WEBVTT - Divisional Round Weekend: Nick's Picks 0:00:01.520 --> 0:00:04.520 This episode is brought to you by Love Herts. Kiwek 0:00:04.559 --> 0:00:07.760 Kwan has had quite a career, from childhood roles in Indiana, 0:00:07.840 --> 0:00:10.360 Jones and the Temple of Doom and The Goonies to 0:00:10.440 --> 0:00:13.840 a recent Academy Award win for Everything, Everywhere, All at Once. 0:00:14.080 --> 0:00:16.799 But now Keith finally stars as a leading man in 0:00:16.840 --> 0:00:20.080 the film Love Hurts. Love Hurts is a perfect date 0:00:20.160 --> 0:00:22.680 night movie with its mix of over the top action 0:00:22.960 --> 0:00:26.360 comedy and a ton of heart. Love Hurts Only at 0:00:26.400 --> 0:00:27.560 theaters February seventh. 0:00:30.800 --> 0:00:33.599 This episode is brought to you by Unstoppable. 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I'm gonna mention it again here. 0:01:22.600 --> 0:01:25.760 We had a goal of one hundred thousand YouTube subscribers 0:01:25.800 --> 0:01:29.520 before the end of the year. We fell short. We 0:01:29.560 --> 0:01:35.720 are now almost at ninety four thousand subscribers. If we 0:01:35.760 --> 0:01:39.760 could get to one hundred thousand before the super Bowl, 0:01:39.959 --> 0:01:42.360 it's an ambitious goal. We only have a few weeks. 0:01:42.360 --> 0:01:44.679 We'd have to add a couple thousand a week. But 0:01:44.800 --> 0:01:47.160 if you enjoy this show, if you vibe with this 0:01:47.280 --> 0:01:51.440 show and you're not already subscribing, please do so. We 0:01:51.480 --> 0:01:54.840 get a sweet plaque. And Demons's getting ready to move 0:01:54.920 --> 0:01:57.320 to Los Angeles and I would really like to send 0:01:57.640 --> 0:02:01.640 the plaque with him. There's all to a financial incentive. 0:02:01.840 --> 0:02:04.320 Demonse's got this Twitch stream he's trying to build up. 0:02:04.440 --> 0:02:07.080 I think it'd be a pretty cool background thing now, 0:02:07.160 --> 0:02:10.840 one hundred thousand YouTube subscriber thing in the background there. 0:02:11.200 --> 0:02:14.280 So if you are not already subscribing, and you would, 0:02:14.360 --> 0:02:16.080 that would be great. The other thing you could do 0:02:16.600 --> 0:02:20.160 if you are What's Right with Nick Wright and Demonse 0:02:20.360 --> 0:02:23.520 super fan, if such a thing exists, if you wanted 0:02:23.520 --> 0:02:26.560 to tweet out the link to our YouTube stream and 0:02:26.600 --> 0:02:30.000 tell your folks to subscribe, we'd greatly appreciate it. Again, 0:02:30.040 --> 0:02:33.400 we're about sixty five hundred short of one hundred thousand 0:02:33.440 --> 0:02:35.320 goal and once I get to one hundred thousand, by 0:02:35.320 --> 0:02:39.000 the way, I'm just I'm done with the show. I'm kidding. 0:02:39.000 --> 0:02:41.040 I will keep the show going, but I would like 0:02:41.080 --> 0:02:44.200 to get to it. Okay, this is I don't know 0:02:44.200 --> 0:02:48.320 if you know this, Demanse. This is my favorite sports 0:02:48.360 --> 0:02:51.520 weekend of the year, the second round of the divisional 0:02:51.639 --> 0:02:56.360 round of the playoffs, because we have four games. No. 0:02:56.520 --> 0:03:00.040 Traditionally wild Card weekend was also four games, but and 0:03:00.040 --> 0:03:02.520 then they expanded it to when they added the seventh 0:03:02.520 --> 0:03:05.760 playoff teams. But you have four games. And the reason 0:03:05.840 --> 0:03:09.440 I like this more than Conference Championship weekend is Conference 0:03:09.520 --> 0:03:13.800 championship weekend. Yes, you usually get the best teams, but 0:03:14.080 --> 0:03:17.880 historically one of those games is usually a blowout. There's 0:03:18.040 --> 0:03:23.160 only two games all day Saturday, you're just anticipating Sunday. 0:03:23.600 --> 0:03:28.200 This is if we were to have said, at various 0:03:28.240 --> 0:03:32.120 points throughout the season, who are the best teams in football? 0:03:32.840 --> 0:03:37.520 Of the eight teams remaining, six of them are left 0:03:38.040 --> 0:03:43.640 in one order or another. Almost all year long, the 0:03:43.680 --> 0:03:50.440 six best teams in football were Kansas City, Philly, Cincinnati, Buffalo, 0:03:50.680 --> 0:03:55.120 San Francisco, and Dallas. None of them got upset this weekend. 0:03:55.440 --> 0:03:57.840 A few of them almost did, but none of them 0:03:57.920 --> 0:04:01.200 got upset. You then have the Jags, who have been 0:04:01.240 --> 0:04:03.800 one of the hottest teams the second half of the year, 0:04:04.160 --> 0:04:06.520 and then the Giants, who were one of the hottest 0:04:06.560 --> 0:04:09.000 teams at the beginning of the year with that six 0:04:09.040 --> 0:04:12.360 and one start that they had. So it's a great weekend. 0:04:12.600 --> 0:04:15.600 It's my favorite weekend of football. First, before we get 0:04:15.600 --> 0:04:19.160 to our picks for this weekend, we will recap last weekend. 0:04:19.480 --> 0:04:23.800 It started amazingly. We started three and zero. We finished 0:04:23.839 --> 0:04:28.000 four and two, which is absolutely fine. It keeps us 0:04:28.080 --> 0:04:31.320 It's another profitable weekend. It means our last two weeks 0:04:31.360 --> 0:04:33.840 of giving out picks on this show, because we went 0:04:33.880 --> 0:04:38.600 eleven and three is fifteen and five. Wait, yeah, fifteen 0:04:38.680 --> 0:04:41.560 and five, so seventy five percent against the spread the 0:04:41.600 --> 0:04:45.120 last two weeks on this show. We'll go through each game. 0:04:45.160 --> 0:04:48.240 San Francisco minus nine and a half against Seattle. 0:04:48.480 --> 0:04:48.600 Oh. 0:04:48.680 --> 0:04:54.320 The other thing that we should mention is week is 0:04:54.360 --> 0:04:57.640 that we also on last week's show, we gave out 0:04:57.680 --> 0:05:02.480 a tea a Saturday teaser that it Niners Jags. We 0:05:02.560 --> 0:05:06.680 gave out and on the offer, the eleven to one 0:05:06.800 --> 0:05:12.000 offer was the Jags money line lawrence over two hundred 0:05:12.000 --> 0:05:15.880 and forty eight passing yards and the Niners minus sixteen 0:05:15.960 --> 0:05:19.520 and a half. That almost died before it had any 0:05:19.600 --> 0:05:22.279 chance to live, because not only were the Niners trailing 0:05:22.320 --> 0:05:25.520 at halftime, but when they scored twenty five straight in 0:05:25.600 --> 0:05:29.080 the second half, that put him up twenty four Seahawks scored, 0:05:29.720 --> 0:05:32.240 and if they kicked the extra point, the offers an 0:05:32.279 --> 0:05:35.000 auto winner. They did the smart thing, they went for 0:05:35.120 --> 0:05:39.040 two that could have made it a sixteen point game. 0:05:39.080 --> 0:05:42.279 The Niners stop it. So the offer wins Demons's feel 0:05:42.320 --> 0:05:43.880 in some type of way about the offer because he 0:05:43.920 --> 0:05:48.760 puts in all these exotic parlays and does not take 0:05:48.880 --> 0:05:52.279 up the offer. And the offer has hit what four 0:05:52.320 --> 0:05:56.320 times this year about possibly more maybe for a number 0:05:56.320 --> 0:05:58.320 of times. But now we can get back to last 0:05:58.320 --> 0:06:00.599 week's pick. So the Niners minus nine and a half 0:06:02.760 --> 0:06:06.720 to me was the safest bet of the weekend. And 0:06:06.760 --> 0:06:10.680 the reason I feel comfortable saying that is because even 0:06:10.760 --> 0:06:14.880 though they trailed at halftime, they still won easily. The 0:06:15.200 --> 0:06:18.839 Seahawks just couldn't match up with them, obviously, Jacksonville plus 0:06:18.880 --> 0:06:21.360 two and a half was not what we would call 0:06:21.600 --> 0:06:26.279 a safe bet. However, what is remarkable about it is 0:06:27.120 --> 0:06:31.400 even they had found a way thanks to the Trevor 0:06:31.680 --> 0:06:35.560 two point conversion, where getting those two and a half 0:06:35.600 --> 0:06:39.640 points absolutely could have been the reason we won. If 0:06:39.640 --> 0:06:43.120 they get stuffed on that fourth and one, they lose 0:06:43.160 --> 0:06:46.080 thirty to twenty eight, but the offer didn't come in. 0:06:46.360 --> 0:06:48.240 But we still win because we're getting the two and 0:06:48.279 --> 0:06:52.320 a half points. Miami plus thirteen and a half didn't 0:06:52.360 --> 0:06:55.160 look safe early, and then it looked like a Miami 0:06:55.320 --> 0:06:59.200 money line was absolutely in play and honestly should have 0:06:59.240 --> 0:07:05.320 been in play. Miami had an amazing comeback. They took 0:07:05.400 --> 0:07:09.080 the lead, and then even after they relinquished the lead, 0:07:09.440 --> 0:07:12.760 even after they were down ten after taking the lead, 0:07:13.240 --> 0:07:16.600 they then fought back and had a great chance at 0:07:16.640 --> 0:07:19.120 what should have been at least a game tying field goal, 0:07:19.360 --> 0:07:21.560 but they butchered the very end of that game. But 0:07:21.640 --> 0:07:24.720 the plus thirteen and a half is good. Minnesota minus 0:07:24.720 --> 0:07:27.640 three we were on the wrong side of that one 0:07:28.000 --> 0:07:30.360 no way around it. Even though we were on the 0:07:30.400 --> 0:07:32.760 wrong side of that one. If Kirk Cousins could have 0:07:32.800 --> 0:07:34.800 picked up that third and eight or fourth and eight 0:07:35.240 --> 0:07:37.520 and they end up going to overtime, I feel like 0:07:37.560 --> 0:07:39.600 we would have been in decent shape. But that Minnesota 0:07:39.640 --> 0:07:43.440 defense was awful. Baltimore plus eight and a half was 0:07:43.640 --> 0:07:46.440 another one that we said we thought they could win 0:07:46.520 --> 0:07:49.640 out right with Tyler Huntley, they should have won that game. 0:07:50.360 --> 0:07:55.040 The Cincinnati their turnover luck in these playoffs the last 0:07:55.080 --> 0:07:59.239 two years has been historic. Joe Burrow has played five 0:07:59.360 --> 0:08:04.800 playoff games. The Bengals defens has forced eleven turnovers in 0:08:04.880 --> 0:08:11.160 those five playoff games. Wow, and the fumble six that Huntley. 0:08:11.600 --> 0:08:16.880 You know, Trevor, It's funny. Trevor said he the play 0:08:17.000 --> 0:08:19.400 was not for him to leap. He did that on 0:08:19.440 --> 0:08:21.680 his own. They had a different play called he saw 0:08:21.720 --> 0:08:24.040 it was open, he went and did it. It worked. 0:08:24.320 --> 0:08:26.920 He's a hero. The play for Huntley was not for 0:08:27.000 --> 0:08:30.200 him to leap. He went and did it. He saw it. 0:08:30.480 --> 0:08:34.240 He was wrong. He's a goat the difference. One of 0:08:34.280 --> 0:08:37.679 the differences that I would point out is the risk 0:08:37.800 --> 0:08:39.959 of that leap is exactly what happened to Huntley, ball 0:08:39.960 --> 0:08:41.600 gets knocked out of your hands and the team goes 0:08:41.640 --> 0:08:42.160 the other way. 0:08:42.520 --> 0:08:45.199 He got different builds, though not only. 0:08:45.000 --> 0:08:47.840 They have different builds. You screw that up on a 0:08:47.840 --> 0:08:51.240 two point conversion. Your worst case scenario is a four 0:08:51.280 --> 0:08:53.959 point swing, right, you screw it up when Huntley screwed 0:08:54.000 --> 0:08:57.360 it up, and it is a fourteen point swing. And 0:08:57.480 --> 0:09:00.760 even after the fund, so so many things there because 0:09:00.800 --> 0:09:04.240 Cincinnati was not moving the ball. If he just gets stuffed, 0:09:05.200 --> 0:09:07.240 if they kick the field goal, I think they win. 0:09:07.760 --> 0:09:10.200 If they go for it and don't get it and 0:09:10.240 --> 0:09:12.760 they get stuffed, I don't think Cincinnati moves the ball 0:09:12.800 --> 0:09:15.439 at all, and all of a sudden, you're punting probably 0:09:15.480 --> 0:09:18.560 back to Baltimore down or a tie game. And Justin 0:09:18.600 --> 0:09:22.839 Tucker's a huge weapon. Even with the fumble. If they 0:09:22.920 --> 0:09:25.480 call the block in the back that happened at the 0:09:25.480 --> 0:09:28.560 thirty yard line on the return, now Cincinnati has the 0:09:28.559 --> 0:09:31.400 ball on the forty and Baltimore's even playing so good. 0:09:31.640 --> 0:09:35.360 It was just that was the exact way for Baltimore 0:09:35.400 --> 0:09:37.720 to lose that game, and they lost the game. Also, 0:09:38.320 --> 0:09:41.400 while Huntley, they had first and goal from the four, 0:09:42.320 --> 0:09:45.120 they handed the ball to running backs one time they 0:09:45.160 --> 0:09:47.160 threw the ball to a full back on first down, 0:09:47.520 --> 0:09:49.640 it was a bad pass. They handed the ball to 0:09:49.720 --> 0:09:51.600 running back on second hand, got it to the one, 0:09:51.760 --> 0:09:56.240 got three yards, and then the quarterback sneak. I feel 0:09:56.280 --> 0:10:00.360 like that Greg Roman's got to go back and say, man, 0:10:01.240 --> 0:10:05.320 we were playing Baltimore Ravens football, first and goal from 0:10:05.320 --> 0:10:08.680 the four hand that ball off four times, Hand the 0:10:08.720 --> 0:10:11.800 ball off to JK. Dobbins four times, and see what 0:10:11.840 --> 0:10:14.040 we can do. And then obviously the one we were 0:10:14.080 --> 0:10:16.080 the furthest off on it, and the one game we 0:10:16.120 --> 0:10:19.600 have not yet talked about on this show, Tampa and Dallas. 0:10:20.080 --> 0:10:26.559 Dallas annihilated the Bucks. It has absolutely stripped any fear 0:10:26.720 --> 0:10:29.800 I think anyone should have of Tampa away. I think 0:10:29.840 --> 0:10:33.720 that or Brady, I should say, Tampa's obviously done. Brady's 0:10:33.760 --> 0:10:36.480 leaving there in a terrible cap situation. But a lot 0:10:36.520 --> 0:10:40.440 of us thought that Brady all year all year long, 0:10:40.480 --> 0:10:43.960 when Brady felt a pass rush, he would throw and duck. 0:10:44.320 --> 0:10:46.319 He would throw and duck so we wouldn't get hit. 0:10:46.960 --> 0:10:48.840 I think a lot of us, I know I did, 0:10:49.080 --> 0:10:53.960 assumed because he's old, he was preserving his body for 0:10:54.000 --> 0:10:57.480 the playoffs. And then once the playoffs came, he would 0:10:57.520 --> 0:11:00.000 take the punishment, take the hits, and stand in the pot. 0:11:00.720 --> 0:11:06.439 And while that game turned into a laugher Demonsey. They 0:11:06.440 --> 0:11:09.480 were down six to nothing with the ball inside the 0:11:09.520 --> 0:11:14.920 five and Brady turned and ducked at a pass rush 0:11:15.080 --> 0:11:16.840 and that's why he didn't get enough on it to 0:11:16.840 --> 0:11:18.040 get the ball out of the back of the end 0:11:18.120 --> 0:11:22.079 zone and threw a pick. And that is what kind 0:11:22.080 --> 0:11:27.800 of opened the floodgates. So if there are Brady's gonna 0:11:27.800 --> 0:11:31.880 play next year, I no longer fear him. If he 0:11:31.960 --> 0:11:34.600 were on San Francisco, he could win a Super Bowl 0:11:34.600 --> 0:11:37.920 because they're showing they can win with any quarterback. But 0:11:38.000 --> 0:11:40.520 if he goes to Miami, they're not good enough. If 0:11:40.559 --> 0:11:42.280 he goes to the Raiders, they're not good enough. If 0:11:42.320 --> 0:11:44.640 he goes to the Jets, they're not good enough. And 0:11:45.200 --> 0:11:48.240 you feel like I kind of insulted brock Purty there. Okay, 0:11:48.280 --> 0:11:51.040 we'll talk him in a moment. We'll also talk Cowboys 0:11:51.040 --> 0:11:53.720 in a moment. That's last week. Now we get to 0:11:53.800 --> 0:11:55.920 our picks from this week, and we will do them 0:11:56.000 --> 0:11:59.240 in the order that the games are. We are starting 0:12:00.200 --> 0:12:03.560 with the Kansas City Chiefs minus eight and a half 0:12:04.000 --> 0:12:08.960 at home against Jacksonville. We liked the Chiefs, and we 0:12:09.040 --> 0:12:13.920 like the Chiefs significantly in this football game. This is 0:12:13.960 --> 0:12:18.280 where it is instructive to remind the audience what the 0:12:18.400 --> 0:12:22.160 Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid have done in 0:12:22.240 --> 0:12:27.160 their first playoff games of each season. So in the 0:12:27.200 --> 0:12:32.120 first playoff game Mahomes ever played against the Indianapolis Colts, 0:12:32.559 --> 0:12:36.920 they won by eighteen points. In the first playoff game 0:12:36.960 --> 0:12:41.520 Mahomes played in the following year at home against the Texans, 0:12:41.960 --> 0:12:45.839 they were down twenty four to nothing in the second quarter. 0:12:47.000 --> 0:12:50.240 They led the game at halftime. They were down twenty 0:12:50.320 --> 0:12:52.880 four to nothing in the second quarter. They led the 0:12:52.880 --> 0:12:56.520 game at halftime, and they won fifty one to thirty one. 0:12:57.080 --> 0:13:00.400 So down twenty four to nothing, they still covered. The 0:13:00.440 --> 0:13:05.120 next year they're playing the Browns. They are crushing the Browns. 0:13:05.160 --> 0:13:09.760 At halftime, Mahomes got hurt, had to leave the game. 0:13:10.640 --> 0:13:13.200 They won by five, so they didn't cover there. But 0:13:13.320 --> 0:13:16.840 that's a little bit of a question mark there. And 0:13:16.880 --> 0:13:19.320 that was the game where they thought Mahomes got a concussion. 0:13:19.600 --> 0:13:22.320 He actually got choked, so they wouldn't let him go 0:13:22.400 --> 0:13:24.560 back in the game. He did the get up and 0:13:24.679 --> 0:13:28.080 stumble and fall, so they they blacked him out from 0:13:28.120 --> 0:13:30.960 the game. I actually talked to him right after the game. 0:13:31.440 --> 0:13:34.520 He said, passed all my concussion tests. If you watch 0:13:34.600 --> 0:13:36.559 the video. I never even got hit in the head. 0:13:36.800 --> 0:13:40.240 But when the guy tackled him, the guy's forearm went 0:13:40.320 --> 0:13:43.800 up against his neck and it just like breathing. Yeah, 0:13:44.080 --> 0:13:46.520 caught off either blood flow or air to his brain, 0:13:46.600 --> 0:13:49.040 and so it like he feinted, but it wasn't a 0:13:49.120 --> 0:13:50.800 head injury. But they wouldn't let him go back in, 0:13:51.120 --> 0:13:54.880 so they didn't tackle. Yeah, it was crazy. That's also 0:13:54.920 --> 0:14:00.520 one of the reasons why I believed the two because 0:14:00.559 --> 0:14:02.600 even though it wasn't that type of play, just because 0:14:02.640 --> 0:14:05.719 something looks like a concussion doesn't mean it is a concussion, 0:14:05.920 --> 0:14:08.319 all right. And then last year, first game of the 0:14:08.360 --> 0:14:11.480 playoffs against the Steelers, they went by twenty one and 0:14:11.480 --> 0:14:14.480 it wasn't even that close. Andy Reid and last year 0:14:14.520 --> 0:14:16.560 was not off a buye. It should be noted, but 0:14:16.720 --> 0:14:23.680 Andy Reid off a bye against an inferior opponent, typically 0:14:23.720 --> 0:14:28.800 from the AFC South. Oddly enough, the Chiefs put it on. Additionally, 0:14:29.280 --> 0:14:33.400 we saw this game earlier this year. The Chiefs won 0:14:33.480 --> 0:14:36.960 by ten in a way no team has won a 0:14:37.080 --> 0:14:41.040 game in the NFL all year so prior to Jaggs 0:14:41.160 --> 0:14:45.280 Chargers where the Jacks from the ball over five times, 0:14:45.320 --> 0:14:50.000 Chargers zero and one, there had been thirty seven games 0:14:50.040 --> 0:14:52.960 in the NFL this year where a team won the 0:14:53.000 --> 0:14:57.960 turnover margin by three or more. Those teams were thirty 0:14:58.040 --> 0:15:02.880 six and one. One loss was Jaggs Chiefs when the 0:15:02.960 --> 0:15:06.760 Chiefs turned the ball over three times and put it 0:15:06.800 --> 0:15:09.840 on the Jaguars. Furthermore, it's not just they turn the 0:15:09.880 --> 0:15:12.600 ball over three times. The Jags started the game with 0:15:12.640 --> 0:15:15.520 a surprise on side kick and got it, so they 0:15:15.640 --> 0:15:21.160 essentially won the turnover battle for nothing. And despite that, 0:15:21.160 --> 0:15:25.080 that game was twenty to nothing and twenty seven to 0:15:25.120 --> 0:15:28.680 ten at various times, the Jags added a garbage time 0:15:28.760 --> 0:15:32.040 touchdown to make it twenty seven to seventeen. It was 0:15:32.200 --> 0:15:35.120 never in question. Now I'm gonna go a little a 0:15:35.160 --> 0:15:40.720 step further that JAG's pass defense can get god as 0:15:40.760 --> 0:15:45.240 we saw in the first half yes or this past weekend. Also, 0:15:45.920 --> 0:15:49.440 the Chiefs, in a stat no one believes, but I 0:15:49.560 --> 0:15:54.760 promise it is true, had the second most sacks of 0:15:54.800 --> 0:15:58.240 any team in the NFL this year, only the Eagles 0:15:58.280 --> 0:16:02.320 had more Chris Jones against the middle of that Jacksonville 0:16:02.320 --> 0:16:08.400 defensive line will be a problem for them. Mahomes will 0:16:08.440 --> 0:16:13.000 be sensational. Mahomes already the all time record for three 0:16:13.080 --> 0:16:17.200 touchdown playoff games is eleven. I believe by Brady He's 0:16:17.200 --> 0:16:21.320 played almost fifty playoff games. Then someone has nine, someone 0:16:21.320 --> 0:16:25.000 has eight. Mahomes has seven, It's fourth most. Ever. He's 0:16:25.000 --> 0:16:28.120 only played eleven playoff games, so in seven of his 0:16:28.200 --> 0:16:31.960 eleven he's gone for three touchdowns. The Chiefs are at home. 0:16:32.960 --> 0:16:35.760 They are right now, the healthiest they have been all year. 0:16:36.240 --> 0:16:38.440 And one other thing the Chiefs did this year that 0:16:38.480 --> 0:16:42.280 I think was very smart. I think they knew from 0:16:42.320 --> 0:16:46.480 the very beginning of the season that Jeric McKinnon number 0:16:46.520 --> 0:16:48.600 one for them. They're running back who started the year 0:16:48.680 --> 0:16:53.280 third stringth was their best back. However, I think they 0:16:53.320 --> 0:16:56.680 also know he's a guy whose whole career has been 0:16:56.680 --> 0:17:01.680 defined by injury. So they slowly and they upped his 0:17:01.840 --> 0:17:05.000 usage right before the stretch run for the playoffs. He 0:17:05.040 --> 0:17:10.240 won AFC Offensive Player of the Month with nine touchdown catches. 0:17:10.720 --> 0:17:13.520 I think the Chiefs annihilate the Jags. I've been high 0:17:13.600 --> 0:17:15.960 on the Jags. I told you guys five weeks ago 0:17:16.320 --> 0:17:18.720 the Jags were not going to lose again until the 0:17:18.760 --> 0:17:22.520 divisional round in Kansas City. The bracket had not even 0:17:22.600 --> 0:17:26.000 been set yet. I was very confident that the divisional 0:17:26.080 --> 0:17:29.560 round in Kansas City would be Jags coming to KC. 0:17:30.400 --> 0:17:32.199 I've got Kansas City minus eight and a half. Go 0:17:32.200 --> 0:17:32.840 ahead to monse. 0:17:33.000 --> 0:17:35.439 Doug Peterson is six and zero against the spread as 0:17:35.480 --> 0:17:36.680 a postseason underdog. 0:17:36.840 --> 0:17:40.119 It's very impressive. Now keep in mind, just keep in 0:17:40.160 --> 0:17:46.360 mind that three of those games came when the Eagles 0:17:46.440 --> 0:17:51.000 had the one seed and they were home dogs because 0:17:52.600 --> 0:17:54.920 they had a backup quarterback in So I do there 0:17:54.960 --> 0:17:57.080 at least two of those games. That is noteworthy, but 0:17:57.119 --> 0:17:58.240 go ahead fair enough. 0:17:58.320 --> 0:18:01.720 Mahomes is eleven in eighteen against the spread when the 0:18:01.760 --> 0:18:03.680 Chiefs are favorites by seven or more. 0:18:03.880 --> 0:18:04.120 YEP. 0:18:04.560 --> 0:18:07.000 Obviously, he did cover the nine and a half spread 0:18:07.000 --> 0:18:09.040 earlier this year against the Jags. 0:18:08.840 --> 0:18:13.680 So that is true. But let's again, though, look at 0:18:14.840 --> 0:18:20.040 what he is in the postseason. Okay, first playoff game 0:18:20.080 --> 0:18:23.119 against the Colts covered the spread. Second playoff game against 0:18:23.160 --> 0:18:26.879 the Patriots didn't cover the spread, that was in overtime. 0:18:27.040 --> 0:18:28.880 All right, So it was one and one the year 0:18:28.880 --> 0:18:31.600 they won the Super Bowl. Covered the spread all three 0:18:31.680 --> 0:18:35.840 times against the Texans, Titans, and Niners, all three of 0:18:35.840 --> 0:18:38.160 those games down by double digits. All three of those 0:18:38.160 --> 0:18:41.280 games won by double digits. Covered the spread all three times. 0:18:41.400 --> 0:18:45.240 So he's four and one. I'm going to throw out 0:18:45.440 --> 0:18:47.680 the Browns game that I mentioned because he got hurt. 0:18:47.920 --> 0:18:50.080 He did he was in root to covering. He got 0:18:50.200 --> 0:18:53.800 knocked out of the game against the Bills. AFC Championship game, 0:18:54.119 --> 0:18:56.760 covered the spread one by fourteaens now five and one 0:18:56.960 --> 0:19:00.520 Super Bowl against the Bucks obviously did not cover. Okay, 0:19:01.440 --> 0:19:05.280 against the very next year against the Steelers, covered the spread. 0:19:05.720 --> 0:19:08.679 So six and two against the Bills, covered the spread 0:19:08.760 --> 0:19:13.680 in overtime. Okay, seven and two against the Bengals obviously 0:19:14.000 --> 0:19:16.439 did not cover. They lost as another game they're up 0:19:16.440 --> 0:19:18.639 twenty one to three and the Mahomes melted down. So 0:19:18.680 --> 0:19:21.280 he's seven and three in the playoffs against the spread 0:19:21.800 --> 0:19:24.199 with the one seven and four technically, but one of 0:19:24.200 --> 0:19:27.200 those games he got knocked out. I trust the Chiefs, 0:19:27.440 --> 0:19:29.480 I trust Mahomes. I have not bet on the Chiefs 0:19:29.520 --> 0:19:32.080 a lot this year. Bet on the Jags far more often, 0:19:32.400 --> 0:19:34.240 but I like the Chiefs minus eight and a half 0:19:34.600 --> 0:19:40.440 next one. This to me was the hardest game to pick. 0:19:41.000 --> 0:19:45.240 I'm telling you right now, I will bet all of these. 0:19:45.280 --> 0:19:49.159 These are my four picks. This is the one that 0:19:49.240 --> 0:19:53.560 I have the least confidence. Giants plus seven and a 0:19:53.560 --> 0:19:59.320 half at Philly. Ultimately, I just took the points. I 0:19:59.359 --> 0:20:02.840 have been of the belief that Philly is not as 0:20:02.840 --> 0:20:07.119 good as the record suggests. Lane Johnson's gonna try to 0:20:07.119 --> 0:20:10.560 come back. I don't know how full strength he's going 0:20:10.600 --> 0:20:15.840 to be, and Jalen Hurts is obviously not one hundred percent. However, 0:20:17.440 --> 0:20:22.480 the Giants, there is a version of this game where 0:20:22.600 --> 0:20:28.119 Daniel Jones gets sacked seven times where he fumbles like 0:20:28.160 --> 0:20:31.720 he used to, and the Eagles with their pass rush 0:20:31.760 --> 0:20:37.639 alone dominate this football game. However, Dable is an excellent coach. 0:20:38.119 --> 0:20:42.679 We saw the Giants backups recently play Philly in the 0:20:42.720 --> 0:20:45.719 final week of the season and only lose by six, 0:20:46.119 --> 0:20:47.800 and it's a little misleading. They were down by more 0:20:47.800 --> 0:20:50.520 than that, but they came back a bit. I again, 0:20:50.720 --> 0:20:53.480 I don't have a super strong feeling on this game. 0:20:54.000 --> 0:20:57.119 But if I don't have a super strong feeling, and 0:20:57.200 --> 0:20:59.760 I'm getting more than a touchdown, and it's one of 0:20:59.840 --> 0:21:03.480 us scenario where they could be down fourteen and I'm 0:21:03.560 --> 0:21:06.480 still alive. All go ahead and grab the seven and 0:21:06.520 --> 0:21:08.440 a half points. But I don't feel great about it. 0:21:08.520 --> 0:21:12.040 Let me add something here. The Giants played the Eagles 0:21:12.040 --> 0:21:14.720 back in week eleven and it was this same exact 0:21:14.800 --> 0:21:18.040 line and they ended up losing by twenty six points. 0:21:18.240 --> 0:21:20.920 Okay, and I actually, I actually think it was worse 0:21:20.960 --> 0:21:23.360 than that, because they lost forty four to twenty two 0:21:23.359 --> 0:21:26.560 in that game, and or forty eight to twenty two, 0:21:27.080 --> 0:21:30.520 and that game was forty eight to fourteen with like 0:21:30.560 --> 0:21:32.840 a couple minutes left, so they all, you know, I mean, 0:21:32.920 --> 0:21:37.280 they lost by twenty six. They were down by thirty four, 0:21:37.520 --> 0:21:39.080 So yes, I agree, go ahead. 0:21:39.280 --> 0:21:42.119 Uh yeah. You're nine and four betting NFC East teams 0:21:42.160 --> 0:21:44.800 this year, though you went zero to two last week, 0:21:44.840 --> 0:21:48.040 including betting against the Giants despite knowing the vikings are flawed. 0:21:48.400 --> 0:21:51.320 You're also five and one in the NFC East divisional games. 0:21:51.359 --> 0:21:53.240 Seems like whatever you pick your bound to cash in. 0:21:53.359 --> 0:21:55.800 Well, I appreciate that. I'm telling you right now, I 0:21:55.840 --> 0:22:01.600 don't feel super strong about this game. I feel I 0:22:01.600 --> 0:22:06.280 I feel like The smart play is divisional game. What 0:22:06.440 --> 0:22:10.680 we saw last week right right, Dolphins Bills divisional game, 0:22:11.600 --> 0:22:15.920 the dog covered easily. Bengals Ravens divisional game, the dog 0:22:16.000 --> 0:22:20.760 covered easily. We're now getting Giants Philly divisional game. Also, 0:22:20.840 --> 0:22:24.280 by the way, oddly enough, every single game thus farthest 0:22:24.280 --> 0:22:28.280 playoffs has been a rematch of the regular season the 0:22:28.400 --> 0:22:31.200 first round. Every single game was this round. Every game 0:22:31.280 --> 0:22:34.320 is except for San Francisco Dallas, and that's a rematch 0:22:34.320 --> 0:22:37.000 of last year's wildcard round. It's kind of an oddity 0:22:37.080 --> 0:22:40.640 that's happened this year. I'll take the Giants plus the points, 0:22:40.960 --> 0:22:45.040 but I don't trust Daniel Jones. I don't trust the 0:22:45.080 --> 0:22:47.679 Giants as a whole, and that Philly defens is awesome, 0:22:48.160 --> 0:22:50.719 but I'll begrudgingly grab the seven and a half points. 0:22:51.119 --> 0:22:53.480 All right, we will take a very quick break. We 0:22:53.480 --> 0:22:57.480 will come back. We will come with my second favorite 0:22:57.560 --> 0:23:00.119 bet of the weekend, and then we'll also do San 0:23:00.200 --> 0:23:03.080 Francisco Dallas. We have Cincy Buffalo and San Francisco Dallas 0:23:03.080 --> 0:23:05.760 would do those next. We'lls right. 0:23:09.920 --> 0:23:12.280 If your football team had one option in their playbook, 0:23:12.480 --> 0:23:15.280 the results probably wouldn't be great. The same could be 0:23:15.320 --> 0:23:18.919 said for your investments. Cibo index options like SPX and 0:23:19.080 --> 0:23:22.399 xsp can help expand your investing strategies with cash settlement 0:23:22.560 --> 0:23:25.320 and potential tax advantages. If you're ready for a more 0:23:25.400 --> 0:23:28.600 dynamic game plan, head to Better with Options dot com. 0:23:28.760 --> 0:23:32.360 Cebo life is better with options, Your investments. 0:23:31.920 --> 0:23:32.600 Could be too. 0:23:33.000 --> 0:23:35.639 There are risks associated with Cibo company products. Review the 0:23:35.640 --> 0:23:39.640 disclosures and disclaimers at cbo dot com slash us Underscore disclaimers. 0:23:40.000 --> 0:23:43.280 All right, welcome back in divisional weekend. What's right with Nick? 0:23:43.359 --> 0:23:43.479