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Speaker 1: Welcome in Everybody's Thursday edition of The Clay and Buck

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Speaker 1: Coo starts right now. We are just days away. What

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Speaker 1: is it twelve days now? I think twelve days from

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Speaker 1: the big day, Election Day, and the final pitch from

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Speaker 1: the campaigns from each of them. Donald Trump running against

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Speaker 1: Kamala Harris. Trump is out there having fun, telling people's stories,

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Speaker 1: slapping them on the back, talking about making America great

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Speaker 1: once again, booming the economy, securing the borders, all this stuff,

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Speaker 1: and the Kamala campaigns response, their last ditch effort to

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Speaker 1: get a wave of independent swing voters to go with

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Speaker 1: them is Donald Trump is hitler. That's what they're saying,

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Speaker 1: and he's a fascist. They're saying all kinds of crazy stuff.

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Speaker 1: We will dive into this, but I think this is

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Speaker 1: a desperation time for their campaign. It sounds certainly very

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Speaker 1: desperate to me. We've also got some great guests today.

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Speaker 1: I want to tell you where we're going with all that.

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Speaker 1: We will talk to our buddy Ryan Gradusky, political analyst

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Speaker 1: extraordinaire about the latest numbers. We'll talk to him about

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Speaker 1: what the early voting is and what the you know

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Speaker 1: to the degree that polls are still giving you a

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Speaker 1: snapshot of what to expect. Ryan's going to jump in

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Speaker 1: with that.

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Speaker 2: Well.

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Speaker 1: Also got Derek Anderson joining candidate for Congress in the

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Speaker 1: seventh district in Virginia, former former Army Special Forces green beret,

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Speaker 1: straining with the IDF in the past. He's going for

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Speaker 1: the seat currently held by Abigail Spanberger, who stepped down

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Speaker 1: to run for governor. So another another Virginia race and

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Speaker 1: another like Special Operations guy. It's funny the Democrats play

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Speaker 1: are like why are we losing the masculine voter? It's like,

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Speaker 1: I don't know, why are all the Specops guys Republicans?

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Speaker 1: Maybe there's maybe there's something they're missing.

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Speaker 3: Here, you know what I mean?

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Speaker 4: Also, what about just this is my thing in general,

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Speaker 4: I understand, And some professional politicians are good at their jobs.

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Speaker 1: That's great in.

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Speaker 4: An ideal world, wouldn't everybody be super accomplished in another

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Speaker 4: field before they decided to become a politician, Like have

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Speaker 4: success in your life as Hun Cow did yesterday, as

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Speaker 4: Derek Anderson, who we're going to talk to today has

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Speaker 4: done as well, and then decide that you want to

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Speaker 4: give back to the country by being a politician. This

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Speaker 4: idea of being a perpetual politician, the Joe Biden style

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Speaker 4: for forty seven years. I don't think that's what our

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Speaker 4: founders envisioned. I would like to see guys and gals

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Speaker 4: who have been successful in other walks of life decide, Hey,

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Speaker 4: I've accomplished a lot here now I want to give back.

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Speaker 4: It seems like Republicans are far more often to be

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Speaker 4: doing that than Democrats are.

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Speaker 1: And perhaps Clay that's a good place to transition to.

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Speaker 1: How did Kamala Harris become the Democrat nominee?

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Speaker 2: Oh?

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Speaker 1: Wait? How was she the vice president? How was she

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Speaker 1: a senator?

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Speaker 5: Oh?

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Speaker 1: Was she an Attorney general for the state of California.

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Speaker 1: This woman is a walking, talking political disaster. I don't

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Speaker 1: know how much more clear it could be. She had

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Speaker 1: the CNN town hall last night. Now, just to set

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Speaker 1: the stage here, CNN wanted Trump and Kamala to come

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Speaker 1: and debate, and Trump's like, no, and you know, we're

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Speaker 1: I'm not going to get into this. It doesn't matter,

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Speaker 1: there's no need to kind of re litigate this decision making.

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Speaker 1: But Trump didn't go, Kamala did, so it turned into

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Speaker 1: a Kamala town hall. I want to give you some

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Speaker 1: of this. There's some stuff that she's saying, Clay, that

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Speaker 1: we would have to put in the reckless and nasty category.

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Speaker 1: We'll get to that Trump is a fascist, but there's

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Speaker 1: also I cannot believe that Democrats really think this woman

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Speaker 1: here she is, she's asked a question in this town

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Speaker 1: hall has cut nine about her weaknesses. I just want

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Speaker 1: to be quiet and let you hear what she says.

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Speaker 4: What weaknesses do you bring to the table and how

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Speaker 4: do you plan to overcome them while you're in office.

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Speaker 6: That's a great question, Joe. Well, I am certainly not perfect,

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Speaker 6: so let's start there. And I think that I perhaps

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Speaker 6: a weakness, some would say, but I actually think it's

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Speaker 6: the strength as I really do value having a team

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Speaker 6: of very smart people around me who bring to my

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Speaker 6: decision making process different perspectives. My team will tell you

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Speaker 6: I am constantly saying, let's kick the tire on that,

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Speaker 6: Let's kick the tires on it.

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Speaker 4: Let's kick the tires on it. Clay, it's such a

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Speaker 4: bad answer. I mean, I bet many of you have

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Speaker 4: gone to a job interview and been asked that question.

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Speaker 1: It is a very standard question. What is your biggest weakness.

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Speaker 4: And it's even one that you would prep for if

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Speaker 4: you were sitting aroun and you were nervous about an

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Speaker 4: interview and you said, hey, can I just practice maybe

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Speaker 4: with your mom, your dad, grandma, grandpa, friend, family member.

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Speaker 4: It's not uncommon if you're nervous about your first job

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Speaker 4: interview or really significant job interview, that you would kind

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Speaker 4: of work your way through it to prepare with what

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Speaker 4: your answers might be. Buck, She's been vice president for

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Speaker 4: four years and she can't answer one of the most

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Speaker 4: basic questions out there. And her answer is actually not

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Speaker 4: something that someone would.

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Speaker 1: Ever say is a weakness.

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Speaker 4: Some people would say it's a weakness that I have

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Speaker 4: really smart people who advise me. What is the contrary

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Speaker 4: to that that you should have really dumb people who

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Speaker 4: advise you. Would anybody want that? I just she is

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Speaker 4: so uniquely bad. I watched this entire CNN town hall

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Speaker 4: that they kept her off the campaign trail to do Telemundo,

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Speaker 4: to do NBC, and to do this CNN town hall

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Speaker 4: for basically two full days, and she bombed in all three.

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Speaker 4: The weakness answer was really bad. Also, Buck, she was

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Speaker 4: asked by Anderson Cooper, who was far from the most

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Speaker 4: difficult person grilling you on questions what mistakes have you

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Speaker 4: made and what have you learned from them? I would

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Speaker 4: put it in conjunction with the weakness answer, which was

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Speaker 4: very Michael Scott, but we'll play that for you too

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Speaker 4: because the Trump campaign shared it. But here is Buck

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Speaker 4: the mistake answer.

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Speaker 7: Is there something you can point to in your life,

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Speaker 7: political life, or in your life in the last four

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Speaker 7: years that you think is a mistake that you have

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Speaker 7: learned from.

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Speaker 6: I mean, I've made many mistakes, and they range from

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Speaker 6: you know, if you've ever parented a child, you know

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Speaker 6: you make lots of mistakes too. In my role as

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Speaker 6: vice president, I mean I've probably worked very hard at

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Speaker 6: making sure that I am well versed on issues, and

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Speaker 6: I think that is very important. It's a mistake not

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Speaker 6: to be well versed on an issue and feel compelled

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Speaker 6: to answer a question.

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Speaker 1: I Buck, what does she say she to ask you?

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Speaker 4: I mean, ultimately, I think you just have to circle

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Speaker 4: back around to she is a DEI more on. She

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Speaker 4: got all of her jobs because people wanted her to

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Speaker 4: be good at them because in California. I mean this, honestly,

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Speaker 4: I love California. I've spent a lot of time out there.

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Speaker 4: There's a huge cadre of Californian's Buck who want their

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Speaker 4: leader to look like Kamala Harris, and they don't actually

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Speaker 4: care whether she has the brains to be able to

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Speaker 4: do the job. It makes them feel good to have

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Speaker 4: a half black, half Asian politician who's kind of good looking,

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Speaker 4: that that is their representative, and they don't actually care

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Speaker 4: whether there's any substance behind it. And this is to

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Speaker 4: what happens in a one party state, Buck, and I

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Speaker 4: think she's a great example of this, not only of

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Speaker 4: being a dei higher, but when there's no real pushback.

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Speaker 4: She's never had to win a race be in any

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Speaker 4: way compelling in her market because it's so left wing.

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Speaker 4: She just doesn't have any clue how to get past

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Speaker 4: the cliches and do we have the Michael Scott. I'll

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Speaker 4: play this for you because when I watch this live,

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Speaker 4: it reminded me of Michael Scott from the Office. For

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Speaker 4: everybody out there who's watched this show, at what percentage

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Speaker 4: of our audience you think I've ever watched The Office bus?

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Speaker 1: I mean, I love The Office and I like still

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Speaker 1: to this day. If it's on TV. It's one of

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Speaker 1: the few things and I'll just be like, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: watch it, you know, thirty minutes I'll watch this episode.

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Speaker 1: I think a lot of our people want I'd say

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Speaker 1: half this audience has watched at least one episode of

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Speaker 1: The of the Office at some point.

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Speaker 4: If you haven't, it's on streaming now. I think it's

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Speaker 4: a Netflix. I think I'm telling you if you just

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Speaker 4: want to laugh, I think this is a good topic.

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Speaker 4: Buck best comedy's ever my mount rushmore of comedies, and

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Speaker 4: these are ones that have existed in my lifetime. So

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Speaker 4: I'm taking like I love Lucy and Andy Griffith and

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Speaker 4: the old school Brady Bunch, any of those off the board,

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Speaker 4: I would go. The ones that have made me laugh

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Speaker 4: the hardest are The Office, Seinfeld, Veep, and if you

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Speaker 4: count entoura I loved Dontouraja. I thought it was kind

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Speaker 4: of funny, but it's almost like a dramedy comedy of mix.

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Speaker 4: But those would be my quad of ones that I

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Speaker 4: legitimately couldn't wait to watch, And I think The Office

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Speaker 4: maybe the funniest of all of them. Certainly if you

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Speaker 4: put it in the broadcast television criteria let's listen to

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Speaker 4: Michael Scott slash Kamala Harris answer the same questions.

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Speaker 6: Perhaps a weakness some let's say, but I actually think

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Speaker 6: it's the strength that well.

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Speaker 8: My weaknesses are actually strengths.

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Speaker 6: Oh, yes, very good. There you go pretty good. I

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Speaker 6: really do value you having a team of very smart

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Speaker 6: people around me.

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Speaker 1: I work too hard, I care too much, and sometimes

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Speaker 1: I can be too invested in my job.

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Speaker 4: So that is Michael Scott being interviewed for a job,

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Speaker 4: and I mean it is perfect.

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Speaker 1: So a few things here. First off, I think the

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Speaker 1: what are your weaknesses question is the dumbest question that

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Speaker 1: anyone ever gets asked in a job interviewing.

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Speaker 4: But it is a common question. It's not like it's

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Speaker 4: out of left field, right, It is very common.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, people, But but I'm saying I'm breaking with the

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Speaker 1: you know, the the consensus here from the HR departments,

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Speaker 1: what are your weaknesses? Is an idiot? If you were

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Speaker 1: on a date and you're sitting there, you know, if

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Speaker 1: I was sitting there when I was a single guy

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Speaker 1: before I met the love of my life, my lovely wife,

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Speaker 1: and a girl goes, what's the worst thing about you? Like,

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Speaker 1: that's it's that's a dumb question to ask somebody, right,

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Speaker 1: because one, they're not going to tell you the truth,

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Speaker 1: and two, even if they give you something that's not great,

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Speaker 1: why are you asking them to undermine themselves the same

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Speaker 1: thing in a job interview, right, A job interview in

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Speaker 1: a date are actually not that different. You just have

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Speaker 1: on a different outcome, you know, at least you could

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Speaker 1: and to do the My strengths rather my weaknesses are

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Speaker 1: actually strength response though, is even dumber than the dumb

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Speaker 1: question because it just shows like you think you're being clever.

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Speaker 1: And then the classic one is I just work too hard,

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Speaker 1: I take too much responsibility and don't want the credit.

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Speaker 1: Like that's obviously not actually a weakness, and the fact

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Speaker 1: that Kamala did that, she's like, Oh, I just I

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Speaker 1: like diverse and brilliant perspectives. Call me crazy, you can

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Speaker 1: call me a crazy lady, but I like a team

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Speaker 1: of super smart people around me to give me great advice.

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Speaker 1: You know, I'm just nutty that way.

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Speaker 4: She is, I think uniquely incompetent, and I actually think

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Speaker 4: Tim Walls is dumber than her, which means that this

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Speaker 4: is the dumbest presidential and vice presidential ticket in any

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Speaker 4: of our lives. There's that great meme, have you seen it, Buck,

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Speaker 4: where it starts with Obama and it says, I need

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Speaker 4: a vice president dumber than me, and then the picture

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Speaker 4: is Joe Biden, and then Joe Biden says I need

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Speaker 4: a vice president dumber than me, and the picture is

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Speaker 4: Kamala Harris, and then Kamala Harris says I need a

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Speaker 4: vice president dumber than me, and the picture is Tim Walls.

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Speaker 4: I actually think that's accurate from Obama. Every vice president

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Speaker 4: has gotten dumber, and every presidential nominee or president has

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Speaker 4: gotten dumber too, and the people that they pick as

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Speaker 4: their number twos have gotten dumber, which does make some

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Speaker 4: sense because Kamala is profoundly insecure and it would make

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Speaker 4: sense that she would be uncomfortable picking someone who is

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Speaker 4: smarter than her to be your vice president, which is

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Speaker 4: how she ended up with Tim Walls.

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Speaker 1: And while we have fun with this, and you know,

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Speaker 1: we like to, we always mix in the most important

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Speaker 1: things in the world right now, at least in terms

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Speaker 1: of what we think and going on in this country

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Speaker 1: with having fun, but it really does also while we're

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Speaker 1: talking about how Kamala, it's just clear she has no

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Speaker 1: idea what's going on. I mean imagine and this used

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Speaker 1: to be something talked about, I think more clay in

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Speaker 1: these presidential election cycles. It seems to have faded a

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Speaker 1: bit in the Biden Kommeeo. Certainly the Kamala era, China

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Speaker 1: decides to go for it in Taiwan, huge armada on

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Speaker 1: the way, and you know the expectation of major casualties

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Speaker 1: for the Chinese Navy for the time when he's Defense

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Speaker 1: Forces and Kamala Harris is sitting in the situation room

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Speaker 1: having to really make the call, make the determination, make

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Speaker 1: the decision. I mean to me, that's just it's an

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Speaker 1: insult to think that that's in any way reasonable for

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Speaker 1: the American people. It is an insult who we come back.

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Speaker 4: Will play some more of Kamala's greatest hits as her

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Speaker 4: campaign continues to flounder. And we encourage all of you,

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Speaker 4: as we have said every day and we'll continue to

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Speaker 4: say every day. We are twelve days out, get your

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Speaker 4: votes in, go vote early, bank your vote, encourage others

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Speaker 4: to get out so that we can avoid this. More

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Speaker 4: on representing us Beginning in January, US Navy Lieutenant Bradley

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Speaker 4: foster story want of valor and selflessness. Was born and

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Speaker 4: raised in California. Inspired by his father's military service, and

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Speaker 4: fell to deep calling to serve his country. He became

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Speaker 4: a pilot in the US Navy, underwent air in combat training,

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Speaker 4: and was later awarded the National Defense Service Medal. Bradley's

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Speaker 4: goal was to be the best pilot and leader he could,

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Speaker 4: while also being the very best husband and father to

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Speaker 4: his wife, Beth and baby girl Audrey. Tragically, Bradley's promising

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Speaker 4: life was cut short by a helicopter crash off the

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Speaker 4: coast of San Diego. Tunnel to Towers provided his family

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Speaker 4: with a mortgage free home and his honor. Show your

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Speaker 4: support for heroes like Bradley and their families. Donate eleven

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Speaker 4: dollars a month to Tunnel to Towers at T two

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Speaker 4: t dot org. That's tea the number two t dot org.

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Speaker 7: You ain't imagining it. The world has gone insane. Reclaim

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Speaker 7: your sanity with Clay and Fun. Find them on the

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Speaker 7: free iHeartRadio app or wherever you get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: Let's check in on how things are going over at morning,

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Speaker 1: Joel was watching This Morning with Kerry Prp Injection in

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Speaker 1: my knee, Clay, So hopefully I'll be able to walk normal.

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Speaker 1: What does that feel like? Weird? It doesn't hurt that much.

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Speaker 1: So you injured yourself playing tennis? Yes? Is it gotten better?

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Speaker 2: Like?

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Speaker 1: What's the status of the name the bone bruise? Apparently,

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Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm getting old, guys. Now, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: want to start with each passing year, all of us

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Speaker 1: are gonna be talking about our knees hurting, our back's

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Speaker 1: hurting here on the Clay and Buck Show. So this

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Speaker 1: is what's gonna be going down. But yeah, I gotta

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Speaker 1: I got a I don't know what it's PRP shot.

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Speaker 1: You can sort of tell me if you tell me

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Speaker 1: VIPs if you've ever gotten this done before. Hopefully it

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Speaker 1: means my knee will be normal again. They removed a

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Speaker 1: lot of fluid from my knee, which is kind of gross.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully you're not eating. Let's talk about what's going on

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Speaker 1: over at Morning Joe Speak Joe. Yeah, Morning Joe. They are.

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Speaker 1: They're a little sad these days, a little freaked out.

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Speaker 1: They really Clay asked me this in the commercial break,

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Speaker 1: and I just thought I would share it with all

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Speaker 1: of you. Their attitude seems to be a little bit

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Speaker 1: of the desperate defiance of the girlfriend who knows she's

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Speaker 1: about to be broken up with by some guy and

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Speaker 1: she knows it's coming, but like, she's not gonna be nice.

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Speaker 1: She's not gonna stop nagging and she's going to keep

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Speaker 1: being a boss girl or whatever. You know, she's not

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Speaker 1: gonna change who she is. It's like, well, you're gonna

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Speaker 1: get broken up with soon. Here is what it's like

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Speaker 1: for Mika these days, and how she's trying to frame

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Speaker 1: the Kamala campaign versus Trump. Play three.

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Speaker 9: Her campaign is about joy in America. It is about

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Speaker 9: freedom in America. It is about women who are right

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Speaker 9: now in danger for their lives because of the healthcare

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Speaker 9: procedures that Donald Trump has taken away from them. I mean,

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Speaker 9: these are serious issues.

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Speaker 1: She wants to bring.

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Speaker 9: Freedom back to women who have lost fifty years of freedoms.

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Speaker 9: If you look at their social media outreach, Joe, and

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Speaker 9: you look at the way that they speak, it's a

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Speaker 9: joyful campaign, but it is reflecting off who they are

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Speaker 9: running against, a dark, dismal, fascist and increasingly obviously fascist person.

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Speaker 1: It is like she's Mika Brziski translated here on warning, Joe.

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Speaker 1: It's it's we have.

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Speaker 3: A joyful campaign of the joy and you're an evil

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Speaker 3: hitlarian fascist like and you're gonna die if you get pregnant,

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Speaker 3: and he's gonna make you die.

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Speaker 1: I just there.

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Speaker 4: Their entire campaign is descending into chaos. And for those

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Speaker 4: of you out there who remember reading the book game

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Speaker 4: Change about the two thousand and eight presidential campaign, I

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Speaker 4: think it was Buck, and the game change in play

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Speaker 4: was John McCain picks Sarah Palin as his VP, and

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Speaker 4: then a lot of people in that McCain world Buck,

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Speaker 4: I'm curious if you would agree with me. It feels

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Speaker 4: like never really recovered from that campaign because now they're

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Speaker 4: the Many of those McCain people are the Lincoln Project, Bullwark,

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Speaker 4: they're basically Democrats now who have decided that Donald Trump

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Speaker 4: is Hitler. They bought into that argument, and it was

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Speaker 4: a great book, really took you behind the scenes. I'm

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Speaker 4: already looking forward to the real truth being told because

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Speaker 4: as soon as Kamala loses, and I think she's going

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Speaker 4: to lose officially in twelve days, there is going to

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Speaker 4: be a the truth can now be told world where

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Speaker 4: we hear about Biden's true dementia, where we hear just

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Speaker 4: how distasteful and unprepared Kamala has been for much of

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Speaker 4: her campaign, and everybody just tries to settle scores, and

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Speaker 4: it's going to be nasty on a level I don't

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Speaker 4: know that we've ever seen before, because I do think

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Speaker 4: when Hillary lost, they came after Hillary over, hey, you

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Speaker 4: didn't go to Michigan, you didn't go to Wisconsin. But

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Speaker 4: I think it was more of a profound shock, and

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Speaker 4: they then tried to say, oh, we lost because of Russia.

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Speaker 4: Trump's the Manchurian candidate, right. They pivoted and rationalized how

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Speaker 4: the loss happened, which did not require as much culpability

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Speaker 4: on their part. It was all external factors that worked

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Speaker 4: to make Trump win. I think it's going to require

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Speaker 4: a massive amount of self reflection because they did this

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Speaker 4: to themselves. They covered for Biden until it was impossible

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Speaker 4: to cover for him, They didn't allow an actual primary

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Speaker 4: to take place. They elevated a profoundly unprepared and unlikable candidate,

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Speaker 4: and they're going to have to look in the mirror

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Speaker 4: and say we did this, which is you know this

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Speaker 4: buck one of the toughest things about life is accepting

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Speaker 4: personal responsibility when things go bad and looking yourself in

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Speaker 4: the mirror in saying I did this, nobody else is

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Speaker 4: to blame. I screwed up. And when you can do it,

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Speaker 4: it allows growth. I think they're going to have to

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Speaker 4: do it this time.

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Speaker 1: You know, the root of the word hysteria comes from

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Speaker 1: the ancient Greek hysteria for womb or uterus, and it

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Speaker 1: is essentially an extreme version of a feminized, feminized emotion, right, hysteria.

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Speaker 1: I bring it up because, well, here's Mika Brzhinski cut

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Speaker 1: for let's play it.

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Speaker 9: This is what voters know right now that he is

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Speaker 9: killing us. I'm talking about us women. He's killing us.

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Speaker 9: He is putting us at risk. He is making us

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Speaker 9: afraid to have babies, he is putting our reproductive health

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Speaker 9: at risk. And some women have died already because of this.

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Speaker 9: So we can see right now what's coming these headlines

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Speaker 9: and very good reporting, by the way, that shouldn't be

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Speaker 9: questioned by idiots about what Trump has said about Hitler.

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Speaker 9: That's incredibly important to know.

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Speaker 1: I mean that if you could do an audio definition

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Speaker 1: of his area in a dictionary, that would be it.

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Speaker 8: He's killing us.

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Speaker 1: He's not killing anybody. He didn't even I mean Roe v.

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Speaker 1: Wade was overturned by the Supreme Court because Roe v.

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Speaker 1: Wade was garbage loss. Sorry Libs, learn to read, you know.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what else to say. This is Clay.

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Speaker 1: They're so deluded, they're so broken from and separate from

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Speaker 1: observable reality on this stuff. And he's killing Their final

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Speaker 1: pitch is that he's Hitler and he's killing women. This

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Speaker 1: is really what they're going with.

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Speaker 4: And he's terrifying them from having babies. Let me just

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Speaker 4: say this, no matter who wins the presidency, or who

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Speaker 4: wins the Senate, or who wins Congress, or what state

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Speaker 4: you live in, if you give the government power to

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Speaker 4: decide whether or not you start a family, you are

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Speaker 4: giving the government way too much power. Have kids, trust me,

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Speaker 4: If you are out there and you are uncertain, have kids.

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Speaker 1: Challenging.

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Speaker 4: They are incredibly time consuming, but they are the best

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Speaker 4: decision you will ever make. And I say that whether

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Speaker 4: you're a Republican, Democrat, independent, if you're sitting around and

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Speaker 4: I do think this is really the essence of the

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Speaker 4: fear that they've created.

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Speaker 1: Buck.

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Speaker 4: I mean, some of the data reflects there are young

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Speaker 4: people out there. You may have grandkids, you may have

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Speaker 4: kids of your own, that are saying, I'm not going

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Speaker 4: to have kids because I'm afraid of climate change and

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Speaker 4: i don't want I mean, this is a real thing,

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Speaker 4: and some of you are rolling your eyes and you're

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Speaker 4: in disbelief over this. There are a lot of people

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Speaker 4: out there that are twenty four to twenty five years old, boys,

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Speaker 4: girls that are choosing that they do not want to

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Speaker 4: have children because they believe the climate change is such

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Speaker 4: an existential threat that humanity basically shouldn't exist and they

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Speaker 4: can't bring a new soul into the world. That's really

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Speaker 4: I mean, if you are out there and your worldview

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Speaker 4: convinces people not to have children because the planet can

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Speaker 4: handle them having kids, you're basically in favor of human eradication,

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Speaker 4: which is sadly a certain foundational element now of the

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Speaker 4: Democrat Party, which is the Earth can't sustain itself, humans

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Speaker 4: shouldn't exist.

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Speaker 1: There are too many of us.

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Speaker 4: Yikes, right, I Mean, that's pretty scary and profoundly dark

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Speaker 4: if you want to talk about it. That's a global hysteria.

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Speaker 4: It's really a psychological pandemic that people are afraid to

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Speaker 4: have children because of climate change. I mean, this is

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Speaker 4: real mind control and delusion stuff. But I would add

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Speaker 4: that it's not just like Meek. I know, I'm doing

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Speaker 4: the Morning Joe thing right now because it really is

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Speaker 4: fascinating to deep dive through their.

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Speaker 1: Trauma from Trump. They're so traumatized by Trump. But Karine

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Speaker 1: Jean Pierre, speaking from the podium of the West Wing

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Speaker 1: as White House Press Secretary, she's also doing the whole

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Speaker 1: Trump is praising Hitler thing. Listen to this cut two.

434
00:23:58,600 --> 00:24:02,240
Speaker 5: You have heard from this president over and over again

435
00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:05,879
Speaker 5: about the threats to democracy, and the President has spoken

436
00:24:05,920 --> 00:24:09,720
Speaker 5: about that. You've heard from the former president himself saying

437
00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:12,199
Speaker 5: that he is going to be a dictator on day one.

438
00:24:12,480 --> 00:24:16,240
Speaker 5: This is him, not us. This is him, and it's

439
00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:18,320
Speaker 5: not just all. It's not just us the White House

440
00:24:18,359 --> 00:24:21,960
Speaker 5: saying this. You've heard it from officials, former officials that

441
00:24:22,040 --> 00:24:25,040
Speaker 5: work for the former president say this as well. And

442
00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:27,320
Speaker 5: I can't believe I even have to say this, but

443
00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:31,560
Speaker 5: our nation's veterans are heroes.

444
00:24:32,240 --> 00:24:33,040
Speaker 1: They are heroes.

445
00:24:33,480 --> 00:24:34,840
Speaker 5: They're not losers or suckers.

446
00:24:34,840 --> 00:24:35,640
Speaker 2: They are heroes.

447
00:24:36,400 --> 00:24:40,640
Speaker 5: And to be praising Adolph Hitler is dangerous and it's

448
00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:41,480
Speaker 5: also disgusting.

449
00:24:43,400 --> 00:24:46,000
Speaker 1: I just I mean, it's so desperate, Buck, It's like

450
00:24:46,160 --> 00:24:48,120
Speaker 1: it's listening to a bunch of high school girls who

451
00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:50,480
Speaker 1: hate the popular kid in the class, and they're just

452
00:24:50,520 --> 00:24:53,399
Speaker 1: going to say anything. You know, It's just gross. I

453
00:24:53,440 --> 00:24:55,760
Speaker 1: think it actually works to Trump's favor. And that's why

454
00:24:55,760 --> 00:24:58,880
Speaker 1: I said they've pivoted to fascists. They've destroyed the use

455
00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:01,400
Speaker 1: of so many phrases. Remember they had to move from

456
00:25:01,600 --> 00:25:05,119
Speaker 1: racist to white supremacists, and then now they're on to

457
00:25:05,240 --> 00:25:07,800
Speaker 1: fascist and Hitler. And this is a question that I

458
00:25:07,800 --> 00:25:10,479
Speaker 1: think would be a great one again if we had

459
00:25:10,480 --> 00:25:14,040
Speaker 1: a real media asking honest questions of Kamala Harris. If

460
00:25:14,040 --> 00:25:17,000
Speaker 1: you truly believe that Trump is a fascist and that

461
00:25:17,080 --> 00:25:21,320
Speaker 1: he has Adolf Hitler like tendencies, why did you call

462
00:25:21,440 --> 00:25:24,960
Speaker 1: him and console him twice when people tried to kill him?

463
00:25:25,400 --> 00:25:26,679
Speaker 1: Shouldn't you be in favor?

464
00:25:26,800 --> 00:25:30,320
Speaker 4: If you believe that Adolf Hitler is Trump and Trump

465
00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:34,320
Speaker 4: is Adolf Hitler, shouldn't you be like disappointed that they

466
00:25:34,359 --> 00:25:35,840
Speaker 4: didn't succeed in killing him?

467
00:25:36,080 --> 00:25:39,320
Speaker 1: I mean, I ask, I mean, even I can make

468
00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:42,000
Speaker 1: it simpler than that. If Trump is Adolf Hitler, would

469
00:25:42,119 --> 00:25:44,720
Speaker 1: you wouldn't you be completely morally compelled to cheat in

470
00:25:44,760 --> 00:25:48,600
Speaker 1: the election if I were a German, you know, circa

471
00:25:48,680 --> 00:25:52,920
Speaker 1: nineteen thirty whatever, and you know, Hitler obviously ran an election.

472
00:25:52,960 --> 00:25:55,800
Speaker 1: There's never another election under that regime. But I would

473
00:25:55,880 --> 00:25:58,960
Speaker 1: cheat to I would cheat to make sure Hitler didn't win, right.

474
00:25:59,040 --> 00:26:01,720
Speaker 1: I mean, it's got a funny They say these things,

475
00:26:01,760 --> 00:26:04,600
Speaker 1: but then they either lack the courage of their convictions

476
00:26:04,760 --> 00:26:07,080
Speaker 1: or they're lying, which is really what's going on. They

477
00:26:07,080 --> 00:26:09,600
Speaker 1: don't believe this stuff. But meek in Morning, Joe, I'm

478
00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:12,240
Speaker 1: telling you, if Trump wins in January, it's gonna be like, oh,

479
00:26:12,280 --> 00:26:15,800
Speaker 1: we're so upset Trump is giving tax cuts to billionaires again.

480
00:26:15,880 --> 00:26:19,080
Speaker 1: I mean, it's all gonna be normal. Like the stuff

481
00:26:19,119 --> 00:26:21,879
Speaker 1: that they're talking about is insane. But I want to

482
00:26:22,080 --> 00:26:26,960
Speaker 1: we mentioned Clay, the possible pardoning of Hunter Biden. Yes,

483
00:26:27,119 --> 00:26:29,000
Speaker 1: this is why I think it's powerful for Trump to

484
00:26:29,000 --> 00:26:31,960
Speaker 1: be discussing this. Trump is the guy who didn't have

485
00:26:32,040 --> 00:26:35,960
Speaker 1: his DOJ. DOJ operates independently. I mean, this is like

486
00:26:35,960 --> 00:26:38,240
Speaker 1: people who think Supreme Court justices have no politics, Like,

487
00:26:38,280 --> 00:26:39,000
Speaker 1: are we all children?

488
00:26:39,080 --> 00:26:39,159
Speaker 2: Know?

489
00:26:39,320 --> 00:26:42,000
Speaker 1: Okay? The DJ does not operate independently of the president.

490
00:26:44,480 --> 00:26:46,040
Speaker 1: He could have had Hillary Clintley or they could have

491
00:26:46,040 --> 00:26:49,120
Speaker 1: looked at Hillary Clinton, and they didn't. And she broke

492
00:26:49,160 --> 00:26:51,280
Speaker 1: the law one hundred percent, no question about it. She

493
00:26:51,359 --> 00:26:54,399
Speaker 1: did something that was a felony many times over, and

494
00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:56,400
Speaker 1: they just said, no, we're not gonna prosecute her. Okay, fine,

495
00:26:57,240 --> 00:26:59,520
Speaker 1: Hunter Biden's a scumback. We all know that he should

496
00:26:59,520 --> 00:27:01,240
Speaker 1: have gone a prey and he did things that are illegal.

497
00:27:01,320 --> 00:27:03,120
Speaker 1: He did it over and over again. He's a bad guy.

498
00:27:03,960 --> 00:27:06,000
Speaker 1: But how is it that you're gonna make the argument

499
00:27:06,040 --> 00:27:09,000
Speaker 1: that Donald Trump is a fascist and evil not only

500
00:27:09,160 --> 00:27:11,040
Speaker 1: on the Hillary thing, but when he's the one sitting

501
00:27:11,040 --> 00:27:14,640
Speaker 1: around saying I would pardon or I will consider pardoning

502
00:27:14,880 --> 00:27:16,720
Speaker 1: Hunter Biden. Now we know that Joe Biden will beat

503
00:27:16,760 --> 00:27:20,480
Speaker 1: him to the punch probably, but nonetheless, even discussing a

504
00:27:20,560 --> 00:27:25,200
Speaker 1: clay I think shows that Trump will have a There'll

505
00:27:25,240 --> 00:27:27,439
Speaker 1: be a part of Trump that is this is going

506
00:27:27,520 --> 00:27:30,000
Speaker 1: to the liberals would lose their minds over this. They

507
00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:31,919
Speaker 1: is trying to move forward and unite the country. I

508
00:27:31,960 --> 00:27:34,320
Speaker 1: know that they will sneer at that, but it's true.

509
00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:37,240
Speaker 1: I said this before and some people got mad at me.

510
00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:40,000
Speaker 1: If I if Trump asked my opinion on this, and

511
00:27:40,040 --> 00:27:41,880
Speaker 1: we'll play the audio for you and we come back.

512
00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:45,400
Speaker 1: I would tell him to pardon Hunter Biden, not because

513
00:27:45,440 --> 00:27:48,920
Speaker 1: I think Hunter Biden deserves it, but because I think

514
00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:53,359
Speaker 1: it would be an important gesture towards showing some level

515
00:27:53,520 --> 00:27:57,320
Speaker 1: of reconciliation with the country. And I do think leave

516
00:27:57,320 --> 00:28:01,640
Speaker 1: aside politics. I think Trump understands, having seen Don Junior,

517
00:28:01,680 --> 00:28:06,119
Speaker 1: having seen Eric Avonka, his own kids targeted because of

518
00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:09,720
Speaker 1: what he does. I think he understands as a father,

519
00:28:10,200 --> 00:28:12,840
Speaker 1: what it would be like and is like for your

520
00:28:12,880 --> 00:28:15,320
Speaker 1: family to be targeted as opposed to you. I think

521
00:28:15,359 --> 00:28:18,320
Speaker 1: if Joe Biden was a man of any honor, integrity

522
00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:22,480
Speaker 1: and leadership, real leadership quality, he would have said before

523
00:28:22,520 --> 00:28:25,040
Speaker 1: he got shoved out by his own party. All right, guys,

524
00:28:25,080 --> 00:28:26,760
Speaker 1: I don't even care what the crimes are that you

525
00:28:26,760 --> 00:28:29,159
Speaker 1: think that Trump committed. We've got an election here. The

526
00:28:29,200 --> 00:28:31,280
Speaker 1: American people are going to get the right to say

527
00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:33,960
Speaker 1: what they think should happen with our leadership going forward.

528
00:28:34,359 --> 00:28:37,639
Speaker 1: I am not locking up Donald Trump. I will I

529
00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:39,920
Speaker 1: will pardon or commuting. I agree to talk about that,

530
00:28:40,080 --> 00:28:42,600
Speaker 1: but I will step in and use my pardon power

531
00:28:42,640 --> 00:28:45,360
Speaker 1: as president. So that my opponent can run in a

532
00:28:45,360 --> 00:28:47,240
Speaker 1: free and fair election against me. I will not allow

533
00:28:47,240 --> 00:28:50,560
Speaker 1: the weaponization. The left would have completely freaked out. I

534
00:28:50,640 --> 00:28:52,760
Speaker 1: understand that, but that actually would have been a powerful

535
00:28:52,800 --> 00:28:54,840
Speaker 1: thing for the rest of the country.

536
00:28:55,080 --> 00:28:56,640
Speaker 4: I think he might have won if he'd been willing

537
00:28:56,680 --> 00:28:59,280
Speaker 4: to do it. Honestly, I think they would have kept

538
00:28:59,320 --> 00:29:04,000
Speaker 4: him as ultimately once once he had the nomination locked up,

539
00:29:04,040 --> 00:29:05,560
Speaker 4: I think it would have been harder to push him

540
00:29:05,560 --> 00:29:09,600
Speaker 4: out if he had said that. Also, it has true benefits, Bucket.

541
00:29:09,600 --> 00:29:12,520
Speaker 4: We sometimes talk about it's both the right thing morally

542
00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:15,000
Speaker 4: and it's the right thing politically, and when you can

543
00:29:15,080 --> 00:29:18,120
Speaker 4: combine them both, that's a hell of a win. A

544
00:29:18,200 --> 00:29:21,160
Speaker 4: few things are more precious than the family memories that

545
00:29:21,200 --> 00:29:24,160
Speaker 4: we all create over the decades of our lives, and

546
00:29:24,200 --> 00:29:27,760
Speaker 4: so often the way we capture and then can relive

547
00:29:27,760 --> 00:29:31,040
Speaker 4: those memories is with photo or video. If your family,

548
00:29:31,080 --> 00:29:32,760
Speaker 4: like mine, had a video camera. Back in the day,

549
00:29:32,760 --> 00:29:35,160
Speaker 4: my dad used to sit there when we'd open Christmas presents,

550
00:29:35,400 --> 00:29:37,120
Speaker 4: have the little pajamas with the little feet in them,

551
00:29:37,120 --> 00:29:37,760
Speaker 4: you know, and he'd be.

552
00:29:37,720 --> 00:29:40,200
Speaker 1: Like, bucko, what do you think about your gift? And

553
00:29:40,240 --> 00:29:42,959
Speaker 1: I would just be like, I like trucks, you know,

554
00:29:43,040 --> 00:29:45,400
Speaker 1: and we'd have this on video. Now we can go

555
00:29:45,440 --> 00:29:47,880
Speaker 1: back and enjoy that, and I can see how verbal

556
00:29:47,920 --> 00:29:51,560
Speaker 1: I was at age like four or whatever, because I've

557
00:29:51,640 --> 00:29:54,000
Speaker 1: used Legacy Box those old VHS tapes. I don't have

558
00:29:54,040 --> 00:29:55,320
Speaker 1: a VHS player, do you. I didn't even have a

559
00:29:55,400 --> 00:29:59,200
Speaker 1: DVD player anymore. Old media where you have your family member,

560
00:29:59,320 --> 00:30:02,240
Speaker 1: a family memory restored. Timmy transferred to new media with

561
00:30:02,320 --> 00:30:04,240
Speaker 1: Legacy Box the best way to do it. Clay has

562
00:30:04,240 --> 00:30:06,600
Speaker 1: done it. I have done it. Legacy Box does this

563
00:30:06,680 --> 00:30:08,640
Speaker 1: better than anyone else. They've done it now for more

564
00:30:08,640 --> 00:30:10,760
Speaker 1: than a million and a half families, including like I said,

565
00:30:10,760 --> 00:30:13,760
Speaker 1: the Travis is the Sextons. I've relied on Legacy Box.

566
00:30:13,880 --> 00:30:16,080
Speaker 1: You can too. They're quick, professional, and they send you

567
00:30:16,160 --> 00:30:18,959
Speaker 1: updates along the way. Right now they're offering ready for

568
00:30:18,960 --> 00:30:22,720
Speaker 1: this fifty percent off their regular prices, which makes getting

569
00:30:22,720 --> 00:30:25,080
Speaker 1: this project going all the more attractive. You don't have

570
00:30:25,120 --> 00:30:27,240
Speaker 1: to do it all right away. They send you the box,

571
00:30:27,440 --> 00:30:30,160
Speaker 1: you lock in that rate, you're locking in the great deal,

572
00:30:30,520 --> 00:30:32,320
Speaker 1: and then you fill it with stuff as you need

573
00:30:32,360 --> 00:30:34,640
Speaker 1: to it. You send it in, they tell you how

574
00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:36,680
Speaker 1: it's going. They send you all your stuff back plus

575
00:30:36,760 --> 00:30:40,560
Speaker 1: the digitized memories that you can then text and upload

576
00:30:40,600 --> 00:30:43,240
Speaker 1: your computer and enjoy for generations to come. Go to

577
00:30:43,320 --> 00:30:45,959
Speaker 1: legacy box dot com slash buck for half off their

578
00:30:46,000 --> 00:30:50,720
Speaker 1: regular prices. That's legacy box dot com slash buck for

579
00:30:50,960 --> 00:30:52,080
Speaker 1: fifty percent.

580
00:30:51,760 --> 00:30:57,320
Speaker 7: Off news and politics, but also a little comic relief.

581
00:30:57,440 --> 00:31:01,840
Speaker 7: Clay Travis and Buck Sexton them on the vre iHeartRadio

582
00:31:01,880 --> 00:31:04,400
Speaker 7: app or wherever you get your podcasts.

583
00:31:04,720 --> 00:31:06,720
Speaker 1: Well, welcome back into Clay and Buck. We've had a

584
00:31:06,720 --> 00:31:11,240
Speaker 1: lot of presidential election talk and a lot of senators

585
00:31:11,240 --> 00:31:13,200
Speaker 1: on the show recently. We'll probably be the big guy

586
00:31:13,240 --> 00:31:15,360
Speaker 1: Trump calling in here in the next week or so.

587
00:31:16,320 --> 00:31:18,800
Speaker 1: But we also want to focus in on some very

588
00:31:19,160 --> 00:31:23,200
Speaker 1: critical house races. We had Hung Cow on yesterday. That

589
00:31:23,240 --> 00:31:25,520
Speaker 1: guy's a badass, big Hung Cow fans here. We got

590
00:31:25,520 --> 00:31:29,120
Speaker 1: another badass on today, Derek Anderson. He's a candidate for

591
00:31:29,320 --> 00:31:33,680
Speaker 1: Virginia's seventh congressional district. Former Army Special Forces, he's a

592
00:31:33,760 --> 00:31:36,080
Speaker 1: Green Beret. He's a train with the idf F in

593
00:31:36,160 --> 00:31:39,120
Speaker 1: the past as well. Look, Derek, great to have you

594
00:31:39,160 --> 00:31:41,320
Speaker 1: on the show, I think first time. Thanks for being here.

595
00:31:42,200 --> 00:31:44,720
Speaker 2: Hey, Thanks Clay and Buck, appreciate you guys. Thanks for

596
00:31:44,760 --> 00:31:45,360
Speaker 2: having me on.

597
00:31:45,920 --> 00:31:47,920
Speaker 1: Tell us about your race. I know this was the

598
00:31:47,960 --> 00:31:50,920
Speaker 1: span Burger seat that she vacated to go run. Who's

599
00:31:50,920 --> 00:31:55,360
Speaker 1: a Democrat vacated to go run ru for US Senate seat?

600
00:31:55,440 --> 00:31:55,600
Speaker 9: Right?

601
00:31:55,720 --> 00:31:58,440
Speaker 1: Or is the governor? I can't remember now? Governor? Yeah,

602
00:31:58,440 --> 00:32:02,760
Speaker 1: she ran for governor. And who are you up against?

603
00:32:02,760 --> 00:32:04,280
Speaker 1: How is it looking? And how can you win?

604
00:32:05,720 --> 00:32:09,240
Speaker 2: Yeah? Gay? So I'm running up against a guy by

605
00:32:09,240 --> 00:32:12,160
Speaker 2: the name of Vinman, who I'm sure you guys are all,

606
00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:16,360
Speaker 2: oh wow, oh yeah, who I'm running against? So you

607
00:32:16,400 --> 00:32:19,080
Speaker 2: know I'm the district I'm running in. I grew up

608
00:32:19,120 --> 00:32:21,640
Speaker 2: in the heart of this district in spots Maana County,

609
00:32:21,680 --> 00:32:24,880
Speaker 2: Fredericksburg area for those folks, about hours south of d C.

610
00:32:25,800 --> 00:32:28,920
Speaker 2: Went to Virginia Tech, went to the Army, you know,

611
00:32:29,040 --> 00:32:32,239
Speaker 2: deployed to Iraq during the Surge for fifteen months as

612
00:32:32,280 --> 00:32:34,400
Speaker 2: an infantry guy. I went to Rangers School as well,

613
00:32:34,480 --> 00:32:36,400
Speaker 2: then went to the Honor Guard and then went to

614
00:32:36,920 --> 00:32:39,600
Speaker 2: the Green Berets, where I did five deployments as a

615
00:32:39,640 --> 00:32:44,640
Speaker 2: Green Beret team leader, including Afghanistan, Barray, Lebanon, Israel, and Jordan.

616
00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:47,360
Speaker 2: Went to law school in Clerks for two federal judges

617
00:32:47,800 --> 00:32:50,440
Speaker 2: what's interesting and fascinating about my race is, you know,

618
00:32:50,480 --> 00:32:54,880
Speaker 2: I am going up against Vinman, and mister Vinman is

619
00:32:55,120 --> 00:32:57,280
Speaker 2: focused on his past. You know, he's focused on his

620
00:32:57,400 --> 00:33:00,560
Speaker 2: revenge tour with President Trump and doubling down on Kamwa

621
00:33:00,600 --> 00:33:04,240
Speaker 2: Harris's failed policies, while I'm focused on the future of

622
00:33:04,280 --> 00:33:06,600
Speaker 2: the people in the district. This is my hometown, this

623
00:33:06,640 --> 00:33:08,440
Speaker 2: is where I grew up. This is where my mom my,

624
00:33:08,520 --> 00:33:13,440
Speaker 2: cousins and family members all throughout the district are from

625
00:33:13,520 --> 00:33:16,040
Speaker 2: and live. And so I've invested interest in this. And

626
00:33:16,640 --> 00:33:18,640
Speaker 2: what's interesting, and I'm sure you guys are all well

627
00:33:18,680 --> 00:33:20,880
Speaker 2: aware that this is the time of year where we

628
00:33:20,920 --> 00:33:23,880
Speaker 2: see a lot of lives being spread. My opponent is

629
00:33:24,000 --> 00:33:27,840
Speaker 2: lied about me. In fact, he's lied about himself. You know,

630
00:33:27,880 --> 00:33:31,680
Speaker 2: he's lied about his military record. He lied about his rank,

631
00:33:32,640 --> 00:33:35,880
Speaker 2: he's lied about his time overseas. He said he used

632
00:33:35,960 --> 00:33:39,600
Speaker 2: weapons of war on the battlefield when he in fact

633
00:33:39,640 --> 00:33:42,280
Speaker 2: did not. He's been questioned on this a few times.

634
00:33:42,680 --> 00:33:45,560
Speaker 2: But you know, the interesting part about that is that

635
00:33:45,600 --> 00:33:48,040
Speaker 2: if he's willing to lie about that, what else is

636
00:33:48,040 --> 00:33:50,280
Speaker 2: he willing to lie about? And you know, you're not

637
00:33:50,320 --> 00:33:52,520
Speaker 2: going to out arm me, right I'm a former Green

638
00:33:52,560 --> 00:33:55,440
Speaker 2: Beret with deployments di Iraq and Afghanistan. I know what

639
00:33:55,480 --> 00:33:58,320
Speaker 2: it feels like to have those bullets woods by my head.

640
00:33:58,400 --> 00:34:00,680
Speaker 2: I had five of my guys killed in at Dana Stance,

641
00:34:01,480 --> 00:34:04,120
Speaker 2: So you know that's the kind of person I'm going

642
00:34:04,200 --> 00:34:06,520
Speaker 2: up against. The House majority is going to run through

643
00:34:06,920 --> 00:34:10,080
Speaker 2: Virginia seventh District. We have a really great opportunity here,

644
00:34:10,640 --> 00:34:13,160
Speaker 2: but you know, we need everyone's help to win. You know,

645
00:34:13,200 --> 00:34:16,160
Speaker 2: we've had people coming in today door knocking, but we

646
00:34:16,239 --> 00:34:20,640
Speaker 2: need of anyone interested in helping. Signing up, contributing always

647
00:34:20,640 --> 00:34:22,919
Speaker 2: helps as well. They can go to Derek Anderson dot

648
00:34:22,960 --> 00:34:25,520
Speaker 2: com It's d D R I C K Anderson dot

649
00:34:25,520 --> 00:34:28,640
Speaker 2: com to get more information on us and our campaign

650
00:34:28,640 --> 00:34:30,439
Speaker 2: and all the great work we're doing on the ground here.

651
00:34:31,520 --> 00:34:34,920
Speaker 4: Derek, I'm a thanks for coming on Civil War History NERD.

652
00:34:35,080 --> 00:34:38,360
Speaker 4: So I know Fredericksburg well because of the Civil War battlefield,

653
00:34:38,360 --> 00:34:41,920
Speaker 4: and I know you're not far from Chancellorsville too. Yesterday

654
00:34:41,960 --> 00:34:44,920
Speaker 4: we talked with Hung cow who's running for the Senate

655
00:34:44,960 --> 00:34:49,319
Speaker 4: in Virginia, and you're talking about your particular district. What

656
00:34:49,480 --> 00:34:51,640
Speaker 4: are you seeing. We kind of have the sense for

657
00:34:51,640 --> 00:34:55,040
Speaker 4: people out there who don't know Virginia. Well, northern Virginia

658
00:34:55,280 --> 00:34:57,720
Speaker 4: is the base of the Democrat Party in the state.

659
00:34:58,440 --> 00:35:01,399
Speaker 4: The further you get into the south and west, the

660
00:35:01,400 --> 00:35:05,480
Speaker 4: more it is the base of the Republican Party. But

661
00:35:05,520 --> 00:35:07,960
Speaker 4: the races are actually decided and you can correct me

662
00:35:08,000 --> 00:35:10,200
Speaker 4: if I'm wrong in the middle part of the state.

663
00:35:10,560 --> 00:35:13,520
Speaker 4: What does early turnout looking like, and how do you

664
00:35:13,600 --> 00:35:17,360
Speaker 4: feel about the momentum of the Republican Party in the

665
00:35:17,400 --> 00:35:18,760
Speaker 4: state of Virginia overall?

666
00:35:19,800 --> 00:35:23,759
Speaker 2: Well, it's it's amazing. And we have a very diverse district, right,

667
00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:28,520
Speaker 2: So my district is centered around Fredericksburg, Spotsylvania and goes

668
00:35:28,600 --> 00:35:30,520
Speaker 2: east to King George and Carolines all the way out

669
00:35:30,520 --> 00:35:33,120
Speaker 2: to the Potomac up north on a long ninety five

670
00:35:33,200 --> 00:35:35,880
Speaker 2: to Stafford in the eastern side of Prince William and

671
00:35:35,920 --> 00:35:37,920
Speaker 2: then we go west all the way out to the mountains.

672
00:35:38,000 --> 00:35:41,040
Speaker 2: We've got Orange, Culpepper, Madison in Green County. So I mean, yeah,

673
00:35:41,040 --> 00:35:43,600
Speaker 2: we're talking about a wide ranging district just in the

674
00:35:43,640 --> 00:35:47,600
Speaker 2: heart and center of Virginia. And you know the issues

675
00:35:47,640 --> 00:35:50,600
Speaker 2: that I hear every single Well, back to your previous question,

676
00:35:50,680 --> 00:35:52,959
Speaker 2: early voting is amazing. I was at two early voting

677
00:35:53,000 --> 00:35:57,719
Speaker 2: locations yesterday in Stafford and Prince William County. People are

678
00:35:57,719 --> 00:36:00,520
Speaker 2: coming in, you know, as we're as we're sitting there,

679
00:36:00,719 --> 00:36:02,680
Speaker 2: you know, there's some people that are like, hey, I

680
00:36:02,760 --> 00:36:05,520
Speaker 2: see you on TV. You're that guy, which is awesome, right,

681
00:36:05,560 --> 00:36:07,040
Speaker 2: and they're like, can I take a picture with you.

682
00:36:07,400 --> 00:36:09,520
Speaker 2: There's some people that you know, they walk by and

683
00:36:09,520 --> 00:36:11,600
Speaker 2: they come out of the voting booths or the voting

684
00:36:12,760 --> 00:36:15,040
Speaker 2: area and they give you the thumbs up like I

685
00:36:15,080 --> 00:36:18,520
Speaker 2: got you. So, I mean, the momentum in the enthusiasm

686
00:36:18,600 --> 00:36:22,240
Speaker 2: is amazing. We're seeing the numbers, you know, at a

687
00:36:22,239 --> 00:36:25,200
Speaker 2: at a high rate right now considering compared to you know,

688
00:36:25,280 --> 00:36:28,040
Speaker 2: past year. So we're excited about that. And I'll be

689
00:36:28,120 --> 00:36:30,359
Speaker 2: quite frank, you know, there's people that I'm meeting at

690
00:36:30,400 --> 00:36:33,840
Speaker 2: the early voting vote stations, and you know, the number

691
00:36:33,880 --> 00:36:37,320
Speaker 2: one thing I hear about in our district is the economy.

692
00:36:37,480 --> 00:36:41,239
Speaker 2: Right here in Virginia. About a third of Virginians or

693
00:36:41,280 --> 00:36:44,359
Speaker 2: living paycheck to paycheck. It's cost the average family about

694
00:36:44,400 --> 00:36:48,160
Speaker 2: eleven hundred dollars more month under the current bidonomics that

695
00:36:48,280 --> 00:36:51,440
Speaker 2: him and Kamala Harris put together. It's a quarter of

696
00:36:51,520 --> 00:36:54,160
Speaker 2: Virginians are delinquent on their credit cards. So I mean

697
00:36:54,160 --> 00:36:56,879
Speaker 2: when we're talking about voters going out to vote, people

698
00:36:56,960 --> 00:37:00,879
Speaker 2: are voting with their pocketbooks, with their wallets. I get

699
00:37:00,880 --> 00:37:04,160
Speaker 2: it quite often because my mom lives about fifteen minutes

700
00:37:04,200 --> 00:37:06,719
Speaker 2: away from me, and so my mom feels the need

701
00:37:06,760 --> 00:37:08,680
Speaker 2: to call me every single time she goes to the

702
00:37:08,719 --> 00:37:11,600
Speaker 2: grocery store and she say times me and says Derek

703
00:37:11,640 --> 00:37:13,840
Speaker 2: Wuire and is this expensive of my mom. I'm not

704
00:37:13,880 --> 00:37:16,200
Speaker 2: in office yet, I can't. I'm trying my best to

705
00:37:16,239 --> 00:37:19,280
Speaker 2: help you out, you know, so that in the border

706
00:37:19,719 --> 00:37:24,680
Speaker 2: crisis is truly impacted our district. To give you just

707
00:37:24,719 --> 00:37:28,080
Speaker 2: a quick one, you know, we had two illegal immigrants

708
00:37:28,080 --> 00:37:31,040
Speaker 2: I saw. We have a few military installations in our

709
00:37:31,080 --> 00:37:35,319
Speaker 2: in our district, including Marine Corps based Quantico. Right, we

710
00:37:35,360 --> 00:37:37,840
Speaker 2: had a few months ago we had two illegal immigrants

711
00:37:37,840 --> 00:37:40,880
Speaker 2: of Jordanian descent attempt to breach the front gate of

712
00:37:40,960 --> 00:37:45,600
Speaker 2: Marine Corps based Quantico posing as Amazon drivers. Those two

713
00:37:45,600 --> 00:37:47,839
Speaker 2: individuals you know as a Green Beret, as someone who

714
00:37:47,880 --> 00:37:51,560
Speaker 2: you know, intel minded kind of person. Who are these people,

715
00:37:51,600 --> 00:37:54,520
Speaker 2: who are they associated with? What were they doing? We

716
00:37:54,520 --> 00:37:57,480
Speaker 2: didn't get any answers from anyone about it, and in fact,

717
00:37:57,480 --> 00:37:59,879
Speaker 2: the two individuals were released on bail for seeing five

718
00:38:00,040 --> 00:38:03,480
Speaker 2: people at day overdose on Sentinel in Virginia. So when

719
00:38:03,520 --> 00:38:06,560
Speaker 2: we talk about the border crisis, every single state in

720
00:38:06,640 --> 00:38:09,360
Speaker 2: a border state, and we're feeling the impact here in

721
00:38:09,440 --> 00:38:12,800
Speaker 2: Virginia seventh Congressional District. My opponent, you know, he cares

722
00:38:12,840 --> 00:38:15,600
Speaker 2: so much about the border, Vinman that he took his

723
00:38:15,640 --> 00:38:18,640
Speaker 2: immigration policies off of his website. So, I mean, these

724
00:38:18,680 --> 00:38:21,799
Speaker 2: are the kind of people we're dealing with. This race

725
00:38:21,880 --> 00:38:24,680
Speaker 2: is going to be really important do not only maintain

726
00:38:24,719 --> 00:38:26,680
Speaker 2: our majority in the House, but to also build our

727
00:38:26,719 --> 00:38:28,239
Speaker 2: majority in the House so we can actually do our

728
00:38:28,280 --> 00:38:30,719
Speaker 2: country back on track. So again I encourage folks to

729
00:38:30,760 --> 00:38:33,520
Speaker 2: go to our website, Derekanerson dot com if they want

730
00:38:33,560 --> 00:38:35,040
Speaker 2: more information to want to help us out.

731
00:38:36,560 --> 00:38:38,720
Speaker 1: Derek, honored to have you on the program.

732
00:38:38,760 --> 00:38:38,880
Speaker 2: Stir.

733
00:38:39,040 --> 00:38:41,320
Speaker 1: We hope you pull this one out. We'll do whatever

734
00:38:41,360 --> 00:38:43,160
Speaker 1: we can and this audience can to help.

735
00:38:43,200 --> 00:38:46,200
Speaker 2: So thank you, thank you, Sarah, appreciate you.

736
00:38:47,760 --> 00:38:49,560
Speaker 1: Buck Thursday night football.

737
00:38:49,680 --> 00:38:52,440
Speaker 4: But because people are having trouble getting their picks in

738
00:38:52,600 --> 00:38:55,920
Speaker 4: sometimes a little bit early, I've got a multi day

739
00:38:56,080 --> 00:39:00,960
Speaker 4: play that actually goes for Sunday. All right, so prizepicks

740
00:39:00,960 --> 00:39:04,080
Speaker 4: dot Com. My name Clay. We're gonna try to hit

741
00:39:04,200 --> 00:39:07,160
Speaker 4: on a ten to one payout here. I want you

742
00:39:07,200 --> 00:39:09,000
Speaker 4: to get your pins. This is why I wanted you

743
00:39:09,080 --> 00:39:11,480
Speaker 4: to go ahead and download the app. You can play

744
00:39:11,520 --> 00:39:14,319
Speaker 4: in Texas, you can play in Georgia, you can play

745
00:39:14,320 --> 00:39:18,040
Speaker 4: in Florida, you can play in California, all over the country.

746
00:39:18,520 --> 00:39:22,800
Speaker 4: Here is my play for prizepicks dot Com. Code Clay.

747
00:39:22,840 --> 00:39:25,360
Speaker 4: You get fifty dollars when you sign up if you

748
00:39:25,400 --> 00:39:30,520
Speaker 4: are a football fan. Lamar Jackson less than fifty three

749
00:39:30,680 --> 00:39:35,279
Speaker 4: and a half rushing rushing yards. Jared Goff, quarterback for

750
00:39:35,400 --> 00:39:38,320
Speaker 4: the Detroit Lions. He's been on fire. He's playing against

751
00:39:38,320 --> 00:39:44,560
Speaker 4: my awful Tennessee Titans. More on the passing yards. Geno Smith,

752
00:39:45,080 --> 00:39:48,839
Speaker 4: he's been playing really well. The Seattle Seahawks offense has

753
00:39:48,880 --> 00:39:53,400
Speaker 4: been playing well. More on passing yards for Geno Smith

754
00:39:53,800 --> 00:39:57,359
Speaker 4: and Dak Prescott. Cowboys got wrecked by the Lions. They've

755
00:39:57,360 --> 00:40:00,360
Speaker 4: been on a bye week. They're coming back. More passing

756
00:40:00,480 --> 00:40:03,279
Speaker 4: yards against the forty nine ers for Dak Prescott. I'm

757
00:40:03,280 --> 00:40:07,719
Speaker 4: trying to make it simple, basic numbers here. Lamar Jackson

758
00:40:07,960 --> 00:40:13,399
Speaker 4: less on rushing yards, Goff, Geno Smith, and Dak Prescott

759
00:40:13,520 --> 00:40:17,319
Speaker 4: more on passing yards. You will get a ten to

760
00:40:17,400 --> 00:40:20,400
Speaker 4: one payout. If we are right, you can play, you

761
00:40:20,400 --> 00:40:20,839
Speaker 4: can have.

762
00:40:20,840 --> 00:40:24,320
Speaker 1: Some fun with us. If you think that I'm a moron.

763
00:40:24,400 --> 00:40:27,120
Speaker 4: You can take the exact opposite of all of those,

764
00:40:27,520 --> 00:40:30,160
Speaker 4: and if I'm wrong on everything, you get a ten

765
00:40:30,200 --> 00:40:34,200
Speaker 4: to one payout. So let's go Buck ten to one.

766
00:40:34,680 --> 00:40:39,479
Speaker 4: Lamar Less, Jared Goff, Geno Smith, Dak Prescott all more

767
00:40:39,680 --> 00:40:43,719
Speaker 4: on passing yards, lamar Less on rushing yards, not passing.

768
00:40:44,280 --> 00:40:46,840
Speaker 4: Let's go ahead and have some fun. Those are Sunday

769
00:40:47,360 --> 00:40:53,000
Speaker 4: Action NFL games, not Tonight Sunday Action. Klay Travis. My

770
00:40:53,120 --> 00:40:56,640
Speaker 4: name obviously, Clay is the code on pricepicks dot com.

771
00:40:56,719 --> 00:40:59,200
Speaker 4: Let's play, let's have some fun pricepicks dot Com. You

772
00:40:59,239 --> 00:41:02,000
Speaker 4: get fifty bucks if you use my name Clay when

773
00:41:02,080 --> 00:41:05,440
Speaker 4: you play the first five dollars.

774
00:41:05,880 --> 00:41:09,360
Speaker 7: Sometimes all you can do is laugh, and they do

775
00:41:09,440 --> 00:41:12,720
Speaker 7: a lot of it with the Sunday Hang Join Clay

776
00:41:12,719 --> 00:41:13,840
Speaker 7: and Buck as they.

777
00:41:14,000 --> 00:41:14,640
Speaker 1: Laugh it up.

778
00:41:14,760 --> 00:41:17,520
Speaker 7: In the Klay and Buck podcast feed on the iHeartRadio

779
00:41:17,560 --> 00:41:19,719
Speaker 7: app or wherever you get your podcasts.

780
00:41:19,800 --> 00:41:23,840
Speaker 4: We bring in our favorite I'll just say it I

781
00:41:23,840 --> 00:41:27,680
Speaker 4: think he would think it's affectionate. Our favorite data nerd

782
00:41:27,800 --> 00:41:33,200
Speaker 4: Ryan Gurdusky, to look at the early voting numbers and

783
00:41:33,640 --> 00:41:37,440
Speaker 4: what are out there that we should all be aware of.

784
00:41:38,239 --> 00:41:39,600
Speaker 1: Ryan, let me bring in here.

785
00:41:39,719 --> 00:41:42,840
Speaker 4: I'm going to hit you with the absolute latest gambling

786
00:41:42,960 --> 00:41:47,799
Speaker 4: market numbers in all seven swing states, as legitimately I'm

787
00:41:47,840 --> 00:41:51,840
Speaker 4: talking to you right now. Trump the favorite in Michigan

788
00:41:51,960 --> 00:41:57,240
Speaker 4: fifty six percent, Trump the favorite in Pennsylvania fifty seven percent,

789
00:41:57,760 --> 00:42:02,280
Speaker 4: Trump the favorite in Georgia seven tventy one percent, Trump

790
00:42:02,320 --> 00:42:06,640
Speaker 4: the favorite in North Carolina sixty seven percent, Trump the

791
00:42:06,719 --> 00:42:11,239
Speaker 4: favorite in Wisconsin fifty six percent, Trump the favorite in

792
00:42:11,360 --> 00:42:15,839
Speaker 4: Nevada sixty four percent, and Trump the favorite in Arizona

793
00:42:16,440 --> 00:42:19,839
Speaker 4: seventy two percent. He does not need to win all

794
00:42:19,920 --> 00:42:23,560
Speaker 4: of these states. But all seven of these states are

795
00:42:23,640 --> 00:42:26,120
Speaker 4: early voting. We tell all of you we want one

796
00:42:26,200 --> 00:42:31,040
Speaker 4: hundred percent early vote and or voting participation. So don't

797
00:42:31,200 --> 00:42:33,880
Speaker 4: listen to me and not go vote. But do you

798
00:42:33,960 --> 00:42:36,680
Speaker 4: think those are accurate? Do you think the Trump team

799
00:42:36,920 --> 00:42:41,680
Speaker 4: is confident? Quietly here, twelve days out, given those numbers,

800
00:42:41,760 --> 00:42:45,080
Speaker 4: I just ran you through gambling odds in the seven

801
00:42:45,120 --> 00:42:46,160
Speaker 4: battleground states.

802
00:42:47,000 --> 00:42:49,800
Speaker 8: So gambling odds are a lot of times changed based

803
00:42:49,880 --> 00:42:52,120
Speaker 8: upon public perception a lot of us on the internet.

804
00:42:52,280 --> 00:42:54,719
Speaker 8: I don't follow that. I don't believe that to be

805
00:42:55,080 --> 00:42:56,720
Speaker 8: not that I don't believe these numbers could be accurate

806
00:42:56,760 --> 00:42:58,279
Speaker 8: or Trump could win them all. But I don't think

807
00:42:58,320 --> 00:43:00,160
Speaker 8: the gambling odds are the best place to get these

808
00:43:00,239 --> 00:43:04,600
Speaker 8: kinds of information. Wisconsin is a very unusual thing. There

809
00:43:04,719 --> 00:43:08,440
Speaker 8: is no party registration and you can register to vote

810
00:43:08,480 --> 00:43:11,960
Speaker 8: on election day. So if a thousand Democrats wake up

811
00:43:12,000 --> 00:43:13,719
Speaker 8: and say, hey, I've never registered a vote before they

812
00:43:13,760 --> 00:43:16,920
Speaker 8: can register on election day, it's very, very difficult to

813
00:43:17,000 --> 00:43:19,919
Speaker 8: estimate Wisconsin without party registration and with people being able

814
00:43:19,920 --> 00:43:21,560
Speaker 8: to register to vote up till the minute.

815
00:43:21,360 --> 00:43:22,160
Speaker 1: That they do vote.

816
00:43:22,440 --> 00:43:25,600
Speaker 8: In Michigan is not the same thing with party registration,

817
00:43:25,680 --> 00:43:28,720
Speaker 8: the same thing with party registration, so there's no political

818
00:43:28,760 --> 00:43:31,520
Speaker 8: parties and they don't give out race data. It's just

819
00:43:31,600 --> 00:43:34,600
Speaker 8: geographic and there's there, but there is a cutoff date.

820
00:43:34,640 --> 00:43:37,520
Speaker 8: You can't register the day of. So that being said,

821
00:43:37,640 --> 00:43:39,680
Speaker 8: I really don't know a lot. We don't know a

822
00:43:39,680 --> 00:43:42,880
Speaker 8: lot outside the polling in Michigan and Wisconsin, which is

823
00:43:42,920 --> 00:43:45,399
Speaker 8: really fifty to fifty depending on what poll you want

824
00:43:45,440 --> 00:43:48,960
Speaker 8: to look at in the state of Pennsylvania right now,

825
00:43:48,960 --> 00:43:51,840
Speaker 8: which is a little different because they do have information

826
00:43:51,880 --> 00:43:56,400
Speaker 8: on party registration. One point one million Democrats that have

827
00:43:56,600 --> 00:43:59,480
Speaker 8: requested an absentee ballot and seven hundred and twenty six

828
00:43:59,520 --> 00:44:03,040
Speaker 8: thousand have voted in five hundred and ninety seven thousand

829
00:44:03,120 --> 00:44:05,560
Speaker 8: Republicans have requested in absenty ballot in three hundred and

830
00:44:05,640 --> 00:44:08,719
Speaker 8: sixty one thousand have voted, and two hundred and forty

831
00:44:08,760 --> 00:44:12,319
Speaker 8: thousand Independents and have requested the ballot. One hundred and

832
00:44:12,320 --> 00:44:16,400
Speaker 8: ten thousand have voted. Democrats in Pennsylvania in the early

833
00:44:16,480 --> 00:44:19,759
Speaker 8: vote will break heavily for the Democrats, probably by a

834
00:44:19,800 --> 00:44:22,520
Speaker 8: two to one margin. That's not unusual. That's what happens

835
00:44:22,560 --> 00:44:26,880
Speaker 8: in almost every election. Right now. Republicans lead in absentee

836
00:44:26,880 --> 00:44:29,719
Speaker 8: ballot requests in thirty five counties. I just want to

837
00:44:29,719 --> 00:44:31,880
Speaker 8: put that in a I want to look at that

838
00:44:31,920 --> 00:44:34,759
Speaker 8: compared to pass elections. In twenty twenty two they led

839
00:44:34,800 --> 00:44:37,080
Speaker 8: in two counties, and in twenty twenty they led in

840
00:44:37,200 --> 00:44:43,120
Speaker 8: thirteen counties. Significant more numbers of rural voters are requesting

841
00:44:43,280 --> 00:44:47,080
Speaker 8: than in past elections for the Republicans in Pike County

842
00:44:47,440 --> 00:44:49,839
Speaker 8: became the first county I think it was today. If not,

843
00:44:49,880 --> 00:44:53,040
Speaker 8: it will happen tomorrow where there are more returns and

844
00:44:53,160 --> 00:44:55,680
Speaker 8: requests than in the twenty twenty election. In covid that

845
00:44:55,800 --> 00:44:58,920
Speaker 8: is a sixty to forty Republican county in the last election.

846
00:45:00,280 --> 00:45:02,520
Speaker 8: So then you go to Florida, which is not really

847
00:45:02,560 --> 00:45:05,680
Speaker 8: a swing state, but Republicans are obliterating the numbers. They

848
00:45:05,680 --> 00:45:09,440
Speaker 8: are one point two million to one million. Miami Dade

849
00:45:09,440 --> 00:45:13,719
Speaker 8: could flip Republican or yet very very close. North Carolina

850
00:45:13,880 --> 00:45:17,719
Speaker 8: yesterday became the third state to flip to a Republican

851
00:45:17,840 --> 00:45:21,680
Speaker 8: lead in the absentee ballads. That was not really expected

852
00:45:21,719 --> 00:45:25,040
Speaker 8: because many thought the hurricane would put a lot of

853
00:45:25,080 --> 00:45:28,040
Speaker 8: Republican counties out, But those Republican counties in the hurricane

854
00:45:28,080 --> 00:45:31,759
Speaker 8: affected areas are seeing record breaking turnout. Georgia does not

855
00:45:31,920 --> 00:45:37,280
Speaker 8: have party registration, but they do list results based on race. Now,

856
00:45:37,800 --> 00:45:40,120
Speaker 8: I know everyone's saying this huge surge of black support

857
00:45:40,160 --> 00:45:44,040
Speaker 8: for Donald Trump is real, but overall, something to the

858
00:45:44,080 --> 00:45:47,040
Speaker 8: effect of ninety percent or eighty five percent of all

859
00:45:47,040 --> 00:45:49,120
Speaker 8: black voters will be voting for the Democrat, and in

860
00:45:49,120 --> 00:45:51,560
Speaker 8: Georgia around eighty to eighty five percent of all white

861
00:45:51,640 --> 00:45:53,720
Speaker 8: voters will be voting for the Republican that is the tradition.

862
00:45:54,120 --> 00:45:56,480
Speaker 8: Fifty nine point sixty six percent of the vote so

863
00:45:56,520 --> 00:45:59,160
Speaker 8: far as white, twenty six point five percent is black.

864
00:45:59,440 --> 00:46:02,239
Speaker 8: That is a one point increase among white voters and

865
00:46:02,280 --> 00:46:05,280
Speaker 8: a one percent decrease among black voters compared to twenty twenty,

866
00:46:05,400 --> 00:46:07,920
Speaker 8: and is a tie from twenty twenty two. There is

867
00:46:07,960 --> 00:46:10,839
Speaker 8: a surge of Hispanic and Asian voters though in the state,

868
00:46:10,840 --> 00:46:15,839
Speaker 8: which is to be expected. Arizona Republicans lead Democrats by

869
00:46:16,000 --> 00:46:19,319
Speaker 8: thirty eight thousand votes from twenty twenty to thirty one

870
00:46:19,360 --> 00:46:22,400
Speaker 8: thousand more Republicans than twenty twenty. There are one hundred

871
00:46:22,400 --> 00:46:26,640
Speaker 8: and thirty seven thousand fewer Democrats among new voters now,

872
00:46:26,680 --> 00:46:29,960
Speaker 8: Arizona is unusual in the fact that they give you

873
00:46:30,040 --> 00:46:34,800
Speaker 8: the data based upon how often someone has voted. Among

874
00:46:34,960 --> 00:46:39,479
Speaker 8: newly registered voters, Democrats sorry, Republicans lead Democrats by two

875
00:46:39,560 --> 00:46:43,359
Speaker 8: point two thousand new registered voters voters who have never

876
00:46:43,440 --> 00:46:45,680
Speaker 8: voted in the state before or registered in the state before.

877
00:46:46,000 --> 00:46:50,239
Speaker 8: Among people who have been registered but never voted, Republicans

878
00:46:50,320 --> 00:46:55,000
Speaker 8: have one point nine thousand, almost two thousand more voters

879
00:46:55,040 --> 00:46:58,520
Speaker 8: who have been registered just never decided to vote before

880
00:46:58,640 --> 00:47:01,400
Speaker 8: they lead. And in the VIBEA, Nevada was supposed to

881
00:47:01,440 --> 00:47:04,880
Speaker 8: be Kamala's best swing state, the state that she was

882
00:47:04,880 --> 00:47:06,880
Speaker 8: never going to go, she was never going to lose. Really,

883
00:47:07,160 --> 00:47:11,200
Speaker 8: Republicans lead Democrats by seventeen thousand votes. There is something

884
00:47:11,280 --> 00:47:13,879
Speaker 8: known as the Clark County Firewall. This is something that

885
00:47:13,880 --> 00:47:16,120
Speaker 8: that Harry Reid machine built up in the mid two

886
00:47:16,200 --> 00:47:19,440
Speaker 8: thousands where Democrats would have such an enormous lead in

887
00:47:19,480 --> 00:47:21,600
Speaker 8: Clark County it wouldn't matter what the Ruralds did or

888
00:47:21,600 --> 00:47:23,719
Speaker 8: what was Shoa did, that they were going to win

889
00:47:23,760 --> 00:47:26,839
Speaker 8: because this Clark County league will be tens of thousands

890
00:47:26,840 --> 00:47:29,879
Speaker 8: of votes in favor of Democrats. As of right now,

891
00:47:29,920 --> 00:47:33,440
Speaker 8: with thirty percent of the overall vote in for the

892
00:47:33,480 --> 00:47:35,520
Speaker 8: election day vote with the esimate elector DA vote will be

893
00:47:36,040 --> 00:47:40,480
Speaker 8: Republicans lead Democrats statewide by seventeen thousand and Democrats only

894
00:47:40,560 --> 00:47:44,719
Speaker 8: leave Republicans in Clark County, which is Las Vegas, by

895
00:47:45,000 --> 00:47:49,680
Speaker 8: just seven thousand votes. That is way way way under

896
00:47:50,000 --> 00:47:52,759
Speaker 8: what Democrats are used to And this whole idea of

897
00:47:52,840 --> 00:47:57,439
Speaker 8: Kamala's amazing ground game operation is really being called into

898
00:47:57,520 --> 00:47:58,480
Speaker 8: question right now.

899
00:47:59,040 --> 00:48:00,600
Speaker 1: Ryan I don't know if I got all of that

900
00:48:00,760 --> 00:48:02,360
Speaker 1: down on my notepad, but I got a lot of

901
00:48:02,719 --> 00:48:04,640
Speaker 1: I know, there was a lot of no, no, no, no,

902
00:48:05,080 --> 00:48:07,919
Speaker 1: we like figure dusky around around the world with the data.

903
00:48:07,960 --> 00:48:11,360
Speaker 1: That's fine. But if you were to pick the top

904
00:48:11,600 --> 00:48:15,879
Speaker 1: one or two things right now that are that are real, right,

905
00:48:15,880 --> 00:48:19,600
Speaker 1: that are not projections that we know are happening based

906
00:48:19,600 --> 00:48:23,480
Speaker 1: on the data, so you know, not not including polling

907
00:48:23,760 --> 00:48:27,279
Speaker 1: that is concerning to the Kamala campaign, like what is

908
00:48:27,440 --> 00:48:32,040
Speaker 1: keeping the head of the Kamala twenty twenty four committee

909
00:48:32,280 --> 00:48:36,040
Speaker 1: up at night right now? The most so in Arizona.

910
00:48:36,080 --> 00:48:38,399
Speaker 8: Arizona is the only say that breaks this down. New

911
00:48:38,680 --> 00:48:42,520
Speaker 8: voters are are showing up in big numbers. Remember a

912
00:48:42,560 --> 00:48:44,480
Speaker 8: lot of new eighteen year olds, a lot of immigrants,

913
00:48:44,480 --> 00:48:46,840
Speaker 8: but a lot of people moved around this country between

914
00:48:46,840 --> 00:48:49,680
Speaker 8: twenty twenty and twenty twenty four because of COVID. A

915
00:48:49,680 --> 00:48:52,239
Speaker 8: lot of senior citizens moved around because of COVID. I

916
00:48:52,239 --> 00:48:55,800
Speaker 8: wrote my substack the National Populist newsletter. Forty five percent

917
00:48:55,840 --> 00:48:59,200
Speaker 8: of all new Georgia voters are over the age of fifty.

918
00:49:00,160 --> 00:49:03,480
Speaker 8: Of new voters in Arizona are over the age of fifty.

919
00:49:03,800 --> 00:49:06,440
Speaker 8: These new voters. A lot of the retirees are voting

920
00:49:06,520 --> 00:49:10,120
Speaker 8: in big numbers for Republicans. That's one thing. New voters

921
00:49:10,120 --> 00:49:13,239
Speaker 8: Republicans are showing up, and lower pensity voters Republicans are

922
00:49:13,239 --> 00:49:19,120
Speaker 8: showing up. Secondly, that's important because does this huge surge

923
00:49:19,160 --> 00:49:21,719
Speaker 8: of early vote by Republicans is it eating away at

924
00:49:21,719 --> 00:49:25,400
Speaker 8: their election day vote? Partially? It is one hundred percent

925
00:49:25,520 --> 00:49:27,920
Speaker 8: partially eating with their election day vote, but the surge

926
00:49:27,920 --> 00:49:30,919
Speaker 8: of lower pensity and new voters shows that it's not

927
00:49:31,000 --> 00:49:34,080
Speaker 8: just our election day voters being eaten away at. Trump's

928
00:49:34,160 --> 00:49:36,680
Speaker 8: numbers on election day will be smaller than twenty twenty,

929
00:49:36,840 --> 00:49:40,720
Speaker 8: but he will overall win election day. That's first of all. Secondly,

930
00:49:40,760 --> 00:49:45,239
Speaker 8: the absentee ballot requests in Pennsylvania. If Pennsylvania on election Day,

931
00:49:45,239 --> 00:49:48,880
Speaker 8: before election day, Democrats have less than five hundred thousand

932
00:49:49,000 --> 00:49:52,320
Speaker 8: votes banked over Republicans, and they will have more because

933
00:49:52,320 --> 00:49:56,520
Speaker 8: more Democrats are on the permanent absentee list, that is

934
00:49:56,560 --> 00:50:00,000
Speaker 8: a very bad sign. Democrats need about half a million

935
00:50:00,320 --> 00:50:04,080
Speaker 8: or more in the bank before election date because Republicans

936
00:50:04,120 --> 00:50:07,760
Speaker 8: will win election day. That is extremely concerning. And then lastly,

937
00:50:08,080 --> 00:50:10,600
Speaker 8: if you look at where these early turnouts are coming

938
00:50:10,600 --> 00:50:15,120
Speaker 8: in the rural counties from Pennsylvania to Nevada to Georgia.

939
00:50:15,480 --> 00:50:19,400
Speaker 8: All of them are showing tremendous strengths, even in states

940
00:50:19,400 --> 00:50:22,360
Speaker 8: that don't have party registration while a lot of places.

941
00:50:22,360 --> 00:50:25,720
Speaker 8: The worst performing county in Pennsylvania for early vote compared

942
00:50:25,719 --> 00:50:28,799
Speaker 8: to twenty twenty and twenty twenty two is Philadelphia. That

943
00:50:28,960 --> 00:50:32,000
Speaker 8: is not a good place for Democrats. Atlanta is having

944
00:50:32,080 --> 00:50:34,160
Speaker 8: issues with the black vote. That is not a good

945
00:50:34,160 --> 00:50:36,839
Speaker 8: thing for Democrats. They are sitting there and very very

946
00:50:36,880 --> 00:50:38,960
Speaker 8: panicked and keep on saying out loud, well, they'll just

947
00:50:38,960 --> 00:50:41,560
Speaker 8: show up on election date. There's no guarantee they will.

948
00:50:41,600 --> 00:50:43,719
Speaker 8: There's no guarantee they won't, but there's no guarantee they will.

949
00:50:44,800 --> 00:50:46,799
Speaker 4: So if you were setting up we've asked you this

950
00:50:46,880 --> 00:50:51,000
Speaker 4: for months now, and you're talking to Ryan Gerdeski, encourage

951
00:50:51,000 --> 00:50:54,759
Speaker 4: you to go read his populist Substack newsletter. Very very good.

952
00:50:54,760 --> 00:50:56,880
Speaker 4: I'm a subscriber. I think you guys will enjoy it

953
00:50:56,920 --> 00:51:01,880
Speaker 4: as well. If you were setting odds right now, chances

954
00:51:01,920 --> 00:51:05,800
Speaker 4: Trump wins twelve days out, chances that Kamala wins twelve

955
00:51:05,880 --> 00:51:08,960
Speaker 4: days out, what do you think are reasonable projections at

956
00:51:09,000 --> 00:51:09,520
Speaker 4: this point?

957
00:51:10,520 --> 00:51:13,480
Speaker 8: Trump is the favorite to win, but it's probably fifty

958
00:51:13,520 --> 00:51:17,640
Speaker 8: five percent to forty five percent. Kamala can still win

959
00:51:17,680 --> 00:51:20,759
Speaker 8: this race. It's not a guarantee, although a lot of

960
00:51:20,760 --> 00:51:23,560
Speaker 8: things are moving in his general direction. And it's not

961
00:51:23,600 --> 00:51:26,799
Speaker 8: a guarantee because Kamala has one group of voters that

962
00:51:26,840 --> 00:51:30,840
Speaker 8: Trump doesn't have, which is highly educated white voters, and

963
00:51:31,680 --> 00:51:33,840
Speaker 8: she has the support of a lot of black voters.

964
00:51:34,040 --> 00:51:36,840
Speaker 8: They will be mobilized through souls to the polls on

965
00:51:36,920 --> 00:51:39,680
Speaker 8: the weekend before election day. For the black voters and

966
00:51:39,960 --> 00:51:43,920
Speaker 8: white college educated voters are the most active voters in

967
00:51:43,960 --> 00:51:46,759
Speaker 8: the country. About almost eighty five to ninety percent of

968
00:51:46,800 --> 00:51:49,319
Speaker 8: them show up in these kinds of elections. That will

969
00:51:49,360 --> 00:51:53,240
Speaker 8: be very, very beneficial in the Philadelphia Coller counties in Pennsylvania.

970
00:51:53,360 --> 00:51:57,040
Speaker 8: That'll be very beneficial, around the Raleigh and a Durham

971
00:51:57,080 --> 00:52:00,880
Speaker 8: area and Wake County, North Carolina, around Atlantis suburbs. That

972
00:52:01,040 --> 00:52:03,240
Speaker 8: is what she is depending on is that these people

973
00:52:03,239 --> 00:52:05,520
Speaker 8: are no longer afraid of COVID but will be showing

974
00:52:05,600 --> 00:52:08,160
Speaker 8: up and showing up big for her. So Trump as

975
00:52:08,160 --> 00:52:10,279
Speaker 8: a lead, it's not a tremendous lead. It's not the

976
00:52:10,320 --> 00:52:13,160
Speaker 8: lead he had with Joe Biden and Republicans can't act

977
00:52:13,400 --> 00:52:16,319
Speaker 8: like he does, but Democrats are increasingly becoming unhinged by

978
00:52:16,320 --> 00:52:16,880
Speaker 8: the numbers.

979
00:52:18,920 --> 00:52:21,080
Speaker 4: One more question. If you were telling us, and I

980
00:52:21,120 --> 00:52:25,280
Speaker 4: know we're twelve days out, but early voting numbers coming

981
00:52:25,320 --> 00:52:28,879
Speaker 4: in on election night, I think we will likely have

982
00:52:29,000 --> 00:52:32,440
Speaker 4: Florida complete before a lot of our listeners will go

983
00:52:32,480 --> 00:52:35,640
Speaker 4: to bed. Will Florida tell us much in your mind?

984
00:52:35,680 --> 00:52:38,360
Speaker 4: Like if Trump wins Florida by let's say eight or

985
00:52:38,400 --> 00:52:41,720
Speaker 4: more points, which seems highly likely based on how voting

986
00:52:41,800 --> 00:52:46,800
Speaker 4: is going so far, is that an indication for other states?

987
00:52:46,880 --> 00:52:49,640
Speaker 4: Is there somewhere else that you would point to that

988
00:52:49,760 --> 00:52:52,799
Speaker 4: may have reliable early data that could give us a

989
00:52:52,880 --> 00:52:55,239
Speaker 4: sign of how the nation is voting. What would you

990
00:52:55,280 --> 00:52:57,120
Speaker 4: point to as like, hey, pay a than this.

991
00:52:58,320 --> 00:53:01,120
Speaker 8: So the state of Florida. No, I would look at

992
00:53:01,160 --> 00:53:05,719
Speaker 8: Midwestern retire communities in Florida. That was the first sign

993
00:53:05,719 --> 00:53:08,839
Speaker 8: that Bill Clinton got from his political campaign director from

994
00:53:08,880 --> 00:53:11,279
Speaker 8: nineteen ninety two that Hillary was going to lose in

995
00:53:11,280 --> 00:53:15,400
Speaker 8: twenty sixteen because the margins in the Midwestern retire communities

996
00:53:15,560 --> 00:53:20,160
Speaker 8: were explosive and they were overwhelmingly favoring Donald Trump. If

997
00:53:20,200 --> 00:53:23,560
Speaker 8: those numbers look like they do in this election as well.

998
00:53:23,840 --> 00:53:27,160
Speaker 8: It will be very very good in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.

999
00:53:27,480 --> 00:53:31,800
Speaker 8: In Pennsylvania on election night, the early ballads will come

1000
00:53:31,840 --> 00:53:35,760
Speaker 8: in first, unlike twenty twenty, so what you will see

1001
00:53:36,160 --> 00:53:39,680
Speaker 8: is huge numbers for Democrats starting out the night, and

1002
00:53:39,760 --> 00:53:42,360
Speaker 8: as it continues it whittling down and whittling down and

1003
00:53:42,360 --> 00:53:45,120
Speaker 8: willing down. There is going in much of the same way.

1004
00:53:45,160 --> 00:53:48,400
Speaker 8: There was a quote unquote red mirage in twenty twenty.

1005
00:53:48,560 --> 00:53:51,120
Speaker 8: There will be a blue mirage in twenty twenty four

1006
00:53:51,320 --> 00:53:54,680
Speaker 8: at the very beginning of the night. Don't get panicked,

1007
00:53:55,239 --> 00:53:57,560
Speaker 8: wait and see as the election day numbers are counted.

1008
00:53:57,600 --> 00:54:00,279
Speaker 8: It will be interesting to see by how much she's

1009
00:54:00,320 --> 00:54:03,319
Speaker 8: winning this early vote, considering Republicans have invested so much

1010
00:54:03,320 --> 00:54:06,759
Speaker 8: in it. In twenty twenty in Pennsylvania, she was winning

1011
00:54:06,800 --> 00:54:09,239
Speaker 8: the early vote by something like thirty six percent. If

1012
00:54:09,239 --> 00:54:11,600
Speaker 8: she's winning the early vote by twenty five percent, that

1013
00:54:11,719 --> 00:54:14,120
Speaker 8: is a very very very bad sign for Kamala.

1014
00:54:14,200 --> 00:54:19,240
Speaker 1: Harris, Ryan or Dusk Everybody. National Populist Newsletter is his substack.

1015
00:54:19,320 --> 00:54:21,800
Speaker 1: Clay and I are subscribers. Go check it out for yourself.

1016
00:54:21,840 --> 00:54:24,920
Speaker 1: Great insights on politics. Ryan, We're gonna have to have

1017
00:54:24,960 --> 00:54:27,880
Speaker 1: you back before the big day, so study up. Thanks

1018
00:54:27,880 --> 00:54:28,800
Speaker 1: for being with us.

1019
00:54:29,920 --> 00:54:33,120
Speaker 4: A lot of good data there, buck from Ryan, and

1020
00:54:33,719 --> 00:54:35,799
Speaker 4: I know a lot of you are very fired up

1021
00:54:35,840 --> 00:54:38,879
Speaker 4: for the election, but I also know that a lot

1022
00:54:38,880 --> 00:54:41,640
Speaker 4: of people out there are wanting Trump to win because

1023
00:54:41,640 --> 00:54:44,920
Speaker 4: they're concerned desperately about crime. And if you're one of

1024
00:54:44,920 --> 00:54:47,400
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1025
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1026
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1027
00:54:53,560 --> 00:54:56,120
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1028
00:54:56,200 --> 00:54:59,920
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1029
00:55:00,080 --> 00:55:02,279
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1030
00:55:02,360 --> 00:55:06,359
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1031
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1034
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Speaker 7: Stories are freedom stories of America. Inspirational stories that you

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