1 00:00:14,000 --> 00:00:16,040 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Saturday 2 00:00:16,040 --> 00:00:18,640 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt 3 00:00:18,720 --> 00:00:22,000 Speaker 1: Perrault at Sports Talk Back to follow me. Hopefully you 4 00:00:22,040 --> 00:00:26,800 Speaker 1: guys had a very fun, healthy and well enjoyable Saint 5 00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:31,440 Speaker 1: Patrick's day. Not very great, not very good for the bets. Unfortunately, 6 00:00:31,520 --> 00:00:33,720 Speaker 1: one and four, as I feared last night, I said, 7 00:00:33,720 --> 00:00:36,680 Speaker 1: four and one. History has proven it where I've gone 8 00:00:36,720 --> 00:00:38,519 Speaker 1: right back into a one and four run and it 9 00:00:38,520 --> 00:00:41,600 Speaker 1: could have been zhero and five. We got fortuitous there 10 00:00:41,640 --> 00:00:45,560 Speaker 1: with an empty net, full ice shot on the over, 11 00:00:45,720 --> 00:00:50,240 Speaker 1: but one in oh in hockey Oho and four in 12 00:00:50,280 --> 00:00:52,879 Speaker 1: the NAA tournament bets. I feel like I was on 13 00:00:52,920 --> 00:00:56,200 Speaker 1: the right side of a couple of those bets, Drake 14 00:00:56,240 --> 00:01:01,800 Speaker 1: and Miami really Memphis, Mal, I mean, look, not going 15 00:01:01,840 --> 00:01:04,440 Speaker 1: to cry over spilled milk, but a lot to get 16 00:01:04,480 --> 00:01:07,520 Speaker 1: one of those right. Two and three versus one and four. 17 00:01:07,880 --> 00:01:12,000 Speaker 1: Kind of a bummer. But we're back up two point 18 00:01:12,080 --> 00:01:16,960 Speaker 1: nine units on Thursday, down three point one units on Friday. 19 00:01:17,600 --> 00:01:19,959 Speaker 1: We are eight and eight on the week, so flat 20 00:01:19,959 --> 00:01:23,160 Speaker 1: pretty much down the juice for the week. This podcast 21 00:01:23,200 --> 00:01:25,360 Speaker 1: being brought to you by our friends at BETMGM. You 22 00:01:25,400 --> 00:01:28,920 Speaker 1: guys can use their first bet offer one thousand dollars. 23 00:01:28,920 --> 00:01:31,280 Speaker 1: In fact is a first bet offer is available right 24 00:01:31,280 --> 00:01:33,880 Speaker 1: now for new users at betmgm dot com with the 25 00:01:33,880 --> 00:01:35,800 Speaker 1: promo code Juice when you set up for a new 26 00:01:35,840 --> 00:01:38,600 Speaker 1: account for new users one thousand dollars first bet offers 27 00:01:38,680 --> 00:01:43,360 Speaker 1: right there promo code Juice at betmgm dot com. All right, 28 00:01:43,480 --> 00:01:50,080 Speaker 1: it's a big Saturday, and I mean big NBA March Madness, 29 00:01:50,640 --> 00:01:55,880 Speaker 1: NHL and a UFC payperview fight in London. I'm not 30 00:01:55,920 --> 00:01:58,400 Speaker 1: going to bet the NBA. I am going to bet 31 00:01:58,440 --> 00:02:01,640 Speaker 1: the NHL, and I am going to bet college basketball. 32 00:02:01,920 --> 00:02:04,480 Speaker 1: And I also have a one unit parlay for the 33 00:02:04,600 --> 00:02:09,080 Speaker 1: UFC card. It is a wonky weird start time, Okay, 34 00:02:09,120 --> 00:02:11,679 Speaker 1: this thing is going to be paid preview in England 35 00:02:12,360 --> 00:02:15,000 Speaker 1: and you have to take a look at I think 36 00:02:15,000 --> 00:02:18,000 Speaker 1: this is the middle of the day's start time for this. 37 00:02:18,240 --> 00:02:20,200 Speaker 1: It's a London card. I just want to make sure 38 00:02:20,200 --> 00:02:22,959 Speaker 1: I'm giving you the right time for when these things 39 00:02:22,960 --> 00:02:25,240 Speaker 1: are probably gonna happen, when these things should go off. 40 00:02:26,480 --> 00:02:29,880 Speaker 1: For the schedule for this fight with so, the main 41 00:02:30,000 --> 00:02:33,840 Speaker 1: card is scheduled to go off at nine to thirty 42 00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:37,840 Speaker 1: in the morning, Pacific time twelve thirty Eastern, so middle 43 00:02:37,840 --> 00:02:39,560 Speaker 1: of the day fights. So hopefully you guys on the 44 00:02:39,560 --> 00:02:42,359 Speaker 1: West Coast are getting this podcast a little earlier because 45 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:46,360 Speaker 1: this is going to be that's when the pay preview starts. 46 00:02:46,760 --> 00:02:50,480 Speaker 1: So well, let's see main cards two pm. Okay, so 47 00:02:50,520 --> 00:02:53,640 Speaker 1: it's five pm. Excuse me, The prelims start at nine thirty. 48 00:02:53,840 --> 00:02:57,480 Speaker 1: ESPN wrote that wrong. Early prelims nine thirty Pacific, twelve 49 00:02:57,520 --> 00:03:03,240 Speaker 1: thirty noon Eastern, three pm for the East Coast for 50 00:03:03,280 --> 00:03:05,920 Speaker 1: the prelims on ESPN, and then five pm for the 51 00:03:05,919 --> 00:03:08,920 Speaker 1: main card over in London, England, so it's still early 52 00:03:09,360 --> 00:03:12,359 Speaker 1: five to eight for the main card. I have got 53 00:03:12,400 --> 00:03:14,160 Speaker 1: one parlay that I'll give you guys a little bit 54 00:03:14,200 --> 00:03:17,520 Speaker 1: later on in the podcast. But before we do anything else, 55 00:03:17,639 --> 00:03:20,079 Speaker 1: let me talk to you guys about how you win 56 00:03:20,600 --> 00:03:24,840 Speaker 1: a free year upgrade to Betting Pros Premium. It's pretty 57 00:03:24,840 --> 00:03:27,880 Speaker 1: easy to do that. 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Don't want to wait for the giveaway, however, 66 00:03:54,960 --> 00:03:56,920 Speaker 1: at the end of the month where one of you 67 00:03:56,960 --> 00:04:00,760 Speaker 1: will win the Betting Pros Premium. Upgrade up today at 68 00:04:00,800 --> 00:04:06,480 Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com, Slash upgrade and start betting smarter, not harder. 69 00:04:06,800 --> 00:04:10,640 Speaker 1: All right, let's start with the NCAA Auburn and Houston. 70 00:04:10,640 --> 00:04:13,360 Speaker 1: I already told you plus five and a half, already 71 00:04:13,360 --> 00:04:18,000 Speaker 1: told you I'm on Auburn money line. Really, the biggest thing, 72 00:04:18,160 --> 00:04:20,920 Speaker 1: the biggest reason why, even like Matt, why why are 73 00:04:20,960 --> 00:04:24,120 Speaker 1: you on this? The biggest reason is the fact that 74 00:04:24,880 --> 00:04:28,279 Speaker 1: they have two players who are injured. Now. Marcus Sasser 75 00:04:28,400 --> 00:04:32,000 Speaker 1: is claiming he's going to play. I believe him, how much. 76 00:04:32,640 --> 00:04:37,240 Speaker 1: I'm one hundred percent playing tomorrow Marcus Sassar yesterday, Jamal Sheed, 77 00:04:37,480 --> 00:04:40,640 Speaker 1: I'm one hundred percent playing tomorrow. He has a bum knee, 78 00:04:41,560 --> 00:04:43,960 Speaker 1: and Sasser has a bad groin that caused him to 79 00:04:44,000 --> 00:04:47,200 Speaker 1: sit the whole second half. Now they're trying to baby 80 00:04:47,279 --> 00:04:49,840 Speaker 1: him because they know the injury is pretty significant. They 81 00:04:49,880 --> 00:04:53,960 Speaker 1: can't baby him against Auburn. Auburn's gonna run. Birmingham is 82 00:04:54,040 --> 00:04:58,880 Speaker 1: going to be rocking, and I mean rocking in this atmosphere. 83 00:04:59,560 --> 00:05:02,800 Speaker 1: Ab and Auburn are both playing today, both with a 84 00:05:02,880 --> 00:05:05,839 Speaker 1: chance to go to the Sweet sixteen. Different brackets, but 85 00:05:06,160 --> 00:05:10,200 Speaker 1: back to back games. This atmosphere is gonna be insane. 86 00:05:10,839 --> 00:05:15,040 Speaker 1: Houston's walking into a buzzsaw, and frankly so is Arkansas 87 00:05:15,680 --> 00:05:18,520 Speaker 1: walking into road game territory here. Now, it's a neutral 88 00:05:18,600 --> 00:05:21,239 Speaker 1: court quote unquote, but it ain't gonna be neutral, all right. 89 00:05:21,960 --> 00:05:25,080 Speaker 1: Isn't gonna be heavy Auburn and Alabama they're gonna cheer 90 00:05:25,080 --> 00:05:27,240 Speaker 1: against each other, so that's one benefit. So they'll have 91 00:05:27,279 --> 00:05:30,200 Speaker 1: some crowd there for the other team, which is fortuitous. 92 00:05:30,200 --> 00:05:33,760 Speaker 1: But it's gonna be a hostile environment for either road team. 93 00:05:33,800 --> 00:05:35,600 Speaker 1: There's no way around that. As to what they're gonna 94 00:05:35,600 --> 00:05:38,520 Speaker 1: walk into. I'm taking Auburn plus five and a half. 95 00:05:38,600 --> 00:05:41,840 Speaker 1: I think this numbers coming down. It's five. Now, this 96 00:05:41,839 --> 00:05:44,680 Speaker 1: thing may close even lower. As the injury. You can 97 00:05:44,720 --> 00:05:46,920 Speaker 1: tell me all you want about this injury from Marcus Saster, 98 00:05:47,160 --> 00:05:50,520 Speaker 1: He's not healthy and with him not being healthy, Auburn's 99 00:05:50,560 --> 00:05:52,920 Speaker 1: got a monster opportunity to win in advance to the 100 00:05:52,960 --> 00:05:56,040 Speaker 1: Sweet sixteen and to take down the second number one seed, 101 00:05:56,120 --> 00:05:59,480 Speaker 1: Perdue already out they got beat by Fairluy Dickinson as 102 00:05:59,480 --> 00:06:03,599 Speaker 1: a sixteen seed. They took them out. So one is gone, 103 00:06:03,760 --> 00:06:07,000 Speaker 1: a two is gone, a four is gone. I think 104 00:06:07,040 --> 00:06:09,640 Speaker 1: A one's going home. I think Houston's gonna get bounced 105 00:06:09,680 --> 00:06:13,039 Speaker 1: by Auburn today. One point one units is Auburn plus 106 00:06:13,240 --> 00:06:16,640 Speaker 1: five and a half. Now the next bet, let's talk 107 00:06:16,680 --> 00:06:21,200 Speaker 1: about Texas and laying five and a half points against 108 00:06:21,200 --> 00:06:25,760 Speaker 1: Penn States. Okay, so I know Penn State looked really good, 109 00:06:26,279 --> 00:06:28,760 Speaker 1: shot the ball really well against XA and M, and 110 00:06:28,800 --> 00:06:31,080 Speaker 1: I think, you know the obvious quick thing it is 111 00:06:31,120 --> 00:06:33,200 Speaker 1: to be like, Okay, Penn State's gonna shoot like that again, 112 00:06:33,560 --> 00:06:35,200 Speaker 1: and Penn State's going to score a lot of points. 113 00:06:35,960 --> 00:06:37,600 Speaker 1: I mean, they may score a lot of points here. 114 00:06:37,880 --> 00:06:43,360 Speaker 1: But I just think Texas, both offensively and defensively, they're 115 00:06:43,400 --> 00:06:47,640 Speaker 1: just more talented, and they've been running through teams over 116 00:06:47,680 --> 00:06:51,599 Speaker 1: the last two weeks like they are red hot right now, 117 00:06:51,640 --> 00:06:55,200 Speaker 1: and they're playing really good team basketball, and I think 118 00:06:55,240 --> 00:06:57,280 Speaker 1: it's just going to be too much. It's too big 119 00:06:57,279 --> 00:07:00,560 Speaker 1: of an ask, to be quite honest, my pay for 120 00:07:00,680 --> 00:07:03,479 Speaker 1: Penn State here. I know they're twenty one to thirteen 121 00:07:03,520 --> 00:07:08,000 Speaker 1: in two ats. I get that entirely. But Texas has 122 00:07:08,160 --> 00:07:12,840 Speaker 1: won by twenty, by twenty, by six by fourteen, by 123 00:07:12,920 --> 00:07:17,440 Speaker 1: sixteen over your last five games. They beat Kansas twice. 124 00:07:17,640 --> 00:07:21,880 Speaker 1: A one seed beat them twice. Okay, I know this 125 00:07:21,960 --> 00:07:23,880 Speaker 1: is a team in Penn State that just beat A 126 00:07:23,960 --> 00:07:26,640 Speaker 1: and M by seventeen. I just don't think this game 127 00:07:26,720 --> 00:07:29,440 Speaker 1: is going to be that close. I think Penn State's 128 00:07:29,480 --> 00:07:33,600 Speaker 1: in deep trouble. Texas has the eleventh best adjusted efficiency 129 00:07:33,640 --> 00:07:38,000 Speaker 1: to defense and the fifteenth best efficient offense. They're fifty 130 00:07:38,080 --> 00:07:40,960 Speaker 1: first in effective field goal percentage. Penn State's defense is 131 00:07:41,000 --> 00:07:44,200 Speaker 1: one hundred and fourth. Penn State shoots great fifty five 132 00:07:44,200 --> 00:07:46,520 Speaker 1: point seven effective field goal percentage that's eight best in 133 00:07:46,560 --> 00:07:49,600 Speaker 1: the country. But Texas defense is fifty six, which is 134 00:07:49,680 --> 00:07:52,680 Speaker 1: really good. Penn State does not rebound the ball well 135 00:07:52,800 --> 00:07:55,440 Speaker 1: at all, one of the worst offensive rebounding teams in 136 00:07:55,440 --> 00:07:57,840 Speaker 1: the entire country. You need to be able to do 137 00:07:57,880 --> 00:08:00,240 Speaker 1: that to handle the length of Texas to get those 138 00:08:00,280 --> 00:08:03,320 Speaker 1: second chance put back opportunities, and Texas shuits the ball 139 00:08:03,400 --> 00:08:07,200 Speaker 1: well top fifty to two point percentage, fifty fourth in 140 00:08:07,280 --> 00:08:10,200 Speaker 1: free throws. They hit their free throws better than Penn State, 141 00:08:10,440 --> 00:08:14,280 Speaker 1: who is one hundredth in free throw percentage in college basketball. 142 00:08:14,840 --> 00:08:19,440 Speaker 1: I mean, yes, Penn State doesn't cost turnovers so equally 143 00:08:19,520 --> 00:08:21,800 Speaker 1: a problem. But Texas doesn't turn the ball over anyway, 144 00:08:21,840 --> 00:08:24,840 Speaker 1: top seventy five and turnover percentage. They don't turn over 145 00:08:24,880 --> 00:08:29,200 Speaker 1: the basketball. Texas will play fast. Penn State, well, you 146 00:08:29,240 --> 00:08:32,160 Speaker 1: know they want to make you work. I don't think 147 00:08:32,160 --> 00:08:34,720 Speaker 1: Texas is going to work all that hard here. Penn 148 00:08:34,760 --> 00:08:38,880 Speaker 1: State's offense can be deliberate and can be slow. I 149 00:08:38,920 --> 00:08:42,120 Speaker 1: think Texas offense will Texas defense will speed it up here. 150 00:08:42,400 --> 00:08:44,400 Speaker 1: I'll lay the five and a half points again. You 151 00:08:44,400 --> 00:08:46,600 Speaker 1: can fade away if you want zero to four. Yesterday 152 00:08:46,600 --> 00:08:48,560 Speaker 1: in college basketball three to oh to zero and four. 153 00:08:49,480 --> 00:08:51,839 Speaker 1: The way that you run numbers wise, you can say, okay, 154 00:08:51,840 --> 00:08:54,440 Speaker 1: Matt hit Texas plus five and a half or mine 155 00:08:54,480 --> 00:08:56,160 Speaker 1: five and a half in Auburn plus five and a half. 156 00:08:56,240 --> 00:08:59,600 Speaker 1: We'll see. But Auburn plus five and a half Texas 157 00:08:59,600 --> 00:09:01,720 Speaker 1: minus five and a half, both for one point in 158 00:09:01,679 --> 00:09:04,560 Speaker 1: one units. Two official plays here in college basketball on 159 00:09:04,600 --> 00:09:08,920 Speaker 1: the slates now. I think KU and Arkansas is going 160 00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:11,760 Speaker 1: to go over one forty three, so he wants something 161 00:09:11,800 --> 00:09:15,280 Speaker 1: extra here. But unders were like fifteen in one or 162 00:09:15,320 --> 00:09:19,160 Speaker 1: fourteen and two yesterday for games, not first half for games. 163 00:09:20,280 --> 00:09:23,120 Speaker 1: Don't know if that's a fluky thing or something to 164 00:09:23,160 --> 00:09:25,520 Speaker 1: pay attention to, but I think the pace of the 165 00:09:25,520 --> 00:09:27,760 Speaker 1: games in Ku and Arkansas is going to be fast. 166 00:09:28,400 --> 00:09:30,760 Speaker 1: But if they miss shots, it just doesn't matter. So 167 00:09:31,040 --> 00:09:32,800 Speaker 1: pace of play only matters if you're going to make 168 00:09:32,840 --> 00:09:35,480 Speaker 1: the shots you take. So I lean towards that, but 169 00:09:35,520 --> 00:09:38,080 Speaker 1: I don't I don't know, and then I've already taken 170 00:09:38,200 --> 00:09:41,080 Speaker 1: Creighton plus one. That's going to be a personal play. 171 00:09:41,120 --> 00:09:42,640 Speaker 1: It's not going to be an official play for tomorrow, 172 00:09:42,640 --> 00:09:44,600 Speaker 1: but if you I think the number is going to change. 173 00:09:44,760 --> 00:09:46,120 Speaker 1: I think the J's are going to go off as 174 00:09:46,120 --> 00:09:49,080 Speaker 1: the favorite in their game. And it's a little crazy, 175 00:09:49,120 --> 00:09:52,560 Speaker 1: but Baylor has looked so inconsistent and Kalk Brenner just 176 00:09:52,559 --> 00:09:54,560 Speaker 1: played the game of his life with thirty one points 177 00:09:54,600 --> 00:09:57,199 Speaker 1: and I think he had nine rebounds. Best game he's 178 00:09:57,200 --> 00:10:00,320 Speaker 1: ever played. He looked tremendous for the Jays. They really 179 00:10:00,400 --> 00:10:03,880 Speaker 1: rode him nicely, and there's nobody really Baylor's physical and 180 00:10:03,880 --> 00:10:07,240 Speaker 1: they're they're they're big, but they're not tall, and kult 181 00:10:07,240 --> 00:10:09,160 Speaker 1: Brenner's got a chance to go over the top and 182 00:10:09,200 --> 00:10:11,320 Speaker 1: really be a problem for Baylor as much as they 183 00:10:11,360 --> 00:10:14,360 Speaker 1: were a problem here again, Frensis State today, who Anty 184 00:10:14,400 --> 00:10:17,080 Speaker 1: State had size? I mean they had a six foot 185 00:10:17,120 --> 00:10:20,200 Speaker 1: ten dude with weight that couldn't handle Calck Brighter. So 186 00:10:21,120 --> 00:10:23,520 Speaker 1: I'm taking Creighton plus one for Sunday. But that's a 187 00:10:23,520 --> 00:10:25,559 Speaker 1: personal bet because today was personal as well. So I 188 00:10:25,600 --> 00:10:28,320 Speaker 1: don't want to jinx it by making it official. Yes, 189 00:10:28,400 --> 00:10:30,800 Speaker 1: I am a little superstitious, not a lot, a little 190 00:10:30,800 --> 00:10:33,480 Speaker 1: superstitious on these things. So Creighton plus one will be 191 00:10:33,480 --> 00:10:36,120 Speaker 1: if you want extra. Okay, So officially Auburn plus five 192 00:10:36,120 --> 00:10:38,839 Speaker 1: and a half Texas minus five and a half. Okay, 193 00:10:39,880 --> 00:10:43,280 Speaker 1: two bets in the NHL to give you guys, this 194 00:10:43,400 --> 00:10:49,120 Speaker 1: is awesome. We have a chance to ride an awesome trend. Okay, 195 00:10:49,360 --> 00:10:52,760 Speaker 1: This officially is a one unit bet, but I never 196 00:10:53,360 --> 00:10:57,680 Speaker 1: like bets this much to the point where I actually 197 00:10:58,480 --> 00:11:03,400 Speaker 1: bet two units. Okay, but I am involved officially for 198 00:11:03,480 --> 00:11:06,880 Speaker 1: one unit, but I have doubled down on this personally 199 00:11:06,960 --> 00:11:08,760 Speaker 1: to put two units in play. Try to win back 200 00:11:08,760 --> 00:11:13,000 Speaker 1: a little bit money that I lost yesterday. It is 201 00:11:13,120 --> 00:11:19,000 Speaker 1: chasing a little bit, except the numbers are redunculous. Dallas 202 00:11:19,120 --> 00:11:24,000 Speaker 1: at Calgary first game six' five second game five to. 203 00:11:24,000 --> 00:11:30,720 Speaker 1: Four total is? Six what total is? Six this makes 204 00:11:30,760 --> 00:11:34,120 Speaker 1: no sense AND i mean like no. Sense here's the 205 00:11:34,160 --> 00:11:36,640 Speaker 1: trend we're going to ride and WHY i am betting 206 00:11:36,679 --> 00:11:40,520 Speaker 1: personally two units officially one unit on this. Game when 207 00:11:40,559 --> 00:11:43,000 Speaker 1: the home team is coming off a road game In, 208 00:11:43,080 --> 00:11:47,240 Speaker 1: vegas the over is twenty eight six and. One that's 209 00:11:47,320 --> 00:11:51,640 Speaker 1: eighty two percent since twenty twenty. One when the home 210 00:11:51,720 --> 00:11:56,439 Speaker 1: team wins the game In Las, vegas the next game 211 00:11:56,800 --> 00:11:59,920 Speaker 1: playing it at, home the over is fourteen in one. 212 00:12:00,000 --> 00:12:05,079 Speaker 1: One that is a ninety three percent. Clip The Dallas 213 00:12:05,120 --> 00:12:11,920 Speaker 1: stars have scored fourteen to seven seven seven in five 214 00:12:12,040 --> 00:12:17,160 Speaker 1: goals over their last five. Games The Calgary flames have 215 00:12:17,200 --> 00:12:22,080 Speaker 1: scored one for six is total now one for six 216 00:12:22,559 --> 00:12:26,720 Speaker 1: seven to nine last two games seven goals in nine 217 00:12:26,760 --> 00:12:30,839 Speaker 1: goals being scored For. Calgary seven goals scored against The 218 00:12:30,880 --> 00:12:33,880 Speaker 1: Vegas Golden knights that Gave Jonathan quick his first loss 219 00:12:34,120 --> 00:12:37,080 Speaker 1: as A Golden knight, goalie and they scored seven. GOALS 220 00:12:37,559 --> 00:12:39,480 Speaker 1: i believe that's the most goals ever given up by 221 00:12:39,480 --> 00:12:42,520 Speaker 1: The Golden knights at home in their. History brief, history 222 00:12:42,640 --> 00:12:44,320 Speaker 1: BUT i think it's their most goals, ever seven, goals 223 00:12:44,440 --> 00:12:47,160 Speaker 1: the most goal they've ever given up at home to 224 00:12:47,240 --> 00:12:52,760 Speaker 1: anybody six to. Five first game eleven, Goals second game nine. 225 00:12:52,800 --> 00:13:01,560 Speaker 1: Goals six please over mins won ten over Goals dallas And. 226 00:13:01,679 --> 00:13:06,160 Speaker 1: Calgary i'm doubling down, personally but officially it's a one unit. 227 00:13:06,200 --> 00:13:09,120 Speaker 1: PLAY i Never you guys have listened to this podcast long, 228 00:13:09,200 --> 00:13:12,760 Speaker 1: enough you, KNOW i never say things like. This the 229 00:13:12,840 --> 00:13:16,200 Speaker 1: numbers are just too, Good, like at worst we're gonna. 230 00:13:16,240 --> 00:13:19,200 Speaker 1: Push at, worst we're gonna push in my, Opinion SO 231 00:13:19,640 --> 00:13:22,319 Speaker 1: i don't normally double. Down but given what we're, seeing 232 00:13:22,360 --> 00:13:23,760 Speaker 1: this number is gonna be six and a. Half there's 233 00:13:23,760 --> 00:13:25,360 Speaker 1: no way this number is not gonna close six and a. 234 00:13:25,360 --> 00:13:28,920 Speaker 1: Half but it's six right. Now and, yeah, yeah, Okay 235 00:13:29,160 --> 00:13:32,120 Speaker 1: LIKE i don't really care who's in. Net it doesn't 236 00:13:32,120 --> 00:13:35,040 Speaker 1: really matter to me who's in, net whether it Be 237 00:13:35,120 --> 00:13:37,840 Speaker 1: wedgewood or whether it Be, auddinger it doesn't really matter to. 238 00:13:37,880 --> 00:13:39,600 Speaker 1: Me you, know it doesn't matter to me who's in 239 00:13:39,640 --> 00:13:42,240 Speaker 1: net For. Calgary it's just one of those games where 240 00:13:42,280 --> 00:13:48,040 Speaker 1: the numbers are so ridiculously lopsided that you just have 241 00:13:48,120 --> 00:13:49,920 Speaker 1: to bet, it like you just can't even, say, go, 242 00:13:50,040 --> 00:13:52,319 Speaker 1: yeah you, KNOW i think the goaltenders. Matter i'm gonna, wait, 243 00:13:52,400 --> 00:13:56,080 Speaker 1: nah it doesn't really. Matter It's markstrom Against oddinger is 244 00:13:56,120 --> 00:14:00,920 Speaker 1: the proposed probably starting starting, matchup but doesn't matter to 245 00:14:00,920 --> 00:14:04,760 Speaker 1: me one. Bit over six minus one ten for The 246 00:14:04,800 --> 00:14:10,720 Speaker 1: Calgary flames and The Dallas. Stars second Bet minnesota hosting 247 00:14:10,800 --> 00:14:15,440 Speaker 1: The Boston. Bruins swam. In potentially's in. Net either goaltender 248 00:14:15,440 --> 00:14:19,600 Speaker 1: For boston's good Because gofison is, confirmed which is good 249 00:14:19,640 --> 00:14:23,160 Speaker 1: news for. Us here with these, two you've got an 250 00:14:23,200 --> 00:14:27,880 Speaker 1: opportunity to SEE i, mean he technically is a backup 251 00:14:27,920 --> 00:14:30,960 Speaker 1: Goaltender Mark Andrew floury was not. Good he hasn't been 252 00:14:30,960 --> 00:14:34,280 Speaker 1: good over the last couple of, starts so there's a 253 00:14:34,320 --> 00:14:35,840 Speaker 1: little bit of a fear. Factor but this is an 254 00:14:35,920 --> 00:14:41,200 Speaker 1: eleven Am pacific, time two pm afternoon start In, minneapolis 255 00:14:41,240 --> 00:14:43,720 Speaker 1: WHICH i like a. Lot The bruins are coming off 256 00:14:43,760 --> 00:14:47,280 Speaker 1: that three to nothing shut out. Victory first game wasn't 257 00:14:47,360 --> 00:14:50,920 Speaker 1: over four to, three, okay first game went. Over boston 258 00:14:50,920 --> 00:14:52,800 Speaker 1: had been playing a bunch of games to the over 259 00:14:52,920 --> 00:14:55,320 Speaker 1: five to, three six to three on this road. Trip 260 00:14:55,560 --> 00:14:57,360 Speaker 1: but this is the last game of the road trip 261 00:14:57,360 --> 00:15:00,800 Speaker 1: for The Boston bruins before they head. Home wild are twenty, 262 00:15:00,840 --> 00:15:03,440 Speaker 1: one ten and. Three The bruins are at. Home The 263 00:15:03,480 --> 00:15:06,560 Speaker 1: bruins are twenty eight four eight and two at, home 264 00:15:07,040 --> 00:15:12,480 Speaker 1: And minnesota has been playing just ridiculous up, tempo wacko 265 00:15:12,600 --> 00:15:17,880 Speaker 1: hockey games Unlike. Minnesota, okay first game off the road 266 00:15:17,920 --> 00:15:23,200 Speaker 1: trip For minnesota eight five thirteen goals Against Saint, louis 267 00:15:23,400 --> 00:15:27,560 Speaker 1: nine goals Against, arizona seven goals Against San, jose six 268 00:15:27,600 --> 00:15:30,360 Speaker 1: goals Against. Winnipeg but the last time they were home 269 00:15:30,440 --> 00:15:33,120 Speaker 1: was a one nothing lost to The Calgary. Flames this 270 00:15:33,160 --> 00:15:36,280 Speaker 1: is When minnesota gets back to Playing minnesota, hockey they 271 00:15:36,320 --> 00:15:40,400 Speaker 1: stop it all. Right minnesota is twenty twelve and two 272 00:15:40,440 --> 00:15:43,800 Speaker 1: to the under at. Home they're eight and two over 273 00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:47,120 Speaker 1: their last ten to the under at. Home The bruins 274 00:15:47,200 --> 00:15:50,480 Speaker 1: are seventeen sixteen and one to the under on the 275 00:15:50,560 --> 00:15:54,120 Speaker 1: road and five and five over their last. Ten but 276 00:15:54,200 --> 00:15:56,360 Speaker 1: that shutout win For swiming will give him a lot 277 00:15:56,360 --> 00:15:59,440 Speaker 1: of confidence here against A minnesota team that tends to 278 00:15:59,440 --> 00:16:03,280 Speaker 1: play close to the. Vest gofferson's got a two point 279 00:16:03,400 --> 00:16:07,240 Speaker 1: zero one goals against. Average at, home it's one point 280 00:16:07,320 --> 00:16:11,040 Speaker 1: nine to, six, dude it's tremendous at. Home The bruins 281 00:16:11,120 --> 00:16:13,320 Speaker 1: might win the game two to, one three to, two 282 00:16:14,320 --> 00:16:20,880 Speaker 1: under six minus one Ten Minnesota boston under. SIX i 283 00:16:20,880 --> 00:16:24,960 Speaker 1: think at worse we push this for one point one. Units, 284 00:16:25,280 --> 00:16:28,560 Speaker 1: Okay so those are the four bets that we got 285 00:16:28,640 --> 00:16:32,320 Speaker 1: rolling here for Us auburn plus five and a, Half 286 00:16:32,600 --> 00:16:37,240 Speaker 1: texas minus five and a, Half Calgary dallas over six, 287 00:16:37,320 --> 00:16:42,200 Speaker 1: Goals Minnesota boston under six. Goals and then we go 288 00:16:42,200 --> 00:16:46,240 Speaker 1: to the quote unquote nightcap for THIS ufc card that 289 00:16:46,240 --> 00:16:52,560 Speaker 1: will take. Place it's the trilogy Between uzman And. Edwards 290 00:16:52,760 --> 00:16:56,040 Speaker 1: edwards shocked the world with a headkick that nobody saw 291 00:16:56,120 --> 00:17:02,360 Speaker 1: coming after a pure domination By usman for almost the entire, 292 00:17:02,400 --> 00:17:06,399 Speaker 1: fight got, cocky got caught with a head, kick and 293 00:17:06,800 --> 00:17:11,040 Speaker 1: that was. It uzman's average fight time is seventeen, minutes 294 00:17:11,440 --> 00:17:14,760 Speaker 1: But edwards's fight time is fifteen nearly fifteen to fifty 295 00:17:15,119 --> 00:17:18,679 Speaker 1: nearly sixteen. Minutes this is a five round fight for 296 00:17:18,760 --> 00:17:23,200 Speaker 1: the welterweight title of the world in THE. Ufc four 297 00:17:23,240 --> 00:17:26,520 Speaker 1: minutes in four seconds into the fifth round when that 298 00:17:26,600 --> 00:17:31,960 Speaker 1: headkick Landed uzman was cruising to a. VICTORY i don't 299 00:17:31,960 --> 00:17:34,199 Speaker 1: think anything else is gonna happen, Here But i'm not 300 00:17:34,280 --> 00:17:38,840 Speaker 1: gonna lay minus one point eighty on, This. OKAY i 301 00:17:39,000 --> 00:17:42,640 Speaker 1: JUST i think this goes to the. CARDS i think 302 00:17:42,680 --> 00:17:45,960 Speaker 1: the over is gonna hit. Again think the same thing's gonna. 303 00:17:45,960 --> 00:17:48,600 Speaker 1: HAPPEN i think you're just gonna see a fighter dominate and, 304 00:17:48,680 --> 00:17:51,199 Speaker 1: look one of these guys could very well knock the 305 00:17:51,240 --> 00:17:53,240 Speaker 1: other guy, out, okay and we could see a head, 306 00:17:53,320 --> 00:17:55,080 Speaker 1: kick And i'm wrong And i'm gonna lose a. Unit 307 00:17:55,600 --> 00:17:57,879 Speaker 1: but the most probable thing here is what we have 308 00:17:58,000 --> 00:18:03,480 Speaker 1: seen for a while For. Uzman he just goes ahead 309 00:18:03,640 --> 00:18:08,159 Speaker 1: and pins guys to the fence and wrestles okay Against Colby, 310 00:18:08,160 --> 00:18:12,159 Speaker 1: covington five round. Decision he knocked Out Jorge, masberdal BUT 311 00:18:12,560 --> 00:18:14,760 Speaker 1: i don't Think edwards is gonna get into the firefight 312 00:18:15,000 --> 00:18:18,520 Speaker 1: That masberl is getting. Into, yes he did knock Out Gilbert, 313 00:18:18,520 --> 00:18:20,760 Speaker 1: burns but, Again, EDWARDS i don't think it's going to 314 00:18:20,800 --> 00:18:24,359 Speaker 1: get in the center of a. Situation and after That masberl, 315 00:18:24,440 --> 00:18:28,440 Speaker 1: decision five, rounds almost four minutes and ten seconds Into 316 00:18:28,480 --> 00:18:31,919 Speaker 1: Kolby covington when he broke his, jaw decision Against Tyron, 317 00:18:31,920 --> 00:18:36,960 Speaker 1: woodley decision Against, Alfield dosagnio's decision Against Damian. MAYA i 318 00:18:37,040 --> 00:18:40,400 Speaker 1: mean we're talking about just consistency five round, five round, 319 00:18:40,440 --> 00:18:43,520 Speaker 1: Five ron five. RUN i don't. THINK i Think uzman 320 00:18:43,600 --> 00:18:46,399 Speaker 1: might be even more conservative this time around than what he. 321 00:18:46,600 --> 00:18:50,200 Speaker 1: Was i'm going over four and a half rounds Because 322 00:18:50,320 --> 00:18:52,000 Speaker 1: edwards could win the thing on the. CARDS i don't 323 00:18:52,000 --> 00:18:54,080 Speaker 1: want to trust the judges to give it To uzman 324 00:18:54,200 --> 00:18:57,720 Speaker 1: given the fact that well they're In england, now they're 325 00:18:57,960 --> 00:19:00,720 Speaker 1: On edwards's, turf SO i don't want to go do. 326 00:19:00,880 --> 00:19:02,439 Speaker 1: Debt BUT i do think the fight goes over four 327 00:19:02,480 --> 00:19:05,080 Speaker 1: and a half. Rounds it's minus one. Eighty not interested 328 00:19:05,080 --> 00:19:07,880 Speaker 1: in laying, it BUT i will parlay. It i'm gonna 329 00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:12,679 Speaker 1: parlay it with the new up and coming fighter THAT 330 00:19:12,760 --> 00:19:15,159 Speaker 1: i THINK ufc, fans if they haven't seen him, before 331 00:19:15,280 --> 00:19:19,560 Speaker 1: are gonna Love Rafael. Phasease Justin gaichie has been a 332 00:19:19,560 --> 00:19:22,600 Speaker 1: tremendous fighter for THE, ufc But Justin geichie is five 333 00:19:22,680 --> 00:19:26,560 Speaker 1: years the elder here To physease twelve and One Rafael. 334 00:19:26,600 --> 00:19:30,000 Speaker 1: Vaziz Justin gaigie's coming off a lost To Charles. Olavera 335 00:19:30,240 --> 00:19:32,919 Speaker 1: he did Beat Michael, chandler but he lost To Habib 336 00:19:32,960 --> 00:19:37,800 Speaker 1: niger met off. Normal no shame in. That the problem 337 00:19:37,920 --> 00:19:43,240 Speaker 1: is for, however great Striking geichie has one of the 338 00:19:43,280 --> 00:19:48,200 Speaker 1: best we've ever. Seen he gets hit, man he absorbed 339 00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:52,240 Speaker 1: seven point eighty five strikes per. Minute now he he 340 00:19:52,280 --> 00:19:55,720 Speaker 1: deals out seven point four to. Six but you can't 341 00:19:55,720 --> 00:19:58,200 Speaker 1: get hit this much against this. Dude phaziz is gonna 342 00:19:58,240 --> 00:20:02,280 Speaker 1: knock his block. Off, OKAY i think he probably knocks him, 343 00:20:02,320 --> 00:20:05,320 Speaker 1: out but there's a. Chance it's just a three round. 344 00:20:05,400 --> 00:20:08,280 Speaker 1: Firefight and this thing goes to the cards where If 345 00:20:08,280 --> 00:20:10,760 Speaker 1: aziz wins it two rounds to one or three, nothing 346 00:20:10,760 --> 00:20:13,399 Speaker 1: this card is going to be ridiculous because he is 347 00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:15,639 Speaker 1: a minus two to fifty favorite here for a. Reason 348 00:20:16,119 --> 00:20:18,840 Speaker 1: look at the fighters and what he has. Done knockout 349 00:20:18,920 --> 00:20:21,600 Speaker 1: in the first right first minute of the fifth round 350 00:20:21,600 --> 00:20:26,119 Speaker 1: Against Afio. Dosagno's he knocked Out Brad. Riddle in the third, 351 00:20:26,240 --> 00:20:29,240 Speaker 1: round he knocked, out had a decision Against Bobby. Green 352 00:20:29,640 --> 00:20:34,879 Speaker 1: he knocked Out mocado back In december of twenty. Twenty 353 00:20:35,680 --> 00:20:39,240 Speaker 1: decision he's. Won he's won, one, two, three four or 354 00:20:39,320 --> 00:20:43,800 Speaker 1: five six straight. Fights in THE ufc twenty nineteen he 355 00:20:43,880 --> 00:20:46,560 Speaker 1: lost his, debut got knocked out in his, debut and 356 00:20:46,600 --> 00:20:50,879 Speaker 1: since then he's become very dangerous and very very lethal 357 00:20:50,920 --> 00:20:54,520 Speaker 1: with his, hands unbelievable. Striker now you might, Say, matt 358 00:20:54,560 --> 00:20:58,400 Speaker 1: wait a, minute when you've seen the losses For Justin, 359 00:20:58,440 --> 00:21:01,840 Speaker 1: gatchee hasn't it been? Submission you're absolutely, right it spent 360 00:21:01,920 --> 00:21:06,840 Speaker 1: one Submission atfield Phaziz rofield disease doesn't go for that 361 00:21:06,960 --> 00:21:10,800 Speaker 1: all that. MUCH i, mean submission average is, Zero, okay 362 00:21:11,440 --> 00:21:15,119 Speaker 1: takedown averagezer point three. Six this fight is gonna be 363 00:21:15,160 --> 00:21:17,600 Speaker 1: on the, feet which is why it may go to the. 364 00:21:17,640 --> 00:21:21,000 Speaker 1: Cards BUT i think you're talking about the younger, man 365 00:21:21,840 --> 00:21:25,040 Speaker 1: a guy who's been around enough to know to stay 366 00:21:25,040 --> 00:21:27,639 Speaker 1: away from the real power Of Justin. Gatchee but if 367 00:21:27,680 --> 00:21:30,320 Speaker 1: you give him a, window he can really clip you 368 00:21:30,359 --> 00:21:33,240 Speaker 1: and really hurt. You so a plus one nineteen Parlay 369 00:21:33,560 --> 00:21:37,040 Speaker 1: phazi's money line combined with the over four and a 370 00:21:37,080 --> 00:21:41,520 Speaker 1: half rounds in the main event plus one nineteen for one. Units, 371 00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:44,600 Speaker 1: okay so it's two. Fights it's both the comine and 372 00:21:44,680 --> 00:21:47,720 Speaker 1: the main chance to WATCH ufc here over In, england 373 00:21:47,720 --> 00:21:49,720 Speaker 1: which would be an awesome night in a really fun. 374 00:21:49,760 --> 00:21:53,240 Speaker 1: Opportunity looking forward to watching these two fights in here 375 00:21:53,240 --> 00:21:56,040 Speaker 1: and having a little action on. Both nothing too, crazy 376 00:21:56,200 --> 00:22:00,440 Speaker 1: just a fun two leg parlay At plas plus one 377 00:22:00,520 --> 00:22:05,000 Speaker 1: nineteen for over four and a half rounds And physi's money, 378 00:22:05,040 --> 00:22:07,919 Speaker 1: line both of which are juiced minus two to fifty 379 00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:10,880 Speaker 1: and minus one. Eighty kind of expensive to lay that 380 00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:13,600 Speaker 1: on a, fight given what may, happen so let's combine 381 00:22:13,600 --> 00:22:15,919 Speaker 1: it and take a plus one nineteen and hope we 382 00:22:16,200 --> 00:22:19,480 Speaker 1: clip it and get it. Done all, Right so we've 383 00:22:19,520 --> 00:22:22,639 Speaker 1: got five point four units in play, today which has 384 00:22:22,680 --> 00:22:25,320 Speaker 1: pretty much been the card for the last three, days 385 00:22:25,480 --> 00:22:28,359 Speaker 1: four and, one one and. Four let's get back to 386 00:22:28,400 --> 00:22:30,240 Speaker 1: the four and one that was a lot more fun 387 00:22:30,520 --> 00:22:32,840 Speaker 1: than the one and four once, Again auburn plus five 388 00:22:32,880 --> 00:22:35,840 Speaker 1: and a, Half texas minus five and a, half The 389 00:22:35,960 --> 00:22:40,119 Speaker 1: Dallas stars and The Calgary flames over six, Goals minnesota 390 00:22:40,119 --> 00:22:43,680 Speaker 1: In boston under six goals over four and a half 391 00:22:43,720 --> 00:22:46,400 Speaker 1: parlayed With phyzi's money line over four and a half 392 00:22:46,400 --> 00:22:48,520 Speaker 1: in the main Event physeis Money line and the comin 393 00:22:48,560 --> 00:22:52,640 Speaker 1: event at plus one nineteen for one. Unit Happy, saturday 394 00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:55,639 Speaker 1: have fun watching the. Madness i'll be in the discord. 395 00:22:55,720 --> 00:22:57,080 Speaker 1: Channel you, guys you can come over and hang. Out 396 00:22:57,119 --> 00:22:59,240 Speaker 1: betting pros dot com slash chet to get, in or 397 00:22:59,280 --> 00:23:01,960 Speaker 1: link underneath me on the YouTube channel my Na's Matt. 398 00:23:02,000 --> 00:23:04,440 Speaker 1: Paroltz follow me On twitter at Sports Talk. Matt each 399 00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:07,600 Speaker 1: and every single, morning it Is The Diligence podcast being 400 00:23:07,600 --> 00:23:08,960 Speaker 1: brought to you By BEDHAM. Jm