WEBVTT - Dolphins Titans Week 17 Preview 0:00:00.440 --> 0:00:06.200 Two fires touch stop Waddles knocked into the end zone 0:00:06.200 --> 0:00:10.319 of Miami Pro Tike window. They had to get that 0:00:10.520 --> 0:00:14.600 touchdown on that play, they give it. What is up? 0:00:14.720 --> 0:00:19.040 Dolphans And Welcome to the Drivetime Podcast, part of the 0:00:19.040 --> 0:00:24.560 Miami Dolphins podcast network, covering your team, your Miami Dolphins. 0:00:24.600 --> 0:00:27.320 How's it going to everybody? I am your host, Travis 0:00:27.320 --> 0:00:29.920 Wingfield and as always I am here to bring you 0:00:29.920 --> 0:00:33.880 your daily dose of Miami Dolphins football. And on today's show, 0:00:34.320 --> 0:00:37.519 it's preview Thursday for a very big game again that 0:00:37.680 --> 0:00:41.400 I am personally very excited for. We're looking into the 0:00:41.440 --> 0:00:44.440 big matchup against the Tennessee Titans and a familiar face 0:00:44.479 --> 0:00:46.600 at the quarterback position. We're gonna tell you how the 0:00:46.600 --> 0:00:49.880 Dolphins match up at every position, the keys to victory, 0:00:49.920 --> 0:00:52.279 the stats, the film, what to keep an eye on, 0:00:52.640 --> 0:00:55.400 the whole heck of a lot more from somewhere in 0:00:55.480 --> 0:01:03.400 South Florida. This is the Drive Time Podcast. So we 0:01:03.520 --> 0:01:06.160 begin the podcast here with a little bit of information 0:01:06.240 --> 0:01:08.720 or news as far as the COVID nineteen lists. Four 0:01:08.800 --> 0:01:12.240 Miami five players returned back to the active roster and 0:01:12.240 --> 0:01:14.600 there's a lot of depth coming back to this team 0:01:14.640 --> 0:01:17.640 today Seethan Carter, the tight end Justin Coleman, the cornerback 0:01:17.840 --> 0:01:22.199 Greg Man's, interior offensive line Robert Jones along the offensive line, 0:01:22.200 --> 0:01:25.680 and linebacker Duke Riley all returned from the COVID nineteen list. 0:01:25.760 --> 0:01:30.119 And just to reiterate these reports and changes, and thus 0:01:30.160 --> 0:01:33.200 the podcast is fluid. I'm talking to you guys on 0:01:33.240 --> 0:01:35.880 a Wednesday night here on the podcast, So we put 0:01:35.920 --> 0:01:39.000 the disclaimer in here off the top for Thursday that 0:01:39.280 --> 0:01:41.160 a lot of names could either come or go by 0:01:41.160 --> 0:01:43.120 the time you hear this. Just want to make that 0:01:43.200 --> 0:01:45.960 abundantly clear. As we said last week, it can change 0:01:45.959 --> 0:01:48.320 on a day by day or even an hour by 0:01:48.360 --> 0:01:51.559 hour basis. And the Titans current list on the COVID 0:01:51.640 --> 0:01:55.320 nineteen list of as of this recording, offensive tackle Kendall Lamb, 0:01:55.400 --> 0:01:59.400 offensive guard Nate Davis, receivers Julio Jones and Nick Westbrook, 0:01:59.680 --> 0:02:04.919 it line, outside linebacker Bud Dupree, cornerbackbuster screen linebacker Jayon Brown, 0:02:05.240 --> 0:02:08.760 defensive lineman to Nico Autry, and then cornerback Caleb Farley 0:02:08.800 --> 0:02:10.519 is out for the year, but he's on the list. 0:02:10.520 --> 0:02:15.400 And then receiver Cody Hollister, a practice squad receiver rounds 0:02:15.400 --> 0:02:19.680 out the Titans present COVID nineteen list at six oh 0:02:19.760 --> 0:02:23.359 one Eastern on Wednesday night, December. So with that out 0:02:23.440 --> 0:02:25.600 of the way, we start here with the intro to 0:02:25.639 --> 0:02:28.200 the Titans, as we do weekly on the Preview podcast, 0:02:28.280 --> 0:02:30.840 a team we have not seen since and the longest 0:02:30.880 --> 0:02:33.000 football game in the history of football games, which, by 0:02:33.000 --> 0:02:34.560 the way, there was no joy to be had in 0:02:34.600 --> 0:02:37.359 that game. Amber that that victory that the tannehill Is 0:02:37.440 --> 0:02:39.360 Stills deep ball was one of the best moments of 0:02:39.360 --> 0:02:41.639 the entire year. The Jachem Grant returned touchdown on the 0:02:41.680 --> 0:02:46.040 kickoff was also phenomenal. But the way football games kind 0:02:46.040 --> 0:02:49.600 of have that turning feeling in your stomach to experience 0:02:49.639 --> 0:02:51.399 that first seven and a half hours was not fun 0:02:51.720 --> 0:02:55.560 by any stretch. That was the worst game of all time. Anyway, 0:02:55.880 --> 0:02:57.880 that long stretch of not playing them is why we 0:02:57.919 --> 0:02:59.400 have not done one of these where you can kind 0:02:59.440 --> 0:03:01.720 of catch up how they got into their current position, 0:03:01.760 --> 0:03:04.680 which is ten and five and Mike Rabel's fourth season, 0:03:04.720 --> 0:03:06.720 and it's been a good run there for him. Looking 0:03:06.720 --> 0:03:09.440 for their second straight a f C South title, and 0:03:09.480 --> 0:03:12.160 their magic number to clinch that position is one. A 0:03:12.240 --> 0:03:16.080 victory by Tennessee or in Indianapolis. Loss gets them back 0:03:16.080 --> 0:03:18.919 to the a f C South mountaintop, and their best 0:03:19.000 --> 0:03:21.720 season over that period of time with Brabel came in 0:03:21.720 --> 0:03:23.760 a wild card season where they made a run all 0:03:23.760 --> 0:03:25.560 the way to the a f C Championship game and 0:03:25.600 --> 0:03:29.320 held a ten point lead over eventual champion Kansas City 0:03:29.520 --> 0:03:32.720 right before Patrick Mahomes went Mahomes and eventually captured the 0:03:32.720 --> 0:03:36.280 Lombardy that season and it really started the moment that 0:03:36.360 --> 0:03:38.840 Ryan Tannehill took the reins there for the Titans, and 0:03:38.880 --> 0:03:41.200 that twenty nineteen season, he served as the backup to 0:03:41.240 --> 0:03:44.320 Mariota for the first six games. The Titans were two 0:03:44.320 --> 0:03:47.480 and four when they made the switch, and Derrick Henry 0:03:47.480 --> 0:03:49.760 had rushed for four hundred and sixteen yards and four 0:03:49.840 --> 0:03:52.560 touchdowns through the first six games and average yards per 0:03:52.600 --> 0:03:55.080 carry a three point six eight. Over the final ten 0:03:55.120 --> 0:03:58.839 games that season with Tannehill under center, the Titans went 0:03:58.880 --> 0:04:02.680 seven and three, rerushed for one thousand one four yards 0:04:02.680 --> 0:04:06.320 and twelve touchdowns, and averaged five point nine two yards 0:04:06.320 --> 0:04:09.400 per carry. And that's basically who the Titans have been 0:04:09.440 --> 0:04:14.160 ever since. Explosive play offense, efficient in the running game, 0:04:14.200 --> 0:04:16.920 and the passing game with a defense that makes enough 0:04:16.920 --> 0:04:19.120 big plays in the past rush department as well as 0:04:19.120 --> 0:04:21.919 the takeaways to get to the winner circle. And in 0:04:22.000 --> 0:04:24.400 his three years with Tennessee, Tannehill has a record of 0:04:25.040 --> 0:04:29.320 thirteen two playoff victories. His pass rating is one hundred 0:04:29.320 --> 0:04:32.000 point seven. He's just a hair under eight yards per 0:04:32.080 --> 0:04:34.880 tenth and he's throwing seventy touchdowns to just twenty seven 0:04:34.880 --> 0:04:37.320 picks and a handful of rushing touchdowns as well. A 0:04:37.480 --> 0:04:40.520 very nice second part of his career here once he 0:04:40.640 --> 0:04:43.880 moved on. Now, Derrick Henry is not there right now, 0:04:43.920 --> 0:04:46.560 at least as of this recording. He's eligible to come 0:04:46.600 --> 0:04:48.920 back off the I R alright, I guess this is 0:04:48.960 --> 0:04:51.719 the middle window, I should say, of his surgery projection 0:04:51.800 --> 0:04:54.600 or return projection. So there's that. There was an Instagram 0:04:54.640 --> 0:04:56.320 post by the Titans with a picture of him, but 0:04:56.400 --> 0:04:59.200 he hasn't returned to practice yet, so we'll see on that. 0:04:59.320 --> 0:05:02.240 But he's not there right now. The offensive line has 0:05:02.240 --> 0:05:04.760 been banged up, they've been down some weapons, but this 0:05:04.920 --> 0:05:06.800 defense has kind of risen up and match what the 0:05:06.839 --> 0:05:08.560 offense had been able to do over the last couple 0:05:08.640 --> 0:05:10.920 of seasons. And it starts up front where they really 0:05:10.920 --> 0:05:14.000 built things, built that thing out with a core of 0:05:14.040 --> 0:05:17.320 inside outside rushers and guys that can impact the passing game. 0:05:17.360 --> 0:05:19.760 And before Mike Rabel, this was a team that really 0:05:19.760 --> 0:05:21.560 struggled to get pass rush and it was kind of 0:05:21.560 --> 0:05:23.960 one of those you know how certain teams have these 0:05:24.000 --> 0:05:27.799 annual positional blind spots, like I can think about the Jets, 0:05:27.839 --> 0:05:29.600 for instance, stand hands is on the Around the NFL 0:05:29.640 --> 0:05:31.320 podcast always talks about how they haven't had a good 0:05:31.360 --> 0:05:34.440 pass rusher since John Abraham back in like two thousand, 0:05:35.320 --> 0:05:36.960 was it five, I don't even know when that was, 0:05:37.040 --> 0:05:39.719 but you have that. That's what it was here with 0:05:39.800 --> 0:05:42.640 the Titans. There was never an edge rush. But since 0:05:42.760 --> 0:05:45.560 Rabel's arrival and that first draft class, he goes up 0:05:45.560 --> 0:05:48.640 there with John Robinson and gets Harold Landry, a massively 0:05:48.720 --> 0:05:51.280 disruptive force off the edge. The next draft class, they 0:05:51.279 --> 0:05:53.320 go to the inside and nab one of the game's 0:05:53.360 --> 0:05:57.000 most disruptive interior defensive lineman and Jeffrey Simmons in twenty nineteen. 0:05:57.279 --> 0:05:58.560 Then this year they go out and they pick up 0:05:58.600 --> 0:06:01.240 Bud Dupree and free agency, they also scooped up Denico 0:06:01.320 --> 0:06:06.120 Autrey from Division Nico Autrey from division rival Indianapolis. Like 0:06:06.160 --> 0:06:07.960 you get the point, it's been a point of emphasis, 0:06:07.960 --> 0:06:09.720 and they can really shut down the run and rush 0:06:09.760 --> 0:06:13.240 the quarterback with their starting four up front, So there 0:06:13.240 --> 0:06:14.839 are a lot to deal with up there. They have 0:06:14.920 --> 0:06:17.920 that big playability offense and their solid in the kicking game. 0:06:18.040 --> 0:06:20.880 This is a complete team that's tough to beat at home, 0:06:21.279 --> 0:06:23.920 and they take on the personality of their head coach, 0:06:23.920 --> 0:06:27.040 which is one of tough, smart discipline football. We know 0:06:27.080 --> 0:06:29.400 how that goes. And with that, let's go ahead and 0:06:29.440 --> 0:06:32.760 dive into the matchup, starting with the Tennessee quarterback and 0:06:32.800 --> 0:06:35.839 the Dolphins safety's I rattled off those statistics for you, 0:06:35.920 --> 0:06:38.760 but this has been a bit more of a challenging 0:06:38.800 --> 0:06:41.560 season in the numbers as far as the numbers go 0:06:41.640 --> 0:06:43.680 for Tannehill this year, but I don't think that really 0:06:43.680 --> 0:06:45.240 tells you the story that you see on tape. The 0:06:45.240 --> 0:06:47.279 Titans offense has looked different in this season for a 0:06:47.320 --> 0:06:49.520 few reasons. And look, we're not going to downplay the 0:06:49.560 --> 0:06:51.920 absence of Derrick Henry. He's the best running back we've 0:06:51.960 --> 0:06:53.960 seen in a long long time in this league, so 0:06:54.040 --> 0:06:56.320 losing him as obviously had an impact. But It's not 0:06:56.920 --> 0:06:59.280 just been him. It's been a lot of hits to 0:06:59.320 --> 0:07:02.640 the offensive line. And we all know how how Tannehill 0:07:02.720 --> 0:07:06.279 has been able to endure pressures and high sack games 0:07:06.279 --> 0:07:08.080 and something that he's had to do this season. He's 0:07:08.080 --> 0:07:10.640 been sacked forty five times. That's the same number of 0:07:10.640 --> 0:07:12.640 sacks that Miami has as a defense, and it's the 0:07:12.640 --> 0:07:15.680 second most sacks allowed in the National Football League. But 0:07:15.720 --> 0:07:17.880 he just keeps getting back up. He's tough as nails. 0:07:17.920 --> 0:07:20.440 I mean, one hit by Clais Campbell basically knocked him 0:07:20.440 --> 0:07:22.440 out for a year and a half there, but other 0:07:22.480 --> 0:07:25.440 than that, he's never missed any time. And as a result, 0:07:25.560 --> 0:07:27.720 there's a dip and stats across the board for him. 0:07:27.960 --> 0:07:31.600 Touchdown percentage here's from twenty nine one. Here are the 0:07:31.640 --> 0:07:34.960 numbers in each of these categories. Touchdown percentage seven point seven, 0:07:35.120 --> 0:07:37.760 six point nine, it's down to three point one this year. 0:07:37.840 --> 0:07:42.840 Interceptions six seven another year, fourteen of them. What about 0:07:42.920 --> 0:07:47.559 interception percentage two point one one point five two point nine, 0:07:48.080 --> 0:07:51.640 yards per attempt nine point six seven point nine down 0:07:51.680 --> 0:07:54.400 to six point nine. He's two and a half yards 0:07:54.400 --> 0:07:56.080 worse than he was his first year as far as 0:07:56.160 --> 0:07:58.480 yards per attempt go. And that's again, these are I 0:07:58.520 --> 0:08:01.080 always think quarterback stats are team passing stats, so just 0:08:01.160 --> 0:08:04.240 keep that in mind. And the sacks thirty one this 0:08:04.320 --> 0:08:06.240 year with two games left to go, still up to 0:08:06.320 --> 0:08:09.040 forty five. And the reason I bring this up is 0:08:09.640 --> 0:08:11.400 it's the key to the game for my money, finding 0:08:11.400 --> 0:08:13.760 a way to continue to get these free hitters that 0:08:13.800 --> 0:08:17.160 we've seen Miami so adept at creating this season. And 0:08:17.200 --> 0:08:18.920 we'll see if the Titans can get some of their 0:08:18.920 --> 0:08:22.080 guys back up front, but disrupting Tannehill's timing getting him 0:08:22.120 --> 0:08:23.960 off the spot, that would go a long way towards 0:08:23.960 --> 0:08:26.240 an eighth straight win. And with that, let's take a 0:08:26.240 --> 0:08:28.520 look at some of the PF data here for Tannehill. 0:08:28.520 --> 0:08:30.840 When he's been kept cleaning this season, seventy one point 0:08:30.840 --> 0:08:34.160 six percent passer seven point seven yards per pass, eleven 0:08:34.200 --> 0:08:38.720 touchdowns but eight interceptions. When he's been pressured, fifty four 0:08:38.760 --> 0:08:42.480 point seven percent completion, five yards per attempt, four touchdowns 0:08:42.520 --> 0:08:46.360 and six picks. I mean, things change for players, but 0:08:46.600 --> 0:08:49.959 we know about that, right not blitzed sixty six point 0:08:50.000 --> 0:08:53.160 five percent, six and a half yards per attempt, eight touchdowns, 0:08:53.200 --> 0:08:56.280 ten picks, and when he's blitzed, and this is strange. 0:08:56.520 --> 0:08:59.839 Sixty seven point four percent, eight yards per attempt, seven 0:08:59.880 --> 0:09:03.800 touchdowns and four picks and those are flipped like clearly 0:09:03.840 --> 0:09:06.400 better when he's kept clean versus being under pressure, but 0:09:06.520 --> 0:09:09.079 more effective against the blitz than not. And when you 0:09:09.160 --> 0:09:12.040 look at time to throw, two point three five seconds 0:09:12.040 --> 0:09:13.959 when he's blitzed, the ball comes out, that's one of 0:09:13.960 --> 0:09:16.560 the hottest rates you'll get, and then two point five 0:09:16.679 --> 0:09:19.520 nine when not. So there's a much bigger emphasis for 0:09:19.559 --> 0:09:21.760 them on the quick game this season. And look, I 0:09:21.800 --> 0:09:25.360 always say this, I've seen more of Ryan Tannehill than 0:09:25.400 --> 0:09:28.760 any other player as his career had kind of came 0:09:28.800 --> 0:09:30.959 along when I really got into tape study back in 0:09:31.040 --> 0:09:33.560 like the early two thousand tens and kind of learning 0:09:33.600 --> 0:09:36.439 the game back then. And I always said it from 0:09:36.640 --> 0:09:40.000 those days, twelve personnel play action, two or three man 0:09:40.080 --> 0:09:41.920 route combos to let him kind of stand in their 0:09:41.920 --> 0:09:44.640 survey and drive the football from a clean platform, and 0:09:44.679 --> 0:09:46.880 that's where he was most dangerous here. And then you 0:09:46.960 --> 0:09:50.160 pairman Tennessee, it was a perfect pairing with a receiver 0:09:50.280 --> 0:09:52.560 like a J. Brown and an offensive linel they have 0:09:52.559 --> 0:09:55.080 and obviously are running back like Derrick Henry to put 0:09:55.120 --> 0:09:58.240 more bodies in the box. So with that mine with 0:09:58.320 --> 0:10:00.640 play action this year eight points on yards per a 0:10:00.679 --> 0:10:04.000 tenth with sixty five point six percent completion, five touchdowns 0:10:04.000 --> 0:10:07.559 and four picks without play action sixty seven point one 0:10:07.600 --> 0:10:10.400 percent completion, but just six point two yards per attempts, 0:10:10.400 --> 0:10:12.960 so two and a half yards dip their ten touchdowns 0:10:12.960 --> 0:10:15.400 and ten picks. So it doesn't matter who the running 0:10:15.400 --> 0:10:17.840 back is. Ryan Tannehill has always been a very good 0:10:17.840 --> 0:10:20.439 play action quarterback. Keep that in mind. So there's been 0:10:20.640 --> 0:10:23.040 volatility with both with the chunk plays come out of 0:10:23.040 --> 0:10:26.160 that play action approach and the time to throw difference 0:10:26.160 --> 0:10:29.640 here off of play pass two point eight six seconds 0:10:29.880 --> 0:10:33.400 two point four without play actions, So much more quick 0:10:33.440 --> 0:10:36.160 game this year than in year's past. And the cliche 0:10:36.240 --> 0:10:38.400 says you have to run to set up play action, 0:10:38.480 --> 0:10:41.120 but it's been pretty well proven that that's an antiquated approach. 0:10:41.160 --> 0:10:43.160 Play action works based on the way you execute it, 0:10:43.320 --> 0:10:45.200 and Tannehill and the Titans are sharp in the play 0:10:45.200 --> 0:10:47.920 action game. So keys for the defense, you know, limiting 0:10:47.960 --> 0:10:51.680 fall steps, don't don't get, don't give that second level hook, 0:10:51.840 --> 0:10:55.400 throw that dig route, easy access for Tannehill by taking 0:10:55.440 --> 0:10:57.640 the cheese and the play action it's easier said than done, 0:10:57.760 --> 0:11:00.160 and really taking away those digs and those seams shots. 0:11:00.160 --> 0:11:02.520 I mean, Tannehill really excels on those throwers. Thinking back 0:11:02.520 --> 0:11:04.960 to the Brian Heartline throws, the Charles Clay throws right 0:11:05.000 --> 0:11:06.880 down the middle. When he's in rhythm, he has that 0:11:06.920 --> 0:11:09.319 good little hump over the second level in below the 0:11:09.360 --> 0:11:11.320 safety is because of the big strong arm, the ability 0:11:11.360 --> 0:11:13.840 to spend the football. He's also got the big powerful 0:11:13.920 --> 0:11:16.000 arm to push the ball outside, so he'll make you 0:11:16.040 --> 0:11:18.719 defend the entire field. He's also an adept runner with 0:11:18.760 --> 0:11:20.800 the football in his hands. I'm exactly dynamic in the 0:11:20.800 --> 0:11:24.000 shiftiness department. Kind of reminds me of micat Sicky that way. 0:11:24.040 --> 0:11:26.120 But he's fast. He's a long strider who can chew 0:11:26.200 --> 0:11:28.200 up yards in a hurry. If you crash that defense 0:11:28.240 --> 0:11:30.400 event on zone read and you give him a lane, 0:11:30.640 --> 0:11:33.840 he can go for. Just look back to last Thursday 0:11:34.120 --> 0:11:36.320 as an example, Buck twenty to play in that game. 0:11:36.520 --> 0:11:38.280 They have it at the minus forty six in a 0:11:38.360 --> 0:11:40.439 tie game, and he rips off a twenty three yard 0:11:40.520 --> 0:11:42.760 run that puts them right into field goal range and 0:11:42.800 --> 0:11:44.599 they go and kick the game winner. So where do 0:11:44.760 --> 0:11:47.199 Javon Holland and Brandon Jones, who at the time of 0:11:47.240 --> 0:11:49.760 this recording is on the COVID list and Eric Rowe 0:11:50.120 --> 0:11:52.680 factor in here well? As far as the matchup goes, 0:11:52.720 --> 0:11:55.280 the former two have been essentially full time players. Will 0:11:55.360 --> 0:12:00.160 Rose usage fluctuates between forty two sixty two. Sometimes I'm 0:12:00.200 --> 0:12:02.840 seventy of the workload depending on the opponent and also 0:12:02.880 --> 0:12:05.880 the availability of Holland and Jones, who have been down here, 0:12:06.280 --> 0:12:08.680 you know, three games over the last four or five. 0:12:09.040 --> 0:12:11.480 But the Titans roll with what the league does. Basically, 0:12:11.520 --> 0:12:13.600 they are within one per cent of the average on 0:12:13.679 --> 0:12:16.560 both eleven and twelve personnel usage, but they are the 0:12:16.640 --> 0:12:20.720 second highest usage of thirteen personnel, which, as we talked 0:12:20.760 --> 0:12:23.000 about last week, because of three tight ends, brings more 0:12:23.080 --> 0:12:25.840 linebackers and safeties onto the field. So I would think 0:12:25.880 --> 0:12:29.240 about all three of these guys, we'll get run for 0:12:29.240 --> 0:12:32.360 the Dolphins safety group. Holland and Jones lead safeties with 0:12:32.400 --> 0:12:35.560 six team pressures this season. Apiece next is eleven. By 0:12:35.600 --> 0:12:38.360 the way, at j j Ron curseon Dallas. Eric Row 0:12:38.480 --> 0:12:40.720 also cracked the top twenty. He has six pressures on 0:12:40.800 --> 0:12:43.560 just twenty six pass rush reps, where Jones has eighty 0:12:43.600 --> 0:12:45.319 six and Holland has sixty one. But all three of 0:12:45.320 --> 0:12:47.600 these guys can create pressure on the quarterback. And like 0:12:47.679 --> 0:12:50.360 we talked about three hitters, that might be an area 0:12:50.400 --> 0:12:54.439 of of concern for the Titans in an area of opportunity, 0:12:54.440 --> 0:12:56.320 I should say, easy for me to say for the 0:12:56.360 --> 0:12:59.160 Miami Dolphins defense. So I was looking at this earlier 0:12:59.200 --> 0:13:01.440 as well. This is all some strange splits here for 0:13:01.440 --> 0:13:04.240 the Titans, and this is how their numbers go against 0:13:04.360 --> 0:13:09.200 number of safeties that are deep single high zero coverage 0:13:09.200 --> 0:13:11.880 and two high safeties so against zero, which we know 0:13:11.960 --> 0:13:15.280 Miami has plenty of eleven sack percentage their thirty eight 0:13:15.280 --> 0:13:17.200 and a half percent on third down, and they have 0:13:17.240 --> 0:13:19.280 just two point four passing yards per game. Now, they 0:13:19.280 --> 0:13:21.800 haven't seen it that much, but they've been sacked more 0:13:21.840 --> 0:13:24.360 times than they've gotten the pass off. From that look, 0:13:24.400 --> 0:13:28.480 that is very interesting, intriguing to me. With one single 0:13:28.559 --> 0:13:32.760 high safety point three passing yards per game one and 0:13:32.800 --> 0:13:35.880 three point seven rushing yards per game and on third down, 0:13:35.920 --> 0:13:40.000 this is so weird. They passed the ball for fewer 0:13:40.040 --> 0:13:43.000 yards against single high than they do run the ball 0:13:43.200 --> 0:13:46.400 with two high safeties, it gets weirder. Thirty one point 0:13:46.400 --> 0:13:48.560 six rushing yards per game and a hundred one point 0:13:48.600 --> 0:13:51.559 three passing yards per game. Right, maybe maybe the numbers 0:13:51.559 --> 0:13:54.680 are skewed towards more throwing, but it means I would 0:13:54.679 --> 0:13:56.360 think with Derrick Henry that would be a much more 0:13:56.440 --> 0:13:59.240 closer percentage split there. And they're also thirty four point 0:13:59.280 --> 0:14:02.640 one percent down rate against two high safeties, so maybe 0:14:02.679 --> 0:14:05.200 that's the route right there. I mean again, there's weird 0:14:05.240 --> 0:14:07.480 splits that tell you different things. How you want to 0:14:07.480 --> 0:14:09.880 put together, that's beyond what I can do, but I'm 0:14:09.920 --> 0:14:11.560 just giving you the interesting facts are that I found 0:14:11.640 --> 0:14:14.559 very intriguing about this big time matchup. I think disguising 0:14:14.600 --> 0:14:17.240 coverage and causing a decision to disrupt that quick passing 0:14:17.240 --> 0:14:19.760 game always a key, and it will be a key here, 0:14:20.000 --> 0:14:23.520 which brings us to our next matchup, the tight ends 0:14:23.640 --> 0:14:26.720 and receivers of the Titans versus the cornerbacks of the 0:14:26.760 --> 0:14:29.200 Miami Dolphins. I'm still so perplexed by those number of 0:14:29.280 --> 0:14:32.240 high safety splits, like they're flipped from what's normal. It 0:14:32.400 --> 0:14:34.840 can't get over that. But here we start with a J. 0:14:35.040 --> 0:14:37.160 Brown and you saw the impact that he can have 0:14:37.200 --> 0:14:40.120 in that game. Last Thursday night, first game back, forty 0:14:40.240 --> 0:14:43.280 Niners really didn't have an answer for him. Eleven catches, 0:14:43.280 --> 0:14:45.400 a hundred and thirty five yards and a touchdown and 0:14:45.440 --> 0:14:48.240 their offense going from zero points in the first half 0:14:48.560 --> 0:14:51.000 to twenty in the second. And that came directly with 0:14:51.000 --> 0:14:53.360 where A. J. Brown's production came from. He took over 0:14:53.400 --> 0:14:56.640 that game like a star receiver does, and he wins 0:14:56.680 --> 0:14:59.560 with his ability to put his big frame in position 0:14:59.560 --> 0:15:01.600 whereas in possible for guys to get through him. He's 0:15:01.640 --> 0:15:04.120 a crafty route runner who knows how to kind of 0:15:04.120 --> 0:15:06.600 sink the hips, drop the shoulder and kind of put 0:15:06.600 --> 0:15:09.480 weight into the defensive back. And from that position, you 0:15:09.520 --> 0:15:11.400 have to be ready for him to really have a 0:15:11.440 --> 0:15:13.560 three way go where he can continue vertical. He can 0:15:13.600 --> 0:15:15.600 break it off in the direction or even come back 0:15:15.600 --> 0:15:17.800 to the quarterback, so he puts you kind of on 0:15:17.880 --> 0:15:20.080 your heels, and then from there he can explode out 0:15:20.080 --> 0:15:22.880 of those breaks. And with the big body and the physicality, 0:15:23.080 --> 0:15:24.960 if you want to try to go around him, it's 0:15:25.000 --> 0:15:28.680 a good opportunity to get past interference. So the physicality 0:15:28.720 --> 0:15:30.680 to match up with him, it's always been something that 0:15:31.280 --> 0:15:34.160 Xavian Howard's excelled with right, but not just with how 0:15:34.160 --> 0:15:36.960 he matches up with actual hands on the receiver, but 0:15:37.040 --> 0:15:40.200 the way that he can mirror and well, I'm trying 0:15:40.200 --> 0:15:42.840 to think of a synonym for mirror, but just mirror 0:15:42.880 --> 0:15:45.000 the routes and the moves that the receiver takes, in 0:15:45.000 --> 0:15:47.240 this case a J. Brown, And that allows him to 0:15:47.320 --> 0:15:50.160 recover better and break on the football better because he's 0:15:50.200 --> 0:15:53.800 not at the peril of being overpowered physically by a J. Brown. 0:15:54.200 --> 0:15:56.320 I can't wait for this matchup if that's how it goes. 0:15:56.440 --> 0:15:58.320 I mean, who knows, Maybe you double a J and 0:15:58.440 --> 0:16:01.280 use X and Byron elsewhere. Maybe they're part of that double. 0:16:01.320 --> 0:16:04.080 You certainly have options, as you do every week with 0:16:04.120 --> 0:16:07.280 this deep secondary, especially with the return of Justin Coleman. 0:16:07.680 --> 0:16:09.320 But last week, I mean, this should tell you how 0:16:09.360 --> 0:16:11.840 excited they were to have him back. Sixteen targets, four 0:16:11.880 --> 0:16:14.480 of those versus Josh Norman three forty two and a 0:16:14.520 --> 0:16:18.760 touchdown four of those versus Ambrey Tombas Thomas two forty six, 0:16:19.080 --> 0:16:22.160 three versus Jimmy Ward one for twelve And this is 0:16:22.200 --> 0:16:24.200 an underneath ree route And I saw it on tape 0:16:24.200 --> 0:16:25.560 because you don't want to bring a safety down in 0:16:25.600 --> 0:16:28.280 distry of cover A J. Brown. So one for twelve 0:16:28.280 --> 0:16:31.400 against three targets on that double and then two targets 0:16:31.400 --> 0:16:34.560 against Kawan Williams two for twelve, two against Fred Warner 0:16:34.600 --> 0:16:37.920 the linebacker two for fifteen, and one for Marcel Harris 0:16:37.920 --> 0:16:40.840 one for eight teen. So he'll find his matchups. They'll 0:16:40.840 --> 0:16:42.440 move them all over the football field and give him 0:16:42.480 --> 0:16:45.080 Miami's prepency to mix things up. That's probably the smart 0:16:45.080 --> 0:16:47.240 assumption for how to defend him, to mix it up 0:16:47.240 --> 0:16:50.680 with different looks. But we'll see his ninety two targets 0:16:50.760 --> 0:16:53.400 lead the team even though he's only played eleven games, 0:16:53.600 --> 0:16:55.800 and still he has double the targets of the number 0:16:55.840 --> 0:16:59.800 two options, which is Nick Westbrook. It kind he has 0:16:59.840 --> 0:17:02.320 four the six targets. I'm sure Julio would have a 0:17:02.320 --> 0:17:04.560 lot more than thirty eight if he played in more 0:17:04.600 --> 0:17:07.679 than nine games. Then it's Chester Rogers with thirty seven targets. 0:17:07.720 --> 0:17:09.200 And this is where you start to see the idea 0:17:09.240 --> 0:17:12.159 behind the offense and that thirteen personnel package. It's a J. 0:17:12.320 --> 0:17:14.520 Brown and then a collection of people we we mentioned 0:17:14.520 --> 0:17:17.680 the forty six, thirty eight and thirty seven targets. Here's 0:17:17.680 --> 0:17:20.399 the rest of the list, thirty four for Jeremy McNichols, 0:17:20.440 --> 0:17:24.480 thirty four for Jeff Swain, twenty one for Dentree Hilliard, 0:17:24.680 --> 0:17:28.200 twenty for Derrick Henry, eighteen from Michael pruittt seventeen from 0:17:28.200 --> 0:17:31.400 Marcus Johnson. So they spread it out beyond their top target. 0:17:31.760 --> 0:17:35.640 How does Miami counteract that? Well, First, will Julio Jones play? 0:17:35.720 --> 0:17:38.240 I think that changes things. Even if he's if he 0:17:38.280 --> 0:17:40.600 hasn't been as productive as he was for so many 0:17:40.640 --> 0:17:43.160 years in Atlanta, you still want to account for him, 0:17:43.160 --> 0:17:45.640 and he's still averaging fourteen point five yards per catch, 0:17:45.840 --> 0:17:47.800 and even just one big play can change the complexion 0:17:47.800 --> 0:17:51.080 of the game. Now, the rest of that collection, that's 0:17:51.160 --> 0:17:54.080 all backs and tight ends aside from Marcus Johnson at 0:17:54.119 --> 0:17:57.000 the bottom of seventeen targets. He's a receiver, so you 0:17:57.040 --> 0:17:59.159 need backers and safeties to be involved as well. But 0:17:59.200 --> 0:18:01.320 I think the matchup really starts with a j Brown 0:18:01.600 --> 0:18:03.600 and the rest depends on how you treat that one 0:18:04.240 --> 0:18:06.320 as far as getting him figured out. If you can 0:18:06.359 --> 0:18:08.440 take him away, that's going to force the offense to 0:18:08.480 --> 0:18:10.800 go in options that they just were not able to 0:18:10.840 --> 0:18:13.679 produce with last week. Can you duplicate that for not 0:18:13.760 --> 0:18:15.240 just one half, but two halves. That would be a 0:18:15.240 --> 0:18:17.199 big key in this game. Let's talk about the Titans 0:18:17.200 --> 0:18:20.520 offensive line the Dolphins defensive line. But first these words 0:18:23.520 --> 0:18:26.720 so up front, we already preview the Dolphins safeties versus 0:18:26.760 --> 0:18:30.000 the Titans quarterback as well as the Dolphins cornerbacks versus 0:18:30.040 --> 0:18:31.840 the Titans receivers and tight end. Let's go ahead and 0:18:31.840 --> 0:18:34.720 pick it up with the offensive line of Tennessee first, 0:18:34.760 --> 0:18:38.080 the Miami front and look, Miami has three edges inside 0:18:38.119 --> 0:18:40.840 the top thirty and QB pressures this year. Wilkins is 0:18:40.880 --> 0:18:44.640 top thirty among interior defensive lineman stealer, Butler Davis doing 0:18:44.680 --> 0:18:47.119 it too. It's a lot to contend with, and I 0:18:47.160 --> 0:18:50.480 talked about this earlier. The numbers the Titans have posted 0:18:50.520 --> 0:18:54.760 against different looks, giving this Titans line different looks, different 0:18:55.040 --> 0:18:58.360 mug duck backers or safeties in the equation, different games 0:18:58.720 --> 0:19:01.800 with the defensive line pulling different guys into the hooks 0:19:01.840 --> 0:19:04.280 on whether it's a Adam Butler or Jalen Phillips just 0:19:04.560 --> 0:19:08.600