1 00:00:01,440 --> 00:00:05,000 Speaker 1: Global business news twenty four hours a day. Asked Bloomberg 2 00:00:05,080 --> 00:00:08,080 Speaker 1: dot com, the radio plus Bobble Lab and on your radio, 3 00:00:08,480 --> 00:00:12,160 Speaker 1: this is a Bloomberg Business flash and I'm Karen Moscow. 4 00:00:12,200 --> 00:00:14,960 Speaker 1: And the Bloomberg Futures report is runty. You buy Interactive 5 00:00:14,960 --> 00:00:18,079 Speaker 1: Brokers and CME Group. If you're looking for global futures 6 00:00:18,120 --> 00:00:21,639 Speaker 1: contracts with low trading costs, look no further. Interactive Brokers 7 00:00:21,680 --> 00:00:23,599 Speaker 1: is the industry leader. Learn more at I v k 8 00:00:23,840 --> 00:00:27,160 Speaker 1: R dot com slash CME Futures. US docks are a 9 00:00:27,200 --> 00:00:30,320 Speaker 1: little changed following your report at the US economy expanded 10 00:00:30,320 --> 00:00:32,680 Speaker 1: at the slowest pace in three years. We checked the 11 00:00:32,680 --> 00:00:35,760 Speaker 1: markets every fifteen minutes throughout the trading day on bloomberg 12 00:00:36,159 --> 00:00:38,440 Speaker 1: S and P futures up a point down features of 13 00:00:38,479 --> 00:00:41,480 Speaker 1: twenty two, Nasdaq futures down two and a half. Tax 14 00:00:41,520 --> 00:00:44,680 Speaker 1: in Germany little changed ten, Your Treasury down six thirty seconds, 15 00:00:44,720 --> 00:00:47,560 Speaker 1: held two point three one percent. Nin Max screwed oil 16 00:00:47,640 --> 00:00:50,440 Speaker 1: up one percent or forty six cents to forty four 17 00:00:50,479 --> 00:00:53,320 Speaker 1: a barrel. Comex School little changed, up forty cents to 18 00:00:53,360 --> 00:00:56,640 Speaker 1: twelve sixty six thirty announced the euro dollar oh nine 19 00:00:56,640 --> 00:00:59,840 Speaker 1: one to the en one eleven point five seven. Chevro 20 00:01:00,040 --> 00:01:03,880 Speaker 1: now performing analysts estimates as searching crude oil prices dumptail 21 00:01:03,960 --> 00:01:06,440 Speaker 1: with cost cuts to push profit to a three year high. 22 00:01:06,640 --> 00:01:10,119 Speaker 1: Ex On Mobile also beat. And that's a Bloomberg business flash. 23 00:01:10,160 --> 00:01:12,720 Speaker 1: Toma David hearing things so much, David Gurr in Washington. 24 00:01:12,760 --> 00:01:15,319 Speaker 1: I'm Tom Keenan New York. This is a treat we 25 00:01:15,360 --> 00:01:18,400 Speaker 1: could literally go. It's like Howard Divinovan's, but calmer and 26 00:01:18,440 --> 00:01:21,959 Speaker 1: more professional. Think of Howard Divinovo's at Harvard Business School. 27 00:01:22,120 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 1: And that's sort of where you get Byron carlac is 28 00:01:24,959 --> 00:01:27,319 Speaker 1: with us with p w C. Price Water. I'm sorry, 29 00:01:27,480 --> 00:01:31,640 Speaker 1: it's Price Waterhouse Cooper's because that old t W seen 30 00:01:32,120 --> 00:01:35,560 Speaker 1: in Byron has a Texas accent. That's what you do 31 00:01:35,680 --> 00:01:38,679 Speaker 1: when you work with Tramwell Crow for a million years. 32 00:01:39,120 --> 00:01:41,600 Speaker 1: I go to your old website and there are no 33 00:01:41,800 --> 00:01:46,120 Speaker 1: males on that website. Even Crow Holdings is like almost 34 00:01:46,160 --> 00:01:51,320 Speaker 1: embarrassed about malls. Are malls dead? You know? It's interesting. 35 00:01:51,360 --> 00:01:54,240 Speaker 1: I don't think they are dead, but they're changing relevance. 36 00:01:54,560 --> 00:01:56,360 Speaker 1: And so when you think about what's happening, there's a 37 00:01:56,440 --> 00:01:59,480 Speaker 1: huge disruption in the middle. And there this comment that 38 00:01:59,520 --> 00:02:03,880 Speaker 1: we keep caring. Mediocrity in the middle is dead. Experiences 39 00:02:03,880 --> 00:02:08,000 Speaker 1: are actually pretty exciting. There's a lot going on in 40 00:02:08,200 --> 00:02:10,840 Speaker 1: some of the better malls, and they're grading themselves A, 41 00:02:10,960 --> 00:02:13,200 Speaker 1: B and C. The A malls are doing quite well, 42 00:02:13,600 --> 00:02:17,840 Speaker 1: but everything is being disrupted by e commerce and relevance. 43 00:02:18,080 --> 00:02:21,400 Speaker 1: Do they get bulldozed? The seam walls, the B malls 44 00:02:21,440 --> 00:02:25,600 Speaker 1: get bulldozed. What becomes of those photos that we see 45 00:02:25,960 --> 00:02:28,560 Speaker 1: in every article about the death of your world. Well, 46 00:02:28,560 --> 00:02:31,400 Speaker 1: in real estate, it's called adaptive reuse. And once you 47 00:02:31,440 --> 00:02:35,960 Speaker 1: see a developer take control of a site again, excuse me, 48 00:02:36,200 --> 00:02:42,440 Speaker 1: adaptive reuses what we do with a coffee continue. So 49 00:02:42,600 --> 00:02:45,320 Speaker 1: imagine that one anchor at one end being torn down 50 00:02:45,400 --> 00:02:49,880 Speaker 1: and released to someone else, or becoming an apartment building 51 00:02:49,960 --> 00:02:53,120 Speaker 1: or a hotel. If you think about when those malls 52 00:02:53,160 --> 00:02:56,360 Speaker 1: were built, generally many of them were built because traffic 53 00:02:56,400 --> 00:02:59,200 Speaker 1: counts were high in the location was good, and so 54 00:02:59,360 --> 00:03:03,640 Speaker 1: you have great sites that can be redeveloped or repurposed. 55 00:03:04,240 --> 00:03:07,520 Speaker 1: But the bottom line is we're over retailed in America 56 00:03:07,840 --> 00:03:12,000 Speaker 1: twenty four feet per person twenty four gross rentabal square 57 00:03:12,040 --> 00:03:15,359 Speaker 1: feet per person, more than double any other industrialized country 58 00:03:15,360 --> 00:03:19,400 Speaker 1: in the world, and more than double any other con Yes, yes, 59 00:03:19,440 --> 00:03:22,639 Speaker 1: I believe the next country is eleven square feet per person. 60 00:03:23,040 --> 00:03:25,760 Speaker 1: He's looking at you, David, jump in here because Byron 61 00:03:25,840 --> 00:03:29,200 Speaker 1: is looking at his numbers from BWC. Byron I was 62 00:03:29,240 --> 00:03:30,800 Speaker 1: at I was at a wedding a couple of weekends 63 00:03:30,800 --> 00:03:33,440 Speaker 1: back outside of Washy should have fifty miles outside of town, 64 00:03:33,520 --> 00:03:35,040 Speaker 1: and we were. We were in what I think you 65 00:03:35,040 --> 00:03:38,920 Speaker 1: could call them all. It felt like a created village. However, 66 00:03:38,960 --> 00:03:40,880 Speaker 1: the notion of them all has changed, hasn't it what 67 00:03:40,920 --> 00:03:42,600 Speaker 1: you what you'd find there and what it looks like, 68 00:03:42,720 --> 00:03:45,200 Speaker 1: it really has. I mean, think about the different uses 69 00:03:45,240 --> 00:03:46,960 Speaker 1: you see in them all today compared to what you 70 00:03:47,000 --> 00:03:50,960 Speaker 1: did even five years ago. Where automotive companies are using 71 00:03:50,960 --> 00:03:54,720 Speaker 1: them as showrooms. You see health, wellness and fitness taking 72 00:03:54,760 --> 00:03:59,080 Speaker 1: the place of traditional apparel retailers. Uh. You see landlords 73 00:03:59,160 --> 00:04:04,640 Speaker 1: introducing new concepts that inspire visitation with families and children. 74 00:04:05,440 --> 00:04:10,600 Speaker 1: You see that um health health uses taking space in 75 00:04:11,640 --> 00:04:16,920 Speaker 1: retail configurations, and so yes, the the uses are changing 76 00:04:17,400 --> 00:04:21,360 Speaker 1: to become more relevant to the demographics. When you look 77 00:04:21,400 --> 00:04:24,920 Speaker 1: ahead a year, five years, what's the what's the role 78 00:04:24,960 --> 00:04:27,440 Speaker 1: of a brick and mortar retail establishment going to be 79 00:04:27,520 --> 00:04:30,000 Speaker 1: what's gonna, what's gonna, what's gonna compel me to go 80 00:04:30,080 --> 00:04:33,240 Speaker 1: to that place? Well, so remember you know nine of 81 00:04:33,279 --> 00:04:37,280 Speaker 1: sales are still done in brick and mortar uh situations. 82 00:04:37,800 --> 00:04:41,599 Speaker 1: So e commerce is growing at twenty a year, but 83 00:04:42,880 --> 00:04:45,760 Speaker 1: it still represents only eight and a half to eleven. 84 00:04:46,240 --> 00:04:48,400 Speaker 1: You guys always go to the revenue line down the 85 00:04:48,440 --> 00:04:51,839 Speaker 1: income statement and given mall, as David was mentioning, it 86 00:04:51,920 --> 00:04:55,040 Speaker 1: had given mall, where's the profit? Is it in the food, 87 00:04:55,240 --> 00:04:58,440 Speaker 1: is it in clothes? Or is there just no profit? Well, 88 00:04:58,480 --> 00:05:02,240 Speaker 1: so the branded, the igh end branded retailers still pay 89 00:05:02,320 --> 00:05:07,120 Speaker 1: the highest rents. Rents in many mall settings this year 90 00:05:07,160 --> 00:05:12,360 Speaker 1: were flat to down two. So the rental strength, the 91 00:05:12,400 --> 00:05:15,800 Speaker 1: ability for landlords to control the rents in many retails 92 00:05:15,839 --> 00:05:21,880 Speaker 1: situations has changed to their detriment. However, the relevance of 93 00:05:21,880 --> 00:05:25,880 Speaker 1: brick and mortar is still very important to the retail 94 00:05:26,160 --> 00:05:30,279 Speaker 1: shopping experience. Based on how much is still done in 95 00:05:30,320 --> 00:05:34,160 Speaker 1: brick and mortar environments. Out of these out of these 96 00:05:34,160 --> 00:05:36,680 Speaker 1: businesses set themselves apart. You broke in most recent note, 97 00:05:36,680 --> 00:05:39,240 Speaker 1: there's no room for mediocrity. Well, what's the chief thing 98 00:05:39,279 --> 00:05:41,479 Speaker 1: that that a retailer has to do it. At this point, 99 00:05:42,160 --> 00:05:46,160 Speaker 1: we believe it's the experience if the product can't differentiate itself. 100 00:05:46,200 --> 00:05:48,880 Speaker 1: And there are there are designers that are really trying 101 00:05:48,920 --> 00:05:51,560 Speaker 1: to add whimsy and reason to come try on their 102 00:05:51,600 --> 00:05:55,560 Speaker 1: new Spring lines. For example this Spring, whether it's a 103 00:05:55,600 --> 00:05:58,520 Speaker 1: pop up shop that's selling hats for the Derby or Easter, 104 00:05:59,200 --> 00:06:01,400 Speaker 1: or a store that treats you like a guest in 105 00:06:01,440 --> 00:06:05,159 Speaker 1: a hospitality experience that makes your experience that much better 106 00:06:05,680 --> 00:06:07,880 Speaker 1: than sitting in front of your computer. I think it's 107 00:06:07,920 --> 00:06:11,320 Speaker 1: driven by product on one end and experience on the other. 108 00:06:11,360 --> 00:06:13,320 Speaker 1: Can I go to the French elections? Now? We got 109 00:06:13,320 --> 00:06:16,160 Speaker 1: to do that. Here's a here's a factory, folks fare 110 00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:20,280 Speaker 1: right now. There are thirteen thousand, three hundred tons of 111 00:06:20,320 --> 00:06:24,359 Speaker 1: steel in the Mall America. That's two Eiffel Towers. The 112 00:06:24,440 --> 00:06:27,480 Speaker 1: Mall of American Minnesota is like the mother of all malls. 113 00:06:27,800 --> 00:06:32,839 Speaker 1: What's its future? That's a great question for that for that, 114 00:06:32,880 --> 00:06:36,400 Speaker 1: not for that particular mall especially, you wonder can they 115 00:06:36,480 --> 00:06:39,960 Speaker 1: keep the experience relevant so when it opened and really 116 00:06:41,360 --> 00:06:44,600 Speaker 1: still people go to Minneapolis for mall vacations, for that 117 00:06:44,640 --> 00:06:49,440 Speaker 1: particular vacation. But inside. Can they keep it relevant with 118 00:06:49,520 --> 00:06:52,520 Speaker 1: the rides of the family experiences, the hospitality experience in 119 00:06:52,560 --> 00:06:56,520 Speaker 1: the hotels. It has to be worth that visitation, and 120 00:06:56,560 --> 00:06:59,360 Speaker 1: the question is can the landlord keep it relevant in 121 00:06:59,360 --> 00:07:01,760 Speaker 1: that regard. We would like to have you back again 122 00:07:02,320 --> 00:07:05,480 Speaker 1: to do a longer treatment. This is really the Amazon 123 00:07:05,560 --> 00:07:08,719 Speaker 1: and the death of bricks and mortars topic one for 124 00:07:08,800 --> 00:07:11,800 Speaker 1: so many people. Byron Carlac with US with p WC 125 00:07:11,920 --> 00:07:14,920 Speaker 1: their US real estate practice as well this morning, and 126 00:07:14,960 --> 00:07:17,040 Speaker 1: folks point from the emails that David and I get 127 00:07:17,120 --> 00:07:20,840 Speaker 1: this is just extraordinary interest is of course, David, you 128 00:07:20,840 --> 00:07:24,360 Speaker 1: could shop near our Washington studios. I tweeted this out 129 00:07:24,400 --> 00:07:29,240 Speaker 1: looking out at your favorite clothing blocks away. I hope 130 00:07:29,240 --> 00:07:32,760 Speaker 1: you dark in the door and went for the little 131 00:07:34,240 --> 00:07:38,680 Speaker 1: I'll give you the key, David Guray in Washington. I'm 132 00:07:38,720 --> 00:07:41,560 Speaker 1: Tom keenan New York stay with US Worldwide Coast to coast. 133 00:07:41,960 --> 00:07:47,360 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg coming up here on bloomberghre Valance of 134 00:07:47,400 --> 00:07:49,920 Speaker 1: conversation about fixed income with the Fixed Income ce IO 135 00:07:50,000 --> 00:07:52,680 Speaker 1: at Franklin Templeton. That's Chris Blamphy. That's coming up here 136 00:07:52,800 --> 00:07:56,440 Speaker 1: on Bloomberg. Surveillance from Bloomberg Radio David Day in Washington Today, 137 00:07:56,440 --> 00:07:58,160 Speaker 1: Tom Keane in New York