Speaker 1: Welcome players, You're welcome. Are it's time now, Penny Penny,
Speaker 1: that it is. We are back at it, trying to
Speaker 1: make you money and trying not to embarrass ourselves picking
Speaker 1: NFL games as we head into week four and now
Speaker 1: we already had the Thursday night game. You know the
Speaker 1: outcome there, We had the Eagles. Uh, that was the
Speaker 1: the pick. We picked the Eagles on the game. So
Speaker 1: we'll we'll we'll get into the rest of the weekend.
Speaker 1: Now we will not be talking about the Jets. They
Speaker 1: are not playing, will not be talking about the forty Niners.
Speaker 1: Jets are oh in three forty Niners or three and oh,
Speaker 1: but those are the teams we've started the bye weeks.
Speaker 1: And there's only two teams that are by on the
Speaker 1: bye week this week, so we're gonna talk about them.
Speaker 1: But guess God is with me on this now. Guest Gone,
Speaker 1: you are the keeper of the stats. Before we look forward,
Speaker 1: we must look back and see how we did here
Speaker 1: as we try to buck the odds and pick winners
Speaker 1: and and all that in the NFL. And so the
Speaker 1: question here Gascon is how did we do pressing our luck?
Speaker 1: Pressing our luck a week ago? Man? It was a
Speaker 1: bounce back week for you versus the Penny, and it
Speaker 1: was a dynamite Week number three you are twelve up
Speaker 1: and just four down. And week number three, that's a
Speaker 1: job that this is three. By the way, this is
Speaker 1: tried too and tested. Week week one you were thirteen
Speaker 1: and three and then week number three twelve and four.
Speaker 1: So that is lights out for two to three weeks.
Speaker 1: We will forget Week two. I was my week too, right,
Speaker 1: it was like six, six and ten. Yeah, so I
Speaker 1: was four under five hundred then, but I'm way over
Speaker 1: five hundred on the year, like if you bet every game,
Speaker 1: which you shouldn't do. Yeah, And I think the biggest
Speaker 1: thing for you is that you finally got away after
Speaker 1: two weeks. You finally got away from the Miami Dolphins,
Speaker 1: finally divorced yourself from that. Yeah. I learned a valuable,
Speaker 1: valuable lesson there. And for those that are new to
Speaker 1: this podcast, many versus the Penny. We did this on
Speaker 1: radio probably for fifteen years or so, we did many
Speaker 1: versus the Penny, but I feel like it works better
Speaker 1: here on the podcast because I would I'm obsessive with
Speaker 1: these notes, right, I I try to absorb all this material,
Speaker 1: So I wouldn't I would put a lot of time
Speaker 1: handicapping these dopey games, and I wouldn't be able to
Speaker 1: get it all out there because we because on the radio,
Speaker 1: we have time restraints that we don't have on the
Speaker 1: podcast and all that. So my advice has always been
Speaker 1: people email me from time to time they say, well,
Speaker 1: what's this all about? Should I just bet every game? No,
Speaker 1: you should not bet every game. Your money management is
Speaker 1: the key to gambling. It's becoming more popular. But money
Speaker 1: management is important here. But it's also the way I
Speaker 1: look at this is that you you. I will give
Speaker 1: you my opinion on the game. Now, if my opinion
Speaker 1: aligns with your opinion, that's a game you should probably
Speaker 1: been on because we agree. But and and sometimes we
Speaker 1: maybe I'll be able to twist your mind around doing
Speaker 1: mind mind hack and be able to twist you around
Speaker 1: and do a different way. But so so that's how
Speaker 1: you should do betty versus Penny. But let's get right
Speaker 1: into it. We I did bring back some questions. I
Speaker 1: got some complaints of people, Hey, you didn't put any
Speaker 1: dopey questions in. So we'll get trivial, which is a
Speaker 1: word uni Loony used to say to me when I
Speaker 1: would do the instant trivia and all that, and so again.
Speaker 1: The goal this year that we're pressing our luck. Big money.
Speaker 1: We want big money. No wammies, no wammies. All right,
Speaker 1: all right, here we go Carolina at Houston one in
Speaker 1: two versus two and one. It's on Fox with Kenny
Speaker 1: Albert and Ronde Barber. The Texans opened a four point favorite.
Speaker 1: There a four and a half point favorite. The pick
Speaker 1: is in. I'm gonna take the Carolina Panthers here. Now
Speaker 1: a couple of reasons why I know people are not
Speaker 1: buying what Kyle Allen is selling. He only played one
Speaker 1: game here this year, but he pitched a gem in
Speaker 1: Arizona last week. This is a much more difficult test.
Speaker 1: I believe the value is on the side of Carolina.
Speaker 1: The pa there's played a complete game last week. They
Speaker 1: will look to use that obviously, is a catalyst there
Speaker 1: to chest springboard their season back to after losing back
Speaker 1: to back home games. How do you make up for
Speaker 1: a home loss win a game on the road. That's
Speaker 1: how how you do it? Uh. And then secondly, when
Speaker 1: you bet on the Texas, you're dependent on Deshaun Watson,
Speaker 1: which Deshaun Watson will show up. Watson has been like
Speaker 1: the volatile stock, right up and down and all the round. Uh.
Speaker 1: For example, he played like flatulence against Jacksonville a couple
Speaker 1: of weeks back, and then was dominant Deshaun Watson against
Speaker 1: the Chargers in l A this past week. But that
Speaker 1: lack of consistency is disturbing as a gambler, and the
Speaker 1: Panthers have an above average pass rush. We know the
Speaker 1: offensive line for the Texas has much maligned and whatnot.
Speaker 1: I expect this to be a fifty fifty game, which
Speaker 1: means gonna be a tight game, even though it's not
Speaker 1: a divisional game, it's an interconference game. But I'm really
Speaker 1: banking on the act that I'm right that Kyle Allen
Speaker 1: is a at least a slightly above average quarterback, that
Speaker 1: he's somehow got the cheek code here and teams haven't
Speaker 1: figured him out yet. And if I'm right about that
Speaker 1: and everything was better because of Kyle allen better quarterback play,
Speaker 1: then Carolina will be in the winner circles. I think
Speaker 1: they win the game out right. I don't need the points.
Speaker 1: I'll take two points. Carolina Houston. Unlike you, the Penny
Speaker 1: likes to Shan Watson will take the Houston Texans. Be
Speaker 1: sure to catch live editions of The Ben Miller Show
Speaker 1: weekdays at two a m. Eastern eleven pm Pacific on
Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio and the I Heart Radio app. All right,
Speaker 1: let's get trivial. Baker Mayfield. Baker Mayfield five interceptions in
Speaker 1: the fourth quarter through the first three weeks of the season.
Speaker 1: That is tied with Blank for the most by any
Speaker 1: quarterback over his team's first three games of a season
Speaker 1: in the last twenty five years. Again, Baker Mayfield five
Speaker 1: interceptions in the fourth quarter this year, tied with Blank,
Speaker 1: the most by any qb over the first three games
Speaker 1: of the season in the past twenty five years. I'll
Speaker 1: fill in the blank in a couple of minutes. So
Speaker 1: if you have the answer, just hold onto it. Just
Speaker 1: hold on to it. Next up, Cleveland at Baltimore. It's
Speaker 1: on CUBAZ with Greg Gumbel and Trent Green. The Ravens
Speaker 1: opened up a five point favorite. They are a seven
Speaker 1: point favorite at home in Maryland. Give me Sonny and
Speaker 1: eighties six degrees at kickoff at M ANDT Bank Stadium.
Speaker 1: I'm taking the Brownies in this game, I'm gonna take Cleveland.
Speaker 1: I know that's not the popular pick by popular people,
Speaker 1: but I'll tell you why. First of all, Cleveland, they're
Speaker 1: in the eye of the storm right now. This offseason
Speaker 1: makeover has not paid dividends, obviously, yet they're under five hundred.
Speaker 1: They had some embarrassing losses to start the year. Here
Speaker 1: this would be the perfect time to turn the ship around.
Speaker 1: Here with Baker Mayfield, who has been a total bust
Speaker 1: of an abject failure at quarterback. He'ste and bad throws
Speaker 1: in the NFL. I'm surprised he's not higher than that.
Speaker 1: But it's not like the receivers have dropped that many passes.
Speaker 1: They dropped six passes, but that that number wouldn't go
Speaker 1: up that much. Baker Mayfield's completing fifty six point nine
Speaker 1: percent of his passes. That is worst among quarterbacks who
Speaker 1: have started three games. There's no one worse than Baker
Speaker 1: Mayfield as far as accuracy. His quarterback rating of seventy
Speaker 1: is also dead last in the NFL garbage So why
Speaker 1: am I taking the Cleveland Browns? Why would I do that?
Speaker 1: Because I don't believe in the Ravens defense and any
Speaker 1: there's a scenario where Mayfield can have a breakoud game.
Speaker 1: The Ravens defense is a soft spot there. Twenty seven
Speaker 1: and past defense ahead of the Dolphins by three yards.
Speaker 1: All right, they're barely ahead of the Dolphins. This is
Speaker 1: an opportunity for Odell Beckham and Jarvis Landry to abuse
Speaker 1: that secondary. But Mayfield's gotta get him the ball. There's
Speaker 1: gonna be open receivers here. There's gonna be chunk plays, big,
Speaker 1: big yardage place here for the Browns this week. They
Speaker 1: gotta take advantage now. The second thing and you know,
Speaker 1: the end of the yang here is Lamar Jackson. Uh.
Speaker 1: The story is the first two weeks, Lamar Jackson has
Speaker 1: has come come of age. He's evolved. He's he's now
Speaker 1: a legit passing quarterback. Well, based on last week, that
Speaker 1: looks like smoking mirrors against He put up those great
Speaker 1: numbers against horseship teams, the Dolphins and the Cardinals, and
Speaker 1: then he got smashed around by the Vanilla Kansas City
Speaker 1: Chiefs defense. He was atrocious. Not only was the quarterback,
Speaker 1: he was a trocy hadn't uh you know, no touchdowns
Speaker 1: last week, no touchdown passes average barely six yards per attempt,
Speaker 1: barely fifty completion percentage, and had a passer rating of seventy.
Speaker 1: And that's that's that's the old Lamar Jackson from last year.
Speaker 1: That kind of performance that you expected, and and and
Speaker 1: the other thing. You're the reason like the Browns. Browns
Speaker 1: have a pretty good defense, pretty good even the tenth
Speaker 1: best past the fence in the NFL. Cleveland. You look
Speaker 1: at this here, they really they the two games they
Speaker 1: lost here, they had some issues. They played well against
Speaker 1: the Jets, a bad team. Obviously the Ravens a better team.
Speaker 1: But if the if the Browns can win this game.
Speaker 1: The last time they get off to a two start
Speaker 1: on the road was all right, n uh. In this rivalry,
Speaker 1: the road team has covered twelve of the last eight team.
Speaker 1: But as we say every week, one of the mantras
Speaker 1: of our show Benny versus the penny. Anytime you get
Speaker 1: over seven points in a divisional game. Divisional games are
Speaker 1: usually closer. You don't ask questions, you take two points,
Speaker 1: You put a smile on your face. Browns will win
Speaker 1: this game out right, Browns twenty four Ravens twenty penny
Speaker 1: is telling you here and going with the Cleveland Browns.
Speaker 1: Be sure to catch live editions of The Ben Meller
Speaker 1: Show weekdays at two a m. Eastern eleven pm Pacific.
Speaker 1: Let's pay off the Let's get trivial question. Baker Mayfield
Speaker 1: five in or exceptions in the fourth quarter, tied with
Speaker 1: blank for the most by any quarterback over the first
Speaker 1: three games of the season in the past twenty five years.
Speaker 1: What's your answer, guest? Normally I think you'd go with
Speaker 1: a Manning here, but I will go deeper into the
Speaker 1: pocket and I'll say Brett Farve. Yeah, Brett far is
Speaker 1: not a bad option. He would be at the tail
Speaker 1: end of that last twenty five year run. Actually not
Speaker 1: the tail and the second half of his career. That's
Speaker 1: that's not it. Uh. It is Ryan fitzpatro Yan Fitzpatrick.
Speaker 1: And it was only a couple of years ago. Uh boy,
Speaker 1: it's hard to I think he was in Buffalo. He's
Speaker 1: changes teams every year. He changes teams like Floyd maywe
Speaker 1: their changes underwear. It's a daily experience, al right. Next up,
Speaker 1: keep the train moving. Gascon wants to go quick. He
Speaker 1: wants to get the hell out of here. Washington, oh
Speaker 1: and three at the New York Giants one and two.
Speaker 1: It's on Fox. You Better wash. Tom Brennan and Chris
Speaker 1: Spielman on the call. Here. The Giants opened a three
Speaker 1: point favorite, actually a two point favorite. There a three
Speaker 1: point favorite. The weather mild whether seventies seven agrees, mostly
Speaker 1: sunny in Jersey at MetLife Stadium, scheduled for kickoff. I've
Speaker 1: gone back and forth in this game, but ultimately i
Speaker 1: decided that I'm gonna take the Giants. I don't like
Speaker 1: this per se because I'm going with the public. Uh
Speaker 1: And and there's an obsession with Danny dimes mania here
Speaker 1: Daniel Jones, who gave the Giants franchise a shot of
Speaker 1: adrenaline for a team that was in disarray. But remember,
Speaker 1: the perception would be much different here. If Tampa May
Speaker 1: makes that field goal, You'll be like, well, he played well,
Speaker 1: but they didn't win the game. Right. He would have
Speaker 1: eaten an l in his maiden voyage as a quarterback.
Speaker 1: But Jones, he was he was the only bugaboos. He
Speaker 1: He fumbled a couple of times, and and you fumble,
Speaker 1: you know that's a fifty fifty thing when you fumble
Speaker 1: and all that. But I read a stat that Pro
Speaker 1: Football Focus had that since they've been around doun. Daniel
Speaker 1: Jones is the first quarterback ever pressured at least twelve
Speaker 1: times that had a perfect passer rating. So he was
Speaker 1: cool under pressure. Who is a cucumber as the old
Speaker 1: cliche goes, And he was pressured one percent of his
Speaker 1: snaps last week, So I bring that up. You know,
Speaker 1: the Redskins do not have a great defense. They're trying
Speaker 1: to redeem themselves here. That's the second thing embarrassed on
Speaker 1: National TV. They're down twenty eight to nothing to the
Speaker 1: Chicago Bears. Uh and so it's great that they want
Speaker 1: to bounce back, but can they Like Washington is a
Speaker 1: team that is a hot mess. They play hard for
Speaker 1: Jay Gruden. They have some grit, they have some pesky players,
Speaker 1: but you gotta have talent and they are lacking in
Speaker 1: that department. If one player sums up the Redskins, it's
Speaker 1: Landon Collins. Landing Collins is the guy that the Redskins
Speaker 1: just made the highest paid safety in NFL history give
Speaker 1: at eighty four million dollar contract. So far this season,
Speaker 1: the highest is paid safety in NFL history has zero interceptions,
Speaker 1: zero fumbles, force, zero sacks, zero passes defended, and he's
Speaker 1: also missed a bunch of tackles. You talk about a
Speaker 1: return on investment for for the Redskins from landing Collins
Speaker 1: and in the Washington secondary has been been embarrassing. I
Speaker 1: believe that Daniel Jones will play very well in this game.
Speaker 1: He'll put up his numbers, he will turn the ball
Speaker 1: over a couple of times. It'll be a back and forth,
Speaker 1: high scoring game. Redskins will put up some points against
Speaker 1: the soft cheese Giants defense. But in the end, Giants
Speaker 1: thirty four, Redskins thirty penny, who's going with the g man.
Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in
Speaker 1: the nation. Catch all of our shows at Fox sports
Speaker 1: Radio dot com and within the I Heart Radio app
Speaker 1: search f s R to listen live. All right. Next
Speaker 1: up the LA Chargers at the Miami Dolphins. It's on CBS.
Speaker 1: Tom Carthy and Jay Feely will have a lot of
Speaker 1: garbage time here. Dolphins owing three charges, one and two
Speaker 1: line on this game open at sixteen. It's anywhere from
Speaker 1: sixteen to sixteen and a half. The line I have
Speaker 1: says sixteen, so we'll use that. Uh and I am
Speaker 1: gonna take the charges here. I'm gonna take the charges.
Speaker 1: I don't love this pick per se, but the Chargers
Speaker 1: because they've been malingering. They have, they've been in games,
Speaker 1: they've lost here, but they've made some some stupid place
Speaker 1: Philip Rivers in particularly late in games, the old war horse,
Speaker 1: Philip Rivers, the old veteran. The Chargers ranked fifth in
Speaker 1: the NFL in total yards, but there are twenty one
Speaker 1: in points per game, so there's a lack of execution
Speaker 1: in the red zone. And Philip Rivers has been great
Speaker 1: for three quarters. He can't put that fourth quarter uh
Speaker 1: stigma behind the first three quarters, Rivers is completing over
Speaker 1: seventy of his passes no interception, but in the fourth
Speaker 1: quarter he's completing barely fifty of his path no touchdowns,
Speaker 1: two interceptions. In the first three games of the year,
Speaker 1: he's been back. Now the Miami game is usually an
Speaker 1: extra bye week here, but you still have to show up.
Speaker 1: Dating back the week seventeen of last season, the Dolphins, congratulations,
Speaker 1: they have become the first team to lose four consecutive
Speaker 1: games by at least twenty five points. You gotta go
Speaker 1: back to the Boston Patriots in in the nineteen nineteen
Speaker 1: sixty nine seasons, the last time that happens. So congratulations
Speaker 1: to the Dolphins franchise. You've done a wonderful job. I
Speaker 1: did find a positive. The Dolphins of their passes have
Speaker 1: traveled over twenty yards down field, alright, twenty yards down here.
Speaker 1: That's the highest in the NFL. Of course, most of
Speaker 1: those passes dropped incomplete. And you've got Josh Rosen, who
Speaker 1: I love how bad the Dolphins are that people are saying, well,
Speaker 1: Josh Rosen was a breath of fresh air. He had
Speaker 1: a passer rating of seventy three and completed fifty of
Speaker 1: his passes and is considered and no touchdowns at halftime,
Speaker 1: and people say, oh, I'm very impressive, and all I mean,
Speaker 1: it's ridiculous. Now. Typically I would say take the points,
Speaker 1: take the points, don't bet the game, take the points.
Speaker 1: But the Dolphins aren't trying. They are not trying. The
Speaker 1: Charges will be the desperate team here. They don't want
Speaker 1: to start out one and three. One and three is
Speaker 1: a bad situation. Two and two is acceptable. Chargers thirty
Speaker 1: seven Dolphins seventy penny agrees with you. Going with the
Speaker 1: bolts all right. Next up, it's Penning versus the Penny
Speaker 1: will keep the train moving. Oakland one and two at Indianapolis.
Speaker 1: This game is on CBS and it's a game with
Speaker 1: Kevin Harlan and Rich Gannon. They will call the game.
Speaker 1: The Colts open a six point favorite. They are favored
Speaker 1: by seven. The weather in this situation four degrees, not
Speaker 1: that it matters. It's in the dome, will be partly
Speaker 1: sunny if you're in Indianapolis. The pick is in on
Speaker 1: the Raiders and the Colts. I've gone back and forth
Speaker 1: on this game, but ultimately I've I've landed on taking
Speaker 1: the Raiders, and I'm gonna take the Raiders on the points,
Speaker 1: and I understand any strategy here. They're gonna ride the
Speaker 1: Marlon Mack Express train and they're gonna play close to
Speaker 1: the vest with Jacobe Brissette, power running game and all
Speaker 1: that stuff. UH and any should jump out to an
Speaker 1: early lead. The Colts have been very good at home.
Speaker 1: They won their last seven home games going back to
Speaker 1: last year, back when Andrew Luck was there, and they
Speaker 1: have not won eight consecutive games since the Peyton Manning
Speaker 1: years back in the first decade of the two thousand's.
Speaker 1: Here and so we'll see that the Raiders traditionally have
Speaker 1: been terrible against the Colts in any they haven't won there.
Speaker 1: They don't play that often, but they haven't won there
Speaker 1: since and that was when our former Fox Sports Radio colleague,
Speaker 1: Jim Mora I was coaching and Rich Gannon was the
Speaker 1: Raiders quarterback the last time they won in Indianapolis. But
Speaker 1: the reason that I the many reason I bet against
Speaker 1: the Colts is the public is laying the lumber. This
Speaker 1: is one of the most lopsided games this weekend. Over
Speaker 1: sevent of the bets have been on the Colts. I
Speaker 1: love to be a contrarian. I love to be against
Speaker 1: the public and be on the side of the sharp guys.
Speaker 1: So getting a touchdown with a team that is still
Speaker 1: trying to win. Unlike the Dolphins, I figured the Raiders
Speaker 1: haven't completely given up hope. They're not a hopeless bunch yet,
Speaker 1: even though they look like a Pop Warner team against
Speaker 1: the Vikings last week, I expect a better effort, a
Speaker 1: more competitive game. You don't really get blown out back
Speaker 1: to back games. So and also the Colts could be
Speaker 1: looking ahead. I believe they play the Chiefs in Week five.
Speaker 1: Indianapolis will win the game, but they won't cover the spread.
Speaker 1: Colts twenty eight, Raiders twenty three. Not this time for
Speaker 1: the penny. They like the Indianapolis Colts. All right, we'll
Speaker 1: keep it going. Next up Kansas City three and oh
Speaker 1: at Detroit to oh and one. It's on Fox. You
Speaker 1: better watch Kevin Burkhardt and Charles Davis and the Fox
Speaker 1: box that Rocks calling the game. The Chiefs opened to
Speaker 1: six point favorite. They are currently a six and a
Speaker 1: half point favorite. I'm told this is the first game
Speaker 1: that Patrick Mahomes has played indoors as an NFL player.
Speaker 1: He used to dominate when he was a Texas Tech
Speaker 1: in dome environments, but this is the first time as
Speaker 1: an NFL quarterback. The pick is in and I am
Speaker 1: taking the Lions. I'm gonna take the Lions here to
Speaker 1: cover the spread. And this is the ultimate contrarian pick here.
Speaker 1: It is uh. This is another acid test for Destroit.
Speaker 1: The Lions defense. I feel like they have overachieved that
Speaker 1: some of the numbers are skewed because they gave up
Speaker 1: a bunch of points in the fourth quarter to tie
Speaker 1: the Cardinals. But now they go into the lab against
Speaker 1: the Chiefs where Kansas City has scored twenty five or
Speaker 1: more points in twenty five consecutive games. That's a long
Speaker 1: his street in NFL history. But I actually like the
Speaker 1: Lions defense to hold their own here Trey Flowers and
Speaker 1: snacks Harrelson. When I say hold their own, I'm saying
Speaker 1: that the Chiefs aren't gonna score fifty in this particular game.
Speaker 1: But you also have about a fifty percent chance to
Speaker 1: win a bet when you take around seven points. Through
Speaker 1: the first three games of the season, all right, forty
Speaker 1: seven point nine percent of NFL games have been decided
Speaker 1: by six points or less. And uh, and so you've
Speaker 1: got that working for you as well. And is this
Speaker 1: a letdown spot for Kansas City? Why would it be
Speaker 1: a letdown spot? The Chiefs just won a big game
Speaker 1: against the Ravens last week, a game that many people
Speaker 1: had circled on the schedule earlier in the year. See
Speaker 1: how they would do against Lamar Jackson. Now they play
Speaker 1: an NFC opponent, a team nobody gets up to play
Speaker 1: the Lions. And then you have another showcase game next
Speaker 1: week against the Colts, which is a bigger game for
Speaker 1: Kansas City. Uh, She's still win the game. But I
Speaker 1: believe they'll give up some puts. The Chiefs defense will
Speaker 1: will regress here, and I'm not buying there. The real
Speaker 1: McCoy Chiefs thirty four, Lions twenty eight. No chance in
Speaker 1: hell of pennies following in this one. They're going with
Speaker 1: Kansas City. You can have knocked yourself out with Kansas City,
Speaker 1: and the Chiefs should win the game by ten fifteen
Speaker 1: thousand points. But this Lions team, I like the way
Speaker 1: they're playing right now. They're off the grid. Uh so
Speaker 1: I'm going with it. All right, let's get trivial again here.
Speaker 1: It's penny versus the penny. As you know from the podcast,
Speaker 1: Frank Gore was the leading rusher for either team in
Speaker 1: Buffalo's win over Cincinnati last week. Right, he led the
Speaker 1: game in rushing yards. At age thirty six, he is
Speaker 1: the oldest player to be leading rusher in an NFL
Speaker 1: game since Blank. All right, since Blank. Frank Gore, at
Speaker 1: age thirty six, the oldest player to lead an NFL
Speaker 1: game in rushing yards since Blank. Will give me the
Speaker 1: answer in a couple of minutes. Next up New England
Speaker 1: three and oh at Buffalo three and oh it's on CBS.
Speaker 1: I an Eagle and Dan Fouts will be an Orchard Park,
Speaker 1: New York's gonna be a a nice day in in
Speaker 1: in Orchard Part, New York, sixty five degrees, mostly sunny.
Speaker 1: Patriots open a six point favorite. They are a seven
Speaker 1: point favorite. Now. I went back and forth on this
Speaker 1: game also, but I settled on taking I'm gonna cover
Speaker 1: my my eyes here and I'm gonna hold my nose,
Speaker 1: which apparently is running. I'm gonna take the Buffalo Bills.
Speaker 1: I And this is a great Patriots team. They're off
Speaker 1: to the greatest start in this last twenty years of
Speaker 1: dynasty for Bill Belichick. They appear to be the cream
Speaker 1: of the crop. They've they've gone scorched earth against the
Speaker 1: weaklings of the NFL, and the Bills haven't really played
Speaker 1: anybody of No, they played the Bangals and the two
Speaker 1: teams in who are claiming to be from New York,
Speaker 1: the Giants and the Jets even like playing New Jersey.
Speaker 1: This is not great competition. And this is the degree
Speaker 1: of difficulty goes up a lot for Buffalo, but it
Speaker 1: also goes up a lot for the Patriots. The Steelers
Speaker 1: appear to be a bad a bad team judging by
Speaker 1: their record, and they didn't show up for that game
Speaker 1: in New England. And then they played the Dolphins and
Speaker 1: they played the Jets. So the Patriots haven't played anybody
Speaker 1: yet either. So that to me, that's equal. Uh. And
Speaker 1: you know, I feel like, you know, it's a little
Speaker 1: insane to the membrane here because New England's point differential
Speaker 1: is thirty six points higher than any other team. The
Speaker 1: Cowboys are number two, thirty six points better than the
Speaker 1: numbers are skewed. And now then the thing that scares
Speaker 1: me about Buffalo, and you gotta factor this in Josh
Speaker 1: Allen is he's a compass rose. He doesn't know where
Speaker 1: the ball is going and could go north, southeast, west,
Speaker 1: you name it. And he turns the ball over a
Speaker 1: lot in his young career, and that will kill you.
Speaker 1: That will that will make this a thirty ford a
Speaker 1: nothing type of game if he plays a game like that.
Speaker 1: But I believe Buffalo and they're not gonna win the game.
Speaker 1: I don't think I'm crazy. I'm not that crazy. Like
Speaker 1: a ship out a shifout rats rat, as they say,
Speaker 1: is that the phrase guest ship house house rat to
Speaker 1: pick pick Buffalo to win this game. Uh, However, they
Speaker 1: have more than a putcher's chance. They can hang in there.
Speaker 1: It's a divisional game. Remember the bed rock. We talked
Speaker 1: about it, Benny versus the penny. When the wise guys
Speaker 1: give you seven points and more in the divisional game,
Speaker 1: you take the points. Even in a Bill's Patriots game,
Speaker 1: this is a much bigger game for the Buffalo Bills.
Speaker 1: This is an acid test game to show that there's
Speaker 1: some legitimacy that this team is not a fraud. And
Speaker 1: so they're at home a lot of enthusiasm there. People
Speaker 1: will be throwing dildos on the field that Tom Brady.
Speaker 1: Uh So, it's a big statement game. It's not as
Speaker 1: big a statement game for the Patriots. I mean they've
Speaker 1: been they put they're like every every years they wait
Speaker 1: till the playoffs for their statement games. Patriots will win
Speaker 1: the game, but the Bills will keep it close. Low
Speaker 1: scoring game. Patriots twenty Bills sixteen. Penny likes you. They're
Speaker 1: going with the Bills and the mafia. All right. Next up,
Speaker 1: let's pay off the trivia. Let's get trivia. The question
Speaker 1: was Frank gored at age thirty six, with the leading
Speaker 1: rusher in the Bills Bengals game leading rusher there, and
Speaker 1: he's the oldest player to lead the NFL an NFL
Speaker 1: game and rushing since blank. Alright, gascot, you like old
Speaker 1: guys who are older than me. What's your answer. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna go with Curtis Martin on this one. It's not
Speaker 1: a bad guess, but it's not right the correct answer,
Speaker 1: and you should kick yourself because this guy is a devil.
Speaker 1: Bronco Mike Anderson, No, John Elway. John Elway, believe it
Speaker 1: or not. At age thirty eight and what I believe
Speaker 1: was his final season in a December game, he was
Speaker 1: the leading rusher, the quarterback, the leading rusher, uh in
Speaker 1: in that game at age thirty. So that's that's the
Speaker 1: record to break. And that seems like a record that
Speaker 1: will last long. I don't how many running actually played
Speaker 1: to the forty. Maybe Frank Gore will be that guy.
Speaker 1: All right? Next up, I say, you said running back
Speaker 1: and it wasn't thinking quarterback, but I said leading rusher. Yeah. Sorry,
Speaker 1: that's a good question, thank you. Uh. Next up, Tennessee
Speaker 1: at Atlanta. A couple of one in two teams. It's
Speaker 1: on CBS. Former Laker and Nicks played by play guy
Speaker 1: Spiro Adidas and Adam Archiletta, who's claimed to famous working
Speaker 1: with me at the NBC Sports Network. Uh Falcons opened
Speaker 1: up a three and a half point favorite. They're currently
Speaker 1: favored by four. I'm all in on the Tennessee Titans,
Speaker 1: which sounds crazy the way they played against Jacksonville, but
Speaker 1: the Falcons are teetering on the brink. Actually, both these
Speaker 1: teams are. Dan Quinn is barely hanging on to his job.
Speaker 1: He's living in that fish bowl in Atlanta and outside
Speaker 1: of a turnaround, he's dead man coaching here. Atlanta has
Speaker 1: been by and large a second division outfit. The Falcons
Speaker 1: have a feeble run defense, and that's the main reason
Speaker 1: I expect Derrick Henry to have a big bounce back
Speaker 1: boomerang game here for Tennessee, the entire team out of Nashville.
Speaker 1: We'll find out what kind of pride they have at
Speaker 1: being embarrassed on National TV last week. They've had a
Speaker 1: lectra time, lectra time to get ready to play the
Speaker 1: Thursday night game last week. Plus Marcus Mariota, who you
Speaker 1: don't want to bet on Mariota. He had a backwards
Speaker 1: performance there. It's almost like he needs to get a
Speaker 1: GPS to find the end zone. It's Brotal, the guy
Speaker 1: leads the NFL with seventeen sacks has generally been either
Speaker 1: bad or average every game. Uh that said, this is
Speaker 1: a much better Titans team that will show up this
Speaker 1: week and again trying to avoid the one in three start.
Speaker 1: This This is a team that has matched up the
Speaker 1: last couple of years very well against the the week
Speaker 1: lenks of the end fell that the soft serve the
Speaker 1: non physical teams. Atlanta is in that category. Uh so.
Speaker 1: And also, I am I am told by some of
Speaker 1: my moles here that the big the big whales, the
Speaker 1: big gamblers. Uh, they are all over the Titans. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna take there, all over the Titans. I'm on their side.
Speaker 1: Titans twenty four Falcons. One man, this is scary for
Speaker 1: the Penny too. She has gone with the Titans. Alright,
Speaker 1: so we agree on that game. Next up, let's get
Speaker 1: to the Lake games. All right. We're in the late
Speaker 1: games here, as we keep the ship moving on Benny
Speaker 1: versus the Penny, Tampa Bay one and two at the
Speaker 1: L A. Rra Ams on Fox. It's on Fox. Chris
Speaker 1: Myers and Darryl Johnson. I want you to know, guest
Speaker 1: on that I I might actually go to this game
Speaker 1: because I got a message from a former colleague of
Speaker 1: mine at Fox Sports Radio, the great t J Reeves,
Speaker 1: who I followed him on the weekends, and he is
Speaker 1: the radio sideline reporter for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and
Speaker 1: he's gonna be intended. He asked me if I was
Speaker 1: gonna be the Game's like, well, I'm not planning on
Speaker 1: going to the game, and then he told me he
Speaker 1: was gonna be there. So I said, okay, I'll see
Speaker 1: if I can get in there at the last minute,
Speaker 1: and then I can I can choose. It's kind of good.
Speaker 1: We haven't I haven't taught to him a long time.
Speaker 1: He's he's down in Tampa. He's a regular down There
Speaker 1: was a weekend host here, all right, Fox Sports Radio.
Speaker 1: So that'll be great you get to Yeah, I love
Speaker 1: I love t J. And we had some fun with
Speaker 1: him back in the day, and so it's always good.
Speaker 1: He's part of the Fox Sports Radio Alumni Association, Guest,
Speaker 1: which you will soon be part of once they hear
Speaker 1: this podcast. But most of those people go up and
Speaker 1: up right, they they go to climb onto higher stages.
Speaker 1: Is that accurate? Uh? Not everyone? Uh, We've got guys
Speaker 1: making French fries, not everyone, you know. All Right, Well,
Speaker 1: I hope, so, I hope, I'm I hope. I'm a
Speaker 1: part of that upper echelon. You're just as likely to
Speaker 1: be the face of the NFL network like andrews Ceciliano
Speaker 1: or make make cheeseburgers and push shopping carts, so that
Speaker 1: those are good jobs people need. But anyway, alright, so
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay and the Rams. The Rams open a nine
Speaker 1: point favorite, They're a ten point favorites, gonna be seventy
Speaker 1: five degrees that kick off at the Colisseum in Los Angeles.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Buccaneers here, even though I love
Speaker 1: the Rams Tampa Bay, their defense is is not horrific.
Speaker 1: Their fourteenth and yards, they're actually better this year than
Speaker 1: the Cowboys statistically. And I love how Shaq Barrett, the
Speaker 1: guy that got away from Denver, has played. He's the
Speaker 1: new QB Killer for the Tambay Buccaneers, bringing back memories
Speaker 1: of war and Sap and some of those great uh
Speaker 1: Brooks and some of those great defensive players back in
Speaker 1: the day. As he's off to a record setting start
Speaker 1: for sacks the first three weeks of the year. The Rams.
Speaker 1: The main reason not to take the Rams is because
Speaker 1: they have no dimensions to their offense. They're a grinded
Speaker 1: out team right now. Jared Golf has yet to have
Speaker 1: a dominant performance. Todd Gurley is half the man he
Speaker 1: used to be in the backfield. Uh. And so I
Speaker 1: know the Ms are somehow three, you know, but they're
Speaker 1: doing it with ugly, grind out wins. They're not getting
Speaker 1: a lot of style points. You said, well, Tampa Bay
Speaker 1: is a bad team. They should blow the doors. Yeah,
Speaker 1: they should. But Jamis Winston, who's played very well in
Speaker 1: the first half of games, he's been a mistake prone
Speaker 1: mess in the second half. I saw a stat his
Speaker 1: passer rating is a hundred eleven before halftime. In the
Speaker 1: second half it's below sixty. And the Rams mob squad,
Speaker 1: that defense is too legit to quit. They have a
Speaker 1: very good defense. There's some of these veterans they brought
Speaker 1: in so far have found the fountain of youth. But again,
Speaker 1: the main reason that I'm gonna bet against the Rams
Speaker 1: to cover is Jared Goff. He's like a lost puppy
Speaker 1: dog and you're gonna have to keep scoring poth Now.
Speaker 1: The thing that could change this if if Famous Jamis
Speaker 1: throws three interceptions and a couple of pick six is.
Speaker 1: Obviously the Rams will win this game forty to ten.
Speaker 1: But I say that doesn't happen. Buccaneers old hang around
Speaker 1: ten points is too many and in the Rams also
Speaker 1: have I believe they played the Thursday game next week.
Speaker 1: I think they played the Seahawks next week, so they
Speaker 1: have a short short week peek ahead NFC West rival
Speaker 1: Rams thirty one bucks, three penny going with the Rams
Speaker 1: all night? Damn right, can ram it all day? You
Speaker 1: can ram it all right? All right? Seattle two and one,
Speaker 1: Arizona O two and one, It's on Fox, and get
Speaker 1: another Dick Stockton game for the Arizona Cardinals. I feel
Speaker 1: like Dick Stockton is the personal broadcaster for the Arizona Cardinals. Uh.
Speaker 1: I think this is. And it's at least the second,
Speaker 1: if not the third, Cardinals game. Mr Stockton has done.
Speaker 1: Dick Stockton and Mark schlay Rith on the call on
Speaker 1: this game. The Seahawks opened at three point favorite. They're
Speaker 1: favorite by five, and I am all over Seattle in
Speaker 1: this game. I don't no gonna like road favorites. That's
Speaker 1: a bad formula. But I'm gonna take the Sea Seahawks.
Speaker 1: Here a couple of reasons why number one Russell Wilson
Speaker 1: is licking his chops. The Cardinals are missing both starting
Speaker 1: defensive backs. You could not ask for a better opportunity
Speaker 1: to go blitz Creek if you're Seattle. I guesst a
Speaker 1: divisional opponent. I sometimes I say, well, watch out for
Speaker 1: the wounded bear, but don't watch out for the wounded Cardinal.
Speaker 1: I again, I typically don't like road favorites, but this
Speaker 1: is an exception of the rule. I also love the
Speaker 1: fact Seattle lost last week, so you have the zig
Speaker 1: zag theory in play here, a little more pep in
Speaker 1: their step. Russell Wilson has been great coming off a loss.
Speaker 1: I think sixteen and eight the number against the spread
Speaker 1: over over the years here in that situation recent years,
Speaker 1: well not that recent, but but anyway. Secondly, uh, you
Speaker 1: know who has the most bad throws in the NFL?
Speaker 1: Which quarterback has the most bad throws? Ding Ning? Nick
Speaker 1: Nick Ning? This guy has been overmatched by the NFL.
Speaker 1: It's not his fault. She have been the number one
Speaker 1: pick Anyone with half a brain knows that uh Murray
Speaker 1: is pacing the NFL and bad throws. He leads the
Speaker 1: NFL and pass attempts, but he's not even in the
Speaker 1: top ten in yards because he's averaging six point one
Speaker 1: yards per a tempt That is thirty in the NFL.
Speaker 1: Only Mitch Trabiskie has been worse among quarterbacks. We have
Speaker 1: started three games, so it's a hard sell. Cardinals have
Speaker 1: been a terrible home team going back to last year.
Speaker 1: There one eight and one and they're the worst in
Speaker 1: the NFL. They ranked last in the NFL and points
Speaker 1: per game and yards per game at home in that span.
Speaker 1: Seahawks thirty, Cardinals twenty. Penny likes you to going with
Speaker 1: the Seahawks four more more. Alright, Next up Minnesota at Chicago,
Speaker 1: too and one versus two and one. It's on CBS.
Speaker 1: Jim Nance and Tony Romo. Bears open a three point favorite.
Speaker 1: There are two and a half point favorite now mild
Speaker 1: weather at Soldier Field seventy seven degrees. I'm going with
Speaker 1: the public, which is not a good thing, but I'm
Speaker 1: taking the Vikings here. Minnesota is gonna have to ride
Speaker 1: that Dalvin Cook train. Cook leads the NFL and rushing
Speaker 1: he's off to an Adrian Peterson type start, and Mike
Speaker 1: Zimmer he's running the hide the quarterback offense, trying to
Speaker 1: hide Kirk Cousins. Vikings are second in the NFL and
Speaker 1: rushing yards per game. Olio Ravens have been better in Minnesota.
Speaker 1: They average the second fewest passing yards per game. That
Speaker 1: actually will help the Vikings win this game because the
Speaker 1: Bears are a very opportunistic defense, a h picking off
Speaker 1: quarterbacks and whatnot, So the Micings will play close to
Speaker 1: the vest. Does Bears have a great defense, They had
Speaker 1: a dominant performance there against Chicago, or a gainst Washington
Speaker 1: and Chicago. But I don't trust Rubisky not only a quarterback,
Speaker 1: he's terrible, twenty seventh ranked quarterback in the NFL. This
Speaker 1: game will be tight. Vikings will pull the upset Minnesota
Speaker 1: twenty four the Bears twenty three. Think with Minnesota all
Speaker 1: right next to Jacksonville at Denver, it's on CBS. Andrew
Speaker 1: Catalan and James Lofton have the call. It'll be sunny eighties,
Speaker 1: six degrees that the stadium may now call empower field
Speaker 1: at Mile High. I don't know if I like that
Speaker 1: or not. I know, but they didn't ask me. I
Speaker 1: didn't cut a check. Uh. I'm gonna take now the
Speaker 1: line Broncos a three point favorite. I'm gonna take Jacksonville.
Speaker 1: And I'm also going with the public on this. To me,
Speaker 1: this matchup favorite Jacksonville. Everyone's waiting for Gardner midshow to
Speaker 1: suck and have a bad game. The guy seems unfazed
Speaker 1: by all this. He's unencumbered by the level of competition.
Speaker 1: I expect more good stuff. He's accurate. When you're accurate,
Speaker 1: you don't have many bad games when you're accurate. I'm
Speaker 1: in on the Minshoe mania. So far in twenty nineteen,
Speaker 1: Denver has a total of three quarterback hits, no sacks,
Speaker 1: and no turnovers. They stink el stink aru And as
Speaker 1: Emmanuel Sanders said after the game last week against the Packers,
Speaker 1: the Broncos are living in a world of suck. Denver's
Speaker 1: law seven straight games while scoring fewer than seventeen points
Speaker 1: per game. I know that includes last year, obviously, but
Speaker 1: the trend has continued. The main reason I like Jacksonville.
Speaker 1: What is their moniker? What are they known as Sacksonville?
Speaker 1: Right Joe Flacco has been in the pressure cooker all season.
Speaker 1: Entering this week, jump ball Joe has been hurried twenty
Speaker 1: two times, most in the NFL. And you look at Jacksonville. Now,
Speaker 1: they had nine sacks last week, but they're tied for
Speaker 1: the NFL leading with thirteen sacks. They will be all
Speaker 1: over Joe Flacco's junk. I'm taking Jacksonville to win the
Speaker 1: game out right, Go Jags go to seventeen penning On
Speaker 1: the opposite way with the Denver Broncos. You want a
Speaker 1: quick fun fact that I was gonna do a trivial
Speaker 1: but let's give you the fun factor, uh this weekend
Speaker 1: in Denver. Gardner Minshew might have used this on the
Speaker 1: Overnight Show last night, but Gardner Minshew can join Blank
Speaker 1: as the only player in NFL history with a ninety
Speaker 1: five or better quarterback rating in each of their first
Speaker 1: four games. The answer, who do you think get? Is
Speaker 1: real quick? It's Aaron Brooks. Aaron Brooks Now, it's Mark Ripping.
Speaker 1: How obscure? I love when the answer is obscure? How
Speaker 1: obscure is that most people super Bowl quarterback? Though? Mark Alright?
Speaker 1: Sunday Night Football, Dallas three and Oh at New Orleans
Speaker 1: two and one. It's on NBC without Michaels and Chris Collinsworth,
Speaker 1: the Little Sunday Night Action. Cowboys are two and a
Speaker 1: half point favor They opened it one and a half.
Speaker 1: The pick I'm taking the Cowboys, I'm taking again. The
Speaker 1: Saints were essentially handed the game last week by the Seahawks.
Speaker 1: They played football follies. They lost the statuet New Orleans,
Speaker 1: they won the game. That is not a sustainable formula.
Speaker 1: New Orleans average just five point three yards per play.
Speaker 1: They had only two hundred sixty total yards. Seattle averaged
Speaker 1: almost seven yards per play. They had five fifteen yards
Speaker 1: fifteen yards, and they lost the game. In other words,
Speaker 1: it's unsustainable. As we said, Teddy Bridgewater is gonna have
Speaker 1: to get better. The Cowboys have a pretty good defense.
Speaker 1: The Saints need more chunk plays. He's averaged less than
Speaker 1: seven yards per attempt Bridgewater, and I know why he's
Speaker 1: doing that. They're playing it close to the vest Minnesota
Speaker 1: conservative dumb down offense. But you gotta gotta give me more.
Speaker 1: You gotta give me more. The Cowboys with a win
Speaker 1: would be off to their best start in twelve years
Speaker 1: since seven when they started out five and oh, Dallas.
Speaker 1: Dallas has the Packers next week, all right, so they
Speaker 1: have the package next week? Will they be caught in
Speaker 1: that spot looking at I say no. It's a national
Speaker 1: televised game. Uh, you don't get extra credit for beating
Speaker 1: Drew Brees and the Saints. But this is a golden
Speaker 1: opportunity to win in a hostile environment. Cowboys will pull
Speaker 1: it out. Dallas one. New Orleans is twenty three penny
Speaker 1: tailing your hair going to Cowboys. Last one, all right?
Speaker 1: Last one? Monday Night Football, Cincinnati, oh in three, Pittsburgh,
Speaker 1: oh and three. It's on ESPN, Joe Testa Tour and
Speaker 1: Booger Booger McFarland. The Steelers opened a three and a
Speaker 1: half point favorite. They are currently favorite by four. The
Speaker 1: pick is in Oh, p you what stinks? I'm taking
Speaker 1: the Bengals. Uh. The reason why Cincinnati actually has more playmakers.
Speaker 1: It seems odd to say that in a Bengal Steelers
Speaker 1: game because normally that's the other way. But the Bengals
Speaker 1: have more playmakers here. This should be a field goal game.
Speaker 1: This should be anybody's game. You're getting over a field goal.
Speaker 1: I like taking the points in games like that, Andy
Speaker 1: Dalton is a better quarterback than Mason Rudolph. Very rarely
Speaker 1: is Andy Dalton the better quarterback in the matchup the Bengals,
Speaker 1: As I said, they have more weaponry. The Steelers are
Speaker 1: the second worst team in third down defense in the NFL,
Speaker 1: so there's an opportunity for the Bengals to keep the
Speaker 1: change moving. Only the Redskins have been worse. And my
Speaker 1: favorite stat is some up the lazy river of mediocrity
Speaker 1: of Pittsburgh is Mason Rudolph in his first start with
Speaker 1: the Steelers against the forty niners. You know many passes
Speaker 1: he completed. We used this on the Overnight Show, but
Speaker 1: maybe you missed it. How many passes he completed that
Speaker 1: traveled more than one yard downfield? The answer is too
Speaker 1: that it not happens. It's a guy named Tim Tebow
Speaker 1: in his heyday. So I realized I'm going against the
Speaker 1: trend here. Over the years, Pittsburgh has been pure cash,
Speaker 1: straight cash hoby in primetime games. They're ten and five
Speaker 1: against the spread the last fifteen Monday Night Football games
Speaker 1: previous fifteen instances. But this is a bad team and it's,
Speaker 1: you know, be a close game you like the points
Speaker 1: divisional game Bengals twenty Steelers nineteen paying agreement here going
Speaker 1: with the Bungles. All right, that'll put the baby to bed.
Speaker 1: Thank you. Gag on Gascony and email us a Real
Speaker 1: Fifth Hour with F I F T H Real Fifth
Speaker 1: Hour at Ben mallor follow us on Twitter at Ben
Speaker 1: Mallory whatever your Twitter account is, Guests, David J. Gascon Yes,
Speaker 1: you can follow me there of course. All right, have
Speaker 1: a great weekend. We'll see how we did. We'll have
Speaker 1: the next radio show Sunday night in the Monday, and
Speaker 1: we will have the the reaction to how we did
Speaker 1: on Benny versus Penny. Have a great weekend. Thank you
Speaker 1: for downloading