1 00:00:01,000 --> 00:00:03,440 Speaker 1: What's going on everybody? Scotpogman here for betting pros to 2 00:00:03,440 --> 00:00:06,400 Speaker 1: give you my favorite picks and props for Week six 3 00:00:06,519 --> 00:00:10,119 Speaker 1: of the twenty twenty five college football season. Before I 4 00:00:10,119 --> 00:00:11,880 Speaker 1: dive in, here to remind you guys that we are 5 00:00:11,880 --> 00:00:15,480 Speaker 1: brought to you by our new presenting sponsor, the hard 6 00:00:15,600 --> 00:00:19,040 Speaker 1: Rock Bets sports app roll with hard rock Bet this season. 7 00:00:19,320 --> 00:00:21,800 Speaker 1: You can sign up today with hard Rock Bet, place 8 00:00:21,880 --> 00:00:24,439 Speaker 1: your first five dollars bet, and if it wins, you'll 9 00:00:24,480 --> 00:00:26,920 Speaker 1: score one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets on 10 00:00:27,000 --> 00:00:29,600 Speaker 1: top of your winnings. 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If you are somebody 37 00:01:43,160 --> 00:01:45,000 Speaker 2: you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 38 00:01:45,080 --> 00:01:47,440 Speaker 2: one eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem called 39 00:01:47,440 --> 00:01:51,440 Speaker 2: one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 40 00:01:52,240 --> 00:01:56,360 Speaker 1: All right, So let's start with what happened last week. 41 00:01:57,000 --> 00:02:00,200 Speaker 1: Decent week on the picks, my first bad week on 42 00:02:00,280 --> 00:02:04,400 Speaker 1: the props, six and three on the picks. Rutgers plus 43 00:02:04,440 --> 00:02:06,760 Speaker 1: five and a half at Minnesota. We got that they 44 00:02:07,080 --> 00:02:09,919 Speaker 1: lost thirty one to twenty eight. Big comeback by Minnesota, 45 00:02:09,919 --> 00:02:12,080 Speaker 1: and that game over fifty one and a half in 46 00:02:12,120 --> 00:02:13,720 Speaker 1: that as well, So we got both sides of that. 47 00:02:14,160 --> 00:02:17,480 Speaker 1: USC at Illinois over sixteen and a half. We got 48 00:02:17,520 --> 00:02:20,160 Speaker 1: that one. It took all the way down into the 49 00:02:20,160 --> 00:02:24,200 Speaker 1: final minute, but we got that one. The next one, 50 00:02:24,560 --> 00:02:26,880 Speaker 1: next couple we did not get. Auburn in Texas A 51 00:02:26,919 --> 00:02:29,440 Speaker 1: and M over fifty two and a half. Auburn could 52 00:02:29,440 --> 00:02:31,320 Speaker 1: not score. They had nothing. I thought they were going 53 00:02:31,360 --> 00:02:32,800 Speaker 1: to be able to run against Texas A and M. 54 00:02:32,840 --> 00:02:35,680 Speaker 1: It was Jackson Arrel doing everything. They didn't do that 55 00:02:36,120 --> 00:02:39,280 Speaker 1: and M moved the football very well, but they just 56 00:02:39,400 --> 00:02:41,560 Speaker 1: didn't punch it in once they got down there. So 57 00:02:41,639 --> 00:02:43,360 Speaker 1: sixteen to ten was the final on that one. A 58 00:02:43,400 --> 00:02:46,480 Speaker 1: weird game that just whipped on Indiana minus seven and 59 00:02:46,480 --> 00:02:49,239 Speaker 1: a half at Iowa. Obviously that didn't work. It wasn't 60 00:02:49,280 --> 00:02:51,040 Speaker 1: as heartbreaking for me as it was for our guys. 61 00:02:51,120 --> 00:02:53,760 Speaker 1: Seth right who took the alt line down to six 62 00:02:53,800 --> 00:02:55,679 Speaker 1: and a half and then had the safety at the 63 00:02:55,760 --> 00:02:58,640 Speaker 1: end of the game. But we didn't get that one. 64 00:02:58,680 --> 00:03:01,160 Speaker 1: But the rest of these we did end up getting 65 00:03:01,520 --> 00:03:04,160 Speaker 1: LSU and Ole miss under fifty six and a half. 66 00:03:04,200 --> 00:03:06,919 Speaker 1: We got that. We took UCLA plus six and a half. 67 00:03:07,040 --> 00:03:10,760 Speaker 1: On what happens usually there in those games, the dead 68 00:03:10,800 --> 00:03:13,679 Speaker 1: cap bounce for the coaches getting fired. Won that one 69 00:03:13,680 --> 00:03:15,880 Speaker 1: plus six and a half. They lost seventeen to fourteen 70 00:03:16,200 --> 00:03:18,840 Speaker 1: Mississippi State plus eight and a half ver Tennessee they 71 00:03:18,880 --> 00:03:21,960 Speaker 1: lost in overtime by a touchdown. And then we actually 72 00:03:21,960 --> 00:03:22,680 Speaker 1: missed this last one. 73 00:03:22,680 --> 00:03:23,000 Speaker 3: I forgot. 74 00:03:23,000 --> 00:03:24,560 Speaker 1: This is my third loss, and this was the most 75 00:03:24,600 --> 00:03:29,040 Speaker 1: annoying one. Twenty four to twenty one Alabama at Georgia. 76 00:03:29,280 --> 00:03:31,960 Speaker 1: There was a touchdown score with like seven minutes left 77 00:03:32,040 --> 00:03:35,160 Speaker 1: in the third quarter. To make it this total of 78 00:03:35,240 --> 00:03:39,000 Speaker 1: forty five. All we needed was a touchdown in the 79 00:03:39,040 --> 00:03:41,040 Speaker 1: field goal at that point, and we get there and 80 00:03:41,680 --> 00:03:46,240 Speaker 1: obviously did not happen. No more scoring after midway through 81 00:03:46,280 --> 00:03:48,600 Speaker 1: the third quarter. But six and three we'll take that. 82 00:03:48,600 --> 00:03:51,120 Speaker 1: That's a pretty decent week. Looking at the props, we 83 00:03:51,160 --> 00:03:53,800 Speaker 1: were four and five on those. We got two three 84 00:03:53,880 --> 00:03:57,880 Speaker 1: touchdown calls. We got Haines, King, Cedac Calexander, we did 85 00:03:57,920 --> 00:04:00,440 Speaker 1: not get versus TA State, and we got way Jordan 86 00:04:00,720 --> 00:04:02,960 Speaker 1: at Illinois. As far as the props go, I was 87 00:04:03,040 --> 00:04:05,560 Speaker 1: right on the under for Garrett Nussmeier. I was also 88 00:04:05,600 --> 00:04:08,280 Speaker 1: correct on the over for eighth in caliac Manus at 89 00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:10,640 Speaker 1: two hundred and forty five and a half. But then 90 00:04:10,760 --> 00:04:13,600 Speaker 1: we just bottomed out on the position players here Bryce 91 00:04:13,680 --> 00:04:15,760 Speaker 1: and Washington one hundred and seven and a half rushing yards, 92 00:04:15,760 --> 00:04:19,280 Speaker 1: he only had like seventy seven. Cardinal Tate only had 93 00:04:19,520 --> 00:04:22,200 Speaker 1: thirty and change. Thirty eight I think it was fifty 94 00:04:22,279 --> 00:04:25,480 Speaker 1: nine and a half was his total. Jacob Dehaes, who's 95 00:04:25,480 --> 00:04:28,359 Speaker 1: had four when I needed five, and Bernard did not 96 00:04:28,480 --> 00:04:32,080 Speaker 1: hit his against Georgia either. So not a great day 97 00:04:32,120 --> 00:04:35,000 Speaker 1: on the props, but good day on the picks spring me. 98 00:04:35,160 --> 00:04:37,920 Speaker 1: After that one rough week, three games below twenty one 99 00:04:37,960 --> 00:04:40,599 Speaker 1: and twenty four, we're still seven over on the props 100 00:04:40,640 --> 00:04:45,040 Speaker 1: thirty and twenty three. But let's get into some picks now. Huh. 101 00:04:45,080 --> 00:04:47,159 Speaker 1: This week, I have a lot of picks, so I'm 102 00:04:47,160 --> 00:04:51,000 Speaker 1: going to go through them fairly quick. My props will 103 00:04:51,040 --> 00:04:53,040 Speaker 1: be at the same speed. But there's a lot I 104 00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:55,520 Speaker 1: feel like I like this week, So this is kind 105 00:04:55,520 --> 00:04:58,480 Speaker 1: of a spray the board, right, We're going with a bunch. 106 00:04:58,560 --> 00:05:01,040 Speaker 1: Maybe we make our unit. It's a little bit lower 107 00:05:01,200 --> 00:05:04,359 Speaker 1: this week since we're playing so much so or you 108 00:05:04,520 --> 00:05:07,000 Speaker 1: just obviously you don't have to tail me pick and 109 00:05:07,040 --> 00:05:08,800 Speaker 1: choose the ones that you like. But there's a lot 110 00:05:08,800 --> 00:05:10,719 Speaker 1: I like this week more than any other week so far. 111 00:05:10,880 --> 00:05:14,320 Speaker 1: So let's just start out Michigan minus seventeen and a 112 00:05:14,360 --> 00:05:17,520 Speaker 1: half vers Wisconsin. I also don't hate the team total 113 00:05:17,640 --> 00:05:20,240 Speaker 1: under for Wisconsin at thirteen and a half. I'm just 114 00:05:20,279 --> 00:05:23,599 Speaker 1: gonna make the spread my pick for the show here, 115 00:05:23,839 --> 00:05:25,640 Speaker 1: But just let you guys know, I like this one. 116 00:05:26,120 --> 00:05:29,760 Speaker 1: I despise this Wisconsin offense, like the defense might be okay, Right, 117 00:05:30,120 --> 00:05:32,320 Speaker 1: Michigan has two weeks to prepare for this game, though 118 00:05:32,480 --> 00:05:35,720 Speaker 1: they're at home, and Washington still has shown us nothing 119 00:05:35,800 --> 00:05:40,000 Speaker 1: on offense, absolutely nothing on offense. Danny O'Neil he got 120 00:05:40,040 --> 00:05:44,159 Speaker 1: most of the practice reps this week. They thought maybe 121 00:05:44,200 --> 00:05:48,640 Speaker 1: we're gonna get edwards back, but and he came back 122 00:05:48,640 --> 00:05:50,440 Speaker 1: in the last game they played, which was also two 123 00:05:50,480 --> 00:05:55,039 Speaker 1: weeks ago, and he threw three passes but then Fickle said, 124 00:05:55,400 --> 00:05:57,839 Speaker 1: we didn't save him from himself. So I don't know 125 00:05:57,839 --> 00:06:01,520 Speaker 1: if that means he reaggravated his injury or what has happened, 126 00:06:01,520 --> 00:06:03,480 Speaker 1: but it looks like Daniel O'Neill is gonna get the start, 127 00:06:03,520 --> 00:06:06,520 Speaker 1: and he has been miserable for Wisconsin so far. Michigan's 128 00:06:06,560 --> 00:06:08,600 Speaker 1: defense is going to be great in this one. I 129 00:06:08,600 --> 00:06:10,080 Speaker 1: think they're gonna be able to run up the score. 130 00:06:10,080 --> 00:06:11,560 Speaker 1: And this is a good game. You have a true 131 00:06:11,560 --> 00:06:14,560 Speaker 1: freshman as your quarterback that you know has been okay, 132 00:06:15,000 --> 00:06:17,919 Speaker 1: but he hasn't been outstanding, so you know, if you 133 00:06:17,920 --> 00:06:19,400 Speaker 1: start to pound these guys in the ground and get 134 00:06:19,400 --> 00:06:22,880 Speaker 1: his confidence up, run it up. So I think Michigan 135 00:06:22,920 --> 00:06:25,400 Speaker 1: wins this one going away by a lot. Let's go 136 00:06:25,480 --> 00:06:26,160 Speaker 1: to Virginia. 137 00:06:26,520 --> 00:06:27,200 Speaker 3: Louisville. 138 00:06:27,320 --> 00:06:29,760 Speaker 1: We're gonna go over sixty one and a half in 139 00:06:29,839 --> 00:06:34,080 Speaker 1: this game. And look, this is just Virginia keeps scoring 140 00:06:34,600 --> 00:06:37,920 Speaker 1: and they can't stop anybody. That's kind of the thing here. 141 00:06:38,080 --> 00:06:41,320 Speaker 1: Louisville has played very well on defense right now, but 142 00:06:41,320 --> 00:06:45,640 Speaker 1: the strength of schedule is very weak comparatively to Virginia, 143 00:06:45,680 --> 00:06:49,640 Speaker 1: and Virginia put up points on Florida State last week, 144 00:06:49,720 --> 00:06:51,680 Speaker 1: so this is a letdown spot, so I don't want 145 00:06:51,680 --> 00:06:53,800 Speaker 1: to take them against the spread here. I know there 146 00:06:53,800 --> 00:06:55,839 Speaker 1: are some people sprinkling on the money line because they 147 00:06:55,920 --> 00:06:57,880 Speaker 1: just beat FSU. This is a road game. It's gonna 148 00:06:57,880 --> 00:07:00,159 Speaker 1: be a little tougher. I think it might get weird 149 00:07:00,200 --> 00:07:02,600 Speaker 1: for them. But I really do love this Virginia offense, 150 00:07:02,640 --> 00:07:06,479 Speaker 1: and they pace too thirteenth highest, twelfth highest, somewhere in 151 00:07:06,480 --> 00:07:08,479 Speaker 1: that neighborhood. I think they're going to be able to score. 152 00:07:08,520 --> 00:07:10,840 Speaker 1: I think against Florida State they prove they can score 153 00:07:10,880 --> 00:07:14,040 Speaker 1: against anybody. But also I don't think they can stop anybody, 154 00:07:14,040 --> 00:07:15,560 Speaker 1: So I think Louisville is going to be able to score. 155 00:07:15,600 --> 00:07:18,400 Speaker 1: Miller MOS's gonna put up some yards here, so over 156 00:07:18,480 --> 00:07:21,080 Speaker 1: sixty one and a half there, all right? Moving on here, 157 00:07:21,080 --> 00:07:23,320 Speaker 1: I'm going to take Cincinnati on the money line against 158 00:07:23,400 --> 00:07:26,280 Speaker 1: Iowa State, and I'm just doubling down. This is going 159 00:07:26,320 --> 00:07:29,160 Speaker 1: to be a tight one. But Sowersby has been great. 160 00:07:29,480 --> 00:07:32,080 Speaker 1: He crushes zone coverage, which Iowa State runs at a 161 00:07:32,120 --> 00:07:35,640 Speaker 1: high rate. They haven't been tested by a good passer yet, 162 00:07:35,680 --> 00:07:37,880 Speaker 1: and neither one of these teams has put pressure on 163 00:07:37,920 --> 00:07:40,920 Speaker 1: the quarterback at all. One hundred and twenty second grade 164 00:07:40,920 --> 00:07:43,720 Speaker 1: for since he one hundred and twenty fourth for Iowa 165 00:07:43,720 --> 00:07:47,800 Speaker 1: State one sack per game for each of these teams. 166 00:07:47,800 --> 00:07:50,360 Speaker 1: The difference is that Iowa State runs the ball at 167 00:07:50,360 --> 00:07:53,400 Speaker 1: fifty four point eight percent, and since he is second 168 00:07:53,440 --> 00:07:56,840 Speaker 1: in run defense grade and thirty first statistically. So I 169 00:07:56,920 --> 00:08:00,320 Speaker 1: really like Sincey in that game. We're gonna go Florida 170 00:08:00,320 --> 00:08:02,920 Speaker 1: team total under eighteen and a half ars Texas. Look, 171 00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:05,320 Speaker 1: I'm a Texas fan. You can see v Y up 172 00:08:05,360 --> 00:08:08,080 Speaker 1: here behind me right. I don't typically take Texas games, 173 00:08:08,440 --> 00:08:11,200 Speaker 1: but I think the one thing that we know in 174 00:08:11,240 --> 00:08:14,040 Speaker 1: this game is that Florida's offense has been miserable. Texas 175 00:08:14,040 --> 00:08:16,880 Speaker 1: defense has been good. I have no idea what's going 176 00:08:16,920 --> 00:08:19,560 Speaker 1: to happen with Texas offense against a good defense like Florida. 177 00:08:19,760 --> 00:08:21,960 Speaker 1: They could completely fold up like Origami, which is why 178 00:08:22,000 --> 00:08:25,120 Speaker 1: I don't really care for the spread, specifically because Texas 179 00:08:25,160 --> 00:08:27,120 Speaker 1: is on the road, but I don't think Florida's going 180 00:08:27,160 --> 00:08:29,520 Speaker 1: to score many points each a lagway has been fairly miserable. 181 00:08:30,000 --> 00:08:32,280 Speaker 1: Texas plays an run really well, and I think it's 182 00:08:32,320 --> 00:08:35,959 Speaker 1: going to just be Florida. Lots of three and outs, 183 00:08:36,000 --> 00:08:38,840 Speaker 1: lots of punting. They don't make big plays either. Right, 184 00:08:39,200 --> 00:08:42,480 Speaker 1: That's the thing is, they're very low in the country 185 00:08:42,520 --> 00:08:45,600 Speaker 1: in explosive play rates. So I just don't think Florida 186 00:08:45,679 --> 00:08:48,480 Speaker 1: is going to have a lot to score this many points. 187 00:08:48,280 --> 00:08:50,160 Speaker 3: Against a really strong Texas defense. 188 00:08:50,559 --> 00:08:52,720 Speaker 1: We are going to stay in the state of Texas 189 00:08:52,760 --> 00:08:54,480 Speaker 1: here or go to the state of Texas out of Florida. 190 00:08:55,000 --> 00:08:58,079 Speaker 1: Texas Tech minus eleven at Houston. No. Look, I've lost 191 00:08:58,120 --> 00:09:00,520 Speaker 1: money betting against Houston at home this year, but I 192 00:09:00,559 --> 00:09:04,920 Speaker 1: took Colorado in that instance, and I was early in 193 00:09:04,960 --> 00:09:08,240 Speaker 1: the season and they were switching their quarterback. It was 194 00:09:08,640 --> 00:09:11,080 Speaker 1: too big of a reach. But Texas Tech went to 195 00:09:11,280 --> 00:09:14,439 Speaker 1: Utah in one. Right. I do think Houston is good, 196 00:09:14,520 --> 00:09:16,560 Speaker 1: but I don't think that they're going to be able 197 00:09:16,559 --> 00:09:19,760 Speaker 1: to pass very well. Connor Wigman. When Texas Tech is 198 00:09:19,800 --> 00:09:21,840 Speaker 1: getting home rushing four and they just have been getting 199 00:09:21,880 --> 00:09:25,280 Speaker 1: home rushing four with Bailey and Height all year, I 200 00:09:25,320 --> 00:09:27,960 Speaker 1: don't think that's going to change against a weak Houston line. 201 00:09:28,400 --> 00:09:31,280 Speaker 1: So I think my thought process for that Colorado game 202 00:09:31,840 --> 00:09:35,800 Speaker 1: plays better against a much stronger team in Texas Tech. 203 00:09:35,920 --> 00:09:38,560 Speaker 1: So picking on Houston again, hopefully they don't make me 204 00:09:38,559 --> 00:09:41,280 Speaker 1: pay again. I don't think they will. I'll tell you 205 00:09:41,320 --> 00:09:44,520 Speaker 1: what has been working for me. Taking Mississippi State and 206 00:09:44,640 --> 00:09:47,679 Speaker 1: points right. We did it against Tennessee and at worked 207 00:09:47,720 --> 00:09:49,319 Speaker 1: last week. We're going to do it against Texas A 208 00:09:49,360 --> 00:09:51,760 Speaker 1: and M. This is their first road test, right, But 209 00:09:51,880 --> 00:09:55,360 Speaker 1: this is a good team, Mississippi State and catching fifteen 210 00:09:55,400 --> 00:09:57,240 Speaker 1: and a half points. We're also going to go over 211 00:09:57,280 --> 00:10:00,080 Speaker 1: fifty five and a half again. Maybe I'm just not 212 00:10:00,160 --> 00:10:03,320 Speaker 1: learning my lesson on this right because I lost on 213 00:10:03,360 --> 00:10:05,400 Speaker 1: the over on Texas A and M last week. But 214 00:10:06,160 --> 00:10:08,280 Speaker 1: we saw Jackson Arnold try to run the ball. Auburn 215 00:10:08,280 --> 00:10:11,400 Speaker 1: didn't have a lot. Mississippi State has their guys, They 216 00:10:11,400 --> 00:10:14,600 Speaker 1: have a Booth and boff Well Shapin has played well 217 00:10:14,720 --> 00:10:17,480 Speaker 1: enough to put up some points as well. So I 218 00:10:17,640 --> 00:10:20,559 Speaker 1: like Mississippi State plus fifteen and a half. I like 219 00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:23,319 Speaker 1: their over twenty one and a half team total, and 220 00:10:23,600 --> 00:10:26,559 Speaker 1: we like the over in this game of fifty five 221 00:10:26,600 --> 00:10:28,880 Speaker 1: and a half that team total. I'll play off to 222 00:10:28,920 --> 00:10:31,040 Speaker 1: the side. I won't count for this show, but I 223 00:10:31,040 --> 00:10:33,559 Speaker 1: don't hate it. If you're looking around and just don't 224 00:10:33,640 --> 00:10:37,280 Speaker 1: like the over in this game. Ohio State versus Minnesota 225 00:10:37,800 --> 00:10:40,120 Speaker 1: under forty three and a half and you know what, 226 00:10:40,160 --> 00:10:42,120 Speaker 1: I'm gonna double down. I'm gonna take the Minnesota under 227 00:10:42,160 --> 00:10:44,920 Speaker 1: nine and a half team total. This Ohio State defense 228 00:10:45,440 --> 00:10:48,400 Speaker 1: is crazy right now. Drake Lindsay has been great, but 229 00:10:48,800 --> 00:10:52,480 Speaker 1: Darius Taylor has been out. Their backup running back has 230 00:10:52,520 --> 00:10:54,760 Speaker 1: been out from Minnesota as well. I don't know who 231 00:10:54,800 --> 00:10:56,120 Speaker 1: is going to play for them. That's going to make 232 00:10:56,160 --> 00:10:59,440 Speaker 1: them incredibly one dimensional against the best defense in the 233 00:10:59,440 --> 00:11:03,000 Speaker 1: country on the road in a night game. Pass on 234 00:11:03,120 --> 00:11:06,840 Speaker 1: Minnesota for me. So you know, the spread is really large, 235 00:11:06,880 --> 00:11:08,920 Speaker 1: and Ohio State hasn't been putting up a lot of points, 236 00:11:09,200 --> 00:11:12,960 Speaker 1: which is why I'm on the under here. So yeah, 237 00:11:13,040 --> 00:11:16,520 Speaker 1: I'm we're gonna rock under forty three and a half 238 00:11:16,559 --> 00:11:18,480 Speaker 1: and under nine and a half on the team total. 239 00:11:18,520 --> 00:11:20,800 Speaker 1: I mean nine and a half is because like, do 240 00:11:20,840 --> 00:11:23,440 Speaker 1: they do more than kick three field goals? Can they 241 00:11:23,440 --> 00:11:25,040 Speaker 1: get in the end zone? I don't think they can. 242 00:11:25,160 --> 00:11:27,440 Speaker 1: I think this might be a shutout for Ohio State. 243 00:11:27,600 --> 00:11:30,240 Speaker 1: So yeah, give me the under forty three and a 244 00:11:30,280 --> 00:11:32,920 Speaker 1: half and give me the under team total on Minnesota. 245 00:11:33,200 --> 00:11:35,120 Speaker 1: We're gonna take Pitt minus six and a half. First 246 00:11:35,160 --> 00:11:39,720 Speaker 1: Boston College. This one is Eli Holstein's gonna play by 247 00:11:39,760 --> 00:11:42,400 Speaker 1: the way. He was questionable going into this game, but 248 00:11:42,440 --> 00:11:47,440 Speaker 1: he's gonna play. And this is weirdly important for Pitt 249 00:11:47,840 --> 00:11:50,720 Speaker 1: to make a bowl. They have two wins right now. 250 00:11:51,000 --> 00:11:53,600 Speaker 1: They have at least three on the schedule if we're 251 00:11:53,600 --> 00:11:56,720 Speaker 1: counting this one right, and then they have to get 252 00:11:56,800 --> 00:11:59,360 Speaker 1: maybe an upset against somebody else looking at the rest 253 00:11:59,360 --> 00:12:01,120 Speaker 1: of their schedule. But they have to win this game 254 00:12:01,559 --> 00:12:03,480 Speaker 1: because you don't want to count on two upsets to 255 00:12:03,520 --> 00:12:06,280 Speaker 1: get to a bowl. So this is a very important game. 256 00:12:06,320 --> 00:12:08,840 Speaker 1: I think the coaching staff is gonna stress that this week, 257 00:12:08,880 --> 00:12:11,480 Speaker 1: and I expect Pitt to go out and win, and 258 00:12:11,679 --> 00:12:13,360 Speaker 1: if they get up I expect them to lean on 259 00:12:13,400 --> 00:12:15,480 Speaker 1: it heavily and not take the foot off the gas 260 00:12:15,480 --> 00:12:17,800 Speaker 1: because they have to have this win. So we're gonna 261 00:12:17,840 --> 00:12:19,640 Speaker 1: go pit minus six and a half at home. We're 262 00:12:19,640 --> 00:12:22,200 Speaker 1: also gonna take Memphis minus twenty and a half. First Tulsa. 263 00:12:22,400 --> 00:12:25,319 Speaker 1: Tulsa's not a bad team, but they don't have anything 264 00:12:25,360 --> 00:12:28,240 Speaker 1: on offense, and Memphis has everything on offense. 265 00:12:28,280 --> 00:12:29,720 Speaker 3: And I think Memphis scores. 266 00:12:29,400 --> 00:12:36,199 Speaker 1: At least probably forty points on this poor Tulsa squad. 267 00:12:36,559 --> 00:12:38,360 Speaker 1: I think they I honestly think they run them out 268 00:12:38,360 --> 00:12:40,000 Speaker 1: of the Building. I think it's gonna be a gross game, 269 00:12:40,080 --> 00:12:42,080 Speaker 1: but I think they put up a lot of points, 270 00:12:42,120 --> 00:12:44,560 Speaker 1: and I just don't think that Tulsa can play. 271 00:12:44,400 --> 00:12:45,840 Speaker 3: Point for point with Memphis. 272 00:12:45,880 --> 00:12:48,520 Speaker 1: So we're gonna go ahead and roll Memphis and lay 273 00:12:48,559 --> 00:12:51,560 Speaker 1: all those points. We're gonna take points for Maryland at 274 00:12:51,559 --> 00:12:56,400 Speaker 1: home against Washington. And this is the case of Washington 275 00:12:56,400 --> 00:12:59,240 Speaker 1: maybe getting beat by Ohio State twice. Right, they played 276 00:12:59,280 --> 00:13:01,960 Speaker 1: at home, they got whooped at home. It's a physical 277 00:13:02,040 --> 00:13:04,440 Speaker 1: loss that they had against Ohio State. Now they have 278 00:13:04,480 --> 00:13:06,400 Speaker 1: to go all the way across the country to Maryland, 279 00:13:06,440 --> 00:13:09,560 Speaker 1: who's been playing great football. They are unproven, right, they 280 00:13:09,559 --> 00:13:11,560 Speaker 1: are a four to zero unproven team. They haven't played 281 00:13:11,600 --> 00:13:14,520 Speaker 1: anyone tough yet. But I think they can make a 282 00:13:14,520 --> 00:13:16,160 Speaker 1: little bit of a stand at home. I think this 283 00:13:16,440 --> 00:13:20,080 Speaker 1: Malik Washington, their quarterback, has been outstanding so far this year. 284 00:13:20,440 --> 00:13:22,240 Speaker 1: I think that keeps Maryland in this game. I don't 285 00:13:22,240 --> 00:13:24,960 Speaker 1: know if they can win it, but I think this 286 00:13:25,000 --> 00:13:27,480 Speaker 1: could be a field goal, this could be an overtime game, 287 00:13:27,920 --> 00:13:31,560 Speaker 1: something like that. So yeah, I'm going to take Maryland 288 00:13:31,559 --> 00:13:34,000 Speaker 1: plus the points at home with Washington going all the 289 00:13:34,040 --> 00:13:36,719 Speaker 1: way across the country, and the last one I'll take 290 00:13:36,760 --> 00:13:39,920 Speaker 1: before we get to the props here Notre Dame team 291 00:13:39,960 --> 00:13:43,280 Speaker 1: total over forty one and a half Versuspoise State. This 292 00:13:43,360 --> 00:13:46,480 Speaker 1: one is just look Notre Dame lost those two games 293 00:13:46,520 --> 00:13:49,640 Speaker 1: we talked about this, right, they have to win in 294 00:13:49,800 --> 00:13:52,719 Speaker 1: impressive style every single week for the rest of the 295 00:13:52,800 --> 00:13:55,640 Speaker 1: year to even be in contention to get a playoff spot, 296 00:13:56,679 --> 00:13:59,040 Speaker 1: you know. So they are going to try to keep 297 00:13:59,080 --> 00:14:00,920 Speaker 1: the foot on the gap. They're going to try to 298 00:14:00,920 --> 00:14:04,040 Speaker 1: put up so many points their team total to forty 299 00:14:04,040 --> 00:14:06,040 Speaker 1: one and a half against a good Boise State team, 300 00:14:06,200 --> 00:14:08,800 Speaker 1: and I do not care. I'm taking Notre Dame to 301 00:14:08,840 --> 00:14:11,280 Speaker 1: put up over forty one and a half points. The 302 00:14:11,360 --> 00:14:13,000 Speaker 1: total in this game, I believe is sixty three and 303 00:14:13,040 --> 00:14:14,120 Speaker 1: a half, so a little bit more. 304 00:14:14,400 --> 00:14:15,160 Speaker 3: I like that too. 305 00:14:15,679 --> 00:14:17,760 Speaker 1: But my favorite bet in this game is Notre Dame 306 00:14:17,800 --> 00:14:19,920 Speaker 1: team total because they just have to pour it on 307 00:14:20,640 --> 00:14:23,600 Speaker 1: to look good in voters' eyes, and I think they're. 308 00:14:23,360 --> 00:14:25,040 Speaker 3: Going to do that for the rest of the season. 309 00:14:25,680 --> 00:14:28,360 Speaker 1: Before we get to the props. To remind you guys 310 00:14:28,720 --> 00:14:31,680 Speaker 1: to check out the BP Discord. If you're looking to 311 00:14:31,760 --> 00:14:34,800 Speaker 1: up your game in sports betting, you can join our 312 00:14:34,880 --> 00:14:38,840 Speaker 1: exclusive sports betting discord community at Bettingpros dot com slash chat. 313 00:14:38,920 --> 00:14:41,480 Speaker 1: Not only can you connect with expert handicappers who provide 314 00:14:41,480 --> 00:14:44,760 Speaker 1: free picks for the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, player props, 315 00:14:44,760 --> 00:14:47,520 Speaker 1: live betting, and more, but now you can also participate 316 00:14:47,520 --> 00:14:50,040 Speaker 1: in our weekly community picks. You can cast your vote, 317 00:14:50,120 --> 00:14:53,120 Speaker 1: see how your pick stack up against the experts, and 318 00:14:53,240 --> 00:14:54,680 Speaker 1: track your success. 319 00:14:55,400 --> 00:14:56,360 Speaker 3: Do it today. 320 00:14:56,480 --> 00:14:59,120 Speaker 1: Check it out over at Bettingpros dot com slash chat, 321 00:14:59,400 --> 00:15:01,960 Speaker 1: and while you're over there, download the Betting Pros app. 322 00:15:02,000 --> 00:15:04,280 Speaker 1: You could track your bet state, accountable and level up. 323 00:15:04,320 --> 00:15:07,200 Speaker 1: By downloading the Betting Pros app. With Sportsbook Sync, you 324 00:15:07,200 --> 00:15:11,000 Speaker 1: can automatically track your bets across all major sportsbook in 325 00:15:11,080 --> 00:15:14,840 Speaker 1: one spot. Easily monitor your bet performance by sport and 326 00:15:15,000 --> 00:15:18,240 Speaker 1: bet type, including game picks, props and parlays. You can 327 00:15:18,280 --> 00:15:22,360 Speaker 1: create custom betting systems to find winning trends and profitable opportunities. 328 00:15:22,520 --> 00:15:25,760 Speaker 1: Get a seven day free trial Betting Pros Premium by 329 00:15:25,880 --> 00:15:31,200 Speaker 1: using Juice jui ce and activating your trial on the 330 00:15:31,360 --> 00:15:34,840 Speaker 1: upgrade screen. So download that BP app and check it out. 331 00:15:35,280 --> 00:15:38,760 Speaker 1: All right, props, I've got five touchdown calls for you, 332 00:15:38,840 --> 00:15:42,320 Speaker 1: three RBS and two wide receivers. We're gonna go Penn 333 00:15:42,360 --> 00:15:46,880 Speaker 1: State running back Nicholas Singleton at UCLA. Obviously UCLA is 334 00:15:46,920 --> 00:15:49,600 Speaker 1: a rough team right now. Yes this is on the road, 335 00:15:49,680 --> 00:15:50,760 Speaker 1: but I mean. 336 00:15:50,600 --> 00:15:52,920 Speaker 3: Penn State's gonna whoop up on UCLA. That's not gonna 337 00:15:52,920 --> 00:15:53,880 Speaker 3: be a tough game for them. 338 00:15:54,120 --> 00:15:56,280 Speaker 1: We're gonna go with Cameron Dicky, the running back for 339 00:15:56,320 --> 00:16:00,400 Speaker 1: Texas Tech, to score a touchdown at Houston. I think 340 00:16:00,640 --> 00:16:02,400 Speaker 1: Texas Tech is going to run away with that game. 341 00:16:02,440 --> 00:16:04,480 Speaker 1: I think Dickie can score a touchdown in this one. 342 00:16:04,760 --> 00:16:09,640 Speaker 1: Jeremiah Smith, we saw this working last week, that Saying 343 00:16:09,680 --> 00:16:13,040 Speaker 1: and Smith were finally kind of connecting. I think we 344 00:16:13,080 --> 00:16:15,600 Speaker 1: see more of that. Minnesota likes to play a lot 345 00:16:15,640 --> 00:16:19,200 Speaker 1: of man. You cannot man up on Jeremiah Smith. You 346 00:16:19,240 --> 00:16:21,320 Speaker 1: got to double him if you're gonna do that, and 347 00:16:21,960 --> 00:16:24,360 Speaker 1: I think he's going to have at least one huge catch, 348 00:16:24,520 --> 00:16:27,160 Speaker 1: hopefully it gets in the end zone. Le'Veon Moss, the 349 00:16:27,240 --> 00:16:30,480 Speaker 1: running back for Texas A and M scoring against Mississippi State. Hey, look, 350 00:16:30,520 --> 00:16:32,320 Speaker 1: I like Mississippi State in this game. Doesn't mean A 351 00:16:32,360 --> 00:16:34,160 Speaker 1: and M ain't gonna score. They're gonna score a lot 352 00:16:34,400 --> 00:16:38,160 Speaker 1: in this game. I think Mississippi States defense is not 353 00:16:38,240 --> 00:16:40,960 Speaker 1: great against the run. So I think that Le'Veon Moss 354 00:16:41,000 --> 00:16:43,640 Speaker 1: is going to score against Mississippi State. So I am 355 00:16:43,640 --> 00:16:45,280 Speaker 1: playing a little bit of both sides of that game. 356 00:16:45,480 --> 00:16:48,520 Speaker 1: And then look, UNC's defense hasn't been good, So let's 357 00:16:48,560 --> 00:16:51,160 Speaker 1: go with Clemson wide receiver Bryant Westco. Yes, they got 358 00:16:51,160 --> 00:16:55,320 Speaker 1: Antonio Williams back last week, but he's still GIMPI I 359 00:16:55,360 --> 00:16:58,040 Speaker 1: think that Westco has been their main guy, and I 360 00:16:58,040 --> 00:16:59,520 Speaker 1: think he's going to continue to do that and he 361 00:16:59,560 --> 00:17:03,360 Speaker 1: can use score against UNC. All right, some yardage and 362 00:17:03,360 --> 00:17:06,920 Speaker 1: player props here. Oh, we're gonna go. I'm doubling down 363 00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:09,280 Speaker 1: on this Michigan. Love right, I'm gonna take Danny O'Neil 364 00:17:09,359 --> 00:17:11,080 Speaker 1: under one hundred and seventy one and a half passing 365 00:17:11,160 --> 00:17:14,800 Speaker 1: yards against Michigan. He's had one twenty or under against 366 00:17:14,800 --> 00:17:17,560 Speaker 1: Maryland Bama in Miami, Ohio. He went over only against 367 00:17:17,640 --> 00:17:20,560 Speaker 1: Air Force in Middle Tennessee. So those upper echelon or 368 00:17:20,600 --> 00:17:23,560 Speaker 1: even halfway good defenses he has been miserable against. In 369 00:17:23,600 --> 00:17:26,160 Speaker 1: Michigan is a very good defense coming off of bye week, 370 00:17:26,240 --> 00:17:28,919 Speaker 1: So that one I really like, We're gonna stick to Cincy. 371 00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:30,720 Speaker 1: We're gonna go over one and a half passing touchdowns 372 00:17:30,800 --> 00:17:33,440 Speaker 1: versus Iowa State. He's had ten passing touchdowns in the 373 00:17:33,520 --> 00:17:36,760 Speaker 1: last two games. And I told you guys about you know, 374 00:17:36,880 --> 00:17:39,120 Speaker 1: iow State playing a lot of his own and sourceman 375 00:17:39,119 --> 00:17:42,600 Speaker 1: being able to pick them apart. Illinois running back Cayden 376 00:17:42,640 --> 00:17:46,040 Speaker 1: Fagan playing at Perdue. We're gonna go over seventy one 377 00:17:46,040 --> 00:17:48,760 Speaker 1: and a half rushing yards here. Purdue is eighty six 378 00:17:48,840 --> 00:17:51,240 Speaker 1: in rushing yards allowed per game and one hundred and 379 00:17:51,280 --> 00:17:54,520 Speaker 1: fifty eight point three. Vegan is the main guy here. 380 00:17:54,720 --> 00:17:57,919 Speaker 1: He is going to get the workload. We're gonna go 381 00:17:57,960 --> 00:17:59,840 Speaker 1: for a running back Jade and Ball under sixty two 382 00:17:59,840 --> 00:18:03,080 Speaker 1: and half rushing yards versus Texas. Texas d is third 383 00:18:03,080 --> 00:18:05,920 Speaker 1: in rushing yards allowed per game at fifty nine point 384 00:18:05,920 --> 00:18:10,800 Speaker 1: eight rushing yards allowed per game. That is fewer than 385 00:18:10,920 --> 00:18:14,560 Speaker 1: Bow is given in this gape. So I mean this 386 00:18:14,720 --> 00:18:16,640 Speaker 1: is one of the better opponents that Texas has played. 387 00:18:16,640 --> 00:18:19,440 Speaker 1: But they also played Ohio State, so I don't think 388 00:18:19,480 --> 00:18:20,240 Speaker 1: Bob gets there. 389 00:18:21,080 --> 00:18:22,560 Speaker 3: Two one dimensional for Florida. 390 00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:24,960 Speaker 1: Jamari Taylor, the running back for Virginia, We're gonna go 391 00:18:24,960 --> 00:18:26,560 Speaker 1: over sixty nine and a half rushing yards for him 392 00:18:26,600 --> 00:18:29,719 Speaker 1: versus Louisville. They unleashed him last week with twenty seven carries. 393 00:18:29,760 --> 00:18:32,919 Speaker 1: He was physical, he was awesome. Honestly, he needs to 394 00:18:32,960 --> 00:18:35,600 Speaker 1: get the football more, and I think he clears this 395 00:18:35,680 --> 00:18:39,719 Speaker 1: one fairly easily. And then SMU wide receiver Roumelo Brinson 396 00:18:39,840 --> 00:18:41,960 Speaker 1: over sixty two and a half receiving yards ver Syracuse 397 00:18:42,240 --> 00:18:45,240 Speaker 1: QS is one hundred and thirty second passing yards allowed 398 00:18:45,280 --> 00:18:48,040 Speaker 1: per game. Brinton has the most wide receiver snaps by 399 00:18:48,040 --> 00:18:51,240 Speaker 1: a wide margin and the most targets for SMU as well. 400 00:18:51,560 --> 00:18:55,360 Speaker 1: So in review, before I let y'all go going back 401 00:18:55,400 --> 00:18:58,560 Speaker 1: to the picks, we're going Michigan minus seventeen and a 402 00:18:58,560 --> 00:19:01,879 Speaker 1: half versus Wisconsin hosting Virginia over sixty one and a 403 00:19:01,920 --> 00:19:06,280 Speaker 1: half Sincy money line versus Iowa State, Florida team total 404 00:19:06,359 --> 00:19:09,640 Speaker 1: under eighteen and a half versus Texas Texas Tech minus 405 00:19:09,640 --> 00:19:13,119 Speaker 1: eleven at Houston, Mississippi State plus fifteen and a half 406 00:19:13,280 --> 00:19:16,000 Speaker 1: and over fifty five and a half at Texas A 407 00:19:16,080 --> 00:19:19,840 Speaker 1: and m Ohio State first, Minnesota under forty three and 408 00:19:19,880 --> 00:19:23,000 Speaker 1: a half and the Minnesota team total under nine and 409 00:19:23,080 --> 00:19:26,520 Speaker 1: a half Pitt minus six and a half, first Boston College, 410 00:19:26,880 --> 00:19:29,560 Speaker 1: Memphis minus twenty a half Versut Tulsa, Maryland plus six 411 00:19:29,560 --> 00:19:32,200 Speaker 1: and a half, First Washington Notre Dame team total over 412 00:19:32,280 --> 00:19:34,800 Speaker 1: forty one and a half firsts Poise State the props. 413 00:19:34,920 --> 00:19:38,960 Speaker 1: We got touchdowns for Nick Singleton, Cameron Dicky, Jeremiah Smith, 414 00:19:39,000 --> 00:19:43,520 Speaker 1: Leavey on Moss Bryant Westco. We have the unders on 415 00:19:43,720 --> 00:19:47,800 Speaker 1: Danie O'Neil passing yards on Jaydon Baugh rushing yards over 416 00:19:48,160 --> 00:19:52,639 Speaker 1: swordsby passing touchdowns, Vegan rushing yards, Jamari Taylor rushing yards, 417 00:19:52,680 --> 00:19:56,520 Speaker 1: and Romelo Brinson receiving yards. So that is everything for me. 418 00:19:57,000 --> 00:20:00,800 Speaker 1: Big slate for me this week, So we're liking it. 419 00:20:00,800 --> 00:20:04,080 Speaker 1: We're growing this as the year goes on, which is 420 00:20:04,119 --> 00:20:06,159 Speaker 1: exactly what we should be doing. So that is everything 421 00:20:06,200 --> 00:20:07,600 Speaker 1: for me. You can follow me on the Twitter app 422 00:20:07,600 --> 00:20:10,120 Speaker 1: Bogman Sports and good luck and I'll see you guys 423 00:20:10,119 --> 00:20:10,480 Speaker 1: next week. 424 00:20:10,560 --> 00:20:11,520 Speaker 3: Take it easy, everybody. 425 00:20:12,400 --> 00:20:15,040 Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 426 00:20:15,080 --> 00:20:17,440 Speaker 1: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 427 00:20:17,480 --> 00:20:20,879 Speaker 1: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 428 00:20:21,160 --> 00:20:23,800 Speaker 1: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 429 00:20:23,880 --> 00:20:25,760 Speaker 1: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. 430 00:20:26,160 --> 00:20:27,880 Speaker 3: Also subscribe to our YouTube. 431 00:20:27,600 --> 00:20:36,359 Speaker 1: Channel at YouTube dot com. Slash betting pros