1 00:00:02,720 --> 00:00:10,559 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. You're listening to the 2 00:00:10,600 --> 00:00:14,560 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live weekdays at ten am 3 00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:17,840 Speaker 1: Eastern on Apple Coarclay, and Android Auto with the Bloomberg 4 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:21,040 Speaker 1: Business App. Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts, 5 00:00:21,360 --> 00:00:23,080 Speaker 1: or watch us live on YouTube. 6 00:00:23,960 --> 00:00:26,720 Speaker 2: All Right, the media MN a trade that just won't 7 00:00:26,760 --> 00:00:30,240 Speaker 2: go away. Warner Brothers Discovery says an amended takeover offer 8 00:00:30,280 --> 00:00:34,400 Speaker 2: from Paramounts Guidance is inferior to its deal with Netflix 9 00:00:34,440 --> 00:00:37,639 Speaker 2: and urges shareholders not to tender their shares. I don't 10 00:00:37,680 --> 00:00:39,400 Speaker 2: know what's going on here, people, but our next guest 11 00:00:39,400 --> 00:00:42,600 Speaker 2: does Keith wrong, Anathan. She is the media analyst for 12 00:00:42,840 --> 00:00:47,240 Speaker 2: Bloomberg Intelligence here. Actually, Keith, I thought we'd have something 13 00:00:47,280 --> 00:00:50,360 Speaker 2: done by now. I mean, these offers are pretty clear. 14 00:00:51,440 --> 00:00:53,320 Speaker 2: The value seemed kind of similar to me. 15 00:00:54,280 --> 00:00:55,680 Speaker 3: What do you think's going on here? 16 00:00:56,760 --> 00:00:56,960 Speaker 4: Yeah? 17 00:00:57,000 --> 00:00:59,680 Speaker 5: So this time what Warner Brothers is saying, in addition 18 00:01:00,040 --> 00:01:03,200 Speaker 5: to the fact that the offer is actually inadequate, this 19 00:01:03,280 --> 00:01:04,840 Speaker 5: is what they said the very first time when they 20 00:01:04,920 --> 00:01:09,720 Speaker 5: rejected this thirty dollars bid from paramount You know, they 21 00:01:09,720 --> 00:01:13,160 Speaker 5: obviously wanted the personal guarantee from Larry Ellison, which they got. 22 00:01:13,360 --> 00:01:16,399 Speaker 5: They wanted, you know, paramount to raise its termination fee 23 00:01:16,400 --> 00:01:19,240 Speaker 5: to five point eight billion to match Netflix that also 24 00:01:19,240 --> 00:01:21,919 Speaker 5: they got. But now they're saying that they actually really 25 00:01:22,000 --> 00:01:25,679 Speaker 5: do need, you know, a sweetened bid, So they cite 26 00:01:25,760 --> 00:01:28,679 Speaker 5: a number there. They say that if they had to 27 00:01:28,760 --> 00:01:32,480 Speaker 5: terminate their agreement with Netflix, they will also incur you know, 28 00:01:32,480 --> 00:01:34,800 Speaker 5: obviously they have to pay the termination fee, plus there's 29 00:01:34,800 --> 00:01:37,280 Speaker 5: going to be significant financing costs, so all of that 30 00:01:37,319 --> 00:01:40,800 Speaker 5: comes out about one dollars one dollar and eighty cents, 31 00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:44,080 Speaker 5: close to one seventy nine or one eighty a share, 32 00:01:44,360 --> 00:01:46,160 Speaker 5: So they obviously need to be compensated for that. So 33 00:01:46,160 --> 00:01:49,720 Speaker 5: basically I think, you know, they do need a sweetened offer. 34 00:01:49,760 --> 00:01:52,400 Speaker 5: And the big thing that they highlight this time around 35 00:01:52,560 --> 00:01:56,000 Speaker 5: is the amount of debt, so they actually call this 36 00:01:56,160 --> 00:02:00,560 Speaker 5: a leveraged buyout, probably the biggest one in the history 37 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:03,440 Speaker 5: of M and A, and so say that, you know, 38 00:02:03,480 --> 00:02:06,680 Speaker 5: it just presents too many risks and too many uncertainties 39 00:02:07,560 --> 00:02:10,120 Speaker 5: and is definitely inferior to the Netflix offer. 40 00:02:10,280 --> 00:02:12,760 Speaker 6: Right, the conclusion that it has drawn and what it's 41 00:02:12,800 --> 00:02:17,320 Speaker 6: recommending to shareholders remains the same, which is go with Netflix's. 42 00:02:17,560 --> 00:02:20,440 Speaker 6: The Netflix bid having said that, what does it mean 43 00:02:20,520 --> 00:02:24,360 Speaker 6: that Warner Brothers Discovery wrote this letter to shareholders? Do 44 00:02:24,400 --> 00:02:26,840 Speaker 6: we get the sense that shareholders are tendering shares to 45 00:02:26,880 --> 00:02:27,400 Speaker 6: the paramount? 46 00:02:29,040 --> 00:02:32,280 Speaker 5: Not so from what we've heard. You know, when it 47 00:02:32,320 --> 00:02:36,440 Speaker 5: was last reported Scarlett, about five hundred thousand shares were 48 00:02:36,480 --> 00:02:39,800 Speaker 5: tendered at that thirty dollars price. Remember we have about 49 00:02:39,840 --> 00:02:44,240 Speaker 5: two point six billion, so we're really very very long 50 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:48,320 Speaker 5: ways off. So you know, I think shareholders definitely expect 51 00:02:48,680 --> 00:02:51,240 Speaker 5: the price to go up. They do, you know, think 52 00:02:51,280 --> 00:02:53,040 Speaker 5: that there is going to be a bidding war. The 53 00:02:53,120 --> 00:02:55,959 Speaker 5: number out there on the street is that David Zaslav 54 00:02:56,120 --> 00:02:59,000 Speaker 5: is looking for thirty four dollars, as you know, the 55 00:02:59,040 --> 00:03:02,800 Speaker 5: final offer which he will sign this his company away 56 00:03:03,160 --> 00:03:06,040 Speaker 5: to Paramount. I'm not sure whether you know Paramount is 57 00:03:06,080 --> 00:03:09,400 Speaker 5: actually going to raise their offer, but that that is 58 00:03:09,440 --> 00:03:11,480 Speaker 5: really the number that he's looking for. And we know him. 59 00:03:11,520 --> 00:03:14,239 Speaker 5: He's he's really a master craftsman when it comes to 60 00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:16,880 Speaker 5: to getting the best deal for his company. So again 61 00:03:17,280 --> 00:03:18,320 Speaker 5: it's it's a way and watch. 62 00:03:18,600 --> 00:03:20,760 Speaker 2: We used to call that the final final offer. This 63 00:03:20,800 --> 00:03:23,440 Speaker 2: is our final final We're not we're not getting any. 64 00:03:23,120 --> 00:03:24,799 Speaker 6: So final that we need to say twice. 65 00:03:24,520 --> 00:03:26,240 Speaker 3: Exactly, Githy. 66 00:03:26,280 --> 00:03:28,960 Speaker 7: We have not heard really too much from Netflix, have we. 67 00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:33,400 Speaker 5: So all on Netflix said today Paul was after you know, 68 00:03:33,440 --> 00:03:35,920 Speaker 5: Warner Brothers Discovery put out that letter, was you know, 69 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:38,080 Speaker 5: they said, yes, we continue to you know, work with 70 00:03:38,120 --> 00:03:41,480 Speaker 5: Warner Brothers. We filed, we're working with the anti trust authorities, 71 00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:44,520 Speaker 5: you know, we're working with the regulators, and we hope 72 00:03:44,520 --> 00:03:46,960 Speaker 5: to get you know, the deal down. So everything kind 73 00:03:47,000 --> 00:03:50,960 Speaker 5: of proceeding as expected from from the Netflix management team. 74 00:03:51,560 --> 00:03:53,560 Speaker 6: You mentioned thirty four dollars a share is what David 75 00:03:53,640 --> 00:03:57,160 Speaker 6: Zaslov is really eyeing. Is there any reason to think 76 00:03:57,160 --> 00:03:58,480 Speaker 6: Netflix will raise its offer. 77 00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:03,920 Speaker 5: Netflix needs to raise its offer, Scarlett, only if Paramount 78 00:04:04,280 --> 00:04:06,920 Speaker 5: comes back with a sweetened bid, And we do think 79 00:04:06,920 --> 00:04:10,120 Speaker 5: that they actually will raise their offer. They really believe 80 00:04:10,200 --> 00:04:13,360 Speaker 5: even though the you know, the market price reaction obviously 81 00:04:13,440 --> 00:04:16,160 Speaker 5: has been very negative to this whole Netflix deal, just 82 00:04:16,240 --> 00:04:18,160 Speaker 5: kind of given that it really kind of complicates a 83 00:04:18,240 --> 00:04:21,080 Speaker 5: very clean narrative. I think Netflix really believes that they're 84 00:04:21,080 --> 00:04:23,400 Speaker 5: doing this, you know, in the long in the long 85 00:04:23,440 --> 00:04:26,000 Speaker 5: they're playing the long game here. You know, this is 86 00:04:26,040 --> 00:04:28,960 Speaker 5: a great collection of assets. Again, it's not just the 87 00:04:29,000 --> 00:04:31,040 Speaker 5: cost of doing the deal. It's the cost of not 88 00:04:31,080 --> 00:04:33,080 Speaker 5: doing the deal, and they obviously do not want to 89 00:04:33,120 --> 00:04:35,599 Speaker 5: strengthen their competitors. They believe this is a great collection 90 00:04:35,640 --> 00:04:38,400 Speaker 5: of assets that gives them, you know, tremendous value over many, 91 00:04:38,400 --> 00:04:40,960 Speaker 5: many years to come. So I absolutely think they will 92 00:04:41,040 --> 00:04:43,279 Speaker 5: raise the price, but the first move has to be 93 00:04:43,400 --> 00:04:44,080 Speaker 5: from Paramount. 94 00:04:44,839 --> 00:04:47,520 Speaker 2: GITHA part of the Warner Brothers discovery plan before this 95 00:04:47,600 --> 00:04:49,880 Speaker 2: offer was it was to spin out their cable networks. 96 00:04:49,880 --> 00:04:53,520 Speaker 2: And that's exactly what Compcast did several days ago, spinning 97 00:04:53,560 --> 00:04:56,320 Speaker 2: out its cable networks. The company new companies called Versant 98 00:04:56,400 --> 00:04:59,800 Speaker 2: Media vs NT. That thing is traded off about twenty 99 00:05:00,760 --> 00:05:03,400 Speaker 2: just in the last few days. Man, what does that 100 00:05:03,400 --> 00:05:06,160 Speaker 2: tell you about the cable network business and maybe how 101 00:05:06,200 --> 00:05:07,240 Speaker 2: it might affect these bids. 102 00:05:08,480 --> 00:05:12,280 Speaker 5: Yeah, it's it's really bleak. And so this actually strengthens 103 00:05:12,279 --> 00:05:14,720 Speaker 5: the case for Paramount. This is exactly what they were saying. 104 00:05:14,720 --> 00:05:17,200 Speaker 5: They were saying, let's buy this whole thing, because you 105 00:05:17,200 --> 00:05:19,440 Speaker 5: don't know where this, you know, the global networks business 106 00:05:19,440 --> 00:05:22,359 Speaker 5: and the TV networks is going to actually trade and 107 00:05:22,440 --> 00:05:25,760 Speaker 5: here we go. Versun is actually just proving their point. 108 00:05:25,880 --> 00:05:28,360 Speaker 5: So does not really bode well for Warner Brothers. But 109 00:05:28,440 --> 00:05:30,800 Speaker 5: again I think still Warner Brothers will continue to have 110 00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:32,760 Speaker 5: to have the upper hand because again they can argue 111 00:05:32,800 --> 00:05:36,480 Speaker 5: that their cable networks, again a slightly different business, much 112 00:05:36,600 --> 00:05:39,560 Speaker 5: larger in scale compared to the version properties, has an 113 00:05:39,600 --> 00:05:44,200 Speaker 5: international footprint. But again the writing is on the wall, Paula. 114 00:05:44,360 --> 00:05:46,400 Speaker 5: As you've said many times, I mean that the TV 115 00:05:46,480 --> 00:05:49,920 Speaker 5: network business is bleeding, not a slow death anymore. This 116 00:05:50,040 --> 00:05:51,880 Speaker 5: is really happening fast and furious. 117 00:05:53,520 --> 00:05:56,599 Speaker 3: Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this. 118 00:06:00,240 --> 00:06:03,919 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live 119 00:06:04,000 --> 00:06:07,400 Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Applecarplay and Android Auto 120 00:06:07,480 --> 00:06:10,560 Speaker 1: with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever you 121 00:06:10,600 --> 00:06:13,600 Speaker 1: get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube. 122 00:06:14,760 --> 00:06:19,360 Speaker 2: Nvidia CEO Jensen Wang says the artificial intelligence industry always 123 00:06:19,440 --> 00:06:22,440 Speaker 2: needs more energy. On the sidelines of the annual Consumer 124 00:06:22,600 --> 00:06:26,880 Speaker 2: Tech Events, cees Jensen Wang and Siemens CEO roll On 125 00:06:27,080 --> 00:06:31,839 Speaker 2: Bush spoke exclusively with Bloomberg's Ed Ludlow on their AI partnership. 126 00:06:32,400 --> 00:06:37,640 Speaker 4: From Hopper to Blackwell, we increased energy efficiency by tenx. 127 00:06:38,120 --> 00:06:43,040 Speaker 4: From Blackwell to Reuben, we increased energy efficiency again by tenx. 128 00:06:43,720 --> 00:06:48,000 Speaker 4: And that translates directly to our customers revenues because in 129 00:06:48,040 --> 00:06:53,240 Speaker 4: the case of ANAI factory, whatever factory size you have, 130 00:06:53,320 --> 00:06:54,440 Speaker 4: you're limited by the power. 131 00:06:55,320 --> 00:06:55,640 Speaker 7: All Right. 132 00:06:55,800 --> 00:06:57,159 Speaker 3: That was Jensen Wang. 133 00:06:57,560 --> 00:07:00,400 Speaker 2: He is head of Nvidia and Siemens COO role On Bush, 134 00:07:00,800 --> 00:07:03,280 Speaker 2: speaking exclusively with Bloomberg's ed La Low of the AI 135 00:07:03,360 --> 00:07:06,919 Speaker 2: Partnership AD at the Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas. 136 00:07:07,000 --> 00:07:09,720 Speaker 2: Let's get the latest reporting from Vegas. Caroline Hydroids is 137 00:07:09,760 --> 00:07:12,640 Speaker 2: she's out there. She's the b Tech co anchor for 138 00:07:12,720 --> 00:07:16,560 Speaker 2: a Bloomberg News. Caroline, it just seems like, you know, 139 00:07:16,600 --> 00:07:20,280 Speaker 2: you're listening to mister Wog, mister Bush. The need for 140 00:07:20,480 --> 00:07:24,960 Speaker 2: AI and the spending on AI shows no real signs 141 00:07:24,960 --> 00:07:26,040 Speaker 2: of slowing yet. 142 00:07:26,080 --> 00:07:27,360 Speaker 3: Is that the vibe you're getting out there? 143 00:07:30,440 --> 00:07:32,320 Speaker 8: That is very much the vibe we're getting. We heard 144 00:07:32,360 --> 00:07:35,119 Speaker 8: from Lisa Su yesterday as well, CEO of AMD, saying 145 00:07:35,400 --> 00:07:37,760 Speaker 8: in the next few years, you're going to have to 146 00:07:37,880 --> 00:07:41,000 Speaker 8: one hundred x the amount of compute that we currently have. 147 00:07:41,400 --> 00:07:43,640 Speaker 8: Has stock still falling today, I might add, and so 148 00:07:43,680 --> 00:07:47,760 Speaker 8: many people may be factoring in this extraordinary scale, which 149 00:07:47,800 --> 00:07:50,000 Speaker 8: we'd likely to see the compute needs still ramp up. 150 00:07:50,080 --> 00:07:52,520 Speaker 8: And it's having a marked effect on certain companies stocks 151 00:07:52,520 --> 00:07:54,520 Speaker 8: like I'm sure you were covering yesterday and into today 152 00:07:55,080 --> 00:07:57,880 Speaker 8: sand Disc. It is up one thousand percent from its 153 00:07:58,000 --> 00:08:00,600 Speaker 8: lows back in April, but it's almost fifty in the 154 00:08:00,600 --> 00:08:02,800 Speaker 8: first few trading days of the year. This is all 155 00:08:02,840 --> 00:08:06,320 Speaker 8: about a shortage in memory, memory storage. We are seeing 156 00:08:06,400 --> 00:08:09,239 Speaker 8: still the fact that we're worrying about energy, as Jentsen says, 157 00:08:09,440 --> 00:08:12,040 Speaker 8: we're worrying about memory as you're seeing, impacting. 158 00:08:11,680 --> 00:08:12,760 Speaker 4: Some Sung stock as well. 159 00:08:12,880 --> 00:08:15,840 Speaker 8: We had a Somesung executive on the network yesterday saying, Nook, 160 00:08:15,840 --> 00:08:17,560 Speaker 8: we're going to have to see a high con prices 161 00:08:17,600 --> 00:08:21,240 Speaker 8: because supply is just so tight. And yet still people 162 00:08:21,320 --> 00:08:23,320 Speaker 8: question whether we're in some sort of bubble. But all 163 00:08:23,320 --> 00:08:25,760 Speaker 8: I'm hearing is the infrastructure just needs to get ever 164 00:08:25,800 --> 00:08:27,600 Speaker 8: bigger and we kind of need to get on board 165 00:08:27,600 --> 00:08:27,800 Speaker 8: with that. 166 00:08:28,120 --> 00:08:31,400 Speaker 6: Yeah, speaking of memory chip makers, Micron the biggest US 167 00:08:31,480 --> 00:08:34,720 Speaker 6: memory chip maker, jumping two hundred and forty percent last 168 00:08:34,840 --> 00:08:37,959 Speaker 6: year and up about ten percent yesterday. So interesting example 169 00:08:38,000 --> 00:08:40,839 Speaker 6: of that. So Caroline the Consumer Electronics show, Paul and 170 00:08:40,880 --> 00:08:42,880 Speaker 6: I were reminiscing how once upon a time it met 171 00:08:42,920 --> 00:08:46,280 Speaker 6: big screen TVs and other gadgets that you know, companies 172 00:08:46,360 --> 00:08:48,559 Speaker 6: dreamt up but consumers may or may not want to 173 00:08:48,640 --> 00:08:51,800 Speaker 6: sign on for. Is that still what's happening at the 174 00:08:51,800 --> 00:08:55,240 Speaker 6: cees or has it turned into a high level discussion 175 00:08:55,360 --> 00:08:56,760 Speaker 6: on chips and AI. 176 00:09:00,040 --> 00:09:03,400 Speaker 8: I think they're managing to walk both sides. We're still 177 00:09:03,440 --> 00:09:08,120 Speaker 8: seeing those big unveils and discussions coming from in video 178 00:09:08,200 --> 00:09:11,520 Speaker 8: CEO from AMDCO, from Quilcom CEO. They're talking about what's 179 00:09:11,600 --> 00:09:15,440 Speaker 8: inside these electronics or what's inside the compute that is 180 00:09:15,520 --> 00:09:18,360 Speaker 8: needed to foster these electronics. But then you have Samsung, 181 00:09:18,400 --> 00:09:20,640 Speaker 8: which is very much on the AI train with its chips, 182 00:09:20,720 --> 00:09:23,800 Speaker 8: but also unveiling the latest, greatest Samsung frame or the 183 00:09:23,880 --> 00:09:26,760 Speaker 8: latest TV that has you can see all around the 184 00:09:26,800 --> 00:09:28,679 Speaker 8: curvature of it, or the fact that they are still 185 00:09:28,720 --> 00:09:30,160 Speaker 8: trying to think about how your home is going to 186 00:09:30,200 --> 00:09:33,240 Speaker 8: be connected, how your television is discussing, discussing with your 187 00:09:33,280 --> 00:09:35,360 Speaker 8: oven as to whether or not the food is cooked, 188 00:09:35,360 --> 00:09:38,080 Speaker 8: and you get in between messaging between the two. I 189 00:09:38,080 --> 00:09:40,360 Speaker 8: mean there are companies that still continue to unveil. They're 190 00:09:40,360 --> 00:09:43,600 Speaker 8: also the ludicrous. I mean there's lollipops that play music 191 00:09:43,600 --> 00:09:47,160 Speaker 8: as you eat them, There's little toys, everything that seems 192 00:09:47,160 --> 00:09:50,160 Speaker 8: to be about AI and about companionship is something that 193 00:09:50,240 --> 00:09:53,280 Speaker 8: just seems to involve some sort of cuddly toy that 194 00:09:53,360 --> 00:09:55,719 Speaker 8: talks to you. But apparently cute is the way in 195 00:09:55,760 --> 00:09:57,360 Speaker 8: which we're going to go forward. But there are the 196 00:09:57,400 --> 00:10:00,280 Speaker 8: vacuum cleaners, there's the massoles chairs. It's still very much 197 00:10:00,280 --> 00:10:03,760 Speaker 8: has this idea of pushing the innovation forward. And the 198 00:10:03,760 --> 00:10:07,120 Speaker 8: main thing, guys, I cannot walk without seeing a humanoid 199 00:10:07,160 --> 00:10:08,920 Speaker 8: robot or some sort. So we're gonna have some big 200 00:10:09,000 --> 00:10:11,520 Speaker 8: interviews a little bit later. We got Boston Robotics, for example, 201 00:10:11,679 --> 00:10:14,680 Speaker 8: coming on the show, and that's really Boston Dynamics in fact, 202 00:10:14,800 --> 00:10:17,680 Speaker 8: which has a huge new unveil of its latest humanoid. 203 00:10:18,200 --> 00:10:20,720 Speaker 3: Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up. 204 00:10:20,840 --> 00:10:21,360 Speaker 7: Are for this. 205 00:10:25,200 --> 00:10:28,880 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live 206 00:10:28,960 --> 00:10:31,679 Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am. He's done on Apple, Cocklay and 207 00:10:31,679 --> 00:10:34,960 Speaker 1: Android Otto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand 208 00:10:35,000 --> 00:10:39,000 Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube. 209 00:10:39,559 --> 00:10:40,920 Speaker 6: Well, there have been lots of big games in the 210 00:10:41,000 --> 00:10:42,960 Speaker 6: lead up to the Super Bowl, and of course there 211 00:10:43,040 --> 00:10:45,600 Speaker 6: will continue to be as we head in that direction. 212 00:10:45,679 --> 00:10:48,560 Speaker 6: So let's bring in Brian Eggers. He covers everything for us, 213 00:10:48,559 --> 00:10:53,160 Speaker 6: from the gaming companies to the lodging companies to the 214 00:10:53,240 --> 00:10:56,160 Speaker 6: cruise ship companies. See your gaming and lodging analysts here 215 00:10:56,160 --> 00:10:59,120 Speaker 6: at Bloomberg Intelligence. And Brian, you and your team have 216 00:10:59,200 --> 00:11:02,520 Speaker 6: done some work and how Draft Kings is positioning itself 217 00:11:02,559 --> 00:11:04,280 Speaker 6: for the NFL playoffs. 218 00:11:04,720 --> 00:11:07,720 Speaker 9: Yeah, so, DraftKings and Fandel, among other things, recently rolled 219 00:11:07,720 --> 00:11:10,280 Speaker 9: out these prediction market apps which are separate from their 220 00:11:10,320 --> 00:11:11,040 Speaker 9: sports books. 221 00:11:11,080 --> 00:11:12,120 Speaker 7: And this is really to. 222 00:11:12,600 --> 00:11:15,040 Speaker 9: Coldpeep our head on against call She and Robinhood and 223 00:11:15,080 --> 00:11:18,400 Speaker 9: other of these financial firms that offer these event contracts 224 00:11:18,640 --> 00:11:19,600 Speaker 9: in a number of states. 225 00:11:20,000 --> 00:11:20,640 Speaker 7: How big is it? 226 00:11:20,679 --> 00:11:23,800 Speaker 3: I'm hearing more and more about this prediction market market. 227 00:11:23,840 --> 00:11:24,559 Speaker 3: How big is this that? 228 00:11:24,720 --> 00:11:26,720 Speaker 7: I mean, this is potentially really large. 229 00:11:26,720 --> 00:11:28,240 Speaker 9: I don't have numbers in front of me, But the 230 00:11:28,280 --> 00:11:30,319 Speaker 9: key thing is that call She and Robin Hood are 231 00:11:30,320 --> 00:11:32,480 Speaker 9: trying to do this in all fifty states. They're about 232 00:11:32,960 --> 00:11:36,560 Speaker 9: a dozen states that either hold them cease and desist 233 00:11:36,720 --> 00:11:39,720 Speaker 9: because they effectively are engaging in illegal sports betting according 234 00:11:39,800 --> 00:11:43,040 Speaker 9: to the states, or a couple of states have warned DraftKings, 235 00:11:43,040 --> 00:11:44,200 Speaker 9: fandled don't do the same thing. 236 00:11:44,240 --> 00:11:45,640 Speaker 7: If you've got a sports book license. 237 00:11:46,120 --> 00:11:48,960 Speaker 9: So what DraftKings and Fandal did is try to go 238 00:11:49,000 --> 00:11:51,720 Speaker 9: into states with this product where they don't. 239 00:11:51,480 --> 00:11:52,520 Speaker 7: Operate sports books. 240 00:11:52,559 --> 00:11:56,079 Speaker 9: They can do prediction markets on politics or entertainment events 241 00:11:56,400 --> 00:11:59,840 Speaker 9: in any state, but the real issue is with respective sports. 242 00:12:00,160 --> 00:12:01,440 Speaker 7: That's where they limit themselves. 243 00:12:02,640 --> 00:12:04,480 Speaker 6: Let me ask you dumb question, and maybe we don't 244 00:12:04,480 --> 00:12:07,040 Speaker 6: know the answer to this yet. Who is the target 245 00:12:07,160 --> 00:12:12,640 Speaker 6: audience for a sports prediction market versus a sports contract 246 00:12:12,720 --> 00:12:15,640 Speaker 6: and in production market setting versus you know, just a 247 00:12:15,679 --> 00:12:18,120 Speaker 6: regular parlay or simple bet. 248 00:12:17,920 --> 00:12:20,680 Speaker 9: In recourse, the type of person in terms of the 249 00:12:20,720 --> 00:12:24,200 Speaker 9: type of area or territory. Think about the fact that 250 00:12:24,240 --> 00:12:27,400 Speaker 9: you've got mobile sports books in almost thirty states, with 251 00:12:27,440 --> 00:12:29,760 Speaker 9: thirty some odd states Draftings, Fandel and twenty five of 252 00:12:29,800 --> 00:12:33,120 Speaker 9: them other states, big states like Texas and California that 253 00:12:33,240 --> 00:12:36,360 Speaker 9: don't have legal sports books in sports betting, that's a 254 00:12:36,400 --> 00:12:40,320 Speaker 9: logical market for call She and Robin the do go 255 00:12:40,360 --> 00:12:42,920 Speaker 9: in there and say you can do these prediction markets 256 00:12:43,440 --> 00:12:46,280 Speaker 9: and engage in that even though sports betting isn't active 257 00:12:46,280 --> 00:12:47,120 Speaker 9: and legal in the state. 258 00:12:47,360 --> 00:12:48,640 Speaker 7: That's really the big. 259 00:12:48,800 --> 00:12:51,080 Speaker 3: So what would Texas and a Florida say about that? 260 00:12:51,160 --> 00:12:51,319 Speaker 4: Right? 261 00:12:51,400 --> 00:12:53,760 Speaker 7: So, without going through every state. 262 00:12:53,880 --> 00:12:56,600 Speaker 9: There about a dozen states that either specifically told call 263 00:12:56,679 --> 00:13:00,560 Speaker 9: she and poly Market or Robinhood ye see and assist 264 00:13:00,640 --> 00:13:03,600 Speaker 9: on do this. A few others have issued Wetter's warning 265 00:13:03,720 --> 00:13:07,320 Speaker 9: Draftings of Fandel do not offer a sports prediction market 266 00:13:07,360 --> 00:13:09,199 Speaker 9: in a state where you've got a sports bet license. 267 00:13:09,520 --> 00:13:12,440 Speaker 9: So what Fandom and Draftings did is you know, seventeen 268 00:13:12,480 --> 00:13:16,080 Speaker 9: states for Draftings five or Fandel. They're offering this product 269 00:13:16,120 --> 00:13:18,400 Speaker 9: in states where they don't have sports books, and we're 270 00:13:18,400 --> 00:13:20,120 Speaker 9: sports betting isn't quote legal. 271 00:13:21,120 --> 00:13:23,959 Speaker 6: Who regulates the sports markets, So it's confused. 272 00:13:23,960 --> 00:13:27,079 Speaker 9: It's very confusing because the sports books are regulated by 273 00:13:27,080 --> 00:13:30,679 Speaker 9: state gaming regulatory authorities. The prediction markets are regulated by 274 00:13:30,679 --> 00:13:34,280 Speaker 9: the CFTC, so it's state versus federal. And that's been 275 00:13:34,280 --> 00:13:36,760 Speaker 9: the argument of Kolchi that you know, we're a financial 276 00:13:36,880 --> 00:13:40,920 Speaker 9: futures contract, we're not sports betting. We are federally regulated. 277 00:13:41,200 --> 00:13:43,040 Speaker 9: The states have pushed back and said no, this is 278 00:13:43,080 --> 00:13:46,520 Speaker 9: a form of effectively on licened sports betting, and ultimately 279 00:13:46,559 --> 00:13:48,520 Speaker 9: I think this heads to the Supreme Court. That's certainly 280 00:13:48,520 --> 00:13:50,800 Speaker 9: in the view of Eliott Stein or litigation analyst. 281 00:13:51,720 --> 00:13:55,760 Speaker 2: So what are the casino companies say these days? What 282 00:13:55,800 --> 00:13:58,199 Speaker 2: do they say, does that impact their sports book and 283 00:13:58,240 --> 00:13:59,000 Speaker 2: their sports betting? 284 00:13:59,040 --> 00:14:01,920 Speaker 9: And on the margin, to the extent that MGM and 285 00:14:01,960 --> 00:14:05,160 Speaker 9: Caesars have mobile products, it's very possible to look into 286 00:14:05,160 --> 00:14:08,200 Speaker 9: this type of product as well. Again in those states 287 00:14:08,240 --> 00:14:10,120 Speaker 9: where sports beinning isn't legal, so. 288 00:14:10,000 --> 00:14:11,280 Speaker 7: Everyone's going to be think about it. 289 00:14:11,360 --> 00:14:15,160 Speaker 9: And the real other other wrinkle is Texas and California 290 00:14:15,240 --> 00:14:18,120 Speaker 9: once they realize we may not have sports betting. What 291 00:14:18,160 --> 00:14:20,520 Speaker 9: we have effectively sports betters. If you believe that's what 292 00:14:20,800 --> 00:14:23,400 Speaker 9: prediction markets are, we might as well legalize it. And 293 00:14:23,840 --> 00:14:27,120 Speaker 9: so there's a whole bunch of ramifications to this. 294 00:14:27,320 --> 00:14:31,720 Speaker 6: What about Native American tribes in states like California in Connecticut, 295 00:14:32,000 --> 00:14:32,680 Speaker 6: where do they fit it? 296 00:14:33,520 --> 00:14:37,520 Speaker 9: I mean in California, although sports betting isn't legal in California, 297 00:14:37,960 --> 00:14:42,720 Speaker 9: the tribes have themselves challenged and through legally the Whites 298 00:14:42,760 --> 00:14:45,000 Speaker 9: of KAlSi and Robin Hood I don't remember which one. 299 00:14:45,480 --> 00:14:48,160 Speaker 9: So you know to the extent that tribes have opportunities 300 00:14:48,200 --> 00:14:51,680 Speaker 9: to operate sports books, which effectively Florida has the Seminal 301 00:14:51,760 --> 00:14:56,359 Speaker 9: Tribe operating operating hard rock betting site even though draftings 302 00:14:56,520 --> 00:14:59,240 Speaker 9: and or are not involved. So the tribes very much, 303 00:14:59,280 --> 00:15:02,640 Speaker 9: will care to the extent that this is effectively a 304 00:15:02,680 --> 00:15:05,400 Speaker 9: competing product as consumers might perceive it. 305 00:15:06,240 --> 00:15:09,280 Speaker 3: So is betting just going crazy the total dollar not. 306 00:15:09,880 --> 00:15:15,040 Speaker 2: I see kids, high school kids having conversations in detail 307 00:15:15,280 --> 00:15:19,000 Speaker 2: showing a level of expertise which really blows me away. 308 00:15:19,760 --> 00:15:23,320 Speaker 2: Kids high school kids, and I don't know, it just 309 00:15:23,320 --> 00:15:24,520 Speaker 2: doesn't feel it's surprising. 310 00:15:24,560 --> 00:15:27,200 Speaker 9: And it also gets very problematic when you have college 311 00:15:27,280 --> 00:15:28,440 Speaker 9: kids college games. 312 00:15:28,960 --> 00:15:30,240 Speaker 7: Yeh, college players. 313 00:15:30,320 --> 00:15:33,320 Speaker 9: So but yeah, there's a big national draw to that 314 00:15:34,000 --> 00:15:36,360 Speaker 9: draw to this, and I think the real I don't 315 00:15:36,360 --> 00:15:40,440 Speaker 9: think draftings of fand will get as affected as some 316 00:15:40,600 --> 00:15:43,560 Speaker 9: might fear in states where they've got a sports book, 317 00:15:43,600 --> 00:15:45,840 Speaker 9: but in states where they can't operate a sports book. 318 00:15:45,880 --> 00:15:49,520 Speaker 9: But Kyll she and Robinhood and Polymarket others are offering 319 00:15:49,520 --> 00:15:53,240 Speaker 9: prediction markets. That's where I think they see risk as 320 00:15:53,280 --> 00:15:54,200 Speaker 9: well as opportunity. 321 00:15:54,600 --> 00:15:58,080 Speaker 6: Brian, what about the sports leagues, the NFL, the NBA, 322 00:15:58,360 --> 00:16:01,640 Speaker 6: the NHL, the MLB. How do they fit into all this? 323 00:16:01,760 --> 00:16:03,720 Speaker 6: I mean, are they're going all in with the prediction markets? 324 00:16:03,760 --> 00:16:04,440 Speaker 7: Well, I think so. 325 00:16:04,480 --> 00:16:08,720 Speaker 9: They're watching obviously with interests. I mean, the major principles 326 00:16:08,720 --> 00:16:12,760 Speaker 9: in terms of where there's heads are state regulators versus 327 00:16:12,840 --> 00:16:16,360 Speaker 9: federal regulators. State's issuing in some cases seas and desist orders. 328 00:16:16,360 --> 00:16:16,440 Speaker 4: It. 329 00:16:16,520 --> 00:16:20,000 Speaker 9: Ultimately, because there's a lot of ongoing court cases, many 330 00:16:20,040 --> 00:16:23,880 Speaker 9: on appeal, the Supreme Court is the logical destination for 331 00:16:24,080 --> 00:16:25,080 Speaker 9: the legality of this. 332 00:16:25,200 --> 00:16:27,680 Speaker 7: But I mean that's the good reason. Maybe years away, 333 00:16:28,080 --> 00:16:29,320 Speaker 7: depends on the urgency. 334 00:16:29,400 --> 00:16:32,320 Speaker 9: I know Elliott Stein believes that could happen potentially as 335 00:16:32,360 --> 00:16:34,440 Speaker 9: early as twenty twenty six, that there's a decision, but 336 00:16:34,480 --> 00:16:37,680 Speaker 9: we don't know. But ultimately, I think this it needs 337 00:16:37,680 --> 00:16:41,360 Speaker 9: to be qualified and resolved as to who has jurisdiction here. 338 00:16:41,760 --> 00:16:43,160 Speaker 3: It is crazy the amount. 339 00:16:43,600 --> 00:16:45,960 Speaker 2: I mean just a few years ago, I mean, you 340 00:16:45,960 --> 00:16:47,960 Speaker 2: wouldn't even have thought this, But now you get sports 341 00:16:48,000 --> 00:16:48,960 Speaker 2: teams in Vegas. 342 00:16:49,080 --> 00:16:51,400 Speaker 9: Yeah, I mean, yeah, so they I think my way 343 00:16:51,440 --> 00:16:53,840 Speaker 9: to start this is the leading up to the presidential election. 344 00:16:53,920 --> 00:16:57,440 Speaker 9: There was a lot of activity on one and polymarket 345 00:16:57,480 --> 00:16:59,520 Speaker 9: about who we win the election, and that kind of 346 00:16:59,600 --> 00:17:02,080 Speaker 9: kicked off awful water popular interest in this, which means 347 00:17:02,120 --> 00:17:05,959 Speaker 9: that's when they became involved in sports prediction markets actively 348 00:17:06,080 --> 00:17:06,640 Speaker 9: a year ago. 349 00:17:07,800 --> 00:17:10,960 Speaker 3: Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this. 350 00:17:14,840 --> 00:17:18,560 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live 351 00:17:18,640 --> 00:17:21,679 Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android 352 00:17:21,720 --> 00:17:25,040 Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever 353 00:17:25,080 --> 00:17:28,200 Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube. 354 00:17:28,840 --> 00:17:30,119 Speaker 3: We'll get a story here today. 355 00:17:30,480 --> 00:17:34,919 Speaker 2: Alaska Airline ordering Boeing Company aircraft including one hundred and 356 00:17:34,960 --> 00:17:38,680 Speaker 2: five narrow body seven thirty seven Max ten models and 357 00:17:38,840 --> 00:17:42,080 Speaker 2: five Trip seven eighty seven wide body aircraft. So good 358 00:17:42,160 --> 00:17:43,920 Speaker 2: day for Boeing. This stocks up about eight tens to 359 00:17:43,960 --> 00:17:46,879 Speaker 2: one percent. Stocks up about thirty four percent over the 360 00:17:46,960 --> 00:17:50,080 Speaker 2: trailing twelve months. George Ferguson joins us here senior Aerospace, 361 00:17:50,119 --> 00:17:55,520 Speaker 2: defense and airlines analyts for Bloomberg Intelligence. George A, is 362 00:17:55,520 --> 00:17:58,240 Speaker 2: this this seems like a nice day, a good order 363 00:17:58,400 --> 00:17:59,080 Speaker 2: for Boeing. 364 00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:00,920 Speaker 3: How are they doing out in the marketplace? 365 00:18:01,600 --> 00:18:03,400 Speaker 10: Yeah, I think it's a It was a nice kickoff 366 00:18:03,400 --> 00:18:07,160 Speaker 10: to the year. As far as orders look through, we've 367 00:18:07,200 --> 00:18:10,040 Speaker 10: tracked them through November of last year. We get to 368 00:18:10,080 --> 00:18:14,439 Speaker 10: see December order and deliveries from Boeing or Airbus. But 369 00:18:14,560 --> 00:18:17,480 Speaker 10: through November of last year, Boeing was beating Airbus in 370 00:18:17,560 --> 00:18:21,399 Speaker 10: the order game for the year, and so you know, 371 00:18:21,440 --> 00:18:24,439 Speaker 10: we had sort of expected this or there were some 372 00:18:24,640 --> 00:18:26,879 Speaker 10: core customers. I think that we're probably sitting on the 373 00:18:26,920 --> 00:18:30,040 Speaker 10: sideline watching the sea if Boeing was going to get 374 00:18:30,040 --> 00:18:33,679 Speaker 10: its troubles behind it before it placed orders, and so 375 00:18:33,720 --> 00:18:35,720 Speaker 10: we saw a bit of a bounce back last year 376 00:18:36,720 --> 00:18:39,280 Speaker 10: in twenty twenty five. Is Boeing sort of pulled in 377 00:18:39,320 --> 00:18:41,760 Speaker 10: a bunch of those orders. I think if you're an airline, 378 00:18:42,480 --> 00:18:44,800 Speaker 10: you know, and you're sort of fleet planning, when you 379 00:18:44,800 --> 00:18:47,800 Speaker 10: have backlogs that are ten years large for the for 380 00:18:47,840 --> 00:18:50,600 Speaker 10: the most important airplanes, for the narrow bodies, you kind 381 00:18:50,600 --> 00:18:53,680 Speaker 10: of got to be sort of in the order mode, 382 00:18:53,920 --> 00:18:57,199 Speaker 10: you know, every year or so many years, sort of 383 00:18:57,240 --> 00:19:00,000 Speaker 10: tapping up orders to make sure that you have airplane 384 00:19:00,080 --> 00:19:03,040 Speaker 10: is coming regularly as either you're expanding or things leaving 385 00:19:03,040 --> 00:19:06,280 Speaker 10: your fleet. So good to see Alaska do it again. 386 00:19:06,320 --> 00:19:08,280 Speaker 10: We think Boeing a lot of Boeing customers caught up 387 00:19:08,359 --> 00:19:12,119 Speaker 10: last year. This year probably a decent order year as 388 00:19:12,160 --> 00:19:15,480 Speaker 10: well as that catchup continues for Boeing. And this was 389 00:19:15,520 --> 00:19:18,760 Speaker 10: a core customer for Boeing. Alaska has been a core 390 00:19:19,280 --> 00:19:22,480 Speaker 10: Boeing flyer. They recently bought Hawaiian that added a bunch 391 00:19:22,480 --> 00:19:25,119 Speaker 10: of Airbus aircraft to its fleet, not a lot, but 392 00:19:25,200 --> 00:19:27,280 Speaker 10: a bunch of them, a handful of them, actually more 393 00:19:27,320 --> 00:19:30,720 Speaker 10: than a handful of twenties or thirties. And I think 394 00:19:30,760 --> 00:19:34,320 Speaker 10: another indicator that they've kept this Alaska have kept the 395 00:19:34,359 --> 00:19:37,800 Speaker 10: Alaska Airlines as a core customer, and I would see 396 00:19:37,800 --> 00:19:40,760 Speaker 10: them kind of going to a more pure Boeing fleet 397 00:19:40,760 --> 00:19:43,000 Speaker 10: in the future as they ease out some of those 398 00:19:43,000 --> 00:19:43,920 Speaker 10: Airbus aircraft. 399 00:19:44,080 --> 00:19:46,399 Speaker 2: It seems like a big order for Alaska. Is this 400 00:19:46,480 --> 00:19:50,080 Speaker 2: signal any change in strategy or what's going on there? 401 00:19:50,680 --> 00:19:53,840 Speaker 10: Well, I think it's pretty interesting, right Alaska they're seven 402 00:19:53,880 --> 00:19:57,000 Speaker 10: eighty seven dash. They think DASH tens altering when they 403 00:19:57,000 --> 00:19:59,200 Speaker 10: buy them. With the biggest seven eighty seven, they've got 404 00:19:59,200 --> 00:20:02,200 Speaker 10: an order for fi of them. Alaska traditionally had been 405 00:20:02,280 --> 00:20:05,639 Speaker 10: just a narrow body kind of US but really West 406 00:20:05,640 --> 00:20:10,240 Speaker 10: Coast focused airline. Since they bought Hawaiian, they've added international routes. 407 00:20:10,480 --> 00:20:14,000 Speaker 10: Clearly they added Hawaii Hawaii Hawaiian had routes into Asia 408 00:20:14,040 --> 00:20:17,400 Speaker 10: where there's a fair amount of demand for Hawaii. Alaska 409 00:20:17,680 --> 00:20:22,480 Speaker 10: looks to be trying to grow into a global airline. 410 00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:25,520 Speaker 10: They've got European service now too, So this is I 411 00:20:25,520 --> 00:20:29,919 Speaker 10: think a continuation of that push by Alaska to be 412 00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:31,679 Speaker 10: what it wants to be when it grows up. I 413 00:20:31,680 --> 00:20:33,960 Speaker 10: guess which is going to be maybe another one of 414 00:20:34,000 --> 00:20:37,160 Speaker 10: the big, big US full service carricers. 415 00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:40,920 Speaker 2: Is there room, George, do you think for another US 416 00:20:41,040 --> 00:20:41,959 Speaker 2: full service carrier? 417 00:20:42,760 --> 00:20:44,600 Speaker 10: I think if you do it well, there probably is, right. 418 00:20:44,640 --> 00:20:47,399 Speaker 10: I think, look, got you got Southwest coming as well. 419 00:20:47,640 --> 00:20:50,800 Speaker 10: Southwest is adding premium seating. They're already pretty. 420 00:20:50,600 --> 00:20:51,640 Speaker 7: Large in the US. 421 00:20:51,920 --> 00:20:56,560 Speaker 10: They don't have much international, but Southwest is definitely a 422 00:20:56,560 --> 00:20:58,960 Speaker 10: force to be reckoned with. But they're leaving the old 423 00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:01,679 Speaker 10: world where they were very much a pure fleet and 424 00:21:01,680 --> 00:21:05,199 Speaker 10: they could control costs well, going again into the you know, 425 00:21:05,320 --> 00:21:10,840 Speaker 10: sort of premium and making their operations more complex. Alaska 426 00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:12,760 Speaker 10: kind of come in the other way. They already have 427 00:21:12,840 --> 00:21:16,120 Speaker 10: premium now trying to go global. I mean, I think 428 00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:18,679 Speaker 10: going back to Alaska, they've got to figure out what 429 00:21:18,760 --> 00:21:21,159 Speaker 10: they want to be when they grow up, because I 430 00:21:21,200 --> 00:21:24,760 Speaker 10: don't think they can survive just as a largely West 431 00:21:24,800 --> 00:21:28,399 Speaker 10: coast airline. I think Hawaiian was the beginning of that 432 00:21:28,480 --> 00:21:32,600 Speaker 10: expansion strategy, which included long all this, uh, these following 433 00:21:32,720 --> 00:21:36,320 Speaker 10: orders I think reinforced to me that's the direction they're going. 434 00:21:36,600 --> 00:21:38,320 Speaker 10: They're going for a global airline. 435 00:21:38,800 --> 00:21:39,480 Speaker 7: You know it's going to. 436 00:21:39,480 --> 00:21:40,760 Speaker 10: Take a while to get there, but that's what they're 437 00:21:40,760 --> 00:21:41,160 Speaker 10: going for. 438 00:21:41,440 --> 00:21:45,600 Speaker 2: Would regulators ever allow, you know, the combination of all 439 00:21:45,640 --> 00:21:47,120 Speaker 2: Alaskan Southwest for example. 440 00:21:49,480 --> 00:21:52,640 Speaker 10: You know, that's to me, I think anytime you get 441 00:21:52,680 --> 00:21:56,119 Speaker 10: some of the big carriers involved in buying somebody, I 442 00:21:56,119 --> 00:21:57,160 Speaker 10: think it gets difficult. 443 00:21:58,320 --> 00:21:59,720 Speaker 7: I think it's gonna I think it would be hard. 444 00:22:00,000 --> 00:22:00,639 Speaker 7: I think it would be hard. 445 00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:02,399 Speaker 10: I think Alaska I had to look at something maybe 446 00:22:02,880 --> 00:22:05,960 Speaker 10: smaller or you know, Southwest. I think would be difficult 447 00:22:06,000 --> 00:22:08,679 Speaker 10: to do an acquisition, maybe a very small acquisition. But 448 00:22:08,720 --> 00:22:11,479 Speaker 10: if Alaska's getting together with somebody, I think it's kind 449 00:22:11,520 --> 00:22:12,640 Speaker 10: of jet blue and down. 450 00:22:13,400 --> 00:22:15,639 Speaker 2: What do you think here of just in twenty twenty 451 00:22:15,640 --> 00:22:17,400 Speaker 2: six air traffic? 452 00:22:17,480 --> 00:22:19,280 Speaker 3: Air travel? How do you think that's going to shape 453 00:22:19,320 --> 00:22:19,800 Speaker 3: up this year? 454 00:22:20,440 --> 00:22:23,240 Speaker 10: Yeah, So we see a lot of additions to premium 455 00:22:23,680 --> 00:22:27,400 Speaker 10: to premium carriers, and we see carriers adding premium seats 456 00:22:27,400 --> 00:22:30,520 Speaker 10: that weren't traditionally premium carriers. So to us, it feels 457 00:22:30,560 --> 00:22:34,080 Speaker 10: like premium could be under a bit of pressure as 458 00:22:34,080 --> 00:22:36,359 Speaker 10: we get into the into the new year or twenty 459 00:22:36,359 --> 00:22:38,399 Speaker 10: twenty six here because it looks like a lot of 460 00:22:38,440 --> 00:22:40,879 Speaker 10: people go in that direction. That's where that's where the 461 00:22:40,960 --> 00:22:45,960 Speaker 10: earnings have been driven lately. Loyalty programs super important. Basic economy. 462 00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:49,960 Speaker 10: World looks like it's starting to right size. Things could 463 00:22:49,960 --> 00:22:51,400 Speaker 10: get better, but it will take a little time. 464 00:22:51,440 --> 00:22:51,720 Speaker 4: I think. 465 00:22:53,520 --> 00:22:58,200 Speaker 1: This is the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast, available on Apple, Spotify, 466 00:22:58,400 --> 00:23:01,880 Speaker 1: and anywhere else you get your podcast. 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