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Speaker 1: Welcome players, You're welcome. Are it's time now, Penny Penny,

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Speaker 1: that it is. We are back at it, trying to

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Speaker 1: make you money and trying not to embarrass ourselves picking

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Speaker 1: NFL games as we head into week four and now

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Speaker 1: we already had the Thursday night game. You know the

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Speaker 1: outcome there, We had the Eagles. Uh, that was the

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Speaker 1: the pick. We picked the Eagles on the game. So

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Speaker 1: we'll we'll we'll get into the rest of the weekend.

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Speaker 1: Now we will not be talking about the Jets. They

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Speaker 1: are not playing, will not be talking about the forty Niners.

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Speaker 1: Jets are oh in three forty Niners or three and oh,

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Speaker 1: but those are the teams we've started the bye weeks.

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Speaker 1: And there's only two teams that are by on the

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Speaker 1: bye week this week, so we're gonna talk about them.

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Speaker 1: But guess God is with me on this now. Guest Gone,

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Speaker 1: you are the keeper of the stats. Before we look forward,

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Speaker 1: we must look back and see how we did here

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Speaker 1: as we try to buck the odds and pick winners

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Speaker 1: and and all that in the NFL. And so the

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Speaker 1: question here Gascon is how did we do pressing our luck?

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Speaker 1: Pressing our luck a week ago? Man? It was a

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Speaker 1: bounce back week for you versus the Penny, and it

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Speaker 1: was a dynamite Week number three you are twelve up

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Speaker 1: and just four down. And week number three, that's a

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Speaker 1: job that this is three. By the way, this is

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Speaker 1: tried too and tested. Week week one you were thirteen

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Speaker 1: and three and then week number three twelve and four.

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Speaker 1: So that is lights out for two to three weeks.

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Speaker 1: We will forget Week two. I was my week too, right,

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Speaker 1: it was like six, six and ten. Yeah, so I

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Speaker 1: was four under five hundred then, but I'm way over

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Speaker 1: five hundred on the year, like if you bet every game,

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Speaker 1: which you shouldn't do. Yeah, And I think the biggest

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Speaker 1: thing for you is that you finally got away after

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Speaker 1: two weeks. You finally got away from the Miami Dolphins,

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Speaker 1: finally divorced yourself from that. Yeah. I learned a valuable,

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Speaker 1: valuable lesson there. And for those that are new to

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Speaker 1: this podcast, many versus the Penny. We did this on

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Speaker 1: radio probably for fifteen years or so, we did many

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Speaker 1: versus the Penny, but I feel like it works better

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Speaker 1: here on the podcast because I would I'm obsessive with

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Speaker 1: these notes, right, I I try to absorb all this material,

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Speaker 1: So I wouldn't I would put a lot of time

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Speaker 1: handicapping these dopey games, and I wouldn't be able to

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Speaker 1: get it all out there because we because on the radio,

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Speaker 1: we have time restraints that we don't have on the

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Speaker 1: podcast and all that. So my advice has always been

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Speaker 1: people email me from time to time they say, well,

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Speaker 1: what's this all about? Should I just bet every game? No,

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Speaker 1: you should not bet every game. Your money management is

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Speaker 1: the key to gambling. It's becoming more popular. But money

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Speaker 1: management is important here. But it's also the way I

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Speaker 1: look at this is that you you. I will give

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Speaker 1: you my opinion on the game. Now, if my opinion

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Speaker 1: aligns with your opinion, that's a game you should probably

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Speaker 1: been on because we agree. But and and sometimes we

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Speaker 1: maybe I'll be able to twist your mind around doing

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Speaker 1: mind mind hack and be able to twist you around

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Speaker 1: and do a different way. But so so that's how

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Speaker 1: you should do betty versus Penny. But let's get right

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Speaker 1: into it. We I did bring back some questions. I

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Speaker 1: got some complaints of people, Hey, you didn't put any

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Speaker 1: dopey questions in. So we'll get trivial, which is a

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Speaker 1: word uni Loony used to say to me when I

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Speaker 1: would do the instant trivia and all that, and so again.

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Speaker 1: The goal this year that we're pressing our luck. Big money.

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Speaker 1: We want big money. No wammies, no wammies. All right,

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Speaker 1: all right, here we go Carolina at Houston one in

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Speaker 1: two versus two and one. It's on Fox with Kenny

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Speaker 1: Albert and Ronde Barber. The Texans opened a four point favorite.

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Speaker 1: There a four and a half point favorite. The pick

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Speaker 1: is in. I'm gonna take the Carolina Panthers here. Now

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Speaker 1: a couple of reasons why I know people are not

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Speaker 1: buying what Kyle Allen is selling. He only played one

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Speaker 1: game here this year, but he pitched a gem in

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Speaker 1: Arizona last week. This is a much more difficult test.

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Speaker 1: I believe the value is on the side of Carolina.

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Speaker 1: The pa there's played a complete game last week. They

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Speaker 1: will look to use that obviously, is a catalyst there

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Speaker 1: to chest springboard their season back to after losing back

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Speaker 1: to back home games. How do you make up for

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Speaker 1: a home loss win a game on the road. That's

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Speaker 1: how how you do it? Uh. And then secondly, when

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Speaker 1: you bet on the Texas, you're dependent on Deshaun Watson,

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Speaker 1: which Deshaun Watson will show up. Watson has been like

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Speaker 1: the volatile stock, right up and down and all the round. Uh.

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Speaker 1: For example, he played like flatulence against Jacksonville a couple

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Speaker 1: of weeks back, and then was dominant Deshaun Watson against

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Speaker 1: the Chargers in l A this past week. But that

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Speaker 1: lack of consistency is disturbing as a gambler, and the

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Speaker 1: Panthers have an above average pass rush. We know the

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Speaker 1: offensive line for the Texas has much maligned and whatnot.

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Speaker 1: I expect this to be a fifty fifty game, which

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Speaker 1: means gonna be a tight game, even though it's not

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Speaker 1: a divisional game, it's an interconference game. But I'm really

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Speaker 1: banking on the act that I'm right that Kyle Allen

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Speaker 1: is a at least a slightly above average quarterback, that

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Speaker 1: he's somehow got the cheek code here and teams haven't

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Speaker 1: figured him out yet. And if I'm right about that

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Speaker 1: and everything was better because of Kyle allen better quarterback play,

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Speaker 1: then Carolina will be in the winner circles. I think

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Speaker 1: they win the game out right. I don't need the points.

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Speaker 1: I'll take two points. Carolina Houston. Unlike you, the Penny

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Speaker 1: likes to Shan Watson will take the Houston Texans. Be

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Speaker 1: sure to catch live editions of The Ben Miller Show

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Speaker 1: weekdays at two a m. Eastern eleven pm Pacific on

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Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio and the I Heart Radio app. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's get trivial. Baker Mayfield. Baker Mayfield five interceptions in

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Speaker 1: the fourth quarter through the first three weeks of the season.

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Speaker 1: That is tied with Blank for the most by any

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Speaker 1: quarterback over his team's first three games of a season

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Speaker 1: in the last twenty five years. Again, Baker Mayfield five

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Speaker 1: interceptions in the fourth quarter this year, tied with Blank,

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Speaker 1: the most by any qb over the first three games

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Speaker 1: of the season in the past twenty five years. I'll

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Speaker 1: fill in the blank in a couple of minutes. So

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Speaker 1: if you have the answer, just hold onto it. Just

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Speaker 1: hold on to it. Next up, Cleveland at Baltimore. It's

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Speaker 1: on CUBAZ with Greg Gumbel and Trent Green. The Ravens

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Speaker 1: opened up a five point favorite. They are a seven

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Speaker 1: point favorite at home in Maryland. Give me Sonny and

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Speaker 1: eighties six degrees at kickoff at M ANDT Bank Stadium.

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Speaker 1: I'm taking the Brownies in this game, I'm gonna take Cleveland.

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Speaker 1: I know that's not the popular pick by popular people,

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Speaker 1: but I'll tell you why. First of all, Cleveland, they're

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Speaker 1: in the eye of the storm right now. This offseason

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Speaker 1: makeover has not paid dividends, obviously, yet they're under five hundred.

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Speaker 1: They had some embarrassing losses to start the year. Here

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Speaker 1: this would be the perfect time to turn the ship around.

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Speaker 1: Here with Baker Mayfield, who has been a total bust

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Speaker 1: of an abject failure at quarterback. He'ste and bad throws

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Speaker 1: in the NFL. I'm surprised he's not higher than that.

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Speaker 1: But it's not like the receivers have dropped that many passes.

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Speaker 1: They dropped six passes, but that that number wouldn't go

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Speaker 1: up that much. Baker Mayfield's completing fifty six point nine

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Speaker 1: percent of his passes. That is worst among quarterbacks who

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Speaker 1: have started three games. There's no one worse than Baker

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Speaker 1: Mayfield as far as accuracy. His quarterback rating of seventy

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Speaker 1: is also dead last in the NFL garbage So why

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Speaker 1: am I taking the Cleveland Browns? Why would I do that?

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Speaker 1: Because I don't believe in the Ravens defense and any

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Speaker 1: there's a scenario where Mayfield can have a breakoud game.

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Speaker 1: The Ravens defense is a soft spot there. Twenty seven

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Speaker 1: and past defense ahead of the Dolphins by three yards.

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Speaker 1: All right, they're barely ahead of the Dolphins. This is

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Speaker 1: an opportunity for Odell Beckham and Jarvis Landry to abuse

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Speaker 1: that secondary. But Mayfield's gotta get him the ball. There's

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Speaker 1: gonna be open receivers here. There's gonna be chunk plays, big,

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Speaker 1: big yardage place here for the Browns this week. They

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Speaker 1: gotta take advantage now. The second thing and you know,

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Speaker 1: the end of the yang here is Lamar Jackson. Uh.

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Speaker 1: The story is the first two weeks, Lamar Jackson has

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Speaker 1: has come come of age. He's evolved. He's he's now

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Speaker 1: a legit passing quarterback. Well, based on last week, that

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Speaker 1: looks like smoking mirrors against He put up those great

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Speaker 1: numbers against horseship teams, the Dolphins and the Cardinals, and

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Speaker 1: then he got smashed around by the Vanilla Kansas City

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Speaker 1: Chiefs defense. He was atrocious. Not only was the quarterback,

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Speaker 1: he was a trocy hadn't uh you know, no touchdowns

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Speaker 1: last week, no touchdown passes average barely six yards per attempt,

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Speaker 1: barely fifty completion percentage, and had a passer rating of seventy.

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Speaker 1: And that's that's that's the old Lamar Jackson from last year.

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Speaker 1: That kind of performance that you expected, and and and

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Speaker 1: the other thing. You're the reason like the Browns. Browns

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Speaker 1: have a pretty good defense, pretty good even the tenth

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Speaker 1: best past the fence in the NFL. Cleveland. You look

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Speaker 1: at this here, they really they the two games they

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Speaker 1: lost here, they had some issues. They played well against

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Speaker 1: the Jets, a bad team. Obviously the Ravens a better team.

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Speaker 1: But if the if the Browns can win this game.

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Speaker 1: The last time they get off to a two start

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Speaker 1: on the road was all right, n uh. In this rivalry,

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Speaker 1: the road team has covered twelve of the last eight team.

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Speaker 1: But as we say every week, one of the mantras

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Speaker 1: of our show Benny versus the penny. Anytime you get

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Speaker 1: over seven points in a divisional game. Divisional games are

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Speaker 1: usually closer. You don't ask questions, you take two points,

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Speaker 1: You put a smile on your face. Browns will win

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Speaker 1: this game out right, Browns twenty four Ravens twenty penny

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Speaker 1: is telling you here and going with the Cleveland Browns.

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Speaker 1: Be sure to catch live editions of The Ben Meller

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Speaker 1: Show weekdays at two a m. Eastern eleven pm Pacific.

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Speaker 1: Let's pay off the Let's get trivial question. Baker Mayfield

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Speaker 1: five in or exceptions in the fourth quarter, tied with

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Speaker 1: blank for the most by any quarterback over the first

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Speaker 1: three games of the season in the past twenty five years.

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Speaker 1: What's your answer, guest? Normally I think you'd go with

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Speaker 1: a Manning here, but I will go deeper into the

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Speaker 1: pocket and I'll say Brett Farve. Yeah, Brett far is

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Speaker 1: not a bad option. He would be at the tail

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Speaker 1: end of that last twenty five year run. Actually not

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Speaker 1: the tail and the second half of his career. That's

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Speaker 1: that's not it. Uh. It is Ryan fitzpatro Yan Fitzpatrick.

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Speaker 1: And it was only a couple of years ago. Uh boy,

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Speaker 1: it's hard to I think he was in Buffalo. He's

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Speaker 1: changes teams every year. He changes teams like Floyd maywe

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Speaker 1: their changes underwear. It's a daily experience, al right. Next up,

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Speaker 1: keep the train moving. Gascon wants to go quick. He

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Speaker 1: wants to get the hell out of here. Washington, oh

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Speaker 1: and three at the New York Giants one and two.

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Speaker 1: It's on Fox. You Better wash. Tom Brennan and Chris

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Speaker 1: Spielman on the call. Here. The Giants opened a three

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Speaker 1: point favorite, actually a two point favorite. There a three

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Speaker 1: point favorite. The weather mild whether seventies seven agrees, mostly

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Speaker 1: sunny in Jersey at MetLife Stadium, scheduled for kickoff. I've

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Speaker 1: gone back and forth in this game, but ultimately i

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Speaker 1: decided that I'm gonna take the Giants. I don't like

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Speaker 1: this per se because I'm going with the public. Uh

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Speaker 1: And and there's an obsession with Danny dimes mania here

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Speaker 1: Daniel Jones, who gave the Giants franchise a shot of

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Speaker 1: adrenaline for a team that was in disarray. But remember,

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Speaker 1: the perception would be much different here. If Tampa May

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Speaker 1: makes that field goal, You'll be like, well, he played well,

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Speaker 1: but they didn't win the game. Right. He would have

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Speaker 1: eaten an l in his maiden voyage as a quarterback.

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Speaker 1: But Jones, he was he was the only bugaboos. He

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Speaker 1: He fumbled a couple of times, and and you fumble,

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Speaker 1: you know that's a fifty fifty thing when you fumble

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Speaker 1: and all that. But I read a stat that Pro

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Speaker 1: Football Focus had that since they've been around doun. Daniel

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Speaker 1: Jones is the first quarterback ever pressured at least twelve

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Speaker 1: times that had a perfect passer rating. So he was

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Speaker 1: cool under pressure. Who is a cucumber as the old

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Speaker 1: cliche goes, And he was pressured one percent of his

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Speaker 1: snaps last week, So I bring that up. You know,

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Speaker 1: the Redskins do not have a great defense. They're trying

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Speaker 1: to redeem themselves here. That's the second thing embarrassed on

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Speaker 1: National TV. They're down twenty eight to nothing to the

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Speaker 1: Chicago Bears. Uh and so it's great that they want

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Speaker 1: to bounce back, but can they Like Washington is a

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Speaker 1: team that is a hot mess. They play hard for

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Speaker 1: Jay Gruden. They have some grit, they have some pesky players,

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Speaker 1: but you gotta have talent and they are lacking in

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Speaker 1: that department. If one player sums up the Redskins, it's

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Speaker 1: Landon Collins. Landing Collins is the guy that the Redskins

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Speaker 1: just made the highest paid safety in NFL history give

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Speaker 1: at eighty four million dollar contract. So far this season,

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Speaker 1: the highest is paid safety in NFL history has zero interceptions,

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Speaker 1: zero fumbles, force, zero sacks, zero passes defended, and he's

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Speaker 1: also missed a bunch of tackles. You talk about a

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Speaker 1: return on investment for for the Redskins from landing Collins

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Speaker 1: and in the Washington secondary has been been embarrassing. I

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Speaker 1: believe that Daniel Jones will play very well in this game.

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Speaker 1: He'll put up his numbers, he will turn the ball

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Speaker 1: over a couple of times. It'll be a back and forth,

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Speaker 1: high scoring game. Redskins will put up some points against

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Speaker 1: the soft cheese Giants defense. But in the end, Giants

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Speaker 1: thirty four, Redskins thirty penny, who's going with the g man.

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Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in

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Speaker 1: the nation. Catch all of our shows at Fox sports

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Speaker 1: Radio dot com and within the I Heart Radio app

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Speaker 1: search f s R to listen live. All right. Next

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Speaker 1: up the LA Chargers at the Miami Dolphins. It's on CBS.

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Speaker 1: Tom Carthy and Jay Feely will have a lot of

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Speaker 1: garbage time here. Dolphins owing three charges, one and two

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Speaker 1: line on this game open at sixteen. It's anywhere from

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Speaker 1: sixteen to sixteen and a half. The line I have

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Speaker 1: says sixteen, so we'll use that. Uh and I am

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Speaker 1: gonna take the charges here. I'm gonna take the charges.

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Speaker 1: I don't love this pick per se, but the Chargers

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Speaker 1: because they've been malingering. They have, they've been in games,

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Speaker 1: they've lost here, but they've made some some stupid place

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Speaker 1: Philip Rivers in particularly late in games, the old war horse,

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Speaker 1: Philip Rivers, the old veteran. The Chargers ranked fifth in

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Speaker 1: the NFL in total yards, but there are twenty one

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Speaker 1: in points per game, so there's a lack of execution

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Speaker 1: in the red zone. And Philip Rivers has been great

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Speaker 1: for three quarters. He can't put that fourth quarter uh

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Speaker 1: stigma behind the first three quarters, Rivers is completing over

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Speaker 1: seventy of his passes no interception, but in the fourth

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Speaker 1: quarter he's completing barely fifty of his path no touchdowns,

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Speaker 1: two interceptions. In the first three games of the year,

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Speaker 1: he's been back. Now the Miami game is usually an

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Speaker 1: extra bye week here, but you still have to show up.

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Speaker 1: Dating back the week seventeen of last season, the Dolphins, congratulations,

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Speaker 1: they have become the first team to lose four consecutive

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Speaker 1: games by at least twenty five points. You gotta go

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Speaker 1: back to the Boston Patriots in in the nineteen nineteen

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Speaker 1: sixty nine seasons, the last time that happens. So congratulations

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Speaker 1: to the Dolphins franchise. You've done a wonderful job. I

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Speaker 1: did find a positive. The Dolphins of their passes have

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Speaker 1: traveled over twenty yards down field, alright, twenty yards down here.

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Speaker 1: That's the highest in the NFL. Of course, most of

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Speaker 1: those passes dropped incomplete. And you've got Josh Rosen, who

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Speaker 1: I love how bad the Dolphins are that people are saying, well,

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Speaker 1: Josh Rosen was a breath of fresh air. He had

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Speaker 1: a passer rating of seventy three and completed fifty of

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Speaker 1: his passes and is considered and no touchdowns at halftime,

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Speaker 1: and people say, oh, I'm very impressive, and all I mean,

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Speaker 1: it's ridiculous. Now. Typically I would say take the points,

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Speaker 1: take the points, don't bet the game, take the points.

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Speaker 1: But the Dolphins aren't trying. They are not trying. The

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Speaker 1: Charges will be the desperate team here. They don't want

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Speaker 1: to start out one and three. One and three is

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Speaker 1: a bad situation. Two and two is acceptable. Chargers thirty

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Speaker 1: seven Dolphins seventy penny agrees with you. Going with the

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Speaker 1: bolts all right. Next up, it's Penning versus the Penny

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Speaker 1: will keep the train moving. Oakland one and two at Indianapolis.

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Speaker 1: This game is on CBS and it's a game with

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Speaker 1: Kevin Harlan and Rich Gannon. They will call the game.

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Speaker 1: The Colts open a six point favorite. They are favored

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Speaker 1: by seven. The weather in this situation four degrees, not

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Speaker 1: that it matters. It's in the dome, will be partly

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Speaker 1: sunny if you're in Indianapolis. The pick is in on

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Speaker 1: the Raiders and the Colts. I've gone back and forth

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Speaker 1: on this game, but ultimately I've I've landed on taking

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Speaker 1: the Raiders, and I'm gonna take the Raiders on the points,

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Speaker 1: and I understand any strategy here. They're gonna ride the

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Speaker 1: Marlon Mack Express train and they're gonna play close to

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Speaker 1: the vest with Jacobe Brissette, power running game and all

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Speaker 1: that stuff. UH and any should jump out to an

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Speaker 1: early lead. The Colts have been very good at home.

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Speaker 1: They won their last seven home games going back to

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Speaker 1: last year, back when Andrew Luck was there, and they

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Speaker 1: have not won eight consecutive games since the Peyton Manning

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Speaker 1: years back in the first decade of the two thousand's.

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Speaker 1: Here and so we'll see that the Raiders traditionally have

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Speaker 1: been terrible against the Colts in any they haven't won there.

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Speaker 1: They don't play that often, but they haven't won there

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Speaker 1: since and that was when our former Fox Sports Radio colleague,

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Speaker 1: Jim Mora I was coaching and Rich Gannon was the

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Speaker 1: Raiders quarterback the last time they won in Indianapolis. But

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Speaker 1: the reason that I the many reason I bet against

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Speaker 1: the Colts is the public is laying the lumber. This

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Speaker 1: is one of the most lopsided games this weekend. Over

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Speaker 1: sevent of the bets have been on the Colts. I

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Speaker 1: love to be a contrarian. I love to be against

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Speaker 1: the public and be on the side of the sharp guys.

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Speaker 1: So getting a touchdown with a team that is still

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Speaker 1: trying to win. Unlike the Dolphins, I figured the Raiders

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Speaker 1: haven't completely given up hope. They're not a hopeless bunch yet,

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Speaker 1: even though they look like a Pop Warner team against

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Speaker 1: the Vikings last week, I expect a better effort, a

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Speaker 1: more competitive game. You don't really get blown out back

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Speaker 1: to back games. So and also the Colts could be

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Speaker 1: looking ahead. I believe they play the Chiefs in Week five.

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Speaker 1: Indianapolis will win the game, but they won't cover the spread.

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Speaker 1: Colts twenty eight, Raiders twenty three. Not this time for

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Speaker 1: the penny. They like the Indianapolis Colts. All right, we'll

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Speaker 1: keep it going. Next up Kansas City three and oh

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Speaker 1: at Detroit to oh and one. It's on Fox. You

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Speaker 1: better watch Kevin Burkhardt and Charles Davis and the Fox

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Speaker 1: box that Rocks calling the game. The Chiefs opened to

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Speaker 1: six point favorite. They are currently a six and a

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Speaker 1: half point favorite. I'm told this is the first game

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Speaker 1: that Patrick Mahomes has played indoors as an NFL player.

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Speaker 1: He used to dominate when he was a Texas Tech

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Speaker 1: in dome environments, but this is the first time as

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Speaker 1: an NFL quarterback. The pick is in and I am

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Speaker 1: taking the Lions. I'm gonna take the Lions here to

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Speaker 1: cover the spread. And this is the ultimate contrarian pick here.

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Speaker 1: It is uh. This is another acid test for Destroit.

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Speaker 1: The Lions defense. I feel like they have overachieved that

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Speaker 1: some of the numbers are skewed because they gave up

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Speaker 1: a bunch of points in the fourth quarter to tie

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Speaker 1: the Cardinals. But now they go into the lab against

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs where Kansas City has scored twenty five or

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Speaker 1: more points in twenty five consecutive games. That's a long

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Speaker 1: his street in NFL history. But I actually like the

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Speaker 1: Lions defense to hold their own here Trey Flowers and

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Speaker 1: snacks Harrelson. When I say hold their own, I'm saying

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Speaker 1: that the Chiefs aren't gonna score fifty in this particular game.

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Speaker 1: But you also have about a fifty percent chance to

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Speaker 1: win a bet when you take around seven points. Through

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Speaker 1: the first three games of the season, all right, forty

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Speaker 1: seven point nine percent of NFL games have been decided

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Speaker 1: by six points or less. And uh, and so you've

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Speaker 1: got that working for you as well. And is this

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Speaker 1: a letdown spot for Kansas City? Why would it be

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Speaker 1: a letdown spot? The Chiefs just won a big game

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Speaker 1: against the Ravens last week, a game that many people

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Speaker 1: had circled on the schedule earlier in the year. See

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Speaker 1: how they would do against Lamar Jackson. Now they play

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Speaker 1: an NFC opponent, a team nobody gets up to play

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Speaker 1: the Lions. And then you have another showcase game next

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Speaker 1: week against the Colts, which is a bigger game for

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Speaker 1: Kansas City. Uh, She's still win the game. But I

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Speaker 1: believe they'll give up some puts. The Chiefs defense will

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Speaker 1: will regress here, and I'm not buying there. The real

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Speaker 1: McCoy Chiefs thirty four, Lions twenty eight. No chance in

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Speaker 1: hell of pennies following in this one. They're going with

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Speaker 1: Kansas City. You can have knocked yourself out with Kansas City,

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Speaker 1: and the Chiefs should win the game by ten fifteen

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Speaker 1: thousand points. But this Lions team, I like the way

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Speaker 1: they're playing right now. They're off the grid. Uh so

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Speaker 1: I'm going with it. All right, let's get trivial again here.

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Speaker 1: It's penny versus the penny. As you know from the podcast,

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Speaker 1: Frank Gore was the leading rusher for either team in

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Speaker 1: Buffalo's win over Cincinnati last week. Right, he led the

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Speaker 1: game in rushing yards. At age thirty six, he is

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Speaker 1: the oldest player to be leading rusher in an NFL

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Speaker 1: game since Blank. All right, since Blank. Frank Gore, at

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Speaker 1: age thirty six, the oldest player to lead an NFL

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Speaker 1: game in rushing yards since Blank. Will give me the

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Speaker 1: answer in a couple of minutes. Next up New England

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Speaker 1: three and oh at Buffalo three and oh it's on CBS.

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Speaker 1: I an Eagle and Dan Fouts will be an Orchard Park,

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Speaker 1: New York's gonna be a a nice day in in

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Speaker 1: in Orchard Part, New York, sixty five degrees, mostly sunny.

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Speaker 1: Patriots open a six point favorite. They are a seven

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Speaker 1: point favorite. Now. I went back and forth on this

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Speaker 1: game also, but I settled on taking I'm gonna cover

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Speaker 1: my my eyes here and I'm gonna hold my nose,

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Speaker 1: which apparently is running. I'm gonna take the Buffalo Bills.

405
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Speaker 1: I And this is a great Patriots team. They're off

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Speaker 1: to the greatest start in this last twenty years of

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Speaker 1: dynasty for Bill Belichick. They appear to be the cream

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Speaker 1: of the crop. They've they've gone scorched earth against the

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Speaker 1: weaklings of the NFL, and the Bills haven't really played

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Speaker 1: anybody of No, they played the Bangals and the two

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Speaker 1: teams in who are claiming to be from New York,

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Speaker 1: the Giants and the Jets even like playing New Jersey.

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Speaker 1: This is not great competition. And this is the degree

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Speaker 1: of difficulty goes up a lot for Buffalo, but it

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Speaker 1: also goes up a lot for the Patriots. The Steelers

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Speaker 1: appear to be a bad a bad team judging by

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Speaker 1: their record, and they didn't show up for that game

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Speaker 1: in New England. And then they played the Dolphins and

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Speaker 1: they played the Jets. So the Patriots haven't played anybody

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Speaker 1: yet either. So that to me, that's equal. Uh. And

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Speaker 1: you know, I feel like, you know, it's a little

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Speaker 1: insane to the membrane here because New England's point differential

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Speaker 1: is thirty six points higher than any other team. The

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Speaker 1: Cowboys are number two, thirty six points better than the

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Speaker 1: numbers are skewed. And now then the thing that scares

426
00:23:40,640 --> 00:23:43,800
Speaker 1: me about Buffalo, and you gotta factor this in Josh

427
00:23:43,840 --> 00:23:47,280
Speaker 1: Allen is he's a compass rose. He doesn't know where

428
00:23:47,280 --> 00:23:50,080
Speaker 1: the ball is going and could go north, southeast, west,

429
00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:53,359
Speaker 1: you name it. And he turns the ball over a

430
00:23:53,400 --> 00:23:56,400
Speaker 1: lot in his young career, and that will kill you.

431
00:23:56,640 --> 00:24:00,359
Speaker 1: That will that will make this a thirty ford a

432
00:24:00,480 --> 00:24:02,520
Speaker 1: nothing type of game if he plays a game like that.

433
00:24:02,520 --> 00:24:04,959
Speaker 1: But I believe Buffalo and they're not gonna win the game.

434
00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:07,040
Speaker 1: I don't think I'm crazy. I'm not that crazy. Like

435
00:24:07,080 --> 00:24:10,560
Speaker 1: a ship out a shifout rats rat, as they say,

436
00:24:10,840 --> 00:24:14,520
Speaker 1: is that the phrase guest ship house house rat to

437
00:24:14,680 --> 00:24:19,119
Speaker 1: pick pick Buffalo to win this game. Uh, However, they

438
00:24:19,920 --> 00:24:21,919
Speaker 1: have more than a putcher's chance. They can hang in there.

439
00:24:21,920 --> 00:24:24,240
Speaker 1: It's a divisional game. Remember the bed rock. We talked

440
00:24:24,280 --> 00:24:26,879
Speaker 1: about it, Benny versus the penny. When the wise guys

441
00:24:26,960 --> 00:24:29,680
Speaker 1: give you seven points and more in the divisional game,

442
00:24:29,760 --> 00:24:32,600
Speaker 1: you take the points. Even in a Bill's Patriots game,

443
00:24:32,880 --> 00:24:35,520
Speaker 1: this is a much bigger game for the Buffalo Bills.

444
00:24:35,560 --> 00:24:37,960
Speaker 1: This is an acid test game to show that there's

445
00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:40,639
Speaker 1: some legitimacy that this team is not a fraud. And

446
00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:43,160
Speaker 1: so they're at home a lot of enthusiasm there. People

447
00:24:43,160 --> 00:24:46,200
Speaker 1: will be throwing dildos on the field that Tom Brady.

448
00:24:46,359 --> 00:24:48,480
Speaker 1: Uh So, it's a big statement game. It's not as

449
00:24:48,520 --> 00:24:50,360
Speaker 1: big a statement game for the Patriots. I mean they've

450
00:24:50,359 --> 00:24:53,680
Speaker 1: been they put they're like every every years they wait

451
00:24:53,680 --> 00:24:56,360
Speaker 1: till the playoffs for their statement games. Patriots will win

452
00:24:56,400 --> 00:24:58,840
Speaker 1: the game, but the Bills will keep it close. Low

453
00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:06,080
Speaker 1: scoring game. Patriots twenty Bills sixteen. Penny likes you. They're

454
00:25:06,080 --> 00:25:10,719
Speaker 1: going with the Bills and the mafia. All right. Next up,

455
00:25:10,800 --> 00:25:13,520
Speaker 1: let's pay off the trivia. Let's get trivia. The question

456
00:25:13,640 --> 00:25:16,000
Speaker 1: was Frank gored at age thirty six, with the leading

457
00:25:16,080 --> 00:25:20,760
Speaker 1: rusher in the Bills Bengals game leading rusher there, and

458
00:25:20,840 --> 00:25:24,399
Speaker 1: he's the oldest player to lead the NFL an NFL

459
00:25:24,440 --> 00:25:28,800
Speaker 1: game and rushing since blank. Alright, gascot, you like old

460
00:25:28,840 --> 00:25:31,200
Speaker 1: guys who are older than me. What's your answer. I'm

461
00:25:31,200 --> 00:25:35,240
Speaker 1: gonna go with Curtis Martin on this one. It's not

462
00:25:35,320 --> 00:25:39,919
Speaker 1: a bad guess, but it's not right the correct answer,

463
00:25:40,840 --> 00:25:42,800
Speaker 1: and you should kick yourself because this guy is a devil.

464
00:25:42,840 --> 00:25:49,960
Speaker 1: Bronco Mike Anderson, No, John Elway. John Elway, believe it

465
00:25:50,000 --> 00:25:52,080
Speaker 1: or not. At age thirty eight and what I believe

466
00:25:52,160 --> 00:25:57,439
Speaker 1: was his final season in a December game, he was

467
00:25:57,520 --> 00:26:01,960
Speaker 1: the leading rusher, the quarterback, the leading rusher, uh in

468
00:26:01,960 --> 00:26:04,359
Speaker 1: in that game at age thirty. So that's that's the

469
00:26:04,920 --> 00:26:08,280
Speaker 1: record to break. And that seems like a record that

470
00:26:08,320 --> 00:26:10,280
Speaker 1: will last long. I don't how many running actually played

471
00:26:10,280 --> 00:26:12,720
Speaker 1: to the forty. Maybe Frank Gore will be that guy.

472
00:26:12,960 --> 00:26:15,560
Speaker 1: All right? Next up, I say, you said running back

473
00:26:15,560 --> 00:26:21,640
Speaker 1: and it wasn't thinking quarterback, but I said leading rusher. Yeah. Sorry,

474
00:26:21,720 --> 00:26:25,200
Speaker 1: that's a good question, thank you. Uh. Next up, Tennessee

475
00:26:25,400 --> 00:26:27,400
Speaker 1: at Atlanta. A couple of one in two teams. It's

476
00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:30,520
Speaker 1: on CBS. Former Laker and Nicks played by play guy

477
00:26:30,520 --> 00:26:33,760
Speaker 1: Spiro Adidas and Adam Archiletta, who's claimed to famous working

478
00:26:33,760 --> 00:26:37,000
Speaker 1: with me at the NBC Sports Network. Uh Falcons opened

479
00:26:37,160 --> 00:26:39,320
Speaker 1: up a three and a half point favorite. They're currently

480
00:26:39,359 --> 00:26:42,760
Speaker 1: favored by four. I'm all in on the Tennessee Titans,

481
00:26:43,080 --> 00:26:45,359
Speaker 1: which sounds crazy the way they played against Jacksonville, but

482
00:26:45,400 --> 00:26:47,600
Speaker 1: the Falcons are teetering on the brink. Actually, both these

483
00:26:47,600 --> 00:26:51,640
Speaker 1: teams are. Dan Quinn is barely hanging on to his job.

484
00:26:51,680 --> 00:26:55,159
Speaker 1: He's living in that fish bowl in Atlanta and outside

485
00:26:55,160 --> 00:26:59,160
Speaker 1: of a turnaround, he's dead man coaching here. Atlanta has

486
00:26:59,240 --> 00:27:04,320
Speaker 1: been by and large a second division outfit. The Falcons

487
00:27:04,440 --> 00:27:08,080
Speaker 1: have a feeble run defense, and that's the main reason

488
00:27:08,119 --> 00:27:10,600
Speaker 1: I expect Derrick Henry to have a big bounce back

489
00:27:10,640 --> 00:27:16,160
Speaker 1: boomerang game here for Tennessee, the entire team out of Nashville.

490
00:27:16,800 --> 00:27:19,040
Speaker 1: We'll find out what kind of pride they have at

491
00:27:19,080 --> 00:27:22,359
Speaker 1: being embarrassed on National TV last week. They've had a

492
00:27:22,400 --> 00:27:24,800
Speaker 1: lectra time, lectra time to get ready to play the

493
00:27:24,840 --> 00:27:27,840
Speaker 1: Thursday night game last week. Plus Marcus Mariota, who you

494
00:27:27,840 --> 00:27:30,000
Speaker 1: don't want to bet on Mariota. He had a backwards

495
00:27:30,000 --> 00:27:32,280
Speaker 1: performance there. It's almost like he needs to get a

496
00:27:32,320 --> 00:27:36,080
Speaker 1: GPS to find the end zone. It's Brotal, the guy

497
00:27:36,160 --> 00:27:40,480
Speaker 1: leads the NFL with seventeen sacks has generally been either

498
00:27:40,640 --> 00:27:46,080
Speaker 1: bad or average every game. Uh that said, this is

499
00:27:46,119 --> 00:27:49,480
Speaker 1: a much better Titans team that will show up this

500
00:27:49,560 --> 00:27:52,800
Speaker 1: week and again trying to avoid the one in three start.

501
00:27:53,640 --> 00:27:55,760
Speaker 1: This This is a team that has matched up the

502
00:27:55,840 --> 00:27:58,639
Speaker 1: last couple of years very well against the the week

503
00:27:59,160 --> 00:28:01,760
Speaker 1: lenks of the end fell that the soft serve the

504
00:28:01,840 --> 00:28:06,480
Speaker 1: non physical teams. Atlanta is in that category. Uh so.

505
00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:09,159
Speaker 1: And also, I am I am told by some of

506
00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:11,399
Speaker 1: my moles here that the big the big whales, the

507
00:28:11,400 --> 00:28:14,600
Speaker 1: big gamblers. Uh, they are all over the Titans. I'm

508
00:28:14,640 --> 00:28:18,080
Speaker 1: gonna take there, all over the Titans. I'm on their side.

509
00:28:18,200 --> 00:28:26,199
Speaker 1: Titans twenty four Falcons. One man, this is scary for

510
00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:30,040
Speaker 1: the Penny too. She has gone with the Titans. Alright,

511
00:28:30,080 --> 00:28:32,320
Speaker 1: so we agree on that game. Next up, let's get

512
00:28:32,320 --> 00:28:33,680
Speaker 1: to the Lake games. All right. We're in the late

513
00:28:33,720 --> 00:28:35,880
Speaker 1: games here, as we keep the ship moving on Benny

514
00:28:35,960 --> 00:28:38,520
Speaker 1: versus the Penny, Tampa Bay one and two at the

515
00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:42,560
Speaker 1: L A. Rra Ams on Fox. It's on Fox. Chris

516
00:28:42,600 --> 00:28:45,200
Speaker 1: Myers and Darryl Johnson. I want you to know, guest

517
00:28:45,320 --> 00:28:48,880
Speaker 1: on that I I might actually go to this game

518
00:28:49,400 --> 00:28:51,800
Speaker 1: because I got a message from a former colleague of

519
00:28:51,840 --> 00:28:55,480
Speaker 1: mine at Fox Sports Radio, the great t J Reeves,

520
00:28:55,560 --> 00:28:59,240
Speaker 1: who I followed him on the weekends, and he is

521
00:28:59,320 --> 00:29:03,560
Speaker 1: the radio sideline reporter for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and

522
00:29:03,560 --> 00:29:05,080
Speaker 1: he's gonna be intended. He asked me if I was

523
00:29:05,080 --> 00:29:06,520
Speaker 1: gonna be the Game's like, well, I'm not planning on

524
00:29:06,560 --> 00:29:08,520
Speaker 1: going to the game, and then he told me he

525
00:29:08,560 --> 00:29:09,880
Speaker 1: was gonna be there. So I said, okay, I'll see

526
00:29:09,880 --> 00:29:11,840
Speaker 1: if I can get in there at the last minute,

527
00:29:11,840 --> 00:29:14,160
Speaker 1: and then I can I can choose. It's kind of good.

528
00:29:14,280 --> 00:29:15,720
Speaker 1: We haven't I haven't taught to him a long time.

529
00:29:15,760 --> 00:29:18,000
Speaker 1: He's he's down in Tampa. He's a regular down There

530
00:29:18,240 --> 00:29:21,360
Speaker 1: was a weekend host here, all right, Fox Sports Radio.

531
00:29:21,440 --> 00:29:23,200
Speaker 1: So that'll be great you get to Yeah, I love

532
00:29:23,240 --> 00:29:25,680
Speaker 1: I love t J. And we had some fun with

533
00:29:25,760 --> 00:29:27,600
Speaker 1: him back in the day, and so it's always good.

534
00:29:27,680 --> 00:29:30,480
Speaker 1: He's part of the Fox Sports Radio Alumni Association, Guest,

535
00:29:30,760 --> 00:29:32,440
Speaker 1: which you will soon be part of once they hear

536
00:29:32,480 --> 00:29:34,800
Speaker 1: this podcast. But most of those people go up and

537
00:29:34,920 --> 00:29:37,960
Speaker 1: up right, they they go to climb onto higher stages.

538
00:29:38,360 --> 00:29:42,640
Speaker 1: Is that accurate? Uh? Not everyone? Uh, We've got guys

539
00:29:42,720 --> 00:29:45,520
Speaker 1: making French fries, not everyone, you know. All Right, Well,

540
00:29:45,560 --> 00:29:48,120
Speaker 1: I hope, so, I hope, I'm I hope. I'm a

541
00:29:48,160 --> 00:29:50,760
Speaker 1: part of that upper echelon. You're just as likely to

542
00:29:50,760 --> 00:29:53,240
Speaker 1: be the face of the NFL network like andrews Ceciliano

543
00:29:53,840 --> 00:29:57,520
Speaker 1: or make make cheeseburgers and push shopping carts, so that

544
00:29:57,640 --> 00:30:01,120
Speaker 1: those are good jobs people need. But anyway, alright, so

545
00:30:01,200 --> 00:30:03,640
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay and the Rams. The Rams open a nine

546
00:30:03,640 --> 00:30:05,880
Speaker 1: point favorite, They're a ten point favorites, gonna be seventy

547
00:30:05,920 --> 00:30:09,480
Speaker 1: five degrees that kick off at the Colisseum in Los Angeles.

548
00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:13,240
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Buccaneers here, even though I love

549
00:30:13,280 --> 00:30:18,000
Speaker 1: the Rams Tampa Bay, their defense is is not horrific.

550
00:30:18,040 --> 00:30:21,480
Speaker 1: Their fourteenth and yards, they're actually better this year than

551
00:30:21,520 --> 00:30:25,440
Speaker 1: the Cowboys statistically. And I love how Shaq Barrett, the

552
00:30:25,520 --> 00:30:27,960
Speaker 1: guy that got away from Denver, has played. He's the

553
00:30:28,000 --> 00:30:31,280
Speaker 1: new QB Killer for the Tambay Buccaneers, bringing back memories

554
00:30:31,320 --> 00:30:33,200
Speaker 1: of war and Sap and some of those great uh

555
00:30:33,600 --> 00:30:36,080
Speaker 1: Brooks and some of those great defensive players back in

556
00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:38,760
Speaker 1: the day. As he's off to a record setting start

557
00:30:38,800 --> 00:30:41,760
Speaker 1: for sacks the first three weeks of the year. The Rams.

558
00:30:41,800 --> 00:30:44,040
Speaker 1: The main reason not to take the Rams is because

559
00:30:44,040 --> 00:30:48,160
Speaker 1: they have no dimensions to their offense. They're a grinded

560
00:30:48,160 --> 00:30:51,240
Speaker 1: out team right now. Jared Golf has yet to have

561
00:30:51,400 --> 00:30:55,440
Speaker 1: a dominant performance. Todd Gurley is half the man he

562
00:30:55,640 --> 00:30:59,720
Speaker 1: used to be in the backfield. Uh. And so I

563
00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:01,760
Speaker 1: know the Ms are somehow three, you know, but they're

564
00:31:01,760 --> 00:31:05,000
Speaker 1: doing it with ugly, grind out wins. They're not getting

565
00:31:05,040 --> 00:31:06,760
Speaker 1: a lot of style points. You said, well, Tampa Bay

566
00:31:06,800 --> 00:31:08,720
Speaker 1: is a bad team. They should blow the doors. Yeah,

567
00:31:08,760 --> 00:31:12,800
Speaker 1: they should. But Jamis Winston, who's played very well in

568
00:31:12,840 --> 00:31:14,920
Speaker 1: the first half of games, he's been a mistake prone

569
00:31:14,920 --> 00:31:17,360
Speaker 1: mess in the second half. I saw a stat his

570
00:31:17,440 --> 00:31:21,920
Speaker 1: passer rating is a hundred eleven before halftime. In the

571
00:31:22,000 --> 00:31:26,880
Speaker 1: second half it's below sixty. And the Rams mob squad,

572
00:31:26,960 --> 00:31:29,760
Speaker 1: that defense is too legit to quit. They have a

573
00:31:29,880 --> 00:31:32,160
Speaker 1: very good defense. There's some of these veterans they brought

574
00:31:32,160 --> 00:31:35,000
Speaker 1: in so far have found the fountain of youth. But again,

575
00:31:35,040 --> 00:31:38,400
Speaker 1: the main reason that I'm gonna bet against the Rams

576
00:31:38,440 --> 00:31:42,479
Speaker 1: to cover is Jared Goff. He's like a lost puppy

577
00:31:42,520 --> 00:31:45,040
Speaker 1: dog and you're gonna have to keep scoring poth Now.

578
00:31:45,080 --> 00:31:47,520
Speaker 1: The thing that could change this if if Famous Jamis

579
00:31:47,520 --> 00:31:50,719
Speaker 1: throws three interceptions and a couple of pick six is.

580
00:31:51,040 --> 00:31:53,600
Speaker 1: Obviously the Rams will win this game forty to ten.

581
00:31:54,280 --> 00:31:57,280
Speaker 1: But I say that doesn't happen. Buccaneers old hang around

582
00:31:57,480 --> 00:32:00,240
Speaker 1: ten points is too many and in the Rams also

583
00:32:00,240 --> 00:32:02,360
Speaker 1: have I believe they played the Thursday game next week.

584
00:32:02,400 --> 00:32:04,680
Speaker 1: I think they played the Seahawks next week, so they

585
00:32:04,720 --> 00:32:08,920
Speaker 1: have a short short week peek ahead NFC West rival

586
00:32:09,680 --> 00:32:16,160
Speaker 1: Rams thirty one bucks, three penny going with the Rams

587
00:32:17,680 --> 00:32:21,760
Speaker 1: all night? Damn right, can ram it all day? You

588
00:32:21,760 --> 00:32:25,320
Speaker 1: can ram it all right? All right? Seattle two and one,

589
00:32:25,480 --> 00:32:28,920
Speaker 1: Arizona O two and one, It's on Fox, and get

590
00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:32,920
Speaker 1: another Dick Stockton game for the Arizona Cardinals. I feel

591
00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:37,520
Speaker 1: like Dick Stockton is the personal broadcaster for the Arizona Cardinals. Uh.

592
00:32:39,000 --> 00:32:40,720
Speaker 1: I think this is. And it's at least the second,

593
00:32:40,800 --> 00:32:43,840
Speaker 1: if not the third, Cardinals game. Mr Stockton has done.

594
00:32:43,840 --> 00:32:47,200
Speaker 1: Dick Stockton and Mark schlay Rith on the call on

595
00:32:47,200 --> 00:32:49,760
Speaker 1: this game. The Seahawks opened at three point favorite. They're

596
00:32:49,760 --> 00:32:54,360
Speaker 1: favorite by five, and I am all over Seattle in

597
00:32:54,400 --> 00:32:56,320
Speaker 1: this game. I don't no gonna like road favorites. That's

598
00:32:56,320 --> 00:33:00,680
Speaker 1: a bad formula. But I'm gonna take the Sea Seahawks.

599
00:33:00,720 --> 00:33:03,680
Speaker 1: Here a couple of reasons why number one Russell Wilson

600
00:33:03,840 --> 00:33:07,040
Speaker 1: is licking his chops. The Cardinals are missing both starting

601
00:33:07,280 --> 00:33:11,080
Speaker 1: defensive backs. You could not ask for a better opportunity

602
00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:14,360
Speaker 1: to go blitz Creek if you're Seattle. I guesst a

603
00:33:14,400 --> 00:33:18,120
Speaker 1: divisional opponent. I sometimes I say, well, watch out for

604
00:33:18,160 --> 00:33:21,240
Speaker 1: the wounded bear, but don't watch out for the wounded Cardinal.

605
00:33:21,360 --> 00:33:24,000
Speaker 1: I again, I typically don't like road favorites, but this

606
00:33:24,080 --> 00:33:26,840
Speaker 1: is an exception of the rule. I also love the

607
00:33:26,840 --> 00:33:29,720
Speaker 1: fact Seattle lost last week, so you have the zig

608
00:33:29,840 --> 00:33:33,280
Speaker 1: zag theory in play here, a little more pep in

609
00:33:33,320 --> 00:33:36,640
Speaker 1: their step. Russell Wilson has been great coming off a loss.

610
00:33:37,400 --> 00:33:40,360
Speaker 1: I think sixteen and eight the number against the spread

611
00:33:41,320 --> 00:33:45,240
Speaker 1: over over the years here in that situation recent years,

612
00:33:45,760 --> 00:33:49,280
Speaker 1: well not that recent, but but anyway. Secondly, uh, you

613
00:33:49,320 --> 00:33:52,200
Speaker 1: know who has the most bad throws in the NFL?

614
00:33:52,240 --> 00:33:55,479
Speaker 1: Which quarterback has the most bad throws? Ding Ning? Nick

615
00:33:55,600 --> 00:33:58,440
Speaker 1: Nick Ning? This guy has been overmatched by the NFL.

616
00:33:58,480 --> 00:34:00,840
Speaker 1: It's not his fault. She have been the number one

617
00:34:00,880 --> 00:34:04,240
Speaker 1: pick Anyone with half a brain knows that uh Murray

618
00:34:04,360 --> 00:34:06,760
Speaker 1: is pacing the NFL and bad throws. He leads the

619
00:34:06,840 --> 00:34:09,040
Speaker 1: NFL and pass attempts, but he's not even in the

620
00:34:09,040 --> 00:34:12,319
Speaker 1: top ten in yards because he's averaging six point one

621
00:34:12,360 --> 00:34:16,280
Speaker 1: yards per a tempt That is thirty in the NFL.

622
00:34:16,920 --> 00:34:20,520
Speaker 1: Only Mitch Trabiskie has been worse among quarterbacks. We have

623
00:34:20,560 --> 00:34:24,279
Speaker 1: started three games, so it's a hard sell. Cardinals have

624
00:34:24,360 --> 00:34:26,560
Speaker 1: been a terrible home team going back to last year.

625
00:34:26,600 --> 00:34:29,319
Speaker 1: There one eight and one and they're the worst in

626
00:34:29,320 --> 00:34:31,600
Speaker 1: the NFL. They ranked last in the NFL and points

627
00:34:31,600 --> 00:34:35,080
Speaker 1: per game and yards per game at home in that span.

628
00:34:35,480 --> 00:34:42,759
Speaker 1: Seahawks thirty, Cardinals twenty. Penny likes you to going with

629
00:34:42,800 --> 00:34:46,840
Speaker 1: the Seahawks four more more. Alright, Next up Minnesota at Chicago,

630
00:34:46,880 --> 00:34:48,960
Speaker 1: too and one versus two and one. It's on CBS.

631
00:34:49,040 --> 00:34:52,720
Speaker 1: Jim Nance and Tony Romo. Bears open a three point favorite.

632
00:34:52,760 --> 00:34:55,480
Speaker 1: There are two and a half point favorite now mild

633
00:34:55,520 --> 00:34:59,400
Speaker 1: weather at Soldier Field seventy seven degrees. I'm going with

634
00:34:59,440 --> 00:35:01,640
Speaker 1: the public, which is not a good thing, but I'm

635
00:35:01,680 --> 00:35:04,000
Speaker 1: taking the Vikings here. Minnesota is gonna have to ride

636
00:35:04,040 --> 00:35:07,600
Speaker 1: that Dalvin Cook train. Cook leads the NFL and rushing

637
00:35:07,600 --> 00:35:11,080
Speaker 1: he's off to an Adrian Peterson type start, and Mike

638
00:35:11,160 --> 00:35:14,080
Speaker 1: Zimmer he's running the hide the quarterback offense, trying to

639
00:35:14,160 --> 00:35:17,279
Speaker 1: hide Kirk Cousins. Vikings are second in the NFL and

640
00:35:17,360 --> 00:35:21,520
Speaker 1: rushing yards per game. Olio Ravens have been better in Minnesota.

641
00:35:21,600 --> 00:35:24,560
Speaker 1: They average the second fewest passing yards per game. That

642
00:35:24,600 --> 00:35:27,480
Speaker 1: actually will help the Vikings win this game because the

643
00:35:27,520 --> 00:35:31,000
Speaker 1: Bears are a very opportunistic defense, a h picking off

644
00:35:31,080 --> 00:35:33,719
Speaker 1: quarterbacks and whatnot, So the Micings will play close to

645
00:35:33,760 --> 00:35:35,600
Speaker 1: the vest. Does Bears have a great defense, They had

646
00:35:35,600 --> 00:35:40,480
Speaker 1: a dominant performance there against Chicago, or a gainst Washington

647
00:35:40,560 --> 00:35:44,440
Speaker 1: and Chicago. But I don't trust Rubisky not only a quarterback,

648
00:35:44,480 --> 00:35:48,719
Speaker 1: he's terrible, twenty seventh ranked quarterback in the NFL. This

649
00:35:48,760 --> 00:35:51,640
Speaker 1: game will be tight. Vikings will pull the upset Minnesota

650
00:35:51,719 --> 00:35:59,480
Speaker 1: twenty four the Bears twenty three. Think with Minnesota all

651
00:35:59,520 --> 00:36:03,160
Speaker 1: right next to Jacksonville at Denver, it's on CBS. Andrew

652
00:36:03,280 --> 00:36:07,880
Speaker 1: Catalan and James Lofton have the call. It'll be sunny eighties,

653
00:36:07,880 --> 00:36:11,080
Speaker 1: six degrees that the stadium may now call empower field

654
00:36:11,160 --> 00:36:13,279
Speaker 1: at Mile High. I don't know if I like that

655
00:36:13,400 --> 00:36:15,920
Speaker 1: or not. I know, but they didn't ask me. I

656
00:36:15,960 --> 00:36:18,799
Speaker 1: didn't cut a check. Uh. I'm gonna take now the

657
00:36:18,840 --> 00:36:22,120
Speaker 1: line Broncos a three point favorite. I'm gonna take Jacksonville.

658
00:36:23,080 --> 00:36:25,080
Speaker 1: And I'm also going with the public on this. To me,

659
00:36:25,160 --> 00:36:29,279
Speaker 1: this matchup favorite Jacksonville. Everyone's waiting for Gardner midshow to

660
00:36:29,360 --> 00:36:32,279
Speaker 1: suck and have a bad game. The guy seems unfazed

661
00:36:32,280 --> 00:36:36,160
Speaker 1: by all this. He's unencumbered by the level of competition.

662
00:36:36,239 --> 00:36:39,080
Speaker 1: I expect more good stuff. He's accurate. When you're accurate,

663
00:36:39,120 --> 00:36:41,719
Speaker 1: you don't have many bad games when you're accurate. I'm

664
00:36:41,760 --> 00:36:45,640
Speaker 1: in on the Minshoe mania. So far in twenty nineteen,

665
00:36:45,680 --> 00:36:49,040
Speaker 1: Denver has a total of three quarterback hits, no sacks,

666
00:36:49,120 --> 00:36:53,480
Speaker 1: and no turnovers. They stink el stink aru And as

667
00:36:53,480 --> 00:36:56,719
Speaker 1: Emmanuel Sanders said after the game last week against the Packers,

668
00:36:56,920 --> 00:36:59,800
Speaker 1: the Broncos are living in a world of suck. Denver's

669
00:36:59,840 --> 00:37:03,360
Speaker 1: law seven straight games while scoring fewer than seventeen points

670
00:37:04,200 --> 00:37:07,160
Speaker 1: per game. I know that includes last year, obviously, but

671
00:37:07,440 --> 00:37:10,920
Speaker 1: the trend has continued. The main reason I like Jacksonville.

672
00:37:11,160 --> 00:37:14,400
Speaker 1: What is their moniker? What are they known as Sacksonville?

673
00:37:14,840 --> 00:37:18,440
Speaker 1: Right Joe Flacco has been in the pressure cooker all season.

674
00:37:18,600 --> 00:37:21,360
Speaker 1: Entering this week, jump ball Joe has been hurried twenty

675
00:37:21,360 --> 00:37:25,680
Speaker 1: two times, most in the NFL. And you look at Jacksonville. Now,

676
00:37:25,680 --> 00:37:27,840
Speaker 1: they had nine sacks last week, but they're tied for

677
00:37:27,880 --> 00:37:30,880
Speaker 1: the NFL leading with thirteen sacks. They will be all

678
00:37:30,920 --> 00:37:36,200
Speaker 1: over Joe Flacco's junk. I'm taking Jacksonville to win the

679
00:37:36,320 --> 00:37:43,840
Speaker 1: game out right, Go Jags go to seventeen penning On

680
00:37:43,880 --> 00:37:46,719
Speaker 1: the opposite way with the Denver Broncos. You want a

681
00:37:46,760 --> 00:37:48,400
Speaker 1: quick fun fact that I was gonna do a trivial

682
00:37:48,400 --> 00:37:51,200
Speaker 1: but let's give you the fun factor, uh this weekend

683
00:37:51,239 --> 00:37:54,719
Speaker 1: in Denver. Gardner Minshew might have used this on the

684
00:37:54,760 --> 00:37:58,160
Speaker 1: Overnight Show last night, but Gardner Minshew can join Blank

685
00:37:58,280 --> 00:38:01,040
Speaker 1: as the only player in NFL history with a ninety

686
00:38:01,080 --> 00:38:04,720
Speaker 1: five or better quarterback rating in each of their first

687
00:38:04,880 --> 00:38:07,920
Speaker 1: four games. The answer, who do you think get? Is

688
00:38:07,920 --> 00:38:13,320
Speaker 1: real quick? It's Aaron Brooks. Aaron Brooks Now, it's Mark Ripping.

689
00:38:16,360 --> 00:38:18,920
Speaker 1: How obscure? I love when the answer is obscure? How

690
00:38:18,960 --> 00:38:24,640
Speaker 1: obscure is that most people super Bowl quarterback? Though? Mark Alright?

691
00:38:24,640 --> 00:38:27,240
Speaker 1: Sunday Night Football, Dallas three and Oh at New Orleans

692
00:38:27,320 --> 00:38:30,680
Speaker 1: two and one. It's on NBC without Michaels and Chris Collinsworth,

693
00:38:30,680 --> 00:38:33,080
Speaker 1: the Little Sunday Night Action. Cowboys are two and a

694
00:38:33,120 --> 00:38:34,799
Speaker 1: half point favor They opened it one and a half.

695
00:38:35,040 --> 00:38:39,440
Speaker 1: The pick I'm taking the Cowboys, I'm taking again. The

696
00:38:39,520 --> 00:38:42,760
Speaker 1: Saints were essentially handed the game last week by the Seahawks.

697
00:38:43,160 --> 00:38:46,640
Speaker 1: They played football follies. They lost the statuet New Orleans,

698
00:38:46,719 --> 00:38:49,800
Speaker 1: they won the game. That is not a sustainable formula.

699
00:38:50,080 --> 00:38:53,759
Speaker 1: New Orleans average just five point three yards per play.

700
00:38:53,920 --> 00:38:56,920
Speaker 1: They had only two hundred sixty total yards. Seattle averaged

701
00:38:56,960 --> 00:39:00,800
Speaker 1: almost seven yards per play. They had five fifteen yards

702
00:39:01,600 --> 00:39:04,920
Speaker 1: fifteen yards, and they lost the game. In other words,

703
00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:08,359
Speaker 1: it's unsustainable. As we said, Teddy Bridgewater is gonna have

704
00:39:08,440 --> 00:39:10,920
Speaker 1: to get better. The Cowboys have a pretty good defense.

705
00:39:11,080 --> 00:39:14,480
Speaker 1: The Saints need more chunk plays. He's averaged less than

706
00:39:14,560 --> 00:39:17,799
Speaker 1: seven yards per attempt Bridgewater, and I know why he's

707
00:39:17,840 --> 00:39:20,000
Speaker 1: doing that. They're playing it close to the vest Minnesota

708
00:39:20,040 --> 00:39:23,520
Speaker 1: conservative dumb down offense. But you gotta gotta give me more.

709
00:39:23,640 --> 00:39:26,080
Speaker 1: You gotta give me more. The Cowboys with a win

710
00:39:26,560 --> 00:39:29,560
Speaker 1: would be off to their best start in twelve years

711
00:39:29,800 --> 00:39:33,120
Speaker 1: since seven when they started out five and oh, Dallas.

712
00:39:33,200 --> 00:39:35,839
Speaker 1: Dallas has the Packers next week, all right, so they

713
00:39:35,880 --> 00:39:39,480
Speaker 1: have the package next week? Will they be caught in

714
00:39:39,600 --> 00:39:42,320
Speaker 1: that spot looking at I say no. It's a national

715
00:39:42,400 --> 00:39:46,400
Speaker 1: televised game. Uh, you don't get extra credit for beating

716
00:39:46,480 --> 00:39:49,520
Speaker 1: Drew Brees and the Saints. But this is a golden

717
00:39:49,560 --> 00:39:54,839
Speaker 1: opportunity to win in a hostile environment. Cowboys will pull

718
00:39:54,840 --> 00:40:01,120
Speaker 1: it out. Dallas one. New Orleans is twenty three penny

719
00:40:01,120 --> 00:40:04,200
Speaker 1: tailing your hair going to Cowboys. Last one, all right?

720
00:40:04,280 --> 00:40:07,520
Speaker 1: Last one? Monday Night Football, Cincinnati, oh in three, Pittsburgh,

721
00:40:07,520 --> 00:40:10,120
Speaker 1: oh and three. It's on ESPN, Joe Testa Tour and

722
00:40:10,200 --> 00:40:14,480
Speaker 1: Booger Booger McFarland. The Steelers opened a three and a

723
00:40:14,480 --> 00:40:17,360
Speaker 1: half point favorite. They are currently favorite by four. The

724
00:40:17,600 --> 00:40:23,000
Speaker 1: pick is in Oh, p you what stinks? I'm taking

725
00:40:23,000 --> 00:40:27,000
Speaker 1: the Bengals. Uh. The reason why Cincinnati actually has more playmakers.

726
00:40:27,040 --> 00:40:29,480
Speaker 1: It seems odd to say that in a Bengal Steelers

727
00:40:29,520 --> 00:40:32,400
Speaker 1: game because normally that's the other way. But the Bengals

728
00:40:32,400 --> 00:40:35,000
Speaker 1: have more playmakers here. This should be a field goal game.

729
00:40:35,040 --> 00:40:37,399
Speaker 1: This should be anybody's game. You're getting over a field goal.

730
00:40:37,760 --> 00:40:40,240
Speaker 1: I like taking the points in games like that, Andy

731
00:40:40,320 --> 00:40:43,280
Speaker 1: Dalton is a better quarterback than Mason Rudolph. Very rarely

732
00:40:43,360 --> 00:40:46,320
Speaker 1: is Andy Dalton the better quarterback in the matchup the Bengals,

733
00:40:46,320 --> 00:40:49,480
Speaker 1: As I said, they have more weaponry. The Steelers are

734
00:40:49,560 --> 00:40:52,640
Speaker 1: the second worst team in third down defense in the NFL,

735
00:40:52,680 --> 00:40:55,040
Speaker 1: so there's an opportunity for the Bengals to keep the

736
00:40:55,080 --> 00:40:58,799
Speaker 1: change moving. Only the Redskins have been worse. And my

737
00:40:58,880 --> 00:41:02,440
Speaker 1: favorite stat is some up the lazy river of mediocrity

738
00:41:02,480 --> 00:41:06,839
Speaker 1: of Pittsburgh is Mason Rudolph in his first start with

739
00:41:06,880 --> 00:41:09,760
Speaker 1: the Steelers against the forty niners. You know many passes

740
00:41:09,800 --> 00:41:11,840
Speaker 1: he completed. We used this on the Overnight Show, but

741
00:41:11,880 --> 00:41:14,160
Speaker 1: maybe you missed it. How many passes he completed that

742
00:41:14,200 --> 00:41:18,640
Speaker 1: traveled more than one yard downfield? The answer is too

743
00:41:19,200 --> 00:41:21,759
Speaker 1: that it not happens. It's a guy named Tim Tebow

744
00:41:22,560 --> 00:41:26,840
Speaker 1: in his heyday. So I realized I'm going against the

745
00:41:26,880 --> 00:41:30,840
Speaker 1: trend here. Over the years, Pittsburgh has been pure cash,

746
00:41:31,200 --> 00:41:35,280
Speaker 1: straight cash hoby in primetime games. They're ten and five

747
00:41:35,320 --> 00:41:39,680
Speaker 1: against the spread the last fifteen Monday Night Football games

748
00:41:39,880 --> 00:41:43,799
Speaker 1: previous fifteen instances. But this is a bad team and it's,

749
00:41:43,880 --> 00:41:46,080
Speaker 1: you know, be a close game you like the points

750
00:41:46,120 --> 00:41:53,919
Speaker 1: divisional game Bengals twenty Steelers nineteen paying agreement here going

751
00:41:53,920 --> 00:41:57,120
Speaker 1: with the Bungles. All right, that'll put the baby to bed.

752
00:41:57,200 --> 00:42:02,040
Speaker 1: Thank you. Gag on Gascony and email us a Real

753
00:42:02,200 --> 00:42:05,520
Speaker 1: Fifth Hour with F I F T H Real Fifth

754
00:42:05,560 --> 00:42:08,319
Speaker 1: Hour at Ben mallor follow us on Twitter at Ben

755
00:42:08,400 --> 00:42:11,520
Speaker 1: Mallory whatever your Twitter account is, Guests, David J. Gascon Yes,

756
00:42:11,560 --> 00:42:13,080
Speaker 1: you can follow me there of course. All right, have

757
00:42:13,120 --> 00:42:14,960
Speaker 1: a great weekend. We'll see how we did. We'll have

758
00:42:15,280 --> 00:42:18,480
Speaker 1: the next radio show Sunday night in the Monday, and

759
00:42:18,560 --> 00:42:21,719
Speaker 1: we will have the the reaction to how we did

760
00:42:21,760 --> 00:42:23,960
Speaker 1: on Benny versus Penny. Have a great weekend. Thank you

761
00:42:24,000 --> 00:42:24,680
Speaker 1: for downloading