1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:07,360 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:08,520 --> 00:00:12,440 Speaker 2: The Stock Movers Report, your roundup of companies making moves 3 00:00:12,480 --> 00:00:15,880 Speaker 2: in the stock market. Harnessing the power of Bloomberg Data. 4 00:00:16,600 --> 00:00:18,799 Speaker 1: Let's take a look now at some stocks making news 5 00:00:18,840 --> 00:00:21,239 Speaker 1: in the week ahead. I'm Nathan Hager, joined by Bloomberg 6 00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:25,439 Speaker 1: Markets Live strategists Tatiana Daria. I guess we could say 7 00:00:25,440 --> 00:00:28,200 Speaker 1: this is the unofficial start of earning season, before the 8 00:00:28,240 --> 00:00:31,160 Speaker 1: banks get things going right. We've got a few companies 9 00:00:31,200 --> 00:00:36,479 Speaker 1: opening things up, including Constellation Brands on Wednesday. It's been 10 00:00:36,479 --> 00:00:39,040 Speaker 1: a tough go for the booze business, hasn't it. 11 00:00:39,520 --> 00:00:43,839 Speaker 3: Yes, exactly. Expectations aren't very high here for the company, 12 00:00:43,880 --> 00:00:46,920 Speaker 3: but some analysts on Wall Street are starting to warm 13 00:00:47,040 --> 00:00:50,360 Speaker 3: up to the stock on valuation concerns, saying that a 14 00:00:50,360 --> 00:00:52,920 Speaker 3: lot of the bad news is already in the stock 15 00:00:53,040 --> 00:00:56,880 Speaker 3: so Bloomberg Intelligence forecast dot Net revenue will fall about 16 00:00:56,920 --> 00:01:01,840 Speaker 3: fifteen percent do mainly to their wine in spirits portfolio devestments, 17 00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:07,040 Speaker 3: but they're also anticipating some sluggishness in the beer segment, 18 00:01:07,120 --> 00:01:11,240 Speaker 3: which is obviously their main driver or crown a jewel 19 00:01:11,319 --> 00:01:16,040 Speaker 3: there and especially among Hispanic consumers. BI notes, but some 20 00:01:16,120 --> 00:01:18,880 Speaker 3: analysts are saying that most of that is already in 21 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:21,960 Speaker 3: the price. Perhaps, you know, the beer segment has room 22 00:01:22,040 --> 00:01:26,759 Speaker 3: to surprise to the upside. We've seen JP Morgan lifting 23 00:01:26,800 --> 00:01:30,720 Speaker 3: their price target, We've seen Evercore adding the stock to 24 00:01:30,760 --> 00:01:35,000 Speaker 3: the tactical outperform list, and it also got an upgrade 25 00:01:35,000 --> 00:01:39,839 Speaker 3: from City earlier this month, citing a valuation that's below 26 00:01:40,040 --> 00:01:43,119 Speaker 3: historical levels. And if you look at the forward price 27 00:01:43,160 --> 00:01:47,960 Speaker 3: to earnings ratio, it has indeed fallen drastically. It's hovering 28 00:01:48,000 --> 00:01:52,040 Speaker 3: around the lowest since twenty twelve now as shares have 29 00:01:52,200 --> 00:01:53,880 Speaker 3: come down sharply over the past year. 30 00:01:54,240 --> 00:01:58,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, valuation concern certainly speaks to that. There Before we 31 00:01:58,880 --> 00:02:01,280 Speaker 1: hear from Constellation, and we're going to get results as 32 00:02:01,320 --> 00:02:05,040 Speaker 1: well from Levi Strauss on Tuesday. Of course, we got 33 00:02:05,080 --> 00:02:08,680 Speaker 1: that big disappointment from Nike this past week. Do you 34 00:02:08,720 --> 00:02:12,560 Speaker 1: put Levi in the same category as Nike in terms 35 00:02:12,600 --> 00:02:13,640 Speaker 1: of what to expect there? 36 00:02:14,040 --> 00:02:16,800 Speaker 3: I think one has to, right because they both speak 37 00:02:16,960 --> 00:02:21,360 Speaker 3: to the consumer. They're both sort of discretionary brands that 38 00:02:21,440 --> 00:02:24,519 Speaker 3: you turn to for sort of luxury and comfort, not 39 00:02:24,600 --> 00:02:30,200 Speaker 3: necessarily because you really need to, And expectations are pretty 40 00:02:30,360 --> 00:02:34,640 Speaker 3: I would say modestly positive. UBS, for example, expects a 41 00:02:34,840 --> 00:02:38,760 Speaker 3: fourth quarter sales and EPs beat, though they say the 42 00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:42,880 Speaker 3: company may remain cautious on a full year outlook amid 43 00:02:43,080 --> 00:02:46,720 Speaker 3: the macro as. Certainly, just like we've seen with Nike, 44 00:02:47,160 --> 00:02:49,960 Speaker 3: they know that the US direct to consumer sales likely 45 00:02:50,040 --> 00:02:52,840 Speaker 3: rose about two percent year over year, and that web 46 00:02:52,880 --> 00:02:56,200 Speaker 3: traffic likely increased even more in the US according to 47 00:02:56,280 --> 00:03:01,079 Speaker 3: their industry data that they track. Nonetheless, the company may 48 00:03:01,160 --> 00:03:04,880 Speaker 3: choose to just be cautious and conservative and not raise 49 00:03:04,919 --> 00:03:09,359 Speaker 3: their guidance despite the likely beat. And that's because of 50 00:03:09,400 --> 00:03:12,360 Speaker 3: the reasons that we have seen with the Nike report, 51 00:03:12,480 --> 00:03:16,640 Speaker 3: with potential fresh setbacks in Europe and the Middle East, 52 00:03:17,160 --> 00:03:21,240 Speaker 3: regions that are obviously heavily exposed to the energy costs 53 00:03:21,760 --> 00:03:24,399 Speaker 3: and just the disruptions coming from the year round war. 54 00:03:24,720 --> 00:03:27,520 Speaker 1: Now, were you expecting any further commentary from Levi around 55 00:03:27,600 --> 00:03:30,640 Speaker 1: how they're dealing with trade uncertainty as well after that 56 00:03:31,000 --> 00:03:35,040 Speaker 1: Supreme Court tariff decision and some of the uncertainty around 57 00:03:35,480 --> 00:03:37,960 Speaker 1: how the President might try to rebuild that terrafall and 58 00:03:38,000 --> 00:03:39,400 Speaker 1: how that could affect its business. 59 00:03:40,240 --> 00:03:44,400 Speaker 3: Yes, certainly, you know, tariffs is sort of fallen off 60 00:03:44,440 --> 00:03:48,600 Speaker 3: the radar, but when you look at company earnings, especially 61 00:03:48,640 --> 00:03:52,520 Speaker 3: in the consumer space, it is still a big focus. 62 00:03:52,960 --> 00:03:56,240 Speaker 3: So it will be really interesting to see what the 63 00:03:56,280 --> 00:03:57,920 Speaker 3: company has to say on that matter. 64 00:03:58,200 --> 00:04:02,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, and of course earnings take off with Delta Airlines 65 00:04:02,720 --> 00:04:05,360 Speaker 1: on Wednesday. What kind of a stock move could we 66 00:04:05,480 --> 00:04:07,760 Speaker 1: see following those results? Ta Tiana. 67 00:04:07,880 --> 00:04:11,960 Speaker 3: Well, it's interesting with Delta air is that they kind 68 00:04:11,960 --> 00:04:15,080 Speaker 3: of have been the exception among the airlines. It is 69 00:04:15,120 --> 00:04:19,440 Speaker 3: the only airline stock bucking the weakness among major peers 70 00:04:19,440 --> 00:04:22,520 Speaker 3: since the war started. If you look at an index 71 00:04:23,080 --> 00:04:26,520 Speaker 3: of an industry index, that index has fallen into a 72 00:04:26,520 --> 00:04:30,839 Speaker 3: bear market recently, but Delta shares have actually gained three 73 00:04:30,920 --> 00:04:35,120 Speaker 3: percent since the war started. And maybe because the company 74 00:04:35,160 --> 00:04:38,760 Speaker 3: has already set a positive tone for its earnings report 75 00:04:38,920 --> 00:04:43,120 Speaker 3: after issuing a more optimistic sales target at a recent conference, 76 00:04:43,360 --> 00:04:48,640 Speaker 3: saying that bookings for leisure and corporate customers accelerated into March. Actually, 77 00:04:49,279 --> 00:04:51,840 Speaker 3: and they say they are very well positioned to navigate 78 00:04:51,839 --> 00:04:56,800 Speaker 3: the current environment at the time when elevated fuel prices 79 00:04:56,839 --> 00:05:00,839 Speaker 3: are roiling the industry. And it looks like are giving 80 00:05:00,880 --> 00:05:04,440 Speaker 3: Delta the benefit of the doubt here, But obviously things 81 00:05:04,560 --> 00:05:07,560 Speaker 3: change very fast these days, so it will be interesting 82 00:05:07,600 --> 00:05:10,440 Speaker 3: to see how their views have changed since they issued 83 00:05:10,480 --> 00:05:13,239 Speaker 3: that update about two weeks for two weeks. 84 00:05:13,040 --> 00:05:15,520 Speaker 1: Ago from now, yeah, absolutely, while we wait for updates 85 00:05:15,520 --> 00:05:18,480 Speaker 1: around the war and how that could develop as well. 86 00:05:18,520 --> 00:05:21,920 Speaker 1: I mean, what kind of changes could we see? What 87 00:05:21,960 --> 00:05:25,080 Speaker 1: are you listening for, particularly from the call from Delta 88 00:05:25,160 --> 00:05:25,680 Speaker 1: later on. 89 00:05:26,200 --> 00:05:31,679 Speaker 3: I'll be listening on clues about the consumer right because 90 00:05:31,960 --> 00:05:38,000 Speaker 3: obviously travel is a discretionary category. Most of us do 91 00:05:38,080 --> 00:05:41,080 Speaker 3: it for fun, for vacations, so I'll be interested to 92 00:05:41,120 --> 00:05:45,880 Speaker 3: see if they have seen a pullback from consumers specifically, 93 00:05:45,920 --> 00:05:49,120 Speaker 3: because if you look at alternative data on the Bloomberg 94 00:05:49,160 --> 00:05:52,159 Speaker 3: as it relates to that, yes, it showed that airline 95 00:05:52,200 --> 00:05:56,720 Speaker 3: spending is hanging in there, but hotel spending has sort 96 00:05:56,760 --> 00:06:00,880 Speaker 3: of fallen off here in recent weeks, So I'd be 97 00:06:01,000 --> 00:06:04,240 Speaker 3: sort of curious to see how much is that impacting 98 00:06:04,279 --> 00:06:08,560 Speaker 3: airlines already. 99 00:06:07,520 --> 00:06:11,760 Speaker 2: The Stockmovers Report from Bloomberg Radio. 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