:46:52,920 --> 00:46:55,680
Speaker 3: digits ten. I probably will split that between first seven

1016
00:46:55,760 --> 00:46:57,960
Speaker 3: full game, it's just VCU at home. The Seagle Center

1017
00:46:58,000 --> 00:47:01,760
Speaker 3: has been a place for second half on or Berry dogs.

1018
00:47:02,080 --> 00:47:03,799
Speaker 1: That's where dogs go to die. So I'm price to

1019
00:47:03,800 --> 00:47:04,080
Speaker 1: put that.

1020
00:47:04,560 --> 00:47:06,560
Speaker 3: Maybe you didn't get out as our guys saying says

1021
00:47:06,600 --> 00:47:08,520
Speaker 3: in and out first half, but I'll commit to a

1022
00:47:08,520 --> 00:47:10,960
Speaker 3: full game wager as well as the Crosstown mooney Men

1023
00:47:11,400 --> 00:47:12,200
Speaker 3: get it done.

1024
00:47:12,440 --> 00:47:14,640
Speaker 4: All right, fellows, love it. Thank you for joining us

1025
00:47:14,719 --> 00:47:17,439
Speaker 4: on Big Bets on campus again with a three man weave.

1026
00:47:17,880 --> 00:47:21,040
Speaker 4: Join us next week on Monday morning. We'll see you

1027
00:47:21,040 --> 00:47:21,399
Speaker 4: next time.

1028
00:47:21,440 --> 00:47:35,720
Speaker 6: Good luck with your bets, Stay warm, cheers.

1029
00:47:41,440 --> 00:47:46,000
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1030
00:47:46,000 --> 00:47:48,800
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1031
00:47:48,840 --> 00:47:51,960
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler