1 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:20,720 Speaker 1: Welcome everyone to the Daily Juice podcast on the Betting 2 00:00:20,720 --> 00:00:23,480 Speaker 1: Pros Network. I'm your host, Sean Stacking the Money Green. 3 00:00:23,520 --> 00:00:25,400 Speaker 1: Give you a follow on Twitter at Shawn T. Green, 4 00:00:25,720 --> 00:00:27,600 Speaker 1: And as always, Juice is being brought to you by 5 00:00:27,760 --> 00:00:30,240 Speaker 1: bet MGM use a promo code Juice and the ten 6 00:00:30,280 --> 00:00:32,680 Speaker 1: dollar veterns into two hundred dollars if either team scores 7 00:00:32,680 --> 00:00:36,680 Speaker 1: a touchdown, good for college and pro restrictions apply, all right, 8 00:00:37,159 --> 00:00:40,080 Speaker 1: two and two overall with the picks. Of course, one 9 00:00:40,080 --> 00:00:43,120 Speaker 1: of the picks was a round robin moneyline parlay of 10 00:00:43,880 --> 00:00:45,839 Speaker 1: the pick. So when two and one on the games, 11 00:00:45,880 --> 00:00:48,479 Speaker 1: they were two unit plays, do the math carry the 12 00:00:48,520 --> 00:00:53,040 Speaker 1: three up? About a unit? Hey, profitable college football Saturday? 13 00:00:53,080 --> 00:00:57,160 Speaker 1: I will take it. Ah, we got a fun NFL 14 00:00:57,280 --> 00:00:59,920 Speaker 1: slate coming up. It's got a bunch of picks for that. 15 00:01:00,200 --> 00:01:02,480 Speaker 1: But before we do, we gott to walk through the 16 00:01:02,560 --> 00:01:08,440 Speaker 1: recap Ucla. I don't know. I live close to the 17 00:01:08,520 --> 00:01:12,360 Speaker 1: Rose bull got sucked into the UCLA fever. I talked 18 00:01:12,400 --> 00:01:15,280 Speaker 1: a bunch of smack on bo Nicks. He came out, 19 00:01:15,360 --> 00:01:18,319 Speaker 1: and you know, Oregon beat Hip with their own game. 20 00:01:18,840 --> 00:01:21,800 Speaker 1: I mean, for me, that onside kick that they did 21 00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:24,520 Speaker 1: to kind of surprise Ucla. That was the game changer. 22 00:01:24,800 --> 00:01:26,880 Speaker 1: Once they hit that, I felt like there was no 23 00:01:27,000 --> 00:01:31,720 Speaker 1: chance in UCLA's defense, just completely completely soft. Obviously didn't 24 00:01:31,760 --> 00:01:34,080 Speaker 1: hit the round robin money line because the only team 25 00:01:34,120 --> 00:01:39,559 Speaker 1: that won outright was Oklahoma State. However, Syracuse, Oh, Syracuse 26 00:01:39,680 --> 00:01:43,320 Speaker 1: so close, and that would have been a nice cash 27 00:01:43,520 --> 00:01:45,480 Speaker 1: if the Syracuse money line would have hit, because it 28 00:01:45,520 --> 00:01:48,040 Speaker 1: would have been parlayed with the Oklahoma State money line. 29 00:01:48,800 --> 00:01:51,080 Speaker 1: Oklahoma State the plus six and a half cash because 30 00:01:51,080 --> 00:01:54,800 Speaker 1: obviously they won outright forty one thirty four Syracuse plus 31 00:01:54,840 --> 00:01:59,000 Speaker 1: fourteen cash that was never in doubt. And man, they 32 00:01:59,000 --> 00:02:01,640 Speaker 1: were up what twenty one ten and half end up 33 00:02:01,680 --> 00:02:07,880 Speaker 1: losing twenty four twenty one? Just brutal. I mean, I 34 00:02:08,280 --> 00:02:10,720 Speaker 1: wanted to bitch and moan about the refs a little 35 00:02:10,720 --> 00:02:14,360 Speaker 1: bit here, the unnecessary roughness penalties they called and they 36 00:02:14,360 --> 00:02:16,280 Speaker 1: didn't call them both ways. It's one thing you're gonna 37 00:02:16,360 --> 00:02:20,800 Speaker 1: call ticky tacky unnecessary roughness calls. But that third and 38 00:02:20,880 --> 00:02:25,400 Speaker 1: twenty five when he was I'm blanking on the backup 39 00:02:25,480 --> 00:02:28,800 Speaker 1: quarterback that they are that they brought in to replace 40 00:02:28,840 --> 00:02:32,440 Speaker 1: big stinkoh there, that they called that. It just like, 41 00:02:32,760 --> 00:02:35,200 Speaker 1: are you kidding me that was a game change or 42 00:02:35,320 --> 00:02:39,480 Speaker 1: kept that drive alive got them points. But ultimately Syracuse 43 00:02:39,560 --> 00:02:42,560 Speaker 1: really has themselves to blame it because they created so 44 00:02:42,600 --> 00:02:45,000 Speaker 1: many turnovers and they were just like getting nothing off 45 00:02:45,080 --> 00:02:49,360 Speaker 1: the turnovers even in the second half, So super super frustrating. 46 00:02:49,440 --> 00:02:53,400 Speaker 1: Syracuse was a live dog. They just couldn't get it done. 47 00:02:53,960 --> 00:02:56,320 Speaker 1: But again, horseshoes and hand gredaides. That's the only time 48 00:02:56,320 --> 00:02:59,440 Speaker 1: we're close matters. But man, still get a decent sweat. 49 00:02:59,480 --> 00:03:01,200 Speaker 1: So if we're not to win, at least get a 50 00:03:01,280 --> 00:03:04,840 Speaker 1: nice juicy sweat there. Hey, you guys don't need a 51 00:03:04,880 --> 00:03:07,880 Speaker 1: sweat out your chances to win the Brandon Ayuk jersey 52 00:03:07,880 --> 00:03:09,720 Speaker 1: because it's completely free. All I get to do is 53 00:03:09,760 --> 00:03:12,800 Speaker 1: go to YouTube dot com. So Betty Bros. Hit subscribe 54 00:03:12,960 --> 00:03:15,360 Speaker 1: comment on this very video. You're automatically enter to win 55 00:03:15,400 --> 00:03:20,760 Speaker 1: an autographed Brandon Ayuke jersey courtesy of Pristine Auction. And man, 56 00:03:20,840 --> 00:03:24,359 Speaker 1: that thing probably skyrocketing in value now that Christian McCaffrey's 57 00:03:24,440 --> 00:03:27,760 Speaker 1: on the team. Certainly increases their chances of making a 58 00:03:27,800 --> 00:03:31,520 Speaker 1: little playoff run here. And who knows you hit that 59 00:03:31,560 --> 00:03:34,160 Speaker 1: Ayuke jersey, that'd be pretty sweet. So when you're a 60 00:03:34,200 --> 00:03:36,800 Speaker 1: Niners finer. Even if you're not, He's a fun player 61 00:03:36,800 --> 00:03:39,320 Speaker 1: to toss up in the man cave. Get that framed, 62 00:03:39,520 --> 00:03:42,480 Speaker 1: get a looking sharp. All right, let's get to the 63 00:03:42,640 --> 00:03:47,000 Speaker 1: NFL slate Browns at the Ravens. I'm taking the Browns 64 00:03:47,040 --> 00:03:49,480 Speaker 1: plus six and a half bet MGM, get all these 65 00:03:49,600 --> 00:03:52,400 Speaker 1: NFL players are gonna be two units. I just can't 66 00:03:52,400 --> 00:03:54,880 Speaker 1: trust the Ravens to close out a game, right, Like, 67 00:03:54,960 --> 00:03:57,640 Speaker 1: what are we seeing it from this Ravens team that 68 00:03:57,760 --> 00:04:01,960 Speaker 1: gives you any confidence they're gonna close that game. Mark 69 00:04:02,040 --> 00:04:05,360 Speaker 1: Andrews is banged up. He misspracticed Thursday, which is usually 70 00:04:05,440 --> 00:04:08,520 Speaker 1: kind of a red flag. He's gonna play, obviously, but 71 00:04:08,880 --> 00:04:11,960 Speaker 1: I can't imagine he's one hundred percent. Even Lamar is 72 00:04:12,000 --> 00:04:13,680 Speaker 1: dealing with a little bit of a hip issue that 73 00:04:13,760 --> 00:04:18,360 Speaker 1: could be a problem for the Ravens. Ravens are actually 74 00:04:18,360 --> 00:04:21,320 Speaker 1: pretty vulnerable to the rush twenty fourth in rush DVOA. 75 00:04:21,400 --> 00:04:24,719 Speaker 1: You got Nick Chubb in an ultimate bounce back spot. 76 00:04:25,040 --> 00:04:30,120 Speaker 1: He had a very disappointing performance against the Patriots last week. 77 00:04:30,160 --> 00:04:32,279 Speaker 1: Didn't get him the ball enough. I think he is 78 00:04:32,640 --> 00:04:35,280 Speaker 1: you're playing DFS. I know he's expensive, but he is 79 00:04:35,320 --> 00:04:37,719 Speaker 1: going to get, in my mind, a ton of touches 80 00:04:37,720 --> 00:04:40,120 Speaker 1: because Stefanski, if he has any common sense, has to 81 00:04:40,120 --> 00:04:42,159 Speaker 1: look at that game and go, we need Nick Chubb 82 00:04:42,440 --> 00:04:44,840 Speaker 1: having the ball. He's our best offensive player. We gotta 83 00:04:44,880 --> 00:04:48,480 Speaker 1: get him going. Lamar Jackson, he's just not great as 84 00:04:48,560 --> 00:04:53,200 Speaker 1: a home favorite, home favorite, over three and a half points, 85 00:04:53,240 --> 00:04:57,320 Speaker 1: seven and thirteen ats. And you look at these division games. 86 00:04:57,360 --> 00:04:58,960 Speaker 1: I always look at division games because a lot of 87 00:04:58,960 --> 00:05:02,640 Speaker 1: times there are strong trends in these division games. In 88 00:05:02,720 --> 00:05:05,120 Speaker 1: this one, the road team between the Ravens and the 89 00:05:05,160 --> 00:05:10,599 Speaker 1: Browns has covered sixteen out of the last twenty four games. Also, 90 00:05:10,839 --> 00:05:15,280 Speaker 1: this Browns game qualifies as a close your eyes special. 91 00:05:15,640 --> 00:05:18,160 Speaker 1: What is a close your eye special? That's a great question. 92 00:05:18,800 --> 00:05:21,600 Speaker 1: Close your eyes special is as a trend we've been 93 00:05:21,640 --> 00:05:24,080 Speaker 1: on over at the sports game In podcast for years 94 00:05:24,080 --> 00:05:28,119 Speaker 1: and years. It's basically where a team underperforms is spread 95 00:05:28,200 --> 00:05:31,039 Speaker 1: by twenty one points the previous week, and they're catching 96 00:05:31,120 --> 00:05:34,960 Speaker 1: points the following week. It is called a close your 97 00:05:34,960 --> 00:05:39,000 Speaker 1: eyes special. Basically, it's just that classic thing of like, hey, 98 00:05:39,080 --> 00:05:42,760 Speaker 1: a team really undervalued, they're getting points. It's a good 99 00:05:42,800 --> 00:05:45,760 Speaker 1: time to hop on even a little. Historically, it floats 100 00:05:45,800 --> 00:05:50,240 Speaker 1: around sixty percent, maybe a couple percentage points higher if 101 00:05:50,279 --> 00:05:52,359 Speaker 1: they're a home dog. This isn't the case here, but 102 00:05:52,440 --> 00:05:54,720 Speaker 1: I still like it. Close your eye special so far 103 00:05:54,800 --> 00:05:57,200 Speaker 1: this season sitting right there at three and two, so 104 00:05:57,200 --> 00:06:00,720 Speaker 1: it's a nice sixty percent against this trends. So give 105 00:06:00,720 --> 00:06:04,320 Speaker 1: me the Cleveland Browns plus six and a half again underperformed, 106 00:06:04,320 --> 00:06:07,040 Speaker 1: is spread by twenty one points as they did against 107 00:06:07,040 --> 00:06:10,280 Speaker 1: the Patriots, and you're getting points the following week. Coming 108 00:06:10,360 --> 00:06:12,200 Speaker 1: up next, I got the Colts plus two and a 109 00:06:12,240 --> 00:06:15,560 Speaker 1: half minus one oh five over on points bets against 110 00:06:15,640 --> 00:06:20,080 Speaker 1: the Titans two unit play. It feels super gross betting 111 00:06:20,160 --> 00:06:22,799 Speaker 1: on the Indianapolis Colts have talked a ton of smack 112 00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:27,320 Speaker 1: on Matt Ryan. He's pulling it somehow. I don't know 113 00:06:27,320 --> 00:06:30,000 Speaker 1: what he's doing. He's doing something right. Colts are getting 114 00:06:30,040 --> 00:06:33,000 Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor back, that's obviously huge for their offense and 115 00:06:33,080 --> 00:06:36,799 Speaker 1: Naheim Hines, who I secretly think they should be using more. 116 00:06:38,040 --> 00:06:40,440 Speaker 1: And again going back to some of these division trends, 117 00:06:41,000 --> 00:06:43,400 Speaker 1: the Colts are eight and two straight up their last 118 00:06:43,440 --> 00:06:47,159 Speaker 1: ten games in Tennessee. Don't overthink you this one. Colts 119 00:06:47,240 --> 00:06:49,880 Speaker 1: just show up in Tennessee. It's a weird matchup Qirk. 120 00:06:49,960 --> 00:06:52,440 Speaker 1: But again, you know, it's like the Colts show up 121 00:06:52,440 --> 00:06:55,120 Speaker 1: in Tennessee, they don't show up in Jacksonville. I don't 122 00:06:55,160 --> 00:06:57,320 Speaker 1: know why, but you sometimes you just don't have to 123 00:06:57,320 --> 00:06:59,840 Speaker 1: overthink these things. I think the Titans could struggle to 124 00:07:00,080 --> 00:07:03,400 Speaker 1: roll the ball, especially with no Traylon Burks. You also 125 00:07:03,440 --> 00:07:05,280 Speaker 1: look at some of the advanced metrics as far as 126 00:07:05,320 --> 00:07:08,440 Speaker 1: like yards per play, the Titans have really been kind 127 00:07:08,440 --> 00:07:12,119 Speaker 1: of outperforming, you know, like they're not getting great yards 128 00:07:12,160 --> 00:07:14,000 Speaker 1: per play and they're still kind of winning a couple 129 00:07:14,080 --> 00:07:17,680 Speaker 1: of these games games they shouldn't have. I mean, yeah, 130 00:07:17,760 --> 00:07:22,440 Speaker 1: Carson Wentz really threw them the game they're against the Commanders, 131 00:07:22,560 --> 00:07:27,200 Speaker 1: And I also really like this trend. Again, things changed 132 00:07:27,280 --> 00:07:29,600 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty with the Collective Bargaining agreement. As far 133 00:07:29,640 --> 00:07:33,160 Speaker 1: as the bye week and favorites in particular are really 134 00:07:33,200 --> 00:07:36,200 Speaker 1: bad coming off to buy underdogs are actually pretty good 135 00:07:36,320 --> 00:07:39,960 Speaker 1: underdogs since twenty twenty coming off the by they're nine 136 00:07:39,960 --> 00:07:41,920 Speaker 1: and four ats. If you want to look to the 137 00:07:41,960 --> 00:07:45,760 Speaker 1: Houston Texans, they qualify for that this week. But on 138 00:07:45,800 --> 00:07:49,160 Speaker 1: the other side, favorites coming off of bye since twenty twenty, 139 00:07:49,360 --> 00:07:52,960 Speaker 1: fourteen and twenty four ats ak of the Titans, So 140 00:07:53,160 --> 00:07:57,640 Speaker 1: give me the Indianapolis Colts here. Next up, we got 141 00:07:57,680 --> 00:08:01,800 Speaker 1: the Seattle Seahawks at the Loss Angels Chargers. I'm taking 142 00:08:01,800 --> 00:08:03,640 Speaker 1: the Seahawks plus five and a half. You can get 143 00:08:03,640 --> 00:08:08,000 Speaker 1: that over at MGM two units. Chargers are horrible against 144 00:08:08,040 --> 00:08:10,240 Speaker 1: the run. This is actually like an awesome spot for 145 00:08:10,320 --> 00:08:12,760 Speaker 1: Kenneth Walker. I think he could have a massive game, 146 00:08:13,240 --> 00:08:16,040 Speaker 1: and you look at the numbers. Gino Smith is actually 147 00:08:16,120 --> 00:08:18,400 Speaker 1: out playing Justin Herbert right now. I don't know how 148 00:08:18,440 --> 00:08:21,600 Speaker 1: sustainable it is. I kind of like what I've seen 149 00:08:21,600 --> 00:08:24,240 Speaker 1: out of the Seahawks team. I think they're kind of frisky, 150 00:08:25,040 --> 00:08:28,840 Speaker 1: certainly a little worried about their past defense. But you know, 151 00:08:28,880 --> 00:08:32,760 Speaker 1: they got this rookie Tariq Woolan for interceptions, two fumble 152 00:08:32,800 --> 00:08:35,559 Speaker 1: recoveries for the Hawks so far this season. He's playing 153 00:08:35,559 --> 00:08:39,600 Speaker 1: pretty well. Keenan Allen true game time decision. It doesn't 154 00:08:39,600 --> 00:08:43,080 Speaker 1: seem like he's actually going to go. Chargers are gonna 155 00:08:43,120 --> 00:08:44,880 Speaker 1: have to blitz to try and get any pressure, and 156 00:08:44,880 --> 00:08:48,240 Speaker 1: that's actually what Gino Smith is pretty decent against the blitz, 157 00:08:48,640 --> 00:08:50,960 Speaker 1: and in general, the Chargers just struggled to get a 158 00:08:50,960 --> 00:08:53,640 Speaker 1: pass rush. It's a perfect formula for Gino Smith to 159 00:08:53,720 --> 00:08:58,199 Speaker 1: have a nice game. Chargers not good at home ats 160 00:08:58,240 --> 00:09:01,480 Speaker 1: sixteen and twenty four against the spread in Los Angeles, 161 00:09:01,480 --> 00:09:03,880 Speaker 1: and then Justin Herbert also not great as a big 162 00:09:03,920 --> 00:09:06,560 Speaker 1: favorite or at least a favorite of more than three 163 00:09:07,040 --> 00:09:10,240 Speaker 1: seven to eleven against the spread as a favorite of 164 00:09:10,240 --> 00:09:13,000 Speaker 1: three or more. So give me the Seahawks plus five 165 00:09:13,160 --> 00:09:16,320 Speaker 1: and a half. Last, but not least, give me the 166 00:09:16,320 --> 00:09:19,240 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Steelers plus seven and a half at the Dolphins. 167 00:09:19,800 --> 00:09:23,079 Speaker 1: Get that on Caesars two units. Pat Friarmouth is back 168 00:09:23,200 --> 00:09:26,400 Speaker 1: for the Steelers. I like that. Dolphins secondaries still a 169 00:09:26,400 --> 00:09:29,199 Speaker 1: little banged up. To me, this is just Mike Tomlin 170 00:09:29,320 --> 00:09:32,120 Speaker 1: as a dog. I love it. Forty seven and twenty 171 00:09:32,120 --> 00:09:37,000 Speaker 1: seven against the spread as an underdog overall, Dolphins have 172 00:09:37,160 --> 00:09:41,800 Speaker 1: struggled historically as a team to cover against bad teams, 173 00:09:41,800 --> 00:09:43,959 Speaker 1: to really kind of take care of business. Twenty four 174 00:09:43,960 --> 00:09:47,200 Speaker 1: and forty two ats at home against teams with losing 175 00:09:47,240 --> 00:09:50,760 Speaker 1: records since two thousand and three. It's a fun little nugget. 176 00:09:50,800 --> 00:09:54,080 Speaker 1: And to me, I know two is coming back, and 177 00:09:54,120 --> 00:09:56,040 Speaker 1: it's like, hey, two is back. We should be great. 178 00:09:56,280 --> 00:09:59,480 Speaker 1: Jayal and Waddell's a little banged up. I just and 179 00:09:59,640 --> 00:10:02,680 Speaker 1: I mean, let's be honest, Tua really got his bell 180 00:10:02,800 --> 00:10:06,280 Speaker 1: rung there pretty bad. I don't know if he comes 181 00:10:06,320 --> 00:10:08,880 Speaker 1: back and he's instantly one hundred percent, like I imagine, 182 00:10:08,880 --> 00:10:11,760 Speaker 1: you got to have some second thoughts on some of 183 00:10:11,760 --> 00:10:14,360 Speaker 1: the hits you're willing to take. So I think that 184 00:10:14,400 --> 00:10:18,160 Speaker 1: could impacted his performance. Last but not least, it's personal 185 00:10:18,240 --> 00:10:21,280 Speaker 1: for Brian Flores. Like by all accounts, Brian Flores didn't 186 00:10:21,320 --> 00:10:24,440 Speaker 1: like Tua. They really got, you know, really didn't like 187 00:10:24,480 --> 00:10:27,720 Speaker 1: each other. And basically the fact that he couldn't figure 188 00:10:27,720 --> 00:10:29,800 Speaker 1: it out with Tua is why he's no longer a 189 00:10:29,840 --> 00:10:33,040 Speaker 1: head coach and why he's coaching linebackers up in Pittsburgh. 190 00:10:33,080 --> 00:10:35,080 Speaker 1: I think he's gonna come in with a chip on 191 00:10:35,120 --> 00:10:37,240 Speaker 1: his shoulder with some inside information on how to take 192 00:10:37,320 --> 00:10:39,760 Speaker 1: to it down. I think this is a get up 193 00:10:39,800 --> 00:10:43,960 Speaker 1: spot for the Steelers defense. Also revenge game for Minka Fitzpatrick. 194 00:10:44,480 --> 00:10:47,040 Speaker 1: And if you look at the ref trends as well, 195 00:10:47,120 --> 00:10:49,959 Speaker 1: this is a game I've highlighted. You can check out 196 00:10:49,960 --> 00:10:54,560 Speaker 1: the ref report google it. But Scott Novak, he is 197 00:10:54,600 --> 00:10:57,080 Speaker 1: a big ref when it comes to the way team. 198 00:10:57,200 --> 00:10:59,800 Speaker 1: So Steelers plus seven and a half is the way 199 00:10:59,840 --> 00:11:02,720 Speaker 1: to go. Two units on the Steelers seven and a half. 200 00:11:03,000 --> 00:11:05,599 Speaker 1: Give me two units on the Seahawks plus five and 201 00:11:05,640 --> 00:11:08,400 Speaker 1: a half. Get that over at bet MGM. Colts plus 202 00:11:08,400 --> 00:11:10,440 Speaker 1: two and a half minus one oh five over on 203 00:11:10,559 --> 00:11:13,720 Speaker 1: points bet last but not leavest Browns plus six and 204 00:11:13,720 --> 00:11:17,440 Speaker 1: a half over on bet MGM for two units as well. 205 00:11:17,480 --> 00:11:19,680 Speaker 1: And of course, while you are over there on BETAMGM, 206 00:11:19,800 --> 00:11:22,280 Speaker 1: use a promo code Juice bet ten dollars get two 207 00:11:22,320 --> 00:11:24,240 Speaker 1: hundred dollars in free bets if he their team scores 208 00:11:24,280 --> 00:11:26,960 Speaker 1: a touchdown. Come for college and pro restrictions apply. Fo 209 00:11:27,000 --> 00:11:30,160 Speaker 1: awesome TikTok at betting pros. Follow me on Twitter at 210 00:11:30,200 --> 00:11:33,160 Speaker 1: chun t Green. Check out my other podcasts, You Guessed 211 00:11:33,160 --> 00:11:36,640 Speaker 1: It the Sports Gambling Podcasts. You know what to do, Subscribe, 212 00:11:36,720 --> 00:11:39,960 Speaker 1: rate and review, and as always, don't forget to let 213 00:11:40,320 --> 00:11:41,560 Speaker 1: it ride.