WEBVTT - Eight Months In, What Is Happening With Biden's CHIPS Act?

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<v Speaker 1>Hello, and welcome to another episode of the Odd Lots Podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Joe Wisenthal and I'm Tracy Alloway. Tracy, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>one of the things we talk about and the themes

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<v Speaker 1>we come back to quite a lot, is just this

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<v Speaker 1>idea of like US government really all government, but I

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<v Speaker 1>guess sort of US centric government intervention active role in

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<v Speaker 1>the economy, which is something that I would say is

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<v Speaker 1>like characterized a lot of like early Biden policymaking so far, yes,

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<v Speaker 1>and a perhaps unappreciated role at certain times. So we

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<v Speaker 1>talked a lot about the history of Silicon Valley, yes,

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<v Speaker 1>and how there was a lot of US government money

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<v Speaker 1>that actually flowed into both that place and that industry

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<v Speaker 1>and that had a massive impact. And now fast forward

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<v Speaker 1>to you know, the post pandemic era, and it feels

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<v Speaker 1>like we're seeing a bit of a resurgence. Yeah, that's

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<v Speaker 1>a good thing. Your that reminder, Like it feels like,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the US political appetite for public investment, public

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<v Speaker 1>direction of money and capital into certain industries, it ebbs

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<v Speaker 1>and flows. Sometimes that's really out of favor or that's

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<v Speaker 1>seen as anti capitalism or something like that. And clearly

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<v Speaker 1>least the last few years it's been sort of back

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<v Speaker 1>in favor or at least, you know, maybe even a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit under Trump. It's certainly under Biden in a

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<v Speaker 1>very significant way, both with the Chips Act and of

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<v Speaker 1>course the Inflation Reduction Act of seriously public investment and

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<v Speaker 1>the Infrastructure built public investment into different industries. Right. I

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<v Speaker 1>think we spoke about this with as recline the new

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<v Speaker 1>sort of supply side liberalism, this idea that the pandemic

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<v Speaker 1>really exposed a lot of fault lines in the economy

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<v Speaker 1>and also in supply chains, and now there's a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of attention focused on actually fixing those. And I'm glad

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<v Speaker 1>you mentioned one of the preeminent sort of set pieces

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<v Speaker 1>of this particular type of policy, which, of course the

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<v Speaker 1>Chips Act, So the Big Chips Act, other than the

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<v Speaker 1>Infrastructure Act, the Chips Act is the kind of I

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<v Speaker 1>guess the shining symbol of this new direction. Well, you

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<v Speaker 1>mentioned supply chains, and we did a lot of episodes

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<v Speaker 1>on broken chip supply chains, so this brings it together.

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<v Speaker 1>But here's the other thing that I think is key,

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<v Speaker 1>which is that if this is gonna if there's gonna

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<v Speaker 1>be momentum on this front, if active public investment into

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<v Speaker 1>industry is going to be something that sustained. And now,

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<v Speaker 1>just like a two year, a couple bills passed, there's

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<v Speaker 1>a big question like, isn't being done well? Are people

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<v Speaker 1>happy with the results? And I presume if people are

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<v Speaker 1>happy with the results and people see change, then maybe

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<v Speaker 1>there's more momentum. And if people are like, oh, this

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<v Speaker 1>is what happens every time the government and gets involved

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<v Speaker 1>in some industry and it's red tape and cost overruns

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<v Speaker 1>and wasted taxpayer money and so forth, then that really

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<v Speaker 1>sort of like kneecaps any momentum. Yeah, and it feels

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<v Speaker 1>like the stakes are quite high for this particular program

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<v Speaker 1>the sacked because it is, you know, symbolic in many ways.

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<v Speaker 1>First of all, there is always an I would say,

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<v Speaker 1>a almost knee jerk suspicion of government spending from you

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<v Speaker 1>certain parts of America. But then secondly, this particular bill,

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<v Speaker 1>I believe it did come with some new sort of

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<v Speaker 1>conditions attached to it, requirements that companies receiving government funding

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<v Speaker 1>have sufficient childcare things like that, and that has garnered

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<v Speaker 1>additional scrutiny recently. So there are lots of questions over

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<v Speaker 1>exactly how this is being implemented and how we'll measure

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<v Speaker 1>its success. You mentioned scrutiny. I think some of it's

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<v Speaker 1>from our own colleagues at the Bloomberg opinion side. There's

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<v Speaker 1>a headline eight days ago, fifty two billion dollars ship

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<v Speaker 1>making plan is racing towards failure. That was the opinion

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<v Speaker 1>side of the House. That's not our opinion. Nonetheless, this

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<v Speaker 1>is the question, So let's have this question. Look where

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<v Speaker 1>are we that this bill was passed last August. We're

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<v Speaker 1>already seen a lot of activity in the way, but

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<v Speaker 1>how's it actually going. I'm very excited about our guests.

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<v Speaker 1>We're going to be speaking with Mike Schmidt, director of

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<v Speaker 1>the Chips Program Office, as well as Todd Fisher, chief

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<v Speaker 1>Investment Officer of the Chip Program Office. I didn't even

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<v Speaker 1>know CIOs were a role within government, so that's interesting anyway.

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<v Speaker 1>Mike and Todd, thank you so much for coming on

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<v Speaker 1>Odd Lot. Thank you, thank you Joe, thank you Tracy

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<v Speaker 1>for having us. Really I'm a big fan of the podcast,

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<v Speaker 1>so very excited to be on. This is Mike Schmidt,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm the director of the Program Office, and Todd is

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<v Speaker 1>our chief investment officer. And we're excited to be here

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<v Speaker 1>to talk chips. Fortunately, your listeners won't won't need us

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<v Speaker 1>to explain how critical chips are, given all the all

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<v Speaker 1>the episodes you've already done on it, but just to

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<v Speaker 1>lay that foundation, chips are critical to virtually every technology

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<v Speaker 1>that underpins modern life, anything with an on off switch,

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<v Speaker 1>automobiles and medical devices, but also satellite communications and military technology.

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<v Speaker 1>They're going to be foundational to the technolo algies that

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<v Speaker 1>will fundamentally shape society and geopolitics in the coming years,

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<v Speaker 1>things like artificial intelligence, biotech, and clean energy, and so

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<v Speaker 1>you know, we the US have long been a leader

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<v Speaker 1>in chip design and R and D, and that's a really,

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<v Speaker 1>really good thing, but we've fallen significantly behind and manufacturing.

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<v Speaker 1>We account for only about ten percent of global semiconductor

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<v Speaker 1>production today, down from several times that a few decades ago,

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<v Speaker 1>especially where some is on the advanced chips, the leading

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<v Speaker 1>edge chips, where we produce functionally none of that today.

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<v Speaker 1>And so at commerce we have fifty billion to address

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<v Speaker 1>this problem. Thirty nine billion is that for manufacturing incentives,

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<v Speaker 1>eleven billions for R and D. Todd and I are

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<v Speaker 1>are on that incentive side. On that thirty nine billion side,

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<v Speaker 1>and we view ourselves fundamentally as managing a thirty nine

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<v Speaker 1>billion dollar investment program on behalf of taxpayers. But our

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<v Speaker 1>return is not financial. Our return is apply chain resilience

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<v Speaker 1>and in advancing are our economic and national security. And

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<v Speaker 1>I think we're off a pretty good start here, right. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>I was gonna say, you know, Tracy mentioned the beginning,

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<v Speaker 1>there's a big symbolic element but also just like a

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<v Speaker 1>very real element. You mentioned the geopolitics, which is like

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<v Speaker 1>the stakes are literally very high, but for all modern

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<v Speaker 1>life of whether you know, the US always has a

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<v Speaker 1>ongoing supply of sort of advanced in less advanced chips. So, Mike,

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<v Speaker 1>that was a really good intro to the sort of

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<v Speaker 1>stakes involved. But why don't we bring in Todd and

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<v Speaker 1>maybe um Todd you could explain, you know, Joe alluded

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<v Speaker 1>to this in the intro, but what does the chief

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<v Speaker 1>Investment Officer of the Chips Program Office actually do? Thank you, Tracy,

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<v Speaker 1>it's really great to be here. I'm also a big

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<v Speaker 1>fan of your show. We college chief investment officer. The

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<v Speaker 1>role is basically to figure out how to effectively invest

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<v Speaker 1>and allocate the thirty nine billion dollars that we have

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<v Speaker 1>to a complish our overall goals and vision for success.

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<v Speaker 1>So I spent my career, I spent thirty years in

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<v Speaker 1>the financial industry, twenty five years at KKR, basically making investments,

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<v Speaker 1>sitting on investment committees, etc. And given that this is

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<v Speaker 1>a new government program that really hasn't been done in

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<v Speaker 1>this way in many decades, that concept of creating a

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<v Speaker 1>chief investment Officer and an investment office to think about

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<v Speaker 1>the way we are allocating this money seem to make

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<v Speaker 1>sense to us. I was just going to jump in

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<v Speaker 1>and maybe explain a little bit of like the broader

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<v Speaker 1>theory of the case in terms of how we're building

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<v Speaker 1>the team, because fundamentally, we have two objectives here right

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<v Speaker 1>Number one, we need to make a set of investments

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<v Speaker 1>that are advancing our economic and national security. So we

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<v Speaker 1>have a set of strategic objectives. But then we have

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<v Speaker 1>to do so in a way that is safeguarding taxpayer

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<v Speaker 1>dollars and really getting good deal. So we built our

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<v Speaker 1>office here around chief strategy Officer managing strategy, technology and policy.

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<v Speaker 1>That's more and Dwyer, she comes from the senior leadership

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<v Speaker 1>of the Defense Department and the Office of Science Technology Policy,

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<v Speaker 1>and then Todd bringing his considerable financial commercial expertise as

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<v Speaker 1>the Investment Office, you know, gives us a way of

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<v Speaker 1>kind of like mediating a conversation and coming up with

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<v Speaker 1>an overall approach that is kind of advance both the

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<v Speaker 1>tastpayer protection side of the equation but also the kind

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<v Speaker 1>of strategic and economic Well let me ask, and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>with a sort of traditional investment CIO, like, it's fairly

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<v Speaker 1>easy to measure did they do a good job or

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<v Speaker 1>not because you can look at returns, maybe you can

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<v Speaker 1>look at volatility and a few things. It's like, oh

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<v Speaker 1>this this investor made money, or they at least avoided

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<v Speaker 1>losing money, etc. Obviously, as you mentioned Mike and Todd,

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<v Speaker 1>both of you, you know, it's different with public money

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<v Speaker 1>because the goal is to foster an industry and the

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<v Speaker 1>goal is to build something that creates sort of positive externalities.

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<v Speaker 1>But still, I mean, I wonder, are the hard benchmarks

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<v Speaker 1>that we can look at in terms of taxpayer money

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<v Speaker 1>well spent? Are the hard benchmarks in terms of how

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<v Speaker 1>much chip production is happening in the United States today

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<v Speaker 1>Verse twenty twenty eight, Verse twenty thirty three that we

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<v Speaker 1>could say if we don't hit these levels it was unsuccessful,

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<v Speaker 1>or if we do hit these levels that to success.

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<v Speaker 1>What can the public look that to know whether it's

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<v Speaker 1>working or not. We've spend a lot of time thinking

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<v Speaker 1>about this. I mean, we fundamentally believe that we've been

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<v Speaker 1>entrusted with a very large sum of taxpayer money and

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<v Speaker 1>it's a public investment in private industry without recent president

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of its scale and its strategic significance, and

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<v Speaker 1>so we think we kind of owe it to the

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<v Speaker 1>public and a broad range of stakeholders, industry and applicants,

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<v Speaker 1>foreign governments, Congress to explain what we're trying to get

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<v Speaker 1>with their money. And we put out, after a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of analysis, what we call our Vision for Success document,

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<v Speaker 1>and that lays out what we want future to look

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<v Speaker 1>like after we've invested these funds in twenty thirty and beyond.

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<v Speaker 1>And so we say in Leading Edge Logic, we want

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<v Speaker 1>to have at least two large scale Leading Edge Logic

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<v Speaker 1>manufacturing clusters. We talk about the importance of advanced packaging,

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<v Speaker 1>which is absolutely critical both from a supply chain resiliency standpoint,

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<v Speaker 1>but also from a technology leadership standpoint. We talk about memory.

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<v Speaker 1>We talk about current generation to mature. So really across

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<v Speaker 1>these segments, we have tried to put some kind of

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<v Speaker 1>north stars out there that we're gonna tie ourselves to.

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<v Speaker 1>The measure I think about a lot. Joe. Beyond all

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<v Speaker 1>of those specifics is whether we can create self sustaining

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<v Speaker 1>dynamics going forward. So can we be in a position

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<v Speaker 1>where in the coming years, based on the investments we've made,

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<v Speaker 1>based on the scale and the ecosystems we've been able

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<v Speaker 1>to create, do the major chip manufacturers view investing in

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<v Speaker 1>the United States has quartered their business model? And if

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<v Speaker 1>we're able to do that, then I think we will

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<v Speaker 1>be on a really solid trajectory with respect to our

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<v Speaker 1>economic and national security objectives going forward. Do you want

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<v Speaker 1>to add to that at all? Yeah, I would say,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, in ten years when we look back, we

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<v Speaker 1>want to really see this act in this period of

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<v Speaker 1>time as an inflection point. Mike's already said that over

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<v Speaker 1>the last thirty years, we've seen the percentage of manufacturing

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<v Speaker 1>of chips happening in this country go from thirty seven

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<v Speaker 1>percent to ten percent. We need to turn that around,

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<v Speaker 1>and so the success will be to see that number

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<v Speaker 1>instead of continuing to go down, to start to go up,

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<v Speaker 1>and then in the very specific areas that we've already

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<v Speaker 1>laid out, meaning leading edge logic where we now today

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<v Speaker 1>produced zero percent of the world's chips and leading edge.

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<v Speaker 1>We've said very clearly we want to see two self

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<v Speaker 1>sustaining ecosystems at a minimum, and we have no real

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<v Speaker 1>advanced packaging in this country either. We want to see

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<v Speaker 1>quite robust aspects there, and we want to start to

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<v Speaker 1>see cost competitive memory plants being done in this country.

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<v Speaker 1>And we want to see all the piece of the ecosystem,

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<v Speaker 1>including suppliers, come together around those goals. And so that's

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<v Speaker 1>how we're thinking about measuring ourselves. I have a bunch

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<v Speaker 1>of questions about how the government can help build a

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<v Speaker 1>resilient industry that can sort of manage through various economic cycles.

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<v Speaker 1>But before we get to those, maybe just to back

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<v Speaker 1>up for a second, could you talk about how the

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<v Speaker 1>process of dispersing this substantial amount of money. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>you talked about fifty billion, thirty nine billion for manufacturing

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<v Speaker 1>and then eleven billion for R and D. How does

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<v Speaker 1>it actually work in terms of handing it out, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>and applying it. Do people come to you or do

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<v Speaker 1>you identify prospective companies that could benefit from this? How

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<v Speaker 1>exactly does that work the broad aspect of what we've

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<v Speaker 1>laid out in our notice, the funding opportunity is a

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<v Speaker 1>very clear cut and very specific application process, so we

0:13:15.040 --> 0:13:18.880
<v Speaker 1>are expecting companies to come to us. Our portal is

0:13:19.000 --> 0:13:21.320
<v Speaker 1>right now open for what we call statements of intent,

0:13:21.600 --> 0:13:25.040
<v Speaker 1>where anybody that qualifies for this or any of our

0:13:25.120 --> 0:13:28.240
<v Speaker 1>later funding opportunities can put in a statement of the

0:13:28.320 --> 0:13:31.080
<v Speaker 1>kind of project that they're looking for potential funding for,

0:13:31.559 --> 0:13:33.719
<v Speaker 1>and then there is a series of other approaches, a

0:13:33.760 --> 0:13:38.840
<v Speaker 1>pre application and application that accumulates very detailed information that

0:13:38.880 --> 0:13:42.440
<v Speaker 1>we can then evaluate and make decisions based on to

0:13:42.600 --> 0:13:46.040
<v Speaker 1>put money out to the various parts of the ecosystem.

0:13:46.320 --> 0:13:48.440
<v Speaker 1>In addition to that, I would say that we are

0:13:48.559 --> 0:13:51.120
<v Speaker 1>trying to be proactive to date, before we put our

0:13:51.160 --> 0:13:55.560
<v Speaker 1>funding opportunity out, we've talked to dozens of industry players

0:13:55.600 --> 0:13:58.840
<v Speaker 1>at companies. We are trying to identify the parts of

0:13:58.880 --> 0:14:02.720
<v Speaker 1>the ecosystem that our potential barriers or roadblocks so that

0:14:02.760 --> 0:14:07.120
<v Speaker 1>we can encourage specific applicants, but ultimately the applicants have

0:14:07.200 --> 0:14:09.839
<v Speaker 1>to come to us. Yeah, we'll do like a review

0:14:09.840 --> 0:14:13.559
<v Speaker 1>of the application, and we'll decide based on the criteria

0:14:13.640 --> 0:14:17.480
<v Speaker 1>we've laid out, based on our economic and national security objectives.

0:14:17.800 --> 0:14:20.160
<v Speaker 1>This is a project we want to support that will

0:14:20.240 --> 0:14:23.080
<v Speaker 1>lead us to extending what we call a preliminary memorandum

0:14:23.080 --> 0:14:25.600
<v Speaker 1>of terms but basically a term sheet, right, and then

0:14:25.680 --> 0:14:29.720
<v Speaker 1>you're in a commercial relationship with the company where we're

0:14:29.720 --> 0:14:31.840
<v Speaker 1>going to try to align on a set of economic

0:14:31.960 --> 0:14:35.040
<v Speaker 1>terms that allows a project or a set of projects

0:14:35.120 --> 0:14:37.240
<v Speaker 1>to move forward. If we can align, then we'll do

0:14:37.320 --> 0:14:39.960
<v Speaker 1>our due diligence and we'll move towards making that award.

0:14:40.200 --> 0:14:42.680
<v Speaker 1>Let's jump right into some of the criticisms. One of

0:14:42.720 --> 0:14:44.480
<v Speaker 1>the big ones that got a lot of attention a

0:14:44.520 --> 0:14:47.600
<v Speaker 1>few weeks ago was there's message that was put out

0:14:47.680 --> 0:14:50.960
<v Speaker 1>about new construction and the requirement that companies had to

0:14:50.960 --> 0:14:54.000
<v Speaker 1>take childcare of the employees seriously. And I think the

0:14:54.120 --> 0:14:58.320
<v Speaker 1>concern was, or some of the criticism was that Democrats,

0:14:58.360 --> 0:15:00.600
<v Speaker 1>having failed to pass some sort of che wildcare bill

0:15:00.640 --> 0:15:04.280
<v Speaker 1>in the first two years, are trying to attach sort

0:15:04.280 --> 0:15:07.920
<v Speaker 1>of progressive interests onto the bills that they did pass,

0:15:08.240 --> 0:15:10.480
<v Speaker 1>and that this is potentially going to sort of lard

0:15:10.560 --> 0:15:13.120
<v Speaker 1>up the whole process and the companies they if we

0:15:13.160 --> 0:15:16.880
<v Speaker 1>really want them to just move fast, compete, be dynamic,

0:15:17.120 --> 0:15:19.640
<v Speaker 1>then why are we adding all of these extra strings

0:15:19.680 --> 0:15:23.960
<v Speaker 1>and obligations that aren't related to the production of advanced semiconductors.

0:15:24.360 --> 0:15:27.760
<v Speaker 1>Why is that criticism wrong in your view? The no

0:15:27.880 --> 0:15:31.240
<v Speaker 1>FOLLOW lays out sex evaluation criteria. It has economic and

0:15:31.360 --> 0:15:33.560
<v Speaker 1>national security, which we say is the core criteria, the

0:15:33.600 --> 0:15:37.560
<v Speaker 1>primary criteria. We'll receive the most weight, and then we're

0:15:37.560 --> 0:15:42.600
<v Speaker 1>going to evaluate applicants based on commercial viability, financial strength,

0:15:43.080 --> 0:15:47.200
<v Speaker 1>technical feasibility, workforce, and a set of broader impacts. And

0:15:47.240 --> 0:15:50.000
<v Speaker 1>we view workforce is absolutely essential to meeting the economic

0:15:50.080 --> 0:15:52.680
<v Speaker 1>national security objectives. Every time we talk to a company,

0:15:53.000 --> 0:15:55.160
<v Speaker 1>workforce concerns are at the top of their list. We

0:15:55.280 --> 0:15:58.000
<v Speaker 1>know it's a tight labor market. We need workforce to

0:15:58.000 --> 0:16:01.360
<v Speaker 1>build these fabs, we need workforce to operate these fabs.

0:16:01.400 --> 0:16:05.080
<v Speaker 1>It's absolutely essential, and the statute requires us to ask

0:16:05.120 --> 0:16:09.480
<v Speaker 1>applicants for a workforce plan, and as part of that,

0:16:10.080 --> 0:16:12.560
<v Speaker 1>one thing we hear a lot from companies is that

0:16:13.040 --> 0:16:16.920
<v Speaker 1>lack of access to affordable, accessible childcare is a barrier

0:16:17.000 --> 0:16:20.160
<v Speaker 1>to getting the type of broad, diverse workforce we need

0:16:20.320 --> 0:16:24.640
<v Speaker 1>in the system in order to achieve our objectives. So

0:16:24.680 --> 0:16:29.720
<v Speaker 1>we view childcare as really part and parcel of the

0:16:29.800 --> 0:16:32.680
<v Speaker 1>broader set of objectives that we have around workforce, which

0:16:32.680 --> 0:16:36.120
<v Speaker 1>is then, of course essential to meeting the broader objectives

0:16:36.440 --> 0:16:39.320
<v Speaker 1>on economic and national security. So as part of the

0:16:39.320 --> 0:16:43.400
<v Speaker 1>workforce Plan, we have asked companies to provide a plan

0:16:43.560 --> 0:16:46.440
<v Speaker 1>with respect access to childcare that will be part of

0:16:46.440 --> 0:16:52.320
<v Speaker 1>that holistic evaluation process that covers those six evaluation criteria.

0:16:52.360 --> 0:16:54.640
<v Speaker 1>But if I could add one or two things to that,

0:16:54.920 --> 0:16:58.120
<v Speaker 1>I left KKR five years ago with the intention to

0:16:58.440 --> 0:17:01.560
<v Speaker 1>shift my whole second career to something in the public

0:17:01.560 --> 0:17:05.119
<v Speaker 1>and not for profit sector, and my main focus was workforce,

0:17:05.200 --> 0:17:08.119
<v Speaker 1>And so I spent the last four years with a

0:17:08.200 --> 0:17:11.639
<v Speaker 1>maniacal focus on workforce because I believe the workforce system

0:17:11.680 --> 0:17:14.920
<v Speaker 1>in this country is broken, or at least not where

0:17:14.920 --> 0:17:17.439
<v Speaker 1>it needs to be. And when you look at this

0:17:17.520 --> 0:17:21.320
<v Speaker 1>industry where over the last twenty years we've lost third

0:17:21.400 --> 0:17:24.720
<v Speaker 1>of the workers in the semiconductor industry at the same

0:17:24.720 --> 0:17:27.840
<v Speaker 1>time as the industry has tripled globally. And you listen

0:17:27.920 --> 0:17:30.640
<v Speaker 1>to the companies in terms of their one of, if

0:17:30.680 --> 0:17:35.159
<v Speaker 1>not their biggest challenge is attracting workers for their desire

0:17:35.240 --> 0:17:37.720
<v Speaker 1>to build plants in this country. It is very clear

0:17:38.200 --> 0:17:41.120
<v Speaker 1>that workforce is going to be a really critical aspect

0:17:41.160 --> 0:17:43.639
<v Speaker 1>of success in the long term. In fact, when you

0:17:43.680 --> 0:17:47.320
<v Speaker 1>look at someone like TSMC or Samsung over in Asia,

0:17:47.680 --> 0:17:51.040
<v Speaker 1>a core part of their success is the product the

0:17:51.160 --> 0:17:54.239
<v Speaker 1>productivity they're able to get out of their workers, and

0:17:54.280 --> 0:17:56.960
<v Speaker 1>the sort of aligned system that the Koreans and the

0:17:56.960 --> 0:18:01.760
<v Speaker 1>Taiwanese have around workforce, and this aspect is really critical.

0:18:01.800 --> 0:18:05.360
<v Speaker 1>And so childcare is part of sort of expanding that

0:18:05.440 --> 0:18:08.119
<v Speaker 1>fundamental funnel at the front end so that there is

0:18:08.240 --> 0:18:11.840
<v Speaker 1>more capability for different types of workers to enter the

0:18:12.200 --> 0:18:14.560
<v Speaker 1>semiconductor industry. And I did a little bit of googling

0:18:14.600 --> 0:18:17.800
<v Speaker 1>this weekend. I literally went onto TSMC and Samsung and

0:18:17.880 --> 0:18:21.320
<v Speaker 1>Intel and Micron website, all of them. All of them

0:18:21.400 --> 0:18:25.280
<v Speaker 1>offer some kind of childcare. Micron just announced in Idaho

0:18:25.359 --> 0:18:28.440
<v Speaker 1>that they're building a childcare center where their R and

0:18:28.520 --> 0:18:31.080
<v Speaker 1>D fab out there. And so I think this is

0:18:31.119 --> 0:18:33.000
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of a red herring because I think

0:18:33.040 --> 0:18:36.240
<v Speaker 1>it's really core to what all of these companies need

0:18:36.280 --> 0:18:39.840
<v Speaker 1>to do to attract their workers. So I'm glad we're

0:18:39.920 --> 0:18:45.000
<v Speaker 1>talking about the labor force of this industry because this

0:18:45.080 --> 0:18:47.760
<v Speaker 1>is something that's come up in various ways. So aside

0:18:47.840 --> 0:18:52.480
<v Speaker 1>from childcare, what else are you doing in order to

0:18:52.600 --> 0:18:56.160
<v Speaker 1>attract people to this space or what can be done,

0:18:56.240 --> 0:18:58.840
<v Speaker 1>because you know, one of the reasons that people need

0:18:58.960 --> 0:19:03.480
<v Speaker 1>childcare for these type jobs is they are very intense

0:19:03.880 --> 0:19:06.520
<v Speaker 1>and you know, in some parts of Asia, we're talking

0:19:06.560 --> 0:19:10.840
<v Speaker 1>about twelve hour shifts where you have to be incredibly

0:19:10.880 --> 0:19:15.120
<v Speaker 1>focused and diligent and detail oriented. And I know there

0:19:15.160 --> 0:19:18.640
<v Speaker 1>has been some concern about whether or not the US

0:19:18.720 --> 0:19:22.040
<v Speaker 1>will be able to find enough people who want to

0:19:22.119 --> 0:19:25.840
<v Speaker 1>do this type of work. I mean, I think these

0:19:25.920 --> 0:19:29.840
<v Speaker 1>are really high quality jobs for many people in this country,

0:19:29.960 --> 0:19:34.119
<v Speaker 1>and what we need to do is to help individuals

0:19:34.119 --> 0:19:37.439
<v Speaker 1>across this country understand what these jobs involved, understand the

0:19:37.760 --> 0:19:40.919
<v Speaker 1>quality and attractiveness and potential for advancement in the jobs.

0:19:41.359 --> 0:19:43.760
<v Speaker 1>And so that means that we need a system that

0:19:43.920 --> 0:19:47.480
<v Speaker 1>trains and attracts that skill set. There should be no

0:19:47.560 --> 0:19:50.320
<v Speaker 1>reason that our workforce in the US can't be as

0:19:50.400 --> 0:19:54.440
<v Speaker 1>productive as any other workforce around the globe. And so

0:19:54.640 --> 0:19:57.359
<v Speaker 1>the other things in addition to things like childcare, you

0:19:57.359 --> 0:20:02.879
<v Speaker 1>would talk about aligning local whole systems, community colleges for

0:20:03.080 --> 0:20:09.200
<v Speaker 1>your institutions, training organizations with appropriate or wrap around support

0:20:09.240 --> 0:20:14.800
<v Speaker 1>around transportation and technology skills and things of those nature,

0:20:15.119 --> 0:20:18.439
<v Speaker 1>and aligning those systems so that there's clear pathways and

0:20:18.520 --> 0:20:22.800
<v Speaker 1>clear curriculum and clear training paths so that more talent

0:20:23.280 --> 0:20:26.000
<v Speaker 1>can experience the quality of the jobs if there are

0:20:26.000 --> 0:20:28.200
<v Speaker 1>in this industry. The other thing I would just say

0:20:28.400 --> 0:20:31.320
<v Speaker 1>is on the kind of engineering side of things. This

0:20:31.440 --> 0:20:34.880
<v Speaker 1>is just a personal view, but like I think we

0:20:35.280 --> 0:20:40.240
<v Speaker 1>as a country would be really better off if more

0:20:40.800 --> 0:20:44.280
<v Speaker 1>engineers were interested in working on semi conductors, you know,

0:20:44.320 --> 0:20:46.919
<v Speaker 1>as opposed to say software. And I think all of

0:20:47.000 --> 0:20:50.159
<v Speaker 1>us can play a role in trying to shape that narrative.

0:20:50.200 --> 0:20:53.840
<v Speaker 1>I mean semiconductors. It is really like the peak of

0:20:54.080 --> 0:20:57.239
<v Speaker 1>human innovative capacity, and I think, you know, we need

0:20:57.280 --> 0:21:00.480
<v Speaker 1>to make semi conductors cool. Here it does seem like,

0:21:00.720 --> 0:21:03.360
<v Speaker 1>I don't know, and if you could go into software

0:21:03.359 --> 0:21:05.280
<v Speaker 1>and make a lot of money and you know, hang

0:21:05.280 --> 0:21:08.800
<v Speaker 1>out and play ping pong and stuff like that, or yeah,

0:21:08.800 --> 0:21:11.119
<v Speaker 1>you go to semi conductors and it'd be like really

0:21:11.160 --> 0:21:13.560
<v Speaker 1>grueling and not sit on beam bags, and that's like

0:21:13.640 --> 0:21:15.520
<v Speaker 1>kind of tough. Like if you want to like attract

0:21:15.840 --> 0:21:18.640
<v Speaker 1>the most advanced technical talent, I want to just get

0:21:18.680 --> 0:21:21.960
<v Speaker 1>another question, and I'm sorry, I'm going to keep cripping

0:21:22.040 --> 0:21:26.080
<v Speaker 1>questioned ideas from our brutal Bloomberg opinion columnists. The fifty

0:21:26.119 --> 0:21:29.600
<v Speaker 1>two billion dollar plan is racing towards failure. But this

0:21:29.680 --> 0:21:32.080
<v Speaker 1>is something they bring up, and it's something I've heard

0:21:32.080 --> 0:21:35.000
<v Speaker 1>from many. You see a lot, which is that one

0:21:35.119 --> 0:21:40.439
<v Speaker 1>challenge in America is things like local environmental rags that

0:21:40.520 --> 0:21:44.200
<v Speaker 1>make buildings slower than it does in other countries, land

0:21:44.320 --> 0:21:48.960
<v Speaker 1>used questions, environmental reviews, lawsuits, things like that. Just so

0:21:49.040 --> 0:21:52.040
<v Speaker 1>far in the eight months since this bill was passed,

0:21:52.359 --> 0:21:55.679
<v Speaker 1>what are you seeing on the ground specifically in terms

0:21:55.680 --> 0:22:00.719
<v Speaker 1>of the challenges that potentially new fabs have in dealing

0:22:00.720 --> 0:22:04.359
<v Speaker 1>with the local laws that govern the ability to build anything.

0:22:04.520 --> 0:22:06.600
<v Speaker 1>It's a great question, I think. I think it is

0:22:06.640 --> 0:22:09.639
<v Speaker 1>a reality of our American system, the federal system, that

0:22:09.680 --> 0:22:15.440
<v Speaker 1>we have kind of overlapping expectations or requirements on the

0:22:15.560 --> 0:22:19.080
<v Speaker 1>kind of permitting an environmental review side, including both federal

0:22:19.400 --> 0:22:22.199
<v Speaker 1>and state and local. You know, we are building a

0:22:22.200 --> 0:22:26.480
<v Speaker 1>team here that is focused exclusively on those issues, right

0:22:26.640 --> 0:22:28.800
<v Speaker 1>and you know our so our job is not is

0:22:28.800 --> 0:22:31.440
<v Speaker 1>not to admire the problem, but to kind of jump

0:22:31.440 --> 0:22:34.560
<v Speaker 1>in and try to solve it. And you know, I

0:22:34.560 --> 0:22:37.840
<v Speaker 1>think with the right capacity on our side as well

0:22:37.880 --> 0:22:41.080
<v Speaker 1>as the right capacity being brought to bear from our

0:22:41.119 --> 0:22:44.040
<v Speaker 1>from our applicants, it's just a lot of blocking and tackling.

0:22:44.520 --> 0:22:48.280
<v Speaker 1>But you know, we are we are optimistic that permitting

0:22:48.280 --> 0:22:50.240
<v Speaker 1>an environmental review won't won't end up being what we

0:22:50.359 --> 0:22:53.320
<v Speaker 1>call the long pull in the tent. But you know,

0:22:53.359 --> 0:22:55.200
<v Speaker 1>there's no question it's a challenge and we are taking

0:22:55.240 --> 0:23:00.080
<v Speaker 1>it very seriously and investing necessary resources in order to

0:23:00.480 --> 0:23:02.200
<v Speaker 1>make sure that we're able to meet our objections. Sorry,

0:23:02.240 --> 0:23:04.439
<v Speaker 1>can you just talk a little bit more specifically? Are

0:23:04.480 --> 0:23:07.159
<v Speaker 1>there specific types of issues that come up in the

0:23:07.200 --> 0:23:09.439
<v Speaker 1>applicants you've seen and I know we've already seen like

0:23:09.520 --> 0:23:12.919
<v Speaker 1>various investment announcements over the last eight months, But are

0:23:12.920 --> 0:23:17.200
<v Speaker 1>there specific types of things that companies run into when

0:23:17.240 --> 0:23:20.440
<v Speaker 1>it comes to the permitting necessary to sort of fulfill

0:23:20.800 --> 0:23:23.320
<v Speaker 1>fulfill the goals of the program. What you do see

0:23:23.440 --> 0:23:27.480
<v Speaker 1>is that it is very project specific, right, and so

0:23:27.960 --> 0:23:32.000
<v Speaker 1>you might have a set of dynamics in one area,

0:23:32.200 --> 0:23:36.720
<v Speaker 1>right that are very different than another in terms of

0:23:36.920 --> 0:23:42.080
<v Speaker 1>what federal, state, local permits are required, what the NEEPER

0:23:42.080 --> 0:23:45.359
<v Speaker 1>review process will look like. And so what that means

0:23:45.359 --> 0:23:49.120
<v Speaker 1>for us is it ends up being a pretty bespoke interaction, right,

0:23:49.359 --> 0:23:52.639
<v Speaker 1>and so we need substantial resources on our side in

0:23:52.760 --> 0:23:56.439
<v Speaker 1>order to help manage that. So this actually reminds me

0:23:56.480 --> 0:23:58.439
<v Speaker 1>of something I wanted to ask you, which is, you know,

0:23:58.480 --> 0:24:03.080
<v Speaker 1>you spoke about diversity of likeabor force. Is geographic diversity

0:24:03.320 --> 0:24:06.680
<v Speaker 1>a concern for you? Because my impression is that so

0:24:06.720 --> 0:24:09.480
<v Speaker 1>far a lot of the money seems to be heading

0:24:09.560 --> 0:24:14.000
<v Speaker 1>towards Arizona and Texas, which, you know, speaking about regulation

0:24:14.080 --> 0:24:17.440
<v Speaker 1>and perhaps environmental concerns, you know, those are not the

0:24:18.200 --> 0:24:21.800
<v Speaker 1>two states that spring to mind when we're talking about,

0:24:21.840 --> 0:24:24.399
<v Speaker 1>you know, an abundance of water, which is necessary for

0:24:24.920 --> 0:24:27.760
<v Speaker 1>fabs and things like that. So how are you sort

0:24:27.760 --> 0:24:33.160
<v Speaker 1>of dispersing the money from a geographical perspective. We're not,

0:24:33.560 --> 0:24:38.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, driving the geographical diversification. We are trying to

0:24:38.440 --> 0:24:43.520
<v Speaker 1>encourage applicants to find the best locations at work for

0:24:43.560 --> 0:24:47.200
<v Speaker 1>them from and you mentioned water and electricity and also

0:24:47.640 --> 0:24:51.520
<v Speaker 1>local labor force and the quality of educational institutions in

0:24:51.560 --> 0:24:54.880
<v Speaker 1>those areas, and state and local incentives that you might

0:24:54.880 --> 0:24:59.000
<v Speaker 1>be part of any any application. The large leading edge

0:24:59.000 --> 0:25:03.280
<v Speaker 1>fabs that are and mostly about are already focused on

0:25:03.359 --> 0:25:06.639
<v Speaker 1>certain geographic locations. That is where many of them have

0:25:06.760 --> 0:25:10.720
<v Speaker 1>even started to construct on those locations, and we hope

0:25:10.760 --> 0:25:14.800
<v Speaker 1>and expect to see you know, broad ecosystems of suppliers

0:25:14.800 --> 0:25:18.919
<v Speaker 1>and customers and others, you know, build around those ecosystems. However,

0:25:18.960 --> 0:25:22.160
<v Speaker 1>that is not the you know, that is not all

0:25:22.160 --> 0:25:24.879
<v Speaker 1>of our money. We also are trying to support current

0:25:25.000 --> 0:25:28.119
<v Speaker 1>and mature nodes of semiconductors, some of the things that

0:25:28.280 --> 0:25:31.000
<v Speaker 1>really cause some of the slowdowns in the in the

0:25:31.040 --> 0:25:37.719
<v Speaker 1>pandemic auto healthcare, MRI machines, etc. That are not like

0:25:37.760 --> 0:25:41.600
<v Speaker 1>the leading edge of logic, but are mature nodes that

0:25:41.640 --> 0:25:43.680
<v Speaker 1>have been produced for a while but are still really

0:25:43.760 --> 0:25:47.640
<v Speaker 1>necessary to produce lots and lots of different consumer products

0:25:47.640 --> 0:25:51.680
<v Speaker 1>and auto products and communications products. Those will be spread

0:25:51.720 --> 0:25:53.840
<v Speaker 1>throughout the country, I'm sure, and I think there are

0:25:53.880 --> 0:25:57.399
<v Speaker 1>many many states and localities that are buying to build

0:25:57.680 --> 0:26:01.479
<v Speaker 1>effective ecosystems and attract company to their own geographies, and

0:26:01.800 --> 0:26:04.960
<v Speaker 1>my guess is we'll have a relatively broad dispersion of

0:26:04.960 --> 0:26:08.240
<v Speaker 1>that money in that regard. Oh so, this actually leads

0:26:08.920 --> 0:26:11.200
<v Speaker 1>very nicely into another thing that I wanted to ask,

0:26:11.240 --> 0:26:13.960
<v Speaker 1>which is I know you mentioned placing an emphasis on

0:26:14.560 --> 0:26:17.800
<v Speaker 1>leading edge tech in the beginning, but one of the

0:26:17.800 --> 0:26:19.680
<v Speaker 1>things that we learned from the past couple of years

0:26:19.840 --> 0:26:22.440
<v Speaker 1>was that, you know, a lot of the I guess

0:26:22.440 --> 0:26:25.480
<v Speaker 1>pressure points that emerged in various supply chains, and you

0:26:25.560 --> 0:26:28.919
<v Speaker 1>just mentioned the car industry for instance, that had to

0:26:28.920 --> 0:26:33.240
<v Speaker 1>do with pretty basic chips that were no longer coming

0:26:33.280 --> 0:26:37.800
<v Speaker 1>from traditional sources like Asia. So how are you sort

0:26:37.840 --> 0:26:41.920
<v Speaker 1>of balancing those two mandates, the sort of basic bread

0:26:41.960 --> 0:26:45.159
<v Speaker 1>and butter chips for lack of a better expression, versus

0:26:45.680 --> 0:26:49.040
<v Speaker 1>the sort of leading edge high tech stuff that you

0:26:49.119 --> 0:26:52.359
<v Speaker 1>want the US to be a specialist in in the future.

0:26:52.640 --> 0:26:56.920
<v Speaker 1>It's a really good, important question, and it's those types

0:26:56.920 --> 0:26:59.200
<v Speaker 1>of questions, which is why we felt compelled to put

0:26:59.200 --> 0:27:02.360
<v Speaker 1>out that Vision for Success statement that I talked about earlier,

0:27:02.600 --> 0:27:06.840
<v Speaker 1>where we are trying to articulate the broad range of

0:27:06.880 --> 0:27:10.960
<v Speaker 1>objectives that we are kind of realistically trying to achieve

0:27:11.000 --> 0:27:14.440
<v Speaker 1>with what, let's be real is a limited sum of money.

0:27:14.440 --> 0:27:17.280
<v Speaker 1>I mean, thirty nine billion dollars is a huge amount

0:27:17.560 --> 0:27:21.560
<v Speaker 1>in an absolute sense, but relative to the global semiconductor

0:27:21.600 --> 0:27:25.240
<v Speaker 1>investment we expect to see over the next several years,

0:27:25.280 --> 0:27:29.920
<v Speaker 1>it's a small amount, and we are ultimately going to

0:27:30.000 --> 0:27:34.399
<v Speaker 1>take a portfolio level approach right where we're going to

0:27:34.440 --> 0:27:37.080
<v Speaker 1>try to maximize what we can achieve on the leading

0:27:37.240 --> 0:27:40.280
<v Speaker 1>edge side, but also we hope to see really strong

0:27:40.440 --> 0:27:43.960
<v Speaker 1>applicants on the current generation and mature side that are

0:27:44.240 --> 0:27:50.600
<v Speaker 1>meaningfully contributing to supply chain resiliency and meaningfully providing that

0:27:50.680 --> 0:27:57.520
<v Speaker 1>kind of resilience to critical industries like critical infrastructure like auto,

0:27:58.000 --> 0:28:02.080
<v Speaker 1>like the defense industrial base obviously being critically important factor

0:28:02.119 --> 0:28:06.440
<v Speaker 1>there from a national security perspective. And we'll look across

0:28:06.480 --> 0:28:12.359
<v Speaker 1>across these various priorities and overlay the importance of putting

0:28:12.400 --> 0:28:15.080
<v Speaker 1>to tax fare money to work efficiently and getting kind

0:28:15.080 --> 0:28:17.480
<v Speaker 1>of the most bang for our buck and try to

0:28:17.520 --> 0:28:21.280
<v Speaker 1>produce an overall portfolio that is achieving this range of objective.

0:28:22.000 --> 0:28:24.280
<v Speaker 1>So maybe just a few comments they add there, if

0:28:24.320 --> 0:28:27.240
<v Speaker 1>it's all right. The statute itself calls for two billion

0:28:27.280 --> 0:28:30.840
<v Speaker 1>dollars of investment into current and mature nodes. We view

0:28:30.880 --> 0:28:33.320
<v Speaker 1>that very much as a floor. So to Tracy's point,

0:28:33.640 --> 0:28:38.480
<v Speaker 1>these companies and these nodes of semiconductors are really important

0:28:38.520 --> 0:28:41.800
<v Speaker 1>to the fundamental supply chain resiliency of this country. And

0:28:41.880 --> 0:28:43.800
<v Speaker 1>actually if you look at the auto industry. The auto

0:28:43.840 --> 0:28:47.840
<v Speaker 1>industry is really very interesting. The global semiconductor industry grows

0:28:47.880 --> 0:28:51.040
<v Speaker 1>by about six percent years six hundred billion dollars market.

0:28:51.800 --> 0:28:54.680
<v Speaker 1>By twenty thirty, it'll likely be about a trillion dollars

0:28:54.720 --> 0:28:57.200
<v Speaker 1>the auto industry, and the demand for ships within the

0:28:57.200 --> 0:28:59.840
<v Speaker 1>auto industry is growing double that. So the estimate for

0:29:00.080 --> 0:29:02.640
<v Speaker 1>the next eight or ten years is about twelve percent.

0:29:02.920 --> 0:29:07.200
<v Speaker 1>And that's driven by classic you know, evs and autonomous vehicles, etc.

0:29:08.000 --> 0:29:10.680
<v Speaker 1>And so what you're seeing, you're seeing the auto companies

0:29:10.920 --> 0:29:16.080
<v Speaker 1>really clearly with their pocketbooks and with their statements demanding,

0:29:16.320 --> 0:29:20.320
<v Speaker 1>demanding that the supply chain for those chips sits in

0:29:20.360 --> 0:29:25.000
<v Speaker 1>this country. You saw recently GM announced a dedicated capacity

0:29:25.040 --> 0:29:28.160
<v Speaker 1>corridor with global foundaries and a big deal in New York.

0:29:28.240 --> 0:29:31.440
<v Speaker 1>You've seen Poor Warner that has put five hundred million

0:29:31.520 --> 0:29:34.640
<v Speaker 1>dollars into a recent debt offering from wolf Speed in

0:29:34.680 --> 0:29:37.200
<v Speaker 1>an effort to secure six hundred and fifty million dollars

0:29:37.200 --> 0:29:40.200
<v Speaker 1>of annual capacity a year. You've seen similar things being

0:29:40.240 --> 0:29:43.800
<v Speaker 1>done by Renault, by Denio, you know, by different different

0:29:43.840 --> 0:29:46.720
<v Speaker 1>auto companies. And so there's there's real demand and there's

0:29:46.760 --> 0:29:50.360
<v Speaker 1>real action by the customers to try to push and

0:29:50.440 --> 0:29:54.840
<v Speaker 1>force that supply chain diversification and resiliency. Yeah, the important

0:29:54.880 --> 0:29:59.200
<v Speaker 1>the importance of the customer piece. That cannot be overstated here.

0:29:59.440 --> 0:30:02.920
<v Speaker 1>And it's true for this Todd set for current generation

0:30:03.200 --> 0:30:06.120
<v Speaker 1>and mature, but it's also true on on leading edge,

0:30:06.680 --> 0:30:10.680
<v Speaker 1>where the major leading edge customers like an Apple, like

0:30:10.760 --> 0:30:15.240
<v Speaker 1>the big fabulist firms are also now more interested in

0:30:15.360 --> 0:30:18.720
<v Speaker 1>geographic conversification of their supply chain. And that puts us

0:30:18.760 --> 0:30:23.600
<v Speaker 1>in a position where we are allocating our funds in

0:30:23.640 --> 0:30:26.080
<v Speaker 1>a way that is kind of building on tailwinds in

0:30:26.120 --> 0:30:30.080
<v Speaker 1>the industry already, and those dynamics and trying to sustain

0:30:30.120 --> 0:30:32.520
<v Speaker 1>those dynamics are it's gonna be huguely important going forward.

0:30:49.640 --> 0:30:51.680
<v Speaker 1>So I want to ask you a question, and I

0:30:51.760 --> 0:30:54.680
<v Speaker 1>pose this to former NBC chair Brian Deese when we

0:30:54.720 --> 0:30:56.880
<v Speaker 1>had him on right before he left the job. But

0:30:57.400 --> 0:31:00.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, when you think about prior periods of big

0:31:00.080 --> 0:31:03.640
<v Speaker 1>public investment in tech, a key element was this sort

0:31:03.680 --> 0:31:07.240
<v Speaker 1>of buyer of last resort, particularly the Defense department. And

0:31:07.280 --> 0:31:10.040
<v Speaker 1>so you mentioned the importance of the customer and I

0:31:10.120 --> 0:31:12.040
<v Speaker 1>get you know, of course, GM and some of these

0:31:12.040 --> 0:31:16.320
<v Speaker 1>other car companies are thinking about geographic diversity, and it's

0:31:16.400 --> 0:31:20.200
<v Speaker 1>understandable after the last few years. But you know, legacy nodes,

0:31:20.320 --> 0:31:23.160
<v Speaker 1>legacy tech like it does seem like it's a very

0:31:23.200 --> 0:31:26.160
<v Speaker 1>boom and bust cycle industry and there's not always going

0:31:26.200 --> 0:31:31.040
<v Speaker 1>to be a chip shortage, presumably, are you worried about

0:31:31.120 --> 0:31:33.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, okay, right now there is a lot of

0:31:33.080 --> 0:31:35.320
<v Speaker 1>demand and a lot of investment, but that in a

0:31:35.360 --> 0:31:37.800
<v Speaker 1>few years, while you hope to have this sort of

0:31:38.040 --> 0:31:41.360
<v Speaker 1>self sustaining industry, that some of these fabs will not

0:31:41.520 --> 0:31:43.800
<v Speaker 1>have an end buyer because there is no sort of

0:31:43.800 --> 0:31:47.160
<v Speaker 1>like sustained government buyer of last resort. And how do

0:31:47.200 --> 0:31:50.360
<v Speaker 1>you sort of think about that risk of commodification the

0:31:50.440 --> 0:31:53.240
<v Speaker 1>bus cycle a few years down the road, I would

0:31:53.280 --> 0:31:56.479
<v Speaker 1>answer that question yes and no. I mean yes, of

0:31:56.520 --> 0:32:00.000
<v Speaker 1>course we focus a lot and will focus a lot

0:32:00.160 --> 0:32:02.920
<v Speaker 1>at the fundamental analysis of each of these applications on

0:32:02.960 --> 0:32:07.760
<v Speaker 1>the overall supply demand and long term projections for those

0:32:07.760 --> 0:32:10.520
<v Speaker 1>specific products of those specific nodes. And we're also going

0:32:10.560 --> 0:32:13.200
<v Speaker 1>to be very focused and the funding opportunity lays us

0:32:13.200 --> 0:32:18.560
<v Speaker 1>out on specific evidence of custom demand over time. And

0:32:18.600 --> 0:32:21.640
<v Speaker 1>you've seen in this industry many customers who are willing

0:32:21.680 --> 0:32:26.040
<v Speaker 1>to make forward commitments three or forward commitments, etc. So

0:32:26.080 --> 0:32:29.760
<v Speaker 1>we're really looking for that because we're very mindful that

0:32:29.840 --> 0:32:32.320
<v Speaker 1>the supply and demand dynamics and these sort of micro

0:32:32.480 --> 0:32:36.320
<v Speaker 1>parts of this industry are really critical. All that being said,

0:32:36.360 --> 0:32:38.680
<v Speaker 1>and I know we're right now in a situation where

0:32:38.720 --> 0:32:43.040
<v Speaker 1>we've seen a very rapid fashion sort of the bus

0:32:43.120 --> 0:32:46.480
<v Speaker 1>side of your boom and bust as the economy shifts.

0:32:46.920 --> 0:32:49.160
<v Speaker 1>But when you look over long periods of time in

0:32:49.160 --> 0:32:55.040
<v Speaker 1>this industry, there are massive secular trends that are tailwinds

0:32:55.120 --> 0:32:58.160
<v Speaker 1>for this industry. It will always be somewhat cyclical, that's

0:32:58.200 --> 0:33:00.480
<v Speaker 1>the nature of it, but even if you go back decades,

0:33:00.560 --> 0:33:04.080
<v Speaker 1>you can see within those cycles the chart is up

0:33:04.720 --> 0:33:07.880
<v Speaker 1>and to the right. And I think those fundamental drivers

0:33:07.920 --> 0:33:10.800
<v Speaker 1>which I mentioned a couple before, like EV but also

0:33:10.840 --> 0:33:14.280
<v Speaker 1>AI and cloud five G and Internet of Things, like

0:33:14.680 --> 0:33:18.760
<v Speaker 1>all of those aspects are driving fundamental mid to high

0:33:18.760 --> 0:33:22.440
<v Speaker 1>single digit growth in this company content in this industry secularly,

0:33:22.960 --> 0:33:25.320
<v Speaker 1>which are really important. And so our job is to

0:33:25.360 --> 0:33:27.960
<v Speaker 1>take advantage of that to make sure more of that

0:33:28.040 --> 0:33:31.280
<v Speaker 1>capacity gets built in this country, and to make sure

0:33:31.320 --> 0:33:34.920
<v Speaker 1>we're also doing our job by taxpayers and making sure

0:33:35.000 --> 0:33:38.000
<v Speaker 1>that we are really mindful of the way supply and

0:33:38.040 --> 0:33:43.160
<v Speaker 1>demand dynamics evolve over time and agree result of all that,

0:33:43.440 --> 0:33:46.600
<v Speaker 1>and we just add one other dynamic, Joe, which is

0:33:47.360 --> 0:33:51.480
<v Speaker 1>that we will be a part of the capital stack,

0:33:51.880 --> 0:33:55.520
<v Speaker 1>right as the federal government and there's an investment tax credit,

0:33:56.040 --> 0:33:59.080
<v Speaker 1>and you know there's going to be state and local incentives, right,

0:33:59.400 --> 0:34:02.320
<v Speaker 1>but private investment is going to be driving this right

0:34:02.320 --> 0:34:05.520
<v Speaker 1>And so fundamentally, when it comes to the kind of

0:34:06.160 --> 0:34:11.760
<v Speaker 1>demand dynamics of any particular fab or any particular award,

0:34:12.000 --> 0:34:14.120
<v Speaker 1>we're going to do our due diligence, as Todd said,

0:34:14.120 --> 0:34:17.080
<v Speaker 1>we think that's like cord or our job. But we're

0:34:17.080 --> 0:34:21.760
<v Speaker 1>going to be investing in a sense alongside private capital

0:34:22.000 --> 0:34:24.680
<v Speaker 1>who will also have a measure of confidence that, yes,

0:34:24.719 --> 0:34:27.120
<v Speaker 1>there will be ups and downs, as there always are

0:34:27.160 --> 0:34:31.040
<v Speaker 1>in this industry, but that the overall demand profile is

0:34:31.040 --> 0:34:34.960
<v Speaker 1>going to lead to healthy and self sustaining dynamics. On

0:34:35.000 --> 0:34:38.520
<v Speaker 1>the topic of private investment, it does feel like the

0:34:38.560 --> 0:34:42.680
<v Speaker 1>semiconductor industry is in some respects in a weird place

0:34:42.800 --> 0:34:45.240
<v Speaker 1>right now, because there is a lot of concern about

0:34:45.440 --> 0:34:50.560
<v Speaker 1>demand potentially slowing down, about a potential glut of supply,

0:34:50.719 --> 0:34:55.200
<v Speaker 1>and yet there is also simultaneously this recognition that long term,

0:34:55.640 --> 0:34:58.319
<v Speaker 1>it feels like people are just going to want more

0:34:58.360 --> 0:35:02.479
<v Speaker 1>and more chips. So I'm curious what you're hearing from

0:35:02.560 --> 0:35:07.480
<v Speaker 1>applicants right now in terms of their appetite for investment.

0:35:07.680 --> 0:35:10.240
<v Speaker 1>What are they telling you and what are their major

0:35:10.320 --> 0:35:14.480
<v Speaker 1>concerns at this point in time. But we've heard from

0:35:14.680 --> 0:35:18.680
<v Speaker 1>companies is broadly what we've already talked about, which is

0:35:18.760 --> 0:35:22.480
<v Speaker 1>long term, this industry is very clearly driven by some

0:35:22.560 --> 0:35:25.520
<v Speaker 1>really strong secular drivers. There is no reason in the

0:35:25.600 --> 0:35:29.920
<v Speaker 1>current sort of economic shift to doubt that, and so

0:35:30.440 --> 0:35:35.320
<v Speaker 1>most companies are looking forward with their capital investment and saying,

0:35:35.360 --> 0:35:38.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, over a X year, five, ten year period,

0:35:39.120 --> 0:35:42.160
<v Speaker 1>we still expect to spend the same amount of money

0:35:42.200 --> 0:35:45.640
<v Speaker 1>that we anticipated before. That might take different shapes. We

0:35:45.760 --> 0:35:48.200
<v Speaker 1>might invest at all less next year, particularly in certain

0:35:48.239 --> 0:35:50.800
<v Speaker 1>parts of the industry that are much more cyclical, like memory,

0:35:51.320 --> 0:35:54.879
<v Speaker 1>But broadly speaking, they don't see any changes to their

0:35:54.920 --> 0:35:58.560
<v Speaker 1>overall capital investment over time. I want to ask you

0:35:58.560 --> 0:36:01.680
<v Speaker 1>a question about stock by back. Very controversial in almost

0:36:01.719 --> 0:36:05.319
<v Speaker 1>any area, and people are always fighting about them. And

0:36:05.440 --> 0:36:07.759
<v Speaker 1>the reason I'm curious about them is I've seen some

0:36:07.920 --> 0:36:11.160
<v Speaker 1>comments from the White House or from the administration about

0:36:11.560 --> 0:36:14.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, making sure the money doesn't go towards stock buybacks.

0:36:14.160 --> 0:36:16.120
<v Speaker 1>And I kind of get that on some level, But

0:36:16.320 --> 0:36:18.200
<v Speaker 1>on the other hand, like, if there's going to be

0:36:18.200 --> 0:36:22.600
<v Speaker 1>a self sustaining, sort of self propagating industry in the

0:36:22.680 --> 0:36:26.800
<v Speaker 1>United States that this initial investment of fifty two billion

0:36:26.800 --> 0:36:29.080
<v Speaker 1>dollars is going to sustain, then presumably it's going to

0:36:29.160 --> 0:36:32.200
<v Speaker 1>be because shareholders are going to want to see returns,

0:36:32.200 --> 0:36:34.920
<v Speaker 1>and obviously all these companies are for profit companies, and

0:36:34.960 --> 0:36:38.200
<v Speaker 1>shareholders are going to want to see overtime stock go up.

0:36:38.520 --> 0:36:40.600
<v Speaker 1>And so I'm sort of curious, like how you think

0:36:40.640 --> 0:36:44.680
<v Speaker 1>maybe buybacks specifically or more broadly about the sort of tension.

0:36:44.719 --> 0:36:46.680
<v Speaker 1>It's like, Okay, you don't want like this money to

0:36:46.760 --> 0:36:49.600
<v Speaker 1>just go straight in the hands of shareholders. But on

0:36:49.640 --> 0:36:51.800
<v Speaker 1>the other hand, there's not going to be an industry

0:36:51.840 --> 0:36:54.160
<v Speaker 1>that booms in the United States unless people see that

0:36:54.160 --> 0:36:56.440
<v Speaker 1>they're making a lot of money at it, because ultimately

0:36:56.440 --> 0:36:59.640
<v Speaker 1>that's why people would invest in anything. And so I'm curious,

0:36:59.680 --> 0:37:03.120
<v Speaker 1>like how you think about like the shareholder return element

0:37:03.560 --> 0:37:06.759
<v Speaker 1>of making sure that the CHIPSAC does its job to

0:37:07.080 --> 0:37:10.719
<v Speaker 1>level set to start we want this industry to be

0:37:10.800 --> 0:37:14.239
<v Speaker 1>hugely successful, right. We want the economic returns from these

0:37:14.680 --> 0:37:20.280
<v Speaker 1>investments to propel additional investment going forward. That is hugely

0:37:20.320 --> 0:37:24.200
<v Speaker 1>critical to our long term success. So I fully agree

0:37:24.200 --> 0:37:27.279
<v Speaker 1>with you there. There's a provision in the law that

0:37:27.360 --> 0:37:30.160
<v Speaker 1>says the money we give companies can't be used for

0:37:30.160 --> 0:37:33.280
<v Speaker 1>stock buybacks. That's kind of self evident because they're supposed

0:37:33.280 --> 0:37:36.200
<v Speaker 1>to use the money to build fabs, so there's not

0:37:36.320 --> 0:37:40.360
<v Speaker 1>much of a trade off there. We have also said

0:37:40.600 --> 0:37:46.160
<v Speaker 1>that we will favor applications that want to make long

0:37:46.320 --> 0:37:52.480
<v Speaker 1>term investments in R and D and manufacturing capasciting production

0:37:52.800 --> 0:37:55.720
<v Speaker 1>here in the United States, which we believe is absolutely

0:37:55.719 --> 0:38:01.839
<v Speaker 1>critical to meeting those economic and national security objectives as well. Yeah,

0:38:01.840 --> 0:38:05.319
<v Speaker 1>I think that's an important point when you there is

0:38:05.400 --> 0:38:11.640
<v Speaker 1>no restriction on stock buybacks in our funding opportunity. The

0:38:11.760 --> 0:38:15.960
<v Speaker 1>only comment about stock buybacks is in relationship to what

0:38:16.040 --> 0:38:19.160
<v Speaker 1>Mike just said, and basically we're saying that what we

0:38:19.200 --> 0:38:22.400
<v Speaker 1>really want to see is long term companies commit to

0:38:22.480 --> 0:38:26.400
<v Speaker 1>continue to invest in this in this country. Both capital

0:38:26.880 --> 0:38:32.719
<v Speaker 1>are indeed dollars for people, for facilities, for process improvements, etc.

0:38:33.760 --> 0:38:37.879
<v Speaker 1>And one way to show that is to demonstrate your

0:38:37.880 --> 0:38:42.520
<v Speaker 1>commitment to those dollars, but also to limit or otherwise

0:38:42.800 --> 0:38:47.160
<v Speaker 1>you restrict the your buybacks or dividend programs to show

0:38:47.200 --> 0:38:51.520
<v Speaker 1>that you're doing that. That is not a restriction or requirement.

0:38:51.719 --> 0:38:54.759
<v Speaker 1>It is just an example of how to demonstrate that

0:38:54.840 --> 0:38:57.880
<v Speaker 1>over time, your plan is to continue to invest in

0:38:57.920 --> 0:39:01.359
<v Speaker 1>this country and in this industry. So this is a

0:39:01.400 --> 0:39:05.200
<v Speaker 1>related question. But if the goal of this program is

0:39:05.239 --> 0:39:10.839
<v Speaker 1>to build up a more resilient domestic semiconductor industry so

0:39:10.880 --> 0:39:14.640
<v Speaker 1>that it creates lots of good jobs and also ensures

0:39:14.640 --> 0:39:18.600
<v Speaker 1>that the US isn't vulnerable to supply chain disruptions in

0:39:18.640 --> 0:39:22.120
<v Speaker 1>the future, does that mean that companies who take this

0:39:22.200 --> 0:39:25.120
<v Speaker 1>money and by the way, I stole this question off

0:39:25.160 --> 0:39:28.200
<v Speaker 1>of our discord that we're running the all thoughts discord,

0:39:28.239 --> 0:39:30.560
<v Speaker 1>so people who are interested should definitely check that out.

0:39:30.920 --> 0:39:34.880
<v Speaker 1>But does that mean that companies who take this money,

0:39:34.960 --> 0:39:39.280
<v Speaker 1>these subsidies to build fabs, do they have specific obligations

0:39:39.360 --> 0:39:44.960
<v Speaker 1>to prioritize US customers. Well, I think there are a

0:39:45.000 --> 0:39:49.000
<v Speaker 1>few elements to that. Number One, some of that pressure,

0:39:49.000 --> 0:39:52.919
<v Speaker 1>as we indicated earlier, is coming from the other direction, right,

0:39:53.320 --> 0:39:56.720
<v Speaker 1>which is to say it's US customers who are saying

0:39:57.280 --> 0:40:03.160
<v Speaker 1>we want additional supply chain resili and driving interests in

0:40:03.360 --> 0:40:07.640
<v Speaker 1>geographic diversification and then specifically investment in the United States,

0:40:07.920 --> 0:40:11.480
<v Speaker 1>and in particular the fact that we have such a

0:40:12.160 --> 0:40:18.239
<v Speaker 1>thriving fabless semiconductor company ecosystem here. So these are these

0:40:18.280 --> 0:40:23.120
<v Speaker 1>are the semiconductor companies who don't manufacture the chips, but

0:40:23.160 --> 0:40:26.480
<v Speaker 1>they then design them and work with the foundry to

0:40:26.520 --> 0:40:28.799
<v Speaker 1>produce them. The fact that we have so many of

0:40:28.840 --> 0:40:31.640
<v Speaker 1>those leaders here means that there's all there are a

0:40:31.640 --> 0:40:35.319
<v Speaker 1>lot of synergies to be gained by investing in the

0:40:35.360 --> 0:40:39.359
<v Speaker 1>United States, doing joint research and development and that kind

0:40:39.400 --> 0:40:41.120
<v Speaker 1>of thing. So there's a lot of there's a push

0:40:41.120 --> 0:40:43.560
<v Speaker 1>coming from that direction, which again we find to be

0:40:43.760 --> 0:40:47.839
<v Speaker 1>hugely constructive. And then in terms of serving kind of

0:40:47.840 --> 0:40:52.200
<v Speaker 1>our economic and national security interests, I think you know,

0:40:52.239 --> 0:40:55.240
<v Speaker 1>one thing we have said in the NOFO is that

0:40:55.640 --> 0:41:00.560
<v Speaker 1>we will really encourage companies to submit projects that are

0:41:00.600 --> 0:41:04.960
<v Speaker 1>going to support our defense industrial base, right and you know,

0:41:05.120 --> 0:41:08.480
<v Speaker 1>producing chips that will end up supporting in a very

0:41:08.520 --> 0:41:12.640
<v Speaker 1>direct way our national security is obviously a hugely important

0:41:13.000 --> 0:41:15.960
<v Speaker 1>part of this program and something we're going to be

0:41:16.080 --> 0:41:18.759
<v Speaker 1>looking to do. Looking to do at scale. I have

0:41:18.840 --> 0:41:21.799
<v Speaker 1>one last quick question, but on that point, and I

0:41:21.880 --> 0:41:24.960
<v Speaker 1>hear this conversation more than the context of the Inflation

0:41:25.000 --> 0:41:28.120
<v Speaker 1>Reduction Act, what have you encountered so far about some

0:41:28.200 --> 0:41:31.560
<v Speaker 1>of the reaction of our trading partners, particularly Europe. You know,

0:41:31.800 --> 0:41:34.799
<v Speaker 1>chips is a really global industry, and we know like

0:41:35.160 --> 0:41:39.200
<v Speaker 1>how any given you know, wafer or product like crosses

0:41:39.200 --> 0:41:41.920
<v Speaker 1>a million, you know, thirty boarders before the time it

0:41:42.200 --> 0:41:45.960
<v Speaker 1>enters a US consumers hands. Have we seen some of

0:41:45.960 --> 0:41:48.839
<v Speaker 1>our trading partners like want to invest in their own

0:41:49.040 --> 0:41:52.200
<v Speaker 1>Like what is the reaction elsewhere? And do any countries

0:41:52.239 --> 0:41:54.719
<v Speaker 1>feel defensive about Okay, well, if the US is doing this,

0:41:55.000 --> 0:41:56.839
<v Speaker 1>trying to bring industry here, do we have to do

0:41:56.880 --> 0:41:58.400
<v Speaker 1>this And will there be sort of this sort of

0:41:58.440 --> 0:42:03.080
<v Speaker 1>like deglobalization or reversal or every country trying to recreate

0:42:03.120 --> 0:42:05.680
<v Speaker 1>what you're doing for themselves. Yeah, it's really it's a

0:42:05.719 --> 0:42:08.640
<v Speaker 1>really important question. I'm glad you raised it. One way

0:42:08.640 --> 0:42:11.319
<v Speaker 1>to think of our goal. What we're trying to do

0:42:11.440 --> 0:42:16.319
<v Speaker 1>here is contribute to global supply chain resilience, right and

0:42:16.440 --> 0:42:20.600
<v Speaker 1>working with partners and allies to develop a more resilient

0:42:20.640 --> 0:42:25.160
<v Speaker 1>global supply chain as you said, the semiconductor supply chain

0:42:25.640 --> 0:42:30.040
<v Speaker 1>is already massive in scale, very complicated, and very global.

0:42:30.160 --> 0:42:32.400
<v Speaker 1>That's not going to change, nor should it. Right. There

0:42:32.400 --> 0:42:36.600
<v Speaker 1>are tremendous efficiencies that are gained as a result of that,

0:42:36.840 --> 0:42:39.480
<v Speaker 1>and so so in no way is our goal to

0:42:39.600 --> 0:42:43.480
<v Speaker 1>build a self sufficient semiconductor ecosystem. And if we have

0:42:43.480 --> 0:42:47.520
<v Speaker 1>allies and partners that are also investing in various parts

0:42:47.560 --> 0:42:50.279
<v Speaker 1>of the supply chain and increasing capacity, I think that's

0:42:50.440 --> 0:42:54.680
<v Speaker 1>that's good for all of us. Right. The important thing

0:42:55.520 --> 0:43:00.319
<v Speaker 1>is that we don't let kind of unconstructive competitive dynamics

0:43:00.360 --> 0:43:03.160
<v Speaker 1>take hold, right, Like we don't want a race to

0:43:03.200 --> 0:43:07.040
<v Speaker 1>the bottom. We want to have healthy dialogue and to

0:43:07.040 --> 0:43:11.120
<v Speaker 1>the extent we can a coordinated global approach with partners

0:43:11.440 --> 0:43:16.080
<v Speaker 1>and allies. One of the I mentioned at the outset

0:43:16.160 --> 0:43:20.360
<v Speaker 1>our Office of Strategy, Technology and Policy under Morgan Dwyer.

0:43:20.880 --> 0:43:24.200
<v Speaker 1>One of the offices within that office for the Chips

0:43:24.239 --> 0:43:27.960
<v Speaker 1>program is an Office of International Engagement. Right, so we

0:43:28.000 --> 0:43:32.560
<v Speaker 1>actually just had a team who was out in Korea, Taiwan,

0:43:32.920 --> 0:43:38.080
<v Speaker 1>Japan having these meetings directly with our international counterparts sector.

0:43:38.239 --> 0:43:43.080
<v Speaker 1>Ramondo has been raising these issues directly with foreign leaders.

0:43:43.239 --> 0:43:46.200
<v Speaker 1>It's a really important part of the agenda for our

0:43:46.280 --> 0:43:49.520
<v Speaker 1>Trade and Technology Council. We a europe so we're really

0:43:49.560 --> 0:43:53.080
<v Speaker 1>really active in this international dialogue. I think you're right

0:43:53.120 --> 0:43:56.239
<v Speaker 1>that there's a risk of these kind of unconstructive dynamics,

0:43:56.360 --> 0:44:00.239
<v Speaker 1>but there's also a huge opportunity for us to work

0:44:00.280 --> 0:44:03.640
<v Speaker 1>with partners and allies in ways that are usually beneficial.

0:44:04.000 --> 0:44:06.560
<v Speaker 1>Mike Schmidt and Todd Fisher, thank you so much. There's

0:44:06.560 --> 0:44:08.840
<v Speaker 1>a million more things we could talk about, but let's

0:44:08.840 --> 0:44:10.759
<v Speaker 1>do them in a year from now. Come back on

0:44:10.800 --> 0:44:14.160
<v Speaker 1>the show. We'll do a check in. Sounds great, let's know,

0:44:14.200 --> 0:44:16.440
<v Speaker 1>will you that much? Thank you? That was great. I

0:44:16.480 --> 0:44:31.000
<v Speaker 1>really appreciate your time. Yeah, thank you. That was really interesting. Tracy.

0:44:31.080 --> 0:44:33.719
<v Speaker 1>I gotta say, like, this seems like it's gonna be

0:44:33.760 --> 0:44:38.880
<v Speaker 1>really hard, seriously, like really hard. It feels like there

0:44:38.880 --> 0:44:44.359
<v Speaker 1>are a lot of different considerations, like not necessarily even stakeholders,

0:44:44.360 --> 0:44:47.360
<v Speaker 1>like official stakeholders, but a lot of different things you

0:44:47.480 --> 0:44:51.480
<v Speaker 1>have to be considerate. Yeah. Of what I will say though, is,

0:44:51.600 --> 0:44:54.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, I read that editorial and some of the

0:44:54.440 --> 0:44:58.440
<v Speaker 1>criticisms that were in it, and I think one of

0:44:58.480 --> 0:45:01.359
<v Speaker 1>the lines in it was that checks was never going

0:45:01.400 --> 0:45:05.239
<v Speaker 1>to be enough. But Frankly, I'm always kind of, you know,

0:45:05.680 --> 0:45:09.239
<v Speaker 1>surprised when when we do manage to write, Yeah, of

0:45:09.520 --> 0:45:13.560
<v Speaker 1>this size and I think, you know, fifty billion in

0:45:13.680 --> 0:45:17.920
<v Speaker 1>total going into this area clearly a sizeable amount, and

0:45:18.000 --> 0:45:21.680
<v Speaker 1>clearly there are some big questions over exactly how it's

0:45:21.719 --> 0:45:25.200
<v Speaker 1>being dispersed, but that is still a huge sum. Yeah,

0:45:25.239 --> 0:45:29.759
<v Speaker 1>you know. Like so my takeaway is I thought that

0:45:29.920 --> 0:45:32.120
<v Speaker 1>the two of them, Mike and Tad, liked they have

0:45:32.320 --> 0:45:35.880
<v Speaker 1>clearly really thought about these things, including say, like, you know,

0:45:35.920 --> 0:45:39.720
<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of flak about the childcare component, and

0:45:39.880 --> 0:45:42.080
<v Speaker 1>I kind of suspect that's not going to be ultimately,

0:45:42.200 --> 0:45:44.080
<v Speaker 1>like that's not going to make or break this problem.

0:45:44.320 --> 0:45:45.799
<v Speaker 1>Like that's like a pretty minor thing. And I think

0:45:45.840 --> 0:45:47.879
<v Speaker 1>they've like all of these things that people bring up,

0:45:48.480 --> 0:45:51.600
<v Speaker 1>local permitting, etc. Like they've clearly thought about them. On

0:45:51.640 --> 0:45:54.960
<v Speaker 1>the other hand, like that's really tough to overcome, and

0:45:55.239 --> 0:45:56.960
<v Speaker 1>these are going to be like real challenges. So while

0:45:57.000 --> 0:46:00.560
<v Speaker 1>I my takeaway is that all of these concerns that

0:46:00.560 --> 0:46:03.200
<v Speaker 1>people have are like Mike and Todd and others within

0:46:03.200 --> 0:46:06.759
<v Speaker 1>the administration and the Commerce are like taking them very seriously.

0:46:07.040 --> 0:46:10.600
<v Speaker 1>The question is whether like taking them very seriously, is

0:46:10.760 --> 0:46:13.640
<v Speaker 1>enough to sort of overcome some of this inertia that

0:46:13.680 --> 0:46:17.480
<v Speaker 1>we've seen from the long term decline of domestic manufacturing. Yeah,

0:46:17.560 --> 0:46:20.880
<v Speaker 1>that to me is the bigger issue. And I'm glad

0:46:20.880 --> 0:46:23.719
<v Speaker 1>you asked that question about sort of managing through the

0:46:23.760 --> 0:46:27.320
<v Speaker 1>cycles and the whole buyer of last resort idea, because

0:46:27.360 --> 0:46:29.960
<v Speaker 1>because that's that's the point at which, you know, if

0:46:30.000 --> 0:46:34.560
<v Speaker 1>you keep flinging money at an industry that can't sort

0:46:34.600 --> 0:46:39.719
<v Speaker 1>of stand on its own or has significant pro cyclicality issues, like,

0:46:39.840 --> 0:46:42.840
<v Speaker 1>that's when it becomes really problematic, and we're not going

0:46:42.920 --> 0:46:45.960
<v Speaker 1>to have like supply chain problems in cars forever. Right.

0:46:46.160 --> 0:46:48.640
<v Speaker 1>I take the point about how there are serious tailwins,

0:46:48.719 --> 0:46:51.879
<v Speaker 1>particularly with related evs and so forth, But still at

0:46:51.920 --> 0:46:53.719
<v Speaker 1>some point you would expect some sort of like I

0:46:53.719 --> 0:46:56.000
<v Speaker 1>don't know, maybe like maybe maybe I'm wrong, Maybe the

0:46:56.040 --> 0:46:58.960
<v Speaker 1>tailwins from like auto is just so great because of

0:46:59.000 --> 0:47:01.600
<v Speaker 1>the great transition that that isn't a concern. And again,

0:47:01.920 --> 0:47:03.799
<v Speaker 1>you know, they point out it's not like they're not

0:47:03.840 --> 0:47:07.200
<v Speaker 1>taking these things into account when they're looking at an applicant,

0:47:07.680 --> 0:47:10.240
<v Speaker 1>But it does seem like still this very big difference

0:47:10.239 --> 0:47:14.320
<v Speaker 1>between sort of past periods of successful domestic US industrial

0:47:14.360 --> 0:47:17.120
<v Speaker 1>policy verse Now, like, how much is that going to

0:47:17.200 --> 0:47:20.960
<v Speaker 1>sustain the industry going for years for years? Yeah, you're

0:47:21.040 --> 0:47:25.080
<v Speaker 1>kind of thinking fundamental questions about how capitalism and private

0:47:25.120 --> 0:47:28.600
<v Speaker 1>investment is supposed to work, plus the future of technology.

0:47:28.600 --> 0:47:31.000
<v Speaker 1>I think Mike and I think Mike and Todd can figure.

0:47:31.120 --> 0:47:34.640
<v Speaker 1>You think they can fundamental issues of capital All right,

0:47:34.719 --> 0:47:36.480
<v Speaker 1>on that happy note, shall we leave it there? Let's

0:47:36.520 --> 0:47:39.239
<v Speaker 1>leave it there? Okay, this has been another episode of

0:47:39.280 --> 0:47:42.040
<v Speaker 1>the All Thoughts podcast. I'm Tracy Alloway. You can follow

0:47:42.080 --> 0:47:45.080
<v Speaker 1>me on Twitter at Tracy Alloway, and I'm Joe wisent'al.

0:47:45.160 --> 0:47:48.240
<v Speaker 1>You can follow me on Twitter at the Stalwart, follow

0:47:48.280 --> 0:47:52.680
<v Speaker 1>our producers Carmen Rodriguez at Carmen Armin and Dash Bennett

0:47:52.719 --> 0:47:55.839
<v Speaker 1>at dashbot. And check out all of our podcasts here

0:47:55.840 --> 0:47:58.960
<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg under the handle at podcasts, and for more

0:47:59.040 --> 0:48:02.720
<v Speaker 1>Oblouts ten go to Bloomberg dot com slash odd lots,

0:48:03.040 --> 0:48:05.640
<v Speaker 1>where we have transcripts, a blog, and a newsletter. And

0:48:05.760 --> 0:48:08.080
<v Speaker 1>for even more check out the discord. We have this

0:48:08.200 --> 0:48:10.920
<v Speaker 1>community twenty four seven. Hang out with other listeners. Go

0:48:11.040 --> 0:48:14.239
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0:48:14.360 --> 0:48:18.200
<v Speaker 1>chat about all these topics including you send me, conductor, energy, water,

0:48:18.480 --> 0:48:21.680
<v Speaker 1>real estate, and more. A lot of fun times in there.

0:48:22.160 --> 0:48:22.920
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening.