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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Thursday night Thursday morning

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Speaker 2: episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Peralt.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 2: at Sports Talk. Matt in this Pockets being brought to

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Speaker 2: you by friends. At DraftKings, you play five dollars with

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Speaker 2: sign up. All right, so last night, oh and tonight

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Speaker 2: kind of a bummer. Rockets win by one. They don't

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Speaker 2: cover money line was the play there. That's a lesson

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Speaker 2: for me. That's should have bet money line. We would

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Speaker 2: have gone down point one and said we're down two

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Speaker 2: point two. That's a frustration play by me. That's a bad,

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Speaker 2: unfortunate break. But that's gambling. I've been wanting to bet

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Speaker 2: money line. I just keep on forgetting to just bet

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Speaker 2: money line. Matt, bet money line, don't bet minus two.

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Speaker 2: Bet money line, So especially with a cheaper price like

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Speaker 2: mis one thirty or so on the money line. So

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Speaker 2: that was a frustration for me. So losing day on Tuesday,

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Speaker 2: losing day on Wednesday, so Monday win, Tuesday, Wednesday lose,

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Speaker 2: So time to pick it up here on a Wednesday.

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Speaker 1: It is Thursday Night Football.

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Speaker 2: I have a doctor's appointment that I cannot miss, so

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Speaker 2: there will be no live stream here for us today

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Speaker 2: at seven thirty Eastern Time on the Betting Pros YouTube channel.

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Speaker 1: However, I am going to give you.

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Speaker 2: Prop bets on the Betting Pros app at some point

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Speaker 2: during today, so download the app, follow me at Sports

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Speaker 2: Talk Matt, and I will give you the NFL player

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Speaker 2: props that i'd like for tonight's game between the Rams

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Speaker 2: and the forty nine Ers at some point before kickoff,

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Speaker 2: so you guys can make those plays here at least

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Speaker 2: two maybe four, depending on what I like tonight for

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Speaker 2: a player prop perspective. Betting Pros download the app in

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Speaker 2: the App Store in your Google Play Store wherever you

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Speaker 2: get your apps, and search at Sports Talk Matt if

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Speaker 2: you'd like to follow me for those players that we'll

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Speaker 2: give out here for tonight on Thursday Night Football. Before

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Speaker 2: Thursday Night football. There's some very interesting trends here. Rock

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Speaker 2: Party has made fourteen starts at night for the forty

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Speaker 2: nine ers. He's ten and four straight up. He's seven

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Speaker 2: and one straight up at home at night. The Niners

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Speaker 2: are at home at night. Interesting when he's a favorite

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Speaker 2: of less than six points or he's a dog. In

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Speaker 2: his career, Rock Purty is six and two night games ats.

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Speaker 2: He is three to ohero ats against NFC West teams.

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Speaker 2: Since two thousand and three, only two quarterbacks are four

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Speaker 2: and oh ats or better in night games against his

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Speaker 2: own division. That was Andrew Luck who went five oh

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Speaker 2: to one ats, and Vince Young who went four oh ats.

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Speaker 2: Purty is played on Thursday night four times. Niners are

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Speaker 2: four and oh straight up and four and oh against

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Speaker 2: the spread. That's pretty darn good. On short rest. Brock

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Speaker 2: Purty is six and two against the number. That's the

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Speaker 2: third best of any quarterback over the last three seasons.

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Speaker 2: Sean McVay is pretty good, though when it comes to

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Speaker 2: normal rest, I mean on short rest. Not great on

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Speaker 2: normal rest, but short rest at night. He's seven and three,

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Speaker 2: which is not very bad. Niners have struggled without McCaffery

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Speaker 2: six and seven straight up when mccaffery's not playing. That's

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Speaker 2: not good for them. Matthew Stafford is four and seven

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Speaker 2: ats against the Niners, including two and six straight up

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Speaker 2: in his last eight starts against the Niners. Sean McVay

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Speaker 2: is six and ten against the number in his career

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Speaker 2: against the Niners. But night games haven't been awful for

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Speaker 2: Kyle Shanahan, especially at home. Niners are two and zero

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Speaker 2: straight up in night games at home, and they scored

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Speaker 2: more than thirty points in both those games when they

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Speaker 2: were at home at night. This number is two and

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Speaker 2: a half. I'm gonna late with the Niners. I don't

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Speaker 2: love it, Okay, I don't love it. It's a home favorite,

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Speaker 2: home favorite. It's been pretty good straight up. They haven't

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Speaker 2: been great against the number, but this is a short number.

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Speaker 2: This is a divisional game. I lean towards the Niners,

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Speaker 2: just sort of taking care of business with their defense.

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Speaker 2: The Rams have been so hot. Everyone's in love with

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Speaker 2: this team. As to what they have looked like. They

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Speaker 2: scored forty four points against the Bills last week, they

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Speaker 2: beat New Orleans. They lost to Philly, but they beat

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Speaker 2: the Patriots. They've won three out of four. Niners looked

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Speaker 2: good against the Bears last week, however, winning by twenty

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Speaker 2: five points at home. Maybe they found something that snap

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Speaker 2: that three game losing streak. They're still alive. They're five

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Speaker 2: and eight against the number the Niners are. The Rams

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Speaker 2: are six and seven against the division. San Feran is

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Speaker 2: one in three. Rams are two and one. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: go against kind of the public thought here, seven and

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Speaker 2: six Rams, six and seven nine Ers. I'll take the

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Speaker 2: desperate team at home here laying two and a half

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Speaker 2: points for one point one units. Now, I'll make two

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Speaker 2: plays on this game. Equally, I'm going to come in

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Speaker 2: on the under. Then, both these teams are seven and

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Speaker 2: six to the over on the year. Both these teams

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Speaker 2: are two and two and two and one to the

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Speaker 2: over against the division. They're both five and four to

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Speaker 2: the over against the conference. But this is sort of

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Speaker 2: I don't want to call it like a gut play

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Speaker 2: on this, but this feels like two divisional teams. I

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Speaker 2: like the Niners to win. If the Niners win, it's

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Speaker 2: a low scoring game, so I think it's correlated. It's

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Speaker 2: favorite and under the game goes over, I think are

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Speaker 2: going to win the game outright. So I'm not going

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Speaker 2: to just make one bet on this. I'm gonna make

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Speaker 2: two bets on this. San Francisco minus two and a

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Speaker 2: half and the under forty nine for one point one

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Speaker 2: units feels like it's a little bit too high. I

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Speaker 2: mean forty nine for a game involving the Niners. They've

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Speaker 2: had a fifty this year. It went under by seven points.

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Speaker 2: They had a forty nine. That game was at home.

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Speaker 2: They had a against No so I was on a

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Speaker 2: road against Tampa. The game went under by seven points,

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Speaker 2: twenty three to twenty was the final at home. The

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Speaker 2: highest total we've seen in San Francisco is Seattle at

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Speaker 2: forty eight and a half forty nine forty nine against Arizona.

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Speaker 2: Game went under by two points. Seattle was forty eight

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Speaker 2: and a half. Game went under by eleven and a

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Speaker 2: half points. I think this game goes under. I'll play

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Speaker 2: the under as well Niners minus two and a half

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Speaker 2: and the under forty nine for Rams and San Francisco.

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Speaker 2: And then coming in for one college basketball play, it

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Speaker 2: is Iowa State at Iowa the Syhawk College basketball. The

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Speaker 2: number is six and a half Home Dog Hawkeyes. Really

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Speaker 2: this is interesting. Kenpom has this is a five point

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Speaker 2: win for Iowa, so you get a point and a

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Speaker 2: half of value there with Kenpom. Iowa at home this

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Speaker 2: year has been okay, now outstanding. They lost at Michigan.

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Speaker 2: This again falls right into my what I like to

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Speaker 2: do with teams that go on the road and lose.

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Speaker 2: They can play at home in an divisional game. I

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Speaker 2: like to come in and I like to take the

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Speaker 2: home team plus the points on top of that five

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Speaker 2: point win, we get six and a half. I always

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Speaker 2: lost to Utah State and the Michigan. They beat Northwestern

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Speaker 2: on a last second three at home in their last

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Speaker 2: home game, which is a good win. Iowa was the best.

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Speaker 2: Iowa State's the best team that they've played so far

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Speaker 2: by far. But this is Iowa State's first true road game.

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Speaker 2: We like fading first true road games. Here, Iowa State

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Speaker 2: falls again into this similar trend that I've been betting

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Speaker 2: Iowa is going to put up a lot of a fight.

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Speaker 2: This is a side game, This is a rivalry game.

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Speaker 2: These teams hate each other. Iowa's offense is thirty first

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Speaker 2: an efficiency and twenty sixth and effective field goal percentage.

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Speaker 2: Iowa's defense is eighth in efficiency. They've been great eighty

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Speaker 2: ninth and effective field goal percentage sixty fifth in the country.

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Speaker 2: Iowa three point shooting defense for Iowa State one hundred

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Speaker 2: and twenty ninth watch that tonight. Two point thirty second

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Speaker 2: for Iowa, eighty fifth for Iowa State. For some reason,

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Speaker 2: Iowa you normally a free throw shooting team, not this year.

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Speaker 2: Sixty six percent is three hundred and tenth. That can't

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Speaker 2: happen tonight. They got to hit their free throws On

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Speaker 2: the flip side of Iowa State's offense is seventh in

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Speaker 2: efficiency and twenty fourth and effective field goal percentage. Iowa's

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Speaker 2: defense is okay, not great, seventy ninth inefficiency, one hundred

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Speaker 2: and ninety first effective field goal percentage. That must be

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Speaker 2: better tonight. But they're seventeenth in three point defense, which

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Speaker 2: is great. They've been giving up a lot of point

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Speaker 2: a lot of points in the paint because they're still

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Speaker 2: going on the three point line. They extend really far out.

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Speaker 2: You can score on the interior. But Iowa State is

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Speaker 2: a driving team, but not too much of a post team.

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Speaker 2: Three hundred and twenty six and two point defense for

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Speaker 2: Iowa that can't continue tonight. They got to be better

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Speaker 2: on inside the paint and allow those easy opportunities for

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Speaker 2: Iowa State here. I think the Hawk guys will lose

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Speaker 2: the game, but give me the six and a half points.

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Speaker 2: I think the home dog here catch in six and

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Speaker 2: a half. Iowa plus six and a half at home

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Speaker 2: against Iowa State. All right, so our plays for today

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Speaker 2: San Francisco laying two and a half at home against

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Speaker 2: the Rams for one point one unit under forty nine

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Speaker 2: in the game on Thursday Night football for the Rams

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Speaker 2: and the Niners. I will put player props on the

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Speaker 2: Betting pros app Go there, download it and search at

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Speaker 2: Sports Talk Matt to get it. And the Iowaha guys

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Speaker 2: plus six and a half at home against the Iowa

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Speaker 2: State Cyclones and the Sihawk college basketball version that for

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Speaker 2: one point one units minus. Matt Parol funmacaus All socials

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Speaker 2: at Sports Talk Matt every morning it is the dal

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Speaker 2: Juice podcast presented by DraftKings