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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that Action Boss. All right. Here we

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Speaker 2: got growing into.

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Speaker 3: I'm saying it's a cash to see most gamblers when

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Speaker 3: they go to gamble, they go to win. That's incredible.

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Speaker 4: Big bank, small banks.

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Speaker 2: I like to make money.

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Speaker 3: All right, this is the ultimate kabah you want to pack.

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Speaker 1: And we are.

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Speaker 3: What is up? Everybody? Welcome to The Action Network Podcast

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Speaker 3: presented by Bett MGM. I'm your host, Chris Raybond, and

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Speaker 3: this is your NFL Week eight betting preview. We're gonna

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Speaker 3: talk about our favorite sides, totals, teasers, survivor picks, underdog

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Speaker 3: money lines, and of course, crack open our weekly Sunday

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Speaker 3: sixth pack of Against the Spread bets with the help

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Speaker 3: of my co hosts, the Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation,

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Speaker 3: Stucky Stuck, what's going on?

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Speaker 4: A nice week for you? Thanks for the carry.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Raven's reputation remains intact. I had chirpers all week

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Speaker 2: the lines. Chirpers, call me a homer, call me I

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Speaker 2: don't know this defense. Tell me about how good Alex

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Speaker 2: Angeloni and some are. Big bet for me, And that

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Speaker 2: was about as sweat free and as enjoyable as any

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Speaker 2: NFL bet has ever been for I mean it was

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Speaker 2: thirty five. Nothing that was nice.

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Speaker 3: So we move on, yeah, man, and we'll talk about

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Speaker 3: the Ravens because it's that AFC North is heating up.

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Speaker 3: The worst team is the Bengals in there three and three.

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Speaker 3: But we will get into our Thursday Night football preview.

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Speaker 3: I just want to remind everyone that the NBA season.

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Speaker 4: Has officially tipped off.

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Speaker 3: So like betting the Association, be sure to check out

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Speaker 3: Buckets Action Networks basketball betting podcast with new episodes every

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Speaker 3: single weekday this NBA season. That name again is Buckets

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Speaker 3: Available wherever you like to listen. I was get into

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Speaker 3: Thursday Night Football Week eight.

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Speaker 1: It's not the best game, but it's the only game tonight.

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Speaker 1: Let's bet Thursday Night Football.

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Speaker 3: So we got the Tampa Bay Bucks. Who ah, man,

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Speaker 3: that was a frustrating game. Half of the Bucks, you know,

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Speaker 3: ritter was ritterering. I mean, couldn't have gotten more breaks

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Speaker 3: and still couldn't capitalize on offense. Now you go to Buffalo,

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Speaker 3: the line is eight and a half in favor of

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Speaker 3: the Bills. The total is forty three. So we do

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Speaker 3: have one of these games with a pretty large spread.

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Speaker 3: And a low total that usually signifies, you know, wean

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Speaker 3: toward the dog, but definitely don't want to weigh the

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Speaker 3: points here. Stuck you kind of lean toward a teaser.

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Speaker 3: Is that the only thing you're really feeling for this spot.

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Speaker 2: I'm pretty close to the market here. The bills are

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Speaker 2: still I mean, I've faded the bills of the show

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Speaker 2: three weeks in a row. They're still on my fade

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Speaker 2: watch list, but not on Thursday night, and with a

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Speaker 2: pretty good matchup. You know, I kind of think that

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Speaker 2: I hope that they actually blow out the Bucks for

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Speaker 2: maybe potential fade value in the future, in these future

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Speaker 2: weeks until McDermott makes it necessary adjustment, maybe they go

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Speaker 2: out and get somebody else on to add to that defense,

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Speaker 2: because look, you could already run on Buffalo and now

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Speaker 2: they have cover tolls. I mean, I just can't stress

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Speaker 2: enough how important losing Milano, White and Jakon Jones was

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Speaker 2: playing at all pro level. Matt Milano's it's really hard

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Speaker 2: to quantify how important he is to that defense. And

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Speaker 2: then you have a shutdown corner. When you have that

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Speaker 2: provide so much flexibility to your defense. Additionally, it's not

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Speaker 2: just losing those guys, it's a drop off. It's a

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Speaker 2: drop off to Kayrie, it's bringing in a rookie getting

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Speaker 2: more defensive snaps. It's more Tim Settle Poon a forward,

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Speaker 2: like massive drop off to their replacements. But I don't

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Speaker 2: know if the Bucks can necessarily capitalize. The Bucks can't

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Speaker 2: run the ball, argue to the worst rush offense in

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Speaker 2: the NFL, so they're not going to take advantage of

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Speaker 2: Buffalo in that aspect. In Buffalo, even with the injuries,

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Speaker 2: they can still generate some pressure without blitzing. That's the

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Speaker 2: kryptonite for Baker Mayfield. That's essentially how you turn them

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Speaker 2: into a pumpkin. So it's a pretty good matchup for Buffalo.

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Speaker 2: The offense is still just a little off, but I

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Speaker 2: expect it and timpa is a decent defense, but I

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Speaker 2: expect the Buffalo offense to be ultimately fine. But just

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Speaker 2: to illustrate what I'm talking about with that defense, Bills,

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Speaker 2: you know, coming into the season, projected that one of

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Speaker 2: the best defenses the NFL weeks one through four, if

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Speaker 2: you just go by DBA, second in the league weeks

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Speaker 2: five through seven, past three weeks against the Patriots, Giants

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Speaker 2: and Jags through those injuries twenty eighth, So they've fallen

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Speaker 2: from second to twenty eighth over those two different sample

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Speaker 2: sizes after the injuries. So not a team that I'm

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Speaker 2: looking to lay eight and a half with right now,

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Speaker 2: especially on Thursday night. Probably want to keep like health

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Speaker 2: a concern too with all these injuries, and you got

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Speaker 2: Cincy on deck in a long week. I bet mcdervit's

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Speaker 2: probably really looking forward to that because he's gone from

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Speaker 2: London back home, you know, then the Giants and the Patriots.

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Speaker 2: I need a short week, and I'm sure he wants

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Speaker 2: to take some time to make some adjustments with this

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Speaker 2: defense and figure some things out, which he really hasn't

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Speaker 2: had time to do with this schedule of late. So

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Speaker 2: I don't know if the Bills will't necessarily have interest

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Speaker 2: in running this up, but I can't bet. I can't

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Speaker 2: bat back the Bucks here based on the matchup, so

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Speaker 2: I think really the only prudent bet if you're looking

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Speaker 2: to get some action down keep an eye out on

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Speaker 2: the award winning action over Gap for some props that

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Speaker 2: will come, especially from Curner. But if you're looking for

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Speaker 2: just action from a sider total perspective, I think teasing

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Speaker 2: Buffalo down for me and a half to two, and

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Speaker 2: that's pretty good bet. And there's a number of options

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Speaker 2: to them. What they we'll talk about later in the show.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, for what it's worth, Thursday Night favorites that have

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Speaker 3: opened above a touchdown and haven't dropped below a touchdown.

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Speaker 3: So open seven and a half or more and don't

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Speaker 3: fall below seven thirty nine and nineteen against the spread

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Speaker 3: sixty seven percent. We've talked about this before. Usually on

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Speaker 3: a short week, the superior team is going to have

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Speaker 3: an edge, especially when you're at home. But eight and

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Speaker 3: a half still a lot of points. Buffalo not in

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Speaker 3: great form as you mentioned that defense, So yeah, I

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Speaker 3: think the Tea's is the best best option here. All right,

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Speaker 3: let's get right into the main event the week number

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Speaker 3: eight Sunday six.

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Speaker 1: Pack Thursday for action. Let's crack open Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 3: All right, great week for you, stuck, not so good

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Speaker 3: for me. I'm still up twenty seven to twenty five,

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Speaker 3: but should be a good, good race this year, and

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Speaker 3: you are up first.

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Speaker 2: Where you're going For my first pick of the week,

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Speaker 2: eight Sunday six Pack, I'm gonna go with my new

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Speaker 2: England Patriots plus nine and a half. Look, we can

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Speaker 2: I can constantly say the Patriots, but I kind of

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Speaker 2: had to hide them last week and as my third

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Speaker 2: pick to keep people listening to the show. But they

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Speaker 2: get home outright. I loved some of the things that

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Speaker 2: I saw. I talked about it last week that this

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Speaker 2: team wasn't as bad as they appeared. Extremely unlucky when

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Speaker 2: it came to turnovers, field goals, fumbles, like you name it.

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Speaker 2: Most importantly, their offensive line has been a complete disaster

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Speaker 2: because of injuries. Like if you look at I talked

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Speaker 2: about this last week, if you look at past blocking metrics,

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Speaker 2: stab like five or six guys that were ranked, you know,

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Speaker 2: in the bottom among like two hundred offensive linemen. They

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Speaker 2: were playing some of those guys all at once. Last week,

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Speaker 2: didn't have to do that. The offensive line was significantly better.

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Speaker 2: The only back it was only sacked once, hit two

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Speaker 2: other times against the Bills twenty one percent pressure rate.

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Speaker 2: That's it. Offensive line was great. Why Cole Strange back

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Speaker 2: healthy for the first time in the interior. It's not

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Speaker 2: just about the guys you're getting back. These aren't all pros.

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Speaker 2: It's the guys that they had in there were horrifying you. Also,

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Speaker 2: they also kicked out on Wenu to right tackle, and

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Speaker 2: that went extremely well, not only because he played well,

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Speaker 2: but you cannot have the Darien Lowe and Calvin Anderson

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Speaker 2: playing tackle on an NFL roster in twenty twenty three.

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Speaker 2: They are horrifying. Coming into last week, the Patriots had

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Speaker 2: a I think a twenty seven grade total with their

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Speaker 2: backups playing right tackle, so they kicked out on Whenu

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Speaker 2: and on. It was how Trent Brown's playing really well,

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Speaker 2: one of the best left tackles in the NFL if

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Speaker 2: you just go buy some grading metrics. So now they

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Speaker 2: have an actual competent offensive line city so you can

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Speaker 2: like hide him in there too between a couple of

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Speaker 2: all pros, and the offensive line looked great. Also, Bill

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Speaker 2: O'Brien made some key adjustments, a lot more short passes,

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Speaker 2: get the ball out quick, and put mac Jones under

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Speaker 2: center some more. They were able to get the run

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Speaker 2: game going, which they should be able to do against Miami,

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Speaker 2: and the whole operation, getting Tamario Douglas back and Kendrick

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Speaker 2: Bourne's playing well, the whole operation just looked better. And

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Speaker 2: it starts with that offensive line because once the offensive

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Speaker 2: line is created, Matt Jones turns into a pumpkin. He's

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Speaker 2: not the most mobile guys, but work falls off. So

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Speaker 2: this offense actually looked fairly competent. Look, I mean, he's

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Speaker 2: a ton of motion, seventy four percent motion rate, a

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Speaker 2: lot of ghost motion. That Jones seven of eight ninety

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Speaker 2: five yards off play action after getting that running in

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Speaker 2: going so everything looks so much better. I don't think

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Speaker 2: the market is proper accounting for even with that upset win,

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Speaker 2: the Patriots improvements on offense that I saw last week

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Speaker 2: from a play calling perspective, and most importantly along the

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Speaker 2: offensive line, and then you know, some healthier guys at

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Speaker 2: the skill position defense still going to show up. It's

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Speaker 2: not an elite Belichick unit, but they showed already that

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Speaker 2: they can slow down this Miami offense earlier in the season.

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Speaker 2: I would expect a similar game plan. You know, they're

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Speaker 2: going to have to play a ball control offense. There's

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Speaker 2: also a lot of wins here are heavy, heavy wins projected,

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Speaker 2: which obviously favors the Patriots and their short passing attack

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Speaker 2: and wanting to run the ball, and might I think

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Speaker 2: it would harm that Miami wants to throw more down field,

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Speaker 2: you know, and Miami's offense is decimated by injuries. Your

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Speaker 2: Armstead hit ir Isaiah Win hit the ir Connor Williams

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Speaker 2: still dealing with an injury. I think Waddell practice today.

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Speaker 2: He's dealing with back issues. You never know when they

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Speaker 2: can flare up. So the offense isn't fully healthy right now.

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Speaker 2: So I think this is too many points. I think

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Speaker 2: the Patriots can build on that effort last week, run

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Speaker 2: the ball, and this is still a bad Miami defense.

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Speaker 2: I loved what I saw from New England after really

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Speaker 2: digging into what was going on, and I think it's sustainable.

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Speaker 2: It's not gonna be a great offense, but they can

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Speaker 2: actually just like control the clock and move it efficiently.

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Speaker 2: But I'm gonna wait to see if more Miami money

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Speaker 2: comes in. Kind of in a dead range here, so

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Speaker 2: it's worth waiting to see if the ten pops. If not,

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Speaker 2: I'll still be on the Patriots of plus nine and

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Speaker 2: a half.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, a lot of changes for that New England offense.

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Speaker 3: One thing I don't think should go under talked about

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Speaker 3: either is the Mario Douglas coming back just because Parker

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Speaker 3: was down to like a fifty percent snap rate, and

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Speaker 3: I feel like the less.

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Speaker 2: You seventeen stars, I think is all the got.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, the less you have to rely on Devonte Parker

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Speaker 3: to catch the football and move the chains and generate offense,

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Speaker 3: I think the better start getting to this point in

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Speaker 3: the season and you start, you know, teams are hitting

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Speaker 3: their stride and certain teams are kind of running into

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Speaker 3: a little bumps. I think the Patriots are hitting their stride.

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Speaker 3: Teams like Buffalo Miami might be, you know, San Francisco

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Speaker 3: might be running into some bumps. That is a good

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Speaker 3: segue for my first pick, the second overall of the

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Speaker 3: week eight sun Day six pack. So as we're recording this,

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Speaker 3: it looks like Rock Perdy has just entered the concussion protocol.

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Speaker 3: But with my first pick, the second overall of the

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Speaker 3: Week eight Sunday six pack, I'm going with the Cincinnati

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Speaker 3: Bengals plus three and a half against the San Francisco

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Speaker 3: forty nine ers loved it at five and a half

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Speaker 3: as well, but perty definitely worth at least two points.

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Speaker 3: I have worth more than that to spread over Sam Darnold.

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Speaker 3: So this is now a great spot for the bank

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Speaker 3: goals coming off of by lou Ana Rumo excellent schemer,

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Speaker 3: you're still going to be without Deebo Samuel as well,

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Speaker 3: and quarterbacks in the concussion protocol, really, any player in

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Speaker 3: the concussion Protocol. When you go in on a on

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Speaker 3: a Wednesday, uh, you know, Tuesday or Wednesday, middle week,

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Speaker 3: you almost never play. I think the last time it

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Speaker 3: happened was early last year. But really, especially since Tua,

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Speaker 3: you're not really seeing these guys play. So we talked

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Speaker 3: about this matchup when the Niners were still rolling and undefeated,

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Speaker 3: and we were saying, hey, if there's a spot where

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Speaker 3: we might want to fade the Niners, it's with the Bengals.

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Speaker 3: And now you know the Niners are banged up, They're

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Speaker 3: still not going to have Deebo Samuel, which is significant

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Speaker 3: because the Bengals do like the Blitz. They blitzed at

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Speaker 3: a top ten rate. They get pressure at the top

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Speaker 3: ten rate as well, but Deebo is their top option

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Speaker 3: against the blitz. And we've seen this offense in these

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Speaker 3: last couple of weeks not really like the pass offense

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Speaker 3: is not exactly the same because Deebo, even when he's

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Speaker 3: just a decoy, means so much the offensive line could

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Speaker 3: be banged up. If if if Williams is out, that's

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Speaker 3: a big loss, right there is bad.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's not a.

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Speaker 3: Great line as it is right so, but either way,

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Speaker 3: you know, a fully healthy Niners team, I would still

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Speaker 3: take the Bengals in this spot because number one, they're

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Speaker 3: a really hard team. I think to handicap numbers wise

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Speaker 3: at this point because you almost have to throw away

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Speaker 3: a lot of of the the of their passing game

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Speaker 3: early in the year. I mean, Joe Burrow didn't crack

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Speaker 3: six yards in attempt until Week five. Obviously hurt, but

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Speaker 3: it still wasn't Everything wasn't quicking on all cylinders. So

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Speaker 3: I do think the buye came out the right time,

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Speaker 3: and I like coming out of the buy you're gonna

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Speaker 3: be You're gonna get a great effort. You're a last

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Speaker 3: place in the division, so you definitely need this game,

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Speaker 3: even though it's an interconference game. I love lou Ana Rumo,

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Speaker 3: their defensive coordinator, and with an extra week to prepare,

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Speaker 3: you know, this Niner team, they were running up thirty

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Speaker 3: on everyone last couple of weeks. They've hit some snags.

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Speaker 3: You know, even if they get Williams back, still no

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Speaker 3: Deebo still kind of you know, short week, Bengals on low,

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Speaker 3: you know, off the by so that favors the Bengals.

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Speaker 3: But Ana Roumo one.

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Speaker 4: Of the best schemers.

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Speaker 3: So with an extra extra week to prepare for this game,

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Speaker 3: especially seeing you know, some some finally seeing some weaknesses

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Speaker 3: for the first time in almost a year with Perdy

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Speaker 3: at the helm, I think you're gonna get a great

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Speaker 3: game plan from Anton Rubo. Remember he's the same guy

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Speaker 3: who you know held the Chiefs to twenty four last year,

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Speaker 3: twenty three in the in the playoffs, got got pasted

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Speaker 3: him in the AFC Championship game the year before that

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Speaker 3: good game point against the Bills last year in the playoffs.

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Speaker 3: So this is this is this team is known for

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Speaker 3: great defensive game plans, and this is you know, I

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Speaker 3: know Burrow hasn't looked good so far this year. I

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Speaker 3: think the buye will do wonders. You start to see

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Speaker 3: some of the movement, the pocket movement come back pre

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Speaker 3: buy and now he you know, had that two weeks

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Speaker 3: to rest. But I think this is one of the

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Speaker 3: few offenses that if you need to score with San Francisco,

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Speaker 3: they can't If you need to go down the field methodically.

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Speaker 3: They can. If you need an explosive play they have.

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Speaker 3: That's the thing that's been missing from this offense. But

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Speaker 3: they're certainly capable of it. And now that you've got

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Speaker 3: Burrow healthier, you got Higgs, they really even have. Higgins

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Speaker 3: has been in and out too, so Higgins got a

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Speaker 3: chance to rest up. So you should get full compliment

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Speaker 3: of snaps from Higgins, Chase Boyd. They get enough pressure.

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Speaker 3: Forty nine is not quite at full strength. Definitely beat

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Speaker 3: not the same team that was just rolling on everybody.

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Speaker 3: Definitely beatable and vulnerable. And we don't even need the

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Speaker 3: Bengals to win this game. We just need them to

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Speaker 3: keep it, you know, to a field goal or you know,

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Speaker 3: four or five points here. And Joe Burrow sixteen and

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Speaker 3: seven seventy percent against the spread as an underdog in

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Speaker 3: his career, covering by an average of four point four

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Speaker 3: points a game. When he's an underdog by three or more,

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Speaker 3: fourteen and two against the spread eighty eight percent is

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Speaker 3: Burrow covering by nearly six points a game. So this

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Speaker 3: is what the Bengals do. I think you're finally gonna

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Speaker 3: see the Bengals. We got still accustomed to over the

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Speaker 3: last couple of years. Cincinnati Bengals plus three and a

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Speaker 3: half at the Niners.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I like this as well. And we we not

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Speaker 2: only do we know that Barrow was not healthy and

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Speaker 2: if you look at the timeline of that injury with

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Speaker 2: the bye week, he should be close to one hundred percent.

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Speaker 2: Now we also have history three seasons now, so two

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Speaker 2: previous seasons when Barrow missed time leading right up to

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Speaker 2: the season and he got off to a really slow start,

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Speaker 2: and then he started to get rolling right around this time,

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Speaker 2: you know, once he gets his timing and rhythm down,

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Speaker 2: you know, throwing that injury. Additionally, this year, it makes

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Speaker 2: sense that this Bengals offense will really start to get going.

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Speaker 2: I think Borrow's like seventy percent against the spread from

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Speaker 2: Week seven on and a lot of that's because the

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Speaker 2: Bengal start to get some market value at their starting

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Speaker 2: slow and then their offense really ramps up. You know,

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Speaker 2: you have extra time to prepare for this game, getting

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Speaker 2: healthier San Francisco, not getting healthier on a short week

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Speaker 2: going back home. So yeah, I like the spot to

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Speaker 2: back the Bengals and rule the jungle.

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Speaker 3: The Cincinnati Bengals game roaring back.

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Speaker 2: All right? For my second pick and the third overall

336
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Speaker 2: of the week eight Sunday six pack, I'm going with

337
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Speaker 2: the ultimate falling knife this week, the Green Bay Packers

338
00:18:33,880 --> 00:18:36,920
Speaker 2: plus one. Where are we sitting at? Yeah?

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Speaker 4: Plus one?

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Speaker 2: Plus one at home against the Minnesota Vikings. What has

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Speaker 2: happened in the past five weeks? I've went over it last

342
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Speaker 2: week with the Lions lines rolling one four in a

343
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Speaker 2: row against Nobody's all right, MVP, GoF one seed, We're winning,

344
00:18:52,840 --> 00:18:54,960
Speaker 2: winning the division. Go back all the way to the

345
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Speaker 2: Dolphins beating the Broncos. They're unstoppable. They get borne up

346
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Speaker 2: by the Bills. What's happened to the Bills? Since you

347
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Speaker 2: know they should have lost three straight? Go to the

348
00:19:01,800 --> 00:19:04,239
Speaker 2: forty nine ers they blought the Cowboys. Stay undefeated, Oh,

349
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Speaker 2: undefeated season party MVP. They've lost to PJ. Walker and

350
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Speaker 2: Kirk Cousins. Well who beat them? Kirk Cousins and Minnesota

351
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Speaker 2: on Monday Night. So short week here, which doesn't help

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Speaker 2: Minnesota's case. But I think that Minnesota is getting too

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Speaker 2: much love after that win. I think a lot of

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Speaker 2: it had to do with the mistakes at San Francisco.

355
00:19:23,600 --> 00:19:25,240
Speaker 2: Mate and if you look at net success right, I

356
00:19:25,240 --> 00:19:27,800
Speaker 2: think San frans has got like a plus fifteen percent

357
00:19:27,880 --> 00:19:31,600
Speaker 2: net success rate. Minnesota Cousins played really well, so did Addison,

358
00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:34,320
Speaker 2: and they just had a ton of explosives. It's not

359
00:19:34,359 --> 00:19:37,479
Speaker 2: really the most sustainable offense. They're not really running the ball.

360
00:19:37,480 --> 00:19:39,480
Speaker 2: They're just dropping back and throwing at a ton. That's

361
00:19:39,520 --> 00:19:42,000
Speaker 2: not really how you want to attack this Green Bay defense.

362
00:19:42,000 --> 00:19:44,119
Speaker 2: For what it's where chi are Alexander practice today. But

363
00:19:44,280 --> 00:19:47,040
Speaker 2: we matched up on Addison. That's big. Still know justin

364
00:19:47,119 --> 00:19:51,480
Speaker 2: Jefferson and this Green Bay team has been bad, but

365
00:19:52,000 --> 00:19:55,560
Speaker 2: they've been just inconsistent, mostly what you would expect with

366
00:19:55,600 --> 00:19:59,119
Speaker 2: a young, inexperienced quarterback. One of the wildest stats that

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00:19:59,200 --> 00:20:01,439
Speaker 2: you'll see is the Green Bay's offense. If you're just

368
00:20:01,440 --> 00:20:03,480
Speaker 2: like an EPA pri play success right, they're dead last

369
00:20:03,480 --> 00:20:06,320
Speaker 2: the NFL in the first half, they're number one in

370
00:20:06,359 --> 00:20:10,760
Speaker 2: the second half. Just completely bizarre. And it's not like

371
00:20:10,800 --> 00:20:15,800
Speaker 2: they've just been coming back from huge deficits the whole season.

372
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Speaker 2: I mean they've you know, and getting a ton of

373
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Speaker 2: garbage time touchdowns. They've lost three games by a combined

374
00:20:20,240 --> 00:20:22,359
Speaker 2: seven points. Three of their four losses they led in

375
00:20:22,359 --> 00:20:26,960
Speaker 2: the fourth quarter. So this offense is like shown flashes

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00:20:27,119 --> 00:20:29,320
Speaker 2: they've all I also just think in general, this is

377
00:20:29,359 --> 00:20:33,160
Speaker 2: the bypoint on green Bay. Why you're selling Minnesota after

378
00:20:33,200 --> 00:20:35,560
Speaker 2: a huge win that, I don't think it had a

379
00:20:35,600 --> 00:20:39,719
Speaker 2: lot to do with what this Minnesota team is. I

380
00:20:39,720 --> 00:20:41,080
Speaker 2: think it had more to do with kind of the

381
00:20:41,080 --> 00:20:45,159
Speaker 2: San Francisco injuries and mistakes, and I think this is

382
00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:48,440
Speaker 2: a good matchup for green Bay. You're coming back home Minnesota.

383
00:20:48,440 --> 00:20:50,560
Speaker 2: What Minnesota's doing is they're blitzing a ton. They're books

384
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Speaker 2: a fifty eight percent of the time under Brian Flores.

385
00:20:53,440 --> 00:20:56,080
Speaker 2: The next highs I think is like forty two. It's

386
00:20:56,080 --> 00:20:59,480
Speaker 2: the Giants. That's an enormous gap. Well, Jordan Love's actually

387
00:20:59,480 --> 00:21:02,600
Speaker 2: been really good against the blitz this this season. One

388
00:21:02,640 --> 00:21:05,159
Speaker 2: of the best quarterbacks in the NFL. I think he

389
00:21:05,200 --> 00:21:07,680
Speaker 2: doesn't have to think as much as getting the ball quick.

390
00:21:07,680 --> 00:21:10,000
Speaker 2: They're not really throwing it downfield that much. They want

391
00:21:10,000 --> 00:21:12,040
Speaker 2: to run the ball short passes. Well, guess what you

392
00:21:12,040 --> 00:21:14,879
Speaker 2: could do that against Minnesota twenty fifth and success rate

393
00:21:14,920 --> 00:21:18,040
Speaker 2: against the run. Maybe you get more Aaron Jones. This week,

394
00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:20,560
Speaker 2: there's been a ton of offensive line injuries. Injuries at

395
00:21:20,560 --> 00:21:24,040
Speaker 2: the skill, positions, injuries on defense. So this is a

396
00:21:24,080 --> 00:21:26,440
Speaker 2: Green Bay team that's suffered a lot of close losses.

397
00:21:26,640 --> 00:21:29,720
Speaker 2: Jordan Love's been inconsistent as you would expect, but they're

398
00:21:29,760 --> 00:21:31,840
Speaker 2: starting to get healthier. I think this is a good matchup.

399
00:21:31,840 --> 00:21:35,000
Speaker 2: It's a good time to sell Minnesota. So I am

400
00:21:35,080 --> 00:21:39,719
Speaker 2: going with the Green Bay Packers as a home dog.

401
00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:43,960
Speaker 2: And yeah, I like the matchup, I like the spot,

402
00:21:44,000 --> 00:21:47,080
Speaker 2: I like the situation. And with jay r Alexander back,

403
00:21:47,119 --> 00:21:50,720
Speaker 2: that was kind of what pushed me over the top.

404
00:21:50,760 --> 00:21:53,719
Speaker 2: He didn't play last week, one of the many injuries

405
00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:56,720
Speaker 2: that they've had. He's obviously so important to everything that

406
00:21:56,760 --> 00:21:59,120
Speaker 2: defense wants to do. You could still run on them

407
00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:01,200
Speaker 2: at will and they don't really like change or adjust,

408
00:22:01,280 --> 00:22:03,600
Speaker 2: but Minnesota can doesn't run the ball at all.

409
00:22:03,760 --> 00:22:06,000
Speaker 3: And I know you are high in the Packers coming

410
00:22:06,040 --> 00:22:08,800
Speaker 3: into the year. I'm starting to think that this team

411
00:22:08,880 --> 00:22:11,840
Speaker 3: is just not well coached, you know. I know Lafour

412
00:22:11,920 --> 00:22:14,080
Speaker 3: has the underdog record, but I'm thinking a lot of

413
00:22:14,080 --> 00:22:16,520
Speaker 3: it was Rogers because a lot of the decisions I'm seeing.

414
00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:18,960
Speaker 3: You know, this has been an issue for years now,

415
00:22:19,000 --> 00:22:22,000
Speaker 3: you know, not giving Jones especially enough touches and not

416
00:22:22,160 --> 00:22:24,679
Speaker 3: running the ball enough and like Jordan Love even the

417
00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:27,119
Speaker 3: things that like when I watch them on film, a

418
00:22:27,119 --> 00:22:28,960
Speaker 3: lot of the things that he messes up on.

419
00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:30,280
Speaker 4: It's like simple.

420
00:22:29,960 --> 00:22:33,639
Speaker 3: Things like not having his shoulders and feet squared in

421
00:22:33,680 --> 00:22:35,959
Speaker 3: the same direction to where he's to his target and thin,

422
00:22:36,040 --> 00:22:37,960
Speaker 3: you know, like it's things that you could easily coach

423
00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:39,679
Speaker 3: these guys up and for them to come out that

424
00:22:39,800 --> 00:22:45,600
Speaker 3: flat off the buy against Denver, Man, I mean, I'm

425
00:22:45,640 --> 00:22:48,240
Speaker 3: starting to really question this coaching staff, like Joe Barry,

426
00:22:48,320 --> 00:22:50,919
Speaker 3: like bringing him back. I don't know, man, but I mean,

427
00:22:50,920 --> 00:22:53,000
Speaker 3: these are two mediocre teams, Like Green Bay is not

428
00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:54,920
Speaker 3: as bad as they look, Minnesota is not as good

429
00:22:54,920 --> 00:22:55,360
Speaker 3: as they look.

430
00:22:55,720 --> 00:22:59,160
Speaker 4: So I like the spot here. It's reversal. We used

431
00:22:59,160 --> 00:22:59,960
Speaker 4: to always.

432
00:23:01,359 --> 00:23:05,679
Speaker 3: Fade the pack in these spots and now now fading

433
00:23:05,720 --> 00:23:11,640
Speaker 3: the Vikes. Enough of that, Let's go to my second pick,

434
00:23:11,640 --> 00:23:15,080
Speaker 3: the fourth overall of the week eight Sunday six pack.

435
00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:18,720
Speaker 3: I'm going with the Baltimore Ravens minus eight and a

436
00:23:18,760 --> 00:23:23,439
Speaker 3: half at the Arizona Cardinals. Usually I'd be like, all right, Ravens,

437
00:23:23,520 --> 00:23:26,080
Speaker 3: letdown spot. They could have a letdown spot in my

438
00:23:26,119 --> 00:23:29,080
Speaker 3: opinion here and still cover this number. I have this

439
00:23:29,720 --> 00:23:32,360
Speaker 3: at ten and a half. So it's just too much

440
00:23:32,440 --> 00:23:35,240
Speaker 3: value for me to pass up this. Yeah, like this

441
00:23:35,359 --> 00:23:37,000
Speaker 3: is just a mismatch.

442
00:23:37,240 --> 00:23:39,879
Speaker 4: I'll take any motherfucker's money if he giving it away.

443
00:23:40,119 --> 00:23:43,600
Speaker 3: Baltimore is number one team overall and Dvoa the Cardinals

444
00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:47,760
Speaker 3: are twenty eighth. And Baltimore's top five offense, top two defense,

445
00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:50,160
Speaker 3: really probably the top best defense in the league by

446
00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:51,840
Speaker 3: a lot of metrics. I mean, especially after we saw

447
00:23:51,880 --> 00:23:55,200
Speaker 3: what happened in Cleveland last week. But Arizona they're one

448
00:23:55,280 --> 00:23:57,760
Speaker 3: saving grace because their bottom two on defense, the thirty first,

449
00:23:57,840 --> 00:24:01,199
Speaker 3: they're one saving grace this year been their offense has

450
00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:04,040
Speaker 3: been mediocre on paper, sixteens in DVOA.

451
00:24:04,240 --> 00:24:05,760
Speaker 4: But that's misleading.

452
00:24:05,600 --> 00:24:08,720
Speaker 3: Because and this tends to happen, and you've talked about

453
00:24:08,720 --> 00:24:12,359
Speaker 3: this a lot. You have these backup caliber quarterbacks. The

454
00:24:12,480 --> 00:24:16,960
Speaker 3: longer they play, the worse it gets. The more you

455
00:24:17,000 --> 00:24:19,840
Speaker 3: know it just they just start getting figured out. You

456
00:24:19,920 --> 00:24:23,600
Speaker 3: can't scheme and play call around them as much anymore.

457
00:24:23,680 --> 00:24:26,840
Speaker 3: And defenses just you know, got kind of figured out.

458
00:24:26,880 --> 00:24:30,680
Speaker 3: And Josh Dobbs against a tougher schedule earlier in the year,

459
00:24:31,240 --> 00:24:33,640
Speaker 3: you know, first four games, six six point six yards

460
00:24:33,680 --> 00:24:37,320
Speaker 3: in attempt, four touchdowns, no picks. And you know the

461
00:24:37,359 --> 00:24:41,640
Speaker 3: Cardinals were you know, above average offense e PA, DVOA

462
00:24:41,720 --> 00:24:44,960
Speaker 3: all that stuff. Last three games dobs five point two

463
00:24:45,000 --> 00:24:48,680
Speaker 3: yards per attempt, two touchdowns, three picks, Arizona dead last

464
00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:52,440
Speaker 3: and EPA per play dead last and success rate. Uh.

465
00:24:52,520 --> 00:24:57,480
Speaker 3: They've been getting blown out by multiple scores in every

466
00:24:57,600 --> 00:25:00,480
Speaker 3: game over their last four games. And you know, so

467
00:25:00,560 --> 00:25:02,919
Speaker 3: that Dallas game is just looking more and more like

468
00:25:02,960 --> 00:25:05,400
Speaker 3: a mirage. And you know it was just dust shop.

469
00:25:05,480 --> 00:25:07,640
Speaker 2: Remember everyone was like, ooh, the Cardinals.

470
00:25:07,359 --> 00:25:10,160
Speaker 3: Might be better than they thought. Yeah, they've lost by

471
00:25:10,680 --> 00:25:16,520
Speaker 3: nineteen fourteen, fourteen, seventeen and ten ten cents. Yeah, And

472
00:25:17,800 --> 00:25:22,800
Speaker 3: I again, sometimes in these spots and every situation is different.

473
00:25:22,920 --> 00:25:24,680
Speaker 3: As a better you're looking at a team like all, right,

474
00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:28,000
Speaker 3: team lost four straight, you know, time to jump on

475
00:25:28,080 --> 00:25:30,560
Speaker 3: board falling knife. I think the knife is going to

476
00:25:30,600 --> 00:25:33,399
Speaker 3: continue falling like this because this Raven team is just

477
00:25:33,520 --> 00:25:36,760
Speaker 3: hitting its stride now. This Raven team, even though they

478
00:25:36,840 --> 00:25:40,240
Speaker 3: just blew out Detroit, they still need to keep winning

479
00:25:40,240 --> 00:25:43,520
Speaker 3: games because, as I mentioned, you got three teams above

480
00:25:43,560 --> 00:25:45,639
Speaker 3: five hundred in this division, and then the Bengals are

481
00:25:45,680 --> 00:25:49,080
Speaker 3: in last place, and we know they're dangerous. Uh And Baltimore,

482
00:25:49,080 --> 00:25:51,600
Speaker 3: you know, finally got the offensive line healthy, finally got

483
00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:55,119
Speaker 3: all the receivers healthy, finally got you know, the secondary healthy.

484
00:25:55,440 --> 00:25:57,440
Speaker 3: So I just I think Baltimore is peaking at the

485
00:25:57,520 --> 00:26:00,679
Speaker 3: right time. Arizona's just falling deeper and deep deeper into

486
00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:03,719
Speaker 3: that team that we thought they were gonna be at

487
00:26:03,720 --> 00:26:05,439
Speaker 3: the beginning of year, which is the worst team in

488
00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:08,120
Speaker 3: the league. And listen, there are other two losses by

489
00:26:08,160 --> 00:26:10,159
Speaker 3: four and by three, but that was the Commanders and

490
00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:13,240
Speaker 3: the Giants, and those two teams we know.

491
00:26:13,400 --> 00:26:15,880
Speaker 4: Are two of the worst teams in the league.

492
00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:18,600
Speaker 2: So they also were up twenty eight nothing on the Giants.

493
00:26:18,280 --> 00:26:21,600
Speaker 3: Right exactly. And still yeah, so they've played you know

494
00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:26,840
Speaker 3: that one one and a half decent games. Really, you know,

495
00:26:26,880 --> 00:26:28,840
Speaker 3: I'm not even like that. That Washington get out was

496
00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:32,120
Speaker 3: just how old doing how old things. But this Ravens team,

497
00:26:32,160 --> 00:26:34,160
Speaker 3: I think, I mean, we could get we could get

498
00:26:34,200 --> 00:26:36,240
Speaker 3: stalled every time in the red zone. We could just

499
00:26:36,280 --> 00:26:39,320
Speaker 3: go like five tucker Field gos and win like fifteen

500
00:26:39,359 --> 00:26:42,320
Speaker 3: to three. Here, I don't really expect Arizona to do

501
00:26:42,400 --> 00:26:45,280
Speaker 3: much on office's just unsustainable. You know, the line is

502
00:26:45,960 --> 00:26:48,440
Speaker 3: twenty third in pass block and twenty six graded out

503
00:26:48,880 --> 00:26:51,199
Speaker 3: and run blocking. Your two of your top three receivers

504
00:26:51,240 --> 00:26:53,639
Speaker 3: are one hundred and eighty pounds five to seven and

505
00:26:53,720 --> 00:26:54,240
Speaker 3: five nine.

506
00:26:54,240 --> 00:26:55,480
Speaker 4: You don't really have size, even.

507
00:26:55,320 --> 00:26:58,439
Speaker 3: Though I like Marky's Brown and Ron Deale Moris is

508
00:26:58,480 --> 00:27:02,000
Speaker 3: fun sometimes and you lost Earth, so you lost a

509
00:27:02,119 --> 00:27:05,520
Speaker 3: veteran there. But even Connor, I think you. Usually running

510
00:27:05,520 --> 00:27:07,960
Speaker 3: backs don't mean anything, but James Connor was averaging five

511
00:27:07,960 --> 00:27:10,760
Speaker 3: point four yards of carry. He graded out as third

512
00:27:10,760 --> 00:27:13,000
Speaker 3: best running back in the league at PF.

513
00:27:14,160 --> 00:27:14,360
Speaker 2: Right.

514
00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:17,959
Speaker 3: But think about this, and this is full season numbers.

515
00:27:18,600 --> 00:27:22,639
Speaker 3: Connor's five point four yards of carry is higher than

516
00:27:22,760 --> 00:27:26,560
Speaker 3: Josh Dobbs's net yards per pass attempt. Every time Dobbs

517
00:27:26,640 --> 00:27:28,240
Speaker 3: drops back, he averages five.

518
00:27:28,119 --> 00:27:28,760
Speaker 4: Point two yards.

519
00:27:28,760 --> 00:27:31,080
Speaker 3: And that's full season, that's with the good start, that's

520
00:27:31,119 --> 00:27:34,480
Speaker 3: with the first four weeks included. Dobbs is averaging five

521
00:27:34,480 --> 00:27:38,760
Speaker 3: point two net yards every time he passes. So James

522
00:27:38,800 --> 00:27:44,000
Speaker 3: Connor for this specific team is a big loss. But

523
00:27:44,160 --> 00:27:46,840
Speaker 3: Ravens are stopping a run, they're stopping the pass, they're

524
00:27:46,840 --> 00:27:51,720
Speaker 3: stopping everything and on for defensively, for Arizona, it's just

525
00:27:52,320 --> 00:27:55,040
Speaker 3: there's no real talent there. So now they've what they've

526
00:27:55,080 --> 00:27:58,879
Speaker 3: done lately is they've just kind of sat back in

527
00:27:59,000 --> 00:28:04,320
Speaker 3: zones or not really doing anything exotic. And uh, yeah,

528
00:28:04,359 --> 00:28:06,520
Speaker 3: you can't like they're not blitzing. They're blitzing at the

529
00:28:06,560 --> 00:28:07,919
Speaker 3: fourth lowest rate, and.

530
00:28:08,040 --> 00:28:10,280
Speaker 2: Said I said that last week against the lines. Lines

531
00:28:10,320 --> 00:28:12,480
Speaker 2: don't blitz. Lar has been the best quarterback in the NFL,

532
00:28:12,720 --> 00:28:15,560
Speaker 2: and season uplits Arizona and Detroit basically blitz at the

533
00:28:15,560 --> 00:28:17,960
Speaker 2: same frequency. Bottom five eight point.

534
00:28:17,800 --> 00:28:19,800
Speaker 3: Three yards an attempt is fourth when not Bwitz for

535
00:28:19,880 --> 00:28:22,640
Speaker 3: Lamar five touchdowns, one pick, one hundred twelve passer rating

536
00:28:23,200 --> 00:28:28,240
Speaker 3: eighty seven when bwitch. So huge difference, uh, in efficiency

537
00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:30,720
Speaker 3: for Lamar. But even if like if you butzer them,

538
00:28:30,840 --> 00:28:35,880
Speaker 3: like now you got the healthy receivers and if you're blitzing,

539
00:28:36,359 --> 00:28:38,480
Speaker 3: you're going to be playing some man coverage, So Lamar

540
00:28:38,600 --> 00:28:39,920
Speaker 3: is still going to be able to make plays.

541
00:28:40,480 --> 00:28:41,640
Speaker 2: This is a fast track.

542
00:28:42,120 --> 00:28:45,600
Speaker 4: Likes to be Yeah, this is this is just a mismatch.

543
00:28:45,760 --> 00:28:49,000
Speaker 2: I just started laughing while you're going through this because

544
00:28:49,000 --> 00:28:50,840
Speaker 2: I agree, like on the surface, now the Ravens are

545
00:28:50,880 --> 00:28:54,840
Speaker 2: that team that I'm maybe looking to fade if they

546
00:28:54,960 --> 00:28:57,120
Speaker 2: blow out Arizona because you're going to start to hear

547
00:28:57,160 --> 00:28:59,880
Speaker 2: by Lamar EDVP ticket is definitely live, but you'll start

548
00:28:59,920 --> 00:29:02,240
Speaker 2: to more about that Ravens one seed Ravens super Bowl.

549
00:29:02,720 --> 00:29:05,760
Speaker 2: Their offense was due for a couple explosions, so you

550
00:29:05,840 --> 00:29:07,720
Speaker 2: might get another one here. And it's a good matchup.

551
00:29:08,000 --> 00:29:10,040
Speaker 2: And this Arizona teams just dreadful. It's a knife that

552
00:29:10,120 --> 00:29:12,920
Speaker 2: I don't want to catch as of this moment. Maybe

553
00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:15,520
Speaker 2: we'll see down the line. But yeah, I think this

554
00:29:15,600 --> 00:29:17,959
Speaker 2: is a really good matchup for Baltimore. They're peaking at

555
00:29:17,960 --> 00:29:21,080
Speaker 2: the right time, but they went by like thirty. Here

556
00:29:21,640 --> 00:29:25,880
Speaker 2: the time to fade them next week at home against

557
00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:26,440
Speaker 2: the Browns.

558
00:29:26,600 --> 00:29:30,040
Speaker 3: Uh oh, so we're gonna have to I have to

559
00:29:30,040 --> 00:29:33,360
Speaker 3: call an emergency meeting before we let you next week.

560
00:29:33,400 --> 00:29:35,920
Speaker 2: So maybe you will take take that name. The Ravens

561
00:29:35,960 --> 00:29:39,760
Speaker 2: have face like backups, golf outdoors, you know, injured quarterbacks,

562
00:29:39,800 --> 00:29:42,440
Speaker 2: bad offensive line situations, you know Stroud in this first start.

563
00:29:42,560 --> 00:29:45,239
Speaker 2: This is another one, doops. They can get another one

564
00:29:45,240 --> 00:29:47,320
Speaker 2: next week with Walker. Yeah, I'm looking for a spot

565
00:29:47,360 --> 00:29:49,480
Speaker 2: to potentially fade the Ravens in this defense when the

566
00:29:49,520 --> 00:29:50,960
Speaker 2: matchup warrants it. This one does not.

567
00:29:51,280 --> 00:29:53,440
Speaker 3: We always talk about how we don't like Lamar as

568
00:29:53,440 --> 00:29:55,840
Speaker 3: a favorite, but I actually looked so when he's favored

569
00:29:55,840 --> 00:29:57,720
Speaker 3: by eight or more ten and nine against the spread

570
00:29:57,760 --> 00:30:00,000
Speaker 3: in his career seven and four when the opponent average

571
00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:01,960
Speaker 3: just twenty and a half points three game or west.

572
00:30:01,960 --> 00:30:06,640
Speaker 3: So not necessarily terrible again as a big favor here,

573
00:30:06,680 --> 00:30:07,720
Speaker 3: but yeah, where are you going for it?

574
00:30:07,840 --> 00:30:08,040
Speaker 2: Yeah?

575
00:30:09,240 --> 00:30:09,560
Speaker 1: All right.

576
00:30:09,560 --> 00:30:12,640
Speaker 2: For my third pick and the fifth overall of the

577
00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:15,520
Speaker 2: week eight Sunday six pack, I'm going with the Denver

578
00:30:15,560 --> 00:30:20,280
Speaker 2: Broncos plus seven at home against the Kansas City Chiefs.

579
00:30:20,920 --> 00:30:23,800
Speaker 2: I would chop around. I played some seven minus one fifteen,

580
00:30:25,040 --> 00:30:27,120
Speaker 2: I would chop. I would get bet up to minus

581
00:30:27,120 --> 00:30:29,760
Speaker 2: one twenty. You know, these keeping the Chiefs just by

582
00:30:29,800 --> 00:30:34,320
Speaker 2: winning by seven, I think is a potentially decent sized

583
00:30:34,560 --> 00:30:37,800
Speaker 2: probability of an outcome here. But I'll keep this simple.

584
00:30:37,880 --> 00:30:40,880
Speaker 2: We know that the Chiefs as a favorite of over

585
00:30:40,920 --> 00:30:44,880
Speaker 2: a field goal have not had much success historically. They

586
00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:47,320
Speaker 2: play with their food right a lot of times, and

587
00:30:47,640 --> 00:30:50,520
Speaker 2: they just come out and they don't take these teams

588
00:30:50,560 --> 00:30:54,000
Speaker 2: too serious. You don't get the full arsenal of the

589
00:30:54,040 --> 00:30:57,480
Speaker 2: Andy Reid playbook, and this would be the perfect spot

590
00:30:57,480 --> 00:30:59,720
Speaker 2: for that. They just blew out the Chargers. They have

591
00:30:59,800 --> 00:31:02,520
Speaker 2: the Dolphins and Eagles on deck, like there's just no

592
00:31:02,600 --> 00:31:05,960
Speaker 2: reason to show a lot here, super sleepy spot against

593
00:31:05,960 --> 00:31:08,320
Speaker 2: a team you just played two weeks ago, which I

594
00:31:08,320 --> 00:31:11,760
Speaker 2: think favors the underdog, the team that they're more inclined

595
00:31:11,800 --> 00:31:14,040
Speaker 2: to make some adjustments, and I think the adjustments here

596
00:31:14,040 --> 00:31:16,960
Speaker 2: are pretty simple. Run the fucking ball. They averaged five

597
00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:19,680
Speaker 2: yards per carry, they only run it, ran it twenty times.

598
00:31:20,080 --> 00:31:22,440
Speaker 2: Run the ball, run it down their throats, control the clock.

599
00:31:22,640 --> 00:31:25,480
Speaker 2: We've seen Denver do this before. I think they'll move

600
00:31:25,520 --> 00:31:28,040
Speaker 2: it more. It's gonna be freezing twenty degrees in this game.

601
00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:30,840
Speaker 2: The offensive line is trending up. They're starting to play better,

602
00:31:30,880 --> 00:31:33,160
Speaker 2: get more familiar with what Peyton wants to do. And

603
00:31:33,280 --> 00:31:35,920
Speaker 2: Javonte Williams now looks like he's hundred percent healthy. Feed

604
00:31:36,000 --> 00:31:38,880
Speaker 2: him the ball, feed it to him and don't stop,

605
00:31:39,160 --> 00:31:43,480
Speaker 2: and then give Russell Wilson some play action shots. You know,

606
00:31:43,560 --> 00:31:46,520
Speaker 2: Chiefs also will be missing Nick Bolton, who matters. And

607
00:31:46,600 --> 00:31:50,000
Speaker 2: the Broncos defense is trending up. This defense was trending

608
00:31:50,040 --> 00:31:54,600
Speaker 2: towards being a historically bad unit that couldn't stop a nosebleed.

609
00:31:54,920 --> 00:31:57,360
Speaker 2: The last two weeks, you know, they shut out the

610
00:31:57,400 --> 00:31:59,600
Speaker 2: Packers in the first half, held them the seventeen points

611
00:31:59,600 --> 00:32:02,360
Speaker 2: the Chiefs to who were kind of playing around with

612
00:32:02,360 --> 00:32:04,440
Speaker 2: their food. Again, what twenty one to twenty two points

613
00:32:05,000 --> 00:32:08,120
Speaker 2: in that game? Why have they been I mean, look,

614
00:32:08,160 --> 00:32:11,800
Speaker 2: I honestly think Vance Joseph was on what's the date,

615
00:32:12,320 --> 00:32:14,719
Speaker 2: I don't know, a forty day bender. I don't know

616
00:32:14,760 --> 00:32:17,959
Speaker 2: what he was doing with his defense. But last week,

617
00:32:18,640 --> 00:32:21,680
Speaker 2: excuse me, two weeks ago they finally made some schematic

618
00:32:21,760 --> 00:32:25,240
Speaker 2: changes and how they were bringing the blitz, and most importantly,

619
00:32:25,440 --> 00:32:32,000
Speaker 2: last week, they finally finally benched Toamori Mathis, who didn't play.

620
00:32:32,520 --> 00:32:34,640
Speaker 2: He's been the worst corner in the NFL by far.

621
00:32:35,160 --> 00:32:38,760
Speaker 2: And when you have Patrick's retained on the other other side,

622
00:32:39,040 --> 00:32:42,080
Speaker 2: what's gonna happen. You're gonna throw at the other corner

623
00:32:42,320 --> 00:32:44,720
Speaker 2: a lot, and when you have the worst corner in

624
00:32:44,760 --> 00:32:47,760
Speaker 2: the league, that's a problem. So you got Fabian Moreau

625
00:32:47,800 --> 00:32:50,160
Speaker 2: in there, who's serviceable. He's not elite, but he's not

626
00:32:50,560 --> 00:32:54,200
Speaker 2: Tomorrow Mathis, So they benched Mathis. Finally, they're also getting

627
00:32:54,200 --> 00:32:56,880
Speaker 2: healthier just in general. DJ Jones is back, browning his back.

628
00:32:57,400 --> 00:33:01,280
Speaker 2: So this defense is a little better overall, and they

629
00:33:01,320 --> 00:33:03,880
Speaker 2: made some schematic changes. They benched to Martin Mathis, which

630
00:33:03,920 --> 00:33:07,200
Speaker 2: is just massive Chiefs offense still. I mean look, I

631
00:33:07,200 --> 00:33:11,200
Speaker 2: mean maybe Travis Kelcey catches thirty seven balls again, but

632
00:33:11,280 --> 00:33:13,800
Speaker 2: it's still not firing in all cylinders. This is the

633
00:33:13,840 --> 00:33:17,840
Speaker 2: spot usually the Chiefs kind of sleep walkthrough. I like

634
00:33:17,880 --> 00:33:21,000
Speaker 2: Denver catching a touchdowner Morgan chop round. I would buy

635
00:33:21,520 --> 00:33:23,440
Speaker 2: buy that seven and a half up to minus one twenty.

636
00:33:24,080 --> 00:33:27,040
Speaker 3: I thought it was really concerning just how Russ looked

637
00:33:27,080 --> 00:33:31,320
Speaker 3: at in that last matchup against the Chiefs, Like, yes,

638
00:33:31,400 --> 00:33:33,400
Speaker 3: they dever should be able to run the ball, but

639
00:33:33,760 --> 00:33:35,800
Speaker 3: at some point against Mahomes, you're gonna have to throw

640
00:33:35,960 --> 00:33:37,720
Speaker 3: to be able to get in the back door or whatnot.

641
00:33:38,480 --> 00:33:40,840
Speaker 3: Do you think do you think Russ and at pass

642
00:33:40,880 --> 00:33:42,560
Speaker 3: offense could get anything going. I think you have like

643
00:33:42,640 --> 00:33:45,520
Speaker 3: ninety five yards in the Thursday night game.

644
00:33:46,440 --> 00:33:49,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, it was pathetic. Hopefully Peyton makes some tweaks. I mean,

645
00:33:49,200 --> 00:33:51,600
Speaker 2: it's the defense you just faced. I think Bolton had

646
00:33:51,640 --> 00:33:54,160
Speaker 2: a huge game and he's out, but I'm not like

647
00:33:54,440 --> 00:33:57,400
Speaker 2: expecting a big game from Russ here. But I think

648
00:33:57,400 --> 00:33:59,040
Speaker 2: that they they're the team that's probably going to make

649
00:33:59,040 --> 00:34:02,800
Speaker 2: more changes and show more you know, home hype spots

650
00:34:02,920 --> 00:34:04,920
Speaker 2: pretty much so Bronco Super Bowl this year, trying to

651
00:34:05,000 --> 00:34:08,399
Speaker 2: end that long losing streak to the Chiefs. I don't

652
00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:10,960
Speaker 2: think they beat him in almost ten years, so you

653
00:34:10,960 --> 00:34:13,480
Speaker 2: should get a max effort here. Peyton will probably have

654
00:34:13,520 --> 00:34:16,680
Speaker 2: a good script, make a couple adjustments, but lean on

655
00:34:16,719 --> 00:34:19,640
Speaker 2: the run game short in the game, and the defense

656
00:34:19,680 --> 00:34:22,800
Speaker 2: has been better. Yeah, hopefully Russ can hit a couple throws.

657
00:34:22,880 --> 00:34:25,640
Speaker 3: Jesus, you probably won't have Sean Payton calling a three

658
00:34:25,640 --> 00:34:27,640
Speaker 3: point time out for Kansas City this time.

659
00:34:27,719 --> 00:34:31,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, three point time out, then she's won that game. Look,

660
00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:32,560
Speaker 2: I mean the Chiefs are just minus ten and a

661
00:34:32,600 --> 00:34:36,279
Speaker 2: half at home in a short week. They weren't able

662
00:34:36,320 --> 00:34:39,360
Speaker 2: to run the clock out late. Mahomes took an awful

663
00:34:39,400 --> 00:34:41,520
Speaker 2: sack and they usually do that. So they got three there,

664
00:34:41,560 --> 00:34:43,960
Speaker 2: and they got three because Peyton took an awful time out.

665
00:34:44,120 --> 00:34:45,520
Speaker 2: So that's the only reason they covered by I mean,

666
00:34:45,560 --> 00:34:48,880
Speaker 2: I had some plus eleven I fortunately pushed, but that's

667
00:34:49,120 --> 00:34:51,120
Speaker 2: you know, this line has gone from just ten and

668
00:34:51,160 --> 00:34:53,919
Speaker 2: a half with the Chiefs at home to seven, seven

669
00:34:53,960 --> 00:34:56,400
Speaker 2: and a half at Denver I think this should be

670
00:34:56,440 --> 00:34:57,719
Speaker 2: this line should be six and out. I think that's

671
00:34:57,719 --> 00:34:58,400
Speaker 2: where it closes.

672
00:35:00,400 --> 00:35:04,600
Speaker 3: Wrap it up my third pick, the sixth overall of

673
00:35:04,640 --> 00:35:09,000
Speaker 3: the week eight Sunday six pack. We're gonna get ugly here.

674
00:35:09,160 --> 00:35:11,600
Speaker 3: Let's go with the Cleveland Browns plus three and a

675
00:35:11,640 --> 00:35:16,760
Speaker 3: half at the Seattle Seahawks. And this is one where

676
00:35:16,800 --> 00:35:19,320
Speaker 3: we're just going to have to rely on some defense

677
00:35:19,400 --> 00:35:22,680
Speaker 3: to get us there. But I want to face Seattle

678
00:35:22,680 --> 00:35:24,600
Speaker 3: on this spot, and I think this is a good

679
00:35:24,640 --> 00:35:30,600
Speaker 3: matchup for it because when you look at the Seahawks offense, right,

680
00:35:31,239 --> 00:35:33,959
Speaker 3: what you need to do against Seattle that no one's

681
00:35:33,960 --> 00:35:36,200
Speaker 3: really been able to do so far this year because

682
00:35:36,200 --> 00:35:39,640
Speaker 3: they played a clown schedule for the most part. Outside

683
00:35:39,680 --> 00:35:42,880
Speaker 3: of Detroit, It's played it's just man up, man up

684
00:35:42,920 --> 00:35:46,040
Speaker 3: on them. And when you do that, that's when this

685
00:35:46,080 --> 00:35:48,360
Speaker 3: offense is really gonna struggle U when Geno Smith's Gona struggle.

686
00:35:48,600 --> 00:35:53,200
Speaker 3: Seattle is last in yards per attempt against man coverage

687
00:35:53,200 --> 00:35:57,480
Speaker 3: this year, uh and they are top three against zone.

688
00:35:57,560 --> 00:36:01,839
Speaker 3: They literally are averaging more than double yards per attempt

689
00:36:02,200 --> 00:36:05,399
Speaker 3: against zone. Then against man nine point four to four

690
00:36:05,440 --> 00:36:09,000
Speaker 3: point three. Cleveland plays man at a top three rate.

691
00:36:09,400 --> 00:36:13,040
Speaker 3: They have the corners to do it. And just to

692
00:36:13,080 --> 00:36:16,759
Speaker 3: show how shaky this passing game has been. You know,

693
00:36:17,040 --> 00:36:20,839
Speaker 3: when you can man up their receivers, you essentially it's

694
00:36:20,880 --> 00:36:23,680
Speaker 3: gonna be the Locket and Metcalf show. Metcalf is banged up.

695
00:36:24,360 --> 00:36:27,120
Speaker 3: But Seattle tight ends, if you know, they play three

696
00:36:27,120 --> 00:36:30,440
Speaker 3: of them, and they tend to be involved. Seattle tight

697
00:36:30,520 --> 00:36:33,000
Speaker 3: ends have combined for one catch for minus one yard

698
00:36:33,320 --> 00:36:36,680
Speaker 3: against man coverage this year. We've we've played seven games now,

699
00:36:37,600 --> 00:36:41,560
Speaker 3: six to seven games, so this I think this Cleveland

700
00:36:41,600 --> 00:36:46,520
Speaker 3: defense can lock up the Seattle receivers at least make

701
00:36:46,560 --> 00:36:49,640
Speaker 3: Gino Smith hold the ball their first in quarterback knockdowns,

702
00:36:49,640 --> 00:36:52,279
Speaker 3: their fifth and pressure rate. Gino goes from a seventy

703
00:36:52,320 --> 00:36:55,239
Speaker 3: eight percent completion rate in eight point seven yards in

704
00:36:55,280 --> 00:36:58,600
Speaker 3: attempt clean to fifty two percent completion rate and five

705
00:36:58,640 --> 00:37:02,120
Speaker 3: point one yards in attempt under pressure. Seattle's offensive line

706
00:37:02,160 --> 00:37:07,080
Speaker 3: is twenty seventh pass blocking efficiency. And this Seattle team

707
00:37:07,200 --> 00:37:09,480
Speaker 3: in Cleveland's really half a team right now because it's

708
00:37:09,560 --> 00:37:12,359
Speaker 3: just defense. And I know they you know, gave up

709
00:37:12,360 --> 00:37:14,759
Speaker 3: some explosives to the coast, but they also found a

710
00:37:14,760 --> 00:37:18,200
Speaker 3: way to stay in that game by making some plays

711
00:37:18,200 --> 00:37:20,880
Speaker 3: on defense as well. But Seattle's played faced the easiest

712
00:37:20,880 --> 00:37:23,160
Speaker 3: schedule period by DVLA.

713
00:37:22,840 --> 00:37:23,400
Speaker 4: In the league.

714
00:37:23,840 --> 00:37:26,399
Speaker 3: You faced Carolina, the Giants at the peak of their

715
00:37:26,440 --> 00:37:30,480
Speaker 3: their their injury issues. Uh. You know you just you

716
00:37:30,560 --> 00:37:33,160
Speaker 3: face the the Rams in week one and you did,

717
00:37:33,200 --> 00:37:36,640
Speaker 3: you got blown out by them. You faced the Bengals

718
00:37:36,640 --> 00:37:39,000
Speaker 3: with still a bang up Burrow and you had eight

719
00:37:39,080 --> 00:37:41,040
Speaker 3: chances to get in the end zone, couldn't do it.

720
00:37:41,160 --> 00:37:42,800
Speaker 3: Then you face the Cardinals last week and it was

721
00:37:42,840 --> 00:37:44,800
Speaker 3: a one possession game too late in the fourth quarter,

722
00:37:44,800 --> 00:37:48,600
Speaker 3: which is very concerning if you're Seattle and going back

723
00:37:48,640 --> 00:37:50,920
Speaker 3: and you've talked about this stuck going back. You know

724
00:37:50,960 --> 00:37:53,720
Speaker 3: they started six and three last year. Uh, and since

725
00:37:53,760 --> 00:37:57,400
Speaker 3: they're under five hundred and their win since then, you know,

726
00:37:57,480 --> 00:38:00,759
Speaker 3: since that six and three start, uh, were you know

727
00:38:00,840 --> 00:38:04,919
Speaker 3: the Rams twice, once with Wolford, once with Mayfield.

728
00:38:04,800 --> 00:38:06,680
Speaker 2: Mike, both by a field goal.

729
00:38:06,760 --> 00:38:09,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, by three and four and one was in overtime

730
00:38:09,160 --> 00:38:11,919
Speaker 3: the Mike White Jets was their their biggest win. Uh.

731
00:38:12,040 --> 00:38:15,080
Speaker 3: Then this year Detroit in overtime with a three nothing

732
00:38:15,120 --> 00:38:18,359
Speaker 3: turnover edge. So you know probably you know, you play

733
00:38:18,400 --> 00:38:22,120
Speaker 3: that game one hundred times, Seattle's not winning that game. More.

734
00:38:22,239 --> 00:38:24,040
Speaker 3: You know, Seattle losing that game more often than not.

735
00:38:24,280 --> 00:38:26,799
Speaker 3: And then you beat Carolina the Giants in Arizona. So

736
00:38:27,320 --> 00:38:33,520
Speaker 3: Seattle has beat nobody in a year really except Detroit.

737
00:38:33,640 --> 00:38:35,040
Speaker 3: And that was a game that you know, if you

738
00:38:35,080 --> 00:38:38,560
Speaker 3: play it out like you know, larger sample, you probably

739
00:38:38,600 --> 00:38:41,560
Speaker 3: don't win that game more than you lose it. Cleveland,

740
00:38:41,600 --> 00:38:43,480
Speaker 3: I'm not I'm not trying to say that Cleveland is

741
00:38:43,520 --> 00:38:47,480
Speaker 3: this juggernaut. You know, PJ. Walker is terrible, but if

742
00:38:47,480 --> 00:38:49,960
Speaker 3: you look at the last two weeks, they found a

743
00:38:49,960 --> 00:38:54,080
Speaker 3: way to win games or and even if you know

744
00:38:54,200 --> 00:38:56,680
Speaker 3: that San Francisco makes that field goal, they still lose

745
00:38:56,680 --> 00:38:59,560
Speaker 3: by what two points? Even if the Coats end up

746
00:38:59,680 --> 00:39:04,280
Speaker 3: you know, you know, hanging around, yeah, right, like they're

747
00:39:04,320 --> 00:39:06,680
Speaker 3: still hanging close in these games. Talking about one to

748
00:39:06,719 --> 00:39:09,200
Speaker 3: two point margins. We're getting three in the hook here.

749
00:39:09,640 --> 00:39:11,759
Speaker 3: And you know, you beat a San Francisco team that's

750
00:39:11,760 --> 00:39:13,400
Speaker 3: still a quality team. I know they were banged up,

751
00:39:13,400 --> 00:39:16,240
Speaker 3: but you know, still impressive win with p J. Walker

752
00:39:16,680 --> 00:39:18,920
Speaker 3: thanks to the defense. And then last week you give

753
00:39:19,000 --> 00:39:22,120
Speaker 3: up you know, ridiculous amounts of explosives to the coast.

754
00:39:22,120 --> 00:39:24,520
Speaker 3: That happens. You know, no defense is going to remain

755
00:39:24,560 --> 00:39:27,799
Speaker 3: perfect over the full year, and the Colts are kind

756
00:39:27,800 --> 00:39:30,120
Speaker 3: of catching people off guard. I mean, I know I've

757
00:39:30,360 --> 00:39:33,960
Speaker 3: had some erroneous handicaps with the Colts games, you know,

758
00:39:34,000 --> 00:39:36,640
Speaker 3: betting against them, betting on their unders, things like that.

759
00:39:36,680 --> 00:39:40,840
Speaker 3: So the Coats are catching people off guard. But Seattle, again,

760
00:39:41,080 --> 00:39:43,080
Speaker 3: I just think this defense, the book is out on

761
00:39:43,160 --> 00:39:46,440
Speaker 3: them and on on offense. I just think, you know,

762
00:39:46,640 --> 00:39:51,160
Speaker 3: it's kind of a wash. Right. Cleveland's defense can make

763
00:39:51,320 --> 00:39:56,120
Speaker 3: Seattle's offense essentially like a piece of right. So now

764
00:39:56,440 --> 00:39:58,120
Speaker 3: you're just talking, you're giving me three.

765
00:39:57,920 --> 00:40:00,399
Speaker 4: In the hook in Cleveland's.

766
00:40:00,080 --> 00:40:02,960
Speaker 3: You know, even the games that they are, you know,

767
00:40:03,080 --> 00:40:05,759
Speaker 3: kind of coming down to it. They have one bad

768
00:40:05,800 --> 00:40:07,919
Speaker 3: game and it's with DTR. That was a DTR start.

769
00:40:08,600 --> 00:40:11,200
Speaker 3: Walker's that he's keeping a minute, and you know you

770
00:40:11,239 --> 00:40:12,960
Speaker 3: had that they should be five and one. But you

771
00:40:13,000 --> 00:40:16,440
Speaker 3: had that game against Pittsburgh with Pittsburgh scores two defensive touchdowns.

772
00:40:16,480 --> 00:40:19,440
Speaker 3: So I think this is a step up even with PJ. Walker,

773
00:40:19,680 --> 00:40:21,840
Speaker 3: this is a step up in class for a Seattle

774
00:40:21,880 --> 00:40:25,399
Speaker 3: team that's faced the worst or easiest I should say,

775
00:40:25,840 --> 00:40:28,640
Speaker 3: strength to schedule in the league. So it's ugly, but

776
00:40:28,760 --> 00:40:32,560
Speaker 3: we're getting three in the hook. So let's go with

777
00:40:32,680 --> 00:40:36,600
Speaker 3: the Cleveland Browns and hope Miles Garrett and company find

778
00:40:36,640 --> 00:40:39,520
Speaker 3: a way to get us a score and some turnovers.

779
00:40:40,040 --> 00:40:42,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, I liked I like this now that you're getting

780
00:40:42,400 --> 00:40:45,800
Speaker 2: the hook with what I think is the best defense

781
00:40:45,800 --> 00:40:47,319
Speaker 2: in the legue and I expecting the bounce back after

782
00:40:47,400 --> 00:40:49,759
Speaker 2: last week. It was more about exposive and it's not efficiency.

783
00:40:50,080 --> 00:40:52,640
Speaker 2: It's a good matchup for the Cleveland defense. I mean, look,

784
00:40:52,760 --> 00:40:54,719
Speaker 2: I having taken the three and a half with a

785
00:40:54,760 --> 00:40:58,040
Speaker 2: total that's plummeting. I don't know what's a thirty eight

786
00:40:58,080 --> 00:41:00,759
Speaker 2: now that's the move here. Probably comes down to, like

787
00:41:00,760 --> 00:41:04,080
Speaker 2: who makes a mistake. I completely agree, and looking back

788
00:41:04,160 --> 00:41:06,200
Speaker 2: at I don't know. If you want to recap, then

789
00:41:06,239 --> 00:41:07,719
Speaker 2: we can look at our quarterbacks, because at least you

790
00:41:07,760 --> 00:41:11,560
Speaker 2: got Joe Burrow, Lamar Jackson. Because the quarterbacks, I'm rolling

791
00:41:11,600 --> 00:41:16,839
Speaker 2: with our Mac Jones, Jordan Love, and Russell Wilson Vintage

792
00:41:17,160 --> 00:41:18,239
Speaker 2: back to my roots.

793
00:41:18,640 --> 00:41:21,520
Speaker 3: By the way, Mike Jordan Love lead the league in interceptions.

794
00:41:21,520 --> 00:41:23,920
Speaker 3: Ticket is still live, He's in third, He's tied for

795
00:41:23,960 --> 00:41:26,480
Speaker 3: third with seven. Hurt's probably not going to continue leading

796
00:41:26,520 --> 00:41:29,080
Speaker 3: the league and picks, so I'm still live.

797
00:41:29,320 --> 00:41:31,680
Speaker 2: With g MVP ticket line.

798
00:41:31,840 --> 00:41:35,320
Speaker 3: He made fun of me, But a hilarious stat about

799
00:41:35,440 --> 00:41:39,359
Speaker 3: Justin Fields is he still leads the league in touchdown rate.

800
00:41:40,480 --> 00:41:43,480
Speaker 3: I'm just I'm just spinning facts, bro, I'm just spitting facts.

801
00:41:43,560 --> 00:41:46,359
Speaker 3: Just spin facts. But that's going to do it. For

802
00:41:46,480 --> 00:41:49,719
Speaker 3: the Weegate Sunday six pack, Stuck has the Patriots plus

803
00:41:49,760 --> 00:41:52,319
Speaker 3: nine and a half, the Packers plus one, and the

804
00:41:52,320 --> 00:41:53,920
Speaker 3: Broncos plus seven.

805
00:41:53,960 --> 00:41:56,080
Speaker 4: I got the Bengals plus.

806
00:41:55,440 --> 00:41:57,400
Speaker 3: Three and a half, the Ravens mine is eight and

807
00:41:57,440 --> 00:42:02,640
Speaker 3: a half, and the Browns plus three and a half.

808
00:42:03,040 --> 00:42:05,319
Speaker 4: Now it's time for a coaches a pep talk.

809
00:42:05,680 --> 00:42:07,600
Speaker 1: Every time we get ready to play, I just want

810
00:42:07,600 --> 00:42:09,719
Speaker 1: to throw up so depressed, I don't even want to

811
00:42:09,760 --> 00:42:10,520
Speaker 1: talk about it.

812
00:42:10,680 --> 00:42:12,399
Speaker 4: I'm sick I'm watching you guys play.

813
00:42:12,880 --> 00:42:15,239
Speaker 3: This week's coaches pep Talk comes to us from the

814
00:42:15,239 --> 00:42:19,840
Speaker 3: twenty ten film The Town, and we're dedicating it to

815
00:42:20,840 --> 00:42:21,560
Speaker 3: Matt Jones.

816
00:42:21,800 --> 00:42:24,640
Speaker 2: I saw our producer tweet this out. This is basically

817
00:42:24,680 --> 00:42:29,760
Speaker 2: what Bill Belichick will say to Mac Jones after Week eighteen.

818
00:42:30,960 --> 00:42:33,879
Speaker 2: Ah Jesus, look, let me put it here this way.

819
00:42:33,880 --> 00:42:36,400
Speaker 2: I'm putting this whole fucking time on my review who

820
00:42:36,440 --> 00:42:37,520
Speaker 2: the fuck you think you are.

821
00:42:38,080 --> 00:42:40,080
Speaker 3: You want to letting me and not letting me do shit?

822
00:42:40,440 --> 00:42:42,360
Speaker 3: All right, here's a little fucking cheat sheet for you.

823
00:42:42,719 --> 00:42:45,239
Speaker 3: It's never gonna be me and you, all right, you

824
00:42:45,360 --> 00:42:48,440
Speaker 3: gotta get that in your fucking head. I'm tiry of

825
00:42:48,520 --> 00:42:49,920
Speaker 3: one way fucking bullshit.

826
00:42:50,480 --> 00:42:52,840
Speaker 2: If you want to see me again, come down and

827
00:42:52,920 --> 00:42:54,080
Speaker 2: visit me in Florida.

828
00:42:54,680 --> 00:42:56,920
Speaker 3: Stuck you and I know more memories are made when

829
00:42:56,920 --> 00:42:59,680
Speaker 3: you're there for live NFL action and when you need

830
00:42:59,719 --> 00:43:02,680
Speaker 3: to take it. Ticketmasters got you covered. As the official

831
00:43:02,800 --> 00:43:06,080
Speaker 3: marketplace of the NFL. Ticketmaster gives you more ways to

832
00:43:06,120 --> 00:43:09,200
Speaker 3: find your perfect seat. Their interactive seat map gives you

833
00:43:09,320 --> 00:43:13,799
Speaker 3: three hundred and sixty degree previews of your section to

834
00:43:13,840 --> 00:43:16,399
Speaker 3: make sure that you have the best view of those

835
00:43:16,440 --> 00:43:19,920
Speaker 3: pivotal plays and if your plans change. Ticketmaster gives you

836
00:43:19,920 --> 00:43:24,880
Speaker 3: more flexibility to sell or transfer your tickets, plus mobile

837
00:43:24,880 --> 00:43:28,600
Speaker 3: tickets make getting in on game days breeze, and you

838
00:43:28,600 --> 00:43:32,880
Speaker 3: can even customize your Ticketmaster app to rep your team's colors.

839
00:43:33,320 --> 00:43:40,799
Speaker 3: Find tickets today at ticketmaster dot com. Slash NFL time

840
00:43:41,160 --> 00:43:43,360
Speaker 3: for our favorite.

841
00:43:43,000 --> 00:43:45,080
Speaker 4: Totals of the week.

842
00:43:46,080 --> 00:43:48,800
Speaker 3: You hit last week, I did not My under was

843
00:43:48,840 --> 00:43:52,839
Speaker 3: crushed pretty much in the first quarter. But on the year,

844
00:43:52,880 --> 00:43:56,279
Speaker 3: we're combined nine to five on totals, so it's been

845
00:43:56,280 --> 00:43:59,839
Speaker 3: a good year so far for the POD. I will

846
00:43:59,880 --> 00:44:06,759
Speaker 3: go first, and I'm going Eagles commanders under forty three

847
00:44:07,080 --> 00:44:13,200
Speaker 3: and a half, and this is just a cap of

848
00:44:13,440 --> 00:44:16,600
Speaker 3: the Eagles and their play style, especially on the road.

849
00:44:17,160 --> 00:44:20,040
Speaker 3: You know, I think they're gonna bleed clock here. They

850
00:44:21,400 --> 00:44:24,040
Speaker 3: had a high scoring game against Washington in the first one,

851
00:44:24,320 --> 00:44:27,160
Speaker 3: but usually in these division games, second matchup is tighter,

852
00:44:27,160 --> 00:44:30,040
Speaker 3: and usually you can expect, you know, things to kind

853
00:44:30,040 --> 00:44:32,279
Speaker 3: of shift. You know, in the first game, I think

854
00:44:32,360 --> 00:44:36,000
Speaker 3: Washington scored in an opening possession and I don't think

855
00:44:36,000 --> 00:44:38,080
Speaker 3: that's gonna happen this time. I think it's gonna be

856
00:44:38,080 --> 00:44:40,840
Speaker 3: a lot tighter defensively for Philly, and then they're going

857
00:44:40,920 --> 00:44:45,080
Speaker 3: to run the ball on the other side. On the road,

858
00:44:45,320 --> 00:44:48,759
Speaker 3: they're totals forty five, thirty six, thirty seven, thirty four

859
00:44:49,719 --> 00:44:53,839
Speaker 3: at home sixty two, sixty five, forty eight, so they

860
00:44:53,840 --> 00:44:55,560
Speaker 3: definitely tend to pour it on a little bit more

861
00:44:55,600 --> 00:44:59,560
Speaker 3: at home. You know, we'll see if Bayard plays this week,

862
00:44:59,560 --> 00:45:02,160
Speaker 3: but nice trade for them. Howie Roseman continues to just

863
00:45:02,239 --> 00:45:06,239
Speaker 3: make great great moves to help the team, and you

864
00:45:06,280 --> 00:45:07,960
Speaker 3: know with blanket ship out that's going to be a

865
00:45:07,960 --> 00:45:10,160
Speaker 3: good long term move. But buyered one of the better

866
00:45:10,200 --> 00:45:14,520
Speaker 3: safeties in the league. But also in addition to Philly

867
00:45:14,560 --> 00:45:17,719
Speaker 3: and their play style lead into an under Sam Howe.

868
00:45:18,120 --> 00:45:19,920
Speaker 3: I don't know what was up with Philly's defense in

869
00:45:19,960 --> 00:45:22,240
Speaker 3: that first matchup, but I think they could get pressure

870
00:45:22,320 --> 00:45:26,279
Speaker 3: on how we saw how you know what he kind

871
00:45:26,280 --> 00:45:28,640
Speaker 3: of gets into when when there's pressure and the Giants

872
00:45:28,640 --> 00:45:30,800
Speaker 3: aren't even a great I mean, they have to blitz

873
00:45:31,000 --> 00:45:34,200
Speaker 3: to bring pressure, but you know, it was just sack

874
00:45:34,280 --> 00:45:37,360
Speaker 3: after sack after sack, and Washington went one to fifteen

875
00:45:37,360 --> 00:45:39,080
Speaker 3: on third downs. Now you got to face a much

876
00:45:39,080 --> 00:45:42,680
Speaker 3: more talented Philly defense that doesn't even need to blitz

877
00:45:42,719 --> 00:45:45,719
Speaker 3: necessarily to get as much pressure to getting healthier on

878
00:45:45,760 --> 00:45:50,200
Speaker 3: the back end with the corners that least got Carl

879
00:45:50,280 --> 00:45:56,000
Speaker 3: Cheffer's referee in this game only two defensive pass interference

880
00:45:56,040 --> 00:46:00,520
Speaker 3: calls all season long for Treffers, so he tends to

881
00:46:00,600 --> 00:46:03,880
Speaker 3: let defensive backs be a little bit handsy, which is

882
00:46:03,880 --> 00:46:08,359
Speaker 3: always good for uh an under because you know, it's

883
00:46:08,400 --> 00:46:10,040
Speaker 3: like an explosive play if you get a deep pass

884
00:46:10,040 --> 00:46:13,800
Speaker 3: interference call uh s. Sheffer's same number of opis called

885
00:46:13,800 --> 00:46:17,680
Speaker 3: this year as DPA. Yeah, and he's only called one

886
00:46:18,120 --> 00:46:20,560
Speaker 3: rough in the pass or too, So he's probably gonna

887
00:46:20,560 --> 00:46:22,759
Speaker 3: be hitting howl a lot. So you know that that

888
00:46:22,880 --> 00:46:27,400
Speaker 3: also is good. So uh like the referee matchup in

889
00:46:27,440 --> 00:46:30,040
Speaker 3: this one. And you know Jalen hurts. I don't think

890
00:46:30,080 --> 00:46:35,040
Speaker 3: he's hurt U no pun intended, but he did exit

891
00:46:35,120 --> 00:46:37,520
Speaker 3: that Miami that Sunday night game with a knee brace.

892
00:46:37,560 --> 00:46:41,160
Speaker 3: Now he's on a short week, UH Division game, you

893
00:46:41,200 --> 00:46:43,719
Speaker 3: know it should be should be hard hitting. So you know,

894
00:46:44,040 --> 00:46:47,479
Speaker 3: if if Philadelphia can get a lead here, I don't

895
00:46:47,520 --> 00:46:49,319
Speaker 3: think this is a game as we've seen with them

896
00:46:49,360 --> 00:46:50,719
Speaker 3: on the road. I don't think this is a game

897
00:46:50,719 --> 00:46:51,960
Speaker 3: where they want to pour it on. You know, he

898
00:46:52,320 --> 00:46:54,960
Speaker 3: had twenty one yards on eleven carries last week, so

899
00:46:55,160 --> 00:46:57,840
Speaker 3: the rushing might not be there for for him. So

900
00:46:57,880 --> 00:47:00,400
Speaker 3: I think you see a lot of DeAndre Swift in

901
00:47:00,440 --> 00:47:02,560
Speaker 3: this game. And I think they learned from their mistakes,

902
00:47:02,760 --> 00:47:05,839
Speaker 3: you know in giving up thirty one to Washington in

903
00:47:05,880 --> 00:47:11,480
Speaker 3: that first meeting and short things up and if when

904
00:47:11,520 --> 00:47:16,000
Speaker 3: in doubt, Cheffers should be able to help us out

905
00:47:16,120 --> 00:47:20,719
Speaker 3: his unders in outdoor games since twenty twenty, twenty four

906
00:47:20,719 --> 00:47:24,600
Speaker 3: and fourteen sixty three percent. Uh So going with this

907
00:47:25,239 --> 00:47:28,320
Speaker 3: Commander's Eagles NFC East under.

908
00:47:29,280 --> 00:47:31,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like this one. I also like the Commanders.

909
00:47:31,640 --> 00:47:33,360
Speaker 2: I'm hoping to get a seven. This is just a

910
00:47:33,400 --> 00:47:36,120
Speaker 2: great spot for them. They were embarrassed last week. You're

911
00:47:36,120 --> 00:47:38,080
Speaker 2: hearing all the right things. I think they come out

912
00:47:39,360 --> 00:47:42,400
Speaker 2: with an inspired effort against a team that if paddle

913
00:47:42,440 --> 00:47:44,520
Speaker 2: bolt Ron goes for two, they could have beat in

914
00:47:44,560 --> 00:47:47,000
Speaker 2: Philly and they've played Philly tough. Yeah, they want to

915
00:47:47,320 --> 00:47:48,040
Speaker 2: in Philly this year.

916
00:47:48,120 --> 00:47:48,319
Speaker 3: Yep.

917
00:47:49,520 --> 00:47:51,279
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go for my favorite total. I don't know

918
00:47:51,320 --> 00:47:53,960
Speaker 2: what is going on, but I just I'm picking an

919
00:47:53,960 --> 00:47:56,319
Speaker 2: over every week. I guess I have a winning record,

920
00:47:56,360 --> 00:47:57,520
Speaker 2: but it's not great. I think I feel like it's

921
00:47:57,520 --> 00:47:58,960
Speaker 2: a year of the under, and I'd like it. Now

922
00:47:58,960 --> 00:48:02,279
Speaker 2: I'm liking overs when I generally like unders. But I'm

923
00:48:02,280 --> 00:48:05,919
Speaker 2: gonna go with the Carolina Panthers Houston Texans over forty

924
00:48:05,920 --> 00:48:08,440
Speaker 2: three and a half. Chop around if you find a

925
00:48:08,480 --> 00:48:11,160
Speaker 2: forty three key number, see if you can do that.

926
00:48:11,239 --> 00:48:12,920
Speaker 2: As always, just with every bet, chop around, try to

927
00:48:12,920 --> 00:48:14,279
Speaker 2: get the best number half as many outs as you

928
00:48:14,320 --> 00:48:15,920
Speaker 2: can you know this time, this is the time of

929
00:48:16,000 --> 00:48:19,960
Speaker 2: year starting now, like the eyes always by low sell high,

930
00:48:20,239 --> 00:48:22,719
Speaker 2: have my numbers to account for. And then also this

931
00:48:22,760 --> 00:48:24,800
Speaker 2: is when I start to okay, what does the market

932
00:48:24,840 --> 00:48:28,279
Speaker 2: maybe not accounting for enough? With the Broncos. It might

933
00:48:28,320 --> 00:48:30,880
Speaker 2: be some of the defensive changes that they made the Patriots,

934
00:48:30,880 --> 00:48:34,280
Speaker 2: it's the offensive line, the schematic changes they made on offense.

935
00:48:35,160 --> 00:48:37,440
Speaker 2: With this, there's a couple of things. One, you have

936
00:48:37,480 --> 00:48:41,400
Speaker 2: two rookie quarterbacks in with new staffs, in new offensive

937
00:48:41,440 --> 00:48:44,799
Speaker 2: schemes that are coming off of a buy. I think

938
00:48:44,840 --> 00:48:48,520
Speaker 2: that's super valuable time to reset. Okay, let's adjust what

939
00:48:48,520 --> 00:48:50,200
Speaker 2: are we doing well, what are we not? Just a

940
00:48:50,280 --> 00:48:54,439
Speaker 2: really really beneficial time to kind of digest what went

941
00:48:54,440 --> 00:48:57,960
Speaker 2: bright and what went wrong. CJ shots played well right

942
00:48:58,000 --> 00:49:01,239
Speaker 2: off the bat, so like there's not even that much

943
00:49:01,239 --> 00:49:03,000
Speaker 2: he can improve on the texts had a ton of

944
00:49:03,000 --> 00:49:05,160
Speaker 2: offensive line injuries too while he was doing that, which

945
00:49:05,200 --> 00:49:08,560
Speaker 2: is amazing. So I don't expect Houston to have too

946
00:49:08,640 --> 00:49:12,160
Speaker 2: much trouble with a bad Carolina defense. But the other

947
00:49:12,200 --> 00:49:13,759
Speaker 2: side is where the other side of the balls, where

948
00:49:13,760 --> 00:49:16,560
Speaker 2: I think that there's even more value with this over

949
00:49:16,760 --> 00:49:19,239
Speaker 2: is the Caroline offense has been dreadful, especially if you

950
00:49:19,280 --> 00:49:23,160
Speaker 2: remove the game when Andy Dalton started. Bryce Youll's just

951
00:49:23,280 --> 00:49:25,279
Speaker 2: looked too small in the pocket. The games looked too

952
00:49:25,280 --> 00:49:28,160
Speaker 2: fast for him. But he's actually showed some flashes the

953
00:49:28,200 --> 00:49:32,600
Speaker 2: past couple of weeks before the bye. But most importantly,

954
00:49:32,920 --> 00:49:36,680
Speaker 2: Frank Wright gave up play calling duties against Miami in

955
00:49:36,719 --> 00:49:40,040
Speaker 2: their game before the bye, they went super fast and

956
00:49:40,080 --> 00:49:41,760
Speaker 2: they were one of the slowest teams in the NFL

957
00:49:41,800 --> 00:49:44,880
Speaker 2: prior to that, and their offensive coordinator from the McVeigh

958
00:49:44,880 --> 00:49:48,920
Speaker 2: tree like Tempo. By the way, Bryce Young also like

959
00:49:49,080 --> 00:49:52,799
Speaker 2: tempo at Alabama, they led the NFL no huddle rate

960
00:49:53,440 --> 00:49:54,960
Speaker 2: that week. All part of that is they were playing

961
00:49:54,960 --> 00:49:56,520
Speaker 2: for behind me. They also were up fourteen to nothing

962
00:49:56,520 --> 00:49:58,920
Speaker 2: in that game, whereising tempo right off the bat. So

963
00:49:59,040 --> 00:50:01,840
Speaker 2: I expect them they were one of the slowest teams,

964
00:50:02,239 --> 00:50:05,600
Speaker 2: I expect them to be significantly faster. I expect Young

965
00:50:05,640 --> 00:50:07,880
Speaker 2: to continue to prove be a little better after the buye,

966
00:50:08,160 --> 00:50:11,680
Speaker 2: and I think that this offense can have success against

967
00:50:12,080 --> 00:50:14,879
Speaker 2: a Houston defense that's decent, but it's not an elite unit.

968
00:50:15,160 --> 00:50:18,360
Speaker 2: So I think this has the potential to turn into

969
00:50:18,400 --> 00:50:22,160
Speaker 2: like rookie versus rookie narrative shootout. So I think there's

970
00:50:22,400 --> 00:50:25,160
Speaker 2: there's some value here. Also, you're just getting some suppressed

971
00:50:25,200 --> 00:50:28,479
Speaker 2: totals across the board because of the success that Unders

972
00:50:28,520 --> 00:50:31,040
Speaker 2: have had to start the season. Yeah, I like this over.

973
00:50:31,040 --> 00:50:32,560
Speaker 2: I think this should be forty five plus.

974
00:50:32,840 --> 00:50:34,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, I love this as well. You know, when you

975
00:50:34,960 --> 00:50:40,160
Speaker 3: look at Houston, Stroud's obviously been great offensive line getting healthier,

976
00:50:40,920 --> 00:50:43,640
Speaker 3: the two things Houston has struggled with running the ball

977
00:50:44,040 --> 00:50:48,239
Speaker 3: and converting touchdowns in the red zone. Well, Carolina is

978
00:50:48,320 --> 00:50:52,200
Speaker 3: the worst run defense by DVOA and Carolina bottom three

979
00:50:52,280 --> 00:50:55,960
Speaker 3: in red zone defense. This was probably gonna be my

980
00:50:56,040 --> 00:50:59,120
Speaker 3: play if if it wasn't for Eagles jump on this

981
00:50:59,160 --> 00:51:01,520
Speaker 3: one as well. If you just look historically when you

982
00:51:01,600 --> 00:51:05,719
Speaker 3: have rookie quarterbacks coming off of a bye, the over

983
00:51:06,000 --> 00:51:09,439
Speaker 3: has been over sixty percent so over the last couple

984
00:51:09,480 --> 00:51:11,520
Speaker 3: of decades. So the trends kind of.

985
00:51:12,440 --> 00:51:16,000
Speaker 2: Yeah being beneficial. Our titles have been good and we

986
00:51:16,000 --> 00:51:19,359
Speaker 2: can stay on brand. You with the ugly under and

987
00:51:19,400 --> 00:51:21,200
Speaker 2: me with my new found love for overs.

988
00:51:21,360 --> 00:51:23,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, no, this is this is a great one. Under

989
00:51:23,239 --> 00:51:26,520
Speaker 3: forty three and a half Philly Washington over forty three

990
00:51:26,520 --> 00:51:34,359
Speaker 3: and a half Carolina Houston. Let's go to our favorite teasers.

991
00:51:33,440 --> 00:51:33,960
Speaker 4: Of the week.

992
00:51:35,239 --> 00:51:42,560
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, six point teasers don't change.

993
00:51:43,680 --> 00:51:46,440
Speaker 2: Don't tease me to please.

994
00:51:50,800 --> 00:51:54,799
Speaker 3: We're combined eleven and three on teasers, so another good

995
00:51:54,880 --> 00:51:59,399
Speaker 3: year for us in that category as well. If you're

996
00:51:59,480 --> 00:52:04,120
Speaker 3: unfamiliar with teasers, it's when you essentially get an extra

997
00:52:04,600 --> 00:52:07,600
Speaker 3: allotment of points to parlagu two or more spreadbats.

998
00:52:07,640 --> 00:52:08,760
Speaker 4: Usually it's six points.

999
00:52:09,320 --> 00:52:12,120
Speaker 3: So we do a six point two team teaser here,

1000
00:52:12,600 --> 00:52:15,600
Speaker 3: and that would mean if for example, you have an

1001
00:52:15,640 --> 00:52:17,759
Speaker 3: eight point favorite, they become a two point favorite and

1002
00:52:17,800 --> 00:52:21,600
Speaker 3: eight point underdog becomes a fourteen point underdog. Stuck has

1003
00:52:21,600 --> 00:52:23,920
Speaker 3: a lot of content where he explains exactly how you

1004
00:52:23,920 --> 00:52:25,960
Speaker 3: want to tease, you know, going through the key numbers

1005
00:52:26,000 --> 00:52:28,280
Speaker 3: of the three and the seven. So google Stucky teasers

1006
00:52:28,640 --> 00:52:32,920
Speaker 3: and you can find that. But where are you going Stuck?

1007
00:52:33,080 --> 00:52:39,080
Speaker 2: For Week eight, Let's go with two pieces that are

1008
00:52:39,120 --> 00:52:40,520
Speaker 2: going to go through three and seven. I'm gonna go

1009
00:52:40,560 --> 00:52:44,239
Speaker 2: with the Giants teasing them from plus two and a half.

1010
00:52:44,000 --> 00:52:46,879
Speaker 4: To they're three, so it's it would be just three to.

1011
00:52:46,880 --> 00:52:50,760
Speaker 2: Nine and then the and then I'm going to tease

1012
00:52:50,840 --> 00:52:52,560
Speaker 2: the Chargers down from minus eight and a half to

1013
00:52:52,600 --> 00:52:55,600
Speaker 2: minus two and a half. Both games don't have too

1014
00:52:55,640 --> 00:52:58,920
Speaker 2: high totals either, which you also like. I think Tyrod

1015
00:52:58,960 --> 00:53:01,399
Speaker 2: Taylor is gonna play for the Giant. I mean, it's

1016
00:53:01,400 --> 00:53:04,640
Speaker 2: pretty crazy. I now have the Giants rated higher with

1017
00:53:04,960 --> 00:53:09,480
Speaker 2: Tyrod Taylor. He's and Daniel Jude's making eight times what

1018
00:53:09,719 --> 00:53:12,200
Speaker 2: Tyro Taylor makes. That contract's gonna get down as one

1019
00:53:12,239 --> 00:53:13,280
Speaker 2: of the worst NFL history.

1020
00:53:13,640 --> 00:53:16,399
Speaker 4: We have it out after next year, so it's really

1021
00:53:16,440 --> 00:53:17,080
Speaker 4: a two year deal.

1022
00:53:17,160 --> 00:53:19,839
Speaker 2: But yeah, Tyro Taylor is an eight percent lower sack

1023
00:53:19,920 --> 00:53:23,399
Speaker 2: rate on the same pressure percentage two touchdowns, no interceptions,

1024
00:53:23,760 --> 00:53:27,640
Speaker 2: Daniel Jude's two touchdowns, six interceptions past two seasons. Jones

1025
00:53:27,680 --> 00:53:30,839
Speaker 2: one point five percent, big time throw rate Taylor six

1026
00:53:30,880 --> 00:53:34,600
Speaker 2: point eight percent. Like he's not taking the sacks, he's

1027
00:53:34,600 --> 00:53:37,160
Speaker 2: making bigger time throws, and he's not making mistakes. Tyer

1028
00:53:37,200 --> 00:53:41,640
Speaker 2: Taylor's top five all time among qualified quarterbacks in lowest

1029
00:53:41,680 --> 00:53:44,480
Speaker 2: interception right. I think he's third as the third lowest

1030
00:53:45,000 --> 00:53:48,080
Speaker 2: behind Rogers and Brissette. I actually think is number two.

1031
00:53:48,280 --> 00:53:50,480
Speaker 2: So he's not making the mistakes. He's even he's a

1032
00:53:50,480 --> 00:53:53,480
Speaker 2: little bit even more mobile. He hasn't lost his confidence.

1033
00:53:54,000 --> 00:53:56,040
Speaker 2: And then you also have Barkley Backs. This Giant seems

1034
00:53:56,040 --> 00:53:59,359
Speaker 2: playing a lot better and it's Jack Wilson. So I mean,

1035
00:53:59,440 --> 00:54:02,640
Speaker 2: Zack Wilson going to be win by double digits. Come on, Giants,

1036
00:54:02,640 --> 00:54:04,680
Speaker 2: easy pick here with a super low total, and then

1037
00:54:04,719 --> 00:54:07,600
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with the Charters. Look, Tyson Bagent, it's

1038
00:54:07,600 --> 00:54:10,560
Speaker 2: a fun story. He beat the Raiders. I mean he

1039
00:54:10,640 --> 00:54:12,680
Speaker 2: threw it like thirty times for one hundred and fifty yards.

1040
00:54:12,719 --> 00:54:14,360
Speaker 2: That's what the Raiders give you. He doesn't have a

1041
00:54:14,360 --> 00:54:16,520
Speaker 2: strong arm. The Raiders can't throw the ball they had

1042
00:54:16,560 --> 00:54:19,640
Speaker 2: Brian Hoyer. But you can attack this bear. Secondary chargership

1043
00:54:19,680 --> 00:54:22,439
Speaker 2: bounce back charge has been extremely unlucky. Look, they haven't

1044
00:54:22,480 --> 00:54:24,319
Speaker 2: been great, but I think this is a bypoint for them.

1045
00:54:24,320 --> 00:54:27,040
Speaker 2: If you're also looking for a future, I think Charters

1046
00:54:27,040 --> 00:54:29,839
Speaker 2: to make the playoffs. This is the bottom point for them.

1047
00:54:30,120 --> 00:54:32,400
Speaker 2: They can get a plus one to ninety plus two hundred.

1048
00:54:33,440 --> 00:54:35,279
Speaker 2: I mean they've had one of the hardest schedules in

1049
00:54:35,320 --> 00:54:40,720
Speaker 2: the NFL. They've lost what three games by seven points?

1050
00:54:40,880 --> 00:54:43,759
Speaker 2: I believe they lost an overtime at Tennessee. They lost

1051
00:54:43,800 --> 00:54:45,960
Speaker 2: by two to the Dolphins, they lost by three to

1052
00:54:46,000 --> 00:54:50,000
Speaker 2: the Cowboys, and then they lost to Kansas City, and

1053
00:54:50,080 --> 00:54:53,000
Speaker 2: now if you look at their schedule it gets easy.

1054
00:54:53,280 --> 00:54:54,560
Speaker 2: So I think the Charters are about to go on

1055
00:54:54,600 --> 00:54:56,440
Speaker 2: a run here. I think they get this done against

1056
00:54:56,440 --> 00:54:59,279
Speaker 2: Tyson Bagent and bad Bears defense. They should have enough

1057
00:54:59,320 --> 00:55:00,960
Speaker 2: to win this game. Chargers Giants.

1058
00:55:01,280 --> 00:55:03,400
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go Baltimore to two and a half and

1059
00:55:03,440 --> 00:55:06,200
Speaker 3: then Kansas City to one here, just so we don't

1060
00:55:06,239 --> 00:55:08,600
Speaker 3: have both of our teasers relying on the Chargers, who

1061
00:55:08,600 --> 00:55:10,920
Speaker 3: could eat like they could easily still like win like

1062
00:55:11,440 --> 00:55:13,920
Speaker 3: by one point or something. Yea end up Charging. So

1063
00:55:14,760 --> 00:55:17,040
Speaker 3: you already talked about how much I love Baltimore, and

1064
00:55:17,080 --> 00:55:18,600
Speaker 3: I know you like Denver in this spot, but I

1065
00:55:18,680 --> 00:55:22,960
Speaker 3: still trust Case to get a win here. They are

1066
00:55:23,520 --> 00:55:26,920
Speaker 3: twenty nine and with Mahomes starting, they're twenty nine and

1067
00:55:26,960 --> 00:55:30,000
Speaker 3: three against the AFC West, including twelve to zero against

1068
00:55:30,040 --> 00:55:31,480
Speaker 3: Denver straight up at host's.

1069
00:55:31,560 --> 00:55:35,320
Speaker 2: Also nineteen and oh including the postseason away from home

1070
00:55:35,640 --> 00:55:38,879
Speaker 2: neutral road games straight off as a favorite of five

1071
00:55:38,960 --> 00:55:40,960
Speaker 2: or more points, never lost a game, Beasts.

1072
00:55:41,080 --> 00:55:44,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, so that that gives me even more confidence, you know,

1073
00:55:44,239 --> 00:55:47,440
Speaker 3: to take them as a teaser spot here. So I

1074
00:55:47,520 --> 00:55:50,680
Speaker 3: will do that. So you got Chargers eight and a

1075
00:55:50,680 --> 00:55:52,600
Speaker 3: half down, to two and a half and Giants three

1076
00:55:52,600 --> 00:55:54,839
Speaker 3: to nine. I got Ravens eight and a half down

1077
00:55:54,840 --> 00:55:59,080
Speaker 3: to two and a half and Chiefs seven down to

1078
00:55:59,760 --> 00:56:02,960
Speaker 3: one one. As a reminder, the Action Network podcast is

1079
00:56:03,000 --> 00:56:07,680
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1085
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1086
00:56:32,800 --> 00:56:35,160
Speaker 3: for our underdog money line parlay.

1087
00:56:37,560 --> 00:56:42,480
Speaker 1: Turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for the

1088
00:56:42,640 --> 00:56:43,960
Speaker 1: money line parlay.

1089
00:56:44,880 --> 00:56:46,839
Speaker 3: You pulled ahead of me again with your third hit.

1090
00:56:46,920 --> 00:56:50,120
Speaker 3: Last week with the Bears wasn't really ever in doubt

1091
00:56:50,760 --> 00:56:54,160
Speaker 3: and going on the road against tougher competition hasn't looked

1092
00:56:54,160 --> 00:56:55,359
Speaker 3: great for Miami this year.

1093
00:56:55,440 --> 00:56:57,920
Speaker 4: So it's back to the drawing board where you're going.

1094
00:56:57,920 --> 00:57:00,080
Speaker 2: For Week eight? Well, last week we went with a

1095
00:57:00,200 --> 00:57:03,640
Speaker 2: quarterback making his debut. I like that, just the variance

1096
00:57:03,920 --> 00:57:07,960
Speaker 2: playing a backup quarterback. Well, same thing here. Desmon Ridder

1097
00:57:08,000 --> 00:57:10,680
Speaker 2: is a backup quarterback. So we're going against him and

1098
00:57:10,719 --> 00:57:13,920
Speaker 2: the Falcons who just like even if they look good,

1099
00:57:13,960 --> 00:57:17,720
Speaker 2: they still just try to give away games. Uh, And

1100
00:57:17,800 --> 00:57:19,560
Speaker 2: we're gonna go will Levels. So I don't I'm not

1101
00:57:19,600 --> 00:57:23,040
Speaker 2: a believer in but I've never pretended to be a

1102
00:57:23,120 --> 00:57:26,400
Speaker 2: quarterback evaluator. I don't think anyone really is that can

1103
00:57:26,640 --> 00:57:29,000
Speaker 2: nail it. So you're gonna get Levis, You'll probably get

1104
00:57:29,000 --> 00:57:31,440
Speaker 2: some Willis. A lot of Aarans in this game. Tennessee

1105
00:57:31,440 --> 00:57:33,320
Speaker 2: can still defend the run you want to attack. Their

1106
00:57:33,320 --> 00:57:37,360
Speaker 2: secondary ridders look a little better of late. But going

1107
00:57:37,360 --> 00:57:39,640
Speaker 2: on the road here, Tennessee off of by very bowl

1108
00:57:39,680 --> 00:57:41,840
Speaker 2: as a dog. Yeah, it's goo with the Titans.

1109
00:57:42,080 --> 00:57:44,160
Speaker 3: Yeah I was. I was tempted to just make them

1110
00:57:44,160 --> 00:57:47,160
Speaker 3: one of my picks. But yeah, and I still might.

1111
00:57:47,240 --> 00:57:50,400
Speaker 3: I still might because you know you have Ridder on

1112
00:57:50,440 --> 00:57:52,360
Speaker 3: the road. I mean, how many times did desmert Ridder

1113
00:57:52,880 --> 00:57:55,560
Speaker 3: come this close to and then essentially hand the Bucks

1114
00:57:55,560 --> 00:57:58,600
Speaker 3: the game last weekening? Still, I mean, you're talking about

1115
00:57:58,600 --> 00:58:02,640
Speaker 3: that that fumbling at the one inch line, Like who

1116
00:58:02,920 --> 00:58:06,920
Speaker 3: does that? But yeah, so, I mean this is a

1117
00:58:06,920 --> 00:58:10,480
Speaker 3: winnable like you could have twenty twenty two League Wills

1118
00:58:10,520 --> 00:58:13,400
Speaker 3: where Josh dobbson. This is still a winnable game for

1119
00:58:13,680 --> 00:58:15,120
Speaker 3: the Titans.

1120
00:58:15,320 --> 00:58:16,040
Speaker 4: Vrabel as a dog.

1121
00:58:16,160 --> 00:58:18,520
Speaker 2: It's a problem. Like the one thing that wires me

1122
00:58:18,600 --> 00:58:21,800
Speaker 2: is Atlanta's run day has been legit I think at

1123
00:58:21,840 --> 00:58:22,640
Speaker 2: number one in e P A p.

1124
00:58:22,760 --> 00:58:25,600
Speaker 4: Russell out facing the Bucks of course.

1125
00:58:26,360 --> 00:58:29,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, true, but if you want to attack Atlanta through

1126
00:58:29,320 --> 00:58:30,520
Speaker 2: the air, it's like they're gonna have to make some

1127
00:58:30,720 --> 00:58:32,960
Speaker 2: throws this game. I might bet the under in this

1128
00:58:33,000 --> 00:58:34,360
Speaker 2: game too. This game should be ugly.

1129
00:58:34,840 --> 00:58:39,040
Speaker 3: I will go with the good old fashioned Tom Win

1130
00:58:39,080 --> 00:58:43,880
Speaker 3: home dog spot against the Jags inconsistent Trevor Lawrence. They're

1131
00:58:43,880 --> 00:58:46,600
Speaker 3: not giving us the three here, and you know, Steer

1132
00:58:46,680 --> 00:58:48,760
Speaker 3: is kind of a letdown spot, to be honest. I mean,

1133
00:58:49,160 --> 00:58:53,560
Speaker 3: you know, unfortunately, you know, they couldn't hold that they

1134
00:58:53,680 --> 00:58:55,240
Speaker 3: I mean, the Rams couldn't hold that weed against the

1135
00:58:55,200 --> 00:58:57,880
Speaker 3: Steers last week and kind of came apart in the

1136
00:58:57,920 --> 00:58:59,000
Speaker 3: fourth quarter.

1137
00:58:59,200 --> 00:59:04,680
Speaker 2: I finally cut Brett mar.

1138
00:59:02,880 --> 00:59:08,040
Speaker 3: Brett naw Her now her, Yeah he's but I mean

1139
00:59:08,040 --> 00:59:09,840
Speaker 3: I can't even pronounce the new kicker's name, like have

1140
00:59:09,920 --> 00:59:10,520
Speaker 3: your checkers.

1141
00:59:10,560 --> 00:59:12,040
Speaker 4: I don't even I don't even know how to pronounce it.

1142
00:59:12,320 --> 00:59:14,000
Speaker 3: I think it was on the Browns, right, yep, yep,

1143
00:59:16,040 --> 00:59:20,240
Speaker 3: preseason rosters and whatnot. But I digress. We're going steals here,

1144
00:59:20,280 --> 00:59:25,200
Speaker 3: and basically we know that Mike Tomlin and this Steeler

1145
00:59:25,280 --> 00:59:30,200
Speaker 3: team great as underdogs, great as home underdogs.

1146
00:59:30,640 --> 00:59:33,160
Speaker 2: Tomlin home dog voodoo. Like that's all I said.

1147
00:59:33,600 --> 00:59:38,440
Speaker 3: Sixteen to nine straight up sixty four percent is a

1148
00:59:38,440 --> 00:59:42,480
Speaker 3: home dog. Like that's unreal. Like, remember, underdogs win, you

1149
00:59:42,520 --> 00:59:44,800
Speaker 3: know what, thirty five percent of the time when average

1150
00:59:44,840 --> 00:59:48,320
Speaker 3: something like that, thirty thirty five. Like he's winning sixty

1151
00:59:48,640 --> 00:59:50,360
Speaker 3: he's winning as much as he's supposed to.

1152
00:59:50,280 --> 00:59:54,760
Speaker 4: Lose, straight up, win this game, Win this game.

1153
00:59:55,080 --> 00:59:58,920
Speaker 3: And as an underdog from actop from October on, regardless

1154
00:59:58,920 --> 01:00:02,840
Speaker 3: of location, thirty seven and twenty eight fifty seven percent.

1155
01:00:03,080 --> 01:00:06,680
Speaker 3: If you bet on the Steelers since Mike Tomlin took

1156
01:00:06,680 --> 01:00:09,600
Speaker 3: over every time they were a money line dog from

1157
01:00:09,600 --> 01:00:13,160
Speaker 3: October on, you would have a forty four percent ROI

1158
01:00:13,440 --> 01:00:18,440
Speaker 3: just unreal. So we're going Steelers plus one twenty here.

1159
01:00:18,480 --> 01:00:20,880
Speaker 3: And for the Jaguars, you know, they're kind of riding high.

1160
01:00:20,880 --> 01:00:22,160
Speaker 3: But you and I talk about this all the time.

1161
01:00:22,440 --> 01:00:25,600
Speaker 3: Jaguars are a tough team to handicap because we know

1162
01:00:25,640 --> 01:00:29,560
Speaker 3: they have the talent. We know Trevor Lawrence is great,

1163
01:00:30,480 --> 01:00:34,080
Speaker 3: but they're just inconsistent. And right now, you know they

1164
01:00:34,080 --> 01:00:39,160
Speaker 3: have four straight wins. Seems like time for a wet down.

1165
01:00:39,160 --> 01:00:40,720
Speaker 4: So both of these teams are due for a letdown.

1166
01:00:40,720 --> 01:00:41,440
Speaker 3: With the Jaguars, I.

1167
01:00:41,400 --> 01:00:42,560
Speaker 4: Guess they're due for a bigger wet down.

1168
01:00:42,600 --> 01:00:45,040
Speaker 3: So if we're going Steelers money line plus one twenty

1169
01:00:45,240 --> 01:00:47,240
Speaker 3: partly that with the Titans plus on twenty five, and

1170
01:00:47,240 --> 01:00:52,320
Speaker 3: you get odds of plus three ninety five, that is

1171
01:00:52,360 --> 01:00:55,120
Speaker 3: going to do it for our money line underdog parlay

1172
01:00:55,360 --> 01:01:00,320
Speaker 3: and well stuck. Some NFL coaches are already on the

1173
01:01:00,360 --> 01:01:03,120
Speaker 3: hot seat, which means the NFL season must be in

1174
01:01:03,200 --> 01:01:06,160
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1185
01:01:41,360 --> 01:01:45,400
Speaker 3: Then get back to fading rookie quarterbacks on the road

1186
01:01:45,720 --> 01:01:48,520
Speaker 3: or backing Mac Jones for the third week in a row,

1187
01:01:48,560 --> 01:01:51,040
Speaker 3: or whatever you like to do. Our listeners can head

1188
01:01:51,080 --> 01:01:55,080
Speaker 3: to Factor Meals dot com Slash Action Network Pod fifty

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Speaker 3: fifty percent off. And finally we've got the best of

1193
01:02:11,040 --> 01:02:14,360
Speaker 3: the rest. Games we have not covered in any other segment,

1194
01:02:14,800 --> 01:02:20,680
Speaker 3: but are still, as they say, meaningful to some That's.

1195
01:02:20,480 --> 01:02:22,720
Speaker 1: Gonna be a touchdown, but that made me meaningful to

1196
01:02:22,800 --> 01:02:25,400
Speaker 1: some of you, and you know what I mean.

1197
01:02:26,440 --> 01:02:28,920
Speaker 3: And before we get into the Saints coch game, did

1198
01:02:28,920 --> 01:02:30,960
Speaker 3: you get a chance to see that Jaguars Saints game

1199
01:02:31,040 --> 01:02:31,800
Speaker 3: on Thursday.

1200
01:02:31,520 --> 01:02:32,120
Speaker 4: Night or would you?

1201
01:02:32,320 --> 01:02:36,600
Speaker 3: All right? I know I for the longest time people

1202
01:02:36,600 --> 01:02:38,800
Speaker 3: have been saying, you know, al Michael's they've been complaining

1203
01:02:38,840 --> 01:02:40,640
Speaker 3: about him. I'm one of those people that I love

1204
01:02:41,360 --> 01:02:44,920
Speaker 3: just monotone unexcited football announced. I've watched enough football. I

1205
01:02:44,960 --> 01:02:47,640
Speaker 3: don't need people getting excited. But I thought that might

1206
01:02:47,640 --> 01:02:50,120
Speaker 3: have been Al Michael's worst game that he's ever done.

1207
01:02:50,200 --> 01:02:53,600
Speaker 3: Like it was noticeable. I mean the Christian Kirk touchdown

1208
01:02:53,600 --> 01:02:56,919
Speaker 3: when he was like a step out, like just never,

1209
01:02:57,120 --> 01:02:59,600
Speaker 3: he didn't get excited for anything he missed, like a

1210
01:02:59,600 --> 01:03:01,400
Speaker 3: ton of call, like did you what did you think

1211
01:03:01,400 --> 01:03:02,160
Speaker 3: of Al in that one?

1212
01:03:02,440 --> 01:03:06,320
Speaker 2: Al's done? I love them legend, but someone's got to

1213
01:03:06,480 --> 01:03:08,000
Speaker 2: take them out behind the shed.

1214
01:03:08,280 --> 01:03:12,919
Speaker 4: Old yellow Oh yeah, yeah.

1215
01:03:12,680 --> 01:03:16,720
Speaker 3: Oh all right, what are we doing? Oh yeah? Saints

1216
01:03:16,800 --> 01:03:21,240
Speaker 3: at the Colts. Colts favored by a point total forty

1217
01:03:21,240 --> 01:03:23,640
Speaker 3: three and a half. There's another sneaky over. I think,

1218
01:03:23,720 --> 01:03:28,200
Speaker 3: you know, fast track Colts has just been shattering dreams.

1219
01:03:28,720 --> 01:03:29,880
Speaker 2: I feel really fast too.

1220
01:03:30,200 --> 01:03:33,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, they play really fast. They're minch Is terrible under pressure,

1221
01:03:33,640 --> 01:03:36,520
Speaker 3: but he's hitting enough explosives to make it all work somehow,

1222
01:03:36,560 --> 01:03:38,880
Speaker 3: and you know they're throwing the ball down the field

1223
01:03:38,920 --> 01:03:41,320
Speaker 3: and then on the other side, I feel like this

1224
01:03:41,360 --> 01:03:44,040
Speaker 3: is that Guss Bradley Cover three, So if the Saints

1225
01:03:44,080 --> 01:03:46,200
Speaker 3: are ever going to wake up on offense, they kind

1226
01:03:46,200 --> 01:03:48,520
Speaker 3: of woke up for a quarter in jackson against Jacksonville,

1227
01:03:48,560 --> 01:03:50,240
Speaker 3: but the Saints are ever going to wake up. You know,

1228
01:03:50,280 --> 01:03:52,920
Speaker 3: it's cover three defense. You can you can kind of

1229
01:03:52,920 --> 01:03:56,760
Speaker 3: throw deep down the sidelines and have some spaces in there.

1230
01:03:56,800 --> 01:03:58,800
Speaker 3: So I just sneaky over what do you think?

1231
01:04:00,040 --> 01:04:01,880
Speaker 2: I don't mind that you also have like a mini

1232
01:04:01,920 --> 01:04:05,360
Speaker 2: buy for the Saints. They offense started to maybe figure

1233
01:04:05,400 --> 01:04:08,080
Speaker 2: some things out. Laid's a new scheme for Car can

1234
01:04:08,120 --> 01:04:10,880
Speaker 2: work on some things with an extended break. But I

1235
01:04:10,880 --> 01:04:13,240
Speaker 2: mean I make this, I don't know, right around a pick,

1236
01:04:13,320 --> 01:04:16,880
Speaker 2: so unless it gets a three, no interest.

1237
01:04:18,240 --> 01:04:22,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, Saints are just I mean consistently underperforming. I mean

1238
01:04:22,640 --> 01:04:24,160
Speaker 3: I talked about this coming into the year. This is

1239
01:04:24,200 --> 01:04:27,960
Speaker 3: why like the Falcons over the Saints for this division,

1240
01:04:28,000 --> 01:04:30,640
Speaker 3: and you know it's actually not looking too bad right now.

1241
01:04:30,720 --> 01:04:33,880
Speaker 3: But yeah, the Saints team just not I don't think

1242
01:04:33,880 --> 01:04:36,960
Speaker 3: they're very well coached. I think that Carmichael scheme is

1243
01:04:36,960 --> 01:04:39,400
Speaker 3: is pretty pretty shaky, and I don't think car is

1244
01:04:39,400 --> 01:04:43,120
Speaker 3: doing them any favors. So yeah, I would, I mean, yeah,

1245
01:04:43,400 --> 01:04:45,760
Speaker 3: I don't want any I honestly don't want any part

1246
01:04:45,760 --> 01:04:49,080
Speaker 3: of the Saints in this game even you know, I

1247
01:04:49,120 --> 01:04:51,920
Speaker 3: know I know that, you know, if they get to three. Okay,

1248
01:04:52,000 --> 01:04:54,200
Speaker 3: this coach team has kind of been overachieving, but this

1249
01:04:54,360 --> 01:04:57,080
Speaker 3: coach team just really tough. You know, new coach, still

1250
01:04:57,160 --> 01:04:59,840
Speaker 3: kind of learning about what this team is. You know,

1251
01:05:00,600 --> 01:05:02,240
Speaker 3: I kind of I don't want to really fade the

1252
01:05:02,360 --> 01:05:04,200
Speaker 3: fade the Colts anymore for now. I just kind of

1253
01:05:04,240 --> 01:05:08,840
Speaker 3: want to lay off and keep observing Rams at the Cowboys.

1254
01:05:09,480 --> 01:05:12,680
Speaker 3: Cowboys favor by six and a half. Total is forty

1255
01:05:12,680 --> 01:05:16,480
Speaker 3: five and a half. You know, there would be times

1256
01:05:16,480 --> 01:05:18,640
Speaker 3: where I would look at the Rams in this spot,

1257
01:05:18,720 --> 01:05:22,800
Speaker 3: but another team that's just I don't know, something's a

1258
01:05:22,840 --> 01:05:24,400
Speaker 3: little off with the Rams. I mean, what did you see?

1259
01:05:24,480 --> 01:05:27,080
Speaker 4: I know you had your eye in that game against

1260
01:05:27,320 --> 01:05:28,360
Speaker 4: against Pittsburgh.

1261
01:05:28,560 --> 01:05:31,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, let's I would bet them again in

1262
01:05:31,360 --> 01:05:33,560
Speaker 2: that spot. I mean, they missed two field goals, they

1263
01:05:33,600 --> 01:05:36,320
Speaker 2: missed an extra point, threw a pick at their own

1264
01:05:36,360 --> 01:05:39,360
Speaker 2: ten that I returned to the three that led to points.

1265
01:05:39,560 --> 01:05:41,760
Speaker 2: You know, they outgained the Steelers three fifty five to

1266
01:05:41,880 --> 01:05:44,400
Speaker 2: three hundred. They averaged close to six yards per play

1267
01:05:45,000 --> 01:05:47,920
Speaker 2: just Steelers Voodoo on the road. But yeah, this is

1268
01:05:47,960 --> 01:05:50,600
Speaker 2: gonna I make this right on the side in total.

1269
01:05:50,960 --> 01:05:53,960
Speaker 2: If it got to seven, I'd maybe play the Rams small.

1270
01:05:54,120 --> 01:05:56,880
Speaker 2: It's gonna come down to how like the Cowboys should

1271
01:05:56,880 --> 01:06:00,200
Speaker 2: have success against the Rams defense. It's not a right

1272
01:06:00,320 --> 01:06:03,400
Speaker 2: unit coming off the buy. It's gonna come down to

1273
01:06:03,800 --> 01:06:06,600
Speaker 2: and and Stafford should have success thrown against this Cowboys

1274
01:06:06,600 --> 01:06:11,120
Speaker 2: secondary love their receivers. I mean some of the catches

1275
01:06:11,120 --> 01:06:13,560
Speaker 2: they're making too, and couple also had a bunch of

1276
01:06:13,640 --> 01:06:17,440
Speaker 2: drops who's full full. Steelers Voodoo was in effect last week.

1277
01:06:19,560 --> 01:06:21,400
Speaker 2: It's gonna come down to how much pressure could the

1278
01:06:21,400 --> 01:06:25,240
Speaker 2: Cowboys get before Stafford you can throw? And that's basically andicap.

1279
01:06:25,280 --> 01:06:26,920
Speaker 2: But I'm pretty on market here. If he gets the seven,

1280
01:06:27,120 --> 01:06:28,240
Speaker 2: I probably look Ram small.

1281
01:06:30,640 --> 01:06:33,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, no real feel, no real play for me on

1282
01:06:33,160 --> 01:06:36,439
Speaker 3: this one. I just not don't really trust the Rams

1283
01:06:36,440 --> 01:06:38,680
Speaker 3: to put a complete game together. I just you know,

1284
01:06:38,800 --> 01:06:41,800
Speaker 3: I mean, they've they've gotten some in the division, but

1285
01:06:42,000 --> 01:06:43,959
Speaker 3: when they go outside of division, it's just not pretty.

1286
01:06:44,000 --> 01:06:45,400
Speaker 3: I mean, I was we were lucky to get that

1287
01:06:45,440 --> 01:06:48,400
Speaker 3: cover against the against the Colts. You know, it took

1288
01:06:48,400 --> 01:06:50,720
Speaker 3: an overtime and a you know, so it's just been

1289
01:06:50,760 --> 01:06:53,439
Speaker 3: a struggle. Something, something's a little bit off. But if

1290
01:06:53,800 --> 01:06:58,200
Speaker 3: for the people that are into trends, Sean McVay coach

1291
01:06:58,280 --> 01:07:00,800
Speaker 3: teams on the road coming off of a lost twelve

1292
01:07:00,960 --> 01:07:04,960
Speaker 3: five and two, seventy one percent against the spread. Sean

1293
01:07:05,040 --> 01:07:09,840
Speaker 3: McVay off a loss as a dog or favored by

1294
01:07:10,840 --> 01:07:14,200
Speaker 3: seven or left, so almost every situation unless they're massive favorites.

1295
01:07:14,560 --> 01:07:17,680
Speaker 3: Twenty and eight with three pushes, so seventy one percent

1296
01:07:17,680 --> 01:07:21,000
Speaker 3: against the spread and overall twenty three and twelve with

1297
01:07:21,080 --> 01:07:23,560
Speaker 3: three pushes sixty six percent against the spread off a

1298
01:07:23,640 --> 01:07:26,720
Speaker 3: loss two to ozho and one against the spread this year.

1299
01:07:26,800 --> 01:07:29,800
Speaker 3: So for what it's worth, this is the time to

1300
01:07:29,840 --> 01:07:33,000
Speaker 3: back the rams, you know, cowboys coming off to buy though.

1301
01:07:33,320 --> 01:07:35,560
Speaker 3: I don't know, McCarthy, is that is that a good

1302
01:07:35,640 --> 01:07:37,600
Speaker 3: thing for them to kind of dig in or is

1303
01:07:37,680 --> 01:07:39,880
Speaker 3: that just you know, running.

1304
01:07:39,640 --> 01:07:43,200
Speaker 2: In place, cooking up some more first down runs off.

1305
01:07:43,080 --> 01:07:46,400
Speaker 3: The middle, the same half back draw, whatever you like.

1306
01:07:46,640 --> 01:07:47,880
Speaker 3: I feel like I could call a better game of

1307
01:07:47,960 --> 01:07:48,720
Speaker 3: Baden than than that.

1308
01:07:56,440 --> 01:07:58,919
Speaker 1: The Survivor Pool pick of the week.

1309
01:08:00,760 --> 01:08:04,200
Speaker 4: All right, So yeah, so went Washington.

1310
01:08:04,560 --> 01:08:08,320
Speaker 3: We one the Giants Casey San Francisco Miami Buffalo Seattle

1311
01:08:08,880 --> 01:08:12,320
Speaker 3: this week. I know a lot of people will probably

1312
01:08:12,440 --> 01:08:16,479
Speaker 3: use the Chargers. I still think like of the eight

1313
01:08:16,560 --> 01:08:19,200
Speaker 3: and a half point favorites, I much rather have the race.

1314
01:08:19,240 --> 01:08:20,680
Speaker 3: I know it's on the road for the Ravens, but

1315
01:08:20,720 --> 01:08:22,760
Speaker 3: the Chargers, I mean so far is not really not

1316
01:08:22,760 --> 01:08:25,559
Speaker 3: really getting much of a home field anyway there. But

1317
01:08:25,760 --> 01:08:27,920
Speaker 3: I mean, you're talking about Ravens eight and a half

1318
01:08:27,960 --> 01:08:30,920
Speaker 3: against the Cardinals just to me, a much bigger mismatch

1319
01:08:31,439 --> 01:08:34,640
Speaker 3: than just you know, there's a lot more uncertainty I

1320
01:08:34,640 --> 01:08:37,160
Speaker 3: think with this Bears team. I mean, you know, maybe

1321
01:08:37,200 --> 01:08:38,960
Speaker 3: Baije doesn't have to do much. Maybe you know, they

1322
01:08:38,960 --> 01:08:40,880
Speaker 3: can run it again with Foreman and keep the game

1323
01:08:41,280 --> 01:08:43,720
Speaker 3: close and hang it around for one possession and then

1324
01:08:43,760 --> 01:08:46,439
Speaker 3: you never know. So I feel better about the Ravens

1325
01:08:47,080 --> 01:08:50,800
Speaker 3: glowing out the Cardinals. And when you look at the

1326
01:08:50,840 --> 01:08:53,760
Speaker 3: Ravens schedule, even as good as they're playing, I don't

1327
01:08:53,800 --> 01:08:57,000
Speaker 3: really see another spot where I love to use them.

1328
01:08:57,040 --> 01:08:59,600
Speaker 3: I think they host the Rams. Yeah, they host the

1329
01:08:59,640 --> 01:09:02,439
Speaker 3: Rams week fourteen, coming off of Bye, so good spot,

1330
01:09:03,000 --> 01:09:05,960
Speaker 3: but it's only week week eight, so you got to

1331
01:09:06,000 --> 01:09:08,000
Speaker 3: get there first. I don't really see a spot where

1332
01:09:08,000 --> 01:09:11,519
Speaker 3: I'd use the Chargers either, but yeah, Ravens, aren't. They

1333
01:09:11,560 --> 01:09:15,240
Speaker 3: host Seattle, host Cleveland, host Cincinnati. The next three weeks

1334
01:09:15,439 --> 01:09:18,040
Speaker 3: at the Chargers then host the Rams, which is probably

1335
01:09:18,080 --> 01:09:22,240
Speaker 3: the best spot remaining at Jacksonville, at San Francisco hosts

1336
01:09:22,240 --> 01:09:24,840
Speaker 3: Miami host Pittsburgh. So yeah, you're really you're really not

1337
01:09:24,920 --> 01:09:27,679
Speaker 3: using the Ravens any other time unless it's that Week

1338
01:09:27,720 --> 01:09:28,280
Speaker 3: fourteen game.

1339
01:09:28,320 --> 01:09:30,080
Speaker 4: But you got to get there first. So yeah, Ravens

1340
01:09:30,200 --> 01:09:31,080
Speaker 4: this week, let's go.

1341
01:09:33,520 --> 01:09:38,680
Speaker 2: Like host the Broncos, host the Raiders. I mean, they

1342
01:09:38,680 --> 01:09:41,320
Speaker 2: played the Broncos twice. The Broncos might have also blow

1343
01:09:41,400 --> 01:09:46,160
Speaker 2: up everything by then, and yeah, they got the Broncos twice,

1344
01:09:46,200 --> 01:09:48,880
Speaker 2: they got the Raiders. There's some chances to use the Chargers,

1345
01:09:49,200 --> 01:09:49,479
Speaker 2: but I.

1346
01:09:49,439 --> 01:09:52,840
Speaker 3: Mean, inherently a team that tends to play down and

1347
01:09:52,920 --> 01:09:54,680
Speaker 3: up to the competition plans in a lot of one

1348
01:09:54,720 --> 01:09:59,519
Speaker 3: score games, I just rather avoid in you might.

1349
01:09:59,400 --> 01:10:01,960
Speaker 4: Need them, yo, yeah, yeah, definitely, definitely.

1350
01:10:01,760 --> 01:10:03,519
Speaker 2: There's there's definitely some time to use them.

1351
01:10:03,560 --> 01:10:05,599
Speaker 3: Yeah, whereas the Ravens, you're really probably talking about one

1352
01:10:05,600 --> 01:10:09,280
Speaker 3: other spot unless you have like a massive, uh you know,

1353
01:10:09,400 --> 01:10:12,640
Speaker 3: some massive injuries for their apartments. But that's gonna be

1354
01:10:12,640 --> 01:10:14,680
Speaker 3: a rap for us. Thanks for listening. We'll be back

1355
01:10:14,680 --> 01:10:18,960
Speaker 3: here every Thursday all season long. You can hear more

1356
01:10:19,000 --> 01:10:21,599
Speaker 3: of me this week with my guy Kerner talking Fantasy

1357
01:10:21,680 --> 01:10:23,920
Speaker 3: dfs and all that good stuff over on the Fantasy

1358
01:10:23,920 --> 01:10:26,920
Speaker 3: Flex Pod, and check out our Action Network discord server

1359
01:10:26,960 --> 01:10:30,120
Speaker 3: if you want to chat directly link in the episode description.

1360
01:10:30,439 --> 01:10:33,639
Speaker 3: You can hear Stuck talking college ball over on Big

1361
01:10:33,800 --> 01:10:37,920
Speaker 3: Bets on Campus every Friday morning, and Stuck is on

1362
01:10:38,320 --> 01:10:41,200
Speaker 3: X at Stucky Too at Chris Raybond and you can

1363
01:10:41,240 --> 01:10:42,479
Speaker 3: find us with those same handles.

1364
01:10:42,760 --> 01:10:45,320
Speaker 4: Won a free award winning Action Network app.

1365
01:10:45,400 --> 01:10:51,320
Speaker 3: Until next time, Let's get this money let go.

1366
01:10:55,280 --> 01:10:59,360
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1367
01:10:59,360 --> 01:11:01,880
Speaker 1: someone you can about has a gambling problem, help is

1368
01:11:01,920 --> 01:11:04,759
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